Vol.1 Issue 25 March 1st, 2003

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MISSION: To build a global women's investment community by providing easy access to important financial news, by promoting a dialogue between members and industry professionals and by supporting ethical business practices.

"I look upon this latest correction as an opportunity to make some moneyÉ I have increased dramatically all year long the percentage of my Fidelity holdings that are in stocks in general and growth stocks in particular."
- Peter Lynch
Money magazine February 2003

CONTENTS

  • Success Secrets of CEOs: Goldcorp's share price has jumped 310% in the last three years, and Mr. Robert McEwen, the Chairman and CEO of Goldcorp, received no less than five awards last year from organizations as diverse as Northern Miner to Ernst and Young. Is there gold in 'them thar mines,' or could the recent run-up of Goldcorp simply be that Mr. McEwen, formerly of the finance world, is media and market savvy?
  • REPORT CARD: ALL THAT GLITTERS IS GOLD! GOLD OUTPERFORMED the DJIA and NASDAQ in 2002. WILL IT LIGHT UP YOUR PORTFOLIO IN 2003?
  • Tips for Navigating a Choppy Market: Not many companies, outside of Goldcorp, which posted 300% gains over the last three years, are breezing through this bear market, but some senior financial advisors have found ways to save their clients' portfolios.
  • Girl's Guide to Hedge Funds: Hedging used to be the playground of only the very wealthy, but funds of hedge funds bring the high risk/high reward opportunity to any investor with $25,000. You might be promised the Garden of Eden, but if you want Happy Days, it's best to know what "Ponzi" schemes are BEFORE you BUY in.
  • Ten Reasons to Celebrate National Woman's Day on March 8, 2003.
  • WIN Networking Night Thursday, March 20, 2003 7-9 p.m. Santa Monica, CA.
  • Companies in the News: Who has time to read the New York Times Business section and watch CNBC every day? We do! (That's our job!) Here are financial news highlights from the most respected sources in the world: NY Times, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Reuters and our favorite syndicated analyst Jim Jubak.


Click on the under-lined links in the left column (colored blue) to see the entire article.

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ÈSuccess Secrets of CEOs:

Goldcorp's share price has jumped 310% in the last three years, more than twice the rate of any other gold mining stock. Analysts, like Bugos and Schaeffer, are predicting that the popularity of gold, as a safe haven during troubled times, will continue to increase. (Some even predict a "gold run.") Mr. Robert McEwen, the Chairman and CEO of Goldcorp, received no less than five awards last year from organizations as diverse as Northern Miner to Ernst and Young. Is there gold in 'them thar mines,' or could the recent run-up of Goldcorp simply be that Mr. McEwen, formerly of the finance world, is media and market savvy?

Schaeffers Research.com says, "The outlook of gold remains bright. The recent pullback in many stocks could provide a perfect opportunity for investors to get in on the "ground floor" before the yellow metal makes its next run higher." The mega-cap gold corporations have more reserves and more market capitalization than Goldcorp, but they don't beat Goldcorp's bottom line--cash operating costs of just $65/ounce to produce the gold. (For a detailed industry comparison, go to this week's sector report card.) Read on to see how Goldcorp has reduced their production costs to the lowest in the industry and substantially increased their reserves under the visionary guidance of their CEO.

Awards: In 2002, Mr. McEwen was Northern Miner's 2003 "Mining Man of the Year" for being the "biggest positive newsmaker" in 2002. He was also Ernst & Young's Entrepreneur of the Year, Viola R. MacMillan's Developer of the Year, Fast Company's "The Fast 50" Champions of Innovation, Investor Relations Magazine Best Senior Management in Canada and Business Week's "Web Smart 50"--one of the 50 most innovative companies on the web worldwide.

N. Wynne--Five awards in one year. You'd think you were an actor, instead of the CEO of a gold mining company.

McEwen--It's been quite a year.

N. Wynne-- What makes you so well liked by these organizations?

McEwen--Everybody in the company works pretty hard. They just need someone to give an award to. We've approached the business a little differently, and fortunately, have gotten results that surprised people. In the mid-90s, our mine had been going for 50 years and was assumed closed. Today, as a result of the discovery we made at the bottom of it, it's considered to be the richest mine in the world. Goldcorp is also one of the five lowest cost producers in the world.

N. Wynne--What is so different about your approach, and how do you keep the costs down?

McEwen--We tore down an old mine. We found gold where no one thought it was going to be found. It totally altered the geological model. We built a new mine with fiberoptics. We're beta testing with wireless communication devices underground. Wireless communications are pretty natural on surface, but underground radio waves don't travel well. Think of being in an office tower, where you board up all the windows and turn off all the lights. You're responsible for twenty people, on different floors. Tell me what they're doing? The key need is shortening communication times. That reduces working capital. If you reduce working capital and fixed capital, you reduce costs overall.

N. Wynne--I'm sure that makes you very attractive to shareholders.

McEwen--We've had just remarkable performance. Our compound rate of return on share price is 38%. We've outperformed more than 90% of the list of companies in North America since the start of 1993, when I began restructuring the company, until now. Our return on capital is 26%. In 2001, we were the most profitable gold mining company in North America. We split 2:1 last year. We held back 10% of gold production. We believe the price of gold is going higher. We thought we'd hold a little bit and sell it once that occurs.

N. Wynne--Is Goldcorp's rate of return (for shareholders) over the last nine years 37%? That outperforms Microsoft, IBM, Coca-Cola and Warren Buffett, doesn't it?

McEwen--Yes, and it puts all the senior gold producers in the dust. The senior gold producers have a flawed strategy. They think growing the top line is important. To me, it's growing the bottom line--the share price. I've got a chart that compares us to the three largest mining companies in North America. They're compounded at today's T-bill rates at best, as opposed to our 37%. They've ignored the shareholder. They're out to make a bigger company, but they haven't paid attention to what happens to the per share number. That, to me, is critical. Why be bigger if your share price is going to stand still or go lower?

