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Champagne
Gifts on a Beer Budget.
by
Natalie Pace.
6
Tips for Exceptional Taste Without Ruining Your Dough.
Wine
may be $18 a glass and gas $4.00 a gallon (in California), but the
Great Recession has kept the price tags on most gifts and clothes
haute retro (at 1980s prices). Below are 5 Tips to make your holidays
bright, on any budget.
- Never
Pay Retail.
- Creative
Gifts.
- The Gift
of Time and Talent.
- Heirlooms
and Hand-me-downs.
- Day After
Sales.
- Sharing
the Wealth
And
here's how it works...
- Never
Pay Retail. - Whether
you are buying a couple's get away vacation or a designer bag,
always consider the discount options. Ross Stores, TJ Max, Marshall's
and other "dress for less" shops offer designer clothing at obscenely
low prices. Shoes, accessories, perfume, candles, makeup and some
bed furnishings are sometimes to be found as well. For getaways,
Priceline, Expedia, Kayak, and other travel web sites often offer
5-star experiences at 3-star prices. So, a little extra thought
and time can effervesce into a Dom Perignon experience on a Budweiser
budget.
- Creative
Gifts. - Some
years, when the bottom line looks a little toxic, you might be
tempted to forego gift giving altogether, however this is when
the most creative gifts can be inspired and created. Does everyone
love your recipes, or songs, or poems, or photos or inspirational
quotes? Can you create an e-book, e-photo album, MP3 or inspirational
calendar to gift your loved ones? Do you have photos and video
that you can edit into a timeless movie for the family?
SnapFish, Shutterfly and Kodak all have excellent online storage
for your photo sharing, as well as bargains for your personalized
gifts, cards, calendars and books. The Zoom video camera (retail
$120) and iMovie software make it easy for computer dummies to
cut, score and share their Silly Pet Tricks (and other video gems).
- The Gift
of Time and Talent. - One
year, when the budget was lean, one of the gifts I gave the kids
was a King for the Day gift certificate. For one day, they were
allowed to make the rules and decisions. Yes, you can expect unusual
meals, out-of-the-way expeditions and even to be reprimanded for
the same offenses that you dole out. But the smiles and memories
last a lifetime -- a lot longer than most toys, which might be
forgotten before Valentine's Day. Other variations on this theme
include: Chef for an Evening, Massage and Pampering for your sacred
beloved, Handyman for the Weekend, and ??? Get creative!
- Heirlooms
and Hand-me-downs. - How
long has it been since you cleaned out your jewelry case, or hope
chest, or safe or garage? Is there something priceless waiting
to be gifted to that exactly right someone special? Some of my
favorite gifts have been heirloom jewelry; some were extremely
valuable, and others just sentimental. Gold coins, rosaries, rock
collections, stamp collections, costume jewelry, semi-precious
and precious stones, war medals, ancestor journals and more offer
a unique way to pass along heritage, memories and value to those
you love.
- Day After
Sales. - The
day after Christmas sales are truly amazing, and if you've never
done this, you're going to be amazed at how cheap 75% off is!
If you get really good at this, you can buy most of next year's
gifts at far less than the Black Friday prices -- without having
to enter the Ultimate Fighting Match that ensues when a thousand
people try to nab five flat screens at the same time... Using
this tactic, you can spend $5 on a $40 gift -- which you were
tempted to purchase just two days before at full price.
- Sharing
the Wealth - While
you're shopping, don't forget those who are less fortunate. Below
are links to various nonprofit organizations that will make sure
that your gifts get to someone whose holiday will become brighter
(or at least less bleak) as a result of your love and generosity.
Teens Living
in a Group Home & Children Who Have Been Neglected or Abused:
Contact
your local county Department of Children and Family Services for
information on how you can donate gifts to children and teens
in need. Click to go to the website for Los
Angeles County.
Toys
for Tots Literacy Program: This
is a nationwide nonprofit that was founded by the Marines. There
are over 14 million children living in poverty. The Toys for Tots
Literacy Program seeks donations of books and financial support
for community literacy programs to serve these children. Of course,
you can also donate Kindles, toys and other gifts to Toys for
Tots as well.
Dress
for Success:
Dress for Success Worldwide is an international non-profit organization
dedicated to improving the lives of women located in 110 cities
across 12 countries. The organization provides professional clothing,
employment retention programs and ongoing support to underserved
women. Dress for Success accepts gifts of time, talent, money
and clothing.
VolunTeaming
and Give Back Getaways with the Ritz
Carlton:
For your next corporate off-site, consider partnering with the
Ritz Carlton to promote team building, leadership and philanthropy
through literacy, green and/or Habitat for Humanity projects.
You can also spend a few hours during your stay at the Ritz giving
back to a local community, making your time in the city even more
memorable -- for yourself and for those whose lives you impact.
Visit RitzCarlton.com
to learn more about Volunteaming and Give Back Getaways.
About Natalie
Pace:
Natalie
Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street. and Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, and the founder and
CEO of the Women’s Investment Network, LLC. She is a blogger on
HuffingtonPost.com,
and a repeat guest on national television and radio shows such as
Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV, Forbes.com, NPR and
more. As a philanthropist, she has helped to raise more than two
million for Los Angeles public schools and financial literacy. Follow
her on Facebook.com/NWPace.
For more
information please visit NataliePace.com.
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Is
GroupOn a Deal?
by Natalie
Pace.
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| Caption:
Photo by Doug Mazell. |
Groupon is
a lot like The Tourist. Has all the makings of hot, hot,
hot, but keeps getting panned by the critics... I never saw The
Tourist, and I've never used a Groupon coupon, so I guess I
shouldn't speak, but I have tried to understand GroupOn's financials,
and, well, when the darkest regions of my lover's mind are easier
to navigate, I start getting a little worried. Angelina and Johnny
are two of the hottest stars in Hollywood, and GroupOn deals are
sizzling sensations, so why doesn't it all add up to a hit?
Figuring
Out What the F (as in Financials) is Going on with GroupOn
Here's
your first challenge. Try finding the Investor Relations page on
GroupOn.com. And once you've done that, try to understand why this
company floated only a small percentage of its shares to the public
in its IPO (hint: so the insiders could sell their shares to the
public). And that will lead you to understand why Groupon shares
are worth about half today as their 52-week high.
The IPO launched
at $20/share, and went as high as $31.14 on November 4, 2011, but
has settled back into the $14-$19 range. Insiders are selling their
shares to the public in droves, which drives down the share
price, at a time when unsophisticated purchasers might not understand
that a hot name brand doesn't always translate into a hot stock.
(Just ask purchasers of eToys stocks, and errr, those who spent
$100 million funding The Tourist.)
Executive
Exodus
Massive
insider selling is not the only problem behind closed doors at GroupOn.
There has been a revolving door in the executive suite, particularly
in the #2 spot -- Chief Operating Officer. Former COO Margo Georgiadis
resigned after only five months on the job, to return to Google,
as President, Americas. This was announced by CEO Andrew Mason in
his blog on September 23, 2011, only one month prior to the announcement
of the IPO (red flag). No press release was issued, though this
was a material event (another red flag).
Both Mason
and Georgiadis played nice, issuing notes of confidence in one another,
however, it is telling that Margo's predecessor, Rob Solomon, also
resigned abruptly, on March 22, 2011, after about a year on the
job. He, too, resigned without a transition strategy. Mason explained
that allowed more people to report directly to him...
57% of the
executives at GroupOn are newbies who have been hired since the
beginning of the year. That's a problem, though, admittedly, the
resumes of these execs are quite impressive, with everyone recruited
from such marquise brands as Google, Microsoft, Cisco, Pepsico and
Amazon.
Rollercoaster
Revenue
There's
a revolving door in the COO suite and the revenue is on a wild rollercoaster
ride as well. Revenue was down almost 38% in the 3rd quarter, to
$430 million, from $688 million in the prior quarter. This could
be seasonal and the fourth quarter, with holiday spending, could
be a rocket ship. Only time will tell if GroupOn is a fading fad
or catching its second wind, but the Internet metrics do give us
some indication.

GroupOn's Unique
Visitors (UVs) were down 4% last month from June, while the Google
sites gained 4% over the same period, at 11 1/2 million and 187
million UVs, respectively. Amazon's UVs have jumped 12%, to 107
million. People spend about four and a half hours a month on Google,
about 24 minutes on Amazon and five and a half minutes a month on
GroupOn...
Borrowing
from Peter to Pay Off Chairman Eric P. Lefkofsky
Between
December of 2010 and January of 2011, almost a billion dollars was
brought into GroupOn through a new stock issuance, of which only
$136.2 million was allocated to the company itself. $809.8 million
was used to pay off existing investors, including the biggest payout
-- $319 million -- to Groupon's executive chairman Eric P.
Lefkofsky (and his wife). Paying off the insiders was more important
than strengthening a startup before its IPO (red flag). The Chairman
didn't have enough faith to just sell his shares on the open market
(another red flag). That transaction led Forbes to name Lefkofsky
as one of 2011's new Billionaires (good for Lefkofsky; not so good
for GroupOn).
David
Vs. Goliath
With
GroupOn, you have a cash negative company, with poor husbandry skills
(demonstrated by the $800 million insider payoff), using creative
accounting, that is unable to stay married to its partners (COO
exodus), that is losing revenue, trying to compete with the world's
most successful Internet brand -- Google. Google has a net profit
margin of 27%, has seen revenue growth every quarter since its IPO,
takes great pains to explain its financials, has an uncanny ability
to make outstanding acquisitions and has 16 times as many unique
visitors each month as GroupOn.
Google Offers
is still in beta testing. However, it's not difficult to understand
that Google's recent purchase of restaurant giant, The Zagat Guide,
could play a beneficial role in Google Offers...
GroupOn:
Deal or Dud?
Because
GroupOn is a fad, it is possible that investors could make money
on this stock, particularly if there is a Santa Rally and if the
fourth quarter earnings reflect strong revenue growth and improved
profitability. However, I'm not convinced that the CEO and chairman
at GroupOn are interested in more than lining their own pockets.
So, buyer beware...
I added
GroupOn to my Watch List today. If the price soars, you'll probably
see it migrate over to the Cooling Off list...
About Natalie
Pace:
Natalie
Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street. and Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, and the founder and
CEO of the Women’s Investment Network, LLC. She is a blogger on
HuffingtonPost.com,
and a repeat guest on national television and radio shows such as
Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV, Forbes.com, NPR and
more. As a philanthropist, she has helped to raise more than two
million for Los Angeles public schools and financial literacy. Follow
her on Facebook.com/NWPace.
For more
information please visit NataliePace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations.
ALWAYS do
your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional
before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term
goals and strategies. Investors should NOT be all
in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your retirement plan
should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with
the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with
your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion
of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
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The
Sexiest (& Safest) Investment in the World.
by Natalie
Pace.
Imagine a place
that is more free than the United States, has one of the lowest
debt to GDPs in the world, the highest bond yields, is one of the
richest countries in its region and still retains a AAA credit rating.
Wouldn't you want to invest there? And isn't that a great place
to diversify, in the hopes of getting better than zero return on
your investment, while staying safe?
Although it
sounds too good to be true, Australia is all of these things. Three
marquise fund companies are making it easy to invest in Australia,
while providing an extra layer of international exposure and safety
to your nest egg. See below for details. Click to view my FoxNews
appearance where I discussed Australia with anchor Tracy Byrnes.
The
Safest & Best Investment in the World: Australia
- #3 Most
"Free" Country in the World. According to the Index
of Economic Freedom, Australia is the #3 most
"free" country in the world. The U.S. is #9. What makes Australia
so free? According to the editors of the Index of Economic Freedom,
"With robust supervision and sound regulation, the banking system
has coped well with the financial turmoil, and the government’s
budget deficit is much lower than those of other major economies."
- One of
the Richest Countries in the Asia Pacific. Annual
GDP is $882.4 billion, which is impressive for a country of
just 22 million people. China, which has over 1.3 billion people
and a GDP of over $10 trillion, is one of Australia's biggest
customers. (source: CIA.gov
World Fact Book)
- Low debt
to GDP. Australia's debt to GDP ratio is one of the lowest
in the world, at 28.8% (source: CIA.gov). This compares to 119.1%
in Italy, 143% in Greece and almost 100% in the U.S. (when you
include Treasury borrowings from U.S. trusts, like Social Security,
Disability, etc.)
- West
to East migration of money beneficiary. China has been
racing up the charts in global growth and is currently the world's
second largest economy, well behind the United States' GDP of
$14.66 trillion. Some analysts say China will surpass the U.S.
in purchasing power by 2016, but there are a lot of if's in those
projections. One thing is for sure, however, China is much richer
today than it was 15 years ago, and one of their favorite playgrounds
and shopping meccas is Australia. The Chinese interest in Australian
companies and land has became so pronounced over the last few
years that the Australian policymakers have begun to review Australia's
foreign investment rules.
- Rich
in natural resources. Australia is one of the world's leading
commodity exporters. The country is rich in copper, gold, iron,
natural gas, renewable energy sources, trace metals and minerals,
lithium and more.
- Highest
Government Bond Yield in the World. You can get over 6% interest
when you open a savings account in Australia! Bond yields offer
some of the safest, highest yielding returns in the world currently.
This has led WisdomTree and Pimco to create Australian bond products
for American investors.
- AAA credit
rating. Australia's premiere banks are rated some of the safest
in the world, according to Global
Finance. Standard and Poor's, Moody's and Fitch all
give the country a AAA credit rating.
Ways
to Play:
Some
of the most trusted money managers in the world -- Pimco and Morgan
Stanley have new fund products that make it very easy for American
investors to participate in the promise of Australia. Below are
three ways for investors to play in Australia.
iShares
MSCI Australia Index Fund (symbol: EWA)
WisdomTree
AUNZ: Australia and New Zealand Debt Fund
PIMCO
Australia Bond Index ETF (symbol: AUD) (launched Oct. 2011)
I added the
Pimco Australia Bond Index to the Hot List today. The iShares MSCI
Australia Index Fund (symbol: EWA) has been on the Hot List for
a few months, at a buy price of $19.36.
About Natalie
Pace:
Natalie
Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street. and Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, and the founder and
CEO of the Women’s Investment Network, LLC. She is a blogger on
HuffingtonPost.com,
and a repeat guest on national television and radio shows such as
Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV, Forbes.com, NPR and
more. As a strong believer in giving back, she has been instrumental
in raising multi-millions for public schools, financial literacy,
underserved women and girls and the arts worldwide. Follow her on
Facebook.com/NWPace.
For more
information please visit NataliePace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations.
ALWAYS do
your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional
before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term
goals and strategies. Investors should NOT be all
in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your retirement plan
should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with
the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with
your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion
of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
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| Image
from launch of Virgin's iPad magazine Project at Apple.
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True
Business Leaders Think Differently.
by
Sir
Richard
Branson.
Leadership
doesn’t have a secret formula; all true leaders go about things
in their own way. It’s this ability to think differently that sets
them apart - and that enabled Steve
Jobs to create perhaps the most respected brand in the
world.
What leadership
boils down to is people. Whatever your style, whatever your method,
you need to believe in yourself, your ideas and your staff. Nobody
can be successful alone – and you cannot be a great leader without
great people to lead.
Steve Jobs' leadership style was autocratic; he had a meticulous
eye for detail, and surrounded himself with like-minded people to
follow his lead. While he was incredibly demanding of his people,
he wasn’t the best delegator – he wanted to involve himself in every
detail, which is the opposite of my own approach. Personally, I
have always believed in the art of delegation – finding the best
possible people for Virgin
and giving them the freedom and encouragement to flourish. When
I set up Virgin Records, I even decided to separate myself physically
from the company, by moving into a houseboat.
If you are
not always there, it forces other people to call the shots, which
in turn improves their own leadership skills, builds their confidence
and strengthens your business. But whatever your approach, it is
necessary to give other people the space to thrive, to catch people
doing something right, rather than getting things wrong. Look for
people who take their roles seriously and lead from the front, but
who are not slow to see the lighter side of life. People who are
inventive yet organized, focused yet fun, tend to be determined
to succeed, and equally keen to have a good time doing it. A company
should genuinely be a family, who achieve together, grow together
and laugh together.
Steve Jobs wasn’t known for his sense of fun, but he was always
at the centre of everything Apple
did. Over his extraordinary career, he learned the same lesson I
have – that even when you’re successful, it is vital that you don’t
solely lead your company from a distance. Walk the floor; get to
know your people. Even though I don’t run Virgin's
companies on a day-to-day basis any more, I still find
it crucial to get out and about among our staff. No one has a monopoly
on good ideas or good advice, so as a leader you should always be
listening. Be visible, note down what you hear and you’ll be surprised
how much you learn.
Having said
that, you also need to know your own mind. You have to walk the
walk as well as talk the talk – and that’s something Jobs showed
in everything he did. Nobody respects a leader who doesn’t know
how to get his hands dirty and innovate personally. The trick is
in striking the right balance between empowering your staff and
being an example for them to follow.
Of course, there will be times when strong and decisive leadership
is necessary, to make sure the right moves are made. If you place
the emphasis on getting the little things right, and address the
everyday problems that come up, you can encourage a culture of attention
to detail. You can also have a lot of fun with these relatively
tiny issues, whether it’s dealing personally with customers’ complaints
– as Jobs often did via email – or surprising your front-line staff
with a visit.
Despite his long battle with illness, Jobs never lost his love of
Apple. Indeed, if you don’t enjoy what you do, then it isn’t likely
to work out. I try to find fun in everything I do, from business
commitments to philanthropic ventures, to my personal life. You
are far more likely to be inspired and have great ideas if you love
what you do, and can instill that spirit of fun throughout your
company.
Jobs may not always have been the best leader of people – which
may, in part, have been due to his health problems – but he was
innovative, determined and, above all, passionate. Finding gaps
in the market, and creating products that make a real difference
to people’s lives, can only be accomplished if you have passion
for what you are doing. If you make something you are proud of,
that filters down to your staff, as well as your customers. Today,
more than ever, you’ve got to do something radically different to
make a mark.
In a 1997 marketing campaign for Apple, entitled "Think
Different," Jobs said: "Here’s to the crazy ones.
The misfits. The rebels. The troublemakers. The round pegs in the
square holes. The ones who see things differently." I am proud
to say that, in the accompanying montage, he counted me as one of
them. I think it’s an attitude that’s shared by all leaders who
make a difference – and it’s one reason why, despite our vastly
different styles, Steve Jobs was always the entrepreneur whom I
most admired.
About Sir
Richard Branson
Richard
Branson is the founder, Virgin Group, and the author of Screw
Business as Usual.
Reprinted
with permission from the author.
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The
Origin of Money is Gratitude.
by Natalie
Pace.
Wall Street
tells you to just get rich and then "do good" with all
the money you make. Did that ever make sense to you? Do you really
think that your pension or 401K or annuity or IRA should be invested
in and profiting from cigarette sales if your father died of lung
cancer? Or that you should earn dividends on defense contractors
if you are anti-war? Or that you should promote old school oil and
coal over solar, wind and geothermal, in the name of getting rich
at the expense of our planet? As a final nail in the coffin, Bernard
Madoff, the man who promised 12% return annually, went bankrupt
and so did many of the nonprofit organizations that relied upon
his fabricated expertise and track record, so that they could then
"do the right thing" with their earnings.
Some peacemakers
and spiritual leaders want to put their money where their heart
is -- but they don't know how to do it. You see, the "system" is
quite happy investing your money for you, which keeps everything
status quo and cronyism economics flourishing -- which is most often
at odds with the agendas of peacemakers and spiritual leaders.
