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ACCESS A PRINTABLE COPY OF THIS NEWSLETTER CLICK HERE.

Vol.4 Issue 12 December 1st, 2007
Send comments and suggestions or get more information
at info@NataliePace.com
Quote of the Month:
"American
Superconductor’s backlog of orders exceeds $180 million, with
growth primarily driven by the wind energy market. AMSC expects
the Asia-Pacific marketplace to account for up to 50% of sales
in fiscal year 2007."
Natalie Pace
From the article, "Clean Energy Rolls Out Worldwide".
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Clean Energy Rolls Out Worldwide.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
a Clean
Energy Stock Report Card.
Remember when
cell phones were the size of toasters and solar panels were about
as easy to lift as King Kong? Few imagined fifteen years ago that
businessmen would have cell phones holstered in their belts or that
volunteers could roof a home with solar panels in less than a day,
but Solar for Weaklings has indeed arrived, and quite honestly,
friends, this is the breakthrough I’ve been hoping for. For years,
I’ve had difficulty hunting down even a solar brochure at Home Depot,
and next year I should be able to roof my own home with solar panels
that are available at every home improvement store across the land!
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| Photos:Joe
Polimeni/Energy Conversion Devices. |
On July 22,
governors of several states participated in building a Habitat for
Humanity home powered by the UNI-SOLAR® lightweight, flexible
thin-film solar panels. United Solar Ovonic, a wholly owned subsidiary
of Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: ENER) unveiled this
new residential solar product for the Habitat for Humanity home
this summer, showcased the product again at the Emmy® Awards
on September 17th, and will have the product available to the public
by the end of 2007, according to the company. (The sun canopy that
was installed at the Emmys® will be transferred to the CHIME
Charter Middle School, located in Chatsworth, California.)
Solar is a popular
choice among the Fortune 500 companies, many of which are committed
to becoming green, because photovoltaic converts sunlight directly
into electrical power, operates silently and unattended, has no
moving parts, emits zero emission, requires no storage of hazardous
fuels, lasts a long time, is low maintenance and doesn’t multiply
into additional operating costs. UNI-SOLAR’s worldwide customer
base includes General Motors, which has installed the solar panels
on two of its California facilities.
Two years ago,
Energy Conversion Devices was a favorite on Wall Street for powering
hybrid cars, but today the company's solar business represents 89
percent of total revenues, at $41.9 million in the most recent quarter.
The substantial increase in demand for UNI-SOLAR(R) laminates came
from growing domestic orders, as well as strong international demand
from customers in Italy, France and Germany.
Revenues in
the first quarter of fiscal 2008 were $47.0 million, up 31 percent
from prior-quarter revenues of $36.0 million and up 73 percent from
$27.2 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2007. ECD reported
a net loss for the period of $7.6 million, or $0.19 per share, compared
to a net loss of $2.3 million, or $0.06 per share, in the year-ago
period, but still has $156 million in cash and short-term investments.
About a third of the quarterly loss -- or $2.5 million – was due
to reshuffling in the executive suite.
Robert C. Stempel
retired as ECD's Chief Executive Officer on August 31, 2007 and
will step down as Chairman of the Board and a director of ECD, effective
at the company's Annual Meeting of Stockholders scheduled for December
11, 2007. Mr. Stempel, 74, has been Chairman of the Board since
December 1995. Energy Conversion Devices plans on electing a non-executive
Chairman of the Board – a very positive sign that the company and
the new CEO are committed to doing what is in the best interest
of the stakeholders now and going forward.
Mark Morelli
-- ECD's new president and CEO and a former senior executive at
United Technologies with a MIT MBA -- claims that he will be hyperfocused
on sales, execution and profitability. According to Mr. Morelli,
"Our laminates continue to gain momentum in the marketplace
as demonstrated by our growing pipeline of business. For example,
our supply agreements and commitments for the second quarter of
fiscal 2008 exceed our available capacity."
I first looked
at Energy Conversion Devices two years ago, during the SunPower
IPO, but thought the price was unattractive at $32.43, (which was
the share price on November 25, 2005.) Energy Conversion Devices
is an example of how keeping a company on your shopping list can
pay-off for the patient buyer! At $25.83, which is near the 3-year
low, and with a new residential solar product available on the marketplace,
I’m practically leaping out of my skin with delight, as I add Energy
Conversion Devices to the Hot News list. I’d love to wake up on
the morning of December 25th to see Energy Conversion Devices stock
in my Christmas stocking as well!
3-year
Chart of ENER Share Price:

source: MoneyCentral.msn.com
Now, as I was
searching for other clean energy companies to include in the Clean
Energy Stock Report Card alongside Energy Conversion Devices,
I came across Zoltec and American Superconductor, which are top
holdings of the Power Shares Wilderhill clean energy portfolio (PBW).
(I’ve indicated before how well this ETF is managed.) Both of these
companies are experiencing a spike in sales, and share price, based
upon an exploding market of wind power, and even though Energy Conversion
Devices is the star of this article, both of these companies certainly
shine as well.
In May 2007,
Zoltec, which makes carbon fibers used in various industries, including
wind turbines, entered into a new contract with Vestas Wind Systems
valued at approximately $300 million over the next five years. In
August 2007, a new contract with Gamesa Group (another wind power
company based out of Spain) came in at $142 million over a five-year
term. In June 2007, DeWind Incorporated contracted for $30 million
of carbon fibers over a three-year period. Based upon these contracts,
and expanding their manufacturing facilities from two lines in 2004
to 18 lines currently to 26 lines by 2009, Zoltec projects to achieve
a sales milestone of $500 million annually by fiscal 2010. There
are a lot of if’s in that sentence but pre-orders are strong enough
going forward to support that goal, and past expansion plans have
run smoothly enough to justify a little faith in Zsolt Rumy, the
founder, Chairman and CEO of Zoltec.
For fiscal 2007,
Zoltek reported net sales of $150.9 million, compared to $92.4 million
for fiscal 2006, an increase of 63%. The net loss for the year was
$2.5 million. Zoltec’s share price jumped on the strong earnings
news on November 28, 2007. Though we wish we’d had Zoltec on our
radar at the 52-week low, the upside over the next few years could
still be strong enough to justify buying at the higher price of
$42.62 today.
American Superconductor,
which is also a wind energy supplier and consultant, has a backlog
of orders that exceeds $180 million. Clients include: the Department
of Energy, Sinovel Wind in China (wind power), AAER Inc. of Canada
(wind turbine design), Southern California Edison, TECO-Westinghouse,
Zhuzhou Electric in China (their 2nd Chinese customer)
and more.
All of this
is great for the long-term future at American Superconductor, but
the company anticipates a few hiccups along the way. "We are revising
our net loss guidance for fiscal 2007 to include the restructuring
charge related to our Massachusetts facilities consolidation. We
also are anticipating increased operating expenses to support our
rapid growth, higher stock compensation expense as a result of higher
than anticipated stock prices, and unabsorbed overhead in our AMSC
Superconductors business unit as a result of delays in certain projects,"
according to David Henry, senior vice president and chief financial
officer (source: November 1, 2007 press release). According to Mr.
Henry, the net loss for the full fiscal year will be in the range
of $27.0 million to $31.0 million, or $0.70 to $0.81 per share,
as opposed to the previous guidance of $21.0 million to $24.0 million,
or $0.54 to $0.62 per share.
The company
is working toward positive EBITDAS in the fourth quarter of fiscal
2007, and EBITDAS positive for the full year in fiscal 2008. The
cash and short-term investments on hand is at $118 million, so even
though American Superconductor is still losing money, it is not
in danger of going out of business before it expands to fulfill
its orders. Still there are enough investors who read earnings headlines
to warrant an alert before the full year fiscal 2007 report is released,
which should be around June 2008. (This year’s annual report, or
10-K, was filed on June 14, 2007.)
The growth at
both AMSC and Voltek is being driven primarily by the wind energy
market, while Energy Conversion Devices is tapped into solar. AMSC
recently established offices with 25 employees in China, and expects
the Asia-Pacific marketplace to account for up to 50% of sales in
fiscal year 2007.
Energy Conversion
Devices, American Superconductor and Zoltec were added to the Hot
News on Cool Stocks List on December 1, 2007. Click to go to the
Clean
Energy Stock Report Card.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We are adding
a splash of green to Wall Street by publishing the news, information
and education you need to succeed in investing, business and life
The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not
intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research
and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before
buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals
and strategies.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
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Stocks, Not Diamonds, Are a Girl's Best Friend,
and
Guys Want Massages and Pampering More Than Skype Phones or even
Gisele Bundchen! Great Holiday Gift Ideas from our Subscribers.
Each
year, we post a best gift survey, and each year we are surprised
at the results. Did you know that women would rather have stock
than diamonds, with an Apple iPhone showing up 2nd on
the Christmas/Kwanza/Hanukkah Wish List? Guys really, really, really
just want to be pampered and get a great massage – in front of their
brand new flat screen television!
So, if you’re
stumped on what to get the fabulous, delightful loves of your life,
please check out the items below for some ideas. You can also click
over to our Shopping
Mall for some interesting websites and items you might
not have thought of.
Best
Holiday Gift for Women?
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Answer
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Vote Count
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Stock
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22 %
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Apple iPhone
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13 %
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Cash
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13 %
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Massage, facial or spa gift certificate
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13 %
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Flat Screen TV
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9 %
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iPod
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4 %
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PRODUCT RED
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4 %
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Couples Get away vacation
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4 %
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Gym membership
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4 %
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Denzel Washington
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4 %
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Diamonds
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4 %
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Best
Holiday Gift for Guys?
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Answer
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Vote
Count
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Flat screen
tv
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22 %
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Massage
and pampering
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22 %
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Lowe's
or Home Depot gift certificate
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16 %
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Subscription
to Maxim, Playboy, etc.
|
11 %
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Art
|
5 %
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Gisele
Bundchen
|
5 %
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iPhone
|
5 %
|
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Skype
phone
|
5 %
|
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Tie
|
5 %
|
So, guys, give
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Now, in the
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Party
Crashers:
by Natalie
Pace.
Former British
Prime Minister Tony Blair, Nobel Laureate winner Muhammad Yunus,
best-selling authors David Bach and Eckhart Tolle, and a few local
guys crash the California
Governor and First Lady’s Women’s Conference in Long Beach,
California, on October 23, 2007. Click to view an audio/visual webcast
of the conference on the CaliforniaWomen.org
website.
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Former
British Prime Minister Tony Blair.
Photo Credit: © CaliforniaWomen.org |
Former British
Prime Minister Tony Blair, authors David Bach and Eckhart Tolle
and Nobel Laureate winning banker Muhammad Yunus were invited to
be guest speakers at the California Conference for Women on October
23, 2007, which explains their presence among 14,000 women, but
when I had to squeeze by an unescorted man to get to my seat, I
knew that the party had now grown cool enough to crash. The question
is why? What was this lone man seeking here, surrounded by more
estrogen than most men can stand in a lifetime, much less a day?
A date? A wife?
"Being
in the public sector, I’ve worked for women bosses most of my career,"
he said. "I’m comfortable around women, and this is the best
opportunity I know of to see these important speakers up close and
personal." John (not his name) had come for the enlightenment,
just like the rest of us, in particular to hear Eckhart Tolle, Her
Majesty Queen Rania, California First Lady Maria Shriver and Tony
Blair.
I’ve been covering
the California Governor’s Conference for years now, and the evolution
of the event can truly be divided into AM and PM – After Maria and
Pre Maria Shriver. In the PM, it was a platform for the governor
to blather on about all of the important things he felt he’d done
for California (in an obvious bid for next term’s vote). After Maria
Shriver – AM -- it was the dawn of a new day for the entire planet.
The conference today has become one of the most important gatherings
in the world – a platform for leaders worldwide to speak on issues
that promote greater peace and prosperity for all of humanity.
This year, Her
Majesty Queen Rania Al-Abdullah of Jordan inspired the attendees
to have an open mind about foreign people and foreign customs. "The
voice of the heart needs no translation," she said. "Each
of us in our own small realm can greet the world with open arms."
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Her Majesty
Queen Rania Al-Abdullah of Jordan.
Photo Credit:
© CaliforniaWomen.org
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In 2006, the
Dalai Lama led the audience in a 3-minute meditation, centered on
the role of women as peacemakers and comforters who are capable
of creating more "warm heartedness" in the world. In 2005,
Queen Noor bravely told the crowd that if the world addressed the
core challenges of land disputes in the Lebanon/Israeli region,
it would "drain the swamps of the extremes on all sides and
give us an opportunity for the future." And at Maria’s first
conference as First Lady, in 2004, her friend Oprah supercharged
the keynote, pacing the stage like a preacher filled with the spirit,
saying, "Things are not just happening willy-nilly in your
life… The universe is speaking to you right now. There is a calling
for you. I go to work. It doesn’t feel like work. It feels like
breathing. That’s when you know you’re home."
With these powerful,
inspiring and candid keynote speakers, it is easy to see why women
(and a few party-crashing men) come in full of excitement, and leave
inspired to make their lives and their neighborhoods a better place.
They enter hoping to learn, and exit full of wisdom. They open their
hearts and minds to experiences and perspectives they’ve never seen
before, and hear heroic stories from women improving lives in far-flung
neighborhoods, from Watts, to Iraq and even outer space. From queens,
to Nobel Laureates, to astronauts and rock stars, it appears that
everyone follows Maria to Long Beach every fall, and if you haven’t
made sure that your corporation sponsors the event so that you can
grab one of these hard-to-come-by tickets, now’s the time to begin
lobbying. This year, the event sold out in just 72 hours.
The overall
theme in 2007 was green, and for the 4th year in a row, it sported
a Zero Waste lunch. What is a recyclable lunch? Well, included in
every completely recyclable box, the women were provided just one
plastic (and recyclable) utensil – a fork – with which to eat their
chicken salad, meaning that the chicken tenders were stabbed and
gnawed like a campfire meal, rather than cut and eaten in a civilized
manner. While this did incite some eye-rolling from the more mannered
among us, everyone in the audience stood and clapped wildly, giving
Tony Blair a standing ovation when he said, "If we don’t act
and this evidence [about climate change] turns out to be true, then
we are betraying the future generations that we should be looking
after. We do not have the right to do that."
Now, Maria does
take the stage and speak every year, but it sounds more like the
personal diary of the chief explorer of the complicated landscape
we call modern woman, rather than a bully pulpit. "Money, success,
fame -- that brings you a lot," Maria said. "But it’s
wonderful and important to know that none of those things soothe
a restless heart. They don’t fill an empty hole. They don’t satisfy
a deep hunger that’s inside of every single person."
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First Lady
Maria Shriver adds her personal touch to the conference.
Photo Credit: © CaliforniaWomen.org |
How does Maria
know? These were the pearls of insight she discovered when she peered
into the recesses of her soul and refused to rejoin the media frenzy
that was feeding off of the death of Anna Nicole Smith. Remember
Maria the famous news personality? Maria missed that part of herself,
but the job that lay at her feet in 2007 was not the one she left
behind when she began campaigning for her husband to become governor
back in 2003, and so, without a real destination, she walked away
from a path and past that no longer served her.
While 2007 was
a challenge for Maria, the career woman, it was an extra special
year, for Maria, the daughter. At the 2007 Women’s Conference, Maria
honored her mother, Eunice Shriver, with an inaugural lifetime
achievement Minerva Award.