(WIN note: While the top three are performing as Mr. McEwen asserts, there are two other gold mining companies with much better returns. Be sure to check out the GOLD REPORT CARD in this newsletter!)

N. Wynne--With those returns, why isn't your face as well known as Bill Gates? Why isn't Goldcorp mentioned in the same breath as Berkshire Hathaway? It can't be that insurance is sexier than gold. There will never be a Bond film named, Microsoft.

McEwen--Why would someone buy a gold stock? We are more than just a gold stock. What are your returns on capital, equity? What type of operating margins do you have? Stack us up to leading companies. We're delivering competitive results. Net margins of 35%. Business Week does a survey of the top 900 companies in the country and ranks them by return on equity and capital. If we were included, we would be in the top 20.

N. Wynne--You weren't included because Goldcorp is Canadian-based?

McEwen--Yes. It might also have been size. The other companies have multi-billion dollar market capitalization above ours. [WIN note: GG's market cap is $2.2 billion.] What we're trying to create is a company that allows our shareholders to have a good night's sleep.

N. Wynne--While other companies were hedging, Goldcorp held back some of its produced gold in reserves. If gold is predicted to rise in value, why isn't everybody holding some back for the higher sell price?

McEwen--Because we have a very low break-even point, we don't have to sell to survive. We started this policy when gold was $270 an ounce, and today it's $350. Our outlook for gold is that it's going to go higher from here for the next 6-8 years. If we sold the gold we currently hold in bank vaults, our return on capital would have been 32%.

N. Wynne--Has Goldcorp always had such a high return on capital?

McEwen--We went through a difficult period between 1996 to 2000 at the mine that is driving the company today. It was a high cost mine, and had been that way for quite awhile. The company was cash starved. There were problems with labor. I went in and said, "This mine is going out of business. Let's find new ways that people haven't thought of." We said that there was a way to turn the company around. Our work force said they didn't want to do it. We went through a 46-month labor strike.

N. Wynne--Ouch. That's a long, rocky period.

McEwen--Fortunately, no one was hurt. The only property damage was to Goldcorp property. It was the first and only time that I received a death threat in the mail. We had SWAT teams at our house a couple of times. All the windows on the ground floor were replaced with bullet -proof glass.

N. Wynne--The end result of that strike is quite noteworthy. The labor union folded, didn't it?

McEwen--It was the first time the United Steelworkers of America walked away from a mine.

N. Wynne--How did your team accomplish that?

McEwen--When we built the new mine, we wanted shared responsibility and to embrace new technology. The skill set required for this new mine was different. Many of the workers didn't possess those skills. We set up a training facility to train them. Initially, labor viewed us like a computer virus. The industry contract we proposed, if they had accepted it, would have corrupted their other contracts. The head of the union came to me directly and said that we weren't going to have a good relationship, even if we settled. We went from being the bad guy, to the executive of the union being the bad guy. The union went to the workers and said that it was a good fight, but they had lost. They said, "If you don't accept this deal, there won't be any more strike pay." We probably have 40% more labor force now than then, but at the time, we were in need of a smaller work force.

N. Wynne--How did you handle the layoffs?

McEwen--We gave them [the workers who were laid off] a generous severance package by industry standards. I also wanted to give them an opportunity to participate in the company's future. We gave stock options to all of the employees. One reason was selfish. I wanted them [former employees] to have an interest in the company. Maybe that peer pressure would stop one radical individual from doing something untoward to the operations. The options could fund a university education or a new pickup truck, or moving somewhere else if they don't want to be in the community. That worked out quite well.

N. Wynne--How does a cash poor company put in new technology, an employee training program, and offer stock options as an incentive to make the company succeed?

McEwen--We financed this process with equity at the bottom of the market--with an asset sale.

N. Wynne--How quickly did the changes take effect? Was there a long period of adjustment and/or negative cash flow before the new technology and labor force became productive?

McEwen--When I came into the company, we were producing 53,000 ounces at $360 cash per ounce cost of production. In our first full-year of commercial production, we produced ten times the amount, or 503,000 ounces. The direct cost of mining was $59 ounce, or 1/6th of what it had been in 96. There was a 60-fold change in the economics of the bottom line.

N. Wynne--That's an incredible pay-off, but it's hard to imagine that it made up for the death threats and forty-six months of labor strikes. You came over from the investment world, didn't you? Was it tempting to return to that relatively safe haven?

McEwen--I grew up in the investment industry, and stepped into mining in the beginning of the 1990s. The investment industry was in my blood. My father had me charting stocks at the age of ten. I made nine times return on my money in 18 months. From that time forward, I thought that was the way the market worked. In the investment world, if you wanted to get out of a problem, all you had to do was sell it. It's an abstract world, where you're dealing with abstract concepts. In mining, it worked on a totally different time frame. If you had a problem, it didn't take three days or three months. You might be lucky to get out of it in three years. I've been applying the urgency and discipline of the financial markets to this company. I also wanted to get into an industry where there was an opportunity to hit a homerun, clear out of the park. I'd known people who'd made discoveries. A discovery is transformational. And it worked.

N. Wynne--That's incredible. How did you find gold where no one thought it was going to be found?

McEwen--The discovery occurred at the bottom of the mine that is 50 years old. I had a brainstorming session with our geologists because I wanted them to accelerate the process. I said, "I want you to bring in all of the ideas that your superiors said were no good." We spent two days in a forum. There was cross-fertilization going on. I walked away thinking I'd like to get the larger community involved in this process.

N. Wynne--The larger community, outside of your company?

McEwen--I ended up in a course at MIT, with a business organization that I belong to, called the Young Presidents. So I went down there for a weeklong immersion in technology and applications at the Sloan Business School. They started talking about Linux and the development of open-source code. A light went on.

N. Wynne--Was this the dawning of the Goldcorp Challenge?

McEwen--We launched the Goldcorp Challenge. We took all of our geological data (50 years) and our data of reserves. We put them up on the Internet. We were appealing to a group of people, giving them access to proprietary data that no mine company had ever done before. It was a 400-mg file. Software allowed viewers to see the data in two and 3-D. The challenge was to find 6 million ounces of gold. For those insights, we offered prizes totaling half a million dollars. During the four-month registration period, we had 475,000 hits to the web-site. 1400 people in 51 countries downloaded this file. We had a panel of five international judges -- from the U.S., Australia, Canada (2 judges), and South Africa.

