TO
ACCESS A PRINTABLE COPY OF THIS NEWSLETTER CLICK HERE.

Vol.6 Issue 3 March1st, 2009
Send comments and suggestions or get more information
at info@NataliePace.com
Quote of the Month:
"If actions taken by the Administration, the Congress, and the Federal Reserve are successful in restoring some measure of financial stability--and only if that is the case, in my view--there is a reasonable prospect that the current recession will end in 2009 and that 2010 will be a year of recovery."
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben S. Bernanke
Speaking to the Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate,
On February 24, 2009
|
- The Sunny Side of the Financial Crisis.
Investing in Obama's Clean Energy Plan. By Natalie Pace. Includes a Solar Stock Report Card.
- China Bashing Once Again.
By Dr. Gary Becker.
- Couch-Surfing and Other Creative
Solutions for Distressed Americans.
By Natalie Pace. Learn how Steve Jobs, Gloria Allred and
I turned our breaking points into “Tipping Points.”
- Foreclosure Rescue Scams: Another Potential Stress for Homeowners in Distress. Facts for Consumers by the Federal Trade Commission.
- The Top Twelve Investing Mistakes. By Natalie Pace.
- Structural Issues.
By Paul Woods, President, CEO and CIO, Odyssey Advisors. Can Clean Energy Travel on Lines Built a Century Ago?
- Is Your Nest Egg on Life Support?
By Natalie Pace. Learn healthy, life-saving strategies
to heal your bottom line.
- Risks on the Road Between You and the Emerald City.
By Chellie Campbell.
- Heart Thoughts: How to Identify and Prevent Heart
Disease.
By Dr. Anna Walden, ND, DNM, MH, CNHP, HealthWalk
Vital Hematology Department.
- Save Your Energy and Money - Don't Fall for Energy Stock Scams.
FINRA.org Investor Alert.
- Money Rehab.
By Natalie Pace. Includes my Hot News on Cool Stocks List.
- NataliePace.com Calendar:
Celebrate Earth Hour on March 28, 2009 at 8:30 p.m. by
switching off the lights for an hour. Join 77 countries
and 680 cities around the world!
|
 |
|
The Sunny Side of the Financial Crisis. Investing in Obama's Clean Energy Plan.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes a Solar
Energy Stock Report Card.
In
the past, I've had a distinct preference for Chinese solar companies
over U.S. companies for a few major reasons. The
Chinese companies had strong support and subsidies from the Chinese
government, cost-efficient labor and were manufacturing and innovating
at a rapid pace -- as a result of those competitive advantages.
Because they were well-funded, companies like Suntech Power
Holdings and Trina Solar were also able to secure polysilicon at
a time when it was in short supply and extreme demand, even while
two major U.S. Companies, namely Sunpower and Evergreen, weren't
fulfilling orders because they were short on supply of silicon.
That was
yesterday's story, but thanks to Obama's 2010 Budget and 2009 Recovery and
Reinvestment Act, at least two cherry-picked U.S. companies could begin to
catch up to our rivals on the other side of the Pacific Rim.
Obama on Clean Energy (U.S. Companies) from the
2010 Budget
According
to the 2010 Budget, President Obama is committed to "spark the creation of a
clean energy economy." In the next three
years, his Administration will modernize Federal buildings, improve energy
efficiency, and put Americans to work in solar and wind energy and in creating
fuel-efficient cars. Two companies that are poised, in my view, to benefit most
from the new governmental focus on solar energy are Hoku Scientific and
Sunpower Solar, and here's why.
Both
companies are outpacing their peers in sales growth, with HOKU expected to turn
in an increase of 81% or more this year in revenue and Sunpower turning in an
85% increase. Hoku has the added benefit
of having pre-sold contracts of polysilicon from its brand new manufacturing
facility to five solar manufacturing giants, including Suntech Power Holdings
to the tune of $2.2 billion over the next ten years. That means that when Hoku Scientific's Materials
division does start produce silicon, expected to occur in the second half of
2009, their revenue should jump from the current $5 million per year range to
the $221 million/year range relatively quickly.
Wall Street
hasn't leaped on board with Hoku because the polysilicon manufacturing plant
hasn't churned out its first wafer, but for the patient investor, having a
company that is ramping up quickly to earn $221 million/year valued in the $42
million range is quite a deal.
Sunpower should
be another undervalued American solar company. Sunpower is the brainchild of Cypress Semiconductor engineers, which had
an IPO in 2005. Sunpower's panels are
not only some of the top in terms of productivity and energy generation, they
are also considered to be some of the most aesthetically beautiful.
In 2002 AND
2005, the University of Colorado won the Department of Energy's Solar
Decathlon, using Sunpower solar panels. (The German team Technische Universitat Darmstadt, won in 2007, with
innovative, slim solar panels on their louvers, using a German product.)
Which team
(and solar manufacturing company) will reign supreme in the 2009 U.S.
Department of Energy's Solar Decathlon?
Who knows? One thing for sure, however, is that Sunpower
has an impressive competitive advantage in the U.S., beating out thin film
providers, like Energy Conversion Devices and First Solar, in the generative
power of the silicon based panels. With
the price of silicon coming down, Sunpower is also poised to begin increasing
it's profit margins and generating some solid income. Sunpower is equally dominant over Evergreen
Solar, a silicon based panel manufacturer, in that the company is profitable
and has ten times the sales, ringing up $1.43 billion in 2008, over $112
million for Evergreen.
Evergreen
Solar has been struggling for years under heavy debt and the inability to keep
a secure line of polysilicon, and as a result, is a laggard in sales, profits and
sales growth potential. Their losses in 2008 were a whopping $-84.94 million,
at a time when all of the other major solar panel providers were profitable.
Click here for a Solar
Stock Report Card.
For more information on why silicon is a preferred
source material over cadmium telluride and thin film technology, read "Solar Springs
Up," from NataliePace.com April 2008 ezine, vol. 5, issue 4.
Hoku
Scientific and Sunpower were added to the Hot News on Cool Stocks list on March
2, 2009.
Full
disclosure: I own shares of Hoku Scientific.
About Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, a featured teacher in the movie, Spiritual Liberation, and CEO of one of the most
respected, independently owned financial news corporations in the U.S. She has
been ranked as a #1 stock picker from TipsTraders.com and has partnered content
with Forbes.com, Sohu.com, Kiplinger's
Personal Finance and more. She has appeared on Fox News, Good Morning
America, CNBC, Time Magazine, More Magazine, USA Today, NPR and national radio
shows. For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com/.
Please
note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report on financial
news, and are one of the most trusted independently owned and operated
financial news corporations in the U.S. This article is intended to educate and
inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in
their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your
research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before
buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and
strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling Off list to
trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should reflect a long, safe
strategy, which has been designed with the assistance of a financial
professional who is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and
more. The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small
part of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest into
individual companies should never be greater than your experience, wisdom,
knowledge and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable
however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions
constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to
change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or
solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities,
financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for
all investors.
|
|
China Bashing Once Again.
Dr. Gary
Becker.
 |
| Dr.
Gary Stanley Becker, Nobel prize winning economist (1992) University
Professor, Dept. of Economics and Sociology Professor, Graduate
School of Business University of Chicago |
During his confirmation hearing before the United
States Senate toward the end of January, Secretary of the Treasury
Timothy Geithner accused China of "manipulating" its currency.
This is not a statement that helps to further China-US cooperation
on trying to stimulate the depressed world economy and on other
issues. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is now in China trying
to mend some fences. Yet Geithner's statement is a correct evaluation
of the Chinese policy of keeping the value of its currency, the
yuan, low relative to the dollar and other currencies. It is far
less clear, however, whether this and related Chinese policies harm
the US and other countries.
By keeping its currency cheap, China encourages greater
exports since that policy makes Chinese goods cheaper on world markets. This
policy also discourages imports by Chinese consumers and producers since it
raises the cost of foreign goods in terms of the yuan. Partly due to its
manipulation of the value of the yuan, China has run large surpluses on its
current account in recent years because the value of its exports has been
significantly above the value of its imports. China has accumulated over $2
trillion of reserves. The world recession has sharply reduced China's exports,
but surprisingly the recession has reduced China's imports by much more, so
that its foreign trade surpluses have grown greatly during recent months.
Some American producers have had trouble competing with
cheap Chinese imports, and have either gone out of business, or shifted
production overseas, mainly to China itself. Since China mainly exports goods
produced with low priced labor that is not available in richer countries, their
exports have not had a major impact on production in the richer countries. Far
more significant to developed countries are the reductions in the cost of
imported clothing and many other goods from China. Consumers, especially low income
consumers, now take for granted their ability to buy cheaply many everyday
goods that would cost perhaps five times as much were they made in the US,
Western Europe, or Japan.
The Chinese government holds most of its more than $2
trillion in official reserves in US Treasury securities. China gets a bad deal
from selling goods made by Chinese labor and capital in exchange for a large
amount of paper assets that yield low returns. China has accumulated far more
reserves in the form of these assets than can be justified as a buffer against
fluctuations in its imports and exports, or than is wise given its low standard
of living. The US seems to have made the better bargain by exchanging low
interest paper assets for a rich variety of consumer and producer goods.
Does China's ownership of large quantities of US government
bonds give China the opportunity to "blackmail" the United States
into more favorable policies toward China through threats to flood the
international capital market with these assets? China has not made such
threats, perhaps mainly because they would not be credible. Since China owns
only a rather small fraction of US Treasury obligations, and an even smaller
fraction of total liquid assets traded on world capital markets, a threat to sell
their US governments would give China only a little leverage on world interest
rates, including those paid by the United States government. Moreover, China,
along with other governments, holds US Treasury assets because they are
considered among the safest of all assets, especially during these turbulent
times. By selling their US Treasury bonds, China would have to take on riskier
assets at a time when China is trying to cut its exposure to risk.
To be sure, the high savings rates of China and other Asian
countries during the past decade are partly responsible for the low world
interest rates that contributed to the housing bubbles in the United States and
other countries. To that degree, China bears some indirect responsibility for
the financial crisis that is afflicting much of the world. However, China too
is being badly hurt by the world recession. Moreover, excessive bank lending
and borrowing, and government encouragement of sub prime loans, were much more
important culprits in generating excesses in the housing market.
The extensive protectionist policies practiced by the
Chinese government do hurt the United States and other countries, including
China itself. Chinese protectionism is especially common in the financial
sector; while foreign banks are being allowed greater access to China markets,
they are still subject to considerable discrimination. The general trend in
China (and other nations) toward less protectionism has been set back by the
global recession, as China has recently introduced various "buy
China" programs in its steel and other industries.
China bashing during the past decade is reminiscent of the
Japan bashing that occurred during the 1980s. It turned out that Japan's
substantial export surplus with the US, its extensive accumulation of US
Treasury bonds, and its purchases of assets in the US did not hurt the United
States, but were for the most part foolish actions on the part of the Japanese
government and businesses. I believe that similar conclusions will be reached
about the parallel Chinese practices.
Dr.
Becker is a University Professor, Department of Economics, and Sociology
Professor, Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago. He won the
Nobel Prize in Economics in 1992 for his groundbreaking work in "human capital."
To
keep track of Dr. Becker's continuing research and commentary, visit his web
site and blog. To hear more of his research and recommendations for
strengthening the U.S. economy, consider attending the 2009 Milken Global
Economic Conference. Dr. Gary Becker has been a keynote speaker at the
conference every year since it began!
|
|
Couch-Surfing and Other Creative Solutions for Distressed Americans.
by Natalie Pace.
Learn how Steve Jobs, Gloria Allred
and I turned our breaking points into “Tipping Points.”
It
was during his couch-surfing days that Steve Jobs learned some of
the coolest applications on the Apple computer, such as the beauty
of calligraphy, which led to Apple's mastery of font styles. It was during my house-sharing days - as a struggling single mother
-- that I launched my financial news and education company.
Hardship, adversity, challenges, devastation — in
other words having a big reason why we have to act fast and boldly
— is often the fuel of our most important, lasting and positive
change. So often, our finest moments are not born of our own doing,
but life's hardships, that provide the inspiration, or even necessity,
for the journey in the first place. "Tough times" are just that
- a period of our life - not forever, and believe it or not, they
provide the opportunity to reinvent ourselves, if we're willing
to:
1. Reach out
2. Lend a hand
3. Pull together
4. Think partner, not competitor
5. Couch Surf!
You will be surprised, as you read below, of the VIPs who
employed these ideals during the "tipping point" of their lives, and lived to
enjoy new opportunities and achievements that are worthy of bragging rights.
Below is a list of eleven out-of-the-box solutions and
resources to help stop the drama, and start the renaissance of your life and our
world. So, think of these as temporary solutions to shelter us from the
financial storms and bridge us to a better tomorrow, so that we might, as
President Obama says, "Come together and lift this nation from the depths of
this crisis and perform something worthy to be remembered."
1. Couch-Surfing. It
may be hard to imagine, but some of our most beloved billionaires
were once just couch-surfing college dropouts. According to
Steve Jobs, CEO and co-founder, Apple Computer, the seeds of Apple
were quite humble! In his 2005 Stanford Commencement Speech, Jobs said, "It wasn't
all romantic. I didn't have a dorm room, so I slept on the floor
in friends' rooms, I returned coke bottles for the 5¢ deposits
to buy food with, and I would walk the 7 miles across town every
Sunday night to get one good meal a week at the Hare Krishna temple.
I loved it. And much of what I stumbled into by following my curiosity
and intuition turned out to be priceless later on." (You
can watch Mr. Jobs' entire commencement address by clicking on the
Stanford link above.)
Even if you don't invent the iPhone, and your couch-surfing
period returns little more than drool on a pillow, let Steve's story give you
just the inspiration (and humor) you need to meander your way into a better
life.
Incidentally, the activist/attorney
Gloria Allred and I both used house-sharing with another single
mother when we had young children, in order to cut our expenses
in half, have help with the parental responsibilities and to give
ourselves a little time to think and breathe. Check out CoAbode.org,
if you're interested in finding another single mother in your area.
Don't overlook family members who might benefit from temporarily
sharing their home with you. Everyone needs a little extra
dough these days!
2. Loan Modification: HopeNow.com is an alliance between HUD approved counseling agents, mortgage companies,
investors and other mortgage market participants that provides free
foreclosure prevention assistance. FREE! Hope Now has already helped over one million homeowners modify
their loans and avoid bankruptcy.
3. Complaints
about any Shady Business: FTC.gov.
The Federal Trade Commission handles consumer complaints about scams
from shady business owners. There are plenty of untoward shysters
in the "loan modification" business these days.
Learn how to avoid these scams by reading the consumer alerts on
the FTC website.
4. Investing
Strategies for Lifetime Wealth: Buy
and hold doesn't work. Mutual funds
don't work. The Blue Chip Index has
become the Bailout Index. What does
work? Modern Portfolio Theory. Exchange Traded Funds. Rebalancing twice a year. Avoiding dying companies. Investing in products and services of
tomorrow. It's as easy as pie - a
pie chart that is (on page 92). All
this and more is outlined in my new book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is. Access
a link to buy the book by going to NataliePace.com.
5. Broker and Investor Education:
FINRA.org
FINRA is the regulatory authority for broker dealers. They
have a fantastic investor education center online, as well as Broker-Check,
which allows you to see if your Certified Financial Partner has
had any complaints in the past. Get more information on bonds,
stocks and brokers at FINRA.org.
 |
| Photo:
Stacie Isabella Turk, Ribbonhead.com ©2008. Stylist: Arlene
Hylton-Campbell, 818-710-0079. |
6. Investment Education Seminar:
Blind faith and buy and hold has lost you hundreds of thousands,
if not millions of dollars, so why not spend $1300 and three days
recession-proofing and resurrecting your nest egg in a plan that
has worked for the last 10 years and will continue working for the
rest of your life? The nest egg strategies you put in place at the
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat allowed investors to capture
the gains of NASDAQ 2000 (before the bust), real estate 2005 (before
the bust), clean energy 2007 (before the bust in 2008) and more.