The antidote
is wisdom, which is why it is so important that you read You
Vs. Wall Street, incorporate the principles and
start taking ownership of the world we live in. Our world is a direct
reflection of our collective investments and nothing will create
more peace, more prosperity, more health and more good will than
making sure that we are profiting from and purchasing goods and
services from socially conscious, green corporations. The sad truth
is that peace protestors who own stock in major defense contractors
are the "they" that they are protesting against -- even
if they have never dug into their financial statements and realized
that.
It’s hard to
imagine that network financial pundits still have their job, let
alone the same old tune, after 2008, when American taxpayers got
porked with a $10 trillion bailout of the banks, insurance companies
and car manufacturers. If your flying machine didn’t fly, you wouldn’t
be the expert on flying. So why are the grand fabricators of such
phrases as the New Economy, Y2K, liar’s loans, "greed is good"
(no, unfortunately this isn’t just a line in a movie) and Bailouts
still called experts? Why do they get to pontificate and spread
their (anti)wisdom and (non)knowledge all over our free airwaves?
Below is a
quote from a major network’s "Chief Financial Correspondent"
who appeared on a segment opposite me, on May 9, 2009. This CFC
explained why "socially conscious investing" doesn’t work,
saying:
Others
are just investing for greed, so they’ll cut corners, and you
may get stuck with a lower return because you’re investing in
a company that is doing the right thing. It may be best to try
and do the right thing in other areas of your life because when
you’re trying to invest, you can do better if you get the money
that you need. And then you’ve got the money to make other decisions
about how you’re going to do things.
Huh? Does that
make any sense at all in a post-bailout world? I could have pressed
him to come up with one example of a "greedy" company
that was doing very well on May 9, 2009, however, the network never
allowed us to debate one another and edited out my (winning) side
of the commentary.
Toyota, the
company doing the "right thing," i.e. making hybrids and
a line of fuel-efficient cars instead of Hummers and SUVs, rewarded
investors richly between 2000 and 2009. Investors of Ye Old Gas
Guzzler lost it all. Google, the company that expressly professed
not to do evil, was the most successful IPO on Wall Street of all
time, having scored more than seven times Return On Investment for
IPO investors between 2005 and 2008.
In fact, if
you were to incorporate just one simple thing in your investment
strategy – of investing in products and services that you actually
use and purchasing products that you think are best for our world
– you would ensure that you are always invested in companies that
were poised for the best return on investment. Why? Because ROI
is directly tied to sales. When a company can’t sell its product,
for whatever reason, it’s in trouble. When a consumer can’t get
enough of their product or service, the company’s value soars. Logical,
right?
When people
align their investing list with their shopping list, they earn stronger
gains and avoid companies that are destined to be bailed out or
bankrupt. This is a very old investing maxim, however, there’s more
to it than just that, which is why I wroteYou
Vs. Wall Street. Investing in emerging markets and products
is a strategy that is far more sound than "Greed is good,"
but there are cycles that must be understood, so that you are not
always buying in or selling out at the wrong time. Putting your
money where your heart is is an easy way to ensure that you are
not invested in the gas guzzler when the electric car zooms into
showrooms across America, or the typewriter when the computer is
in every office, or the payphone when the iPhone can rock your world
and ring your bell to boot.
Don’t rely
on stupid advice dispensed for free nationwide by idiots who still
think that "greed is good." (Oh my. Did I really say that?)
2009 was the second time in under ten years that Americans
lost half of their nest egg, under their system, commentary and
expertise. (First we had the New Economy DOT COM implosion and then
the Great Recession.) It’s your job to stop listening to their misinformation
and start educating yourself with investing strategies that work.
They are easy as a pie chart, so don’t worry, you won’t have to
get a PhD in economics to get smart and successful in investing.
And once you set it up right, it’s just a matter of annual rebalancing.
Why not fund
tomorrow’s cure for cancer with your investment dollars, instead
of today’s cigarette?
Why not fund clean water, instead of plastic water bottles? It’s
not that hard!
Don’t feel
silly that you didn’t trust your instincts before reading this.
I have been speaking at conferences about getting smart about what
you own in your 401(k) for over a decade now. It is, unfortunately,
my experience that even bestselling "spiritual" authors
were resistant to making changes in their retirement plan because:
1) they
didn’t know "if they could";
2) they didn’t know how to do it;
3) they didn’t know whom to trust; and, 4) figuring all of this
out was too hard. Even if I was stuck at the same conference with
these gurus for three full days, few sought me out to make these
changes. In other words, it is much easier to carry a sign protesting
war and cigarettes, while still owning and profiting from those
very things, than to send the powerful and effective message that
thousands of savvy protestors are pulling their money out of the
company and investing in health and peace. Today, citizens of the
world are aware that we must become conscious and figure this out,
to save our planet and start prospering again.
The origin
of money is gratitude, not Wall Street, not the Federal Reserve,
and not balding pundits and their blather on the merits of greed.
In order to truly understand this, you have to travel back with
me to the first time "money" exchanged hands. Back to the cave.
The
Origin of Money
Imagine
a family in the Stone Age, living in a cave. On a frigid night,
the parents are crying in one corner while their seven-year old
daughter lies dying in the other. They have tried everything --
cold compresses, hot broth, prayers, herbs, dances in the name of
the Gods, libations and still the fevers rage. Finally, the mother
races out into the neighboring tribe and drags the medicine woman,
through the snow, back to her home. The medicine woman clears the
cave with smoked sage, and administers her special poultices and
remedies that, over the course of a few days, save the child’s life.
Overwhelmed
with gratitude, the mother serves a feast for the medicine woman.
The father breaks out his mead. The brother scratches a painting
on the wall with a stick and beet juice.
Every morning
for the next six months the mother delivers a loaf of bread to the
medicine woman -- out of gratitude. It was a close call. She might
have lost her daughter forever, were it not for the healing gifts
the medicine woman brought to her. And she is grateful. The medicine
woman is grateful as well. She doesn't have to cook, which leaves
her more time to heal and to gather her special remedies.
Money
as Magic Tokens of Gratitude
So,
how do we apply caveman logic to today’s investments and bills?
Most of us feel more like we’re being eaten alive by bills, rather
than grateful for the services they provide.
However, you
don’t want to jam a hot wire into the electrical grid, risking your
own life to light up your home or cook a meal; instead, you write
the check to the utility company and are grateful for the light,
the ovens and the warmth. (Stay with me here for a moment. I know
it’s hard.) Similarly, when Tesla builds a gorgeous, 100% electric
luxury sedan, you are grateful that they made EVs sexier than a
golf cart, with enough battery range to get you to work. You don’t
want to have to research the technology, mine the lithium, create
the leaner/meaner lithium ion battery and then build it yourself.
Out of gratitude and desire, you purchase the Tesla S sedan over
the gas-guzzler, and invest in the company to boot (if it’s trading
at a good price and not carrying too much debt, etc.).
Americans enjoy
an exceptionally luxurious daily lifestyle. If you can’t be grateful,
it’s not because the products and services aren’t outstanding. It
is because your budget is out of whack. If you had to go a week
without coffee on demand, twelve million channels on television,
air conditioning on thermostat, automated traffic lights and smooth
roads, you’d certainly feel grateful the day those conveniences
were back to being available with the touch of a finger.
Think of check
writing as the daily bread of gratitude we give for the services
provided. Think of investing as actually owning the company that
is making the products and services you are proud of. When you invest
in real-world products, goods and services that you believe in,
you have pride in ownership, in addition to better returns. You
know how to value what you own. And, because others really love
the product, too, you’re poised for a great Return on Investment.
Another money
myth is that gold is better than paper money. The real thing being
exchanged is not gold or paper; it remains gratitude. The medium
is only the token. The token can be currency, or gold, or a gallon
of oil or even the ability to heal. Even in the Apocalypse, those
who add value and have things that are needed and desired will fare
well. The death of Steve Jobs did not destroy Apple’s ability to
build iPhones and iPads. Downsizing doesn’t take away the techie’s
ability to program for another firm. No matter what tokens America
uses, we are still the innovators of the planet, and the world values
Americans for that, as well as our beautiful land, which is protected
on both sides by oceans.
The truth is
that every cent you own and every moment you spend is always
an investment. How valuable are you right here and now, as a business
owner, spouse, sibling, lover, boss, co-worker, team player, parent,
educated being? How hot are you? Did you know that a person with
an advanced degree earns four times (or more) as much as someone
without a high school diploma? Did you know that hot and heavy couples
are not only sexier (and happier), they are healthier too? Getting
hot is a smart move!
Below are 4
easy ways that every single person can rethink, act anew and rebuild
a greater planet, starting with how they spend their time, their
money and their Buy My Own Island Fund
(formerly referred to as your retirement plan).
- Gratitude,
not greed (or entitlement). Be grateful for those companies
that provide comfort to you and your life. Write checks for your
mortgage, for your electricity and gas and food with a smile,
giving thanks for the shelter and comfort you receive. If
your bills are out of whack and you cannot smile, then you’ve
got to redesign your life according to the Thrive budget, instead
of the "Bills are Eating Me Alive!" budget.
- Emerging,
not dying, industries. Align all of your investments with
the products, goods and services that you believe are the
best on the planet today and going forward. Refuse to invest in
companies that are poorly run, that make bad products and/or are
stuck in the status quo of yesteryear. This fuels innovation.
And it offers the greatest returns over time.
- Happy
people make better products, faster, cheaper. Put your heart
into your work and watch your company transform. Your co-workers
will be inspired. Your bosses will enjoy greater sales, greater
productivity and higher operating margins. Your competition will
be forced to constantly innovate to stay a step ahead of you.
Whether you are in charge of the company, in charge of your office
or just in charge of getting yourself to work on time, be a beneficial
presence. Brighten the light in your home, in your office and
in our world. Shine!
- Wisdom
and right action, not blind faith. In the old system you handed
your money over to someone else to manage and didn’t
care what they did with it as long as they gave you back ten cents
on every dollar. That didn’t work so well, and it was the life-blood
of Wall Street greed! Stocks returned next to zero on the dollar
between 2001 and 2011, not 10% per year. Real estate tanked. Invest
in the products and services of an emerging world and you can
get rich, while enriching our nation – a win-win for all of us.
- Modern
Portfolio Theory and annual rebalancing. This system has worked
for the last decade, while buy and hold failed investors. Learn
more in You
Vs. Wall Street. You can also spend 3-days with
me at a Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat to learn hands-on how to implement
this easy-as-a-pie chart strategy into your beautiful bottom line.
Now is our
chance to take ownership and co-create a great tomorrow. Yes,
you can get rich and enrich. In fact, since the origin of money
is gratitude, as you become a person that others are more grateful
for, they will begin showering more tokens of their thanks (money)
on you.
Winter
Solstice Mantra: Create
I am a co-creator
of my world, my home, my neighborhood, my city, my state, my nation
and our world. Every cent I own and every moment I spend is always
an investment. I’m committed to being an angel in the lives of my
family, my beloved, my neighbors and those around the world. I’m
also committed to being a renegade, to follow what I know is right,
deep in my heart, instead of having blind faith in the status quo
and what others tell me to do.
Action
Plan:
- Know what
you own. Find out the Top 25 Holdings in the mutual funds that
you own. Go to NataliePace.com. Enter the 5-letter symbol for
the mutual fund in the Research Now box. You will be directed
to a stock page for that mutual fund. Click on Top 25 holdings.
- Write down
10 companies that you would like to own instead of the top holdings
of the mutual fund you now own. Even if you don’t own them yet,
you now have a blueprint of what you want. First steps!
- Wall Street
is owned by Main Street. So create a better world by owning great
companies (and getting rich while doing it).
About Natalie
Pace:
Natalie
Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street. and Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, and the founder and
CEO of the Women’s Investment Network, LLC. She is a blogger on
HuffingtonPost.com,
and a repeat guest on national television and radio shows such as
Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV, Forbes.com, NPR and
more. As a strong believer in giving back, she has been instrumental
in raising multi-millions for public schools, financial literacy,
underserved women and girls and the arts worldwide. Follow her on
Facebook.com/NWPace.
For more
information please visit NataliePace.com.
.
|
|
Occupy
Wall Street Update.
by Natalie
Pace.
Wall
Street Remains Barricaded.
 |
| Police
and barricades surround Liberty Square (Zuccotti Park) in NYC
on Nov. 17, 2011 |
By now, most
Americans have seen the startling image of a police officer pepper-spraying
a line of seated, non-violent and unarmed students at UC
Davis, and, prior to that, police officers doing a similar
spraying of young women penned in by police fencing in lower Manhattan.
The world knows the name of Scott Olsen, a member of Iraq Veterans
Against the War, who suffered a skull fracture and loss of language
(temporarily) after being hit by a projectile in a police tear gas
and rubber bullet raid on Occupy Oakland, on October 25, 2011. (Click
to see Scott Olsen speaking in his first television interview on
The
Ed Show, from November 30, 2011.)
All of these
events have only raised the profile and popularity of the Occupy
Wall Street "99%" movement -- a movement that is best characterized
simply as anti-oligarchy. According to the OccupyWallSt.org website,
the movement is "is fighting back against the corrosive power of
major banks and multinational corporations... and aims to fight
back against the richest 1% of people that are writing the rules
of an unfair global economy that is foreclosing on our future."
Just How
Powerful is OWS?
OccupyWallSt.org
is rapidly becoming one of the most trafficked websites in the world.
(Some enterprising venture capitalist might already be seeking to
monetize those eyeballs.) On November 19, 2011, the UC Davis pepper
spraying event trended the highest search on Google. Add: AOL's
data lists Occupy Wall Street as the #8 most popular news search,
behind Osama Bin Laden's death, the Penn State scandal, Arab Spring,
the Japanese Earthquake, the Royal Wedding, Gabrielle Giffords'
shooting and Casey Anthony. Through comScore Inc. declined to provide
traffic data for the site, Alexa.com ranks OccupyWallSt.org as #1,556
most popular site in the U.S., with 8,612 sites linking in. That's
not quite as popular as Oprah or The Daily Show, but
5X more popular than Bill O'Reilly, 23X more visited than the official
Tea Party website and almost 100X more trafficked than SarahPac.com
(Sarah Palin's website).
On November
17, 2011, Occupy Wall Street celebrated their two-month anniversary
with an impressive feat. An estimated 30,000 protesters marched
across Brooklyn Bridge. (Click to watch video footage of the Occupy
Wall Street 2-month anniversary march, including a "Bat
Signal.")
Even though
the movement is peaceful, the NYPD certainly considers Occupy Wall
Street to be a threat. Wall Street has been off limits to the public
since Day One of the movement. Beginning on September 17, 2011,
the NYPD barred entry on Wall Street to everyone except residents
and workers with, street lifters, police on horseback, barricades,
block sculptures and police zones. The last time Wall Street was
so closely guarded was in the wake of 9.11.
 |
| Police
and barricades guard the bull sculpture in New York City |
Occupy Wall
Street began in Zuccotti Park in lower Manhattan, but it has spread
to over 100 American cities and 1500 cities globally. Most encampments
include tents, tarps and semi-permanent residents who meet daily
in General Assemblies and march, typically alongside police reinforcements,
to protest the corrupt 1%. One of the most popular refrains of the
movement continues to be, "Banks got bailed out; we got sold out,"
and one of the symbols is an American flag with the names of major
corporations taking the place of the stars.
Protest marches
occur daily around the world in support of people who have had their
homes foreclosed, in support of workers who have had benefits reduced
and salaries stagnate and against war, big oil, big pharma and more.
On November 30, 2011, Occupy Wall Street protested "War Profiteers"
at the 17th annual Aerospace & Defense Finance Conference in
New York City. On November 20, 2011, there was a 24-hour drum circle
jam session outside Mayor Bloomberg's residence near Central Park.
On December 2, 2011 in Times Square,
Occupy Broadway
will fill the streets with artists, musicians and actors, in the
hopes that "New York re-imagines itself as a work of art, rather
than a retail shopping mall."
And that is
another unique aspect to the movement. The protesters are as serious
about the arts as they are their politics. According to Justin Wedes,
a diehard who has been with the movement since Day One, who spoke
to me on September 21, 2011 (Day Five), "Above everything, what
unites us is that we want to find unity and we want to find agreement
about changes that need to occur in our society in order for it
to be more equitable, in order for it to be more just, in order
for it to be more participatory, and more artistic and more beautiful."
Sounds utopian to jaded, Recession-weary citizens, but who really
doesn't desire a cleaner, greener, healthier, more artistic world
where the banksters aren't tossing families out of their homes and
running amok with our tax dollars?
Liberty
Square in Lower Manhattan
The
pepper spray and rubber bullet clashes with police have certainly
been less than beautiful, but the protestors remain committed, united
and strong. On November 15, 2011. NYPD officers swept through Liberty
Park (Zuccotti Park) at 1:00 a.m., tearing down tents and tarps,
confiscating bikes, books, instruments, generators, computers, heaters
and sleeping bags. A perimeter of barricades was put up, so that
everyone must go through a narrow opening, monitored by police,
to enter the park. Large bags, instruments and other "prohibited"
items are not allowed. Protesters are no longer encamped, but the
drumming and dancing and General Assemblies continue, with diehards
taking shifts occupying the park. Other geeks and techies have secured
more comfortable winter quarters close by in their #OccupiedOffice.
And the movement remains focused on targeted protests across America,
using the Internet to get information out to sympathetic citizens.
The "99%" Occupy
Wall Street movement is too diverse to have a cohesive statement,
which may limit how effective they can be in influencing the powers
they are protesting against, however, the central message remains
that they will "no longer tolerate the greed and corruption of the
1%." The most popular areas of consensus tend to be around sustainable
energy, sustainable food, natural health remedies, anti-war, anti-corruption,
anti-greed -- and drumming and the arts.
Though some
people in the movement are definitely socialist and unions have
attempted to ally themselves with Occupy Wall Street, there are
also many capitalists, economists and Wall Street traders in the
movement, who think that cronyism economics has corrupted the free
markets. General Assemblies allow for everyone to have a voice,
though the audience can weigh in if they believe the speaker has
gone off point, if they disagree, or with "up sparkles" (waving
fingers) if they strongly support what is being said. Most "spokespersons"
for the movement are quick to advise that they "speak for themselves
and not the movement."
Perhaps the
biggest question (and the biggest hope for Mayor Bloomberg) is whether
or not the movement will survive the dead of winter. #OccupiedOffice
certainly answers some of that question. Other solutions that have
been discussed include "hibernating" to re-emerge stronger in Spring
and building igloos in Liberty Square.
One thing is
for sure. Occupy Wall Street, like the Arab Spring, is a very popular
movement born of the people. It is a loud cry for greater democracy,
less corruption and shared prosperity. And, based on the rapid globalization
of this cry and the far-reaching alliances that have sprung up in
only two months, it is unlikely to go away until at least some of
its aims are achieved.
If you wish
to read my initial report from Day One of the Movement, go to HuffingtonPost.com/Natalie-Pace
and read "NYPD
Shuts Down Wall Street." I have also uploaded videos
of various protesters, in their own words, on my YouTube channel
at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
There you'll find war veterans, sexagenarians, BAs, BSs, greenies,
mothers and more... In my pretty extensive firsthand experience
with both Occupy Wall Street and Occupy LA, students are slightly
more than half of the people assembled in the Occupy Wall Street
movement. However, as the search trends show, the movement has hit
the mainstream in a very large way.
About Natalie
Pace:
Natalie
Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street. and Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, and the founder and
CEO of the Women’s Investment Network, LLC. She is a blogger on
HuffingtonPost.com,
and a repeat guest on national television and radio shows such as
Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV, Forbes.com, NPR and
more. As a strong believer in giving back, she has been instrumental
in raising multi-millions for public schools, financial literacy,
underserved women and girls and the arts worldwide. Follow her on
Facebook.com/NWPace.
