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Vol.6 Issue 1 January 1st, 2009
Send comments and suggestions or get more information
at info@NataliePace.com
Quote of the Month:
"Nobody cares more about your money more than you do. Natalie
does a terrific job of explaining how and why you should be taking
more responsibility for your own financial well being."
Joe Moglia, Chairman, TD AMERITRADE,
commenting on why he recommends Put Your Money Where Your Heart
Is by Natalie Pace
(available now on Amazon.com)
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|
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New
Year. New You. New Nest Egg.
by Natalie
Pace.
The
markets have only returned –0.2% per year for the last 10 years,
not 12%. You need a new plan now!.
Includes
a Report Card on the Natalie Pace stock picks in 2008. (70% were
winners!)
The
stock market lost 38% in 2008, but if you lost more than 20%, your
problem wasn’t really the stock market. It was the design of your
nest egg. Storms occur in markets, as they do in the real world,
but your home shouldn’t be flooding every time it happens.
You know intuitively
that your retirement plan doesn’t work. Your nest egg has drowned
twice now in the last eight years. You were elated with your returns
in 1999 and then devastated when your assets imploded during the
DOT COM bust of 2000-2002. Same thing when Dow Jones Industrial
Average broke through 14,000 in October of 2007, only to drop below
8000 in 2008. If you had a healthy fiscal plan, your nest egg wouldn’t
be sinking all of the time. Imagine all of the gains you would have
made and how much bigger your nest egg would be if you were rebalancing
your portfolio once a year!
And contrary
to what your financial advisor may be telling you, the markets returned
only -0.2% over the last ten years, not 12%. Treasury Bills earned
3.2% annual gains, with very low risk.
General
Stock Market Performance in 2008
|
Monday,1.2.2008
|
Wednesday,12.31.08
|
Gains
|
|
Dow: 13,044.12
|
Dow: 8,776.39
|
-33%
|
|
Nasdaq:
2,609.63
|
Nasdaq:
1,577.03
|
-40%
|
|
S&P:
1,447.16
|
S&P:
903.25
|
-38%
|
Sound
Nest Egg Strategies:
Rule
#1: Always keep a percent equal to your age.
Modern Portfolio
Theory, the cornerstone of a healthy nest egg, has been around for
half a century and Harry Markowitz, the economist who wrote it,
won a Nobel Prize in 1990. Many financial professionals are paid
on commission to sell you mutual funds, so, if you weren’t protected
from the 2008 financial crisis, chances are that either 1) your
guru just didn’t know the theory, or 2) s/he wasn’t paid to employ
the theory, or 3) s/he had bosses who pushed sales hard and couldn’t
employ the theory, or 4) s/he was dumb enough to think s/he could
outthink a genius Nobel Laureate.
Grade
Your Guru
You
wouldn’t hire an architect whose buildings flood in a storm. Since
there are so many "professionals" and "pundits"
who are spouting off -- when in reality they drowned their clients’
nest eggs in 2008 -- it’s your job to take charge and design a better
dream life. As TD AMERITRADE Chairman Joe Moglia says, "Nobody
cares more about your money more than you do." Chairman Moglia
believes that I do a "terrific job of explaining how and why
you should be taking more responsibility for your own financial
well being" in my new book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is. You can buy it now
at Amazon.com or your favorite bookstore or bookselling website.
Bears get lucky
in bear markets. Bulls get lucky in bull markets. Sound nest egg
strategies work in any market!
How to Grade
Your Guru
1. Add
up your losses. If you lost more than 20% in 2008, your guru
isn’t making the grade. If you are 25 and were keeping 45% safe
(your age plus 20% because we are in a recession), then your maximum
losses in 2008 should have been under 20%. The average 50-year-old
should have been exposed to maximum losses of 11% (keeping 70% safe).
2.
Check your allocation. If you didn’t start 2008 with a percent
equal to your age SAFE in Treasury Bills and/or high-rated bonds
(General Motors, Fannie Mae, Sears etc. DO NOT QUALIFY), your guru
isn’t looking out for your best interest and/or is stuck in the
old way, thinking the markets return 12% per year.
My Grades
Nest
Egg:
The
pie charts and strategies outlined in Put Your Money Where Your
Heart Is saved Bill (a handyman) and Nilo (an office administrator)
Bolden’s nest egg, while Nilo’s bosses lost hundreds of thousands
of dollars. Since employing my strategies, they haven’t lost anything.
Traders:
Before
I give you the details on my track record this year, which was outstanding,
please note that novices have no business trading individual stocks
in this financial storm anymore than beginning surfers should race
into the jaws of a tsunami. Don’t trade individual companies in
2009 unless: 1) you know how to buy put options and have had a few
years of successful trading long and short, and 2) are willing to
take your profits early and often. Obviously, if you don’t know
what I’m talking about, you need to focus on sound nest egg strategies
first and education second – perhaps at my Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat. (Check out the banner ad on
the home page at NataliePace.com for more details.)
70% of the companies
I featured in my monthly article and stock report cards were winners.
Of those winners, more than half (58%) were shorts, i.e., companies
that we expected to go DOWN in value. All of the losers were
long positions. (It’s hard to swim upstream against the tide!)
So, if you were buying expecting the share price to go up, you were
probably losing money, unless you were taking your profits early
and often. If you were buying put options, earning gains was as
easy as opening up a package of M&Ms and popping them into your
mouth.
Act
Now to Get In Great Fiscal Shape!
Blind
faith lost you a lot of money in 2008. 2009 is poised to be another
stormy environment in stocks, which means that if you don’t pull
your head out of the sand and get a better dream life plan, you’re
going to be get buried.
So what do you
do now to position yourself for gains in 2009?
My Golden
Nest Egg Formula
1.
ALWAYS KEEP A PERCENT EQUAL TO YOUR AGE SAFE. Cash is King!
Treasury bills are the safest investment today. (High-rated
bonds, money markets and CDs are traditionally safe, and will be
again in the future.)
2. DURING
RECESSIONS, OVERWEIGHT 15-20% ADDITIONAL INTO SAFETY. Cash is
King when stocks and real estate are both losing value, i.e.
not losing is winning. You will not be stuck overweighted in
cash forever – you will just be protected while the landslide of
lost assets continues to cave in. If the markets continue to drop
in 2009, as they are poised to do, you’ll be glad you employed this
defensive strategy, and you will have cash to invest, while those
around you are scrambling to hang on and/or are forced to sell low
to cover basic needs.
3. REMAINDER
IN YOUR NEST EGG SHOULD BE DIVERSIFIED INTO 10 ETFS.
You will find
detailed pie charts in my new book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is.
4. EMERGING
INDUSTRIES, NOT DYING COMPANIES. General Motors and Ford Motor
Company combined are worth less than one-tenth of Toyota Motor Company’s
$102 billion. It is not just that Ford and GM have more labor, pension,
health care, etc. expenses. GM and Ford lost market share because
their gas-guzzlers were far less popular than the fuel-efficient
Prius and other Toyota models.
5. KNOW WHAT
YOU OWN, i.e., not mutual funds. The top mutual fund holdings
in the U.S. in 2007 included some of the most poorly run companies,
including General Motors, AIG, Fannie Mae and Phillip Morris Tobacco
Company. ETFs allow you to target sections of the stock market by
size (small, medium and large), style (value and growth), industry
(gold mining, clean technology, international, biotechnology, etc.)
and more.
6. DON’T
TRADE. If you don’t know how to take your profits early and
often and/or if you don’t know how to buy put options, do not buy
and sell individual companies at all in 2009. (Own companies you
love in ETFs where you are more protected from the price fluctuations
of any one individual company.)
If you used
this 6-step formula and rebalanced only once a year (say in January),
you could have captured your gains in 2000 at the NASDAQ high. Likewise,
in January of 2008, you would have captured your Dow Jones Industrial
Average gains before the major fall-off and redistributed. Identifying
where your gains are coming from allows you to capture the gains
and redeploy your assets back into a sound, dream life blueprint
– which is a combination of Modern Portfolio Theory, ETFs, common
sense and basic investing recipes.
These strategies
and more are outlined in my book, Put Your Money Where Your Heart
Is. Buy it now as part of your New Year; New You; New Dream
Life! And be sure to forward this article to a dozen of your closest
friends, family, clients and co-workers who need to get fiscally
fit and resurrect their dream life. Change is in the air. Be a part
of positive industry!
Monthly
Featured Companies and Their Performance (2008)
|
Company
|
Symbol (Exchange)
|
Date featured in ezine
|
Price at Feature
|
Price 12.31.08 (or
When Removed)
|
Gains
|
|
Fortress
Investment Group
(short)
|
FIG
|
2008
12 ezine (vol. 5, iss. 12)
|
$3.57
|
$1.00
|
72%
(this
put more than doubled)
|
|
Sears
Holding
(short)
|
SHLD
|
2008
12 ezine
|
$52.93
|
$38.87
|
27%
|
|
Rio Tinto
|
RTP
|
2008 11
(vol. 5, iss. 11)
|
$138.69
|
$88.91
|
-36%
|
|
U.S.
Gold
|
UXG
|
2008
11
|
$0.50
|
$1.03
|
+206%
(doubled)
|
|
MGM
Mirage (Short)
|
MGM
|
2008
10
(vol. 5, iss. 10)
|
$26.79
|
$13.76
|
49%
(put more than doubled)
|
|
Melco
|
MPEL
|
2008 09
|
$6.54
|
$3.17
|
-52%
|
|
Wynn
resorts (Short)
|
WYNN
|
2008
09
|
$95.42
|
$42.26
|
56%
(put more than doubled)
|
|
Las
Vegas Sands (Short)
|
LVS
|
2008
09
|
$46.83
|
$5.93
|
87%
(put more than tripled)
|
|
Wells
Fargo (short)
|
WFC
|
2008
09
|
$30.27
|
$28.87
|
5% (put
earned over 50%)
|
|
Suntech power
|
STP
|
2008 08
(vol. 5, iss. 8)
|
$34.98
|
$11.70
|
-67%
|
|
LDK
Solar
|
LDK
|
2008
08
|
$35.45
|
$45.73
|
29%
|
|
Trina Solar
|
TSL
|
2008 08
|
$28.63
|
$9.29
|
-68%
|
|
First
Solar (Short)
|
FSLR
|
2008
08
|
$284.56
|
$137.96
|
52%
(put more than doubled)
|
|
Westpac
|
WBK
|
2008 07
(vol. 5, iss. 7)
|
$97.94
|
$60.25
|
-38%
|
|
Sears
(short)
|
SHLD
|
2008
06
(vol. 5, iss.
6)
|
$84.71
|
$38.87
|
54%
(put more than doubled)
|
|
Google
(short)
|
GOOG
|
2008
05
(vol. 5, iss. 5)
|
$594.90
|
$307.65
|
48%
(put more than doubled)
|
|
Apple
(short)
|
AAPL
|
2008
05
|
$184.73
|
$85.35
|
54%
(put more than doubled)
|
|
Mentor
Corp. (short)
|
MNT
|
2008
05
|
$28.68
|
$23.86
|
17%
|
|
Medicis
(short)
|
MRX
|
2008
05
|
$20.30
|
$14.91
|
27%
|
|
Kinetic Concepts
|
KCI
|
2008 05
|
$38.65
|
$19.18
|
-50%
|
|
LDK
Solar
|
LDK
|
2008
04
(vol. 5, iss.
4)
|
$28.99
|
$49.23
|
70%
|
|
Trina Solar
|
TSL
|
2008 04
|
$32.58
|
$9.29
|
-71%
|
|
Microsoft
|
MSFT
|
2008
03
(vol. 5, iss.
3)
|
$27.20
|
$30.46
|
12%
|
|
Johnson
& Johnson
|
JNJ
|
2008
03
|
$61.96
|
$67.90
|
10%
|
|
Google
|
GOOG
|
2008
03
|
$471.18
|
$540.34
|
15%
|
|
General
Electric
|
GE
|
2008
03
|
$33.14
|
$37.49
|
13%
|
|
Wisdom Tree
|
WSDT
|
2008 02
(vol. 5, iss. 2)
|
$2.70
|
$.70
|
-74%
|
|
Recession Proof Your Portfolio
article
|
|
2008 02
|
NEST
|
EGG
|
WARNING
|
|
NONE
|
|
2008 01
|
NEST
|
EGG
|
WARNING
|
Legend:
Bold:
19 Companies that were winning investments.
Blue:
11 Companies that were shorts. (All of my shorts in 2008 were winning
investments.)
Negative numbers: Companies that were losing investments
(so far).
SPECIAL
OFFER FOR SUBSCRIBERS
If you purchase
my book on Amazon before January 31, 2009, you can register FOR
FREE to participate in my pre-recorded 21-day wealth consciousness
coaching call series. (value: $595). When you commit to anything
for 21 days in your body, mind, spirit, actions and interactions,
you transform your life. This 21-day wealth consciousness coaching
call series is designed to have you take small, simple steps toward
designing a healthy, happy nest egg that allows your wildest dreams
to come true.
You can also
use this as a great $600 gift for friends, clients and family for
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COACHING CALL SERIES: INSTRUCTIONS
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to NataliePace.com and enter my site.
- Click on
Join Now.
- Opt for
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- Type in
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- Select
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and Enrich Educational Retreat
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to my Get Rich and Enrich Retreat and I will personally teach you
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Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling
Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should reflect
a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance
of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk
tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of
your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy,
and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should
never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
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7
Reasons Putting Your Money Where Your Heart Is is Better.
by Natalie
Pace
...Than
Blindly Putting Your Money in a Big Pot that Gets Sold Off to the
Highest Bidder.
Breakdowns
are necessary to facilitate breakthroughs. When you are sailing
quite happily through life, why would you want to think about doing
things differently or that there might be a better way that will
lead to heaven here on Earth?
Whether you
believe in paradise or not, I’m sure glad someone took the time
to invent airplanes. I would have hated to ride a pony from Santa
Monica to New York every time I need to appear on television.
Likewise, I
believe that the 2008 financial meltdown provides the opportunity
to take ownership of our nest eggs, understanding that the companies
we own can create a better world while they provide a great return
on investment. (In fact, poorly run companies that make bad products
provide a lousy ROI, as we’ve seen in 2008.) Someone has invented
that 401 (k) plan and the innovative financial products that allow
you to become an informed, wise investor, and if you start flying
in them, the sky’s the limit!
Below are seven
reasons that the financial meltdown can create a much better tomorrow
– if you become the change you wish to see. Your change will make
you rich and will help our world to prosper and navigate through
the economic storms with greater ease. If you become an example
of better living for your friends, they join the creation of a better
tomorrow as well! Whining never produced a fantastic new invention
for the world!
1. Airplanes
Work Better than the Pony Express:
The
status quo at the turn of the century was the Pony Express. The
Wright Brothers were fringe kooks! Look to the reputable people
who are pushing the envelope and finding a better plan for your
money, rather than settling back into the old way of blind faith
in the economic system, and shock and horror when it crashes and
burns. (Beware of people trying to pretend they have a better
plan. The wolves will be out in force to capitalize on your confusion
right now.) Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is explains why commission-free
brokers have your best interest in mind, why Modern Portfolio Theory
is a great foundation for your nest egg (and explains it in easy-to-read
pie charts), where to find great information (hint: not the free
stuff you get on television all the time) and outlines a simple
formula for constructing the life and nest egg of your dreams, which
requires "rebalancing" only once or twice a year. Not
more time or money, just both spent more wisely, with better results
to enjoy in the bargain.
2. Greenies
Own Oil and Gas! Peacemakers fund the oil fields in Iraq! Does this
make sense? Over
the last eight years, I’ve been telling anyone who would listen
to take charge of their money, to align their stock ownership --
nest eggs, pensions, annuities, et al -- with their idea of a better
world, instead of blindly funding the status quo. World leaders
in the peace movement were funding the oil fields in Iraq in their
annuities. People who pushed hard to outlaw cigarettes in public
places owned, perhaps unknowingly, stock in cigarette companies
in their pensions. Greenies owned and funded oil and gas, instead
of alternative energy in their mutual funds! Everyone I spoke to
wanted to align their money with the products, goods and services
that they actually want to flourish in the world, but no one had
the time to figure out how to do it! Well, now that so many have
lost so much, everyone has the time and attention to figure out
a better way. Be the leader of the enlightenment by being the first
to read and recommend Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is. (It just hit the
newsstands this month!) Employ the strategies and watch your life
shift immediately!
3. You’ll
make a lot more money. Those
who did have the time, like Bill and Nilo Bolden, are very happy
that they took the 5-10 minutes to read the pie chart I drew up
on a napkin. They haven’t lost any money to date! Other NataliePace.com
subscribers who were invested in clean energy in 2007 earned sixty
cents on the dollar on average. That’s $60,000 on every $100,000
invested. The stock markets have returned only -0.2% on average
every year for the last ten years, so you can make a lot more money
by owning the products, goods and services of an emerging world
than you are making by providing life support to dying industries.
4. Gnashing
of teeth is hell; Creating Paradise is much easier. Now
that you have lost so much money, if you want to replace whining
and horror and "Oh my God! What Happened!" and finger
pointing and screaming and gnashing of teeth with wisdom and a plan
for a better life (for you) and our world, you can read the book
that will advise you on how to realign your nest egg with a better
blueprint that will protect you from recessions and poise you for
greater returns when the market recovers. Put Your Money where
Your Heart Is is receiving an average 5-star rating on Amazon.com
from people who bought it and read it in a day! Buy it and read
it and hand it out to your friends!
5. Cronies
make poor visionaries. The
person who has been convincing you to sell your money to the highest
bidding corporations on Wall Street (AIG, Fannie Mae, General Motors,
Phillip Morris Tobacco company were among the top holdings in mutual
funds in 2007) will tell you that you shouldn’t make any changes
because you will be "selling low." That person is employed
by a big brokerage or insurance company (or buys products from them)
and is part of a big system that has been around for more than a
century. The friends who mill about at the top of that pyramid help
themselves to your money, but the view from the top (where all the
money is) is too far away from the land. It takes vision to make
the Earth below a better place to live, and that vision is created
through innovation and necessity – the Mother of Invention – not
through greed, cronyism and "I’ll scratch your back if you
scratch mine." That person who is telling you to keep your
investments the way that they are is saying that in order to keep
his/her job and lifestyle, not because s/he has the vision to know
the best plan for your dream life.
In fact, the
efficacy of their plan is seen in the returns. If you lost a third
of your nest egg, you lost a third of your nest egg and probably
are negative on the last ten years. There is a better way and the
sooner you employ it, the more returns you’ll enjoy!
6. The markets
have only returned –0.2% per year for the last 10 years, not
12%. Meanwhile, hot industries, like clean energy in 2007, can earn
sixty cents on the dollar or more. You need a better blueprint for
your dream life now!
