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Vol.7 Issue 2, February 1st, 2010
Send comments and suggestions or get more information at info@NataliePace.com

QUOTE OF THE MONTH:
"Natalie takes the mystery and confusion out of personal finance and liberates you from the myth that Wall Street smarts are the monopoly of professional brokers. Whether your current financial means are modest or substantial, her time-tested, hands-on, interactive and intuitive methods of successful investing will assist you in dissolving your money obstacles."

Michael Bernard Beckwith,
from the Foreword of You Vs. Wall Street, by Natalie Pace.


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Should You Put the Brakes on Your Toyota Stock?

by Natalie Pace.

Includes a Lithium Stock Report Card.

Toyota FT-HS Hybrid Sports Concept Car

Wonder how the Toyota recall will affect your nest egg and if the company will ever be able to recover from halting sales on eight of their vehicles and issuing recalls on millions of other vehicles? RAV4, Corolla, Matrix, Avalon, Camry, Highlander, Tundra and Sequoia sales have been suspended, and approximately 4.8 million vehicles could be affected by the recall to fix the floor mat and/or "sticky accelerator pedals" of selected models. (Visit your Toyota dealer and/or read Toyota’s updates on their website to determine whether or not your vehicle is affected by the recall.)

As you might guess, investors fled the scene of the accident as soon as the recall was announced. Toyota’s share price hit the skids last week was announced, losing 16% off its 52-week high share price of $91.97, shaving $9.5 billion off in market cap. Ouch!

Even with that severe road rash, however, Toyota Motor Company is still valued at $121 billion, worth more than Honda, Ford, Chrysler and General Motors combined (as of January 29, 2010).

Further, though Toyota has been taking the heat in the headlines, Ford isn’t immune to the acceleration issue. According to Consumer Reports, there were 52 complaints logged with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) over Toyota vehicles, and 36 complaints against Ford vehicles. (Ford has recalled a commercial vehicle in its Chinese market, but CEO Alan Mulally stresses that this is a precautionary measure only. There has been little mention of any issue in with Ford vehicles in the U.S. to date.) Not to be outdone in headlines, Honda weighed in on January 29, 2010 with a recall of its own. 640,000 vehicles are affected in the Honda recall of cars with a defective power window switch that can spark a fire under the wrong conditions.

As I reported in the January 2010 ezine, Ford, not Toyota, is the belle of the ball this year -- winning critical acclaim for its vehicles. Ford Fusion was Motor Trend’s 2010 Car of the Year. The Ford Focus was named "Most Significant" vehicle at the 2010 North American International Auto Show. Ford has the media spotlight with its award-winning cars and its achievement of posting the first profitable year in 2009 since 2005. (Ford’s U.S. competitors, Chrysler and General Motors were both forced into bankruptcy in 2009.)

There is no question that the current debacle is going to cost Toyota big time in 2009. The question is how much, and will it critically wound the company? Or is Toyota poised to weather the storm and hang onto its title as the world’s #1 automaker? Reading the crystal ball on these questions requires a trip to South America – where the future of automakers purportedly lies.

Current hybrid cars use nickel-metal hydride batteries, but scientists agree that electric power and plug-ins are better suited for lithium ion batteries. "This generation and the next generation of batteries in automobiles ... is going to be lithium," according to Don Hillebrand, director of the Transportation Research Center at Argonne National Laboratory. "Looking at the cutting edge stuff 10 or 30 years out, that's going to be lithium too, and probably more lithium intensive." Some of the most prolific lithium deposits are found in Chile and Argentina, and if the trend is toward plug-ins and electric cars, then securing a steady supply of lithium will be critical to success in the marketplace.

Toyota is launching plug-in hybrids along with battery-powered cars running solely on electricity starting in model-year 2012. Both will be powered by lithium-ion batteries. Toyota’s goal is to double its global hybrid sales to one million annually, with most sales occurring in North America. And to achieve that goal, the auto company has taken strong actions to secure a steady supply of lithium to power it. On January 20, 2010, a key Toyota supplier, Toyota Tsusho Corp, announced a partnership with Australian miner Orocobre Ltd. to mine lithium in Argentina.

This is still an early stage joint venture and, as with all mining efforts, will require an extensive permit review process. However, given the global meltdown and the demand for lithium, it is possible that production will be fast-tracked by nations that are hungry to achieve top line growth for their economy.

What does that mean for the investor? Over the decades one trend has remained true: when a company moves aggressively to correct its problems, those problems go away much more quickly than when a company tries to mask the problem. Johnson and Johnson weathered the storm during the tainted Tylenol scandal (that killed seven people in the Chicago area) in 1982. Merck survived the VIOXX scandal. Both companies addressed the problems quickly, and then focused on better products. Tylenol introduced new/improved packaging. Merck launched Gardasil, the cervical cancer vaccine. And for Toyota, it will likely be the plug-in hybrid.

Indeed, on January 28, 2010, the Wall Street Journal was already reporting that Toyota is close to developing a fix for their gas pedals. So, harsh headlines could turn to hearts and kisses for the #1 auto company as early as by Valentine’s Day. However, don’t be suckered into buying new stock in Toyota before the full impact of the recall on earnings is reported, in Toyota’s mid-year report due around June 24-25, 2010. More than likely, the impact on the top line – a dramatic drop in revenue for the first half of 2010 – will be too much for most investors to stomach, especially on an already weak economy.

In the long run, however, Toyota is poised to be the visionary company amongst its peers. The current appetite is for fuel-efficiency, plug-in hybrids and electric cars, like the all-electric Tesla roadster, and lithium ion batteries. Die-hard Toyota fans will likely see their investment in the company shrink over the next six months, but in 2012, the headlines on Toyota could well be laden with kudos and awards – once again.

In the meantime, lithium is one commodity in strong demand these days that is only likely to get stronger. Click to access a Lithium Stock Report Card that lines up the numbers on some of the top lithium manufacturers worldwide.

FMC Corporation and Sociedad de Chimica y Minera are already mining lithium, and are both on my Watch list (in the Hot News on Cool Stocks update in this ezine), largely because both corporations have lost sales this year and demand is expected to sluggish for most of 2010 (due to the economic downturn). (The U.S. Stimulus Bill should help sales later this year, once funds start getting distributed in a larger way.) Galaxy and Orocobre are both Australia based companies that are developing lithium mines and manufacturing facilities. Orocobre is working with a Toyota supplier on the feasibility of a lithium mine in Argentina, while Galaxy Resources is in the final stages of developing a lithium mine in Australia with a manufacturing plant in China, capable of producing 17,000 tpa of lithium carbonate. 

Orocobre was added to my Watch List today, anticipating that positive headlines for this early stage project will be dwarfed by the larger Toyota recall problem. Galaxy was added to the Hot List today because China is committed in a big way to electric cars (powered by lithium ion batteries) and Australian and Chinese government officials are giving the thumbs up to this project.

Full Disclosure: Natalie Pace does not own positions in any company mentioned in this article.

 

About Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You Vs. Wall Street and host of the Modern Girl’s Guide to Sex, Love and Money radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace! She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist, she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public schools and financial literacy. Follow her on Twitter.com/NataliePace, YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM and Facebook.com/NatalieWynnePace. For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.

 

Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.

Investors should NOT all in on any asset class, including gold. Your retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience.

Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.


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Haiti. Your Contribution is Probably Tax Deductible on Your 2009 Tax Return.

by Natalie Pace.

Learn which nonprofit organizations qualify and which don’t.

Haiti will be in our thoughts and prayers for many months to come. If you have already given to UNICEF, Doctors Without Borders, the Red Cross or another emergency aid program, then your contribution has been a part of saving countless lives. For many who donate, there is another benefit. It could be tax deductible!

Helping those in dire straits is always the right thing to do… You never know how the blessings come back to you, but you can be assured that they do. But that warm feeling in your heart might be matched by a warm feeling in your wallet, if your contribution means you get more money back from the IRS this year. If you make your contribution between January 11, and March 1, 2010, then you can write the deduction off on your 2009 taxes, according to a new law enacted on January 22, 2010.

Not all organizations and contributions that are helping out in Haiti qualify as a tax write-off, however. Your contributions to Haiti Relief, helping those affected by the natural disaster get the rice, medical care and water they need to survive until the rebuilding begins, are tax deductible provided they meet the following criteria.

According to the IRS update on Haiti contributions, "Contributions to domestic, tax-exempt, charitable organizations that provide assistance to individuals in foreign lands qualify as tax-deductible contributions for federal income tax purposes, provided that the U.S. organization has full control and discretion over the uses of such funds. Contributions to foreign organizations generally are not deductible. Contributions to benefit specific individuals or families are also not deductible."

If you have a question about whether or not your favorite nonprofit organization qualifies for a tax write-off, consult your local tax professional, the organization in question and the IRS directly. Sometimes it’s trickier than you think. For instance, Doctors Without Borders is an international organization, but they have organizations within each country that have control over that country’s donations. Thus, Doctors Without Borders contributions are tax deductible.

For more information on tax-deductible donations, visit IRS.Gov and search on the words, Haiti and Contributions.

I’m proud to live in a land that was the first to respond to the disaster, with so many individuals still working so hard to rescue and rebuild in this impoverished nation.


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$8000 Reasons to Buy a New Home Now.

by Natalie Pace.

Team California’s Refract House won the Architectural Design award at the 2009 Solar Decathlon. Construction price of the home is $450,000-$650,000.

Yes. You saw it right. New homebuyers (defined very leniently as you haven’t owned a home in the past three years) can still receive $8000 to buy a home. Existing homeowners can upgrade and receive up to $6,500 in tax credits or refund. Certain rules apply, so be sure to read the fine print on the IRS website (just click on the blue-highlighted link to access it.)

Below are just a few of the criteria:
1. You must be 18,
2. The home must cost less than $800,000
3. You must enter into binding contract to buy a principal residence – on or before April 30, 2010.
4. You must close on the home on or before June 30, 2010.

If you preview the terms and are sure you qualify, the question becomes, should you take advantage of this offer right now? And to help determine the viability of any investment, I recommend putting it to the test of the 3-Ingredient Recipe for Cooking Up Profits, which is outlined in greater detail in my new paperback, You Vs. Wall Street.

This recipe works for any kind of investment, whether it is real estate, stocks, Beanie Babies, postage stamps or classic cars…

3-Ingredient Recipe for Cooking Up Profits
1. Start with what you know and love
2. Pick the Leader
3. Buy low; sell high

Details. Details. The Devil is in the details…
1. Start with what you know and love
Chances are you know which neighborhood you want to live in, even if you’d all but given up the idea of affording to live there. But, have you checked on prices there recently? Prices dropped a whopping -12.4 percent in 2009, on average, with distressed homes accounting for 36 percent of total sales, according to the National Association of Realtors. This follows a drop of -9.8% in median home prices in 2008 and -1.8% in 2007, for a total discount of -24% over the last three years (nationwide, on average, i.e. some places are much worse off; some are better.)

Chances are what seemed so out of reach in 2005-2006 is now more affordable. And with almost 4 million homes receiving a foreclosure filing in 2009 (according to RealtyTrac), there are likely to be even more short sell opportunities before April, for you to take advantage of. Dare to dream and cruise neighborhoods where you want to live, checking out open houses and the new pricing of real estate.

Be inspired by Cheyenne’s Story, which I told in volume 6, issue 11. She moved into the neighborhood she wanted, in a home with more bedrooms, for the same price as the old home, which wasn’t nearly as much of a sanctuary for her soul. (And if you do the same this year, you’ll get some dough from the IRS!)

2. Pick the Leader
There’s a joke in real estate about the three things you look for – location, location, location, and this is true. But also look for things that really make your place stand out from the rest of the neighborhood. (Don’t choose the termite-laden hut; perhaps go for the pristine "green" home instead that has solar panels and excellent insulation – with reduced energy usage and costs and architectural appeal…)

This will enrich your own life while you live there, and up the odds that your home gets sold in the event that there are multiple homes for sale at the same time in the future when you desire to sell your place. Even if you’re the fixer-upper type, you still want to start with the place that has the most potential. For example, don’t pick the dungeon condo in the building – go for the penthouse there. And try to avoid the house on a busy street corner.

3. Buy low; sell high
Now is the time when people truly understand exactly why buying low and selling high is so easy to say and hard to achieve. When everyone is having a tough time getting credit and four million homes are in foreclosure, it’s a buyer’s paradise! But no one has the dough or the credit to capitalize on the opportunity!

If you are the person with the extra cash and outstanding credit lying around, now’s your chance to "buy lower" than prices have been in years – at interest rates that are lower than they have been in 40 years!

You are getting your new home (or upgrade home) 24% cheaper than those who bought in 2006, and securing a loan at interest rates that are almost free. Lock in a fixed loan, if you can, to really make your home affordable. Even if prices continue to fall in 2010 (currently prices are predicted to stabilize by the end of 2010, if not sooner), your low interest rate will more than make up the difference going forward, since the majority of what you pay on your home is interest on the loan.

4. What are the two commandments of prosperity?
Never pay retail. And never pass up free money (unless it will cost you more tomorrow if you take the free dough today). And that is the million-dollar question! No one knows where real estate prices will be in a year, but we do know that, on average, for the last 30 years, real estate earns about 4.4% annually, meaning that if you buy a place you plan to live in for a decade, your investment should pay off.

Plus, in the U.S., you will be able to write off the interest you pay on your mortgage, while you live in a home that you own (instead of renting). All in all, the $8000 First Time Homebuyer’s Credit, which is being offered by the Obama Administration, is a great deal -- as long as you purchase something you can afford to keep and live in for a while.

 

About Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You Vs. Wall Street and host of the Modern Girl’s Guide to Sex, Love and Money radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace! She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist, she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public schools and financial literacy. Follow her on Twitter.com/NataliePace, YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM and Facebook.com/NatalieWynnePace. For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.