Maria conceived
of the Minerva Awards in her first year as California’s First Lady
"to honor dreamers who turn their dreams into reality,"
and her mother, Eunice, does indeed embody the qualities of the
Goddess Minerva, who graces the California state seal – courage,
strength and wisdom.
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Eunice
Shriver Receives Lifetime Achievement Minerva Award.
Photo Credit: © CaliforniaWomen.org |
As the founder
of the Special Olympics, Eunice is an "architect of change,"
with a remarkable life and legacy of her own, outside of her role
as sister to President John F. Kennedy and Senator Robert Kennedy
Jr. Eunice is so frequently photographed as she beams while standing
next to a victorious Special Olympics athlete, that few of us stop
to consider what it must have felt like to lose two brothers by
assassination and to have an older sister who was mentally disabled?
What kind of person "bucks up" in the face of those challenges,
works with her husband, Sargent Shriver, to expand the legacy of
the Peace Corps (which was founded by Sargent Shriver), while raising
four boys and a young woman to carry on a family tradition of philanthropy
and service?
As she accepted
the award, Eunice was surrounded by four of her five children, --
Timothy, Anthony, Bobby and Maria -- and an extended legacy of family
organizations and achievements, including (PRODUCT) RED, Debt, AIDS,
Trade in Africa (or DATA), Best Buddies and her daughter, the First
Lady. It is clear that all of the Shriver siblings share an optimism
that they can make the world a better place, and a regard for service
that was bred at the table and in the home of Eunice and Sargent
Shriver. In true form, Eunice Shriver, ever the feisty Chief Inspiration
Officer, had three bits of advice for the audience members.
1.
Find Your Family.
2.
Find Your Mission.
3.
Follow Maria.
What does following
Maria look like? Maria says, "Take the time to unwrap yourselves.
Beneath all of that stuff -- the make up, the clothes, the outfits,
the resume, the responsibility -- is an extraordinary human being."
She encourages women to find time for themselves, to discover your
own personal journey because "you are entitled to your own
dreams, your own goals and your own legacy."
Follow Maria.
If you don’t, next year, you’ll be missing one helluva party, and
one of the most important moments of confluence with world leaders
that our planet has ever known. And if soul food is less appetizing
to you than girl gossip, the challenge of eating chicken strips
like a popsicle and the hundreds of convention stands, which are
conveniently open for pre-holiday shopping, know that there is truly
something at the California Women’s Conference for everyone – even
men.
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Pricing To Make Your
Business Profitable.
by Chellie
Campbell, author of Zero
to Zillionaire.
If you’re working
in a home-based business or plan to, you need to become proficient
at counting your money. Keep it simple—list all your income from
your business each month at the top of a piece of paper. This is
your "gross." Then list all the expenses related to your
business. When you subtract the money you spent from the money you
made, you have your profit or "net". (My friend and accountant,
Barbara Barschak, has an easy method for remembering the difference
between "gross" and "net": "Net" is
a smaller word.) You can do a simple spreadsheet or you can use
an accounting software package.
Here is the
reason you do all this counting: Look at your "net" and
see if that’s the amount of money you want to be making every month.
If the figure is too low, you need to raise your prices, make more
sales, or make bigger sales to bigger customers. Or perhaps your
income is fine, but you’re spending too much money on new computer
programs, advertising, taking clients to lunch, or promotional giveaways.
Debtors Anonymous has a special section called Business Owners Debtors
Anonymous because business owners can make a case to justify endless
expenses because they’re "good for business" or "tax
deductible." And that can trap them in an endless cycle of
overspending.
Entrepreneurs
love to get new clients for their businesses. They work hard developing
their skills and marketing them and then the payoff comes when someone
says, yes, they want to hire them. But you have to make sure you’re
charging enough to meet your income goals. If you are an entrepreneur
or hope to be one, here are some guidelines to ensure that you take
everything into consideration when pricing your services:
1. Calculate
your "profit price." Create a monthly operating
budget for your business that factors in all your costs including
overhead, sub-contractors, taxes, salaries, marketing expenses and
every variable you can think of. Factor in irregular expenses that
occur annually or quarterly such as insurance expenses, annual tax
preparation fees or Christmas gifts. Don’t forget repairs and maintenance
and an allowance for refunds or bad debts. Total all these expenses
and then add an additional 5% for contingencies (because you will
have forgotten something!) and an additional percentage for your
profit. Now add in your income goal which would be equal to the
salary you would be paid if you were employed by someone else plus
fringe benefits including a retirement plan. Divide this total by
the number of hours you want to (or are willing to) work each month
and that will tell you the hourly rate you must charge for your
service.

You might question
whether or not this hourly rate is competitive for your type of
business. The rule of thumb is to be priced in the "high middle"
range of your competition. If your income goal calculation puts
your hourly fee too high, then you must trim expenses, work more
hours, reduce your income expectation, choose another line of work
with a higher profit potential, or get very creative.
2. Not
all work hours are billable hours. When calculating your
"profit price", don’t forget that you will work a number
of hours "on" your business but not "in" your
business. That means that not all of your time is billable to a
customer—there is administrative time writing letters, doing budgeting,
billing or accounting and marketing time making phone calls, going
on appointments, attending networking meetings, etc. Entrepreneurs
are often overly optimistic about the number of hours each week
they can work on client business and perform all these other tasks
and therefore overestimate their income potential. Or they find
themselves working too many hours each week and then burning out.
Make sure to take this into account when figuring your "profit
price". Raise your price rather than increase the number of
hours you’re willing to work or find someone to delegate to.
3. Marry
your "profit price." That is, be faithful to your
income goal and avoid the temptation to lower your fees to your
absolute bottom line in order to get business. Yes, you work hard
marketing in order to find someone who wants to hire you and you
are anxious to make the deal. But everyone knows cheapest price
doesn’t equal best quality. You will find that the clients who are
shopping for the lowest fees are the most difficult and demanding
to work for and you will spend more time than you will be paid for
on their work. Stand firm on your "profit price" and you
may have fewer clients initially but they will be higher quality
clients—Dolphins—easy to work for and happy to pay you. And it often
happens that the higher your fee, the more respect you get.
Sometimes you
can eliminate yourself from consideration by a client because your
rate is priced too far under market. The prospective client might
then assume that you are either new at this, not good enough, or
in financial trouble. A friend of mine started a home-based business
doing computer consulting. When she called a friend to solicit business
and told him her price was $50 per hour, he told her that he could
not recommend her unless she charged at least $90 per hour. She
understood then that he could only refer his customers to a top-notch
professional and that such a professional would charge this kind
of fee.
The time and
care which you invest in pricing your services will pay off handsomely
as you start to meet and then exceed your income goals. You are
successful and you deserve it!
Chellie Campbell
is the author of Zero to Zillionaire and The Wealthy Spirit.
She created and teaches the Financial Stress Reduction® Workshops,
on which her book is based, in the Los Angeles area and gives programs
throughout the country.
If you are stuck
in a rut in your business or life and/or having too much "month
at the end of your money," Chellie’s workshop might be just what
you need to get things on the right track. You can sign up for Chellie's
Ezine and workshop at www.chellie.com.
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10 Investing Habits
of Rich People.
by Natalie
Pace.
Embody
the habits of the rich to enrich your own wallet!
- Tax-free:
Contributing and trading within a tax-qualified brokerage account
means that you could be earning up to 30% additional in returns
(which you don’t give to the IRS for capital gains taxes). Compound
that year in and year out and it could be worth millions.
- Play it
Safe: Always keep a percent equal to your age safe, i.e. out
of the stock market. Certificates of Deposits, savings accounts,
money markets, and bonds are less risky than stocks. (Bond funds
should be counted as stocks, not bonds.)
- Stocks
on Steroids: Take a small percentage of your stock
portfolio for trading. (Don’t trade the whole nest egg.) Subscribe
to a great stock newsletter, which is tracked by an independent
agency, to achieve superior returns.
- Great
Partners: Interview your financial partner (broker) as if
your life depends upon it. Your lifestyle does!
- Tithe:
The first check you write each month should be to your financial
freedom fund. 10% for investing, so that your money can make gains
while you sleep! With this habit alone, you could be a millionaire
in 31 years, even if you only made $14/hour.
- Don’t
be the Bank of Mom and Dad: You’re not qualified to, nor would
you want to, establish the underwriting guidelines for loaning
out money to relatives. If someone needs money, consider any gift
you give to be a gift or charity. If someone wants you to go into
business with him or her, consider whether or not you want to
provide that widget or service to the world. In most cases, you’ll
be better off considering your help to be charity or an investment,
and not a loan.
- Avoid
Fair-Weather Friends: Whether it is a new broker, a new person
you met by email or just new interest from someone who never cared
much about you, if the new relationship is all about the money,
make sure you are doing business with a monk! Do your due diligence
and don’t be seduced by promises of guaranteed riches, guaranteed
love or a fabulous lifestyle.
- Switch-Hit:
Do as much of your day trading as possible in a tax-qualified
retirement plan, such as an IRA or even possibly a college fund
or health savings account. That could help you are reduce the
taxes you pay on capital gains.
- Getty/Guggenheim
Your Fab Self: Find out every tax-qualified account that exists
and stock up your holdings in as many protected accounts as possible,
including IRAs, 401 (k)s, health savings accounts, college funds
and foundations!
- Live the
Rich Life: Wealth is not just money. Wealth is enjoying a
happy, fulfilling rich life with people you care about, and investing
in products and services that make the world a better place. Health
is wealth, so get happy & exercise! Breathing is health, so
invest in green!

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The Top Eleven Investing
Mistakes.
by Natalie
Pace.
Investing mistakes
are easy to fall into because it’s what everyone else is doing and
it feels like a time-saver. In fact, these common mistakes are not
time savers at all. They are money losers, stomach acid burners
and often even relationship deal breakers!
You’ll find
some people make a career of "contrarian investing," where they
simply try to do the opposite of what everyone else is doing, thinking
"Aha! If these are the common investing mistakes, I’ll just do the
opposite!" This is not a strategy that pays off either. There is
simply no substitute for the 3-ingredient investment recipe that
I’ve given you!
3-ingredient
recipe for cooking up profits
1. Start with
what you know and love
2. Pick the leader in the sector (in real estate, it’s location,
location location!)
3. Buy low; sell high
So, stick to
the recipe. Use the Stock Report Cards to help you Pick the Leader
and determine whether you are buying low or not. And avoid the common
mistakes that newbie investors make, which are more often than not,
money losers.
You might "know
better" than to fall into the pits of these common investing
mistakes, and still find yourself tempted to cut corners, just to
fit in or to save time. I encourage you to use this list as a checklist
and reminder of why you are taking the time and energy to really
get to know (and love) your freedom plan and the companies and products
that you are investing in. And I’m including the rationale behind
each mistake so that you’ve got an argument, in case you need one,
with an overzealous friend, loved one or financial partner.
The
Top Eleven Investing Mistakes
Mistake
# 1. Trading on Analyst Recommendations
If
you thought Jack Grubman and Henry Blodget (the former analysts
who got in trouble for recommending stocks in exchange for favors)
were just flukes, guess again. Following analyst recommendations
is a losing proposition. Researchers at the University of California
and Stanford found that, in the year 2000, the stocks most highly
rated by analysts lost 31 percent for the year. Even more
incredible is this finding from the study: The stocks least
favored by the major analysts soared 49 percent. This study examined
40,000 stock recommendations from 213 brokerages. Analysts are not
all crooks, but they are definitely not fortune-tellers.
Now, in all
fairness, this is mostly just a case of supply and demand. The demand
shrinks when the company falls out of favor with analysts, and soars
when analysts become enamored. The trick is identifying tomorrow’s
Cinderella company from the cinders – before the analysts publish
their reports, something the Stock Report Card™ is designed to help
you master. Click on Stock
Report Card to access a blank report card template that
you can use in the future. I recommend setting up a table in a Word
or Excel document. That way you can sort by Price to Earnings ratio,
to get a sense of which company is trading for a better price.
Mistake
# 2. Bankruptcy Buying
Think
buying Delta at $1.54 a share when you’re positive that they
will come out of bankruptcy is a brilliant idea? Guess again. Reorganization
plans commonly call for the cancellation of the existing
common stock, with holders receiving nothing. Nada. (Translation:
your stock becomes toilet paper.) Lawsuits are a difficult and costly
way to try to recover losses.
Mistake
# 3. Pet Rocks
It’s
very tempting to buy stock after shareholders have earned seven
thousand times their investment, or after the product sells four
gazillion copies, but that is called chasing money. There were people,
lots of them, who bought AOL Time Warner and Priceline at peak share
prices in 2000, thinking that heavenly heights could last forever.
Too bad losing weight isn’t as easy as losing money.
Mistake
# 4. Hot Tips
Hot
tips are often merely "Pump and Dump" schemes—a colorful
name for the scheme in which scam artists send out tens of millions
of e-mails or load the stock market bulletin boards with messages
like:
"This
one is going to SKYROCKET."
"50
cents today, $3.50 by next Tuesday."
"Hot
stock on the rise. Must act now. Is trading at 29 cents, and is
sure to trade above $2.00 by the end of tomorrow."
They pump
up the stock, so they can quickly dump when enough suckers fall
for the charade and buy.
The price goes
up—but not because something great is fundamentally happening with
the company. It goes up just because the promoters (who are probably
paid) have duped enough people into buying. Then the insiders sell
(quickly), which makes the price fall flatter than a stone. People
who fall for pump and dump schemes typically lose their investment.
Even if the company stays in business, it might trade at the same
rock bottom price for years.
These kinds
of hot tip scams abound with companies that are trading "off
the boards," which are also called penny stocks. Any stock
trading under $1.00 is likely to be trading off the boards (which
means there’s less compliance with GAAP accounting and SEC securities
standards). Never respond to a direct mail or e-mail campaign to
buy a stock "NOW, before it explodes." No credible company
would send a notice like that. The SEC has laws against solicitation
of investments.
Assume hot tips
are swampland in Florida unless proven otherwise by a gazillion
independent, well-respected sources. Assume anyone who tells you
that they have a "sure shot" that’s going to double, is
lying, self-interested, or stupid.
Mistake
# 5. Sure Shots
If
someone promises to double your money in a set period of time, assume
that you’re dealing with a novice or a scam artist, especially if
they want you to write a check before doing any due diligence. If
you’re dealing with someone who doesn’t acknowledge the risk, they
are lying or very naïve. Beware anytime someone wants you to
hand over money before you have a chance to read or research anything.
Mistake
# 6. Buying on Headlines
Headlines
are written by editors to catch your eye. If you don’t read the
fine print, you could be missing the most important information.
Before United Airlines declared bankruptcy, investors gobbled up
UAL shares on the headline that United had received $1 billion in
promised concessions from its unions. The investors assumed that
this was great news and that the labor concessions were all that
United needed to soar the skies once again and be profitable (with
the help of some federal loans). A key consideration was hidden
on the inside pages of the article, however: that the Federal Loan
Guarantee required $1.5 billion in union labor concessions.
In fact, receiving only $1 billion in concessions – when the loan
was going to fall through unless $1.5 billion was delivered -- was
very bad news, not the good news that the headline trumpeted.
The Loan Guarantee
application was rejected, and United Airlines was forced into Chapter
11 only a few weeks after that headline appeared in what many people
consider the country’s most reliable news source, the New York
Times. The headlines of less respected news sources can be even
further from the complete story. The New York Times had actually
printed the complete story, but too many didn’t take time to read
it.
Mistake
# 7. Press Releases
Press
releases are written by professional writers, who are employed by
the company they are writing about. And press releases are not held
to the same standards as the official corporate earnings statements
that public companies must make with the Securities Exchange Commission.