Bill and Nilo lost nothing in their nest egg in 2008 and 2009, and
the Green Goddesses earned top gains on Wall Street (40% and 150%
in their last two trades) in 2008 and 2009, in a market that dropped
over 46%! If these novices can do it, so can you.
Be one of just 14 people at the Memorial
Day Retreat in Santa Monica, CA, on May 21-23, 2009
in an intimate boardroom setting learning directly from me.
Register before March 15, 2009 and receive EARLY BIRD PRICING and
a FREE one-year Premium Subscription, valued at over $2000.
Get more information on the home page at NataliePace.com under the
blue banner ad that says, "Buy
and Hold Doesn't Work."
7.Recently unemployed?
One investment analyst has decided to volunteer her time at a local
nonprofit organization. She is going to keep her skills sharp and
learn some new chops, so that when she does go back to work, she
can get a raise and a promotion to boot! Think creatively
for ways that you can use the extra time to benefit something or
someone or some organization that you've always wanted to
help, with the eye that you can also improve your skills in the
process. An investment in improving your skills, expanding
your network of friends and helping humanity is an investment that
pays off in ways you can never imagine, including on your resume,
even if you must endure some time without a steady paycheck.
8. Stuck in a dead-end job.
I know of a very successful Chairman/CEO type who turned the most
challenging time of his life into a springboard. He exited
an exciting, but low paying career. Moved back into his parent's
house so that he could get training in a more lucrative profession,
while still supporting his ex-wife and children. In a short
time, he exited the training program at the top of his class and
then charged up the executive ladder to become CEO and Chairman
of a company worth more than $7.5 billion today. Sometimes
the worst moment of your life is leading to the best - if
you are willing to meet the challenge, humbly, even when those around
you might think you're crazy.
9. Recently
unemployed, home foreclosed, wife left with the kids. Another father studied engineering
through online courses and is now working at a dream come true job in
aerospace! His kids are all
grown-up, living their own lives and have benefitted from having a dad who
loves them and is willing and able to fly across the country to celebrate
the birth of their kids.
10. Avoiding layoffs: Taking a forced day
off for the team. There is a city in Connecticut where the
staff has volunteered to take one day off every two weeks to cut
costs. This has reduced expenses across the board and prevented
lay-offs.
11. The Currency of the Smile. Don't
underestimate the value of your positive energy and willingness
to give. Mario, a waiter at a restaurant that I frequent,
gets free L.A. Laker seats, avocados and hands to move, while his
colleague goes empty-handed. Learn more about the Currency
of the Smile in my YouTube video.
As Steve Jobs says, “You have to trust in something--your
gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever--because believing that the
dots will connect down the road will give you the confidence to
follow your heart, even when it leads you off the well-worn path.”
.
Share your story of Hope and your seeds of wisdom on the Sharing Wisdom
bulletin board, under the topic, Solutions for the Financial Crisis. How are you turning today's crisis into a
better tomorrow?
|
|
Foreclosure Rescue Scams: Another Potential Stress for Homeowners in Distress.
Facts for Consumers by the Federal Trade Commission.
The
possibility of losing your home to foreclosure can be terrifying.
The reality that scam artists are preying on the vulnerability of
desperate homeowners is equally frightening. Many so-called foreclosure
rescue companies or foreclosure assistance firms claim they can
help you save your home. Some are brazen enough to offer a money-back
guarantee. Unfortunately, once most of these foreclosure fraudsters
take your money, they leave you much the worse for wear.
Fraudulent
foreclosure "rescue" professionals use half-truths and outright lies to sell
services that promise relief and then fail to deliver. Their goal is to make a
quick profit through fees or mortgage payments they collect from you, but do
not pass on to the lender. Sometimes, they assume ownership of your property by
deceiving you, the homeowner. Then, when it's too late to save your home, they
take the property or siphon off the equity. You've lost your home to
foreclosure despite your best intentions.
If you
think you may be facing foreclosure, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the
nation's consumer protection agency, wants you to know how to recognize a
foreclosure rescue scam. And even if the foreclosure process has already begun,
the FTC and its law enforcement partners want you to know that legitimate
options are available to help you save your home.
How the Scams Work
Foreclosure
rescue firms use a variety of tactics to find homeowners in distress: Some sift
through public foreclosure notices in newspapers and on the Internet or through
public files at local government offices, and then send personalized letters to
homeowners. Others take a broader approach through ads on the Internet, on
television, or in the newspaper, posters on telephone poles, median strips and
at bus stops, or flyers or business cards at your front door. The scam artists
use simple and straightforward messages, like:
"Stop Foreclosure Now!"
"We guarantee to stop your foreclosure."
"Keep Your Home. We know your home is
scheduled to be sold. No Problem!"
"We have special relationships within many
banks that can speed up case approvals."
"We Can Save Your Home. Guaranteed. Free
Consultation"
"We stop foreclosures everyday. Our team of
professionals can stop yours this week!"
Once they have your
attention, they use a variety of tactics to get your money:
Phony Counseling or Phantom
Help
The scam
artist tells you that he can negotiate a deal with your lender to save your
house if you pay a fee first. You may be told not to contact your lender,
lawyer, or credit counselor, and to let the scam artist handle all the details.
Once you pay the fee, the scam artist takes off with your money.
Sometimes,
the scam artist insists that you make all mortgage payments directly to him
while he negotiates with the lender. In this instance, the scammer may collect
a few months of payments before disappearing.
Bait-and-Switch
You think
you're signing documents for a new loan to make your existing mortgage current.
This is a trick: you've signed documents that surrender the title of your house
to the scam artist in exchange for a "rescue" loan.
Rent-to-Buy
Scheme
You're
told to surrender the title as part of a deal that allows you to remain in your
home as a renter, and to buy it back during the next few years. You may be told
that surrendering the title will permit a borrower with a better credit rating
to secure new financing - and prevent the loss of the home. But the terms of
these deals usually are so burdensome that buying back your home becomes
impossible. You lose the home, and the scam artist walks off with all or most
of your home's equity. Worse yet, when the new borrower defaults on the loan,
you're evicted.
In a
variation, the scam artist raises the rent over time to the point that the
former homeowner can't afford it. After missing several rent payments, the
renter - the former homeowner is evicted, leaving the "rescuer" free to sell
the house.
In a
similar equity-skimming situation, the scam artist offers to find a buyer for
your home, but only if you sign over the deed and move out. The scam artist
promises to pay you a portion of the profit when the home sells. Once you
transfer the deed, the scam artist simply rents out the home and pockets the
proceeds while your lender proceeds with the foreclosure. In the end, you lose
your home - and you're still responsible for the unpaid mortgage. That's
because transferring the deed does nothing to transfer your mortgage obligation.
Fraudulent
foreclosure "rescue" professionals use half-truths and outright lies to sell
services that promise relief and then fail to deliver.
Bankruptcy
Foreclosure
The scam
artist may promise to negotiate with your lender or to get refinancing on your
behalf if you pay a fee up front. Instead of contacting your lender or
refinancing your loan, though, the scam artist pockets the fee and files a
bankruptcy case in your name - sometimes without your knowledge.
A bankruptcy filing often stops a home foreclosure,
but only temporarily. What's more, the bankruptcy process is complicated,
expensive, and unforgiving. For example, if you fail to attend the
first meeting with the creditors, the bankruptcy judge will dismiss
the case and the foreclosure proceedings will continue.
If this
happens, you could lose the money you paid to the scam artist as well as your
home. Worse yet, a bankruptcy stays on your credit report for 10 years, and can
make it difficult to obtain credit, buy a home, get life insurance, or
sometimes get a job.
Where to Find Legitimate
Help
If you're
having trouble paying your mortgage or you have gotten a foreclosure notice,
contact your lender immediately. You may be able to negotiate a new repayment
schedule. Remember that lenders generally don't want to foreclose; it costs
them money.
Other
foreclosure prevention options, including reinstatement and forbearance,
are explained in Mortgage Payments Sending You Reeling? Here's
What to Do, a publication from the FTC. Find it at www.ftc.gov.
You also
may contact a credit counselor through the Homeownership Preservation
Foundation (HPF), a nonprofit organization that operates the national 24/7
toll-free hotline (1.888.995.HOPE) with free, bilingual, personalized
assistance to help at-risk homeowners avoid foreclosure. HPF is a member of the
HOPE NOW Alliance of mortgage servicers, mortgage market participants and
counselors. More information about HOPE NOW is at www.995hope.org.
Red Flags
If you're
looking for foreclosure prevention help, avoid any business that:
- guarantees to stop the foreclosure
process - no matter what your circumstances
- instructs you not to contact your lender,
lawyer, or credit or housing counselor
- collects a fee before providing you with
any services
- accepts payment only by cashier's check
or wire transfer
- encourages you to lease your home so you
can buy it back over time
- tells you to make your mortgage payments
directly to it, rather than your lender
- tells you to transfer your property deed
or title to it
- offers to buy your house for cash at a
fixed price that is not set by the housing market at the time of sale
- offers to fill out paperwork for you
- pressures you to sign paperwork you
haven't had a chance to read thoroughly or that you don't understand.
If you're
having trouble paying your mortgage or you have gotten a foreclosure notice,
contact your lender immediately.
Report Fraud
If you
think you've been a victim of foreclosure fraud, contact:
Federal Trade Commission
Your state Attorney General
Your local Better Business Bureau
For More Information
To
learn more about mortgages and other credit-related issues, visit
www.ftc.gov/credit
and MyMoney.gov,
the U.S. government's portal to financial education.
The FTC works for the consumer to prevent
fraudulent, deceptive, and unfair business practices in the marketplace
and to provide information to help consumers spot, stop, and avoid
them. To file a complaint or to get free information on consumer
issues, visit ftc.gov or call toll-free, 1-877-FTC-HELP (1-877-382-4357);
TTY: 1-866-653-4261. The FTC enters consumer complaints into the
Consumer Sentinel Network, a secure online database and investigative
tool used by hundreds of civil and criminal law enforcement agencies
in the U.S. and abroad.
.
|
|
The Top Twelve Investing Mistakes.
by
Natalie Pace.
Investing
mistakes are easy to fall into because it's what everyone else is
doing and it feels like a time-saver. In fact, these common mistakes
are not time savers at all. They are money losers, stomach acid
burners and often even relationship hell!
So, let wisdom be your path to prosperity instead.
The Top Twelve Investing
Mistakes
Mistake # 1. Buy and hold mutual funds. This
strategy lost money over the last 10 years. Exchange Traded Funds, Modern Portfolio Theory, emerging industries,
avoiding dying industries and semi-annual rebalancing worked beautifully.
You were able to capture gains of NASDAQ 2000, real estate
2005, clean energy 2007, DOW 2007 and more, while avoiding the Bailout
Index, which listed such losers as Fannie Mae, General Motors, Citigroup,
Bank of America and Altria (Phillip Morris Tobacco Company).
The best way to get with this program is through my 3-day
investor retreats, where you will build a pie-chart blueprint
for your Buy My Own Island Plan that will work for the rest of your
life. Get more information on the home page of NataliePace.com,
under the blue banner ad that reads, “Buy and Hold Doesn’t Work.”

Mistake #2. Commission Based Brokers. They are paid to sell you things and most don't have the ability to offer you
ETFs and no incentive to incorporate Modern Portfolio Theory. Commission-free brokers are paid for "assets under management,"
meaning they want to keep you happy. Ask how your investment professional is paid, and whether or not
her company has contests on who the top salesperson is.
Mistake # 3. Trading on Analyst Recommendations.
Following analyst recommendations is a losing proposition. Researchers
at the University of California and Stanford found that, in the
year 2000, the stocks most highly rated by analysts lost 31 percent
for the year. Even more incredible is this finding from the study:
The stocks least favored by the major analysts soared 49 percent.
This study examined 40,000 stock recommendations from 213 brokerages.
This is mostly just a case of supply and demand, not dumb, corrupt
analysts (though there are a few of those). Analysts are not all
crooks, but they are definitely not fortune-tellers when it comes
to returns.
Mistake # 4. Bankruptcy Buying. Think buying General Motors at $2.25 a share is a great idea because even if
they file Chapter 11, they will come out of bankruptcy? Guess again.
Reorganization plans commonly call for the cancellation of the existing
common stock, with holders receiving nothing. Nada.
When the company emerges from bankruptcy, new stock is issued
and the old stock becomes toilet paper. Lawsuits
are a difficult and costly way to try to recover losses.
Mistake # 5. Pet Rocks. It's very tempting to buy stock after shareholders have earned seven thousand
times their investment, or real estate after the industry has posted
intergalactic gains, but that is called chasing money. There were
people, lots of them, who bought real estate at peak prices in 2005.
Too bad losing weight isn't as easy as losing money.
Mistake # 6. Hot Tips. Hot tips are often
merely "Pump and Dump" or Ponzi schemes. Shysters and scam artists prey on you through this mechanism -
from Madoff to the penny stock ads that you receive in your email.
Beware these days of loan modification scams.
If anyone demands money up front, money within 72 hours,
money before you can do your due diligence, etc., just say no, even
if they do hang out with Kevin Bacon (allegedly).
Mistake # 7. Sure Shots. If someone promises to double your money in a set period of time, or to give
you annual returns that are double or more of what the average person
can achieve, assume that you're dealing with a novice or a scam
artist. This tip ALONE would have saved you from Bernard Madoff.
Even though he had a good pedigree on Wall Street (like other
VIP scum bags before him), he was notorious for providing no backup
documentation of how he achieved his astronomical gains.
Beware anytime someone wants you to hand over money before
you have a chance to read between the lines and look at the details
of their business plan.
Mistake # 8. Buying on Headlines. Headlines are written by editors to catch your eye. If you don't read the fine
print, you could be missing the most important information, and
sometimes the story itself is so poorly written that is little more
than a company press release (see below for mistake #9).
Stocks trading beneath their cash or other technical screens
masked as headline stories rarely do the kind of forensic, investigative
analysis required to determine if a stock is really a worthwhile
investment.
Mistake
# 9. Press Releases. Press releases are written by professional writers, who are
employed by the company they are writing about. A company can talk about an
increase in revenue without ever mentioning that increased revenues don't mean
the company is profitable or that, due to cash constraints, the company's
fiscal health is on the ropes. If you read anything that is from PRNewsWire or
BusinessWire - services that distribute press releases written by corporate PR
people - ask yourself, "What aren't they telling me?" Press releases
can have valuable data and information, but they are designed to give you a
snapshot of something newsworthy, not to draw out the full picture. Press releases are all over the web these
days and look quite a lot like articles, so be meticulous with determining the
source of the writer.
Mistake
# 10. Placing all your chips on one sector. Diversify with Exchange Traded Funds so that you can see and
capture your gains, with your semi-annual nest egg rebalancing! The former Blue
Chip Index has become the Bailout Index, so it is more important that ever that
you know what you hold in your ETFs. Mutual funds are too big to be diversified, which makes it impossible to
know what you own and to take profits when one segment of the stock market -
industry or size or style - has a rapid run-up in gains.
Mistake # 11. Keeping too much stock in your
employer's company. Rule of thumb, according to ERISA
guidelines: no more than 10 percent of stock in your own company.
There's one exception to this rule: if you're the
owner of the company, you may need a dominating percentage of the
stock for voting/power reasons. In the early days of Apple Computer,
Steve Jobs was booted out of the company he had co-founded.
Mistake
# 12. Handing your investments over to a loved one, relative or friend. I've spoken with women executives who have commanded billion
dollar corporations, and others who have multi-million dollar salaries, who
turned over their personal investment portfolios to a husband, in order to make
him feel like "more manly." With men, it's more likely to be the guy
at the country club who convinces his poker partners to come in on a sure shot
investment of his. Interview your
Certified Financial life partner as if your life depends upon it, because your
lifestyle does!
