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Vol.4 Issue 12 December 1st, 2007
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Quote of the Month:
"American Superconductor’s backlog of orders exceeds $180 million, with growth primarily driven by the wind energy market. AMSC expects the Asia-Pacific marketplace to account for up to 50% of sales in fiscal year 2007."

Natalie Pace
From the article, "Clean Energy Rolls Out Worldwide".


Clean Energy Rolls Out Worldwide.

by Natalie Pace.

Includes a Clean Energy Stock Report Card.

Remember when cell phones were the size of toasters and solar panels were about as easy to lift as King Kong? Few imagined fifteen years ago that businessmen would have cell phones holstered in their belts or that volunteers could roof a home with solar panels in less than a day, but Solar for Weaklings has indeed arrived, and quite honestly, friends, this is the breakthrough I’ve been hoping for. For years, I’ve had difficulty hunting down even a solar brochure at Home Depot, and next year I should be able to roof my own home with solar panels that are available at every home improvement store across the land!

Photos:Joe Polimeni/Energy Conversion Devices.

On July 22, governors of several states participated in building a Habitat for Humanity home powered by the UNI-SOLAR® lightweight, flexible thin-film solar panels. United Solar Ovonic, a wholly owned subsidiary of Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: ENER) unveiled this new residential solar product for the Habitat for Humanity home this summer, showcased the product again at the Emmy® Awards on September 17th, and will have the product available to the public by the end of 2007, according to the company. (The sun canopy that was installed at the Emmys® will be transferred to the CHIME Charter Middle School, located in Chatsworth, California.)

Solar is a popular choice among the Fortune 500 companies, many of which are committed to becoming green, because photovoltaic converts sunlight directly into electrical power, operates silently and unattended, has no moving parts, emits zero emission, requires no storage of hazardous fuels, lasts a long time, is low maintenance and doesn’t multiply into additional operating costs. UNI-SOLAR’s worldwide customer base includes General Motors, which has installed the solar panels on two of its California facilities.

Two years ago, Energy Conversion Devices was a favorite on Wall Street for powering hybrid cars, but today the company's solar business represents 89 percent of total revenues, at $41.9 million in the most recent quarter. The substantial increase in demand for UNI-SOLAR(R) laminates came from growing domestic orders, as well as strong international demand from customers in Italy, France and Germany.

Revenues in the first quarter of fiscal 2008 were $47.0 million, up 31 percent from prior-quarter revenues of $36.0 million and up 73 percent from $27.2 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2007. ECD reported a net loss for the period of $7.6 million, or $0.19 per share, compared to a net loss of $2.3 million, or $0.06 per share, in the year-ago period, but still has $156 million in cash and short-term investments. About a third of the quarterly loss -- or $2.5 million – was due to reshuffling in the executive suite.

Robert C. Stempel retired as ECD's Chief Executive Officer on August 31, 2007 and will step down as Chairman of the Board and a director of ECD, effective at the company's Annual Meeting of Stockholders scheduled for December 11, 2007. Mr. Stempel, 74, has been Chairman of the Board since December 1995. Energy Conversion Devices plans on electing a non-executive Chairman of the Board – a very positive sign that the company and the new CEO are committed to doing what is in the best interest of the stakeholders now and going forward.

Mark Morelli -- ECD's new president and CEO and a former senior executive at United Technologies with a MIT MBA -- claims that he will be hyperfocused on sales, execution and profitability. According to Mr. Morelli, "Our laminates continue to gain momentum in the marketplace as demonstrated by our growing pipeline of business. For example, our supply agreements and commitments for the second quarter of fiscal 2008 exceed our available capacity."

I first looked at Energy Conversion Devices two years ago, during the SunPower IPO, but thought the price was unattractive at $32.43, (which was the share price on November 25, 2005.) Energy Conversion Devices is an example of how keeping a company on your shopping list can pay-off for the patient buyer! At $25.83, which is near the 3-year low, and with a new residential solar product available on the marketplace, I’m practically leaping out of my skin with delight, as I add Energy Conversion Devices to the Hot News list. I’d love to wake up on the morning of December 25th to see Energy Conversion Devices stock in my Christmas stocking as well!

3-year Chart of ENER Share Price:

source: MoneyCentral.msn.com

Now, as I was searching for other clean energy companies to include in the Clean Energy Stock Report Card alongside Energy Conversion Devices, I came across Zoltec and American Superconductor, which are top holdings of the Power Shares Wilderhill clean energy portfolio (PBW). (I’ve indicated before how well this ETF is managed.) Both of these companies are experiencing a spike in sales, and share price, based upon an exploding market of wind power, and even though Energy Conversion Devices is the star of this article, both of these companies certainly shine as well.

In May 2007, Zoltec, which makes carbon fibers used in various industries, including wind turbines, entered into a new contract with Vestas Wind Systems valued at approximately $300 million over the next five years. In August 2007, a new contract with Gamesa Group (another wind power company based out of Spain) came in at $142 million over a five-year term. In June 2007, DeWind Incorporated contracted for $30 million of carbon fibers over a three-year period. Based upon these contracts, and expanding their manufacturing facilities from two lines in 2004 to 18 lines currently to 26 lines by 2009, Zoltec projects to achieve a sales milestone of $500 million annually by fiscal 2010. There are a lot of if’s in that sentence but pre-orders are strong enough going forward to support that goal, and past expansion plans have run smoothly enough to justify a little faith in Zsolt Rumy, the founder, Chairman and CEO of Zoltec.

For fiscal 2007, Zoltek reported net sales of $150.9 million, compared to $92.4 million for fiscal 2006, an increase of 63%. The net loss for the year was $2.5 million. Zoltec’s share price jumped on the strong earnings news on November 28, 2007. Though we wish we’d had Zoltec on our radar at the 52-week low, the upside over the next few years could still be strong enough to justify buying at the higher price of $42.62 today.

American Superconductor, which is also a wind energy supplier and consultant, has a backlog of orders that exceeds $180 million. Clients include: the Department of Energy, Sinovel Wind in China (wind power), AAER Inc. of Canada (wind turbine design), Southern California Edison, TECO-Westinghouse, Zhuzhou Electric in China (their 2nd Chinese customer) and more.

All of this is great for the long-term future at American Superconductor, but the company anticipates a few hiccups along the way. "We are revising our net loss guidance for fiscal 2007 to include the restructuring charge related to our Massachusetts facilities consolidation. We also are anticipating increased operating expenses to support our rapid growth, higher stock compensation expense as a result of higher than anticipated stock prices, and unabsorbed overhead in our AMSC Superconductors business unit as a result of delays in certain projects," according to David Henry, senior vice president and chief financial officer (source: November 1, 2007 press release). According to Mr. Henry, the net loss for the full fiscal year will be in the range of $27.0 million to $31.0 million, or $0.70 to $0.81 per share, as opposed to the previous guidance of $21.0 million to $24.0 million, or $0.54 to $0.62 per share.

The company is working toward positive EBITDAS in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2007, and EBITDAS positive for the full year in fiscal 2008. The cash and short-term investments on hand is at $118 million, so even though American Superconductor is still losing money, it is not in danger of going out of business before it expands to fulfill its orders. Still there are enough investors who read earnings headlines to warrant an alert before the full year fiscal 2007 report is released, which should be around June 2008. (This year’s annual report, or 10-K, was filed on June 14, 2007.)

The growth at both AMSC and Voltek is being driven primarily by the wind energy market, while Energy Conversion Devices is tapped into solar. AMSC recently established offices with 25 employees in China, and expects the Asia-Pacific marketplace to account for up to 50% of sales in fiscal year 2007.

Energy Conversion Devices, American Superconductor and Zoltec were added to the Hot News on Cool Stocks List on December 1, 2007. Click to go to the Clean Energy Stock Report Card.

Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We are adding a splash of green to Wall Street by publishing the news, information and education you need to succeed in investing, business and life The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.


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Stocks, Not Diamonds, Are a Girl's Best Friend,

and Guys Want Massages and Pampering More Than Skype Phones or even Gisele Bundchen! Great Holiday Gift Ideas from our Subscribers.

Each year, we post a best gift survey, and each year we are surprised at the results. Did you know that women would rather have stock than diamonds, with an Apple iPhone showing up 2nd on the Christmas/Kwanza/Hanukkah Wish List? Guys really, really, really just want to be pampered and get a great massage – in front of their brand new flat screen television!

So, if you’re stumped on what to get the fabulous, delightful loves of your life, please check out the items below for some ideas. You can also click over to our Shopping Mall for some interesting websites and items you might not have thought of.

Best Holiday Gift for Women?

Answer

Vote Count

Stock

22 %

Apple iPhone

13 %

Cash

13 %

Massage, facial or spa gift certificate

13 %

Flat Screen TV

9 %

iPod

4 %

PRODUCT RED

4 %

Couples Get away vacation

4 %

Gym membership

4 %

Denzel Washington

4 %

Diamonds

4 %

 Best Holiday Gift for Guys?

Answer

Vote Count

Flat screen tv

22 %

Massage and pampering

22 %

Lowe's or Home Depot gift certificate

16 %

Subscription to Maxim, Playboy, etc.

11 %

Art

5 %

Gisele Bundchen

5 %

iPhone

5 %

Skype phone

5 %

Tie

5 %

So, guys, give stock in Apple and the Apple iPhone to that special woman in your life! (First check the Hot News on Cool Stocks list to see which stocks are trading for a great price!) And ladies, if all it takes to make your guy jolly this season is a great massage and some pampering, how easy is that! One great overnight splurge at a hotel (away from the kids) and massage oil could yield relationship dividends for life, and imagine how thrilled he’ll be if you design 12 gift certificates for massages and pampering that he can cash in over the next year!

Now, in the best holiday gift for humanity department, let’s not overlook Peace on Earth, which The Peace Alliance is in the business of promoting.

You can support the work of the Peace Alliance and the Department of Peace Campaign easily online now, and join the ranks of Joaquim Phoenix, Marianne Williamson, Paula Abdul, Walter Cronkite and more, who are united to establish a Department of Peace in Washington D.C. Click on The Peace Alliance or go to their website directly to make a donation, or to join a local chapter in your city. Many cities have endorsed the Department of Peace campaign, including Atlanta, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Oakland, Providence, San Francisco, San Jose and more.

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Party Crashers:

by Natalie Pace.

Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair, Nobel Laureate winner Muhammad Yunus, best-selling authors David Bach and Eckhart Tolle, and a few local guys crash the California Governor and First Lady’s Women’s Conference in Long Beach, California, on October 23, 2007. Click to view an audio/visual webcast of the conference on the CaliforniaWomen.org website.

Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair.
Photo Credit: © CaliforniaWomen.org

Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair, authors David Bach and Eckhart Tolle and Nobel Laureate winning banker Muhammad Yunus were invited to be guest speakers at the California Conference for Women on October 23, 2007, which explains their presence among 14,000 women, but when I had to squeeze by an unescorted man to get to my seat, I knew that the party had now grown cool enough to crash. The question is why? What was this lone man seeking here, surrounded by more estrogen than most men can stand in a lifetime, much less a day? A date? A wife?

"Being in the public sector, I’ve worked for women bosses most of my career," he said. "I’m comfortable around women, and this is the best opportunity I know of to see these important speakers up close and personal." John (not his name) had come for the enlightenment, just like the rest of us, in particular to hear Eckhart Tolle, Her Majesty Queen Rania, California First Lady Maria Shriver and Tony Blair.

I’ve been covering the California Governor’s Conference for years now, and the evolution of the event can truly be divided into AM and PM – After Maria and Pre Maria Shriver. In the PM, it was a platform for the governor to blather on about all of the important things he felt he’d done for California (in an obvious bid for next term’s vote). After Maria Shriver – AM -- it was the dawn of a new day for the entire planet. The conference today has become one of the most important gatherings in the world – a platform for leaders worldwide to speak on issues that promote greater peace and prosperity for all of humanity.

This year, Her Majesty Queen Rania Al-Abdullah of Jordan inspired the attendees to have an open mind about foreign people and foreign customs. "The voice of the heart needs no translation," she said. "Each of us in our own small realm can greet the world with open arms."

Her Majesty Queen Rania Al-Abdullah of Jordan.
Photo Credit: © CaliforniaWomen.org

In 2006, the Dalai Lama led the audience in a 3-minute meditation, centered on the role of women as peacemakers and comforters who are capable of creating more "warm heartedness" in the world. In 2005, Queen Noor bravely told the crowd that if the world addressed the core challenges of land disputes in the Lebanon/Israeli region, it would "drain the swamps of the extremes on all sides and give us an opportunity for the future." And at Maria’s first conference as First Lady, in 2004, her friend Oprah supercharged the keynote, pacing the stage like a preacher filled with the spirit, saying, "Things are not just happening willy-nilly in your life… The universe is speaking to you right now. There is a calling for you. I go to work. It doesn’t feel like work. It feels like breathing. That’s when you know you’re home."

With these powerful, inspiring and candid keynote speakers, it is easy to see why women (and a few party-crashing men) come in full of excitement, and leave inspired to make their lives and their neighborhoods a better place. They enter hoping to learn, and exit full of wisdom. They open their hearts and minds to experiences and perspectives they’ve never seen before, and hear heroic stories from women improving lives in far-flung neighborhoods, from Watts, to Iraq and even outer space. From queens, to Nobel Laureates, to astronauts and rock stars, it appears that everyone follows Maria to Long Beach every fall, and if you haven’t made sure that your corporation sponsors the event so that you can grab one of these hard-to-come-by tickets, now’s the time to begin lobbying. This year, the event sold out in just 72 hours.

The overall theme in 2007 was green, and for the 4th year in a row, it sported a Zero Waste lunch. What is a recyclable lunch? Well, included in every completely recyclable box, the women were provided just one plastic (and recyclable) utensil – a fork – with which to eat their chicken salad, meaning that the chicken tenders were stabbed and gnawed like a campfire meal, rather than cut and eaten in a civilized manner. While this did incite some eye-rolling from the more mannered among us, everyone in the audience stood and clapped wildly, giving Tony Blair a standing ovation when he said, "If we don’t act and this evidence [about climate change] turns out to be true, then we are betraying the future generations that we should be looking after. We do not have the right to do that."

