TO
ACCESS A PRINTABLE COPY OF THIS NEWSLETTER CLICK HERE.

Vol.7 Issue 5, May 1st, 2010
Send comments and suggestions or get more information
at info@NataliePace.com
QUOTE OF THE MONTH:
"Whatever you give a woman, she will make greater. If you give
her sperm, she'll give you a baby. If you give her a house, she'll
give you a home. If you give her groceries, she'll give you a
meal. If you give her a smile, she'll give you her heart. She
multiplies and enlarges what is given to her. So, if you give
her any crap, be ready to receive a ton of sh*t!"
Erick S. Gray, author of many urban novels
Happy
Mother's Day!
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BlockBuster’s
Second Coming.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
a DVD
Rentals Stock Report Card.
 |
| Blockbuster
Video will have Avatar for rent or sell on May 9, 2010.
28 days before Netflix or Redbox, according to the company.
|
The headlines
are screaming about Blockbuster’s potential bankruptcy, while behind
the scenes, Blockbuster is resurrecting its brand and preparing
for the second coming of DVD rentals – in $1/night self-serve kiosks.
No matter how dangerous some Fools may think this company is, Blockbuster
is determined to rule the world of DVD rentals again. (Motley
Fool erroneously picks Netflix as "booming"
when Redbox is the real DVD rental company exploding
in earnings, and Blockbuster’s new self-serve kiosks could take
a large chunk of that boom.)
Click on
DVD
Rental Stock Report Card to check out the earnings,
debt, price-to-earnings ratio and more of Blockbuster, Netflix and
Coinstar (owner of RedBox).
Below are a
few reasons why I think Blockbuster qualifies as this month’s Company
of the Month, even though this will be the only positive article
you’ll see on the company until after their Shareholder’s Meeting
on June 24, 2010.
6
Reasons Blockbuster Will Rise Again
1. 70% increase
in DVD Kiosk Revenue at Redbox
2. Blockbuster is poised to beat RedBox at it’s own game
3. Blockbuster has better movies – a month earlier
4. Management has a viable game plan
5. Carl Icahn ousted without a scene!
6. Insider Buying
So, why, when
Goldman Sachs is on the ropes with the SEC and the Justice Department
and off 9% on its share price on April 30, 2010, did I opt to feature
Blockbuster instead? Why did I overlook Hewlett-Packard’s acquisition
of Palm, and the addition of the Palm Operating System for their
version of the Apple iPad?
Goldman’s troubles
have just begun and their stock price has not (yet) begun to reflect
the depth of the mess, in my analysis. Hewlett-Packard’s acquisition
of Palm on the cheap from Bono and his private equity fund, Elevation
Partners, for just $1 billion (reportedly) seems like the story
of the YEAR. However, HP is a diversified company with profit margins
of 7% and annual growth in the 8% range. Having a product that competes
with iPad isn’t enough to make Hewlett Packard a powerboat of returns,
although this looks like a stable stock for any market storms that
arise.
Blockbuster,
on the other hand, caught my eye with a DVD kiosk at a local supermarket.
How is it that a company that is ready to go under is undertaking
a cutting edge revenue stream? I was intrigued enough to dig a little,
and I’ve been enamored with every sheet I turned in their Proxy
Statements since. Here’s how the story adds up.
- 70% increase
in DVD Rental Revenue From Kiosks Means Good Times for Blockbuster.
Red
Box’s DVD revenue increased 70.1% in the first quarter of 2010
(over last year), according to J. Scott Di Valerio, CFO of Coinstar,
Inc. (owners of RedBox). The video kiosk market doubled in
value in 2009 (making this one of the hottest industries in
the world), growing to $917 million in total revenue, according
to Adams Media Research. If Blockbuster manages to seize half
of the current DVD kiosk revenue, with its superior film offerings
and increased kiosk presence, the top line revenue growth at Blockbuster
could be the best it has seen in years. Adding $450 million to
the top-line, combined with the $200 million in cuts that management
has targeted for 2010, puts Blockbuster back into the black, with
over $100 million to spare.
- Blockbuster
is beating RedBox at it’s own game. Could
Blockbuster actually deploy enough kiosks in 2010 to compete with
RedBox? You know deployment is working when a Blockbuster kiosk
can be found in a small town in Southeastern Arizona! Blockbuster
has 2000 kiosks already deployed and another 8000 tapped to hit
Main Street. By the end of 2010, Blockbuster aims to have almost
half as many kiosks as Redbox (24,800), with better movies to
choose from.
- Blockbuster
has better movies – a month earlier. While
RedBox has been suing the film companies to get a better selection
of DVDs for its kiosks, Blockbuster just negotiated a deal to
get the blockbusters up to 28 days before the competition. On
April 27, 2010, Blockbuster’s chairman and CEO, James W. Keyes,
advised, "Providing a four-week advance of new releases for
our customers reflects Blockbuster's strategy to be the leading
multichannel provider for movies and is possible because of our
long-standing business relationships with the major studios."
- Management
has a viable game plan. Blockbuster
has been trapped in a cycle of trading under a dollar, which means
that most fund managers won’t touch it with a ten-foot pole! This
company got hammered when the headlines screamed that the company
might declare bankruptcy (after Hollywood Video did). Share price
and market value have to increase to keep the NYSE listing, which
is why the board has recommended a reverse stock split within
a range of 1-for-15 and 1-for-25. This is likely to be approved
at the Annual Shareholder Meeting on June 24, 2010. That puts
the share price in a price range where investors and managers
have greater comfort making the purchase. Once positive headlines
return and the share price is reasonable, investors will be attracted
back and the market value of Blockbuster will increase. There
are a lot of “ifs” in that premise, but if Blockbuster can out
Carl Icahn without a scene, they are capable of pretty much anything.
- Carl Icahn
ousted without a scene! Not
sure how the board of Blockbuster convinced Carl Icahn to resign
and sell 13 million shares for 27 cents, but I’ll bet Time Warner’s
former Chairman and CEO, Richard Parsons, made a personal call
congratulating James W. Keyes on the feat! (Icahn was a bug on
Parsons’ back during the restructuring of Time-Warner, after the
AOL-Time Warner implosion.) Goldman Sachs stayed in, as did other
major shareholders, and executive insiders have begun purchasing
Blockbuster stock.
- Insider
Buying. You
know what they say. If you want to know what’s going on with the
company, check to see what the insiders are doing. And the insiders
at Blockbuster are buying up stock en masse. There is consensus
buying at the senior vice president level in store operations,
finance and more.
So, the bottom
line is that it doesn’t appear that Blockbuster is going
down. In fact, Blockbuster might be doing a Rope-a-Dope, in order
to pummel the competition when they are least expecting it. Blockbuster
can now offer the in-store experience, mail rentals, on-demand and
even $1/night kiosks, meaning it is the only full-service movie
and game rental/sales company of the bunch – with the value added
proposition that the company can release hit movies up to a month
before the competition.
Wonder what
the insiders of Netflix think of all this? They’ve been exercising
their options and selling high – en masse.
I must warn
you that with a share price under a dollar and a CCC corporate credit
rating with a negative outlook from Standard and Poor’s, Blockbuster
is considered to be very, very high risk. This investment is not
for the faint of heart and should not be done with your nest egg
holdings. Don’t bet the farm. Nonetheless, I added Blockbuster to
the Hot News on Cool Stocks list today.
I added Netflix
to the Watch list. Kiosk revenue growth outscored the Netflix subscription
based model 3 1/2 to 1in 2009. If this trend continues, Netflix
will be the company losing market share. A 45 price to earnings
ratio is high for a company that is facing intense competition.
Worth watching.
Full Disclosure:
Natalie Pace does not own stock or positions in any company mentioned
in this article.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/Natalie-Pace/416616285568,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be all in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your
retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has
been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who
is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more.
The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part
of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest
into individual companies should never be greater than your experience,
wisdom, knowledge and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
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Great
Mother's Day Gift Ideas.
by Staff.
 |
| “Church”
by Van Gogh. Mom’s worth it! (Even if you can’t afford the original
painting.) So make sure she feels priceless. |
Every year,
we do a survey, and overwhelmingly, in the past, our moms reported
that they prefer stock, cash, spa gift certificates and couples’
getaway vacations over chocolate and flowers. This year, gold might
generate more smiles than a stock certificate, but don’t just blow
off the survey altogether and show up with daisies in your hand.
Bad idea! Mom loves flowers, but she also desires something more
representative for the daily care that she has provided for you
all of your life!
If your love
is much bigger than your wallet, there is always a gift that is
both loving and priced right. Below we’ve put together a few Jobless
Recovery-friendly presents that should warm her heart, keep you
out of the Hot Seat and not break the bank! Remember, your presence
and attention is priceless, so above all, make Mother’s Day a day
of celebration.
1. Spa Retreats
and Get Away Vacations. Some
of our favorite destinations are sporting hotel prices that haven’t
been this low for over a decade. Whether you are interested in South
Beach, Vegas, Palm Springs or Scottsdale, chances are you can scoop
up a 5-star hotel for 3-star rates. The
Parker Palm Springs (where Brad and Angelina shot their
W Magazine shoot while Brad was still married), a fabulous
getaway, is paying you $1 a night during the week to stay at
their place. (The deal really is: you pay $199 for the hotel
and they give you $200 to use in their spa.) What a great offer!
This is just the type of gift that Mom can really appreciate!
If you want
to book the Parker
Palm Springs, call 760.770.5000 and tell them Natalie
Pace sent you! Be sure to try their Muddled Lemonade (shhh.. secret
recipe…mmmm and Wazoo!) while you play tennis on their signature
clay court!
2. Priceline,
Expedia and
other Discount Hotel Options. The trick to the Priceline
Name Your Own Price option is that you have to know where you want
to go, what star of hotel you want to stay in and what you are willing
to pay. The only thing you cannot control is the exact hotel that
Mom will end up staying at. For instance, if I bid $135/night in
Beverly Hills for a 4-star hotel, I know I’m not going to end up
at a Holiday Inn in Riverside, but I’m not sure whether I’ll get
the Four Seasons or the Century Plaza Hotel in Beverly Hills. It’s
worth a try!
Helpful Hint:
Priceline typically divides each major city into at least four regions.
If you absolutely want to stay in one area over another, don’t bid
too low. Try bidding 70% of what the hotels in that area are charging.
(Priceline tells you that.) If you want to stay in Manhattan and
don’t care if you are in Soho or near Central Park, you have seven
chances (one for each area) to keep upping your bid until one is
accepted. So you can start a little lower in that case.
2. Las Vegas.
Deals
abound in Sin City. Trump
Hotel Las Vegas is offering great rooms for just $99/night.
The Venetian
is offering rooms for just $139/night with over $100 in coupons
back to you (including discounts on Phantom of the Opera
tickets and restaurants), if you book before June 30, 2010. Wynn
Las Vegas is offering 25% discount if you book 45 days
in advance and use the Promo Code: EARLYBOOKING. Wynn’s hotel rooms
feel more like luxury apartments, and with the discount, the rooms
start as low as $219/night.
Don’t worry
(too much) about the heat in the desert. The pools in Vegas are
as spectacular as the showgirls. And with all of the world-class
shows, Michelin-rated restaurants and gaming, waddya need to wander
outside for anyway?
3. Spa certificates
and club memberships. It’s
worth a call to her favorite gym (that she’s been putting off joining
until you have the extra dough) to see if they are offering any
signup specials. Spa Day is also one of those luxuries that most
women adore – although be careful where you book it because she
is likely to have a preference on where she goes! Women can be pretty
picky about where they want to be seen sweating and/or with green
mask on their face. (In other words, she will have had to mention
going to this place a gazillion times, and hopefully at least one
of those times you were actually listening.)
4. A Day
of Pampering. If
money is really preventing you from buying the gift of her dreams,
don’t underestimate the value of just getting it right all day long!
Wake her up with, "I love you," on your lips and handpicked
flowers in your hand. Deliver a handwritten and illustrated
card featuring five things you love about her as a woman and a mother.
Treat her to her favorite breakfast – in bed, of course. Jump in
the car and take a long walk at her favorite destination, whether
it is the beach, the lake or the mall. Gaze into her eyes at sunset.
Toast to her with her favorite libation – whether it is champagne
or sparkling water. And at the end of the night, could she use a
foot massage? Women swooned over the scene when Kevin Costner painted
the toenails of Susan Sarandon in Bull Durham. Can you beat
that? Try to. It’ll pay off in spades for the Queen of your home.
5. Castles
in Scotland. Speaking of Queens. If it’s time for that
once in a lifetime trip, check out the Castles in Scotland article
in this ezine for ideas. There are many castles in Europe that offer
rooms and accommodations.
6. The Finest
Gifts Don’t Cost a Thing. There
is a scene in everyone’s life that plays on the Favorites Highlight
reel, and most of the time, it didn’t cost a thing. Make it your
goal to achieve that – even if you have purchased something for
her. It is the sentiment, the love, the time, the card, the caring,
the breakfast in bed, spending time with her doing something she
enjoys and the gift that all add up for her on this very
special day.
I didn’t mention
the kids here because, of course, they will join you for breakfast,
or for the walk and perhaps even most of the day. But be sure to
make time just for you, as her husband, to honor her and express
love in a more meaningful way than you ever have before.
7. Stocks
and Cash, Does
she have her own brokerage account? Many of the online discount
brokerages will let you set up an IRA online with a pretty small
amount of money. If you want to really impress her, set up the account
and do a monthly auto-deposit as well (which can be as low as $50-$100,
if need be). Include my book, You
Vs. Wall Street so that she learns how to get rich,
while enriching the world, with her newest piece of financial freedom!
That’s a pretty empowering gift package for a very reasonable price.
(You
Vs. Wall Street is just $15 wherever books are sold.)
8. Get
Away Vacation and Prosperity/Abundance Retreat rolled into one!
Join Natalie Pace for a 3-day Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat July 23-25, 2009.
You and your beloved will get three full days of hands-on abundance,
prosperity and investing training from Natalie Pace, a #1 stock
picker, personally in a board room setting with just a dozen people.
The retreat takes place in the beautiful, sunny beach town of Santa
Monica, California, and Natalie does some of her training right
on the sand, while watching the sunset. Many couples have celebrated
their anniversaries (and loved it), walking in without a clue and/or
a cracked nest egg and walking out with a budgeting and investing
blueprint that works for the rest of their life. Register as a couple
by Mother’s Day, and you will receive the Early Bird couple’s price
of just $1995. That’s a saving of $1000 off of the regular solo
price!
Only a handful
of seats remain available at this retreat, so CALL 866.476.7442
or email info@NataliePace.com
NOW to book your seats.
9. e-Cards.
Moms are a sucker for cards and these days e-cards are quite unique
and amazing. My favorite e-card website is http://www.jacquielawson.com/.
You can join for $12/year and send as many e-cards as you like over
the next 12 months. The new Mother’s Day Cards are very touching
and can be delivered to her in-box worldwide.
Remember that
Mother’s Day is as important to get right as the engagement ring
was when you asked your wife to marry you. Splurge a little this
year, if not in money, then in creativity!
If you are a
mom, please weigh in on your favorite gift at the survey
on the home page at NataliePace.com. That way your hubby and kids
have a chance of getting you what you really desire. (Just leave
the page open on your computer strategically, so that they can see
the survey results…)
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| Eilean
Donan Castle |
Castles
in Scotland.
by Barbara
Siragusa.
I grew up in
beautiful Scotland, never fully appreciating the beauty and majesty
of the country until years later. I have now become a tourist when
I revisit! My last trip there in February of 2009. I was lucky enough
to visit several of the most beautiful and sometimes haunting castles
in Scotland.
The first one
was an absolute dream to visit. Eilean Donan Castle. Highlander
the movie was filmed there and it has a rich and exciting history.
As producers, we were given a 2-hour tour by a couple of wonderful
gentlemen who were working there while the castle was closed to
the public. We had the entire castle to ourselves.
The stories
were hard to believe. Tales of Robert The Bruce and battles. The
beauty seen from the uppermost parts of the castle was breath taking.
I asked these men if they realized just how lucky they were. Miles
from civilization, their only eating place a local pub, no McDonald's
or Burger King's in sight. They smiled and said they did and were
happy not to live in the rat race!
Another castle
we had a chance to visit was Slain's Castle. This castle is the
original Dracula's castle, which we will be talking about in an
episode of our new TV series Raine of Terror. This castle
and its story are in Scotland -- not in Romania!! Sadly this beautiful
castle is earmarked to be torn down to make way for holiday homes.
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| Slain's
Castle |
We did also
take a trip to England, where we talked to the owners of Chillingham
Castle. This castle was very beautiful from the outside, but very
macabre on the inside. When you first enter, there is a large mantrap
on the wall, which would have been used years ago to trap the Scots
trying to escape their dungeons. They do allow visitors to stay
overnight in the "haunted" rooms. We declined.
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| Chillingham
Castle |
Eilean
Donan castle itself is available for tours only, but you
can rent the Castle’s “holiday cottage” that sleeps 4. You can also
hire the castle for weddings, film shoots and photo shoots.
Slain's Castle
is deserted and has no roof! Sadly, I believe it will be torn down
soon to make way for holiday homes.
You can sleep
over in At Chillingham
Castle (if you dare). This castle is known as "The Scariest
Place on Earth". (We didn’t stay there!) Chillingham Castle is open
to the public, is available for weddings, private functions and
tours and has self catering apartments.
These are a
few of the castles I have visited in Scotland and England, and
we hope to visit many more as we continue filming our TV series.
You can see
more about our show at www.raineofterror.tv.
Barbara Siragusa
is the vice president of ElectricBear Studios, LLC. She was raised
in Scotland and moved to the US at the age of 21. Barbara lives
with her husband in Florida where they own a production studio.
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Board Women.
by Elizabeth
Ghaffari.
An
excerpt from her book, Outstanding
in Their Field:
How Women Corporate Directors Succeed.