This is an excerpt from Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is by Natalie Pace. This book includes easy-to-read and implement pie chart strategies
for Buying Your Own Island in your lifetime. No matter where you are in life or how much money you have, if
you start investing now and increase your financial wisdom daily
(starting by reading this book), you will become more rich and you
will enrich the world in the process. Come to a retreat, if you
wish to set up your nest egg with a prosperity strategy that works
for the rest of your LIFE!
|
|
Structural Issues.
by Paul Woods, President, CEO and CIO, Odyssey Advisors.
Can
Clean Energy Travel on Lines Built a Century Ago?
 |
| Paul Woods,
President, CIO & CEO, Odyssey Advisors LLC. |
In the U.S., one of the biggest differences between
the private sector and the public sector is that when the private
sector invests money, the goal is to produce a financial return
on that investment. When the public sector "invests"
(spends) your tax dollars, their goal is to maximize the return
at the ballot box.
One
of the unintended consequences of this incentive system is a neglected
infrastructure that's becoming increasingly congested because bridges,
roads, and power lines don't vote. Politicians are smart enough to know nothing good will happen if
the infrastructure collapses, so they usually spend just enough
to keep it maintained. However, what passes
for new in this country was mostly built after World War 2.
The Goal
Much
of our infrastructure is overburdened, but the electricity grid
may be the closest to running out of capacity. This country would like to generate more power from clean sources,
but generating electricity isn't the problem. As an example, North and South Dakota are currently believed to
have the equivalent of the Saudi Arabia of wind with the potential
to generate half of our electricity needs from wind turbines. The only small problem is getting it to the consumer.
At present, the only way to take advantage of this would
be move half the people in this country to the Dakotas.
To help tackle these problems, there are several
proposals in the works with a price tag that's a fraction of the amount wasted
on bailouts. In early January, President
Obama announced plans to spend $150 billion over ten years to speed up the
development of renewable energy and modernize the grid to help create
jobs. As usual, the specifics on how
exactly this will be done are lacking but the stock market is starved for good
news and stocks in some of the companies likely to benefit have begun to act
better.
A Smart Grid
To bring our electricity grid into the 21st Century, one of the goals is to produce a Smart Grid that builds two way
communications systems, sensors, and diagnostic software into the transmission
and distribution network. This will
allow utilities to have a better picture of demand so that supplies can be
better coordinated. A Smart Grid will
also require smart meters that allow consumers to monitor their cost of
electricity and respond appropriately. This would allow incentives to be provided to reduce demand when the
grid is under the most pressure and help to conserve the resources used to
produce electricity.
The Challenges
The
Electricity Generation and Delivery Process
The current electricity grid is based upon a
system conceived 100 years ago to allow utilities to share the job of supplying
electricity to consumers. The current
grid resembles a system of streets and country roads and is tremendously
inefficient. By some estimates, of all
the energy used to produce electricity, only 30% reaches consumers in the form
of electricity. Transmission and distribution
losses are currently valued at $25 billion per year. In some areas, the electricity produced
outweighs the transmission capacity by 65% and it makes no sense to add new
production facilities, even if they're green.
Listening to the rhetoric from Washington leaves
the impression that fixing this problem will be relatively simple. However, in the real world, the challenges
are daunting:
1. The
roughly 300,000 miles of power transmission lines in this country
are divided among approximately 500 owners. Most
of these are companies that wouldn't be characterized as streamlined
or fast moving. Assuming these private owners
can agree and decide to upgrade their transmission lines, they have
to start by obtaining multiple permits that usually require time
consuming and expensive environmental impact studies.
2. Environmentalists
are schizophrenic on this issue. They
claim to support clean energy but often end up opposing the steps necessary to
bring the electricity it generates to the market. Wind turbines kill migrating and endangered
birds and environmentalists have the potential to destroy the economics of this
technology through endless court challenges. In California, that's already happening to wind farms in the Altamont
Pass in Northern California. Environmentalists
are also opposing the upgrade of transmission facilities that would allow
electricity produced by wind turbines in Tehachapi to reach Los Angeles.
3. There is jurisdictional
overlap as permits may be required from Federal, state, and local
authorities. The requirements of obtaining these
permits aren't necessarily consistent and may be contradictory.
This jurisdictional overlap also creates confusion over whose
responsibility it is to construct new facilities. In addition, the Federal Government regulates electricity generated
for interstate transmission while state and local authorities regulate
intrastate power, making it possible to create uncertainty over
which entity regulates each source of power.
4. There
are usually competing land uses and opposition from property owners,
NIMBYs (Not In My Back Yard) and environmental groups is almost
certain. Attempts to upgrade the grid are virtually guaranteed to provoke
lengthy and expensive legal battles that create uncertainty for
transmission line owners about cost recovery and when, if ever,
there will be a return on their investment.
5. At present, there
is little incentive for utilities to address problems with the current
grid. Making the grid more efficient would mean
delivering the same amount of electricity to the consumer at less
cost, which equates to selling the same output at a lower price.
Without adding some incentives, utilities will probably prefer
to retain the current inefficient system to maintain profit margins.
6. In most states,
the rules used by public utility commissions to evaluate transmission
investments discourage multistate projects. Some states with low electricity rates fear that that new transmission
lines will export their cheap power and drive electricity costs
up.
7. With President
Obama and the democrats in control of Congress comes the very real
threat of carbon emissions legislation. If passed, a cap and trade system or a carbon tax will result in
significant costs for this industry. That will leave less capital available to invest in modernizing
the grid and is likely to further discourage private investment
here.
The result is while electricity demand has
increased by about 25% since 1990, the construction of transmission facilities
decreased about 30%. Annual investment in new transmission facilities has
actually declined over the last 25 years. The result is an increasingly congested and unreliable grid and a
relatively small amount spent on transmission.
The Energy Policy Act of 2005
In an attempt to overcome some of these obstacles,
Congress gave the Energy Department the authority to approve new transmission
lines if states failed to act. Two
areas, one in the Middle Atlantic and another in the Southwest were designated
as national priorities. The result was
that 14 Senators from both sides of the aisle signed a letter stating that the
Energy Department was being too aggressive, and Congress subsequently backed
off.
Getting Realistic
Overly zealous politicians have already created the expectation
that several million jobs will be created from modernizing the electricity
grid. However, since the grid is privately owned,
the government won't be able to hire millions of workers to do this
unless they nationalize every company involved. The only way to help the private sector do this quickly would be
to streamline the permitting process, eliminate jurisdictional turf
wars, keep land owners and NIMBYs out of court, put a choke chain
on environmental lawyers, change the mindset of regulators, and
provide tax incentives for grid upgrades. Of
these, the only thing government is likely to help with is providing
tax incentives for investment.
Realistically, the obstacles aren't going away
anytime soon and progress is likely to be slow even though the electricity grid
in this country is a mess. Upgrades are
likely to continue to be done on a piecemeal basis, with the most urgent
situations hopefully getting attention first. There are some very interesting companies associated with bringing the
grid into the 21st century, but investors need to be prepared for
the likelihood that modernization may take longer than expected.
The Pick of the Litter
While there are numerous companies involved in
upgrading the electricity grid, one looks particularly interesting because it
addresses the biggest problem on the grid. For disclosure purposes, it should be noted that this company is in some
of the portfolios managed by Odyssey Advisors, LLC.
American Superconductor (AMSC) produces
high temperature, superconducting power lines that move electricity very
rapidly and with very little loss over long distances. Replacing old lines with this technology
would allow more power to be moved through current transmission lines and
reduce the need to build new ones. In
addition, by reducing transmission losses, this company effectively increases
the amount of electricity that can be delivered to consumers without adding to
production capacity. AMSC also supplies
electrical systems used in wind turbines and sells power electronic products
that regulate wind farm voltage to enable their interconnection to the power
grid.
Paul Woods is the President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chief
Investment Officer of Odyssey Advisors. He has over 35 years of experience in
the investment management and research analysis of common stocks. He manages
the Odyssey Clean Energy Portfolio. Paul has done a great deal of independent
research on clean energy and has written multiple articles on various segments
of this industry. He can be contacted at pwoods@odysseyadvisors.com.
Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable
however Odyssey Advisors LLC does not warrant its completeness or
accuracy. Opinions constitute our
judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without
notice. This material is not intended as
an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial
instrument. Securities, financial
instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all
investors.
|
|
Is Your Nest Egg on Life Support?
by
Natalie Pace.
Disease
is a wakeup call that something is going wrong. Those of us who hear the call and don't buy into the "diagnosis,"
can seize the opportunity to get healthy by making better choices
and healing the damage that occurred largely as a result of unhealthy
habits. For instance, did you know that one
of the easiest and best ways to lower high blood pressure is to
exercise and eat right?
The same is true of the broken
nest egg. If you are over 50 and you lost more than 14 percent, your nest
egg was cracked to begin with*. (If you are 25, your maximum losses should be 25%.)
Bill and Nilo Bolden have not lost anything, using a pie
chart that I drew up on a napkin. The Green Goddess Investment Club
made almost 40 percent gains on their first investment in 2008,
and just cashed in over 150 percent gains on their most recent trade
last month. They started their club less than
a year ago, after the three founders attended my Investing Retreat,
and have been cooking up profits during a time when the stock market
lost 46% of its value.
If Bill and Nilo and the Green Goddesses are doing great and
your nest egg is on life support, it's your plan - not just "the global
meltdown" that needs some bailing out. The dis-ease that you are currently experiencing is an invitation to
learn better nest egg strategies and ensure that you are in the best position
going forward to resurrect and heal your bottom line.
Whether you are an investor, a Certified Financial Planner,
a hedge fund manager or a handyman (like Bill), there are cutting edge,
time-tested products that can help you master a healthier fiscal life. Using
some very tried and true strategies - like Modern Portfolio Theory, Exchange
Traded Funds, semi-annual rebalancing, avoiding dying industries and investing
in emerging economies - you can have a winning home for your money even during
the worst financial storms we've seen since the Depression. Yes, this is very different from what was
practiced and touted over the last century - namely buy and hold mutual
funds. There does come a time when the
airplane replaces the Pony Express and when Modern Portfolio Theory and
semi-annual rebalancing is a better strategy than owning dying industries and
the Bailout Index.
Just as you can't heal high blood pressure with the same old
doughnuts, coffee and couch potato plan, you can't expect that the "blind
faith, check off the box without knowing what you're doing" plan that lost you
tens of thousand or hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars is the
best strategy for resurrecting your assets. You are not going to get a better bottom line by sitting around, doing
nothing and praying that things get better.
As Green Goddess Kavi Ladnier writes:
I understand feeling like a nest
egg is something people with money can afford to do. Last summer I was introduced to Natalie Pace
and three women who were inspired by her to start an investment club. I was
nervous to be involved, especially at a time when the minimum monthly
contribution was not so minimum for me. But I joined and began a journey of
understanding that I know will only grow with time. Ideas like Natalie's stock
report card, sectors and how in the world to make sound decisions, especially
in a time of economic instability was not something I would have even dreamed
of being able to do year ago.
Even more
poignant, Kavi told me that when she first tried doing my Stock Report Card™,
it was so easy that she thought she was doing it wrong! And you can see their results. Obviously their group really gets it.
So have a little
faith (not blind faith) that you can do this, if you just get the right tools
and education. Start with reading my
book, Put Your Money
Where Your Heart Is. If you want to recession-proof and resurrect your nest egg now,
with a plan that will work for the rest of your life, come to my Memorial Day Get Rich and Enrich Retreat.
The book is
available wherever books are sold. More
information on the retreat can be found under the blue banner ad on the home
page at Natalie Pace.com that says, "Buy and Hold
Doesn't Work."
It's that simple
to start on the pathway to wisdom. It's as easy as a pie chart (found on page
92)*.
*In February 2008, I warned to overweight an additional 20%
into safety, which means that a 50-year-old has only 30% at risk. With losses of 46% in only 30% of her
portfolio, the average 50-year-old would still be sitting on a relatively
healthy foundation, having trimmed less than 14% from their holdings. Additionally, if she was using semi-annual
rebalancing, ETFs, emerging industries, avoiding dying industries and Modern
Portfolio Theory for the last decade, she would have made a lot of money, while
the average Buy and Hold Investor LOST money at a rate of -0.6% per year.
About Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of Put Your Money Where
Your Heart Is, a featured teacher in the movie, Spiritual Liberation,
and CEO of one of the most respected, independently owned financial
news corporations in the U.S. She has been ranked as a #1 stock
picker from TipsTraders.com and has partnered content with Forbes.com,
Sohu.com, Kiplinger's Personal Finance and more. She has appeared
on Fox News, Good Morning America, CNBC, Time Magazine, More Magazine,
USA Today, NPR and national radio shows. For more information please
visit, http://www.nataliepace.com/.
|
|
Risks on the Road Between You and the Emerald City.
by Chellie Campbell.
"Perseverance is a great element of success. If you only
knock long enough and loud enough at the gate, you are sure to wake up somebody."
- Henry Wadsworth Longfellow
If
you aren't winning enough in your life, it's because you aren't
losing enough. "What?!" you may be thinking. "I'm
losing plenty, thanks. That can't be right."
It is right. You have to take risks to win. And you don't win
every time you take a risk. Success is a percentage game - and it's not even a
big percentage. The difference between successful people and unsuccessful
people is that successful people are willing to fail more often than
unsuccessful people. They are willing to hear "no" and get rejected.
Millionaire baseball players bat .300 - that means they only hit three balls out
of ten. But they make millions because most people can't even hit that many.
The difference is that winners have an intense,
laser-focused attention on the goal - and on winning the goal. They don't see the
goal as out of reach, they believe that they will attain it if they just do the
right things. If they don't know exactly what the right things are, they are
willing to experiment, pay for lessons, workshops, coaches, and try different
things until they happen upon the things that work, and then they do those
things over and over and over, ad infinitum, until the goal is achieved. They
send out a ship, and then they send out another one. And another one. And
another and another and another.
It doesn't matter how many ships sink, how many people say
no to you; it only matters how many people say yes. So keep on going until
enough people say yes. You have to have this kind of determination not to quit
and to keep going until the yeses arrive like the next ship on the next wave.
Or the one after that.
So how do you remain undefeated in the face of lost ships?
How do you garner the strength - mental, physical, and spiritual - to build
another? And the one after that? How do you face mounting losses, over and over
again?
It takes passion, determination, and single-minded
devotedness to purpose. When you're Dorothy and your goal is the Emerald City,
you are willing to take any path to get there: your goal is all that matters.
Determination is like an iron fist in your gut. You will not be dissuaded from
your dream because there's a wicked witch on the road, or flying monkeys
overhead, or a guard at the gate who denies you entrance to the Emerald City. You
will never be one of those small people who are content to stay forever in
Munchkinland. You will get to the Emerald City or die on the road to the
Emerald City. And because you keep on moving down the road, life helps you out
by sending you a Glenda, a Tin Man, a Scarecrow, and a Lion to give you
encouragement and help you succeed.
Losing fires up winners. Their response when someone tells
them they aren't good enough, they can't do it, or they're a loser, is "Oh,
yeah? Watch this!" They use the rejection as an energetic launching pad to
redouble their efforts, sharpen their creativity, and prove the naysayers
wrong.
 |
| Photo credit:
Mary Ann Halpin |
Let me give you a tip: There's no "there"
there. There is no place to get to where you stay put "happily
ever after." Because after you reach your Emerald City, it
isn't long before you're making plans for the Ruby City next. And
the Diamond City after that. As soon as you get one goal, you just
set another goal. Goals are not ends in themselves - they are just
there to get you out on the road, meeting people, and experiencing
life. Be passionate, follow your bliss and the worst that can happen
is you live a life full of great adventures. It's all good.
It's a New Year. The yellow brick road beckons you onward.
Where are you headed next?
Go for it! Do it! Yes, you can!
