TO
ACCESS A PRINTABLE COPY OF THIS NEWSLETTER CLICK HERE.

Vol.6 Issue 10, October 1st, 2009
Send comments and suggestions or get more information
at info@NataliePace.com
Quote of the Month:
"I was not going to be the Federal Reserve chairman who presided
over the Second Great Depression. For that reason, I had to hold
my nose and stop those firms from failing."
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben S. Bernanke,
Speaking in a Town Hall meeting hosted by the NewsHour with Jim
Lehrer on July 26, 2009 (Video)
|
|
|
Company
of the Year.
by Natalie
Pace.
2002
was a record year for veteran gold mining executive, Rob McEwen.
He won Northern Miner's Man of the Year Award, Ernst & Young's
Ontario Entrepreneur of the Year Award in the Energy Category; and
the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada's Developer
of the Year award. Under his leadership, Goldcorp was named one
of Fast Company magazine's 50 Companies of Innovation, and
was selected by Business Week magazine as one of the 50 most
innovative companies on the web.
After 18 years
leading Goldcorp, McEwen could easily have retired to enjoy the
golden years he’d bagged. His payoff was long and hard-won. As Goldcorp's
Chairman and CEO, he'd survived a bitter 46-month labor strike,
found new reserves in a tapped-out mine, invented the Goldcorp Principle
(now an industry standard for identifying new reserves through open-sourcing),
won industry awards, received media recognition, attracted investors
and positioned the market capitalization of Goldcorp to rocket from
$50 million to its current value of $28 billion. It reads like a
sentence until you realize the significance of each of those achievements.
If he didn’t find new reserves or end the strike; the company would
have gone out of business. His life and his livelihood were all
at risk, and it is his legacy of tenacity against all odds and naysayers,
as much as his inventiveness, which is what makes him the perfect
Chairman and CEO of his newest venture, U.S. Gold.
U.S. Gold is
another nail-biter of an endeavor. Can McEwen use his skills at
identifying new reserves to amass the next Cortez Trend in Nevada?
Will he run out of dough and investor/believers before he hits the
Mother Lode? Will the major indices gamble on an exploration company,
or shun his track record and stick with companies that are actually
mining gold, instead of the renegade explorers? Has he overtapped
his resources by prospecting in Mexico?
U.S. Gold began
trading in 2005, and within a year, investors had bid the stock
up to $10/share. Initial drilling results were less than glorious,
and by October 2008, U.S. Gold had lost some of its top talent and
the share price bottomed out at just 44 cents. Chairman/CEO McEwen
had to raise more capital to keep drilling (and avoid a delisting).
As part of the capital infusion plan, McEwen has been putting his
own money into the corporation. In 2009, more than 8 million shares
were purchased by McEwen and funds owned by him, but other officers,
including CFO Ing Perry have bought in this year as well.
Now, certainly,
I wish I’d named U.S. Gold as Company of the Year in 2008 at 44
cents. We did highlight the company at that time, and told investors
it was a steal. Our subscribers have earned up to four times return
on their money in a bear market where few dare to hope for gains
of that magnitude. Before you bag your profits and go home, however,
consider that U.S. Gold’s potential could be only beginning.
Rob McEwen’s
last endeavor, GoldCorp, which is currently valued at $28 billion,
started out with a $500 million market cap, in the range of where
U.S. Gold is now. On September 15, 2009, the S&P added U.S.
Gold to the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and S&P/TSX Global
Mining Index. So, the company should start seeing more institutional
support.
Finally, there
are already signs that cash-rich investors are seeking hard assets
as safe havens, fearing that the bailouts and stalled U.S. economy
will further weaken the dollar, and that Treasuries, when printed
out like paper, are destined to devalue faster than cars and commodities.
Over the past year, cash-flush Chinese companies have wooed the
Opel brand of General Motors (unsuccessfully to date), Rio Tinto
(a gold/copper/iron mining company) and frankly, just about every
Australian mineral or resource entity that it can get its hands
on. Premium label gold stocks, and I certainly believe that anything
Rob McEwen is attached to is the A-team in gold mining, could benefit
from the worldwide infatuation with hard assets.
Thus, U.S. Gold
is my Company of the Year for 2009. U.S. Gold has been on the Hot
News list for many years. I highlighted it again this month, while
the share price is in the range of $2.60. Be aware, however, that
a positive GDP report on October 29, 2009, could negatively impact
the price of gold. Therefore, it is conceivable that the share price
of U.S. Gold could become even more attractive in the wake of such
event. Market timing this sort of thing works only if you have a
crystal ball. Dollar cost-averaging, i.e. buying a little now and
a little later if the price becomes more attractive, can be very
effective.
Buyer Be
Notified that U.S. Gold is an exploration company, not a mining
company. They don’t produce gold at this time.
Full Disclosure:
I own shares of U.S. Gold. I do not own positions in any other companies
mentioned in this article.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is and CEO of one of the
most respected, independently owned financial news corporations
in the U.S. She has been ranked as a #1 stock picker from TipsTraders.com
and has partnered content with
Forbes.com,
Sohu.com, Kiplinger’s Personal Finance and more. She has appeared
on Fox News, Good Morning America, CNBC, Time Magazine, More Magazine,
USA Today, NPR and national radio shows. Ask her your money questions
on her weekly radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace!
Follow her on Twitter.com/NataliePace,
YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM
and Facebook.com/NatalieWynnePace.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling
Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should reflect
a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance
of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk
tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of
your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy,
and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should
never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
Obama,
Clinton and the Sexiest Man on the Planet.
by Natalie
Pace.
The
world applauded when President Barack Obama and his Secretary of
State, Hillary Clinton, became the new faces of America. And now,
women in particular (and the men who love them) have even more cause
for celebration, in the appointment of Melanne Verveer as the first
ever U.S. Ambassador-at-Large for Global Women’s Issues. Wherever
there is abuse, inequality, injustice, poverty and malnutrition,
there you will find Ambassador Verveer seated in the halls of justice
and government to address the concerns, making sure that the feminine
perspective is given due consideration. Ambassador Verveer’s efforts
helped to save the life of the sexiest man on the planet (keep reading).
 |
| Ambassador-at-Large
for Global Women's Issues Melanne Verveer visited Badghis Province,
the poorest province in Afghanistan, on June 25, where she met
with Governor Arman, Provincial Council Members, the line director
for the Ministry of Women's Affairs, grassroots women's organizations,
women leaders, and female candidates for the upcoming elections. |
So, what does
an ambassador for women do? Ambassador Verveer’s mission is to work
for the political, economic and social empowerment of women. But
what does that actually look like and why is that even important?
Ambassador Verveer
was sworn in on June 12, 2009 and by June 25, she was already in
Afghanistan. Prior to her visit, in February and March of 2009,
the Afghanistan National Assembly and President Karzai had signed
The Shi’a Personal Status Law which allows men to have sex with
minors, imprisons women in their homes, obliges a wife to obey her
husband in all sexual matters and gives her unequal status with
regard to divorce, guardianship of children, inheritance and enjoyment
of property (source: UNAMA report, July 2009). Ambassador Verveer
was just visiting President Karzai’s country to remind him of President
Obama and Secretary Clinton’s personal commitment to women’s rights.
According to Ambassador Verveer (and a landslide of data), "Countries
that repress women also tend to be backward economically, and are
more likely to be failed states."
While in Afghanistan,
Ambassador Verveer announced $27 million in funding for local NGOs
to provide economic development, literacy, training, skills training,
and healthcare. In the wake of her departure, President Karzai reported
to the United Nations that the Shi’a Personal Law had been amended
and would be presented to Parliament for adoption after the August
2009 elections. Additionally, on September 7, 2009, President Karzai
gave a hush-hush pardon and ticket out of the country to Sayed Parvez
Kambakhsh, 24, a young male journalist trainee who had been sentenced
to death for publishing articles on women’s rights in Afghanistan.
According to
Ambassador Verveer, President Obama and Secretary Clinton have made
women’s rights so prominent because it is clear that "there
have to be strategic places in government, in our development agencies
and in our state department to ensure sure that these kinds of issues
get addressed and the resources get allocated in a way that is thoughtful,
meets the purpose, is measurable and that outcomes, in fact, get
achieved." Mission accomplished, at least in the life of Mr.
Kambakhsh. In atom-splitting speed. With regard to the amended Shi’a
Personal Status Law, "Changes were made, but it's still very
flawed," according to Ambassador Verveer. The amended law has
not yet been passed in the Afghan National Assembly.
Another major
focus of the State Department is to promote peace and security worldwide
through a very basic, yet innovative approach – alleviating hunger.
At the Clinton
Global Initiative Closing Plenary session on September
25, 2009, Secretary Clinton announced a novel approach for her State
Department – promoting security through a global food initiative.
According to Secretary Clinton, food is all about "economic
security, environmental security, and even national security."
"People
who are starving, who have no incomes, who can’t care for their
families, are left with feelings of hopelessness and desperation,"
according to Secretary Clinton. "Desperation of that magnitude
sows seeds of its own—of tension, conflict, and violence. Since
2007, there have been riots over food in more than 60 countries."
So what
does this have to do with Ambassador Verveer? Everything. The
majority of farmers in the developing world are women. The issues
that prevent agricultural development are not as simple as water
– which is of course, essential – but also extend to land ownership,
credit, microloans and literacy. Most of the women are toiling fields
they don’t own, borrowing money for seeds at rates that keep them
impoverished and are not organized, empowered or literate enough
to ameliorate the situation.
The goals are
lofty and the stakes are high. Secretary Clinton aims to "increase
the world’s food supply for both the short and the long term; diminish
hunger; raise farmers’ incomes; improve health; expand opportunity;
and strengthen regional economies." The woman Secretary Clinton
put in charge by her side, Ambassador Melanne Verveer, has been
toiling in the trenches of policy issues for decades alongside her.
Before becoming the Ambassador of Global Women’s Issues, Ambassador
Vermeer was the Chief of Staff to First Lady Hillary Clinton.
 |
|
Sexiest
Man on the Planet, Sayed Parvez Kambakhsh.
|
What does a
world run by women look like? Thanks to Secretary Clinton and Ambassador
Verveer, we are finally getting a glimpse. And, from my chair, looking
at the pardon of Sayed Parvez Kambakhsh, the proposed amendment
of the Shi’a Personal Status Law and the promotion of microcredit,
literacy, land rights and education to the farmers of underdeveloped
countries worldwide -- all this is under six months at this newly
created position -- that world is beautiful.
You can follow
Ambassador Verveer’s work on Twitter.com,
Facebook.com
and at the State
Department’s website at State.gov/s/gwi.
We don’t know
where Sayed Parvez Kambakhsh’s escapades will lead him in the future,
but for now, he is simply the Sexiest Man on the Planet. May his
exile bring him untold freedom, and his future endeavors continue
to give oppressed women in his home country hope.
|
|
Cash Q&A:
Schwab Answers Your Questions.
by Rob Williams,
Director of Income Planning, Schwab Center for Financial Research
Updated September
30, 2009
Each month,
Schwab.com receives thousands of questions from clients. Here, we
tackle the top questions on cash investments, with answers and guidance
we believe will address some of your most pressing concerns. To
talk to a Schwab investment professional about your particular circumstances,
please call 800-435-4000.
 |
| Rob Williams. |
Where's the
best place to put my cash if I'm looking for safety, high return
and liquidity?
Unfortunately,
it's tough to find safety, liquidity and high return all
in one investment these days. Safety and liquidity alone are fairly
straight-forward—Treasury bills or money market funds come to mind.
But yields on both are quite low, approaching zero for the shortest-term
Treasury bills.
For ample liquidity and competitive returns, you might look to an
interest bearing checking or savings account. They're FDIC-insured
up to certain limits, and the rates for many recently have been
higher than the very low rates offered from T-bills and most money
market funds.
You could also turn to a ladder of three-month to one-year FDIC-insured
CDs. However, you'll lose a little bit in liquidity if you need
to sell, and your cash access may not be immediate—not the best
choice for daily spending needs. Shop for the best rate, and consider
whether you're being adequately compensated for the lower liquidity
compared to an interest bearing checking or savings account.
How do I invest cash at this time?
It's
hard to beat many interest-bearing checking or savings accounts
right now, which generate competitive returns and provide immediate
liquidity. Checking accounts also provide check-writing privileges.
For potentially (though not always) higher returns with less liquidity,
consider CDs or a purchased money market fund. For CDs, the price
if you need to sell or cash-out before maturity depends on market
conditions or pre-determined penalties. For purchased money market
funds, you’d need to wait until the next day for access to your
funds if you sell before 4 p.m. ET on the day before; and returns
will vary.
Others investments, like ultra-short or short-term bond funds, may
generate slightly higher returns, but they also carry the risk of
a drop in share value. They shouldn't be substituted for cash or
other cash investments for ultimate safety of principal. You won't
have immediate access to your cash, but like a purchased money market
fund, you can sell shares to have access to your funds the next
business day.
Should I consider putting cash into a money market fund or a
CD at this particular time?
It
depends, partly, on when you need the cash, as well as available
rates. CDs are generally meant to be held to maturity. You should
be able to sell before maturity if you need to, but the price depends
on market conditions (or pre-determined penalties), and there's
no guarantee you'll receive your original investment in full.
Purchased money market funds commit to maintaining a $1 per share
value, so you can be reasonably certain you'd be able to access
your funds the next business day, after you choose to sell, at a
definite price. But yields on purchased money-market funds have
been quite low.
For higher returns and liquidity, consider the yields offered on
interest-bearing checking or savings accounts as well. If you don't
think you'll need the cash immediately, longer-term CDs may also
offer competitive returns for the trade off in lower liquidity if
you need to sell.
Note also that CDs offer a fixed return over a fixed period of time;
money market funds, interest-bearing checking accounts, and savings
accounts have rates that change depending on market conditions.
If interest rates rise, the promised rate on a CD may be less competitive.
If rates drop, the promised rate could end up being a good deal
compared to the alternatives. Right now, interest rates are near
record lows.