7. Your investments
create our world! You
are a creator of our world. When you drive less, the price of gas
goes down. Your retirement dollars are invested in the corporations
that define our existence. When you realize the power of your spending
and investments as tools to make you rich and to also enrich our
world, we will start building a better tomorrow.
No one invites
the storms into their sailboat. But when the ship runs aground,
as the U.S. economy certainly has, there is then the opportunity
to learn something different and create an even better, more delicious,
more prosperous world by investing in the products goods and services
of tomorrow. Imagine owning Google at the IPO or Microsoft or even
Opsware. These companies have made their owner/investors very rich,
while making our world a much better place.
When you start
investing in things that you know and love, instead of with fear
and greed, your life will change immediately, and this world will
become a much more beautiful place. A life like this increases in
value every single day and becomes more valuable not just to you
but to those around you as well.
|
|
The
Madoff Ponzi Scheme.
by Dr.
Gary Becker.
December
21, 2008
The
recently exposed Ponzi scheme by Bernard Madoff is named after Charles
Ponzi, an immigrant to the United States, who ran his swindle in
1920, based supposedly on profits from postal reply coupons. He
took in a great deal of money for those days that was partly spent
on high living. After less than a year he was exposed by a newspaper,
and spent many years in jail before being deported back to Italy.
In a Ponzi scheme,
investors in a fund typically receive good rates of return on their
investments for a while because they are paid with new monies that
are invested in the fund. Even when such funds do not make bad investments,
or when managers do not spend a lot on themselves and their families,
Ponzi funds must attract new investors at a rapid rate in order
to pay good returns to prior investors. With wasted spending and
bad investments, the required growth rate in new monies is even
higher. Since high growth rates of new investments are hard to maintain
over time, eventually Ponzi funds collapse. Then comes the day of
reckoning as investors are shocked to discover that they have been
duped, and have lost most or all of what they invested.
Ponzi-type swindles
probably go back to Greek and Roman times. Over 50 years ago, I
had a wealthy uncle who invested with an individual who seemed to
be doing remarkably well with a secretive investment strategy: he
paid high returns in the form of monthly dividends, and allowed
people to withdraw their investments. My uncle not only increased
his investment, but advised other family members and friends to
do the same (my father was either smart or lucky enough not to do
so). After a couple of years, the manager vanished, and investors
lost all they had given him. It turned out that he was paying these
good dividends not from returns on his investments, but from the
new funds he was raising- a typical Ponzi scheme. While he did not
lose most of his considerable wealth, my uncle went into a year-long
depression after he found out he had been "taken".
What was unusual
about Madoff's swindle is that it continued for over two decades,
and was the largest Ponzi scheme ever uncovered, with perhaps $50
billion lost or missing. It was also the first fully international
Ponzi scheme, with investors from Europe, the Middle East, and China,
as well as mainly from the US. One hedge fund, the Fairfield Greenwich
Group, put over $7 billion into Madoff's fund, and encouraged others
to invest in it as well. Bernard Madoff is a 70-year old apparently
affable but retiring, person who did not live especially lavishly.
He was very active in Jewish circles, so that, many of his investors
were wealthy Jews, such as Jeffrey Katzenberg, Steven Spielberg,
and Mortimer Zuckerman, and Jewish organizations, including the
Eli Weisel Foundation and Yeshiva University.
The enormous
scope of Madoff's swindle raises two obvious questions 1) how could
this scheme go on for so long without being exposed, and 2) how
could so many sophisticated individuals be taken in by a fund that
provided almost no information on how it was able to achieve consistent
returns of from 8-13 per cent for many years during both good and
bad times?
In regard to
the first question, various hedge fund managers were puzzled by
how Madoff could make such consistently high returns with the information
provided about what he did. Apparently, one claim was that he placed
both put and call options on say the S&P 100 index. That might
make money when stocks are falling rapidly, but the fund should
have lost money on average during the mainly good years of the scheme's
existence. One former hedge fund manager, Harry Markopolos, reported
him for a decade to the SEC and also to state regulatory bodies.
The SEC conducted some rather superficial investigations, but nothing
much came of them-the SEC is now looking into why the swindle was
not discovered much earlier. I believe this is another illustration
of what has happened frequently, namely, that regulators too get
caught in the hype surrounding an investor, or the economic viability
of different banks.
Of course, it
is well documented that after a catastrophic event, many "obvious"
signs are discovered that if taken seriously could have prevented
the event. For example, after 9/11 it was revealed that the FBI
did not investigate carefully warnings that some major terrorist
act was being planned. This was also the case with the Japanese
attack on Pearl Harbor. Roberta Wohlstetter in her outstanding book,
Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision, explains why the Japanese
plan to attack Pearl Harbor was not discovered despite the considerable
prior intelligence about their plans for an attack.
This is also
the case with the Madoff swindle, which makes it more puzzling.
Why did many sophisticated individuals, funds, and other organizations
entrust so much money to his management, and to management by various
intermediaries, without doing any significant amount of due diligence?
Part of the answer is that these individuals are not sophisticated
in financial matters, and each successive set of investors assumed
that previous investors had done some investigation. This led to
an example of "information cascades", where private information
is revealed sequentially over time to different individuals. Later
participants can be badly misled if the information of earlier participants
is far from accurate.
Moreover, Madoff
had developed an outstanding reputation. He was a respected member
of the financial community and exclusive social circles, and a former
president of the Nasdaq Stock Market. He helped pioneer electronic
trading of stocks, and continued this profitable stock trading business
while independently building up his asset management business. He
did not let everyone invest with him, so that those who were accepted
felt privileged. His activities went on for so long without exposure
that newer and older investors alike considered his investments
to be legitimate, even if secretive. He bolstered his clients' confidence
by quickly refunding investments to anyone who asked.
Natalie’s
Note: According to the SEC’s press release of December 11, 2008,
Madoff served as vice chairman of the NASD, a member of its board
of governors, and chairman of its New York region. He was also a
member of NASDAQ Stock Market's board of governors and its executive
committee and served as chairman of its trading committee.
Stock markets
are not fully efficient, and a small number of investors, such as
Warren Buffet, can consistently do better than the major indices
over very long time periods. However, markets are sufficiently efficient
that such a record is extremely difficult to maintain. It takes
very many years to establish a good investment track record that
is due to skill instead of a good record due to plain luck. The
numerous investors not well versed in financial matters have great
difficulty appreciating that there are no magical or secretive ways
to consistently beat the market. This is why when anyone asks me
for advice, I recommend buying a diversified portfolio of stocks
and other assets that controls risk while providing decent returns.
Some money managers may be able to beat that in the long run, but
it is extremely difficult to discover who they are. As a result,
most investors looking for exceptional returns are likely to be
taken for a ride either by charlatans, or by lucky fund managers
whose luck eventually runs out.
Dr. Becker
is a University Professor, Department of Economics, and Sociology
Professor, Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago.
He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1992 for his groundbreaking
work in "human capital."
To keep track
of Dr. Becker's continuing research and commentary, visit his web
site and blog.
To hear more of his research and recommendations for strengthening
the U.S. economy, consider attending the 2009
Milken Global Economic Conference. Dr. Gary Becker has
been a keynote speaker at the conference every year since it began!
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Teaching
Your Teens to Thrive
by Natalie
Pace.
...with
Healthy Money Habits You Never Learned.
Whether
you are a billionaire, a thousandaire or a widow with only one mite,
when you are buried in basic needs, you are not living a very rich
life. The trouble is: how do you escape the rut of basic needs when
most of your income is eaten up by housing and transportation and
you’re always running out of money before the end of the month!
Since we’re
not taught how to budget in high school or college, it really is
up to you to teach your kids how to thrive, instead of merely surviving.
Most people pay bills and then try to scrape a life together on
what’s left over. This recipe for the rich life has you savoring
life first -- before you pay the bills!
Let’s say that
your teen’s allowance is $100 a month…
The
Thrive Budget: 50% to thrive and 50% to survive
10%
(or $10) Buy My Own Island fund
10% (or
$10) Charity
10% (or
$10) Education fund
10% (or
$10) Fun, Immediate
10% (or
$10) Fun, Big Ticket
50% (or
$50) Basic Needs (housing, car, insurance, clothes, taxes, everything
you need to survive)
With electronic
banking, this should be fun and easy to do each month! Essentially,
you set it up once and then everything happens automatically.
- Buy
My Own Island fund: Set up a minor’s Individual Retirement
Account through your brokerage. This should be the first auto-deposit
every month – money that earns money while you sleep! The habit
of investing is what’s important to establish first. If you
don’t know which stocks or funds to buy, just use a Treasury
bill ETF for now. (PowerShares.com
has one.)
- Charity:
Have your teenagers write a check to their favorite charity
and pop it in the mail! (Let it be their choice, not yours.)
- Education
fund: College savings plans, aka 529 plans, are a
great way to save up for college and the contribution should
be tax deductible.
- Fun,
Immediate: CASH!! Whether it’s a movie or ice cream, when
the cash runs out, the fun must become free – like picnics,
like board games, like spin the bottle (just kidding).
- Fun,
Big Ticket: Most bank accounts have a savings account
attached these days. Let that be where your teen saves up for
the new iPod or even a car!
- Basic
Needs: Standard Bank Account. The key here is to
have 50% spent on thriving first – before basic
needs -- so that the focus is on living a rich life, instead
of struggling to survive. Now, your teen has 50% of the $100,
or only $50 to spend on basic needs. Your teen won’t have to
worry about food, housing and insurance yet, but why not let
them buy their own shampoo, after school snacks, gas, clothes,
etc?
The Thrive Budget
is a great way to teach your kids healthy money habits, where the
focus is on building a better life, rather than just paying bills.
These budgeting
strategies are explained in greater detail in Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, my new book! Buy
it now on Amazon.com, or in your favorite bookstore or website!
Play the Billionaire Game and discover that it is possible right
now to live as if you had all the money in the world (though, perhaps,
on a smaller scale, initially).
Subscriber
Feedback:
Ask Natalie:
The Thrive Plan sounds great, but my teen is already complaining
that s/he’d rather have fun than give to charity. What do I tell
her?
What we’re doing
with the Thrive budget is teaching the average person exactly what
it takes to get ahead in life – to live like a billionaire. Self-made
billionaires, like Steve Jobs, the co-founder of Apple Computer,
understand the flow of money. They sleep on couches to launch their
dream businesses. They sit on non-profit boards to meet the great
minds and deep wallets who will invest in their dreams. They never
overspend on basic needs or fleeting fantasies. So, tell your teen
that this is Billionaire Boot Camp! S/he’s never going to get rich
by burning through her dough and/or blowing her charitable contributions
on movies.
If s/he wants
more money for fun, there is one easy way to do that while remaining
in the dream come true life budget -- increase income. If her basic
needs are out of whack – which is easy to do with high gas prices
– there’s a solution for that – get creative with cutting back on
basic needs spending!
My teenage son
discovered that he was spending over $50 a week on gas going to
work and college. The second week, he bought a bike and pedaled
around town for free. That was an instant reduction in basic needs!
Get creative. Carpool. Take public transportation. Buy a hybrid
or an electric car. Ride a bike.
The best solution
to a surly teen, however, is to start these money habits earlier
– when they are in middle school. Teens are so busy trying to buy
more freedom from you that they’ll forget to attack the family traditions
that have been ingrained since elementary school. In
other words, if you establish this thrive way of life early enough
it becomes the norm — the natural way that things just are -- rather
than something that the teen gets to argue with you about.
Natalie Pace
knows what it's like to be flat broke and to work her way out of
it. Now one of the premier financial pundits in America, she reports
on the news, information and education you need to succeed at NataliePace.com.
Her first book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, is available now on
your favorite bookselling website. Get more tips, news and information
at NataliePace.com.
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Job Dislocation: Managing
the Financial Impact of Unexpected Job Loss.
FINRA
Investor Alert.
You
may not be able to control if or when your company closes a plant
or lays off workers—but you can plan ahead and take steps to manage
the financial impact of those events.
This Alert
contains tips on how to:
* Ask the
right questions about your company's benefit plans;
* Plan
ahead to cushion the blow of a potential job dislocation;
* Keep
your finances on the right track in the event of unemployment; and
* Protect
yourself when getting financial advice.
Understand
Your Company's Benefits
The
most obvious benefit you get from your company is the regular paycheck
that you count on for doing your job. Another benefit that you probably
use frequently is your health insurance.
Other company
benefits, such as a 401(k) or pension plan, help you build retirement
security over time. Your employer may offer a variety of retirement
benefits, and it is up to you to take the initiative to understand
them, sooner rather than later. Do not be shy about asking questions.
Below is a brief description of commonly offered plans:
Pension Plans:
These
plans usually provide a series of payments, also called a defined
benefit, after you retire. The amount you receive is normally calculated
based on a combination of salary, age and years of service. Pension
plans that replace a good chunk of your before-retirement salary
are becoming rare. Employees who leave a job before a certain age
or specified years of service with the company may not receive anything.
This may happen when they have not met the eligibility requirements
to become entitled, or vested, in the plan benefits.
401(k) Plans:
These
plans are referred to as defined contribution plans because they
allow you to contribute a portion of your salary to retirement savings,
and receive certain tax benefits. When you participate, the taxable
salary that your employer reports to the Internal Revenue Service
(IRS) is reduced by the amount of that contribution. Income taxes
on that money and any earnings are deferred, or postponed, until
you withdraw from your account. Generally, if you withdraw before
age 59 1⁄2, you will pay a tax penalty. Some companies also
offer a Roth feature to the 401(k) plan that allows you to contribute
after-tax dollars—known as designated Roth contributions. You pay
taxes on designated Roth contributions up front, but their earnings
grow tax-free. Earnings on the Roth contributions may be withdrawn
after age 59 1⁄2 so long as the withdrawal is made five years
after the initial Roth contribution.
The maximum
amount you can contribute to a 401(k) is set annually by the IRS.
For 2008, the maximum contribution is $15,500. If you are 50 or
older, you can add another $5,000 in "catch up" contributions for
a pre-tax total of $20,500. If your company allows you to make both
pre-tax and designated Roth contributions, you may determine how
much you want to contribute to each. You must, however, count both
contributions towards the annual limit.
A 401(k) plan
may give you several investment choices. The company may also match
some or all of your contributions on a pre-tax basis. You will owe
tax on any pre-tax contributions and their earnings when you withdraw
funds from the plan. The money that you have contributed to the
401(k) plan will not be affected by events impacting your employer
because you are always entitled to or vested in your own contributions.
Your employer will decide how long you must work before you vest
in the matching contributions. You may move (rollover) your 401(k)
savings when you leave an employer allowing continued deferral of
the taxable portion of your account.
Cash Balance
Plans:
These
plans provide for a benefit that is stated in terms of an account
balance. Each employee has an account to which the employer contributes
a specified dollar amount every year. The funds in the account earn
interest at a guaranteed rate that is independent of the actual
investment performance of the plan. Generally, you can take an annuity
or a lump sum.
Employee
Profit Sharing Plans:
The
company contributes a certain amount of its annual profits to participating
employees. Each worker's account is credited with its share of the
contributed profits. The amount contributed often ebbs and flows
with a company's financial performance.
Employee
Stock Bonus Plans:
The
company contributes a certain number of shares of its own stock
to its employees. As with profit sharing plans, the amount of shares
received tends to fluctuate according to the company's financial
performance.
Ask
the following questions to understand what you get:
1. What are
the terms of the plans that cover me? Ask for the summary plan
description (SPD), the document that contains a complete description
of the benefits owed to you and how they are calculated. Your company's
human resources department, the plan trustee or administrator, or
your labor union should have a copy of this document.
2. When
do I vest and how much is my benefit? The plan administrator
or the company's human resources department should tell you exactly
how long you must work before you become entitled to or vested in
your benefits and how much those benefits will be. Understand how
the benefit is calculated so you can double check that the amount
reported to you is correct. Also check previous benefit statements
that you have received along the way to ensure that the calculation
is correct. Keep in mind that you are always vested in the amounts
that you have contributed to a plan. Your employer, however, may
require employees to work for a designated period to vest in the
amounts contributed by the company.
3. When
can I start getting payments? You need to know when you can
start receiving your benefits so you can plan accordingly. It is
possible that you may not have a right to receive payments as quickly
as you would expect even if you retire under normal circumstances.
Some plans may provide for an early retirement option under certain
circumstances if you have met the length of service requirement
even if you do not meet the age requirement. This option usually
results in a reduced benefit to the employee. Before you opt for
payments, make sure that you understand what level of benefit—full
or reduced—you are getting, the reason causing a benefit reduction,
and how long you have to wait to get the full benefit provided by
the plan.
Health
Insurance: Learn about COBRA to Stay Healthy
One
of the most significant risks of job dislocation is the loss of
your health insurance. A federal law, known as COBRA, provides for
continuation of health coverage up to 18 months after a job loss,
under certain circumstances. Learn more about COBRA.
Plan
Ahead: Start from Day One
Taking
steps to create a financial safety net from the first day you begin
working is the right thing to do. Here are some smart tips:
* Build an
Emergency Fund: Save enough to completely cover 3-6 months of
expenses. Keep it in a savings account or other safe place where
you do not incur investment risk.
* Develop a Budget: Know how much comes in and what goes
out. Set an amount to save from every paycheck. Try to save at least
10% of your salary. Make deposits to your savings account on a preset
schedule. Over time, the amount saved will add up.
* Contribute to Your 401(k): Try to contribute at least the
amount matched by the company. The match is additional money working
for you. Start saving as soon as you are eligible to do so.
* Avoid Taking Out Loans Against Your 401(k). Loans put a
drag on your retirement savings by reducing the amounts invested
on your behalf. In the event of a layoff, 401(k) rules generally
require that employees pay back loans within 90 days of leaving
or face both income taxes and a hefty 10% penalty tax on the withdrawal.
You should inquire whether your plan would allow for partial loan
payments during the 90 days if you will not be able to pay the full
amount in one payment.
* Use Credit Wisely: There are times when it makes sense
to incur debt. Remember, however, that it needs to be part of your
budget planning.
Job
Dislocation: What to Do after Your Company Announces a Plant Closing
or Layoffs
Whatever
the reason for your job dislocation, you now face a period when
handling your finances correctly will be critical to you and your
family. These tips can help you take charge of your financial situation:
* Act Quickly
to Reduce Spending. With less money coming in, you should take
immediate action to reduce spending wherever possible. Resist the
temptation to buy on credit.
* Assess
Your Short-Term Situation: Figure out how much cash you have
readily available or can get on short notice, how much you owe—mortgage,
rent, credit cards, car loans—and the monthly payments associated
with those and other debts. Establish how long you can make ends
meet on the financial resources that you already have in hand.