Love and blessings,
Chellie
Chellie Campbell is the creator of the popular
Financial Stress Reduction® Workshops, and the author of The
Wealthy Spirit and Zero
to Zillionaire, both published by Sourcebooks, Inc.
She is one of Marci Shimoff's "Happy 100" and 1 of 18
who wrote a story for Marci's current NYT bestseller Happy for No
Reason . Chellie contributed stories to Jack Canfield's recent books
You've Got to Read This Book! and Life Lessons from Chicken Soup
for the Soul , and is featured in How to Run Your Business Like
a Girl by Elizabeth Cogswell Baskin and Money, A Memoir: Women,
Emotions, and Cash by Liz Perle. She is prominently quoted as a
financial expert in The Los Angeles Times, Pink, Good Housekeeping,
Lifetime, Essence, Woman's World and more than 35 popular books.
For more information, visit her web site www.Chellie.com or email
her at Chellie@Chellie.com.
|
|
Heart Thoughts: How to Identify and Prevent Heart Disease.
by Dr. Anna Walden, ND, DNM, MH, CNHP, HealthWalk
Vital
Hematology Department.
A
shockingly large number of Americans succumb each and every day
to cardiovascular disease. It tops the charts as the leading cause
of death at an impressive 28% according to the Center for Disease
Control, CDC. These deaths are largely from heart attacks (myocardial
infarctions) but include other heart disease related conditions
as well. Nearly half of the people who have had one heart attack
suffer another within a year. Faced with these facts and statistics,
it is no wonder that an entire month, February is designated as
American Heart Month to promote education and awareness about heart
health issues.
Modern society tends to gaze into the gene pool for
explanations for the maladies of humankind but consider this: Paul Dudley White
who was the cardiologist for President Dwight Eisenhower (who suffered several
heart attacks), said that when he graduated from medical school in 1911, he had
never even heard of a heart attack. The following year in 1912 the Journal of
the American Medical Association published an article detailing four cases of
an unusual event, which they called "coronary thrombosis." So in less than 100
years, heart disease has gone from an obscure occurrence to the leading cause
of death. How did this happen?
Very simply, the 20th century happened. And by that I mean
that the food supply became more processed (and increasingly more so), the
environment became filled with more toxins and our means of transportation
became more passive as riding in cars took the place of walking or riding
horses. The consequence is that our bodies became more vulnerable to pathogens
and our bodies' natural abilities to fight those pathogens were compromised by
the environment, diet and lifestyle. With the introduction and widespread use
of antibiotics, strains of microorganisms morphed into forms that we had less
defense against.
Now in the 21st century, awareness and evidence is
percolating that perhaps a return to more natural and holistic ways might give
us possibilities for extended quality of health and life.
The first question we might ask ourselves is - "How can I
tell if I am at risk for a cardiac event?" Many times, the first warning sign
is a fatal heart attack-- which won't help much. There are some indicators of
potential heart disease in traditional blood tests such as high Homocysteine
levels and high LDL's and as early warning signs of heart disease they are
better than nothing. A better indicator is the presence of C-reactive Proteins
in your system; ask to include it in the test in addition to your basic blood
panel testing for heart disease. High blood pressure can also be an indicator
of heart disease.
At HealthWalk we
utilize other techniques and technologies which often can reveal an energetic
weakness before it has a chance to develop fully as a "red flag" in the body.
We offer Digital Infrared Thermal Imaging, DITI, which can reveal arterial
blockages and the presence of C Reactive Protein without an invasive procedure.
DITI is an effective and FDA approved service to help diagnose pathology in the
vascular, muscular, neural and skeletal systems. DITI can provide early
detection of heart health issues and we can also offer the solutions,
supplements and lifestyle recommendations to support your path to a healthy
heart.
Through Galvanic
Skin Response biofeedback testing, we can detect the energetic state of the
internal organs and find the source of stress in the body. G.S.R. measures
through the conductivity of the skin, the autonomic nervous system responses to
stress. A stress profile is determined by looking at responses of the
meridians, vertebrae, teeth, and organs. G.S.R. can also look at food,
environmental, chemical, viral, bacterial, and fungal stressors. With
HealthWalk's different modalities we can give you the information, suggested
solutions and products to enhance your health.
"What is the number one cause for heart disease?" There is a
mounting body of evidence that infection is the major reason for heart disease,
with infection in the mouth leading the pack. Researchers have found that
people with gum disease are almost twice as likely to suffer from coronary
artery disease. Under the microscope, gum tissue and heart tissue are virtually
indistinguishable.
Another aspect of this point is the teeth; beyond the gums,
an additional risk is when there is infection or abnormalities in the teeth.
Minor infections in the teeth can go on for years without much awareness or any
action being taken. This creates a chronic inflammatory process in the body,
which will ultimately take its toll on the heart. Although it may seem strange,
one of the best things you can do for your heart is to take care of your teeth.
At HealthWalk™ we
are dedicated to working with you to provide the most comprehensive picture of
your health so that you are empowered with the knowledge and solutions to
achieve and maintain vibrant health.
HealthWalk™, the leading edge, non-invasive integrated healthcare center and
products company has specially priced Health and Wellness Products and
Services for NataliePace.com subscribers. HealthWalk
is offering 10% discount for NataliePace.com subscribers on all individual
HealthWalk products and services. Please mention the discount code, HWNP upon
ordering.

Call
HealthWalk at 877-255-4703 or
email info@healthwalk.com
www.healthwalk.com
HealthWalk,
5825Avenida Encinas suite 111, Carlsbad CA 92008
You can lose everything in life and make it all back - With one exception ... Your
Health
HealthWalk
offers customized, non-invasive and effective support to enable
your body's own innate powers to regain and enhance health, performance
and healing. HealthWalk is dedicated to supporting and empowering
you to achieve and maintain vibrant wellness. HealthWalk is a non-invasive, integrative healthcare facility
with a global umbrella of leading edge technologies, services, natural
supplements and products backed by over 20 years of research. HealthWalk
is based in Carlsbad, CA.
Please
note: This article has not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration.
The information herein is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure or prevent any
disease.
HealthWalk is a separate entity from NataliePace.com
and NataliePace.com offers no guarantees of, nor do we endorse,
their products and/or services.
|
|
Save Your Energy and Money - Don't Fall for Energy Stock Scams.
FINRA.org Investor Alert.
If the traffic on fax machines and in email boxes across the
nation is any indication, life is pretty easy. You can get a college degree
without setting foot in a classroom, travel to popular vacation destinations
for next to nothing, or make a quick and handsome profit investing in oil, gas,
or alternative energy stocks.
A combination of factors - including global warming, a
ravenous worldwide hunger for energy, rising gasoline and fuel oil prices, and
instability in the Middle East - has sparked investor interest in energy and
alternative energy stocks. But these same factors also appear to have fueled a
rash of energy-related stock scams.
There are legitimate and not-so-legitimate ways to invest in
companies that produce energy. We are issuing this Alert to warn investors
about fax, email and even cell phone text message scams that promise high
returns in exchange for little risk - and to provide information on how to invest
wisely in this or any other sector.
Energy
Scams Start with a Blast of Hot Air
Like so many other fraudulent schemes, energy stock scams
typically involve the touting of a small unknown company, using a combination
of baseless price predictions, misrepresentations, and hyperbole. The goal of
these scams is not to make you money, but to pump up the price of the stock through
false and misleading statements that create unwarranted demand for the
company's shares. The con artists behind the scam can then sell off their
shares, leaving investors with worthless stock.
"It is easy to conclude that everyone should have an
alternative energy stock in their portfolio," reads one fax. "Put
[company name] on your radar screen today, as it is about to take off!"
Tempting?
Well, get a magnifying glass and read the small print at the
bottom of the page. "The securities discussed herein are for high-risk
individuals only and not for the general public."
And, "[faxing company's name] was paid $500,000 for the
distribution of this report."
In a spam message, another outfit trumpets that a certain
Texas energy firm has "teamed up with China's $23 billion oil
monopoly," and huge returns are in store for those with the wisdom and
foresight to invest "RIGHT NOW!"
"If you have $5,000 in the S&P 500 and you ride it
out for the rest of the year, you'll walk away with $5,700," the spam
reads. "But put that $5,000 into this Texas dynamo and you'll stuff your
pockets with $26,500 in as soon as four months."
Not all energy investment pitches are as over-the-top as
this, and some are legitimate. We can't help you decide whether or how to
invest in this sector, but we can help you sort the wheat from the chaff where
unsolicited fax or email investment pitches are concerned.
How
to Avoid Being Scammed
One sure-fire way to avoid being taken in by an unsolicited
fax or email is to ignore it. To steer clear of potential scams, follow these
tips.
- Consider the source. Never rely solely
on information you receive in an unsolicited fax or email. It's easy for
companies or their promoters to make glorified, unsubstantiated claims about
new products, lucrative contracts, or the company's revenue, profits, or future
stock price.
- Always ask: "Why me?" Another
tip-off that you're potentially being scammed is that the message is
unsolicited, which raises the obvious question: Why would a total stranger tell
you about a really great investment opportunity? The answer is that there is no
such opportunity. In many email and fax scams, those who tout the stock are
corporate insiders, paid promoters, or substantial shareholders who profit
handsomely if the company's stock price goes up.
- Exercise some skepticism. Con artists
are very adept at making their pitches appear real. Be extremely wary of any
pitch that suggests immediate pay-offs, especially if the investment involves a
start-up company or a product or service that is still in development. Even
technologies that show promise might be years or decades away from entering the
market.
- Find out where the stock trades. Most
unsolicited spam recommendations involve stocks that cannot meet the listing
requirements of a major national exchange, such as The Nasdaq Stock Market or
the New York Stock Exchange. Instead, these stocks are usually quoted on the
OTC Bulletin Board (OTCBB) or in the Pink Sheets. There are important
differences between the OTCBB and the Pink Sheets and The Nasdaq Stock Market
or a stock exchange.
There are
no minimum financial and other quantitative standards that must be met by a
company to have its securities quoted on the OTCBB or in the Pink Sheets,
though OTCBB issuers must remain current in their filings with the SEC or
applicable regulatory authority. Many Pink Sheet companies, on the other hand,
have no obligation to file annual or quarterly reports or to publicly disclose
current material information.
Many of
the securities quoted on the OTCBB or in the Pink Sheets don't have a liquid
market; they are infrequently traded and can jump up or down in price quickly.
This can make it difficult to sell your security later.
- Read a company's SEC filings, if available.
Most public companies file reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC). Check the SEC's EDGAR database to find out whether the company files
with the SEC. Read the reports and verify any information you have heard about
the company. But remember that just because a company has registered its
securities or has filed reports with the SEC, it doesn't mean that it will be a
good investment.
- Be alert
to changes in the company's name and trading symbol, reported through SEC Form
8-K. Stock promoters often change a company's name and trading symbol in an
attempt to align it more closely with a current event or issue.
- Check out the person touting the stock. A legitimate investment salesperson
must be properly licensed, and his or her firm must be registered
with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), the SEC
or a state securities regulator - depending on the type of business
the firm conducts. To check the background of a broker, use FINRA
BrokerCheck. For an investment adviser, use the SEC's Investment
Adviser Public Disclosure Web site. Also, be sure to call your state
securities regulator. You can find that number in the government
section of your local phone book or by contacting the North
American Securities Administrators Association (NASAA).
If you're
suspicious about an offer or if you think the claims might be exaggerated or
misleading, please contact us. You may also contact the FCC, which has
jurisdiction over junk faxes, including investment-related faxes. The Telephone
Consumer Protection Act of 1991 (TCPA) and FCC rules prohibit sending junk
faxes to homes and offices.
Be cautious with limited partnerships. Instead of pumping
individual energy stocks, some con artists tout interests in fraudulent oil and
gas limited partnerships. Popular in the mid 1980s-and often resurging whenever
oil prices rise-oil and gas limited partnerships can be legitimate investments.
On the one hand, they offer tax advantages and the potential for periodic cash
distributions or long-term capital gains. On the other, they tend to be highly
speculative and illiquid, meaning you can't easily sell the investment to get
your money back out.
If you are considering investing in an oil and gas limited
partnership, be sure to read the alerts issued by the SEC and NASAA, listed in
the additional resources below.
Additional Resources
* SEC Publication: Oil
and Gas Scams: Common Red Flags and Steps You Can Take to Protect
Yourself
* NASAA Alert: Oil
and Gas Investment Fraud
* FCC Consumer Facts: Fax
Advertising-What You Need to Know
FINRA.org
is the financial services industry regulatory authority. To
receive the latest Investor Alerts and other important investor
information sign up for Investor News.
|
|
Money Rehab.
by Natalie Pace.
Includes
my Hot News on Cool Stocks List.
March 2,
2009
General
Stock Market Performance
| Wednesday, 1.3.2007 |
Monday, 1.2.2008 |
Monday, 1.2.2009 |
Friday, 3.2.09 |
Gains 2-yr, 1-yr & 2 mo. |
| Dow: 12,474.52 |
Dow: 13,044.12
|
Dow: 9,034.69 |
Dow: 6,824.15 |
-45% & -48%
& -24% |
| Nasdaq:
2,423.16 |
Nasdaq: 2,609.63 |
Nasdaq: 1,632.21 |
Nasdaq: 1,336.90 |
-45% & -49%
& -18% |
| S&P:
1,416.60 |
S&P: 1,447.16 |
S&P: 931.80 |
S&P: 707.95 |
-50% & -51%
& -24% |
Market update:
Ouch.
Investors were pretty startled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis
report that GDP growth had declined a massive -6.2% in the 4th
quarter of 2008, revised sharply downward from the advance estimates
of -3.8%. This new low brings the market down
to levels not seen in over ten years.
If the past is any indication, then
volatility will continue to plague the current low.
Though 2009 could still see further fallout, the trend over
the past year and a half is that a bounce occurs after such a severe
decline, providing investors with some recovery opportunity, in
a very short window, before the down-trend continues.
What is clear is that those of you who were frozen into a
losing plan should now heed the wake-up call and get protected. I've been calling for investors to recession-proof
their nest eggs since February of 2008. You might think it is too late to recession-proof NOW, but today's
losses should give you indication that a better blueprint for your retirement
plan is ESSENTIAL and that the sooner you get a plan that works, the
better. Those who
thought "not locking in your losses" was a good plan in 2009, after losing over
40% in 2008, have seen another 18-24% implosion in your nest egg implode since
the beginning of this year alone, whereas those who came to my retreat and
employed a recession-proofed Modern Portfolio Theory based ETF plan are
protected against losses and positioned for gains in the industries that are in
favor in 2009.
Be sure to read all of my articles in this ezine
to get essential information that will save and resurrect your nest
egg. Buying and holding mutual funds doesn't work.
Is your nest egg the town drunk?
Do you have any idea what shenanigans your money is pulling
while you were asleep all these years? Is your
nest egg the town drunk chatting up beauties in dark bars only to
wake up with Bernie Madoff? Did your money chase
down teenagers and fry cooks to sell them houses they couldn't afford
with liars' loans? Was your 401(k) placing bets
that Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Citigroup and more could play
hot potato with those liars' loans (now labeled the more respectable
title of "subprime")? While you slept
and just filed the brokerage statements in the bottom drawer, was
your money out smoking, sleeping with fat cats and Big Oil and throwing
out dice on how many years in a row General Motors could lose $31
billion a year before the taxpayers had to bail it out?
This "financial crisis" is a painful and stark jolt of
reality for all of us. Wall Street is funded with Main Street dollars - with
our pensions, 401(k)s and IRAs. When Wall Street acts like the town drunk,
they are driving your car with your gas.
So, if you want to send Wall Street to rehab, it's time to
lay down a new set of rules of how Wall Street can behave with your hard-earned
dollars. Curfew your investments in the status quo.