Where should I keep my emergency fund?
If
you’ve saved between three and six months' worth of living expenses,
you've gone a long way toward cushioning yourself against unforeseen
emergencies. But where should you put your funds? While tempting,
under your mattress is probably not the best option.
We recommend you invest emergency funds in relatively liquid cash
investments that you won't have to worry about and that aren't likely
to decrease in value. Some options to consider:
- Interest
bearing checking or savings accounts. Many are delivering
competitive yields (compared to alternatives) and allow easy access
to your cash. Bank deposits are FDIC-insured up to $250,000 per
person at a single institution through December 31, 2013.
- Purchased
money market funds. These funds are liquid and have historically
provided a competitive yield. Current rates are quite low, but
would increase if interest rates rise. And the managers are committed
to maintaining your principal investment.
Important
Disclosures
1. The temporary increase of FDIC insurance coverage to $250,000
for all insurable capacities has been extended through December
31, 2013. If not further extended, FDIC coverage will revert to
$100,000 on January 1, 2014 for all insurable capacities except
IRAs and certain other self-directed retirement accounts and plans.
Unless the increased coverage is extended, deposit insurance coverage
for CDs with a maturity date after December 31, 2013 will revert
to the prior FDIC coverage on January 1, 2014, regardless of when
you purchased the CD. You should not rely on a possible extension
of this increased coverage in purchasing CDs.
Investors should consider carefully information contained in the
prospectus, including investment objectives, risks, charges and
expenses. You can request a prospectus by calling Schwab at 800-435-4000.
Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.
An investment in a money market fund is neither insured nor guaranteed
by the FDIC or any other government agency. Although the fund seeks
to preserve the value of your investment at $1 per share, it is
possible to lose money by investing in the fund. Please note that
bank deposits are FDIC insured up to $250,000 while nonbank independent
products have no such guarantees.
Certificates of deposit are offered through Charles Schwab &
Co., Inc. CDs from Schwab CD OneSource are issued by other FDIC-insured
institutions, and are subject to change and system access. Unlike
mutual funds, certificates of deposit offer a fixed rate of return
and are FDIC-insured. There may be costs associated with early redemption
and possible market value adjustment.
The information provided here is for general informational purposes
only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation
or personalized advice. The strategies mentioned here may not be
suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review their portfolio
strategy carefully for his or her own particular situation before
making any decisions.
Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from
what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness
or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Please be sure to research
this information further before making any decisions as the rules
and restrictions described are subject to change in reaction to
shifting market conditions.
The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles
Schwab & Co., Inc. Brokerage products offered by Charles Schwab
& Co., Inc., are not FDIC insured, are not deposits or guaranteed
obligations of a bank, and are subject to investment risk.
|
|
Are You Gambling With
Your Retirement?
by Natalie
Pace.
Three
Signs of a Losing Hand. Includes a Dow
Vs. NASDAQ Stock
Report Card.
Americans
danced with delight this summer as their cracked nest eggs began
showing new life. President Obama and his financial team (Chairman
Bernanke and Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner) glow with
pride while claiming that, thanks to their swift, intelligent actions,
disaster has been avoided. However, rather than be relieved by the
latest propaganda of the Politicians in Chief, it is critically
important that you take this opportunity to get a better plan, so
that you never have to experience this train wreck again.
Talking heads
are quick to note that "the markets" have rebounded 45%
off of their lows of March 2009, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average
bottomed out at a 12-year low of 6547. But that statistic is deceptive
and dangerous, if investors think they are now sitting pretty with
a winning hand. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, where many
legacy corporations with pension plan debt are listed, is up only
5% on the year and is still down 33% since its high on October 9,
2007 of 14,164. NASDAQ, where the younger companies tend to list,
is up a whopping 25% on the year, but is still 60% lower than it
was at its high of 5,060.34 on March 10, 2000.
Wall
Street Highs/Lows in this Millennium:
|
Index
|
Low
|
High
|
|
Dow Jones Industrial
Average
|
6,547 (3.9.09)
|
14,164 (10.9.07)
|
|
NASDAQ Composite
Index
|
1,114 (10.9.02)
|
5,060.34 (3.10.00)
|
There are two
economies operating in the U.S. right now – consisted largely of
companies that were founded before 1980 and those founded thereafter.
Companies founded before 1980 promised a pension plan and health
care to their employees. Corporations made this promise when the
average age of death was 64, the average age of retirement was 65,
there were 7+ workers for every retiree and health care benefits
were a grain of sand compared to today’s costs. Corporations founded
before 1980 are struggling to keep their promises, and the only
solution to continuing operations while supporting such a large
pool of non-working former employees in a competitive worldwide
marketplace, is to take on massive debt.
In these two
distinctly different economies, there are four very noteworthy trends.
One: NASDAQ and the DJIA operate very differently. Two: recovery
is slow in the wake of the bubble bursting. (After almost a decade,
NASDAQ is nowhere near to its former glory.) Three: NASDAQ is hot
in 2009 (and going forward), while the DJIA is still the home of
the Bailout Index. And 4: finally, if you aren’t properly diversified
and rebalancing annually, you’re missing out on the gains of the
booms and getting flattened by the busts.
AIG, Bank of
America, Citigroup and General Motors were all components of the
leading Blue Chip Index (the Dow Jones Industrial Average), meaning
they were likely the yolk of your nest egg over the last few years.
BofA is still in the DJIA! With only 30 components in the
Dow Jones Industrial Average and four rotten apple bailouts in the
basket, that means that the person picking the companies for the
index is either 1) not very good at math, or 2) that other criteria
(cronyism economics) is at play in the selection process. General
Motors was still a component of the Dow Jones Industrial
Average in January of 2009 – at a time when GM’s debt, pensions
and OPEBs topped $100 billion, Secretary of the Treasury Hank Paulsen
had issued $13.4 billion in emergency loans to the corporation,
and executives had already engaged bankruptcy attorneys, in anticipation
of the inevitable.
If you want
to avoid that losing hand, it’s as easy as reading your cards (in
this case the Stock Report Card™) and knowing what you own
in your 401(k), IRA, annuity, pension, et al. In addition to proper
diversification and annual rebalancing (and overweighting NASDAQ),
the three critical elements you must consider are:
- Was the company
founded before 1980?
- Massive Pension
and Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEBs)
- Massive Debt
As a society,
we’ll have to figure out what to do about these unkept pension and
OPEB promises, but as an investor, you need to be aware of the cards
you’re holding and whether or not you want to bet against a bailout.
Yes, the corporations made the promises, but the world shifted beneath
their feet. National health spending is expected to reach $2.5 trillion
in 2009, accounting for 17.6 percent of the Gross Domestic Product
(source: The National Coalition on Health Care). There are now fewer
than four workers for every retiree. Pension and OPEB obligations
have forced U.S. airlines and auto manufacturers to operate at a
loss and at a competitive disadvantage to foreign companies. Almost
all of the U.S. car companies and legacy airlines have entered Chapter
11 bankruptcy restructuring, and there are other legacy corporations
that will start encountering this issue more and more going forward.
Many of the
younger, NASDAQ companies have the benefit of employee-managed 401(k)s,
and this is a huge competitive advantage. Additionally, however,
the prevalence of information technology products and services is
another area of strength. According to Howard Silverblatt, the Senior
Index Analyst at Standard and Poors, "Information Technology
has gained 35.42% year-to-date, representing almost half the gain
of the S&P 500." West Coast based, cash-rich companies
like Google, Apple and Microsoft are profitable, increasing sales
and carrying no debt at all, compared to the beleaguered East Coast
giants of the last century. Click to access the Dow
Vs. NASDAQ stock report card to see the vast difference
between debt and profits of these two different corporate structures.
Publicly traded
companies are required by the Securities and Exchange Commission
to list their debt, pension liabilities and Other Post Employment
Benefit Obligations on the earnings report. Scouring the earnings
reports for this information is almost a breeze when you power search
on the key words "debt, obligation, liability, liabilities,
net income, OPEB and pension" using the "find" function.
Sometimes, but not always, this information will be found in the
press release that accompanies an earnings report.
If you own just
a few mega-mutual funds, chances are you were dealt a losing hand
without ever knowing it, since the Dow Jones Industrial Average
components tend to be the most widely held companies on Wall Street.
Now is the time to look at your cards, place your investments on
winning hands and sing all the way to the bailed out bank. Healthy,
prosperous Americans will have an easier time pushing this economy
toward recovery than bewildered, busted and bushwhacked investors.
As further illustration
of the efficacy of this information, using these strategies, I warned
investors to get Fannie
Mae out of their retirement plan as early as 2003, about
the General
Motors implosion in 2004, that real
estate was poised to fall in 2005, to avoid faded
blue chips and Lehman
Bros. in 2006. On the other hand, subscribers knew to
invest in such winners as Google
at the IPO, Taser International (up to 9000% gains), Opsware,
MySpace,
Rio
Tinto and more for outstanding gains. (Click on the
highlights to access the original articles.)
It’s not hard
to apply this wisdom. It does require opening your brokerage statement,
and understanding that the information you really need to make informed
decisions about your retirement plan is not found on free TV or
in investment brochures. It is in the unreported, but publicly available
data. These critically important considerations -- the amount of
debt and OPEB liability that the company has – don’t negatively
impact earnings or price to earnings ratio until it’s too late to
do something about it.
See the article
in this ezine, entitled "A Must Read
Financial Bible" for additional key commandments to
making gains in your nest egg in the U.S. today. Buying and holding
mega-mutual funds is a losing strategy and has been for the last
decade. Modern Portfolio Theory, diversified Exchange Traded Funds
and annual rebalancing are easier than Black Jack, and are the only
way to get the winning hand on Wall Street.
 |
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is and CEO of one of the
most respected, independently owned financial news corporations
in the U.S. She has been ranked as a #1 stock picker from TipsTraders.com
and has partnered content with
Forbes.com,
Sohu.com, Kiplinger’s Personal Finance and more. She has appeared
on Fox News, Good Morning America, CNBC, Time Magazine, More Magazine,
USA Today, NPR and national radio shows. Ask her your money questions
on her weekly radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace!
Follow her on Twitter.com/NataliePace,
YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM
and Facebook.com/NatalieWynnePace.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling
Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should reflect
a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance
of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk
tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of
your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy,
and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should
never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
.
|
|
Investing
in a Bankrupt Company: A High Risk Venture.
Finra.org
Investor Alert.
The
SEC and FINRA are issuing this Alert because we believe there may
be widespread misunderstanding by investors that own stock in the
"old" General Motors Corporation (now known as Motors Liquidation
Company) as related to the "new" General Motors Company (new GM).
FINRA halted trading in old GM (which had been using the GMGMQ trading
symbol) on July 10, 2009, and has since issued a new ticker symbol
for the old GM stock—MTLQQ—to avoid having it confused with the
new GM, which currently has no publicly traded securities.
This Alert also
reminds investors that holding shares of any company involved in
bankruptcy, or buying shares in a bankrupt company in the hope that
those shares will surge in value down the road, are highly risky
courses of action.
Furthermore,
as with the GM situation, companies in bankruptcy are often the
subject of rumors in fax or email newsletters, Internet message
rooms or on Web sites offering online stock tips. Unfortunately,
investors may have received confusing, potentially misleading, information
about the old GM. As recently as last Friday (July 10, 2009), newsletters
and other promoters have touted the purchase of the stock.
Two Distinct
Companies
Motors
Liquidation Company and the "new" GM are separate and distinct.
As stated on the Web sites of both Motors Liquidation Company and
the new GM, the new GM currently has no publicly traded securities,
and none of Motors Liquidation Company’s publicly owned stocks or
bonds are or will become securities of the new GM. Motors Liquidation
Company is currently winding its way through bankruptcy court—and
there is a real possibility that stockholders will receive nothing
from these proceedings. While the common stock of Motors Liquidation
has not been cancelled, investors should not interpret that as indicating
the shares have any value.
"Q" is for
Caution
Investors
are often confused by the fact that, despite the likelihood that
the common stock of a bankrupt company will be cancelled, the company's
securities may continue to trade after the company has filed for
bankruptcy protection and before it emerges as a newly reorganized
company. This confusion may be aggravated by the lengthy bankruptcy
process—which may take months, if not years. Such securities typically
trade on either the OTCBB or the Pink Sheets and the stock symbol
will have a fifth letter "Q" at the end to denote the company’s
bankrupt status.
Risks of
Trading in Securities of Bankrupt Companies
When
a company files for reorganization under the federal bankruptcy
laws, investors are often tempted to buy or hold the company’s common
stock in anticipation that the company that emerges from bankruptcy
will be profitable. The reality is, however, that when companies
emerge from bankruptcy, the common stock of the "old"
company is usually worthless. In most instances, the company's
plan of reorganization will cancel the existing equity shares.
In general,
while a typical bankruptcy reorganization plan allows the "new"
company to distribute new shares under a new trading symbol, holders
of the common stock of the "old" company generally do not receive
any of these shares. A company must pay off existing debt before
it emerges from bankruptcy—and creditors, including bondholders,
usually receive shares in the new company as partial payment. This
leaves little or nothing of value for the common stockholders of
the "old" company. This may seem unfair, but it reflects
the established priority scheme of bankruptcy and the fact that,
in contrast to bondholders, common stockholders take greater risk,
but have the potential for the greater gain. For more information
on the corporate bankruptcy process, see the SEC’s brochure entitled
Corporate
Bankruptcy.
We are concerned
that some investors purchase shares of companies in Chapter 11 bankruptcy
in the belief that if the company survives, the old common stock
will have value—not recognizing that the old common stock is likely
to be cancelled, even if the company emerges from bankruptcy. Investors
should understand that buying common stock of companies in Chapter
11 bankruptcy is extremely risky and can lead to financial loss.