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Ask Natalie:

What Do You Do When Your Tiger Becomes a Cheetah?

Dear Natalie:
Like Elin (and Elizabeth Edwards), I thought I married a Tiger, but I ended up with a Cheetah. Is this a deal breaker? Should we stay for the money? For the children? Because we promised till death do us part?

Dear Cheetah Lover:
It’s sobering and sad to experience such a deep level of betrayal, as both you and Elin (and Elizabeth) have endured. However, my guess is that there were clues all along that you were always dealing with a Cheetah, not a Tiger. So, this wake-up call is a blessing and an opportunity to right some very serious wrongs rather than continue on with your head in the sand.

Most of the free advice lavished on Elin these days focuses on money, and that is very shortsighted. No amount of money can heal a screwed up marriage and the at-risk kids that kind of life creates. Betrayal, car accidents, "sexting" on the sly, arguments that escalate into screaming and/or violence, et al. is the opposite of what kids should see their parents doing.

Sanctuary Home.
A home is where the soul is nourished or polluted. Betrayal is toxic. The primary question for Elin (and you) to answer is, "Is our home a sanctuary?" And more importantly, "Can my children learn to become healthy, loving people in this home?"

Parents are role models and nurturers. In order to do their job right, companions must immerse themselves in an abundance of trust and loyalty, with a healthy dose of humor. In short, their union must be sacred – above all other allegiances. Not at the sacrifice of his/her own individuality – but as a compliment and foundation for each partner’s own greatness. Something the kids aspire to in their own lives.

Pleasure seekers do not make great sacred companions. Discord, deceit, lies, cheating and the corresponding bickering that behavior creates are horrible examples for children. (Duh!) You pay a high price when an ugly relationship is glued together with "money." Abuse (physical, verbal, emotional or monetary), ridicule, underlying and chronic unhappiness, addiction and violence – these horrors become what the children know as normal and will go on to replicate in their own lives as adults. The children of pleasure seekers -- who drown themselves in drugs/alcohol/sex and lies – too often end up addicted to this kind of life, too. And so the cycle of violence continues.

From the outside, it’s hard to know how many of these very serious and tragic circumstances Elin endures (or you endure), but Elin’s primary job (and your job) is to break the generational chain – if not for herself, then for her children. She should not "stay" for the money. She should create a sanctuary home immediately for her children, away from the seeds of discord. Her Cheetah may promise to become a Tiger again, and even take radical steps to renew the sacred union. But sex addicts are commonly trapped in a never-ending cycle of addiction and bad behavior, followed by remorse and regret. Neither Elin nor you should fall for promises of change. By his actions, over a very long period of time, you will know him. And in the meantime, the relationship cannot be rebuilt upon such a damaged foundation.

Get out immediately, which is the only way healing can begin (for both the Cheetah and the Cheated On). Not necessarily divorce immediately, but separate now, so that if the union is renewed, it is rebuilt upon a stronger and more sacred foundation. Ask the Cheetah to leave or go to your mother’s if you must (like they used to in the olden days).

Elin can and should get enough money to provide for herself and her children, regardless of whether she stays or divorces, and the same goes with you, too! Focus on the sanctuary home and thriving, while at the same time making sure that you protect the lives and livelihood of the kids. Cheetahs are dangerous to have in the home, and the fiscal fallout of their risky behavior can be far more expensive -- in time, money, postponed happiness and bailouts for messed up teens -- than any near term pay day can afford.

 

About Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You Vs. Wall Street and host of the Modern Girl’s Guide to Sex, Love and Money radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace! She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist, she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public schools and financial literacy. Follow her on Twitter.com/NataliePace, YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM and Facebook.com/NatalieWynnePace. For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.

.


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This Valentine’s Day: Love Yourself:

by Staff.

10 Tips to Living the Love Affair of a Lifetime – Your Personal Grand Adventure.

A Queen, A First Lady, Oprah and other Stars and CEOs Reveal Their Secrets For Success in Business and Personal life.

1. "It doesn’t matter whether you are a waitress or a CEO—the question is are you true to yourself? Are you improving the quality of life of those you meet and work with? Are you a force for good in a world in desperate need?" Her Majesty Queen Noor of Jordan

2. "Don’t compare yourself to other women. There is no woman in reality that looks like she does in a magazine. Concentrate on being the best that you can be." First Lady Maria Shriver

3. "There is a calling for your life. I go to work. It doesn’t feel like work. It feels like breathing. That’s when you know you’re home." Oprah

4. "Dream big, bold dreams. Dream as far as your imagination will take you." Andrea Jung, chairman and CEO, Avon

5. "Whatever you do, enjoy yourself by laughing more easily, moving more slowly, connecting with others and expressing yourself authentically." Cecile Andrews, author, Simplicity in a Complex World

6. "No matter how smart you are, you get more done as a team. Whether a team member or team leader, value everyone – and every contribution." Jane Beseda, Group VP and GM, No. American Parts Operations, Toyota

7. "Have your first child before 35; don’t wait until your late thirties or forties before trying to have that first child." Sylvia Ann Hewlett, economist and founding president, Center for Work-Life Policy

8. "Kindness works. It’s like a boomerang: it ALWAYS comes back to you, even if not from the person you gave it to." Gayle King, editor-at-large, O Magazine

9. "Be Choosy About the Role You Let E-mail Play. Use it as a tool to drive your agenda, not to define your agenda. It is a poor substitute for the nuances of interpersonal communications that require leadership and finesse." Susan Decker, former president, Yahoo

10. "Choose to be better, not bitter. If you experience trauma, be sure to give yourself at least one year to grieve and begin the healing journey before throwing yourself into volunteerism. If you don’t take time to focus on yourself before focusing on others, it can make you bitter and angry, rather than positive and productive." Wendy Hamilton, Past National President, Mothers Against Drunk Driving (MADD)


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Love.

by Gary Kobat.

The Fire in Your Soul that Fuels Your Life.

Baz Luhrmann’s 1996 version of Shakespeare’s Romeo and Juliet, starring Leonardo di Caprio and Claire Danes.

What do you really want? Are you pursuing something you love and want passionately, or have you gotten stale and leveled-off in performance? What really excites you to move forward? Are you ready for a breakthrough, or are you holding back? Are you living life on-fire, or just lukewarm?

Are you worthy and willing to change?

Significant increases in human performance, quantum leaps, are an act of love, a passionate statement of who you are, how you care, and how much you believe in your future. Higher levels of performance and happiness are driven by the love, passion, desire, and deep precious reasons that live as a fire in your soul; a fire hot enough to protect you from the chilling effects of anxiety, uncertainty, and self-doubt. Only love can create that kind of heat.

One of the most mysterious energies in the world, love is a force so powerful, so electric, so compelling that, once you have felt it, you will never want to live without it again. Could it have been anything but love that inspired Michelangelo to paint the Sistine Chapel? Could it be anything but a brave heart and deep passion that drives Rudy Garcia-Tolson toward his goal to become the first bilateral above-knee amputee to finish the Ironman World Championship? Is there anything you value more than doing the things you love? When love flows, everything works; we even age more gracefully.

Within each of us, there is a sacred flame that is the keeper of our vitality, the guardian of our soul’s life force. This flame has the power to lift us out of the most difficult times, raising us above the seductive temptations of the past, and securing us in the wisdom and guidance of the present. We must become keenly aware of the condition of our internal flame, the strength of the fire within our soul at all times. We must protect it from weakening and, if it begins to fade, embrace steps to correct its course.

Where there is love, there is life. Love is the driving force, the fuel for your fire. Honor and hold yourself in high regard. Live your loves, and watch your life come alive.

 

About Gary Kobat:
Gary is the tough-love Coach, no-nonsense Trainer, and World-Class Athlete whose energy for life has inspired, educated, and empowered lasting personal and professional change for thousands. He believes that we can re-invent ourselves by living life without-limits; understanding that the universe is full of infinite possibilities; that everything we need is inside: right here & right now; and by never, ever, ever giving-up.

Gary's client list includes the who's who in film, business, and sport. For the past decade he has quietly mentored the spirituality, health, and longevity of Jim Carrey, Will Ferrell, Mariska Hargitay, and countless others.

You can sign up for a free copy of Gary’s e-book at GaryKobat.com. Follow him on Facebook and Twitter for daily tweets of inspiration.


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The Revolution in the Economic Empowerment of Women.

by Dr. Gary S. Becker.

Indra Nooyi, Chairman and CEO, PepsiCo (PEP)
Fortune’s Most Powerful Woman in Business

The current issue of The Economist recognizes that the dramatic change in labor force participation of women is one of the most important transformations in the economic and social worlds during the past generation. I will discuss the main forces behind this change, and also consider whether the United States needs additional public policies to accommodate women at work.

Several crucial changes have contributed to transforming the position of women. Perhaps the most fundamental during the past half century were technological advances, such as the computer, and the shift in richer countries away from manufacturing and toward services. These developments put much greater emphasis on knowledge and information as opposed to physical strength and heavy work, which in turn greatly increased the importance of higher education.

Women have shown a greater capacity than men in completing universities and four-year colleges, largely because women have greater and less variable non-cognitive skills, such as study habits. While the fraction of men with four-year college degrees in the United States has stagnated since 1970, the fraction of women with these degrees has exploded, so that now women receive almost 60% of the four-year degrees in the United States compared to only 40% in 1970. Similar shifts in higher education toward women have taken place in European countries. Related trends are occurring also in developing countries, even in fundamentalist Iran.

The increased importance of skills and knowledge has greatly affected parental fertility and investment decisions. As parents have recognized the importance of a good education and other training to succeed in the modern world, they have opted for fewer children since giving extensive education to many children would be too expensive. Therefore, modern parents have lower birth rates than parents did in the past, and instead invest much more in each child. This has produced sharply declining birth rates almost everywhere, and below replacement fertility rates in about 90 countries that include all European nations, much of Asia, including China, Japan, and South Korea, and even a few mainly Moslem nations.

The declines in fertility and shift toward greater investment in children have been accelerated by the growing education of women, who tend to be particularly concerned about providing a good education to their children. This helps explain why educated women have relatively few children and invest more in the schooling of each child. In addition, the time spent by educated mothers in child rearing is more expensive since they can earn more in the labor force. This too helps explain why women who graduate from college have always tended to have fewer children than other women did.

These trends toward greater emphasis on knowledge and information, low fertility, and much greater education of women, have all contributed to the large growth in the labor force participation of women during the past several decades. For example, about 80% of American women with a college education are in the labor force compared to less than 50% for female high school dropouts. Although women are more likely to work part time than men, the gap in their labor force participation rates has greatly narrowed.

The recession affected men much harder than women since men are more likely to work in construction and manufacturing, two sectors especially hit hard. As a result, in recent months women have made up about half the labor force in the United States. This fraction will fall as the economy recovers, but the trend is still strongly toward gender equality in labor force participation, and perhaps even toward a majority of participants being women. This is partly because low skilled men have been withdrawing from the labor force.

Although women still lag by a lot in their representation in the top managerial positions, they have greatly narrowed the gap between their full time earnings and that of men. Wives earn more than their husbands in perhaps 30% of all American families with two earners,  and that percentage continues to grow. American women are starting new businesses at a much faster rate than they did in the past, and the number of female heads of large companies, although small in number, has been growing.

Although the United States has instituted various policies to help working women, unlike Sweden and other Scandinavian countries it does not provide extensive public subsidies to childcare, does not have a system of legislated paid leaves to women that allow them to care for newborn children, and does not guarantee that they can get their jobs back when they return to work. Yet, contrary to many claims, I believe that the less interventionist American approach may not have impeded, and may even have encouraged, women’s’ progress in the labor force.

Despite all the subsidies to childcare in Scandinavian countries, the US still has higher fertility rates than Sweden, Norway, or Denmark, and also than other European countries. Moreover, the labor force participation rates of women in the US are not much below those in Scandinavian countries, especially after considering that American birth rates are higher, and that some women in Scandinavian countries are counted as having jobs even when they are on paid child care leaves.

Married women in the United States with at least a high school education can "afford" to pay for childcare, and forego employment for months or even years after having children, since they are usually married to husbands who have decent to high earnings. Many of these women do leave work for a while to care for their children, even when that means they reduce their opportunities to advance when they return to work. I do not believe there is much of a case for the government to pay these married women to take leaves from work when they have children, or guarantee them their jobs when they return to work.

Government policies should be rather neutral about whether women leave work to care for children or continue to work.

On the other hand, public policies to help children of poorer women, including children of many unmarried women, may be justified since these women tend to under invest in their children because they have limited incomes and often low education levels. Childcare assistance and other subsidies to investments in the young children of these women could well have a high social return. The US does subsidize childcare programs for low-income families, and could increase the subsidies to various head start programs.

But such interventions would not justify the Scandinavian approach of generously subsidizing all women, including well off women, to take paid leaves when they have children. Despite all their job guarantees after they return to work from childcare leaves, private sector opportunities for Scandinavian women, and women in several other European countries, are limited. For example, about three-quarters of employed women in Sweden work for the government compared to one-quarter of employed men, and women comprise a much larger fraction of senior managers of American companies than of Swedish companies.

 

Dr. Gary Becker is a University Professor, Department of Economics, and Sociology Professor, Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago. He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1992 for his groundbreaking work in "human capital." President George W. Bush awarded him the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2007.

To keep track of Dr. Becker's continuing research and commentary, visit his web site and blog.


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Easy as a Pie Chart Investing.

by Natalie Pace.