Excerpted
with permission of ABC-CLIO LLC, Santa Barbara, CA from Chapter
1, Outstanding in their Field: How Women Corporate Directors Succeed
by Elizabeth Ghaffari (Praeger/ABC-Clio: 2009) with Foreword by
Toni Rembe.
Chapter
1
Overview:
Women and Corporate Boards
Outstanding
in Their Field is about 15 women with little in common except
that they are directors at top Fortune 1000 public company
boards. Each life story presents a unique collection of decisions
made and lessons learned by the individual as she followed her chosen
career into the boardroom. Most of the women acquired experience
in several spheres: corporate finance and government or entrepreneurship
and investment, for example. All the women are enjoying doing exactly
what they love, applying their knowledge to address tough contemporary
challenges, and representing the interests of shareholders to the
best of their abilities and with a keen awareness of their duty
of care and their duty of loyalty. These are the leaders—the women
who have been nominated to public
company boards of directors in today’s tough, highly regulated world
of contemporary governance. They are in very high demand because
of their expertise and experience. If we wish to see more women
directors, then we will need to ensure that there are more women
like these outstanding individuals—women who are able, prepared,
and willing to serve.
Every month,
we see more talented, competent, and capable women being nominated
to public company boards of directors, in addition to women being
added to top leadership roles of leading firms nationwide and around
the world. What a difference it makes when women and men collaborate
to build something better—schools, houses, and businesses. This
is a book about how outstanding women collaborate as corporate board
members.
…
Outline
of Chapters
The
pages that follow present the findings of research and interviews
with 15 women directors on top California-based Fortune 1000
companies. Six chapters focus on each of the different paths into
the boardroom. The introduction to each chapter describes the path,
the findings that are common to all the women who pursued that path,
commonly held beliefs about that path, and insights drawn from the
interviews and analysis—lessons learned.
Within each
chapter, we present biographies of selected women directors. Each
biography
is a stand-alone business case of the decisions and choices of one
woman who became a corporate director. Each biography concludes
with the insights extracted from her experiences.
There are no
bad or wrong paths into the boardroom. All career options are viable,
as demonstrated by the women we met and interviewed. Today’s women
directors follow jagged paths more than a straight course, although
a dominant route tended to serve as a hub around which the individual
women expanded their influence and contacts and enhanced their skills
and expertise. Many women gathered experience along multiple paths,
which suggests that part of their value as directors is the breadth
of their competencies and interests.
…
The
Women Interviewed
It
is not that women directors are out there on some remote pedestal.
They are all real women who made the decisions to endure, persevere,
and excel. Their stories inspire our admiration and respect. Once
you meet these women and become familiar with the major steps in
their careers, you might select from their experiences those lessons
are relevant to your life, your time, and your current efforts.
Gayle Edlund
Wilson and Andrea L. Rich discuss their careers in the nonprofit
world. Linnet Frazier Deily, Linda Griego, and Sally K. Richardson
came to their board roles through government service. Alice Bourke
Hayes and Mary S. Metz came to their board roles by the academic
career path. Leslie Myers Frécon, Donna Frame Tuttle, and
Deborah Ann Coleman followed a few of the wide variety of career
paths that have opened up recently in the investment/securities
area. Judith L. Estrin and Lucille S. Salhany came to corporate
director leadership roles by the entrepreneurial path. Janet Morrison
Clarke, Judith M. Runstad, and Kathleen A. Cote came by the corporate
pathway with an emphasis on retail, law, and technology.
This book shows
women how to look for leadership role models among the wide variety
of styles, careers, paths, and choices of businesswomen in the 21st
century. If women aspire to leadership, they will raise their own
expectations and not merely remain outside observers, helpers, and
supporters. They will take on the mantle of leadership.
Lessons
Learned
These
women were chosen to serve because their experience added value
to their boards. Any woman can become competent, qualified,
and capable of assuming a board role. However, not every woman will
become a corporate director, and not every woman should:
it is an achievement, not an entitlement.
…
One executive
recruiter who specializes in board searches reported that "Our
experience
suggests that, rather than [the number of women on corporate boards]
being a problem on the demand side, it seems to be more a case of
a limited supply of women directors who are prepared and ready to
serve."
How does a woman
find a corporate board role? She doesn’t. She builds a career of
achievement and leadership. When a board of directors needs her
skills and competencies, it will find her. And she will recognize
it as an opportunity too good to refuse.
Selected
quotes from Outstanding in their Field
"I look
for directors who want to do board work because they enjoy it –
they want to learn from the experience and to build relationships
and credibility. It’s a great educational experience to work with
a small business owner. It teaches you a lot that will help you
run your own business." Leslie Frécon
"I love
learning experiences… I think you spend your entire life learning.
Boards of directors offer real-time experiences and the chance to
make decisions that affect long-term strategies. That role is a
challenging responsibility because your decision will affect the
company for years to come… On a board, you’re thinking strategy
and vision. I can’t find that anywhere else." Donna Tuttle
"First,
you have to prove your worth, your value to the company. … We could
have a lot more women on boards if, earlier in their careers, women
thought about what it takes to get nominated." Deborah Coleman
"I think
it is very important that I have always thought of myself not as
a woman board member, but as a person with diversity of perspective
and diversity of thought. I think I am a valued director more for
the diversity of my thinking, not so much for the specifics of gender
or experience. On a board, I am not there to focus on women’s issues.
I am there to be a full board member looking at all of the issues
of the company." Judith Estrin,
"It became
obvious to me that I needed an MBA… so I signed up to take economics
and accounting as independent classes. Econ was like a foreign language
to me – very theoretical. I struggled at first, but I was competitive
too and wasn’t about to be intimidated by it all." Gayle Edlund
Wilson
Selected quotes
reprinted with permission of ABC-CLIO
LLC, Santa Barbara, CA.
Elizabeth Ghaffari
is the author of Outstanding
in Their Field: How Women Corporate Directors Succeed.
She is President/CEO of Technology Place Inc. and founder of Champion
Boards, a research and advisory service working with entrepreneurial
businesses to tap the power of governance to plan and implement
effective growth strategies.
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Who
Picked Your Number.
by Chellie
Campbell, author of The Wealthy Spirit and
Zero to Zillionaire.
If
they want what you have, they’ll pay anything to get it. If they
don’t want what you have, free isn’t cheap enough.
It’s always
very interesting when the topic of pricing arises with the participants
in my Financial Stress Reduction® Workshops. People have many
issues surrounding charging money for their products and services.
The most usual one is that they don’t charge what they really want
to charge – they’re afraid to price themselves too high and lose
a sale. Especially now during the "Great Recession!" Don’t
we have to slash our prices, have a big sale, help our clients with
payment plans?
The answer is
"sometimes". But if you slash your prices so much that
you lose money on every sale, how is that going to help you?
Joe was a very
polished, professional attorney who specialized in financial fraud
issues (he must be really busy right now!) and worked on a contingency
basis. He was struggling with his budgeting because he would work
on a case for as long as two years before the case was decided and
he got paid.
"Do you
get a retainer up front to help with costs?" I asked.
"Yes, he
said, "but it’s only $1,000 and that doesn’t last very long."
"So, why
don’t you ask for $5,000?" I replied.
He started to
answer and then stopped himself. He smiled and said, "Well,
I guess I’ve been afraid that if I ask for too much, they’ll leave
and go somewhere else."
"If they
can’t pay you what you need to live, they should go," I answered.
"You need to at least ask for what you want – you can always
negotiate a bit if you need to. Why not try it?"
"You’re
right," he said, "I have three prospective client meetings
this week and I’ll try asking them for $5,000 and see what happens.
He left with
that idea in mind, and I looked forward to seeing him at the next
class session.
The following
week, he was the first one to report his progress: "You remember
I had three meetings with prospective clients last week? I asked
each one of them for a $5,000 retainer. And you know what? Each
one of them wrote out a check for that amount with no questions
asked! And now I have $15,000 in the bank!"
Another class,
a young woman had an 8-week workshop business helping people with
relationships. She was unhappy with her income and wanted more money.
"How much
are you charging?" I quizzed her.
"$400,"
she replied.
"How much
would you like to charge?" I asked.
"Well…$800",
she said hesitantly.
"So this
week ask for $800 and see what happens," I suggested.
She did, they
paid – and another happy client’s financial stress was reduced.
I love when that happens!
Soon after that,
another workshop leader told me she was unhappy with my class because
she still wasn’t making enough money even though she had successfully
enrolled ten people in her latest 6- week workshop.
"How much
are you charging?" I asked. (Is this sounding familiar?)
"$125,"
she answered.
"Is that
enough money for you to live on?" I asked.
"No,"
she replied, "That’s the problem!"
"Well,
who picked that number?" I said.
She looked at
me for a long moment, then said, "I guess I did."
"Then pick
a better number and your problems will be solved!" I said.
Every business
owner needs to pick two important numbers in their business:
- How many
people do you want to serve each month?
- How much
money do you plan to charge them?
Multiply these
two numbers and see if it gives you enough money to pay your bills
comfortably, save for the future, pay off your debts, buy a house,
go on vacation, and live the life you desire.
If not, pick
another number!
Chellie
Campbell is the creator of the Financial Stress Reduction®
Workshops, and author of The Wealthy Spirit and Zero to
Zillionaire. She has been prominently quoted as a financial
expert in the Los Angeles Times, Good Housekeeping, Lifetime, Essence,
Woman’s World and more than 50 popular books. She can be reached
at Chellie@chellie.com
|
|
Nest Egg Rebalancing
Plan.
by Natalie Pace.
Sell
in May and Go Away.
March,
April and May comprise the top performing months on Wall Street
these days. (You can read more on this in my article entitled, "Stock
Market Secrets Your Broker Isn’t Sharing" from
Vol. 7, issue 3.) The worst performing months for the last decade
are October, February, January and June, in that order. Since June
is just around the corner, this gives a whole new urgency to Sell
in May and Go Away (an old Wall Street adage).
Combine the
quarterly trend with election year trends -- that the second year
of the Presidential term is anemic, at best, and has been negative
on average for the last decade -- and you have a good reason to
rebalance your nest egg between now and the end of the month. (Please
note that I’m not encouraging you to jump in and out of the market
– market timing – but rather to have a good, diversified nest egg
that you annually rebalance.) I’m suggesting that, whether we are
in a Jobless Recovery or a full Recovery or will experience continued
challenges, right now, when the markets have recovered 4,450 points
from their March 2009 low, is a great time to take profits, rebalance
and make sure that you are properly diversified.
Below is an
easy 6-step plan that can protect you from a devastating downturn,
while also allowing you to capitalize if the Spring Rally continues
throughout all of 2010 Rally.
- Consider
where the markets are.
- Think
of what you are mostly doing when the markets are where they are.
- Think
of where the markets are headed.
- Overweight
safe or "game on" based upon steps 1-3
- Draw a
pie chart, allocating your age, PLUS or MINUS the overweighting,
safe. (29 + 20% safe = 49% safe)
- Diversify
the remainder of the pie chart into 10 funds.
Here are more
details on each step.
- Consider
where the markets are. Hmmm.
On March 9, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial bottomed out to 6547,
whereas the last week of April, the Dow was trading above 11,000.
Looks like we are much higher than we were a year ago…
- Think
of what you are mostly doing when the markets are where they are
(high). Selling.
The term is buy low; sell high, after all. Again, you are not
"market timing," or jumping all in and all out. (That
doesn’t work.) But using seasonal trends as a gauge for your rebalancing
once or twice a year works very, very well.
- Think
of where the markets are heading. In
this jobless recovery, we may not know exactly where the markets
are heading, but we do know that there is still cause for concern,
with unemployment over 11%. For some, that might make them very
cautious. For Evel Knievel types, that might mean not taking on
as much risk as normal.
- Overweight
based upon macro trend reading. Overweight
safe, if you’re concerned or worried. When you are exceedingly
optimistic about the future of stocks, that’s when you might consider
overweighting into select Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). If you
are a Nervous Nelly this year, reserve an additional 20% safe
and if you’re Evel Knievel, overweight 5% or less safe. This is
where your risk tolerance comes into play.
- Draw a
pie chart, allocating your age, PLUS or MINUS the overweighting,
safe. (25 + 20% safe = 45% safe)
.jpg)
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Now, for those
of you who hate the idea of allocating so much safe into low-yielding
money markets (FDIC insured of course), please note that I’ll
talk about other better-performing options for this safe portion
of your dough in the June ezine. Know, for now, however, that
bond funds are not so safe. When interest rates
rise, they will lose value. When the markets drop, you’ll be glad
you have enough safe because not losing money means your nest
egg is intact, while others crack. Don’t be talked into risking
your safe money for the possibility of making a few percentage
points return. Just get safe for now.
- Diversify
the remainder of the pie chart into 10 funds. Note
that the four funds listed at the top of the pie chart are 4 Hot
Industries. These will change year to year. For instance, this
year, you may wish to include information technology, which was
one of the top performing industries of 2009.
The remaining
six funds are diversified by size and style -- small cap growth,
small cap value, mid cap growth, mid cap value, large cap growth
and large cap value. Be sure to read my article, "How
to Beat the Dow" in this month’s ezine for tips
on how to pick the best six funds for your nest egg.
- Picking
Exchange Traded Funds. You
can go to the websites of leading funds and see what the top holdings
and industries of each fund are to fine-tune your investment portfolio.
For instance, do you want to own a fund that is heavy into financials
and consumer discretionary when unemployment is so high? Wouldn’t
you rather hold funds that are concentrated in information technology,
biotechnology, gold, clean energy, consumer staples, industrial
materials, etc.?
Here are a
two websites where you can easily find ETFs that are diversified
by industry, size and style. Each fund has a page where you can
click or scroll down to see the top holdings and top industries.
- PowerShares.com
- iShares.com
Hot
Industries
What’s
hot this year? It is predicted to be another challenging year for
consumer spending. However, the Stimulus Bill is pouring a lot of
money into improving efficiency, particularly in education, medicine
and government – which translates into revenue for technology companies.
When inflation becomes a concern, gold is typically strong. Clean
energy is another line-item focus of President Obama’s Stimulus
Spending. And people will still go to their doctor and take their
medicine in a recession. Thus, I would expect to see strength in
info tech, gold, clean energy and biotechnology. What industries
do you believe are hot?
Below are the
hottest returns in 2009.
Average
Returns of Open End Funds in 2009
|
Name
|
Annual
Ret 2009
|
|
US
OE Latin America Stock
|
115.54
|
|
US
OE Diversified Emerging Mkts
|
73.81
|
|
US
OE Pacific/Asia ex-Japan Stk
|
71.16
|
|
US
OE Technology
|
61.99
|
|
US
OE Equity Precious Metals
|
52.56
|
|
US
OE Foreign Small/Mid Growth
|
49.24
|
|
US
OE Natural Res
|
48.48
|
|
US
OE Europe Stock
|
47.32
|
|
US
OE High Yield Bond
|
46.70
|
|
US
OE Miscellaneous Sector
|
45.57
|
|
US
OE Equity Energy
|
44.36
|
|
US
OE Foreign Small/Mid Value
|
44.06
|
| US
OE Bank Loan |
41.81
|
|
|
Name
|
Annual
Ret 2009
|
|
US
OE Communications
|
40.74
|
|
US
OE Convertibles
|
40.58
|
|
US
OE Mid-Cap Growth
|
39.11
|
|
US
OE Foreign Large Growth
|
38.02
|
|
US
OE Consumer Discretionary
|
37.84
|
|
US
OE Mid-Cap Blend
|
37.39
|
|
US
OE Global Real Estate
|
37.01
|
|
US
OE Large Growth
|
35.68
|
|
US
OE Small Growth
|
35.46
|
|
US
OE Mid-Cap Value
|
35.41
|
|
US
OE World Stock
|
35.27
|
|
US
OE Diversified Pacific/Asia
|
34.70
|
| |
|
|
Source: ©
2010 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The information contained
herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers;
(2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to
be accurate, complete, or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content
providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from
any use of this information. Past performance is no guarantee of
future results.
If you wish
to learn more about this rebalancing act, tune into the "Spring
Cleaning Your Nest Egg" show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
This show outlines these easy-as-a-pie-chart strategies ion greater
detail, and streams 24/7 on demand. You can also download the Pod
Cast to your iTunes platform.
Nest egg strategies,
hot industries, annual rebalancing and more are the subject of my
book, You
Vs. Wall Street. Buy You
Vs. Wall Street wherever books are sold.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street
and host of the Pace and Prosperity radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace!
She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/Natalie-Pace/416616285568,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be all in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your
retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has
been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who
is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more.
The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part
of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest
into individual companies should never be greater than your experience,
wisdom, knowledge and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
Should
the U.S. introduce a Value Added Tax?
by
Dr. Gary
S. Becker.
Given
the current and projected large scale budget deficits of the United
States, many people are advocating that the US follow the example
of Europe and many other countries, and introduce a value added
tax (VAT). President Obama suggested only a few days ago that a
VAT for Americans is still on the table.
The
case for a VAT is that it is a relatively efficient tax that induces
less distortion in behavior than say a progressive income tax that
raises the same amount in revenue. On the other hand, once introduced
the VAT almost always tends to rise over time, which increases the
burden of government spending and taxation.
If
a country were starting a new tax system I would on the whole (I
discuss my concerns later) recommend relying mainly on a VAT. However,
countries like the US that already have complicated tax systems
would make a mistake to simply add a VAT to the tax system without
radical surgery in income and other taxes.
Since
a VAT is a tax on the value added by companies at each stage of
production of consumer and investment goods, it is similar to a
sales tax levied directly on these consumer and investment goods.
Usually, a VAT is a fixed percent, such as 10 or 20 percent, of
the value added by each company, although often medicines and certain
other necessities are exempt. A VAT does not distort consumption
decisions relative to savings and investment decisions since it
taxes consumer and investment goods at the same rate. An income
tax, by contrast, discourages savings and investment because it
taxes savings twice: once on the income from which any savings are
taken, and again on the income earned later on from any savings.