* Ask About
Dislocated Worker Services: Your employer may work with state
and local officials to provide services such as job placement, retraining,
or resume writing. Maximize your opportunity to get a new position
as quickly as possible by taking advantage of these services—make
finding a new job your full-time job. If you belong to a labor union,
also ask your union what it can do to assist you.
* Inquire
about Unemployment Insurance: A representative of the state's
unemployment insurance office will likely be at your workplace to
offer guidance and assistance in filling out the necessary applications.
Ask the representative if you qualify and find out how the insurance
may be affected if you get other payments from the company. Knowing
how much you can claim and how long you can expect to receive unemployment
benefits will help you handle your finances.
* Get Financial
Advice: Your company or union may offer guidance regarding the
financial decisions you face. Your state or local employment agencies
may also provide information. Ask questions as early as possible
to help determine what is right for you. Consider working with a
credit counselor or financial professional who can help you develop
a plan to see you through your unemployment period and beyond. See
below for tips to protect yourself when considering a financial
professional.
Long-Term
Job Dislocation: Smart Choices in Difficult Times
The
prospect of an extended period of unemployment will require some
difficult decisions that could affect your long-term financial health.
Managing severance pay, choosing the form of payment from benefit
plans, and preserving your retirement funds if you are still years
away from retirement age are high in that list. Keep in mind the
following tips when deciding what to do:
* Conserve
Funds Meant for Your Retirement if You Can: Tap into your retirement
funds to make ends meet only as a last resort. If you have a choice,
choose to keep those funds invested and working for you until you
actually retire.
* Understand
the Tax Bite: Income taxes apply when you tap into retirement
funds prior to age 59 1⁄2. The plan administrator is required
to withhold 20% of the amount you cash out to ensure that you will
pay the taxes that apply. An additional 10% penalty tax may apply
if you are under 59 1⁄2 years of age. In order to avoid income
tax and a tax penalty, you must roll over your funds to an Individual
Retirement Account (IRA) or other qualified retirement plan within
60 days of receiving the retirement funds.
* Use Direct
Rollovers to Avoid Potential Taxes: If you elect to roll over
retirement funds, you may avoid tax complications and the risk that
you will not complete a rollover within the required 60 days of
receiving those funds. Choose a direct rollover by having the plan
administrator transfer the rollover amount directly to an IRA or
other qualified retirement plan.
* Spend
and Invest Lump Sums Wisely: Receiving a lump sum may tempt
you to spend it on that one thing you have been wanting all your
life. Do yourself a favor and wait. If you face a long unemployment
period, these may be the only funds you will have to make ends meet.
Even if that is not the case, give yourself time. Consider short
and long term needs before you decide what to do. If you decide
to invest the lump sum, take your time to consider what you are
going to invest in, when you are going to make the investment, and
how much of the lump sum you want to invest in different types of
investment such as stock, bonds, or non-financial assets.
401(k)
Hardship Withdrawals—A Choice of Last Resort
Your
company's 401(k) plan may provide for hardship withdrawals. You
need to be aware of the tax and long-term financial consequences
before tapping into your retirement funds this way. Learn how 401(k)
hardship withdrawals work.
Protect
Yourself: Check Before Hiring an Investment Professional
The
right investment professional can help you plan for your financial
health from your first day of work. A professional can also work
with you to make good choices during periods of job dislocation.
Legitimate investment professionals must be properly licensed.
To protect
yourself when dealing with one:
Always
Do a Background Check:
* For a broker
or brokerage firm, use FINRA BrokerCheck at www.finra.org/brokercheck
or call toll-free (800) 289-9999.
* For an investment
adviser, use the SEC's Investment Adviser Public Disclosure Web
site at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov
or call toll-free (800) SEC-0330.
* For an insurance
agent, check with your state insurance department. You will find
contact information through the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners (NAIC) at www.naic.org
or call toll-free (866) 470-NAIC.
* For brokers
and advisers in any state, be sure to call your state securities
regulator. Contact the North American Securities Administrators
Association at www.nasaa.org
or call (202) 737-0900 for the state's number.
Beware of
Investments that Promise Too Much:
The announcement
of your plant's closing or mass layoff may have received national
or local press coverage. If all of a sudden you find that you are
receiving unsolicited offers for the investment of a lifetime, beware.
If it sounds too good to be true, you know it probably is. Avoid
becoming a victim by checking the credentials of the person offering
these investment opportunities.
To receive the
latest Investor Alerts and other important investor information
sign up for Investor
News.
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Putting the Recession
and the Stock Market in Historical Context.
by Liz
Ann Sonders, Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Strategist,
Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.
Updated October
30, 2008
We
have always reminded investors that the stock market is one of the
better economic forecasting "tools" there is—with a track record
of anticipating economic turns in both directions, that beats the
vast majority of actual economists. I'm long on record believing
we've been in a recession since late last year, but recently it's
become a more consensus view, the absence of a recession's official
declaration notwithstanding.
If you're using
the stock market as a guide, there's no question we're in a recession.
Since the market's top in October of 2007, the S&P 500®
is down 36%, which is more than the post-World War II bear market
average—but not by much. Since we have yet to see any sign the market
is signaling an upcoming economic turn, it's still a safe bet that
this recession will be longer than the norm.
I've written
about this before. In fact, this report is a newly edited version
of my Recessions and Bear Markets: A History of Inconsistencies
report. But these times suggest an update is in order to help put
some historical meat on the current sordid state of market and economic
affairs.
Let's
get the definition of recessions straight first
Why
can I be so convinced we're in a recession when gross domestic product
(GDP) has remained positive? Indeed many, including noted economists,
look for two back-to-back quarters of negative GDP growth to define
a recession. It's odd that this is the accepted or "traditional"
definition, when in fact it is not accurate.
The National
Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is the official arbiter of recessions.
They are notoriously late in declaring both recessions' start dates
(typically with about a seven-month lag) and recessions' end dates
(typically with about a 15-month lag). Part of the problem is that
recessions have multiple metrics, all of which are subject to revision.
The NBER defines a recession as "a significant decline in economic
activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months,
normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial
production, and wholesale retail sales."
With the exception
of real GDP, the other four metrics above are well in recession
territory, employment decidedly so. And, the only reason real GDP
has remained positive is due to a statistical quirk in calculating
the deflator (subtracted from nominal GDP to get real GDP). That
statistical quirk involves subtracting import prices from export
prices. Our biggest import is oil, and it had its biggest jump in
the second quarter, artificially lowering the deflator and in turn
artificially raising real GDP.
Looking ahead,
given the dramatic drop in oil prices during the third quarter,
we might see the opposite effect on real GDP—a higher deflator being
subtracted and therefore a much lower real GDP being reported. The
upcoming third quarter headline for GDP may actually more closely
match the angst the average American is feeling.
Market
behavior around recessions
The
market behaves differently around each recession, but there are
some notable similarities. As you can see in the table below, of
the 10 recessions we've endured since the end of World War II, seven
have been accompanied by bear markets, while the other three have
brought less-severe, but still double-digit corrections. Regardless
of the magnitude of the accompanying market decline, the majority
of the corrections and/or bear markets began in advance of, or early
in, each recession. Our current market's peak last October fits
squarely in this historical mold.
S&P
500 Performance Around Recessions
1. As of October
27, 2008. Bear market = 20% or more drop in S&P 500. Correction
= 10% to 20% drop in S&P 500. Bear market/correction occurred
anytime 1-year prior to recession start through 1-year following
recession end Sources: Bloomberg, NBER, and Ned Davis Research,
Inc.
Shorter recessions,
longer expansions
In
modern times, recessions have been getting shorter while expansions
have been getting longer. The average recession since World War
II lasted 10 months, while the average length was more than twice
that in the nineteenth century. Conversely, the average expansion
since World War II lasted twice as long as those in the nineteenth
century. Unfortunately, today's recession is likely to be a doozy,
both in duration and magnitude terms.
In addition,
the government and the Federal Reserve have been playing more significant
roles in moderating recessions, especially since the Great Depression
in the 1930s. Unemployment insurance has helped to reduce the loss
of income during recessions while monetary policy has been used
more effectively to lower borrowing costs and increase credit availability.
I won't use this space to illustrate what's been done to date by
the Fed and the Treasury Department because we have reams of reports
on that currently posted on Schwab.com. Suffice it to say today's
interventions have been truly unprecedented.
Pattern
consistencies
There
is a lot of historical consistency in terms of the pattern of returns
for the market around recessions, if not the magnitude. As you can
see in the chart below, which combines all of the 10 prior recessions
into a single average line, the market typically peaked about seven
months before the recession began, but bottomed quite decisively
by about six months into (or 60% of the way through) the recession,
with an average peak-to-trough decline of just under 25%.
S&P
500 Performance Pattern Around Recessions

Indexed price-only
data from 1947-March 31, 2002. Source: Ned Davis Research, Inc.
In fact, history
has shown some of the deepest bear market bottoms and/or buying
opportunities have come during the depths of recessions. The S&P
500 is currently down 36% peak-to-current, so we're clearly beyond
the historical norm. Since it's anybody's guess as to when the market
will bottom, this may be the market's way of telling us this recession
is likely to be a tougher one than usual.
But let's not
forget that historically, a significant percentage of bear market
finales have occurred during economic recessions. In fact, six of
the nine last bear markets ended during recessions. And the subsequent
rallies/new bull markets can be fierce and quite rewarding … that's
assuming you haven't fully bailed out of stocks during the pain
on the downside.
Note in the
table below the performance averages for the market during various
periods following stock market troughs in recessions.
S&P
500 Performance Following Recession Lows
Source:
Ned Davis Research, Inc.
Nobel Laureate
Robert Solow once said: "It is acutely uncomfortable to have so
much in macroeconomics depend on how one deals with a concept like
expectations, for which there is (inevitably?) so little empirical
understanding and so much room for invention." However, uncertainty
is not only normal, but pervasive, in the economy and markets. As
such, future expectations become a critical variable in most decisions
(economic or investment).
Most stock market
observers are aware of the sentiment effect—peak levels of optimism
are often followed by corrections and vice versa. Much is the same
with economic cycles: The economy typically falls into recessions
not because of random shocks or crises, but because extreme optimism
and euphoria is replaced by extreme pessimism and despair. Today's
recession is a function of both: a crisis that continues to exacerbate
what was already a feeling of despair. But the key is not letting
your despair cause you to panic.
Important
Disclosures
The
information provided here is for general informational purposes
only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation
or personalized investment advice. Any investment strategies mentioned
here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review
an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before
making any investment decision.
All expressions
of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting
market conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers
is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However,
its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.
Examples
provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended
to imply future results.
Past performance
is no guarantee of future results.
The Schwab
Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles
Schwab & Co., Inc.
|
|
General Motors Owes
One Hundred Billion Dollars.
Op-Ed
By Natalie Pace. Includes Four Questions for Picking Winners.
Is
it Smart For the U.S. Treasury Department to Loan the Corporation
More Dough?
Partially
excerpted from Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is by Natalie Pace.
While
picking winning stocks (and companies) is tricky, you can go a long
way to mastering it by using the Stock Report Card (outlined in
my new book, Put Your Money Where Your Heart Is), by trying
the products and services of the competition before you buy the
stock, and by asking the four basic questions (listed below) for
determining a leader. In my new book, I actually compare Google’s
success with General Motors’ failure by applying these four questions
to the business environment of both companies back in 2004 when
I first touted Google as likely to become the most successful IPO
of all time (it did) and General Motors as most likely to implode
(it did, as well).
Winning
investments have a lot in common with one another, and losing investments
tend to be lacking in one or more of four critical areas. Three
out of four of the questions I use to determine the leader in a
sector can be answered with information you have as a consumer.
And it turns out that this tool is great for evaluating whether
or not the current proposed bailout of General Motors is the best
solution for a company that has lost over $51 billion dollars over
the last three years and still owes $91 billion in long term debt,
pensions and other post employment benefits (like health care).
(With the new U.S. Treasury loans, GM will owe over $100 billion
by the end of February 2009.)
The
Four Basic Questions for Picking a Leader
1. What’s the product?
2. Who’s going to buy it, and why would they like that product
more than the competitor’s version?
3. Can the company continue to make a superior product now and
going forward and get it to the masses while the appetite of their
customers is piqued and the product is fresh?
4. Who’s running the company, and how motivated are the employees
to deliver a superior product faster, cheaper and better?
An
extraordinary number of things have to go right within a company
for a superior product or service to show up in the stores at a
reasonable price. If a company is doing enough right to get you
to come to them and buy their product, a thousand things have gone
right from the executive suite, down to the shipping dock, over
to the store, and finally in the accounts receivable department.
If you’re choosing Product A over the competition, you have a good
understanding of why. And most of this research involves something
many of us love: shopping. Not one mind-numbing chart.
I
have a motto that says, "Happy people make better products
faster, cheaper." That has been a key ingredient in some of
the greatest success stories in this last decade, including Google.
It is also, unfortunately, behind the demise of some of the most
beloved brands of our country, including General Motors. Some of
this is the fault of management, but not all.
What’s
the Score?
When
I scored Google using each of the four questions, Google ranked
an A+ in all four. As such, I predicted on May 1, 2004: "I
don’t need to tell you that if the editors of American Heritage
are forced to include a noun as a verb in the dictionary, you’re
witnessing an historic phenomenon….Google continues to break the
mold and is committed to continuing that trend, with an unprecedented
IPO, which is likely to become one of the most successful IPO’s
ever."
Google
did in fact post the most successful launch for a public
company ever. By May 2006, the company had a valuation of $136 billion.
Dr. Eric Schmidt has the distinction of being the only CEO to take
a company from IPO to over $136 billion in market capitalization
in under two years.
Readers
of my ezine who heeded my reporting and bought Google at the IPO
were dancing on the ceiling by 2007. By the end of 2007, Google
was worth more than 200 billion dollars, with $12 billion in annual
sales. By comparison, Yahoo (a Google competitor and the clear laggard
for investors) had grown from a $33 billion market capitalization
to a very modest $44 billion, with annual sales of $6.5 billion,
over the same period. Google’s share price rocketed from the initial
public offering price of $85 to $747 per share at its high in 2007.
Now,
let’s use the questions to evaluate a company that was on my Cooling
Off list from 2004 to 2007—General Motors. In my July 1, 2004, article,
"Hybrids: Car of the Stars, But Should You Own the Stock?"
I warned that General Motors and Ford were going to hit tough times.
In that article, I predicted, "Good-bye SUVs" and hello
hybrids.
We
knew about global warming back then—an ice sheet the size of Rhode
Island had fallen off of Antarctica—though there were many who were
still trying to deny it. Honda and Toyota had made a large investment
in hybrids and alternative energy cars, while General Motors was
still backing research and development in hydrogen fuel cells and
had a substantial production commitment to large trucks and
SUVs. Here’s how the Four Questions applied to GM as early as 2004
(and why it prompted me to warn investors that the share price was
poised to implode). As you can see, the conditions that brought
about GM’s demise over the last four years have not changed substantively,
which is why the company continues to be a bad investment for investors
and taxpayers and governments (bailouts) alike.
What’s
the product?
In early 2004, before the heart-stopping spike in oil and
gas prices, GM was producing mostly SUVs and Hummers, while Toyota
and Honda were promoting the new hybrids. General Motors had production
lines that were committed to continuing the production of SUVs because
SUVs were still testing well in focus groups, while Honda and Toyota
had the vision to understand that hybrids were the wave of the future,
even if the soccer moms of America didn’t know that yet. The Toyota
Prius Hybrid was named Motor Trend’s Car of the Year in 2004, while
GM’s major ad campaigns and production lines still promoted gas-guzzlers.
Who’s
going to buy it, and why would they like that product more than
the competitor’s version?
After
gas prices spiked in 2003, the bottom began falling out of the market
for SUVs and Hummers, but even prior to that, you could see and
feel the growing wave of concern over global warming. It was no
accident that Motor Trend picked a hybrid to be the Car of the Year
in 2004. Celebrities were arriving at the Academy Awards in hybrids.
The stigma of driving gas-guzzlers was something that was hard on
a career. California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, the Governator
no less, had to install a hydrogen fuel cell into his Hummer so
that he wouldn’t be perceived as a hypocrite—promoting "green"
while his car guzzled gas like water. Everyone ran hard and fast
to fuel-efficient vehicles and green, while GM was stuck in union
talks, losing billions of dollars, fighting off angry board members
and struggling to revamp production lines.
Can
the company make a superior product and get it to the masses while
the customer’s appetite is piqued and the product is fresh?
A
big part of the problem with General Motors was lack of vision.
If the company had the vision to invest in fuel efficiency before
gas became black gold, even when the focus group data said soccer
moms still wanted their SUVs, Toyota might not have topped General
Motors to become #1 in sales and profits. Another part of the problem,
however, and one that was easier to see, was that "Generous"
Motors was having trouble getting their costs under control. The
cost of certain goods, like metals, had tripled, causing an industry-wide
concern that wasn’t unique to GM. However, the cost of labor for
GM and Ford was substantially higher than the Japanese auto manufacturers
and once GM started losing money, the focus of upper level management
shifted from making great cars to raising capital to continue operating,
mostly through debt and derivatives. You can easily see how with
all of these challenges, the CEO at GM was not focusing on leading
the industry with new product ideas. He was buried in problems,
behind in innovation, and stuck in the rut of building cars that
people didn’t want to drive anymore.
How
could you uncover all this stuff about pension plan debt and capital
constraints and costs out of control? Well, all of the major money
sites – MSN, Yahoo, the brokerage sites, etc. -- have financial
information on publicly traded companies with one easy click. Additionally,
you can access the earning reports at Sec.Gov and power search the
documents, using the key words "pension," "net loss,"
"Other Post Employment Benefits" (or "OPEB"),
"debt," "risk" and "liability." By
going straight to the areas of concern, you could have found out
the seeds of discontent and unprofitability at GM in just a few
easy minutes. Additionally, the high costs, pension difficulties,
labor union talks and other red flags at General Motors were making
headlines very routinely at some of the most reputable news and
business companies, including the New York Times, Wall Street
Journal and NataliePace.com.
Who’s
running the company, and how motivated are the employees to deliver
superior product faster, cheaper, better?
While
no one is offering awards to them for outstanding business leadership,
the CEOs of both Ford and General Motors are reasonably respected
for sticking with it – for showing up everyday, trying to find solutions
in a very tough environment and keeping these legacy corporations
afloat through some of the same challenges that forced so many airlines
to go into bankruptcy—high materials costs, high labor costs and
crushing debt obligations to pensions and health care for their
retirees (those OPEBs). Ford and GM both faced a global market that
constrained their ability to price their product higher (as do airlines).