Now, Maria does take the stage and speak every year, but it sounds more like the personal diary of the chief explorer of the complicated landscape we call modern woman, rather than a bully pulpit. "Money, success, fame -- that brings you a lot," Maria said. "But it’s wonderful and important to know that none of those things soothe a restless heart. They don’t fill an empty hole. They don’t satisfy a deep hunger that’s inside of every single person."

First Lady Maria Shriver adds her personal touch to the conference.
Photo Credit: © CaliforniaWomen.org

How does Maria know? These were the pearls of insight she discovered when she peered into the recesses of her soul and refused to rejoin the media frenzy that was feeding off of the death of Anna Nicole Smith. Remember Maria the famous news personality? Maria missed that part of herself, but the job that lay at her feet in 2007 was not the one she left behind when she began campaigning for her husband to become governor back in 2003, and so, without a real destination, she walked away from a path and past that no longer served her.

While 2007 was a challenge for Maria, the career woman, it was an extra special year, for Maria, the daughter. At the 2007 Women’s Conference, Maria honored her mother, Eunice Shriver, with an inaugural lifetime achievement Minerva Award.

Maria conceived of the Minerva Awards in her first year as California’s First Lady "to honor dreamers who turn their dreams into reality," and her mother, Eunice, does indeed embody the qualities of the Goddess Minerva, who graces the California state seal – courage, strength and wisdom.

Eunice Shriver Receives Lifetime Achievement Minerva Award.
Photo Credit: © CaliforniaWomen.org

As the founder of the Special Olympics, Eunice is an "architect of change," with a remarkable life and legacy of her own, outside of her role as sister to President John F. Kennedy and Senator Robert Kennedy Jr. Eunice is so frequently photographed as she beams while standing next to a victorious Special Olympics athlete, that few of us stop to consider what it must have felt like to lose two brothers by assassination and to have an older sister who was mentally disabled? What kind of person "bucks up" in the face of those challenges, works with her husband, Sargent Shriver, to expand the legacy of the Peace Corps (which was founded by Sargent Shriver), while raising four boys and a young woman to carry on a family tradition of philanthropy and service?

As she accepted the award, Eunice was surrounded by four of her five children, -- Timothy, Anthony, Bobby and Maria -- and an extended legacy of family organizations and achievements, including (PRODUCT) RED, Debt, AIDS, Trade in Africa (or DATA), Best Buddies and her daughter, the First Lady. It is clear that all of the Shriver siblings share an optimism that they can make the world a better place, and a regard for service that was bred at the table and in the home of Eunice and Sargent Shriver. In true form, Eunice Shriver, ever the feisty Chief Inspiration Officer, had three bits of advice for the audience members.

   1. Find Your Family.
   2. Find Your Mission.
   3. Follow Maria.

What does following Maria look like? Maria says, "Take the time to unwrap yourselves. Beneath all of that stuff -- the make up, the clothes, the outfits, the resume, the responsibility -- is an extraordinary human being." She encourages women to find time for themselves, to discover your own personal journey because "you are entitled to your own dreams, your own goals and your own legacy."

Follow Maria. If you don’t, next year, you’ll be missing one helluva party, and one of the most important moments of confluence with world leaders that our planet has ever known. And if soul food is less appetizing to you than girl gossip, the challenge of eating chicken strips like a popsicle and the hundreds of convention stands, which are conveniently open for pre-holiday shopping, know that there is truly something at the California Women’s Conference for everyone – even men.


Pricing To Make Your Business Profitable.

by Chellie Campbell, author of Zero to Zillionaire.

If you’re working in a home-based business or plan to, you need to become proficient at counting your money. Keep it simple—list all your income from your business each month at the top of a piece of paper. This is your "gross." Then list all the expenses related to your business. When you subtract the money you spent from the money you made, you have your profit or "net". (My friend and accountant, Barbara Barschak, has an easy method for remembering the difference between "gross" and "net": "Net" is a smaller word.) You can do a simple spreadsheet or you can use an accounting software package.

Here is the reason you do all this counting: Look at your "net" and see if that’s the amount of money you want to be making every month. If the figure is too low, you need to raise your prices, make more sales, or make bigger sales to bigger customers. Or perhaps your income is fine, but you’re spending too much money on new computer programs, advertising, taking clients to lunch, or promotional giveaways. Debtors Anonymous has a special section called Business Owners Debtors Anonymous because business owners can make a case to justify endless expenses because they’re "good for business" or "tax deductible." And that can trap them in an endless cycle of overspending.

Entrepreneurs love to get new clients for their businesses. They work hard developing their skills and marketing them and then the payoff comes when someone says, yes, they want to hire them. But you have to make sure you’re charging enough to meet your income goals. If you are an entrepreneur or hope to be one, here are some guidelines to ensure that you take everything into consideration when pricing your services:

1. Calculate your "profit price." Create a monthly operating budget for your business that factors in all your costs including overhead, sub-contractors, taxes, salaries, marketing expenses and every variable you can think of. Factor in irregular expenses that occur annually or quarterly such as insurance expenses, annual tax preparation fees or Christmas gifts. Don’t forget repairs and maintenance and an allowance for refunds or bad debts. Total all these expenses and then add an additional 5% for contingencies (because you will have forgotten something!) and an additional percentage for your profit. Now add in your income goal which would be equal to the salary you would be paid if you were employed by someone else plus fringe benefits including a retirement plan. Divide this total by the number of hours you want to (or are willing to) work each month and that will tell you the hourly rate you must charge for your service.

You might question whether or not this hourly rate is competitive for your type of business. The rule of thumb is to be priced in the "high middle" range of your competition. If your income goal calculation puts your hourly fee too high, then you must trim expenses, work more hours, reduce your income expectation, choose another line of work with a higher profit potential, or get very creative.

2. Not all work hours are billable hours. When calculating your "profit price", don’t forget that you will work a number of hours "on" your business but not "in" your business. That means that not all of your time is billable to a customer—there is administrative time writing letters, doing budgeting, billing or accounting and marketing time making phone calls, going on appointments, attending networking meetings, etc. Entrepreneurs are often overly optimistic about the number of hours each week they can work on client business and perform all these other tasks and therefore overestimate their income potential. Or they find themselves working too many hours each week and then burning out. Make sure to take this into account when figuring your "profit price". Raise your price rather than increase the number of hours you’re willing to work or find someone to delegate to.

3. Marry your "profit price." That is, be faithful to your income goal and avoid the temptation to lower your fees to your absolute bottom line in order to get business. Yes, you work hard marketing in order to find someone who wants to hire you and you are anxious to make the deal. But everyone knows cheapest price doesn’t equal best quality. You will find that the clients who are shopping for the lowest fees are the most difficult and demanding to work for and you will spend more time than you will be paid for on their work. Stand firm on your "profit price" and you may have fewer clients initially but they will be higher quality clients—Dolphins—easy to work for and happy to pay you. And it often happens that the higher your fee, the more respect you get.

Sometimes you can eliminate yourself from consideration by a client because your rate is priced too far under market. The prospective client might then assume that you are either new at this, not good enough, or in financial trouble. A friend of mine started a home-based business doing computer consulting. When she called a friend to solicit business and told him her price was $50 per hour, he told her that he could not recommend her unless she charged at least $90 per hour. She understood then that he could only refer his customers to a top-notch professional and that such a professional would charge this kind of fee.

The time and care which you invest in pricing your services will pay off handsomely as you start to meet and then exceed your income goals. You are successful and you deserve it!

Chellie Campbell is the author of Zero to Zillionaire and The Wealthy Spirit. She created and teaches the Financial Stress Reduction® Workshops, on which her book is based, in the Los Angeles area and gives programs throughout the country.

If you are stuck in a rut in your business or life and/or having too much "month at the end of your money," Chellie’s workshop might be just what you need to get things on the right track. You can sign up for Chellie's Ezine and workshop at www.chellie.com.


10 Investing Habits of Rich People.

by Natalie Pace.

Embody the habits of the rich to enrich your own wallet!

  1. Tax-free: Contributing and trading within a tax-qualified brokerage account means that you could be earning up to 30% additional in returns (which you don’t give to the IRS for capital gains taxes). Compound that year in and year out and it could be worth millions.
  2. Play it Safe: Always keep a percent equal to your age safe, i.e. out of the stock market. Certificates of Deposits, savings accounts, money markets, and bonds are less risky than stocks. (Bond funds should be counted as stocks, not bonds.)
  3. Stocks on Steroids: Take a small percentage of your stock portfolio for trading. (Don’t trade the whole nest egg.) Subscribe to a great stock newsletter, which is tracked by an independent agency, to achieve superior returns.
  4. Great Partners: Interview your financial partner (broker) as if your life depends upon it. Your lifestyle does!
  5. Tithe: The first check you write each month should be to your financial freedom fund. 10% for investing, so that your money can make gains while you sleep! With this habit alone, you could be a millionaire in 31 years, even if you only made $14/hour.
  6. Don’t be the Bank of Mom and Dad: You’re not qualified to, nor would you want to, establish the underwriting guidelines for loaning out money to relatives. If someone needs money, consider any gift you give to be a gift or charity. If someone wants you to go into business with him or her, consider whether or not you want to provide that widget or service to the world. In most cases, you’ll be better off considering your help to be charity or an investment, and not a loan.
  7. Avoid Fair-Weather Friends: Whether it is a new broker, a new person you met by email or just new interest from someone who never cared much about you, if the new relationship is all about the money, make sure you are doing business with a monk! Do your due diligence and don’t be seduced by promises of guaranteed riches, guaranteed love or a fabulous lifestyle.
  8. Switch-Hit: Do as much of your day trading as possible in a tax-qualified retirement plan, such as an IRA or even possibly a college fund or health savings account. That could help you are reduce the taxes you pay on capital gains.
  9. Getty/Guggenheim Your Fab Self: Find out every tax-qualified account that exists and stock up your holdings in as many protected accounts as possible, including IRAs, 401 (k)s, health savings accounts, college funds and foundations!
  10. Live the Rich Life: Wealth is not just money. Wealth is enjoying a happy, fulfilling rich life with people you care about, and investing in products and services that make the world a better place. Health is wealth, so get happy & exercise! Breathing is health, so invest in green!

The Top Eleven Investing Mistakes.

by Natalie Pace.

Investing mistakes are easy to fall into because it’s what everyone else is doing and it feels like a time-saver. In fact, these common mistakes are not time savers at all. They are money losers, stomach acid burners and often even relationship deal breakers!

You’ll find some people make a career of "contrarian investing," where they simply try to do the opposite of what everyone else is doing, thinking "Aha! If these are the common investing mistakes, I’ll just do the opposite!" This is not a strategy that pays off either. There is simply no substitute for the 3-ingredient investment recipe that I’ve given you!

3-ingredient recipe for cooking up profits

1. Start with what you know and love
2. Pick the leader in the sector (in real estate, it’s location, location location!)
3. Buy low; sell high

So, stick to the recipe. Use the Stock Report Cards to help you Pick the Leader and determine whether you are buying low or not. And avoid the common mistakes that newbie investors make, which are more often than not, money losers.

You might "know better" than to fall into the pits of these common investing mistakes, and still find yourself tempted to cut corners, just to fit in or to save time. I encourage you to use this list as a checklist and reminder of why you are taking the time and energy to really get to know (and love) your freedom plan and the companies and products that you are investing in. And I’m including the rationale behind each mistake so that you’ve got an argument, in case you need one, with an overzealous friend, loved one or financial partner.

The Top Eleven Investing Mistakes
Mistake # 1. Trading on Analyst Recommendations
If you thought Jack Grubman and Henry Blodget (the former analysts who got in trouble for recommending stocks in exchange for favors) were just flukes, guess again. Following analyst recommendations is a losing proposition. Researchers at the University of California and Stanford found that, in the year 2000, the stocks most highly rated by analysts lost 31 percent for the year. Even more incredible is this finding from the study: The stocks least favored by the major analysts soared 49 percent. This study examined 40,000 stock recommendations from 213 brokerages. Analysts are not all crooks, but they are definitely not fortune-tellers.

Now, in all fairness, this is mostly just a case of supply and demand. The demand shrinks when the company falls out of favor with analysts, and soars when analysts become enamored. The trick is identifying tomorrow’s Cinderella company from the cinders – before the analysts publish their reports, something the Stock Report Card™ is designed to help you master. Click on Stock Report Card to access a blank report card template that you can use in the future. I recommend setting up a table in a Word or Excel document. That way you can sort by Price to Earnings ratio, to get a sense of which company is trading for a better price.

Mistake # 2. Bankruptcy Buying
Think buying Delta at $1.54 a share when you’re positive that they will come out of bankruptcy is a brilliant idea? Guess again. Reorganization plans commonly call for the cancellation of the existing common stock, with holders receiving nothing. Nada. (Translation: your stock becomes toilet paper.) Lawsuits are a difficult and costly way to try to recover losses.

Mistake # 3. Pet Rocks
It’s very tempting to buy stock after shareholders have earned seven thousand times their investment, or after the product sells four gazillion copies, but that is called chasing money. There were people, lots of them, who bought AOL Time Warner and Priceline at peak share prices in 2000, thinking that heavenly heights could last forever. Too bad losing weight isn’t as easy as losing money.

Mistake # 4. Hot Tips
Hot tips are often merely "Pump and Dump" schemes—a colorful name for the scheme in which scam artists send out tens of millions of e-mails or load the stock market bulletin boards with messages like:

"This one is going to SKYROCKET."

"50 cents today, $3.50 by next Tuesday."

"Hot stock on the rise. Must act now. Is trading at 29 cents, and is sure to trade above $2.00 by the end of tomorrow."

They pump up the stock, so they can quickly dump when enough suckers fall for the charade and buy.

The price goes up—but not because something great is fundamentally happening with the company. It goes up just because the promoters (who are probably paid) have duped enough people into buying. Then the insiders sell (quickly), which makes the price fall flatter than a stone. People who fall for pump and dump schemes typically lose their investment. Even if the company stays in business, it might trade at the same rock bottom price for years.

These kinds of hot tip scams abound with companies that are trading "off the boards," which are also called penny stocks. Any stock trading under $1.00 is likely to be trading off the boards (which means there’s less compliance with GAAP accounting and SEC securities standards). Never respond to a direct mail or e-mail campaign to buy a stock "NOW, before it explodes." No credible company would send a notice like that. The SEC has laws against solicitation of investments.