Like
an income tax, a VAT does distort the decision whether to work more,
or take more leisure and earn less. Since leisure time is not taxed,
a VAT encourages an increase in leisure time and a decline in working
time. A VAT is usually a flat tax, with the same tax rate for richer
people who spend a lot on consumption and poorer persons who spend
much less, whereas income taxes are usually progressive, with higher
marginal tax rates on higher incomes. The higher the marginal tax
rate, the greater the labor-leisure and other distortions-economists
call the inefficiencies introduced by these distortions dead weight
losses.
A
flat VAT tax would be more efficient for two reasons than a progressive
income tax that raises the same revenue: it does not discourage
savings relative to consumption, and it induces fewer distortions
on other behavior because it has flat rather than rising tax rates.
A flat income tax eliminates the effects of rising tax rates, but
still distorts savings behavior.
The
downside of a value added tax to anyone concerned about growing
government spending and taxing is very much related to its upside;
namely, that a VAT is a more efficient and relatively painless tax.
As with all taxes, proposals to increase the rate of taxation on
value added runs into opposition from individuals and companies
hurt by a higher VAT.
However,
since a VAT is easy to collect and causes fewer distortions in behavior
than income and most other taxes, governments have an incentive
to raise the VAT over time. In fact, value added tax rates do usually
start low, but tend to grow rapidly over time. For example, the
VAT rate in Europe started low but now ranges from 15 to 25%, and
averages about 20%. In Denmark, for example, the VAT rate was 9%
in 1962, but quickly rose to 25% by 1992, and has remained at that
level.
So
the greater efficiency of a VAT and its ease of collection is a
two-edged sword. On the one hand, it would raise a given amount
of tax revenue efficiently and cheaply. Since economists usually
evaluate different types of taxes by their efficiency and ease of
collecting a given amount of tax revenue, economists typically
like value added taxes. The error in this method of evaluating
taxes is that it does not consider the political economy determinants
of the level of taxes. From this political economy perspective,
the value added tax does not look so attractive, at least to those
of us who worry that governments would spend and tax at higher levels
than is economically and socially desirable (see the discussion
by Mulligan and me "Deadweight Costs and the Size of Government",
The Journal of Law and Economics, October 2003).
In
deciding how to close the sizable fiscal deficits facing the US
and other countries, introducing or expanding a VAT appeals to many
economists and politicians because of the features already discussed.
However, the problem is that a VAT would be introduced not as a
partial or full substitute for personal and corporate income taxes,
but rather as an additional tax. This would make it much easier
to close the fiscal gap by maintaining or increasing government
spending and overall tax levels.
Since
high taxes and high levels of government spending would discourage
economic growth and raise rather than lower the overall distortions
in an economy, I am highly dubious about introducing a VAT into
the federal tax system unless accompanied by a major overall of
this system. One big improvement that does not involve a VAT would
be to flatten the present income tax rates and greatly reduce the
various exemptions, so that the tax basis is widened. Even then
it is necessary to be vigilant about combating the incentives government
officials have to increase flat taxes over time, whether they are
flat income taxes or flat value added taxes.
About
Gary Becker:
Dr.
Gary Becker is a University Professor, Department
of Economics, and Sociology Professor, Graduate School of Business,
The University of Chicago. He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in
1992 for his groundbreaking work in "human capital." President George
W. Bush awarded him the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2007.
To
keep track of Dr. Becker's continuing research and commentary, visit
his web
site and blog.
|
|
How
to Beat the Dow.
by Natalie
Pace.
Did
you know that the NASDAQ Outscored the Dow Jones Industrial Average,
earning 40 cents on every dollar invested (compared to just 15 cents
for the Dow) in 2009? Are you aware that the Dow Jones Industrial
Average is just 30 companies, and that 13% of Dow Components were
bailed out, including AIG, General Motors, Citigroup and Bank of
America?
So, how do you
beat the Dow, when it’s still the most popular Blue Chip Index on
Wall Street? It’s much easier than you might imagine. Just one step
really. Avoid it! There are thousands of companies traded on Wall
Street and only 30 companies in the leading blue chip index (which
is what the Dow Jones Industrial Average claims to be).
Savvy investors
will look at this data with an equal measure of intrigue and skepticism.
NASDAQ still hasn’t returned to its DOT COM heyday, when it cracked
through 5000. But the Internet is pervasive and here to stay, and
the NASDAQ 100 is leading the charge in this new world. Clean energy,
another industry that has more companies in the NASDAQ (and only
GE in the Dow), was the top industry in 2007, earning almost 60
cents on the dollar (double of the second place industry of oil
and gas, which earned only 32 cents on the dollar). Meanwhile the
Dow is heavily steeped in some of the most challenged corporations
in the U.S. (not just limited to the four bailouts I’ve already
mentioned). It’s not just the Dow, however, large cap companies,
particularly those founded before 1980, have also performed miserably
over the last ten years.

So,
how do we know that small cap companies will continue to outperform
the Dow?
Actually,
there are quite a number of things that you likely don’t know about
the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The name has become synonymous
with Wall Street, just like Google is with Search and Kleenex is
with facial tissue. But is it still deserving of that, or should
we find a better word and strategy for the post-bailout Wall Street?
At minimum,
you should find a better strategy for your nest egg! When an index
can lose more than half of its value in eighteen months, your nest
egg is vulnerable to cracking again. (The Dow dropped from 14,164
on October 9, 2007 to 6,547 on March 9, 2009.)
- What
companies are in the Dow today? Click to access a table
showing the 30 current Dow
Components, as of April 15, 2010.
|
Stock Symbol
|
Company Name
|
|
AA
|
Alcoa
|
|
AXP
|
American Express
|
|
BA
|
Boeing
|
|
BAC
|
Bank of America
|
|
CAT
|
Caterpillar
|
|
CSCO
|
Cisco
|
|
CVX
|
Chevron
|
|
DD
|
Dupont
|
|
DIS
|
Disney
|
|
GE
|
General Electric
|
|
HD
|
Home Depot
|
|
HPQ
|
Hewlett-Packard
|
|
IBM
|
IBM
|
|
INTC
|
Intel
|
|
JNJ
|
Johnson & Johnson
|
|
JPM
|
JP Morgan
|
|
KFT
|
Kraft Foods
|
|
KO
|
Coca-Cola
|
|
MCD
|
McDonald’s
|
|
MMM
|
3M
|
|
MRK
|
Merck
|
|
MSFT
|
Microcosft
|
|
PFE
|
Pfizer
|
|
PG
|
Procter & Gamble
|
|
T
|
AT&T
|
|
TRV
|
Travelers
|
|
VZ
|
Verizon
|
|
WMT
|
Wal-Mart
|
|
XOM
|
Exxon-Mobil
|
- The
Bailout Index. With four out of 30 companies bailed out,
the Bailout Index might be a better name than the leading Blue
Chip Index.
- Bank
of America. Bank of America (which owns Merrill Lynch
– another bailout) is still a component of the DJIA.
- Cronyism
Economics. There is the perception that the Dow components
are subjected to a long, arduous review before they are picked
for the Index. However, a closer examination of the ownership
of the companies of the Dow reveals a different story – one of
"swapping out" more than selecting.
- The Relationship
between Citigroup (a bailed out bank and former Dow component)
and Travelers Insurance (a current Dow component). Sandy
Weill, the former Chairman and CEO of Citigroup, started building
up his acquisitions with a 27% interest in Travelers Insurance
back in 1992. Travelers Insurance and Citigroup merged in 1998,
with Sandy Weill leading the combined company -- Citicorp. (This
was the deal that shattered a former US requirement that banking
and insurance remain separate entities.) Travelers replaced Citigroup
on the Dow Jones Industrial Average on June 1, 2009 – a "swap
out" not a selection.
- On February
19, 2008, Bank of America was added to the DJIA. Hmmm.
It was clear by this time that the U.S. economy was in real trouble.
The January 2008 GDP growth report was just a breath above negative,
mortgage banks were failing by the day and banking was at the
heart of the cardiac arrest. Still, miraculously, Bank of America
was selected to replace Altria on the DJIA. Just seven months
later, in September 2008, BofA offered to buy (bail out) Merrill
Lynch. This was the same month that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulsen
and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke let another investment
bank/brokerage -- Lehman Bros. -- go bankrupt. Was swallowing
Merrill the price of the Dow listing?
- General
Motors remained on the DJIA for years, while it posted
tens of billions
in losses, took on debt to the tune of $100 billion and even received
emergency rescue funds (loans) from Treasury Secretary Hank Paulsen
(after Congress denied the aid) right before Bush left office.
GM declared bankruptcy on June 1, 2009. It was removed from the
DJIA on June 8, 2009. Learn more about the Treasury Department’s
emergency loan to GM in my article, "General
Motors Owes One Hundred Billion Dollars," from January
1, 2009, Vol. 6, issue 1.
- Philip
Morris (tobacco company) joined the DJIA on October 30, 1985.
Philip Morris changed its name to Altria Group on January 23,
2003, but kept the stock symbol MO and Altria became the Dow listing.
Altria was removed from the DJIA on February 18, 2008 (when it
posted substantial losses and restructured its business). However,
just a few months later one of the Philip Morris companies – Kraft
Foods – was added to the DJIA (on September 22, 2008). Philip
Morris has owned Kraft Foods since 1988. Kraft was spun-off from
Altria (Philip Morris) on January 31, 2007, but it was given to
Altria shareholders, meaning that the "independent"
company is still owned by the same people.
Trimming back
on the Bailouts in your 401K, IRA, annuity and/or pension is going
to require a little education, but once you know how to do it, it
is very easy to be selective about what you own in your nest egg.
Brokers get paid large commissions to sell Dow-laden mutual funds
to their clients, so know that you may not get much support
from your CFP. But, if your nest egg dropped dramatically when the
Dow dropped to 6547, it is vulnerable to cracking again if you don’t
make any changes. (See my article, "Nest
Egg Rebalancing Plan" in this month’s ezine for more
tips.)
Instead of the
old dying businesses (like tobacco and gas guzzlers), you can invest
in America’s most innovative companies, like Google, Apple, that
are leading the charge to create the products of tomorrow. These
companies have no debt and own the richest treasuries of all of
the American corporations -- and are still passed over by the Dow
selection committee.
Both Apple and
Google had over $24 billion in cash at the end of 2009. Their market
values, as of April 15, 2010, were $226 billion and $190 billion,
respectively. By comparison, General Motors had a market value of
just $2 billion in January of 2009, was losing money every year,
selling fewer cars than the competition, owed more than $100 billion,
would have imploded without Paulsen’s loan and could hardly have
been called a leading Blue Chip company by any market standard imaginable
(other than legacy).
You can read
about easy-as-a-pie chart investing, hot industries, diversification,
avoiding the Bailouts and annual rebalancing strategies in my book,
You
Vs. Wall Street. You can spend three days at the
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat in the beautiful beach town
of Santa Monica, California on July 23-25, 2010 learning these strategies
one-on-one from me. Walk in without a clue (or with a wounded nest
egg) and walk away with a blueprint that works for the rest of your
life.
To learn more
about the retreat, go to the home page at NataliePace.com and click
on the Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat banner ad. If you are interested
in attending, I encourage you to call 866-476-7442 or email info@NataliePace.com
NOW. This retreat only has a handful of seats remaining, and the
March Retreat was a sell-out! You’ll receive $600 off if you register
with your spouse or a friend.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street
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and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
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article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
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Investors
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Brokerage
Firm Private Securities Offerings: Buying Your Brokerage.
Investor
Alert by FINRA.org.
To
raise capital, brokerage firms sometimes sell their own or an affiliate's
securities. Such broker-dealer self-offerings (BDOs) can
take the form of registered public offerings or private placements.
This Alert addresses issues raised by a broker's private placement
of its own or its affiliate's securities (private BDOs), particularly
to firm customers.
While private
BDOs can be legitimate investments, recent enforcement actions
(see below) highlight the potential for abuse in private BDOs. Actions
were brought against several individuals and firms that have sold
more than $36 million in private BDOs to investors that involved
fraud or other serious misconduct. Some of these cases involved
the use of high-pressure sales tactics targeted at elderly or retired
investors.
We are issuing this Alert to help investors understand what private
BDOs are, the risks involved with them, and how to identify the
telltale signs of fraud or other misconduct.
What
is a Private BDO?
The
money that brokerage firms raise in private BDOs is usually used
to finance their operations or those of an affiliate. When you invest
in a private BDO, you are investing in the brokerage firm itself
or its affiliate. As such, you share in the risks that the business
will be unsuccessful or unprofitable or you could participate in
successful operations of the firm or its affiliates when the increased
value of the firm or affiliate's equity is reflected in the value
of its securities.
SEC rules place
certain limitations on the way private BDOs and other private placements
of securities can be sold to investors. Brokerage firms generally
are not permitted to advertise the BDO and the number of small investors
to whom the securities can be offered is usually limited. The securities
sold in private BDOs are not registered with the SEC or filed with
FINRA and they are not publicly traded. Private BDOs, therefore,
are subject to significantly fewer disclosure requirements and less
regulatory oversight than registered public offerings, and they
are illiquid.
Why
are Private BDOs Risky?
Investing
in a private BDO can involve significant risk. And private
BDOs that are publicized through spam emails or cold calling are
often fraudulent or otherwise problematic. Before investing, consider
the following:
- The Offering
May Be Illegal—Any company that offers or sells securities
in a public offering must either register the securities with
the SEC or meet one of the exemptions from registration. Otherwise
the offering is illegal. Private BDOs may qualify for an SEC Regulation
D exemption, which provides some of the most common exemptions
from registration. But to meet these exemptions, the securities
often cannot be advertised to the general public.
- You May
Not Be Able to Sell Your Investment—Sometimes the reason that
a brokerage firm is conducting a private BDO is that the firm
or its affiliate whose shares it is selling is not a public company.
The risks of buying securities in a private BDO are increased
when none of the company's stock is publicly traded. You cannot
be certain when, or even if, the company will take steps that
could result in a public market for the securities. That means
you cannot be sure that you will be able to sell the shares. Even
if the company does go public through an initial public offering
(IPO), federal and state laws often require that unregistered
or private securities that are acquired in transactions such as
private BDOs must be held for a year or more before investors
can sell them. Private companies also are often new and untested,
without revenue, or experienced management. So even when they
are legitimate, they are highly risky.
- The Brokerage
Firm or the Affiliate Has a Conflict of Interest. The brokerage
firm benefits a great deal from your investment in it. While brokers
generally benefit when you buy any investment from them, this
is particularly true for private BDOs where the firm or its affiliate
gets all your money rather than just a commission. Find out why
the brokerage firm wants to raise money. Is it because the firm
has been losing money or needs capital to meet regulatory requirements?
Red
Flags that Could Signal Fraud
Regulatory investigations
reveal patterns in the way problem private BDOs are promoted to
investors:
- Cold-Calling
or Spam. Brokers selling problem private BDOs often use unsolicited
telephone
calls or email
to sell private BDOs. In one case, a firm obtained customer accounts
from defunct brokerages and used the firms' customer lists to
identify potential victims.
- High Pressure
Sales Tactics. Dishonest brokers often use high pressure,
"boiler room" sales tactics, hounding you to invest in a private
BDO.
- Claims
that an Initial Public Offering (IPO) is Imminent. Beware
of brokers who tell you that the brokerage firm will soon conduct
an IPO and that you will reap large profits once the firm's securities
are publicly traded.
- Promises
of Unusually High Returns. Brokers make optimistic price projections
and predications about future performance, often with no documentation
to back them up.
- "Risk-free"
Investments. Some private BDO frauds involve promises that
you can't lose money. Don't believe it.
- Refusal
to Provide Current Financial Documents on Request. Brokers
should provide financial statements on the request of potential
investors.
Be advised:
firms using these red-flagged tactics often provide little or no
supervision of their sales people. Such firms may materially misrepresent
management experience and other aspects of the company, omit information
pertaining to disciplinary actions against the firm or individuals,
and are in dire financial straits.
Protecting
Yourself
The
following steps will help protect you from making an investment
decision you later regret:
1.
Check out the brokerage firm, the broker, and other individuals
before you invest. You can get information from the following
sources:
- FINRA.
Use FINRA
BrokerCheck to make sure the brokerage
firm and broker are properly registered and to research the
disciplinary history of a firm or registered individual. Many
of the individuals and firms involved in fraudulent BDOs have
had run-ins with securities regulators. In one case, an individual
involved in a private BDO had been barred from the securities
industry.
- SEC.
Obtain a copy of the brokerage firm's report on Form X-17A-5.
Form X-17A-5 is the audited financial report that every registered
broker or dealer must file annually with the SEC. You also should
check to see if the firm has filed a Form D or offering circular
with the SEC. If a Form D or offering circular is not on file
with the SEC, this may mean that the private BDO is illegal.
To obtain a copy of these documents, contact the SEC's Office
of Public Reference as follows:
Office of
Public Reference
100 F Street, NE
Washington, D.C. 20549-0102
Phone (202) 551-8090
Email: publicinfo@sec.gov
Use the
SEC documents to verify information that has been provided to
you in connection with the BDO and to check on the financial
condition of the brokerage firm or its affiliate.
- Your
state securities regulator. Contact your state securities
regulator to find out whether it has information about the company
and the people behind it. Even if the firm may not have to register
its securities with the SEC, it may have to register them with
your state.
- Better
Business Bureau. Check with the Better Business Bureau to
find any complaints against the firm or its brokers.
2.
Ask your broker these questions
- How does
this investment match my investment objectives? What is the
risk that I could lose the money I invest?
- How easily
can I sell? What is the price I would get if I sold immediately?
Will the securities be restricted? How long before I can sell
my shares if the firm went public?