On the other hand, GM was rightfully criticized for not switching
to fuel-efficient cars more quickly.
Unfortunately,
in a stormy climate of salary slashing and benefit slicing and dicing,
staff morale typically drowns. It’s tough on your smile when you
get your pay cut or your benefits reduced, and it takes a saint
not to want to blame the boss who’s running the company for the
tough times. In that climate, General Motor’s Chairman and CEO Rick
Wagoner had his work cut out for him just to keep the company in
business. Making the business profitable would require a multiyear
turnaround strategy that hasn’t happened for the past four years.
In most businesses, if the top dog has a losing record four years
running, he gets the boot. Most businesses that lose billions year
after year, go bankrupt, as General Motors would have done, without
the Treasury Department’s December 19, 2008 loan bailout.
General
Motors received $4 billion from the U.S. Treasury Department on
December 19, 2008, will receive an additional $5.4 billion on January
16, 2009 and will have to get approval from Congress to receive
a third installment of $4 billion on February 17, 2009. Is it smart
to loan $13.4 billion to a corporation that lost $23 billion last
year, $51 billion over the last three years and still owes over
$100 billion dollars in debt and pension obligations? Couldn’t a
new visionary/leader bring better products into Detroit -- like
electric cars -- and reinvigorate the city, as President Elect Barack
Obama has recommended?
Winner
or Loser?
When
applying the four questions to General Motors as early as 2004,
the company got Ds across the board. Over the next four years, General
Motors remained on my Cooling Off list, where I warn of stocks that
are under pressure and are poised to lose value on Wall Street.
Today, with over $100 billion owed (long-term debt, pensions, OPEBs
and the new Treasury Department loans), General Motors owes over
fifty times its market value. Wall Street prices GM at under $2
billion currently.
Even
with the 2008 pullback, Google is still worth $97 billion, with
a return on investment of over 261% for June 2004 IPO investors.
Meanwhile General Motors’ investors lost more than 92 cents on each
dollar invested since July of 2004 (when I first warned investors
of some of the challenges the corporation was facing).
The
Bottom Line
So,
if you can pick good fruit at the supermarket, you can apply those
same skills, under the framework of the Four Questions, to select
the quality goods (and weed out the duds) at the stock market, too.
While no one wants to see Detroit out of work, and the unemployment
situation, particularly in the auto industry, needs some seriously
proactive and immediate business solutions, it is hard to justify
funding a corporation that has been bleeding red all over its balance
sheets for years, is crippled with debt and labor costs and continues
to manufacture products that are considered inferior by today’s
car consumer.
NataliePace.com
Note: The opinions expressed in this article are the opinions of
the writer and do not represent the official stance of the Women’s
Investment Network, LLC. The editors invite well-written articles
expressing a different vantage point, which includes up-to-date,
reputable data.
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Suffer-Purge-Recover-Better Than Ever!
by Chellie
Campbell, author of Zero
to Zillionaire.
"The
season of failure is the best time for sowing the seeds of success."
—Paramahansa
Yogananda
 |
| Photo credit:
Mary Ann Halpin |
Well, there’s
nothing like a bout of illness to get you to appreciate good health.
And it gives you time that we don’t often take in our hurry-scurry
lives - time to rest and reflect and reset our habits, intentions
and goals. As I pondered my fate between groans, I saw that the
cycle of learning is always the same – with the economy, with health,
with relationships, with work.
First
you Suffer:
Two
weeks ago my back "went out" (whatever that is) and I
suffered some really bad back pain. I went to bed and did the ice
pack & Advil thing…
Got up to go
to my niece Marissa’s fantastically fun "Fairy Party"
for her little girl Kara Lynn, who turned one. All of us family
and friends gathered ‘round for a backyard barbeque, piñata,
presents, and a scrumptious cake made out of individual cupcakes
all frosted together in beautiful hot-pink icing.
But somebody
had the stomach flu. Within 24 hours, ten people who had been at
the party were throwing up. (And then the people who lived with
them got it, so we know it wasn’t food poisoning.)
Somehow, I escaped
and didn’t catch it. Whew. I congratulated myself on my good fortune
and joined the family for Thanksgiving dinner, love and blessings.
Then
you Purge:
But
Typhoid Mary still lurked unsuspected and unknown. Two days later,
I was worshiping the Porcelain God for the next 48 hours. Oy. This
did nothing good for my back pain as you might imagine. And no Advil
to help because I couldn’t keep anything down. Add to that: No coffee=no
caffeine=bigtime headache. Couldn’t read, focus on TV, write, go
anywhere, and the only music I heard through my delirium were endless
refrains of Peggy Lee’s "Fever".
I was a mess,
I tell you, a complete mess. But I did manage, in a few lucid moments,
to apply the Law of Attraction, and focus on radiant, glowing, life-affirming
Health. I held to that vision and knew the only thing standing between
me and that reality was Time.
Next
you Recover:
Eventually,
Time works its magic. You make it through to a better day ("out
with the bad air, in with the good air…") and little by little,
your glowing good heath returns. You start thanking God and all
the angels for the absence of pain. You vow not to take your good
health for granted ever again.
The
Opportunity to be "Better-Than-Ever":
Now
I can just get up and go about my business as usual, return to all
my prior habits and ways of being. But I see an opportunity to improve
things. I had been thinking about changing some of my habits, like
having fewer soft drinks, less coffee, less sugar, more exercise,
etc. and maybe this Purge comes as a help to me, after all. I’m
not in the grip of any of these habits at this moment – they have
all been broken through this experience. Now I can factor back in
those food habits I choose – the ones I feel are beneficial. I’m
not stuck in the trap of my habits any more. I can forge new habits
that I know will get reality to match my affirmation of glowing
good health.
Relate
This to the Economy
Our
financial habits were debilitating to our health. The fancy financial
creations of Wall Street turned on their masters and ran away with
the banks. Housing was so expensive no one could afford to buy except
with no money down, liar loans, and pay later doom dates that people
hoped would never arrive. We lived on credit cards to afford lifestyles
beyond our means. A lot of us didn’t save anything. Those who did
saved for "retirement" without understanding what 401ks
were or what they really invested in.
When the force
of all the bad habits caught up with us and the economy got sick,
there was a lot of pain and suffering. We’re in the purge cycle
now, as failed institutions crash and burn, people lose homes and
jobs, and retirement dreams recede.
But it is bad
habits that are dying here, creating the opening for better ones.
Have faith – better days are coming! It may be winter now, but spring
always comes again. We’re headed for recovery every day, and our
best and brightest minds are working to facilitate it and choose
better habits for the future. Cheer them on. Hang on. Help where
you can. Give where you can. Believe in your bright future and see
it as yours today. Keep a smile on your face, confidence in your
step, and love in your heart. The fearful world needs joyous dolphins
to light the way to love, peace, and prosperity. It is already yours.
Love and blessings,
Chellie
As a professional
speaker and author of The Wealthy Spirit and Zero to Zillionaire,
Chellie has been teaching Financial Stress Reduction® Workshops
since 1990. The Wealthy Spirit was a book-of-the-week on the Doctor
Laura Schlessinger radio show and a GlobalNet book-of-the-month
selection. She has been quoted in Good Housekeeping, Lifetime, Woman's
World, and Essence, and more than 30 popular books.
Chellie has
also been responsible for helping countless people to increase the
profitability of their businesses. If you are stuck having too much
month at the end of your money, learn Chellie's time-proven strategies
to success in her Financial Stress Reduction® Workshops. If
you are interested in becoming a certified coach/owner in Chellie's
workshop franchises, be sure to contact her right away. Space is
limited. Go to Chellie.com
for more information.
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How I Went from Copper
Miner’s Daughter to Wall Street’s Golden Girl.
by Natalie
Pace.
Excerpt
from Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is. Available now on Amazon.com.
 |
| Photo
by: Stacie Isabella Turk, Ribbonhead.com ©2008. Stylist: Arlene
Hylton-Campbel, 818-710-0079. |
Brokers
and Lovers: It Pays to Pick a Good One
Coming
from a copper mining family – my dad was a welder in the smelter
– I always felt like I was born without a silver spoon. But, being
born "poor" wasn’t my only challenge. My mother died when
I was just seven, sparking a series of life challenges for me. Somehow,
despite the early tragedies and the personal heartbreak, I managed
to make something of myself -- to get enough grants, loans and scholarships
to graduate from USC and to go on from there to become a bestselling
book author. But the real key – the hidden blessing of those tough
times -- was the confidence that I gained by carving my own pathway
to success.
So, by the time
I had my virgin experience with a mutual fund salesman, I had enough
spunk to stand up for myself. On a breezy Santa Monica lunch period
in August of 2000, I met with a certified financial planner recommended
to me by my banker. Steven Snappy (obviously not his real name,
which I’ve forgotten) had a set of impressive initials after his
name—NASD, SIPC, and so on, which lent him credibility. I felt that
I was in good hands. He told me that if I tossed my recent real
estate profits into a bowl of mutual funds, I’d churn up a minimum
of 12 to 15 percent return per year. If, that is, I also dumped
in an additional $500 a month, which was the minimum amount I could
commit to.
"Twelve
to 15 percent," he said in a whisper, behind a cupped hand,
"is very conservative." (Never mind the fact that I’d
have to give up eating to afford the $500 per month.) His mutual
funds, which he proposed to put all of my money into, boasted
up to 43 percent returns on funds anchored by AOL, Global
Crossing and Enron. These brochures quoted returns from March 2000,
at the stock market high, something Mr. Snappy neglected to tell
me, even though our meeting occurred after Nasdaq had already tumbled
about 40 percent (dragging those quoted gains right into the gutter).
When I met Snappy,
I thought "P/E" was the company in the movie about Erin
Brokovich. I had no idea what Cisco did. I did know, however, that
the telecommunications companies were overbooking revenue. As an
executive in that industry, I was on the phone daily trying to get
hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of credits from a major company
that had been over-billing my company at triple the contracted rate
for almost a year. If telecoms were cooking the books, what other
companies were doing it?
Snappy became
very impatient with my questions. It was perfectly easy to see from
his charts that the mutual funds he was recommending were amazing.
By diversifying into three different funds, I would be protected
from the fluctuations of any one sector. How hard was it to see
this? Besides, he was making a huge, unauthorized exception for
me by lowering the minimum buy-in. If my money sat in savings at
4 to 5 percent interest, that was less than inflation. We were talking
ten times gains in upside potential. Just what was it that
I didn’t understand? (If you ever hear someone talking to you like
this, run. In fact, the stock market returned only -0.2%
over the last ten years, nowhere near the 12-15% that Snappy tried
to sell me. His strategies would have lost almost everything I had!)
When a life
crisis comes at you, as it certainly did for the world in 2008,
you will feel so overwhelmed with responsibility, fatigue, hopelessness,
time constraints, confusion, shock and grief that the temptation
to trust in strangers on serious and consequential matters will
feel like a matter of necessity.
And right now,
chances are, your instincts are likely screaming, "Help!"
Whether you are an investor or a human resources executive or a
certified financial planner or even an investment banker, you know
that the information you had and the research you relied upon didn’t
work or you wouldn’t be in a crisis today. (Brokerages that had
been around for decades – some more than a century -- imploded in
2008.)
If Lehman Brothers
and Bears Stearns don’t have a clue, how are you supposed to find
your way out of this mess? (Keep reading…)
There I was—a
professional woman in sharp new clothes with a pen poised to sign
a slew of documents I didn’t believe in because I wanted some sleazy
salesperson to approve of me. And here you might be poised to do
the same thing, having blind faith in someone new, just because
the last relationship didn’t work out so great and you need someone
beside you.
Think fast,
Natalie.
At the time,
Al Gore was campaigning on eight years of prosperity and how he
was going to be the candidate to continue it. In fact, who could
continue eight years of prosperity, when markets always ebb and
wane? How could technology companies like Amazon.com continue to
operate for years in the red? So many red flags. Too many.
What red flags
do you see in today’s world? Do you really think that the same plan
that lost you so much money is the right plan to stick with in 2009?
If not, then you need to invest in getting answers to your questions
from someone who had a great track record in 2008, as well as for
the past decade. My strategies work in bull and bear markets, my
2008 track record is outstanding (as have been all of the years
from 2000 on), and my new book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, is endorsed by TD AMERITRADE
Chairman Joe Moglia, bestselling authors Michael Bernard Beckwith,
Mark Victor Hansen and T. Harv Eker, as well as Nobel laureate winning
economist Dr. Gary Becker. Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is costs only $16 and
change. Some people have read it cover to cover in less than a day.
Imagine educating yourself on the basics of sound investing in less
than a day and at a price that costs less than dinner!
I left that
day without signing Snappy’s papers, using the lame excuse that
I was late for work. Snappy was exasperated, but that didn’t keep
him from continually calling and nagging me. I was too busy researching
P/Es, PEGs, Debt/Equity ratios, and the 10-Ks of my favorite companies
to take his calls. (Thank God for the ignore option on my cell phone!)
By the end of
2000, while I still only understood the basics of all of this new
terminology, my instincts that publicly traded companies were overpriced
was proving to be accurate. So instead of throwing away my life
savings on Snappy’s “big winners”―Enron, Global Crossing and
AOL—my investment chugged along at four percent interest in a certificate
of deposit.
What was the
top-performing asset class of the year 2000 (and 2008)?
Cash.
When I did invest
in the stock market – just one year later, in August of 2001 --
Opsware was on sale at 83 percent off. I tripled my money in just
four short months—without shorting. Since then, I’ve had extraordinary
gains in the markets. In fact, in 2008, 70% of the companies I featured
in my monthly articles and stock report cards were winning investments.
And I was able to found and become the majority shareholder in my
own financial news company―all of which led to this book.
The
Bottom Line
Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is
gives you the tools and information to build your dream life. And
the great thing is that it is not about mind-numbing charts or getting
a Ph.D. in economics. Rather than trying to think like a Wall Street
analyst, you’ll learn how to use and value information that you
already have as a shopper. As you can see from my track record,
that is a winning strategy.
A version
of this article first appeared in From Inspiration to Realization,
edited and published by Christine Kloser.
About
the author:
Natalie
Pace knows what it's like to be flat broke and to work her way out
of it. Now one of the premier financial pundits in America, she
teaches people about money at NataliePace.com. Her first book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, is available now on your favorite
bookselling website. Get more tips, news and information at NataliePace.com.
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How
Winter Darkness can Lead to Physical and Mental Doldrums.
by Julie
Gengo.
...and
What you Can Do to Charge Up the Light.
Winter
is coming and when the number of daylight hours dwindles, often
your vitality and energy seems to go with it. Some of us experience
the symptoms of SAD (Seasonal Affective Disorder) as soon as we
turn back our clocks. The lack of sufficient light can have a significant
affect on your overall well-being and as a result damper your lifestyle
and energy levels.
The most obvious
detriment from the lack of sunlight is not receiving enough vitamin
D. The ultra violet (UV) rays from sunlight stimulate vitamin D
synthesis in the body. The sunrays’ intensity also diminishes in
the winter months and the 10-15 minutes of recommended exposure
daily might not be enough for proper nutrient absorption depending
on one’s skin pigmentation. To make up for the intensity level we
may need to stay out in the sun for an hour a day and finding the
time may be difficult for most people.
In actuality
even in Southern California, most of us do not get the necessary
amount of vitamin D regardless of the season since we wear sunscreen.
Any sun block product that is over SPF 8 will block out at least
95% of the rays.
According to
the Medical College of Wisconsin, "The major biologic function of
vitamin D is to maintain normal blood levels of calcium and phosphorus.
Vitamin D aids in the absorption of calcium, helping to form and
maintain strong bones. It promotes bone mineralization in concert
with a number of other vitamins, minerals, and hormones. Without
vitamin D, bones can become thin, brittle, soft, or misshapen. Vitamin
D prevents rickets in children and osteomalacia in adults -- skeletal
diseases that result in defects that weaken bones."
Since vitamin
D is an essential nutrient, having it into your body in the appropriate
amounts is crucial. So how much should we take and who can determine
this? At HealthWalk™, we offer a comprehensive approach to
helping you achieve and maintain vibrancy regardless of the time
of year. With evaluation through live blood analysis (Vital Hematology)
and an advanced biofeedback system called Galvanic Skin Response
(GSR), we can assess your body’s vitamin D level based on analysis
of your cells and from GSR testing.
At HealthWalk™,
we recommend nutritionally bio-available vitamin D products to ensure
you have the optimal potency and efficacy. Other supplements may
also be indicated in the analysis and we suggest the appropriate
ones for your specific needs, along with specific protocols to rebalance
your mind and body. Some common supplement needs are for ReGenesys™
to support enhanced energy, normal sleep patterns and stress recovery
and Subrexi™ for balancing hormones, support your body in
synthesizing proteins and to support mental well being. ReGenesys™
contains some of the highest concentrations of intestinal and digestive
enzymes to promote proper absorption of nutrients and to facilitate
the absorption of the supplement’s powerful blend of calcium, magnesium,
dimethylglycene and boron for muscle and nerve function enhancement,
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You
can lose everything in life and make it all back
With one
exception… Your Health

Please note:
This article has not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration.
The information herein is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure
or prevent any disease.
HealthWalk
is a separate entity from NataliePace.com and NataliePace.com offers
no guarantees of, nor do we endorse, their products and/or services.
|
|
Make
Love With Your Money.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
my Hot News on Cool Stocks List.
January
2, 2009
General
Stock Market Performance
|
Wednesday, 1.3.2006
|
Wednesday, 1.3.2007
|
Monday, 1.2.2008
|
Friday, 1.2.09
|
Gains 3-yr , 2-yr & 10 mo.
|
|
Dow: 10,847.41
|
Dow: 12,474.52
|
Dow: 13,044.12
|
Dow: 9,034.69
|
-17% & -28%
& -31%
|
|
Nasdaq: 2,243.74
|
Nasdaq: 2,423.16
|
Nasdaq: 2,609.63
|
Nasdaq: 1,632.21
|
-27% & -33%
& -37%
|
|
S&P: 1,268.80
|
S&P: 1,416.60
|
S&P: 1,447.16
|
S&P: 931.80
|
-27% & -34%
& -36%
|
If
you want to get a better life, you have to start thinking like a
rich person, instead of a victim. Victims fear money, worry about
money, think that they are owed money, think they deserve money
more than the next guy, and spend all their time gambling or trying
to win the lottery, instead of embracing healthy money habits that
lead to lasting wealth. Rich people know where their money is invested,
know how much they should keep in safer investments (i.e., not the
stock market) and would have recession-proofed their portfolio in
February of 2008, when I first wrote an article warning to do that.