The judges looked at all of the submissions and picked the most innovative. We were not going to drill right away. We were looking for innovative thinking. We paid $10,000 to each of 25 semi-finalists, and said, "Come back with your submissions. Revise, upgrade, use any media."

N. Wynne--1400 people downloaded the file. 475,000 hits. Wasn't judging this a nightmare? Was the time investment worth it? Weren't you worried about "trade secrets" leaking into the hands of the competition?

McEwen--When I saw the first submissions coming in, it was a cornucopia. The diversity was remarkable. We saw people using intelligence systems, applied math, and computer graphics. It was wonderful. It is very interesting, when you share something that isn't supposed to be shared. Most of the industry thinks you're crazy. When you give it away, there are people who say, "This is just a game, isn't it?" Others say, "I don't understand." A year later, when we gave the prizes to the finalists and semi-finalists, everyone was saying, "That's a rather interesting idea." Recently, the largest mining company in the world copied us and called it the Goldcorp Principle. They're using this as a way of engaging the intellectuals in the industry.

N. Wynne--How did the competition lead you to find gold reserves that you would not have otherwise found?

McEwen--It was a great way of getting third party validation of our estimates of what was there. It was a tremendous talent hunt for innovative thinking. We hired up to ten people from the top twenty-five finalists (either full or part-time). It gave us terrific confidence because 75% of the semi-finalists had targets that matched the projections we had. We didn't provide them with our targets. This process generated 110 exploration targets in a mine that was supposed to have no future. 50% were brand new. 50% matched ours. It opened doors into the imaginations of the geologists. Our success ratio in drilling those targets is running 80%. The Challenge pushed us into the 21st Century in terms of exploration. The Goldcorp Challenge broke the mold for the industry.

N. Wynne--Let's talk about how you've applied your financial acumen to the impressive operating efficiency of Goldcorp and built Goldcorp into a $2.2 billion dollar company (current market capitalization).

McEwen--Goldcorp had a $50M market capitalization in 1993, when I started restructuring. I took five companies and compressed them into one. I concentrated the value in fewer and fewer companies, trying to make it easier for the investors to understand. In Canada, we have structures that are a little different, in terms of shares, called multiple-loading shares, where one share can carry up to ten votes. I controlled 40% of the vote of the company. In the last restructuring, we went to one vote per share. I went from 44% voting interest to 6 1/2% equity interest in the company. We were able to inject something into the market that everyone else had, but it was new to our company, in terms of corporate governance. That had a big bearing in our volume on the New York Stock Exchange. From 1995 to the end of 2000, our trading volume was 95% in Canada and 5% in NYC. At the end of last year we were trading 58% of our volume in NYC. On a net cash basis, we have more cash than the aggregate of the five largest gold producers in the world. We don't have any debt. We were the most profitable mining company in 2001. I think we'll be again this year. We don't hedge.

N. Wynne--Describe what hedging is for our readers, and why your company has an advantage for not doing it.

McEwen--It's a term that means I will sell my gold five years from now at today's price. It worked in the 90s, but it's backfiring today. Being hedged leaves you out of the upside price of gold. Hedging caps the price that you are going to get. Hedged companies are underwater. On top of that, we withheld gold (and bought gold). Right now we have 200,000 ounces of gold. We're the only company in the world withholding production.

N. Wynne--I found out about Goldcorp because you were one of the only equities in a short-selling fund. Are you most popular with the bears? Do money managers only bet on gold when the market tanks or during wartime?

McEwen-- I believe we're at the start of the third major market in gold to occur in the last 106 years. There are very long economic cycles that have occurred in gold. There's a chart that compares the Dow Jones Industrial Average by dividing it by the price of gold. It takes month-end value and plots it from 1896 to present. When the Dow is much higher than the price of gold, there is confidence in financial assets. When the number is higher for gold, people go to hard money--assets that are tested over time to preserve capital. There were peaks in 1929 (when it took 18 ounces to buy the Dow Jones Industrial Average). The next peak was in 1966. The last period was July of 1999, when it took 44 ounces of gold to buy the Dow.

N. Wynne--Those are all peak periods before major market adjustments. How low does the Dow Jones trade compared to gold in the troubled times following the peaks?

McEwen--The other side of the numbers can be very abrupt. By 1932, it took only two ounces to buy the Dow [down from 18 ounces in 1929]. From 1929-39, which was a deflationary period, it was a very good time to own gold. Homestake Mining was up six-fold. From 1966 to 1980, an inflationary period, the Dow fell from 28 ounces of gold to buy the Dow Jones Industrial Average, to just one ounce, in 1980, to buy the DOW. Homestake Mining [during that period] went up sixfold, while the DOW stood still. In July 1999, the Dow retrenched 50%. Unhedged gold stocks increased twofold, in some cases, much more. If you average those first two periods, you get a twelve-year period. We're a third through it right now. That's just a psychological factor in the market, where you move from confidence to no confidence. It's also a supply situation. Supply is being reduced considerably, and the interest is increasing. When you compare the global equity market capitalization to the gold industry, there is only 1% of the global market capitalization. If you have a small shift, half a percent, the market capitalization of that sector increases by 50%. The market is all about psychology. Expectations about good times, and the expectation about bad times.

N. Wynne--Benjamin Graham says, "In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine." Most experts agree that investor confidence is pretty low right now, but if Hussein is exiled, geopolitical tensions ease or if earnings pick up, investor confidence could return soon than six to eight years. Don't you think?

McEwen--In the early 1930s, the SEC was created to deal with corporate malfeasance. Consumer, corporate and government debt are all at record levels. In the late 1920s, 10% of the population had money in the market. Close to 60% of the population is in the market today, through retirement, pension, insurance, etc. When people start getting concerned, there's a bigger wave that goes through. I could be very wrong on this, but I think it's prudent for most investors to think about having fire insurance for their portfolio. In the last three years, if you looked at the top ten performing mutual funds, you'd find a predominance of gold funds.