Put a little heart and soul in your money. Every cent you
own and every moment you spend is always an investment. Buy and hold doesn't work. You lost all of the gains that were made over
the last decade. There is no reason not
to clean up your money's act right now. Blind faith in Wall Street was as silly as giving the car keys to your
teenager on prom night.
Odds are that your pension is still invested in the Bailout Fund (formerly known as the leading Blue Chip Index,
aka the Dow Jones Industrial Average), cigarette companies and oil field
services companies. Exxon Mobil is the
biggest company on Wall Street - funded with your retirement dollars - and is
one of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average components. Philip Morris Tobacco Company was a Dow Jones
Industrial Average component in 2007 and is still one of the most popular
holding in mutual funds (also known as Altria on Wall Street). General Motors, Citigroup and Bank of America
make up 10% of the 30 Dow components EVEN NOW - and have led the charge of
companies that are being bailed out.
You've lost thousands, if not hundreds of thousands or even
millions of dollars. Now's the time to
spend three days and $1300 getting invested in a cleaner, greener world, with a
new plan that will work for the rest of your life.
So, please register NOW for my May
21-23, 2009 Get Rich and Enrich Retreat. Get more information
on the home page of NataliePace.com under the blue banner ad that
says, "Buy
and Hold Doesn't Work." The early bird price of just $1,300 per person (or $2,300 per couple)
includes a FREE premium subscription, valued at $2000/person.
Offer is good now through March 15, 2009 only.
Please note that there is limited seating at this retreat
- only 14 people - and that prior retreats have all sold out, so
act now to ensure your place in sunny Santa Monica, CA for Memorial
Day! If you act before Wednesday morning, you
can even participate in our premium subscriber teleconference this
month. (See the calendar section for more details.)
Testimonials:
You
can have a healthy nest egg, rock star returns and make gains while
you sleep - once you have set up the parameters of a sober investment
plan. Clearly the drunks have had their field day. Time for investors to sober up, take charge and co-create a healthier
nest egg strategy.
"I have made enough money my fist week
to pay for my trip, Thanks!" Randall, November
2008 Natalie Pace Retreat Attendee
"Natalie Pace's sound strategies helped
me avert a huge loss on my 401k plan. Moving my money to a safe
place saved me thousands when the market plummeted."
- Nilo Bolden, Law Firm Administrator
"When I first
met Natalie Pace I was desperately trying to stay afloat with my financial
situation. My nest egg was half of what I had previously invested,
I was in a negative cash-flow real estate investment, clueless about
how to truly purchase stocks correctly, and my budget was as whimsical
as a musical. She truly has been a blessing in my life to not
only help teach me how to shift my financial situation but to also
inspire me to create an investment club in order to help my friends
and family. I'm still astonished that what I once viewed as
hieroglyphics is now something others ask me to mentor them on.
Natalie is truly a financial angel." Brianna.
Track Record of our Reporting
While the markets have fallen in 2008,
the Hot News and Cooling Off lists below have a winning track record - in bear
and bull market years. 47 positions
listed below - 66% -- have delivered impressive gains this year, even while the
Dow Jones Industrial Average is down almost -50% since this time last year! Only twenty-four
of our listings went in the opposite direction of the reporting, which is quite
impressive given the horrible market drop of this fall. Additionally, in 2008, nineteen out of 27
companies that were featured in our monthly articles and stock report cards
posted strong gains. That is also a 77%
winning track record! (We are really
coming up with the winning 7s this year.)
See the article, "New Year. New You. New Nest Egg," in Vol. 6,
issue 1, for the chart and more details.
Yes, the majority, but not all, of our
top performers were shorts, which is why we added options training to the
retreat. Remember that the trading
portfolio should be equal to your experience, and should not be part of your
nest egg. (The nest egg is money you
earn while you sleep, not while you day-trade.) If you're new, you should be using education or fun money, not your nest
egg, to learn on. Take your profits early
and often in this volatile, down-trending year.
3 out of 6 Company of the Year
selections more than doubled. My 2003, 2004 and 2007
Companies of the Year have posted up to 9000% gains (Taser), up to 690% gains
(Opsware) and up to 215% gains (Suntech Power Holdings), respectively.
MySpace, my 2006 Company of the Year, was a large part of News Corp's
success with shareholders that year. OSI
Pharmaceuticals, my 2005 Company of the Year is back on track for gains and we
still believe that Suntech Power Holdings, which is the market leader in solar
panels and our 2008 Company of the Year (for the 2nd year in a row),
will be a big winner going forward! (Sometimes it takes a few months for the news to get out to the rest of
the world.) So three out of six are superperformers, one performed well
above the market and two are down (in a recession). Meanwhile the general stock marketplace over that same
period has lost money! That's the kind of record that puts you
on top on Wall Street. (I launched my first publication on 11.15.02, and
featured the first Company of the Year on 1.1.03.)
TipsTraders.com continues to list me as a Highly Recommended Stock Picker, with their
independent ranking system, where I've repeatedly occupied the #1
position. Some of our
best picks include: Bioteq Environmental (BQE) +144%, Blockbuster Video (BBI)
+82.5%, Genentech (DNA) +415%, Google (GOOG) +545%, Las Vegas Sands (LVS)
+139%, LifeCell (LIFC) +180%, Macerich (MAC) +150%, Opsware (OPSW) +690%, Rio
Tinto (RTP) +145%, Sohu (SOHU) +150%, Suntech Power Holdings (STP) +107%, Taser
(TASR) up to 9000% gains. (Some
of the best picks in 2008 were put options - on the Cooling Off list. Look there for details on the incredible
gains options investors enjoyed on Wells Fargo, Fortress Investment Group,
Sears Holding, Fannie Mae, Toll Brothers, KB Home, Novastar Financial and more
there.)
Market
Movers:
The
Federal Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The Fed funds rate continues to be "0 to ¼ percent." In the 1.28.09 press release, the Federal Reserve Board further
elaborated on the reasoning behind the rock bottom rates, writing: "Industrial production,
housing starts, and employment have continued to decline steeply,
as consumers and businesses have cut back spending. Furthermore,
global demand appears to be slowing significantly. The Committee
anticipates that a gradual recovery in economic activity will begin
later this year, but the downside risks to that outlook are significant."
The next meeting takes place on March 17-18, 2009.
Preliminary GDP growth rates
for 4Q 2008 were revised on February 28, 2009 down to -6.2%, from the advance estimates of
-3.8%.
Final
GDP growth estimates for 4Q 2008 will be released on March 26, 2009
at 8:30 a.m. ET. These release days tend to
be very active on Wall Stree. For more BEA release dates, go to
the BEA.gov website and be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar
section often.
EDUCATIONAL OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1. FOMC
Information:
Interested
in reading the minutes
of the January 27-28, 2009 FOMC meeting for yourself? You can. The official Federal Reserve document
is available online. Click on FOMC,
or go to FederalReserve.gov to read!
The tentative FOMC meeting schedule for the 2009 calendar
is: March 17-18, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday), April 28-29, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday),
June 23-24, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday), August 11-12, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday),
September 22-23, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday), November 3-4, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday),
December 15-16, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday), January 26-27, 2010 (Tuesday-Wednesday).
2. Calendar
Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more: Check
out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly.
There are many wonderful opportunities to chat one-on-one
with millionaire money managers, life coaches, economists, respected
money gurus, real estate veterans and CEOs! Be
sure to check out the dates of the mid-month Hot News on Cool Stocks
Update and the publication date of our next ezine.
Get more information on how to best use our articles in the
FAQs article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page
of NataliePace.com.
Don't
miss the Premium and Book Buyers' teleconference with Natalie Pace
on Wednesday, February 18, 2009 at 5:00 p.m. PT (8:00 p.m. ET). Get call-in instructions on the Sharing
Wisdom bulletin board.
3. Survey
Results: Academy Each month
we have three new surveys so that we can stay in touch with your
needs and desires. This month, with the stock
market taking yet another catastrophic dive, we’re asking the question,
“Where will 2009 end up for real estate, stocks and gold?” Cast
your vote on our survey page!
4. Euro interest rates: ECB
rates are at 2.00% (main refinancing), 3.00% (marginal lending)
and 1.00% (deposit facility). The next meeting and interest rate
announcement is scheduled for February 19, 2009 at 2:30 p.m. CET.!
Hot Stocks List
Investors who "never pay retail," note that
the BOLD highlighted stocks are trading at their 52-week
lows or near the price featured in NataliePace.com's article. This
may be a good buying opportunity.
(If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation,
this is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.) The companies that
are listed below which are not highlighted may not be in a good
buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue performing
well (if you have already purchased them). There are never any guarantees
in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments. Consult your
certified financial planner before making any changes to your investment
strategy. And remember that these "Stocks
on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy
at all - not even for "pros." If you've
never traded individual stocks before, this is your "fun"
or "education" money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don't have
mastery over.
Hot
News List (highlighted). Be sure that you are buying low.
Altair
Nanotechnology (ALTI)
American Superconductor
Citigroup (C)
eBay (EBAY)
General
Electric (GE)
HOKU (HOKU)
LDK Solar
MEMC Electronics (WFR)
Microsoft
PowerShares Wilderhill Clean Energy Portfolio (PBW)
Satcon (SATC)
Sunpower Solar (SPWRA)
Suntech Power Holdings (STP)
Trina Solar Ltd. (TSL)
DELETIONS
(Take your profits early and often):
American
Superconductor (AMSC). 65% gains between 12.1 and 2.13.09!
MEMC Electronics: 26% gains between 2.1.09 and 2.13.09.
Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM) profits of 48% on 2.13.09.
Suntech Power Holdings. 69% profits between 12.1.08 and 1.15.09.
U.S. Gold soared 432% on 2.13.09.
World Water and Solar (2.1.09)
HOT
NEWS on COOL STOCKS LIST
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when featured
|
Price 3.2.09
|
Year High
Year Low
|
Gains since original feature
|
|
Altair Nanotechnology
RISK: MEDIUM/ HIGH
|
No
|
ALTI
|
$1.99
|
$.76
|
$5.45
$.75
|
-62%
|
|
Read the article
on Electric
Cars in vol. 4, issue 6.
Altair
Nanotechnologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ALTI) announced on Nov. 21,
2008 that its one megawatt (MW), 250 kilowatt-hour battery
storage system met requirements to participate in the PJM
Regional Transmission Organization (RTO) control area. This
milestone marks the first commercial acceptance of an advanced
Lithium-Titanate battery to provide grid regulation services
in one of the largest electricity markets in the US.
With President Bush's signing of the Continuing Resolution (CR),
which contains appropriations for the Department of Defense,
Altair Nanotechnologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ALTI), a leading provider
of advanced materials and products for power and energy systems,
and the United States Navy were granted an additional $4 million
for the continued funding of a 2.5-Megawatt stationary power
supply program. Total funds appropriated by Congress for Altairnano's
naval battery program now total $12.5 million.
(press release of 11.19.08)
3Q
2008 earnings on 11.8.08: Revenues = $1.8
million. Net loss of -$9.1 million.
Cash on hand and short term investments: short-term
investments decreased by $26,415,557, from $50,146,117 at
December 31, 2007 to $23,730,560 at September 30, 2008, due
primarily to net cash used in operations (approximately $25,130,000)
purchases of property and equipment (approximately $2,130,000),
and payment of notes payable ($600,000). As of September 30,
2008, Altair Nano entered into a purchase and settlement agreement
with Al Yousuf LLC. One of the provisions
of that agreement was the issuance of 2,117,647 shares of
common stock to Al Yousuf LLC in exchange for a release of
potential breach of contract and other claims related to their
2007 investment. As part of the agreement
Al Yousuf LLC also committed to an additional $10 million
investment in the Company. This investment
was received on October 14, 2008.
Altair
has switched focus from all-electric cars to hybrids and to
supplying the Navy with batteries for their large surface
ships and subs, according to the Annual
Shareholder’s Report. You can review the entire 4-page report from
the CEO on the investor page at AltairNano.com.
|
|
American Superconductor
|
Yes
|
AMSC
|
$25.96
$11.31 (12.1.08)
|
$11.75
|
$47.53
$8.22
|
-55%
&
+4%
|
|
NOTE: If you made 65% ROI, the mantra this year continues to be TAKE
YOUR PROFITS EARLY AND OFTEN.
Read the article
"Clean
Energy Rolls Out Worldwide," in vol. 4,
issue 12. Competitors include GE (NYSE: GE), Siemens (NYSE: SI), Rockwell (NYSE: ROK), and DRS (NYSE: DRS). High Temperature Superconductor (HTS) wire is able
to transmit 150 times more energy than a copper wire of the
same dimensions. This enables electric utilities to replace multiple conventional
copper cables with one HTS-powered cable, leaving valuable
underground real estate available for other uses - including
future power upgrades. The worldwide cable
market represents a multi-billion-dollar annual opportunity,
but their power converters are also in the exploding marketplace
of wind turbines and fuel cells. American Superconductor's
backlog of orders exceeds $634 million, with growth primarily
driven by the wind energy market. AMSC expects the Asia-Pacific marketplace to account for up to
50% of sales in fiscal year 2007.
Revenues for the third quarter of fiscal 2008 (released on 2.4.09) were $41.3
million, a 27 percent increase over $32.6 million in revenues
for the third quarter of fiscal 2007. Gross margin for the
third quarter of fiscal 2008 was 23.2 percent, which compares
with 30.9 percent for the third quarter of fiscal 2007. The
company's net loss for the third quarter of fiscal 2008 was
$7.8 million, or $0.18 per share. This compares with a net
loss for the third quarter of fiscal 2007 of $7.3 million,
or $0.18 per share.
Cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities and restricted cash at December
31, 2008 were $122.6 million. The company reported backlog as of December 31,
2008 of approximately $602 million compared with $597 million
as of September 30, 2008 and $168 million as of December 31,
2007.
"Our two core growth drivers - the Chinese wind power market and the
U.S. power grid market - remained strong through our third
fiscal quarter, a trend we expect to continue for the foreseeable
future," said Greg Yurek, AMSC's founder and chief executive
officer. "Wind continues to be our growth engine; however,
more than $27 million of our $46 million in third-quarter
bookings were for our D-VAR® Smart Grid solutions. With
these new orders, we now have more than $175 million out of
the total of $602 million in backlog that we expect to recognize
as revenue in fiscal 2009. Our backlog position for both fiscal
2009 and the following two fiscal years and the strength of
our core markets position us for strong growth in fiscal 2009
and beyond."
"We expect to generate our first GAAP profit in the fourth quarter of
fiscal 2008," said David Henry, senior vice president
and chief financial officer. "While
the investments we intend to make in fiscal 2009 to help achieve
our long-term growth plans may limit us to earnings of a few
cents per share for full fiscal 2009, profitability is our
top priority," Henry concluded.
|
|
Citigroup
DIVIDENDS 4.31%!
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
C
|
$1.25
|
$1.25
|
$27.35
$1.25
|
--
|
|
Bailed out by the
Feds November 2008. Financial markets are under duress. Avoid most banks for now. However, believe there will be a bounce on Citi since the Feds
aren't going to let it go under ... Forward P/E is 2.
|
|
Conergy
Based out of Germany
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
CEYHF
|
$22.50
$1.55 (12.1.08)
|
$.62
|
$96.14
$.85
|
-98% &
-60%
|
|
See the Wind
Power article in vol. 4, issue 11.
Has multiple sales agreements with Suntech Power Holdings
to utilize STP panels in their global systems integration. Will publish 2008 financial statements on March 27, 2009.
12.18.08 press release:
Conergy Deutschland GmbH, one of the leading suppliers of
products and solutions in the field of solar electricity generation,
completed work in Trier (Rhineland-Palatinate) on what is
currently the third largest thin-film solar park in the world.