For more
information please visit NataliePace.com.
|
|
Occupy
Wall Street.
by
the Honorable
Richard Posner.
 |
| Caption:
Man protesting at Occupy Santa Monica on October 13, 2011 |
What
is one to make of the "Occupy" movement? Is this the return
of the turbulent 1960s? Is it the American version of the "Arab
Spring"? Or of the French and English riots of recent years?
I
think only three things are clear: first, human beings are imitative,
and the success of the Arab riots that brought down several governments
and have shaken others was bound to attract imitation in some form
(a necessary qualification: the "Occupy" "occupations"
have been minimally violent); second, the social media have reduced
the cost of organizing collective activity by strangers; and third,
a depression (which we have now been in for more than three years,
since the financial crisis of September 2008) gives rise to street
demonstrations. (Think of the "Bonus March" on Washington
of 1932, broken up by U.S. soldiers under the direct command of
General MacArthur, who at the time was the chief of staff of the
Army.)
The
police I think made a tactical mistake in routing the "Occupiers"
from Zuccotti Park near Wall Street. That is the lesson of the 1960s.
Arrests, whacking demonstrators with billy clubs, dragging screaming
women to paddy wagons, and other police actions just create anger,
martyrdom complexes, and sympathy for the demonstrators. The Occupiers
had made the mistake of—occupying urban spaces (in imitation of
the Egyptians who occupied Tahrir Square in Cairo), rather than
marching in them. The occupations attracted criminals, panhandlers,
and lunatics, and created unattractive, unsanitary conditions. Self-destruction
impended, which cold weather in most of the country would have accelerated,
had not the arrests interrupted the natural process of decay. As
a result there is an increased danger that the occupations will
be replaced by a movement—how effective a one I do not know. (In
January 1969, student radicals occupied the Administration building
of the University of Chicago. The police were not summoned, and
after two weeks the radicals abandoned the building; almost 100
were then expelled or suspended from the university. The university
was largely spared the turmoil that continued for years at other
major universities.)
The
grievances of the "Occupiers" appear to be three: income
inequality, lack of jobs, and the baleful influence of the banking
industry ("Wall Street"), broadly defined to embrace pretty
much the entire financial sector. The three grievances are related,
and a skillful leader could make them coherent, as follows. Income
inequality had been growing for many years, most rapidly at the
top of the income distribution; between 1979 and 2007, the income
of the top 1 percent had grown by 275 percent, and the average income
by only 18 percent. The income of the top 1 percent has actually
declined during the current depression, but the growth of unemployment
and underemployment has highlighted the enormous disparity in wealth
between top and bottom. Although unemployment is much lower among
college graduates than among others, the unemployment rate of young
college graduates has increased sharply during this depression,
from 2 percent in 2007 to more than 7 percent today. This helps
to explain the prominence of college students and young college
graduates among the "occupiers" and their emphasis on
unemployment and income inequality.
Income
inequality at the top of the income distribution has been further
highlighted by the enormous publicity concerning the extraordinary
incomes that continue to be obtained by financial executives despite
their role in the current economic distress. Their incomes do appear
to be excessive, in the following senses. These incomes are generated
to a significant extent by speculation, which has social value in
increasing the amount of information about asset values and the
speed with which that information is generated, but these social
values are smaller than the profits of successful speculators, since
those profits consist primarily of gains, often produced by sheer
chance, at the expense of the people or firms with whom they are
trading.
Speculation
is not a zero-sum game, because valuable information is generated,
but the value is smaller than the gains of the successful speculators.
In the case of nonfinancial products and services, the producer
is typically unable to capture anywhere near the full value that
he creates. Bill Gates is believed to be the wealthiest person in
the world, but the business model that he invented, and its implementation
by Microsoft under his leadership, have created far more value than
he and the other leaders of Microsoft have appropriated. And without
government assistance, whereas the incomes of financial executives
have been bolstered by the efforts of the government to keep banks
from failing.
Banking
moreover has never been popular. The main reason I think is that
banking is one of the few industries that simply refuse to sell
to many of their most willing, even desperately willing, customers.
For what they are "selling" is loans, and mainline banks
won’t lend to people who have poor credit, leaving them to deal
with the payday lenders, the car title lenders, and the pawn shops.
Because
many financial executives have very large incomes, and because banks
have huge financial resources, the banking industry has enormous
influence on legislation and regulation. In the regime of deregulation
and lax regulation of the financial sector that began at the end
of the Carter Administration and accelerated in subsequent Administrations
(notably Clinton’s and the second Bush’s), bankers were enabled
to engage in a variety of risky and sharp practices—and competition
forced them to do so. Banks depend mainly on short-term capital,
both financial and human, and firms that depend on short-term capital
are constrained to compete to the fullest extent allowed by the
law and regulatory authorities, or else they lose their capital
to their bolder competitors. Competition in such an industry is
Darwinian.
Railing
against income inequality, job loss, and banking abuses is thus
understandable, but it doesn’t do any good. The "Occupiers"
are anarchic and disruptive, and the solid middle of American society,
which rejects the Tea Party because of its goofy ideas, is likely
to reject the Occupy movement because of its style, while broadly
sympathetic to its antipathies. But if the movement attracts charismatic
leaders amidst a stagnant or worsening economy, it may become a
force in American politics. Already Kalle Lasn and Micah White,
who appear to be the nearest thing the movement has to leaders,
have published an articulate manifesto, "Why
Occupy Wall Street Will Keep Up the Fight," (visited
Nov. 20, 2011), which reminds me of Tom Hayden’s 1962 "Port
Huron Statement of the Students for a Democratic Society,"
(visited Nov. 20, 2011).
About
Judge Richard A. Posner
Judge Richard A. Posner is Judge, United States Seventh Circuit
Court of Appeals & Senior Lecturer, University of Chicago Law
School. His most recent book is The
Crisis of Capitalist Democracy. Read his ongoing blog
with Dr. Gary Becker at http://uchicagolaw.typepad.com/beckerposner.
This
blog has been reprinted with permission of the author. All rights
are reserved by Judge Richard A. Posner.
|
|
The
Occupy Wall Street Movement.
by Dr.
Gary S. Becker.
 |
| Caption:
Man getting his shoes shined, across the street from the New
York Stock Exchange and Wall Street |
Will the "Occupy"
movement develop into a significant political force? I am doubtful:
the movement is already losing supporters in most places where it
has been active. Cold weather will accelerate the decline. The movement
is losing ground not because the issues it raises are unimportant,
but rather because the great majority of Americans and those in
other countries with Occupy groups do not sympathize with most of
the people doing the occupying.
We discussed
the unemployment situation in the US last week, and reform of banks
in several previous posts, so I concentrate my comments on the inequality
issues raised by occupiers. American inequality in the distribution
of incomes, and inequality in many other Western nations, has grown
a lot since the late 1970s. This growth can be separated into the
growth in earnings inequality across education and other skill classes,
and the growth in income at the very top of the income distribution.
I start with the inequality by skill, since that is what most closely
affects the vast majority of people.
Many of the
Occupy Wall Street participants are college students- it is easy
to miss classes at most colleges for a few days and even much longer-
and other young persons who had gone to college. They have complained
about the "high" unemployment of college-educated persons,
and also about the burden of college loans. Yet the large increase
in earnings inequality during past 30 years has mainly taken the
form of a growth in the earnings of college graduates and that of
others with high levels of skills relative to earnings of high school
dropouts, high school graduates, and others with lower skills. Although
unemployment grows for all education groups during recessions, it
has not grown any faster during the Great Recession for college-educated
persons than for persons without college, and is still much lower
for the college educated. For example, in October of 2011 the unemployment
rate for college graduates was under 5% compared to an unemployment
rate of almost 14% for high school dropouts.
Nor are the
complaints by occupiers about the burden of student loans much better
founded for the great majority of graduates. The typical rate of
return to a college graduate, especially those with post-graduate
degrees, has risen greatly since the late 1970s, certainly high
enough to support even sizable student loans with interest payments
that are heavily subsidized by the federal government. The real
ones with a gripe are high school dropouts who not only have high
unemployment rates, but also low real earnings that may have fallen
for dropouts during past 30 years, poorer health than others, bad
marital prospects, and weak access to home ownership and other consumer
luxuries.
The Occupy
Movement and everyone else worried about earnings inequality should
be emphasizing the need to find ways to encourage more high school
dropouts and high school graduates to get the required background
and study habits so that they can, and want to, continue on for
a college education. A daunting task, but a necessary one in order
to respond in an effective way to the anatomy of the large growth
in earnings inequality.
The income
share of the top 1% in the United States has declined a lot since
the onset of the Great Recession, but it is still much higher than
it was in the 1970s. Earnings are also an important component of
these very high incomes, but these are earnings of top management
and executives, including the top earners in banking, and in hedge
funds and other managers of money, and including also the top earners
in medicine, law, consulting, and some other fields. According to
a November 2010 study by Bakija, Cole, and Heim (I am indebted to
Steve Kaplan for referring me to this study), more than 60% of the
persons in the top 1% of the income distribution in 2005 consisted
of (non-finance) executives, managers, and supervisors, medical
personnel, lawyers, and non-finance persons doing computing, math,
or engineering.
Although, on
the whole, I believe that most members of the top 1% provide useful
services to society, I share the concern of "occupiers"
and Tea Party members about many of the bailouts. The rich bankers
and others who took large risks should have taken much larger haircuts.
I have also supported from the beginning of the recession higher
capital requirements for banks, especially for the large "too
big to fail banks" that will be bailed out if they get into
financial difficulties.
Nevertheless,
the overall earnings inequality has far greater relevance for the
vast majority of occupiers and Tea Party supporters than do the
earnings of men and women at the very top of the financial sector.
The most effective way for the US to reduce overall inequality that
will help the largest number of young persons is by finding ways
to bring American high school and college graduation rates up to
the levels achieved by the other nations, such as South Korea and
some European nations, that have replaced the US as worldwide leaders
in education achievements.
About Dr.
Becker
Dr.
Gary Becker
is a University Professor, Department of Economics, and Sociology
Professor, Graduate School of Business, The University of Chicago.
He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1992 for his groundbreaking
work in "human capital." President George W. Bush awarded him the
Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2007.
To keep
track of Dr. Becker's continuing research and commentary, visit
his website
and blog.
|
|
Beyond
the Super Committee.
by
the Schwab
Center for Financial Research.
 |
| The
Super Committee is co-chaired by Representative Jeb Hensarling
(R-TX) and U.S. Senator Patty Murray (D-WA) |
After months
of negotiations, the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction
(the "super committee") announced that it could not reach agreement,
stating: "We have come to the conclusion today that it will not
be possible to make any bipartisan agreement available to the public
before the committee's deadline."
The super committee
had a deadline of November 23 to make recommendations to trim at
least $1.2 trillion from the budget deficit, but the law required
that the super committee post publicly any recommendations at least
48 hours before the deadline, or on Monday, November 21.
What's beyond
the super committee? Schwab answers the key questions.
- Why did
the super committee fail?
- In the
event of a super committee failure, automatic spending cuts
are supposed to take effect starting in 2013. How large are
those cuts and which programs are affected?
- Will these
spending cuts actually happen, or is there a mechanism for either
Congress or the President to intervene?
- A significant
number of tax cuts are due to expire in 2011. What are they
and will they be extended?
- Are there
other important provisions of the tax code that must be addressed
before the end of 2011?
- The Bush-era
tax cuts are due to expire at the end of 2012. When will their
fate be addressed?
- The 2012
election is less than a year away. Did either party's chance
for gaining ground benefit from the super committee failure?
- What are
the implications of the super committee's failure for the stock
market overall?
- What's
the bullish case for US stocks?
- What's
the bearish case for US stocks?
- Are we
more persuaded by the bulls or the bears?
- Are specific
sectors or industries at greater risk in the event the automatic
cuts happen?
- Is there
a chance that Moody's will downgrade US debt as a result of
the super committee's failure?
- What would
happen if there were another downgrade of US debt?
- Are US
treasuries still a safe-haven investment?
Why
did the super committee fail?
The
12 members of the super committee struggled to bridge a huge philosophical
gap between the two parties in an effort to come up with a plan.
The main issue has been the desire of the panel's six Republicans
on the committee not to increase taxes, while the panel's six Democrats
have opposed significant entitlement cuts without tax increases.
This is the same fundamental disagreement that led to the near-shutdown
of the government in March, and to the debt ceiling crisis in August.
The two sides were never able to come to any agreement.
In
the event of a super committee failure, automatic spending cuts
are supposed to take effect starting in 2013. How large are those
cuts and which programs are affected?
Under
the law, automatic, across-the-board spending cuts totaling $1.2
trillion will take effect on January 2, 2013, and will be spread
out evenly over the next nine years. About $200 billion of that
figure comes from savings on interest on the debt, so the total
amount of cuts over the nine-year period is about $1 trillion. Half
of that amount will come from defense spending and half from non-defense
spending. In the latter category, a number of programs are exempt
from the cuts, including Social Security, Medicaid, veterans' benefits,
children's health programs, and the Earned Income Tax Credit.
Will
these spending cuts actually happen, or is there a mechanism for
either Congress or the President to intervene?
Because
the cuts do not take effect until January 2013, there is more than
a year for Congress to undo the cuts. Legislation to exempt more
programs could be introduced, approved by both chambers of Congress
and signed by the President. A number of members of Congress from
both sides of the aisle have said that they will make attempts in
the coming year to reduce or eliminate many of the planned cuts.
The President has indicated that he would veto such efforts, but
no specific proposals have been put forward yet.
A
significant number of tax cuts are due to expire in 2011. What are
they, and will they be extended?
Over
the next several weeks, Congress will have to scramble to extend
tax cuts that are set to expire at the end of this year. Lawmakers
were waiting to see what the super committee did with some of these
tax items, and now that nothing has happened, they must be addressed.
Topping the
list is the 2011 payroll tax cut. In 2011, the amount of payroll
taxes an employee saw taken out of each paycheck was reduced from
6.2% to 4.2%, but that amount is set to revert to 6.2% on January
1, 2012. President Obama has proposed reducing the payroll tax further,
to 3.1% for both employees and employers. That proposal has not
yet been considered by Congress, and its price tag—about $245 billion—may
make it impossible to get through a divided Congress. Just extending
the current law for a year would cost about $100 billion. Congress
is expected to consider some kind of payroll tax cut extension in
December.
Are
there other important provisions of the tax code that must be addressed
before the end of 2011?
Yes,
there are a host of other tax provisions expiring at the end of
this year.
Businesses
are particularly concerned about the expiration of the research
and development tax credit, and several other expiring business
tax provisions.
On the individual
side, among the items set to expire are the deduction for state
and local sales tax, the deduction for college tuition and the IRA
charitable rollover. Also expiring at the end of this year is the
Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) "patch." For more than a decade, Congress
has passed a series of patches that increase the amount of income
exempt from the AMT. Without this fix, the exempted amount would
tumble, potentially exposing an estimated 20-30 million Americans
to higher taxes. However, the provision is in place for the 2011
tax year (for which taxpayers will be submitting returns in April
2012), so this does not need to be addressed until sometime before
the end of next year.
The
Bush-era tax cuts are due to expire at the end of 2012. When will
their fate be addressed?
This
is the biggest issue. These tax cuts include the reduced income
tax rates, the 15% tax rate for capital gains and dividends, the
estate tax, and other provisions.
Congress will
need to deal with those before the end of 2012. There is a good
chance that Congress will wait until after the 2012 elections to
address the issue, in what is known as a "lame duck" session of
Congress in November/December 2012. That's what happened in 2010,
when Congress waited until December 17th before passing a two-year
extension of the tax cuts.
The
2012 election is less than a year away. Did either party's chance
for gaining ground benefit from the super committee failure?
It's
hard to say, but our first reaction is that neither party will benefit
from this failure. Public reaction is very negative, and there appears
to be plenty of blame for both sides.
What
are implications of the super committee's failure for the stock
market overall?
The
market action on Monday was grim, but we believe it may have had
as much to do with the ongoing eurozone crisis as it did with the
failure of the super committee to come to an agreement.
It does add
to the confidence crisis that's been pervasive, however, and the
market will remain attuned to the payroll tax cut, which is due
to expire at year-end. Failure to extend that cut could cut shave
as much as 1% from gross domestic product in the first half of 2012.
In the meantime,
the market continues to resemble a seesaw, moving from risk-on to
risk-off mode, depending on news flow. After a nearly 10% rally
in the first four months of the year, the market suffered a near-20%
correction over the next five months, before rallying a big 17%
in October. Since then, the market has been consolidating some of
those gains.
We continue
to believe the market is in a trading range, but with an upward
bias—because although the picture is mixed, there are plenty of
positives going for both the economy and the market.
What's
the bullish case for US stocks?
We
believe there are many positives for US stocks right now, including
better economic news from the United States and recent moves on
the part of global central banks.
- Better US
economic news:
- Recent
weekly unemployment insurance claims below 400,0001;
layoff announcements down; and job postings up (strong Job Openings
and Labor Turnover Survey report).
- Bank lending
up, both among consumers and businesses.
- Business
and consumer optimism ticking back up after the summer swoon.
- Inventories
have been cut to the bone, taking growth from the third quarter,
but are set to be additive in the fourth quarter, as they are
now too low relative to sales growth.
- Leading
Economic Indicators (LEI) up sharply in latest report, with
positive contributions from nine of the 10 sub-components2.
- Core inflation
moving lower, which should boost "real" gross domestic product
(GDP); gasoline prices near their lowest levels of the year.
- Much better
housing news: building permits, new home sales and recent National
Association of Home Builders housing index all exceeded expectations.
- Global central
bank and eurozone political leadership capitulations. Although
decisive plans to stem the crisis are lacking, the European Central
Bank (ECB) and other global central banks have moved into loosening
mode, which should help boost growth.
- Eurozone
recession likely underway, but trade with Europe only accounts
for 1.3% of US GDP.
- Strong third-quarter
corporate earnings: 18% year-over-year growth in the S&P 500,
with companies beating expectations by an average of 6%3.
- Cheap stock
valuations: The S&P 500 has a forward price-earnings ratio
of 12 vs. a median of 16.8 since 1990 (the period through which
we have data)4.
- Paltry bond
yields: If they begin to rise (while bond prices fall), money
could re-allocate from bonds to stocks.
- Over the
past five years, outflows from equity mutual funds of over $400
billion and inflows to bond mutual funds of over $800 billion:
$1.2 trillion spread is by far an all-time record flow in favor
of bonds.
- Still-pessimistic
investor sentiment, suggesting the "wall of worry" markets like
to climb is intact.
- Market has
consistently bounced back quickly after sell-offs, suggesting
market players are underinvested and worried about missing out.
What's
the bearish case for US stocks?
We
believe the bearish case rests on a number of factors.
- Spikes in
yields have moved from the eurozone's periphery to core countries
like Italy and Spain.
- Germany
and the ECB are (so far) rejecting calls to bail out struggling
countries by buying bonds and acting as lender of last resort.
- Eurozone
is likely already in a recession.
- Consumer
confidence taking another hit from the super committee's failure.
- Oil prices
are climbing on Middle East tensions flaring again.
- Ongoing
debt deleveraging by private sector with public sector just starting.
- Rampant
market volatility is keeping individual investors on the sidelines.
- "Stall speed"
of economy means recession risk is not eliminated: downward revision
to third quarter GDP adds fuel to that view.
- The Federal
Reserve is pushing on a string; if another round of quantitative
easing is coming, it brings unintended consequences, including
commodity inflation.
- Concerns
about a hard landing in China, the world's second largest economy.