A company can talk about an increase in revenue without ever mentioning
that increased revenues don’t mean the company is profitable
or that, due to cash constraints, the company’s fiscal health is
on the ropes. If you read anything that is from PRNewsWire or BusinessWire—services
that distribute press releases written by corporate PR people—ask
yourself, "What aren’t they telling me?" Press releases
can have valuable data and information, but they are designed to
give you a snapshot of something newsworthy, not to draw out the
full picture.
Mistake
# 8. Relying too heavily upon the advice of your broker
If
your broker has handled your account beautifully over a period of
time, don’t bother to read this Mistake; you’re lucky to have a
partner who cares about your future and has the knowledge and expertise
to get you there. Many investors don’t understand that most brokers
are salesmen first, especially those with fewer years in the trade,
and place too much faith in a broker’s knowledge, morals, and information.
You wouldn’t marry a stranger, so don’t hand your financial life
over to one either! (Read the article on Selecting
a Broker for tips on how to find the perfect partner.) Find
the article under the Investor Edu link on the home page at NataliePace.com.
Mistake
# 9. Placing all your chips on one sector
Diversify!
Even with blue-chip stocks and prime real estate, you risk losing
all of your money. Enron did go bankrupt, just one year after it
was added to Forbes Platinum 400 List, for revenue in excess
of $100 billion. A freak fire destroyed a handful of homes in the
prized Malibu Colony in California in 2007. When you have your assets
diversified across different investment classes – from real estate,
to stocks, to bonds, to money markets, to Treasury Bills, etc. –
you are protected against any one fluctuation or disaster. And in
all instances, make sure that you keep enough cash on hand and enough
income flowing in to meet your expenses.
Mistake
# 10. Keeping too much stock in your employer’s company
Rule
of thumb: no more than 10 percent of stock in your own company.
There’s one
exception to this rule: if you’re the owner of the company, you
may need a dominating percentage of the stock for voting/power reasons.
In the early days of Apple Computer, Steve Jobs was booted out of
the company he had co-founded.
Mistake
# 11. Handing your investments over to a loved one, relative
or friend
I’ve
spoken with women executives who have commanded billion dollar corporations,
and others who have multi-million dollar salaries, who turned over
their personal investment portfolios to a husband, in order to make
him feel like "more manly." With men, it’s more likely
to be the guy at the country club who convinces his poker partners
to come in on a sure shot investment of his.
Money means
different things to different people, but, chances are high, that
whatever it means to you, it ranks pretty high on your personal
Richter scale and can cause personal devastation in high dosages
when tremors occur. If your friend, loved one or relative loses
your money, it’s going to be hard to recover the relationship –
no matter how much you like or love him/her. So, even though you
might think it’s an act of love to entrust your future to someone,
it’s really more like an act of annihilation. Somewhere down the
road, the odds are high that person will make a bad decision (in
your eyes), or there will be less money than you hoped for (if any
at all), or there will be a falling out between the two of you,
or simply the person wasn’t really qualified for that level of responsibility
in the first place.
As Dr. Phil
says – and yes, I’m quoting him – each partner in a relationship
should have personal money that s/he can set on fire if s/he feels
like it. Imagine how much more important it is for each partner
in a relationship to control the life of her dreams and the financial
means to get there. I’m not encouraging you to hide money, merely
steer your own ship in this regard. Have some personal passions
fueling your short time on this planet, and use your financial freedom
plan to help you get there. Whether you are a mother hoping for
a better home for your children, or a father preparing to send your
kids to college or a bachelor building green skyscrapers or a nun
building Habitat for Humanity homes, your desire for a better life
is the motivation to have more money of your own to "play with."
Even if you
hate investing, almost anyone can set up an auto-payment tax-free
retirement account through an online discount brokerage in just
a few minutes. Take, at least, that amount of time. The cyber broker,
which is set up on Modern Portfolio theory, is a better strategy
than having a loved one wing it with a self-penned, but poorly tested,
plan.
Before you have
your first child, it would be great to get a list of the top ten
parental mistakes. Imagine how much easier it would be to know that
the first time your child gets a scratch, you’ll mistake it for
a gash and have to spend a thousand dollars on the ER. It’s really
amazing how ridiculously easy common parenting mistakes are to the
parent of four, who shakes her head knowingly at the rookie mom.
The same is true of experienced investors. They know these tips
like the back of their hand, and if you write it on your hand while
you’re learning, chances are you’ll find more money sticking there,
too.
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Buying Sprees:
by Kelley
Wright. The managing editor of Investment
Quality Trends, reports on his Select Blue Chip Stocks.
The
Enlightened Investor Approach to Market Corrections.
During
every market-correction I encourage subscribers to avoid the knee-jerk
temptation to navel gaze and try to figure out how low can we go;
how long will this last? In our experience the enlightened investor
who adds to his portfolio during corrections will typically reap
the reward of higher market values during the next advance. For
just as surely as spring follows winter there is a rally in value
stocks after every market downturn.
In case your
attention has been diverted elsewhere, value stocks have been in
the throes of a broad, sixth month downturn. Indeed, nearly 50%
of all high-quality companies are down more than 15% from their
highs. Seventy percent of those are down more than 20%. Clearly
the opportunity exists to add more issues to portfolios, and more
shares to existing holdings. While panic may be the emotion de jour,
enlightened investors understand far better than most that even
high-quality companies suffer through rough patches, however, they
rarely close their doors or cut their dividends.
Market corrections
are as much a part of the normal stock market cycle as rallies.
The catalyst for both can as easily be good news or bad news, which
isn’t a contradiction if you understand the perverse nature of Wall
Street. One would think that with the onset of the Information Age
that investors would have learned a thing or two over the years.
With human nature being what it is though, investors still over-analyze
when prices become weak and lose all perspective when prices are
high, thus ensuring that the "buy high, sell low" mentality
of Wall Street is perpetuated ad infinitum.
Equally disconcerting
is the practice of trying to find the perfect moment to jump into
a falling market, as is the practice of unnecessarily taking losses
on high-quality companies whose share prices are temporarily depressed.
Corrections, for whatever reason, induce a type of hysteria that
is typically found in estate auctions, only in reverse. The fundamental
value of a high-quality company does not disappear simply because
its price falls in response to market perception and/or sentiment.
With all of
my experience, I continue to be amazed by the reaction of the financial
media to market corrections. It is no surprise that the average
investor has to be talked off the ledge! I mean, think about it;
when did half off become a bad thing? Why do lower prices for high-quality
stocks send everyone into a tizzy? It’s just plain nuts. Look, to
borrow a line from the great Maharushie, here are (for me) a few
undeniable truths: 1). Corrections are always buying opportunities,
the broader the correction, the better; 2). Late-Cycle Rallies are
always selling opportunities because Wall Street wants you to believe
that trees grow to the sky; 3). Investment performance should be
measured by whether you are growing your capital and income base
to generate cash for current and future needs.
At the risk
of being repetitive it is important to remember that rarely do high-quality
companies go under; no matter how bad the news, how big the scandal,
or how troubled the economic outlook. If you invest in high-quality
companies at historically repetitive levels of undervalue, you will
weather any storm. Also, taking a loss on these companies is generally
unnecessary. If the price moves lower because of a knee-jerk panic
buy more. Bad news creates opportunities; when all of the high-quality
stocks in a sector are moving lower it’s an opportunity, not a problem.
The direction of the market isn’t nearly as important as the actions
we take in anticipation of the next change in direction.
Does Citi, WaMu,
et al have problems? You bet. Are they going under? I think not.
Are their dividends in danger? I don’t think so. Is it time to buy?
Probably; look for a test of the lows and when they hold and start
to move higher there is your bottom. Is this time different? The
names and the circumstances are but the dynamic is the same. This
is how stocks behave when their environment is out of whack. Remember,
great buys are made when stocks offer great values. Is it scary?
You bet, but the big money is made on the big decisions. Adversity
is the catalyst for the next rally; just remember that corrections
are the birthplace of opportunity.

Kelley Wright
is currently outperforming all of his peers, by bringing in the
top risk-adjusted returns on Wall Street for the past 20 years,
with his stock newsletter, IQTrends.com,
at 12.8% annualized gains, according to Hulbert’s
Financial Digest. To subscribe, go to IQTrends.com.
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Wells Fargo's Great
Depression.
by Natalie
Pace.
Including
a Bank
Stock Report Card.
Stocks
slumped on the 15th of November, after Wells Fargo CEO
John Stumpf told an audience at the Merrill Lynch financial services
conference in New York City that the housing slowdown was the worst
since the Depression (source: Associated Press). Mr. Stumpf’s comments
were relatively unexpected, especially after an upbeat earnings
report from Wells Fargo on October 16, 2007 that boasted of double-digit
earnings growth. What a difference a month makes!
While real estate
has been in the obituary column all year, and many companies, including
Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch and Citigroup, disclosed their exposure
to subprime mortgage loan losses early and shuffled up the executive
suite to show investors they mean business, Wells Fargo’s October
2007 earnings report was just short of gleeful. According to a company
press release, Mr. Stumpf said, "We maintained our conservative
risk management practices, and our strong balance sheet and capital
ratios, perhaps the strongest in the industry, which allowed us
to continue to grow profitably despite the problems in the market."
But is that really the case? Does Wells Fargo have "conservative
risk management practices" and is their balance sheet "strong"?
According to
the Milken Institute, Wells Fargo was the top subprime lender in
2006, with $83.2 billion of subprime loans and 13% of the marketplace.
Top
Subprime Lenders in 2006
|
Rank
|
Leader
|
Billions
|
Market
Share
|
|
1
|
Wells
Fargo
|
$83.2
billion
|
13%
|
|
2
|
HSBC
|
$52.8
billion
|
8.3%
|
|
3
|
New Century
|
$51.6
billion
|
8.1%
|
|
4
|
Countrywide
Financial
|
$40.6
|
6.3%
|
|
5
|
CitiMortgage
|
$38
|
5.9%
|
|
6
|
WMC Mortgage
|
$33.2
|
5.2%
|
|
7
|
Fremont
Mortgage
|
$32.3
|
5%
|
|
8
|
Ameriquest
|
$29.5
|
4.6%
|
|
9
|
Option
One
|
$28.8
|
4.5%
|
|
10
|
First
Franklin
|
$27.7
|
4.3%
|
Source: ©
MilkenInstitute.org. Inside B&C lending and Credit Suisse source
data
I want to reiterate
that, overall, foreclosures are only at 1.4%, only slightly above
the national average. 93.48% of all people who do have mortgages
are paying on time, and 35% of people who own a home, don’t even
have a mortgage (source: Mortgage Banking Association).
But those places
where there are a high concentration of subprime loans -- specifically
in the unaffordable real estate markets of California, Nevada, Florida
and Arizona (where Wells Fargo has a strong presence) -- the loans
are mostly held by non-occupant investors. In other words, speculators,
not homeowners, who have very little attachment to the home or incentive
to see it through a price downturn, are the ones getting burned
by the subprime resets, and those speculators are quickly passing
the buck over to the banks, with little care about how it might
tarnish their credit rating. According to Angelo Mozilo, Chairman
and CEO, Countrywide Financial Corp., which he co-founded in 1969,
Countrywide had a lot of speculators who were lying to them on the
no-document and low-document loans. "They’ve run. Gone from
the scene," according to Mr. Mozilo.
Natalie’s
Note: Please note that when mortgage loan holders do run from the
scene, they might still be liable for phantom income, upon which
income taxes could be due. It is a good idea to seek legal counsel
and approach the lender to work out the issues, instead of just
running away from the problem. The Federal Reserve Board has a page
on their website with lots of resources for distressed home owners
who are facing foreclosure. Click to go to FederalReserve.gov.
While the number
of foreclosures is only slightly above average, the foreclosures
of subprime adjustable loans is quite alarming, at 8.02% in the
2nd quarter of 2007, according to the Mortgage Bankers
Association. There were $171.8 billion of subprime loans in foreclosure
year to date, according to the Milken Institute, and losses are
expected to continue in 2008 and 2009. Wells Fargo’s $83.2 billion
in subprime loans amounts to over ¾ of the current market value
of the company.
The resale market
for subprime has virtually dried up. If the 8.02% foreclosure rate
is measured against Wells Fargo’s current exposure, that equals
$6.7 billion in losses waiting to muddy up future earnings reports.
That’s quite a (potential) hit waiting in the wings. Mr. Stumpf’s
warnings about the Depression may be a preview of coming attractions
with regard to his company’s future, rather than an omen for the
general economy.
It’s important,
with regard to the general state of the financial services industry,
to measure the current write-downs and losses in the context of
the larger story. Central banks and brokerages that bought or financed
the subprime debt will take a hit on their earnings reports, will
see their share price wane and will continue to be very unpopular
with investors as long as subprime steals headlines – certainly
into 2008, and likely into 2009. However, banks and brokerages also
have diversified streams of income, many have global operations,
and -- despite the subprime mortgage losses – most are still profitable.
In 2008, "Banks could not only remain profitable but also still
deliver upper-single-digit returns," according to Banc of America
Securities analyst John McDonald.
On October 15,
2007, Citigroup reported $2.21 billion in net income for the third
quarter of 2007. That profit was 60% lower than the prior-year,
which exploded across headlines and spooked investors. Chairman
and CEO Charles Prince resigned. Robert Rubin was named Chairman
of the Board. Sir Win Bischoff is the acting Chief Executive Officer.
While all of this sounds disruptive, Rubin is one of the most respected
businessmen on the planet, and Citigroup’s investments in the Chinese
markets are expected to provide strong growth for the company as
early as 2008.
Bear Stearns
is taking another $1.2 billion write-down in the 4th
quarter, according to the Associated Press, but net income for the
third quarter of 2007 was $171.3 million. That was down 61% from
the prior year -- which was a boom year of Mergers and Acquisitions
frenzy -- but Bear Stearns is still profitable.
Merrill Lynch,
however, is one of the brokerages really suffering. Losses for the
3rd quarter were $2.3 billion, as reported on October
23, 2007. Write-downs and losses were concentrated in Merrill Lynch's
Fixed Income, Currencies & Commodities (FICC) business, including
write-downs of $7.9 billion across CDOs and U.S. sub-prime mortgages.
The bottom line
is that the current subprime crunch is not the Great Depression.
Most homeowners are not in danger of losing their homes. Credit
will tighten. Banks and brokerages will see harder times. Share
prices in the financial industry are expected to soften and remain
weak into 2008. But the rock bottom share prices that result over
the next 12-24 months in the financial services industry might be
buying opportunities, not the beginning of a financial meltdown.
At the Milken
Institute State of the State Conference on October 29, 2007, Ross
DeVol, the Director of Regional Economics at the Milken Institute,
did serve up a bleak, bearish picture for the future. He projected
that the current credit crunch, housing crisis and escalated oil
prices ($90/barrel) would add up to a recession within the next
four quarters.
While I’m secretly
hoping that everyone will buy a bike or an electric car (as quite
a few are doing in my hometown of Santa Monica) and kick oil prices
to 2002 prices, where they belong, I’ll be watching the next few
months closely and reporting, as always, on what the top economists
are predicting. As we enter December, one of the strongest months
of the year historically, I’m still optimistic that the winter holiday
will bring presents for investors, especially those that are into
clean energy, where companies are back-ordered on their products
to the tune of hundreds of millions. For more statistics and facts,
check out this month’s feature article, "Clean Energy Rolls
Out Worldwide," and the Hot News on Cool Stocks report, where
I’ve printed my Market Summary.