On behalf of Stadtwerke Trier (SWT), the solar concern built
the fully equipped photovoltaic park, with a total peak output
of 8.4 MW, after only six months of construction. Upon completion
of the last segment, the solar power plant was able to be
completely installed into the electrical grid. Capital expenditure
for the megawatt project amounts to around 30M euros.
|
|
eBay
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
eBAY
|
$14.27
$10.36 (3.2.09)
|
$10.36
|
$40.73
$10.91
|
-27%
|
|
Added back to Hot News list on December
15, 2008. Owns Skype. The growth potential there is huge ... What biz does well when everyone is selling off their assets
to covers their a**? The online auction
site. Expect earnings to be better than
expected and if this is the only game in town for money managers
to flock in ...
MEG WHITMAN RESIGNING. On December 31,
2008, Margaret Whitman, the former CEO, who was largely responsible
for eBay's impressive growth, resigned from all of the boards
that she is on, including eBay, DreamWorks and Procter and
Gamble. The press releases say it's for personal reasons, but bloggers
are speculating that she wants to enter politics - perhaps
even running for governor of California! Any way, certainly she is resigning for personal reasons rather
than any reflection upon the corporation, since it was a blanket
resignation from all of the boards that she is on. According
to Comscore Media Metrix, eBay had the most unique visitors
on December 23, 2008 (two days before Xmas), with 85 million
unique users. Amazon, Wal-Mart, Target and Apple followed behind eBay with
76 million, 52 million, 47 million and 35 million unique visitors
in December 2008, respectively.
4Q and FY 2008 results on 1.21.09: For the full year, eBay Inc. posted $8.54
billion in revenue, net income on a GAAP basis of $1.78 billion
or $1.36 per diluted share.
"While the holiday season was tough and competitive, our overall results
for 2008 were strong," said eBay Inc. President and CEO
John Donahoe. "For 2008, we delivered double-digit revenue
and earnings growth; made significant changes in our eBay
business; and built a stronger, more diverse portfolio of
leading e-commerce businesses. We will build on our strengths
in 2009 while managing our business prudently in the continued
challenging environment."
The company's cash and cash equivalents totaled $3.19 billion at December
31, 2008, compared to $4.22 billion at December 31, 2007.
|
|
Emcore
|
No
|
EMKR
|
$11.02
$1.51 (12.1.08)
|
$.60
|
$14.98
$0.76
|
-95% &
-60%
|
|
EMCORE Corp (EMCORE) is a provider of compound
semiconductor-based components and subsystems for the broadband,
fiber optic, satellite and terrestrial solar power markets.
The Company operates in two segments: Fiber Optics and Photovoltaics.
Was awarded an R&D 100 award by R&D Magazine for the
IMM solar cell as one of the most innovative technologies
of 2008.
Class action lawsuit was filed on 2.11.09
declaring that Emcore mislead investors about its earnings,
backlog, customers, etc.
On June 18, 2008, Emcore announced that
IBM used 55 miles of optical fiber EMCORE Connects Cables to build Roadrunner
HPC system.
Preliminary 1Q 2009 results (on 2.9.09):
Revenue for the first quarter of fiscal
2009 was $54.1 million, an increase of $7.2 million, or 15%,
from $46.9 million reported in the same period last year and
a decrease of $6.5 million, or 11%, from $60.6 million reported
in the immediately preceding quarter. At
December 31, 2008, cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash,
and available for sale securities totaled approximately $18.8
million, working capital totaled $75.4 million, and outstanding
loans under the Company's $25 million secured line of credit
with Bank of America totaled $15.4 million. Shortly after
the close of the first quarter, the Company sold its remaining
interests in Entech Solar, Inc. (formerly named WorldWater
and Solar Technologies Corporation) for $11.4 million in cash
which is not reflected in the quarter-end cash balance. During
the first quarter, the Company freed up $2.6 million in cash
that was previously tied up in auction rate securities. As
previously disclosed, the Company has received indications
of interest from several investors regarding a minority equity
investment directly into the Company's wholly-owned Photovoltaics
subsidiary which would serve as an initial step towards a
potential spin off of that business. The Company's management
is aggressively pursuing these opportunities.Cost Reduction
Initiatives:Over the last three months, the Company has implemented
a number of cost reduction initiatives including:
* A reduction in personnel totaling approximately 160 people, or 17%
of the total workforce, resulting in annualized cost savings
of approximately $9 million
* A significant reduction in the FY 2008 employee bonus plan payouts
* The elimination of all FY 2009 employee merit increases
* Significant reductions in capital expenditures
* Restrictions on employee travel and other discretionary
expenditures
On a GAAP basis, the consolidated
net loss for the first quarter of fiscal 2009 was $53.4 million,
an increase of $39.0 million from $14.4 million reported in
the same period last year and an increase of $12.2 million
from $41.2 million reported in the preceding quarter.
EMCORE Corporation (EMCORE) is a provider
of compound semiconductor-based components and subsystems
for the broadband, fiber optic, satellite, and terrestrial
solar power markets. Sales were up 41% from 2007 to 2008, though the 4th
quarter of 2008 saw a pullback of revenue from $75.5 million
to $60.6 million. Raising capital by selling
off Shares of World Water and Solar (now called Entech Corp.).
Lost -80.86 million last year on sales of $239 million.
Order Backlog: As of December 31, 2008,
we had an order backlog of approximately $53.2 million. Our
order backlog is defined as purchase orders or supply agreements
accepted by the Company with expected product delivery and
/ or services to be performed within the next twelve months.
The December 31, 2008 order backlog is comprised of $30.2
million related to our Photovoltaics segment and $23.0 million
related to our Fiber Optics segment.
|
|
U.S. Global Investors Eastern European mutual
fund
|
No
|
EUROX
|
$6.33
|
$4.16
|
$19.84
$5.27
|
-34%
|
|
Lots of Russian oil and gas.
New holdings. Looking for best time to cash out.
|
|
General Electric
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
GE
|
$26.69
|
$7.70
|
$42.15
$10.66
|
-71%
|
|
GE is a big presence in renewable energy these days. Very
green ... Should benefit from an Obama
Presidency. On the other hand, major pension
plan and OPEB obligations. Additionally,
GE had investments with Madoff Hedge Fund. Annual report on 2.18.09: Revenues of $182.5 Billion, over $172 in 2007. Net
earnings = $17.4 billion. Cash and cash
equivalents = $48 billion.
|
|
Genentech
|
No
|
DNA
|
$73.00
|
$83.38
|
$99.14
$65.35
|
+14%
|
|
4Q and YE 2008 results on Jan. 15: U.S. product sales of
$9,503 million, an 11 percent increase from $8,540 million
in 2007. GAAP net income of $3,427 million, a 24 percent increase
from $2,769 million in 2007. Arthur D. Levinson, Ph.D., Genentech's
chairman and chief executive officer says, "In 2009,
we have the potential to receive four FDA approvals and we
anticipate filing more than ten regulatory applications for
new indications." Non-GAAP earnings
per share in 2008 was $3.42. The company projects $3.55 to
$3.90 per share in 2009.
Genentech, Inc. (Genentech) is a biotechnology
company that discovers, develops, manufactures and commercializes
pharmaceutical products to treat patients with unmet medical
needs. It commercializes multiple biotechnology products and
also receives royalties from companies that are licensed to
market products based on the Company's technology. Genentech
commercializes various products in the United States, including
Avastin, Rituxan, Herceptin, Lucentis, Xolair, Tarceva, Nutropin,
Activase, TNKase, Cathflo Activase, Pulmozyme and Raptiva.
On January 30, 2009, Roche announced a surprise, hostile bid for Genentech
of $86.50 per share to buy 100% of the company.
"I am very confident that we will be successful in taking
100 percent of Genentech," Franz Humer was quoted as
saying in an interview with Switzerland's Basler Zeitung. Roche currently owns 55% of the DNA shares.
|
|
Google
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$341.43
|
$331.19
|
$747.24
$247.30
|
-3%
|
|
4th quarter and year-end
results January 22, 2009: Google reported revenues of $5.70 billion for the quarter ended December 31,
2008, an increase of 18% compared to the fourth quarter of
2007 and an increase of 3% compared to the third quarter of
2008. GAAP net income for the fourth quarter of 2008 was $382
million as compared to $1.29 billion in the third quarter
of 2008. As of December 31, 2008, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable
securities were $15.85 billion.
On a worldwide basis, Google employed 20,222
full-time employees as of December 31, 2008, up from 20,123
full-time employees as of September 30, 2008.
Google is such a popular stock, and is a New
Blue Chip that can help ground and stabilize your nest egg.
And now, finally, it is trading at a 4-year low!
This marketplace may not be through with its correction,
however, even though, if you buy now, you are getting it for
over half off what investors were willing to pay in 2007!
I have not highlighted Google for a reason, because
2009 is predicted to be a bear of a year. Google
is a better bet than the Bailout Index (Dow Jones Industrial
Average). Be cautious jumping in too early when prices could be lower across
the board in a few months.
|
|
Hoku Scientific
Hawaii
RISK: HIGH
|
Yes
|
HOKU
|
$8.03
$2.00
(3.2.09)
|
$2.00
|
$14.55
$2.06
|
-75%
|
|
Read "Solar
Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon,"
in the Oct. 2007 ezine, vol. 4, issue 10.
Announced 3Q 2009 earnings on January 28, 2009: Revenue for the quarter ended
December 31, 2008 $767,000. GAAP Net loss for the quarter
was -$863,000, or -$0.04 per diluted share.
"We are proud to have successfully secured PPA financing for the Hawaii
State government's first major solar power installation, despite
notable turbulence in the finance markets. And, we are pleased
with our continued progress in our solar installation business.
We have dramatically increased the aggregate amount of PV
installed compared to FY 2008, and are beginning to see a
backlog of projects in the design phase for future construction,"
according to Dustin Shindo, Chairman and CEO.
Commenting on the Idaho polysilicon manufacturing facility, ""We continue actively working to mitigate
the impact of delayed customer prepayments, but now expect
that this may result in a shift of our planned production
demonstration from the first quarter of calendar year 2009
to the second quarter of calendar year 2009," Mr. Shindo
said. "Looking ahead, this may also cause us to shift
our planned first commercial shipment from the first half
of 2009 to the second half of 2009. As before, we plan to
ramp-up production throughout the second half of calendar
year 2009 and into calendar year 2010, when we expect to reach
full production capability. We expect this revised schedule
will still allow us to meet all delivery obligations to our
current customers, and we will continue managing our project
to ensure this remains the case."
Contracted to build a polysilicon facility in Idaho capable of producing up
to 2,500 metric tons of polysilicon per year in Pocatello,
Idaho. The first six of 28 polysilicon reactors were delivered to Pocatello
on January 14, 2009, with the next ten scheduled for delivery
on March 2009.
|
|
Kinetic Concepts, Inc.
|
No
|
KCI
|
$38.81
$21.05
(12.1.08)
|
$20.65
|
$66.77
$18.50
|
-47% &
-2%
|
|
Read the article,
"Beauty
is Skin Deep," in Vol. 5, issue 5.
REPORTED EARNINGS ON 1.27.09. Total revenue
increased 14% to $492.5 million, including $68.0 million of
LifeCell revenue. Net earnings were $52.1 million compared
to $66.5 million one year ago.
Net earnings decreased 4% to $56.6
million. Kinetic Concepts, Inc. (NYSE:KCI) announced on 10.22.08 that its Board of
Directors has authorized an investment of up to $100 million
for the repurchase of its common stock as part of a new share
buyback.
At December 31, 2008, total cash was $247.8
million and total long-term debt outstanding was $1.67 billion.
Subsequent to December 31, 2008, the Company made voluntary
senior credit facility repayments totaling $79.0 million from
cash-on-hand.
|
|
LDK Solar
GREEN
|
Yes
|
LDK
|
$30.02
$4.94
(3.2.09)
|
$4.94
|
$76.75
$9.45
|
-83%
|
|
Read the articles, "Green..." in
vol. 6, issue 2 and "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
in vol. 5, issue 4.
4Q and full year results will be released late February/early March. According
to Xiaofeng Peng, Chairman and CEO of LDK Solar, "Despite
a difficult operating environment, we continue to have a solid
cash position, with more than $380 million, in addition to
unused credit facilities totaling in excess of $850 million
and will continue to conservatively manage our resources.
Our operations remain at full capacity, with contract backlog
remaining strong for 2009."
3Q earnings on November 19, 2008: Net sales for the third quarter of fiscal
2008 were $541.8 million, up 22.7% from $441.7 million for
the second quarter of fiscal 2008, and up 241.4% from $158.7
million for the third quarter of fiscal 2007. Net income for the third quarter of fiscal 2008 was $88.4 million,
or $0.77 per diluted ADS, compared to net income of $149.5
million, or $1.29 per diluted ADS for the second quarter of
fiscal 2008. LDK Solar ended the third quarter of fiscal 2008 with $347.8
million in cash and cash equivalents and $115.0 million in
short-term pledged bank deposits.
|
|
Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd.
|
No
|
MPEL
|
$6.54
|
$2.68
|
$19.09
$2.31
|
-59%
|
|
Check out the article, "(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
(vol. 5, issue 10). Operates Crown, a
6- star Resort and Casino in Macau, the trendy Mocha slot
machine cafes and is developing City of Dreams in Macau, with
Hard Rock, Hyatt and Dragone Entertainment. CEO/Chairman
Lawrence Ho is the son of Macau gambling billionaire Stanley
Ho.
Upgraded to NASDAQ Global Select Market
on 1.2.09.
On 11.13.08, the
Company recorded a net loss for the third quarter of 2008
of US$21.1 million, or US$0.05 per ADS, compared to a net
loss of US$45.2 million, or US$0.11 per ADS, in the third
quarter of 2007. Net revenue
was US$295.2 million, up from US$113.3 million for the comparable
period ending September 30, 2007. Phases I and II of City
of Dreams are fully funded, and the project remains on timetable
to open Phase I in the first half of next year, according
to CEO Lawrence Ho. They report having
$886 million cash on hand for the project and will spend $1.1
billion before Phase 1 opens.
|
|
MEMC Electronics
GREEN
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
WFR
|
$28.26
$12.75
|
$13.71
|
$96.08
$10.00
|
-51% &
+8%
|
|
NOTE: If you made 26% ROI, the mantra this year continues to be TAKE
YOUR PROFITS EARLY AND OFTEN.
MEMC was added to the S&P 500 in
August of 2007. Read the "Sun
Powers Whole Foods," article in vol.
3, issue 10 and "Green..." in vol. 6, issue 2.
Silicon is in high demand, and MEMC has been able to
price its product and pick its customers accordingly. Volatile marketplace. Great company. With more silicon manufacturing companies coming
online this year and next (like HOKU Scientific), MEMC's operating
margins (currently at 33%) could suffer. Look for this to start impacting the top line and profit margins
in the coming quarters.
1.22.09 reported 4Q and FY earnings:
For the full year ended December 31, 2008, the company's net sales increased
by 4.3% to $2.00 billion, compared to $1.92 billion in 2007.
Cash and investment balances grew by $92.3 million to over $1.4 billion. Net income was
$390 million, compared to $826 million a year ago.
Worse was the interim CEO's announcement that "Our current view of the
markets we serve indicates that first quarter 2009 revenue
could decline by as much as 50% from the fourth quarter of
2008." 1Q 2009 results should be
released the first week in May of 2009.
It was announced on 10.31.08 that Nabeel Gareeb, the former President and
CEO of MEMC Electronics, was resigning effective November
12, 2008 and that Board member Marshall Turner would serve
as interim CEO. Based upon the comments
and timing (right before the year-end results reported a significantly
reduced profit margin), however, it looks like Gareeb was
forced out so that MEMC could find a CEO to "lead the
company into the future." Ahmad Chatila
was tapped as the new CEO and president on 2.5.09.
He previously worked as an executive vice president
for Cypress Semiconductor Corp.'s memory and imaging division
and as the company's head of global manufacturing.