N. Wynne--Did investors already miss the time to buy? Goldcorp's share price ($12.04 on 2.20.03) is trading near the 52-week high ($13.60), and Money Central says your P/E to growth ratio indicates the share price may be overvalued. In fact, all of the gold companies listed on Money Central are flagged as possibly being "overvalued," except Newmont Mining Company (the world's largest gold producer).

McEwen-- Everyone is saying, "Don't invest in gold. It's too volatile." It would be prudent to have 5-10% of your money in fireproofing your portfolio. If you'd bought into the DJIA index, beginning 2001 through the beginning of 2002, you'd be down 23%. If you'd put only 90% in instead, and put the other in Goldcorp, at the end of last year, your whole portfolio would have been up 10% rather than down 23%. In terms of trading high, the industry has had a strong move through December, in anticipation of higher gold prices. Gold prices ran, but the shares didn't run as fast. If gold were to drop to $100 ounce, which has a low probability of occurring, 90% or more of the industry would go out of business, and we'd still be making money because of our low cost of production. In terms of P/E, at the height of the tech bubble, Nasdaq was trading at 300 P/E. We're trading at less than 20 P/E. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now trading at 30.

The problem with gold is that there is a lost generation in the market. People think it's a nice ornament to wear. When you look at the performance and reflect on the statements, how come it has performed so well and everybody tells me you that you shouldn't be there? For gold investors, I'd say, you're not part of the herd, right now. You're a contrarian if you buy gold today.

N. Wynne--My personal philosophy is that running counter to the herd yields the highest rate of return, i.e. buy when everyone is selling and sell when everyone is buying. My portfolio has had incredible returns with that philosophy.

McEwen--I hate standing in line. If you want to go from Point A to Point B, and you're standing behind someone, you can only go as fast as the person in front of you. If you step out of line, you might lose sight of the goal a few times, but odds are, you'll get there much earlier than the person you stood behind.

N. Wynne--So is gold jewelry, status or money?

McEwen--Gold is money. It's accepted anywhere in the world. You can trade it anywhere at anytime of the day. It's extremely liquid. It's been around for a millennium or two. It doesn't have any debt attached to it either. There are 114 nations that own gold in their central banks. Our goal is to have more gold than the bank of Canada. 41 Countries have less gold than we do.

N. Wynne-- Is there growth potential at your company, outside of the argument that gold is good portfolio "fire-insurance?" If the bulls run late this year and investor confidence returns to the market, is Goldcorp positioned to perform well, or will the demand for gold (and the price of gold) wane?

McEwen--We'll be sinking a shaft (elevator) which will be going down to 700 feet below surface. It's an $85 million capital expenditure. Based upon $325/ounce gold price, we expect to get our money back in 1.2 years. The rate of return will be 47%. It will allow us to increase our production of gold from 500,000 ounces to 740,000 ounces, for a 40% increase. Our operating costs will be below $60 ounce.

N. Wynne--What is your projected growth rate for the next 3-5 years?

McEwen--The building of our expansion will take three years. We're fairly flat currently in terms of production. The revenue will only change with a change in the price of gold. We are an aggressive exploration company (consider this our Research & Development). We're looking at a number of situations where we can add reserves or to the life or size of our property. Right now, we're executing this plan of organic growth. We also invest in smaller companies that are exploring--our farm team. We're putting money into their treasuries to encourage them. If they find something, we can offer additional capital, expertise and encouragement.

N. Wynne--Won't expansion increase production costs per ounce?

McEwen--No, I wouldn't think so. We keep looking for ways to grab a technology from another industry and apply it to our business. The people who make the arm in the space shuttle want to diversify into medicine and mining. We're doing work with them and a number of others, looking to improve what we do. Mining is global, but all of our assets are in North America. We're comfortable with our risk profile. The rest of the world is unsettled right now. Mining is a business where you end up being committed for a long period of time, once you build a mine.

N. Wynne-- Is a $400 gold price coming? If the US is off the gold standard, how does that affect the potential high end of gold?

McEwen--The high for gold was reached in Jan of 1980--up to $850 ounce. Over the next 6-8 years, it's going to try and run to that and through it.

N. Wynne--Would an investor be better off just owning the gold itself or owning stock?

McEwen--You might try owning some gold. In 1929-39, gold went up 70%. [Compared to the 6X price performance of Homestake during that period.] 1966-1980, gold went up 20-fold. Which is better to own? You might want to split it between the two to cover your bases. You might think of buying a couple of gold stocks, just as a form of diversification. Prudent diversification is important to any portfolio.

N. Wynne--Does technology, namely the fiberoptic network, remain key to Goldcorp's low cost of production?

McEwen--Yes. We use it as a communication means. Voice, data and video. Throughout our mines, there are video cameras that allow us to go onto the web and see what's happening at various points. The more information you have, the better decisions you can make, on a more timely basis, with less capital employed. You might start working on different equipment to move materials around faster. From a safety standpoint, you can determine where everybody is in the case of emergency. You can look at the impact that the mine has on the immediate area. Most are built as closed systems, so as not to leak into the surrounding area. You want to pay attention to that. You want to catch it before it creates any damage.

N. Wynne--Which brings us to another consideration, what is Goldcorp's environmental and safety record like? Goldcorp's web-site boasts that Red Lake's Mine's secondary pond is "of such good quality" that suckers (fish) spawn in it? How do you keep the run-off so clean?