I’ve added
Wells Fargo to the Cooling Off List, which is a part of the Hot
News on Cool Stocks article, anticipating that the share price will
be under a lot of pressure for in the coming months.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We are a
publishing, media and information center. This article is intended
to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors
a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly
traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be
buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult
an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or
selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
Fantastic
STOCKing Stuffers.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
my Hot News on Cool Stocks list.
 |
| Photo © Apple. Used by permission. |
The Hot News
lists below feature 43 companies earning great gains, versus just
eleven that are headed in the opposite direction. 48% of the companies
featured in my stock newsletter between 2002 and 2005 -- 25 out
of 52 companies -- DOUBLED from the time we listed them in our feature
article to the time when I took the company off of the Hot News
on Cool Stocks list (and the majority of the remaining 52% well
outperformed the marketplace. (See the chart in the article, "25
of our Companies Have Doubled," from volume 4, issue
4, the April 2007 ezine, for a listing of companies.)
Additionally,
the market performance of the companies that are featured in my
Hot News on Cool Stocks list are still keeping me at the top of
over 830 A-list pundits on TipsTraders.com
in annualized gains. Over the last few years, I’ve repeatedly occupied
the #1 position, according to that independent tracking firm. TipsTraders
has me listed as Highly Recommended, again, in 2007.
Note to
Subscribers: I am reprinting a large portion of my November mid-month
update (below) for two reasons. One is that we have hundreds of
new subscribers from the Peak Potentials Extreme Wealth Conferece
and there is a lot of VERY important market data and statistics
in this report. Secondly, in between November 15 and December 5,
the markets were EXTREMELY volatile. As you can see, however, the
below data and the statistics pointed toward a continued Santa Rally,
and those investors who were patient and calm had no need to fear.
In fact, in that same two-week period, while the markets waxed and
waned, even better economic news came in. The GDP growth rate for
the 3rd quarter was revised upward – to 4.9%, and Secretary
of the Treasury Hank Paulsen (the former Chairman/CEO genius of
Goldman Sachs) took bold steps to provide relief for qualified homeowners
whose mortgage loans have reset to a rate that is unaffordable.
According to
Treasury Secretary Paulsen, "The U.S. economy remains fundamentally
sound – core inflation is contained, continued job gains are providing
a good foundation for household spending, corporate balance sheets
remain healthy overall, and strong growth abroad is supporting U.S.
exports." These factors helped the 3rd quarter GDP
growth rate come in much stronger than expected, even while the
softening real estate market and subprime foreclosures were providing
downward pressure.
If you or
anyone you know are worried about losing your home, call this number,
1-888-995-HOPE, to see if you are eligible for assistance. This
hotline is available 24-hours a day to provide vital mortgage counseling
in multiple languages.
Reprint of
a portion of the November Hot News on Cool Stocks mid-month update:
I
remember the first time that I received a Publisher’s Clearing House
notice. It said I might be a winner. I didn’t see the word
might and called up my parents and all of my friends saying
that I’d won millions. Of course, my family laughed at me lovingly
and explained the power of that one word. I’ve been a critical thinker
and a cynic ever since, which is part of what makes me a very good
reporter and stock picker.
Headlines everywhere
are spouting LOSSES at banks and CATASTROPHIC INCREASES in FORECLOSURES
and the FALLING DOLLAR and MASSIVE DEBT and WAR. It may seem as
though these big words and big claims are too numerous and too apocalyptic
to have any mitigating factors, yet I’m convinced that you’ll be
almost apoplectic with anger when you read what important statistics
have been left out of these reports and headlines, while other information
has been intentionally blown up to appear cataclysmic. If you were
to harken way back to the Anna Nicole Smith network news feeding
frenzy, or were alive during the OJ Simpson trial, you should very
suspicious of what drives the "news." In most cases, it
pays – a lot – to just ignore the histrionic headlines, and find
some underpaid lone wolf who likes to talk to geeks, read data and
statistics from the University of Chicago and spends her date nights
writing articles and finding gold in them thar hills. (Yes, I’m
referring to NataliePace.com, the most respected name in financial
news.)
Which reminds
me to remind you that our 2007 Company of the Year, Suntech Power
Holdings, has more than doubled (+139%) since the beginning of the
year and has tripled (+215%) since our first feature in October
of 2006. World Water and Solar, our April feature, is up 227%. Clean
energy is hotter than oil prices, outperforming every industry on
Wall Street, including fossil fuels, in the 1st and 3rd
quarter of this year. If you look below, you’ll see that we are
overweight in companies that are trying to save the world through
renewable resources, and have been richly rewarded for that emphasis.
So, below are
a plethora of facts that should calm your fears and focus your energy
on all of the great things that are going on worldwide and in our
homeland. (And yes, there is a war, and many worthy organizations,
politicians and citizens working hard to end that, as well.) Don’t
overlook the fact that Wall Street has been rocking and rolling
in returns since January 2003, and posted strong gains over
the past two year period, of up to 23%.
Fast Facts:
35%
of people who own a home, don’t even have a mortgage. (They own
it free and clear.) And 93.48% of all people who do have mortgages
are paying on time (source: Mortgage Banking Association). Even
though foreclosures have increased from ZERO, which is where they
have been for the last five years, the national foreclosure rate
is only slightly above the 40-year annual average.
Historically,
about 1 percent of all first and second mortgages have gone into
foreclosure, according to RealtyTrac.com. In a national delinquency
survey conducted by the Mortgage Bankers Association, in the 2nd
quarter of 2007, for 1-4 unit residential properties, foreclosures
nationwide are only at 1.40%. "Those are not record numbers," Douglas
G. Duncan, Ph.D., the Chief Economist at the Mortgage Banking Association
said, in the understatement of the year.
The stock market
has posted gains of 16-23% over the last two years, and Nasdaq is
up 10% this year, even with last month’s pullback. FYI: we predicted
Nasdaq to be the 2007 superstar performer earlier back in November
of 2006. Click on Wow! Dow! Or Nasdaq
Now! Article, from vol. 3, issue 11, where I said "The
NASDAQ Composite Index, where many listed companies have little
or no pension and OPEBs, is not your Y2K nightmare anymore. There
are real earnings in explosive new businesses on that index."
Many corporations
in the U.S. have global operations, including technology (like Intel),
Internet (like Google), markets (like eBay), and banks (like Citigroup).
Thus, the rise and fall of the dollar does not have a catastrophic
impact on the bottom line.
GDP: Real
gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced
by labor and property located in the United States -- increased
at an annual rate of 4.9 percent in the third quarter of 2007, according
to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real
GDP increased 3.8 percent. That’s not as good as China or India,
but better than most of the countries in the world. The increase
in real GDP in the third quarter reflected positive contributions
from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, federal government
spending, equipment and software, nonresidential structures, private
inventory investment, and state and local government spending that
were partly offset by a negative contribution from residential fixed
investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation
of GDP, increased.
"The GDP
report provided scant evidence of spillovers from housing to other
components of final demand: Strong growth in consumer spending was
supported by gains in employment and income, and businesses increased
their capital spending at a solid pace. A strong global economy
stimulated foreign demand for U.S.-produced goods and services,
as foreign trade contributed nearly 1 percentage point to the growth
of real output last quarter." Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, speaking
about the economic outlook before the Joint Economic Committee,
U.S. Congress, on November 8, 2007.
"In the
last five years, household net worth has gone up $18.5 trillion
in the United States. Only $4.4 trillion of it can be attributed
to real estate, 24%... So American have a lot of wealth to spend."
Tobias Levkovich, Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, Smith Barney
Mr. Levkovich
also pointed out that:
1.
Pension assets, at $12 trillion, are roughly equivalent to real
estate net worth.
2. Over
90% of the consumer spending came from something other than mortgage
equity withdrawal. Some people were using equity as the ATM machine;
most were not.
3. The
OECD estimates that pension assets around the world are about $17.9
trillion, and about $12.4 trillion of that is in the U.S. We have
a low savings rate because our "savings" is in our pension
plans.
4. The
U.S. budget deficit as a percentage of GDP is better than Europe’s
and better than Japan’s. The U.S. government’s debt as a percentage
of GDP is meaningfully less than for most of the European countries,
as well as Japan.
5. Though
credit is tightening, corporate balance sheets are in very, very
good shape, and they have the ability to borrow and use cash [for
M&A deals].
3rd
Quarter earnings:
- On 10.22.07,
Apple computer announced results that were 28.5% higher than last
year, with shipments of Apple computers up 34% year over year.
Cash on hand: $15.4 billion.
- On October
17, 2007, eBay reported record consolidated Q3-07 net revenues
of $1.89 billion, representing a year-over-year growth rate of
30%.
- Google reported
revenues of $4.23 billion for the quarter ended September 30,
2007, an increase of 57% compared to the third quarter of 2006.
Cash on hand = $13 billion.
- On Oct. 15,
2007, Citigroup reported net income for the 2007 third quarter
of $2.21 billion, or $0.44 per share -- a decline of 60% from
the prior-year quarter. The surprise was that a portion of that
downturn came from their fixed income division, which is typically
a perennial performer. Citigroup’s 3rd quarter earnings
report was a decline, not a loss. They wrote down
losses on their subprime portfolio and had unexpected underperformance
in some of their divisions, but the quarter was profitable
for Citigroup and revenue is up this year over last.
Market Report:
The
Federal Open Market Committee decided on September 18, 2007 to lower
its target for the federal funds rate 50 basis points to 4-3/4 percent.
The big, fat rate cut thrilled investors. The stock market immediately
rallied on the news. For Halloween, the Feds decided to give investors
some candy, with another 25 basis point reduction in the Fed Fund
Rate. Investors fell in love with stocks and the markets soared
on the news. Continued histrionic headlines and inflated statistics
on the severity and pervasiveness of the subprime problems spooked
investors in November, for the worst sell-off of the year. By December,
however, things were looking up again, not as high as early October,
but still strong on the year. Nasdaq, as we predicted last November,
posted double and more gains on the S&P500.
General
Stock Market Performance
|
Wednesday, 1.3.2006
|
Wednesday, 1.3.2007
|
Thursday, 11.29.2007
|
Gains 23
& 11 months
|
|
Dow: 10,847.41
|
Dow: 12,474.52
|
Dow: 13,311.73
|
+23% & +7%
|
|
Nasdaq: 2,243.74
|
Nasdaq: 2,423.16
|
Nasdaq: 2,668.13
|
+20% & +10%
|
|
S&P: 1,268.80
|
S&P: 1,416.60
|
S&P: 1,469.72
|
+16% & +4%
|
The Bottom
Line always is that getting rich is a matter of balance, strategy
and patience. You should not be day-trading your nest egg. If you
don’t know what the proper balance of real estate, stocks, bonds
and Beanie Babies you should have in your investment portfolio,
your next investment should be in education. If you’d like to learn
how to pick stocks and sectors with my methodology – which includes
an easy 3-ingredient recipe and easy to use Stock Report Cards --
I encourage you to come to my Get Rich and EnRich Retreat in January.
We’re expecting a sell-out, so I recommend that you sign up online
now. Reverend Michael Bernard Beckwith, featured teacher of The
Secret, will be joining us to teach everyone how to apply the
law of attrACTION to greater wealth and investment gains.
Wisdom + the
law of attraction = the rich life. It is that simple.
The rich life
is a life plan, not a lottery ticket, which is why the setting of
our retreat is in the most beautiful hotel in the world – the Loews
Santa Monica Beach Hotel. Join us. You know you want to. Take some
from your education budget, some from your long term and short term
fun budgets and register now. We’ll show you how to invest for profits
once you arrive. Our premium subscriber Sam Sanders is up 87% this
year. Another broker back East saw the same kind of returns over
the last year, using our picks. What are you waiting for?

View of the
famous Santa Monica Pier from the Loews Santa Monica Beach Hotel.

Poolside, overlooking
the Pacific Ocean, at the Loews Santa Monica Beach Hotel.
USE THE SUBSCRIBER
PROMOTIONAL CODE: RetreatPeak to receive a discount price
of just $1,295 per person! (Regular price is $2,055. Such a deal!)
Sign up now at the below link. Couples (or persons bringing a friend
or second family member) can come at the low rate of just $1880
with the promo code RetreatPeak2.
Register
NOW, before December 10, 2007, to guarantee your attendance.
The Writer’s
Guild Strike Update
Leaders
from the WGA and the AMPTP have mutually agreed to resume formal
negotiations on November 26. No other details or press statements
will be issued.
You’ll see that
I’ve made my choice to keep media on the Hot News List for now,
though I continue to monitor the situation carefully (but not obsessively).
Peace and Prosperity,
Natalie Pace
EDUCATIONAL
OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
- Interest
Rates: The Big, Fat Rate Cut! The October 31, 2007 move
marked the 2nd consecutive rate cut since September
of 2007. The Federal Open Market Committee cut the Fed Funds rate
by 25 basis points on Halloween 2007 and 50 basis points on September
18, 2007. The federal funds rate is currently at 4-1/2%.
- FOMC
Information: Interested in reading the minutes
of the October FOMC meeting for yourself? You can. The
official Federal Reserve document is available online. Click on
FOMC,
or go to FederalReserve.gov, to read!
The tentative
FOMC meeting schedule for the 2007-2008 calendar is: December
11 (Tuesday), January 29-30, 2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday), March 18,
2008 (Tuesday), April 29-30, 2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday), June 24-25,
2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday), August 5, 2008 (Tuesday), September
16, 2008 (Tuesday), October 28-29, 2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday), December
16, 2008 (Tuesday). The fact that the Federal Open Market Committee
decided to increase the number of 2-day sessions from two to four
in 2007 is an indicator of the concern in the economy at this
juncture.
- Calendar
Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more: Check
out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. There are
many wonderful opportunities to chat one-on-one with millionaire
money managers, economists, respected money gurus, real estate
veterans and CEOs! Be sure to calendar the dates of the mid-month
Hot News on Cool Stocks Update and the publication date of our
special Company of the Year January 2008 ezine. Get more information
on how to best use our articles in the FAQs article, located under
the Investor Edu link on the home page of NataliePace.com.
- Survey
Results: Check out our article on the Best Gifts for Guys
and Women in this month’s ezine. Great holiday tips are to be
found there.
Bottom Line:
NataliePace.com is providing you with news and important information,
but you need to consult your financial planner to determine your
best strategy for using the information. Your investments and portfolio
should take into account your age, your retirement goals, your risk
tolerance and portfolio diversification. The stock portion of your
portfolio is a higher risk classification, where you ideally seek
to gain higher returns. As the NASD said in a recent investor alert,
don’t bet the farm on the stock market.
NataliePace.com
is NOT a brokerage and doesn’t operate or act like one. We are an
online media service with a mission of providing the news and information
you need to make better choices in business, investing and personal
prosperity. Always consult a trusted financial professional before
buying or selling any security.
The
Hot News on Cool Stocks List
Full disclosure:
I have listed the companies that I currently own under the column
"NP OWNS?"
Hot Stocks
List
Investors
who "never pay retail," note that highlighted stocks are trading
at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in NataliePace.com’s
article. This may be a good buying opportunity. The companies that
are listed below which are not highlighted may not be in a good
buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue performing
well (if you have already purchased them). There are never any guarantees
in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments. Consult your
certified financial planner before making any changes to your investment
strategy.