5 Steps to Profiting in Any Market.

Are you still filing your 401K, IRA and brokerage statements without looking at them? With the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 3% already on the year, and still down 23% since January 2008, ignoring your nest egg could be catastrophic to your future. Did you know that the old strategy of just buying and holding stocks hasn’t worked for the last decade? Yes, the stock markets are lower today than they were in 1999, meaning that the only way to get your prayers of prosperity answered, is to employ a different strategy of getting rich. And fortunately, there is a better strategy that works great in bull and bear markets.

So, what is it? It’s a simple 5-step plan that is based upon Modern Portfolio Theory, my trademarked strategies for picking hot industries and annual rebalancing. This may sound complicated and time consuming, but it is actually easy as a pie chart and once you set it up, you simply revisit the plan once a year. It’s actually that easy!

My pie chart strategies (which I teach in depth at my 3-day Get Rich and Enrich Retreats) work fantastically in bull and bear markets, mainly because you:
1) Have the right amount protected,
2) Avoid the Bailout Indexes,
3) Are invested in hot industries and
4) Learn how to rebalance once a year.

That means you keep your gains in NASDAQ 2000, in real estate during its heyday and in clean energy in 2007 (when it was the top performing industry, earning twice as much as oil and gas!). You also prevent colossal losses during downturns, such as we saw in the Bank Bailout Market Bust of 2008 and 2009, and before that in the DOT COM Bust of 2000-2002.

Easy as a pie chart investing is really simple – just five steps.
1. Keep a % equal to your age safe
2. Diversify the remaining amount into 10 funds
3. Overweight more safe in recessions, up to 20%
4. Underweight companies founded before 1980.
5. Rebalance annually to capture gains and make sure you’ve got the right amount protected

Here are 10 Tips to Help You Set Up Your Pie Chart

  1. Add up the total value of all of your "nest eggs" – i.e. your 401Ks (old & new), your IRA, your annuity and your savings. This total is what you want to consider as your nest egg pie chart. (Don’t include real estate. This is your non-liquid asset, and your home and/or passive income.)
  2. Keep a percentage equal to your age "safe." As an example, if you have $100,000 in your nest egg, and you are 50, you would be keeping $50,000 "safe." There are many assets that are safer than stocks, including bonds, Treasury Bills, Certificates of Deposit and FDIC insured savings accounts. These days, you have to be a lot more careful about bonds, even those that are highly rated.
  3. Protect an additional 10-20% percent during recessions and times of grave uncertainty.
  4. Take the remaining "pie" and divide that into ten slices – one fund represents one "slice."

  5. Diversify six of the slices by size and style. Small cap growth, small cap value, mid cap growth, mid cap value, large cap growth and large cap value. Why? Because different parts of the market perform differently. NASDAQ rewarded investors with 40.5% gains in 2009, whereas the Dow Jones Industrial Average earned only 15% gains. Small cap stocks made 6.3% annually over the last ten years, while the general marketplace lost almost 1% annually over the same period.
  6. Four of the slices will be Hot Industries. Hot industries really outperform their peers. In 1999, it was DOT COMs that rocketed up a return of 80%. In 2004, it was commodities, like copper. In 2005, Las Vegas Sands and other casinos were doubling in value. In 2007, clean energy earned almost 60 cents on the dollar, almost twice the returns of oil and gas (the 2nd highest performing industry). What will be the hot industry of tomorrow? Read You Vs. Wall Street to learn how to identify them on your own, and keep subscribing to this NataliePace.com ezine for all of the latest news, information and education you need to succeed…

  7. Underweight companies that were founded before 1980. These tend to have significantly more pension and health care debt and obligations than newer companies, which provide 401Ks that employees manage themselves. Employees do a much better job with retirement plans than employers do. And the employers that are having trouble funding their pension plans (like auto manufacturers and airlines) are taking on a lot of debt to try and compete with their peers… For additional information, you can check out some of the archived articles I’ve written addressing this concern. (I’ve provided links at the end of this article.)

  8. What’s safe? If you are interested in bonds for the "safe" portion of your nest egg, please do your research first. A good place to start is on the FINRA.org website, where they have an excellent and extensive amount of information on Smart Bond Investing.

  9. Rebalance once or twice a year. This is the most important aspect of the pie chart! It’s simple, but critically important. Every year, re-add up your total nest egg value. Put a percent equal to your age safe. Overweight as needed and then slice the "at-risk" portion of the pie with ten funds, six by size and style and four new hot industries. Each year, what’s hot changes… In 2004-2005, real estate was all the rage. Today, it’s in the toilet. This year, if you turn on the television, you can’t miss a gold advertisement, however, over the last 30 years, gold wasn’t even keeping up with inflation, at 2.33 annualized gains.
  10. Don’t include individual companies as part of your nest egg, until you are as good at stock picking as Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch. Your nest egg is supposed to be money while you sleep, i.e. low risk and low maintenance. Individual companies require a lot of research before you buy, and frequent attention as to when is the right time to sell. If you are interested in investing in individual companies, then make sure you know how to pick a great company and determine the best buy in point. (Reading You Vs. Wall Street will help tremendously with that. I have Four Questions, Stock Report Cards, a 3-ingredient recipe and buy low/sell high tips outlined in detail in the book.) Once you’re confident that you’re making a winning investment, use your education or fun money for the "investment."

Other Articles of Interest:
1. 2007 Company of the Year Vol. 4, issue 1 (January 2007)
2. Gold Will Hit $5000/Ounce. Vol. 6, issue 12 (December 2009)
3. Are You Gambling With Your Nest Egg? Vol. 5, issue 1. (January 2008)
4. Faded Blue Chips. Vol. 3, issue 8 (August 2006)
5. Get Out of Dodge (Real Estate). Vol. 2, issue 5 (May 2005)

 

About Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You Vs. Wall Street and host of the Modern Girl’s Guide to Sex, Love and Money radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace! She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist, she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public schools and financial literacy. Follow her on Twitter.com/NataliePace, YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM and Facebook.com/NatalieWynnePace. For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.

 

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER (PLEASE READ):
Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.

Investors should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience.

Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.

 


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Seeking Solid Financial Footing for the Next Decade: 10 Tips for 2010.

by FINRA.org, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority.

Mateo in Black Rock City. Freedom!

Over the last several decades—even before Americans first felt the brunt of the recent economic crisis—the financial landscape in the United States has been changing dramatically. The responsibility of saving for retirement has shifted from the employer to the employee. The cost of a college education has risen dramatically. And financial products have become more complex—making saving and investing increasingly complicated for American families.

While many American adults might believe they are adept at dealing with day-to-day financial matters, their actual financial behavior tells a different story. As findings from the FINRA Investor Education Foundation’s recently released National Survey underscore, far too many people tend to engage in financial behaviors that generate excessive expenses and fees. And all too few are able to calculate basic interest and perform other math-oriented tasks. In addition, few people seem to compare the terms of financial products or shop around before making financial decisions.

FINRA and the FINRA Foundation aim to provide Americans with the tools and information they need to make sound financial choices. At the dawn of a new decade, here are 10 tips to help you stay on track with your finances:

  1. Figure out how much to save for retirement. According to the National Survey, nearly three of every five Americans who are not yet retired have not done the math to calculate how large their retirement nest egg should be. FINRA’s Retirement Calculator and retirement resources can help.

  2. Rebalance your retirement savings. Because different assets can grow at different rates, over time your portfolio can veer away from the asset allocation you originally chose, impacting your exposure to risk. That’s why periodic rebalancing is so critical. Yet fewer than one-third of National Survey respondents with self-directed retirement accounts (such as a 401(k) plan or IRA) reported rebalancing their holdings at least once a year—and nearly half said they rarely or never do so. Especially following the stock market’s precipitous fall in 2008 and dramatic recovery by the end of 2009, rebalancing your portfolio in 2010 could be a smart move. For information on when and how to rebalance, read FINRA’s Smart 401(k) Investing.

  3. Take Advantage of Tax Breaks for College Savings. Parents typically hope their children will go to college. While funding a child’s college education is one of the more predictable expenses many families face, college tuition costs have been trending upwards, making saving for college all the more important. Yet the National Survey found that well below half (only 41 percent) of respondents with financially dependent children have money set aside for college. Among those who have, only 33 percent reported having used a tax-advantaged savings account, such as a 529 Plan or Coverdell Education Savings Account. Learn more about smart strategies for saving for college.

  4. Diversify your portfolio. Diversification is a time-tested method of managing risk by spreading your investments both among different asset classes—meaning stocks, bonds and cash—and within each asset class. Although the concept may sound simple, the National Survey found that one-quarter of those who rated their financial knowledge as "very high" could not correctly answer a question about risk and diversification. The question asked whether investing in a single company stock is safer than investing in a stock mutual fund—and the correct answer is no. For more on risk and smart diversification strategies, read FINRA’s Managing Investment Risk.

  5. Check the background of your financial professionals. According to the National Survey, only 15 percent of those who have worked with a financial professional reported that they had checked the professional’s background or credentials with a state or federal regulator. Investing a few minutes of your time to take this essential step up front could save you time, money and other trouble down the road. FINRA BrokerCheck is a free tool that allows investors to check the professional background of brokerage firms and individual brokers. Learn more about checking out investment professionals.

  6. Shop around for financial products. When it comes to choosing financial products—such as credit cards, auto loans or mortgages—most Americans either do not comparison-shop or conduct only limited searches for the best prices or terms. For example, while two of every three Americans have at least one credit card, 63 percent of National Survey respondents said they did not compare offers. Whether for loans or investments, comparing costs and terms can save you money.

  7. Create a rainy day fund. The National Survey found that a majority of American adults (51 percent) have not set aside sufficient emergency savings to cover expenses for three months in the case of sickness, job loss, economic downturn or other emergency. To get started, aim to set aside at least one month (and preferably three to six months) of your current salary in a federally insured savings account. And don’t touch it unless absolutely necessary. Learn more about creating a rainy day fund.

  8. Check your credit report and score. You need to do both. Only 38 percent of National Survey respondents stated that they had obtained a copy of their credit report within the past 12 months. Yet 68 percent have at least one credit card—and most have two or more. With credit hard to obtain and identity theft a continuing problem, it is critical to verify whether your credit history is accurate and correct any discrepancies immediately. Just as your credit report is like a financial transcript, your credit score is your financial GPA. Failing to pay monthly balances in full or making late payments can result in finance charges or fees—and these behaviors can also hurt your credit score. A low score, in turn, not only can raise your costs of borrowing or prevent you from qualifying for credit, but also can impact your ability to get insurance, an apartment or even a job. Learn more about how your credit score affects you and what helps and hurts your credit score. For your free credit report, call (877) 322-8228 or visit www.AnnualCreditReport.com.

  9. Avoid overdrawing accounts. Nearly one-quarter (23 percent) of National Survey respondents with checking accounts reported overdrawing their accounts on occasion—and 73 percent of those who overdrew accounts also reported having difficulty covering their monthly expenses and paying their bills. According to a 2008 study by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, most banks automatically enroll customers in overdraft programs. As a result of these programs, the bank will automatically process checks, ATM withdrawals and debit card transactions even when there are insufficient funds in your account—and you will be charged an overdraft fee. While overdraft protection may seem like a helpful feature on a checking account or debit card, be aware that overdraft fees can add up. The best ways to protect yourself are to balance your checkbook so that you know how much money is in your account and ask your bank to let you opt out of any program that automatically approves ATM and debit card transactions. For more on how to avoid overdraft fees, read the Federal Reserve’s Protecting Yourself from Overdraft and Bounced-Check Fees.

  10. Review your insurance coverage. Only half of National Survey respondents who reported having at least one form of insurance (health, auto, homeowners or life) said they reviewed their insurance coverage at least once a year. And one in seven (14 percent) said they never did so. Taking the time each year to assess whether your insurance coverage aligns with your needs is a smart strategy—especially if recent life changes have left you under- or over-insured. For example, if you are young and single with no dependents—or if you are an empty-nester with a fully paid home—you might need less life insurance than someone who is financially responsible for others (such as children or aging parents), has a mortgage or both. More information is available on the Web site of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners.

The start of a new year is always a terrific time to take stock of your finances and to embrace new habits to get—and stay—financially fit. Even if you were not thinking about saving and investing when the clock struck midnight on New Year’s Eve, it’s not too late to set fresh financial goals for 2010. Take time to make a long-term financial plan—and stick with it. Make sure your plan includes a realistic spending plan that not only allows you to make ends meet comfortably and keep your debt under control, but also includes line items for saving and investing for each of your financial goals. When making financial decisions, be sure to comparison shop and check out both products and professionals before you invest. And remember that staying diversified and understanding risk are the best resolutions you can make for managing your finances over the long term.

 

About FINRA:
The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), is the largest independent regulator for all securities firms doing business in the United States. All told, FINRA oversees nearly 4,800 brokerage firms, about 170,400 branch offices and approximately 643,000 registered securities representatives.

FINRA believes investor protection begins with education. Using the Internet, the media and public forums, we help investors build their financial knowledge and provide them with essential tools to better understand the markets and basic principles of saving and investing.

Sign up to receive FINRA content and Investor Alerts at FINRA.ORG.



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Taxes: What's New for 2010?

by Rande Spiegelman, CPA, CFP®, Vice President of Financial Planning, Schwab Center for Financial Research

January 20, 2010


Rande Spiegelman, CPA, CFP®, Vice President of Financial Planning, Schwab Center for Financial Research

Times are tough. So it's especially important to take advantage of every tax break you're entitled to. After all, it's not what you make but what you keep that counts. Here are several tips to consider:

Position yourself to benefit from lower tax rates while they last
Under current law, tax rates on ordinary income, capital gains and qualified dividends are set to expire and go back up after 2010. (See the "Expiring rates" table below.) Congress may keep some lower rates in place while allowing the upper brackets to revert to the old higher amounts, but that remains to be seen. In any event, now is a good time to discuss with your financial advisor steps you can take to reduce the impact of taxes on your pocketbook.