McEwen-- At Red Lake, our record is excellent. We tore down the old mine, and built a new one. In the process, we cleaned up everything that would have been an issue. The mine at South Dakota sits at the top of the hill. There have been fish kills in the stream. We use technology to stop that. There have been birds that land in our ponds. We cover the ponds with netting, but the birds get poisoned. That hasn't happened for quite awhile, but it does happen. We've offered to have a hatchery, but they say no. If you look at mining, on the impact on the land, you see a gaping hole in the ground. People in the mining industry would say that malls and parking lots consume more of our landscape than mines, and maybe do more damage, but it's hard to quantify it. If you want to be in the mining business today, if you disregard the laws for environmental protection, you should get out of the business. We try to exceed the requirements. There are times and events that push us the other way, but we've received awards from South Dakota and elsewhere for what we've done.

It's an industry at times playing catch-up. Originally, the mines were encouraged to be built by the government to create employment. The politicians said, "This a remote site. We want employment and tax dollars." We're now learning that there was much more to the story. A lot of companies predicated their financial models based on historical costs. The industry as a whole has done a good job of hiring environmental people today. If you want to be in the business, it's prudent to go beyond what it required.

N. Wynne--North America has some of the toughest environmental standards in the world, especially compared to some of the other countries where your competitors have mines. What policies and safeguards keep you ahead of the game?

McEwen--Our environmental committee is composed of independent directors who report quarterly. I think a lot of people have the image of irresponsible people with no regard for the environment. Our environment is precious. It needs to be preserved. It has to serve the next generation. What protects us? It's a philosophy.

N. Wynne--So what's next. 2002, with all of the success and awards, will be hard to top personally, won't it?

McEwen--You say to yourself, "Wow! This is something. Well, what do you do with it?" Last year, we had all these awards and that. But it was also a personal year. I lost my mother and one of my sisters to cancer. That created an enormous respect for mortality. I've been giving some away to hospitals and schools. There's a greater need out there, and life has been very generous to me recently. There is an area that intrigues me -- regenerative medicine. I gave a gift to create a center for regenerative medicine. I don't think our health care system has the capacity to handle the demographics that are going to hit it. The regenerative end could shorten time in hospitals, improve cure rates and reduce financial burdens.

N. Wynne--Sounds like your home run came with a number of hardships.

McEwen--Yes. If you want to do something large, you have to put yourself at risk. If you follow the path that everybody else is on, you can't expect anything more. It's probably true in most aspects of life.

N. Wynne--What personal traits most qualify you to lead Gold Corp? What is the overriding principle you convey to your managers and employees?

McEwen--I want them to be ever curious. In terms of working-- an open, honest forum. We're out to improve the industry we're in. In so doing, we can make a contribution to the community we work in. In terms of looking at problems, I want them to pick it up, turn it around, upside down. My favorite question is why. What we lose as adults is curiosity. Keep asking, "Why are we doing this? What's the purpose? Can we do it faster, cheaper, better, with a superior result?" I want everyone to ask why all the time, not because you want to be different. Just to see if you can do it a different way-- shorter, faster, cheaper. On an economical front, when you have an investment in the company, you think about it more often. It's not what drives you, but you tend to think about it. When companies allow employees to grow with the company and become financially independent, they feel that what they're doing is increasing their personal worth.

N. Wynne--Do you have a personal success strategy, favorite quote or stress release?

McEwen--I have something hanging on my door. One I saw long ago. It basically went, "A slave is someone waiting for someone else to free them." That's one. There's another. He's a Scandinavian, Piet Hein. "Living is a thing you do now or never. Which do you?"

N. Wynne--We choose life. Health. Joy. Prosperity. And perhaps, now, gold.

Full Disclosure: N. Wynne Pace doesn't own any shares any Goldcorp.


È Stock Report Card

REPORT CARD: ALL THAT GLITTERS IS GOLD! GOLD OUTPERFORMED the DJIA and NASDAQ in 2002. WILL IT LIGHT UP YOUR PORTFOLIO IN 2003?

Schaeffers Research.com says, "The outlook of gold remains bright. The recent pullback in many stocks could provide a perfect opportunity for investors to get in on the "ground floor" before the yellow metal makes its next run higher." Schaeffer also reminds investors that gold is a safe haven during war and troubled times. The Bugos Gold Index currently includes Newmont Mining, Anglogold, Goldcorp, Harmony Gold and Agnico Eagle, and Bugos maintains that now might be a good time to get into gold, while the gold stocks have backed off (slightly) and still lag behind the recent surge of gold bullion.

If you're betting on gold to anchor your portfolio, there are many gold companies to choose from, and many facts to consider. Some important differences between the gold companies include:

    • the cost to produce the gold (mining and processing)
    • political conditions of the country where the mine is located
    • executive team
    • price to earnings ratio (is the company making money?)
    • ounces of reserves and ounces produced (if the company is nearly tapped out on reserves, they're going to spend on exploration)

One company was operating on negative earnings as recently as last year. Others have heavy interests in South Africa, a country where labor is expected to become more socialized (and more of a concern to the bottom line). The largest companies posted the most moderate share price growth over the last three years (from negative -10% to a modest +29%), while the smaller caps are trampling all over the Dow and Nasdaq, with +90% to +300% rise in share value. The mega corporations have more reserves and more market capitalization than Goldcorp, but they don't beat Goldcorp's bottom line--cash operating costs of just $65/ounce to produce the gold. Click here to evaluate the sector for yourself!


È Tips for Navigating a Choppy Market

Tips for Navigating a Choppy Market: Not many companies, outside of Goldcorp, which posted 300% gains over the last three years, are breezing through this bear market, but some senior financial advisors have found ways to save their clients' portfolios. See below for some tips they're using to post gains and minimize losses.

1. Trading around the Core: As Royce (not her real name),
senior financial advisor says, the big rallies and dumps in the markets this year are prompted by geopolitical tension and worries of war. Her favorite companies are not changing, but their share price is experiencing vast swings. Royce keeps some money aside. On deep down days, she buys into her favorite companies at reduced prices. During rallies, she takes her 20-30% profit. Opportunities for "trading around the core" have presented themselves many times over the last few years.