Highlighted
Companies (Hot List):
American
Superconductor (AMSC)
Citigroup
(C)
Conergy
(CEYHF)
Echelon
(ELON)
Energy
Conversion Devices (ENER)
Hoku
Scientific (HOKU)
Krispy
Kreme (KKD)
Smith and Nephew (SNN)
UQM
Technologies (UQM)
U.S.
Gold (UXG)
WisdomTree
(WSDT)
ZOLTEC
(ZOLT)
Recent
Additions:
AU
Optronics is not considered to be in buying range. Only those
stocks that are highlighted above are trading at a price that we
consider to be attractive.
1. Conergy was
added on November 2, 2007.
2. AU
Optronics was added on October 3, 2007.
3. American
Superconductor, Energy Conversion Devices and Zoltec were
added on December 3, 2007.
Recent
Deletions:
Jet Blue
was deleted on December 3, 2007 with negative performance.
Hot News
on Cool Stocks List
| Company
|
NP
owns? |
Symbol |
Price
when featured |
Price
12.3.07 |
Year High
Year Low
|
Gains
since original feature |
|
Altair Nanotechnology
RISK: MEDIUM/ HIGH
|
No
|
ALTI
|
$3.11
|
$4.09
|
$5.45
$2.48
|
+31.5%
|
|
Read the Article, "Golf
Carts and Sports Cars," in vol. 4, iss. 6. The
price was up sharply on unusually high volume on 10.23.07.
The U.S. Senate approved a military funding budget that included
funding for two cutting-edge nanotechnology research and development
projects that Altairnano is conducting, providing funding
for a staff of 90 highly qualified individuals in Reno, according
to Altairnano President and Chief Executive Officer, Alan
J. Gotcher, PhD.
|
|
American Super-conductor
|
No
|
AMSC
|
$24.71
|
$24.71
|
$28.88
$9.20
|
--
|
|
Read the article
"Clean
Energy Rolls Out Worldwide," in vol. 4, iss. 12.
Competitors include GE (NYSE: GE), Siemens (NYSE: SI), Rockwell
(NYSE: ROK), and DRS (NYSE: DRS). High Temperature Superconductor
(HTS) wire is able to transmit 150 times more energy than
a copper wire of the same dimensions. This enables electric
utilities to replace multiple conventional copper cables with
one HTS-powered cable, leaving valuable underground real estate
available for other uses – including future power upgrades.
The worldwide cable market represents a multi-billion-dollar
annual opportunity, but their power converters are also in
the exploding marketplace of wind turbines and fuel cells.
American Superconductor’s backlog of orders exceeds $180 million,
with growth primarily driven by the wind energy market. AMSC
expects the Asia-Pacific marketplace to account for up to
50% of sales in fiscal year 2007.
|
|
Apple Computer
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
AAPL
|
$85.38
($83.93 on 2.27.07)
|
$182.44
|
$187.00
$62.70
|
+114% &
+117%
|
|
See archived ezine Vol. 4, issue
2, for the feature article, "Apple
Chips."
Apple sold its one millionth iPhone on 9.10.07. "One
million iPhones in 74 days—it took almost two years to achieve
this milestone with iPod," said Steve Jobs, Apple’s CEO.
"We can’t wait to get this revolutionary product into
the hands of even more customers this holiday season."
iPhone combines three devices into one—a mobile phone, a widescreen
iPod®, and the best mobile Internet device ever—all based
on Apple’s revolutionary multi-touch interface and pioneering
software that allows users to control iPhone with just a tap,
flick or pinch of their fingers.
Google CEO Dr. Eric Schmidt joined
the Apple board of directors in Oct. 2006. Somehow Jobs skated
through the options backdating scandal. The craze over the
iPhone, iPod and all things Apple, and the clout that Jobs
is gaining with his alliances with Disney and Google should
keep Apple at the top of the technology performers over the
next few years at minimum. Apple is a company you’re going
to want to own – and everyone wishes they’d had the prescience
to buy in at a better price. On 10.22.07, Apple announced
revenue of $6.22 billion and net quarterly profit of $904
million, or $1.01 per diluted share. These results compare
to revenue of $4.84 billion and net quarterly profit of $542
million, or $.62 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter.
Gross margin was 33.6 percent, up from 29.2 percent in the
year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 40 percent
of the quarter's revenue.
Apple shipped 2,164,000 Macintosh(R)
computers, representing 34 percent growth over the year-ago
quarter and exceeding the previous quarterly record for Mac(R)
shipments by 400,000. The Company sold 10,200,000 iPods during
the quarter, representing 17 percent growth over the year-ago
quarter. Quarterly iPhone(TM) sales were 1,119,000, bringing
cumulative fiscal 2007 sales to 1,389,000.
"We are very pleased to have generated
over $24 billion in revenue and $3.5 billion in net income
in fiscal 2007," said Steve Jobs, Apple's CEO. "We're looking
forward to a strong December quarter as we enter the holiday
season with Apple's best products ever."
"Apple ended the fiscal year with
$15.4 billion in cash and no debt," said Peter Oppenheimer,
Apple's CFO. "Looking ahead to the first quarter of fiscal
2008, we expect revenue of about $9.2 billion and earnings
per diluted share of about $1.42."
|
|
AU Optronics
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
AUO
|
$16.92
|
$19.61
|
$21.20
$12.73
|
+16%
|
|
On Sept. 6, 2007, AUO announced
another record high, with revenue up 9.9% from the previous
month. On a year-over-year comparison, August 2007 revenues
increased significantly by 89%. Shipments of large-sized panels(a)
used in desktop monitor, notebook PC, LCD TV and other applications
for August also set a new record of 7.23 million units, a
5.7% increase from July 2007. Shipments of small-and-medium-sized
panels broke the record as well and presented a 22.1% increase
from the previous month, to 14.59 million units. On 7.26.07,
the company reported 2Q results of revenues up 31.3% (Quarter
over Quarter) to $3.2 billion. Net income after tax of $182
million. Operating margin: 6.5%. AUO's Xiamen manufacturing
facility began volume production in April 2007. Production
capacity will increase by 50% for both China's monthly TV
module capacity and small-and-medium sized LCD module capacity.
|
|
Citigroup
DIVIDENDS
4.31%!
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
C
|
$50.38
$33.30 (12.3.07)
|
$33.30
|
$57.00
$31.05
|
-34% &
Flat
|
|
Refer
to the M&A
Mania article in
volume 3, issue 6 for details on Citigroup’s appeal. Citigroup,
like all of the financial services industry, will continue
to see hard times into 2008. This is a price that might be
attractive for your long term portfolio. Don’t expect wild
gains in the short term with this company.
Citigroup
announced on May 10, 2007, that Citigroup China would roll-out
two new investment products -- Structured Investment Accounts
-- for the Chinese consumer that would allow him/her to invest
in equities or currencies, with a principal protection feature.
Just a few years ago, all banks in China were state-owned
enterprises. Citigroup was first mover in the Chinese consumer
equity marketplace. Purchased AkBank (in Turkey) on 1.09.07.
Akbank currently has 675 branches and 1,617 ATMs and is a
premier, full-service retail, commercial, corporate and private
bank in Turkey, with assets of $39.6 billion, loans of $19.6
billion and a deposit base of $25.0 billion. It is the world’s
third largest bank by assets and the nation’s largest financial
institution. Citigroup acquired servicing rights for $45 billion
worth of loans formerly held in ACC’s Ameriquest company.
Terms of the deal were not disclosed. Citigroup announced
on November 3, 2007, that Charles Prince, Chairman and CEO,
will leave the company. Robert Rubin has been named Chairman
of the Board. Sir Win Bischoff has been named acting Chief
Executive Officer. Citi will review fourth quarter and
full-year 2007 results on Tuesday, January 15, 2008, at 8:30
AM (EST).
On Oct. 15,
2007, Citigroup reported net income for the 2007 third quarter
of $2.21 billion, or $0.44 per share, a decline of 60% from
the prior-year quarter.
|
|
Conergy
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
CEYHF
|
$44.75
|
$40.35
|
$96.14
$39.10
|
-9.8%
|
|
See the
Wind
Power article in
vol. 4, issue 11.
|
|
Disney
Dividends
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
DIS
|
$25.08
|
$33.19
|
$36.79
$23.77
|
+32%
|
|
Announced earnings on 11.8.07.
Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the year increased
to $2.25, compared to $1.64 in the prior year.. Disney/Pixar/ABC,
distributed by Apple iTunes. Hmmm… The most successful animation
film company meets the most successful family media company
meets the most successful new media device, the iPod. Sounds
like the happiest place on Earth to us. The largest individual
stockholder is Steve Jobs. According to the annual report,
CEO Bob Iger received $22 million in compensation last year
(not including stock options). His pay included $2 million
salary and a $15 million cash bonus. CEO Bob Iger was one
of our Executives
of the Year in 2007. Read the article in vol. 4, iss.
1. The WGA contract was up on October 31, while the SAG and
DGA contracts expire in June 2008. Although the studios have
all ramped up production to stave off the effects of a strike
by the unions, this strike could certainly parch the investor
appetite in film companies, even if it doesn’t cripple profits.
Though many believe the WGA union spokesperson has been too
aggressive and the studios have been too recalcitrant about
cutting writers in on a fair piece of new media, the strikers
are out in full force and receiving a lot of support from
the stars who speak their lines on hit shows.
|
|
Eastern Europe -- U.S. Global Investors
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
EUROX
|
$33.87
|
$57.86
|
$59.00
$23.02
|
+71%
|
|
Vanguard seems to be in the right
countries, and within those countries, in the right growing
sectors. See vol.
2, issue 8. Great
way to diversify, as well as to add growth. Eastern EU economy
rocks. Western EU economy stalls. Your international fund
should reflect the difference.
|
|
eBay
RISK: LOW
|
Yes
|
eBAY
|
$29.75
|
$33.49
|
$39.54
$22.83
|
+13%
|
|
Announced earnings on 10.17.07.
See the articles, "eBay’s
Skype Outpaces News Corp’s MySpace," in volume
3, issue 9, "Executives
of the Year" in January 2007, which featured
CEO Meg Whitman (vol. 4, iss. 1). eBay reported record consolidated
Q3-07 net revenues of $1.89 billion, representing a year-over-year
growth rate of 30%. GAAP operating loss was $938 million in
Q3-07, representing (50%) of net revenues, compared to GAAP
operating income of $339 million in Q3-06. GAAP net loss in
Q3-07 was $936 million, or $0.69 loss per diluted share. Both
the GAAP operating loss and GAAP net loss were the result
of the previously announced goodwill impairment charge related
to eBay's acquisition of Skype. (This can be a tax benefit,
and Skype delivered record net revenues, excluding the impairment
charge, and a record increase of registered users – to 246
million – which can then be sent over to the eBay marketplace.
Don’t be fooled by headlines and young writers making silly
assumptions.) The company purchased approximately 14.8 million
shares of its common stock at a total cost of approximately
$500 million during the quarter out of its authorized stock
repurchase program of up to $2 billion by January 2009. According
to eBay President and CEO, Meg Whitman, "eBay International,
PayPal Merchant Services, StubHub, classifieds and our advertising
businesses all performed above our expectations." Skype net
revenues totaled a record $98 million in Q3-07, representing
a year-over-year growth rate of 96%. Skype had 246 million
registered user accounts at the end of Q3-07, representing
a year-over-year increase of 81%.
Note: The GAAP effective tax rate
for Q3-07 was (4%), compared to 26% for Q3-06 and 23% in Q2-07.
Strong management and talent in the executive suite. The company's
cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaled $4.44 billion
at the end of Q3-07.
|
|
Echelon
RISK: MED/HIGH
|
No
|
ELON
|
$20.04
|
$17.26
|
$32.49
$7.19
|
--14%
|
|
Read the
article, "Green
San Jose Company,"
in vol. 4, iss. 8. Governor Schwarzenegger (CA) took Secretary
General of the U.N. Ban Ki-Moon on a tour of Echelon’s HQ
in Silicon Valley the week before ELON confirmed an order
from Russia valued at $35 million. What other orders could
come into this company that reported sales of $26.7 million
in the 2nd quarter, over 19.4 million a year ago. On July
10, 2007, Echelon signed a contract with McDonald's to help
it reduce energy costs and improve efficiency. Reported 3rd
quarter results on 10.23.07 of $24.7 million in revenues compared
to revenues of $13.3 million for the same period in 2006.
The GAAP net loss for the quarter ended September 30, 2007
was $5.4 million, or $0.14 cents per share, compared to net
loss of $6.3 million a year ago. "We are still on track
to achieve non-GAAP profitability in the fourth quarter. We
believe our strategies have positioned us well for the remainder
of the year and for 2008," said Ken Oshman, Echelon's CEO
and Chairman. "Our infrastructure product line did not
grow as expected, especially in the Americas – and it will
receive special attention in coming months."
|
|
Energy Conversion
Devices
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
ENER
|
$26.50
|
$26.50
|
$40.10
$22.26
|
--
|
|
Read the
article "Clean
Energy ," in
vol. 4, iss. 12.
|
|
GAP
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
GPS
|
$20.30
$17.50 (3.16.07)
|
$20.54
|
$21.39
$15.91
|
+1% &
+17%
|
|
See the article, "Gap’s
Inc(RED)ible Campaign,"
from vol. 3, iss. 12. Sales are still weak, but the company
is beating analyst expectations and searching for the perfect
design and management team. The first hire was impressive
indeed! The Gap hired Todd Oldham as the design creative director
for Old Navy, and immediately the television ads began to
pop with sensuality and style. Who will helm The Gap’s creative
ship? It’s hard to get too excited about a man whose last
job was in Canada at Shoppers Drug Mart, but perhaps Glenn
Murphy, 45, Gap Inc.'s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer,
is a lot more fashionable than his pedigree would show. The
Oldham hiring was genius.
In the "show me your friends
and I’ll tell you who you are" category, the friends
surrounding Gap these days are mighty, powerful and successful.
You’ve got Goldman Sachs advising them on the turnaround strategy.
GAP is one of an elite group of companies that are attached
to PRODUCT (RED), the pet project of Bono and Bobby Shriver,
alongside Apple, American Express, Motorola, Emporio Armani
and more. The fast, definitive action, the ongoing commitment
to Bono and Bobby Shriver’s PRODUCT (RED) and having Goldman
Sachs in their corner really sets the stage for some promising
surprises for this legacy clothing retailer. Especially if
the team comes up with a winning designer. Things could hardly
be worse for the Gap, but, with the talent assembled for this
turnaround, we’re optimistic that it is always darkest before
the dawn. Upgraded from Neutral to Positive by Susquehanna
Financial on 8.28.07. Beat analyst earnings estimates on 8.24.07.
On Nov. 8, 2007, Gap Inc. reported
net sales of $1.23 billion for the four-week period ended
November 3, 2007, which represents a 1 percent decrease compared
with net sales of $1.24 billion for the four-week period ended
October 28, 2006. Due to the 53rd week in fiscal year 2006,
October 2007 comparable store sales are compared to the four-week
period ended November 4, 2006. On this basis, the company's
comparable store sales for October 2007 decreased 8 percent
compared with a 7 percent decrease in October 2006.
|
|
Genentech
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
DNA
|
$13.50
$81.13
$72.60
(6.24.07)
|
$73.14
|
$89.41
$71.43
|
+442% &
-10% &
+1%
|
|
Announced its 2007 third quarter
earnings on October 15, 2007: U.S. product sales of $2,155
million, an 18 percent increase over U.S. product sales of
$1,830 million in the third quarter of 2006. GAAP operating
revenues of $2,908 million, which include recognition of $3
million of deferred royalty revenue associated with the acquisition
of Tanox, Inc. Avastin sales are up 37% over 2006, to $597
million for the quarter. Lucentis is up 29% to $198 million,
while Tarceva is flat at about $101 million in sales. Major
growth for a big cap, and trading at prices not seen in over
two years! Purchased Tanox on 1.16.07. Received 8 FDA approvals
in 2006. DNA is a Great Blue Chip Hold for your long-term
portfolio. Genentech specializes in DNA-based cancer treatments
that might ultimately eliminate the need for chemotherapy!