If you own shares
in a company that has, or may be filing, for bankruptcy, or are
considering purchasing shares of a bankrupt company, check the company’s
Web site for information about the bankruptcy. Also check the company’s
SEC filings, available through the SEC’s EDGAR
database or on the company’s Web site, and other publicly
available information for company statements about its reorganization
plan as well as a copy of the reorganization plan itself. For more
information on using EDGAR and where to find information on a company’s
bankruptcy, see Researching
Public Companies Through EDGAR: A Guide for Investors.
|
|
Union Power in the
Obama Administration.
by Dr.
Gary S. Becker.
 |
| Gary Becker |
The major American
trade unions, including the United Automobile Workers, the United
Steelworkers, and the Service Employees International Union, went
all out in their support of Barack Obama during the past presidential
election. They supplied money-said to exceed $400 million- and hundreds
of thousands of volunteers working for Obama. It is believed they
were important in his winning industrial states like Michigan, Wisconsin,
Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
Naturally,
unions expect some payback after the resounding victory of Obama,
as all interest groups do when the candidates they support win.
Unions are behind the Employee Free Choice Act introduced in Congress
early after Obama's election. That Act would make it much easier
for unions to be certified to represent the employees of a company.
The Act, still bogged down in a divided Congress, would allow for
open rather than secret voting on whether a union should represent
the employees, and would mandate arbitration over union-management
contracts. Because of opposition from some Democrats as well as
almost all Congressional Republicans, it is not yet clear how much
the legislation that eventually emerges will shift union-management
relations in favor of unions.
The bailouts
of General Motors and Chrysler have been a second major effort to
help unions. In this case, the Obama administration spent tens of
billions of dollars of taxpayer revenue to help these companies.
I expect total Federal spending on GM and Chrysler will eventually
equal or exceed $100 billion. The best alternative to the bailout
of these auto companies would have been to allow them to enter bankruptcy
proceedings in the fall of 2008 when they were bleeding large losses.
After a year or so in bankruptcy they would likely have emerged
with considerably lower obligations for health and pension benefits,
and reduced hourly earnings of their employees. They might then
have competed without additional support against foreign auto companies
with plants in the US or abroad.
Instead of allowing
such bankruptcy proceedings to occur, and in order to reduce the
hit that unionized autoworkers would have to take, GM and Chrysler
were bailed out generously, and the federal government in effect
became the principal owners of these companies. Although GM and
Chrysler were allowed to go into bankruptcy for a short period,
in my judgment the main aim of the bailout was to reduce the effect
of the financial troubles these companies were having on the earnings
and fringe benefits of present and retired autoworkers. Taxpayers
paid what the autoworkers should have paid.
Perhaps the
most disturbing tilt toward catering to union interests is the very
recent 35 percent tariff the US government imposed on imports of
Chinese tires without any finding of illegal trade practices by
either the Chinese government or Chinese tire manufacturers. The
White House under special trade rules can impose punitive measures
without finding any "fault". However, this is the first time any
president of the United States has used this provision to penalize
manufacturers of imported goods or services. It is not only a terrible
precedent, but also this may encourage other countries to follow
similar procedures, and impose tariffs on US exports that unions
and companies in these countries feel are hurting them.
Unions and their
allies have succeeded in placing Buy America provisions in the $787
billion stimulus package, against the objections of many foreign
countries. Unions are also active in trying to get similar provisions
in the cap and trade climate bill that will eventually be passed
by Congress and supported by the president. Buy America provisions
to stimulate employment of American workers is no different than
imposing tariffs to cut imports and increase demand for domestic
goods. Both are inconsistent with the goal of free trade, and invite
retaliation by other nations.
Politics in
democracies allows powerful political interest groups to influence
legislation in their favor. In that respect, the steelworkers and
other unions are not doing anything differently than, for example,
medical insurance companies or auto companies, try to do. But recognizing
that this is the way the political process works does not mean that
the effects tend to raise the general welfare of the population,
as opposed to the welfare of small powerful interest groups.
In this regard,
note that non-governmental unions contain only about 8% of the civilian
labor force. This means that the benefits they receive from flexing
their political muscle under the present White House mainly hurts
other workers and consumers. In particular, the tariff on tires
will raise the cost of tires to American consumers and make them
worse off. Similarly, the bailout of the auto companies will raise
taxes and probably also auto prices, and Buy America provisions
will make the cost of goods more expensive because they cannot be
obtained from cheaper foreign producers. The overall impact of these
steps is a less efficient American economy, and substantial harm
imposed on American consumers and non-union workers.
Dr.
Gary Becker is a University Professor, Department
of Economics, and Sociology Professor, Graduate School of Business,
The University of Chicago. He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in
1992 for his groundbreaking work in "human capital."
To keep track
of Dr. Becker's continuing research and commentary, visit his web
site and blog.
To hear more of his research and recommendations for strengthening
the U.S. economy, check out the 2009 Milken Global Economic Conference
web page. Dr. Gary Becker has been a keynote speaker at the conference
every year since it began and spoke at two of the luncheon keynotes
in April 2009.
|
|
A
Must Read Financial Bible.
by
Staff.
Get
answers to your 12 most pressing investing questions.
If
you are tempted to go all in on gold, guns and ammo right now, you’re
just as vulnerable as you were in 2005 when you thought real estate
was the next mother lode.
Smart
investors own stocks, bonds, real estate and gold, and rebalance
their positions annually, in order to capitalize on gains and seize
low-priced investment opportunities. The truth is that all of these
assets perform well when you take a balanced, inclusive approach.
(See the chart below for annualized returns for the last 40 years
on real estate, stocks, bonds and gold.)

Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is
provides a novel approach that has worked for the last decade –
through bull and bear markets. In these pages, lie real answers
to your 12 most pressing investment questions. The solutions to
a boom/bust, slow-growth economy are easy-to-understand and easy-to-implement,
and they work in marketplace where buying and holding strategies
have failed.
Here
is what readers are saying:
Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is is a "must-read financial
bible," and "just what some readers may need to find themselves
exponentially richer in the coming years."
Over
55% of the Amazon.com
book reviews are 5-star.
More
important than the reviews, however, are the results. Bill and Nilo
Bolden haven’t lost anything. The Green Goddess Investment Club
made 47% gains in the last 12 months, using Natalie Pace’s market
updates and Hot News reports. (There are more success stories are
listed at the end of this article).
Answers
to your 12 most pressing investment questions
1.
How can you tell the difference between a good investment and
a bad investment? The Get Educated section of the book features
the 3-ingredient recipe for cooking up profits in any asset (real
estate, stocks, gold, Beanie Babies, Lladro, classic cars). In that
section, you’ll learn about the Stock Report Card™ and the
Four Questions for picking the star investment of an industry.
2.
What boxes should I check off in my 401k? See page 92 for Natalie’s
Easy as a Pie Chart diversification strategies. Learn more about
why you need to diversify by size (small, medium and large cap),
style (value and growth) and to have funds in hot industries in
the sections "Get Involved" and "Get Savvy".
3.
Why is GM bankrupt and Google so hot? Is there a way to identify
the winners and losers before I lose all my dough? Chapters
5, 6 and 15 outline easy strategies for picking the Googles of the
world and avoiding the GMs. In fact, chapter 5, "Hitch Your
Wagon to a Star," uses General Motors and Google to illustrate
the difference, and was written in 2007, a full two years before
General Motors declared bankruptcy. A savvy investor can see the
problems years before calamities occur.
4.
How much do I keep safe? Keeping a percent equal to your
age safe, i.e. not invested in stocks, is a central theme that is
stressed throughout the book. That is what differentiates this financial
Bible from those written by other authors in the past. This strategy
alone, which is based upon Modern Portfolio Theory, would have saved
investors twice in the last decade – during the DOT COM bust and
the 2008 Bank Bailouts. Chapter 17 outlines the Top 11 Most Common
Investing Mistakes.
5.
How can I win on Wall Street when even banks are bailed out?
Chapter 3, entitled "Put Your Money Where Your Heart Is,"
elucidates how blind faith investing means that cronyism economics
flourishes, whereas investing in companies making the best products
and services means that companies are forced to compete for your
investing dollars. If you were doing this, you’d be invested in
companies that are still healthy and would have avoided the Bailout
Index. Over 10% of the leading blue chip index was bailed out in
2008-2009.
6.
How can I invest in a cleaner, greener world? Interested in
green and/or socially conscious investing (Chapter 11)? The good
news is that clean energy was the top performing industry in 2007
– with almost twice the returns of oil, returning roughly 60 cents
on the dollar. Like the Internet bust of 2001-2002, however, 2008
punished green investors. Learn important strategies for emerging
technologies, so that you can get rich, while you enrich.
7.
I’m interested in starting an investment club. What do I need to
know? Chapter 12 can help you with everything from who should
do what, to what kind of agreement you should sign, and where to
get your tax ID number.
8.
How do I avoid the Bernie Madoffs and Enrons of the world? Chapter
14 devotes 13 pages to Lessons from Enron – many of which would
have saved you from Madoff and the future Madoffs and Enrons, as
well.
9.
Buying and Holding mutual funds isn’t working for me. My retirement
plan is worth less this year than it was ten years ago. Is there
a better strategy? Yes, there is! "Buy and Hold" only
works in a robust economy. We’ve had a boom/bust economy that is
lower in 2009 than it was in 1999. So, the only thing that works
in that environment is Modern Portfolio Theory, ETFs and annual
rebalancing. Believe it or not, this is easy-as-a-pie chart, which
is outlined in chapters 7 and 8.
10.
How can I pick a great broker? Brokers are salesperson, not
surgeons, so it pays to know the ten questions you need to ask to
find the perfect Certified Financial Life Partner. See Chapter 9
to learn why: Brokers and lovers, it pays to pick a good one. Interview
your CFP like your life depends upon it because your lifestyle
does.
11.
I’m drowning in bills! How do you even find money to invest and
why would I when Wall Street is bailed out? Most people are
drowning in debt and bills because they are over-spending on basic
needs. Cutting out caffe lattes isn’t really going to help. The
Thrive Budget on the other hand is an excellent way to get your
survival spending in shape and start investing in the life of your
dreams. Read Chapter 8: The Billionaire Game.
12.
I’m always late to the table. China, real estate, Internet – I always
buy in at the top (and then have to watch my investment crumble).
How can I buy in earlier and capture my gains at the top? Chapter
20, entitled "Happy People Make Better Products Faster, Cheaper,"
was written to explain how Natalie has had such success picking
emerging countries, markets and companies. Learn how she picked
China in 2002, Eastern Europe in 2004, copper and Rio Tinto in 2004,
Google at the IPO, Taser International before it scored 9000% gains
and more!
And
here are the results of everyday people who read the book and/or
attended a 3-day Get Rich and Enrich Retreat with Natalie Pace:
"Natalie
Pace's sound strategies, helped me avert a huge loss on my 401k
plan. Moving my money to a safe place saved me thousands when the
market plummeted." Nov. 2008. Nilo Bolden, Law Firm Administrator.
Nilo and Bill Bolden made the decision to use Modern Portfolio Theory,
diversification and annual rebalancing as their strategy at the
onset of the 2008 recession.
"Natalie
talked to me about living in a place that speaks to my soul. As
she said these words, it was clear to me that Venice is that place,
but I felt I could not make the move back to Venice once the prices
had gotten so high. After 6 years, I had basically given up
and stopped looking, because I was not comfortable putting money
into the move.
Months later, I was able to negotiate a contingency offer and to
sell my house for more money than the house I wanted to buy. The
extra money paid for most of the realtor’s commission. I left
a one-story house for a 2-story house. I left an 1100 sq.
ft. house for an 1850 sq. ft. house, part of which will be a rental
for income. I left a 2-car garage for a 4-car garage (painting
studio). One bath for two. A drive to the beach for a bike
ride to the beach. My best painter friend, Linda, lives back-to-back
with my new house. I see both of our art studios from my bedroom
window each morning!" Eva, artist
"Since
attending Natalie Pace’s Nov and Feb retreats, I've been applying
the concepts and with the Stocks on Steroids I’ve earned and built
up $64,000, for 53% gains, in under six months. My broker
managed to lose $100K in a year." Rita, semi-retired
school teacher, age 66
"I
started with $100K from the 401K rollover I executed in my Santa
Monica hotel room during Natalie's investor retreat, and with profits
from stock trades, dividends, and money market interest, I've got
it up to around $124K." Christina, artist
"When
I first met Natalie Pace I was desperately trying to stay afloat
with my financial situation. My nest egg was half of what
I had previously invested, I was in a negative cash-flow real estate
investment, clueless about how to truly purchase stocks correctly,
and my budget was as whimsical as a musical. She truly has
been a blessing in my life to not only help teach me how to shift
my financial situation but to also inspire me to create an investment
club in order to help my friends and family. I'm still astonished
that what I once viewed as hieroglyphics is now something others
ask me to mentor them on. Natalie is truly a financial angel.
P.S. My boyfriend loves her book!" -- Brianna Brown,
actress
"The
first Natalie Pace stock report card seemed oddly easy to do, as
if I must have been doing it wrong. Because of Natalie's wealth
of knowledge and experience, our family is facing in the right direction
as we learn to make financial decisions for our future. Oh and last,
but not least... I am having a lot of fun!" Kavi, actress
"With
the valuable guidance of our mentor Natalie Pace we out performed
the bear market with the extraordinary result of 48% GAINS!!!!!!"
Cindy Ciscowski, President, Green Goddess Investment Club.
"I
have made enough money my fist week to pay for my trip, Thanks!"
Randall Book, November 2008 Natalie Pace Retreat Attendee
"Each
and every stock that you have recommended and in which I invested,
I doubled my money...only wish I had invested more." Tushar
Mathur, blogger, Sept. 2009
"You
make the world a much better place for all of us." Bryan Zee
Here
is what economists and CEOs are saying:
"Her
excellent advice about how to allocate one’s monthly budget with
what she calls a "Buy My Own Island Plan" is an important
component of achieving economic security and wealth at older ages.