A lot of people
have fear around money. I call it "investing with stomach acid,"
instead of your intellect. When you buy a home or stock in a company
or even a Beanie Baby with fear and blind faith (and a whistle and
a prayer), the odds are that you will buy high and sell low. That
is what fear does, even though it is the exact opposite thing that
everyone knows―with their brain―to do. (Blind faith
is a brother of fear. Wisdom and right choice are very different
strategies.)
Believing you
have to make money fast before the world ends or the bank takes
back your home is the kind of vulnerability that scam artists and
shysters feed upon, which means you are more vulnerable now than
ever – especially if you are biting your nails while you read this.
When you secretly believe that you are destined to lose money on
your investments, you don’t drink in the education and research
you need in order to make a successful purchase in the first place.
When you make wise, informed investments in companies that you believe
are creating the best products and services on the planet and when
you have a sound wealth blueprint that takes into consideration
your age and diversification needs, then you believe that you are
going to make a fortune in the markets, not that you are going to
lose.
When you invest
in what you know and love, your wisdom as a shopper and passion
about the product immobilize fear, and that’s when you can really
start making confident and correct choices that will pay off for
you. Ask yourself this: "Would I rather own a Hummer or a Prius?"
If you answered Prius and had invested there when Prius won Motor
Trend’s Car of the Year in 2004, then you would have made a lot
of money! General Motors and Ford combined are worth less than one-tenth
of the value of Toyota today.
You know how
to place a value on what you own and are less likely to sell it
on the cheap. Imagine now how it would feel to own Google at the
Initial Public Offering (IPO). Or Microsoft. Or Suntech Power Holdings
(a solar energy manufacturer). Or Starbucks. Or Toyota.
Become
the Best You
Some
authors make investing too complicated. Others make it too boring.
Some have cookie-cutter investment strategies, like cutting out
coffee or using fancy software, that frankly don’t work because
no two people have the same talents, passions, goals, time or intelligence.
My investment recipe works because you supply the ingredients.
The Billionaire Game works because you decide what’s charity,
what’s education, what’s fun and what to invest in, and the fact
that you are invested in achieving your own success—instead
of relying on someone else to do it or drowning in basic needs—is
the fuel that drives prosperity.
Choosing
Faith Over Fear
If
you think of all the time you spend worrying about money, you know
that getting smart about investing is actually going to take less
time. Becoming a successful investor who earns gains while you
sleep doesn’t cost more than being a fear-based investor who loses
money every time the economy hits a recession. It’s simply investing
the same money you put in your 401(k) or IRA more effectively.
If you can shop,
you can pick stocks. If you tithe, you can become a millionaire.
If you can pick a great life partner, then you can select the second
most important person in your life―your certified financial
planner. If you know your age, then you know what percent of your
retirement plan you should keep safe, i.e. not invested
in stocks.
How would you
live if you had all the money in the world? What companies would
you invest in? The beauty of the stock market is that with very
little money, you can create that life now. You can become not just
a rich person and a great investor, but someone who does all that
by putting her money where her heart is―by making love with
money. When people start investing with heart and soul and wisdom,
instead of fear, blind faith and greed, this world will become a
very, very beautiful place. There is no end to the problems that
can be solved when we move trillions out of the old industries of
oil, gas and cigarettes and invest it in clean energy, goods and
services that contribute to a healthy, sustainable world.
If this resonates
with you, please buy and read my new book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is. The information
found therein will provide a blueprint for your path to wisdom,
to great profits and to a much richer life and world.
Investor
Alert:
On December 15,
2008, the Honorable Louis L. Stanton, a Federal Judge in the United
States District Court for the Southern District of New York, appointed
Irving Picard as Trustee for the liquidation of Bernard L. Madoff
Investments Securities LLC ("BMIS") pursuant to the Securities
Investor Protection Act ("SIPA") as set forth in the attached
order.
Mr. Picard supersedes
Lee S. Richards, the previously appointed Receiver for BMIS. All
claims by customers of BMIS will be processed by Mr. Picard as SIPA
Trustee. Customers and claimants should refer to the website of
the Securities Investor Protection Corporation for information about
the processing of claims at SIPC.ORG.
Mr. Richards
continues to serve as Receiver for Madoff Securities International
Ltd. The Trustee Irving Picard has engaged Lazard Frères
& Co. LLC to assist in the sale of the trading operations of
Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC.
Should you have
further questions, please contact the Trustee at the following number:
888-727-8695.
How
does the Madoff Hedge Fund implosion impact you?
Madoff
imploded because he had too many "redemptions" to honor.
In other words, his clients were asking for their money back. BMIS
has not yet released extensive details on the hedge funds holdings
(which companies will be impacted if there is a liquidation of stock
into cash). Additionally, there were some corporations, like General
Electric, that had money invested (on a client basis) with BMIS.
The ripple effect of this $50 billion (reportedly) implosion will
continue to be felt over the next few months. Proceed with caution
and make sure that you have your defensive game on as we head into
another year of financial storms. What is your defensive game? Buy
and read Put Your Money Where Your Heart Is now to learn
the fundamentals of successful investing, in a world where the stock
markets returned less than zero for the last ten years.
Market
Report:
Stormy, gloomy,
volatile, down-trending, with tsunami warnings of hedge funds that
might be imploding. In other words – plain English – your new year,
new you, new nest egg and new world will have to be built upon the
ashes of an investment strategy that didn’t work in the past and
won’t work going forward.
It is time NOW
to make sure that you have recession-proofed your nest egg and positioned
it to have the ability to resurrect in 2010, after another year
of the worst financial storms of all time.
I know you’re
shell-shocked, but sitting down on the battlefield can be life-threatening.
There are only three possibilities – the markets go up, stay flat
or go down -- and all three require action now to position you for
a better tomorrow.
- The
markets go up in 2009. This is not predicted, but if the
markets go up in 2009 and you are still invested in the old way
of mutual funds and whatever other people tell me to do, you are
as vulnerable now as you were in 2007 and in 2000 (when the DOT
COM burst and you lost all of your gains). Additionally, you are
not positioned to recover well or capture gains, even if a particular
segment or industry performs well, because mutual funds are too
big for you to see where the gains are coming from. Most don’t
have any holdings in emerging markets, where most of the gains
are made. ETFs are targeted by size, style, industry and more,
allowing you to see when a particular sector has run up, and capture
those gains in a timely manner, with once or twice yearly meetings
with your CFP to rebalance your dream life nest egg blueprint.
Solution:
Get smart. Recession proof. Diversify into ETFs. Take charge of
your financial future and dream life! The idea that you are selling
low (what people will tell you to get you to do nothing) makes
no sense. You are where you are, and if you adjust things now,
you could be positioning yourself for great gains that you have
the ability to capture instead of pitiful market returns that
can bust at anytime without warning (as they did in 2000 and again
in 2007.) The markets have returned -0.2% per year for the
last 10 years, not 12% (source: Hulbert’s Financial Digest).
You need a new plan. The old way and decades of the experience
in the old way is like knowing how to ride ponies to deliver mail
when the airplane was invented.
- The
markets stay flat in 2009. This is not predicted, but
if the markets stay flat in 2009 and you are still invested in
the old way of mutual funds and whatever the tv pundits, insurance
agents, analysts, etc. say, you are as vulnerable going forward
as you were in 2007 and in 2000 (when the DOT COM burst and you
lost all of your gains). Additionally, you are not positioned
to recover well or capture gains, even if a particular segment
or industry performs well. In this scenario of a flat market,
you could rebalance everything, essentially selling and buying
at the same price for a zero net gain, while positioning yourself
much better for the future! If you have capital gain losses, they
can be declared on your income taxes and if you have more losses
than you need in 2008, then you can carry the losses forward into
2009 and 2010 or backward, as you desire and as is allowed in
the tax code.
Solution:
Get smart. Recession proof. Diversify into ETFs. Take charge of
your financial future and dream life! The idea that you are selling
low (what people will tell you to get you to do nothing) makes
no sense. If you adjust things now, you sell and re-buy at the
same price, while positioning yourself for better gains going
forward because you are employing a better plan that adjusts with
your age and market conditions. Any capital gain losses that you
declare will lower your tax payment this year.
- The
markets go down in 2009. This is predicted, and if the
markets go down in 2009 and you are still invested in the old
way of mutual funds and whatever my money manager says, you are
going to lose more money without any ability to stop the losses,
just like you did in 2008, in 2007 and in 2000 (when the DOT COM
burst and you lost all of your gains). Additionally, your nest
egg may become damaged beyond your ability to recover well or
capture gains when the markets are poised to start posting gains
again.
Solution:
Get smart. Recession proof. Diversify into ETFs. Take charge of
your financial future and dream life! The idea that you are selling
low (what people will tell you to get you to do nothing) makes
no sense. If you adjust things now, you sell to protect yourself
from further losses, while, at the same time, better diversifying
and positioning yourself for future gains. By setting up your
nest egg properly, you can make sure that you are taking advantage
of all of the tax-protected IRAs, 401(k)s, college funds, trusts,
foundations, etc. that you qualify for, which is one of the most
important strategies for building and keeping wealth. Can you
really afford to lose more of your nest egg? If not, then you
must ACT NOW.
Here is a simple
question to ask yourself about your nest egg: Did I have a sound
strategy for my Buy My Own Island Fund (formerly called your retirement
plan)? If you are over 50 and you lost more than11% or over 25 and
lost more than 20%, your nest egg was cracked to begin with. You
were not properly diversified, nor were you recession-proofed. You
need a better plan.
The easiest
way to get smart, take charge, recession proof your portfolio, develop
a resurrection strategy and diversify into industries that are poised
to do better in this hostile marketplace is to buy my new book,
Put Your Money Where Your Heart Is, at Amazon.com and
to attend my 3-day retreat, where you will work hands-on in an intimate
setting on how to set up the perfect nest egg, how and when to rebalance
it, how to pick the perfect certified financial life partner, options
trading in your education and/or fun budget, and much more! All
while having a great time! (You know if you just buy the book, you
won’t do the work. Plus if you take the three days to do this, you
are set up for life going forward! It actually gets done, while
the book serves as a constant reminder of how to adjust going forward!)
Go to the NataliePace.com
home page for a link to buy the book on Amazon.com.
Click on the
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat banner ad to register for my
next retreat.
Track
Record of our Reporting
While the
markets have fallen in 2008, the Hot News and Cooling Off lists
below have a winning track record – in bear and bull market years.
41 positions listed below – 68% -- have delivered impressive gains
this year, even while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down -33%
over the past year! Only fourteen of our listings went in the opposite
direction of the reporting, which is quite impressive given the
horrible market drop of this fall. Additionally, in 2008, nineteen
out of 27 companies that were featured in our monthly articles and
stock report cards posted strong gains. That is a 70% winning track
record! See the article, "New
Year. New You. New Nest Egg," in vol. 6, issue 1, for
the chart and more details.
Yes, the majority,
but not all, of our top performers were shorts, which is why we
added options training to the retreat. Remember that the trading
portfolio should be a small portion of your nest egg, equal to your
experience, and should not be part of your nest egg. (The nest egg
is money you earn while you sleep, not while you day-trade.) If
you’re new, you should be using education or fun money, not your
nest egg, to learn on. Take your profits early and often in this
volatile, down-trending year.
3 out
of 6 Company of the Year selections more than doubled. My
2003, 2004 and 2007 Companies of the Year have posted up to 9000%
gains (Taser), up to 690% gains (Opsware) and up to 215% gains (Suntech
Power Holdings), respectively. MySpace, my 2006 Company of
the Year, was a large part of News Corp’s success with shareholders
that year. OSI Pharmaceuticals, my 2005 Company of the Year
is back on track for gains and we still believe that Suntech Power
Holdings, which is the market leader in solar panels and our 2008
Company of the Year (for the 2nd year in a row), will
be a big winner going forward! (Sometimes it takes a few months
for the news to get out to the rest of the world.) So three
out of six are superperformers, one performed well above the market
and two are down (in a recession). That’s the kind of record that
puts you on top on Wall Street. (I launched my first publication
on 11.15.02, and featured the first Company of the Year on 1.1.03.)
TipsTraders.com
continues to list me as a Highly Recommended Stock Picker, with
their independent ranking system, where I’ve repeatedly occupied
the #1 position. Some of our best picks include: Bioteq Environmental
(BQE) +144%, Blockbuster Video (BBI) +82.5%, Genentech (DNA) +415%,
Google (GOOG) +545%, Las Vegas Sands (LVS) +139%, LifeCell (LIFC)
+180%, Macerich (MAC) +150%, Opsware (OPSW) +690%, Rio Tinto (RTP)
+145%, Sohu (SOHU) +150%, Suntech Power Holdings (STP) +107%, Taser
(TASR) up to 9000% gains and World Water & Solar (WWAT) +181%.
(Some of the best picks in 2008 were put options – on the Cooling
Off list. Look there for details on the incredible gains options
investors enjoyed on Wells Fargo, Fortress Investment Group, Sears
Holding, Fannie Mae, Toll Brothers, KB Home, Novastar Financial
and more there.)
Market Movers:
The Federal
Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The Fed funds
rate was cut on December 16, 2008 to "0 to ¼ percent."
In the 12.16.08 press release, the Federal Reserve Board further
elaborated on the reasoning behind the rate cut, writing: "Labor
market conditions have deteriorated, and the available data indicate
that consumer spending, business investment, and industrial production
have declined. Financial markets remain quite strained and credit
conditions tight. Overall, the outlook for economic activity has
weakened further."
The next meeting
takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday, January 27-28, 2009. The day
before the Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the advance GDP
growth rates for the 4th quarter of 2008. (Uh Oh. With
the rates at zero, the Feds are left with not much magic to pull
out of their hat before we are "officially" in the recession,
with a second quarter of negative GDP growth.)
Final
GDP growth rates for 3Q 2008 were released on December 23,
2008 at 8:30 a.m. ET. The BEA preliminary estimates were negative,
at -0.5% (revised downward from the advance numbers of -0.3%).
Advance GDP
growth estimates for 4Q 2008 will be released on Tuesday, January
30, 2009 at 8:30 a.m. ET. For more BEA release dates, go to the
BEA.gov
website and be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar section
often.
EDUCATIONAL
OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1.
FOMC Information: Interested in reading the press
release of the December 16 and 17, 2008 FOMC meeting for
yourself? You can. The official Federal Reserve document is available
online. Click on FOMC,
or go to FederalReserve.gov to read!
The tentative
FOMC meeting schedule for the 2009 calendar is: January 27-28, 2009
(Tuesday-Wednesday), March 17, 2009 (Tuesday), April 28-29, 2009
(Tuesday-Wednesday), June 23-24, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday), August
11, 2009 (Tuesday), September 22, 2009 (Tuesday), November 3-4,
2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday), December 15, 2009 (Tuesday).
2.
Calendar
Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more:
Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. There
are many wonderful opportunities to chat one-on-one with millionaire
money managers, life coaches, economists, respected money gurus,
real estate veterans and CEOs! Be sure to check out the dates of
the mid-month Hot News on Cool Stocks Update and the publication
date of our next ezine. Get more information on how to best use
our articles in the FAQs article, located under the Investor Edu
link on the home page of NataliePace.com.
Don’t miss the
subscriber’s only chat with Natalie Pace on Wednesday, January 7,
2009 at 8:45 a.m. PT.
3.
Survey
Results:
Each
month we have three new surveys so that we can stay in touch with
your needs and desires. What do you think is the most important
thing to change in 2009 for yourself, for your country and for the
world? Simply click on the survey that is currently on the home
page, and you will be taken to a page with all three of the current
surveys. Cast your vote there!
4. Euro
interest rates: At the European
Governing Council meeting on December 4, 2008, it was announced
that the ECB would lower rates to 2.50% (main refinancing), 3.00%
(marginal lending) and 2.00% (deposit facility). The next meeting
and interest rate announcement is scheduled for 1.15.09.
Hot
Stocks List
Investors
who "never pay retail," note that the BOLD highlighted stocks
are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in
NataliePace.com’s article. This may be a good buying opportunity.
(If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation, this
is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.)
The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may
not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue
performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are
never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments.
Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes
to your investment strategy. And remember that these "Stocks
on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy
at all – not even for "pros." If you’ve never traded individual
stocks before, this is your "fun" or "education"
money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don’t
have mastery over.
Hot
News List (highlighted). Be sure that you are buying low.
Altair
Nanotechnology (ALTI)
EBay (EBAY)
DELETIONS
(Take your profits early and often):
American Superconductor
(AMSC). 50% gains between 12.1 and 1.2.09!
Conergy.
If you purchased the stock at $4.50, then you should have taken
your profits of 51% at the Nov. 7, 2008 price of $6.80.
MEMC Electronics (WFR). 21% gains between 12.1 and 12.15.08.
Suntech Power Holdings. 69% profits since 12.1.08. Take them!
HOT NEWS
on COOL STOCKS LIST
| Company
|
NP
owns? |
Symbol
|
Price
when featured |
Price
1.2.09 |
Year High
Year Low
|
Gains
since original feature |
|
Altair
Nanotechnology
RISK:
MEDIUM/ HIGH
|
No
|
ALTI
|
$1.99
$1.41
(12.1.08)
|
$1.18
|
$5.45
$.75
|
-41% &
-16%
|
|
Read the
article on Electric
Cars in vol. 4, issue
6.
Altair
Nanotechnologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ALTI) announced on Nov. 21,
2008 that its one megawatt (MW), 250 kilowatt-hour battery
storage system met requirements to participate in the PJM
Regional Transmission Organization (RTO) control area. This
milestone marks the first commercial acceptance of an advanced
Lithium-Titanate battery to provide grid regulation services
in one of the largest electricity markets in the US.
With President
Bush's signing of the Continuing Resolution (CR), which contains
appropriations for the Department of Defense, Altair Nanotechnologies
Inc. (NASDAQ: ALTI), a leading provider of advanced materials
and products for power and energy systems, and the United
States Navy were granted an additional $4 million for the
continued funding of a 2.5-Megawatt stationary power supply
program. Total funds appropriated by Congress for Altairnano's
naval battery program now total $12.5 million. (press release
of 11.19.08)
3Q 2008
earnings on 11.8.08: Revenues = $1.8 million. Net loss of
-$9.1 million. Cash on hand and short term investments: short-term
investments decreased by $26,415,557, from $50,146,117 at
December 31, 2007 to $23,730,560 at September 30, 2008, due
primarily to net cash used in operations (approximately $25,130,000)
purchases of property and equipment (approximately $2,130,000),
and payment of notes payable ($600,000). As of September 30,
2008, Altair Nano entered into a purchase and settlement agreement
with Al Yousuf LLC. One of the provisions of that agreement
was the issuance of 2,117,647 shares of common stock to Al
Yousuf LLC in exchange for a release of potential breach of
contract and other claims related to their 2007 investment.