2. Buy low, sell high. Another version of trading around the core. A women's investment club bought Microsoft at its 52-week low, and sold near its 52-week high. Capital gains of 19% on that trade helped their portfolio to outperform all of the indices last year, with a +20% performance as of 1.29.03. Are there typical periods where the market's behavior can be predicted? Money Central analyst, Jim Jubak reminds readers to watch for the Santa Claus market rally each December (the fourth quarter is traditionally one of the best of the year). Last year's market lows hit in July and October, with 10.09.02 being the bottom-out point, DJIA = 7286 and NASDAQ at 1,114.

3. Watch the insider selling. Camelback Research Alliance, out of Phoenix, Arizona, builds their list of stocks to "short, sell or avoid," based upon two criteria: heavy insider selling and "earnings-quality" issues. Recently, Camelback put a warning out on the following companies (source: Michael Brush, www.msn.com):

- Corinthian Colleges (COCO). 27 top managers sold 600,000 shares in the past three months.
- EBay (eBAY): CEO/CFO sold $10s of millions over the past two years. (Alternatively, eBay is one of Royce's favorite companies.)
- Hollywood Entertainment (HLYW). $37 million of insider sells.
- Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD) $100 million of insider selling amounts to 5% of the company's market capitalization--quite a lot.
- Netscreen Technologies (NSCN). 25 insiders, including the CEO and CFO, sold three million shares recently.

Insider selling activity for most companies can be viewed on-line at your favorite money site (Money Central, Morning Star, etc.).

4. Short Selling and Options. These are ways to protect your investments if you believe the market is heading south fast. Discuss these more sophisticated market plays with a professional. Be sure that you understand the risks, rewards and fees involved before you make your decision. Also ask what risks and rewards attend just waiting out the downturn. For a layperson's explanation of short selling and options, go to: http://investsmart.coe.uga.edu/C001759/guide/trading5.htm

5. Buy in at the Bottom. It's very difficult to know the exact bottom of a market. Peter Lynch, in a February 2003 interview with Money magazine, admitted that he's been buying in bundles during 2002. Money Central analyst Jim Jubak believes that "high levels of fear are building up fuel for any rally attempt." Royce, a senior analyst, is pooling reserve money to buy into her favorite companies in the wake of any attack. Consider that on October 9, 2002, the Dow hit its low of 7286, and the Nasdaq fell to 1,114. There are a lot of blue chip companies trading near five year lows, and a lot of bears predicting a lower share price trend in the coming few months.

6. Bonds: Take another look! Bonds have saved a lot of portfolios and earned up to 25% over the last three years. Analysts and professionals warn, however, that when interest rates rise, bonds will suffer (and investors could lose money). Douglas Durst, whose family has been at the front of three generations of New York City skyscraper development, predicts that if we go to war, interest rates will rise. Talk to your financial advisor now about the positioning of your bonds and equity holdings. Political pundits are pointing to March as a key month in the showdown with Iraq.

The NataliePace.com does not operate or act like a broker. Investors are encouraged to educate themselves about the market and their investments, and to work closely with financial professionals to maximize their returns.


È Girl's Guide to Hedge Funds:

Hedging used to be the playground of only the very wealthy, but funds of hedge funds bring the high risk/high reward opportunity to any investor with $25,000. You might be promised the Garden of Eden, but if you want Happy Days, it's best to know what "Ponzi" schemes are BEFORE you BUY in.

The Securities and Exchange Commission DOES NOT regulate hedge funds and not all funds of hedge funds are registered. There have been enough investor complaints (and scams), however, to prompt the commission to devote a number of on-line pages warning the individual investor of the potential pitfalls and important checkpoints of this risky investment.

WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW ABOUT HEDGE FUNDS:

  1. Hedge fund managers pool investors' money and invest in an effort to make a positive return (like mutual funds).
  2. Hedge funds, unlike mutual funds, are NOT registered with the SEC, and, thus, are NOT subject to all of the government's regulatory controls.
  3. Hedge fund managers are NOT required to register with the SEC, and are NOT subject to SEC oversight.
  4. Historically, hedge funds were available only to investors with $1,000,000. With the new funds of hedge funds, however, investors with only $25,000 are now being solicited.
  5. "Funds" of hedge funds pool money and invest in the high minimum hedge funds.

WHAT TO CONSIDER BEFORE YOU BUY IN:

  1. Understand the level of risk. As with any investment, higher return usually means higher risk.
  2. Understand how the assets are valued and if the sources valuing the assets are independent.
  3. Understand the fees! Hedge funds usually take 1-2% of assets AND a "performance" fee of 20% of the profits. Funds of hedge fund investors pay two layers of these fees--one for the fund they buy into and another in the underlying hedge fund. That's a lot of commission and can impact the profit ratio.
  4. Know the lock-up period. Hedge funds limit investor's opportunity to cash in--usually for at least a year.
  5. Research the hedge fund managers. Find out if they're qualified AND if they've ever been disciplined in the securities industry. (See below for two different agencies where you can check up on your manager and/or broker.)
  6. ASK QUESTIONS! You have the right to the answers of all these questions BEFORE you enter the hedge fund. Know where the money is going, how it is invested, when you get it back, what protections (if any) there are and who is managing the portfolio.

WHAT IS A PONZI SCHEME?

Ponzi Schemes are scams where early investors are paid off to make the scheme and the fund returns look legitimate. Some scam artists even send phony account statements to investors, to camouflage the fact that the money has been stolen, according to the SEC's web-site. The SEC has taken action against hedge funds that lied to investors about the experience of their managers and the fund's track record. MANY INVESTORS who have LOST MONEY to con artists or bad brokers could have avoided trouble by taking the time to check out the person asking for their money.

The NASD regulates the securities industry and NASDAQ. Check out brokers, hedge fund managers, etc. by calling 800.289.9999 or on-line at:

http://www.nasdr.com/2000.asp

The state securities regulators also maintain records on brokers and managers who have been disciplined. To contact the securities regulator in your state, go to the North American Securities Administration Association Inc. web-site at:

http://www.nasaa.org/nasaa/abtnasaa/find_regulator.html

If you want more information from the SEC on hedge funds, click on the:

http://www.sec.gov/answers/hedge.htm


È Four Reasons to Celebrate National Woman's Day on March 8.