Wall Street liked the appointment and shares soared
on the news.
|
|
Microsoft
|
No
|
MSFT
|
$15.91
|
$15.91
|
$32.10
$15.91
|
--
|
|
Great Blue Chip for your Long Term Portfolio.
Waiting for lowest buy-in point. MSFT
is laying off 5000 employees. 1.22.09 2Q earnings: Microsoft
Corp. announced revenue of $16.63 billion for the second quarter
ended Dec. 31, 2008, a 2% increase over the same period of
the prior year. $4.17 billion in net income.
|
|
New Zealand Dollar currency ETF by WisdomTree
|
No
|
BNZ
|
$25.17
$18.49
(12.1.08)
|
$17.34
|
$25.31
$16.67
|
-31%
&
-6%
|
|
Read the article, "Foreign
Investing:
From BRICs to Barbeys," in vol. 5, issue
7, for more information on why New Zealand is the new attraction
on the world currency markets.
|
|
OSI Pharmaceuticals
RISK: HIGH (U.S.)
2005 Company of the Year
|
No
|
OSIP
|
$35.95
|
$33.10
|
$53.71
$31.33
|
-8%
|
|
M&A Watch. There
is a lot of M&A activity in the biotech sector. I'm keeping this active so see if there is a bid for OSIP ...
OSIP
is a partner of Genentech (DNA) and Roche, and Roche just
made a hostile bid to buy Genentech.
NataliePace.com’s
2005 Company of the Year. Read vol. 1, issue 56.
Tarceva is the genetic
based "cancer pill," and sales have been exploding.
OSIP is now testing Tarceva as an application for other cancers,
including lung cancer. Effective Jan. 5, 2009, OSIP has a new CFO with significant
M&A experience. Pierre Legault, 48, was most recently at Rite Aid Corporation
where he was Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative
Officer following his instrumental role in the 2007 merger
of Eckerd into Rite Aid.
OSI Pharmaceuticals was added to the NASDAQ
Q-50 Index(sm) (Nasdaq:NXTQ) on September 22, 2008.
Teva Pharma filed an application with the
FDA to launch a generic version of Tarceva, which OSIP has
challenged. According to OSIP, "Under law, FDA would
be prohibited from approving Teva's drug until May 2012 or
until a court issues a decision on the patent dispute." If Teva prevails in court, however, the original patent period
could be reduced to November 18, 2009. There is a lot is at stake here, which overshadows the
tremendous FY earnings report that OSIP released on 2.27.09.
4Q and FY 2008 earnings on 2.27.09: Revenue was $379 million, over $341 million
in 2007. Net income was $467 million compared with net income of $103
for 2007.
|
|
PowerShares CleanTech Portfolio
|
No
|
PZD
|
$33.22
|
$13.75
|
$36.93
$12.84
|
-59%
|
|
The PowerShares Cleantech Portfolio (Fund)
tracks the Cleantech Index™ (ticker: CTIUS), which is
designed to track the leading cleantech companies, from a
broad range of industry sectors, that offer the best investment
returns. 'Cleantech' companies derive the majority of their
business from knowledge-based products or services that improve
productivity and/or product performance while reducing total
costs, energy and resource consumption, pollution, toxicity,
etc. Top holdings as of 2.13.09 include: First Solar, Siemens,
Vestas, Auto Desk, Corning.
See Green
Your Portfolio article in vol. 5, issue
9 and "Green..."
in vol. 6, issue 2.
|
|
PowerShares Wilderhill Clean Energy
Portfolio
|
No
|
PBW
|
$19.92
$6.02
(3.2.09)
|
$6.02
|
$28.84
$6.02
|
-69%
|
|
Exchange Traded Fund in the green, clean,
renewable energy space. See Green
Your Portfolio article in vol. 5, issue
9 and "Green..."
in vol. 6, issue 2.
Top holdings as of 2.13.09 include:
JA Solar, Trina Solar, Yingli, Zoltek, Suntech, Evergreen
...
|
|
Rio Tinto
(UK based mining company)
|
Yes
|
RTP
|
$138.69
$84.68
(12.1.08)
|
$91.91
|
$558.65
$59.20
|
-34% &
+9%
|
|
See "Gold
is a 4-Letter Word," vol. 5, issue
11. $22.3 billion EBITDA and
net earnings of $3.7 billion announced on 2.12.09. Signed deal with Chinese company same day. The major strategic partnership with Chinalco provides additional flexibility
in addressing the Group's commitment to reduce net debt by
a further $10 billion by end of 2009. Net debt reduced by
$6.5 billion to $38.7 billion at 31 December 2008. The transaction
is subject to approval by the shareholders of Rio Tinto, governments
and other regulators.
|
|
Satcon
VERY HIGH RISK
Micro Cap
|
No
|
SATC
|
$1.62
$1.15
(3.2.09)
|
$1.15
|
$3.14
$1.30
|
-29%
|
|
Clean Tech. Satcon is a developer and supplier of power management and system
architecture solutions for the alternative energy and distributed
power markets.
Announced earnings on 11.6.08. * Revenue increased 38% to $18.5 million from $13.4 million in Q2'08.
Gross margin improved to 18.9% from 11.7% in Q2'08.
Backlog grew 30% over Q2'08. Company
expects to achieve operating profitability in 2H 2009. Net
loss from continuing operations for the third quarter was
approximately $1.3 million, compared with a net loss of $2.4
million for the third quarter of 2007. Cash and cash equivalents
at September 27, 2008 were $10.5 million, compared with $9.8
million at June 28, 2008. The company reported an ending backlog
on September 27, 2008 of $39 million, compared with backlog
of $30 million at June 28, 2008.
SatCon commercial grade inverters are an integral part of Google's corporate
headquarters in Mountain View, California. The 1.6MW system
is the largest commercial photovoltaic system in the United
States. On August 17, 2008, SatCon Technology Corporation
announced that the company is a key member of a team of best-in-class
clean energy industry leaders recently awarded the Solar Energy
Grid Integration Systems (SEGIS) contract by Sandia National
Laboratories. Sandia is a government-owned/contractor
operated (GOCO) facility - a collaboration between Lockheed-Martin
and the U.S. Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security
Administration.
On 12.9.08 announced that Suntech had selected Satcon to help power a 1 megawatt
(MW) solar energy installation hosted at The North Face West
Coast Distribution Center in Visalia, California for Recurrent
Energy.
|
|
Smith & Nephew
London, England
RISK: MEDIUM
|
Yes
|
SNN
|
$55.78
$34.92
(12.1.08)
|
$34.42
|
$69.20
$30.27
|
-38% &
flat
|
|
Announced full year earnings
on February 12, 2009: $3.8 billion in earnings. Read the article in vol.
4, issue 7. The company
is based out of London, England. Additionally, SNN has a piece of an exploding marketplace in
the hip resurfacing business with its premiere product, called
the BIRMINGHAM HIP* Resurfacing System.
Hip resurfacing is far less invasive than the total
hip replacement and even has athletes like Floyd Landis and
Gary Kobat back competing in running and biking within a year
of surgery!
On 1.30.09, Smith &
Nephew, Inc. (NYSE: SNN, LSE: SN) announced that its Orthopaedics
Reconstruction Division has entered into a grant administration
agreement with the Orthopaedic Research and Education Foundation
(OREF). This should help training and adoption of the innovative orthopaedic
products that SNN has been pioneering.
|
|
Sociedad Minera y Quimica de Chile
|
No
|
SQM
|
$25.21
$21.51
(12.1.08)
|
$26.74
|
$59.41
$12.98
|
+6% &
+24%
|
|
Read the article,
Treasure
Hunting, in vol. 4, issue 10. NOTE: If you made 24% ROI, the mantra this year continues to be TAKE
YOUR PROFITS EARLY AND OFTEN.
3Q 2008 earnings on 10.28.08: Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) (NYSE: SQM; Santiago Stock Exchange:
SQM-B, SQM-A) reported today earnings for the first nine months
of 2008 of US$381.1 million (US$1.45 per ADR), an increase
of 181% with respect to the same period of 2007, when earnings
totaled US$135.4 million (US$0.51 per ADR).
Revenues for the first nine months of 2008 totaled US$1,376.2
million, representing growth of 56% over the US$881.3 million
reported in the same period of 2007.
SQM's
Chief Executive Officer, Patricio Contesse, stated, "We
are pleased to announce that SQM has once again achieved record
earnings, with net income for the third quarter alone exceeding
not only net income for the first six months of this year
but also net income for the full-year 2007. These results
are due in large part to higher prices for our potassium-based
fertilizers. In addition, during 2008 we observed positive
developments in both the iodine and lithium markets that allowed
us not only to report higher results than we initially projected
for these two businesses, but also to improve our outlook
for both of these markets. In particular, we recently announced
a 25% price increase for iodine, reflecting changes in the
equilibrium between supply, which has become tighter than
expected, and demand, which has grown faster than expected."
|
|
Sunpower
|
No
|
SPWRA
|
$25.38
|
$25.38
|
$107.00
$18.50
|
--
|
|
Read this month’s "The
Sunny Side" in vol. 6, issue 3.
|
|
Suntech Power Holdings
|
Yes
|
STP
|
$40.07
$5.50
(3.2.09)
|
$5.50
|
$90.00
$5.36
|
-86%
|
|
2007 and 2008 Company of the Year!
Read "Green..."
in vol. 6, issue 2, "2008
Company of the Year," in vol.
5, issue 8 and "Solar
Springs Up Again," in vol. 5,
issue 4. Suntech was the official solar
sponsor of the Beijing Olympics, our 2007
Company of the Year, as well as our
featured Company
of the Month in October of 2006.
Go to vol 4, issue 1 and vol. 3 issue 10 to access
those articles.
NOTE: The mantra this year continues to be TAKE YOUR PROFITS EARLY
AND OFTEN.
4Q and FY 2008
results call on February 18, 2009 at 8:00 a.m. ET. For
further information and dial in details please visit http://www.suntech-power.com
under Investor Center: Financial Events.
3Q 2008 results on 11.20.08: Third quarter 2008 total net revenues grew 53.7% year-over-year
to $594.4 million. GAAP net income for the third quarter was
$55.9 million or $0.33 per diluted American Depository Share
(ADS).
On 1.23.09, issued surprisingly positive preliminary earnings results: For
the fourth quarter of 2008, Suntech expects total net revenues
to be in the range of $405 million to $420 million, above
previously issued guidance of revenues in the range of $345
million to $360 million. Full year 2008 total net revenues
are expected to be in the range of $1.91 billion to $1.93
billion and full year 2008 PV product shipments are expected
to be in the range of 493MW to 496MW.
As of December 31, 2008, Suntech's cash and cash equivalents balance was approximately
$508 million, which is approximately $113 million higher than
the cash and cash equivalents balance at the end of the third
quarter of 2008.
|
|
T. Rowe Price Em Europe & Mediterranean
Mutual Fund
(International)
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
TREMX
|
$20.07
|
$6.57
|
$40.00
$6.55
|
-67%
|
|
Mutual fund holdings have shifted from Eastern
Europe emerging markets to Russian oil and gas markets.
Looking for best opportunity to cash out. (1.2.09)
|
|
Trina Solar Limited
RISK: Medium
Chinese-based ADR
|
No
|
TSL
|
$38.99
$5.95
(3.2.09)
|
$5.95
|
$73.06
$5.61
|
-85%
|
|
Read the articles, "Green..."
in vol. 6, issue 2 and "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
in vol. 5, issue 4.
3Q 2008 earnings on November 19, 2008:
Solar module shipments
were 66.36 MW, up 213.7% from 21.15 MW in 3Q 2007 and 39.5%
from 47.57 MW in 2Q 2008.
Total net revenues
increased to $290.7 million, up 252.1% year-over-year and
42.4% sequentially. Net income was $32.1 million, compared
to $7.8 million in 3Q 2007 and $17.1 million in 2Q 2008.
Net income includes a foreign currency exchange loss
of $4.9 million.
Look for 4Q and FY
report in the first week of March 2009.
As of September 30,
2008, the Company had $136.3 million in cash and cash equivalents,
excluding the Company's restricted cash balance of $48.5 million.
The restricted cash comprises deposits pledged to banks to
secure bank borrowings and letter of credit facilities.
As of October 31,
2008, the Company's total approved credit facilities totaled
approximately $450 million, of which includes approximately
$150 million in available credit.
Total net revenues to be in the range of $800 million to $850 million, compared
to previous guidance of $850 million to $900 million.
|
|
U.S. Gold
Colorado USA
RISK: VERY HIGH
|
Yes
|
UXG
|
$5.05
$.50
|
$2.06
|
$7.04
$.38
|
-59% &
+412%
|
|
Note: U.S. Gold is not producing gold
at this time; is it a gold exploration company, based in Nevada.
U.S. Gold is an exploration company, not a mining
company, meaning that if they strike gold, the stock should
spike and if they don't, you could lose your investment.
Very risky.
If you purchased at $.50, the 432% profit
is outstanding! Consider taking it. You'll want to make sure you have shares of U.S. Gold going forward
as well, however. Gold should be a great
hedge against inflation in the future. (Right now, the Feds are concerned about deflation, but inflation
could be on the 12-18 month horizon.)
The Company's primary objective in Nevada
is to discover the next Cortez Hills deposit. Cortez Hills,
owned by the world's largest gold producer, is Nevada's largest
gold discovery of the past decade and located just 10 miles
(16 km) north of U.S. Gold. They also
have mines in Mexico that are promising high grade gold ore.
Began trading on the AMEX stock exchange on
12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.) See
the feature
interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen
in vol. 3, issue 2, and click to hear Natalie
Pace’s Q&A with Rob McEwen
on the Forbes.com Video Network.
A company spokesperson says that their capital
position is secure, and that they have trimmed costs to preserve
capital in 2009. Company may need more capital in 2009 (according
to the bean counters), however, so make sure that you're buying
near the 52-week low to maximize your upside potential.
|
|
Westpac Bank (Australia)
|
No
|
WBK
|
$95.29
$52.46
(12.1.08)
|
$49.86
|
$144.04
$45.16
|
-48% &
-5%
|
|
Read the article, "Foreign
Investing: From BRICs to Barbeys," in
vol. 5, issue 7, for more information on why this Australian
bank is the new attraction in the world. Annual General Meeting December 11, 2008. 2008
annual report: $3.9 billion in net income (after tax).
Is merging with St. George.
|
|
WisdomTree
NYC, USA
RISK:
HIGH
|
Yes
|
WSDT
|
$2.95
|
$.62
|
$3.50
$.52
|
-79%
|
|
See vol. 4, issue 3, "Money
Grows on WisdomTrees," and vol. 5,
issue 2, "International
Money Grows on WisdomTrees."
Announced 4Q and FY 2008 results on Feb. 5,
2009. The full year net loss was $29.0 million compared
to $25.1 million in 2007. WisdomTree CEO Jonathan Steinberg
commented, "These are challenging times, but these are
also important times of change in the asset management industry
as difficult market conditions have highlighted the importance
of transparency, liquidity and tax efficiency like never before.
Recognition of these structural advantages helped the ETF
industry as a whole take in approximately $178 billion in
net inflows in 2008 in stark contrast to the net outflows
of mutual funds."
As of December
31, 2008, assets under management ("AUM") tied to
the WisdomTree Indexes were $3.6 billion, down 21.8% since
September 30, 2008. At the end of the fourth quarter, ETF
AUM were $3.2 billion, down 22.0% from September 30, 2008.
The severe decline in the valuation of global equity markets
contributed to $925 million of net market depreciation of
the WisdomTree ETFs in the fourth quarter. Despite domestic
markets declining nearly 22% and international markets nearly
20%, net inflows into WisdomTree ETFs were $29.5 million in
the fourth quarter. For the full year, ETF AUM declined 30.2%
primarily due to $2.3 billion in market declines despite almost
$900 million in net inflows.
Launched New Zealand and South African currency
ETFs on June 26, 2008, with the symbols BNZ and SZR respectively.