As part of the agreement Al Yousuf LLC also committed to an
additional $10 million investment in the Company. This investment
was received on October 14, 2008.
Altair
has switched focus from all-electric cars to hybrids and to
supplying the Navy with batteries for their large surface
ships and subs, according to the Annual
Shareholder’s Report.
You can review the entire 4-page report from the CEO on the
investor page at AltairNano.com.
|
|
American Superconductor
|
Yes
|
AMSC
|
$25.96
$11.31 (12.1.08)
|
$16.98
|
$47.53
$15.51
|
-35% &
+50%
|
|
Read the article "Clean
Energy Rolls Out Worldwide," in vol. 4, issue
12. Competitors include GE (NYSE: GE), Siemens (NYSE: SI),
Rockwell (NYSE: ROK), and DRS (NYSE: DRS). High Temperature
Superconductor (HTS) wire is able to transmit 150 times more
energy than a copper wire of the same dimensions. This enables
electric utilities to replace multiple conventional copper
cables with one HTS-powered cable, leaving valuable underground
real estate available for other uses – including future power
upgrades. The worldwide cable market represents a multi-billion-dollar
annual opportunity, but their power converters are also in
the exploding marketplace of wind turbines and fuel cells.
American Superconductor’s backlog of orders exceeds $634 million,
with growth primarily driven by the wind energy market. AMSC
expects the Asia-Pacific marketplace to account for up to
50% of sales in fiscal year 2007.
Revenues for the second quarter
of fiscal 2008 (released on 11.4.08) were a record $40.4 million,
an 87 percent increase from $21.6 million in revenues for
the second quarter of fiscal 2007. Gross margin for the second
quarter of fiscal 2008 was 26.5 percent, which compares with
26.0 percent for the second quarter of fiscal 2007. The company’s
net loss for the second quarter of fiscal 2008 was $4.1 million,
or $0.10 per share. This compares to a net loss for the second
quarter of fiscal 2007 of $6.7 million, or $0.17 per share.
Cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities and restricted
cash at September 30, 2008 were $128.9 million, a decrease
of $2.6 million from $131.5 million at June 30, 2008. Nearly
$2 million of this sequential decrease is due to a foreign
exchange-related revaluation of euro-denominated cash balances.
The company reported backlog as
of September 30, 2008 of approximately $597 million compared
with $634 million as of June 30, 2008 and $180 million as
of September 30, 2007. Nearly $8 million of the sequential
decline is attributable to a foreign exchange-related revaluation
of backlog.
"We are continuing to execute
well on all fronts and expect to achieve profitability on
a GAAP basis for the first time in AMSC’s history in the fourth
fiscal quarter," said Greg Yurek, AMSC’s founder and
chief executive officer. "The strength of AMSC’s primary
markets, our unique offerings and our significant presence
in the Chinese wind market positions us for continued solid
growth amidst the global economic downturn."
|
|
Conergy
Based out of Germany
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
CEYHF
|
$22.50
$1.55 (12.1.08)
|
$1.40
|
$96.14
$1.10
|
-94% &
-10%
|
|
See the Wind
Power article
in vol. 4, issue 11. Has multiple sales agreements with Suntech
Power Holdings to utilize STP panels in their global systems
integration.
11.19.08: Hamburg/ Philadelphia,
PA - Conergy and its subsidiary Epuron have announced the
completion and sale of the Exelon-Conergy Solar Energy Center.
The 3 MW project is located on the Waste Management G.R.O.W.S
16.5-acre landfill site just outside of Philadelphia. Conergy's
Projects Group (formerly SunTechnics) provided design, engineering
and installation for the system. EPURON provided financing
for the project. Exelon Generation, LLC is purchasing the
power and renewable energy credits through a long-term power
purchase agreement.
This solar power plant is Pennsylvania’s
first utility scale plant and the nation's largest solar photovoltaic
(PV) generation project east of the Mississippi River.
|
|
eBay
RISK:
LOW
|
No
|
eBAY
|
$14.27
|
$14.42
|
$40.73
$10.91
|
flat
|
|
Added
back to Hot News list on December 15, 2008. Owns Skype. The
growth potential there is huge… What biz does well when everyone
is selling off their assets to covers their a**? The online
auction site. Expect earnings to be better than expected and
if this is the only game in town for money managers to flock
in…
According
to Comscore Media Metrix, eBay had the most unique visitors
on December 23, 2008 (two days before Xmas), with 85 million
unique users. Amazon, Wal-Mart, Target and Apple followed
behind eBay with 76 million, 52 million, 47 million and 35
million unique visitors in December 2008, respectively.
Relatively
new Skype President Josh Silverman co-founded eVite and served
as CEO of Shopping.com before assuming his role as President
of Skype. We’ll probably add eBay back to the Hot News list
if there is a down day in the markets, which makes the price
more attractive.
3Q Earnings
10.15.08: Revenues of $2.12 billion, up $228 million from
the same period last year. Net income on a GAAP basis was
$492 million, or $0.38 per diluted share.
Highlights
of the quarter: eBay Inc. was honored by the White House and
U.S. Department of Commerce with the National Medal of Technology
for leadership in technology and innovation that has enabled
millions of entrepreneurs to participate in the global ecommerce
market.
Marc Andreessen,
founder of Netscape, Loudcloud and Ning, joined the eBay Inc.
board of directors.
eBay Inc.
repurchased approximately 25 million shares of its outstanding
common stock at a cost of approximately $623 million. Since
the inception of the stock repurchase program in the third
quarter of 2006, the company has repurchased approximately
$5.3 billion of its common stock.
eBay lowered
listing fees for the Buy It Now format by more than 70% and
extended listing periods to 30 days, up from seven.
The company’s
global classifieds businesses averaged 84 million unique visitors
per month during the quarter, representing an increase of
55% year-over-year.
|
|
Emcore
|
No
|
EMKR
|
$11.02
$1.51 (12.1.08)
|
$1.11
|
$14.98
$2.78
|
-90% &
-26%
|
|
EMCORE Corp (EMCORE) is a provider
of compound semiconductor-based components and subsystems
for the broadband, fiber optic, satellite and terrestrial
solar power markets. The Company operates in two segments:
Fiber Optics and Photovoltaics. Was awarded an R&D 100
award by R&D Magazine for the IMM solar cell as one of
the most innovative technologies of 2008. Received $29 million
order in June 2008.
Emcore sold two million of its
Series D preferred stock in WWAT to the Quercus Trust, a major
shareholder of both EMCORE and WorldWater, at a price equal
to $0.654 per share of common stock on June 30, 2008. The
sale includes 200,000 warrants to purchase at $0.317/share
equivalent. Emcore reports proceeds from the sale at $13.1
million, or 130% Return on Investment.
3Q earnings: Albuquerque-based
Emcore Corp. reported $75.5 million in revenue for the third
quarter (April-June) of the current fiscal year. Reports 4Q
earnings on December 11, 2008.
That represents a 70 percent increase
over the $44.4 million Emcore reported in the same quarter
last year, and a 34 percent increase over the previous (January-March)
quarter. Net loss $8 million, compared to $15 million a year
ago.
Analyst Coverage was initiated
by Stanford Research 8.15.08: Buy $10.
|
|
U.S. Global Investors Eastern European
mutual fund
|
No
|
EUROX
|
$6.33
|
$5.12
|
$19.84
$5.27
|
-19%
|
|
Lots of Russian oil and gas. New
holdings. Looking for best time to cash out.
|
|
General Electric
RISK: LOW
GREEN
|
No
|
GE
|
$26.69
|
$16.84
|
$42.15
$12.58
|
-37%
|
|
GE is providing innovative solutions
to more than 350 infrastructure projects in and around Beijing,
including work at all 37 official Olympic venues and 168 commercial
buildings. GE’s NBC-TV is also the official network of the
Olympics. Should be great exposure and great press all rolled
into one. All that and dividends, trading at the 52-week low.
We just couldn’t resist. GE is a big presence in renewable
energy these days. Very green…
|
|
Genentech
|
No
|
DNA
|
$73.00
|
$82.40
|
$99.14
$65.35
|
+13%
|
|
4Q and YE 2008 results on Jan.
15 at 1:45 p.m. PT. Genentech, Inc. (Genentech) is a biotechnology
company that discovers, develops, manufactures and commercializes
pharmaceutical products to treat patients with unmet medical
needs. It commercializes multiple biotechnology products and
also receives royalties from companies that are licensed to
market products based on the Company’s technology. Genentech
commercializes various products in the United States, including
Avastin, Rituxan, Herceptin, Lucentis, Xolair, Tarceva, Nutropin,
Activase, TNKase, Cathflo Activase, Pulmozyme and Raptiva.
As of July 21, 2008, Roche Holding
Ltd. held a 55.9% interest. On August 13, 2008, Genentech,
Inc. announced that the special committee of the Board of
Directors of Genentech, Inc. announced that, after careful
consideration, it has unanimously concluded that Roche Holding
Ltd.'s proposal to acquire the shares of Genentech not owned
by Roche for $89.00 per share substantially undervalues Genentech,
Inc. Therefore, the special committee does not support the
proposal. However, the special committee would consider a
proposal that recognizes the value of Genentech, Inc. and
reflects the significant benefits that would accrue to Roche
as a result of full ownership.
(We took DNA off of the Hot List
on 8.1.08 at a price of $96.25 with gains of 40%. We added
it back on 10.10.08, when the market crashed.)
|
|
Google
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$341.43
|
$318.05
|
$747.24
$247.30
|
-7%
|
|
Google is such a popular stock.
And now, finally, it is trading at a 4-year low! This marketplace
may not be through with its correction, but if you add Google
to your nest egg now, you are getting it for over half off
what investors were willing to pay a year ago, last October!
Google is so pervasive in our lives that it is unlikely that
it is going to have trouble posting gains over the long term.
When low risk meets low price with moderate growth, that’s
as good as it gets – even if the price fluctuates or even
falls slightly in the short term.
|
|
Hoku Scientific
Hawaii
RISK: HIGH
|
Yes
|
HOKU
|
$8.03
$2.85 (12.1.08)
|
$2.98
|
$14.55
$2.06
|
-63% &
+5%
|
|
Read "Solar
Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon,"
in the Oct. 2007 ezine, vol. 4, issue 10. Contracted to build
a polysilicon facility in Idaho capable of producing up to
2,500 metric tons of polysilicon per year in Pocatello, Idaho.
In June 2007, Suntech entered into a supply agreement with
Hoku Materials, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Hoku Scientific,
to purchase up to $678 million of polysilicon from Hoku Materials
over a ten year period, with the first shipment scheduled
for delivery in 2009.
2Q 2009 (fiscal) earnings on 10.23.08:
Net loss of $1.4 million, compared to $1 million a year ago.
Revenue was $1.9 million, up from $239,000 a year ago.
On Sept. 4, 2008, Hoku announced
that they were terminating supply agreements with Solar Fabrik
and Sanyo and entering into new agreements on more favorable
terms with Kinko Energy, Tianwei New Energy, and Wealthy Rise
International, Ltd (Solargiga). November was a busy month
of announcing supply agreements with regard to the manufacturing
facility. On Halloween, I received the following note from
Hoku (by email): "As of October 31, 2008, the date of
the filing of our 10Q, we indicated that we will require additional
funding either through debt or equity. Per the 10Q, we also
disclosed that we broke ground in May 2007 and plan on delivering
polysilicon in the first half of calendar year 2009 and be
at full capacity in the first half of calendar year 2010."
"This realignment of production
capacity is a positive development for Hoku," said Dustin
Shindo, Chief Executive Officer of Hoku Scientific. "We resolved
the issue of our plant being oversubscribed, and gained the
flexibility to allocate that capacity to customers that are
able to provide up-front capital for plant construction costs,
which the Sanyo and GEWD contracts did not do. Owing to Hoku's
demonstrated progress, we are now able to secure contracts
with more favorable prepayment and pricing terms."
After the 3Q results on 10.23.08,
Dustin Shindo, chairman, president and chief executive officer
of Hoku Scientific, said, "The recent extension of federal
solar tax credits through calendar year 2016 was significant
because it enables us to continue our focus on building long
term growth in our PV system installation business. We believe
we remain on track to meet our fiscal year 2009 revenue guidance
of $15 million to $18 million, contingent on the successful
third-party financing of our power purchase agreements with
the Hawaii State Department of Transportation, Airports Division
and Hawaiian Electric Company."
|
|
Kinetic Concepts, Inc.
|
No
|
KCI
|
$38.81
$21.05
(12.1.08)
|
$19.96
|
$66.77
$18.50
|
-49% &
-5%
|
|
Read the article, "Beauty
is Skin Deep,"
in vol. 5, issue 5.
REPORTED EARNINGS ON 10.22.08.
Total revenue increased 22% to $503.3 million, including $61.2
million of LifeCell revenue. Net earnings decreased 4% to
$56.6 million. Kinetic Concepts, Inc. (NYSE:KCI) announced
on 10.22.08 that its Board of Directors has authorized an
investment of up to $100 million for the repurchase of its
common stock as part of a new share buyback.
At September 30, 2008, total cash
was $245.2 million and total long-term debt outstanding was
$1.74 billion.
|
|
LDK Solar
|
Yes
|
LDK
|
$30.02
$13.26
(12.1.08)
|
$14.15
|
$76.75
$9.45
|
-53% &
+7%
|
|
Read the article, "Solar
Springs Up Again",
in vol. 5, issue 4.
3Q earnings on November 19, 2008:
Net sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2008 were $541.8
million, up 22.7% from $441.7 million for the second quarter
of fiscal 2008, and up 241.4% from $158.7 million for the
third quarter of fiscal 2007. Net income for the third quarter
of fiscal 2008 was $88.4 million, or $0.77 per diluted ADS,
compared to net income of $149.5 million, or $1.29 per diluted
ADS for the second quarter of fiscal 2008. LDK Solar ended
the third quarter of fiscal 2008 with $347.8 million in cash
and cash equivalents and $115.0 million in short-term pledged
bank deposits.
On September 24, 2008, LDK Solar
closed a follow-on offering of 4,800,000 ADSs, resulting in
net proceeds of $192.4 million from the offering. As disclosed
in the prospectus, LDK Solar expects to use approximately
60% of the net proceeds to fund the construction of its polysilicon
manufacturing plant, approximately 30% to fund the capacity
expansion of its wafer production facilities and the remaining
10% to fund other general corporate activities.
"As we look ahead, our business
will not be immune to the current global economic downturn.
However, given the strength of our business model, conservative
financial management, and our strong cash position, we remain
confident in our long-term growth opportunities, and in our
ability to succeed and to continue our role in driving the
solar industry forward," concluded Mr. Peng.
|
|
Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd.
|
No
|
MPEL
|
$6.54
|
$3.43
|
$19.09
$2.31
|
-48%
|
|
Check out this month’s article,
"No
Viva Las Vegas"
(vol. 5, issue 10). Operates
Crown, a 6- star Resort and Casino in Macau, the trendy Mocha
slot machine cafes and is developing City of Dreams in Macau,
with Hard Rock, Hyatt and Dragone Entertainment. CEO/Chairman
Lawrence Ho is the son of Macau gambling billionaire Stanley
Ho.
|
|
MEMC Electronics
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
WFR
|
$28.26
$12.75
|
$15.48
|
$96.08
$10.00
|
-45% &
+21%
|
|
MEMC was added to the S&P 500
in August of 2007. Read "Sun
Powers Whole Foods,"
article in vol. 3, issue 10. Silicon is in high demand, and
MEMC has been able to price its product and pick its customers
accordingly. Volatile marketplace. Great company. With more
silicon manufacturing companies coming online this year and
next (like HOKU Scientific), MEMC’s operating margins (currently
at 33%) could suffer. Look for this to start impacting the
top line and profit margins in the coming quarters.
|
|
New Zealand Dollar currency ETF
by WisdomTree
|
No
|
BNZ
|
$25.17
$18.49
(12.1.08)
|
$19.70
|
$25.31
$16.67
|
-22% &
+7%
|
|
Read the article, "Foreign
Investing: From BRICs to Barbeys," in vol. 5,
issue 7, for more information on why New Zealand is the new
attraction on the world currency markets.
|
|
OSI Pharmaceuticals
RISK: HIGH (U.S.)
2005 Company of the Year
|
No
|
OSIP
|
$35.95
|
$39.54
|
$53.71
$32.10
|
+10%
|
|
M&A Watch. There is a lot of
M&A activity in the biotech sector. I’m keeping this active
so see if there is a bid for OSIP… OSIP is a partner of Genentech
(DNA) and Roche, and Roche just made a bid to buy Genentech.
NataliePace.com’s
2005 Company of the Year. Read vol. 1, issue 56. Tarceva
is the genetic based "cancer pill," and sales have
been exploding. OSIP is now testing Tarceva as an application
for other cancers, including lung cancer.
OSI Pharmaceuticals was added to
the NASDAQ Q-50 Index(sm) (Nasdaq:NXTQ) on September 22, 2008.
The risk to this stock is that
the majority of the revenues are currently attached to one
drug – Tarceva. In the event of a serious problem with the
drug, the company would likely be doomed. The company reported
on September 23, 2008 that two cancer patients died of liver
complications after using the drug, and have added a warning
to the label telling doctors to carefully monitor any patients
with liver issues while taking the cancer pill. This cancer
medication is used for pancreatic cancer (often fatal with
a fast, painful death) and lung cancer, two harsh, virulent
forms of the disease, which may be why patients and doctors
can stomach more liver risk for the extension of life.
3Q 2008 earnings on 10.22.08: net
income from continuing operations of $34.5 million (or $0.56
per share) for the three months ended September 30, 2008,
compared with net income from continuing operations of $35.9
million (or $0.59 per share) for the third quarter of 2007.
total revenues from continuing operations of $95 million for
the third quarter of 2008 compared to revenues of $100 million
for the third quarter of 2007. The decline was primarily due
to greater license and milestone revenue received in 2007,
which was partially offset by the growth in revenues relating
to worldwide Tarceva® (erlotinib) sales. Total worldwide
net sales of Tarceva for the third quarter of 2008, as reported
by the Company’s collaborators for Tarceva, Genentech, Inc.
and Roche, were approximately $279 million, representing a
23% growth in global sales compared to the same period last
year. For the nine months ended September 30, 2008 worldwide
Tarceva net sales were approximately $837 million, representing
a 32% increase over the same period last year.
|
|
PowerShares CleanTech Portfolio
|
No
|
PZD
|
$33.22
|
$18.66
|
$36.93
$12.84
|
-44%
|
|
The PowerShares Cleantech Portfolio
(Fund) tracks the Cleantech Index™ (ticker: CTIUS),
which is designed to track the leading cleantech companies,
from a broad range of industry sectors, that offer the best
investment returns. 'Cleantech' companies derive the majority
of their business from knowledge-based products or services
that improve productivity and/or product performance while
reducing total costs, energy and resource consumption, pollution,
toxicity, etc.