Assume hot tips are swampland in Florida unless proven otherwise by a gazillion independent, well-respected sources. Assume anyone who tells you that they have a "sure shot" that’s going to double, is lying, self-interested, or stupid.

Mistake # 5. Sure Shots
If someone promises to double your money in a set period of time, assume that you’re dealing with a novice or a scam artist, especially if they want you to write a check before doing any due diligence. If you’re dealing with someone who doesn’t acknowledge the risk, they are lying or very naïve. Beware anytime someone wants you to hand over money before you have a chance to read or research anything.

Mistake # 6. Buying on Headlines
Headlines are written by editors to catch your eye. If you don’t read the fine print, you could be missing the most important information. Before United Airlines declared bankruptcy, investors gobbled up UAL shares on the headline that United had received $1 billion in promised concessions from its unions. The investors assumed that this was great news and that the labor concessions were all that United needed to soar the skies once again and be profitable (with the help of some federal loans). A key consideration was hidden on the inside pages of the article, however: that the Federal Loan Guarantee required $1.5 billion in union labor concessions. In fact, receiving only $1 billion in concessions – when the loan was going to fall through unless $1.5 billion was delivered -- was very bad news, not the good news that the headline trumpeted.

The Loan Guarantee application was rejected, and United Airlines was forced into Chapter 11 only a few weeks after that headline appeared in what many people consider the country’s most reliable news source, the New York Times. The headlines of less respected news sources can be even further from the complete story. The New York Times had actually printed the complete story, but too many didn’t take time to read it.

Mistake # 7. Press Releases
Press releases are written by professional writers, who are employed by the company they are writing about. And press releases are not held to the same standards as the official corporate earnings statements that public companies must make with the Securities Exchange Commission. A company can talk about an increase in revenue without ever mentioning that increased revenues don’t mean the company is profitable or that, due to cash constraints, the company’s fiscal health is on the ropes. If you read anything that is from PRNewsWire or BusinessWire—services that distribute press releases written by corporate PR people—ask yourself, "What aren’t they telling me?" Press releases can have valuable data and information, but they are designed to give you a snapshot of something newsworthy, not to draw out the full picture.

Mistake # 8. Relying too heavily upon the advice of your broker
If your broker has handled your account beautifully over a period of time, don’t bother to read this Mistake; you’re lucky to have a partner who cares about your future and has the knowledge and expertise to get you there. Many investors don’t understand that most brokers are salesmen first, especially those with fewer years in the trade, and place too much faith in a broker’s knowledge, morals, and information. You wouldn’t marry a stranger, so don’t hand your financial life over to one either! (Read the article on Selecting a Broker for tips on how to find the perfect partner.) Find the article under the Investor Edu link on the home page at NataliePace.com.

Mistake # 9. Placing all your chips on one sector
Diversify! Even with blue-chip stocks and prime real estate, you risk losing all of your money. Enron did go bankrupt, just one year after it was added to Forbes Platinum 400 List, for revenue in excess of $100 billion. A freak fire destroyed a handful of homes in the prized Malibu Colony in California in 2007. When you have your assets diversified across different investment classes – from real estate, to stocks, to bonds, to money markets, to Treasury Bills, etc. – you are protected against any one fluctuation or disaster. And in all instances, make sure that you keep enough cash on hand and enough income flowing in to meet your expenses.

Mistake # 10. Keeping too much stock in your employer’s company
Rule of thumb: no more than 10 percent of stock in your own company.

There’s one exception to this rule: if you’re the owner of the company, you may need a dominating percentage of the stock for voting/power reasons. In the early days of Apple Computer, Steve Jobs was booted out of the company he had co-founded.

Mistake # 11. Handing your investments over to a loved one, relative or friend
I’ve spoken with women executives who have commanded billion dollar corporations, and others who have multi-million dollar salaries, who turned over their personal investment portfolios to a husband, in order to make him feel like "more manly." With men, it’s more likely to be the guy at the country club who convinces his poker partners to come in on a sure shot investment of his.

Money means different things to different people, but, chances are high, that whatever it means to you, it ranks pretty high on your personal Richter scale and can cause personal devastation in high dosages when tremors occur. If your friend, loved one or relative loses your money, it’s going to be hard to recover the relationship – no matter how much you like or love him/her. So, even though you might think it’s an act of love to entrust your future to someone, it’s really more like an act of annihilation. Somewhere down the road, the odds are high that person will make a bad decision (in your eyes), or there will be less money than you hoped for (if any at all), or there will be a falling out between the two of you, or simply the person wasn’t really qualified for that level of responsibility in the first place.

As Dr. Phil says – and yes, I’m quoting him – each partner in a relationship should have personal money that s/he can set on fire if s/he feels like it. Imagine how much more important it is for each partner in a relationship to control the life of her dreams and the financial means to get there. I’m not encouraging you to hide money, merely steer your own ship in this regard. Have some personal passions fueling your short time on this planet, and use your financial freedom plan to help you get there. Whether you are a mother hoping for a better home for your children, or a father preparing to send your kids to college or a bachelor building green skyscrapers or a nun building Habitat for Humanity homes, your desire for a better life is the motivation to have more money of your own to "play with."

Even if you hate investing, almost anyone can set up an auto-payment tax-free retirement account through an online discount brokerage in just a few minutes. Take, at least, that amount of time. The cyber broker, which is set up on Modern Portfolio theory, is a better strategy than having a loved one wing it with a self-penned, but poorly tested, plan.

 

Before you have your first child, it would be great to get a list of the top ten parental mistakes. Imagine how much easier it would be to know that the first time your child gets a scratch, you’ll mistake it for a gash and have to spend a thousand dollars on the ER. It’s really amazing how ridiculously easy common parenting mistakes are to the parent of four, who shakes her head knowingly at the rookie mom. The same is true of experienced investors. They know these tips like the back of their hand, and if you write it on your hand while you’re learning, chances are you’ll find more money sticking there, too.


Buying Sprees:

by Kelley Wright. The managing editor of Investment Quality Trends, reports on his Select Blue Chip Stocks.

The Enlightened Investor Approach to Market Corrections.

During every market-correction I encourage subscribers to avoid the knee-jerk temptation to navel gaze and try to figure out how low can we go; how long will this last? In our experience the enlightened investor who adds to his portfolio during corrections will typically reap the reward of higher market values during the next advance. For just as surely as spring follows winter there is a rally in value stocks after every market downturn.

In case your attention has been diverted elsewhere, value stocks have been in the throes of a broad, sixth month downturn. Indeed, nearly 50% of all high-quality companies are down more than 15% from their highs. Seventy percent of those are down more than 20%. Clearly the opportunity exists to add more issues to portfolios, and more shares to existing holdings. While panic may be the emotion de jour, enlightened investors understand far better than most that even high-quality companies suffer through rough patches, however, they rarely close their doors or cut their dividends.

Market corrections are as much a part of the normal stock market cycle as rallies. The catalyst for both can as easily be good news or bad news, which isn’t a contradiction if you understand the perverse nature of Wall Street. One would think that with the onset of the Information Age that investors would have learned a thing or two over the years. With human nature being what it is though, investors still over-analyze when prices become weak and lose all perspective when prices are high, thus ensuring that the "buy high, sell low" mentality of Wall Street is perpetuated ad infinitum.

Equally disconcerting is the practice of trying to find the perfect moment to jump into a falling market, as is the practice of unnecessarily taking losses on high-quality companies whose share prices are temporarily depressed. Corrections, for whatever reason, induce a type of hysteria that is typically found in estate auctions, only in reverse. The fundamental value of a high-quality company does not disappear simply because its price falls in response to market perception and/or sentiment.

With all of my experience, I continue to be amazed by the reaction of the financial media to market corrections. It is no surprise that the average investor has to be talked off the ledge! I mean, think about it; when did half off become a bad thing? Why do lower prices for high-quality stocks send everyone into a tizzy? It’s just plain nuts. Look, to borrow a line from the great Maharushie, here are (for me) a few undeniable truths: 1). Corrections are always buying opportunities, the broader the correction, the better; 2). Late-Cycle Rallies are always selling opportunities because Wall Street wants you to believe that trees grow to the sky; 3). Investment performance should be measured by whether you are growing your capital and income base to generate cash for current and future needs.

At the risk of being repetitive it is important to remember that rarely do high-quality companies go under; no matter how bad the news, how big the scandal, or how troubled the economic outlook. If you invest in high-quality companies at historically repetitive levels of undervalue, you will weather any storm. Also, taking a loss on these companies is generally unnecessary. If the price moves lower because of a knee-jerk panic buy more. Bad news creates opportunities; when all of the high-quality stocks in a sector are moving lower it’s an opportunity, not a problem. The direction of the market isn’t nearly as important as the actions we take in anticipation of the next change in direction.

Does Citi, WaMu, et al have problems? You bet. Are they going under? I think not. Are their dividends in danger? I don’t think so. Is it time to buy? Probably; look for a test of the lows and when they hold and start to move higher there is your bottom. Is this time different? The names and the circumstances are but the dynamic is the same. This is how stocks behave when their environment is out of whack. Remember, great buys are made when stocks offer great values. Is it scary? You bet, but the big money is made on the big decisions. Adversity is the catalyst for the next rally; just remember that corrections are the birthplace of opportunity.

 

Kelley Wright is currently outperforming all of his peers, by bringing in the top risk-adjusted returns on Wall Street for the past 20 years, with his stock newsletter, IQTrends.com, at 12.8% annualized gains, according to Hulbert’s Financial Digest. To subscribe, go to IQTrends.com.

 

Wells Fargo's Great Depression.

by Natalie Pace.

Including a Bank Stock Report Card.

Stocks slumped on the 15th of November, after Wells Fargo CEO John Stumpf told an audience at the Merrill Lynch financial services conference in New York City that the housing slowdown was the worst since the Depression (source: Associated Press). Mr. Stumpf’s comments were relatively unexpected, especially after an upbeat earnings report from Wells Fargo on October 16, 2007 that boasted of double-digit earnings growth. What a difference a month makes!

While real estate has been in the obituary column all year, and many companies, including Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch and Citigroup, disclosed their exposure to subprime mortgage loan losses early and shuffled up the executive suite to show investors they mean business, Wells Fargo’s October 2007 earnings report was just short of gleeful. According to a company press release, Mr. Stumpf said, "We maintained our conservative risk management practices, and our strong balance sheet and capital ratios, perhaps the strongest in the industry, which allowed us to continue to grow profitably despite the problems in the market." But is that really the case? Does Wells Fargo have "conservative risk management practices" and is their balance sheet "strong"?

According to the Milken Institute, Wells Fargo was the top subprime lender in 2006, with $83.2 billion of subprime loans and 13% of the marketplace.

Top Subprime Lenders in 2006

Rank

Leader

Billions

Market Share

1

Wells Fargo

$83.2 billion

13%

2

HSBC

$52.8 billion

8.3%

3

New Century

$51.6 billion

8.1%

4

Countrywide Financial

$40.6

6.3%

5

CitiMortgage

$38

5.9%

6

WMC Mortgage

$33.2

5.2%

7

Fremont Mortgage

$32.3

5%

8

Ameriquest

$29.5

4.6%

9

Option One

$28.8

4.5%

10

First Franklin

$27.7

4.3%

Source: © MilkenInstitute.org. Inside B&C lending and Credit Suisse source data

I want to reiterate that, overall, foreclosures are only at 1.4%, only slightly above the national average. 93.48% of all people who do have mortgages are paying on time, and 35% of people who own a home, don’t even have a mortgage (source: Mortgage Banking Association).

But those places where there are a high concentration of subprime loans -- specifically in the unaffordable real estate markets of California, Nevada, Florida and Arizona (where Wells Fargo has a strong presence) -- the loans are mostly held by non-occupant investors. In other words, speculators, not homeowners, who have very little attachment to the home or incentive to see it through a price downturn, are the ones getting burned by the subprime resets, and those speculators are quickly passing the buck over to the banks, with little care about how it might tarnish their credit rating. According to Angelo Mozilo, Chairman and CEO, Countrywide Financial Corp., which he co-founded in 1969, Countrywide had a lot of speculators who were lying to them on the no-document and low-document loans. "They’ve run. Gone from the scene," according to Mr. Mozilo.

Natalie’s Note: Please note that when mortgage loan holders do run from the scene, they might still be liable for phantom income, upon which income taxes could be due. It is a good idea to seek legal counsel and approach the lender to work out the issues, instead of just running away from the problem. The Federal Reserve Board has a page on their website with lots of resources for distressed home owners who are facing foreclosure. Click to go to FederalReserve.gov.

While the number of foreclosures is only slightly above average, the foreclosures of subprime adjustable loans is quite alarming, at 8.02% in the 2nd quarter of 2007, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. There were $171.8 billion of subprime loans in foreclosure year to date, according to the Milken Institute, and losses are expected to continue in 2008 and 2009. Wells Fargo’s $83.2 billion in subprime loans amounts to over ¾ of the current market value of the company.

The resale market for subprime has virtually dried up. If the 8.02% foreclosure rate is measured against Wells Fargo’s current exposure, that equals $6.7 billion in losses waiting to muddy up future earnings reports. That’s quite a (potential) hit waiting in the wings. Mr. Stumpf’s warnings about the Depression may be a preview of coming attractions with regard to his company’s future, rather than an omen for the general economy.

It’s important, with regard to the general state of the financial services industry, to measure the current write-downs and losses in the context of the larger story. Central banks and brokerages that bought or financed the subprime debt will take a hit on their earnings reports, will see their share price wane and will continue to be very unpopular with investors as long as subprime steals headlines – certainly into 2008, and likely into 2009. However, banks and brokerages also have diversified streams of income, many have global operations, and -- despite the subprime mortgage losses – most are still profitable. In 2008, "Banks could not only remain profitable but also still deliver upper-single-digit returns," according to Banc of America Securities analyst John McDonald.

On October 15, 2007, Citigroup reported $2.21 billion in net income for the third quarter of 2007. That profit was 60% lower than the prior-year, which exploded across headlines and spooked investors. Chairman and CEO Charles Prince resigned. Robert Rubin was named Chairman of the Board. Sir Win Bischoff is the acting Chief Executive Officer. While all of this sounds disruptive, Rubin is one of the most respected businessmen on the planet, and Citigroup’s investments in the Chinese markets are expected to provide strong growth for the company as early as 2008.