 

 

 

Expiring rates

Federal provision

Now

In 2011
(Pre-2001 Law)

Ordinary income tax brackets

10%
15%
25%
28%
33%
35%

N/A
15%
28%
31%
36%
39.6%

Long-term capital gains tax rate

15% or 0%

20% or 10%;
greater than five years:
18% or 8%

Qualified dividend tax rate

15% or 0%

N/A

Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT)

2009 exemption:
Married: $70,950
Single: $46,700

Exemption:
Married: $45,000*
Single: $33,750*

Estate tax

Exemption (top rate):
Repealed (0%)

Exemption (top rate):
$1 million (55%)

*Lower exemption amounts take effect in 2010 unless Congress extends the temporary 2009 AMT patch.
Source: Internal Revenue Service (IRS).


Take advantage of federal income tax changes
To keep pace with inflation, the IRS has widened the federal income tax brackets and increased certain exemptions, deductions and credits.1 See the "2010 federal income tax brackets" table below. For additional information, please visit the IRS website at IRS.Gov.

2010 federal income tax brackets

Marginal tax rate

Taxable income

Single

Married filing jointly

10%

$8,375 or less

$16,750 or less

15%

Over $8,375 but not over $34,000

Over $16,750 up to $68,000

25%

Over $34,000 but not over $82,400

Over $68,000 but not over $137,300

28%

Over $82,400 but not over $171,850

Over $137,300 but not over $209,250

33%

Over $171,850 but not over $373,650

Over $209,250 but not over $373,650

35%

Over $373,650

Over $373,650

Source: IRS.

See if you're exempt from the Alternative Minimum Tax
Congress raised the taxable income exemption amounts for the 2009 tax year—to $70,950 for married couples filing jointly and $46,700 for single filers. Hopefully, Congress will raise the limits again for 2010 and make the annual adjustment permanent.

Take advantage of lower tax rates for children
In 2010, children under 19 will pay no federal income tax on the first $950 of unearned income (such as capital gains or interest) and will be taxed at their own rate on the next $950 (0% for long-term capital gains and most likely 10% on other unearned income). However, they will be taxed at their parents' tax rate on unearned income in excess of $1,900 for 2010. (This will also be the case for full-time college students under age 24, unless their earned income is greater than one-half of their parents' support.)

Individuals age 19 and older (and dependent full-time college students age 24 and older) pay taxes at their own rate. If they're in the 15% ordinary bracket or below, that means 0% tax on long-term capital gains and qualified dividends through 2010, unless Congress changes the law before then.

Boost your retirement savings and potentially enjoy tax benefits
As the "2010 federal limits for retirement accounts" table below shows, the federal government increased the maximum amounts you can contribute to certain retirement accounts.

2010 federal limits for retirement accounts

Account

Contribution limit

Additional catch-up contribution for people age 50 and older

401(k), 403(b) and 457

$16,500

$5,500

SIMPLE IRA

$11,500

$2,500

QRP/Keogh and SEP-IRA

20% of net self-employment income
(or 25% of compensation) up to $49,000

None

Individual 401(k)

20% of net self-employment income
(or 25% of compensation)
 plus $16,500, up to $49,000

$5,500

Traditional IRA
and Roth IRA

$5,000

$1,000

Source: IRS.

Among them:

  • Traditional IRAs. Money you put in a traditional IRA is generally tax-deductible unless you're an active participant in a qualified workplace retirement plan, such as a 401(k) or 403(b). In that case, restrictions apply. If you're a single filer, your contribution is partially deductible if your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) is $56,000-$66,000. If you're a married couple filing jointly, your 2010 contribution is partially deductible if your MAGI is $89,000-$109,000. If you don't participate in a retirement plan at work (but your spouse does) and you file jointly, your contribution is partially deductible if your MAGI is $167,000-$177,000.2

  • Roth IRAs. If you're a single filer, in 2010 your contribution limit is $5,000 (or $6,000 if you're 50 or older) if your MAGI is $105,000 or less. The contribution limit is gradually reduced for those with MAGIs of $105,000-$120,000. If you're a married couple filing jointly, your contribution limit is $5,000 (or $6,000 if you're 50 or older) if your MAGI is $167,000 or less. That contribution limit is gradually reduced for those with MAGIs of $167,000-$177,000.
    • Beginning in 2010 and beyond, anyone can convert a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA, regardless of income level or filing status. Converting all or part of a traditional IRA into a Roth IRA could be advantageous if you expect to be in the same or higher tax bracket when you eventually withdraw the money, have a reasonably long time horizon, and can afford to pay the conversion tax from a source other than your IRA.

    • A Roth conversion might also be a useful estate planning technique, if you think you won't need your traditional IRA for your own expenses during your lifetime. Finally, for 2010 only conversion income will not be included in 2010 but will be split evenly between the 2011 and 2012 tax years by default. If you want to include all the conversion income on your 2010 tax return (which might make sense if you expect higher tax rates in 2011 and beyond) you’ll need to make a special election.

Required retirement plan withdrawals
Congress suspended the required minimum distribution (RMD) rule for 2009, but the rule is back in force for 2010.

Manage college expenses with these nifty tax benefits
Consider these tax-favored ways to pay for college costs: 

  • A Coverdell education savings account. If you're a single filer, you may make a maximum contribution of $2,000 per year if your MAGI is $95,000 or less; the maximum allowed contribution is gradually reduced for those with MAGIs of $95,000-$110,000. If you're a married couple filing jointly, you may make a maximum contribution of $2,000 per year to a Coverdell if your MAGI is $190,000 or less; the maximum allowed contribution is gradually reduced for those with MAGIs of $190,000-$220,000.
  • A 529 college savings plan. Although there's no limit to how much you can contribute each year, each state's plan has its own lifetime limit—typically more than $200,000.3 You can also treat a 529 contribution as being made over five years for gift tax purposes. So a married couple could contribute up to $130,000 per child up front without using any of their lifetime gift tax credit (see below).
  • Tax credits. The American Opportunity Credit is a modification of the Hope Credit for tax years 2009 and 2010, and makes the credit available to a broader range of taxpayers, including many individuals with higher incomes and those who owe no tax. For 2010, you may claim up to $2,500 on eligible college expenses paid from a non-529 account. The American Opportunity Credit phases out for single filers with MAGIs of $80,000-$90,000 and $160,000-$180,000 for married couples filing jointly. The Lifetime Learning Credit is 20% of the first $10,000 of qualifying education expenses. The Lifetime Learning Credit phases out for single filers with MAGIs of $50,000-$60,000 and $100,000-$120,000 for married couples filing jointly.

  • Tax deductions. You may be able to deduct up to $2,500 of student loan interest. The MAGI phaseout for eligibility is $60,000-$75,000 for single filers and $120,000-$150,000 for married couples filing jointly.

Plan your gifts and estate to make the most of these tax breaks

  • The gift tax annual exclusion amount remains unchanged for 2010. You generally can give up to $13,000 annually (or $26,000 for spouses splitting gifts) to any number of people, and none of the gifts will be taxable. You can also give unlimited amounts toward tuition or medical expenses if you pay the provider directly. Beyond that, for 2010 the lifetime gift tax exemption is still $1 million. The top gift tax rate is 35%. 

  • Although the estate tax is set to expire in 2010, under current law it comes back in 2011 in all its pre-2001 glory (see table). Many of your estate planning decisions will depend on what you think Congress might do down the road.

Estate tax and gift tax: 2010-2011

Estate tax

Gift tax

Highest rate

Exemption

Highest rate

Exemption

2010

0%

Repeal

35%

$1,000,000

2011

55%

$1,000,000

55%

$1,000,000

Note: Unless Congress acts to change the current law, in 2010, larger estates may no longer receive an automatic step-up in basis equal to the date-of-death valuation. For 2010 only, inherited assets over $1.3 million (over $4.3 million for spouses) will retain their original cost basis.

That’s anyone’s guess, of course. We could revert back to the old law, or we could end up with higher limits for taxable estates. One possibility is that the 2009 estate tax exemption amount of $3,500,000 and top rate of 35% could be extended. As frustrating as the uncertainty might be, the best you can do is plan based on what you know now. Remember, any guess about the future is still just a guess, and the law as it stands is still the law.

For more information on these and other changes, please see Inflation Having Little Effect on Tax Rates and Benefits in 2010 on the IRS website.

Should you sell securities now?
Should you sell now, before long-term capital gains rates go up? Currently, profits on long-term investments (those held more than one year) are taxed at a top rate of 15%. Prior to the election, President Obama had proposed raising the top rate back to 20% for families making over $250,000. That plan may be on hold for now.

But, even if Congress takes no action, beginning on January 1, 2011, the top long-term capital gains tax rate is scheduled to return to 20% for securities held between one and five years, and 18% for those held more than five years.

If you have a better investment in mind or need the money now and were going to sell anyway, why not save 3% or 5% in taxes? But if you're going to turn around and reinvest the proceeds in the same security, then the prospect of long-term capital gains taxes reverting to 18% or 20% shouldn't in itself prompt you to sell.

You may be better off holding onto a security rather than selling it now and reinvesting the proceeds in the same security. Consider the two hypothetical scenarios below. Assume that you have a $1,000 long-term gain now and you expect the investment to generate an 8% average annual compound return. As the table below shows, in this hypothetical example, not selling now would lead to a higher net gain in 10 years.

If you sell now If you don't sell now
Long-term gain now $1,000 $1,000
15% capital gains tax ($150) N/A
Net $850 $1,000
Long-term gain after 10 years (assuming 8% average annual compound return) $1,835 $2,159
20% capital gains tax ($197)* ($432)
Net $1,638 $1,727

*[0.20 x ($1,835 - $850)]
Source: Schwab Center for Financial Research

1. In some instances, modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) may be used to determine eligibility for certain deductions. MAGI calculations vary, so consult your tax professional.
2. Within certain AGI (or MAGI) phaseout ranges, you receive partial deductibility (or eligibility to contribute, in some cases) for certain tax breaks. At or below the low end of the range, you can receive full deductibility (or eligibility), but at or above the high end of the range, you lose deductibility (or eligibility).
3. As with any investment, it is possible to lose money by investing in a 529 plan. Before investing, carefully consider a plan's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Additionally, if you are investing in a 529 plan outside the state in which you pay taxes, you should consider your own state's 529 plan to determine if you can obtain any tax or other benefits offered by your own state's plan.

 

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES:
This report is for informational purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security or pursue a particular investment strategy. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.

All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not representative of intended results that a client should expect to achieve.

Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.

This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal or investment planning advice. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, Schwab recommends consultation with a qualified tax advisor, CPA, financial planner or investment manager. Tax laws and authorities are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively, and any subsequent change could have a material impact on your situation.

The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.


NASDAQ Doubles the Dow in 2009, Outscoring the Leading Blue Chip Index by 2.7 to 1!

by Natalie Pace.

Includes my Hot News on Cool Stocks List.

February 1, 2010

General Stock Market Performance

Monday, 1.2.2008

Monday, 1.2.2009

Monday 1.4.10

Monday, 2.1.10

Gains 2-yr, 1-yr & 1 mo.

Dow: 13,044.12

Dow: 9,034.69

Dow: 10,430.69

Dow: 10,177.24

-22% & +13% & -2%

Nasdaq: 2,609.63

Nasdaq: 1,632.21

Nasdaq: 2,294.41

Nasdaq: 2,168.47

-17% & +33% & -5%

S&P: 1,447.16

S&P: 931.80

S&P: 1,115.07

S&P: 1,087.16

-25% & +17% & -3%

Wall Street Highs/Lows in the New Millennium:

Index

Low

High

Dow Jones Industrial Average

6,547 (3.9.09)

14,164 (10.9.07)

NASDAQ Composite Index

1,114 (10.9.02)

5,060.34 (3.10.00)

Hot News on Cool Stocks Highlights!
482% gains on U.S. Gold!
NASDAQ Outscores the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 40% to 15%, in 2009
86% of the positions listed in 2008-2010 are in the money. Woo hoo!
Gold Tops Stocks Over the Last 10 Years…
(Real Estate Lost -12.4% in 2009.)

Market Update:

Natalie Pace, author of You Vs. Wall Street Photo by: Stacie Isabella Turk, © 2008 Ribbonhead.com. Art Direction: Arlene Hylton-Campbell. Hair/Makeup Stylist: Melody White.

140 banks failed in 2009. Two out of the top three auto manufacturers declared bankruptcy. Meanwhile, this ezine pulled off an incredible feat of calling 86% winning positions in 2008 and 2009. How? Through trademarked nest egg strategies, interviewing the top economists in the world and conducting forensic, investigative financial journalism of the markets and companies we cover.

Imagine if you knew that the recession was inevitable when the markets were still trading at an all-time high (back in January of 2008). (See the archived January 2008 ezine for our article, "Are You Gambling With Your Nest Egg"). Or that NASDAQ was a better bet than the Dow Jones Industrial Average before the banks were bailed out (as we began warning in August of 2006, Vol. 3, issue 8). Or that Lehman Bros. insiders were bailing out of their own company, to the tune of hundreds of millions, back in June of 2006, over a year before the company declared bankruptcy (see Vol. 3, issue 6). Or that the New Economy was a myth – in time to capture your gains before the Dot Com Bubble burst. Or that real estate was at unsustainably high prices that were fueled by giving "liars" loans to anyone with a pulse (check out the May 2005 ezine, Vol. 2, issue 5)?

This stock newsletter was the first to list the following 911 alerts:

  1. To get Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of your 401(k) in 2003
  2. Avoid General Motors and other American auto-manufacturers in 2004
  3. Get out of Dodge (real estate) in 2005
  4. Trim back on Faded Blue Chips in 2006
  5. Lehman Bros’ colossal insider selling in 2006 

The short answer is that you can and should know about these things. I’ve been publishing forensic, investigative financial news – offering warnings and also highlighting the hot industries, like Google at the IPO and clean energy in 2007 -- in this ezine since 2002. Support our continuing ongoing news, information and education with your subscription dollars, and get your friends to as well.