See Green
Your Portfolio
article in vol. 5, issue 9.
|
|
PowerShares Wilderhill Clean Energy
Portfolio
|
No
|
PBW
|
$19.92
$7.64
(12.1.08)
|
$9.05
|
$28.84
$6.18
|
-55% &
+18%
|
|
Exchange Traded Fund in the green,
clean, renewable energy space. See Green
Your Portfolio
article in vol. 5, issue 9.
|
|
Rio Tinto
(UK based mining company)
|
Yes
|
RTP
|
$138.69
$84.68
(12.1.08)
|
$98.93
|
$558.65
$59.20
|
-29% &
+17%
|
|
See Gold
is a 4-Letter Word,
vol. 5, issue 11.
|
|
Satcon
VERY HIGH RISK
Micro Cap
|
No
|
SATC
|
$1.62
|
$1.63
|
$3.14
$1.32
|
flat
|
|
Clean Tech. Satcon is a developer
and supplier of power management and system architecture solutions
for the alternative energy and distributed power markets.
Announced earnings on 11.6.08.
* Revenue increased 38% to $18.5 million from $13.4 million
in Q2’08. Gross margin improved to 18.9% from 11.7% in Q2’08.
Backlog grew 30% over Q2’08. Company expects to achieve operating
profitability in 2H 2009. Net loss from continuing operations
for the third quarter was approximately $1.3 million, compared
with a net loss of $2.4 million for the third quarter of 2007.
Cash and cash equivalents at September 27, 2008 were $10.5
million, compared with $9.8 million at June 28, 2008. The
company reported an ending backlog on September 27, 2008 of
$39 million, compared with backlog of $30 million at June
28, 2008.
SatCon commercial grade inverters
are an integral part of Google's corporate headquarters in
Mountain View, California. The 1.6MW system is the largest
commercial photovoltaic system in the United States. On August
17, 2008, SatCon Technology Corporation announced that the
company is a key member of a team of best-in-class clean energy
industry leaders recently awarded the Solar Energy Grid Integration
Systems (SEGIS) contract by Sandia National Laboratories.
Sandia is a government-owned/contractor operated (GOCO) facility
– a collaboration between Lockheed-Martin and the U.S. Department
of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration.
Coverage initiated by Cantor Fitzgerald
on 8.15.08: Buy $5.
|
|
Smith & Nephew
London, England
RISK: MEDIUM
|
Yes
|
SNN
|
$55.78
$34.92
(12.1.08)
|
$32.29
|
$69.20
$30.27
|
-42%
-8%
|
|
Announced 1st half of
the year earnings on August 7 at 6:00 a.m. ET. Read the article
in vol.
4, issue 7. The
company is based out of London, England, and with a market
cap of $10.57 billion, it is a good diversification strategy
for your portfolio. Additionally, SNN has a piece of an exploding
marketplace in the hip resurfacing business with its premiere
product, called the BIRMINGHAM HIP* Resurfacing System. Hip
resurfacing is far less invasive than the total hip replacement
and even has athletes like Floyd Landis and Gary Kobat back
competing in running and biking within a year of surgery!
On December 26, 2008, Joanne Wuensch,
a BMO Capital Markets analyst downgraded SNN (and Stryker),
saying the recession is likely to hurt sales for both companies.
She lowered her rating on both companies to "Market Perform"
from "Outperform" because of a growing concern that the U.S.
recession will lead to higher borrowing expenses, less financing,
losses on investments and further cuts in hospital spending.
SNN’s target price was reduced from $55 to $39.
Recent strength in the dollar could
also reduce revenue for SNN, which is a UK owned company,
she added.
"Unemployment and lost insurance
coverage combined with delayed elective orthopedic procedures,
such as hip and knee surgeries, may be buffered in the fourth
quarter, but will likely put pressure on the orthopedic manufacturers
in 2009," she said.
|
|
Sociedad Minera y Chemica de Chile
|
No
|
SQM
|
$25.21
$21.51
(12.1.08)
|
$25.63
|
$59.41
$12.98
|
+2% &
+19%
|
|
Read the article, Treasure
Hunting, in vol.
4, issue 10.
3Q 2008 earnings on 10.28.08: Sociedad
Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) (NYSE: SQM; Santiago
Stock Exchange: SQM-B, SQM-A) reported today earnings for
the first nine months of 2008 of US$381.1 million (US$1.45
per ADR), an increase of 181% with respect to the same period
of 2007, when earnings totaled US$135.4 million (US$0.51 per
ADR). Revenues for the first nine months of 2008 totaled US$1,376.2
million, representing growth of 56% over the US$881.3 million
reported in the same period of 2007.
SQM's Chief Executive Officer,
Patricio Contesse, stated, "We are pleased to announce that
SQM has once again achieved record earnings, with net income
for the third quarter alone exceeding not only net income
for the first six months of this year but also net income
for the full-year 2007. These results are due in large part
to higher prices for our potassium-based fertilizers. In addition,
during 2008 we observed positive developments in both the
iodine and lithium markets that allowed us not only to report
higher results than we initially projected for these two businesses,
but also to improve our outlook for both of these markets.
In particular, we recently announced a 25% price increase
for iodine, reflecting changes in the equilibrium between
supply, which has become tighter than expected, and demand,
which has grown faster than expected."
|
|
Suntech Power Holdings
|
Yes
|
STP
|
$40.07
$7.65
(12.1.08)
|
$12.90
|
$90.00
$5.36
|
-68% &
+69%
|
|
2007 and 2008 Company of the Year!
Read "2008
Company of the Year,"
in vol. 5, issue 8 and "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
in vol. 5, issue 4. Suntech was the official solar sponsor
of the Beijing Olympics, our 2007
Company of the Year,
as well as our featured Company
of the Month in October of 2006. Go to vol 4, issue
1 and vol. 3 issue 10 to access those articles.
3Q 2008 results on 11.20.08: Third
quarter 2008 total net revenues grew 53.7% year-over-year
to $594.4 million. GAAP net income for the third quarter was
$55.9 million or $0.33 per diluted American Depository Share
(ADS). Due to the depreciation of the Euro versus the U.S.
dollar combined with the impact of tighter credit markets,
Suntech has revised its full year 2008 revenue guidance from
a range of $2.05 billion to $2.15 billion to a new expected
range of $1.85 billion to $1.87 billion. Suntech has revised
its full year 2008 PV product shipment target from 550MW to
approximately 490MW.
According to CEO Dr. Shengrong
shi, "We have been implementing a range of measures to
prudently manage this temporary downturn. These include the
minimization of cash outlays, renegotiation of high priced,
short-term silicon contracts, optimization of our supply chain
and production, and the enhancement of currency risk management.
We believe that these steps will enable us to weather the
short term market disturbances and we expect our profitability
will steadily improve in 2009 as multiple long term, low cost
silicon contracts initiate delivery."
|
|
T. Rowe Price Em Europe & Mediterranean
Mutual Fund
(International)
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
TREMX
|
$20.07
|
$7.80
|
$40.00
$9.22
|
-61%
|
|
Mutual fund holdings have shifted
from Eastern Europe emerging markets to Russian oil and gas
markets. Looking for best opportunity to cash out.
(1.2.09)
|
|
Trina Solar Limited
RISK: Medium
Chinese-based ADR
|
No
|
TSL
|
$38.99
$8.36
(12.1.08)
|
$9.95
|
$73.06
$5.61
|
-74%
+19%
|
|
Read the article, "Solar
Springs Up Again", in vol. 5, issue 4.
3Q 2008 earnings on November 19,
2008: Solar module shipments were 66.36 MW, up 213.7% from
21.15 MW in 3Q 2007 and 39.5% from 47.57 MW in 2Q 2008.
Total net revenues increased to
$290.7 million, up 252.1% year-over-year and 42.4% sequentially.
Net income was $32.1 million, compared to $7.8 million in
3Q 2007 and $17.1 million in 2Q 2008. Net income includes
a foreign currency exchange loss of $4.9 million.
Senior Convertible Notes Offering:
On July 24, 2008, Trina Solar completed a public offering
of $138 million of Senior Convertible Notes due 2013. The
net proceeds of the offering is being used for the expansion
of manufacturing lines for the production of silicon ingots,
wafers, solar cells and solar modules, the purchase of raw
materials, research and development and other general corporate
purposes.
As of September 30, 2008, the Company
had $136.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, excluding
the Company's restricted cash balance of $48.5 million. The
restricted cash comprises deposits pledged to banks to secure
bank borrowings and letter of credit facilities.
As of October 31, 2008, the Company's
total approved credit facilities totaled approximately $450
million, of which includes approximately $150 million in available
credit.
Total net revenues to be in the
range of $800 million to $850 million, compared to previous
guidance of $850 million to $900 million.
|
|
U.S. Gold
Colorado USA
RISK: VERY HIGH
|
Yes
|
UXG
|
$5.05
$.50
|
$0.93
|
$7.04
$.38
|
-82% &
+86%
|
|
Note: U.S. Gold is not producing
gold at this time; is it a gold exploration company, based
in Nevada. U.S. Gold is an exploration company, not a mining
company, meaning that if they strike gold, the stock should
spike and if they don’t, you could lose your investment. Very
risky.
If you purchased at $.50, the 86%
profit is outstanding! Consider taking it. We sent out a notice
to subscribers that the price had popped to $1.03 on November
6, 2008 for over 100% gains. See the Sharing Wisdom Bulletin
board for more information.
According to a press release issued
on October 30, 2008, drilling in its Cortez Trend properties
have produced positive results. According to the press release,
"Drilling has intersected what appears to be a new mineralized
zone at Gold Bar. The mineralization at the property exists
along zones situated northeast and northwest, with intersections
of these zones being especially favorable. Three holes were
drilled to test this area, and each hole intersected encouraging
gold mineralization. Drilling 1,000 ft. (300 m) to the northeast
also intersected gold mineralization, indicating that the
two areas maybe connected, which could increase the size of
the prospective zone considerably."
The Company's primary objective
in Nevada is to discover the next Cortez Hills deposit. Cortez
Hills, owned by the world's largest gold producer, is Nevada's
largest gold discovery of the past decade and located just
10 miles (16 km) north of U.S. Gold.
Began trading on the AMEX stock
exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.)
See the feature
interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen in vol.
3, issue 2, and click to hear Natalie
Pace’s Q&A with Rob McEwen on the Forbes.com Video Network.
Will probably need more capital
in 2009, so make sure that you’re buying near the 52-week
low to maximize your upside potential.
|
|
Westpac Bank (Australia)
|
No
|
WBK
|
$95.29
$52.46
(12.1.08)
|
$60.90
|
$144.04
$45.16
|
-36% &
+16%
|
|
Read the article, "Foreign
Investing:
From BRICs to Barbeys,"
in vol. 5, issue 7, for more information on why this Australian
bank is the new attraction in the world. Annual General Meeting
December 11, 2008.
|
|
WisdomTree
NYC, USA
RISK: HIGH
|
Yes
|
WSDT
|
$2.95
|
$.85
|
$3.50
$.52
|
-71%
|
|
See vol. 4, issue 3, "Money
Grows on WisdomTrees,"
and vol. 5, issue 2, "International
Money Grows on WisdomTrees."
Launched New Zealand and South
African currency ETFs on June 26, 2008, with the symbols BNZ
and SZR respectively.
Jarrett Lilien, former E*TRADE
FINANCIAL Acting CEO, President and Chief Operating Officer,
joined the Board of Directors on November 14, 2008.
3Q Earnings report on 10.30.08:
Net loss of -$5.6 million in the third quarter of 2008, compared
to -$8.0 million in the second quarter of 2008. As of October
29, 2008, assets under management tied to WisdomTree Indexes
was approximately $3.7 billion.
"Overall assets under management
have decreased as a result of unprecedented market declines,
which has continued in October," said WisdomTree CEO,
Jonathan Steinberg. "When the market eventually finds
equilibrium and investors look at the relative outperformance
of our funds, we believe that the ETF industry, and WisdomTree,
will be the beneficiary of money coming back into the market."
WisdomTree (Pink Sheets: WSDT),
an industry leading index developer and exchange-traded fund
(ETF) sponsor, announced the addition of Jarrett Lilien, former
E*TRADE FINANCIAL Acting CEO, President and Chief Operating
Officer, to the Company’s Board of Directors on 11.14.08.
|
|
World Water & Solar
|
No
|
WWAT
|
$1.06
|
$0.29
|
$2.52
$0.22
|
-73%
|
|
Read the article, "Green
Hits the Mainstream," from vol. 4, issue 4, for
more information. This year there is a new CEO and CFO and
a new business strategy.
3Q2008 results were released on
11.18.08: # Revenue for the third quarter was $6.5 million,
compared with $4.4 million reported in the third quarter of
2007. This 48% increase in revenue was driven by the Company’s
1.2 MW solar installation for the Valley Center Municipal
Water District of Valley Center, California and the Denver
International Airport project.
Net loss for the quarter was
$7.4 million, versus a net loss of $3.8 million in the prior-year.
According to CEO Frank Smith, "We
believe that our unique, patented technology offers the greatest
opportunity for margin expansion and sustained top-line growth.
As we’ve said in the past, ENTECH’s concentrator photovoltaic
(CPV) and solar thermal (CPVT) solutions deliver reliable,
efficient solar electricity and hot water simultaneously,
yielding higher returns on investment for customers. This
makes it attractive to a wide variety of potential customers
both within the U.S. and overseas.
"The
Board and I, along with all our senior staff, are committed
to successfully commercializing ENTECH, leveraging its brand
and technology, and moving the company in a new and profitable
direction. This will take time, but we are confident we are
on the right track."
With less than $13 million cash
on hand, as of the end of September 30, 2008, however, WWAT
may be in need of more capital at less than favorable terms.
|
Recently
Deleted/2008 Companies featured:
Echelon +20%,
GE, +13% and +18%, Google, +15% and +31%, Johnson & Johnson
+10%, LDK Solar +18%, Microsoft +12%, Satcon +13%, Suntech +35%,
Trina Solar +22%, World Water & Solar +22%. Genentech (8.1.08)
+40%. Altair (deleted on 8.7.08) posted gains of +3% and +57%. Zoltek
(deleted on 8.18.08) lost 30% before being removed. LDK Solar was
deleted on 9.2.08 with 46% and 29% profits. U.S. Gold profit taking
on 11.6.08 amounted to 72% gains. Conergy gains of 51% were taken
on 11.7.08. American Superconductor posted 33% gains between 12.1
and 1.2.09. MEMC Electronics (WFR) had 21% gains between 12.1 and
12.15.08. STP had gains of 69% between 12.1.08 and 1.2.09.
Recently
Deleted from the Hot News list:
Short
term gains on U.S. Gold & Conergy (11.7.08), American Superconductor
and MEMC Electronics (12.12.08) and Suntech (1.2.09).
Stocks
to Watch
Some
of these are great companies that we’re thinking of adding to the
Hot List and some are stinkers we’re thinking of adding to the Cooling
Off List. Read carefully to identify which is which!
Note that
right now most of our favorite companies are on the Watch List,
anticipating continued weakening of the stock market, and share
prices.
Recent
Additions:
Wells
Fargo (1.01.09)
Recent
Deletions:
eBay (moved
to Hot News list) 12.15.08
TJ
Max (TJX) 1.2.09
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when featured
|
Price
1.2.09
|
Year High
Year Low
|
Gains since original feature
|
|
Apple Computer
|
Yes
|
AAPL
|
$113.66
(9.30.08)
|
$89.70
|
$202.96
$79.14
|
-21%
|
|
See archived ezine Vol. 4, issue
2, for the feature article, "Apple
Chips."
Steve Dowling, PR person at Apple,
has said that reports on October 3, 2008 that Steve Jobs had
a heart attack and was rushed to the hospital are "not
true." However, the company is not providing any sort
of statement on the health of Mr. Jobs. This is suspect and
of concern because the company has a history of being circumspect
with regard to Mr. Jobs’ health. In 2004, when Steve Jobs
was off for a month recovering from surgery to remove cancer
from his pancreas, the company was not forthcoming about the
health issue while it was occurring. Even today, it is internal
policy to avoid talking about the cancer, and though we’ve
been told that Mr. Jobs did not suffer from a heart attack,
no details have been provided assuring investors that Mr.
Jobs is healthy, happy and on the job. Bad news or even lack
of an update about Jobs’ health could continue to weigh heavily
on the stock, which is why we’re not highlighting it on the
Hot News List, even though it is trading at a two-year low.
The volatility of Apple is a good
example of why you need to take profits early and often this
year. Rest assured that while we love Apple products as much
as any techno-phobe, the problems with the economy, squeeze
on the consumer wallet, concerns over Steve Jobs health (cancer
recurrence or flu bug?) and the company’s history of not reporting
pertinent information about Jobs (they reported his pancreatic
cancer after his surgery and recovery) are, we believe, a
potential large drain on the stock price.
2008 Annual Report on November
5, 2008: Net sales of $32.5 billion compared to $24 billion
a year ago. Net income of $4.8 billion versus $3.5 billion
last year. $24.5 billion cash on hand with no long term debt.
|
|
Baidu
|
No
|
BIDU
|
$134.63
|
$134.63
|
$397.70
$100.50
|
--
|
|
Leading Chinese website.
|
|
Big Lots
|
No
|
BIG
|
$30.28
|
$14.60
|
$34.88
$12.40
|
-52%
|
|
Read "Discount
Designer Stores,"
from vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Canadian Imperial Bank
DIVIDENDS 4.31%!
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
CM
|
$65.88
|
$42.17
|
$108.79
$30.64
|
-36%
|
|
Refer to the "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars" article in vol. 5, issue 2 for
details.
|
|
Citigroup
DIVIDENDS 4.31%!
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
C
|
$26.05
|
$7.05
|
$54.49
$3.05
|
-73%
|
|
Bailed out by the Feds November
2008.
|
|
First Solar
|
No
|
FSLR
|
$188.91
|
$150.41
|
$317.00
$95.32
|
-20%
|
|
See "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
article in vol. 5, issue 4. Deleted from Cooling Off List
on 9.30.08.
First Solar uses cadmium telluride
instead of silicon to transfer sunlight into useable energy.