Bear Stearns is taking another $1.2 billion write-down in the 4th quarter, according to the Associated Press, but net income for the third quarter of 2007 was $171.3 million. That was down 61% from the prior year -- which was a boom year of Mergers and Acquisitions frenzy -- but Bear Stearns is still profitable.

Merrill Lynch, however, is one of the brokerages really suffering. Losses for the 3rd quarter were $2.3 billion, as reported on October 23, 2007. Write-downs and losses were concentrated in Merrill Lynch's Fixed Income, Currencies & Commodities (FICC) business, including write-downs of $7.9 billion across CDOs and U.S. sub-prime mortgages.

The bottom line is that the current subprime crunch is not the Great Depression. Most homeowners are not in danger of losing their homes. Credit will tighten. Banks and brokerages will see harder times. Share prices in the financial industry are expected to soften and remain weak into 2008. But the rock bottom share prices that result over the next 12-24 months in the financial services industry might be buying opportunities, not the beginning of a financial meltdown.

At the Milken Institute State of the State Conference on October 29, 2007, Ross DeVol, the Director of Regional Economics at the Milken Institute, did serve up a bleak, bearish picture for the future. He projected that the current credit crunch, housing crisis and escalated oil prices ($90/barrel) would add up to a recession within the next four quarters.

While I’m secretly hoping that everyone will buy a bike or an electric car (as quite a few are doing in my hometown of Santa Monica) and kick oil prices to 2002 prices, where they belong, I’ll be watching the next few months closely and reporting, as always, on what the top economists are predicting. As we enter December, one of the strongest months of the year historically, I’m still optimistic that the winter holiday will bring presents for investors, especially those that are into clean energy, where companies are back-ordered on their products to the tune of hundreds of millions. For more statistics and facts, check out this month’s feature article, "Clean Energy Rolls Out Worldwide," and the Hot News on Cool Stocks report, where I’ve printed my Market Summary.

I’ve added Wells Fargo to the Cooling Off List, which is a part of the Hot News on Cool Stocks article, anticipating that the share price will be under a lot of pressure for in the coming months.

 

Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We are a publishing, media and information center. This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.


Fantastic STOCKing Stuffers.

by Natalie Pace.

Includes my Hot News on Cool Stocks list.

Photo © Apple. Used by permission.

The Hot News lists below feature 43 companies earning great gains, versus just eleven that are headed in the opposite direction. 48% of the companies featured in my stock newsletter between 2002 and 2005 -- 25 out of 52 companies -- DOUBLED from the time we listed them in our feature article to the time when I took the company off of the Hot News on Cool Stocks list (and the majority of the remaining 52% well outperformed the marketplace. (See the chart in the article, "25 of our Companies Have Doubled," from volume 4, issue 4, the April 2007 ezine, for a listing of companies.)

Additionally, the market performance of the companies that are featured in my Hot News on Cool Stocks list are still keeping me at the top of over 830 A-list pundits on TipsTraders.com in annualized gains. Over the last few years, I’ve repeatedly occupied the #1 position, according to that independent tracking firm. TipsTraders has me listed as Highly Recommended, again, in 2007.

Note to Subscribers: I am reprinting a large portion of my November mid-month update (below) for two reasons. One is that we have hundreds of new subscribers from the Peak Potentials Extreme Wealth Conferece and there is a lot of VERY important market data and statistics in this report. Secondly, in between November 15 and December 5, the markets were EXTREMELY volatile. As you can see, however, the below data and the statistics pointed toward a continued Santa Rally, and those investors who were patient and calm had no need to fear. In fact, in that same two-week period, while the markets waxed and waned, even better economic news came in. The GDP growth rate for the 3rd quarter was revised upward – to 4.9%, and Secretary of the Treasury Hank Paulsen (the former Chairman/CEO genius of Goldman Sachs) took bold steps to provide relief for qualified homeowners whose mortgage loans have reset to a rate that is unaffordable.

According to Treasury Secretary Paulsen, "The U.S. economy remains fundamentally sound – core inflation is contained, continued job gains are providing a good foundation for household spending, corporate balance sheets remain healthy overall, and strong growth abroad is supporting U.S. exports." These factors helped the 3rd quarter GDP growth rate come in much stronger than expected, even while the softening real estate market and subprime foreclosures were providing downward pressure.

If you or anyone you know are worried about losing your home, call this number, 1-888-995-HOPE, to see if you are eligible for assistance. This hotline is available 24-hours a day to provide vital mortgage counseling in multiple languages.

Reprint of a portion of the November Hot News on Cool Stocks mid-month update:
I remember the first time that I received a Publisher’s Clearing House notice. It said I might be a winner. I didn’t see the word might and called up my parents and all of my friends saying that I’d won millions. Of course, my family laughed at me lovingly and explained the power of that one word. I’ve been a critical thinker and a cynic ever since, which is part of what makes me a very good reporter and stock picker.

Headlines everywhere are spouting LOSSES at banks and CATASTROPHIC INCREASES in FORECLOSURES and the FALLING DOLLAR and MASSIVE DEBT and WAR. It may seem as though these big words and big claims are too numerous and too apocalyptic to have any mitigating factors, yet I’m convinced that you’ll be almost apoplectic with anger when you read what important statistics have been left out of these reports and headlines, while other information has been intentionally blown up to appear cataclysmic. If you were to harken way back to the Anna Nicole Smith network news feeding frenzy, or were alive during the OJ Simpson trial, you should very suspicious of what drives the "news." In most cases, it pays – a lot – to just ignore the histrionic headlines, and find some underpaid lone wolf who likes to talk to geeks, read data and statistics from the University of Chicago and spends her date nights writing articles and finding gold in them thar hills. (Yes, I’m referring to NataliePace.com, the most respected name in financial news.)

Which reminds me to remind you that our 2007 Company of the Year, Suntech Power Holdings, has more than doubled (+139%) since the beginning of the year and has tripled (+215%) since our first feature in October of 2006. World Water and Solar, our April feature, is up 227%. Clean energy is hotter than oil prices, outperforming every industry on Wall Street, including fossil fuels, in the 1st and 3rd quarter of this year. If you look below, you’ll see that we are overweight in companies that are trying to save the world through renewable resources, and have been richly rewarded for that emphasis.

So, below are a plethora of facts that should calm your fears and focus your energy on all of the great things that are going on worldwide and in our homeland. (And yes, there is a war, and many worthy organizations, politicians and citizens working hard to end that, as well.) Don’t overlook the fact that Wall Street has been rocking and rolling in returns since January 2003, and posted strong gains over the past two year period, of up to 23%.

Fast Facts:
35% of people who own a home, don’t even have a mortgage. (They own it free and clear.) And 93.48% of all people who do have mortgages are paying on time (source: Mortgage Banking Association). Even though foreclosures have increased from ZERO, which is where they have been for the last five years, the national foreclosure rate is only slightly above the 40-year annual average.

Historically, about 1 percent of all first and second mortgages have gone into foreclosure, according to RealtyTrac.com. In a national delinquency survey conducted by the Mortgage Bankers Association, in the 2nd quarter of 2007, for 1-4 unit residential properties, foreclosures nationwide are only at 1.40%. "Those are not record numbers," Douglas G. Duncan, Ph.D., the Chief Economist at the Mortgage Banking Association said, in the understatement of the year.

The stock market has posted gains of 16-23% over the last two years, and Nasdaq is up 10% this year, even with last month’s pullback. FYI: we predicted Nasdaq to be the 2007 superstar performer earlier back in November of 2006. Click on Wow! Dow! Or Nasdaq Now! Article, from vol. 3, issue 11, where I said "The NASDAQ Composite Index, where many listed companies have little or no pension and OPEBs, is not your Y2K nightmare anymore. There are real earnings in explosive new businesses on that index."

Many corporations in the U.S. have global operations, including technology (like Intel), Internet (like Google), markets (like eBay), and banks (like Citigroup). Thus, the rise and fall of the dollar does not have a catastrophic impact on the bottom line.

GDP: Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 4.9 percent in the third quarter of 2007, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.8 percent. That’s not as good as China or India, but better than most of the countries in the world. The increase in real GDP in the third quarter reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, federal government spending, equipment and software, nonresidential structures, private inventory investment, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by a negative contribution from residential fixed investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

"The GDP report provided scant evidence of spillovers from housing to other components of final demand: Strong growth in consumer spending was supported by gains in employment and income, and businesses increased their capital spending at a solid pace. A strong global economy stimulated foreign demand for U.S.-produced goods and services, as foreign trade contributed nearly 1 percentage point to the growth of real output last quarter." Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, speaking about the economic outlook before the Joint Economic Committee, U.S. Congress, on November 8, 2007.

"In the last five years, household net worth has gone up $18.5 trillion in the United States. Only $4.4 trillion of it can be attributed to real estate, 24%... So American have a lot of wealth to spend." Tobias Levkovich, Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, Smith Barney

Mr. Levkovich also pointed out that:
1. Pension assets, at $12 trillion, are roughly equivalent to real estate net worth.
2. Over 90% of the consumer spending came from something other than mortgage equity withdrawal. Some people were using equity as the ATM machine; most were not.
3. The OECD estimates that pension assets around the world are about $17.9 trillion, and about $12.4 trillion of that is in the U.S. We have a low savings rate because our "savings" is in our pension plans.
4. The U.S. budget deficit as a percentage of GDP is better than Europe’s and better than Japan’s. The U.S. government’s debt as a percentage of GDP is meaningfully less than for most of the European countries, as well as Japan.
5. Though credit is tightening, corporate balance sheets are in very, very good shape, and they have the ability to borrow and use cash [for M&A deals].

3rd Quarter earnings:

  • On 10.22.07, Apple computer announced results that were 28.5% higher than last year, with shipments of Apple computers up 34% year over year. Cash on hand: $15.4 billion.
  • On October 17, 2007, eBay reported record consolidated Q3-07 net revenues of $1.89 billion, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 30%.
  • Google reported revenues of $4.23 billion for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, an increase of 57% compared to the third quarter of 2006. Cash on hand = $13 billion.
  • On Oct. 15, 2007, Citigroup reported net income for the 2007 third quarter of $2.21 billion, or $0.44 per share -- a decline of 60% from the prior-year quarter. The surprise was that a portion of that downturn came from their fixed income division, which is typically a perennial performer. Citigroup’s 3rd quarter earnings report was a decline, not a loss. They wrote down losses on their subprime portfolio and had unexpected underperformance in some of their divisions, but the quarter was profitable for Citigroup and revenue is up this year over last.

Market Report:
The Federal Open Market Committee decided on September 18, 2007 to lower its target for the federal funds rate 50 basis points to 4-3/4 percent. The big, fat rate cut thrilled investors. The stock market immediately rallied on the news. For Halloween, the Feds decided to give investors some candy, with another 25 basis point reduction in the Fed Fund Rate. Investors fell in love with stocks and the markets soared on the news. Continued histrionic headlines and inflated statistics on the severity and pervasiveness of the subprime problems spooked investors in November, for the worst sell-off of the year. By December, however, things were looking up again, not as high as early October, but still strong on the year. Nasdaq, as we predicted last November, posted double and more gains on the S&P500.

General Stock Market Performance

Wednesday, 1.3.2006

Wednesday, 1.3.2007

Thursday, 11.29.2007

Gains 23 & 11 months

Dow: 10,847.41

Dow: 12,474.52

Dow: 13,311.73

+23% & +7%

Nasdaq: 2,243.74

Nasdaq: 2,423.16

Nasdaq: 2,668.13

+20% & +10%

S&P: 1,268.80

S&P: 1,416.60

S&P: 1,469.72

+16% & +4%

The Bottom Line always is that getting rich is a matter of balance, strategy and patience. You should not be day-trading your nest egg. If you don’t know what the proper balance of real estate, stocks, bonds and Beanie Babies you should have in your investment portfolio, your next investment should be in education. If you’d like to learn how to pick stocks and sectors with my methodology – which includes an easy 3-ingredient recipe and easy to use Stock Report Cards -- I encourage you to come to my Get Rich and EnRich Retreat in January. We’re expecting a sell-out, so I recommend that you sign up online now. Reverend Michael Bernard Beckwith, featured teacher of The Secret, will be joining us to teach everyone how to apply the law of attrACTION to greater wealth and investment gains.

Wisdom + the law of attraction = the rich life. It is that simple.

The rich life is a life plan, not a lottery ticket, which is why the setting of our retreat is in the most beautiful hotel in the world – the Loews Santa Monica Beach Hotel. Join us. You know you want to. Take some from your education budget, some from your long term and short term fun budgets and register now. We’ll show you how to invest for profits once you arrive. Our premium subscriber Sam Sanders is up 87% this year. Another broker back East saw the same kind of returns over the last year, using our picks. What are you waiting for?


View of the famous Santa Monica Pier from the Loews Santa Monica Beach Hotel.


Poolside, overlooking the Pacific Ocean, at the Loews Santa Monica Beach Hotel.

USE THE SUBSCRIBER PROMOTIONAL CODE: RetreatPeak to receive a discount price of just $1,295 per person! (Regular price is $2,055. Such a deal!) Sign up now at the below link. Couples (or persons bringing a friend or second family member) can come at the low rate of just $1880 with the promo code RetreatPeak2.

Register NOW, before December 10, 2007, to guarantee your attendance.

The Writer’s Guild Strike Update
Leaders from the WGA and the AMPTP have mutually agreed to resume formal negotiations on November 26. No other details or press statements will be issued.

You’ll see that I’ve made my choice to keep media on the Hot News List for now, though I continue to monitor the situation carefully (but not obsessively).

Peace and Prosperity,

Natalie Pace

EDUCATIONAL OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:

  1. Interest Rates: The Big, Fat Rate Cut! The October 31, 2007 move marked the 2nd consecutive rate cut since September of 2007. The Federal Open Market Committee cut the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points on Halloween 2007 and 50 basis points on September 18, 2007. The federal funds rate is currently at 4-1/2%.