- What will
the proceeds of the offering be used for?
- How was
the price of the security determined?
- How long
has the firm or its affiliate been in business? Are they making
money? Have they experienced any financial difficulties?
- Has the
firm had problems meeting its minimum net capital requirements
with the SEC and FINRA?
- Do the
firm, its affiliate or their management have any legal or regulatory
problems or filed for bankruptcy protection?
- Will you
be paid a commission or receive any type of compensation, including
stocks, stock options, or warrants, for selling the shares in
the BDO? How much?
Remember:
Be skeptical. Verify any information you learn from your
broker. Individuals and firms that promote fraudulent or problematic
private BDOs may make false or misleading statements to lure
you into making an investment.
3. Watch Out for Red Flags. If one of the red flags
previously mentioned makes you suspicious about a BDO or if you
think that the claims may be exaggerated or misleading, contact
the FINRA
Investor Complaint Center.
Additional
Resources
Investor
Alert—Stock
Spams and Scams
Investor
Alert—Subordination
Agreements—Understand the Risks
The
SEC's publication—Risky
Business: 'Pre-IPO' Investing
Recent Enforcement
Actions Involving Private BDOs
- NASD
Charges Investprivate, Inc. and Its
Chairman With Fraudulently Raising Millions
(June 14, 2004)
- SEC
v. Tecumseh Holdings Corporation, et al. (July 25,
2003)
- SEC
v. Discover Capital Holdings Corp., et al. (July 10,
2003)
- SEC
v. Thomas Fletcher & Co. Inc. et al. (November
22, 2002)
- NASD
Regulation Sanctions Providential Securities, Inc. and Bars Principal,
Henry Fahman (December 15, 2000)
- SEC
v. Aron O. Bronstein et al. (February 17, 2000)
To receive the
latest Investor Alerts and other important investor information
sign up for Investor
News.
About
FINRA:
The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA),
is the largest independent regulator for all securities firms doing
business in the United States. All told, FINRA oversees nearly
4,800 brokerage firms, about 170,400 branch offices and approximately
643,000 registered securities representatives.
FINRA believes
investor protection begins with education. Using the Internet, the
media and public forums, we help investors build their financial
knowledge and provide them with essential tools to better understand
the markets and basic principles of saving and investing.
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Schwab Sector Views: Time to Move.
by Brad
Sorensen, CFA, Director of Market and Sector Analysis, Schwab Center
for Financial Research
April 29,
2010
Schwab
Sector Views reflect a three- to six-month outlook and are appropriate
for investors looking for tactical ideas. Market conditions change
quickly so we usually update our views every two weeks.
We've been holding a relatively neutral stance for a couple months,
with a lone outperform rating on health care and a single underperform
rating on consumer discretionary. But we believe now is the time
to shift our view on a couple of other sectors.
First, we are moving our outlook on the information technology
sector back to outperform from marketperform. We had downgraded
the group at the start of the year, noting that we still liked the
fundamentals but were a bit worried about overly optimistic sentiment.
Since then, the fundamentals have remained solid, and we believe
the sector has digested most of the gains seen in 2009 by trading
roughly in line with the market over the last quarter. In our view,
this action has worked off some of the froth that may have been
developing in the sector.
Second, we're downgrading the materials sector from marketperform
to underperform. We believe the sector has outperformed the underlying
fundamentals and is due for a pullback in the near future. With
multiple countries (including China, India, Australia and Canada)
looking to remove economic stimulus and tighten monetary policy,
we think demand for materials may soften in the coming months. Additionally,
monetary tightening could pressure commodity prices—which we believe
have become a bit extended—likely further dampening enthusiasm for
the materials group.
See below for more detail on these moves as well as our views on
the other sectors. And check back often—these opinions are tactical
in nature and can change quickly according to conditions in the
market.
|
Sector
|
Schwab
Sector View
|
S&P
500 benchmark weight
|
Dow
Jones Wilshire 5000 benchmark
weight
|
Date
Sector View last changed
|
Year-to-date
return as of 4/28/2010
|
|
Consumer
discretionary
|
Underperform
|
9%
|
10%
|
01/28/2010
|
17.18
|
|
Consumer
staples
|
Marketperform
|
11%
|
10%
|
11/12/2009
|
4.47
|
|
Energy
|
Marketperform
|
12%
|
11%
|
09/26/2008
|
6.14
|
|
Financials
|
Marketperform
|
15%
|
16%
|
06/24/2005
|
12.69
|
|
Health
care
|
Outperform
|
13%
|
12%
|
01/28/2010
|
-0.64
|
|
Industrials
|
Marketperform
|
10%
|
11%
|
11/12/2009
|
17.91
|
|
Information
technology
|
Outperform
|
19%
|
19%
|
04/29/2010
|
5.09
|
|
Materials
|
Underperform
|
4%
|
4%
|
04/29/2010
|
4.17
|
|
Telecom
|
Marketperform
|
3%
|
3%
|
11/12/2009
|
-4.53
|
|
Utilities
|
Marketperform
|
4%
|
4%
|
01/28/2010
|
-1.61
|
|
S&P
500® Index (Large Cap)
|
|
|
|
|
7.46
|
Source:
Schwab Center for Financial Research, Standard and Poor's and Wilshire
Associates, Inc.
Consumer discretionary: Underperform
The consumer discretionary sector has outperformed recently,
bucking our underperform recommendation, as investors have been
enticed by some better-than-expected results in the space. February
same-store sales largely came in better than expected, and consumer
confidence rebounded some, indicating that the American consumer
is not as moribund as some have feared.
We're watching these developments closely but continue to believe
that the group will underperform during the next few months. Year-ago
comparables continue to be quite easy, with shoppers clenching their
pocketbooks tightly during the peak of the financial crisis, and
there was undoubtedly some pent-up demand that was relieved during
the past couple of months.
However, unemployment remains relatively high, damaging spending
by those without jobs as well as those who lose confidence as they
see their neighbors struggle. At the same time, wage gains remain
anemic—real hourly compensation for nonfarm business fell 0.6% year-over-year
in the fourth quarter of 2009.
Finally, in the past, as retail sales have started to improve (which
appears to be the case currently) the consumer discretionary sector
has tended to underperform.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the consumer
discretionary sector.
Positive factors
for the consumer discretionary sector:
- Inventories
remain very lean, which could provide some level of pricing power
to retailers as activity picks up.
- Housing
seems to be stabilizing, but there are concerns in the near future
that threaten the recovery.
- Retailers
have aggressively cut costs, which should continue to help support
profits.
- March retail
sales numbers came in largely better than expected.
Negative factors
for the consumer discretionary sector:
- The unemployment
rate is relatively high, but leading indictors are starting
to showing signs of improvement.
- Savings
rates in the United States have been increasing. If Americans
sustain current savings trends, this would continue to result
in lower consumer spending.
- Revolving
credit limits are being reduced, which, by extension, will
likely reduce consumers' ability to spend.
- Wage gains
remain very weak, which could put pressure on how much consumers
can increase spending.
- Government
stimulus measures are likely ending this year, which could
stymie a rebound in consumer spending.
- Monetary
stimulus is starting to be withdrawn, which could dampen economic
prospects.
- Credit
standards remain tight, although they are showing signs of
easing slightly.
- Fed and
government support of the housing market is ending, which
could result in another downturn in the housing arena, hurting
consumer sentiment.
Consumer
staples: Marketperform
The consumer staples sector continues to tread water, much as
we expected in the current environment. The sector's fundamentals
are relatively good, but investor sentiment toward the group remains
muted. As a result, we continue to believe that the sector will
perform roughly in line with the market for the foreseeable future.
This group traditionally helps stabilize the overall market. Demand
for products in this group tends to be relatively constant, providing
consistency of revenue growth and earnings performance that, while
unexciting, can provide some comfort in more uncertain times.
However, there are certainly still issues with the group. Consumers
remain very price-aware, and pricing power in the staples sector
seems to be limited. Fierce competition among major players also
holds prices down and limits the ability of companies to expand
margins and profitability. However, that's being partially offset
with cost cuts at the corporate level at many companies in this
space.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the consumer
staples sector.
Positive factors
for the consumer staples sector:
- Should
the economic recovery begin to stall or retreat, investors
would likely return to more defensive sectors such as staples.
- Staples
retailers have aggressively cut costs and attempted to create
more perceived value for consumers, which could help to support
sales.
- Wage costs
in the sector are growing at a declining rate.
Negative factors
for the consumer staples sector:
- Competition
continues to accelerate and is exacerbated by the increasing
emergence of Chinese production, which potentially causes pricing
power in the group to evaporate as it compresses margins and squeezes
earnings.
- Pricing
power in the group has been declining.
- Decreasing
volatility and increasing risk tolerance tends to hurt defensive
sectors such as staples.
Energy:
Marketperform
Crude oil and gas prices are back in the headlines, with oil
pushing above $80 per barrel and gas approaching the $3-per-gallon
mark. Despite the summer driving season approaching, we believe
the price of oil is a bit extended. And keep in mind that the energy
sector hasn’t moved in lock step with this commodity. As such,
we continue to view the energy sector with a bit of caution and
believe that performance will be in line with the overall market.
Although emerging-market economies continue to expand, and more
cars and higher demand for crude oil follow that expansion, we are
seeing monetary policies tighten in many of those nations (highlighted
by China), which tends to dampen demand for commodities. Additionally,
crude oil supplies still remain relatively high by historic standards,
making us a bit cautious on the energy complex in the near term.
However, these negative aspects are somewhat balanced, as we firmly
believe that the global economy is returning to a path of sustainable
growth and energy will remain a critical component of infrastructure
improvements, which are much needed in emerging areas of the world
if they hope to continue to grow.
Longer-term, we have a more positive outlook for the energy sector.
Developing countries will almost certainly continue to demand more
fuel and, once economies around the world start to show sustainable
growth, we believe that will shore up demand again.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the energy
sector.
Positive factors
for the energy sector:
- Global
uncertainties could threaten some supplies, exacerbating an
already heightened situation.
- Developing
nations will likely need more energy as they improve their
infrastructure and modernize their economies.
- The global
oil and gas rig count has been falling while the Institute
for Supply Management (ISM) new orders/inventory ratio is rising.
Negative factors
for the energy sector:
- Supplies
could increase dramatically with a renewed commitment to exploration
and technological improvements. Should oil companies step up efforts
to access those supplies, upward pricing pressures could dwindle.
- Crude
oil inventories remain relatively high.
- Oil tanker
rates remain relatively low, which could indicate soft demand
for the foreseeable future.
- Some international
governments are starting to rein in their stimulative policies,
threatening to slow down the rate of growth in the global economy.
- Global
oil demand still appears to be relatively soft, despite the
continuing economic recovery.
Financials:
Marketperform
The SEC charging a major investment bank with fraud rattled
the financial sector, but only briefly—for now. While we certainly
don’t pretend to know what the ultimate outcome of this case will
be, our major concerns center around the possibility of further
actions by the SEC against other institutions, and the momentum
that stricter financial regulations may gain in Washington in the
wake of negative headlines related to the SEC action.
It is largely these unknowns that lead us to hold our marketperform
rating on the financial sector. Also, there's still another down
leg likely to come in the housing market as a new wave of option
adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) reset and "shadow inventory" comes
onto the market.
However, interest rate spreads remain near record highs, boosting
profits, while recent earnings reports indicate improving delinquency
estimates. Additionally, merger-and-acquisition activity in the
corporate world appears to be heating up after a quiet spell since
the start of the financial crisis—which helps to bolster revenue
in much of the financial sector.
Another possible positive, the commercial real estate market is
starting to go through its retrenchment, which analysts believe
could be severe. However, so far the damage has been less than some
had feared, providing some hope for the regional banks where most
of the commercial lending activity is located.
As a result of the mix of information in this very diverse area,
we're maintaining our marketperform rating on the sector and will
continue to watch activity in the group and adjust our outlook as
needed.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the financials
sector.
Positive factors for the financials sector:
- The Fed
is slowly letting its emergency measures meant to support
the financial industry expire, indicating increasing confidence
in the group.
- The high
levels of interest rate spreads should help profitability
in certain areas of the sector.
- More financial
institutions are paying back government loans, illustrating
their growing health and stability.
- Capital
market activity has been increasing, which should help boost
revenues in the investment banking arena.
Negative factors
for the financials sector:
- Revolving
home equity loans are declining, which has typically been
a bad sign for bank profits and stock performance.
- New regulations
have severely restricted the ability of lenders to offer "exotic"
mortgages, cutting back on the volume of business they can do.
- New credit
card rules have gone into effect, which could hurt profitability
going forward.
- Although
improved after government action, confidence in the financial
sector remains fragile. Concerns over the continuing dismal housing
market—combined with increased government regulation—continue
to hover over the group.
- The yield
curve is quite steep, leading to our belief that flattening
is highly likely, which would reduce interest margins for financial
institutions.
- Uncertainty
as to how massive government intervention will affect the
financial industry going forward could hold performance back for
the foreseeable future.
Health
care: Outperform
After nearly a year of uncertainty, there is at least some measure
of confidence in the health care sector after the passage of the
health care reform bill.
While the process has made some investors nervous (and we admit
the results concern us longer-term as well), resulting in poor recent
performance and, in our view, oversold conditions, we maintain our
view that the health care sector is positioned to outperform during
the next several months.
Given its growth characteristics combined with defensive qualities,
we believe the health care sector is the one group that may attract
more investor attention in the current economic environment, which
lacks the clarity some investors might be seeking.
Helping our confidence in the group, higher-dividend-yielding sectors
seem to be more attractive as investors become increasingly frustrated
with the low yields on many fixed income vehicles. Further, the
large cash balances on health care balance sheets allow for the
possibility of increased dividends and potentially more merger-and-acquisition
activity, both of which we believe would be a tailwind for the group.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the health
care sector.
Positive factors
for the health care sector:
- The aging
population could provide a boon for the industry as an increasing
number of Americans require more extensive drug treatments and
medical care.
- Americans
are increasingly obese, which results in a greater need for
medical attention due to the myriad of health issues that coincide
with obesity.
- Balance
sheets in the health care sector remain flush with cash, boosting
the possibility of an increase in share-enhancing stock buybacks
and increased dividend payments while also increasing the possibility
of mergers and acquisitions in the space.
Negative factors
for the health care sector:
- Government
regulation will likely increase during the coming years as
more seniors demand intervention in order to theoretically lower
their out-of-pocket health care costs.
- Nominal
consumer spending on prescription drugs has been slowing.
- Growth
in consumer spending on health insurance has been trending
lower recently—potentially putting managed-care shares at risk.
- Medicare
reimbursement rates are likely to fall under the Obama administration,
which could hurt pharmaceuticals, HMOs and managed-care companies.
- The new
health care law could dampen profitability in some areas of
the sector, although there is still uncertainty regarding the
full impact of the bill.
Industrials:
Marketperform
Although economic growth continues, and manufacturing seems
to be leading the way as evidenced by solid Institute for Supply
Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index and industrial production numbers,
we believe we are entering a peaking phase of economic recovery
that will result in the industrial sector's performance being more
in line with the overall market.
Also tempering our view of the group is the fact that government
and central bank stimulus efforts are slowly starting to be removed
or allowed to end, which could temper growth in the industrials
arena.
Having said that, we're not overly negative on the group, as both
China and the United States—along with many other countries—have
targeted improving infrastructure as a major recipient of stimulus
funds that have yet to be fully spent. We also believe that, as
a result of tight purse strings in corporate offices during the
past year, companies are about at the point where they need to start
replacing and updating equipment—potentially benefitting the industrials
sector.
However, while the falling dollar provided a bit of a tailwind to
the internationally exposed industrial sector throughout much of
2009, we have seen some stabilization in the greenback that could
continue—potentially hurting reported profitability of the group,
at least modestly.
Clients
can see our top-rated stocks in the industrials
sector.
Positive factors
for industrials:
- Corporate
balance sheets remain relatively cash rich, which could help
push management to invest in new, more-efficient equipment in
order to help offset production losses due to layoffs.
- Unfilled
orders in the machinery space are relatively high, which could
help support orders going forward.
- Lending
standards, while still tight, have started to loosen, which
should help boost capital spending.
- New orders
of machinery versus inventories have spiked, which has been
a good sign for industrial production in the past.
- Business
confidence is improving, typically a good leading indicator
of future equipment expenditures.
- Inventories
in much of the manufacturing area are extremely low, leading
to the possibility of a demand-inspired rebuilding phase.
Negative factors
for industrials:
- Business
spending continues to be restrained, as executives remain
cautious, although confidence appears to be returning slowly,
which could be beneficial if the trend continues.
- Access
to credit, in many cases, remains limited—especially in the
smaller business arena, which dampens spending plans.
- The dollar
has shown signs of at least temporarily stabilizing, which, if
sustained, would remove a tailwind that's helped performance during
the past year.
Information
technology: Outperform
After
some volatility to start the year, the technology sector settled
in a bit and traded roughly in line with the overall market during
most of the first quarter. In our view, this action allowed the
sector to digest many of the gains seen in 2009 and work off some
of the froth that had built up. As a result, we are returning our
rating on the sector to outperform, as we continue to believe the
sector's underlying fundamentals look good.
Companies who have underinvested in capital during the past couple
of years appear to be starting to loosen their purse strings—likely
looking to tech as a place to invest first. These investments are
typically attractive because they tend to increase companies' efficiency
and productivity at all levels. As a result, companies can produce
more with fewer workers, which allows companies to cut back on costs
and potentially expand margins.
Additionally, balance sheets in the sector are solid, with large
cash balances and relatively low debt. This enables the group to
increase dividends and pursue mergers and acquisitions that might
help performance.
These factors, along with relatively favorable outlooks from numerous
companies during the recent earnings reporting period, lead us to
boost our rating on the tech sector to outperform.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the information
technology sector.
Positive factors
for information technology:
- Growth
in business investment in technology is now outpacing growth
in total business investment.