Since some companies with the biggest problems are also the biggest advertisers, the media that relies on their ads for life support have a hard time remaining "fair and balanced." When media, like the NataliePace.com ezine, relies on subscribers, we are beholden to you, not advertisers, for our life-blood, and, as a result, the news and analysis can remain untainted by conflicts of interest.

Additionally, you can learn to spot problem areas and hot industries in time to capitalize on them. It’s easier than you think and takes less time than reading one article in The New York Times. (Read the "Hot Industries" chapter of You Vs. Wall Street, as well as "Investing Mistakes" and "Top 10 Signs the CEO is Rolling in Your Dough" chapters.)

In fact, you know that you instinctively suspected some of the problems that ended up cracking your nest egg. You just didn’t know how to put all the pieces of the puzzle together to feel confident in your suspicions. You don’t always trust the financial advice you’re being fed – whether it’s from a boss, from a money manager or a pundit on television. You were probably giddy with gains from real estate and the DOT COM run-up before that, even while you knew that those astronomical gains didn’t quite add up. So, learning a few tricks of the trade, will turn those nagging doubts into real, useable data.

Read You vs. Wall Street. Come to a 3-day investing retreat, where you will learn and practice easy-as-a-pie chart nest egg strategies, Stocks on Steroids, Top 10 Signs the CEO is rolling in your dough, how to pick the perfect Certified Financial Life Partner, annual rebalancing strategies, Modern Portfolio Theory and identifying the winners and losers on Wall Street. My trademarked systems are designed to be effective and also easy-to-use. Wisdom is one investment that always pays off – for the rest of your life! And you will walk away with your own customized blueprint after three days in the boardroom.

Getting rich and enriching the world are easy to do. In fact, when you invest in real companies that add tremendous value to the world, you are more likely to get rich than when you invest in the old school companies that are now trying to attract your investment dollars through slick advertising more than excellent products. Investing in companies you like is a good start -- not the entire recipe for cooking up profits, but a good start -- that is far better than blindly checking off boxes in your 401(k).

So, make 2010 your year to start on the road to wisdom, and join the group of enlightened investors who know how to protect and grow their assets in any market – bull or bear.

Have a little faith (not blind faith) that you can do this, if you just get the right tools and education. You’ll find out how to make the magic of Stock Report Cards and pie charts work to provide you with money while you sleep in the pages of You Vs. Wall Street. You will enact this plan, if you take three full days at the Get Rich and Enrich Retreat. (The retreat provides you with the time, the guidance, the education and the online access, where you learn how to research what you want to own in your nest egg.)

You vs. Wall Street "provides almost fool proof methods for growing wealth for the long haul," according to Success Magazine. Readers call You vs. Wall Street a "must-read financial bible," and "just what some readers need to find themselves exponentially richer in the coming years." You vs. Wall Street teaches you how to win on Wall Street in any market—bull or bear. Now is the time to choose wisdom over blind faith, to invest in winning companies and to whistle all the way to your local bailed out bank.

• MASTER THE UNIQUE THREE-PART INVESTMENT PLAN
• LEARN HOW TO AVOID THE BAILOUT INDEX
• DISCOVER THE FOOLPPROOF GET RICH AND STAY RICH PROGRAM
• FIND OUT HOW TO AVOID THE TOP ELEVEN INVESTING MISTAKES

Investors who attend the Get Rich and Enrich Retreat walk out with a blueprint that works for the rest of their life. They have selected the exact ten funds they are most interested in, and know how to select new funds as different industries become the next hot thing. They know which months are best for profit-taking and which for buying back in, historically, to maximize the potential for capturing gains annually.

My March 27-29, 2010 Get Rich and Green investing retreat in Santa Monica, California (the best place to be in March) SOLD OUT. So we added another retreat on April 1-3, 2010. Please call 866.476.7442 or email info@NataliePace.com right away if you are interested in being one of the lucky twelve in the boardroom. This is the perfect New Year New You gift to yourself and your spouse. Spring at Santa Monica Beach getting financial smarts that will pay off forever.

Groups like the Green Goddess Investment Club reported 48% gains over during the recession, using my strategies. "With the valuable guidance of our mentor Natalie Pace we out performed the bear market with the extraordinary result of 48% GAINS!!!!!!"  Cindy Ciscowski, President, Green Goddess Investment Club. Options traders and Certified Financial Planners brag that their portfolio returns are "staggering," in the wake of learning my methods, after just three days of training. Other retreat attendees earn back the price of he retreat in the first week.

Track Record of our Reporting
While the markets are still down significantly since their high in October of 2007, the Hot News and Cooling Off lists below have a winning track record – in bear and bull market years. 88 positions listed below – 86% -- have delivered impressive gains over the past two years, even while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading lower than it was ten years ago! Only fourteen of our listings went in the opposite direction of the reporting, which is quite impressive given the horrible market drop of 2008-2009.

Yes, many, but not all, of our top performers were shorts, which is why we added options training to the retreat. Remember that the trading portfolio should be equal to your experience, and should not be part of your nest egg. (The nest egg is money you earn while you sleep, not while you day-trade.) If you’re new, you should be using education or fun money, not your nest egg, to learn on. Take your profits early and often in these volatile, whip-sawing years.

3 out of 6 Company of the Year selections more than doubled.  My 2003, 2004 and 2007 Companies of the Year posted up to 9000% gains (Taser), up to 690% gains (Opsware) and up to 215% gains (Suntech Power Holdings), respectively, before we took them off of the list.  MySpace, my 2006 Company of the Year, was a large part of News Corp’s success with shareholders that year.   So four out of six Company of the Year selections were superperformers. That’s the kind of record that puts you on top on Wall Street.  (I launched my first publication on 11.15.02, and featured the first Company of the Year on 1.1.03.)

Some of my best picks include: Google (GOOG) +585%, Opsware (OPSW) +690%, Rio Tinto (RTP) +145%, Sohu (SOHU) +150%, Suntech Power Holdings (STP) +107%, Taser (TASR) up to 9000% gains. Some of the best picks in 2008 and 2009 were put options – on the Cooling Off list -- which is why I added options training to my 3-day Get Rich and Green Investing Retreat. Look on the Cooling Off list for details on the incredible gains options investors enjoyed on Wells Fargo, Fannie Mae, Toll Brothers, KB Home, Novastar Financial and more there.

This stock newsletter was the first to list the following 911 alerts:

  1. To get Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of your 401(k) in 2003
  2. Avoid General Motors and other American auto-manufacturers in 2004
  3. Get out of Dodge (real estate) in 2005
  4. Trim back on Faded Blue Chips in 2006
  5. Lehman Bros’ colossal insider selling in 2006 

Market Movers:
The Federal Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The Fed funds rate continues to be "0 to ¼ percent." In the 1.27.10 meeting press release, the Federal Reserve Board further elaborated on the reasoning behind the rock bottom rates, writing: "The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period."

That is Fed-speak for "We are doing everything to stimulate the economy, which should work eventually, but the situation is still rough, folks." Deflation is no longer much of a concern (even though the Feds will give you $8000 if you’ll buy a house, which has dropped in value 24% over the last three years), and the Feds think that inflation is far enough away that Fed Fund rates will remain exceptionally low for an "extended period."

The Milken Institute estimates that the bailout to date has already cost the taxpayer $9.8 trillion. The U.S. National Debt is now $12.3 trillion…

The next FOMC meeting takes place on March 16, 2010.

Advance Estimate GDP growth rates for 4Q 2009 were 5.7%, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This was outstanding news (if the data holds) and marks the second positive GDP growth rate since the 4th quarter of 2007. What happened between 2008 and 3Q 2009? Massive government spending is the main driver of the economy at this point. The Cash for Clunkers Program was responsible for over half of the GDP growth (1.45%) in the 3Q 2009.

Second Estimate GDP growth rates for 4Q 2009 will be released on February 26, 2010 at 8:30 a.m. ET. These release days tend to be very active on Wall Street. No surprise that the 4th quarter of 2009 was the second positive GDP report since the 4th quarter of 2007. However, there has been a trend to see advance numbers fall dramatically. If the positive 5.7% growth holds, that could spark a market rally, unless there is a major bank or business that fails and offsets investor glee. There were 25 bank failures in 2008 and 140 in 2009, according to the FDIC. More are expected in 2010. For more BEA release dates, go to the BEA.gov website and be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar section often.

EDUCATIONAL OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1. FOMC Information: Interested in reading the minutes of the December 15-16, 2009 FOMC meeting for yourself? You can. The official Federal Reserve document is available online. Click on FOMC, or go to FederalReserve.gov to read!

The tentative FOMC meeting schedule for the 2009 calendar is: March 16 (Tuesday), April 27-28 (Tuesday-Wednesday), June 22-23 (Tuesday-Wednesday), August 10 (Tuesday), September 21 (Tuesday), November 2-3 (Tuesday-Wednesday), December 14 (Tuesday), January 25-26, 2011 (Tuesday-Wednesday).

2. Calendar Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more: Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. Be the first to know the dates of the mid-month Hot News on Cool Stocks Update and the publication date of our next ezine. Join me on BlogTalkRadio.com. Get more information on how to best use our articles in the FAQs article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page of NataliePace.com.

Don’t miss the Modern  Girls’ Guide to Sex, Love and Money Show with Natalie Pace on BlogTalkRadio.com,  Wednesdays at 9:00 a.m. PT.   There I interview experts on everything from gold, to health, to stocks, to bestselling books. Get real answers to your questions — anonymously (just pick a nickname when you call in).

Get call-in and log-in instructions at BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace. This is a Q&A format, where you can call in or Twitter in your questions. Be sure to write down your most pressing questions now, and become a friend to Natalie Pace on Twitter at Twitter.com/NataliePace and the NataliePace.com group on Facebook, so that you can Tweet and FB during the show.

3. Survey Results:
Each month we have three new surveys so that we can stay in touch with your needs and desires. Cast your vote on our survey page! Did you like Obama’s State of the Union Address on January 27, 2010? What does she really want for Valentine’s Day? (Cast your vote, ladies, so the guys have a prayer of getting it right!)

4. Euro interest rates: ECB rates are at 1.00% (main refinancing), 1.75% (marginal lending) and 0.25% (deposit facility). The next meeting and interest rate announcement is scheduled for February 4, 2010 at 2:30 p.m. CET. (February 18, 2010 after that.)

Hot Stocks List
Investors who "never pay retail," note that the BOLD highlighted stocks are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in NataliePace.com’s article. This may be a good buying opportunity. (If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation, this is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.) The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments. Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes to your investment strategy. And remember that these "Stocks on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy at all – not even for "pros." If you’ve never traded individual stocks before, this is your "fun" or "education" money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don’t have mastery over.

Hot News List (highlighted).  Be sure that you are buying low.
Galaxy Resources (GALXF)

Profit-Taking (Take your profits early and often):
Hoku Scientific (HOKU) +21%
LDK Solar (LDK) +28%
U.S. Gold (UXG) +483%

DELETIONS (Take your profits early and often):
KCI Concepts (KCI) (with gains of +88%!)

HOT NEWS on COOL STOCKS LIST

Company NP owns? Symbol Price when featured

Price

2.1.10

Year High

Year Low

Gains since original feature

American Superconductor

Yes

AMSC

$30.70

$39.75

$43.73

$8.22

+29%

Read "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3. AMSC should benefit from President Obama’s commitment to build a "a new smart grid to carry electricity from coast to coast." In fact, we know that AMSC is specifically on Obama’s mind, even though investors haven’t caught on yet.

3Q earnings will be released on February 2, 2010 before the markets open.


President Obama mentioned American Superconductor by name in his weekly address of Nov. 21, 2009. In the official transcript, it is written: "If we can increase our exports to Asia Pacific nations by just 5%, we can increase the number of American jobs supported by these exports by hundreds of thousands.  This is already happening with businesses like American Superconductor Corporation, an energy technology startup based in Massachusetts that’s been providing wind power and smart grid systems to countries like China, Korea, and India.  By doing so, it’s added more than 100 jobs over the last few years." 

11.19.09 press release: The company reaffirmed that it expects revenues will grow more than 60 percent to a range of $300 million to $310 million in its fiscal 2009 compared to approximately $183 million in fiscal 2008. The company maintained its guidance for GAAP net income of $11 million to $13 million, or $0.24 to $0.29 per diluted share, for fiscal 2009. On a non-GAAP basis, the company continues to expect net income of $27 million to $29 million, or $0.59 to $0.64 per diluted share, for full year fiscal 2009.

For fiscal 2010, the company expects to grow revenues to more than $400 million. The company also expects to generate GAAP net income of more than $36 million, or more than $0.77 per diluted share, and a non-GAAP profit of more than $54 million, or more than $1.15 per diluted share, for fiscal 2010.

"With more than $300 million of fiscal 2010 backlog in hand today, we have a strong platform to grow our total revenues to more than $400 million in fiscal 2010," said Greg Yurek, AMSC’s founder and chief executive officer. "We expect substantial earnings growth in fiscal 2010, driven by increased revenues, greater productivity in all of our operations, and lower manufacturing costs as the result of initiatives we have undertaken in recent quarters."

AOL

No

AOL

$23.00

$23.83

$27.00

$23.00

+4%

Read "AOL" from Vol. 6, issue 12.

Galaxy Resources

No

GALXF

$1.07

$1.07

$1.92

$1.00

--

Read "Should You Put the Brakes on Toyota" from Vol. 7, issue 2.