Are
we more persuaded by the bulls or the bears?
The
bulls. Admittedly, the bearish case is the more intellectually powerful
and will continue to put pressure on the US economy and markets.
But we believe much of it is already built into expectations (and
prices). When the expectations bar gets set as low as it has been,
the ability for results to hurdle that bar becomes easier. As the
market's huge rally in October attests, you don't need a rash of
exceptionally good news—just marginally better news than the consensus
expects—to pull some of the massive sidelined money back into the
market.
Are
specific sectors or industries at greater risk in the event the
automatic cuts happen?
By
far the largest industry at risk is in the defense area, which could
see up to $900 billion in cuts over the next decade, according to
Strategas Group in their report dated November 21, 2011. Highly
placed officials inside the military and members of both parties
have criticized the cuts, but the President has said he would veto
any attempts to "undo" the automatic cuts triggered by the failure
of the super committee. Should the cuts go into effect, revenues,
profits and ultimately the share prices of companies that are heavily
dependent on US defense contracts would likely be impacted negatively.
While not as
severe, health care companies that deal with the government, especially
with Medicare, also stand to be hurt should nothing be done. In
the same report, Strategas estimates $120 billion in cuts for those
companies that provide Medicare services.
Obviously,
there is a long way to go, but we advise investors to keep an eye
on the negotiations and monitor their holdings in the above-mentioned
industries, as the impact could be substantial if the cuts proceed
as planned.
Is
there a chance that Moody's will downgrade US debt as a result of
the super committee's failure?
There's
always a risk, but for now the rating agencies appear to be waiting
for further developments. After the super committee announcement,
all three of the major rating agencies—Standard & Poor's, Moody's
Investors Service and Fitch Ratings—reaffirmed their current ratings.
S&P, which downgraded longer-term US sovereign debt last August,
affirmed its AA+ rating, indicating that the imposition of automatic
spending cuts is enough to keep the rating unchanged for now. In
our view, Moody's, which has the United States still rated Aaa but
on negative outlook, could downgrade the US debt if the automatic
spending cuts are canceled. Fitch indicated that it is reviewing
its AAA rating with a stable outlook in light of the committee's
failure to come up with an agreement. Regardless of the debt rating,
Treasury yields continue to trade near 40-year lows and the United
States continues to see inflows of foreign capital. Even with downgrades,
the market action suggests that the US Treasury market remains the
benchmark for global investors. We believe that the market will
determine interest rates on US debt, not the rating agencies.
What
would happen if there were another downgrade of US debt?
If
Moody's does downgrade the United States, we doubt it would have
a major impact on the market. Rates fell sharply after the S&P
downgrade, showing that the focus is more on economic growth, inflation
expectations and the safe-haven status of US Treasuries. Some institutional
buyers may need to change investment guidelines to hold US Treasuries
if two out of three agencies lower the rating, but it is likely
these guidelines have already been changed as a result of the S&P
move.
Are
US Treasuries still a safe-haven investment?
We
continue to view the US Treasury market as the benchmark safe-harbor
rate even if there is another downgrade. Most tellingly, Treasury
yields fell on Monday, which suggests a greater concern about Europe
than the super committee's failings.
1. United States
Department of Labor.
2. The
Conference Board.
3. Thomson
Reuters, as of November 14, 2011.
4. FactSet,
Standard & Poor's, as of November 11, 2011.
Footnotes:
1. United States Department of Labor.
2. The Conference Board.
3. Thomson Reuters, as of November 14, 2011.
4. FactSet, Standard & Poor's, as of November 11, 2011.
Important
Disclosures
The
information provided here is for general informational purposes
only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation
or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned
here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review
an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before
making any investment decision.
All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice
in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein
from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered
reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability
cannot be guaranteed.
Examples provided are for illustrative (or "informational") purposes
only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect
to achieve.
Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal
during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments
are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality,
market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate
events, tax ramifications and other factors. For municipal securities,
income may be subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT), and
capital appreciation from discounted bonds may be subject to state
or local taxes. Capital gains are not exempt from federal income
tax.
|
|
Equity-Indexed Annuities—A Complex Choice.
A FINRA.org
Investor Alert.
Why
an Alert on Equity-Indexed Annuities?
Sales
of equity-indexed annuities (EIAs)—also known as "fixed-indexed
insurance products" and "indexed annuities"—have grown considerably
in recent years. Although one insurance company at one time included
the word "simple" in the name of its product, EIAs are anything
but easy to understand. One of the most confusing features of an
EIA is the method used to calculate the gain in the index to which
the annuity is linked. To make matters worse, there is not one,
but several different indexing methods. Because of the variety and
complexity of the methods used to credit interest, investors will
find it difficult to compare one EIA to another.
Before you
buy an EIA, you should understand the various features of this investment
and be prepared to ask your insurance agent, broker, financial planner
or other financial professional lots of questions about whether
an EIA is right for you.
What
is an Annuity?
An annuity is a contract between you and an insurance company in
which the company promises to make periodic payments to you, starting
immediately or at some future time. If the payments are delayed
to the future, you have a deferred annuity. If the payments
start immediately, you have an immediate annuity. You buy
the annuity either with a single payment or a series of payments
called premiums.
Annuities come
in two types: fixed and variable. With a fixed annuity, the
insurance company guarantees both the rate of return and the payout.
As its name implies, a variable annuity's rate of return
is not stable, but varies with the performance of the stock, bond
and money market investment options that you choose. There is no
guarantee that you will earn any return on your investment and there
is a risk that you will lose money. Unlike fixed contracts, variable
annuities are securities registered with the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC). To learn more about variable annuities, read our
Investor Alert, "Should
You Exchange Your Variable Annuity?"
What
is an Equity-Indexed Annuity?
EIAs are complex financial instruments that have characteristics
of both fixed and variable annuities. Their return varies more than
a fixed annuity, but not as much as a variable annuity. So EIAs
give you more risk (but more potential return) than a fixed annuity
but less risk (and less potential return) than a variable annuity.
EIAs offer
a minimum guaranteed interest rate combined with an interest rate
linked to a market index. Because of the guaranteed interest rate,
EIAs have less market risk than variable annuities. EIAs also have
the potential to earn returns better than traditional fixed annuities
when the stock market is rising.
What
is the Guaranteed Minimum Return?
When EIAs were first sold in the mid-1990s, the guaranteed minimum
return was typically 90 percent of the premium paid at a 3 percent
annual interest rate. More recently, in part because of changes
to state insurance laws, the guaranteed minimum return is typically
at least 87.5 percent of the premium paid at 1 to 3 percent interest.
However, if you surrender your EIA early, you may have to pay a
significant surrender charge and a 10 percent tax penalty that will
reduce or eliminate any return.
How
good is this guarantee?
Your guaranteed return is only as good as the insurance company
that gives it. While it is not a common occurrence that a life insurance
company is unable to meet its obligations, it happens. There are
several private companies that rate an insurance company's financial
strength. Information about these firms can be found on the SEC's
website.
What
is a market index?
A market index tracks the performance of a specific group of stocks
representing a particular segment of the market, or in some cases
an entire market. For example, the S&P 500 Composite Stock Price
Index is an index of 500 stocks intended to be representative of
a broad segment of the market. There are indexes for almost every
conceivable sector of the stock market. Most EIAs are based on the
S&P 500, but other indexes also are used. Some EIAs even allow
investors to select one or more indexes.
How
is an EIA's index-linked interest rate computed?
The index-linked gain depends on the particular combination of indexing
features that an EIA uses. The most common indexing features are
listed below. To fully understand an EIA, make sure you not only
understand each feature, but also how the features work together
since these features can dramatically impact the return on your
investment.
- Participation
Rates. A participation rate determines how much of the gain
in the index will be credited to the annuity. For example, the
insurance company may set the participation rate at 80 percent,
which means the annuity would only be credited with 80 percent
of the gain experienced by the index.
- Spread/Margin/Asset
Fee. Some EIAs use a spread, margin or asset fee in addition
to, or instead of, a participation rate. This percentage will
be subtracted from any gain in the index linked to the annuity.
For example, if the index gained 10 percent and the spread/margin/asset
fee is 3.5 percent, then the gain in the annuity would be only
6.5 percent.
- Interest
Rate Caps. Some EIAs may put a cap or upper limit on your
return. This cap rate is generally stated as a percentage. This
is the maximum rate of interest the annuity will earn. For example,
if the index linked to the annuity gained 10 percent and the cap
rate was 8 percent, then the gain in the annuity would be 8 percent.
Caution!
Some EIAs allow the insurance company to change participation rates,
cap rates, or spread/asset/margin fees either annually or at the
start of the next contract term. If an insurance company subsequently
lowers the participation rate or cap rate or increases the spread/asset/margin
fees, this could adversely affect your return. Read your contract
carefully to see if it allows the insurance company to change these
features.
Indexing
Methods. As described in the table below, there are several
methods for determining the change in the relevant index over the
period of the annuity. These varying methods impact the calculation
of the amount of interest to be credited to the contract based on
a change in the index.
|
Indexing
Method
|
Description
|
|
Annual
Reset (Rachet)
|
Compares
the change in the index from the beginning to the end of each
year. Any declines are ignored.
Advantage:
Your gain is "locked in" each year.
Disadvantage:
Can be combined with other features, such as lower cap rates
and participation rates that will limit the amount of interest
you might gain each year.
|
|
High
Water Mark
|
Looks
at the index value at various points during the contract,
usually annual anniversaries. It then takes the highest of
these values and compares it to the index level at the start
of the term.
Advantage:
May credit you with more interest than other indexing methods
and protect against declines in the index.
Disadvantage:
Because interest is not credited until the end of the term,
you may not receive any index-link gain if you surrender your
EIA early. It can also be combined with other features; such
as lower cap rates and participation rates that will limit
the amount of interest you might gain each year.
|
|
Point-to-Point
|
Compares
the change in the index at two discrete points in time, such
as the beginning and ending dates of the contract term.
Advantage:
May be combined with other features, such as higher cap and
participation rates, that may credit you with more interest.
Disadvantage:
Relies on single point in time to calculate interest. Therefore,
even if the index that your annuity is linked to is going
up throughout the term of your investment, if it declines
dramatically on the last day of the term, then part or all
of the earlier gain can be lost. Because interest is not credited
until the end of the term, you may not receive any index-link
gain if you surrender your EIA early.
|
- Index
Averaging. Some EIAs average an index's value either daily
or monthly rather than use the actual value of the index on a
specified date. Averaging may reduce the amount of index-linked
interest you earn.
- Interest
Calculation. The way that an insurance company calculates
interest earned during the term of an EIA can make a big difference
in the amount of money you will earn. Some EIAs pay simple interest
during the term of the annuity. Because there is no compounding
of interest, your return will be lower.
- Exclusion
of Dividends. Most EIAs only count equity index gains from
market price changes, excluding any gains from dividends. Since
you're not earning dividends, you won't earn as much as if you
invested directly in the market.
Can
I get my money when I need it?
EIAs
are long-term investments. Getting out early may mean taking a loss.
Many EIAs have surrender charges. The surrender charge can be a
percentage of the amount withdrawn or a reduction in the interest
rate credited to the EIA.
Also, any withdrawals
from tax-deferred annuities before you reach the age of 59½ are
generally subject to a 10 percent tax penalty in addition to any
gain being taxed as ordinary income.
Do
EIAs and other tax-deferred annuities provide the same advantages
as 401(k)s and other before tax retirement plans?
No,
401(k) plans and other before-tax retirement savings plans not only
allow you to defer taxes on income and investment gains, but your
contributions reduce your current taxable income. That's why most
investors should consider an EIA and other annuity products only
after they make the maximum contribution to their 401(k) and other
before-tax retirement plans. To learn more about 401(k)s, please
read Smart
401(k)
Investing.
Is
it possible to lose money in an EIA?
Yes.
Many insurance companies only guarantee that you'll receive 87.5
percent of the premiums you paid, plus 1 to 3 percent interest.
Therefore, if you don't receive any index-linked interest, you could
lose money on your investment. One way that you could not receive
any index-linked interest is if the index linked to your annuity
declines. The other way you may not receive any index-linked interest
is if you surrender your EIA before maturity. Some insurance companies
will not credit you with index-linked interest when you surrender
your annuity early.
If
You Have Questions
If
you have questions about EIAs, you can contact your state
insurance commissioner. You can check out whether the
person selling an EIA is registered with FINRA. Check FINRA
BrokerCheck or call our hotline at (800) 289-9999.
Additional
Resources
To receive
the latest Investor Alerts and other important investor information
sign up for Investor
News.
About
FINRA
The
Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), is the largest
independent regulator for all securities firms doing business in
the United States. All told, FINRA oversees nearly 4,800 brokerage
firms, about 170,400 branch offices and approximately 643,000 registered
securities representatives.
FINRA believes
investor protection begins with education. Using the Internet, the
media and public forums, we help investors build their financial
knowledge and provide them with essential tools to better understand
the markets and basic principles of saving and investing.
|
|
Should
You Pick Up the Check?
by
Natalie Pace.
Are
you Princess Kate, Britney or Angelina?
Women earn
more than their husbands in 1/3 of two-income households. With this
newfound financial freedom comes an age-old dilemma. Who picks up
the check?
 |
| The bride
and groom Prince William, Duke of Cambridge and Catherine, Duchess
of Cambridge. |
Fortunately,
thanks to the hard work of the women who have come before us, women
are free, free, free to get an education and pretty much any job
we desire, so, these days, many of us can afford to pick up our
own check anytime we wish to.
But should
we? Or should a woman politely excuse herself to the powder room
just before the check arrives, to allow him to make the choice?
Should she discuss it with him beforehand? Should she take charge
and just snatch the bill before he does, so he won't think she's
only after him for his money?
As if procreating
the species and having a monthly period wasn’t hard enough, now
we have to figure out an entirely new mating dance! Who picks up
the check?!!
If you were
time-transported back a century, the waiter would hand the bill
directly to him, and the girl would just "Be a lady and let
him pay." Those old mores are more than a little responsible
for keeping women barefoot, pregnant and without a vote, for nearly
a century and a half after America was founded.
But old mores
die hard. The current version of "Be a lady and let him pay"
is based upon the assumption that letting him pay the bill makes
him feel more manly and is simply more romantic. Plus,
it's a gauge of just how into you he really is. But is this
true?
I looked at
three very high profile women, and a few throughout history, and
what I discovered was that the real question isn't who picks up
the check. The real question is: What kind of relationship are you
interested in? Picking up the check (or not) sends a subtle relationship
signal to your date early on about the kind of relationship that
you are interested in. Not who wears the pants, but, rather,
who pays the bills. And rest assured, there is a good man available
for many different types of payment scenarios.
So, would you
rather be Princess Kate, Britney Spears or Angelina Jolie?
Girls
Who Pick Up.
Do
you own your own castle?
Are you so
wealthy that the only guy who can pick up your check is Prince Harry?
Let’s face
it. Britney Spears could have dated a prince or perhaps even an
Internet billionaire, if she wanted to play the damsel in the relationship.
However, she picked a dancer to be the father of her two children
– someone she would have to support. In 2009, she began dating her
agent – another man she supports.
Now, Britney
divorced her first (and second) husbands, but picking up doesn’t
necessarily doom the relationship. Queen Elizabeth II and Prince
Philip have been married for centuries (okay, since 1947). Prince
Philip renounced his own bloodlines, assumed the title of his maternal
grandparents and then moved into Windsor Castle. Who knows what
goes on behind the castle walls, but the adoring public wants to
see and touch their Queen, and you will never see
the Prince Consort upstaging her.
If you have
more money than the Queen of England (like J.K. Rowling does), or
have a dream job that you want to place as a priority in the relationship,
and/or are looking for someone to play a supportive role to you,
then, by all means, reach for the check (with all of the femininity
that you desire to summon) on ALL of your first dates. Be aware,
however, that if you do reach for that check on the first date,
and he lets you pay it, he’s also sending a tacit signal to you
– that he’s fine letting you support him!
The challenge
of being a woman who rules the roost in a relationship is finding
a great guy and not just a gigolo who is fawning all over you because
he likes your lifestyle! This is certainly possible. Cindy Lou Hensley,
daughter of a wealthy Phoenix, Arizona beer distributor, seems quite
pleased with her choice for a husband, Senator John McCain. Let's
hope Jennifer Aniston's new romance turns out so well.
Girls
Who Are Provided For.
American
girls are doing pretty well in finding their Prince Charming. Grace
Kelly, the former Queen of Monaco and Princess Caroline’s mother,
was an American actress when Prince Rainier came calling. Her Majesty
Queen Noor of Jordan, was originally just a California girl. But
the most famous commoner to marry a royal today is Catherine, Duchess
of Cambridge, who is the wife of Prince William, Duke of Cambridge.
Today's damsel
in distress is not kept behind closed doors in the castle. Princess
Kate went from Waitey Katie party girl to royal philanthropist and
People headlines overnight. Queen Noor is now one of the
most important voices for peace in the world, and, even more importantly,
a symbol for women’s equality in the Middle East.
Smart, motivated
women can carve a niche for themselves, even if their husbands are
the rich, famous ones -- provided he respects, loves and believes
in her and lives in a land where women are valued. Princess
Kate and Queen Noor’s lives are certainly very different from that
of Dr. Zenat Karzai, the First Lady of Afghanistan, who is rarely
seen in public or heard from. Dr. Karzai may be living the life
of her dreams behind closed doors, but she is certainly not setting
an example of empowerment for the women in her country.
Girls
Who Want an Equal Partnership (and Pick Up the Check Sometimes)
They won't even
admit when the first date actually occurred, and if it occurred
on the set of Mr. and Mrs. Smith, then the catering crew
probably picked up the tab... What we do know about the Jolie-Pitt
family is that both Angelina Jolie and Brad Pitt each command beaucoup
bucks for their films and are rich enough on their own to buy homes,
planes and nannies for the kids.
Do they
support and applaud one another’s dreams? It is widely reported
(and documented) that when Jolie is working, Brad entertains the
kids and vice versa.
So, is
it possible that Angelina picked up the tab on the first date, or
on some of their well-publicized date nights away from the kids?
Who knows? However, it is evident that Angelina has established
a very equal partnership with her very hot baby daddy, Brad Pitt.
Are
you a Queen, a Damsel or a Democrat?
Now… Some psychiatrists
insist that women should be wary of men who don’t reach for the
check. Pop authors will say that if the dude doesn’t reach for the
bill, he’s just not that into you. However, the truth is that romance
is a dance and there are dances today where men take the lead and
others where partners kick up their heels pretty much on their own,
but in close proximity to one another. Picking a great dance partner
is far more important than insisting on the minuet or some other
timeworn tradition, while trance music is pulsing in the background.
Having
said that, there are a few date specific tips that you might consider.
- If he asked
you out, he’s probably planning on buying. And that may be a big
piece of his special way of wooing you. So don’t blow a special
night by snatching the bill. In that case, you’re just being rude.
- If he says,
"Let’s go Dutch," and it’s your first date, he’s just
not that into you or he’s a cheapskate. A guy who wants to win
you over would figure out a better way to romance you than that
– even if you’re much richer than he is.
Bottom
Line: So, to pay or not to pay is an important choice! But,
the most important decision you’ll ever make isn’t who pays, but
is this guy a really great person, who will delight you, empower
you, respect you and love you. With lovers and husband candidates:
It pays to pick a good one, regardless of who buys lunch.