- Real tech
investment has been below trend for several years, which could
bode well for the future of the sector as spending returns to
more normal levels.
- Retail
sales in electronic and appliance stores have been rising
rapidly as a percentage of total sales as of late.
- We're
starting to see banks loosen lending standards, which could
slowly help to revive capital investments.
- Producer
prices for semiconductors are moving higher, which could help
support profitability. Corresponding with this, sales of semiconductors
have moved strongly higher.
- New computer
orders have spiked of late, while inventories remain anemic.
Negative factors
for information technology:
- Increasing
global competition, especially in low-labor-cost environments,
will likely continue to compress profit margins.
- We see
signs that companies remain hesitant to increase capital spending.
Materials:
Underperform
As the economic recovery matures, we believe some of the more
economically sensitive areas of the market, such as materials, may
start to lag. We think investors might become a bit more cautious
as the prospects for continued improvement in the economy become
more uncertain. As a result of this, and the nice run the group
had to start the year that we think is a bit extended, we are
downgrading the materials outlook to underperform from marketperform.
We do remain relatively optimistic on the global economic recovery,
but also recognize that the stock market is forward-looking and
that a lot of that recovery story appears to be priced into these
stocks. Additionally, stimulus measures around the world are starting
to be removed, and several emerging economies, which tend to be
heavy users of materials, are tightening monetary policy, which
tends to dampen economic activity and soften demand for materials.
Additionally, dollar weakness helped boost prospects for the materials
group in 2009, but continued stabilization or a further rebound
in the US currency would likely put a dent in the picture for the
materials group.
Finally, with the materials sector heavily dependent on the outlook
for commodity prices, our view that several commodities are due
for a pullback after speculation pushed prices beyond what the fundamentals
may justify helps to support our move to downgrade the sector.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the materials
sector.
Positive factors
for the materials sector:
- Scrap
steel prices have started to turn higher, which could help
support the materials sector.
- Global
government stimulus is reflationary in nature, which could
help the materials sector's performance.
Negative factors
for the materials sector:
- Chinese
demand for processed commodities might be slowing as technological
advances and a build-out of production facilities allow the country
to produce more of its own materials. China recently transitioned
from a net importer of steel to a net exporter.
- Global
steel production is growing, which could pressure prices in
the near future.
- Some central
banks are reining in some of their stimulus measures.
- In China,
due to the government's rapid and, at times, somewhat hasty response
to the global downturn, overcapacity has started to become an
issue. For now, aluminum production appears to be the best example
of that, although there's a risk that other areas of overcapacity
could develop.
- Chinese
steel inventories have spiked, which could pressure prices
in the near future.
- China
has already started to pull back on their stimulus measures,
concerning investors who are banking on the growing nation to
pull the world along with it.
Telecommunications:
Marketperform
The telecommunications sector could become more attractive as
investors look for higher-yielding areas of the market to help offset
the low interest rates on many fixed income investments.
That said, the sector has continued to lag to start the year—making
us question the attractiveness of the group, although we have seen
some rebound during the past month. While we're holding our marketperform
rating for the time being, we're watching developments in the group
closely.
However, with the economic recovery likely flattening out to some
degree, the less cyclical (economically sensitive) telecom sector
will probably become somewhat more attractive.
The telecom sector has lost a lot of its traditional defensive appeal,
in our opinion, as the group has moved much of its business model
from the stable, regulated fixed-line business to the more variable,
consumer-dependent wireless arena, while also dealing with an onslaught
of competition from a variety of sources.
But, for now, the high yields being paid in the group and exposure
to a shrinking, but still not insignificant, fixed-line business
help keep it tilted toward the defensive side of the ledger.
Competition for the spending dollars of increasingly budget-conscious
consumers remains fierce, and telecom has certainly not been immune
to bargain-hunting shoppers. However, we are seeing signs that American
consumers might not be as moribund as feared, and recent retail
sales results are relatively decent and could help boost the telecom
group.
In contrast to the technology sector, companies in the telecom sector
have a large amount of debt on their balance sheets, which causes
us to continue to look at this group with caution. However, we are
seeing credit markets loosen slightly, which might allow the sector
to roll over that debt and continue to invest in their businesses.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the telecommunications
sector.
Positive factors
for the telecommunications sector:
- Wireless
demand appears to be increasing as more communication and
media devices move to the wireless arena, although some of that
movement is likely to take away from fixed-line revenue.
Negative factors
for the telecommunications sector:
- Consumer
spending on telecom versus total spending is now falling,
which has typically coincided with underperformance for the sector.
- Net profit
margins are declining for the telecom sector as competition
squeezes margins.
- The telecom
sector has the highest debt-to-equity ratio of any nonfinancial
sector. That could hurt the group in this tight credit environment.
Utilities:
Marketperform
While we are certainly not in love with the utilities sector
and recognize there are numerous issues facing the group, we believe
the group may start to be more attractive as investors search out
areas of the market that pay a bit more in dividends as they become
disenchanted with the low yields being paid by fixed income instruments.
As a result, we are holding our rating on utilities at marketperform.
As mentioned above, we believe the forward-looking stock market
might begin to discount a more sluggish phase of recovery, leading
to more defensive, higher-yielding sectors becoming relatively more
attractive to investors. The relatively "boring" nature of sectors
such as utilities may become more attractive should volatility increase.
Further encouragement for the sector comes from developments in
Washington. It appears that many of the onerous and costly environmental
regulations that were being discussed are at least on hold for the
near future, helping to provide some more certainty for the sector.
As mentioned, all is certainly not perfect with the sector. With
housing still struggling, the demand for utilities continues to
be relatively weak, which would seem to limit growth. This problem
is exacerbated by the capacity growth we've seen in segments of
the sector, which could pressure margins going forward.
However, we believe there are just barely enough positives for the
utilities sector to warrant a marketperform rating for the time
being.
Clients can
see our top-rated stocks in the utilities
sector.
Positive factors
for the utilities sector:
- Dividend-paying
stocks remain attractive as long as yields on conservative
fixed income products remain relatively low. Should economic prospects
decline further than currently expected, defensive, dividend-paying
issues could become more attractive.
- After
the run in the market since March 2009, a correction might
be in order, which could temporarily benefit the defensive utilities
group.
Negative factors
for the utilities sector:
- Utilization
rates of electric and gas utilities have moved down modestly
while production has spiked—indicating a potential oversupply
issue that could pressure margins.
- Electricity
prices have weakened as a result of dampened demand during
the global recession.
- Capacity
growth has been rising, which has been a sign of underperformance
of the sector in the past.
About
Schwab Sector Views
Schwab Sector Views were developed by Charles Schwab & Co.,
Inc.'s ("Schwab's") Investment Strategy Council. Schwab Sector Views
are Schwab's outlook on the 10 broad sectors as classified by the
widely recognized Global Industry Classification Standard groupings.
The GICS structure is comprised of sectors, industry groups, industries
and sub industries. Schwab Sector Views are at the sector level.
While Schwab Equity Ratings and Schwab Industry Ratings utilize
a disciplined approach that evaluates all stocks (Schwab Equity
Ratings) or all industries (Schwab Industry Ratings) in the same
manner, Schwab Sector Views uses analytical techniques and methods
that vary from sector to sector.
Explanation of columns in chart: The benchmark weights are provided
for reference and represent each sector's market capitalization
weight in its index.
Schwab Sector Views represent our current outlook on each particular
sector. All investors should be well diversified across all sectors.
However, investors who want to tactically overweight or underweight
particular sectors may want to consider our three- to six-month
relative performance outlook reflected in this column. These views
refer only to the domestic equity portion of investors' portfolios.
How should I use Schwab Sector Views?
Investors should generally be well diversified across all sectors,
at or near the respective sector market capitalization weights relative
to the overall market (benchmark). However, investors who want to
make tactical shifts to those weights with a goal of outperforming
the overall market can consider the Schwab Sector Views as a resource.
Schwab clients can also use the Stock
Screener or Mutual
Fund Screener to help identify buy and/or
sell stock or mutual fund candidates in particular sectors that
they may be underweighted or overweighted in their portfolios.
How to use Schwab Sector Views in conjunction with Schwab Equity
Ratings
Sector diversification is an important building block in portfolio
construction. Schwab Sector Views are expressed in terms of outperform,
marketperform and underperform, and can be particularly helpful
in evaluating and monitoring your portfolio composition. Schwab
Sector Views can be useful in screening new stock purchases and
in identifying portfolio holdings for possible sale. A review of
sector weights coupled with individual stock concentration should
be a critical measure of equity portfolio diversification. Schwab
Equity Ratings provide an objective and powerful approach for helping
you select and monitor stocks.
Important
Disclosures
Schwab Sector Views do not represent a personalized recommendation
of a particular investment strategy to you. You should not buy or
sell an investment without first considering whether it is appropriate
for you and your portfolio. Additionally, you should review and
consider any recent market news.
Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses,
and cannot be invested in directly. The graph indicates returns
based on gross returns. If commissions and other costs are deducted,
the performance would be lower.
The GICS was developed by and is the exclusive property of Morgan
Stanley Capital International Inc. and Standard & Poor's. GICS
is a service mark of MSCI and S&P and has been licensed for
use by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.
The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles
Schwab & Co., Inc.
The information contained herein is obtained from sources believed
to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed.
This report is for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation
or a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase
or sell any particular security. Schwab does not assess the suitability
or the potential value of any particular investment. All expressions
of opinions are subject to change without notice.
|
|
May. The Markets Are
Hot. The Sun is Shining.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
my Hot News on Cool Stocks List.
What a Party!
(Unless You Are Goldman Sachs).
May
3, 2010
General
Stock Market Performance
|
Monday,
1.2.2008
|
Monday,
1.2.2009
|
Monday
1.4.10
|
Monday,
5.3.10
|
Gains
2-yr,
1-yr & 5 mo.
|
|
Dow:
13,044.12
|
Dow:
9,034.69
|
Dow:
10,430.69
|
Dow:
11,151.83
|
-15%
& +23% & +7%
|
|
Nasdaq:
2,609.63
|
Nasdaq:
1,632.21
|
Nasdaq:
2,294.41
|
Nasdaq:
2,498.74
|
-4%
& +53% & +9%
|
|
S&P:
1,447.16
|
S&P:
931.80
|
S&P:
1,115.07
|
S&P:
1,202.26
|
-17%
& +29% & +8%
|
Wall
Street Highs/Lows in the New Millennium:
|
Index
|
Low
|
High
|
|
Dow
Jones Industrial Average
|
6,547
(3.9.09)
|
14,164
(10.9.07)
|
|
NASDAQ
Composite Index
|
1,114
(10.9.02)
|
5,060.34
(3.10.00)
|
Hot
News on Cool Stocks Highlights
726%
gains on U.S. Gold!
NASDAQ
Outscored the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 40% to 15%, in 2009
72% of
the positions listed in 2008-2010 are in the money. Woo hoo!
Gold
Tops stocks, real estate, bonds and T-Bills Over the Last 10 Years…
(see below chart)
Real
Estate Lost -12.4%
in 2009.

Compare those
returns to the returns of stocks, real estate, bonds, Treasury bills
and gold over the last 30 years.

Market
Update:
We’re
in the money! The NASDAQ is up 9% on the year and 53% since January
of 2009! Woo hoo. People are starting to feel good again… A little,
until they notice how many are out of work. And still others who
are giving homes back to the bank. Economists will say that unemployment
is a lagging indicator – that the economy comes back first, and
then jobs. Few mention the new wave of foreclosures and short sales.
Fewer still talk about the massive amount of banks that are failing
every day.
I’m excited
for Americans who were so devastated a year ago, when the Dow was
trading in the 6500 range. However, although I am an optimist by
nature, I have a lot of skepticism about this "jobless recovery."
Below are just a few reasons why this Great Recession is different.
There are many, many reasons.
Some Troubling
Facts about the Jobless Recovery
1.
Bank Failures: There were 25 bank failures in 2008,140
in 2009, and 64 so far this year, according to the FDIC (as of May
3, 2010). That puts us on track to have 192 banks fail this year.
This isn’t making headlines (yet), but it’s not just jobs that are
lagging in this Jobless Recovery. Banks are imploding as well. In
fact, daily, for the last four months, I’ve received notices of
job listings at the FDIC. They are staffing up big time to try and
keep up with all of the red tape created by having 229 banks fail
in the last 28 months. That hasn’t happened on this magnitude in
80 years.
2. Foreclosures:
Brad Sorensen, the CFA, Director of Market and Sector Analysis,
Schwab Center for Financial Research, wrote on April 30, 2010,
"There's still another down leg likely to come in the housing
market as a new wave of option adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs)
reset and "shadow inventory" comes onto the market."
3. Nobody
is Getting a Raise: Wage gains remain anemic—real hourly
compensation for nonfarm business fell 0.6% year-over-year in the
fourth quarter of 2009.
4. Real
Estate Values: We have no idea how much further prices will
fall. But we do know that another wave of foreclosures means reduced
values.
5. Pension
Plan Debt and Health Care Costs: 1/3 of our population is
retiring. Many were made promises about getting to live off of the
corporation for free and have all of their medical paid. Corporations
are finding that they cannot keep the promises that they made. Airlines,
auto manufacturers and more have had to use Chapter 11 to restructure
debt, and sometimes, the companies emerge in such bad shape that
they have to try it again.
I’m just as
giddy about the gains as you are! And I do believe that we’ll continue
to enjoy the seasonal surge of the Spring Rally, which typically
tops off at the end of May.
However, for
the last ten years, June has been, on average, a negative performing
month. So, if you haven’t already rebalanced your nest egg, secured
enough in the safe side, diversified properly, added a little more
safe (depending upon your risk tolerance), this month is the month
to do it. For more tips, read the two articles in this ezine, "How
to Beat the Dow" and "Nest Egg Rebalancing Plan."
I outline easy
as a pie chart nest egg strategies that work in bull and bear markets
in my book, You
Vs. Wall Street. If you really want to jumpstart
your nest egg growth strategy and returns, you can join me for three
days at the Get
Rich and Enrich Investing Retreat
on July 23-25, 2010. Walk in without a clue and/or
with a cracked nest egg and walk out with a blueprint that works
for the rest of your life.
To learn more
about the retreat, go to the home page at NataliePace.com and click
on the Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat banner ad. If you are interested
in attending, I encourage you to call 866-476-7442 or email info@NataliePace.com
NOW. This retreat only has a handful of seats remaining, and the
March Retreat was a sell-out! You’ll receive $600 off if you register
with your spouse or a friend.
Track
Record of our Reporting
While
the markets are still down significantly since their high in October
of 2007, the Hot News and Cooling Off lists below have a winning
track record – in bear and bull market years. 86 positions
listed below – 77% -- have delivered impressive gains over the past
two years, even while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading
lower than it was ten years ago! Only twenty-five of our
listings went in the opposite direction of the reporting, which
is quite impressive given the market gyrations of more than 7000
point swings since 2008. FYI: The trend of the Spring Rally
is expected to continue until the end of May, and then, if this
year tracks the historical trend, the summer doldrums and particularly
the Hurricane Season could be hard on the markets.
Yes, many, but
not all, of our top performers were shorts, which is why we added
options training to the retreat. Remember that the trading portfolio
should be equal to your experience, and should not be part of your
nest egg. (The nest egg is money you earn while you sleep, not while
you day-trade.) If you’re new, you should be using education or
fun money, not your nest egg, to learn on. Take your profits early
and often in these volatile, whip-sawing years.
4 out
of 7 Company of the Year selections more than doubled. My
2003, 2004 and 2007 Companies of the Year posted up to 9000% gains
(Taser), up to 690% gains (Opsware) and up to 215% gains (Suntech
Power Holdings), respectively, before we took them off of the list.
2009’s Company of the Year, U.S. Gold, had earned over 600%
gains from its low (when we highlighted the company as a buy) as
of April 15, 2010. MySpace, my 2006 Company of the Year, was a large
part of News Corp’s success with shareholders that year.
So five out of seven Company of the Year selections were superperformers.
That’s the kind of record that puts you on top on Wall Street. (I
launched my first publication on 11.15.02, and featured the first
Company of the Year, Taser International, on 1.1.03.)
Some of my best
picks include: U.S. Gold (UXG) +600+%, Google (GOOG) +585%, Opsware
(OPSW) +690%, Rio Tinto (RTP) +145%, Sohu (SOHU) +150%, Suntech
Power Holdings (STP) +107%, Taser (TASR) up to 9000% gains. Some
of the best picks in 2008 and 2009 were put options – on the Cooling
Off list -- which is why I added options training to my 3-day Get
Rich and Green Investing Retreat. Look on the Cooling Off list for
details on the incredible gains options investors enjoyed on Wells
Fargo, Fannie Mae, Toll Brothers, KB Home, Novastar Financial and
more there.
This stock newsletter
was the first to list the following 911 alerts:
- 2008
Recession
(Get Safe)
- Trim back
on Faded
Blue Chips in 2006
- Get out
of Dodge (real
estate) in 2005
- Google
at the IPO! (May 2004)
- To get Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac out of your 401(k) in 2003
Market
Movers:
The
Federal Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The
Fed funds rate continues to be "0 to ¼ percent." In the
Federal Open Market Committee press release, the committee members
state, "Growth in household spending has picked up recently
but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth,
lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment
and software has risen significantly; however, investment in nonresidential
structures is declining and employers remain reluctant to add to
payrolls. Housing starts have edged up but remain at a depressed
level."
That is Fed-speak
for "We are doing everything to stimulate the economy, which
should work eventually, but the situation is still rough, folks."
Most of the Feds think that inflation is far enough away that Fed
Fund rates will remain exceptionally low for an "extended period."