Hoku Scientific

Hawaii

RISK: HIGH

Yes

HOKU

$8.03

$2.00

(3.2.09)

$2.41

$14.55

$1.90

-70% &

+21%

Read "The Sunny Side," Vol. 6, issue 3 and "Solar Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon," in the Oct. 2007 ezine, Vol. 4, issue 10.

3Q earnings on Jan. 22, 2010. Earnings were $259,000 with a net loss of $1.3 million for the quarter. There have been more delays in the silicon manufacturing plant construction and deliverables. Describing the Company's plant construction and operations timeline, Mr. Shindo continued, "When we signed the Tianwei financing agreements in September 2009, we expected to receive the $50 million in November 2009, which would have enabled us to complete the reactor test demonstration in December 2009, and commence customer shipments by the end of March 2010. With the several-months delay in receiving the $50 million, however, our first priority is to pay our most overdue invoices from our vendors before spending money on new construction. We now expect to conduct reactor demonstration testing by March 2010, and to begin our ramp-up to commercial production as soon as possible thereafter."

Hoku's key project schedule for their polysilicon manufacturing plant (based upon work resuming in October): completing a reactor demonstration in December 2009, completing construction of 2,500 metric tons of polysilicon production capacity in March 2010, and completing construction of the full 4,000 metric tons of capacity, including on-site trichlorosilane (TCS) production, in December 2010.

You can see the facility’s progress on the home page at HokuCorp.com.

LDK Solar

GREEN

Yes

LDK

$30.02

$4.94

(3.2.09)

$6.30

$76.75

$3.75

-79% &

+28%

Read the articles, "Green" in Vol. 6, issue 2 and "Solar Springs Up Again," in Vol. 5, issue 4.

News on 12.18.09 that the company was raising money at $7/share caused a sell-off with investors. This is a very volatile stock. On 11.2.09 Q-Cells (QCE.F), the German solar cell company, terminated an agreement under which LDK supplied Q-Cells with solar wafers and was threatening to draw back on its prepayment of $244.4 million to LDK disheartened investors. Shares were off by over 18% that day as well.

3Q 2009 earnings on 11.23.09: Third quarter 2009 revenue was $281.9 million, compared to $228.3 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2009, and $541.8 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2008. Net income was $29.4 million, compared to a net loss of $216.9 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2009.

LDK Solar ended the third quarter of 2009 with $67.8 million in cash and cash equivalents and $72.7 million in short-term pledged bank deposits.

MEMC Electronics

No

WFR

$11.99

$13.05

$73.56

$11.32

+9%

Read "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3.

Acquisition of solar developer SunEdison (announced on 10.22.09) should start putting meat on MEMC’s bottom line in 2010. They now enter solar power generation with an A-list company in that field. Recovering after silicon re-pricing completely threw off their profit margins. Better times going forward.

Sunpower

No

SPWRA

$24.83

$20.38

(12.1.09)

$21.07

$107.00

$18.50

-15% &

+3%

Read "The Sunny Side" in Vol. 6, issue 3.

Sunpower panels are the most efficient in the world and have helped countless Solar Decathlon teams win the competition. This year’s #2 and #3 teams (Illinois and California) both used Sunpower panels.

3Q earnings on 10.22.09: Record Q3 2009 revenue of $466 million. Expect annual report at the end of February 2010.

$800 million in cash and investments.

Announced on 12.16.09 that the Montalto di Castro solar photovoltaic (PV) power plant, the largest in Italy, has been completed and is contributing clean, renewable solar power to Italy's national electric grid. The plant, located in Italy's Viterbro province, Lazio, was connected to the grid on November 30, several weeks ahead of schedule. According to SunRay, the plant produces enough power for 13,000 homes, and avoids the emissions of 22,000 tons of carbon dioxide per year. This project is the first phase of a planned 85-megawatt development that is expected to be fully operational in 2010.

 

1 MW system for UC Merced has been financed by Wells Fargo. The system uses SunPower solar panels, the most efficient solar panels on the market, with the SunPower T20 Tracker(R) system. The Tracker follows the sun's movement during the day, capturing up to 30 percent more sunlight than conventional fixed-tilt systems, while significantly reducing land use requirements.

 

SunPower has more than 550 large public and commercial solar power systems installed or under contract, representing more than 450 megawatts of solar power generation.

U.S. Gold

Colorado USA

RISK: VERY HIGH

Yes

UXG

$5.05

$.50 (10.20)

$2.66 (10.09)

$2.41

$7.04

$.38

-52% &

482% &

-9%

Note: U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time; is it a gold exploration company, based in Nevada. U.S. Gold is an exploration company, not a mining company, meaning that if they strike gold, the stock should spike and if they don’t, you could lose your investment. Very risky.

NOTE: The mantra this year continues to be TAKE YOUR PROFITS EARLY AND OFTEN. If you’ve made a return of five times your investment, consider taking some of your profits. Since gold is still in favor (in our view) and U.S. Gold has not hit its full potential (in my view), I’m keeping this company on the Hot News List. Profit-taking is not the same as selling off all of the position.

Added to the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and S&P/TSX Global Mining Index on 9.15.09.

If you believe in this CEO and company, you’ll want to make sure you have shares of U.S. Gold going forward. Gold should be a great hedge against inflation, which is predicted to become an issue once the economy starts to rebound (2010 and forward). Right now, the Feds are still a little concerned about deflation, but inflation could begin on the 12-24 month horizon.

This is an exploration company, not a mining company. They don’t produce gold at this time.

Began trading on the AMEX stock exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.) Listen to my feature interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen on BlogTalkRadio.com. You can review my original Q&A with Rob McEwen and interview on U.S. Gold in Vol. 4, issue 2. (Feb. 2006).

Recently Deleted Companies 2008-2010:
Echelon +20%, GE, +13% and +18%, Google, +15% and +31%, Johnson & Johnson +10%, LDK Solar +18%, Microsoft +12%, Satcon +13%, Suntech +35%, Trina Solar +22%, World Water & Solar +22%. Genentech (8.1.08) +40%. Altair (deleted on 8.7.08) posted gains of +3% and +57%. Zoltek (deleted on 8.18.08) lost 30% before being removed. LDK Solar was deleted on 9.2.08 with 46% and 29% profits. U.S. Gold profit taking on 11.6.08 amounted to 72% gains. Conergy gains of 51% were taken on 11.7.08. American Superconductor posted 50% gains between 12.1 and 1.14.09. MEMC Electronics (WFR) had 21% gains between 12.1 and 12.15.08. STP had gains of 69% between 12.1.08 and 1.2.09. SQM profits 20% on 1.14.09. WWAT was deleted on 2.1.09 with -62% losses. On 2.15.09, AMSC had gains of 65%, MEMC Electronics 26%, Sociedad de Quimica y Minera 48% and U.S. Gold 432%. Citigroup gains of 42% on 3.15.09. Genentech was deleted on 3.15.09 with gains of 29%. OSI Pharmaceuticals was deleted on 3.15.09 with 7% gains. Rio Tinto was deleted on 3.27.09 with gains of 67%. On 3.27.09, the following companies were in the money: ALTI (+48%), AMSC (+51%), eBay (+24%), GE (+40%), HOKU (+38%), LDK (+46%), MEMC (+44%), PBW (+35%), SATC (+42%), SQM (+76%), STP (+211%), TSL (+207%), U.S. Gold (+456%) and WBK (+25%). Profit-taking 4.13.09: ALTI +209%, AMSC +70%, HOKU +32%, LDK +64%, PBW +42%, SQM +42%, UXG+418%. Deleted 4.13.09: eBay, +45%, Eurox -11%, GE +47% & -56%, Google +9%, Maxwell +25%, MEMC Electronics -33% & +49%, Microsoft +24%, SATC +67%. STP +262% & -64%, TSL +216% & -67%, Westpac +42% & -22%. Deleted 5.4.09: FMC Corp. with 19% gains. PZD with losses of -39%. SPWRA with 19% gains. TREMX with 50% losses. WSDT with losses of -59%. Deleted 5.15.09: SQM with gains of 38% and 62%. Deleted 5.31.09: EMKR with losses of 13% and 88% and Melco with losses of 8%. Ener1 with gains of 11% and 17%. Deleted 7.20.09: Conergy with losses of -52-98%. Deleted Smith and Nephew on 8.15.09 with gains of 17% and losses of 28%. Deleted the New Zealand dollar currency ETF by Wisdom Tree with 36% gains on 12.12.09. 12.18.09: Deleted Ener1 with 22% gains and Satcon with 29% gains. Deleted 1.11.10: KCI with 88% gains!

Recently Deleted from the Hot News list:

Kinetic Concepts, Inc.

No

KCI

$38.81

$21.05

(12.1.08)

$39.58

$43.00

$17.86

+2% &

+88%

Read the article, "Beauty is Skin Deep," in Vol. 5, issue 5. If you made a profit of 68%, take your profits early and often!

REPORTED 3Q 2009 EARNINGS ON 10.21.09. 2009: third quarter 2009 total revenue of $504.4 million, compared to $503.3 million reported for the third quarter of 2008. Total revenue for the first nine months of 2009 was $1.466 billion, up 6% from the prior-year period. Net earnings for the third quarter of 2009 were $64.6 million, or $0.91 per diluted share, compared to $53.9 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2008, representing increases of 20% and 21%, respectively, from the prior-year periods.

Entered Japanese market on 11.2.09.

FDA approved ABThera™ Open Abdomen Negative Pressure Therapy System on June 11, 2009. The new therapy has already been launched, according to Catherine M. Burzik, KCI’s President and CEO. "I am very pleased to see the progress of KCI’s business in light of continued economic and competitive pressures," said Catherine Burzik, President and Chief Executive Officer of KCI. "KCI continues to meet its goals in terms of innovation, global market expansion and operational efficiency. We recently introduced our highly innovative open abdominal wound system, AbThera, to operating room surgeons in the U.S. and Europe and we are on track with our plans for the launch of V.A.C. Therapy in Japan. We look forward to the second half of the year with confidence."

KCI won its suit in the U.S. against Smith and Nephew to prevent them from selling foam dressing kits. On June 15, 2009, The Federal Court of Australia, Victoria District Registry, issued a temporary injunction prohibiting Smith & Nephew. Trial in Australia is set for 2010. UK issued a temporary injunction and the German courts are considering the same action as well. Smith & Nephew has vowed to appeal.

Stocks to Watch
Some of these are great companies that we’re thinking of adding to the Hot List and some are stinkers we’re thinking of adding to the Cooling Off List.
Read carefully to identify which is which!  

Note that right now most of our favorite companies are on the Watch List. Getting the price right is as important as picking the right company. Never pay retail!

Recent Additions:
Ford Motor Company (F)
Orocobre (OROCF)
Toyota Motor Company (TM)

Recent Deletions:
Maxwell Labs (MXWL). Moved to Cooling Off list on 1.11.10.

Company

NP owns?

Symbol

Price when featured

Price

2.1.10

Year High

Year Low

Gains since original feature

Altair Nano-technology

No

ALTI

$1.16

$0.78

$2.94

$0.60

-33%

Read "Life Begins with (Li) Lithium" Vol. 6, issue 4.

Altair was not on the list of battery makers receiving grants from the Obama Administration.

3Q earnings on November 5, 2009: Revenues of $1.7 million, down from $1.8 million for the same period in 2008. The net loss was $3.3 million, compared to a net loss of $9.1 million for the third quarter of 2008.

The Company's cash and cash equivalents decreased by $4.1 million, from $28.1 million at December 31, 2008 to $23.9 million at September 30, 2009. This is due primarily to net cash used in operations of approximately $18.1 million, $4.8 million of which was for increased product inventories; investing activities primarily consisting of purchases of fixed assets of approximately $0.6 million offset by $2.0 million received from the sale of our Spectrum common stock; and financing activities that include payment of notes payable of $0.6 million offset by $12.8 million of proceeds relating to the issuance of common shares in May 2009.   

 "We have experienced an increased level of customer requests for quotes in the past couple of months" said Dr. Terry Copeland, Altairnano's president and CEO. "In addition, we anticipate that potential order activity will begin to gain traction as we enter into 2010. Given the importance of establishing this revenue stream and having referenceable customers for other prospects to speak with, we need to be able to move expeditiously once we have these initial firm orders."


During the third quarter Altairnano received the final signed contracts for both the $3.8 million Office of Naval Research phase 2 development program, and the Department of Defense supported $1.8 million nanosensor project. The Company will perform work on both of these contracts during the fourth quarter and into the first half of 2010.

Big Lots

No

BIG

$30.28

$28.85

$34.88

$12.40

-5%

Read "Discount Designer Stores," from Vol. 5, issue 6.

Canadian Imperial Bank

RISK: Medium

No

CM

$65.88

$60.60

$108.79

$30.64

-8%

Refer to the "Banking on Iraqi Dinars" article in volume 5, issue 2 for details. Financial markets are under duress. Avoid most banks for now. Canada’s banks were ranked #1 by the Milken Institute for global capital in 2009; Australia was #2.

Citigroup

RISK: HIGH

No

C

$2.26

$3.34

$27.35

$.97

+48%

Financial markets are under duress. Avoid most banks for now. Bailed out by the Feds November 2008.

Releases FY earnings on January 19, 2010 at 11:00 a.m. ET.

Citigroup borrowed $45 billion last year under the Troubled Asset Relief Program. In 2009, the government agreed to convert $25 billion of those funds into Citigroup common stock. According to Reuters, Citigroup repaid $20 billion in December 2009. The U.S. could not complete a planned sale of $5 billion of stock taxpayers own due to weak demand.

eBay

No

EBAY

$16.80

$23.17

$32.10

$9.91

+40%

Etail should perform better than retail in the recession. But eBay is still having reduced earnings. Waiting for a leveling off period.