About Natalie
Pace:
Natalie
Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street. and Put
Your Money Where Your Heart Is, and the founder and
CEO of the Women’s Investment Network, LLC. She is a blogger on
HuffingtonPost.com,
and a repeat guest on national television and radio shows such as
Good Morning America, Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV, Forbes.com, NPR and
more. As a strong believer in giving back, she has been instrumental
in raising multi-millions for public schools, financial literacy,
underserved women and girls and the arts worldwide. Follow her on
Facebook.com/NWPace.
For more
information please visit NataliePace.com.
|
|
The
Not So Super Committee.
by Natalie
Pace.
The Not
So Super Committee Fails America. By Natalie Pace. Includes my Hot
News on Cool Stocks List.
December
1, 2011
General
Stock Market Performance
|
Monday,
1.2.2008
|
Monday,
1.2.2009
|
Monday
1.3.2011
|
Friday,
12.1.2011
|
Gains
3-yr,
2-yr & 9 mo.
|
|
Dow:
13,044.12
|
Dow:
9,034.69
|
Dow:
11,577.43
|
11,990.25
|
-8%
& +33% & +4%
|
|
Nasdaq:
2,609.63
|
Nasdaq:
1,632.21
|
Nasdaq:
2,676.65
|
2,617.69
|
Flat
& +60% & -2%
|
|
S&P:
1,447.16
|
S&P:
931.80
|
S&P:
1,257.62
|
1,240.67
|
-14%
& +33% & -1%
|
Wall
Street Highs/Lows in the New Millennium:
|
Index
|
Low
|
High
|
|
Dow
Jones Industrial Average
|
6,547
(3.9.09)
|
14,164
(10.9.07)
|
|
NASDAQ
Composite Index
|
1,114
(10.9.02)
|
5,060.34
(3.10.00)
|
Hot News
on Cool Stocks Important Data
Up to 19X
gains on U.S. Gold, our 2009 Company of the Year!
NASDAQ
Doubled the Dow Jones Industrial Average gains from 2009-2011
Gold
continues momentum, at 28% gains so far in 2011 (-8% off of high
of $1,895/ounce set on 9.5.11)
13 out
of 14 Company of the Month features from 2010 posted gains.
Gold
tops stocks, real estate, bonds and T-Bills Over the Last 10 Years.

Compare those
returns to the returns of stocks, real estate, bonds, Treasury bills
and gold over the last 30 years.

Market Update:
The Not So Super Committee
On
August 5, 2011, the bickering American political parties failed
to come up with $4 trillion in budget savings over a 10-year period
and the U.S. credit was downgraded for the first time in American
history. At that time, there was a Super Committee created that
was charged with coming up with $1.2 trillion in savings before
Thanksgiving. Not surprisingly, the Super Committee failed, however,
even if they had succeeded, the U.S. is still be at least $2 trillion
shy of the mark needed to keep the AAA credit rating that the U.S.
used to enjoy.
Thankfully,
some Congressmen understand this. On November 2, 2011, 100 members
of the House
sent a letter to the Super Committee asking them to "Go Big," writing
that the goal is $4 trillion in savings, not just $1.2 trillion.
"This letter is signed by conservative, moderate, and liberal
members of the House, and while their political philosophies may
differ, they all understand the urgency that our national debt crisis
represents," according to Rep. Mike Simpson (R-ID). "They
understand that the Super Committee represents our best, and possibly
only, chance to make the real reforms needed to return our country
to fiscal health," Rep. Simpson continued, in a statement.
Here's a link to the press
release, so that you can see the few elected officials
in Washington who deserve to be elected again.
You can learn
more about why the U.S. was downgraded, what "budget savings" means
and what leading economists are recommending to achieve the goal
in my Huffington Post blogs, "Debt
Downgrade and Default," and "FAQs
on the Standard and Poor's Downgrade." In short, the U.S.
is spending far more than it takes in, and, if we don't want to
become as stinky to the world as PIIGS is (Portugal, Italy, Ireland,
Greece and Spain), we're going to have to raise more revenue (taxes)
and cut our spending.
PIIGS countries
had their sovereign bonds trading near rock bottom a few years ago.
Recently, however, rising credit concerns pegged astronomical borrowing
rates for those countries. Lenders are tired of writing checks to
countries that show no hope of living within their means. The U.S.
is currently enjoying free money, but if we continue to live off
of the world's credit cards, interest rates will raise, our debt
will compound, and the austerity measures that will be forced on
us will be much harder to swallow than a plan for budget savings
now that can be implemented while borrowing costs are still very
low.
What does
the Super Committee's failure mean for investors and bondholders?
Stocks:
Standard
& Poor's has already downgraded the U.S. credit rating; Moody's
may, as well. Wall Street is on a rollercoaster ride. Essentially,
investors are weary of the Great Recession and take stock values
up whenever there is a glimmer of hope. There is always bad news
waiting right around the corner, so the glory days tend to be very
short-lived, meaning that investors must seize their returns in
very short windows. Limit orders are the best bet in that scenario.
Stop losses will kill your returns; whereas Stop Gains can help
you to make incremental progress toward solid annual growth.
As Dr. Marc
Miles, a global strategist writes, "The outlook until at least 2013
is for average growth below 2.5 percent, average unemployment above
8.5 percent and a gyrating stock market. Only as markets finally
begin to sense more TLC (transparent, long-term and credible) will
this pattern of malaise transform into growing confidence and the
economic and financial outlook improve."
Bonds: Treasury
bills weren't negatively impacted with the first downgrade, mostly
because PIIGS were far stinkier than the U.S. That remains the case
-- for now. However, while Treasury bills could remain robust, there
is a broader concern about bonds in general, which is why I've been
issuing bond alerts for the last year. Read the articles "Are
Bonds Safe?" and "State
Bond Defaults: Today’s Reality," from the May 2011 ezine.
If you think your bonds and preferred stock are safe, ask someone
who held Lehman Bros. and General Motors a few years ago.
I featured
a
sexy, safer bond fund in this ezine. Be sure to read that
article.
Bottom Line:
Debt, bipartisan
bickering, angry citizens, broken entitlement promises, the global
recession, slow growth in the developed world, oil addiction and
more are dragging on economic growth and keeping unemployment stubbornly
high. That means that, even though earnings are back in many U.S.
corporations, the markets are going to be rocky. What's the cure?
In the words of Rep. Heath Shuler (D-NC) and Rep. Mike Simpson (R-ID),
Americans need to "put country before political parties."
Having said
that, on Oct. 1, 2011, when the markets were very low, I highlighted
28 companies as being in buying range. Those companies earned between
10-60% in less than 90 days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is
up 13% since the October lows.
So, targeted
investing, combined with opportunistic profit-taking, can be rewarding,
even now.
Your best bet
remains getting educated on how to:
- Employ Modern
Portfolio Theory in your 401K, IRA, health savings account, etc.
- Keep enough
of your nest egg safe
- Know what
is safe in a world where bonds are vulnerable
- Avoid the
bailouts
- Add in hot
industries and countries
- Rebalance
1-3 times a year
- Incorporate
limit orders to maximize your buying and selling strategies
Sounds difficult,
but it is easy as a pie chart, and you really need all seven of
the tricks above to succeed. You can read about these strategies
in my book, You
Vs. Wall Street. You can learn and implement them
immediately by attending my 3-day Investor
Educational Retreat. A small investment in wisdom and
information could save your a$$ets! So call 310-430-2397 now to
get smart, get safe and start earning gains again.
Investor
Edu Retreat:
Modern Portfolio
Theory (what my Easy-as-a-Pie Chart Nest Egg strategy is based upon)
saved Bill
and Nilo Bolden's nest egg in the Great Recession and had
novice investors doubling the returns of the Dow. Call 310-430-2397
NOW to learn how you can attend a boardroom
retreat with just 12 others, learning these strategies hands-on
from me.
Investor
Alerts:
1. OPEC:
The trade imbalance with OPEC is currently over $12 billion per
month, which is one of the top assassins of GDP growth. Be sure
to read my article, "Oil
is Killing U.S. Growth," from the November 2011 ezine,
volume 8, issue 11.
2. Debt:
Standard & Poor's lowered the U.S. debt rating from AAA to AA+
on August 5, 2011. The Budget Plan of August 2, 2011 fell short
by almost $2 trillion. A lowered debt rating means we will
pay more interest (eventually) -- a lot more -- which makes it even
more difficult to balance the budget and spark GDP growth.
3. Real
Estate: There
were 9.3 million foreclosure filings between 2007 and 2010.
At least 3.7 million properties are in a seriously delinquent stage.
This means that there will no upside in real estate prices (except
in certain cities) until 2013. Could be a good time to buy, while
interest rates are low. If you are underwater on your mortgage or
delinquent on your payments and are considering the "unthinkable,"
email Heather at NataliePace.com
to get the links to some very important articles.
4. 911 Investor
Alert: Bonds and Treasury Bills. Read up on how to understand
the risk in bonds and select high quality safe areas for your money
in two featured bond
articles in the May 2011 ezine (volume 8, issue 5). In the
meantime, low-risk, cash-positive hard assets are King (and no,
I'm not suggesting to go all in on gold, see below). Bonds and bond
funds are vulnerable to loss of principal value now. Interest rates
will rise (eventually) if the U.S. debt problem is not fixed. It
might take a few months or even a few years, but without reform,
credit risk will increase, driving up interest rates.
5. Gold:
If you purchased gold at $850/ounce in 1980, you had to wait 26
years for the value to return. Most of the time, gold seesawed between
$250-$350 an ounce over that period. Now, with prices near $1800/ounce,
large holders of gold, including the United States, Brazil and more,
could be tempted to sell high. For a brief history of gold and information
on which countries are the biggest holders of gold, read, "The
Gold Crash of 1980," from the September 2010 ezine,
volume 7, issue 9. Gold continues to be a hot industry, but you
do not want to be all in and be careful about buying high.
So is There
Anything Good Out There?
Yes,
believe it or not, there are some excellent areas in the economy.
My 2009 Company of the Year, U.S. Gold, posted up to 19X gains.
Applied Materials, the 2010 Company of the Year, posted 25% gains
within a few months of being named. 13 out of 14 Companies featured
in my Company of the Month articles in 2010 were winners. Your nest
egg has almost fully recovered from the Great Recession. If you
have a great credit rating and can get a loan, there are areas of
the country where you can buy cash positive, low risk income property.
And even if you're in trouble, in doubt, losing a home or declaring
bankruptcy, there are some very important things to do to squirrel
away as many assets as possible. The best way to learn about these
things is to read this ezine top to bottom, read You
Vs. Wall Street and register to attend the next
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat. Once you have the wisdom and
education that you should have received in high school, all of this
will be easy and can be set up on auto-pilot. Until then, you are
vulnerable to more boom/bust markets.
Banks Are
Still Failing
There
were 157 bank failures in 2010, 140 bank failures in 2009 and 25
in 2008. 90 banks have already failed in 2011 (source: FDIC.gov).
Don't be seduced by the banks reporting record earnings! Most of
them are fairy tales. (Nonproducing loans are carried off the books;
TARP and other Federal Reserve swaps are about as easy to figure
out as the origin of the life.) 13 million homes (or more) will
be lost between 2007 and 2012 and not all of them hitting the financial
statements with as much force as they should...
Track
Record of our Reporting
While
the markets are still down significantly since their high in October
of 2007, the Hot News and Cooling Off lists below have a winning
track record before, during and after the Great Recession -- in
bear and bull market years. 123 positions listed over the
last four years -- 84% -- have delivered impressive gains, even
while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is still trading lower than
it was in 2007 (when it cracked through 14,000)! Only twenty-five
of our listings went in the opposite direction of the reporting,
which is quite impressive given the market gyrations of more than
7000 point swings since 2008.
Remember that
the trading portfolio should be equal to your experience, and should
not be part of your nest egg. (The nest egg is money you earn while
you sleep, not while you day-trade.) If you're new, you should be
using education or fun money, not your nest egg, to learn on. Take
your trading profits early and often in these volatile, whip-sawing
years. (Your nest egg is better off just rebalancing once or twice
a year, not trying to market time.)
Half
of My Company of the Year selections more than doubled.
My 2003, 2004, 2006, 2007 and 2009 Companies of the Year posted
up to 9000% gains (Taser), up to 690% gains (Opsware), up to 215%
gains (Suntech Power Holdings), and up to 18X ROI for U.S. Gold,
respectively. Applied Materials, 2010 Company of the Year, and MySpace,
my 2006 Company of the Year, were both super performers within a
few short months of their listings. So seven out of nine
Company of the Year selections were the best Wall Street has to
offer. That's the kind of record that made me a #1 stock picker.
(I launched my first publication on 11.15.02, and featured
the first Company of the Year, Taser International, on 1.1.03.)
13 out of
14 companies featured in the Company of the Month articles in 2010
earned gains -- 93%! Some other big hits were Google at the IPO
(over 7X gains), Rio Tinto (tripled in value) and shorts like Fannie
Mae (in 2003), real estate (2005), General Motors (2005) and Las
Vegas (2008).
The NataliePace.com
ezine was the first to list the following 911 alerts:
- Muni bond
and bond funds 911
Investor Alert in Sept. 2010.
- 2008
Recession
(Get
Safe)
- Trim back
on Faded
Blue Chips in 2006
- Get out
of Dodge (real
estate) in 2005
- Google
at the IPO! (May 2004)
- To get Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac out of your 401(k) in 2003
Market
Movers:
The
Federal Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The Fed funds rate continues to be "0 to 1/4 percent."
The next FOMC meeting takes place on December 13, 2011.
GDP Growth Rates: The second estimates of 3rd quarter GDP
growth were 2.0%. The new FOMC projections for 2011 GDP growth are
1.6-1.7%, which means we're on pace for 2.2-2.5% growth in the 4th
quarter (barring more unexpected events, like a further rise in
oil prices).
1st
quarter 2011 GDP growth rates were revised downward to 0.4% (blame
the high price of oil), and 2Q growth was an anemic 1.3%. So, don't
assume these growth rates or FOMC projections will hold. 3rd quarter
2011 (second estimates) will be released on November 22, 2011 at
8:30 a.m. ET.
GDP Growth
in the U.S.
|
Year
|
GDP
Growth
|
|
2010
|
3%
|
|
2009
|
-3.5%
|
|
2008
|
-0.3%
|
|
2007
|
1.9%
|
Source:
BEA.gov
These release
days tend to be very active on Wall Street. For more information
on GDP growth and other important economic statistics, go to the
BEA.gov
website and
be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar
section often.
EDUCATIONAL
OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1.
FOMC Information: Interested in reading the minutes
of the November 1-2, 2011 FOMC meeting for yourself? The
official Federal Reserve document is available online. Go to FederalReserve.gov
to read! According to the Committee, "The Committee continues
to expect a moderate pace of economic growth over coming quarters...
[But] there are significant downside risks to the economic outlook,
including strains in global financial markets."
The tentative
FOMC meeting schedule for the 2011-2012 calendar is December 13,
2011 (Tuesday), January 24-25, 2012 (Tues.-Wed.), March 13, 2012
(Tuesday), April 24-25 (Tuesday-Wednesday), June 19-20 (Tuesday-Wednesday),
July 31 (Tuesday), September 12 (Wednesday), October 23-24 (Tuesday-Wednesday),
December 11 (Tuesday), January 29-30, 2013 (Tuesday-Wednesday).
2.
Calendar
Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more:
Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. You
will find great opportunities to attend the most exclusive business
and Green Conferences, learn about upcoming TV and radio shows and
other educational opportunities -- many are FREE! Get more information
on how to best use our articles in the FAQs
article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page of
NataliePace.com.
Don't miss
the Pace and Prosperity Show with Natalie Pace on BlogTalkRadio.com.
Check BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
for upcoming shows and call-in and log-on instructions and to listen
back to any shows that you might have missed. These shows are pod
casts and are FREE!
BlogTalkRadio
offers a Q&A format, where you can call in with your most pressing
questions. Be sure to keep a list of your questions as they come
up, and join our ongoing dialog on peace and prosperity, getting
rich and enriching, green investing, the Thrive Budget and more
on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/NWPace.
3.
Survey
Results:
Each month we have three new surveys so that we can stay in touch
with your needs and desires. Cast your vote on our survey page.
4. Euro
interest rates: ECB
rates are at 1.25% (main refinancing), 2.00% (marginal lending)
and 0.50% (deposit facility). The next meeting and interest rate
announcement are scheduled for December 8, 2011 at 2:30 p.m. CET.
(December 22, 2011 & January 12, 2012 after that.)
Hot
Stocks List
Investors
who "never pay retail," note that the BOLD highlighted stocks
are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in
NataliePace.com's article. This may be a good buying opportunity.
(If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation, this
is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.)
The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may
not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue
performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are
never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments.
Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes
to your investment strategy. And remember that these "Stocks
on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy
at all -- not even for "pros." If you've never traded
individual stocks before, this is your "fun" or "education"
money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don't
have mastery over.
Hot
News List (highlighted). Be sure that you are buying low.
Pimco
Australia Bond Index (AUD)
MEMC Electronics (WFR)
Netflix (NFLX)
Shutterfly (SFLY)
DELETIONS
(Take your profits early and often):
ENER1
(HEV) 11.14.11
KLA Tencor (KLAC) 11.14.11
Tesla (TSLA) 11.14.11
VMWare (VMW) 11.14.11
HOT NEWS
on COOL STOCKS LIST
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when added to Hot News List
|
Price
12.1.11
|
52-week
High
52-week
Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
S&P
Emerging Middle East and Africa Fund
|
No
|
GAF
|
$60.06
|
$66.37
|
$79.97
$57.00
|
+11%
|
|
Read
"Travel
Rewards,"
from Vol. 8, issue 7.
|
|
Allscripts
Healthcare Solutions
|
No
|
MDRX
|
$18.01
$15.27
(8.15.11)
|
$19.40
|
$23.13
$14.30
|
+8% &
+27%
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform" Vol. 7, issue 4.
3Q 2011
earnings on 11.3.11: GAAP revenue of $368.8 million, up 13%
from a year ago. Bookings of $266.8 million. GAAP net income
of $21 million.
Allscripts
Healthcare Solutions, Inc., formerly Allscripts-Misys Healthcare
Solutions, Inc. (Allscripts), is a provider of clinical software,
services, information and connectivity solutions that are
used by physicians and other healthcare providers to improve
the quality of healthcare.
Added
four strong executives to the team in July 2011. Cliff Meltzer,
a veteran development leader for Apple, Cisco, IBM and most
recently CA Technologies, joined Allscripts as Executive Vice
President, Solutions Development, with responsibility for
product development company-wide. Steve Shute, a veteran sales
leader, will be joining Allscripts as Executive Vice
President, Sales. Mr. Shute has held numerous executive leadership
positions at the IBM Corporation. Jackie Studer joined Allscripts
as Senior Vice President and General Counsel; she comes from
GE. John Guevara, a seasoned leader with extensive success
leading mission-critical operations for Microsoft and other
top technology companies, joined Allscripts as Chief Information
Officer.
|
|
American
Super-conductor
|
No
|
AMSC
|
$27.77
$3.42
(10.1.11)
|
$4.20
|
$38.88
$3.21
|
-83%
&
+20%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
9.23.11:
American Superconductor Corporation AMSC,
a global power technologies company, today announced its recent
successes in the wind power and power grid markets, including
nearly $100 million in new contracts since the start of the
company’s fiscal year on April 1, 2011. AMSC signed contracts
with wind turbine manufacturers in China, India and Korea.
The Switch
acquisition was cancelled on 10.31.11. It will cost AMSC $20
million to terminate the deal.
2Q 2011
results on 11.9.11: Revenues = $20.8 million. Net loss = $51.7
million. This figure includes approximately $28.2 million
in charges related to the previously announced termination
of AMSC’s proposed acquisition of The Switch Engineering Oy,
Sinovel litigation expenses and corporate restructuring activities
and impairments.