    1. We get the bikini. Men get the Speedo.

    2. We can hide the fact that we are mentally undressing the person we are talking to.

    3. We know it looks silly to date or marry someone 20 years
    younger.

    4. Chocolate and hugs really can make you feel better.


È WIN Networking Night:

WIN Networking Night--Thursday, March 20, 2003 7-9 p.m. Santa Monica, CA

Date: Thursday, March 20, 2003

Time: 7-9 p.m.

Place: Rockenwagner's Wunder Bar. 2435 Main Street (between Ocean Park Blvd. And Pico Blvd.) 310.399.6504

Come to Rockenwagner's WunderBAR to meet, chat and network with other professional women over a glass of wine. Hans Rockenwagner is a world-class chef, and the WunderBAR offers snacks at reduced prices from the regular menu. Rub elbows with financial planners, brokers and other investors in a relaxed, friendly, visual feast of an environment. (Robert Berman Gallery supplies the artwork.) Arrive early (5:30-7:00) and get 1/2 priced appetizers and snacks from the WunderBAR menu.

WIN members. If you'd like help organizing a networking night in your neighborhood, please call us at 310.399.0497 or email us at info@NataliePace.com.


È Companies in the News:

Who has time to read the New York Times Business section and watch CNBC every day? We do! (That's our job!) Here are financial news highlights from the most respected sources in the world: NY Times, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Money Central and our favorite syndicated analyst Jim Jubak.

Top Ten Companies with Insider Selling Activity:

Insider buying and selling can sometimes be an indicator of how the executive team views the health and future of their companies. That is not always the case, however. Bill Gates has sold a lot of MSFT stock over the last few years, but he still owns a gazillion shares in the company and speaks very positively about Microsoft's products and growth. Ted Turner, on the other hand, has been very vocal with his displeasure about AOL Time Warner. No surprise that his insider selling puts AOL on the top ten list below.

Top 10 Insider Selling Activity (last 30 days)

(www.moneycentral.msn.com)

$ in millions

Company

Symbol

Comments

$229.55M

Microsoft

MSFT

Bill Gates sold $225 million.

$218.86M

Oil States Intl.

OIS

Sells pipes + to oil and gas drillers.

$103.5M

Erie Indemnity

ERIE

Insurance, property, casualty.

$76.29M

AOL Time Warner

AOL

Ted Turner cashed out $72M.

$71.87M

Cobalt Corp.

CBZ

HMOs. Mainly in Wisconsin.

$51.46M

Alberto Culver Co.

ACV

Alberto VO5, St. Ives Swiss Formula skin care, etc.

$48.77M

Advisory Board Co.

ABCO

Health care consultants.

$45.23M

EBay

EBAY

CEO Margaret Whitman $26M; consensus insider selling.

$38.44M

Metro Goldwyn Mayer

MGM

Film studio.

$38.07M

Barr Lab Inc.

BRL

Generic drugmaker.

 

Top 9 Insider Buying Activity (last 30 days):

Insider buying can be a very positive sign, but, again, the data should not be traded upon without a more detailed look into the company. As you can see below, one of the companies had some insider buying in the last 30 days, but that company had MORE insider SELLING in the same period and overall insider sales for the year were a whopping $400 million. Some of the companies are not profitable, and have negative earnings. Others, like Inland Resources, may have seen a flurry of buying in order to capitalize upon a privatization move. The current share price of a $1.00 will not offer any pay-off, if the company is bought for $1.00 per share, which is being reported on "Key Developments" at msn.com.

Top 9 Insider Buying Activity (last 30 days)

(www.moneycentral.msn.com)

$ in millions

Company

Symbol

Comments

$104.74M

Premcor. Inc.

PCO

Oil refiners (Texas, Ohio)

$148M

Equity One Inc.

EQY

REITS: FL & TX supermarket shopping centers + retail.

$100M

Inland Resources

INLN

Penny stock. Trading off the boards. May be going private.

RISKY. Check out key developments thoroughly.

$36M

Alberto Culver Co.

ACV

Hair & skin care products. NOTE: Insider selling year to date = $400 million!

$21.10M

Micro Therapeutics, Inc.

MTIX

Medical instruments used in vascular diseases & stroke. Negative income of $-15.70M.

$17.69M

Energizer Holdings, Inc.

ENR

The Energizer bunny! #2 behind Eveready, with 26% US market share.

$11.36M

Crown Castle Int'l Crop.

CCI

Broadcast, data, wireless infrastructure in US, UK, Australia & Puerto Rico. Negative earnings.

$10.27M

Proquest Co.

PQE

Information database.

INSIDER SELLING year to date = $74M.

$8M

Tweeter Home Entertainment

TWTR

TV, VCRs, camcorders, stereos, cell phones. Negative earnings!

 

American Greetings, the largest publicly held greeting card maker and distributor (Hallmark is privately held), keeps things all in the family in a corporate overhaul. Jeffrey Weiss was recently named as COO and president. Zev Weiss, Jeffrey's brother, will become CEO, while dad Morry Weiss remains chairman of the board. Former COO/president, James Spira, will retire, but remain on the board. (AP 2.19.03)

Boeing plans to eliminate 5,000 jobs this year as a result of declining aircraft deliveries. (NYT 2.19.03)

Coca-Cola has nominated Maria Elena Lagomasino, the chairperson and CEO of the J.P. Morgan Private Bank, to its board. Ms. Lagomasino, a native of Cuba, has built her career in private banking and serves on the board of Avon Products. If elected, Ms. Lagomasino will replace Paul F. Oreffice, former chairman and CEO of Dow Chemical, who is retiring. (NYT 2.21.03)