  2. FOMC Information: Interested in reading the minutes of the October FOMC meeting for yourself? You can. The official Federal Reserve document is available online. Click on FOMC, or go to FederalReserve.gov, to read!
  3. The tentative FOMC meeting schedule for the 2007-2008 calendar is: December 11 (Tuesday), January 29-30, 2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday), March 18, 2008 (Tuesday), April 29-30, 2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday), June 24-25, 2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday), August 5, 2008 (Tuesday), September 16, 2008 (Tuesday), October 28-29, 2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday), December 16, 2008 (Tuesday). The fact that the Federal Open Market Committee decided to increase the number of 2-day sessions from two to four in 2007 is an indicator of the concern in the economy at this juncture.

  4. Calendar Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more: Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. There are many wonderful opportunities to chat one-on-one with millionaire money managers, economists, respected money gurus, real estate veterans and CEOs! Be sure to calendar the dates of the mid-month Hot News on Cool Stocks Update and the publication date of our special Company of the Year January 2008 ezine. Get more information on how to best use our articles in the FAQs article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page of NataliePace.com.

  5. Survey Results: Check out our article on the Best Gifts for Guys and Women in this month’s ezine. Great holiday tips are to be found there.

Bottom Line: NataliePace.com is providing you with news and important information, but you need to consult your financial planner to determine your best strategy for using the information. Your investments and portfolio should take into account your age, your retirement goals, your risk tolerance and portfolio diversification. The stock portion of your portfolio is a higher risk classification, where you ideally seek to gain higher returns. As the NASD said in a recent investor alert, don’t bet the farm on the stock market.

NataliePace.com is NOT a brokerage and doesn’t operate or act like one. We are an online media service with a mission of providing the news and information you need to make better choices in business, investing and personal prosperity. Always consult a trusted financial professional before buying or selling any security.

The Hot News on Cool Stocks List
Full disclosure: I have listed the companies that I currently own under the column "NP OWNS?"

Hot Stocks List
Investors who "never pay retail," note that highlighted stocks are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in NataliePace.com’s article. This may be a good buying opportunity. The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments. Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes to your investment strategy.

Highlighted Companies (Hot List):
American Superconductor (AMSC)
Citigroup (C)
Conergy (CEYHF)
Echelon (ELON)
Energy Conversion Devices (ENER)
Hoku Scientific (HOKU)
Krispy Kreme (KKD)
Smith and Nephew (SNN)

UQM Technologies (UQM)
U.S. Gold (UXG)
WisdomTree (WSDT)
ZOLTEC (ZOLT)

Recent Additions:
AU Optronics is not considered to be in buying range. Only those stocks that are highlighted above are trading at a price that we consider to be attractive.

1. Conergy was added on November 2, 2007.
2. AU Optronics was added on October 3, 2007.
3. American Superconductor, Energy Conversion Devices and Zoltec were added on December 3, 2007.

Recent Deletions:
Jet Blue was deleted on December 3, 2007 with negative performance.

Hot News on Cool Stocks List

Company NP owns? Symbol Price when featured Price 12.3.07

Year High

Year Low

Gains since original feature

Altair Nanotechnology

RISK: MEDIUM/ HIGH

No

ALTI

$3.11

$4.09

$5.45

$2.48

+31.5%

Read the Article, "Golf Carts and Sports Cars," in vol. 4, iss. 6. The price was up sharply on unusually high volume on 10.23.07. The U.S. Senate approved a military funding budget that included funding for two cutting-edge nanotechnology research and development projects that Altairnano is conducting, providing funding for a staff of 90 highly qualified individuals in Reno, according to Altairnano President and Chief Executive Officer, Alan J. Gotcher, PhD.

American Super-conductor

No

AMSC

$24.71

$24.71

$28.88

$9.20

--

Read the article "Clean Energy Rolls Out Worldwide," in vol. 4, iss. 12. Competitors include GE (NYSE: GE), Siemens (NYSE: SI), Rockwell (NYSE: ROK), and DRS (NYSE: DRS). High Temperature Superconductor (HTS) wire is able to transmit 150 times more energy than a copper wire of the same dimensions. This enables electric utilities to replace multiple conventional copper cables with one HTS-powered cable, leaving valuable underground real estate available for other uses – including future power upgrades. The worldwide cable market represents a multi-billion-dollar annual opportunity, but their power converters are also in the exploding marketplace of wind turbines and fuel cells. American Superconductor’s backlog of orders exceeds $180 million, with growth primarily driven by the wind energy market. AMSC expects the Asia-Pacific marketplace to account for up to 50% of sales in fiscal year 2007.

Apple Computer

RISK: MEDIUM

No

AAPL

$85.38

($83.93 on 2.27.07)

$182.44

$187.00

$62.70

+114% &

+117%

See archived ezine Vol. 4, issue 2, for the feature article, "Apple Chips." Apple sold its one millionth iPhone on 9.10.07. "One million iPhones in 74 days—it took almost two years to achieve this milestone with iPod," said Steve Jobs, Apple’s CEO. "We can’t wait to get this revolutionary product into the hands of even more customers this holiday season." iPhone combines three devices into one—a mobile phone, a widescreen iPod®, and the best mobile Internet device ever—all based on Apple’s revolutionary multi-touch interface and pioneering software that allows users to control iPhone with just a tap, flick or pinch of their fingers.

Google CEO Dr. Eric Schmidt joined the Apple board of directors in Oct. 2006. Somehow Jobs skated through the options backdating scandal. The craze over the iPhone, iPod and all things Apple, and the clout that Jobs is gaining with his alliances with Disney and Google should keep Apple at the top of the technology performers over the next few years at minimum. Apple is a company you’re going to want to own – and everyone wishes they’d had the prescience to buy in at a better price. On 10.22.07, Apple announced revenue of $6.22 billion and net quarterly profit of $904 million, or $1.01 per diluted share. These results compare to revenue of $4.84 billion and net quarterly profit of $542 million, or $.62 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin was 33.6 percent, up from 29.2 percent in the year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 40 percent of the quarter's revenue.

Apple shipped 2,164,000 Macintosh(R) computers, representing 34 percent growth over the year-ago quarter and exceeding the previous quarterly record for Mac(R) shipments by 400,000. The Company sold 10,200,000 iPods during the quarter, representing 17 percent growth over the year-ago quarter. Quarterly iPhone(TM) sales were 1,119,000, bringing cumulative fiscal 2007 sales to 1,389,000.

"We are very pleased to have generated over $24 billion in revenue and $3.5 billion in net income in fiscal 2007," said Steve Jobs, Apple's CEO. "We're looking forward to a strong December quarter as we enter the holiday season with Apple's best products ever."

"Apple ended the fiscal year with $15.4 billion in cash and no debt," said Peter Oppenheimer, Apple's CFO. "Looking ahead to the first quarter of fiscal 2008, we expect revenue of about $9.2 billion and earnings per diluted share of about $1.42."

AU Optronics

RISK: MEDIUM

No

AUO

$16.92

$19.61

$21.20

$12.73

+16%

On Sept. 6, 2007, AUO announced another record high, with revenue up 9.9% from the previous month. On a year-over-year comparison, August 2007 revenues increased significantly by 89%. Shipments of large-sized panels(a) used in desktop monitor, notebook PC, LCD TV and other applications for August also set a new record of 7.23 million units, a 5.7% increase from July 2007. Shipments of small-and-medium-sized panels broke the record as well and presented a 22.1% increase from the previous month, to 14.59 million units. On 7.26.07, the company reported 2Q results of revenues up 31.3% (Quarter over Quarter) to $3.2 billion. Net income after tax of $182 million. Operating margin: 6.5%.  AUO's Xiamen manufacturing facility began volume production in April 2007. Production capacity will increase by 50% for both China's monthly TV module capacity and small-and-medium sized LCD module capacity.

Citigroup

DIVIDENDS 4.31%!

RISK: LOW

No

C

$50.38

$33.30 (12.3.07)

$33.30

$57.00

$31.05

-34% &

Flat

Refer to the M&A Mania article in volume 3, issue 6 for details on Citigroup’s appeal. Citigroup, like all of the financial services industry, will continue to see hard times into 2008. This is a price that might be attractive for your long term portfolio. Don’t expect wild gains in the short term with this company.

Citigroup announced on May 10, 2007, that Citigroup China would roll-out two new investment products -- Structured Investment Accounts -- for the Chinese consumer that would allow him/her to invest in equities or currencies, with a principal protection feature. Just a few years ago, all banks in China were state-owned enterprises. Citigroup was first mover in the Chinese consumer equity marketplace. Purchased AkBank (in Turkey) on 1.09.07. Akbank currently has 675 branches and 1,617 ATMs and is a premier, full-service retail, commercial, corporate and private bank in Turkey, with assets of $39.6 billion, loans of $19.6 billion and a deposit base of $25.0 billion. It is the world’s third largest bank by assets and the nation’s largest financial institution. Citigroup acquired servicing rights for $45 billion worth of loans formerly held in ACC’s Ameriquest company. Terms of the deal were not disclosed. Citigroup announced on November 3, 2007, that Charles Prince, Chairman and CEO, will leave the company. Robert Rubin has been named Chairman of the Board. Sir Win Bischoff has been named acting Chief Executive Officer. Citi will review fourth quarter and full-year 2007 results on Tuesday, January 15, 2008, at 8:30 AM (EST).

On Oct. 15, 2007, Citigroup reported net income for the 2007 third quarter of $2.21 billion, or $0.44 per share, a decline of 60% from the prior-year quarter.

Conergy

RISK: MEDIUM

No

CEYHF

$44.75

$40.35

$96.14

$39.10

-9.8%

See the Wind Power article in vol. 4, issue 11.

Disney

Dividends

RISK: LOW

No

DIS

$25.08

$33.19

$36.79

$23.77

+32%

Announced earnings on 11.8.07. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the year increased to $2.25, compared to $1.64 in the prior year.. Disney/Pixar/ABC, distributed by Apple iTunes. Hmmm… The most successful animation film company meets the most successful family media company meets the most successful new media device, the iPod. Sounds like the happiest place on Earth to us. The largest individual stockholder is Steve Jobs. According to the annual report, CEO Bob Iger received $22 million in compensation last year (not including stock options). His pay included $2 million salary and a $15 million cash bonus. CEO Bob Iger was one of our Executives of the Year in 2007. Read the article in vol. 4, iss. 1. The WGA contract was up on October 31, while the SAG and DGA contracts expire in June 2008. Although the studios have all ramped up production to stave off the effects of a strike by the unions, this strike could certainly parch the investor appetite in film companies, even if it doesn’t cripple profits. Though many believe the WGA union spokesperson has been too aggressive and the studios have been too recalcitrant about cutting writers in on a fair piece of new media, the strikers are out in full force and receiving a lot of support from the stars who speak their lines on hit shows.

Eastern Europe -- U.S. Global Investors

RISK: LOW

No

EUROX

$33.87

$57.86

$59.00

$23.02

+71%

Vanguard seems to be in the right countries, and within those countries, in the right growing sectors. See vol. 2, issue 8. Great way to diversify, as well as to add growth. Eastern EU economy rocks. Western EU economy stalls. Your international fund should reflect the difference.

eBay

RISK: LOW

Yes

eBAY

$29.75

$33.49

$39.54

$22.83

+13%

Announced earnings on 10.17.07. See the articles, "eBay’s Skype Outpaces News Corp’s MySpace," in volume 3, issue 9, "Executives of the Year" in January 2007, which featured CEO Meg Whitman (vol. 4, iss. 1). eBay reported record consolidated Q3-07 net revenues of $1.89 billion, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 30%. GAAP operating loss was $938 million in Q3-07, representing (50%) of net revenues, compared to GAAP operating income of $339 million in Q3-06. GAAP net loss in Q3-07 was $936 million, or $0.69 loss per diluted share. Both the GAAP operating loss and GAAP net loss were the result of the previously announced goodwill impairment charge related to eBay's acquisition of Skype. (This can be a tax benefit, and Skype delivered record net revenues, excluding the impairment charge, and a record increase of registered users – to 246 million – which can then be sent over to the eBay marketplace. Don’t be fooled by headlines and young writers making silly assumptions.) The company purchased approximately 14.8 million shares of its common stock at a total cost of approximately $500 million during the quarter out of its authorized stock repurchase program of up to $2 billion by January 2009. According to eBay President and CEO, Meg Whitman, "eBay International, PayPal Merchant Services, StubHub, classifieds and our advertising businesses all performed above our expectations." Skype net revenues totaled a record $98 million in Q3-07, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 96%. Skype had 246 million registered user accounts at the end of Q3-07, representing a year-over-year increase of 81%.

Note: The GAAP effective tax rate for Q3-07 was (4%), compared to 26% for Q3-06 and 23% in Q2-07. Strong management and talent in the executive suite. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaled $4.44 billion at the end of Q3-07.

Echelon

RISK: MED/HIGH

No

ELON

$20.04

$17.26

$32.49

$7.19

--14%

Read the article, "Green San Jose Company," in vol. 4, iss. 8. Governor Schwarzenegger (CA) took Secretary General of the U.N. Ban Ki-Moon on a tour of Echelon’s HQ in Silicon Valley the week before ELON confirmed an order from Russia valued at $35 million. What other orders could come into this company that reported sales of $26.7 million in the 2nd quarter, over 19.4 million a year ago. On July 10, 2007, Echelon signed a contract with McDonald's to help it reduce energy costs and improve efficiency. Reported 3rd quarter results on 10.23.07 of $24.7 million in revenues compared to revenues of $13.3 million for the same period in 2006. The GAAP net loss for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 was $5.4 million, or $0.14 cents per share, compared to net loss of $6.3 million a year ago. "We are still on track to achieve non-GAAP profitability in the fourth quarter. We believe our strategies have positioned us well for the remainder of the year and for 2008," said Ken Oshman, Echelon's CEO and Chairman. "Our infrastructure product line did not grow as expected, especially in the Americas – and it will receive special attention in coming months."

Energy Conversion Devices

RISK: MEDIUM

No

ENER

$26.50

$26.50

$40.10

$22.26

--

Read the article "Clean Energy ," in vol. 4, iss. 12.

GAP

RISK: MEDIUM

No

GPS

$20.30

$17.50 (3.16.07)

$20.54

$21.39

$15.91

+1% &

+17%

See the article, "Gap’s Inc(RED)ible Campaign," from vol. 3, iss. 12. Sales are still weak, but the company is beating analyst expectations and searching for the perfect design and management team. The first hire was impressive indeed! The Gap hired Todd Oldham as the design creative director for Old Navy, and immediately the television ads began to pop with sensuality and style. Who will helm The Gap’s creative ship? It’s hard to get too excited about a man whose last job was in Canada at Shoppers Drug Mart, but perhaps Glenn Murphy, 45, Gap Inc.'s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, is a lot more fashionable than his pedigree would show. The Oldham hiring was genius.

