Vol.3 Issue 2 February 1st, 2006
Send comments and suggestions. or get more information at info@NataliePace.com

Quote of the Month:
"
Oil is rapidly approaching $70, a level at which consumers clearly backed away in September.  Thus, energy prices do currently constitute a real risk. More Downside Likely; Wait Before Buying."

Tobias Levkovich, Smith Barney
from the Portfolio Strategist Macro Commentary, 1.27.06

 


Disney Media Networks Co-Chairman Ann M. Sweeney: Disney's "E" Ticket To The Future.

by: Meri Anne Beck-Woods, Chairman & COO Odyssey Advisors LLC

Anne Sweeney
Co-Chairman, Disney Media Networks
President, Disney-ABC Television Group
PHOTO CREDIT: ABC/BOB D'AMICO
Ann Sweeney, named not once, not twice, but three times or more as one of the "50 Most Powerful Women in Business" by Fortune Magazine has brought new vitality to an old line firm, as Co-Chairman of Disney Media Networks and President of the Disney-ABC Television Group.

On January 25, 2006, Ms. Sweeney was the featured speaker in the Pepperdine University, Graziadio School of Business and Management Dean's Executive Leadership Series held in Malibu, California. When the Dean of the Pepperdine Business school introduced her, she commented on the statistics showing that one third of highly qualified women leave the large corporate workplace to raise a family, start their own business or become involved in the non-profit or community service arena. Ann Sweeney is one of the better-known survivors of corporate America, one who has a great family and a great job. She is a woman who has been described as a "steel fist in a velvet glove."

"The Role of the Entrepreneur in an Established Business"
Petite but passionate, Ms. Sweeney began by saying there is a changing field of players in the media and entertainment business. Old media, which has been described as "sluggish and slow," and new media, which has been described as "innovative and original," are joining forces to capitalize on new media delivery innovations like the I-pod and video on demand (VOD). The sold out crowd waited on the edge of their seats, hoping Ms. Sweeney would comment on the just announced merger of Disney and Pixar.

They were not disappointed. Beginning with the innovative partnership arrangements made with Apple and the almost perfect alignment of partners' interest in providing the consumer delivery on demand for both content and mobility, she said there were over 2.1 million downloads of content in the first 90 days of offering the initial product from the Apple partnership. Subscription video on demand, Disney movies and original programming content and cablevision delivery on demand (DOD) are all integral pieces of the puzzle. She said that, in her case, in order to succeed you need to have a great love for chaos and enjoy the challenge of solving the puzzle.

The new handheld devices carried by children, teenagers and adults alike are pulling viewers away from television networks. This shift is challenging the traditional rules of companies and providing new perspectives in viewer platform agendas and revenues. Favorable revenue sharing arrangements have altered the distribution of television content significantly, especially when it comes to pod casting and text messaging. Sweeney cited ABC News now as an example of this new paradigm. Meeting consumer needs is a sound growth strategy, especially when you have brand recognition from a content provider, such as Disney, and cooperation from a distribution partner, like Verizon, in protecting content and thwarting piracy.

A belief that market expansion into new technology delivery distribution avenues will lead to revenue expansion drives the Disney/Pixar/ABC partnerships of the future. An understanding that growing theme parks and growing advertising and content revenues are not the same means current Disney strategic growth plans for international expansion have changed radically. There is more focus on the local region, more regional content, and the expertise of native workers will drive growth in Japan, Latin America, and the United Kingdom. Partnerships with technology partners in Korea, who are believed to be among the most technically advanced in the world, will provide market-specific ABC content in that part of the world.

According to Ms. Sweeney, new users for video on demand are estimated to go from 22 million in 2005 to 46 million in 2010. We are now living in the borderless landscape created by TIVO and DVD players. Apple's Steve Jobs told Ann Sweeney 32 million I-Pod devices were sold in 2004. She said 14 million were sold in the fourth quarter of 2005. Her passion came through loud and clear when she spoke of the need for internal entrepreneurs, especially when working in a multi-platform digital world. The key to Google's $5.5 billion in advertising income is not in reaching the biggest market, according to Sweeney, but in hundreds of thousands of small markets through individual searches guided with "pay per click" advertising revenues. She believes her company needs to develop a broad, interactive advertising market vehicle, closely connected to consumers worldwide, as well.

The rigid rules of production and distribution historically developed for the television, radio, and broadcast media need to be changed to prevent distribution limits on consumers. Traditional industry rules dictating when a program can be aired and how often she believes are a barrier to consumer satisfaction and will be changed. The exciting concept of "Peer to Peer" file sharing requires out of the box entrepreneurial thinking in a business that needs to encourage, attract and keep the vision growing with both men and women innovators.

How does Disney keep that vision? By hiring smart people, letting them do their jobs and keeping conversations going. When Ms. Sweeney hires someone, she asks questions that determine how much intellectual curiosity they possess. She believes this is required to lead and manage organizational and industry change.