Cash,
cash equivalents, marketable securities and restricted cash
at September 30, 2011 were $108.3 million. This compares with
$166.2 million as of June 30, 2011.
A diversified
mix of Wind and Grid bookings enabled us to increase our total
backlog by over 30 percent sequentially in the second quarter,"
aid AMSC President and Chief Executive Officer Daniel P. McGahn.
"This has helped position us for a stronger second half
of fiscal 2011 from both a revenue and bottom-line perspective.
On a go-forward basis we will continue to carefully manage
our expenses and our cash."
|
|
AOL
|
Yes
|
AOL
|
$21.22
$11.53
(10.1.11)
|
$13.94
|
$29.45
$10.06
|
-33%
&
+21%
|
|
Read
"AOL"
from Vol. 6, issue 12 and "Is
GroupOn the Next Google?" from Vol. 8, issue
7.
3Q2011
earnings on November 2, 2011: revenue was $531.7 million,
down 6% from a year ago. Net loss was $2.6 million, versus
income of $171.6 million a year ago..
AOL purchased
Huffington Post for $315 million in Feb. 2011 (Huff generates
upwards of $50 million). AOL owns Moviefone, Mapquest, among
other popular destinations. Launched Editions on Aug. 2 for
iPad -- the magazine that customizes reading experiences for
each user.
Per ComScore
Net Ratings (10.11 data), AOL is the 5th most trafficked
"web parent companies" in the United States, right
behind Facebook, Microsoft, Yahoo and Google. Sales for AOL
is $2.30 billion annually, but there is plenty of room for
this company to come closer to Yahoo's $6 billion in annual
revenue and take a bite out of Google's $31 billion.
"AOL
grew global advertising by 8%, driven by 28% and 15% growth
in third party network and global display advertising revenue,
respectively, substantially closing the gap to revenue and
eventual profit growth," said Tim Armstrong, Chairman and
CEO. "We continue to build strong consumer experiences as
we execute our strategy to build the premium branded media
company for the internet. Our share repurchases underlie our
belief in the value of AOL and our strategy."
|
|
Applied
Materials
2010
Company of the Year
|
No
|
AMAT
|
$13.10
$9.78
(10.1.11)
|
$10.71
|
$16.94
$10.27
|
-18%
&
+9%
|
|
Read
"Let
There Be Light" and "LED
Lighting," from the December 1, 2010 and
August 1, 2010 ezines, Vol. 7, issue 12 and 8. 2010 Company
of the Year!
FY earnings
(11.16.11): Net sales of $10.52 billion, up 11 percent year
over year and down 3 percent sequentially. Net income of $1.93
billion. Backlog decreased by $637 million to $3.24 billion
and included $248 million in negative adjustments. The
company used $25 million to repurchase 2 million shares of
its common stock. Cash, cash equivalents and investments
increased to $6.81 billion at quarter end. The amount included
proceeds from the $1.75 billion of notes issued during the
quarter.
"Applied's
record year was driven by strength in our silicon business
and our highest-ever revenue in solar and services, as well
as strategic programs that improved the efficiency of our
operations," said Mike Splinter, chairman and chief executive
officer. "While we expect the first half of fiscal 2012 to
be impacted by the challenging economic environment, we anticipate
that our overall business will strengthen during the second
half of the year."
|
|
iShares
Australia Index
|
No
|
EWA
|
$22.84
$19.36
(10.1.11)
|
$23.15
|
$28.36
$19.36
|
+2% &
+21%
|
|
Read
"Are
Commodity-Rich Countries Worth a Look?" from Vol.
8, issue 6 and "Hot
Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7. This fund was
a rock star on Wall Street in 2009-2010. Australia benefits
from having lower debt and a closer proximity to China than
the U.S. Also, is rich in natural resources (needed by China),
lower in unemployment (at 5.1%) and avoided the bank bailouts
that sank the U.S. and U.K. Queensland rains and flooding
in 2010 and 2011 impacted GDP growth in the most recent quarter
(negative GDP growth), however, GDP growth has been stronger
than the U.S. and Western Europe.
|
|
Pimco
Australia Bond Index
|
No
|
AUD
|
$98.90
|
$98.90
|
$100.26
$94.80
|
--
|
|
Read
"The
Sexiest (& Safest) Investment in the World," "Are
Commodity-Rich Countries Worth a Look?" and "Hot
Funds," from Vol. 8, issue 12, Vol. 8,
issue 6 and Vol. 7, issue 7. Pimco is a premiere bond fund
corporation, headed up by the legendary Bill Gross. Australia
is one of the best investments in the world right now.
|
|
Bank
of Montreal
|
No
|
BMO
|
$54.08
|
$58.31
|
$66.64
$53.36
|
+10%
|
|
Refer
to the "Debt
World" article in volume 8, issue 2 for details.
Canada's banks were ranked #1 by the Milken Institute for
global capital in 2009; Australia was #2. Canada has a higher
debt to GDP ratio than the U.S., however, so don't dive in
without testing the water first. Check out the article.
|
|
Canadian
Imperial Bank
RISK:
Low
|
No
|
CM
|
$67.64
|
$70.79
|
$88.76
$67.05
|
+4%
|
|
Refer
to the "Debt
World" article in volume 8, issue 2 for details.
Canada's banks were ranked #1 by the Milken Institute for
global capital in 2009; Australia was #2. Canada has a higher
debt to GDP ratio than the U.S., however, so don't dive in
without testing the water first. Check out the article.
|
|
iShares
Chile Fund
|
No
|
ECH
|
$65.05
$51.16
(10.1.11)
|
$58.02
|
$80.38
$51.16
|
-11%
&
+13%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7 and "Latin
American
Funds Doubled" article from the August 2010 ezine,
Vol. 7, issue 8.
|
|
iShares
MSCI China Small Cap Index Fund
|
No
|
ECNS
|
$48.38
$31.04
(10.1.11)
|
$36.55
|
$58.80
$31.04
|
+24%
&
+19%
|
|
Read
"Travel
Rewards,"
from Vol. 8, issue 7.
|
|
Cree
|
Yes
|
CREE
|
$52.10
$23.35
(10.1.11)
|
$24.89
|
$83.38
$23.35
|
-52%
&
+7%
|
|
Read
"Let
There Be Light" and "LED
Lighting," from the December 1, and August
1, 2010 ezines, Vol. 7, issue 8. Love the company. Revenue
growth is solid. Sales to Asia are strong. Future likes bright!
And the price is finally right.
1Q earnings
on October 18, 2011. 1Q revenue was $269.0 million, with net
income of $12.8 million.
President
Obama visited CREE on June 15, 2011 to discuss policies to
spur economic growth. In his remarks, President Obama stated,
"So today the small business that a group of N.C. State engineering
students founded almost 25 years ago is a global company.
Next month, your new production line will begin running 24/7.
So you're helping to lead a clean energy revolution. You're
helping lead the comeback of American manufacturing. This
is a company where the future will be won."
"Although
we have seen tremendous growth in LED lighting sales over
the last few years, it is clear that we have only scratched
the surface of LED lighting adoption and there is growing
demand for products that offer innovative solutions and good
payback," Chuck Swoboda, Cree chairman and CEO said,
in a press release.
|
|
iShares
Emerging Markets Index
|
No
|
EEM
|
$41.27
$34.29
(10.1.11)
|
$40.00
|
$50.30
$34.29
|
-3% &
+17%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7.
|
|
FMC Corp.
|
No
|
FMC
|
$65.83
|
$83.62
|
$93.00
$65.58
|
+27%
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with Li (Lithium)"
from Vol. 6, issue 4 and "Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota?," from Vol. 7,
issue 2.
|
|
Galaxy
Resources
RISK:
HIGH
(off
the boards, thinly traded)
|
No
|
GALXF
|
$1.18
$0.58
(10.1.11)
|
$0.99
|
$1.80
$0.55
|
-16%
&
+71%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota?" from Vol. 7, issue
2. Lithium exploration, mining, etc. in Australia and China.
Traded off the boards in the US, but is listed on the Australia
Stock Exchange.
January
13, 2012: Quarterly Report will be released.
Galaxy
has two strong aspects -- Australia-based company in an emerging
market -- lithium. Galaxy Resources Limited (ASX: GXY) is
an international S&P/ASX 300 Index Company which is soon
to become one of the world's leading producers of lithium
- the essential component for powering the world's fast expanding
fleet of hybrid and electric cars. By 2012, Galaxy's
Mt Cattlin mine will be the world's second largest hard rock
producer of lithium and through the development of its value
adding lithium carbonate plant (17,000tpa), the Company will
be the largest and lowest cost lithium producer in China.
Galaxy
wholly-owns and operates the Mt. Cattlin mine, which is currently
producing spodumene concentrate. Galaxy's Jiangsu lithium
carbonate plant, once completed, will have a design capacity
of 17,000 tpa of lithium carbonate, which Galaxy expects would
make it one of the largest plants in China converting hard
rock lithium mineral concentrates into lithium compounds and
chemicals.
Lithium
compounds such as lithium carbonate are forecast to be in
high future demand due to advances in long life batteries
and sophisticated electronics including mobile phones and
computers.
Galaxy
Resources
has positioned itself to meet this lithium future by not only
mining the lithium, but also by downstream processing to supply
lithium carbonate to the expanding Asian market.
|
|
Goldman
Sachs
|
No
|
GS
|
$108.34
$90.08
(10.1.11)
|
$94.44
|
$175.34
$84.27
|
-13%
&
+5%
|
|
3Q 2011
results on October 18, 2011. Revenues were $3.59 billion with
a net loss of $393 million.
The Feds
issued a "formal enforcement action" against Goldman for mortgage
related problems with Litton Loan Servicing. Goldman sold
Litman on Sept. 1, 2011, but acknowledges that they are responsible
for the enforcement action. Goldman has been beaten up and
their share price might continue to be battered in the near
term. However, this company is at the top of the game in terms
of Mergers and Acquisitions, LBOs (Leveraged Buy Outs), and
is trading far beneath the book value of its shares, which
were at 142 on Sept. 7, 2011.
|
|
Google
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$540.96
$492.71
(10.1.11)
|
$614.43
|
$642.96
$447.65
|
+14%
&
+25%
|
|
See Vol.
8, issue 2 article, "Big
Bites Out of Apple and Google," and Vol. 6, issue
5 for "Hulu
Your Heroes." Excellent company and
great anchor for your large caps in the nest egg, with one
huge hitch -- the company lost its leader on April 1, 2011.
Larry Page became the CEO, moving Dr. Eric Schmidt, whom everyone
considers to be the mastermind from Google the search engine
to Google the ubiquitous Internet and phone behemoth, to executive
chairman. Sergey Brin will handle "strategic projects"
without a real title, except "co-founder."
Announced
3Q results on Oct. 13, 2011. Google reported revenues of $9.72
billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2011, an increase of
33% compared to the 3Q 2010. Net income was $2.73 billion,
compared to $2.17 billion a year ago.
Cash --
As of June 30, 2011, cash, cash equivalents, and marketable
securities were $42.6 billion. No debt.
Headcount
-- On a worldwide basis, Google employed 31,353 full-time
employees as of June 30, 2011.
|
|
Green
Dot
|
Yes
|
GDOT
|
$41.25
$29.46
(10.1.11)
|
$33.36
|
$65.10
$24.94
|
-19%
&
+11%
|
|
Read
"IPO
of the Year"
from Vol. 7, issue 3.
3Q results
on Oct. 27, 2011: Total operating revenues increased 26% from
a year ago, to $119 million. Net income was $13.3 million
for the first quarter of 2011 compared to $9 million for the
first quarter of 2010. Gross dollar volume was at $4.1 billion
this quarter, up 63% from the same quarter 2010.
Cool
progress and steady, though not stellar growth, in a space
that is bound to see a lot more competition (from MasterCard
and Visa to name two). WalMart is a partner and investor.
|
|
Hoku
Corporation
RISK:
HIGH
|
No
|
HOKU
|
$8.03
$1.75
(3.15.11)
|
$0.83
|
$14.55
$0.80
|
-90%
&
-53%
|
|
Read
"One
Hot, Overlooked Commodity: Sand," Vol. 8, issue
5, "The
Sunny Side," Vol. 6, issue 3 and "Solar
Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon,"
in the Oct. 2007 ezine, Vol. 4, issue 10. 1Q earnings announced
on August 11, 2011.
2Q: Nov.
10, 2011. Rev. $1.9 million, up from $1.2 million last year.
Net loss was $7.9 million, compared to a net loss of $2 million
last year.
Presently,
the Company is finalizing its analysis to determine whether
the recent decline in the market price for polysilicon has
impacted the carrying value of its polysilicon plant and whether
the carrying value is fairly stated in accordance with GAAP.
Accordingly, the results herein are preliminary estimates
which do not reflect any impairment of long-lived assets which
might occur as a result of its on-going analysis of the carrying
value of the Company's polysilicon plant and are subject to
change if the Company determines that an impairment charge
is necessary, which could significantly impact our financial
results.
Scott
Paul, Chief Executive Officer of Hoku Corporation, said, "During
the last quarter we have continued our construction and commissioning
activities at Hoku Materials, maintained our focus on delivering
investment-grade solar arrays at Hoku Solar, and expanded
our business by taking primary responsibility for the sales
and marketing of Tianwei's PV modules in the U.S."
|
|
Jiayuan
|
No
|
DATE
|
$12.70
$7.21
(10.1.11)
|
$7.52
|
$16.12
$7.21
|
-41%
&
+4%
|
|
Read
"The
Chinese Facebook," from Vol. 8, issue 9.
Jiayuan is the Chinese Match.com.
|
|
iShares
S&P Latin America 40 Index
|
No
|
ILF
|
$43.92
$37.84
(10.1.11)
|
$43.80
|
$55.38
$37.84
|
Flat
&
+16%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7 and "Latin
American
Funds Doubled" article from the August 2010 ezine,
Vol. 7, issue 8.
|
|
LDK SOLAR
|
No
|
LDK
|
$30.02
$2.70
(10.1.11)
|
$3.59
|
$15.10
$2.70
|
-98%
&
+30%
|
|
Read
the articles, "One
Hot, Overlooked Commodity: Sand," Vol. 8, issue
5, "Green"
in Vol. 6, issue 2 and "Solar
Springs Up Again," in Vol. 5, issue 4.
2Q 2011
earnings were announced on August 29, 2011. Net sales of $499.4
million, a decrease of 34.8% sequentially and a decrease of
11.6% year-over-year;. Net loss was $47.9 million, compared
to a net profit of $78.6 million a year ago. During the preparation
of its second quarter 2011 financial results, LDK Solar's
management determined that an inventory write-down of $52.9
million was required as a result of the significant drop in
market price for wafers and modules during the second quarter.
As a result, gross margin and results from operations were
negatively impacted in the second quarter of fiscal 2011.
"Our
second quarter results reflect the challenging solar industry
dynamics that resulted from recent policy revisions in Europe
and consequently reduced demand for PV products," stated Xiaofeng
Peng, Chairman and CEO of LDK Solar. "Lower pricing across
the supply chain negatively impacted our financial results
for the quarter.
"In recent
weeks, we have seen average selling prices begin to stabilize
and improvement to order patterns. We have continued to gain
traction in expanding our presence in key markets such as
North America and China. In the U.S., our recently established
sales and marketing operation has already begun to gain traction
in winning large module contracts. In China, we are encouraged
by the announcement of the unified national feed-in-tariff
program. We have an established, strong market position in
our domestic market and see significant long-term growth opportunities.
|
|
MEMC
Electronics
|
Yes
|
WFR
|
$11.99
$4.69
(10.1.11)
|
$4.19
|
$19.31
$3.92
|
-65%
&
-11%
|
|
Read
"One
Hot, Overlooked Commodity: Sand," Vol. 8,
issue 5 and "The
Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3.
3Q
earnings on Nov. 2, 2011. GAAP net sales of $516.2 million,
an increase of 66% from a year ago. MEMC reported GAAP
net loss for quarter of $94.4 million, largely due to a non-cash
charge related to the write-off of $56.4 million related to
the Solar Materials segment.
MEMC
ended the 2011 third quarter with cash and cash equivalents
of $786.1 million, an increase of $134.2 million from the
prior quarter.
The
Japanese earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis interrupted
operations at MEMC Electronics Utsunomiya facility between
March 11, 2011 and early April 2011.
|
|
Microsoft
|
No
|
MSFT
|
$24.88
$23.71
(6.15.11)
|
$25.31
|
$29.46
$22.73
|
+2% &
+7%
|
|
Watch
my appearance on CNBC,
outlining the reasons Skype is a very hot acquisition for
Microsoft, and read my article, "One
Very Hot IPO" from the September 1,
2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue. 9. Microsoft purchased Skype on
May 10, 2011 for $8.5 billion in cash. I added Microsoft to
the Hot News list on 5.15.11.
|
|
PowerShares
Lux Nanotech
|
No
|
PXN
|
$8.87
$5.54
(10.1.11)
|
$6.22
|
$10.85
$5.54
|
-30%
&
+13%
|
|
Potential
hot industry for your pie chart. Read the 2010
Company of the Year article from December 2010
ezine, Vol. 7, issue 12. Watch my 2.3.11 report on the LED
marketplace on CNBC,
or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
|
|
Netflix
|
No
|
NFLX
|
$113.25
|
$67.20
|
$304.79
$62.37
|
-41%
|
|
Read
"Blockbuster’s
Second Coming" from Vol. 7, issue 5. Content
continues to lag behind the competition. Great, innovative
company, with a lot of competition.
3Q
results on Oct. 24, 2011. $821,839 million in revenue. Net
income $62.460 million.
Raised
$400 million in common stock and convertible offerings to
mutual funds and one private equity investor on Nov. 21, 2011.
Stock price was $70/share.
With more than 20 million streaming members in the United
States, Canada and Latin America, Netflix, Inc. [Nasdaq: NFLX]
is the world's leading Internet subscription service for enjoying
movies and TV Shows. NetFlix will launch in the UK in 2012.
|
|
PowerShares
Wilderhill Clean Energy Portfolio ETF
|
No
|
PBW
|
$9.91
$5.02
(10.1.11)
|
$5.54
|
$11.42
$5.02
|
-45%
&
+11%
|
|
Read
"$100/Barrel
Oil" from
the March 1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 3.
|
|
Rio Tinto
|
No
|
RIO
|
$59.86
$42.87
(10.1.11)
|
$52.16
|
$76.67
$42.87
|
-13%
&
+21%
|
|
Gold,
copper and other commodities mining. Based out of Australia.
Mines worldwide, but great way to capitalize on Australia's
robust economy.
Half
Year 2011 results were released on August 4, 2011. Record
underlying earnings of $7.8 billion, 35 per cent above 2010's
half year results. Net debt reduced to $4.3 billion at 31
December 2010, from $18.9 billion at 31 December 2009. $5
billion share buyback program now through year end 2012. Net
earnings are up to $14 billion in 2010, over $4.9 billion
in 2009. Chairman Jan du Plessis said "This year's record
results reflect a combination of strong commodity markets,
first class assets and excellent operational performance at
our managed operations.
Prices
improved for nearly all of Rio Tinto's major commodities:
copper prices were up 47 per cent, molybdenum prices were
up 45 per cent, gold prices were up 26 per cent and aluminium
prices were 31 per cent higher than 2009. Demand and prices
for diamonds and minerals improved significantly as the worldwide
economy emerged from the global financial recession.
|
|
Satcon
2011
Company of the Year
|
Yes
|
SATC
|
$3.77
$0.89
(10.111)
|
$0.73
|
$5.51
$0.70
|
-81%
&
-19%
|
|
Read
"2011
Company of the Year," from Vol. 8, issue
4 and "$100/Barrel
Oil" from
the March 1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 3.