(Avastin chokes off the blood supply to the tumor.) Biotechnology
is a volatile sector, but this popular #2 biotechnology company
has a big pipeline of drugs. Cancer drugs are a $20+ billion
annual market, and DNA has appx. $8-9 billion of the market
cornered. Avastin alone is on track to exceed $2 billion in
annual sales in 2007. Tarceva is rocketing up the sales charts,
with sales of $406 million in the first three quarters of
2007.
|
|
Google (Green)
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$85
|
$691.48
|
$747.24
$437.00
|
+714%
|
|
Great Blue Chip Hold for your long-term
portfolio. Owns YouTube.com, one of the most popular sites
on the web, which got hit with a billion dollar lawsuit from
Viacom on 3.13.07. Dr. Eric Schmidt was one of our Executives
of the Year
in 2007. Read the
article in vol. 4, iss. 1. The growth continues to be amazing,
and the share price continues to be amazingly volatile! The
savvy day-trader would buy on disappointment and sell on hot
headlines. The long-term investor would buy at the 52-week
low and hold to will to the kids. (Notice that Google is NOT
highlighted and is not considered to be a good buy right now.)
Google reported revenues of $4.23
billion for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, an increase
of 57% compared to the third quarter of 2006 and an increase
of 9% compared to the second quarter of 2007. Traffic Acquisition
Costs totaled $1.22 billion, or 29% of advertising revenues.
GAAP net income for the third quarter of 2007 was $1.07 billion
as compared to $925 million in the second quarter of 2007.
We currently estimate stock-based compensation charges for
grants to employees prior to October 1, 2007 to be approximately
$801 million for 2007. Dilution is expected to be capped at
2%. Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were
$13.1 billion at the end of September 2007.
On a worldwide basis, Google employed
15,916 full-time employees, up from 13,786 full time employees
as of June 30, 2007 – all enjoying the Google 20 (pounds you
gain from all of the free food provided by the company). As
part of their "Do no evil" plan, Google has gone
green, installing solar panels at HQs.
|
|
Hoku Scientific
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
HOKU
|
$9.68
|
$8.09
|
$14.55
$2.52
|
-16%
|
|
Read "Solar
Giants
Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon,"
in the Oct. 2007 ezine, vol. 4, iss. 10. Contracted to build
a polysilicon facility in Idaho and supply Suntech, Sanyo
and Solar-Fabrik. Exiting the fuel cell business, in favor
of solar, according to the fiscal 1st Q 2008 earnings
report. The planned polysilicon manufacturing facility is
still in the financing stages. According to Dustin Shindo,
in the Hoku earnings report of 10.23.07, Hoku "received
letters of credit of $25 million and $45 million for two of
our polysilicon customers, Global Expertise Wafer Division,
a subsidiary of Solar-Fabrik Group, and Suntech, respectively,
to secure their prepayment obligations to us if we achieve
various milestones in the construction and operation of our
planned polysilicon plant." The $13 million line of credit
with Bank of Hawaii has allowed Hoku to commit capital to
the design and engineering of the plant, to purchase long
lead-time items such as the reactors, and to stay on schedule
for our planned 2009 product deliveries, according to a company
press release. Hoku Materials, plans to build and equip a
polysilicon production facility capable of producing up to
2,500 metric tons of polysilicon per year in Pocatello, Idaho.
Hoku Materials estimates the total cost to construct and equip
the polysilicon facility with an annual capacity of 2,500
metric tons will be approximately $300 million. Assuming the
financing can be obtained, Hoku anticipates the availability
of polysilicon beginning in the first half of calendar year
2009.
|
|
Intel
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
INTC
|
$19.13
|
$26.70
|
$27.71
$16.84
|
+40%
|
|
See "Apple
Chips," article
in vol. 4, iss 2. Intel is beating Advanced Micro Devices
in products and price. AMD is fighting back in court and by
slashing costs. The price war is tough on both, but easier
for Goliath to win. A Good Blue Chip long term hold
for your portfolio, with dividends. On 10.16.07, Intel announced
3rd quarter earnings: revenue of $10.1 billion,
operating income of $2.2 billion, net income of $1.9 billion
and earnings per share (EPS) of 31 cents. "A combination of
great products, strong and growing worldwide demand, and operational
efficiency from our ongoing restructuring efforts led to record
third-quarter revenue and a 64-percent year-over-year gain
in operating income," said Intel President and CEO Paul Otellini.
"Looking forward, we see each of these elements continuing
to improve into the fourth quarter." Meanwhile, in the
third quarter, AMD reported an operating loss of $226 million,
and a net loss of $396 million, or $0.71 per share. AMD completed
a $1.5 billion convertible debt offering and used the net
proceeds, together with available cash, to repay in full the
$1.7 billion outstanding balance of the term loan used to
acquire ATI.
|
|
Johnson & Johnson
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
JNJ
|
$61.65
$59.99
|
$67.88
|
$69.41
$59.77
|
+10% & +13%
|
|
Read the article, "Bionic
Baby Boomers,"
in vol. 4, iss. 7. Johnson & Johnson is a mega-cap corporation
with many products, and a small presence in the hip resurfacing
arena. Growth is 16% annually. Stable, dividend-paying Blue
Chip.
|
|
Krispy Kreme
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
KKD
|
$10.22
$2.59 (12.3.07)
|
$2.59
|
$13.83
$2.91
|
-75%
|
|
Have you visited
the Coffee Bean and Tea Leaf shops lately? Seen Krispy Kreme
doughnuts in the pastry case? KKD is expanding into Asia –
namely Macao, the Phillipines, Hong Kong, Indonesia and Japan.
There are currently approximately 296 Krispy Kreme stores
and 99 satellites operating system-wide in 41 U.S. states,
Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Kuwait, Mexico,
the Philippines, the Republic of South Korea, United Arab
Emirates and the United Kingdom. If you love their product,
KKD’s CEO has proven to be a turnaround specialist, and he’s
done a great job in the past. KKD caught up with all of their
SEC filings as of 1.29.07, and is looking to the future now.
Lynn Crump-Caine (a 30-year McDonald’s veteran) and C. Stephen
Lynn (former Chairman and CEO of Shoney’s and Sonic Corp.)
were recently added as directors. Missed analyst earnings
estimates on 9.15.07 for second straight quarter. Revenues
for the second quarter of fiscal 2008 decreased 7.5% to $104.1
million compared to $112.5 million in the second quarter of
last year. Company Stores revenues decreased 4.7% to $75.3
million, Franchise revenues were flat at $5.1 million and
KK Supply Chain revenues decreased 16.8% to $23.7 million.
KKD will announce earnings on 12/6/2007.
|
|
MEMC Electronics
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
WFR
|
$35.30 (11.11)
|
$76.29
|
$75.88
$31.94
|
+116%
|
|
MEMC was added to the S&P500
in August of 2007. Read "Sun
Powers Whole Foods,"
article in vol. 3, iss. 10. Silicon is in high demand, and
MEMC has been able to price its product and pick its customers
accordingly. On 7.25, the company reported earnings: 2Q net
sales were $472.7 million, which represents an increase of
7.3% from first quarter 2007 net sales of $440.4 million and
an increase of 27.6% over second quarter 2006 net sales of
$370.5 million. GAAP net income was $163.6 million MEMC will
receive $2.5 billion to $3 billion in revenue from sales of
the wafers over the 10-year period from Taiwan’s Gintech Energy
(solar). MEMC also will be eligible to purchase a 10 percent
interest in Gintech, as well as acquire the rights to a parcel
of land of about 1.7 hectares, or about 4.2 acres, located
within the Hsinchu Science Park. Supplies silicon ingots to
Suntech Power Holdings, and owns a stake in that company as
well. The CEO has cashed out over $78 million, and plans to
continue to "diversify" his holdings through 2010.
Investors have cashed out over $3 billion. This is colossal
insider selling, however, after decades of solar energy being
out of favor, this may be the first time the investors have
been able to roll out their decades long investments. According
to Memc’s Chief Executive Officer, Nabeel Gareeb, "I
am taking advantage of this open window to directly exercise
and sell approximately 10% of my outstanding options as part
of my estate diversification plan. I believe that MEMC remains
on a positive trajectory as indicated by the results over
the last five years, and I am confident about our future as
indicated by the long-term nature of this plan." Implemented
a 500 million share repurchase program in the 2nd
quarter of 2007.
|
|
National Health Investors
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
NHI
|
$29.89
|
$28.26
|
$35.54
$25.78
|
-5%
|
|
Get more information in vol.
4, iss. 9 in
the REITs article and accompanying stock report card. This
is a company that I featured in the April 2004 ezine at, believe
it or not, $29.89. There are rumors of a merger. We’ll watch
this in the next few months to see if the merger comes to
fruition and/or if the Santa Rally pushes up the stock.
|
|
NetGear
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
NTGR
|
$12.42
|
$33.81
|
$41.33
$16.64
|
+172%
|
|
Watch Natalie
Pace’s Exclusive Forbes.com Video Network Q&A with Patrick
Lo (from August 2006). Award Heaven! Patrick Lo, CEO,
won the Ernst & Young’s Entrepreneur of the Year Award
(on 6.16.06), NetGear was on Business Week’s Hot 100 list
(for the 2nd year), NetGear was awarded Best Buy’s
Bravo Award for Business Excellence and POPULAR MECHANICS
just gave NetGear’s Skype phone its Breakthrough Award. The
NETGEAR Skype WiFi phone is available online. It’s a great
product that allows you to connect to Skype and call anyone
worldwide anywhere there is a WiFi signal. An October 2006
report from Jupiter Research predicted that 20.4 million U.S.
households will subscribe to some form of Internet-based broadband
phone service by 2010. With all of the promising new products
(Skype phones), and the product alliance with Avaya, NetGear
is poised to continue strong growth. Earnings on 7.26.07:
2Q 2007 net revenue increased to $164.3 million, 26% year-over-year
growth. Net income of 6.1 million, or $0.17 per diluted share.
This net income was a decrease of 38% compared to net income
of $9.8 million for the second quarter of 2006 and a decrease
of 56% compared to net income of $14.0 million in the first
quarter of 2007. Net revenue by geography: North America,
38%; Europe, Middle-East and Africa, 52%; Asia Pacific, 10%.
|
|
News Corp.
Vol. 2, iss. 10
Dividends!
RISK: LOW
MySpace: 2006 Company of the
Year
|
No
|
NWS.A
|
$15.88
|
$21.05
|
$25.40
$18.18
|
+33%
|
|
Owns Fox TV and film studios, MySpace,
and print publications. Sold DirecTV. News Corp. has completed
$2.5 billion of a $3.0 billion buyback program initiated last
June, and increased the stock buyback program to $6.0 billion.
DVDs include: Ice Age: The Meltdown and X-Men. Theatrical
hits include: Borat, The Devil Wears Prada, Little Miss
Sunshine, Napoleon Dynamite, Die Hard and The Simpsons Movie.
MySpace CEO Chris DeWolfe and President Tom Anderson were
our Executives
of the Year in 2006.
Read the article in vol. 3, iss. 1. Spam issues have lead
California teens to jump over to FaceBook. If Myspace were
led by less capable, passionate executives, I’d be plenty
worried right now. We’ll monitor, but with the addition of
video and the strong music fan base, it’s hard to imagine
MySpace imploding. According to Gabe, 17, from Santa Monica,
"I use Facebook more. It’s become the easier thing. MySpace
has been corrupted by aliens – all of these hackers who send
people adverts." The WGA contract was up on October 31,
and the writers began striking on Monday, November 5, 2007.
The SAG and DGA contracts expire in June 2008. Although the
studios have all ramped up production to stave off the effects
of a strike by the unions, a strike could certainly parch
the investor appetite in film companies, even if it doesn’t
cripple profits. Though many believe the WGA union spokesperson
has been too aggressive and the studios have been too recalcitrant
about cutting writers in on a fair piece of new media, the
strikers are out in full force and receiving a lot of support
from the stars who speak their lines on hit shows.
|
|
Opsware
RISK: LOW
2004 Company of the Year
|
No
|
OPSW
|
$1.80
|
$14.24
|
$14.25
$6.25
|
+690%
|
|
Hewlett-Packard announced that
they would be acquiring Opsware for $14.25/share on 7.23.07!
Named to Deloitte and Touche's prestigious Technology Fast
50 Program for Silicon Valley on 10.26.06. Cisco distributes
Opsware’s products worldwide. Opsware automates the complete
IT lifecycle and enables IT to automatically discover, provision,
patch, configure, secure, change, scale, audit, recover, consolidate,
migrate, and reallocate servers, network devices and applications.
Over 350 of the world's largest companies, outsourcers and
government agencies use Opsware to deliver this new, automated
model of IT. Read the 2004
Company of the Year article in vol. 1, iss. 44. Surpassed
$100 million in revenue for full year 2006 ($101.7 million),
up 67% over the prior year! (Don’t buy now. The price won’t
get above $14.25, as that is the acquisition price.)
|
|
OSI Pharmaceuticals
RISK: HIGH
2005 Company of the Year
|
No
|
OSIP
|
$72.18
$36.86
$33.00 (4.1.07)
|
$47.41
|
$47.30
$30.17
|
-34% &
+29% &
+44%
|
|
NataliePace.com’s 2005
Company of the Year.
Read vol. 1, iss. 56. Announced 2Q 2007 earnings on July 30,
2007. Tarceva is the genetic based "cancer pill,"
and sales have been exploding, up to $402 million in 2006,
after being approved by the FDA in just 2004. OSIP is a partner
of Genentech (DNA) and Roche. OSIP is now testing Tarceva
as an application for other cancers, including lung cancer.
Industry sales data has placed the cancer drug market's value
at more than $20 billion annually and it is growing fast.
Institutional holdings of OSIP increased significantly on
11.22.07.
|
|
Satcon
VERY HIGH RISK
Micro Cap
|
No
|
SATC
|
$1.24
$1.04
(9.1.07)
|
$1.45
|
$1.73
$.73
|
+17% & +39%
|
|
Read the article, "Golf
Carts and Sports Cars,"
from vol. 4, iss. 6. Reported 3Q 2007 results on November
15, 2007. " Who are SatCon’s customers? On June 27, 2007,
SatCon announced that its PowerGate(R) commercial grade inverters
had been installed as an integral part of Google's corporate
headquarters in Mountain View, California. The 1.6MW system
is the largest commercial photovoltaic system in the United
States. Revenues increased 147% over last year to $21.0 million.
Losses from Operations declined to $1.2 million from $3.5
million in 2006. Sales Order backlog was approximately $47
million at the end of the quarter, a 78% increase over last
year. SATC expects to achieve annual revenues for 2007 on
the order of $55 million compared to 2006 annual revenues
of $34 million, an increase of over 60%.
|
|
Sirius
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
SIRI
|
$3.85
$2.90 (6.1.07)
|
$3.88
|
$4.84
$2.72
|
Flat &
+34%
|
|
Sirius and XM Satellite Radio issued
a joint press release on February 20, 2007 saying that they
will combine the companies. Mel Karmazin remains CEO of the
combined company, while Gary Parsons, the CEO of XM-SR, will
become the Chairman. The merger is being challenged in Congress.