Fearlessness is a requirement as the future unfolds and the revenue growth explodes or implodes. She gave high marks to the post Eisner Disney management team for invigorating the company and warning all to beware growth in content delivery at the expense of existing revenue sources. Ms. Sweeney said she went to school to be a teacher and found out it was not her cup of tea. Children's education through entertainment provided a better road to success.

Author's notes on Disney Pixar Merger & the price of the "E" ticket ride.
Disney paid $7.4 billion for Pixar or 2.3 Disney shares for each Pixar share. Disney (symbol DIS) also announced a $5.85 billion share buyback program (which will be partially financed by the $1 billion in cash currently earning interest at Pixar). The share buy back program will cushion earnings at the expense of bondholders. Slow growth Disney and big growth Pixar might create a new giant in the magic kingdom. The media industry is an industry in transition as broadband penetration increases, and people spend more hours online (as opposed to watching television). Challenges will include retaining existing customers and attracting new customers. Merrill Lynch analyst Jessica Reif Cohen in a September 2005 report on the Media Industry cited the main issues as the risk of cannibalization, new entrants and cost creep. Changing the traditional rules of engagement for the media industry will force the importance of attacking opportunity and defending core businesses. Although in the early stages of the growth cycle, the digital opportunity should contribute 10%+ growth from 2005 - 2010. For a side-by-side comparison of Disney and Pixar go to www.smartmoney.com and run the compare function using the DIS and PIXR symbols. Then click on the various comparisons for growth in earnings, debt, revenue, and other financial metrics.

As for Ann Sweeney. Good luck to her and we hope that Steve Jobs, as the biggest shareholder of the combined company, with 7% of the shares outstanding, does not serve up a poisoned apple, like the one given to Snow White in the now famous Disney classic.

Meri Anne Beck-Woods is Chairman and CFO of Odyssey Advisors LLC, an independent investment advisory firm specializing in equities and fixed income. Meri Anne is a co-author of the book Inspiration to Realization where her chapter "How the millionaire next door can be you" speaks to everyone's ability to become a millionaire. She can be contacted at www.odysseyadvisors.com or 310.568.4700.

Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however Odyssey Advisors LLC does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.


The Prosperity Game.

by Jerry and Esther Hicks.

Play the Game of Millionaires to Become One. An excerpt from the book Ask and It Is Given: Learning to Manifest Your Desires

In this process, you will begin by establishing an imaginary checking account. In other words, there will be no actual bank involved, but you will make deposit entries and check withdrawals just as if it were an actual account. You could use an old checkbook system that is no longer in use, an accounting program in your computer, or you could even manufacture a complete system by using a notebook as your checkbook register and blank pieces of papers for your deposit slips and checks. It is of value to make this process feel as real to you as possible.

On the first day, deposit $1,000. And spend it. In other words, make a $1,000 deposit entry into your checkbook register, then write out checks to spend those dollars. You could spend your money all in one place, using one check, or you could spend it for several different things, using several different checks. The point of the game is to have fun thinking about what you would like to purchase, and to enjoy the process of actually writing out the checks.

Be descriptive on the memo portion of the check. For example: For a beautiful writing pen or Great running shoes or Membership at Gordon's Health Spa. You can spend it all today, or save some of it for another day. However, we encourage you to do your best to spend it today, because tomorrow you will be making another wonderful deposit.

On the second day, deposit $2,000.
On the third day, deposit $3,000.
On the fourth day, deposit $4,000.

When you reach day 50, deposit $50,000. When you reach day 300, deposit $300,000. If you play this game every day for one year, you will have deposited and spent more than $66 million.

You will be benefiting by increasing your ability to imagine. In other words, you will discover, as you play the game for a few weeks, that it will begin to take real concentration to spend that much money. And so, your ability to imagine will expand tremendously.

Most of our physical friends really do not exercise their imagination very much. Most people offer their vibrations almost exclusively in response to what they are observing, but by playing this game, you will find yourself reaching for new ideas, and in time, you will feel the expansion of your own desire and expectation. In doing so, you will benefit by shifting your point of attraction.

You see, the Universe is responding to your vibrational offering, not to your current state of being. So, if you are giving your attention only to your current state of being, then your future evolves much the same. But if you are giving focused attention to these wonderful expanding ideas that this game evokes from you, the Universe now responds to the vibrations of those thoughts.

The Universe makes no distinction between the vibration you offer in response to what you are living and the vibration that you offer in response to what you are imagining, so this Prosperity Game Process is a powerful tool for shifting your vibrational point of attraction.

You can play the game for a short time, or you can play it for an entire year or more. Whatever you choose is appropriate. It may feel awkward in the beginning, but the longer you play the game, the more expansive your imagination will become. And as your imagination expands and you focus on the spirit of fun and expansion, your point of attraction will shift.

By writing the checks, using your imagination, writing the memos, focusing as you write, and feeling no resistance as you write the checks because there is no fear of overspending, you will achieve what is necessary in the achievement of anything: You will have made a statement of desire while you are in the state of non-resistance, or better said, in the state of allowing.