She also advocates considerable amounts to be set aside for basic
needs, education, charities, and fun things to do. This may seem
obvious, but many people, including educated men and women, need
help in making such basic allocations of their resources. They often
get into trouble when they neglect to follow simple and fundamental
rules of the type provided in this book. This is why I recommend
it with enthusiasm." Dr. Gary S. Becker,. Dr. Becker won the
1992 Nobel Prize in economics. He is a University Professor, Department
of Economics and Sociology and Professor, Graduate School of Business,
The University of Chicago.
"Nobody
cares more about your money than you do. Natalie does a terrific
job of explaining how and why you should be taking more responsibility
for your own financial well being." Joe Moglia, Chairman, TD
AMERITRADE
Martin
Samler, the Chief Investment Strategist of TipsTraders.com, awards
Ms. Pace the distinctions "Top Stock Picker 2006, 2007, 2008 and
2009" and "Highly Recommended." Mr. Samler says that her distinction
is awarded "for the unique and value-packed combination of
financial articles with Natalie Pace's unmatched skills in picking
stocks across industries and markets." In 2005, Natalie achieved
the number one ranking, above over 830 stock pundits followed by
Mr. Samler.
Read
Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is: Investment Strategies for
Lifetime Wealth. By Natalie Pace.
If
you are interested in booking Natalie to speak to at your conference
or to host a Get Rich and Enrich Retreat for your group, call 866.476.7442
or email Info@NataliePace.com.
|
|
Living
in Faith, Not Fear.
by Chellie
Campbell, author of Zero to Zillionaire and The Wealthy
Spirit.
"I
live happily each day in joyful expectation of positive outcomes!"
 |
| Chellie
Campbell |
Ahhhh. That
one feels good, doesn’t it? You know who made up that affirmation?
Me. I had forgotten it, but I signed up to receive my own daily
inspirational emails from The Wealthy Spirit and found it
again (For those of you who have the book, it’s on Day #228).
I do over 100
affirmations most days. Sometimes I get bored, or stuck, or I read
too much bad news that day, or I get more "nos" than "yeses"
or some shark attacks me and then somehow the affirmations turn
into desperations and yikes! I’ve got to regroup, slap myself, and
snap out of it.
I look for new
truths, new energy, and new positive statements to help create my
day the way I want it to go. So it’s pretty funny when the new affirmation
I’ve been searching for shows up in my in-box and it’s one I already
made up!
I posted this
one on a yellow sticky on my computer so I can be reminded each
day that I’m either operating from fear or faith. Everything is
faith though, isn’t it? Fear is just faith in bad things happening.
You can find proof of that if you want to, but I’d really rather
find happy things to believe in.
A Chinese philosopher
said it this way: "This season is my best ever, this year is
my best year, this moment is the best moment."
Try it. Radiate
joyful energy and the positive expectation of joyful news. Share
your smiles and good energy with others. And then watch what happens!
Cheers,
Chellie
About
Chellie Campbell:
Chellie Campbell
is a Professional Speaker and Author of The Wealthy Spirit
and Zero to Zillionaire has been teaching
Financial Stress Reduction® Workshops since 1990. The Wealthy
Spirit was a book-of-the-week on the Doctor Laura Schlessinger radio
show and a GlobalNet book-of-the-month selection. She has been quoted
in Good Housekeeping, Lifetime, Woman's World, and Essence, and
more than 40 popular books.
|
|
Natural
Solutions to Toxic Build Up.
by Julie
Gengo, HealthWalk.com.
Cleaning
Supplies You Can Live With.
Toxins,
toxins, toxins. We often hear about the abundance of toxins in our
environment, chemical cleaners and solutions, food supply and beauty
products. These superfluous and perhaps unwarranted chemicals may
be one of the reasons why many of us are experiencing health issues.
Avoiding these toxins can be complicated and confusing since many
are hidden, not well tested/documented or not tested at all. As
a result these toxins are allowed into our lives with inaccurate
or no information on their safety.
When toxins
enter your body from inhalation, food or skin contact, they find
their way into your blood stream and most end up in your liver.
Unfortunately the body’s cells absorb some of the toxins bypassing
the liver all together. These toxins can damage and change your
DNA leading to serious diseases, including cancer.
Your liver is designed to cleanse the body of toxins and other unnecessary
elements. However, with an overload of toxins, the liver can get
clogged affecting bodily functions, including cholesterol levels,
in a negative way. Other symptoms may be physical and mental fatigue,
rashes and other allergy symptoms, loss of concentration, premature
aging, insomnia and lowered immune system to name a few.
One thing you can do to eliminate toxins in your body is to detoxify
and strengthen your immune system with healthy foods and natural
supplements. At HealthWalk
our functional nutrition counselor integrates functional endocrinology,
serum and blood based biomarkers analysis to determine your specific
needs. Vital Hematology live blood analysis can show what is in
the body so that we can recommend holistic solutions to boost your
immune system and to support your health and wellbeing.
It is also advisable to incorporate preventative measures to limit
the toxins that you have control over. Reduce the consumption of
all packaged foods; they are filled with preservatives, flavor enhancers
and other chemicals that are often detrimental to health.
Another simple way to avoid toxins in the home and office is to
use environmentally friendly (free of harsh chemicals) cleaning
products. A way to reduce costs and use these products is to make
your own.
Below are recipes that you can make using simple commonly available
ingredients.
ALL PURPOSE CLEANSER
2 cups hot water
1 tsp. biodegradable liquid soap or borax
1 tsp. white vinegar or lemon juice (to cut grease)
Fill spray bottle with hot water. Add soap and vinegar or lemon
juice. Shake bottle gently to dissolve ingredients.
SHOWER/BATH CLEANSER
2 cups hot water
1 tsp. borax
3 tbsp. White vinegar
Fill spray bottle with all three ingredients and shake for 30 seconds.
Keep bottle in shower and mist shower wall and door/curtain after
each use. Helps prevent mold and mildew from developing.
GLASS CLEANSER
1-cup water
1/8 cup white vinegar
Fill bottle with both ingredients and shake for 30 seconds. Use
on all types of glass surfaces including mirrors.
TUB & TILE CLEANSER
½ cup baking soda
Enough biodegradable liquid soap to make a frosting-like consistency
5-10 drops fragrant essential oil
Place baking soda in a bowl and slowly pour in liquid soap, stirring
constantly, until the mixture reaches the consistency of frosting.
Add drops of essential oil (optional). Scoop the mixture onto a
sponge, wash surface and rinse.
TOILET CLEANSER
¼ cup baking soda
1-cup vinegar
Sprinkle baking soda into toilet basin followed by the vinegar.
Allow mixture to sit for several minutes. Scrub with brush and rinse
with water. A mixture of borax (2 parts) and lemon juice (1 part)
will also work.
One tip: Try to use empty and clean spray bottles (previously filled
with other ingredients) that you may have around the house to encourage
the reuse of these items.
These recipes are courtesy of the Solana
Center for Environmental Innovation. You may want to
make a small donation and request that the Center send you the set
of the colorful sticky labels, complete with recipes, so that you
can easily identify your spray bottles and have the recipes at hand
for refilling.
For more support and to establish a base line on your health and
toxin level, come to HealthWalk.
Our integrated health and wellness center is designed to help you
identify your current health condition and to support you in boosting
your immune system to rid the body of toxins and other impairments
to vibrant health.
HealthWalk,
the leading edge, non-invasive integrated healthcare center and
products company, has specially priced Health and Wellness Products
and Services for NataliePace.com subscribers. HealthWalk is offering
10% discount for NataliePace.com subscribers on all individual HealthWalk
products and services. Please mention the discount code, HWNP upon
ordering.

Call
HealthWalk at 877-255-4703 or email info@healthwalk.com
www.healthwalk.com
HealthWalk,
5825Avenida Encinas suite 111, Carlsbad CA 92008
You
can lose everything in life and make it all back - With one exception…
Your Health
HealthWalk
offers customized, non-invasive and effective support to enable
your body’s own innate powers to regain and enhance health, performance
and healing. HealthWalk is
dedicated to supporting and empowering you to achieve and maintain
vibrant wellness. HealthWalk
is a non-invasive, integrative healthcare facility with a global
umbrella of leading edge technologies, services, natural supplements
and products backed by over 20 years of research. HealthWalk
is based in Carlsbad, CA.
www.healthwalk.com
Phone 877.255.4703 info@healthwalk.com
|
|
October: Spooky or Sweet to Investors?.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
my Hot News on Cool Stocks List.
October 2,
2009
General
Stock Market Performance
|
Wednesday, 1.3.2007
|
Monday, 1.2.2008
|
Monday, 1.2.2009
|
Monday, 10.02.09
|
Gains 3-yr, 2-yr & 10 mo.
|
|
Dow: 12,474.52
|
Dow: 13,044.12
|
Dow: 9,034.69
|
Dow: 9,487.67
|
-24% & -27%
& +5%
|
|
Nasdaq: 2,423.16
|
Nasdaq: 2,609.63
|
Nasdaq: 1,632.21
|
Nasdaq: 2,048.11
|
-15% & -22%
& +25%
|
|
S&P: 1,416.60
|
S&P: 1,447.16
|
S&P: 931.80
|
S&P: 1,025.21
|
-28% & -29%
& +10%
|
Wall
Street Highs/Lows in the New Millennium:
|
Index
|
Low
|
High
|
|
Dow Jones Industrial Average
|
6,547 (3.9.09)
|
14,164 (10.9.07)
|
|
NASDAQ Composite Index
|
1,114 (10.9.02)
|
5,060.34 (3.10.00)
|
Hot News on Cool Stocks Highlights!
532%
gains on U.S. Gold!
NASDAQ
Tops Gold Returns, With 25% Gains -- compared to +9% rise in
gold prices and only +5% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
87% of
the positions listed in 2008 & 2009 are in the money. Woo
hoo!
TipsTraders
ranked me #11, above over 830 A-list pundits, in 2008.
Market
Update:
October has
hosted the worst days on Wall Street.
October 29,
1929: Black Tuesday, the start of the Great Depression
October 19,
1987: Black Monday, 508 point drop in the Dow (22.61%)
October 9,
2002: NASDAQ bottomed out at 1,114 (almost 80% off of its high
in March of 2000)
October 9,
2007 marked an all-time high of 14,164.53 in the Dow Jones Industrial
Average – a bubble that slowly deflated over the next few months,
as news of Bear Stearns’ $13.40 trillion exposure to risky investments
began leaking to investors.
Lehman Brothers
declared bankruptcy on September 15, 2008, but the markets continued
to trade in the 11,000 range. By October 26, 2008,
the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped to 8176.
And rather than
ushering in Santa Rallies, the past two Octobers have been the beginning
of horrible anti-holidays on Wall Street.
Performance
of Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ and S&P500
October 1, 2007-January 1, 2008

Performance
of Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ and S&P500
October 1, 2008-January 1, 2009

Will there be
another evil October surprise to ground the 2009 Summer Rally? Not
if Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has his way. "I was
not going to be the Federal Reserve chairman who presided over the
Second Great Depression." Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
said, at a Town Hall meeting hosted by The NewsHour with
Jim Lehrer, on July 26, 2009.
Natalie’s
Note: You can watch Ben
Bernanke’s Town Hall Meeting of July 26, 2009. Access the
link by clicking on Chairman
Bernanke’s name.
As a reminder,
Ben Bernanke and the Treasury Department (under former Treasury
Secretary Henry Paulson) asked Bank of America to swallow a toxic
Merrill Lynch, bailed out Bear Stearns, AIG, Citigroup and Bank
of America, and did a lot more behind the scenes deal-making (such
as with General Motors) in 2008 (before President Obama took office).
Most of what went on is a complete mystery to shell-shocked Americans,
who lost money on the bailout as investors and as taxpayers.
In October of
2008, when Lehman Bros. was forced to file for bankruptcy, Chairman
Bernanke said TARP funding wasn’t in place and there was a $40 billion
dollar gap that couldn’t be bridged. The landslide erosion of the
stock market in the wake of the Lehman disaster -- the fall of the
Dow Jones Industrial average to a 12-year low of 6547 on March 9,
2009 -- is something that the Treasury Department and the Federal
Reserve will do anything to prevent again, no matter how toxic the
corporation is. According to Chairman Bernanke, "[The Lehman
Bros.’ bankruptcy] confirms what I’m saying: that if you allow a
big firm to collapse in the middle of a crisis, the crisis to the
average person, to the global economy, is severe."
"From 1929
to 1931, [the Great Depression] was a normal recession," Chairman
Bernanke advises. "Then, in 1931, a huge bank in the middle
of Central Europe collapsed and that created a global financial
crisis, which then made the recession into the Great Depression."
Based upon these
statements, it is fair to assume that Secretary of the Treasury
Timothy Geithner and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke are determined
not to host another October 2009 disaster. "Too big to fail"
will continue to be the policy choice du jour. It is less clear
whether Bernanke and Geitherner have prevented the 2nd Great Depression,
however.
While Bernanke
and Geithner are busy monkey-rigging and duck-taping the banks,
insurance companies and auto manufacturers back together, and telling
the American taxpayer that their landmark investment in these corporations
will be paid back with interest, Elizabeth
Warren, Chairman, Congressional TARP Oversight Panel,
is warning that taxpayers will see only $66 on every $100 invested
in the bailouts. She also warns that Americans should be very concerned
about the toxic assets that the banks still have on their books,
and the commercial loans that are bound to become a big problem
in 2010.
Ms. Warren warns,
"Commercial mortgages come up for maturity in 2010, 2011 and
2012. The estimates out of Deutsche Bank are 50-60% default rates
on these mortgages. This is a very serious problem, and one that
will be concentrated in the intermediate and small banks because
they hold a lot of these commercial mortgages."
What does all
of this mumbo-jumbo mean to you?
It is critically
important that you understand that buying and holding mega mutual
funds doesn’t work in a slow growth economy, which is what the U.S.
has been in since the beginning of this new millennium. The stock
market is lower in 2009 than it was in 1999. Free, easy money has
fueled numerous boom/bust cycles since 2000 – the DOT COM boom/bust,
real estate, copper, clean energy and the Bank Bailouts.