This story is developing and we will keep you posted. In the
meantime, Sirius has launched backseat tv on Chrysler cars
beginning in 2008, and is a factory installed option for Land
Rovers and Mini hard tops. Institutional holdings of SIRI
increased significantly on 11.22.07. Exceeded analyst earnings
estimates for second straight quarter on 10.31.07. Shares
rocketed on 11.30.07, after Bear Stearns analyst Robert Pek
said that, the Justice Department's junior staffers will attempt
to block the deal, but senior members will likely rule in
favor of the merger allowing Sirius to buy out its larger
counterpart, XM.
|
|
Smith &
Nephew
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
SNN
|
$60.94
$57.17
(9.16.07)
|
$58.82
|
$66.10
$36.70
|
-3.4% &
+3%
|
|
Read the article
in vol.
4, iss. 7. Announces earnings on 11.1.07. Smith and Nephew
are the first movers in the fast-growing US hip resurfacing
marketplace. The company is based out of London, England,
and with a market cap of $10.57 billion is a good diversification
strategy for your portfolio, in addition to having a piece
of an exploding marketplace. Price-to-cash-flow ratio well
below industry average on 9.16.07.
Withdrew 185
of its BIRMINGHAM HIP* Resurfacing System implants following
a packaging error at a subcontractor on Aug. 16, 2007. Smith
& Nephew's investigation confirms that this problem is
confined to a small number of batches. A number of implants
have already been recovered in their packaging. The devices
have been distributed to a number of countries, including
the UK and the US. Proactive notification is a good sign of
the moral code of the executive suite, but bad products can
be Lawsuit City if they were implanted. This is a developing
story.
|
|
Sohu (Chinese Co. ADR)
Small Cap
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$17.52
|
$59.44
|
$56.82
$20.23
|
+239%
|
|
See NataliePace.com ezines, vol.
3, issue 4 and
vol.
2, issue 9 for
feature articles on Sohu. Dr. Charles Zhang, the Chairman
and CEO of Sohu.com, is one of our CEOs
of the year in 2007.
Read the articles in vol. 4, iss. 1. You can watch a Q&A
with Dr. Charles Zhang in an exclusive interview I
did on the Forbes.com
Video Network.
Sohu was selected as the official sponsor of Internet Content
Service (ICS) for the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games. Could
be some bumps in the road between now and Beijing Olympics
2008, which should ultimately be worth it. Share price jumped
in early July 2007 and has been strong since!
|
|
SunTech Holdings Co. Ltd (Green
& Chinese Co. ADR)
RISK: LOW
2007 Company of the Year
|
No
|
STP
|
$25.83
$34.01 (1.1.07)
|
$81.30
|
$84.94
$29.25
|
+215% & +139%
|
|
See vol. 4, iss. 1 for our Company
of the Year article,
which names SunTech the Company of 2007. Beat analyst earnings
expectations on 8.10.07. Also, check out vol.
3, issue 10,
and vol.
2, iss. 12 for
our articles on solar energy. On February 21, 2007, Suntech’s
CEO, Dr. Shi joined the Global Roundtable on Climate Change
which is part of the Earth Institute of Columbia University
in the City of New York. The Global Roundtable brings together
more than 100 high-level, critical stakeholders from all regions
of the world. Suntech will supply solar modules with an aggregate
output of 23.2MW to Atersa for installation in the Photovoltaic
Grid Connection Park in the Extremadura region of Spain, the
world’s largest solar power plant. SunTech is also the official
solar provider of the 2008 Beijing Olympics, so expect that
it will enjoy a lot of buzz over the next 18 months. Announced
earnings on 8.9.07: total net revenues grew 147.7% year-over-year
to $317.4 million. Annualized PV cell production capacity
expansion is on track to reach 480MW by the end of 2007. "Our
sales demand has been so strong that we have already signed
contracts to deliver over 150MW of our PV modules in 2008.
To put that in perspective, that is nearly equal to Suntech's
entire output in 2006,'' CEO Shi said, commenting on the development
of "semiconductor finger technology." Dr. Shi is
one of our Executives
of the Year in 2007. Read the article in vol. 4, iss.
1. Suntech picked up more clients at the 2007 Solar Conference
in Long Beach in August 2007, adding Irvine, Calif.'s Lumeta
and Los Gatos, Calif.-based Akeena Solar. In June 2007, Suntech
signed a 10 year supply deal for polysilicon from Hawaii's
Hoku Scientific. Institutional holdings of STP increased significantly
on November 22, 2007.
|
|
T. Rowe Price Em Eur & Mediterranean
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
TREMX
|
$20.72
|
$39.01
|
$40.00
$12.00
|
+88%
|
|
See vol.
4, issue 3 and
vol.
2, issue 8 for
articles on why Eastern EU rocks, while Western EU stalls.
Great way to diversify, as well as to add growth. Go global
with the emerging countries. Avoid the countries in the EU
that are stalling in economic growth, like Germany and France.
International investing in the right sectors and countries
pays off! Upgraded to top Morningstar return rating in its
category on 7.27.07. Upgraded to Morningstar 5-star rating
on 8.12.07. (We first featured this rock star mutual fund
back in August of 2005!)
|
|
Time-Warner
(owns AOL)
Dividends!
RISK: Low
|
No
|
TWX
|
$16.76
|
$17.20
|
$23.15
$15.70
|
+3%
|
|
See vol. 3, issue 9, "eBay’s
Skype
Outpaces News Corp.’s MySpace"
for a report card that features Time-Warner. TWX’s The
Departed won Best Picture of the Year! AOL and Time-Warner
have finally figured out how to work together. Former Chairman
& CEO Richard D. Parsons, successfully fought off Carl
Icahn, and Mr. Parsons has proven to be a decisive and visionary
leader in other matters as well. Effective November 5, 2007,
he has stepped down as CEO, but will remain chairman. Jeffrey
Bewkes is the new CEO. From 2002-2005, Mr. Bewkes was chairman
of the Time Warner entertainment and networks grop, and in
2006, he became President and COO, overseeing all of the divisions
at Time Warner. Prior to his work at the corporate headquarters,
he was the CEO of HBO. Under his leadership, HBO became the
world's most profitable TV network, while securing its reputation
for critically acclaimed original programming, movies, documentaries,
concerts and sports, as well as leadership in new technologies
such as HBO On Demand. Reported 3Q earnings on Nov. 7,
2007. Revenues are up 9% from $10.7 billion last year to $11.7
billion this year, operating income is up 29% to $2.1 billion
from $1.6 billion. Free cash flow is $4 billion. Net debt
is $35.3 billion, increasing $1.9 billion from the end of
2006 due to the stock repurchase program. Company has completed
$2.2 billion of an announced $5 billion stock repurchase program,
and is no track to complete ½ of the buyback by the end of
2007. The WGA contract was up on October 31, while the SAG
and DGA contracts expire in June 2008. Although the studios
have all ramped up production to stave off the effects of
a strike by the unions, a strike could certainly parch the
investor appetite in film companies, even if it doesn’t cripple
profits. Though many believe the WGA union spokesperson has
been too aggressive and the studios have been too recalcitrant
about cutting writers in on a fair piece of new media, the
strikers are out in full force and receiving a lot of support
from the stars who speak their lines on hit shows.
|
|
Trina Solar Limited
RISK: Medium
Chinese-based ADR
|
No
|
TSL
|
$44.08 &
$43.18 (6.15.07)
|
$46.27
|
$73.06
$17.05
|
+5% &
+7%
|
|
See vol. 4, iss. 4 for the article
"Green
Hits the Mainstream,"
and vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for other articles
on solar energy. This is a profitable solar energy company,
based out of China. The international management team is very
strong, as are sales, growth and profitability. Share price
jumped in early July 2007. Institutional holdings increased
significantly on 9.12.07, per MSN.com. Announced 2Q 2007 earnings
on 8.23.07. Net revenues increased 77% over the last quarter
and 160% over the last year to $75.3 million. Net income increased
51.4% over the last quarter and 540% over the last year to
$7.2 million.
|
|
UQM Technologies
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
UQM
|
$3.97
$3.10 (12.5.07)
|
$3.10
|
$5.48
$2.19
|
-22%
|
|
Read the
article, "Golf
Carts and Sports Cars,"
from vol. 4, iss. 6.
|
|
U.S. Gold
RISK: VERY
HIGH
|
Yes
|
UXG
|
$5.05
$3.30 on
12.3.07
|
$3.30
|
$10.30
$.35
|
-35%
|
|
Began
trading on the AMEX stock exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades
on the Toronto Stock Exchange.) See the feature interview
with CEO
and Chairman Rob McEwen
in vol. 3, iss. 2, and click to hear Natalie
Pace’s Q&A with Rob McEwen
on the Forbes.com Video Network. Note: U.S. Gold is not producing
gold at this time; is it a gold exploration company, based
in Nevada. Rob McEwen, Chairman and CEO, was awarded the "Most
Innovative CEO" award in 2006 by Canadian Business magazine
in its fifth annual "All-Star Execs roundup." Motley
Fool added U.S. Gold to their "5 Low-Priced, High-Star
Stocks" on 2.6.07. As more press comes on board, the
price should reflect the wooing of Wall Street investors.
(Now, if the company strikes gold, we’ll all be geniuses…)
UXG is "continuing their aggressive drilling and exploration
program at our top-priority targets: Keystone, Limousine Butte,
Gold Bar, and Tonkin." Read the article above for more detailed
info on this gold exploration company. Rob McEwen, Chairman
and CEO, was appointed to the Order of Canada, the country's
highest civilian honor on July 3, 2007. Rob is one of 71 new
appointments announced by Her Excellency, the Right Honorable
Michaelle Jean, Governor General of Canada. U.S. Gold was
added to the Russell 3000 on July 3, 2007.
On October
4, 2007 UXG announced results from its recently expanded exploration
portfolio in Nevada. At Tonkin, the best gold assay results
were 0.147 opt (ounces per ton) over 55 ft. (feet) (5.030
gpt (grams per tonne) over 16.8 m (meters)) and 0.115 opt
over 23.9 ft. (3.937 gpt over 7.3 m); and at our Limo Project
0.166 opt over 26 ft. (5.685 gpt over 7.9 m) and 0.052 opt
over 184.5 ft. (1.781 gpt over 56.2 m).
"Since our
last exploration release on June 12, 2007, assay results from
44 holes totaling 35,964 feet of drilling have been received.
We haven't hit any home runs yet, but we are on base and it
is early in the game. We have advanced our understanding of
the geology and confirmed that we have encountered wide sections
of the right rock types to host a Carlin style gold deposit.
In addition, we are fortunate to have a large land holding
in a prospective area and a healthy treasury to fund our objective
of exploring aggressively for the next Cortez Hills discovery.
I must emphasize that exploration is the research and development
of the mining industry, and it is typically a frustratingly
slow and expensive process with low odds of success. The results
in this press release are positive and encouraging, but not
thrilling," said Rob McEwen, Chairman and CEO.
Ann Carpenter,
President, Chief Operating Officer and Director of the Company,
resigned on 11.17.07. Rob McEwen, CEO AND Chairman, remains
in charge and will provide an update on the status of their
exploration in the near future, according to a spokesperson
at the company.
|
|
World Water & Power
VERY HIGH RISK
Trading off the boards
|
No
|
WWAT
|
$.59
|
$1.93
|
$2.52
$.22
|
+227%
|
|
See vol. 4, iss. 4 for the article
Green
Hits the Mainstream,
and vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for articles on
solar energy. This is a very high-risk company in the solar-energy/water
purification sector. CEO Quentin Kelly was invited by Governor
Schwarzenegger to join him on the Governor’s tour of Canada,
during the California-Canada Conference on Clean Technologies
in Vancouver. Mr. Kelley was selected due to WWAT’s leading
role in building prominent solar energy projects in California,
including the recently-announced Fresno airport solar complex
as well as the largest solar-powered agricultural system in
the world and only self-sustaining water utility. Announced
on August 9, 2007, that they would be delivering 10 Mobile
MaxPure units for use in Darfur, Sudan. The portable solar
driven water pumping and purifying units, purchased for an
aggregate of $775,000, will provide approximately 30,000 gallons
of safe drinking water daily at each of 10 sites across the
ravaged desert region. Deliveries are scheduled for late September/October
with installation in October/November. Financial terms of
the contract were not disclosed. Financial results on 8.13.07:
Revenue for the second quarter was $2.2 million, compared
with $1.8 million reported in the second quarter of 2006.
Net loss for the second quarter of 2007 was $2.8 million,
or $(0.02) per share, compared to a loss of $2.0 million,
or $(0.01) per share, in the second quarter of 2006. The 2007
second quarter reflects an increase in marketing and sales
expense tied to the Company's aggressive growth goals. According
to Quentin T. Kelly, Chairman and CEO, "We have a $200 million
pipeline of potential contracts plus additional large, pending
projects. We believe WorldWater has the unique, proprietary
technology and resources to offer the most cost-efficient
solutions to a world demanding clean, renewable energy."
On May 24, 2007 WorldWater &
Solar Technologies Corp. announced the signing of a Strategic
Memorandum of Understanding that is expected to lead to the
expansion and increased efficiency of the marketing and sales
forces of both companies. WorldWater is an international solar
engineering and water management company with unique, high-powered
solar technology providing solutions to power and water supply
problems; Solargenix is in the business of maximizing patented
solar collection technology and other patents and know-how
to convert the sun’s light into a variety of temperature ranges
for thermal heat, with worldwide experience in energy and
environmental engineering, solar design and building construction.
The Companies expect to offer a full spectrum of solar power
capabilities for industrial, residential and commercial buildings
-- from lighting to heating, from driving motors and pumps
to hot water supply and HVAC. The companies believe that these
collaborative applications of their respective technologies
will contribute to increased marketing and sales with attendant
increased revenues, profitability and market shares for both
companies.
|
|
Wilderhill Clean Energy Portfolio
(Green ETF)
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
PBW
|
$16.82
|
$24.08
|
$25.38
$14.97
|
+43%
|
|
See vol.
3, issue 10,
and vol.
2, iss. 12 for
articles on solar energy. This is a well-managed "smart"
ETF, which updates its holdings regularly, but falls and rises
on the good or bad news of alternative energy companies which
it may not even hold in the portfolio. Fell earlier this year
on bad news at Evergreen Solar, with regard to silicon supply,
even though Evergreen Solar was not a major holding. Top holdings
on 1.12.07: SunPower, OM Group, Ballard, Energy Conversion
Devices, SunTech, Ormat, Evergreen, Ormat and MEMC Electronic
Materials.
|
|
WisdomTree
RISK: HIGH
|
Yes
|
WSDT
|
$8.70
$2.85
(12.3.07)
|
$2.85
|
$9.94
$2.85
|
-67%
|
|
See vol. 4,
issue 3, "Money
Grows on WisdomTrees." This is a well-managed "smart"
ETF, which updates its holdings regularly, and trades on earnings
instead of market cap. Trading off the boards with a war chest
of capital and a former SEC chairman as one of the senior
advisors.
|
|
Yahoo
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
YHOO
|
$27.71
$24.38 (9.1.07)
|
$27.11
|
$33.74
$22.27
|
Flat &
+11%
|
|
Annouces earnings on 10.16.07.