Jarrett Lilien, former E*TRADE FINANCIAL Acting
CEO, President and Chief Operating Officer, joined the Board
of Directors on November 14, 2008.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Recently Deleted/2008
Companies featured:
Echelon +20%, GE,
+13% and +18%, Google, +15% and +31%, Johnson & Johnson +10%,
LDK Solar +18%, Microsoft +12%, Satcon +13%, Suntech +35%, Trina
Solar +22%, World Water & Solar +22%. Genentech (8.1.08) +40%. Altair (deleted on 8.7.08) posted gains of +3% and +57%.
Zoltek (deleted on 8.18.08) lost 30% before being removed.
LDK Solar was deleted on 9.2.08 with 46% and 29% profits. U.S. Gold profit taking on 11.6.08 amounted to 72% gains.
Conergy gains of 51% were taken on 11.7.08. American Superconductor
posted 50% gains between 12.1 and 1.14.09. MEMC Electronics (WFR) had 21% gains between 12.1 and 12.15.08.
STP had gains of 69% between 12.1.08 and 1.2.09.
SQM profits 20% on 1.14.09. WWAT was
deleted on 2.1.09 with -62% losses. On 2.15.09,
AMSC had gains of 65%, MEMC Electronics 26%, Sociedad de Quimica
y Minera 48% and U.S. Gold 432%.
Recently Deleted from the Hot News list:
Short term gains on AMSC, MEMC, SQM and UXG on 2.15.09
World Water & Solar (now known as Entech Solar) on 2.1.09
World Water & Solar
Is now Entech Solar |
No
|
ENSL
|
$1.06
|
$0.41
|
$2.52
$0.22 |
-62%
|
Sorry gang. Wish I had better news. The
company changed the company direction, changed the company name and now has
appointed a venture capitalist as Chairman of the Board. The visionary CEO and Chairman, Quentin
Kelly, who founded World Water & Solar in 1984 and went on a Green Tour
with Governor Schwarzenegger in 2007 has left the
company officially effective January 7, 2009.
The company is running out of money, and on
January 29, 2009 Frank Smith, Entech Solar CEO, admitted
that "the factory is not yet producing product suitable for
certification."
So, they have a new CEO, new chairman, new
COO, new products that don't work and they are running out of dough. I'd say time to cut your losses. If you see something here that I'm missing,
be sure to email me.
It was fun while it lasted! WWAT was one of our top performers in 2007!
http://www.nataliepace.com/newsletters/members/news.php?np=yes&issue=404/404&article=01
|
Stocks to Watch
Some of these are great companies that we're thinking of adding
to the Hot List and some are stinkers we're thinking of adding to
the Cooling Off List. Read carefully to identify which is
which!
Note that right now most of our favorite companies are on the
Watch List, anticipating continued weakening of the stock market,
and share prices.
Recent Additions:
Applied Materials (2.15.09)
Recent Deletions:
Citigroup (added to Hot News list)
Microsoft (added to Hot News list)
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when featured
|
Price
3.2.09
|
Year High
Year Low
|
Gains since original feature
|
|
Apple
Computer
|
Yes
|
AAPL
|
$113.66
(9.30.08)
|
$88.50
|
$202.96
$79.14 |
-22%
|
|
See archived ezine Vol. 4, issue 2, for the
feature article, "Apple
Chips."
Jobs
is taking a medical leave of absence until the end of June to focus on his
health while Tim Cook, COO runs things. Jobs will remain CEO and will be involved in major strategic
decisions.
1Q
2009 results on 1.21.09: The Company posted record
revenue of $10.17 billion and record net quarterly profit of $1.61 billion,
or $1.78 per diluted share. These results compare to revenue of $9.6 billion
and net quarterly profit of $1.58 billion, or $1.76 per diluted share, in the
year-ago quarter. Apple sold 2,524,000 Macintosh® computers during the
quarter, representing nine percent unit growth over
the year-ago quarter. The Company sold a record 22,727,000 iPods during the
quarter, representing three percent unit growth over
the year-ago quarter. Quarterly iPhone units sold were 4,363,000,
representing 88 percent unit growth over the year-ago quarter.
$25.6 billion in cash and short-term securities.
|
|
Applied
Materials
|
No
|
AMAT
|
$9.51
|
$8.85
|
$21.75
$7.17 |
-7%
|
|
Nanomanufacturing Technology solutions for the global
semiconductor, flat panel display, solar and related
industries, with a portfolio of equipment, service and software products. The
Company's customers include manufacturers of semiconductor wafers and chips,
flat panel liquid crystal displays (LCDs), solar photovoltaic (PV) cells and
modules, and other electronic devices. It operates in four segments: Silicon,
Applied Global Services, Display, and Energy and Environmental Solutions. On January 31, 2008, Applied acquired Baccini
S.p.A. (Baccini), a supplier of automated
metallization and test systems for crystalline silicon (c-Si) solar PV cells.
Sales were down 36% in
the 1st quarter 2009. Switching emphasis from chips to solar energy ... GAAP net loss was $133 million, GAAP net loss per share was $0.10. New orders were $903 million.
"We acted early and decisively to reduce costs in line with
economic conditions that have resulted in an unprecedented decline in
demand," said Mike Splinter, president and CEO. "With our leading
technology and strong balance sheet, Applied is positioned to weather this
recession and invest in new products and services."
|
|
Baidu
|
No
|
BIDU
|
$134.63
|
$137.73
|
$397.70
$100.50 |
+2%
|
|
Leading Chinese website. Expecting
share price to continue to get battered. 19.67 P/E is high for a declining marketplace. (Advertising
revenue models tend to suffer greatly in recessions.)
|
|
Big
Lots
|
No
|
BIG
|
$30.28
|
$15.00
|
$34.88
$12.40 |
-50%
|
|
Read "Discount
Designer Stores," from vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Canadian
Imperial Bank
DIVIDENDS
4.31%!
RISK:
LOW |
No
|
CM
|
$65.88
|
$30.89
|
$108.79
$30.64 |
-53%
|
|
Refer to the "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars" article in Vol. 5, issue
2 for details. Financial markets are under duress. Avoid most banks for now.
|
|
First
Solar
|
No
|
FSLR
|
$188.91
|
$102.16
|
$317.00
$95.32 |
-46%
|
|
See "Solar
Springs Up Again," article in vol.
5, issue4. Deleted from Cooling Off List
on 9.30.08.
First Solar uses cadmium telluride
instead of silicon to transfer sunlight into useable energy.
This was a huge competitive advantage when silicon
was hard to get at a reasonable price. Thus
First Solar's operating margins were the highest in the industry
- at 31.42%. That is shifting, however, for two reasons. Silicon
manufacturing is heating up and cadmium telluride isn't as
abundant or as efficient a power source as silicon.
Read the article for more details.
|
|
Intel
RISK:
LOW |
No
|
INTC
|
$20.27
|
$12.54
|
$27.99
$12.06 |
-38%
|
|
Intel
is a great blue chip. However, the
chip business is highly competitive and the business spending is expected to
moderate during the next year. Wait
and see what happens to the share price!
Green: Intel and Google launched
ClimateSaversComputing.org in 2007, with a goal of achieving a 50% power
consumption reduction by 2010. They
have convinced all kinds of partners to come on board, including competitors:
Advanced Micro Devices and Microsoft!
|
|
NetGear
Silicon
Valley, CA
RISK:
MEDIUM |
No
|
NTGR
|
$26.38
|
$10.58
|
$41.33
$8.21 |
-60%
|
|
With the financial crisis and the crush it has put on the
consumer's wallet, I would be wary about NetGear's earnings reports in the
coming quarters, since so many of the company's many products are reliant
upon the consumer electronics industry. Share price is getting hammered. I don't think this trend is over yet.
Watch Natalie
Pace’s Exclusive Forbes.com
Video Network Q&A with Patrick Lo (from
August 2006). Award Heaven! Patrick Lo,
CEO, won the Ernst & Young's Entrepreneur of the Year
Award (on 6.16.06), NetGear was on Business Week's Hot 100
list (for the 2nd year), NetGear was awarded Best
Buy's Bravo Award for Business Excellence and POPULAR MECHANICS gave NetGear's Skype phone its Breakthrough Award.
|
|
Ross
Stores
|
No
|
ROST
|
$35.90
|
$29.67
|
$39.23
$21.23 |
-17%
|
|
Read "Discount
Designer Stores," from vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Sohu
(Chinese Co. ADR)
Beijing,
China
Small Cap
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$46.54
|
$44.74
|
$91.50
$34.10 |
-4%
|
|
See NataliePace.com
ezines, vol.
3, issue 4 and
vol.
2, issue 9 for feature articles on Sohu. Dr.
Charles Zhang, the Chairman and CEO of Sohu.com, is one of
our CEOs
of the year in 2007.
Read the articles in vol. 4, issue 1. You can watch a Q&A
with Dr. Charles Zhang in an exclusive interview I
did on the Forbes.com
Video Network.
|
|
Wells
Fargo
|
No
|
WFC
|
$25.84
|
$10.78
|
$44.69
$13.74 |
-59%
|
|
See Wells
Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings
in vol, 5, issue 9, and Wells
Fargo’s Great Depression,
in vol. 4, issue 12. Announces 4Q earnings on January 28,
2009. Should have complete annual report available at the
end of February 2009.
1.28.09: WELLS FARGO REPORTS FULL YEAR NET INCOME OF $2.84 BILLION, $0.75
PER SHARE, FOURTH QUARTER NET LOSS OF $2.55 BILLION.
Record revenue of $42.23 billion,
up 7 percent from prior year
Full year 2008 net
charge-offs were $7.84 billion (1.97 percent of average total loans) compared
with $3.54 billion (1.03 percent) during 2007. Total wholesale charge-offs
(excluding business
direct)
increased $864 million from the prior year, including the previously
referenced $294 million of Madoff-related losses, residential real estate
construction and industries related to home building. Home Equity charge-offs
totaled $2.16 billion (2.57 percent of average Home Equity loans) in 2008
compared with $596 million (0.73 percent) in 2007. Auto charge-offs totaled
$1.23 billion (4.50 percent of average auto loans) in 2008 compared with
$1.02 billion (3.45 percent) in 2007. Business Direct charge-offs totaled
$819 million (6.96 percent of average business direct loans) in 2008 compared
with $433 million (3.97 percent) in 2007.
Nonperforming
assets totaled $9 billion and loans that are 90 days past
due and still accruing totaled $12.65 billion.
At $21+ billion, that is half of their "record
revenue" for 2008. Be advised.
|
|
Wisdom
Tree Chinese Yuan ETF
|
No
|
CYB
|
$24.85
|
$25.15
|
$25.72
$22.41 |
+2%
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars," from vol. 5, issue
2. This ETF is not available yet.
|
|
Wisdom
Tree Emerging Markets Hi-Yield ETF
|
No
|
DEM
|
$53.08
|
$26.69
|
$58.78
$27.10 |
-49%
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars," from vol. 5, issue
2.
|
|
Wisdom
Tree Emerging Markets ETF
|
No
|
DGS
|
$44.66
|
$21.05
|
$52.71
$0.21 |
-53%
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars," from vol. 5, issue
2. Hold off.
|
|
Wisdom
Tree Indian Rupee currency ETF
|
No
|
ICN
|
$24.28
|
$21.25
|
$25.71
$20.42 |
-12%
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars," from vol. 5, issue
2.
|
|
Wisdom
Tree International Financial
ETF |
No
|
DRF
|
$23.25
|
$7.50
|
$31.49
$8.42 |
-68%
|
|
Add to Hot News on 3.1.09?
Read the articles, "International
Investing," and "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars," from vol. 5, issue
2. Most holdings are in international finance, including HSBC,
Banco Santander, Australia, Argentina, Scotland and Lloyds
of London.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cooling Off Stocks List
(may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).
Note: The companies listed
in bold have recently been added to this cooling off list and/or
may be currently poised for a decline in value. Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent
news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump
losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while
keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always consult your certified financial partner before
making adjustments to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are expected to go DOWN
in price.)
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
None
DELETIONS:
American
Express. Short term gains on AXP of 35% on 3.2.09. (I'm
not removing from the list because continued losses in share price
are likely.)
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when added to Cooling Off List
|
Price 2.27.09
|
52-week High
52-week Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
American
Express
|
No
|
AXP
|
$16.98
|
$11.06
|
$52.63
$14.72 |
-35%
|
|
This
year's mantra is take your profits early and
often. If you've earned 35% gain since
2.1.09 when AXP was added to the list, take your profits!
Read the article "American
Express," from vol. 6,
issue 2.
|
Fortress
Investment Group
|
No
|
FIG
|
$3.57
|
$1.12
|
$19.50
$0.77 |
-69%
|
|
Read the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs" (vol. 5, issue
12) and "Money
Grows on Wisdom Trees," from vol. 4, issue 3.
Reported earnings on 11.12.08. 3Q
2008 GAAP net loss of $57 million. Net loss for the first 9 months of 2008 equals $182 million.
|
KB
Home
RISK:
HIGH |
No
|
KBH
|
$59.00
|
$8.68
|
$48.67
$6.90 |
-85%
|
|
Read the article, "Rupert
Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out
Where They Are Investing," from
vol. 2, issue 5. In May 2005, we
called REITs a burnout sector, and the fallout should continue,
with high home prices, rising interest rates, people backing
out of contracts and rising inventory. Housing is
not expected to recover until the 2nd half of 2009
or even 2010, and while housing is in the toilet, so are housing
REITs, like KB Home and Toll Brothers.
McMansions are going the way of Hummers (extinct) in the new
cleaner, greener, fuel-efficient world. Who can afford to heat these huge homes? Who is buying new real estate these
days?
3Q 2008 earnings on 9.26.08: Revenues totaled $681.6 million for
the third quarter ended August 31, 2008, down from $1.54 billion for the
third quarter of 2007, largely due to lower housing revenues. Third-quarter
housing revenues totaled $668.3 million, down from
$1.53 billion in the year-earlier quarter, reflecting a 51% decrease in homes
delivered and a 10% decline in the average selling price. The Company
delivered 2,788 homes at an average selling price of $239,700 in the third
quarter of 2008 compared to 5,699 homes at an average selling price of
$267,700 in the third quarter of 2007.
The Company posted a net loss of $144.7 million, compared to a net
loss of $35.6 million for the third quarter of 2007. The Company's cash balance at August 31, 2008 totaled $942.5 million, up 46%
from $645.9 million at August 31, 2007. The Company's debt
balance at the end of the current quarter was $1.88 billion,
down $284.1 million from $2.16 billion at the end of the 2007
third quarter, largely due to the redemption of debt. The
Company's ratio of debt to total capital at August 31, 2008
was 62.3% compared to 44.8% at August 31, 2007.
|
MGM
Mirage
|
No
|
MGM
|
$26.79
|
$2.84
|
$100.50
$5.10 |
-89%
|
|
Get more information
in vol. 5, issue 10
in the (No)
Viva Las Vegas
article. The City Center project
looms as exceedingly problematic in today's vast downturn
of real estate in the Las Vegas area. Anticipating
very bad news on this project in the near future.
MGM
has a new CEO and Chairman effective December 1, 2008. James J. Murren became the Company's Chairman and Chief
Executive Officer, effective December 1, 2008. Former Chairman and CEO J.
Terrence Lanni will continue as a member of the Board and will join the
Diversity Committee. majority shareholder Kirk
Kerkorian was pleased and issued a statement applauding Lanni's leadership
and succession plan. (Sounds like
Murren might have been Kerkorian's succession plan ...) Any way, can anyone resurrect Vegas in
these turbulent times?
MGM raised $688
million in a private offering of senior secured debt notes,
which the company is using to pay down debt and continue
operations.
|
Sears
Holding
|
No
|
SHLD
|
$52.93
|
$35.33
|
$127.32
$26.80 |
-33%
|
|
Read
the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs" (vol. 5, issue
12) and the " | | |