Stock
Market Performance 1999-2009

What does work?
Modern Portfolio Theory, diversified funds (size/style and hot industries)
and annual rebalancing. Using annual rebalancing, you would have
captured 3X gains in NASDAQ at the beginning of 2000, and limited
your exposure to the 70% percent NASDAQ losses that occurred between
2000 and 2002. Real estate doubled between 2002 and 2007, and clean
energy earned 60 cents on the dollar in 2007. That means every $100,000
becomes $300,000 during NASDAQ’s boom period (such as between 1997
and 2000), or becomes $200,000 during the real estate rocket ship
and, or becomes $160,000 while invested in clean energy in a single
year -- 2007! There are big gains to be made in this brave, new
world.
NASDAQ’s
BOOM PERIOD (1998-2000):

REAL
ESTATE’s BOOM PERIOD (2002-2005):

CLEAN
ENERGY’s BOOM PERIOD (2007):

Modern Portfolio
Theory, diversified funds (size/style and hot industries) and annual
rebalancing are made easy-as-a-pie chart in my book, Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is. Readers say Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is is a "must-read financial
bible," and "just what some readers may need to find themselves
exponentially richer in the coming years." Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is is available wherever
books are sold.
If you are
interested in hosting a 3-day Get Rich and Green investing retreat
for your friends or group, please call me at 866.476.7442 or email
info@NataliePace.com. Groups like the Green Goddess Investment
Club are reporting 47% gains over the last 12 months, using my strategies.
"With the valuable guidance of our mentor Natalie Pace we out
performed the bear market with the extraordinary result of 48% GAINS!!!!!!"
Cindy Ciscowski, President, Green Goddess Investment Club.
Track Record
of our Reporting
While the markets
have fallen in 2008, the Hot News and Cooling Off lists below have
a winning track record – in bear and bull market years. 79
positions listed below – 87% -- have delivered impressive gains
over the past two years, even while the Dow Jones Industrial Average
is trading lower than it was ten years ago! Only twelve
of our listings went in the opposite direction of the reporting,
which is quite impressive given the horrible market drop of 2008-2009.
Yes, many, but
not all, of our top performers in 2008 and 2009 are shorts, which
is why we added options training to the retreat. Remember that the
trading portfolio should be equal to your experience, and should
not be part of your nest egg. (The nest egg is money you earn while
you sleep, not while you day-trade.) If you’re new, you should be
using education or fun money, not your nest egg, to learn on. Take
your profits early and often in these volatile, whip-sawing years.
3 out
of 6 Company of the Year selections more than doubled. My
2003, 2004 and 2007 Companies of the Year posted up to 9000% gains
(Taser), up to 690% gains (Opsware) and up to 215% gains (Suntech
Power Holdings), respectively, before we took them off of the list.
MySpace, my 2006 Company of the Year, was a large part of
News Corp’s success with shareholders that year. So three
out of six are superperformers, and one (Myspace) performed well
above the market. That’s the kind of record that puts you on top
on Wall Street. (I launched my first publication on 11.15.02,
and featured the first Company of the Year on 1.1.03.)
TipsTraders.com
continues to list me as a Highly Recommended Stock Picker, with
their independent ranking system, where I’ve repeatedly occupied
the #1 position and have consistently scored at the top of their
830 A-list pundits. I scored a #11 ranking for 2008. Some of my
best picks include: Google (GOOG) +585%, Opsware (OPSW) +690%, Rio
Tinto (RTP) +145%, Sohu (SOHU) +150%, Suntech Power Holdings (STP)
+107%, Taser (TASR) up to 9000% gains. Some of the best picks in
2008 and 2009 were put options – on the Cooling Off list. Look there
for details on the incredible gains options investors enjoyed on
Wells Fargo, Fannie Mae, Toll Brothers, KB Home, Novastar Financial
and more there.
This stock newsletter
was the first to list the following 911 alerts:
- To get Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac out of your 401(k) in 2003
- Avoid General
Motors and other American auto-manufacturers in 2004
- Get out
of Dodge (real
estate) in 2005
- Trim back
on Faded
Blue Chips in 2006
- Lehman
Bros’
colossal insider selling in 2006
Market
Movers:
The
Federal Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The
Fed funds rate continues to be "0 to ¼ percent." In the
9.23.09 meeting press release, the Federal Reserve Board further
elaborated on the reasoning behind the rock bottom rates, writing:
"Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee
met in August suggests that economic activity has picked up following
its severe downturn. ... Economic conditions are likely to
warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an
extended period."
That is Fed-speak
for "We are doing everything to stimulate the economy, which
should work eventually, but the situation is still rough, folks."
Deflation is no longer much of a concern, and the Feds think that
inflation "will remain subdued for some time," though
some economists warn that this is a big bear to be considered once
recovery really kicks in.
The Milken
Institute estimates that the bailout to date has already
cost the taxpayer $9.8 trillion.
The next FOMC
meeting takes place on November 3-4, 2009.
Final
GDP growth rates for 2Q 2009 were a decline of -0.7%, according
to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Final GDP growth rates for 1Q
2009 were a decline of -5.5%. The economy contracted at -6.3% in
the 4th quarter of 2008. What happened between 2008 and
2009? Massive government spending is the main driver of the economy
at this point.
Advance GDP
growth for 3Q 2009 will be released on October 29, 2009 at 8:30
a.m. ET. These release days tend to be very active on Wall Street.
The general consensus by economists is that the 3rd quarter
of 2009 could be the first positive GDP report since the 4th
quarter of 2007. For more BEA release dates, go to the BEA.gov
website and be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar section
often.
EDUCATIONAL
OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1. FOMC
Information: Interested in reading the press
release of the September 23, 2009 FOMC meeting for yourself?
You can. The official Federal Reserve document is available online.
Click on FOMC,
or go to FederalReserve.gov to read!
The tentative
FOMC meeting schedule for the 2009 calendar is: November 3-4, 2009
(Tuesday-Wednesday), December 15-16, 2009 (Tuesday-Wednesday), January
26-27, 2010 (Tuesday-Wednesday), March 16 (Tuesday), April 27-28
(Tuesday-Wednesday), June 22-23 (Tuesday-Wednesday), August 10 (Tuesday),
September 21 (Tuesday), November 2-3 (Tuesday-Wednesday), December
14 (Tuesday), January 25-26, 2011 (Tuesday-Wednesday).
2.
Calendar
Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more:
Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. Be
the first to know the dates of the mid-month Hot News on Cool Stocks
Update and the publication date of our next ezine. Join me on BlogTalkRadio.com.
Get more information on how to best use our articles in the FAQs
article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page of
NataliePace.com.
Don’t miss
the Pace and Prosperity Show with Natalie Pace on BlogTalkRadio.com
on Wednesday mornings at 9:00 a.m. PT. Get call-in and log-in instructions
at BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
This is a Q&A format, where you can call in or Twitter in your
questions. Be sure to write down your most pressing questions now,
and become a friend to Natalie Pace on Twitter at Twitter.com/NataliePace,
so that you can Tweet on the show.
3.
Survey
Results: Each
month we have three new surveys so that we can stay in touch with
your needs and desires. Cast your vote on our survey page! What
are your thoughts on the summer rally? We want to know! Is it the
beginning of real recovery or a dead cat bounce?
4. Euro
interest rates: ECB
rates are at 1.00% (main refinancing), 1.75% (marginal lending)
and 0.25% (deposit facility). The next meeting and interest rate
announcement is scheduled for September 17, 2009 at 2:30 p.m. CET.
(October 8, 2009 after that.)
Hot
Stocks List
Investors
who "never pay retail," note that the BOLD highlighted stocks
are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in
NataliePace.com’s article. This may be a good buying opportunity.
(If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation, this
is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.)
The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may
not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue
performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are
never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments.
Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes
to your investment strategy. And remember that these "Stocks
on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy
at all – not even for "pros." If you’ve never traded individual
stocks before, this is your "fun" or "education"
money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don’t
have mastery over.
Hot
News List (highlighted). Be sure that you are buying low.
American
Superconductor (AMSC)
U.S. Gold (UXG)
Profit-Taking
(Take your profits early and often):
HOKU Scientific
(HOKU) +52%
KCI
Concepts (KCI) +72%
LDK (LDK) +61%
New Zealand Dollar Currency ETF (BNZ) +34%
U.S. Gold (UXG) +532%
DELETIONS
(Take your profits early and often):
None
HOT NEWS
on COOL STOCKS LIST
| Company
|
NP
owns? |
Symbol
|
Price
when featured |
Price 10.02.09
|
Year High
Year Low
|
Gains
since original feature |
|
American
Superconductor
|
Yes
|
AMSC
|
$30.70
|
$30.70
|
$37.58
$8.22
|
--
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. AMSC should benefit from President Obama’s
commitment to build a "a new smart grid to carry electricity
from coast to coast."
1Q 2009
earnings on 7.30.09: Sales were up 83% in the 1st
quarter over last year. Looking for a bad market day as a
re-entry point. GAAP net income of $1.8 million, compared
to a loss of $6.1 million a year ago. Cash, cash equivalents,
marketable securities and restricted cash at June 30, 2009
were $103.2 million.
"A
solid mix of wind power and power grid business fueled another
record quarter at American Superconductor," said Greg
Yurek, AMSC’s founder and chief executive officer. "We
achieved a strong increase in power grid-related D-VAR®
system revenue and our largest customer, Sinovel, requested
delivery of additional wind turbine core electrical components
during the first quarter to meet increased demand in China
for its 1.5 megawatt wind turbines."
Signed
new $100 million contract with Sinovel, China’s leading wind
turbine producer, for core electrical components to be utilized
in Sinovel’s 3 megawatt (MW) wind turbines, known as the SL3000.
|
|
Hoku Scientific
Hawaii
RISK: HIGH
|
Yes
|
HOKU
|
$8.03
$2.00
(3.2.09)
|
$3.04
|
$14.55
$1.90
|
-62% &
+52%
|
|
Read "The
Sunny
Side,"
Vol. 6, issue 3 and "Solar
Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon,"
in the Oct. 2007 ezine, Vol. 4, issue 10.
Hoku's key project schedule (based
upon work resuming in October): completing a reactor demonstration
in December 2009, completing construction of 2,500 metric
tons of polysilicon production capacity in March 2010, and
completing construction of the full 4,000 metric tons of capacity,
including on-site trichlorosilane (TCS) production, in December
2010.
On September 29, 2009, Hoku confirmed
that the $50 million in debt, plus prepayments from its existing
customers, is expected to be sufficient to complete construction
to the point where it could commence shipments to customers,
and it intends to delay any additional financing until such
time. On the basis of these funding sources, Hoku reported
it is preparing to issue orders to resume full scale plant
construction at an accelerated pace upon closing of the financing,
which is expected to occur in October 2009.
You can see the facility’s progress
on the home page at HokuCorp.com.
|
|
Kinetic Concepts, Inc.
|
No
|
KCI
|
$38.81
$21.05
(12.1.08)
|
$36.22
|
$43.00
$17.86
|
-7% &
+72%
|
|
Read the article, "Beauty
is Skin Deep,"
in Vol. 5, issue 5. If you made a profit of 72%, take your
profits early and often!
REPORTED 2Q 2009 EARNINGS ON 7.21.09.
2009: Kinetic Concepts, Inc. KCI today reported second quarter
2009 total revenue of $491.3 million, an increase of 6% from
the second quarter of 2008. Total revenue for the first half
of 2009 was $961.4 million, a 9% increase from the prior-year
period. Net earnings for the second quarter of 2009 were $58.1
million, or $0.82 per diluted share, compared to a net loss
of $4.8 million, or $0.07 per diluted share, for the same
period of 2008.
Cash and cash equivalents: $235.3
million. Total long-term debt outstanding at June 30, 2009
was $1.396 billion on a GAAP-basis.
FDA approved ABThera™ Open
Abdomen Negative Pressure Therapy System on June 11, 2009.
The new therapy has already been launched, according to Catherine
M. Burzik, KCI’s President and CEO. "I am very pleased
to see the progress of KCI’s business in light of continued
economic and competitive pressures," said Catherine Burzik,
President and Chief Executive Officer of KCI. "KCI continues
to meet its goals in terms of innovation, global market expansion
and operational efficiency. We recently introduced our highly
innovative open abdominal wound system, AbThera, to operating
room surgeons in the U.S. and Europe and we are on track with
our plans for the launch of V.A.C. Therapy in Japan. We look
forward to the second half of the year with confidence."
KCI won its suit in the U.S. against
Smith and Nephew to prevent them from selling foam dressing
kits. On June 15, 2009, The Federal Court of Australia, Victoria
District Registry, issued a temporary injunction prohibiting
Smith & Nephew. Trial in Australia is set for 2010. UK
issued a temporary injunction and the German courts are considering
the same action as well. Smith & Nephew has vowed to appeal.
|
|
LDK Solar
GREEN
|
Yes
|
LDK
|
$30.02
$4.94
(3.2.09)
|
$7.93
|
$76.75
$3.75
|
-74% &
+61%
|
|
If you made a profit of 97%,
take your profits early and often!
Read the articles, "Green"
in Vol. 6, issue 2 and "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
in Vol. 5, issue 4.
2Q 2009 earnings results (8.12.09):
Net sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 were $228.3
million, compared to $283.3 million for the first quarter
of fiscal 2009, and $ 441.7 million for the second quarter
of fiscal 2008. For the second quarter of fiscal 2009, gross
profit was negative $205.5 million, compared to $4.9 million
for the first quarter of fiscal 2009, and $112.3 million for
the second quarter of fiscal 2008. Loss from operations for
the second quarter of fiscal 2009 was $235.0 million, compared
to a loss of $16.1 million for the first quarter of 2009,
and compared to income from operations of $100.3 million for
the second quarter of fiscal 2008.