8.11.11:
Satcon announced that 10 of their 1 MW Prism Platform™
Solutions will be used in the New Jersey Oak Solar PV Power
Plant in Fairfield Township, Cumberland County, New Jersey.
3Q 2011
earnings on Nov. 8, 2011: revenue was $45 million, net loss
was $1,037,993.
"As
we look to the remainder of 2011, we expect fourth-quarter
revenue to be in the range of $37 million to $42 million,"
continued Rhoades. "While the slowdown in the worldwide
demand for solar has caused 2011 to perform below expectations,
we remain optimistic about the future and continue to expect
the long term growth of our business to come from North America,
with increasing opportunity coming from Asia. We have identified
the necessary measures that will enable the company to continue
to compete successfully in these regions, and believe we are
now on a path to sustainable growth and margin expansion."
At September
30, 2011, the company's backlog, which consists of purchase
orders from its customers, was $43.1 million. Backlog from
North America represented 75% of orders to be delivered. Asia
contributed 17%, while Europe contributed 8%.
|
|
Shutterfly
|
No
|
SFLY
|
$27.56
|
$27.56
|
$66.70
$18.43
|
--
|
|
Read
"Diamonds
or Scrapbooking," from the November 1, 2010 ezine,
Vol. 7, issue 11.
56%
earnings growth in the 3Q. Net loss = $10 million. PE is 5
is too high for our taste -- especially for a company that
posted a loss in the most recent quarter. However, this company
tripled revenue in the Xmas season last year, and could do
that (or more) again this year. So, for a short term Santa
Rally play, at this price, Shutterfly could fly.
|
|
Sociedad
Minera y Quimica de Chile
|
No
|
SQM
|
$46.39
|
$57.30
|
$67.75
$46.00
|
+23%
|
|
This
is a great company that manufactures lithium for the electric
car & IT industry and potash for agriculture. Businesses
include: Specialty Plant Nutrition, Iodine and Lithium. Looking
for a better buy-in.
Read
the article, "Treasure
Hunting" in Vol. 5, issue 10 and the article
"Life
Begins with Li (Lithium),"
from Vol. 6, issue 4.
SQM began
paying a dividend in 2010. The annual dividend was US$0.72592
per share, with US$0.30798 per share to be paid on May 11,
2011.
|
|
Sohu
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$81.67
$47.42
(10.1.11)
|
$51.32
|
$109.37
$46.99
|
-37%
&
+8%
|
|
Read
"The
Chinese Facebook," from Vol. 8, issue 9.
Sohu is a Chinese mega portal, with gaming, news, search and
TV.
|
|
iShares
S&P North American Tech Semi-conductors
|
No
|
SOXX
|
$44.22
|
$50.87
|
$64.19
$44.17
|
+15%
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting," from Vol. 7, issue 8 and 2010
Company of the Year from Vol. 7, issue 12.
Watch
my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC,
or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
|
|
Sunpower
|
No
|
SPWRA
|
$24.83
$7.14
(10.1.10)
|
$7.38
|
$23.36
$7.14
|
-70%
&
+9%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side" in Vol. 6, issue 3. Announces
3Q results on Nov. 3, 2011.
3Q 2011
earnings on Nov. 3, 2011. $705 million in revenue, an increase
of 28% over the previous quarter. Net loss of $370.8 million.
$246 million in cash on hand. Long term debt and liabilities
of $1.8 billion.
Company
wide reorganization announced on 11.3.11: Shuffling in the
executive suite + SunPower expects to implement a company-wide
restructuring program in the fourth quarter to accelerate
operating cost reduction and improve overall operating efficiency.
The company currently expects this program to reduce operating
expenses by as much as 10 percent in 2012, while growing the
company. As a result of the expected restructuring program
under consideration, the company believes it may incur a one-time,
pre-tax charge of approximately $10 million, which is not
included in current 2011 GAAP guidance.
August
29, 2011: Akuo Solar, a subsidiary of Paris-based Akuo Energy,
has ordered 75,000 high efficiency SunPower solar panels for
Akuo's planned 24-megawatt solar development. The development
consists of two power plants that will be located in the Provence-Alps-Cotes
d'Azur Region in the South of France. Construction on the
project has begun and is expected to be completed by the end
of 2011.
Sunpower
panels are the most efficient in the world and have powered
Solar Decathlon winning teams. Maryland, the 2011 Solar Decathlon
winner, used Sanyo solar panels, but needed six more panels
to compete in the energy contests with #2 ranked Purdue (which
used Sunpower).
Ford
and Sunpower inked a deal on Aug. 10, 2011 to offer rooftop
solar panels to Ford Focus owners, offering them to "Drive
Green for Life."
|
|
Suntech
Power Holdings (solar)
|
No
|
STP
|
$14.26
$1.77
(10.1.11)
|
$2.43
|
$15.55
$1.77
|
-83%
&
+35%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. The world's largest crystalline silicon photovoltaic
(PV) module manufacturer. P/E on 8.31.11 was 3.50.
Suntech
began manufacturing in the US on Oct. 8, 2010, at its Goodyear,
AZ HQ. Dept. of Energy Secretary Steven
Chu visited Suntech and reported on it to The
National Press.
2Q 2011
earnings were reported on August 22, 2011. Total net revenues
were $831 million in the second quarter of 2011, representing
a sequential decrease of 5.3%, and an increase of 32.9% year-over-year.
Net loss was -$259.5 million. " "Operationally, we implemented
a number of initiatives to improve our supply flexibility
and lower our cost structure. Specifically, we discontinued
a long term agreement with MEMC and expanded internal wafer
capacity to 1.2GW. We also continued to drive solar innovation
with the launch of two new high performance product lines
that we are shipping in large-scale today," according to Dr.
Zhengrong Shi, Chairman and CEO.
9.28.11:
Suntech announced that they had delivered 150,000 solar panels
for utility-scale electricity generation by Cupertino Electric
for Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) under the
utility's five-year, 500MW clean energy initiative.
8.24.11:
Suntech will supply 28.7MW (DC) of solar panels for a 23MW
(AC) solar power plant in Niland, California for SunPeak.
|
|
Trina
Solar LTD.
|
No
|
TSL
|
$27.92
$5.58
(10.1.11)
|
7.90
|
$31.89
$5.58
|
-72%
&
+42%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. 2Q earnings will be announced on August 23,
2011 at 8:00 a.m. ET. P/E on 8.31.11 was 3.83.
2Q earnings
on 8.23.11. Net revenues were $579.5 million, an increase
of 5.2% sequentially and 56.3% year-over-year. Net income
was $11.8 million, compared to net income of $47.7 million
in the first quarter of 2011 and $38.7 million in the second
quarter of 2010.
"In the
third quarter, we expect a significant reduction in our manufacturing
costs due in large part to recently completed renegotiation
of the majority of our long term polysilicon feedstock and
wafer agreements," according to Mr. Jifan Gao, Chairman and
CEO of Trina Solar. He continued, "We are very encouraged
by China's solar feed-in-tariff updates announced on August
1, which we believe reflect the improved economics and efficiency
of solar energy. Since our recently announced agreements to
supply two large-scale solar projects in Qinghai, we have
seen increased opportunities to expand our domestic shipment
allocations as the market expands."
|
|
U.S.
Gold
|
Yes
|
UXG
|
$5.57
$3.75
(10.1.11)
|
$4.15
|
$9.87
$0.50
|
-28%
&
+11%
|
|
Note:
U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time; is it a gold
exploration company, based in Nevada and Mexico which has
begun the process of filing for production permits, with a
goal of producing gold by 2014.
Added
back to the Hot List on June 8, 2011 (in a special Subscriber
Only Alert). On June 14, 2011 the Company announced that Mr.
McEwen proposed to combine the Company with Minera Andes to
create a high growth, low-cost, mid-tier silver producer focused
on the Americas.
On August
31, 2011, U.S. Gold announced: that the Company has approved
Phase 1 development of its El Gallo project in Sinaloa, Mexico,
with mining expected to commence mid-2012. Phase 1 will focus
on the permitted satellite gold deposits at the project and
is expected to produce 30,000 ounces of gold per year after
initial ramp up. This decision is expected to generate cash
flows approximately two years earlier than originally planned
at a minimal capital cost and will help fund Phase 2, which
is forecasted to produce an additional 5 million ounces of
silver per year, beginning in 2014.
U.S.
Gold began trading on the New York Stock Exchange on Nov.
2, 2010, and has a goal of qualifying for the S&P 500
by 2015. US Gold explores for gold and silver in the Americas
and is advancing its El Gallo Project in Mexico and its Gold
Bar Project in Nevada towards production. US Gold's shares
are listed on the NYSE and the TSX under the symbol UXG, trading
1.9 million shares daily during the past twelve months. Added
to the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and S&P/TSX Global
Mining Index on 9.15.09. Added to the Chicago Board of Options
Exchange on July 19, 2010. Began trading on the AMEX stock
exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.)
U.S.
Gold was the 2009
Company of the Year. The article was featured
in the October 2009 ezine, Vol. 6, issue 10.
|
|
Veeco
|
Yes
|
VECO
|
$42.74
$24.01
(10.1.11)
|
$25.14
|
$56.05
$24.01
|
-41%
&
+5%
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting," from Vol. 7, issue 8 and 2010
Company of the Year from Vol. 7, issue 12. VECO
was added on 7.6.11, with a special alert sent to subscribers
at that time.
Watch
my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC,
or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
On 8.30.11,
Veeco opened a new tech center in Taiwan. According to John
R. Peeler, Veeco's Chief Executive Officer, "The TTC
is the newest part of our significant expansion in Asia that
we announced last fall. Veeco will invest over $30 million
to dramatically expand our Asia footprint to help customers
continue to accelerate the pace of adoption of LEDs for consumer
electronics and solid-state lighting, including additional
new R&D/demo and process support sites in Shanghai, China
(opened May 2011) and Seoul, Korea (opening in 2012)."
Reported
3Q on 10.24.11. $268 million. Net income of $53.3 million.
During
the third quarter, under its Board authorized share buy-back
program initiated in August 2010, Veeco purchased $154 million
in stock at an average price of $38.63 per share.
Fourth
Quarter 2011 Guidance & Outlook
Veeco’s
fourth quarter 2011 revenue is currently forecasted to be
between $175 million and $215 million. Earnings per share
are currently forecasted to be between $0.46 to $0.78 on a
GAAP basis, and $0.54 to $0.86 on a non-GAAP basis. For the
full year, Veeco’s guidance is $963 million to $1.0 billion,
with earnings per share forecasted to be between $4.49 - $4.79
on a GAAP basis and $4.81 to $5.11 on a non-GAAP basis. Please
refer to the attached financial table for more details.
Mr. Peeler
commented, "Despite the difficult overall environment,
we are proud that the Company expects to deliver $1 billion
in 2011 revenue at the high end of guidance. This is a tremendous
accomplishment and speaks to our technology leadership position,
close connectivity to our global customers and ability to
execute in a challenging environment."
|
|
Westpac
|
No
|
WBK
|
$92.34
|
$106.80
|
$138.58
$92.34
|
+15%
|
|
Issued
it's half-year results on May 4, 2011. Go to Westpac.com.au
to access. Australian banks fared far better than the rest
of the world banks. So did Canadian banks. P/E is good, but
the debt is quite high, at 4.34 X equity (on 5.15.11).
Key financial
highlights (comparisons are with prior year):
Cash
earnings $3.2 billion, up 7%
Statutory
net profit of $4 billion, up 38%
Westpac's
Chief Executive Officer, Gail Kelly, said: ""Key
indicators were generally positive during the half with the
economy generating good growth, low unemployment and moderate
inflation. Despite this, both consumers and businesses remain
relatively cautious and while confidence is expected to pick-up,
lending growth is likely to be moderate in the immediate future."
|
|
Youku
|
Yes
|
YOKU
|
$25.06
$15.88
|
$19.30
|
$69.95
$15.88
|
-23%
&
+23%
|
|
Read
"The
Chinese Facebook," from Vol. 8, issue 9.
Youku is the Chinese Netflix and YouTube.
|
Deleted
Companies 2010-2011:
Deleted
1.11.10: KCI with 88% gains! Deleted 8.1.10:
Galaxy Resources with 48% and 9% returns and Rio Tinto with 21%
gains. Deleted 9.13.10: American Superconductor (flat)
& AOL (flat). 10.1.10: Blockbuster busted out
in bankruptcy on 9.28.10. KLAC was deleted with 11% gains. 10.15.10:
ENER1 was deleted with flat performance. 11.11.10: ENER1 was deleted
with 37% gains. VECO was deleted with 2% & 41% gains. 12.1.10:
KLIC was deleted with 12% gains. 1.14.11: Advanced Materials was
deleted with 30% gains. 2.2.11: BEARX with losses of 14%. 2.14.11:
U.S. Gold with 14.5X gains. 6.13.11: EPU with flat performance.
9.7.11: Deleted Eldorado Gold with 38% & 52% gains. 11.14.11:
HEV with heavy losses, VMW and KLAC for gains of 32-33% & Tesla
for 40% gains.
Deleted
Companies 2008-2009:
60 winners
and 9 losers.
Recently
Deleted from the Hot News list:
ENER1
(HEV) on 11.14.11
KLA
Tencor (KLAC) on 11.14.11
Tesla
(TSLA) on 11.14.11
VMWare
(VMW) on 11.14.11
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when added to Hot News List
|
Price
11.14.11
|
52-week
High
52-week
Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
ENER1
|
Yes
|
HEV
|
$3.68
$0.14
(10.1.11)
|
$0.09
|
$5.90
$0.14
|
-98%
&
-36%
|
|
Read
"Will
Congress Kill the Electric Car (Again)?" in Vol. 8,
issue 10, "Earth
Hour"
in Vol. 8, issue 4 and "Life
Begins with Li (Lithium)"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ener1 develops and manufactures compact,
high performance lithium-ion batteries to power the next generation
of hybrid, plug-in hybrid and pure electric vehicles.
NASDAQ
delisted ENER1 on 10.28.11. The company is trading off the
boards. The company just hired restructuring specialist (bankruptcy)
Alex Sorokin as the interim CEO. Odds of a BK just increased
exponentially.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2011/07/29/president-obama-announces-new-fuel-economy-standards
|
|
KLA Tencor
|
No
|
KLAC
|
$40.59
$35.93
(9.15.11)
|
$47.76
|
$51.83
$26.69
|
+18%
&
+33%
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting," from the August 1, 2010 ezine,
Vol. 7, issue 8.
1Q on
Oct. 28, 2011: $892 million revenue in 4Q, up from $559 million
in 2010. Net income was $192 million, from $113 million last
year. Revenues were $796 million.
Has over
$2 billion in cash.
"KLA-Tencor's
market leadership and strong business model enabled us to
deliver solid financial results in the first quarter of fiscal
year 2012, despite a challenging global economic and industry
environment," commented Rick Wallace, president and chief
executive officer of KLA-Tencor. "Though some of our
customers are delaying capacity expansion plans today as they
assess current macroeconomic and industry conditions, we are
well-positioned to benefit from the investments that our customers
are continuing to make in driving their advanced technology
roadmaps."
Watch
my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC,
or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
Check out this Fox
Biz interview with CEO of KLA on 9.27.11.
|
|
Tesla
|
No
|
TSLA
|
$23.73
|
$33.22
|
$36.42
$14.98
|
+40%
|
|
Read
"Tesla.
The Best Car on the Road," "Will
Congress Kill the Electric Car (Again)?" and "Tesla
Trades on NASDAQ" from Vol. 8, issue 11,
Vol. 8, issue 10 and Vol. 7, issue 7. 3Q results will be
released on 11.2.11.
Should
you buy now? Very volatile stock. Also, beta models of the
new sedan are just rolling out and production is in the early
phase. It's at a former Toyota factory, which places a lot
of ducks in a row, however, ramping up for production is something
that can be wrought with delays and other unexpected kinks.
Combine that with competition for the Leaf and the Volt, and
you have a more vulnerable company. The Leaf is lower-priced,
but also has a lot less battery power and distance. The Volt
is a hybrid, more like the Prius. However, the Volt won the
2011 Car of the Year Award! Tesla has a very strong board
and management team and a great car in the Roadster. Advance
reviews of the S sedan are gushing.
3Q results
were announced on Nov. 2, 2011. Revenues increased to $58
million, Double the revenue of a year ago. Net loss was $59
million.
Cash = $318 million. Long term debt: $134 million. Total cash
burn from inception to date is $396 million.
Toyota
and Tesla announced on August 5, 2011 that they will build
electric RAV4s beginning in 2012. The production line will
be in Woodstock, Ontario, and the electric powertrains will
be shipped by Tesla from California.
Very
exciting car company. But very early stage, and may be in
need of raising more and more dough to stay on production
track before the RAV4 and Model S hit stores. Be careful.
|
|
VMWare
|
No
|
VMW
|
$77.90
|
$102.64
|
$111.43
$71.04
|
+32%
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform"
Vol. 7, issue 4.
Announced
3Q results on Oct. 17, 2011: Revenues were $942 million, an
increase of 32% from the second quarter of 2010. Net income
for the second quarter was $178 million. Cash, cash equivalents
and short-term investments were $4 billion and unearned revenue
was $2.2 billion as of Sept. 30, 2011.
|
Stocks
to Watch
Some
of these are great companies that we're thinking of adding to the
Hot List and some are stinkers we're thinking of adding to the Cooling
Off List. Read carefully to identify which is which! Note
that right now most of our favorite companies are on the Watch List.
Getting the price right is as important as picking the right company.
Never pay retail!
Recent
Additions:
GroupOn
(GRPN) added December 1, 2011
KLA Tencor (KLAC) on 12.1.11
Tesla (TSLA) on 12.1.11
VMWare (VMW) on 12.1.11
Recent
Deletions:
None
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when added to List
|
Price
12.1.11
|
52-week
High
52-week
Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
Amazon
|
No
|
AMZN
|
$168.07
|
$197.07
|
$246.71
$160.59
|
+17%
|
|
Hot company.
Buy at a good price. P/E ratio is very high, at 109 on October
14, 2011.
|
|
Apple
|
No
|
AAPL
|
$351.99
|
$387.93
|
$426.70
$310.50
|
|
|
One of
the largest company in the world -- trading #1 spot with ExxonMobil
since August 10, 2011. Buy at a good price. RIP Steve Jobs.
Tim Cook, current COO, has been running company many times
over the years during Jobs. Bob Iger has been named to the
Apple board and Arthur Levinson has taken over as the Chairman
of the Board.
How much
of a threat are the competing Smart Phones to the iPhone?
Since iPhones and iPads are primary drivers of revenue for
Apple, it pays to compare...
|
|
Baidu
|
No
|
BIDU
|
$124.96
|
$134.45
|
$165.96
$94.33
|
+8%
|
|
Hot company.
Buy at a god price. P/E 88 on 12.1.11.
|
|
Berkshire
Hathaway
|
No
|
BRK.B
|
$85.30
|
$77.81
|
$87.65
$65.35
|
-9%
|
|
Warren
Buffett's company has more exposure to the bank bailouts (Wells
Fargo and American Express to name just two) than most investors
realize. And, contrary to what he used to say, the company
engages in active trading and hedging. Plus, he's 82 and doesn't
have a clear, young successor in place. (Last one, David Sokol,
had to resign on March 30, 2011.)
3Q: Revenues
= $33.74 billion (including $2.4 billion in derivative losses).