We just re-added Yahoo to the list effective 6.15.07. Over
the past few years, Yahoo has waxed and waned (and as a result
has been on this list and on the Cooling Off list). New President/former
CFO Susan Decker reports that,"As we look ahead, we are very
excited about the transformational changes taking place on
the Internet, creating greater opportunities for both users
and marketers, and we are confident that Yahoo! has the right
combination of assets to help lead this evolution." Yahoo
execs have been saying that for years now, and still under-delivering
relative to their peers, like Google, but with Terry Semel
coaching (as non-executive Chairman) and Jerry Wang leading
(as CEO) can Yahoo jumpstart their stalled potential? Why
do we believe her this time? eBay’s CEO Meg Whitman has just
put a lot of ads on Yahoo, which were previously the exclusive
domain of Google. According to the Associated Press, the move
is "a test to see whether it could get more bang for
its buck if it increased its spending on other search engines,
including Yahoo, IAC/InterActiveCorp.'s Ask.com and Microsoft
Corp.'s MSN." If Yahoo really does have their game together
this time, then the ad dollars might stick around and even
grow. We’ll keep reporting more, but with the sleeping giant
Yahoo, which still tops the Internet sites with registered
users, time online and page views (along with Google, Myspace,
AOL and MSN), even the first sign of waking is worth noting!
Former CEO Terry Semel stepped down officially on June 18,
in an amicable move, without taking a severence compensation
with him. The Financial Times reports that his compensation
package of $71.7M in 2006 was the highest among S&P500
chief executives surveyed by The Associated Press. Semel has
already exercised options valued at more than $450 million,
not including the 2006 compensation (so he can afford to "resign"
and forego the severance package). The new advertising platform,
code-named Panama, is expected to help revenues in the current
quarter, according to the Financial Times.
|
|
Zoltec
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
ZOLT
|
$43.24
|
$43.24
|
$51.77
$18.34
|
--
|
|
Read the article "Clean
Energy Rolls Out Worldwide,"
in vol. 4, iss. 12.
|
Sony (NYSE:
SNE) and Sunoco (NYSE: SUN) both had great runs for the list! LifeCell
(NASDAQ: LIFC) posted over 180% gains before being moved to the
Cooling Off list. Bioteq Environmental (TSE: BQE) had 144% gains.
Rio Tinto was removed on 11.15.2006 with 145% gains. Las Vegas Sands
was removed on January 5, 2007 with 139% gains, Agilent on 2.1.07
with flat performance, and RELM Wireless was taken off with 3% gains
on 2.1.07. Blockbuster ran up 82.5% in gains, which we cashed in
on February 12, 2007. Intuit, deleted in June 2007, was a wash for
us – up and down. Macerich posted 150% gains between May 2003 (when
it was first featured) and September 2007 (when it was removed from
the list). Jet Blue was removed on December 5, 2007 with losses
of 24-45%. Still love the airline as a consumer, but oil prices
are killing the industry.
Stocks
to Watch
Great
Companies. The companies that are listed are worthy of watching.
Some we’re watching to add to the Cooling Off list and some for
the Hot List.
Recent
Additions (added on 12.05.07):
Emcore
International
Rectifier
Recent
Deletions:
Advanced
Micro Devices on 12.05.07
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when featured
|
Price
12.3.07
|
Year High
Year Low
|
Gains since original feature
|
|
Boston Properties
|
No
|
BXP
|
$101.24
|
$97.40
|
$133.02
$91.25
|
-4%
|
|
Get more information in vol.
4, iss. 9 in
the REITs article. Boston Properties looks great. Think that
the office building REITs may begin to come under pressure
sometime in 2007. Will be monitoring cash flow, capital spending,
productivity, salaries, GDP growth and other signs of the
business economy, which are the customers of Boston Properties.
|
|
Emcore
|
No
|
EMKR
|
$8.74
|
$8.74
|
$11.00
$3.84
|
--
|
|
EMCORE Corp (EMCORE), is a provider
of compound semiconductor-based components and subsystems
for the broadband, fiber optic, satellite and terrestrial
solar power markets. The Company operates in two segments:
Fiber Optics and Photovoltaics.
|
|
General Electric
|
No
|
GE
|
$39.90
|
$37.18
|
$41.16
$32.20
|
-7%
|
|
See the article, "Green
San Jose Company," in vol. 4, iss. 8.
|
|
General Motors
|
No
|
GM
|
$29.05
(12.3)
|
$29.05
|
$43.20
$24.52
|
--
|
|
See the article "Faded
Blue Chips" in vol. 3, issue 8. Almost every
risk factor which GM listed in the annual report has occurred
– prices for parts are higher due to the metals commodity
crunch and gas prices have turned consumers to gas efficient
vehicles. GM still has an enormous overhead that impedes its
ability to be profitable in the global landscape. Investors
got excited late Sept. 2007 about a tentative deal with the
United Auto Workers Union, however, expenses are still too
high and the cars are still too unpopular. I’ve not highlighted
this company because the CEO is doing a spectacular job in
an awfully challenging landscape. Want to check out the focus
on new products, including the electric car, and will be doing
a full report soon. Not a short, but certainly not a company
that one would expect to be turned around overnight.
|
|
International Rectifier
|
No
|
IRF
|
$32.68
|
$32.68
|
$44.36
$30.47
|
--
|
|
International Rectifier Corporation
is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of power management
product devices, which use power semiconductors. The Company's
products are used in a variety of end applications, including
computers, communications networking, consumer electronics,
energy-efficient appliances, lighting, satellites, launch
vehicles, aircraft and automotive diesel injection.
|
|
Macerich
|
No
|
MAC
|
$82.49
|
$77.12
|
$103.59
$71.22
|
-6.5%
|
|
Get more information in vol.
4, iss. 9 in
the REITs article. We first featured Macerich in May of 2003,
when it was trading at $33/share. In September, the signs
were pointing toward a cooling off in retail shopping center
REITs, so we removed the company from our Hot News list (meaning
that we’re capping the performance at 150% gains). There is
a good chance that the Santa Rally will enthrall investors,
and push the MAC price up, even though it is in the decidedly
unpopular REITs industry. We’ll look to putting MAC on the
Cooling Off list in January 2008, or if interim news warrant
it earlier.
|
|
Microsoft
|
No
|
MSFT
|
$28.34
|
$33.33
|
$36.81
$21.45
|
+18%
|
|
World’s largest software company.
$31 billion in cash. Launched Zune on Nov. 14, 2006 and Vista
earlier this year. New products have not received "buzz"
or outstanding sales. Great blue chip for your long term portfolio
because with the war chest and talent at MSFT, even this year’s
assembly line of flops shouldn’t bring the company down, although
it may bring out the firing rod. Will pressure come down on
Steve Ballmer, CEO? Trading near the 52-week high, so waiting
for a better buy-in opportunity might yield better returns.
|
Cooling
Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share
Price).
Note: The companies
listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling off list
and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value. Investors
who have them in their portfolio should read the recent news and
consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump losses,
short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while keeping
the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always consult
your certified financial partner before making adjustments to your
portfolio. (Again, note, that the stocks on this chart are expected
to go DOWN in price.)
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
Wells
Fargo
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when added to Cooling
Off List
|
Price 12.3.07
|
52-week High
52-week Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
Fannie Mae
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
FNM
|
$60.38
$68.75
(5.25.07)
|
$36.45
|
$70.57
$26.38
|
-40% &
-47%
|
|
Spending $1 billion on accounting
fees related to the accounting scandal. Investors are still
in to the tune of $58.44 billion…. Are you? Better check your
mutual funds. The recent subprime lending fallout doesn’t
bode well for FNM. According to the AP, "Maintaining
strong asset quality position will be a challenge for Fannie
Mae, given the recent weakening of housing values from the
very strong levels seen over the last few years." Standard
and Poor’s has a negative outlook on Fannie Mae. December
14 annual meeting for shareholders will be held at 10:00 a.m.,
EST, at the Hilton Washington in Washington DC. Fannie Mae
is chartered, but not funded or guaranteed, by the U.S. government.
It’s funded completely with private capital, and is one of
the top holdings in some of the most popular mutual funds.
i.e. you might own it. 3rd quarter net income loss
was $1.5 billion. FNM expects that the housing crunch and
credit tightening will continue to adversely impact their
financial results in 2007 and 2008, according to the 3rd
quarter earnings report.
|
|
KB Home
RISK: MEDIUM HIGH
|
No
|
KBH
|
$59.00
|
$21.03
|
$56.08
$23.79
|
-64%
|
|
CEO Bruce Karatz resigned under
pressure Oct. 2006, after SEC investigation of backdating
options. Read the article, "Rupert Murdoch, Nobel Laureates
and Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out Where They Are Investing,"
from volume 2, issue 5. In May 2005, we called REITs a burnout
sector, and the fallout should continue, with high home prices,
rising interest rates, people backing out of contracts and
rising inventory. On June 28, 2007, KBH reported a loss from
continuing operations of $174.2 million or $2.26 per diluted
share in the second quarter of 2007, largely due to a pretax,
non-cash charge of $308.2 million related to inventory and
joint venture impairments and the abandonment of land option
contracts. In the second quarter of 2006, the Company generated
income from continuing operations of $184.4 million or $2.20
per diluted share. Revenues totaled $1.41 billion in the second
quarter of 2007, down from $2.20 billion in the year-earlier
quarter, due to a decline in housing revenues that was partly
offset by an increase in land sale revenues.
|
|
Novastar Financial
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
NFI
|
$28.04 &
$36.53 (6.15.07)
|
$3.01
|
$526.08
$4.17
|
-89% &
-92%
|
|
See the article (Sub)
Prime Time in the May 2007 ezine, vol. 4, iss. 5.
On July 27, 2007, Novastar announced a reverse stock split.
As a result of the reverse stock split, every four shares
of common stock were changed into one share of common stock.
|
|
Toll Brothers
RISK: MEDIUM HIGH
|
No
|
TOL
|
$37.82
|
$21.22
|
$35.64
$18.85
|
-44%
|
|
Robert Toll, CEO, and brother Bruce
Toll have been on an insider selling spree, totaling hundreds
of millions, since May 2005 (source: MoneyCentral.Msn.com).
Read the article, "Rupert Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and
Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out Where They Are Investing,"
from volume 2, issue 5 in 2005, when we first reported on
REITs as a burned out sector. There is a pending securities
action complaint, from June 2007, alleging that Toll Brothers
"and one or more members of its senior management, violated
federal securities laws by issuing various materially false
and misleading statements that had the effect of artificially
inflating the market price of the Company's securities and
causing Class members to overpay for the securities."
On August 22, 2007, TOL will announce 2Q earnings. You can
access the call on their website at: www.tollbrothers.com.
|
|
Wells
Fargo
|
No
|
WFC
|
$31.97
|
$31.97
|
$37.99
$29.44
|
--
|
|
See Wells
Fargo’sGreat Depression,
in vol. 4, iss. 12.
|
The following
companies were taken off of the Cooling Off list effective 10.16.06:
Verisign (+15%). IMClone (-11%). Yahoo (-28%). LifeCell was removed
on 7.2.07 with -4.5% overall performance. (The cooling off list
anticipates that a company will lose share price value.) Google
was added on 7.16.07 and then removed on 8.1.07 with losses of -6.7%.
General Motors was removed on 10.01.07 with mixed performance.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We are a
publishing, media and information center. This article is intended
to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors
a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly
traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be
buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult
an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or
selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
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NataliePace.com
Calendar:
Don’t
Miss the Get Rich and EnRich Retreat featuring Natalie Pace, Michael
Bernard Beckwith and Dr. Rickie Byars Beckwith on January 2-5, 2008.
You must be it, in order to do it. Experience the rich life with
us and change your life now and forever.

Photo: View of the Santa Monica Pier from the Loews
Santa Monica Beach Hotel © Loews
The NataliePace.com
Calendar section features conferences, retreats, educational
opportunities, cultural events, galas, market events and online
chats with executives and VIPs. Stay plugged in! Visit our calendar
section often.
See below for
just a few of the amazing educational and networking opportunities
that world-class organizations are offering for you. To access links
to the event website and registration, go to the Calendar
section at NataliePace.com.
GreenXChange Conference, Los Angeles, CA
Monday, December 10th, 2007
Top
private and public decision makers who buy, manufacture, sell, finance,
endorse and legislate green technologies, products, innovations
and services. An Inconvenient Truth Director Davis Guggenheim
will speak.
Mid-Month
Update: Hot News on Cool Stocks
Monday,
December 17th, 2007
Look
for our mid-month update on the home page between noon and 7:00
p.m. You can access the article under the online magazines link
as well!
Global
Peace Meditation Day
Saturday,
December 22nd, 2007
The
Club of Budapest and The World Peace Prayer Society are sponsoring
a worldwide event to celebrate the Winter Solstice.
New
NataliePace.com Ezine!
Friday,
December 28th, 2007
The
new January 2008 ezine will be posted between 9 a.m. and 8 p.m.
PT. Don't Miss our Special Company of the Year feature article!
New
Year's Meditation Retreat, LA, CA
Saturday,
December 29, 2007-January 1, 2008
Don’t
Go Into The New Year Without A New You! Facilitated by Rev. Michael
Bernard Beckwith, featured teacher of the Secret.
Living
the Rich Life Retreat, Santa Monica, CA
Wednesday,
January 2-5, 2008
Attend
this 4-day beachfront retreat and create a new Living the Rich Life
plan, learn Natalie's trade-marked 3-ingredient recipe for cooking
up profits and attend Reverend Michael Bernard Beckwith's Agape
Sanctuary! Email Heather@NataliePace.
Mid-Month
Update: Hot News on Cool Stocks)
Monday,
January 14th, 2008
The
mid-month update of the hot news on cool stocks report will be published
on or before 5:00 p.m. PT. Check online before noon, just in case
we get it out early!
Wagner's
Tristan und Isolde at the Los Angeles Opera
Saturday,
January 19th, 2008
David
Hockney designs. Bold and fanciful, eye dazzling, creating a "tone
of antic freshness, of fairy-tale legend filtered through adult
(and adulterous) fantasy, according to the NY Times.
5th
WSF World Spirit Forum: Zurich, Switzerland
Sunday,
January 20th, 2008
WSF
hosts spiritual and religious and political and social activists
to gather and develop a plan for a unified humanity with equity
and solutions for global concerns.
FOMC
Meeting
Tuesday,
January 29-30, 2008
The
Federal Reserve Board governors meet to determine whether inflation
is more of a factor than the housing pullback and subprime defaults.
Will the Feds keep the rate where it is, raise it or lower it?
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VISION: To build
a global community of investors through a worldwide website, seminars,
radio, television and print partners.
GOAL: To provide high-quality, first-run, ethical financial news,
information and education, presented in an entertaining format,
across all media (television, radio, print and online).
MISSION: To provide the news, information and education investors
need to make better choices and to make investing as much fun
as shopping.
PHILOSOPHY: Member Mosaic. Piecing together a more complete picture
of the publicly traded company, one tile at a time, by valuing
firsthand consumer experience, conducting evaluations of the executive
team and lining up the numbers of the publicly-traded company
with its competitors in a Stock Report Card.
For more information on NataliePace.com contact us at
www.NataliePace.com,
P.O. Box 1350, Santa Monica, CA 90406-1350
or 1-866.476.7442
(toll-free telephone number).
NOTICE: NataliePace.com is NOT a stock brokerage service,
and does not operate or act as one.
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