In the "show me your friends and I’ll tell you who you are" category, the friends surrounding Gap these days are mighty, powerful and successful. You’ve got Goldman Sachs advising them on the turnaround strategy. GAP is one of an elite group of companies that are attached to PRODUCT (RED), the pet project of Bono and Bobby Shriver, alongside Apple, American Express, Motorola, Emporio Armani and more. The fast, definitive action, the ongoing commitment to Bono and Bobby Shriver’s PRODUCT (RED) and having Goldman Sachs in their corner really sets the stage for some promising surprises for this legacy clothing retailer. Especially if the team comes up with a winning designer. Things could hardly be worse for the Gap, but, with the talent assembled for this turnaround, we’re optimistic that it is always darkest before the dawn. Upgraded from Neutral to Positive by Susquehanna Financial on 8.28.07. Beat analyst earnings estimates on 8.24.07.

On Nov. 8, 2007, Gap Inc. reported net sales of $1.23 billion for the four-week period ended November 3, 2007, which represents a 1 percent decrease compared with net sales of $1.24 billion for the four-week period ended October 28, 2006. Due to the 53rd week in fiscal year 2006, October 2007 comparable store sales are compared to the four-week period ended November 4, 2006. On this basis, the company's comparable store sales for October 2007 decreased 8 percent compared with a 7 percent decrease in October 2006.

Genentech

RISK: MEDIUM

No

DNA

$13.50

$81.13

$72.60

(6.24.07)

$73.14

$89.41

$71.43

+442% &

-10% &

+1%

Announced its 2007 third quarter earnings on October 15, 2007: U.S. product sales of $2,155 million, an 18 percent increase over U.S. product sales of $1,830 million in the third quarter of 2006. GAAP operating revenues of $2,908 million, which include recognition of $3 million of deferred royalty revenue associated with the acquisition of Tanox, Inc. Avastin sales are up 37% over 2006, to $597 million for the quarter. Lucentis is up 29% to $198 million, while Tarceva is flat at about $101 million in sales. Major growth for a big cap, and trading at prices not seen in over two years! Purchased Tanox on 1.16.07. Received 8 FDA approvals in 2006. DNA is a Great Blue Chip Hold for your long-term portfolio. Genentech specializes in DNA-based cancer treatments that might ultimately eliminate the need for chemotherapy! (Avastin chokes off the blood supply to the tumor.) Biotechnology is a volatile sector, but this popular #2 biotechnology company has a big pipeline of drugs. Cancer drugs are a $20+ billion annual market, and DNA has appx. $8-9 billion of the market cornered. Avastin alone is on track to exceed $2 billion in annual sales in 2007. Tarceva is rocketing up the sales charts, with sales of $406 million in the first three quarters of 2007.

Google (Green)

RISK: LOW

No

GOOG

$85

$691.48

$747.24

$437.00

+714%

Great Blue Chip Hold for your long-term portfolio. Owns YouTube.com, one of the most popular sites on the web, which got hit with a billion dollar lawsuit from Viacom on 3.13.07. Dr. Eric Schmidt was one of our Executives of the Year in 2007. Read the article in vol. 4, iss. 1. The growth continues to be amazing, and the share price continues to be amazingly volatile! The savvy day-trader would buy on disappointment and sell on hot headlines. The long-term investor would buy at the 52-week low and hold to will to the kids. (Notice that Google is NOT highlighted and is not considered to be a good buy right now.)

Google reported revenues of $4.23 billion for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, an increase of 57% compared to the third quarter of 2006 and an increase of 9% compared to the second quarter of 2007. Traffic Acquisition Costs totaled $1.22 billion, or 29% of advertising revenues. GAAP net income for the third quarter of 2007 was $1.07 billion as compared to $925 million in the second quarter of 2007. We currently estimate stock-based compensation charges for grants to employees prior to October 1, 2007 to be approximately $801 million for 2007. Dilution is expected to be capped at 2%. Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $13.1 billion at the end of September 2007.

On a worldwide basis, Google employed 15,916 full-time employees, up from 13,786 full time employees as of June 30, 2007 – all enjoying the Google 20 (pounds you gain from all of the free food provided by the company). As part of their "Do no evil" plan, Google has gone green, installing solar panels at HQs.

Hoku Scientific

RISK: HIGH

No

HOKU

$9.68

$8.09

$14.55

$2.52

-16%

Read "Solar Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon," in the Oct. 2007 ezine, vol. 4, iss. 10. Contracted to build a polysilicon facility in Idaho and supply Suntech, Sanyo and Solar-Fabrik. Exiting the fuel cell business, in favor of solar, according to the fiscal 1st Q 2008 earnings report. The planned polysilicon manufacturing facility is still in the financing stages. According to Dustin Shindo, in the Hoku earnings report of 10.23.07, Hoku "received letters of credit of $25 million and $45 million for two of our polysilicon customers, Global Expertise Wafer Division, a subsidiary of Solar-Fabrik Group, and Suntech, respectively, to secure their prepayment obligations to us if we achieve various milestones in the construction and operation of our planned polysilicon plant." The $13 million line of credit with Bank of Hawaii has allowed Hoku to commit capital to the design and engineering of the plant, to purchase long lead-time items such as the reactors, and to stay on schedule for our planned 2009 product deliveries, according to a company press release. Hoku Materials, plans to build and equip a polysilicon production facility capable of producing up to 2,500 metric tons of polysilicon per year in Pocatello, Idaho. Hoku Materials estimates the total cost to construct and equip the polysilicon facility with an annual capacity of 2,500 metric tons will be approximately $300 million. Assuming the financing can be obtained, Hoku anticipates the availability of polysilicon beginning in the first half of calendar year 2009.

Intel

RISK: LOW

No

INTC

$19.13

$26.70

$27.71

$16.84

+40%

See "Apple Chips," article in vol. 4, iss 2. Intel is beating Advanced Micro Devices in products and price. AMD is fighting back in court and by slashing costs. The price war is tough on both, but easier for Goliath to win.   A Good Blue Chip long term hold for your portfolio, with dividends. On 10.16.07, Intel announced 3rd quarter earnings: revenue of $10.1 billion, operating income of $2.2 billion, net income of $1.9 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of 31 cents. "A combination of great products, strong and growing worldwide demand, and operational efficiency from our ongoing restructuring efforts led to record third-quarter revenue and a 64-percent year-over-year gain in operating income," said Intel President and CEO Paul Otellini. "Looking forward, we see each of these elements continuing to improve into the fourth quarter." Meanwhile, in the third quarter, AMD reported an operating loss of $226 million, and a net loss of $396 million, or $0.71 per share. AMD completed a $1.5 billion convertible debt offering and used the net proceeds, together with available cash, to repay in full the $1.7 billion outstanding balance of the term loan used to acquire ATI.

Johnson & Johnson

RISK: LOW

No

JNJ

$61.65

$59.99

$67.88

$69.41

$59.77

+10% & +13%

Read the article, "Bionic Baby Boomers," in vol. 4, iss. 7. Johnson & Johnson is a mega-cap corporation with many products, and a small presence in the hip resurfacing arena. Growth is 16% annually. Stable, dividend-paying Blue Chip.

Krispy Kreme

RISK: HIGH

No

KKD

$10.22

$2.59 (12.3.07)

$2.59

$13.83

$2.91

-75%

Have you visited the Coffee Bean and Tea Leaf shops lately? Seen Krispy Kreme doughnuts in the pastry case? KKD is expanding into Asia – namely Macao, the Phillipines, Hong Kong, Indonesia and Japan. There are currently approximately 296 Krispy Kreme stores and 99 satellites operating system-wide in 41 U.S. states, Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Kuwait, Mexico, the Philippines, the Republic of South Korea, United Arab Emirates and the United Kingdom. If you love their product, KKD’s CEO has proven to be a turnaround specialist, and he’s done a great job in the past. KKD caught up with all of their SEC filings as of 1.29.07, and is looking to the future now. Lynn Crump-Caine (a 30-year McDonald’s veteran) and C. Stephen Lynn (former Chairman and CEO of Shoney’s and Sonic Corp.) were recently added as directors. Missed analyst earnings estimates on 9.15.07 for second straight quarter. Revenues for the second quarter of fiscal 2008 decreased 7.5% to $104.1 million compared to $112.5 million in the second quarter of last year. Company Stores revenues decreased 4.7% to $75.3 million, Franchise revenues were flat at $5.1 million and KK Supply Chain revenues decreased 16.8% to $23.7 million. KKD will announce earnings on 12/6/2007.

MEMC Electronics

RISK: MEDIUM

No

WFR

$35.30 (11.11)

$76.29

$75.88

$31.94

+116%

MEMC was added to the S&P500 in August of 2007. Read "Sun Powers Whole Foods," article in vol. 3, iss. 10. Silicon is in high demand, and MEMC has been able to price its product and pick its customers accordingly. On 7.25, the company reported earnings: 2Q net sales were $472.7 million, which represents an increase of 7.3% from first quarter 2007 net sales of $440.4 million and an increase of 27.6% over second quarter 2006 net sales of $370.5 million. GAAP net income was $163.6 million MEMC will receive $2.5 billion to $3 billion in revenue from sales of the wafers over the 10-year period from Taiwan’s Gintech Energy (solar). MEMC also will be eligible to purchase a 10 percent interest in Gintech, as well as acquire the rights to a parcel of land of about 1.7 hectares, or about 4.2 acres, located within the Hsinchu Science Park. Supplies silicon ingots to Suntech Power Holdings, and owns a stake in that company as well. The CEO has cashed out over $78 million, and plans to continue to "diversify" his holdings through 2010. Investors have cashed out over $3 billion. This is colossal insider selling, however, after decades of solar energy being out of favor, this may be the first time the investors have been able to roll out their decades long investments. According to Memc’s Chief Executive Officer, Nabeel Gareeb, "I am taking advantage of this open window to directly exercise and sell approximately 10% of my outstanding options as part of my estate diversification plan. I believe that MEMC remains on a positive trajectory as indicated by the results over the last five years, and I am confident about our future as indicated by the long-term nature of this plan." Implemented a 500 million share repurchase program in the 2nd quarter of 2007.

National Health Investors

RISK: HIGH

No

NHI

$29.89

$28.26

$35.54

$25.78

-5%

Get more information in vol. 4, iss. 9 in the REITs article and accompanying stock report card. This is a company that I featured in the April 2004 ezine at, believe it or not, $29.89. There are rumors of a merger. We’ll watch this in the next few months to see if the merger comes to fruition and/or if the Santa Rally pushes up the stock.

NetGear

RISK: MEDIUM

No

NTGR

$12.42

$33.81

$41.33

$16.64

+172%

Watch Natalie Pace’s Exclusive Forbes.com Video Network Q&A with Patrick Lo (from August 2006). Award Heaven! Patrick Lo, CEO, won the Ernst & Young’s Entrepreneur of the Year Award (on 6.16.06), NetGear was on Business Week’s Hot 100 list (for the 2nd year), NetGear was awarded Best Buy’s Bravo Award for Business Excellence and POPULAR MECHANICS just gave NetGear’s Skype phone its Breakthrough Award. The NETGEAR Skype WiFi phone is available online. It’s a great product that allows you to connect to Skype and call anyone worldwide anywhere there is a WiFi signal. An October 2006 report from Jupiter Research predicted that 20.4 million U.S. households will subscribe to some form of Internet-based broadband phone service by 2010. With all of the promising new products (Skype phones), and the product alliance with Avaya, NetGear is poised to continue strong growth. Earnings on 7.26.07: 2Q 2007 net revenue increased to $164.3 million, 26% year-over-year growth. Net income of 6.1 million, or $0.17 per diluted share. This net income was a decrease of 38% compared to net income of $9.8 million for the second quarter of 2006 and a decrease of 56% compared to net income of $14.0 million in the first quarter of 2007. Net revenue by geography: North America, 38%; Europe, Middle-East and Africa, 52%; Asia Pacific, 10%.

News Corp.

Vol. 2, iss. 10

Dividends!

RISK: LOW

MySpace: 2006 Company of the Year

No

NWS.A

$15.88

$21.05

$25.40

$18.18

+33%

Owns Fox TV and film studios, MySpace, and print publications. Sold DirecTV. News Corp. has completed $2.5 billion of a $3.0 billion buyback program initiated last June, and increased the stock buyback program to $6.0 billion. DVDs include: Ice Age: The Meltdown and X-Men. Theatrical hits include: Borat, The Devil Wears Prada, Little Miss Sunshine, Napoleon Dynamite, Die Hard and The Simpsons Movie. MySpace CEO Chris DeWolfe and President Tom Anderson were our Executives of the Year in 2006. Read the article in vol. 3, iss. 1. Spam issues have lead California teens to jump over to FaceBook. If Myspace were led by less capable, passionate executives, I’d be plenty worried right now. We’ll monitor, but with the addition of video and the strong music fan base, it’s hard to imagine MySpace imploding. According to Gabe, 17, from Santa Monica, "I use Facebook more. It’s become the easier thing. MySpace has been corrupted by aliens – all of these hackers who send people adverts." The WGA contract was up on October 31, and the writers began striking on Monday, November 5, 2007. The SAG and DGA contracts expire in June 2008. Although the studios have all ramped up production to stave off the effects of a strike by the unions, a strike could certainly parch the investor appetite in film companies, even if it doesn’t cripple profits. Though many believe the WGA union spokesperson has been too aggressive and the studios have been too recalcitrant about cutting writers in on a fair piece of new media, the strikers are out in full force and receiving a lot of support from the stars who speak their lines on hit shows.

Opsware

RISK: LOW

2004 Company of the Year

No

OPSW

$1.80

$14.24

$14.25

$6.25

+690%

Hewlett-Packard announced that they would be acquiring Opsware for $14.25/share on 7.23.07! Named to Deloitte and Touche's prestigious Technology Fast 50 Program for Silicon Valley on 10.26.06. Cisco distributes Opsware’s products worldwide. Opsware automates the complete IT lifecycle and enables IT to automatically discover, provision, patch, configure, secure, change, scale, audit, recover, consolidate, migrate, and reallocate servers, network devices and applications. Over 350 of the world's largest companies, outsourcers and government agencies use Opsware to deliver this new, automated model of IT. Read the 2004 Company of the Year article in vol. 1, iss. 44. Surpassed $100 million in revenue for full year 2006 ($101.7 million), up 67% over the prior year! (Don’t buy now. The price won’t get above $14.25, as that is the acquisition price.)