Net earnings $2.3 billion, compared to $3 billion a year ago.
|
|
Eldorado
Gold
|
No
|
EGO
|
$21.39
|
$18.19
|
$22.12
$13.93
|
-10%
|
|
Read
"Investing
in Gold" from Vol. 6, issue 9.
Eldorado
is a gold producing, exploration and development company actively
growing businesses in Brazil
China, Greece, and Turkey and surrounding regions. They are
one of the lowest cost pure gold producers.
Produced
162,429 ounces of gold at an average cash operating cost of
$397 per ounce (total cash cost $477 per ounce). Sold 162,164
ounces of gold at an average realized price of $1,510 per
ounce.
Net income
was $74.9 million, compared to $55.7 million a year ago.
|
|
iShares
JP Morgan Emerging Markets Index
|
No
|
EMB
|
$104.63
|
$108.58
|
$114.14
$103.57
|
+4%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7.
|
|
First
Solar
|
No
|
FSLR
|
$144.76
|
$47.55
|
$175.45
$53.05
|
-69%
|
|
See "Solar
Springs Up Again," article in Vol. 5, iss 4. 2Q
2011 earnings on 8.5.11: Sales and income are both down. Net
sales were $533 million in the quarter, a decrease of $34.5
million from the first quarter of 2011, primarily due to lower
average selling prices (ASPs) as solar photovoltaic (PV) policy
uncertainties in Italy, Germany and France adversely impacted
demand in the second quarter. Second quarter net income per
fully diluted share was $0.70, down from $1.33 in the first
quarter of 2011 and $1.84 in the second quarter of 2010. Quarter
over quarter, the net income decrease was primarily driven
by lower ASPs and a higher tax rate, partially offset by higher
volume sold. Year over year, the net income decrease was principally
driven by lower ASPs and increased investment in the Utilities
Systems Business and research and development.
CFO Jens
Meyerhoff is leaving to "self-reflect" on his next steps.
First
Solar uses cadmium telluride instead of silicon to transfer
sunlight into useable energy. First Solar's sales are flat,
whereas sales with the silicon-based solar suppliers are up
80-100% year over year. The shift to silicon is occurring
for two reasons. Silicon manufacturing is heating up and costs
are lowering as a result, and cadmium telluride isn't as abundant
or as efficient a power source as silicon. Read the article
for more details. They still list CdTe as the semiconductor
of choice on their website, citing old data from 2004 that
this is a good strategy. Be forewarned!
|
|
Ford
Motor Co.
|
No
|
F
|
$14.55
|
$10.59
|
$18.97
$9.34
|
-27%
|
|
Read
"How
Cap and Trade Saved Ford"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ford is making cars people want to drive,
but it owes over $100 billion dollars. Be careful with any
investment here. The same conditions that plagued Chrysler
and GM are present here -- lots of debt, pensions and Other
Post Employment Benefit Obligations. Ford built cars that
won awards in 2010 (and attracted consumer interest). And
for that they get a big bravo.
Ford's
total debt is over $100 billion and their credit rating is
below investment grade, at BB+ (as of 10.21.11, by S&P),
with a Stable Outlook.
|
|
General
Motors
|
No
|
GM
|
$33.11
|
$21.03
|
$39.48
$20.16
|
-34%
|
|
Read
"One
Very Hot IPO," from the September
1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 9. Chevy Volt won Motor Trend's
2011 Car of the Year, but can GM regain market share from
worldwide market leader, Toyota? GM may have shed a lot of
debt in the bankruptcy filing, however, the company's profit
margins remain very slim at 4%.
|
|
GroupOn
|
No
|
GRPN
|
$18.95
|
$18.95
|
$31.14
$14.85
|
--
|
|
Read
"Is
GroupOn a Deal?" and "Is
GroupOn the Next Google?," from the Dec. 1, 2011
and July 1, 2011 ezines, Vol. 8, issue 12 and 7. Questions
about management, governance, accounting and negative cash
flow have us concerned about the viability of GroupOn.
|
|
KLA
Tencor
|
No
|
KLAC
|
$47.23
|
$47.23
|
$51.83
$26.69
|
--
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting," from the August 1, 2010 ezine, Vol.
7, issue 8.
1Q
on Oct. 28, 2011: $892 million revenue in 4Q, up from $559
million in 2010. Net income was $192 million, from $113 million
last year. Revenues were $796 million.
Has
over $2 billion in cash.
"KLA-Tencor's
market leadership and strong business model enabled us to
deliver solid financial results in the first quarter of fiscal
year 2012, despite a challenging global economic and industry
environment," commented Rick Wallace, president and chief
executive officer of KLA-Tencor. "Though some of our
customers are delaying capacity expansion plans today as they
assess current macroeconomic and industry conditions, we are
well-positioned to benefit from the investments that our customers
are continuing to make in driving their advanced technology
roadmaps."
Watch
my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC,
or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
Check out this Fox
Biz interview with CEO of KLA on 9.27.11.
|
|
Kulicke
& Soffa
|
No
|
KLIC
|
$8.71
|
$9.06
|
$12.72
$6.71
|
+4%
|
|
Read
"Let
There Be Light" and "LED
Lighting," from the December 1, 2010 and
August 1, 2010 ezines, Vol. 7, issue 12 and 8.
|
|
iShares
MSCI Indonesia Index
|
No
|
EIDO
|
$30.72
|
$29.49
|
$32.92
$22.80
|
flat
|
|
Read
"Travel
Rewards,"
from Vol. 8, issue 7.
|
|
LinkedIn
|
No
|
LNKD
|
$92.43
|
$67.78
|
$122.70
$45.00
|
-27%
|
|
Read
my article, "Should
You Link In?" from the June 1, 2011 ezine,
Vol. 8, issue. 6.
|
|
Oracle
|
No
|
ORCL
|
$33.47
|
$31.67
|
$36.50
$21.24
|
-5%
|
|
Read
"Big
Bites Out of Apple and Google" from the February
1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 2.
|
|
Orocobre
|
No
|
OROCF
|
$2.35
|
$1.60
|
$4.03
$0.97
|
-37%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota?" from Vol.
7, issue 2. This is an Australian lithium company with a deal
with Toyota to supply lithium for lithium ion batteries. Began
trading on TSX (Toronto Stock Exchange) in June of 2010 and
trades on the Australian Stock Exchange as well.
Recent
trouble: On March 7, 2011, Orocobre announced that the Argentinian
government is slowing down the permit process for the proposed
lithium potash project in NW Argentina. On March 4, 2011,
the local government declared lithium to be a strategic mineral
resource and introduced a secondary approvals process. According
to the decree, additional approval will be required for both
the Olaroz lithium-potash project for which the Company has
already received approval of its development and production
EIS, and the Cauchari lithium-potash project, for which an
exploration EIS has been submitted. This new process does
not affect the Company's program at Salinas Grandes, which
is predominantly located in Salta Province. However, as of
Oct. 31, 2011, Orocobre is still "actively engaged" in the
secondary approvals, without measurable progress.
The company
is based in Brisbane, Queensland, which had extensive flooding
last year. Lithium production isn't projected to begin until
2012 and with the new developments in Argentina, this could
be further delayed.
Orocobre
Limited is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange and
Toronto Stock Exchange (ASX:ORE, TSX:ORL) and is the leading
lithium-potash developer in the lithium and potassium rich
Puna region of Argentina. For further information, please
visit www.orocobre.com.
|
|
iShares
MSCI All Peru Index Fund
|
No
|
EPU
|
$40.73
|
$40.66
|
$51.35
$29.79
|
flat
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7 and "Latin
American
Funds Doubled" article from the August 2010 ezine,
Vol. 7, issue 8. Left-winger Ollanta Humala, a career military
man who has moderated his anti-capitalist views since narrowly
losing the 2006 election, won the Presidential election and
has become the President-Elect.
Humala
notes that Peru has had economic growth of 7-8% for 8 years.
He calls the Peruvian economy "solid." While Humala
promises that the poor will receive more of the country's
profits, he also says that his central bank will be run by
an independent and that he wants to work closely with the
United States. Check out this video interview with Humala
by Reuters.
|
|
Priceline
|
No
|
PCLN
|
$508.15
|
$488.43
|
$561.88
$392.30
|
-4%
|
|
Read
the article "The
Priceline Negotiator,"
from Vol. 7, issue 10. Great company. Don't want people buying
in high, hoping to sell higher. And if you made a healthy
gain, considering capturing profits.
3Q results
were announced on November 4, 2011. Revenues = $1.5 billion,
versus $1 billion a year ago. Net income $473 million, versus
$225 million last year.
|
|
Ross
Stores
|
No
|
ROST
|
$35.90
|
$92.28
|
$92.28
$60.15
|
+156%
|
|
Read
"Discount
Designer Stores," from Vol. 5, issue 6. Sales
have been growing steadily in this discount marketplace, especially
given the "jobless recovery." Profit margins are
slim, however, 7%.
|
|
Tesla
|
No
|
TSLA
|
$32.60
|
$32.60
|
$36.42
$14.98
|
--
|
|
Read
"Tesla.
The Best Car on the Road," "Will
Congress Kill the Electric Car (Again)?" and "Tesla
Trades on NASDAQ" from Vol. 8, issue 11,
Vol. 8, issue 10 and Vol. 7, issue 7.
Should
you buy now? Very volatile stock. Also, beta models of the
new sedan are just rolling out with delivery expected in the
first half of 2012. Production is at a former Toyota factory,
which places a lot of ducks in a row, however, ramping up
for production is something that can be wrought with delays
and other unexpected kinksTesla has a very strong board and
management team and a great car in the Roadster. Advance reviews
of the S sedan are gushing.
3Q
results were announced on Nov. 2, 2011. Revenues increased
to $58 million, Double the revenue of a year ago. Net loss
was $59 million. Cash = $318 million. Long term debt: $134
million. Total cash burn from inception to date is $396 million.
Toyota
and Tesla announced on August 5, 2011 that they will build
electric RAV4s beginning in 2012. The production line will
be in Woodstock, Ontario, and the electric powertrains will
be shipped by Tesla from California.
Very
exciting car company. But very early stage, and may be in
need of raising more and more dough to stay on production
track before the RAV4 and Model S hit stores. Be careful.
|
|
Toyota
Motor Company
|
No
|
TM
|
$71.84
|
$65.72
|
$93.74
$60.37
|
-8%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota?" from Vol. 7, issue
2 and "One
Very Hot IPO" from Vol. 7, issue 9.
Toyota
and Tesla announced on August 5, 2011 that they will build
electric RAV4s beginning in 2012. The production line will
be in Woodstock, Ontario, and the electric powertrains will
be shipped by Tesla from California.
Toyota
continues to be the #1 automaker and a fave among greenies.
The industry is vulnerable, however, and investors should
be aware of the price and that 21 P/E is high for auto manufacturers,
though if Toyota does succeed in capturing the EV market,
the growth could be impressive.
Earnings
are down and profit margins are flat...
|
|
VMWare
|
No
|
VMW
|
$77.90
|
$96.70
|
$111.43
$71.04
|
+24%
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform" Vol. 7, issue 4.
Announced
3Q results on Oct. 17, 2011: Revenues were $942 million, an
increase of 32% from the second quarter of 2010. Net income
for the second quarter was $178 million. Cash, cash equivalents
and short-term investments were $4 billion and unearned revenue
was $2.2 billion as of Sept. 30, 2011.
|
|
Wells
Fargo
|
No
|
WFC
|
$32.25
|
$25.64
|
$34.25
$22.58
|
-22%
|
|
3.7 million
people are over 90 days late on their mortgage. Additionally,
WFC credit card holders report getting charged 29.9% interest
rates, while class action lawsuits against WFC continue to
mount. However, the Feds keep giving the banks money and allowing
banks to carry their losses off the books. Which means that
earnings reports are fairy tales.
See "Wells
Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings" in
Vol. 5, issue 9, and "Wells
Fargo’s Great Depression," in Vol. 4, issue 12.
|
|
Wynn
Resorts
|
No
|
WYNN
|
$147.98
|
$119.05
|
$172.58
$85.80
|
-20%
|
|
Check
out the article,
"(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
in
Vol. 5, issue 10.
Wynn
is a great marketer and capital raiser. However, Vegas is
one of the worst places for real estate in the U.S. and the
city has taken a huge hit as a convention center as well.
Be very careful here. The Hangover sparked a Vegas renaissance
last year. The new Wynn pool scene is hot. Buying a vulnerable
company with a high price to earnings ratio is not.
Increased
cash flow has improved Wynn's debt rating. On July 8, 2011,
Fitch raised its rating on Wynn Resorts Ltd and subsidiaries,
including Wynn Las Vegas LLC and Wynn Resorts (Macau) SA to
"BB" from "BB-" and it gave a positive outlook for the ratings.
|
Cooling
Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share
Price).
Note:
The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling
off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value.
Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent
news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump
losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while
keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always
consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments
to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are
expected to go DOWN in price.)
ALERT: We
are in a pre-election year. The markets have been volatile and down-trending,
but oil prices have backed off and GDP growth is expected to pick
up in the coming quarters. So, even though consumer sentiment is
down, now may not be the best time to initiate a short position.
Some of the stocks on the list below are here simply to keep you
from buying them high.
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
None
DELETIONS:
None
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when added to Cooling Off List
|
Price
12.1.11
|
52-week
High
52-week
Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
News
Corp.
|
No
|
NWSA
|
$16.42
$17.27
|
$17.56
|
$18.35
$11.91
|
+5% &
flat
|
|
Read
my article, "Murdoch's
Humble Pie," from the August 1, 2011 ezine,
Vol. 8, issue. 8.
|
|
Rochester
Municipals Bond Fund
|
No
|
RMUNX
|
$14.86
$16.02
(10.1.11)
|
$15.62
|
$16.91
$14.49
|
+6% &
-2%
|
|
Read
"Bond
Beautification Project" from Vol.
7, issue 10 and "Bonds,
Bond Funds and T-Bills: The Next Disaster,"
from Vol. 7, issue 9.
|
|
Taubman
Centers
|
No
|
TCO
|
$24.74
$61.32
(7.15.11)
|
$61.24
|
$62.63
$21.85
|
+140%
&
flat
|
|
Read
the article, "Global
Recession," from Vol. 6, issue 6 in
June 2009.
Mall
owners are hit with the quadruple whammy of sluggish retail
sales, high turnover, lower occupancy and declining real estate
value.
|
|
Time
Warner
|
No
|
TWX
|
$24.44
|
$34.21
|
$38.62
$27.62
|
+42%
|
|
Read
the article, "Hulu
Your Heroes," from Vol. 6, issue 5
in May 2009.
|
|
PowerShares
Treasury Bill Index Fund
|
No
|
PLW
|
$30.02
$32.78
(10.1.11)
|
$31.79
|
$33.01
$26.30
|
+10%
&
-5%
|
|
Read
"Don’t
Get Fooled Again," from Vol. 7, issue 8.
When interest rates rise, bonds and bond funds fall in value.
Time to find another "safe" place for your assets.
Read "The
High Price of Questionable Credit"
from the September 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 9.
|
Deleted
in 2010-2011:
Deleted
AMAT on 8.1.10 with gains of 12.5% & 7% (put gains would be
double or more). 8.30.10: Deleted FIG (-10% & -40%), MXWL (-37%),
MDT (-4% & -24%), MSFT (-20%) -- all for gains. Deleted MGM
9.13.10 for 61% gains. Deleted Tesla on 1.14.11 with 20% & 24%
gains. 3.1.11: Deleted Shutterfly with12% gain (cooling off gain)
and Sears with mixed results (up & down). 3.11.11: Deleted PIMCO
Muni Bond fund with flat performance. Deleted Amazon, American Express,
Capital One, Ford, Kulicke & Soffa, Netflix, Taubman, VMWare
with mixed results. Deleted Apple, Baidu, Berkshire Hathaway, Intel,
Transocean & Wells Fargo with losses. 4.28.11: ABAT with 51%
gains. 6.13.11: LinkedIn was deleted with 25% gains, Orocobre with
18% gains, Shutterfly with 20% gains, Priceline with mixed performance
and eBay was deleted with flat performance. 6.23.11: Yahoo was deleted
with 12% gains. 8.15.11: LinkedIn with 10-11% gains, Netflix with
-6-18% gains, Priceline with 6% gains, Tesla with 7% gains. Wynn
Resorts was deleted with mixed results. 8.31.11: Toyota was deleted
with gains of 14%.
Deleted
2008-2009:
19 gainers
and no losers.
Recently
Deleted:
None
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER (PLEASE READ):
Please
note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We
report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling
Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should
reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the
assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your
goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading"
portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
NataliePace.com
Calendar:
Very
Important Muni Bond Webinar (Free) Hosted by Standard & Poor's.
The
NataliePace.com Calendar section features conferences, teleconferences,
retreats, educational opportunities, cultural events, galas, market
events and online chats with executives and VIPs. Stay plugged in!
We add online chats, article updates, teleconferences, etc. as they
are booked, so be sure to visit the calendar section early and often.
Below is only a partial listing of what’s happening this month.
To access links
to the event website and registration, go to the Calendar
section at NataliePace.com.
Sultry
Sag Elevate Dance Party, Ojai, CA
Saturday, December 10th, 2011
A Total Lunar Eclipse Dance Party featuring DJ Marques Wyatt at
the Elevate estate in Ojai, CA.
Massachusetts
Conference for Women
Sunday,
December 11th, 2011
Community and connection, information and inspiration, motivation
and momentum for 7000 attendees! Speakers include athlete Marion
Jones, TV host Joe Scarborough, America Ferrera and more.
FOMC
Meeting
Tuesday,
December 13th, 2011
The Federal Open Market Committee meets to determine Federal Reserve
policy in the U.S.
Understanding
Munis Webinar
Wednesday,
December 14th, 2011
9:00AM PT
Understanding U.S. Municipals in a Volatile Year. Complimentary
Webinar by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ team.
Winter
Solstice
Thursday,
December 22nd, 2011
The depth of winter!
GDP
3Q 2011 (3rd estimate)
Thursday,
December 22nd, 2011
8:30AM ET
The U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA.gov)
releases its third estimate on GDP growth in the 3rd Quarter of
2011.
Yoga
Retreat. Kona, HI
January
28-February 4, 2012
7 nights
of deep yoga and relaxation at a gorgeous eco-retreat on the north
shore of the Big Island of Hawaii. Yogi Chad Hamrin hosts. Restore
and renew.
Love
& Money Retreat. Santa Monica,
CA
February
24-26, 2012
Investor Educational Retreat taught by #1 stock picker Natalie Pace.
This is an extraordinary opportunity to learn investing for gold,
real estate, stocks, bonds, budgeting and passive income in an intimate
boardroom setting with just 12 other people.
Beat the street
with the ONLY strategy that has worked over the last decade. Get
educated, get smart and start gaining!
|
VISION: To build
a global community of investors through a worldwide website, seminars,
radio, television and print partners.
GOAL: To provide high-quality, first-run, ethical financial news,
information and education, presented in an entertaining format,
across all media (television, radio, print and online).
MISSION: To provide the news, information and education investors
need to make better choices and to make investing as much fun
as shopping.
PHILOSOPHY: Member Mosaic. Piecing together a more complete picture
of the publicly traded company, one tile at a time, by valuing
firsthand consumer experience, conducting evaluations of the executive
team and lining up the numbers of the publicly-traded company
with its competitors in a Stock Report Card.
For more information on NataliePace.com contact us at
www.NataliePace.com,
P.O. Box 1350, Santa Monica, CA 90406-1350
or 1-866.476.7442
(toll-free telephone number).
NOTICE: NataliePace.com is NOT a stock brokerage service,
and does not operate or act as one.
|
|
|