There was one committee member who dissented to the language, and
it is noteworthy that at the last two meetings and in the last two
press releases, the Feds have included a detailed description of
his dissent. I find the language of the last clause to be particularly
troubling (highlighted in bold). "Thomas M. Hoenig…believed
that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low
levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period was no longer
warranted because it could lead to a build-up of future imbalances
and increase risks to longer run macroeconomic and financial stability,
while limiting the Committee’s flexibility to begin raising rates
modestly." An immodest raising of interest rates would
be hard to take…
The next FOMC
meeting takes place on June 22-23, 2010.
Advance
Estimate GDP growth rates for 1Q 2010 were 3.2%, according
to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. What caused the pullback from
the 5.6% growth of the 4th quarter 2009? According to
the BEA, "The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily
reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures
(PCE), private inventory investment, exports, and nonresidential
fixed investment that were partly offset by decreases in state and
local government spending and in residential fixed investment. Imports,
which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased."
Second Estimate
GDP growth rates for 1Q 2010 will be released on May 28, 2010 at
8:30 a.m. ET. These release days tend to be very active on Wall
Street. For more BEA release dates, go to the BEA.gov
website and be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar section
often.
EDUCATIONAL
OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1.
FOMC Information: Interested in reading the press
release of the April 28, 2010 FOMC meeting for yourself?
You can. The official Federal Reserve document is available online.
Click on FOMC,
or go to FederalReserve.gov to read!
The tentative
FOMC meeting schedule for the 2009 calendar is: June 22-23 (Tuesday-Wednesday),
August 10 (Tuesday), September 21 (Tuesday), November 2-3 (Tuesday-Wednesday),
December 14 (Tuesday), January 25-26, 2011 (Tuesday-Wednesday).
2.
Calendar
Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more:
Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. Be
the first to know the dates of the mid-month Hot News on Cool Stocks
Update and the publication date of our next ezine. Join me on BlogTalkRadio.com.
Get more information on how to best use our articles in the FAQs
article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page of
NataliePace.com.
Don’t miss
the Pace and Prosperity Show with Natalie Pace on BlogTalkRadio.com,
Wednesdays at 9:00 a.m. PT. There I interview
experts on everything from gold, to health, to stocks, to bestselling
books. Get real answers to your questions — anonymously (just pick
a nickname when you call in). All of the shows are available for
free as a Pod Cast. Just click on iTunes icon to access the library
of over 25 shows available to you.
Get call-in
and log-in instructions for the next show at BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
This is a Q&A format, where you can call in or Facebook in your
questions. Be sure to write down your most pressing questions now,
and become a fan of Natalie Pace on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/pages/Natalie-Pace/416616285568,
so that we can interact on Facebook during the show.
3.
Survey
Results:
Each
month we have three new surveys so that we can stay in touch with
your needs and desires. Cast your vote on our survey page! This
month we want to know what Mom really wants for Mother’s Day. Check
it out to get your gift-giving right. And Moms, please weigh in
so we know what to buy.
4. Euro
interest rates: ECB
rates are at 1.00% (main refinancing), 1.75% (marginal lending)
and 0.25% (deposit facility). The next meeting and interest rate
announcement is scheduled for April 22, 2010 at 2:30 p.m. CET. (May
6, 2010 after that.)
Hot
Stocks List
Investors
who "never pay retail," note that the BOLD highlighted stocks
are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in
NataliePace.com’s article. This may be a good buying opportunity.
(If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation, this
is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.)
The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may
not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue
performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are
never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments.
Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes
to your investment strategy. And remember that these "Stocks
on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy
at all – not even for "pros." If you’ve never traded individual
stocks before, this is your "fun" or "education"
money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don’t
have mastery over.
Hot
News List (highlighted). Be sure that you are buying low.
Blockbuster
(BBI)
Sunpower (SPWRA)
Suntech (STP)
Profit-Taking
(Please note that the current Spring Rally is expected to continue
through May 30, 2010 – unless there is a very bad announcement):
Hoku Corp.
(HOKU) +70%
LDK
Solar (LDK) +39%
U.S. Gold (UXG) +726%
DELETIONS
(Take your profits early and often):
None
HOT NEWS
on COOL STOCKS LIST
| Company
|
NP
owns? |
Symbol
|
Price
when featured |
Price
5.3.10
|
Year
High
Year
Low
|
Gains
since original feature |
|
American
Superconductor
|
No
|
AMSC
|
$30.70
|
$29.87
|
$43.73
$8.22
|
Flat
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. AMSC should benefit from President Obama’s
commitment to build a "a new smart grid to carry electricity
from coast to coast." In fact, we know that AMSC is specifically
on Obama’s mind, even though investors haven’t caught on yet.
President
Obama mentioned American Superconductor by name in his weekly
address of Nov. 21, 2009. In the official transcript, it is
written: "If we can increase our exports to Asia Pacific
nations by just 5%, we can increase the number of American
jobs supported by these exports by hundreds of thousands.
This is already happening with businesses like American Superconductor
Corporation, an energy technology startup based in Massachusetts
that’s been providing wind power and smart grid systems to
countries like China, Korea, and India. By doing so,
it’s added more than 100 jobs over the last few years."
3Q earnings
February 2, 2010: Revenues for the third quarter of fiscal
2009 were $80.7 million, a 95 percent increase over $41.3
million in revenues for the third quarter of fiscal 2008.
AMSC generated GAAP net income of $5.2 million, or $0.11 per
diluted share for the third quarter of fiscal 2009. This compares
with a GAAP net loss for the third quarter of fiscal 2008
of $7.8 million, or $0.18 per share. Cash, cash equivalents,
marketable securities and restricted cash at December 31,
2009 were $112.8 million. This compares with $141.1 million
as of September 30, 2009 and $117.2 million as of March 31,
2009. The decline from September 30, 2009 was primarily due
to timing issues related to customer payments. As of January
31, 2010, AMSC’s balance of cash, cash equivalents, marketable
securities and restricted cash exceeded $135 million. AMSC
continues to expect that it will be net cash flow positive
for full-year fiscal 2009.
|
|
AOL
|
No
|
AOL
|
$23.00
|
$21.79
|
$27.00
$23.00
|
-5%
|
|
Read
"AOL"
from Vol. 6, issue 12.
1Q 2010
results showed a decline in advertising and subscription revenue,
which prompted voters to pull back on their support. However,
according to Chairman & CEO Time Armstrong, "AOL
continues to make progress against our long-term objective
of becoming an internet growth company. Our results highlight
the accomplishment of our first goal in AOL’s turnaround which
was to significantly reduce AOL’s cost structure."
To put
this in context (and understand why AOL remains on the Hot
News List), read the article written at the time of the IPO
last December.
|
|
Blockbuster
|
No
|
BBI
|
$0.34
|
$0.34
|
$1.56
$0.24
|
--
|
|
Read
"Blockbuster’s
Second Coming"
from Vol. 7, issue 5.
|
|
ENER1
|
No
|
HEV
|
$4.33
|
$4.26
|
$7.90
$2.75
|
Flat
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ener1 develops and manufactures compact,
high performance lithium-ion batteries to power the next generation
of hybrid, plug-in hybrid and pure electric vehicles.
Annual
report on 3.11.2010:
- Reorganized
and repositioned EV manufacturer THINK for full-scale production,
took 31% equity stake and executed an exclusive supply agreement
- Announced
additional relationships with Volvo Cars, Japan Post, Nissan,
Mazda, U.S. Army, HEPCO EV bus and Portland General Electric
- Announced
three smart grid demonstration projects with strategic partner
ITOCHU Corporation
- Completion
of $118.5 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy
- Announcement
of $69.9 million incentive package from the State of Indiana
|
|
Galaxy
Resources
RISK:
HIGH
(off
the boards, thinly traded)
|
No
|
GALXF
|
$1.07
|
$1.10
|
$1.92
$1.00
|
+3%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota"
from Vol. 7, issue 2.
Take
your profits early and often in this volatile marketplace.
Anytime you’ve made 28% gains (or more) these are outstanding
gains in just a few short months – especially on a thinly
traded stock like Galaxy.
|
|
Green
Dot
|
No
|
Not available
|
IPO
|
IPO
|
IPO
|
--
|
|
Read
"IPO
of the Year"
from Vol. 7, issue 3. Check with your broker to see if you
can be a part of this IPO. It is underwritten by J.P. Morgan,
Morgan Stanley, Piper Jaffray and UBS. If you cannot participate
in the IPO, then you can buy when Green Dot is traded on the
public marketplace. No word, yet, on when exactly that will
be. This is a "quiet" period for the company, when
insiders are not allowed to talk to press.
If the
public trading date occurs after May, it may be best to "wait
and see" what the general marketplace does before buying
in. That is because the Santa Rally has brought coal in the
stockings of investors for too many years this past decade.
|
|
Hoku
Scientific
Hawaii
RISK:
HIGH
|
Yes
|
HOKU
|
$8.03
$2.00
(3.2.09)
|
$3.40
|
$14.55
$1.90
|
-58%
&
+70%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side,"
Vol. 6, issue 3 and "Solar
Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon,"
in the Oct. 2007 ezine, Vol. 4, issue 10.
On April
29, 2010, Hoku announced it had successfully produced polysilicon
at its manufacturing facility in Pocatello, Idaho. HOKU operated
the reactors continuously for approximately five days during
the final phases of the commissioning procedure. During these
live reactor runs, Hoku utilized trichlorosilane purchased
from third-party suppliers. This is the same product that
the Company plans to use during its initial commercial production
runs this year.
This
is an historic day for Hoku," said Scott Paul, president and
chief executive officer of Hoku Corporation. "We have completed
the first step in our planned production ramp-up and successfully
manufactured our first batches of polysilicon. Importantly,
this challenging, month-long commissioning process also allowed
us to flex our operations team, and validate our training,
systems and procedures. I am extremely proud of our team's
accomplishment."
Hoku’s
annual report is scheduled for June 2010.
|
|
LDK Solar
GREEN
|
Yes
|
LDK
|
$30.02
$4.94
(3.2.09)
|
$8.13
|
$76.75
$3.75
|
-73%
&
+39%
|
|
Read
the articles, "Green"
in Vol. 6, issue 2 and "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
in Vol. 5, issue 4.
LDK is
benefitting from a 4-star rating from Motley Fool CAPS and
lots of press from same in February.
3Q 2009
earnings on 11.23.09: Third quarter 2009 revenue was $281.9
million, compared to $228.3 million for the second quarter
of fiscal 2009, and $541.8 million for the third quarter of
fiscal 2008. Net income was $29.4 million, compared to a net
loss of $216.9 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2009.
Annual
report was issued on March 30, 2009. 4Q revenue was $304.6
million. Net loss was -$7.3 million. Has $384.8 million in
cash and cash equivalents and $68.9 million in short-term
pledged bank deposits.
LDK Solar
ended the third quarter of 2009 with $67.8 million in cash
and cash equivalents and $72.7 million in short-term pledged
bank deposits.
|
|
MEMC
Electronics
|
No
|
WFR
|
$11.99
|
$13.10
|
$73.56
$11.32
|
+9%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
Acquisition
of solar developer SunEdison (announced on 10.22.09) should
start putting meat on MEMC’s bottom line in 2010. They now
enter solar power generation with an A-list company in that
field. Recovering after silicon re-pricing completely threw
off their profit margins. Better times going forward.
2.3.10
4Q and FY results:
4Q highlights:
- Net
sales of $356.7 million - up 15.1% vs. previous quarter
- Gross
profit of $53.0 million - 14.9% of net sales
- Operating
cash flow of $19.4 million
- Cash
and investment balances of approximately $1 billion
- Completed
acquisition of solar developer SunEdison
MEMC's
net loss for the fourth quarter was $7.1 million, or $0.03
per share, compared to a net loss of $64.6 million, or $0.29
per share in the 2009 third quarter and net income of $70.3
million, or $0.31 per share, in the 2008 fourth quarter.
|
|
Sunpower
|
No
|
SPWRA
|
$24.83
|
$16.94
|
$107.00
$18.50
|
-32%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
in Vol. 6, issue 3.
Sunpower
panels are the most efficient in the world and have helped
countless Solar Decathlon teams win the competition. This
year’s #2 and #3 teams (Illinois and California) both used
Sunpower panels.
Announced
on March 11, 2010 that the company was awarded two grants
totaling approximately $1.5 million from the California Solar
Initiative Research, Development, Deployment and Demonstration
(CSI RD&D) Program.
FY
earnings on 3.17.10: FY 2009 revenue of $1.524 billion, compared
to $1.438 billion a year ago. Net income $33 million, compared
to $90 million a year ago. Cash $616 million, compared to
$472 million a year ago.
SunPower
has more than 550 large public and commercial solar power
systems installed or under contract, representing more than
450 megawatts of solar power generation.
March
29, 2010: SunPower Corp. acquired SunRay Renewable Energy,
a leading European solar power plant developer with offices
in Europe and the Middle East.
|
|
Suntech
Power Holdings
|
No
|
STP
|
$14.26
|
$13.87
|
$49.60
$5.09
|
-3%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. The world's largest crystalline silicon photovoltaic
(PV) module manufacturer. 2009 Earnings call (webcast) on
March 4, 2010.
March
4, 2010 Full Year Earnings Report: Total net revenues were
$1,693.3 million for the full year 2009. Total net revenues
increased 23.4% sequentially to $583.6 million in the fourth
quarter of 2009. Net income was $91.5 million or $0.53 per
ADS. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term principal guaranteed
investment was $1,034.0 million as of December 31, 2009.
Excellent
earnings growth at 23.4% in the 4th quarter.
|
|
U.S.
Gold
Colorado
USA
RISK:
VERY HIGH
|
Yes
|
UXG
|
$5.05
$.50
(10.20)
$2.66
(10.09)
|
$3.63
|
$7.04
$.38
|
-28%
&
+726%
&
+36%
|
|
Note:
U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time; is it a gold
exploration company, based in Nevada. U.S. Gold is an exploration
company, not a mining company, meaning that if they strike
gold, the stock should spike and if they don’t, you could
lose your investment. Very risky.
According
to a statement released on March 1, 2010, U.S. Gold has a
great new discovery of silver in their Mexico mine. "Drilling
at El Gallo continues to return thick intersections of good
grade that start at or near surface. To date, 95% of the holes
drilled have encountered significant mineralization! We are
extremely pleased with these results. Going forward we will
continue with our large exploration program, publish an initial
resource estimate during the second quarter and look to complete
an preliminary economic analysis by year-end. Also, on March
15th and 16th US Gold will be taking a number of mining analysts
to El Gallo in order to highlight what we feel is one of the
best silver projects owned by an junior," stated Rob McEwen,
Chairman and CEO.
Added
to the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and S&P/TSX Global
Mining Index on 9.15.09.
If you
believe in this CEO and company, you’ll want to make sure
you have shares of U.S. Gold going forward. Gold should be
a great hedge against inflation, which is predicted to become
an issue once the economy starts to rebound (2010 and forward).
Right now, the Feds are still a little concerned about deflation,
but inflation could begin on the 12-24 month horizon.
This
is an exploration company, not a mining company. They don’t
produce gold at this time.
Began trading on the AMEX stock
exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.)
Listen to my feature
interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen on
BlogTalkRadio.com.
You can review my
original Q&A with Rob McEwen and interview on
U.S. Gold in Vol. 4, issue 2. (Feb. 2006).
|
Recently
Deleted Companies 2008-2010:
Echelon +20%,
GE, +13% and +18%, Google, +15% and +31%, Johnson & Johnson
+10%, LDK Solar +18%, Microsoft +12%, Satcon +13%, Suntech +35%,
Trina Solar +22%, World Water & Solar +22%. Genentech (8.1.08)
+40%. Altair (deleted on 8.7.08) posted gains of +3% and +57%. Zoltek
(deleted on 8.18.08) lost 30% before being removed. LDK Solar was
deleted on 9.2.08 with 46% and 29% profits. U.S. Gold profit taking
on 11.6.08 amounted to 72% gains. Conergy gains of 51% were taken
on 11.7.08. American Superconductor posted 50% gains between 12.1
and 1.14.09. MEMC Electronics (WFR) had 21% gains between 12.1 and
12.15.08. STP had gains of 69% between 12.1.08 and 1.2.09. SQM profits
20% on 1.14.09. WWAT was deleted on 2.1.09 with -62% losses. On
2.15.09, AMSC had gains of 65%, MEMC Electronics 26%, Sociedad de
Quimica y Minera 48% and U.S. Gold 432%. Citigroup gains of 42%
on 3.15.09. Genentech was deleted on 3.15.09 with gains of 29%.
OSI Pharmaceuticals was deleted on 3.15.09 with 7% gains. Rio Tinto
was deleted on 3.27.09 with gains of 67%. On 3.27.09, the following
companies were in the money: ALTI (+48%), AMSC (+51%), eBay (+24%),
GE (+40%), HOKU (+38%), LDK (+46%), MEMC (+44%), PBW (+35%), SATC
(+42%), SQM (+76%), STP (+211%), TSL (+207%), U.S. Gold (+456%)
and WBK (+25%). Profit-taking 4.13.09: ALTI +209%,
AMSC +70%, HOKU +32%, LDK +64%, PBW +42%, SQM +42%, UXG+418%. Deleted
4.13.09: eBay, +45%, Eurox -11%, GE +47% & -56%, Google
+9%, Maxwell +25%, MEMC Electronics -33% & +49%, Microsoft +24%,
SATC +67%. STP +262% & -64%, TSL +216% & -67%, Westpac +42%
& -22%. Deleted 5.4.09: FMC Corp. with 19% gains.
PZD with losses of -39%. SPWRA with 19% gains. TREMX with 50% losses.
WSDT with losses of -59%. Deleted 5.15.09: SQM with
gains of 38% and 62%. Deleted 5.31.09: EMKR with losses
of 13% and 88% and Melco with losses of 8%. Ener1 with gains of
11% and 17%. Deleted 7.20.09: Conergy with losses of -52-98%. Deleted
Smith and Nephew on 8.15.09 with gains of 17% and losses of 28%.