OSI Pharmaceuticals

RISK: HIGH

2005 Company of the Year

No

OSIP

$72.18

$36.86

$33.00 (4.1.07)

$47.41

$47.30

$30.17

-34% &

+29% &

+44%

NataliePace.com’s 2005 Company of the Year. Read vol. 1, iss. 56. Announced 2Q 2007 earnings on July 30, 2007. Tarceva is the genetic based "cancer pill," and sales have been exploding, up to $402 million in 2006, after being approved by the FDA in just 2004. OSIP is a partner of Genentech (DNA) and Roche. OSIP is now testing Tarceva as an application for other cancers, including lung cancer. Industry sales data has placed the cancer drug market's value at more than $20 billion annually and it is growing fast. Institutional holdings of OSIP increased significantly on 11.22.07.

Satcon

VERY HIGH RISK

Micro Cap

No

SATC

$1.24

$1.04

(9.1.07)

$1.45

$1.73

$.73

+17% & +39%

Read the article, "Golf Carts and Sports Cars," from vol. 4, iss. 6. Reported 3Q 2007 results on November 15, 2007. " Who are SatCon’s customers? On June 27, 2007, SatCon announced that its PowerGate(R) commercial grade inverters had been installed as an integral part of Google's corporate headquarters in Mountain View, California. The 1.6MW system is the largest commercial photovoltaic system in the United States. Revenues increased 147% over last year to $21.0 million. Losses from Operations declined to $1.2 million from $3.5 million in 2006. Sales Order backlog was approximately $47 million at the end of the quarter, a 78% increase over last year. SATC expects to achieve annual revenues for 2007 on the order of $55 million compared to 2006 annual revenues of $34 million, an increase of over 60%.

Sirius

RISK: HIGH

No

SIRI

$3.85

$2.90 (6.1.07)

$3.88

$4.84

$2.72

Flat &

+34%

Sirius and XM Satellite Radio issued a joint press release on February 20, 2007 saying that they will combine the companies. Mel Karmazin remains CEO of the combined company, while Gary Parsons, the CEO of XM-SR, will become the Chairman. The merger is being challenged in Congress. This story is developing and we will keep you posted. In the meantime, Sirius has launched backseat tv on Chrysler cars beginning in 2008, and is a factory installed option for Land Rovers and Mini hard tops. Institutional holdings of SIRI increased significantly on 11.22.07. Exceeded analyst earnings estimates for second straight quarter on 10.31.07. Shares rocketed on 11.30.07, after Bear Stearns analyst Robert Pek said that, the Justice Department's junior staffers will attempt to block the deal, but senior members will likely rule in favor of the merger allowing Sirius to buy out its larger counterpart, XM.

Smith & Nephew

RISK: MEDIUM

No

SNN

$60.94

$57.17

(9.16.07)

$58.82

$66.10

$36.70

-3.4% &

+3%

Read the article in vol. 4, iss. 7. Announces earnings on 11.1.07. Smith and Nephew are the first movers in the fast-growing US hip resurfacing marketplace. The company is based out of London, England, and with a market cap of $10.57 billion is a good diversification strategy for your portfolio, in addition to having a piece of an exploding marketplace. Price-to-cash-flow ratio well below industry average on 9.16.07.

Withdrew 185 of its BIRMINGHAM HIP* Resurfacing System implants following a packaging error at a subcontractor on Aug. 16, 2007. Smith & Nephew's investigation confirms that this problem is confined to a small number of batches. A number of implants have already been recovered in their packaging. The devices have been distributed to a number of countries, including the UK and the US. Proactive notification is a good sign of the moral code of the executive suite, but bad products can be Lawsuit City if they were implanted. This is a developing story.

Sohu (Chinese Co. ADR)

Small Cap

RISK: MEDIUM

No

SOHU

$17.52

$59.44

$56.82

$20.23

+239%

See NataliePace.com ezines, vol. 3, issue 4 and vol. 2, issue 9 for feature articles on Sohu. Dr. Charles Zhang, the Chairman and CEO of Sohu.com, is one of our CEOs of the year in 2007. Read the articles in vol. 4, iss. 1. You can watch a Q&A with Dr. Charles Zhang in an exclusive interview I did on the Forbes.com Video Network. Sohu was selected as the official sponsor of Internet Content Service (ICS) for the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games. Could be some bumps in the road between now and Beijing Olympics 2008, which should ultimately be worth it. Share price jumped in early July 2007 and has been strong since!

SunTech Holdings Co. Ltd (Green & Chinese Co. ADR)

RISK: LOW

2007 Company of the Year

No

STP

$25.83

$34.01 (1.1.07)

$81.30

$84.94

$29.25

+215% & +139%

See vol. 4, iss. 1 for our Company of the Year article, which names SunTech the Company of 2007. Beat analyst earnings expectations on 8.10.07. Also, check out vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for our articles on solar energy. On February 21, 2007, Suntech’s CEO, Dr. Shi joined the Global Roundtable on Climate Change which is part of the Earth Institute of Columbia University in the City of New York. The Global Roundtable brings together more than 100 high-level, critical stakeholders from all regions of the world. Suntech will supply solar modules with an aggregate output of 23.2MW to Atersa for installation in the Photovoltaic Grid Connection Park in the Extremadura region of Spain, the world’s largest solar power plant. SunTech is also the official solar provider of the 2008 Beijing Olympics, so expect that it will enjoy a lot of buzz over the next 18 months. Announced earnings on 8.9.07: total net revenues grew 147.7% year-over-year to $317.4 million. Annualized PV cell production capacity expansion is on track to reach 480MW by the end of 2007. "Our sales demand has been so strong that we have already signed contracts to deliver over 150MW of our PV modules in 2008. To put that in perspective, that is nearly equal to Suntech's entire output in 2006,'' CEO Shi said, commenting on the development of "semiconductor finger technology." Dr. Shi is one of our Executives of the Year in 2007. Read the article in vol. 4, iss. 1. Suntech picked up more clients at the 2007 Solar Conference in Long Beach in August 2007, adding Irvine, Calif.'s Lumeta and Los Gatos, Calif.-based Akeena Solar. In June 2007, Suntech signed a 10 year supply deal for polysilicon from Hawaii's Hoku Scientific. Institutional holdings of STP increased significantly on November 22, 2007.

T. Rowe Price Em Eur & Mediterranean

RISK: LOW

No

TREMX

$20.72

$39.01

$40.00

$12.00

+88%

See vol. 4, issue 3 and vol. 2, issue 8 for articles on why Eastern EU rocks, while Western EU stalls. Great way to diversify, as well as to add growth. Go global with the emerging countries. Avoid the countries in the EU that are stalling in economic growth, like Germany and France. International investing in the right sectors and countries pays off! Upgraded to top Morningstar return rating in its category on 7.27.07. Upgraded to Morningstar 5-star rating on 8.12.07. (We first featured this rock star mutual fund back in August of 2005!)

Time-Warner

(owns AOL)

Dividends!

RISK: Low

No

TWX

$16.76

$17.20

$23.15

$15.70

+3%

See vol. 3, issue 9, "eBay’s Skype Outpaces News Corp.’s MySpace" for a report card that features Time-Warner. TWX’s The Departed won Best Picture of the Year! AOL and Time-Warner have finally figured out how to work together. Former Chairman & CEO Richard D. Parsons, successfully fought off Carl Icahn, and Mr. Parsons has proven to be a decisive and visionary leader in other matters as well. Effective November 5, 2007, he has stepped down as CEO, but will remain chairman. Jeffrey Bewkes is the new CEO. From 2002-2005, Mr. Bewkes was chairman of the Time Warner entertainment and networks grop, and in 2006, he became President and COO, overseeing all of the divisions at Time Warner. Prior to his work at the corporate headquarters, he was the CEO of HBO. Under his leadership, HBO became the world's most profitable TV network, while securing its reputation for critically acclaimed original programming, movies, documentaries, concerts and sports, as well as leadership in new technologies such as HBO On Demand. Reported 3Q earnings on Nov. 7, 2007. Revenues are up 9% from $10.7 billion last year to $11.7 billion this year, operating income is up 29% to $2.1 billion from $1.6 billion. Free cash flow is $4 billion. Net debt is $35.3 billion, increasing $1.9 billion from the end of 2006 due to the stock repurchase program. Company has completed $2.2 billion of an announced $5 billion stock repurchase program, and is no track to complete ½ of the buyback by the end of 2007. The WGA contract was up on October 31, while the SAG and DGA contracts expire in June 2008. Although the studios have all ramped up production to stave off the effects of a strike by the unions, a strike could certainly parch the investor appetite in film companies, even if it doesn’t cripple profits. Though many believe the WGA union spokesperson has been too aggressive and the studios have been too recalcitrant about cutting writers in on a fair piece of new media, the strikers are out in full force and receiving a lot of support from the stars who speak their lines on hit shows.

Trina Solar Limited

RISK: Medium

Chinese-based ADR

No

TSL

$44.08 &

$43.18 (6.15.07)

$46.27

$73.06

$17.05

+5% &

+7%

See vol. 4, iss. 4 for the article "Green Hits the Mainstream," and vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for other articles on solar energy. This is a profitable solar energy company, based out of China. The international management team is very strong, as are sales, growth and profitability. Share price jumped in early July 2007. Institutional holdings increased significantly on 9.12.07, per MSN.com. Announced 2Q 2007 earnings on 8.23.07. Net revenues increased 77% over the last quarter and 160% over the last year to $75.3 million. Net income increased 51.4% over the last quarter and 540% over the last year to $7.2 million.

UQM Technologies

RISK: HIGH

No

UQM

$3.97

$3.10 (12.5.07)

$3.10

$5.48

$2.19

-22%

Read the article, "Golf Carts and Sports Cars," from vol. 4, iss. 6.

U.S. Gold

RISK: VERY HIGH

Yes

UXG

$5.05

$3.30 on

12.3.07

$3.30

$10.30

$.35

-35%

Began trading on the AMEX stock exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.) See the feature interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen in vol. 3, iss. 2, and click to hear Natalie Pace’s Q&A with Rob McEwen on the Forbes.com Video Network. Note: U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time; is it a gold exploration company, based in Nevada. Rob McEwen, Chairman and CEO, was awarded the "Most Innovative CEO" award in 2006 by Canadian Business magazine in its fifth annual "All-Star Execs roundup." Motley Fool added U.S. Gold to their "5 Low-Priced, High-Star Stocks" on 2.6.07. As more press comes on board, the price should reflect the wooing of Wall Street investors. (Now, if the company strikes gold, we’ll all be geniuses…) UXG is "continuing their aggressive drilling and exploration program at our top-priority targets: Keystone, Limousine Butte, Gold Bar, and Tonkin." Read the article above for more detailed info on this gold exploration company. Rob McEwen, Chairman and CEO, was appointed to the Order of Canada, the country's highest civilian honor on July 3, 2007. Rob is one of 71 new appointments announced by Her Excellency, the Right Honorable Michaelle Jean, Governor General of Canada. U.S. Gold was added to the Russell 3000 on July 3, 2007.

On October 4, 2007 UXG announced results from its recently expanded exploration portfolio in Nevada. At Tonkin, the best gold assay results were 0.147 opt (ounces per ton) over 55 ft. (feet) (5.030 gpt (grams per tonne) over 16.8 m (meters)) and 0.115 opt over 23.9 ft. (3.937 gpt over 7.3 m); and at our Limo Project 0.166 opt over 26 ft. (5.685 gpt over 7.9 m) and 0.052 opt over 184.5 ft. (1.781 gpt over 56.2 m).

"Since our last exploration release on June 12, 2007, assay results from 44 holes totaling 35,964 feet of drilling have been received. We haven't hit any home runs yet, but we are on base and it is early in the game. We have advanced our understanding of the geology and confirmed that we have encountered wide sections of the right rock types to host a Carlin style gold deposit. In addition, we are fortunate to have a large land holding in a prospective area and a healthy treasury to fund our objective of exploring aggressively for the next Cortez Hills discovery. I must emphasize that exploration is the research and development of the mining industry, and it is typically a frustratingly slow and expensive process with low odds of success. The results in this press release are positive and encouraging, but not thrilling," said Rob McEwen, Chairman and CEO.

Ann Carpenter, President, Chief Operating Officer and Director of the Company, resigned on 11.17.07. Rob McEwen, CEO AND Chairman, remains in charge and will provide an update on the status of their exploration in the near future, according to a spokesperson at the company.

World Water & Power

VERY HIGH RISK

Trading off the boards

No

WWAT

$.59

$1.93

$2.52

$.22

+227%

See vol. 4, iss. 4 for the article Green Hits the Mainstream, and vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for articles on solar energy. This is a very high-risk company in the solar-energy/water purification sector. CEO Quentin Kelly was invited by Governor Schwarzenegger to join him on the Governor’s tour of Canada, during the California-Canada Conference on Clean Technologies in Vancouver. Mr. Kelley was selected due to WWAT’s leading role in building prominent solar energy projects in California, including the recently-announced Fresno airport solar complex as well as the largest solar-powered agricultural system in the world and only self-sustaining water utility. Announced on August 9, 2007, that they would be delivering 10 Mobile MaxPure units for use in Darfur, Sudan. The portable solar driven water pumping and purifying units, purchased for an aggregate of $775,000, will provide approximately 30,000 gallons of safe drinking water daily at each of 10 sites across the ravaged desert region. Deliveries are scheduled for late September/October with installation in October/November. Financial terms of the contract were not disclosed. Financial results on 8.13.07: Revenue for the second quarter was $2.2 million, compared with $1.8 million reported in the second quarter of 2006. Net loss for the second quarter of 2007 was $2.8 million, or $(0.02) per share, compared to a loss of $2.0 million, or $(0.01) per share, in the second quarter of 2006. The 2007 second quarter reflects an increase in marketing and sales expense tied to the Company's aggressive growth goals. According to Quentin T. Kelly, Chairman and CEO, "We have a $200 million pipeline of potential contracts plus additional large, pending projects. We believe WorldWater has the unique, proprietary technology and resources to offer the most cost-efficient solutions to a world demanding clean, renewable energy."