LDK Solar ended the second quarter
of 2009 with $265.7 million in cash and cash equivalents and
$123.0 million in short-term pledged bank deposits. Short-term
borrowing commitments add up to $1.2 billion.
|
|
New Zealand Dollar currency ETF
by WisdomTree
|
No
|
BNZ
|
$25.17
$18.49
(12.1.08)
|
$24.83
|
$25.31
$16.67
|
flat &
+34%
|
|
If you made a profit of 32%,
take your profits early and often!
Read the article, "Foreign
Investing:
From BRICs to Barbeys,"
in Vol. 5, issue 7, for more information on why New Zealand
is the new attraction on the world currency markets. New Zealand
has the highest interest rate in the industrialized world.
Currently, the Official Cash Rate is 2.5%. Reserve Bank Governor
Alan Bollard, at the Reserve
Bank of New Zealand,
wrote in a press release on June 11, 2009, "The recent
rise in the New Zealand dollar creates an unhelpful tension
with our projections. A stronger dollar at a time of weak
global growth risks delaying or even reversing the projected
increase in exports, putting the sustainability of recovery
at risk… We expect to keep the OCR at or below the current
level through until the latter part of 2010."
|
|
U.S. Gold
Colorado USA
RISK: VERY HIGH
|
Yes
|
UXG
|
$5.05
$.50
|
$2.66
|
$7.04
$.38
|
-47% &
+532%
|
|
Note: U.S. Gold is not producing
gold at this time; is it a gold exploration company, based
in Nevada. U.S. Gold is an exploration company, not a mining
company, meaning that if they strike gold, the stock should
spike and if they don’t, you could lose your investment. Very
risky.
NOTE: The mantra this year continues
to be TAKE YOUR PROFITS EARLY AND OFTEN. If you’ve made a
return of five times your investment, consider taking some
of your profits. Since gold is still in favor (in our view)
and U.S. Gold has not hit its full potential (in my view),
I’m keeping this company on the Hot News List. Profit-taking
is not the same as selling off all of the position.
Added to the S&P/TSX Global
Gold Index and S&P/TSX Global Mining Index on 9.15.09.
If you believe in this CEO and
company, you’ll want to make sure you have shares of U.S.
Gold going forward. Gold should be a great hedge against inflation,
which is predicted to become an issue once the economy starts
to rebound (2010 and forward). Right now, the Feds are still
a little concerned about deflation, but inflation could begin
on the 12-24 month horizon.
This is an exploration company,
not a mining company. They don’t produce gold at this time.
Began trading on the AMEX stock
exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.)
See the feature
interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen in Vol.
3, issue 2, and click to watch highlights from Natalie
Pace’s Q&A with Rob McEwen on NataliePaceDOTCOM YouTube.com
channel. You can review my
original Q&A with Rob McEwen and interview on
U.S. Gold in Vol. 4, issue 2. (Feb. 2006).
|
Recently
Deleted Companies 2008/2009:
Echelon +20%,
GE, +13% and +18%, Google, +15% and +31%, Johnson & Johnson
+10%, LDK Solar +18%, Microsoft +12%, Satcon +13%, Suntech +35%,
Trina Solar +22%, World Water & Solar +22%. Genentech (8.1.08)
+40%. Altair (deleted on 8.7.08) posted gains of +3% and +57%. Zoltek
(deleted on 8.18.08) lost 30% before being removed. LDK Solar was
deleted on 9.2.08 with 46% and 29% profits. U.S. Gold profit taking
on 11.6.08 amounted to 72% gains. Conergy gains of 51% were taken
on 11.7.08. American Superconductor posted 50% gains between 12.1
and 1.14.09. MEMC Electronics (WFR) had 21% gains between 12.1 and
12.15.08. STP had gains of 69% between 12.1.08 and 1.2.09. SQM profits
20% on 1.14.09. WWAT was deleted on 2.1.09 with -62% losses. On
2.15.09, AMSC had gains of 65%, MEMC Electronics 26%, Sociedad de
Quimica y Minera 48% and U.S. Gold 432%. Citigroup gains of 42%
on 3.15.09. Genentech was deleted on 3.15.09 with gains of 29%.
OSI Pharmaceuticals was deleted on 3.15.09 with 7% gains. Rio Tinto
was deleted on 3.27.09 with gains of 67%. On 3.27.09, the following
companies were in the money: ALTI (+48%), AMSC (+51%), eBay (+24%),
GE (+40%), HOKU (+38%), LDK (+46%), MEMC (+44%), PBW (+35%), SATC
(+42%), SQM (+76%), STP (+211%), TSL (+207%), U.S. Gold (+456%)
and WBK (+25%). Profit-taking 4.13.09: ALTI +209%,
AMSC +70%, HOKU +32%, LDK +64%, PBW +42%, SQM +42%, UXG+418%. Deleted
4.13.09: eBay, +45%, Eurox -11%, GE +47% & -56%, Google
+9%, Maxwell +25%, MEMC Electronics -33% & +49%, Microsoft +24%,
SATC +67%. STP +262% & -64%, TSL +216% & -67%, Westpac +42%
& -22%. Deleted 5.4.09: FMC Corp. with 19% gains.
PZD with losses of -39%. SPWRA with 19% gains. TREMX with 50% losses.
WSDT with losses of -59%. Deleted 5.15.09: SQM with
gains of 38% and 62%. Deleted 5.31.09: EMKR with losses
of 13% and 88% and Melco with losses of 8%. Ener1 with gains of
11% and 17%. Deleted 7.20.09: Conergy with losses of -52-98%. Deleted
Smith and Nephew on 8.15.09 with gains of 17% and losses of 28%.
Recently
Deleted from the Hot News list:
None
Stocks
to Watch
Some of these
are great companies that we’re thinking of adding to the Hot List
and some are stinkers we’re thinking of adding to the Cooling Off
List.
Read carefully to identify which is which!
Note that
right now most of our favorite companies are on the Watch List,
anticipating continued weakening of the stock market, and share
prices.
Recent
Additions:
None
Recent
Deletions:
None
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when featured
|
Price
10.02.09
|
Year High
Year Low
|
Gains since original feature
|
|
Altair Nano-technology
|
No
|
ALTI
|
$1.16
|
$1.05
|
$2.94
$0.60
|
-9%
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with Lithium"
Vol. 6, issue 4.
Altair was not on the list of
battery makers receiving grants from the Obama Administration.
2Q earnings on August 7, 2009:
Sales were $62,000 minus $183,000 in returned product (ugghhh).
Net loss was $6.5 million.
Cash and cash equivalents: $28
million.
|
|
Big Lots
|
No
|
BIG
|
$30.28
|
$24.83
|
$34.88
$12.40
|
-18%
|
|
Read "Discount
Designer Stores,"
from Vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Canadian Imperial Bank
RISK: Medium
|
No
|
CM
|
$65.88
|
$58.57
|
$108.79
$30.64
|
-11%
|
|
Refer to the "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars" article in Vol. 5,
issue 2 for details. Financial markets are under duress. Avoid
most banks for now. Canada’s banks were ranked #1 by the Milken
Institute for global capital.
|
|
Citigroup
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
C
|
$2.26
|
$4.52
|
$27.35
$.97
|
+200%
|
|
Financial markets are under duress.
Avoid most banks for now. Bailed out by the Feds November
2008. 1Q 2009 results will be released on 4.17.09 at 6:30
a.m. ET.
|
|
eBay
|
No
|
EBAY
|
$16.80
|
$22.70
|
$32.10
$9.91
|
+35%
|
|
Etail should perform better than
retail in the recession. But eBay is still having reduced
earnings. Waiting for a leveling off period.
|
|
Ener1
|
No
|
HEV
|
$6.86
|
$6.94
|
$9.49
$2.35
|
flat
|
|
ADD TO HOT NEWS LIST? PROBABLY
WILL WAIT UNTIL THE END OF OCT…
Read "Life
Begins with Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Won an award of $118.5 million to
develop batteries for hybrid and electric vehicles. Was
mentioned by name by President Obama in his remarks of 20090805.
Waiting for a better buy-in point.
|
|
Eldorado Gold
|
No
|
EGO
|
$10.56
|
$10.60
|
$11.39
$2.38
|
flat
|
|
Read "Investing
in Gold"
from Vol. 6, issue 9.
|
|
First Solar
|
No
|
FSLR
|
$144.76
|
$150.00
|
$317.00
$85.28
|
+4%
|
|
See "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
article in Vol. 5, iss 4. Announces earnings on 7.30.09 after
the markets close.
First Solar joined S&P500 on
10.02.09.
First Solar uses cadmium telluride
instead of silicon to transfer sunlight into useable energy.
This was a huge competitive advantage when silicon was hard
to get at a reasonable price. That is shifting, however, for
two reasons. Silicon manufacturing is heating up and costs
are lowering as a result, and cadmium telluride isn’t as abundant
or as efficient a power source as silicon. Read the article
for more details.
|
|
FMC Corp.
|
No
|
FMC
|
$51.36
|
$52.70
|
$80.23
$28.53
|
+3%
|
|
ADD TO HOT NEWS LIST IN Nov/Dec?
Read "Life
Begins with Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. FMC is the real winner of the stimulus
package because they supply lithium to the battery makers.
Waiting for a better buy-in point.
|
|
Google
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$393.69
|
$484.58
|
$602.45
$247.30
|
+23%
|
|
See Vol. 6, issue 5 for "Hulu
Your Heroes"
CEO Eric Schmidt just stepped down from the board of Apple,
Inc. Thomson Reuters said analysts expected this because Apple
and Google have begun to compete on smart phones and computer
operating systems. Note that Google’s 52-week low if $247.30
and be careful not to buy in too high.
|
|
Maxwell Labs
|
No
|
MXWL
|
$10.25
|
$17.43
|
$14.75
$4.00
|
+70%
|
|
Read "Life
Begins with Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Increased sales by 30% this 2nd
Quarter over last year, to $24.8 million from $19 million.
Net loss for Q209 was $5.3 million, compared with $4 million
the year prior. Cash on hand = $31.5 million. It is the continuing
losses and constricted capital environment that prevents us
from putting this company on the Hot List, even though sales
are jumping. We’ll look again at the 3Q 2009, which should
occur around November 11, 2009.
|
|
MEMC Electronics
|
No
|
WFR
|
$18.08
|
$15.38
|
$73.56
$10.00
|
-15%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny
Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
2Q 2009 earnings report 7.13.09:
"While we saw a significant increase
in sales compared with the first quarter, our overall results
continue to reflect the generally weak macroeconomic conditions,"
said Ahmad Chatila, MEMC's President and Chief Executive Officer.
"Semiconductor wafer volumes rose from severely depressed
first quarter levels, primarily due to stronger demand from
Asia and inventory replenishment, but continued to be significantly
below historical levels. In solar, limited credit availability
in the broader solar market continued to restrain demand while
supply excesses remain visible across the solar value chain.
On the positive side, MEMC continued to broaden its solar
wafer customer base during the quarter, adding several new
customers."
In April 2009, BP Solar sued
MEMC, alleging non-delivery of polysilicon powder under three-year
supply agreement that MEMC said has never existed. BP claimed
damages of up to $140 million. The verdict awards damages
of $8.8 million to BP Solar, according to MEMC, who is appealing
the decision.
|
|
Microsoft
|
No
|
MSFT
|
$20.12
|
$24.96
|
$30.53
$14.87
|
+23%
|
|
Great blue chip. Buy at the best
possible price.
|
|
PowerShares Wilderhill Clean Energy
ETF
|
No
|
PBW
|
$9.78
|
$10.24
|
$23.96
$5.78
|
+5%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny
Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
|
|
Rio Tinto
|
No
|
RTP
|
$180.79
|
$160.88
|
$558.65
$59.20
|
-11%
|
|
Gold, copper and other commodities
mining. Based out of UK. Mines worldwide, but focused greatly
in Australia.
|
|
Ross Stores
|
No
|
ROST
|
$35.90
|
$46.01
|
$48.58
$21.23
|
+30%
|
|
Read "Discount
Designer Stores,"
from Vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Satcon
|
No
|
SATC
|
$2.30
|
$2.01
|
$3.51
$1.08
|
-13%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny
Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. Announced 2Q results on 8.13.09. Revenue
was down to $9.2 million from $13.4 million a year ago. Net
loss was $7.1 million, as compared to a loss of $9.1 million
a year ago. Cash and cash equivalents equal $23 million. Certainly
could benefit from the focus on clean energy as the company
makes power converters and was the company of choice when
Google built their solar plant.
It is the continuing losses and
constricted capital environment that prevents us from putting
this company on the Hot List, even though sales are jumping.
We’ll look again at the 3Q 2009, which should occur around
November 13, 2009.
|
|
Sociedad Minera y Quimica de Chile
|
No
|
SQM
|
$36.36
|
$36.96
|
$59.41
$12.98
|
Flat
|
|
ADD BACK TO HOT LIST IN Nov/Dec?
Read the article, "Treasure
Hunting,"
in Vol. 5, issue 10 and the article "Life
Begins with Lithium,"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. SQM announced on Sept. 30, 2009 that
prices for lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide will be
reduced by approximately 20% from current levels for the renewal
of all its supply contracts. The purpose is to accelerate
demand recovery, create incentives for research of new lithium
uses, and contribute to the sustainable long-term development
of the lithium market.
|
|
Sohu (Chinese Co. ADR)
Beijing, China
Small Cap
RISK: MEDIUM
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$46.54
|
$64.63
|
$91.50
$34.10
|
+40%
|
|
See NataliePace.com ezines, Vol.
3, issue 4 and
Vol.
2, issue 9 for
feature articles on Sohu. Dr. Charles Zhang, the Chairman
and CEO of Sohu.com, is one of our CEOs
of the year in 2007.
Read the articles in Vol.
4, issue 1. You can watch a Q&A with Dr. Charles Zhang
in an exclusive interview I did on the Forbes.com Video Network.
|
|
Sunpower
|
No
|
SPWRA
|
$30.26
|
$27.53
|
$107.00
$18.50
|
-9%
|
|
Read "The
Sunny
Side"
in Vol. 6, issue 3.