Deleted the New Zealand dollar currency ETF by Wisdom Tree with
36% gains on 12.12.09. 12.18.09: Deleted Ener1 with 22% gains and
Satcon with 29% gains. Deleted 1.11.10: KCI with 88% gains!
Recently
Deleted from the Hot News list:
None
Stocks
to Watch
Some of these
are great companies that we’re thinking of adding to the Hot List
and some are stinkers we’re thinking of adding to the Cooling Off
List. Read carefully to identify which is which!
Note that
right now most of our favorite companies are on the Watch List.
Getting the price right is as important as picking the right company.
Never pay retail!
Recent
Additions:
Netflix
(NFLX)
Recent
Deletions:
None
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when featured
|
Price
5.3.10
|
Year
High
Year
Low
|
Gains
since original feature
|
|
Allscripts
Misys Healthcare Solutions
|
No
|
MDRX
|
$19.94
|
$20.22
|
$22.21
$9.70
|
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform" Vol. 7, issue 4.
|
|
Altair
Nano-technology
|
No
|
ALTI
|
$1.16
|
$0.58
|
$2.94
$0.56
|
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
Vol. 6, issue 4. 1Q2010 earnings will be announced on May
6, 2010 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Altair
was not on the list of battery makers receiving grants from
the Obama Administration.
Was a
contender in the lithium ion battery marketplace, but has
lost market share and prestige.
|
|
Big Lots
|
No
|
BIG
|
$30.28
|
$38.30
|
$41.42
$19.49
|
|
|
Read
"Discount
Designer Stores,"
from Vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Canadian
Imperial Bank
RISK:
Medium
|
No
|
CM
|
$65.88
|
$73.88
|
$108.79
$30.64
|
|
|
Refer
to the "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars"
article in volume 5, issue 2 for details. Financial markets
are under duress. Avoid most banks for now. Canada’s banks
were ranked #1 by the Milken Institute for global capital
in 2009; Australia was #2.
|
|
Citigroup
RISK:
HIGH
|
No
|
C
|
$2.26
|
$4.41
|
$5.43
$2.55
|
|
|
One of
the troubled, bailed out banks…
|
|
eBay
|
No
|
EBAY
|
$16.80
|
$23.91
|
$32.10
$9.91
|
|
|
Etail
should perform better than retail in the recession, but eBay
is priced higher than I’d want to pay in a vulnerable "jobless"
recovery.
|
|
Eldorado
Gold
|
No
|
EGO
|
$10.56
|
$15.54
|
$15.40
$6.90
|
|
|
Read
"Investing
in Gold"
from Vol. 6, issue 9. Annual report on March 18, 2010:
Net income
of $102.4 million, down from $164 million in 2008 (-38%).
Revenue $361 million for 2009, 25% increase over $288 million
in 2008.
"This
was a very successful quarter and year for Eldorado," stated
Paul Wright. "We had record quarterly production with strong
performance from both our Kisladag and Tanjianshan gold mines.
And with the successful completion of our acquisition of Sino
Gold and the continued development of our projects in Turkey,
China and Greece, we are solidifying our position as one of
the world's lowest cost gold producers. Our gold sales revenue
increased by 29 percent to $358.5 million as we benefited
from increased production and gold prices. Looking ahead,
we anticipate 2010 production of 550,000 to 600,000 ounces
of gold at a cash operating cost of between $385 and $400
per ounce."
|
|
First
Solar
|
No
|
FSLR
|
$144.76
|
$146.91
|
$207.51
$98.71
|
|
|
See "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
article in Vol. 5, issue 4.
First
Solar joined S&P500 on 10.02.09.
First
Solar uses cadmium telluride instead of silicon to transfer
sunlight into useable energy. This was a huge competitive
advantage when silicon was hard to get at a reasonable price.
That is shifting, however, for two reasons. Silicon manufacturing
is heating up and costs are lowering as a result, and cadmium
telluride isn’t as abundant or as efficient a power source
as silicon. Read the article for more details.
|
|
FMC Corp.
|
No
|
FMC
|
$51.36
|
$64.30
|
$80.23
$28.53
|
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4 and "Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota,"
from Vol. 7, issue 2. FMC is the real winner of the stimulus
package because they supply lithium to the battery makers.
On the other hand, however, that is not all that this company
manufactures and sales have been off in 2009. Waiting for
a better buy-in point. FYI: FMC just sold $300 million in
senior notes. Check with your CFP if you’re interested in
purchasing. There may be opportunities in the secondary marketplace.
Annual
report 2.4.10: Revenue was $2,826.2 million, a decrease
of 9 percent as compared with $3,115.3 million in the prior-year
period. Net income was $228.5 million, 25 percent lower than
$304.6 million in the year-earlier period. Regarding the outlook
for 2010, Pierre Brondeau, FMC president and chief executive
officer, said, "Despite the expected tempered, uneven recovery
in global markets, we anticipate delivering a year of strong
performance. For the full year 2010, we expect earnings before
restructuring and other income and charges of $4.35 to $4.75
per diluted share.
|
|
Ford
Motor Company
|
No
|
F
|
$9.65
|
$13.30
|
$14.57
$4.71
|
|
|
Read
"How
Cap and Trade Saved Ford"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ford is making cars people want to drive,
but it owes over $100 billion dollars. Be careful with any
investment here. Has recalled some commercial vehicles in
China, as of January 29, 2010.
|
|
Google
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$393.69
|
$530.60
|
$629.51
$384.69
|
|
|
See Vol.
6, issue 5 for "Hulu
Your Heroes"
Be careful not to buy in too high.
1Q 2010
on 4.15.10: Google reported revenues of $6.77 billion for
the quarter ended March 31, 2010, an increase of 23% compared
to the first quarter of 2009. GAAP net income was $1.96 billion,
compared to $1.42 billion in the first quarter of 2009.
Cash
– As of March 31, 2010, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term
marketable securities were $26.5 billion. No debt.
On a
worldwide basis, Google employed 20,621 full-time employees
as of March 31, 2010, up from 19,835 full-time employees as
of December 31, 2009.
|
|
Netflix
|
No
|
NFLX
|
$101.99
|
$101.99
|
$109.70
$36.25
|
|
|
Read
"Blockbuster’s
Second Coming"
from Vol. 7, issue 5.
|
|
Orocobre
|
No
|
OROCF
|
$1.70
|
$2.16
|
$2.72
$0.99
|
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota"
from Vol. 7, issue 2.
|
|
PowerShares
Wilderhill Clean Energy ETF
|
No
|
PBW
|
$9.78
|
$10.31
|
$11.76
$5.78
|
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
|
|
Rio Tinto
|
No
|
RTP
|
$49.20
|
$47.92
|
$218.15
$30.00
|
|
|
Gold,
copper and other commodities mining. Based out of UK. Mines
worldwide, but focused greatly in Australia. Annual general
meeting is May 26, 2010 in Melbourne, Victoria. 4:1 stock
split took place on April 30, 2010.
|
|
Ross
Stores
|
No
|
ROST
|
$35.90
|
$57.02
|
$58.93
$34.74
|
|
|
Read
"Discount
Designer Stores,"
from Vol. 5, issue 6. Expect annual report around April Fool’s
Day. Sales have been impressive, especially given the "jobless
recovery."
|
|
Sociedad
Minera y Quimica de Chile
|
No
|
SQM
|
$36.36
|
$36.32
|
$43.93
$30.70
|
|
|
This
is a great company that manufactures silicon for the solar
and IT industry. Looking for a better buy-in, closer to or
under $35.
Read
the article, "Treasure
Hunting,"
in Vol. 5, issue 10 and the article "Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium,"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. SQM announced on Sept. 30, 2009 that
prices for lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide will be
reduced by approximately 20% from current levels for the renewal
of all its supply contracts. The purpose is to accelerate
demand recovery, create incentives for research of new lithium
uses, and contribute to the sustainable long-term development
of the lithium market.
2009
FY Earnings (on 2.25.2010): Revenues for 2009 totaled
US$1,436.9 million, representing a decrease of 16.0% over
the US$1,774.1 million reported in 2008. Earnings for the
year 2009 of US$327.1 million (US$1.24 per ADR), a decrease
of 34.8% with respect to 2008, when earnings totaled US$501.4
million (US$1.91 per ADR).
Patricio
Contesse, SQM's Chief Executive Officer, stated, "The impact
of the economic downturn took a toll on volumes in our Specialty
Plant Nutrition, Iodine and Lithium business lines. Additionally,
average 2009 prices in our fertilizer and lithium businesses
were lower than those recorded during 2008. The Company did,
however, benefit from higher average iodine prices and significantly
higher potash volumes. While the overall results achieved
in 2009 were lower than in 2008, net income and revenues recorded
for 2009 were the second highest in Company history. In relative
terms, SQM also outperformed counterparts in its main businesses
and in particular those in the fertilizer industry."
|
|
Sohu
(Chinese Co. ADR)
Beijing,
China
Small
Cap
RISK:
MEDIUM
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$46.54
|
$48.49
|
$72.29
$46.62
|
|
|
See NataliePace.com
ezines, Vol.
3, issue 4
and Vol. 2, issue 9 for feature
articles on Sohu. Dr. Charles Zhang, the Chairman and
CEO of Sohu.com, is one of our CEOs
of the year in 2007.
Read the articles in Vol.
4, issue 1. You can watch a Q&A with Dr. Charles
Zhang in an exclusive interview I did on the Forbes.com Video
Network.
|
|
Trina
Solar Ltd.
|
No
|
TSL
|
$35.12
|
$26.31
|
$31.18
$7.06
|
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. Please note that TSL had a 2 for 1 stock
split on 1.20.10. That is why the price looks dramatically
different. Investors will note that they should now have twice
as many shares…
FY earnings
2.24.10:
Total
net revenues were $845.1 million, an increase of 1.6% from
2008. Gross profit was $237.2 million, an increase of 44.2%
from 2008. Gross margin was 28.1%, compared to 19.8% in 2008.
Net income for the full year was $97.6 million, an increase
of 59.0% from 2008.
Dec.
1, 2009: Chinese solar power company Trina Solar Ltd. said
it signed a new sales agreement to supply about 8 megawatts
of photovoltaic modules to the Chinese domestic market, as
part of its efforts to expand sales in China. Shipments began
in November and are to continue through the end this month.
Prices were not released. The Golden Sun program in China
aims to install 20 MW of solar power capacity in every province,
according to the Associated Press.
|
|
VMWare
|
No
|
VMW
|
$52.91
|
$62.69
|
$63.81
$25.27
|
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform"
Vol. 7, issue 4.
|
|
Westpac
|
No
|
WBK
|
$73.54
|
$129.00
|
$133.55
$68.75
|
|
|
Issued
it’s full-year results on Nov. 4, 2009. Go to Westpac.com.au
to access.
Net profit
of $3,446 million, down 11% from a year ago. Not bad. Australian
banks were the best in the world during recession, with Canadian
Banks scoring high as well.
|
Cooling
Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).
Note:
The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling
off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value.
Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent
news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump
losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while
keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always
consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments
to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are
expected to go DOWN in price.)
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
None
(Why
buck the trend? For the last 10 years, March-May have been positive
months…)
DELETIONS:
None
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when added to Cooling Off List
|
Price
5.3.10
|
52-week
High
52-week
Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
American
Express
|
Yes
|
AXP
|
$16.98
$41.56
(11.16.09)
|
$47.20
|
$42.48
$9.71
|
+278%
&
+14%
|
|
Read
the article "American
Express,"
from Vol. 6, issue 2. 1Q 2010 Earnings on 4.20.10: Revenues
were down 11%. To $ 6,606. Net income was income of $885 million,
up 103 percent from $437 million a year ago. $21 billion cash
on hand. Debt is $44 billion and liabilities total $130 billion.
(Market value of AMEX is $56 billion.)
"Cardmember
spending was up 16 percent, rebounding strongly from the recessionary
lows of last year," said Kenneth I. Chenault, chairman
and chief executive officer. "Credit metrics also continued
the improvement that began in the second half of 2009."
|
|
Apple
Computer
|
No
|
AAPL
|
$132.07
$200.38
(2.12.10)
|
$266.35
|
$272.46
$119.38
|
+202%
&
+33%
|
|
See archived
ezine Vol. 4, issue 2, for the feature article, "Apple
Chips."
2Q 2010
earnings on 4.20.10 were amazing: posted revenue of $13.5
billion, down from $15.65 billion in the 1st quarter
(and $9.08 billion a year ago). Net quarterly profit of $3.07
billion (down from $3.38 billion in 1Q and almost double $1.62
billion of a year ago).
Apple
sold 2.94 million Macintosh® computers during the quarter,
representing a 33 percent unit increase over the year-ago
quarter. The Company sold 8.75 million iPhones in the quarter,
representing 131 percent unit growth over the year-ago quarter.
Apple sold 10.89 million iPods during the quarter, representing
a one percent unit decline from the year-ago quarter.
"We’re
thrilled to report our best non-holiday quarter ever, with
revenues up 49 percent and profits up 90 percent," said
Steve Jobs, Apple’s CEO. "We’ve launched our revolutionary
new iPad and users are loving it, and we have several more
extraordinary products in the pipeline for this year."
"Looking
ahead to the third fiscal quarter of 2010, we expect revenue
in the range of about $13.0 billion to $13.4 billion and we
expect diluted earnings per share in the range of about $2.28
to $2.39," said Peter Oppenheimer, Apple’s CFO. (FYI:
This will be the second Q in a row with lower earnings.
Insider
selling is in the range of $300. Consensus insider selling
from multiple directors and officers, including CFO and COO.
I Love Apple. At a better price in a more stable marketplace,
with a better succession plan to Jobs. Seems like the insiders
agree.
|
|
Applied
Materials
|
No
|
AMAT
|
$12.76
$13.51
(9.15.09)
|
$14.00
|
$14.61
$8.19
|
+10%
&
+4%
|
|
Leadership,
product line and recessionary actions were strong, but AMAT
transitioned to solar just when sales dropped off. Weathering
the storm is imperative in the meantime. Investors should
be aware of the high P/Es of this company, which is hard to
justify in a contracting environment. With almost $2 billion
in cash and marketable securities, AMAT is in a position to
regroup and recover in the future. With any luck and with
the worldwide emphasis on clean energy, this is a temporary
setback.
1Q 2010
earnings call on Wed., February 17, 2010. FY loss (released
on 11.11.09): For fiscal year ended Oct. 25, 2009, the company
reported net sales of $5.01 billion and a GAAP net loss of
$305 million or $0.23 per share.
|
|
Baidu
|
No
|
BIDU
|
$183.15
$488.00
(2.12.10)
|
$708.99
|
$718.00
$229.55
|
+387%
&
+45%
|
|
Leading
Chinese website for search (similar to Google). 113 P/E is
high for a revenue stream so tied to advertising (during a
global recession). (Advertising revenue models tend to suffer
greatly in recessions and Google’s P/E is only 30, by comparison,
right now.)
The primary
Risk Factor for Baidu is: We derive revenues primarily from
online marketing services, which accounted for 98.9%, 99.8%
and 99.9% of our total revenues in 2006, 2007 and 2008, respectively.
|
|
Berkshire
Hathaway
|
No
|
BRK.A
|
$97,000
$114,000
(2.12.10)
|
$117,430
|
$125,252
$84,600
|
+21%
&
+3%
|
|
See archived
ezine Vol. 6, issue 8, for the feature article, "The
Oracle Turns 80."
Added
to the S&P500 on February 12, 2010. BRK.B did an unprecedented
thing. Buffett made the stock affordable, by splitting it
50:1. Anyone can now buy in the $45-$78 range. Many tout triumph,
but they may not be aware of the exposure that BRK has to
financial giants, Wells Fargo and American Express, among
other challenging industries (including insurance).
|
|
Capital
One Financial
|
No
|
COF
|
$22.29
$42.04
(1.11.09)
|
$46.13
|
$47.73
$16.57
|
+207%
&
+10%
|
|
Read
the articles "IPO
of the Year,"
and "American
Express,"
from Vol. 7, issue 3 and Vol. 6, issue 2. COF has a lot of
liabilities that are highlighted in the Stock Report Card
of the IPO of the Year article from volume 7, issue 3. If
you read the SEC filngs and realize how much COF has off the
books, how much money they’ve had to take from the Feds and
much liability they may have for mortgages that second parties
want them to be responsible for, you’ll know why COF is on
the Cooling Off List. Additionally, S&P rating is BBB
with negative outlook.
|
|
Fortress
Investment Group
|
No
|
FIG
|
$3.57
$5.37
(8.13.09)
|
$5.25
|
$8.30
$1.02
|
+47%
&
-2%
|
|
1Q 2010
results will be reported on May 6, 2010 before the market
opens.
Annual
report on Feb. 25, 2010: For the year ended December 31, 2009,
GAAP net loss was $909 million versus a loss of $1,221 million
for 2008. Excluding principals’ agreement compensation, full
year 2009 GAAP net income was $43 million, up from a net loss
of $266 million in 2008 (meaning that the principals at FIG
took almost a billion, even though the fund lost money for
investors and shareholders).
At December
31, 2009, FIG had $0.7 billion of assets (excluding cash and
cash equivalents) in our principal investments segment, compared
to $0.7 billion (excluding cash and cash equivalents) at December
31, 2008. During the fourth quarter of 2009, we increased
commitments to our principal investments by $1 million and
funded $7 million of our commitments. We had $131 million
of unfunded commitments to our principal investments as of
December 31, 2009.
Assets
under management for the hybrid private equity funds was $3.3
billion at December 31, 2009 compared to $2.3 billion at December
31, 2008. Cash and cash equivalents are down to $197 million
from $263 million a year ago.
Daniel
H. Mudd, currently member of the Fortress board of directors,
will become the firm's new CEO effective August 11, 2009.
George W. Wellde has been elected to Fortress' Board of Directors.