On May 24, 2007 WorldWater & Solar Technologies Corp. announced the signing of a Strategic Memorandum of Understanding that is expected to lead to the expansion and increased efficiency of the marketing and sales forces of both companies. WorldWater is an international solar engineering and water management company with unique, high-powered solar technology providing solutions to power and water supply problems; Solargenix is in the business of maximizing patented solar collection technology and other patents and know-how to convert the sun’s light into a variety of temperature ranges for thermal heat, with worldwide experience in energy and environmental engineering, solar design and building construction. The Companies expect to offer a full spectrum of solar power capabilities for industrial, residential and commercial buildings -- from lighting to heating, from driving motors and pumps to hot water supply and HVAC. The companies believe that these collaborative applications of their respective technologies will contribute to increased marketing and sales with attendant increased revenues, profitability and market shares for both companies.

Wilderhill Clean Energy Portfolio (Green ETF)

RISK: LOW

No

PBW

$16.82

$24.08

$25.38

$14.97

+43%

See vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for articles on solar energy. This is a well-managed "smart" ETF, which updates its holdings regularly, but falls and rises on the good or bad news of alternative energy companies which it may not even hold in the portfolio. Fell earlier this year on bad news at Evergreen Solar, with regard to silicon supply, even though Evergreen Solar was not a major holding. Top holdings on 1.12.07: SunPower, OM Group, Ballard, Energy Conversion Devices, SunTech, Ormat, Evergreen, Ormat and MEMC Electronic Materials.

WisdomTree

RISK: HIGH

Yes

WSDT

$8.70

$2.85

(12.3.07)

$2.85

$9.94

$2.85

-67%

See vol. 4, issue 3, "Money Grows on WisdomTrees." This is a well-managed "smart" ETF, which updates its holdings regularly, and trades on earnings instead of market cap. Trading off the boards with a war chest of capital and a former SEC chairman as one of the senior advisors.

Yahoo

RISK: LOW

No

YHOO

$27.71

$24.38 (9.1.07)

$27.11

$33.74

$22.27

Flat &

+11%

Annouces earnings on 10.16.07. We just re-added Yahoo to the list effective 6.15.07. Over the past few years, Yahoo has waxed and waned (and as a result has been on this list and on the Cooling Off list). New President/former CFO Susan Decker reports that,"As we look ahead, we are very excited about the transformational changes taking place on the Internet, creating greater opportunities for both users and marketers, and we are confident that Yahoo! has the right combination of assets to help lead this evolution." Yahoo execs have been saying that for years now, and still under-delivering relative to their peers, like Google, but with Terry Semel coaching (as non-executive Chairman) and Jerry Wang leading (as CEO) can Yahoo jumpstart their stalled potential? Why do we believe her this time? eBay’s CEO Meg Whitman has just put a lot of ads on Yahoo, which were previously the exclusive domain of Google. According to the Associated Press, the move is "a test to see whether it could get more bang for its buck if it increased its spending on other search engines, including Yahoo, IAC/InterActiveCorp.'s Ask.com and Microsoft Corp.'s MSN." If Yahoo really does have their game together this time, then the ad dollars might stick around and even grow. We’ll keep reporting more, but with the sleeping giant Yahoo, which still tops the Internet sites with registered users, time online and page views (along with Google, Myspace, AOL and MSN), even the first sign of waking is worth noting! Former CEO Terry Semel stepped down officially on June 18, in an amicable move, without taking a severence compensation with him. The Financial Times reports that his compensation package of $71.7M in 2006 was the highest among S&P500 chief executives surveyed by The Associated Press. Semel has already exercised options valued at more than $450 million, not including the 2006 compensation (so he can afford to "resign" and forego the severance package). The new advertising platform, code-named Panama, is expected to help revenues in the current quarter, according to the Financial Times.

Zoltec

RISK: MEDIUM

No

ZOLT

$43.24

$43.24

$51.77

$18.34

--

Read the article "Clean Energy Rolls Out Worldwide," in vol. 4, iss. 12.

Sony (NYSE: SNE) and Sunoco (NYSE: SUN) both had great runs for the list! LifeCell (NASDAQ: LIFC) posted over 180% gains before being moved to the Cooling Off list. Bioteq Environmental (TSE: BQE) had 144% gains. Rio Tinto was removed on 11.15.2006 with 145% gains. Las Vegas Sands was removed on January 5, 2007 with 139% gains, Agilent on 2.1.07 with flat performance, and RELM Wireless was taken off with 3% gains on 2.1.07. Blockbuster ran up 82.5% in gains, which we cashed in on February 12, 2007. Intuit, deleted in June 2007, was a wash for us – up and down. Macerich posted 150% gains between May 2003 (when it was first featured) and September 2007 (when it was removed from the list). Jet Blue was removed on December 5, 2007 with losses of 24-45%. Still love the airline as a consumer, but oil prices are killing the industry.

Stocks to Watch
Great Companies. The companies that are listed are worthy of watching. Some we’re watching to add to the Cooling Off list and some for the Hot List.

Recent Additions (added on 12.05.07):
Emcore
International Rectifier

Recent Deletions:
Advanced Micro Devices on 12.05.07

Company

NP owns?

Symbol

Price when featured

Price

12.3.07

Year High

Year Low

Gains since original feature

Boston Properties

No

BXP

$101.24

$97.40

$133.02

$91.25

-4%

Get more information in vol. 4, iss. 9 in the REITs article. Boston Properties looks great. Think that the office building REITs may begin to come under pressure sometime in 2007. Will be monitoring cash flow, capital spending, productivity, salaries, GDP growth and other signs of the business economy, which are the customers of Boston Properties.

Emcore

No

EMKR

$8.74

$8.74

$11.00

$3.84

--

EMCORE Corp (EMCORE), is a provider of compound semiconductor-based components and subsystems for the broadband, fiber optic, satellite and terrestrial solar power markets. The Company operates in two segments: Fiber Optics and Photovoltaics.

General Electric

No

GE

$39.90

$37.18

$41.16

$32.20

-7%

See the article, "Green San Jose Company," in vol. 4, iss. 8.

General Motors

No

GM

$29.05

(12.3)

$29.05

$43.20

$24.52

--

See the article "Faded Blue Chips" in vol. 3, issue 8. Almost every risk factor which GM listed in the annual report has occurred – prices for parts are higher due to the metals commodity crunch and gas prices have turned consumers to gas efficient vehicles. GM still has an enormous overhead that impedes its ability to be profitable in the global landscape. Investors got excited late Sept. 2007 about a tentative deal with the United Auto Workers Union, however, expenses are still too high and the cars are still too unpopular. I’ve not highlighted this company because the CEO is doing a spectacular job in an awfully challenging landscape. Want to check out the focus on new products, including the electric car, and will be doing a full report soon. Not a short, but certainly not a company that one would expect to be turned around overnight.

International Rectifier

No

IRF

$32.68

$32.68

$44.36

$30.47

--

International Rectifier Corporation is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of power management product devices, which use power semiconductors. The Company's products are used in a variety of end applications, including computers, communications networking, consumer electronics, energy-efficient appliances, lighting, satellites, launch vehicles, aircraft and automotive diesel injection.

Macerich

No

MAC

$82.49

$77.12

$103.59

$71.22

-6.5%

Get more information in vol. 4, iss. 9 in the REITs article. We first featured Macerich in May of 2003, when it was trading at $33/share. In September, the signs were pointing toward a cooling off in retail shopping center REITs, so we removed the company from our Hot News list (meaning that we’re capping the performance at 150% gains). There is a good chance that the Santa Rally will enthrall investors, and push the MAC price up, even though it is in the decidedly unpopular REITs industry. We’ll look to putting MAC on the Cooling Off list in January 2008, or if interim news warrant it earlier.

Microsoft

No

MSFT

$28.34

$33.33

$36.81

$21.45

+18%

World’s largest software company. $31 billion in cash. Launched Zune on Nov. 14, 2006 and Vista earlier this year. New products have not received "buzz" or outstanding sales. Great blue chip for your long term portfolio because with the war chest and talent at MSFT, even this year’s assembly line of flops shouldn’t bring the company down, although it may bring out the firing rod. Will pressure come down on Steve Ballmer, CEO? Trading near the 52-week high, so waiting for a better buy-in opportunity might yield better returns.

Cooling Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).

Note: The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value. Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments to your portfolio. (Again, note, that the stocks on this chart are expected to go DOWN in price.)

Highlighted Companies (Cooling Off List):
Wells Fargo

Company

NP owns?

Symbol

Price when added to Cooling Off List

Price 12.3.07

52-week High

52-week Low

Gains/Loss

Fannie Mae

RISK: MEDIUM

No

FNM

$60.38

$68.75

(5.25.07)

$36.45

$70.57

$26.38

-40% &

-47%

Spending $1 billion on accounting fees related to the accounting scandal. Investors are still in to the tune of $58.44 billion…. Are you? Better check your mutual funds. The recent subprime lending fallout doesn’t bode well for FNM. According to the AP, "Maintaining strong asset quality position will be a challenge for Fannie Mae, given the recent weakening of housing values from the very strong levels seen over the last few years." Standard and Poor’s has a negative outlook on Fannie Mae. December 14 annual meeting for shareholders will be held at 10:00 a.m., EST, at the Hilton Washington in Washington DC. Fannie Mae is chartered, but not funded or guaranteed, by the U.S. government. It’s funded completely with private capital, and is one of the top holdings in some of the most popular mutual funds. i.e. you might own it. 3rd quarter net income loss was $1.5 billion. FNM expects that the housing crunch and credit tightening will continue to adversely impact their financial results in 2007 and 2008, according to the 3rd quarter earnings report.

KB Home

RISK: MEDIUM HIGH

No

KBH

$59.00

$21.03

$56.08

$23.79

-64%

CEO Bruce Karatz resigned under pressure Oct. 2006, after SEC investigation of backdating options. Read the article, "Rupert Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out Where They Are Investing," from volume 2, issue 5. In May 2005, we called REITs a burnout sector, and the fallout should continue, with high home prices, rising interest rates, people backing out of contracts and rising inventory. On June 28, 2007, KBH reported a loss from continuing operations of $174.2 million or $2.26 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2007, largely due to a pretax, non-cash charge of $308.2 million related to inventory and joint venture impairments and the abandonment of land option contracts. In the second quarter of 2006, the Company generated income from continuing operations of $184.4 million or $2.20 per diluted share. Revenues totaled $1.41 billion in the second quarter of 2007, down from $2.20 billion in the year-earlier quarter, due to a decline in housing revenues that was partly offset by an increase in land sale revenues.

Novastar Financial

RISK: HIGH

No

NFI

$28.04 &

$36.53 (6.15.07)

$3.01

$526.08

$4.17

-89% &

-92%

See the article (Sub) Prime Time in the May 2007 ezine, vol. 4, iss. 5. On July 27, 2007, Novastar announced a reverse stock split. As a result of the reverse stock split, every four shares of common stock were changed into one share of common stock.

Toll Brothers

RISK: MEDIUM HIGH

No

TOL

$37.82

$21.22

$35.64

$18.85

-44%

Robert Toll, CEO, and brother Bruce Toll have been on an insider selling spree, totaling hundreds of millions, since May 2005 (source: MoneyCentral.Msn.com). Read the article, "Rupert Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out Where They Are Investing," from volume 2, issue 5 in 2005, when we first reported on REITs as a burned out sector. There is a pending securities action complaint, from June 2007, alleging that Toll Brothers "and one or more members of its senior management, violated federal securities laws by issuing various materially false and misleading statements that had the effect of artificially inflating the market price of the Company's securities and causing Class members to overpay for the securities." On August 22, 2007, TOL will announce 2Q earnings. You can access the call on their website at: www.tollbrothers.com.

Wells Fargo

No

WFC

$31.97

$31.97

$37.99

$29.44

--

See Wells Fargo’sGreat Depression, in vol. 4, iss. 12.

The following companies were taken off of the Cooling Off list effective 10.16.06: Verisign (+15%). IMClone (-11%). Yahoo (-28%). LifeCell was removed on 7.2.07 with -4.5% overall performance. (The cooling off list anticipates that a company will lose share price value.) Google was added on 7.16.07 and then removed on 8.1.07 with losses of -6.7%. General Motors was removed on 10.01.07 with mixed performance.

Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We are a publishing, media and information center. This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.


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GreenXChange Conference, Los Angeles, CA
Monday, December 10th, 2007
Top private and public decision makers who buy, manufacture, sell, finance, endorse and legislate green technologies, products, innovations and services. An Inconvenient Truth Director Davis Guggenheim will speak.

Mid-Month Update: Hot News on Cool Stocks
Monday, December 17th, 2007
Look for our mid-month update on the home page between noon and 7:00 p.m. You can access the article under the online magazines link as well!

Global Peace Meditation Day
Saturday, December 22nd, 2007
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Living the Rich Life Retreat, Santa Monica, CA
Wednesday, January 2-5, 2008
Attend this 4-day beachfront retreat and create a new Living the Rich Life plan, learn Natalie's trade-marked 3-ingredient recipe for cooking up profits and attend Reverend Michael Bernard Beckwith's Agape Sanctuary! Email Heather@NataliePace.

Mid-Month Update: Hot News on Cool Stocks)
Monday, January 14th, 2008
The mid-month update of the hot news on cool stocks report will be published on or before 5:00 p.m. PT. Check online before noon, just in case we get it out early!

Wagner's Tristan und Isolde at the Los Angeles Opera
Saturday, January 19th, 2008
David Hockney designs. Bold and fanciful, eye dazzling, creating a "tone of antic freshness, of fairy-tale legend filtered through adult (and adulterous) fantasy, according to the NY Times.

5th WSF World Spirit Forum: Zurich, Switzerland
Sunday, January 20th, 2008
WSF hosts spiritual and religious and political and social activists to gather and develop a plan for a unified humanity with equity and solutions for global concerns.

FOMC Meeting
Tuesday, January 29-30, 2008
The Federal Reserve Board governors meet to determine whether inflation is more of a factor than the housing pullback and subprime defaults. Will the Feds keep the rate where it is, raise it or lower it?


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