Eldorado Gold

No

EGO

$10.56

$12.49

$15.40

$6.90

+18%

Read "Investing in Gold" from Vol. 6, issue 9. Annual report due at the end of March…

First Solar

No

FSLR

$144.76

$117.49

$317.00

$85.28

-19%

See "Solar Springs Up Again," article in Vol. 5, issue 4.

First Solar joined S&P500 on 10.02.09. 3Q 2009 on 10.28.09: 3Q earnings revenue was down from 2Q by -8.5%. Investors panicked and slammed shares.

First Solar uses cadmium telluride instead of silicon to transfer sunlight into useable energy. This was a huge competitive advantage when silicon was hard to get at a reasonable price. That is shifting, however, for two reasons. Silicon manufacturing is heating up and costs are lowering as a result, and cadmium telluride isn’t as abundant or as efficient a power source as silicon. Read the article for more details.

FMC Corp.

No

FMC

$51.36

$52.62

$80.23

$28.53

+2%

Read "Life Begins with (Li) Lithium" from Vol. 6, issue 4. FMC is the real winner of the stimulus package because they supply lithium to the battery makers. On the other hand, however, that is not all that this company manufactures and sales have been off in 2009. Waiting for a better buy-in point. FYI: FMC just sold $300 million in senior notes. Check with your CFP if you’re interested in purchasing. There may be opportunities in the secondary marketplace.

Annual report should be issued near end of February. Add to Hot News list in 2010?

Ford Motor Company

No

F

$9.65

$11.12

$9.65

$1.50

+15%

Read "How Cap and Trade Saved Ford" from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ford is making cars people want to drive, but it owes over $100 billion dollars. Be careful with any investment here. Has recalled some commercial vehicles in China, as of January 29, 2010.

Google

No

GOOG

$393.69

$533.02

$602.45

$282.75

+35%

See Vol. 6, issue 5 for "Hulu Your Heroes." Note that Google’s 52-week low is $282.75 and be careful not to buy in too high. Consensus insider selling over the last year, including founder Larry Page.

 

Annual report on 1.23.10: Revenues in 2009 were $23,650 million (up 8.5% over 2008). Net income: $6.5 billion, up 55% over 2008.

Cash  As of December 31, 2009, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities were $24.5 billion.

On a worldwide basis, Google employed 19,835 full-time employees as of December 31, 2009, up from 19,665 full-time employees as of September 30, 2009.

Orocobre

No

OROCF

$1.70

$1.70

$2.20

$0.99

--

Read "Should You Put the Brakes on Toyota" from Vol. 7, issue 2.

PowerShares Wilderhill Clean Energy ETF

No

PBW

$9.78

$9.82

$11.76

$5.78

Flat

Read "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3.

Rio Tinto

No

RTP

$180.79

$206.62

$558.65

$59.20

+14%

Gold, copper and other commodities mining. Based out of UK. Mines worldwide, but focused greatly in Australia.

Ross Stores

No

ROST

$35.90

$46.50

$48.58

$21.23

+30%

Read "Discount Designer Stores," from Vol. 5, issue 6.

Sociedad Minera y Quimica de Chile

No

SQM

$36.36

$37.31

$59.41

$12.98

+3%

This is a great company that manufactures silicon for the solar and IT industry. Looking for a better buy-in, closer to or under $35. Annual report due in July 2010.

Read the article, Treasure Hunting, in Vol. 5, issue 10 and the article "Life Begins with (Li) Lithium," from Vol. 6, issue 4. SQM announced on Sept. 30, 2009 that prices for lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide will be reduced by approximately 20% from current levels for the renewal of all its supply contracts. The purpose is to accelerate demand recovery, create incentives for research of new lithium uses, and contribute to the sustainable long-term development of the lithium market.

10.27.09 Earnings: Earnings for the first nine months of 2009 of US$251.7 million, a decrease of 34.0% with respect to the same period of 2008, when earnings totaled US$381.1 million. Operating income reached US$342.0 million (32.6% of revenues), 29.0% lower than the US$481.4 million (35.0% of revenues) recorded during the first nine months of 2008. Revenues totaled US$1,049.2 million for the first nine months, representing a decrease of 23.8% over the US$1,376.2 million reported in the same period of 2008.

Patricio Contesse, SQM’s Chief Executive Officer, stated, "In the case of iodine and lithium, demand has followed a similar trend compared to our specialty fertilizer business, and we have observed signs that indicate that demand has started to recover. Considering that most of our clients have adopted conservative purchasing policies, we expect demand to recover slowly during the next year."

Sohu (Chinese Co. ADR)

Beijing, China

Small Cap

RISK: MEDIUM

No

SOHU

$46.54

$50.22

$91.50

$34.10

+8%

See NataliePace.com ezines, Vol. 3, issue 4 and Vol. 2, issue 9 for feature articles on Sohu. Dr. Charles Zhang, the Chairman and CEO of Sohu.com, is one of our CEOs of the year in 2007. Read the articles in Vol. 4, issue 1. You can watch a Q&A with Dr. Charles Zhang in an exclusive interview I did on the Forbes.com Video Network.

Suntech Power Holdings

No

STP

$16.06

$13.54

$49.60

$5.09

-16%

Read "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3. The world's largest crystalline silicon photovoltaic (PV) module manufacturer.

Add to Hot News at opportune moment in 2010? Annual report is due May 2010.

Announced 3Q 2009 on November 20, 2009 before the markets opened. Revenues were $472.1 million, up 47.4% from last quarter. Net income was $29.8 million, compared to $10 million in the 2nd Q of 2009.

On 9.30.09, Suntech announced the completion and grid connection of the first 10MW utility-scale solar power project in China. Located in Shizuishan, Ningxia Autonomous Region, the 10MW ground mount solar system is the first phase of a 50MW solar plant that is targeted to be completed by 2011 in conjunction with Suntech's strategic partner, China Energy Conservation Investment Corporation (CECIC). In addition to supplying high quality solar modules for the system, Suntech designed, installed and managed the development of the solar system and holds a minority share of the project.

Toyota Motor Company

No

TM

$77.00

$77.00

$91.97

$56.79

--

Read "Should You Put the Brakes on Toyota" from Vol. 7, issue 2. Sales fallout from the January 2010 floor mat and accelerator recall, which halted sales and affected 4.8 million (or more) vehicles, should show up on the interim earnings report on or about June 24, 2010. Look at price/viability going forward after that date. (If Toyota wasn’t such a strong leader in the auto manufacturing world, this company would be on the Cooling Off List until June.)

Trina Solar Ltd.

No

TSL

$35.12

$22.92

$51.00

$2.88

-35%

Read "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3. Please note that TSL had a 2 for 1 stock split on 1.20.10. That is why the price looks dramatically different. Investors will note that they should now have twice as many shares…

3Q earnings 11.19.09: Net revenues were $249.7 million, representing an increase of 66.5% sequentially and a decrease of 14.1% year-over-year. Net income was $40.1 million, compared to $18.9 million in the second quarter of 2009.

Dec. 1, 2009: Chinese solar power company Trina Solar Ltd. said it signed a new sales agreement to supply about 8 megawatts of photovoltaic modules to the Chinese domestic market, as part of its efforts to expand sales in China. Shipments began in November and are to continue through the end this month. Prices were not released. The Golden Sun program in China aims to install 20 MW of solar power capacity in every province, according to the Associated Press.

Westpac

No

WBK

$73.54

$106.86

$128.48

$45.16

+45%

Issued it’s full-year results on Nov. 4, 2009. Go to Westpac.com.au to access.

Net profit of $3,446 million, down 11% from a year ago. Not bad. Australian banks were the best in the world during recession, with Canadian Banks scoring high as well.

Cooling Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).
Note: The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value. Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are expected to go DOWN in price.)

Highlighted Companies (Cooling Off List):
Berkshire Hathaway

DELETIONS:
KB Home (KBH)
Toll Brothers (TOL)

Company

NP owns?

Symbol

Price when added to Cooling Off List

Price 2.1.10

52-week High

52-week Low

Gains/Loss

American Express

Yes

AXP

$16.98

$41.56

(11.16.09)

$38.21

$42.48

$9.71

+125% &

-8%

Read the article "American Express," from Vol. 6, issue 2. Annual Earnings on 1.21.10: Revenues were down 14%. To $24.5 billion from $28.4 billion a year ago. Net income was down 21%, to $2.1 billion from $2.7 billion a year ago. $16 billion cash on hand (as of 12.31.09), compared to $21 billion on 12.31.08. Debt is $54 billion ($52 long; $2 billion "short term"), plus $30 billion in "other liabilities." Customer deposits are $26 billion. (Debt is almost 2X the value of the company.)

Apple Computer

No

AAPL

$132.07

$190.47 (11.16.09)

$194.73

$215.59

$78.20

+47% &

+2%

See archived ezine Vol. 4, issue 2, for the feature article, "Apple Chips."

1Q 2010 earnings on 1.25.10 were amazing: posted revenue of $15.65 billion and a net quarterly profit of $3.38 billion, or $3.67 per diluted share. These results compare to revenue of $11.88 billion and net quarterly profit of $2.26 billion, or $2.50 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin was 40.9 percent, up from 37.9 percent in the year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 58 percent of the quarter’s revenue.

Apple sold 3.36 million Macintosh® computers during the quarter, representing a 33 percent unit increase over the year-ago quarter. The Company sold 8.7 million iPhones in the quarter, representing 100 percent unit growth over the year-ago quarter. Apple sold 21 million iPods during the quarter, representing an eight percent unit decline from the year-ago quarter.

Insider selling is over $150 million since June 2009 (after Jobs announced his liver transplant). Consensus insider selling from multiple directors and officers.

Applied Materials

No

AMAT

$12.76

$13.51 (9.15.09)

$12.52

$14.61

$8.19

Flat &

-7%

Leadership, product line and recessionary actions were strong, but AMAT transitioned to solar just when sales dropped off. Weathering the storm is imperative in the meantime. Investors should be aware of the high P/Es of this company, which is hard to justify in a contracting environment. With almost $2 billion in cash and marketable securities, AMAT is in a position to regroup and recover in the future. With any luck and with the worldwide emphasis on clean energy, this is a temporary setback.

FY loss (released on 11.11.09): For fiscal year ended Oct. 25, 2009, the company reported net sales of $5.01 billion and a GAAP net loss of $305 million or $0.23 per share.

Baidu

No

BIDU

$183.15

$483.60

(11.16.09)

$425.68

$397.70

$100.50

+132% &

-12%

Leading Chinese website for search (similar to Google). 46 P/E is high for a revenue stream so tied to advertising (during a global recession). (Advertising revenue models tend to suffer greatly in recessions and Google’s P/E is only 30, by comparison, right now.)

The primary Risk Factor for Baidu is: We derive revenues primarily from online marketing services, which accounted for 98.9%, 99.8% and 99.9% of our total revenues in 2006, 2007 and 2008, respectively.

Berkshire Hathaway

No

BRK.A

$97,000

$102,105 (8.13.09)

$113,138

$147,000

$70,050

+17% &

+11%

See archived ezine Vol. 6, issue 8, for the feature article, "The Oracle Turns 80." Annual report is due the first week of March 2010. Cash and cash equivalents are off by 19% in 2009 (1st 9 months) to $27 billion from $33.4 billion.

Capital One Financial

No

COF

$22.29

$42.04

(1.11.09)

$36.78

$43.19

$7.80

+65% &

-12.5%

Tough times for the credit industry continue, and this company was experiencing some of the toughest challenges of the field, with losses of $1.4 billion in 2008. Full Year Results on 1.21.10 showed earnings of $319.9 million. COF paid $563.9 million back to the government’s TARP preferred share investment.

Read the article "American Express," from Vol. 6, issue 2.

Fortress Investment Group

No

FIG

$3.57

$5.37 (8.13.09)

$4.75

$8.30

$1.02

+33% &

-12%

Released 3Q 2009 results on November 6, 2009. GAAP net income, excluding principal’s agreement compensation, of $50 million. GAAP net loss of $190 million (due to the principals taking $140 million this quarter) even though FIG has lost 310 million this year… Annual report is due in mid-March 2010.

Daniel H. Mudd, currently member of the Fortress board of directors, will become the firm's new CEO effective August 11, 2009. George W. Wellde has been elected to Fortress' Board of Directors.

Read the articles, "Cherry Picking the Cherry Bombs" (Vol. 5, issue 12) and "Money Grows on Wisdom Trees," from Vol. 4, issue 3.

On 9.22.09: dividend was canceled by Board. Consensus, colossal insider selling…

Intel

RISK: LOW

No

INTC

$16.66

$20.25 (9.1.09)

$19.61

$25.29

$12.06

+18% &

-3%

Intel is a great blue chip. Sales are off 8%, however. Annual report due at the end of February 2010.

Maxwell Labs

No

MXWL

$18.05

$15.68

$21.81

$4.50

-13%

Read "Life Begins with (Li) Lithium" from Vol. 6, issue 4.

Full Year earnings results will be released on Feb. 11, 2010.

2.5 million shares are being sold, per SEC filing of Dec. 4, 2009, valued at $41 million. Net loss from operations for the first 9 months of 2009 were almost $13 million. Cash on hand is $30 million. Short and long term debt = $21 million.

Medtronic

No

MDT

$33.35

$37.09

(9.15.09)

$43.15

$46.10

$24.06

+29% &

+16%

Medtronic’s Infuse Bone Graft product has been at the center of the debate of some controversial deaths, and has investigated by a Congressional Panel, the Justice Department, the SEC and other national, state and local governance officials for issues related to the use of this product and others. Read the earnings report for a complete list of the complaints and current status. The company reports that on August 21, 2009, the Department of Justice decided not to intervene at this time but may intervene at any time for good cause based upon a Court Order entered on August 28, 2009.