Announced 2Q earnings on July 23,
2009. Revenue of $298 million. Raised $458 million in a successful
equity and convertible debt offering. Expanded to approximately
600 SunPower dealers worldwide. SunPower reported gross margin
of 19.6%, operating income of $9.9 million and net income
per share of $0.26. Signed a $100 million commercial project
financing agreement with Wells Fargo Bank.
For fiscal year 2009, the company
expects the following total company GAAP results: revenue
of $1.35 billion to $1.7 billion and net income per diluted
share of $0.45 to $0.90.
"Our long-term strategy to build
our brand based on superior experience, technology and return
is paying off. As a result, we have successfully adjusted
pricing to maintain market share and our price premium," said
Tom Werner, SunPower's CEO."
Sunpower just raised an additional
$417.6 million through issuance of 10,350,000 Class A shares
(at $22.00 per share) and 4.75% senior convertible debentures
due 2014. (4.30.09)
|
|
Suntech Power Holdings
|
No
|
STP
|
$16.06
|
$13.98
|
$49.60
$5.09
|
-13%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny
Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. The world's largest crystalline silicon photovoltaic
(PV) module manufacturer.
Announced 3Q 2009 on August 20,
2009 before the markets opened. Revenues were $321 million,
up slightly from last quarter, but down 33.2% from the same
Q last year. Net profits were $10 million, off 81% from the
same time last year.
|
|
Trina Solar Ltd.
|
No
|
TSL
|
$17.56
|
$29.76
|
$53.50
$5.61
|
+66%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
7.28.09: 20-F Annual report (of
foreign issuers):
For the second quarter 2009,
the Company estimates:
-- total shipments of approximately
63 MW to 65 MW of PV modules, compared to
the Company's previous guidance of 60 MW to 65 MW, an increase
of 29.1% to 33.2% from the
first quarter of 2009 and an increase of 32.4% to
36.6% from the second quarter of 2008.
-- total net revenues of approximately
$148 million to $152 million, an increase
of 12.0% to 15.1% from the first quarter of 2009 and a
decrease of 25.6% to 27.5% from
the second quarter of 2008.
|
|
Westpac
|
No
|
WBK
|
$73.54
|
$107.95
|
$122.58
$45.16
|
+47%
|
|
Issued it’s half-year "interim"
results on May 6, 2009. Go to Westpac.com.au to access.
|
|
Wisdom Tree Indian Rupee currency
ETF
|
No
|
ICN
|
$24.28
|
$24.62
|
$25.71
$20.42
|
Flat
|
|
Read the article, "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars,"
from Vol. 5, issue 2.
|
Cooling
Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).
Note:
The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling
off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value.
Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent
news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump
losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while
keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always
consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments
to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are
expected to go DOWN in price.)
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
Apple
(APPL)
Baidu (BIDU)
Time Warner (TWX)
DELETIONS:
KB Home
(KBH)
Toll
Brothers (TOL)
|
Company
|
NP owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price when added to Cooling
Off List
|
Price 10.02.09
|
52-week High
52-week Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
American Express
|
Yes
|
AXP
|
$16.98
$34.17
(9.15.09)
|
$32.49
|
$52.63
$14.72
|
+91%
-5%
|
|
Read the article "American
Express,"
from Vol. 6, issue 2. Earnings 7.23.09: Revenue in the 2nd
Q 2009 was off 18% and net income was down 48%, to $337 million,
from $660 million a year ago. $16 billion in cash on hand.
Longterm debt is $54 billion, with $28 billion in "other
liabilities." Customer deposits are $20 billion.
|
|
Apple
Computer
|
No
|
AAPL
|
$132.07
|
$184.90
|
$192.24
$78.20
|
+40%
|
|
See archived
ezine Vol. 4, issue 2, for the feature article, "Apple
Chips."
The Methodist
University Hospital Transplant Institute
confirmed on 6.23.09 (by press release) that Steve Jobs received
a liver transplant at their hospital, and that he qualified
for the transplant because he had the highest MELD score,
meaning that he was sickest patient on the waiting list at
the time a donor organ became available. According to James
D. Eason, M.D., program director at the hospital, Mr. Jobs
is now recovering well and has an excellent prognosis.
So will
Jobs return to work full-time as the CEO? Apple is notorious
for being circumspect about Jobs’ health and there has been
no official word on the issue. Apple quoted Jobs on the earnings
press release of July 21, 2009, but did not include him on
the earnings call. Even if Tim Cook can do a great job, which
he seems to be doing, it’s likely to be a very volatile day
for Apple when/if Jobs doesn’t return fulltime to the CEO
post.
3Q 2009
earnings on 7.22.09 were amazing: posted revenue of $8.34
billion and a net quarterly profit of $1.23 billion, or $1.35
per diluted share. These results compare to revenue of $7.46
billion and net quarterly profit of $1.07 billion, or $1.19
per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin was
36.3 percent, up from 34.8 percent in the year-ago quarter.
International sales accounted for 44 percent of the quarter’s
revenue.
Dr. Eric
Schmidt, CEO, Google, resigned from Apple’s board on August
3, 2009. According to Steve Jobs, it’s because Google’s new
products pose a conflict of interest with Apple’s core biz.
No surprise here. It was expected.
On September
15, 2009, Bruce Sewell, formerly senior vice president and
general counsel of Intel Corporation, because SVP and general
counsel, replaced Daniel Cooperman, who had the job for the
last two years. Cooperman’s departure at this time seems to
be slightly more troublesome, given that he would have been
actively involved in the decision to keep the extent of Jobs’
illness from investors (whether he opposed or supported it).
Insider
selling is over $90 million since June 2009 (after Jobs announced
his liver transplant).
|
|
Applied Materials
|
No
|
AMAT
|
$12.76
$13.51 (9.15.09)
|
$12.68
|
$21.75
$7.17
|
-1% &
-6%
|
|
Leadership, product line and recessionary
actions were strong, but AMAT transitioned to solar just when
sales dropped off. Weathering the storm is imperative in the
meantime. Investors should be aware of the high P/Es of this
company, which is hard to justify in a contracting environment.
With almost $2 billion in cash and marketable securities,
AMAT is in a position to regroup and recover in the future.
With any luck and with the purported US emphasis on clean
energy (which has yet to see real funding), this is a temporary
setback.
3Q loss (released on 8.11.09) was
$55 million on $1.13 billion of net sales. "In a difficult
environment, Applied improved its operating performance and
generated significant cash flow while making substantial investments
in new technologies for next-generation semiconductor chips,
flat panel displays and solar panels," said Mike Splinter,
chairman and CEO.
|
|
Baidu
|
No
|
BIDU
|
$183.15
$347.22
(8.13.09)
|
$375.21
|
$397.70
$100.50
|
+204%
|
|
Leading
Chinese website for search (similar to Google). 85 P/E is
high for a revenue stream so tied to advertising (during a
global recession). (Advertising revenue models tend to suffer
greatly in recessions and Google’s P/E is only 30, by comparison,
right now.)
7.27.09
1Q 2009 earnings: According to the company, "Our operations
are primarily based in China, where we derive substantially
all of our revenues. Total revenues in 2008 were RMB3.2 billion
(US$468.8 million), an 83.3% increase over 2007. Operating
profit in 2008 was RMB1.1 billion (US$160.8 million), a 100.4%
increase over 2007. Net income in 2008 was RMB1.0 billion
(US$153.6 million), a 66.6% increase over 2007."
The primary
Risk Factor for Baidu is: We derive revenues primarily from
online marketing services, which accounted for 98.9%, 99.8%
and 99.9% of our total revenues in 2006, 2007 and 2008, respectively.
|
|
Berkshire Hathaway
|
No
|
BRK.A
|
$97,000
$102,105 (8.13.09)
|
$99,500
|
$147,000
$70,050
|
+2.5% &
-3%
|
|
Read "The
Oracle Turns 80,"
in Vol. 6, issue 8.
|
|
Capital One Financial
|
No
|
COF
|
$22.29
$37.98 (9.15.09)
|
$33.19
|
$63.50
$7.80
|
+49% &
-13%
|
|
Credit card companies are under
distress. And now, the Obama Administration is setting up
a Bill of Rights for their customer. Tough times for the credit
industry continue, and this company is really experiencing
some of the toughest challenges of the field.
2Q 2009 earnings on 8.10.09: $146
billion in liabilities, with (reportedly) $172 billion in
assets, including $101 billion in "loans held for investment."
Cash and cash equivalents were
$4.8 billion, down from $7.5 billion at the end of 2008.
According to the earnings report.
"The adoption of SFAS 166 and SFAS 167 could have a significant
impact on the Company’s consolidated financial statements
because the Company expects it will be required to consolidate
at least some of its special purpose entities to which pools
of loan receivables have been transferred in transactions
previously qualifying as sales. Holding more of these assets
on the Company’s balance sheet may require it to take various
actions, including raising additional capital, in order to
meet regulatory capital requirements. Such capital may not
be available on terms favorable to the Company, if at all,
and could have a negative impact on the Company’s financial
results. As of June 30, 2009, the Company had approximately
$44.5 billion of credit card receivables held by QSPEs."
Read the article "American
Express,"
from Vol. 6, issue 2.
|
|
Fortress Investment Group
|
No
|
FIG
|
$3.57
$5.37 (8.13.09)
|
$4.91
|
$19.50
$0.77
|
+38% &
-9%
|
|
Released 2Q 2009 results on August
5, 2009. Earnings are down -39% in 1Q 2009 from the same quarter
a year ago. GAAP net loss of $171 million, with principals
still getting paid $66 million in the quarter. Daniel H. Mudd,
currently member of the Fortress board of directors, will
become the firm's new CEO effective August 11, 2009. George
W. Wellde has been elected to Fortress' Board of Directors.
Read the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs"
(Vol. 5, issue 12) and "Money
Grows on Wisdom Trees,"
from Vol. 4, issue 3. Reported earnings on 3.15.09. FY 2008
GAAP net loss of GAAP net loss of $322 million. Principals
in the company earned $222 million of that net loss.
2Q2009 earnings on 8.09: Net los
of -$171 million. Without paying the principals in the company,
the net income would have been $66 million. Man these guys
are getting paid a lot to lose a lot of dough!
On 9.22.09: dividend was canceled
by Board.
|
|
Intel
RISK: LOW
|
No
|
INTC
|
$16.66
$20.25 (9.1.09)
|
$18.97
|
$25.29
$12.06
|
+14% &
-6%
|
|
Intel is a great blue chip. However,
business spending fell off a cliff in the recession. A P/E
of 42 is too high if the recession continues.
Green: Intel and Google launched
ClimateSaversComputing.org in 2007, with a goal of achieving
a 50% power consumption reduction by 2010. They have convinced
all kinds of partners to come on board, including competitors:
Advanced Micro Devices and Microsoft!
Reported 2Q results on 7.14.09:
had non-GAAP operating income of $1.4 billion, net income
of $1.0 billion and EPS of 18 cents. On a GAAP-basis, the
company reported an operating loss of $12 million, a net loss
of $398 million and a loss per share of 7 cents.
"Intel’s second-quarter results
reflect improving conditions in the PC market segment with
our strongest first- to second-quarter growth since 1988 and
a clear expectation for a seasonally stronger second half,"
said Paul Otellini, Intel president and CEO. "Intel's
strategy of investing in new technologies and innovative products,
combined with ongoing focus on operating efficiencies, continues
to yield benefits that are evident in our strengthening financial
performance."
|
|
Medtronic
|
No
|
MDT
|
$33.35
$37.09
(9.15.09)
|
$36.46
|
$56.97
$24.06
|
+9% &
-2%
|
|
Medtronic’s Infuse Bone Graft product
has been linked with a number of problems, including that
the doctor paid to report on the studies of the product falsified
positive reports. Other allegations include aggressive incentives
for doctors to use the device. While these are allegations
at this point, and not proven facts, biotechnology is a volatile
industry and the negative headlines that keep coming from
the Wall Street Journal are unlikely to make this company
the Belle of Wall Street.
On 5.19.09, the company issued
a press release, saying: "For fiscal year 2010, the company
expects revenue growth in the range of 5-8 percent on a constant
currency basis. The company also expects diluted earnings
per share (EPS) in the range of $3.10 to $3.20, which reflects
EPS growth in the range of 8-12 percent after adjusting for
approximately 6-7 cents of earnings dilution from the recent
acquisitions of CryoCath, Ablation Frontiers, Ventor, and
CoreValve."
"Earnings per share estimates
exclude the effect of any special or extraordinary charges
that may impact the company’s continuing operations and do
not include the impact of the new accounting method for recognizing
non-cash interest expense on convertible debt."
|
|
MGM Mirage
|
No
|
MGM
|
$26.79
|
$11.06
|
$100.50
$5.10
|
-59%
|
|
Get more information in Vol. 5,
issue 10 in the "(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
article. The City Center project
looms as exceedingly problematic in today’s vast downturn
of real estate in the Las Vegas area. Anticipating very bad
news on this project in the near future. MGM has kept itself
alive in the harshest climate of the new millennium through
selling assets, selling more stock and taken on more debt.
All of the debt receives a junk rating from Fitch. On October
1, 2009, they had to cancel a debt exchange offer due to low
interest from debt-holders.
Earnings on 8.3.09: Net revenue
decreased 17% to $1.5 billion. Net loss was $213 million.
|
|
Sears Holding
|
Yes
|
SHLD
|
$52.93
$78.37 (8.13.09)
|
$62.59
|
$108.75
$26.80
|
+18% &
-20%
|
|
Read the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs"
(Vol. 5, issue 12) and the "Discount
Designer Stores"
article
(Vol. 5, issue 6). Sears
is one of the largest, oldest retail chains in the U.S, and
formerly, was as American as baseball and apple pie. These
days, however, Sears is more of a hedge fund, which might
help to explain why you’ve been trying to get that appliance
repaired (under warranty) for months or been waiting for a
replacement for your coffee pot for so long that you’ve taken
up drinking tea. Almost all of the board directors at Sears
are in the investment business, not the retail business. In
fact, board director Emily Scott, a TV station founder, is
the only person on the board without significant investment
experience. No one on the Sears board has any experience at
all in retail.