Read
the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs"
(Vol. 5, issue 12) and "Money
Grows on Wisdom Trees,"
from Vol. 4, issue 3.
On 9.22.09:
dividend was canceled by Board.
|
|
Intel
RISK:
LOW
|
No
|
INTC
|
$16.66
$20.25
(9.1.09)
|
$23.26
|
$25.29
$12.06
|
+39%
&
+15%
|
|
Intel
is a great blue chip. Sales are off 7%, however and net income
is off by 17% from last year. Annual report Jan. 14 2010:
For 2009 Intel posted revenue of $35.1 billion. The company
reported full-year operating income of $5.7 billion, net income
of $4.4 billion and EPS of 77 cents. The company generated
more than $11 billion in cash from operations and paid cash
dividends of $3.1 billion.
|
|
Maxwell
Labs
|
No
|
MXWL
|
$18.05
|
$14.64
|
$21.81
$4.50
|
-19%
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4.
Full
Year earnings results were released on Feb. 18, 2010. Lots
of stock granted to insiders (board directors and executives)
on 2.17.10 (free stock).
Total
revenues were $101 million, versus $78 million a year ago.
Net loss was $23 million, compared to $15 million a year ago.
Cash is at $30 million, up from $20.5 million a year
ago. $17 million in debt, with $5 million due in the near
future, and $24 million owed on accounts payable. (Uh
oh!)
|
|
Medtronic
|
No
|
MDT
|
$33.35
$42.44
(2.12.10)
|
$44.13
|
$46.10
$24.06
|
+32%
&
+4%
|
|
Medtronic’s
Infuse Bone Graft product has been at the center of the debate
of some controversial deaths, and has investigated by a Congressional
Panel, the Justice Department, the SEC and other national,
state and local governance officials for issues related to
the use of this product and others. Read the earnings report
for a complete list of the complaints and current status.
The company reports that on August 21, 2009, the Department
of Justice decided not to intervene at this time but may intervene
at any time for good cause based upon a Court Order entered
on August 28, 2009.
|
|
MGM Mirage
|
No
|
MGM
|
$26.79
|
$16.41
|
$100.50
$5.10
|
-39%
|
|
Get more
information in Vol. 5, issue 10
in the "(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
article.
4Q and
Full Year 2009 issued on 2.18.10: The Company reported a fourth
quarter diluted loss per share of $0.98, which includes the
impact of a pre-tax non-cash impairment charge totaling $548
million, or $0.73 loss per diluted share net of tax, related
to the Company’s undeveloped land holdings in Atlantic City.
For the same quarter in 2008, the Company reported a diluted
loss per share of $4.15, which included a non-cash goodwill
and indefinite-lived intangible asset impairment charge of
$1.2 billion, or $4.25 per diluted share net of tax, and a
gain on repurchased debt of $87 million or $0.21 per diluted
share net of tax.
- Net
revenue decreased 6% to $1.5 billion, compared to a 9% year-over-year
decrease in the third quarter of 2009;
- Casino
revenue decreased 7%, partially offset by strong baccarat
results during the quarter with baccarat volume up 44%;
- Las
Vegas Strip REVPAR(1) decreased 16% compared to the prior
year quarter versus a 23% year-over-year decrease in the
third quarter of 2009; and
- Adjusted
Property EBITDA(2) was $307 million, or down 8%.
EPS from
continuing operations for the full year was a loss of $3.41
per diluted share compared to a loss of $3.06 per diluted
share in 2008.
The Company’s
outstanding debt balance (net of the $1.6 billion of excess
cash) was $12.5 billion at December 31, 2009, down from $13.5
billion at December 31, 2008.
As previously
announced, the Company is seeking amendments to its aggregate
$5.55 billion of senior credit facilities which would, among
other things, extend the maturity of a substantial portion
of those credit facilities from October 3, 2011 to February
21, 2014. The Company has asked its lenders to provide their
final approvals of the transaction by February 24, 2010.
|
|
Microsoft
|
No
|
MSFT
|
$29.64
|
$30.86
|
$30.53
$14.87
|
+4%
|
|
Read
the "AOL"
article from Vol. 6, issue 12 to review the Stock Report Card
on Microsoft from December 2009.
Great
blue chip (certainly better than Citigroup, Bank of America,
AIG and GM were), if you buy at the right price. But revenue
is off. Q1 2010 earnings report (on 10.23.09): Windows Revenue
is off by 39%, down to $2,620 million from $4,278 in 2008
1st Q. Operating income is off 52%, down to $1,463
from $3,059 a year ago… Nintendo’s WII is the gaming device
of choice (and X-Box shipments were down to 2.1 million, from
2.2 million). "Nongaming" entertainment revenue
is reportedly off by 14% ($98 million). What’s nongaming entertainment?
Remember Zune? Well, that is one of the "PC hardware
products" that is decreasing in sales. (Did it ever sell
at all?) You get the picture. When revenue is down by 14%
across the board, and the strongest season – holidays – are
predicted to limp along and favor the competition (WII), and
anti-trust law suits are still being battled, best not to
buy Microsoft at its 52-week high.
|
|
Sears
Holding
|
Yes
|
SHLD
|
$52.93
$98.06
(1.11.10)
|
$122.36
|
$124.96
$49.80
|
+231%
&
+25%
|
|
Sears
is up on Jim Cramer’s "appliance" picks from his
January 8, 2010 show, not real earnings or outlook… (Remember:
Jim also recommended Bear Stearns before it went bust, too.)
Chairman Eddie Lampert has been dumping shares en masse,
to the tune of over $376 million. Consensus insider selling…
Read
the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs"
(Vol. 5, issue 12) and "Discount
Designer Stores,"
article (Vol. 5,
issue 6). Sears is one of the largest, oldest retail chains
in the U.S, and formerly, was as American as baseball and
apple pie. These days, however, Sears is more of a hedge fund,
which might help to explain why you’ve been trying to get
that appliance repaired (under warranty) for months or been
waiting for a replacement for your coffee pot for so long
that you’ve taken up drinking tea. Almost all of the board
directors at Sears are in the investment business, not the
retail business. In fact, board director Emily Scott, a TV
station founder, is the only person on the board without significant
investment experience. No one on the Sears board has any experience
at all in retail.
Still
don’t have a CEO. Bruce Johnson has been the interim CEO for
well over a year. New CFO started October 2008, right before
the preparation of the annual report began. The former CFO
Miles Reidy decided that he needed to spend more time with
his family than to put is name on the 2008 annual report.
Another big red flag.
Full
year earnings report on 2.23.10: Revenues of $44 billion in
2009 are down from $47 billion a year ago and $51 billion
in 2007. Net income came in at $235 million, which is better
than last year’s $53 billion, but only about a quarter of
the net income of 2007, which was $826 million. Sears doesn’t
provide pensions to current employees, but the cost of their
legacy pension obligations was $170 million in 2009. Sears
expects to pay $275 million to pensions in 2010 and $535 million
in 2011. Sears Canada sold its headquarters, adding $74 million
to the top line in 2009. Hedge fund losses were $67 million.
Debt:
short term of $325 million, with long term debt of $1.6 billion.
S&P gives a rating of BB- to Sears.
|
|
Taubman
Centers REIT
|
No
|
TCO
|
$24.74
$34.55
(2.12.10)
|
$44.94
|
$45.00
$21.85
|
+82%
&
+30%
|
|
Read
the article, "Global
Recession,"
from Vol.
6, issue 6
in June 2009.
Annual
report on Feb. 9, 2010: Net income allocable to common shareholders
for the quarter ended December 31, 2009 was $0.07 per diluted
common share (EPS), versus a loss of $1.90 per diluted share
for the fourth quarter of 2008. EPS for the year ended December
31, 2009 was a $1.31 loss versus a $1.64 loss for the year
ended December 2008. Results for the fourth quarter of 2009
included $38.5 million of litigation charges related to Westfarms
(West Hartford, Conn.), of which the company's share was
$30.4 million. In addition, the 2009 annual results were impacted
by the previously announced $2.5 million restructuring charges
and $166.7 million impairment charges (or $160.8 million at
the company's share) relating to The Pier Shops at Caesars
(Atlantic City, N.J.) and Regency Square (Richmond,
Va.).
Consensus
insider selling.
|
|
Time
Warner
|
No
|
TWX
|
$24.44
|
$33.88
|
$50.70
$17.81
|
+39%
|
|
Read
the article, "Hulu
Your Heroes,"
from Vol. 6, issue 5 in May
2009.
Full
Year 2009 earnings on Feb. 3, 2010. Full-year Revenues declined
3% from 2008 to $25.8 billion. Net income $2.5 billion, compared
to a loss of $13.4 billion a year ago. Long term debt and
other liabilities: $23 billion (not including pension costs).
|
|
Toyota
Motor Company
|
No
|
TM
|
$77.05
(2.12.10)
|
$77.69
|
$91.97
$51.79
|
flat
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota"
from Vol. 7, issue 2. Sales fallout from the January 2010
floor mat and accelerator recall, which halted sales and affected
4.8 million (or more) vehicles, should show up on the interim
earnings report on or about June 24, 2010. Look at price/viability
going forward after that date. (If Toyota wasn’t such a strong
leader in the auto manufacturing world, this company would
be on the Cooling Off List until June.)
|
|
Wells
Fargo
|
No
|
WFC
|
$20.05
$29.21
(10.15.09)
|
$33.88
|
$44.69
$7.80
|
+67%
&
+15%
|
|
See
"Wells
Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings"
in Vol, 5, issue 9, and "Wells
Fargo’s Great Depression,"
in Vol. 4, issue 12. Annual report will be issued at the end
of Feb. 2010.
FY 2009
on 1.20.10: Record net income of $12.3 billion. Record revenue
of $88.7 billion. You can read the full report at : https://www.wellsfargo.com/invest_relations/earnings.
Should you believe this, however, when most of the non-performing
loans and other problems are off the books, and the Federal
Open Market Committee Chairman Ben Bernanke is not releasing
information on which banks are receiving which kind of support
from the FOMC? Here’s a link to the Testimony that Chairman
Bernanke gave on February 24, 2010 to Congress. The most interesting
reading is at the bottom, in the section entitled, "Federal
Reserve Transparency," where he states, "An appropriate
delay would also allow firms adequate time to inform investors
through annual reports and other public documents of their
use of Federal Reserve facilities." This indicates that
the public has not been properly informed at this time, but
might be in the future, after an appropriate delay, which
indicates that the earnings reports you are reading by this
bank and others have a good deal that is not transparent in
them.
Wells
Fargo Chairman takes early retirement:
Dick
Kovacevich stepped down as chairman and a director at the
end of 2009.
|
|
Wynn
Resorts
|
No
|
WYNN
|
$95.42
|
$91.88
|
$176.14
$18.06
|
-4%
|
|
Check
out the article,
"(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
in
Vol. 5, issue 10.
Annual
earnings on 2.26.10: FY revenue was up 2% to $3 billion. Net
income was $39 million, compared to $210 million a year ago.
4Q 2009 results: Net revenues for the fourth quarter of 2009
were $809.3 million, compared to $614.3 million in the fourth
quarter of 2008. The revenue increase was driven by a 29.6%
increase in revenues at Wynn Macau and a 35.7% revenue increase
from our Las Vegas operations as the 2009 fourth quarter included
a full quarter contribution from Encore. Net
loss was $5.2 million.
Our total
cash balances on December 31, 2009 were $2.0 billion. Total
debt outstanding at the end of 2009 was $3.6 billion, including
approximately $2.5 billion of Wynn Las Vegas debt and $1.1
billion of Wynn Macau debt.
|
|
Yahoo
|
No
|
YHOO
|
$15.00
|
$16.95
|
$18.02
$9.42
|
+13%
|
|
Read
the "AOL"
article from Vol. 6, issue 12 to review the Stock Report Card
on Yahoo from December 2009.
|
Recently
Deleted in 2008/2009:
Fannie Mae was
deleted on 2.11.08 after losing -50% and -56% of its share price
value, and then again on 7.1.08, after losing another -40%. (Both
puts more than doubled.) Novastar Financial (NFI) was deleted on
6.2.08 with -95% share price implosion. Sears Holding Corp. was
deleted on 7.1.08 with 64% gains on the put option. Wells Fargo
was deleted on 7.1.08 with 83% gains on the put. Apple was deleted
on 8.1.08 with 35% gains on the put. The Google put, deleted on
8.1.08, was another great performer, with over 50% gains. First
Solar had gains of over 32-34%. Mentor was deleted on 9.30.08 with
75% gains on the put option (-17% on the share price); Medicis was
deleted with gains of over 37% on the share price (down direction).
Boston Properties, Las Vegas Sands and Macerich were deleted on
10.9.08 with gains of 16-30%, 66% and 28-42% respectively. Wells
Fargo was deleted on 11.6.08 with 35-50% gains on the put and again
on 12.1.08 for 50-70% gains. American Express posted 35% gains in
just 30 days, between 2.1.09 and 3.2.09. First Solar was deleted
on 8.13.09 with 33% gains. KB Home with 74% gains and Toll Brothers
with 51% gains on 10.01.09.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER (PLEASE READ):
Please
note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We
report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling
Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should
reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the
assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your
goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading"
portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
NataliePace.com
Calendar:
The
markets have been on fire lately. So where is the hottest, safest
place for your money these days? Catch Natalie Pace on this topic,
on CNBC this Thursday morning. Get more information in the Calendar
Section.
 |
| Photo by:
Stacie Isabella Turk. © 2008 Ribbonhead.com. Stylist: Melody
White Art Direction: Arlene Hylton-Campbell |
The NataliePace.com
Calendar section features conferences, teleconferences, retreats,
educational opportunities, cultural events, galas, market events
and online chats with executives and VIPs. Stay plugged in! We add
online chats, article updates, teleconferences, etc. as they are
booked, so be sure to visit the calendar section early and often.
Below is only a partial listing of what’s happening this month.
See below for
just a few of the amazing educational and networking opportunities
that world-class organizations are offering for you. To access links
to the event website and registration, go to the Calendar
section at NataliePace.com.
Natalie
Pace on CNBC
Thursday,
May 6th, 2010
10:20AM through 10:30AM ET
I'll be on CNBC talking about the Hottest and Safest places for
your nest egg. See you on air then/there!
Mother's
Day
Sunday,
May 9th, 2010
Mother! Wonder what she really wants? Check out our online
survey.
Radio
Show. Hot Countries for Your Investment $$.
Wednesday,
May 12th, 2010
9:00AM through 9:30AM PT
Join Natalie Pace on her Pace and Prosperity Show as she interviews
Dr. Marc Miles. Dr. Miles is the editor of the 2006 Index of Economic
Freedom, the former Sr. economist of the Heritage Foundation and
a respected global strategist. His specialty is emerging countries.
Learn which countries are hot and which are bound to cool off.
James
Cameron keynote. Las Vegas, NV
Sunday,
May 16th, 2010
Academy Award winning director James Cameron keynotes the CA World
2010, education, training and networking conference on IT for all
of your IT team members.
Agape
Revelation Conference, LA, CA
Thursday,
May 20-22, 2010
Reverend Michael Bernard Beckwith and Dr. Rickie Byars Beckwith
delight, empower, awaken, create and celebrate in this 3-day conference.
Dance in the rhythm and celebrate unconditional love and transformation.
GDP
1Q 2010 report (2nd)
Thursday,
May 27th, 2010
8:30AM through 8:45AM ET.
The U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA.gov)
releases its 2nd estimate report on GDP growth in the 1st quarter
of 2010. Final results for the 4th quarter of 2009 came in at 5.6%.
Advance results for 1Q 2010 were 3.2% growth.
Natalie
Pace at Borders,
Las Vegas, NV
Saturday,
June 19th, 2010
2:00PM through 3:30PM PT
Natalie Pace will lead a fun, interactive, visioning game that asks
(and answers) the question, "How would you live if you had all the
money in the world." Come play with us!
Father's
Day!
Sunday,
June 20th, 2010
Wonder what Dad really wants? Check out our survey
on the home page.
Summer
Solstice
Monday,
June 21st, 2010
Celebrate the dog days of summer, when the Earth is tipped closest
to the Sun.
Women
in Business National Conference and Business Fair. Baltimore, MD
Tuesday,
June 22nd, 2010
Sheila Johnson, billionaire and first African American woman to
build a luxury hotel, will keynote this conference. Sheila also
owns the Washington Wizards, so hit her up for NBA tix! Bestselling
author Suzy Welch will keynote the following day.
FOMC
Meeting
Tuesday
and Wednesday, June 22-23, 2010
The Federal Open Market Committee meets to determine Federal Reserve
policy in the U.S. Two-day meeting June 22-23, 2010.
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat, Santa Monica,
CA
July
23-25, 2010
You spend hundreds of thousands learning how to earn money. Why
not spend a fraction of that learning how to invest? 3 days in a
boardroom setting, learning investing directly from Natalie Pace,
sets you up for life. There are only a handful of seats remaining.
Call 866-476-7442 to register NOW!
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VISION: To build
a global community of investors through a worldwide website, seminars,
radio, television and print partners.
GOAL: To provide high-quality, first-run, ethical financial news,
information and education, presented in an entertaining format,
across all media (television, radio, print and online).
MISSION: To provide the news, information and education investors
need to make better choices and to make investing as much fun
as shopping.
PHILOSOPHY: Member Mosaic. Piecing together a more complete picture
of the publicly traded company, one tile at a time, by valuing
firsthand consumer experience, conducting evaluations of the executive
team and lining up the numbers of the publicly-traded company
with its competitors in a Stock Report Card.
For more information on NataliePace.com contact us at
www.NataliePace.com,
P.O. Box 1350, Santa Monica, CA 90406-1350
or 1-866.476.7442
(toll-free telephone number).
NOTICE: NataliePace.com is NOT a stock brokerage service,
and does not operate or act as one.
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