MGM Mirage

No

MGM

$26.79

$11.82

$100.50

$5.10

-56%

Get more information in Vol. 5, issue 10 in the (No) Viva Las Vegas article.

The City Center project looms as exceedingly problematic in today’s vast downturn of real estate in the Las Vegas area. Anticipating very bad news on this project in the near future. MGM has kept itself alive in the harshest climate of the new millennium through selling assets, selling more stock and taken on more debt. All of the debt receives a junk rating from Fitch. On October 1, 2009, they had to cancel a debt exchange offer due to low interest from debt-holders.

3Q Earnings on 11.5.09: Net revenue decreased 9% to $1.5 billion. Net loss was $133 million. Debt at the end of the quarter was $12.5 billion. Annual report is due in March 2010. (2008 report was issued a month late, on 4.24.09).

Microsoft

No

MSFT

$29.64

$28.41

$30.53

$14.87

-4%

Read the "AOL" article from Vol. 6, issue 12 to review the Stock Report Card on Microsoft from December 2009.

Great blue chip (certainly better than Citigroup, Bank of America, AIG and GM were), if you buy at the right price. But revenue is off. Q1 2010 earnings report (on 10.23.09): Windows Revenue is off by 39%, down to $2,620 million from $4,278 in 2008 1st Q. Operating income is off 52%, down to $1,463 from $3,059 a year ago… Nintendo’s WII is the gaming device of choice (and X-Box shipments were down to 2.1 million, from 2.2 million). "Nongaming" entertainment revenue is reportedly off by 14% ($98 million). What’s nongaming entertainment? Remember Zune? Well, that is one of the "PC hardware products" that is decreasing in sales. (Did it ever sell at all?) You get the picture. When revenue is down by 14% across the board, and the strongest season – holidays – are predicted to limp along and favor the competition (WII), and anti-trust law suits are still being battled, best not to buy Microsoft at its 52-week high.

Sears Holding

Yes

SHLD

$52.93

$98.06

(1.11.10)

$94.24

$108.75

$26.80

+78% &

-4%

Sears is up on Jim Cramer’s "appliance" picks from his January 8, 2010 show, not real earnings or outlook… (Remember: Jim also recommended Bear Stearns before it went bust, too.) Chairman Eddie Lampert just dumped almost 4 million shares of Sears, leaving him with only 10,000 shares remaining. Net value of the sale: $376 million. Concensus insider selling… Annual report is due mid-March 2010.

Read the articles, "Cherry Picking the Cherry Bombs" (Vol. 5, issue 12) and the "Discount Designer Stores" article (Vol. 5, issue 6). Sears is one of the largest, oldest retail chains in the U.S, and formerly, was as American as baseball and apple pie. These days, however, Sears is more of a hedge fund, which might help to explain why you’ve been trying to get that appliance repaired (under warranty) for months or been waiting for a replacement for your coffee pot for so long that you’ve taken up drinking tea. Almost all of the board directors at Sears are in the investment business, not the retail business. In fact, board director Emily Scott, a TV station founder, is the only person on the board without significant investment experience. No one on the Sears board has any experience at all in retail.

Still don’t have a CEO. Bruce Johnson is interim CEO. New CFO started last October, right before the preparation of the annual report began. The former CFO Miles Reidy decided that he needed to spend more time with his family than to put is name on the 2008 annual report. Another big red flag.

Consensus, colossal insider selling to the tune of over $100 million, including warrants that were exercised by interim CEO Bruce Johnson.

3Q 2009 earnings on 11.19.09: Net loss was $127 million. Total revenues decreased $470 million to $10.2 billion for the 13 weeks ended October 31, 2009, as compared to total revenues of $10.7 billion for the 13 weeks ended November 1, 2008. Total debt (consisting of short-term borrowings, long-term debt and capital lease obligations) at November 11, 2009 was $3.8 billion, as compared to $3.2 billion (8.09). Cash on hand is $1.5 billion. Short -term borrowings are $1.6 billion.

Taubman Centers REIT

No

TCO

$24.74

$33.81 (9.15.09)

$32.76

$65.99

$12.43

+32% &

-3%

Read the article, "Global Recession," from Vol., issue 6 in June 2009.

Annual report is due at the end of Feb. 2010.

3Q 2009 earnings on 10.26.09: Net loss allocable to common shareholders per diluted share (EPS) was -$1.77 for the quarter ended September 30, 2009, versus $0.17 for the quarter ended September 30, 2008.

"The environment for retail real estate continues to be challenging," said Robert S. Taubman, chairman, president and chief executive officer of Taubman Centers. "Lease cancellation income from our tenants offset a decline in rents. In addition, we are very focused on costs throughout our organization, which contributed to our results during the quarter."

Consensus insider selling.

Time Warner

No

TWX

$24.44

$28.05

$50.70

$17.81

+15%

Read the article, "Hulu Your Heroes," from Vol. 6, issue 5 in May 2009.

Scheduled to report Full Year 2009 earnings on Feb. 3, 2010 before the market opens.

3Q earnings on11.4.09: In the quarter, Revenues declined 6% from the third quarter of 2008 to $7.1 billion. Net income was $661 million. Debt: $17.5 billion (not including pension costs).

Wells Fargo

No

WFC

$20.05

$29.21

(10.15.09)

$28.93

$44.69

$7.80

+44% &

-1%

See "Wells Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings" in Vol, 5, issue 9, and "Wells Fargo’s Great Depression," in Vol. 4, issue 12. Annual report will be issued at the end of Feb. 2010.

FY 2009 on 1.20.10: Record net income of $12.3 billion. Record revenue of $88.7 billion. You can read the full report at : https://www.wellsfargo.com/invest_relations/earnings. I’ll do a complete analysis of this for the mid-month update. There are many pages to dig through….

Wells Fargo Chairman takes early retirement:
Dick Kovacevich will step down as chairman and a director at the end of 2009 and retire from the Company in early 2010.

Wynn Resorts

No

WYNN

$95.42

$65.54

$176.14

$18.06

-31%

Check out the article, "(No) Viva Las Vegas" in Vol. 5, issue 10. Annual report issued at the end of Feb/beginning of March 2010.

3Q 2009 results announced on 10.27.2009. Net revenues for the third quarter of 2009 were $773.1 million, compared to $769.2 million in the third quarter of 2008. Net income for the quarter was $34.2 million compared to net income of $51.2 million in 2008. "Results of operations for the periods presented are not comparable to prior periods as the three months ended September 30, 2009 includes Encore at Wynn Las Vegas, which opened on December 22, 2008. The prior year quarter includes only Wynn Las Vegas."

Total cash balances on September 30, 2009 were $1.3 billion. Total debt outstanding at the end of the quarter was $4.2 billion, including approximately $2.7 billion of Wynn Las Vegas debt and $1.5 billion of Wynn Macau debt. In October 2009, Wynn Macau Limited, a newly formed and indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Wynn Resorts and the developer, owner, and operator of Wynn Macau, completed an initial public offering of 27.7% of its ordinary shares on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited. Net proceeds to the Company as a result of this transaction were approximately $1.8 billion. Total cash, after the Wynn Macau, Limited IPO and certain debt transactions mentioned in the earnings press release, was $3.1 billion and total debt outstanding was $4.1 billion, including approximately $2.6 billion of Wynn Las Vegas debt and $1.5 billion of Wynn Macau debt.

Yahoo

No

YHOO

$15.00

$15.05

$18.02

$9.42

flat

Read the "AOL" article from Vol. 6, issue 12 to review the Stock Report Card on Microsoft from December 2009.

Revenue is off 12%. Price to earnings ratio is still the highest in the space, at 32 on 11.30.09. Annusl report issued at the end of Feb.

Recently Deleted in 2008/2009:
Fannie Mae was deleted on 2.11.08 after losing -50% and -56% of its share price value, and then again on 7.1.08, after losing another -40%. (Both puts more than doubled.) Novastar Financial (NFI) was deleted on 6.2.08 with -95% share price implosion. Sears Holding Corp. was deleted on 7.1.08 with 64% gains on the put option. Wells Fargo was deleted on 7.1.08 with 83% gains on the put. Apple was deleted on 8.1.08 with 35% gains on the put. The Google put, deleted on 8.1.08, was another great performer, with over 50% gains. First Solar had gains of over 32-34%. Mentor was deleted on 9.30.08 with 75% gains on the put option (-17% on the share price); Medicis was deleted with gains of over 37% on the share price (down direction). Boston Properties, Las Vegas Sands and Macerich were deleted on 10.9.08 with gains of 16-30%, 66% and 28-42% respectively. Wells Fargo was deleted on 11.6.08 with 35-50% gains on the put and again on 12.1.08 for 50-70% gains. American Express posted 35% gains in just 30 days, between 2.1.09 and 3.2.09. First Solar was deleted on 8.13.09 with 33% gains. KB Home with 74% gains and Toll Brothers with 51% gains on 10.01.09.

 

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER (PLEASE READ):
Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.

Investors should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience.

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.


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NataliePace.com Calendar:

Catch Natalie Pace on CNBC on February 4, 2010. Go to the calendar section for the exact time and other opportunities to Love. Love. Love. Yourself. Your Sacred Companion. Our Earth. Your Money. Master Your Love Potential with opportunities that you’ll find in the Calendar Section.

The NataliePace.com Calendar section features conferences, teleconferences, retreats, educational opportunities, cultural events, galas, market events and online chats with executives and VIPs. Stay plugged in! We add online chats, article updates, teleconferences, etc. as they are booked, so be sure to visit the calendar section early and often.  Below is only a partial listing of what’s happening this month.

See below for just a few of the amazing educational and networking opportunities that world-class organizations are offering for you. To access links to the event website and registration, go to the Calendar section at NataliePace.com.

The Thrive Budget. Call-in Radio show.
Wednesday, February 3rd, 2010
9:00AM through 9:30AM PT
Are you drowning in bills and debt? Learn how to shift out of bills and basic needs and into the life of your dreams starting right here and now. Imagine how your love life will improve when you can get off the nightly argument over the bills… Join Natalie Pace on BlogTalkRadio.

Meg Whitman at the LA Library
Wednesday, February 3rd, 2010

7:45AM through 9:30AM
Meg Whitman, former CEO of eBay and current California gubernatorial candidate will be interviewed in an intimate setting. Free to Step Up Luminary Members. (Join now!) (Not the kind of intimacy you’ll be thinking about on Valentine’s Day, but a great opportunity to hear the wisdom of one of the most successful CEOs of our time, up close and personal.)

Watch Natalie on CNBC
Thursday, February 4th, 2010

10:20AM through 10:30AM ET
Natalie Pace will be speaking on profiting in a recovery on CNBC. Learn essential tips to protect and profit in any market! Money isn’t everything, but when you get your earning and investing on a plan that works while you sleep (instead of keeping you up all night), you’ll have a lot more time for loving and fun.

Valentine’s Day!
Our surveys show that women prefer gold, diamonds and couples get away retreats over chocolate and flowers. Did you know that you can purchase gold stock for her this Valentine’s Day? For tips on purchasing gold stocks, listen in on Natalie Pace’s interview with veteran gold mining executive, Rob McEwen, the chairman and CEO of U.S. Gold on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.

AMEX Women's Business Summit, Houston, TX
Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

American Express OPEN is featuring a 2-day summit where women entrepreneurs can learn to thrive in the new economy by receiving real advice, business coaching and networking opportunities. Sorry guys. A day off for the girls is needed sometimes.

$8000 Reasons to Buy a New Home.
Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

9:00AM through 9:30AM PT.
Yes. You saw it right. You can receive $8000 to buy a home. So should you? Join Natalie Pace on BlogTalkRadio to learn who qualifies (new homeowners and homeowners who want to upgrade both qualify) and when you have to get everything done by (deadlines are approaching fast!).

GDP 4Q 2009 report (second estimates)
Friday, February 26th, 2010

8:30AM through 8:45AM ET.
The U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA.gov) releases its second estimates report on GDP growth in the 4th quarter of 2009. Advance estimates from the BEA came in at 5.7%. Will the advance #s hold?

Sages and Scientists Symposium, Carlsbad, CA
Friday, February 26th, 2010

8:00AM through 10:00PM
Deepak Chopra presents a symposium focused on the Merging of a New Future. Join Deepak and a panel of world-renowned scientists and sages.

82nd Academy Awards. Hollywood, CA
Sunday, March 7th, 2010

6:00PM through 10:00PM PT
Steve Martin and his enemy Alec Baldwin will co-host the Oscars this year. Martin has an Emmy (for hosting the Oscars) and 2 Grammys. Baldwin has 2 Emmys and a Tony nomination.

Clinton Global Initiative University Conference, Miami, FL
Friday, April 16-18, 2010
This 3-day event is one where students work hand-in-hand on global issues, and even get their hands dirty on a community service project. Of course, doing this alongside Prez. Clinton and a few celebrity friends, like Brad Pitt, doesn't hurt! You must apply with a proposal to be accepted. Act fast!


VISION: To build a global community of investors through a worldwide website, seminars, radio, television and print partners.
GOAL: To provide high-quality, first-run, ethical financial news, information and education, presented in an entertaining format, across all media (television, radio, print and online).
MISSION: To provide the news, information and education investors need to make better choices and to make investing as much fun as shopping.
PHILOSOPHY: Member Mosaic. Piecing together a more complete picture of the publicly traded company, one tile at a time, by valuing firsthand consumer experience, conducting evaluations of the executive team and lining up the numbers of the publicly-traded company with its competitors in a Stock Report Card.
For more information on NataliePace.com contact us at
www.NataliePace.com, P.O. Box 1350, Santa Monica, CA 90406-1350 or 1-866.476.7442 (toll-free telephone number).

NOTICE: NataliePace.com is NOT a stock brokerage service, and does not operate or act as one.