You can read the shareholders
letter from Chairman Eddie Lampert on the SearsHoldings.com
website. 10 minutes into the letter, and I have to call this
a rant. Big red flag folks.
Still don’t have a CEO. Bruce Johnson
is interim CEO. New CFO started last October, right before
the preparation of the annual report began. The former CFO
Miles Reidy decided that he needed to spend more time with
his family than to put is name on the 2008 annual report.
Another big red flag.
Consensus, colossal insider
selling to the tune of over $80 million, including warrants
that were exercised by interim CEO Bruce Johnson.
3Q 2009 earnings on 8.20.09: Net
loss was $94 million. Total revenues decreased $1.2 billion
to $10.6 billion for the 13 weeks ended August 1, 2009, as
compared to total revenues of $11.8 billion for the 13 weeks
ended August 2, 2008. The decrease was primarily due to lower
comparable store sales and included a $126 million decline
due to the impact of foreign currency exchange rates.
Significant uses of our cash during
the first half of 2009 include $134 million for share repurchases,
contributions to our pension and post-retirement benefit plans
of $96 million, capital expenditures of $122 million and debt
issuance costs of $81 million. These amounts were partially
offset by borrowings. Total debt (consisting of short-term
borrowings, long-term debt and capital lease obligations)
at August 1, 2009 was $3.2 billion, as compared to $3.6 billion
at August 2, 2008.
|
|
Taubman Centers REIT
|
No
|
TCO
|
$24.74
$33.81 (9.15.09)
|
$33.25
|
$65.99
$12.43
|
+34% &
-2%
|
|
Read the
article, "Global
Recession,"
from Vol. 6, issue 6 in June 2009.
The income reported on July 23,
2009 was actually "cancellation income," not rent.
Read the details, not just the numbers.
"The environment for retail real
estate continues to be challenging," said Robert S. Taubman,
chairman, president and chief executive officer of Taubman
Centers. "Lease cancellation income from our tenants offset
a decline in rents. In addition, we are very focused on costs
throughout our organization, which contributed to our results
during the quarter."
2Q 2009 earnings on 7.23.09: Net
income allocable to common shareholders per diluted share
(EPS) was $0.17 for the quarter ended June 30, 2009, up from
$0.01 for the quarter ended June 30, 2008. EPS for the six
months ended June 30, 2009 was $0.38, up from $0.09 for the
first six months of 2008.
|
|
Time Warner
|
No
|
TWX
|
$24.44
|
$29.63
|
$50.70
$17.81
|
+20%
|
|
Read the
article, "Hulu
Your Heroes,"
from Vol. 6, issue 5 in May 2009.
2Q earnings
on 7.29.09: In the quarter, Revenues declined 9% from the
same period in 2008 to $6.8 billion. Lower revenues at the
Publishing, AOL and Filmed Entertainment segments more than
offset growth at the Networks segment. Net Income was $519
million, down from $792 million the year prior.
CEO Jeff
Bewkes said: "At the same time, we’re continuing the
reshaping of Time Warner that we started last year. We’re
on track to spin off AOL to our stockholders around the end
of the year. Separating AOL will benefit both companies –
enabling Time Warner to concentrate fully on our core content
businesses and improving AOL’s operational and strategic flexibility."
|
|
Wells Fargo
|
Yes
|
WFC
|
$20.05
$28.88
(8.13.09)
|
$26.28
|
$44.69
$7.80
|
+31%
-9%
|
|
See "Wells
Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings"
in Vol. 5, issue 9, and "Wells
Fargo’s Great Depression,"
in Vol. 4, issue 12.
Announces 3Q earnings on Oct 21, 2009 at 5:00 a.m. PT (before
market open).
2Q 2009: Record Wells Fargo net
income of $3.17 billion, up 81 percent from last year; $6.22
billion for six months ended June 30, 2009, up 66 percent
from last year. Net income was $2.58 billion. So why is it
here on the Cooling Off list? Read the articles...
|
|
Wynn Resorts
|
No
|
WYNN
|
$95.42
|
$67.66
|
$176.14
$18.06
|
-29%
|
|
Check out the article,
"(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
in Vol. 5, issue 10.
2Q 2009 results announced on 7.30.2009.
Net revenues for the second quarter of 2009 were $723.3 million,
compared to $825.2 million in the second quarter of 2008.
Net income for the quarter was $25.5 million, or $0.21 per
diluted share, compared to net income of $272.0 million, or
$2.42 per diluted share in 2008. Adjusted net income in the
second quarter of 2009 was $11.5 million, or $0.09 per diluted
share (adjusted EPS)(2) compared to an adjusted net income
of $124.3 million, or $1.11 per diluted share in the second
quarter of 2008.
Total cash balances on June 30,
2009 were $1.1 billion. Total debt outstanding at the end
of the quarter was $4.1 billion, including approximately $2.6
billion of Wynn Las Vegas debt and $1.5 billion of Wynn Macau
debt.
|
Recently
Deleted in 2008/2009:
Fannie Mae was
deleted on 2.11.08 after losing -50% and -56% of its share price
value, and then again on 7.1.08, after losing another -40%. (Both
puts more than doubled.) Novastar Financial (NFI) was deleted on
6.2.08 with -95% share price implosion. Sears Holding Corp. was
deleted on 7.1.08 with 64% gains on the put option. Wells Fargo
was deleted on 7.1.08 with 83% gains on the put. Apple was deleted
on 8.1.08 with 35% gains on the put. The Google put, deleted on
8.1.08, was another great performer, with over 50% gains. First
Solar had gains of over 32-34%. Mentor was deleted on 9.30.08 with
75% gains on the put option (-17% on the share price); Medicis was
deleted with gains of over 37% on the share price (down direction).
Boston Properties, Las Vegas Sands and Macerich were deleted on
10.9.08 with gains of 16-30%, 66% and 28-42% respectively. Wells
Fargo was deleted on 11.6.08 with 35-50% gains on the put and again
on 12.1.08 for 50-70% gains. American Express posted 35% gains in
just 30 days, between 2.1.09 and 3.2.09. First Solar was deleted
on 8.13.09 with 33% gains. KB Home with 74% gains and Toll Brothers
with 51% gains on 10.01.09.
|
KB Home
RISK: HIGH
|
No
|
KBH
|
$59.00
|
$15.19
|
$48.67
$6.90
|
-74%
|
|
Read the article, "Rupert
Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out
Where They Are Investing," from Vol.
2, issue 5. In May 2005,
we called REITs a burnout sector, and the fallout should continue,
with high home prices, rising interest rates, people backing
out of contracts and rising inventory. REALTOR.org’s chief
economist is not predicting housing to recover in 2009. "Disproportionately
high distressed home sales will continue for the remainder
of the year because foreclosures and the release of foreclosed
properties onto the market will be rising for the remainder
of the year." Lawrence Yun, chief economist, National Association
of Realtors, in a press release dated May 27, 2009.
McMansions are going the way of
Hummers (extinct) in the new cleaner, greener, fuel-efficient
world. Who can afford to heat these huge homes? Who is buying
new real estate these days at prices that KB can make a profit
on (considering their cost to carry the land, etc.)?
9.25.09 3Q 2009 earnings: Revenues
totaled $458.5 million, down 33% from $681.6 million in the
third quarter of 2008, due to lower housing revenues. Net
loss was $66.0 million. In the 2008 third quarter, the Company
reported a net loss of $144.7 million. Orders are increasing.
The Company’s backlog at August 31, 2009 totaled 3,722 homes,
representing potential future housing revenues of approximately
$734.1 million.
"In this challenging environment,
we significantly narrowed our third quarter net loss from
a year ago through the disciplined execution of our strategic
initiatives," said Mezger. "Restoring the profitability
of our homebuilding business remains our highest priority,
and we continue to take actions to achieve this objective."
|
|
Toll Brothers
RISK: MEDIUM HIGH
|
No
|
TOL
|
$37.82
|
$18.68
|
$28.00
$15.49
|
-51%
|
|
Read the article, "Rupert
Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top Real Estate CEOs. Find Out
Where They Are Investing," from Vol. 2, issue
5 in 2005, when we first reported on REITs as a burned out
sector.
McMansions are going the way of
Hummers (extinct) in the new cleaner, greener, fuel-efficient
world. Who can afford to heat these huge homes? Who is buying
new real estate these days at the prices that TOLL needs to
earn a profit? Real estate is expected to continue to decline
through 2009, at minimum. (Toll Brothers cashed out hundreds
of millions beginning as early as 2005.)
|
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER (PLEASE READ):
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling
Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should
reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the
assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your
goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading"
portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
NataliePace.com Calendar:
Interested
in being more like Brad and Angelina? Get involved with the Clinton
Global Initiative University as a volunteer, helping to save the
world. (You might even meet the stars themselves.)
The
NataliePace.com Calendar section features conferences, teleconferences,
retreats, educational opportunities, cultural events, galas, market
events and online chats with executives and VIPs. Stay plugged in!
We add online chats, article updates, teleconferences, etc. as they
are booked, so be sure to visit the calendar section early and often.
Below is only a partial listing of what’s happening this month.
See below for
just a few of the amazing educational and networking opportunities
that world-class organizations are offering for you. To access links
to the event website and registration, go to the Calendar
section at NataliePace.com.
Clinton
Global Initiative University Conference,
Miami, FL
Friday, April
16-18, 2010
This 3-day event is one where students work
hand-in-hand on global issues, and even get their hands dirty on
a community service project. Of course, doing this alongside Prez.
Clinton and a few celebrity friends, like Brad Pitt, doesn't hurt!
You must apply with a proposal to be accepted. Act fast!
The
Women's Conference, Long Beach, CA
Tuesday, October
6th, 2009
7:30AM
through 6:30PM PT
California
First Lady Maria Shriver hosts a 2-day celebration for transformation,
where women are encouraged to be architects of change. Speakers
include Katie Couric, Ashton Kutcher, Sir Richard Branson, Caroline
Kennedy and more!
Solar
Decathlon, Washington, D.C.
Friday,
October 9th, 2009
Tour
20 solar homes in a special solar village during Oct 9 through Oct.
18, 2009. Homes are part of a competition between universities to
design, build, and operate the most attractive and energy-efficient
solar-powered home.
Nominate
a Fabulous Woman!
Friday,
October 9th, 2009
If
you know of a person who deserves worldwide recognition for the
work she or he has done on behalf of women, nominate her or him
today!
Sacred
Valley Yoga Retreat (Peru)
Monday,
October 12th, 2009
Discover
the magical healing powers of the Andes in this 10-day transformative
Yoga, Meditation and Shamanic Healing retreat in Peru's Sacred Valley.
Put on by Bliss Yoga Center, Woodstock, NY.
Direct
Marketing Association 2009 Convention, San Diego
Saturday, October
17th, 2009
Direct
Marketing Conference and Exhibition. Digital this and interactive
that. Search engines and social networks. New channels and next-generation
strategies.
Solar
Energy Conference, San Jose, CA
Monday, October
19th, 2009
Solar
Power 2009 features over 210 exhibitors, 125 speakers, networking
opportunities galore, and an anticipated 10,000 visitors! Every
major solar company in the world, from STP, SPWR to GE Solar will
be there on display!
Solar
Power International 2009
Tuesday,
October 27th, 2009
Robert
F. Kennedy Jr. is confirmed to present "Green Gold Rush: A Vision
for Energy Independence, Jobs, and National Wealth" on October 28
at Solar Power International 2009.
Advance
Estimates for 3rd Quarter 2009 GDP Growth
Thursday, October 29th, 2009
8:30AM ET
The U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA.gov)
releases its advance report on GDP growth in the 3rd quarter of
2009. Final numbers for 2Q were -0.7%. 1Q GDP growth came in at
-5.5%.
Federal
Open Market Committee Meeting
Tuesday/Wednesday, November 3-4, 2009
The Federal Reserve Board governors meet for two days, on the 3rd
and 4th of November to determine the best monetary policy for sustained,
healthy growth.
Opportunity
Green Conference, LA, CA
Saturday, November
7th, 2009
Opportunity
Green 2009 is a 2-day event focused on greening biz in a profitable
way. Explore Product Innovation & Design for Sustainability,
How Fortune 500's are Implementing Sustainability for Growth, Raising
Investment Capital, Branding...
Greenbuild
Conference, Phoenix, AZ
Wednesday, November
11th, 2009
Revolutionary
Green: Innovations for Global Sustainability, hosted by the Green
Building Council. This year, the keynote speaker is Archbishop Desmond
Tutu. Experts on the green building movement and green collar jobs.
Professional
BusinessWomen of California 2009 Sacramento Conference
Tuesday, November
17th, 2009
Join
the largest gathering of professional women in the Sacramento Area
for a day of learning, networking and inspiration. Local and national
experts will share the latest strategies for career advancement,
leadership, communication, work/life balance and more. Network with
state senators & CEOs!

|
VISION: To build
a global community of investors through a worldwide website, seminars,
radio, television and print partners.
GOAL: To provide high-quality, first-run, ethical financial news,
information and education, presented in an entertaining format,
across all media (television, radio, print and online).
MISSION: To provide the news, information and education investors
need to make better choices and to make investing as much fun
as shopping.
PHILOSOPHY: Member Mosaic. Piecing together a more complete picture
of the publicly traded company, one tile at a time, by valuing
firsthand consumer experience, conducting evaluations of the executive
team and lining up the numbers of the publicly-traded company
with its competitors in a Stock Report Card.
For more information on NataliePace.com contact us at
www.NataliePace.com,
P.O. Box 1350, Santa Monica, CA 90406-1350
or 1-866.476.7442
(toll-free telephone number).
NOTICE: NataliePace.com is NOT a stock brokerage service,
and does not operate or act as one.
|
|
|