Comcast cable is LOSING LESS and gaining headlines for it, but don't be fooled into thinking that robust growth equals positive earnings. Comcast sales rose from $2.82 billion to $4.37 billion, largely due to the $47 billion acquisition of AT&T's cable business. This did allow Comcast to narrow their 4Q operating loss to -$51 million, from the -$321 million loss of one year earlier. Comcast and AOL Time Warner are restructuring the terms of their joint venture in Time Warner Entertainment, which may raise an additional $3.3 billion for Comcast. Analysts say that Comcast's strong management team has a chance against the threat of satellite television, where competitors like Adelphia (of the Rigas family infamy) folded under the pressure. Adelphia is currently in Chapter 11, trying to reorganize, to recoup some of the money loaned to the Rigas family and to renegotiate the huge compensation packages that were given to the restructuring executives, who were contracted to help Adelphia emerge from bankruptcy without liquidation. Adelphia shareholders, led by former board member, Leonard Tow, believe that $41 million in pay for two executives, William Schleyer and Ronald Cooper, is "grossly excessive." (NYT 2.28.03)

Earthlink is expected to announce a deal with Vonage, an Internet telephone company, to provide unlimited local and long distance telephone service to Earthlink users for just $39.99 a month. Online phone service could spell further trouble for the already weak telecom sector.

Enron has requested and received yet another extension (its third) to file its reorganization plan, which is now due on April 30, 2003. It is still unclear whether Enron will liquidate or survive, but the additional time allows for a more thorough review of bids on the company's more expensive assets. Meanwhile, shareholders lost a motion to file a suit against Enron, a move that might have given shareholders a shot at damages from Citigroup and JP Morgan, Enron's banks (before the collapse). $25 billion in shareholder losses was at stake, but Judge Arthur J. Gonzalez's opinion was that "the balance of harm currently weighs in favor of the debtor." Citigroup and JP Morgan each have $900 million set aside for fines or liability to shareholder suits. Reorganization plans typically give existing shareholders nothing. (NYT 2.28.03)

FAO Inc., a company trying to emerge from Chapter 11, has signed a letter of intent with Saks to sell toys. Toys R Us has a similar partnership with Royal Ahold supermarkets. K-B Toys sells toys at Sears and recently announced an exclusive deal with CVS drugstores. (NYT 2.25.03)

Hewlett-Packard reported quarterly profits that slightly beat analysts' expectations, but fell "well below" revenue expectations, according to Steve Lohr of the NYT (2.26.03). Cost savings of the Compaq acquisition are kicking in, and, according to CEO Carleton S. Fiorina, HPQ is gaining market share in printing, PCs, servers and tech services. Most of the revenue shortfall, however, came as a result of direct competition from Dell and others in the computer business and because of the continued slump in the American IT market. Replacement ink cartridges for HP printers drove 75% of HPQ's profit, on revenue of $5.61 billion.

Intel-based servers, that are made by Dell, I.B.M. and Hewlett-Packard, offer as much as 50% price-performance savings over Sun Microsystems, Inc. servers, according to a Sanford Bernstein research analyst, Toni Sacconaghi. However, Sun Microsystems announced recently that the Archipelago stock exchange will replace 500 Intel-based servers with 20 from Sun. Archipelago's CFO, Steve Rubinow, is quoted as saying the move will save his company "hundreds of thousands of dollars," partly in staff costs. (Bloomberg 2.25.03)

Intel, the world's biggest computer-chip maker, will spend $2 billion to overhaul a chip factory in Chandler, Arizona. The new wafers will be 300-millimeter, instead of 200-millimeter, and are expected to result in lower manufacturing costs. Remodeling begins in early 2004, and production is expected to resume in late 2005. (NYT 2.19.03)

Lucent skated by another investment downgrade by Standard & Poor's thanks to "improved management." Hats off to CEO, Patricia F. Russo, for stemming losses, slowing the sales decline and keeping enough cash on-hand to meet operating needs. Lucent is currently carrying $7.2 billion in debt, with a B- rating (junk status), six levels below investment grade.

Sirius and XM Satellite Radio ads are designed to get enough subscribers to become profitable, but the first satellite radio revenue may come from the open road. Hertz offers Sirius SR for $5.00/day, while Avis offers XMSR for a slightly higher premium. If you take Hertz' $8.00/day car upgrade, they throw in satellite radio at no additional charge, making the deal even more attractive to road trip aficionados, who want more out of those long, empty highways than white noise! A Phoenix, Arizona Hertz employee reported that the option is popular in that state. Be sure to check out satellite radio the next time you rent, and let WIN members know what you think of the service!

Taubman Centers (owners of the Beverly Center in Los Angeles, California and other shopping malls around the nation) is still hotly pursued by the Simon Property Group and Westfield America, who have offered to buy Taubman for $20/share, or $1.74 billion. The Simon Group has launched a public relations campaign that puts the issue regularly in the NY Times business section, but the group is also aggressively challenging the Taubman's voting rights in court. A hearing is scheduled for March 21, 2003 over the Taubman Board's right to reject an offer that has not been voted upon by its shareholders.

Titan, San Diego, a company that makes network security systems, and IT military communications equipment had a steep decline in share price, -36%, after Eric M. DeMarco, Titan's president and COO, announced he was leaving the company "by mutual agreement" to pursue other interests. The TTN share price is down -55% from this time last year, to $7.95. 52-week high: $23.45. 52-week low: $7.20. Titan had negative income of $22.59 million, on $1.39 billion in sales for the year, and has recently been making a number of Internet related acquisitions. (NYT 2.21.03 Money Central)

BE SURE TO TUNE IN NEXT MONTH, WHEN WE DISCUSS THE ONLY ECONOMY IN THE WORLD THAT GREW 9% last year.


 

VISION: To build a global community of female investors through seminars, a world-wide web-site and, ultimately, television.
GOAL: Working change: To promote successful investing and ethics in business.
MISSION: To build a global women's investment community by providing easy access to important financial news, by promoting a dialogue between members and industry professionals and by promoting ethical business practices, products and services.
PHILOSOPHY: The W.I.N. philosophy centers around five principles: Ongoing Education, Monthly Commitment, Diversified Portfolio, Ethical Business Practices, Pooled Resources.
For more information on W.I.N. contact us at info.win@verizon.net

NOTICE: The Women's Investment Network is NOT a stock brokerage service, and does not operate or act as one.