This was a huge competitive advantage when silicon was hard
to get at a reasonable price. Thus First Solar’s operating
margins were the highest in the industry – at 31.42%. That
is shifting, however, for two reasons. Silicon manufacturing
is heating up and cadmium telluride isn’t as abundant or as
efficient a power source as silicon. Read the article for
more details.
|
|
Intel
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
INTC
|
$20.27
|
$15.09
|
$27.99
$12.06
|
-26%
|
|
Intel is a great blue chip. However,
the chip business is highly competitive and the business spending
is expected to moderate during the next year. Wait and see
what happens to the share price!
Green: Intel and Google launched
ClimateSaversComputing.org in 2007, with a goal of achieving
a 50% power consumption reduction by 2010. They have convinced
all kinds of partners to come on board, including competitors:
Advanced Micro Devices and Microsoft!
|
|
Microsoft
|
No
|
MSFT
|
$27.80
|
$20.09
|
$37.50
$17.50
|
-28%
|
|
Add to Hot News list on Feb.
1, 2009? Great Blue Chip for your Long Term Portfolio.
Waiting for lowest buy-in point.
|
|
NetGear
Silicon Valley, CA
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
NTGR
|
$26.38
|
$11.97
|
$41.33
$8.21
|
-55%
|
|
With the financial crisis and the
crush it has put on the consumer’s wallet, I would be wary
about NetGear’s earnings reports in the coming quarters, since
so many of the company’s many products are reliant upon the
consumer electronics industry. Share price is getting hammered.
I don’t think this trend is over yet.
Watch Natalie Pace’s Exclusive
Forbes.com
Video Network Q&A with Patrick Lo (from August
2006). Award Heaven! Patrick Lo, CEO, won the Ernst &
Young’s Entrepreneur of the Year Award (on 6.16.06), NetGear
was on Business Week’s Hot 100 list (for the 2nd
year), NetGear was awarded Best Buy’s Bravo Award for Business
Excellence and POPULAR MECHANICS gave NetGear’s Skype phone
its Breakthrough Award.
|
|
Ross Stores
|
No
|
ROST
|
$35.90
|
$30.30
|
$39.23
$21.23
|
-16%
|
|
Read "Discount
Designer Stores,"
from vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Sohu (Chinese Co. ADR)
Beijing, China
Small Cap
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$46.54
|
$48.06
|
$91.50
$35.75
|
+3%
|
|
See NataliePace.com ezines, vol.
3, issue 4 and
vol.
2, issue 9 for
feature articles on Sohu. Dr. Charles Zhang, the Chairman
and CEO of Sohu.com, is one of our CEOs
of the year in 2007.
Read the articles in vol. 4, issue 1. You can watch a Q&A
with Dr. Charles Zhang in an exclusive interview I
did on the Forbes.com
Video Network.
|
|
Wells Fargo
|
No
|
WFC
|
$25.84
|
$29.73
|
$44.69
$19.89
|
+15%
|
|
See Wells
Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings
in vol, 5, issue 9, and Wells
Fargo’s Great Depression,
in vol. 4, issue 12.
|
|
Wisdom Tree Chinese Yuan ETF
|
No
|
CYB
|
$24.85
|
$24.91
|
$25.72
$22.41
|
flat
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars,"
from vol. 5, issue 2. This ETF is not available yet.
|
|
Wisdom Tree Emerging Markets Hi-Yield
ETF
|
No
|
DEM
|
$53.08
|
$33.05
|
$58.78
$27.10
|
-38%
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars,"
from vol. 5, issue 2.
|
|
Wisdom Tree Emerging Markets ETF
|
No
|
DGS
|
$44.66
|
$24.62
|
$52.71
$0.21
|
-45%
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars,"
from vol. 5, issue 2. Hold off. Think these holdings may suffer
since so much investment is placed with international shipping
companies. The high cost of oil is predicted to bring factories
local – as in back home. Shipping companies could suffer from
this trend.
|
|
Wisdom Tree Indian Rupee currency
ETF
|
No
|
ICN
|
$24.28
|
$23.29
|
$25.71
$20.42
|
-4%
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars,"
from vol. 5, issue 2.
|
|
Wisdom Tree International Financial
ETF
|
No
|
DRF
|
$23.25
|
$11.34
|
$31.49
$9.30
|
-51%
|
|
Add to Hot News on 2.1.09?
Read the articles, "International
Investing," and "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars,"
from vol. 5, issue 2. Most holdings are in international finance,
including HSBC, Banco Santander, Australia, Argentina, Scotland
and Lloyds of London.
|
Cooling
Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).
Note:
The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling
off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value.
Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent
news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump
losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while
keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always
consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments
to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are
expected to go DOWN in price.)
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
None
Recent
Deletions:
Wells Fargo (11.6.08 and 12.1.08)
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when added to Cooling
Off List
|
Price 1.2.09
|
52-week High
52-week Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
Fortress Investment Group
|
No
|
FIG
|
$3.57
|
$1.30
|
$19.50
$0.77
|
-64%
|
|
Read the articles, Cherry Picking
the "Cherry
Bombs" (vol.
5, issue 12) and "Money
Grows on Wisdom Trees," from vol. 4, issue 3.
Reported earnings on 11.12.08. 3Q 2008 GAAP net loss of $57
million. Net loss for the first 9 months of 2008 equals $182
million.
|
|
KB Home
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
KBH
|
$59.00
|
$13.82
|
$48.67
$6.90
|
-77%
|
|
Read the article, "Rupert
Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out
Where They Are Investing," from vol. 2, issue
5. In May 2005, we called REITs a burnout sector, and the
fallout should continue, with high home prices, rising interest
rates, people backing out of contracts and rising inventory.
Housing is not expected to recover until the 2nd
half of 2009 or even 2010, and while housing is in the toilet,
so are housing REITs, like KB Home and Toll Brothers.
McMansions are going the way of
Hummers (extinct) in the new cleaner, greener, fuel-efficient
world. Who can afford to heat these huge homes? Who is buying
new real estate these days?
3Q 2008 earnings on 9.26.08: Revenues
totaled $681.6 million for the third quarter ended August
31, 2008, down from $1.54 billion for the third quarter of
2007, largely due to lower housing revenues. Third-quarter
housing revenues totaled $668.3 million, down from $1.53 billion
in the year-earlier quarter, reflecting a 51% decrease in
homes delivered and a 10% decline in the average selling price.
The Company delivered 2,788 homes at an average selling price
of $239,700 in the third quarter of 2008 compared to 5,699
homes at an average selling price of $267,700 in the third
quarter of 2007.
The Company posted
a net loss of $144.7 million, compared to a net loss of $35.6
million for the third quarter of 2007. The
Company’s cash balance at August 31, 2008 totaled $942.5 million,
up 46% from $645.9 million at August 31, 2007. The Company’s
debt balance at the end of the current quarter was $1.88 billion,
down $284.1 million from $2.16 billion at the end of the 2007
third quarter, largely due to the redemption of debt. The
Company’s ratio of debt to total capital at August 31, 2008
was 62.3% compared to 44.8% at August 31, 2007.
|
|
Sears Holding
|
No
|
SHLD
|
$52.93
|
$41.32
|
$127.32
$26.80
|
-22%
|
|
Read the articles, Cherry Picking
the"Cherry
Bombs" (vol.
5, issue 12) and the "Discount"
article (vol. 5,
issue 6). Sears is one of the largest, oldest retail chains
in the U.S, and formerly, was as American as baseball and
apple pie. These days, however, Sears is more of a hedge fund,
which might help to explain why you’ve been trying to get
that appliance repaired (under warranty) for months or been
waiting for a replacement for your coffee pot for so long
that you’ve taken up drinking tea. Almost all of the board
directors at Sears are in the investment business, not the
retail business. Edward Lampert, Sears Chairman, has his own
investment fund. The COO of Lampert’s investment company,
William C. Crowley, is one of the eight-member board, as is
a senior advisor to TPG Capital (formerly Texas Pacific Group
investment corporation). (Can you spell cronyism?) In fact,
board director Emily Scott, a TV station founder, is the only
person on the board without significant investment experience.
No one on the Sears board has any experience at all in retail.
3Q 2008 earnings on 12.2.08: net
loss of $146 million, or $1.16 per diluted share compared
with net income of $4 million, or $0.03 per diluted share,
in the prior year.
W. Bruce Johnson, Sears Holdings'
interim chief executive officer and president, reported on
12.2.08, "As a result of severe conditions in the economy,
our EBITDA forecast mentioned in the August 28, 2008 press
release is no longer relevant given its assumption of flat
to modest comparable store sales declines in the third and
fourth quarters."
Sears had cash and cash equivalents
of $1.2 billion at November 1, 2008 (of which $502 million
was domestic and $670 million was at Sears Canada) as compared
to $1.5 billion at November 3, 2007 and $1.6 billion at February
2, 2008. During the first three quarters of 2008, significant
uses of cash included share repurchases of $558 million, capital
expenditures of $395 million, pension contributions of $204
million, net long-term debt repayments of $196 million and
payments on commercial paper borrowings of $129 million. These
amounts were offset by a $1.9 billion increase in short-term
borrowings, primarily through borrowing on our $4 billion
credit facility.
Sears expects to repay the entire
$2 billion of short-term borrowings that are currently due
in December. (Sears has $2.3 billion in short-term borrowings).
An additional $4.4 billion is due for merchandise, $4 billion
in "other current liabilities," $2.2 billion in
long-term debt, $1 billion in pensions and OPEBs and $3.2
in "minority interest and other liabilities." The
total liabilities are $18.1 billion, at a time when Sears
value on Wall Street is only $4.4 billion.
The Company also announced today
that its Board of Directors has approved the repurchase of
up to an additional $500 million of the Company's common shares.
(Given the amount that Sears has due this buyback announcement
sounds like a Trojan Horse.)
|
|
MGM Mirage
|
No
|
MGM
|
$26.79
|
$15.04
|
$100.50
$8.00
|
-44%
|
|
Get more information in vol. 5,
issue 10 in the (No)
Viva Las Vegas
article. The City Center project looms as exceedingly problematic
in today’s vast downturn of real estate in the Las Vegas area.
Anticipating very bad news on this project in the near future.
MGM has a new CEO and Chairman
effective December 1, 2008. James J. Murren became the Company's
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, effective December 1,
2008. Former Chairman and CEO J. Terrence Lanni will continue
as a member of the Board and will join the Diversity Committee.
majority shareholder Kirk Kerkorian was pleased and issued
a statement applauding Lanni’s leadership and succession plan.
(Sounds like Murren might have been Kerkorian’s succession
plan…) Any way, can anyone resurrect Vegas in these turbulent
times?
MGM raised $688 million in a private
offering of senior secured debt notes, which the company is
using to pay down debt and continue operations.
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Toll Brothers
RISK: MEDIUM HIGH
|
No
|
TOL
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$37.82
|
$21.53
|
$28.00
$15.49
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-43%
|
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Read the article, "Rupert
Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out
Where They Are Investing," from vol. 2, issue
5 in 2005, when we first reported on REITs as a burned out
sector.
Total revenues for the past 9 months
= $2.5 billion. Net loss for the past 9 months = $361 million.
Cash and cash equivalents = $1.5 billion. $2.1 billion in
debt.
McMansions are going the way of
Hummers (extinct) in the new cleaner, greener, fuel-efficient
world. Who can afford to heat these huge homes? Who is buying
new real estate these days? Real estate is expected to continue
to decline through 2009, at minimum. (Toll Brothers cashed
out hundreds of millions beginning as early as 2005.)
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Wynn Resorts
|
No
|
WYNN
|
$95.42
|
$46.63
|
$176.14
$28.06
|
-51%
|
|
Check out the article,
"No
Viva Las Vegas"
in vol. 5, issue 10.
|
Recently
Deleted in 2008:
Fannie Mae was
deleted on 2.11.08 after losing -50% and -56% of its share price
value, and then again on 7.1.08, after losing another -40%. (Both
puts more than doubled.) Novastar Financial (NFI) was deleted on
6.2.08 with -95% share price implosion. Sears Holding Corp. was
deleted on 7.1.08 with 64% gains on the put option. Wells Fargo
was deleted on 7.1.08 with 83% gains on the put. Apple was deleted
on 8.1.08 with 35% gains on the put. The Google put, deleted on
8.1.08, was another great performer, with over 50% gains. First
Solar had gains of over 32-34%. Mentor was deleted on 9.30.08 with
75% gains on the put option (-17% on the share price); Medicis was
deleted with gains of over 37% on the share price (down direction).
Boston Properties, Las Vegas Sands and Macerich were deleted on
10.9.08 with gains of 16-30%, 66% and 28-42% respectively. Wells
Fargo was deleted on 11.6.08 with 35-50% gains on the put and again
on 12.1.08 for 50-70% gains.
Recently
Deleted:
|
Company
|
Natalie Owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when listed
|
Price when closed
|
52-week high
52-week low
|
Losses (which are gains on the
Cooling Off list!)
|
|
Wells Fargo
|
Yes
|
WFC
|
$34.29
(9.12.08)
$32.11
(10.30.08)
|
$28.82
$23.41
|
$44.69
$20.46
|
-11 to -16% = +35-50% gain on the
put.
-27% to-32% = 50-70%
|
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DELETED ON 11.6.08 and on 12.1.08
(at a price of $23.41)…
See Wells
Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings
in vol, 5, issue 9, and Wells
Fargo’s Great Depression,
in vol. 4, issue 12.
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Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling
Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should reflect
a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance
of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk
tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of
your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy,
and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should
never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
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NataliePace.com
Calendar.
Buy
Natalie Pace’s new book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is now on Amazon.com and
at your local bookstore! Resurrect, protect and profit in your nest
egg and help others save theirs, too!
The NataliePace.com
Calendar section features conferences, teleconferences, retreats,
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and online chats with executives and VIPs. Stay plugged in! We
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Below is only a partial listing of what’s happening this month.
See below for
just a few of the amazing educational and networking opportunities
that world-class organizations are offering for you. To access links
to the event website and registration, go to the Calendar
section at NataliePace.com.
Put
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by Natalie Pace
Natalie
Pace's first book is available now! Be the first to own it! Review
it on Amazon.com. Make sure your friends know what a great nest
egg saver the strategies outlined have been over the past decade.
21-day
Get Rich and Enrich Coaching Call Series
Monday, January 5th, 2009
How
would you live if you had all the money in the world? Wake up to
Natalie for 21 days in a coaching call series designed to activate
and maximize the creative, abundant potential in your life. (value:
$595). Free to anyone who purchases Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is on
Amazon.com! Buy your book now and then click over to the Join Now
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address, user id and password. We’ll email you instructions on how
to access!
Get
Rich and EnRich Retreat, Santa Monica,
CA
Tuesday,
February 10-12, 2009
3-day
retreat with Natalie Pace.
Resurrect Your Portfolio, while keeping it recession-proofed. Learn
how to profit in downtrending, turbulent times. Invest in the companies
of tomorrow and avoid dying industries. The October and November
Retreats SOLD OUT, so be sure to ACT NOW to ensure your seat at
this life-changing, transformational, educational retreat. Only
two seats remain to join a dozen people in this intimate, hands-on
training retreat! Imagine getting such intimate, personal training
with one of the most successful financial pundits of this decade!
LA
Opera: The Magic Flute by Mozart
Saturday,
January 10th, 2009
7:30PM
through 10:00PM PT
The Magic
Flute is both a fanciful fairy tale and an allegory hinting at deeper
mysteries at the same time. This ever-popular work has enchanted
young and old alike for over two centuries.
International
Builder's Show, Las Vegas, NV
Tuesday,
January 20th, 2009
7:00AM
through 11:00PM
If it’s
new, hot or green it’s probably on our exhibit floor. This registration
gives you access to the exhibit floor for four full days, January
20-23. With more than 1,700 exhibits you’re going to need all four
days!
Get
Rich and EnRich Retreat, Santa Monica, CA
Tuesday,
February 10th, 2009
9:00AM
through 8:00PM PT
3-day
retreat with Natalie Pace. Resurrect your nest egg. Recession Proof
Your Portfolio. Learn how to profit in downtrending, turbulent times.
Clean and Green, not dying industries. Only a dozen+ people at this
intimate retreat!
LA
OPERA: Das Rheingold by Richard Wagner
Saturday, February 21st, 2009
7:30PM
through 10:00PM PT
Gods,
goddesses, giants, and dwarves struggle to be lords of the ring,
but as Wagner's mammoth music drama unfolds, the ring's curse unleashes
its vengeance. A vivid musical experience never to be forgotten.
Natalie
Pace at Agape Seminar, LA, CA
Saturday,
March 21st, 2009
10:00AM
through 1:00PM PT
Natalie
Pace will lead this special seminar, which is hosted by Agape. How
would you live if you had all the money in the world? Live that
life now with nest egg resurrection strategies that really work
and information on green investments for those of you who wish to
Put Your Money Where Your Heart Is and earn great gains in
the bargain.
LA
Opera: Die Walkure by Richard Wagner
Saturday,
April 4th, 2009
6:30PM
through 11:00PM PT
"You really
must beg, borrow, steal, or preferably buy a ticket to see Plácido
Domingo as Siegmund," according to The London Times. His compelling
love story between the doomed hero and his soul mate features some
of Wagner's most memorable music.
L.A.
Opera: The Birds by Walter Braunfels
Saturday,
April 11th, 2009
7:30PM
through 11:00PM PT
Walter
Braunfels freely adapted the ancient Greek comic-dramatist Aristophanes’
play The Birds to compose what he described as an "airy play
of imagination...everything here is a game, a metaphor." Soprano
Désirée Rancatore, makes her Company debut.
The
Milken Global Conference, Beverly Hills
April
27-29, 2009
This 3-day
conference brings together some of the most extraordinary people
in the world – business executives, institutional investors, asset
managers, government leaders, academics and Nobel laureates. Network,
share & learn.
|
VISION: To build
a global community of investors through a worldwide website, seminars,
radio, television and print partners.
GOAL: To provide high-quality, first-run, ethical financial news,
information and education, presented in an entertaining format,
across all media (television, radio, print and online).
MISSION: To provide the news, information and education investors
need to make better choices and to make investing as much fun
as shopping.
PHILOSOPHY: Member Mosaic. Piecing together a more complete picture
of the publicly traded company, one tile at a time, by valuing
firsthand consumer experience, conducting evaluations of the executive
team and lining up the numbers of the publicly-traded company
with its competitors in a Stock Report Card.
For more information on NataliePace.com contact us at
www.NataliePace.com,
P.O. Box 1350, Santa Monica, CA 90406-1350
or 1-866.476.7442
(toll-free telephone number).
NOTICE: NataliePace.com is NOT a stock brokerage service,
and does not operate or act as one.
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