So, not only will you have the benefit of an expanded imagination, but your point of attraction will shift, and your life experience will then shift as well. Not only will your financial situation improve, but all manner of things that you have focused upon with pleasure will begin to flow into your experience.

You can start the game or stop it, and you can play it in any way you like. There are no rules; there is nothing that you should or should not do. In other words, pick it up and play with it. Spend as much as you want. But the important thing is: Do your best to exercise your imagination.

If you were a sculptor on your first day of sculpting, you would not take your big clump of clay and throw it down on the table and say, "Oh, it didn't turn out right." You would mold it. You would get better at it. You would get more clay. You would get different-colored clay. You would find a way to continue to evolve in your creative endeavor. And yet, when it comes to the creation that you mold with the clay of the Energy that creates worlds, most of you make no conscious effort to direct your thought. In other words, it is as if somebody else took the clay and threw it down there, and now you spend your life just talking about how it looks.

"Well, that didn't turn out very good. My parents should have done something different about that," or "The economy should be doing something different than that," or "There is injustice or unfairness," or "I don't like the way somebody else dealt with that." And we say, Get your hands in your own clay! Summon the Energy through the power of your desire, and mold it through the power of your imagination.

A friend said to us recently, "Abraham, I don't think you care if my lover ever comes to me. I think you want me to get so good at imagining him that I don't notice that he's not here." And we said, That is exactly right, because when you are imagining that he is here, then, in your joy, in that moment, you vibrate in a place where you summon and allow GOD Force-Life Force-to flow through you. And there is nothing more wonderful than that.

And then we said, Oh, and by the way, when you get there, he cannot not come. But as long as your desire for him to come is more about your awareness that he has not come, not only can he not come, but the misery that you are feeling in that moment is because you are choosing a vibration that does not allow the Energy that your desire is summoning.

Joyously playing this Prosperity Game will not only improve your financial state of being, but every aspect of your life will improve as well. It will not only help you activate more vibrations around things that you want, but it will assist you in focusing, more of the time, in a way that allows the things that you want to flow into your experience.

Playing this game will cause you to offer a more expansive, expectant vibration. And it is our promise to you that manifestations will begin to arrive in response to your changed vibration.

*** ***

The Prosperity Game is taken from the book Ask and It Is Given: Learning to Manifest Your Desires, by Jerry and Esther Hicks. Look for the authors' new book, The Amazing Power of Deliberate Intent released in January 2006. Both books are published by Hay House and available at all bookstores or online at: www.hayhouse.com.


Gold Fever: China's Got It. Should You?

by Natalie Pace, CEO, NataliePace.com

When a sleeping giant wakes up hungry, everyone gets excited. With over a billion people, the largest land mass of any country, and the world's fastest growing economy for over a decade, China's appetite for cement, copper, metals and oil have pushed prices up on demand that is, in many cases, outweighing production. "If you don't know what the Chinese are making or doing, you don't know anything -- in all commodity markets," according to Perry Wong, the Senior Research Economist at the Milken Institute (a global economic think tank located in Santa Monica, California). China's economy expanded by 9.9 per cent in 2005, as exports continue to fuel the economy, according to the National Bureau of Statistics Commissioner Li Deshui.

Some are speculating that China’s demand for commodities might also indicate a lust for gold, as a hedge against inflation in their own economy and to diversify their Central Bank reserves. Indeed, since 2000, China has added 50% to their gold reserves, adding over 200 tons of gold reserves between 2000 and 2002 , for a reported current reserve of 600 tons, according to the World Gold Council.

Source: World Gold Council
Data provided by: The Milken Insitute

It makes sense that the Chinese demand for copper (a key ingredient in a major Chinese export - computers), cement (which is necessary for bringing China out of the "1800s" into modern-day), oil and other urban commodities will continue unabated, until or unless the world demand for computers and the Chinese need for infrastructure is sated. But gold is an emotional metal, and thus, speculating on China's gold lust is far more speculative. Paul Woods, the CEO of Odyssey Advisors, writes, "I've thought about owning gold, but the kook factor is a bit too high. Some of the folks that own gold also own bomb shelters, belong to the local militia, and believe that all paper currency will become worthless." Mr. Woods believes that there are probably enough "nuts" around to push gold prices up in 2006, but is investing "in companies that produce the things that China needs to grow."

Despite his rational argument, Paul Woods is a lone bear in the woods. Many respected Wall Street veterans are running all over themselves to declare gold the security play for 2006. Citigroup Gold Analyst John Hill believes "there are favorable catalysts for gold both in the short-term (i.e., supply/demand factors) and in the long-term (i.e., macroeconomic factors)." Jim Jubak puts it in plain English, saying, "Adjust for inflation, and the 1980 high [of $850] is actually about $2,100 an ounce in today's dollars. So instead of being 65% of the way to the historical high, we're only about 25% of the way there."

Respected gold mining executives are hinting that gold prices are positioned to spike on demand by the central governments of China, Russia and others. Indeed, Rob McEwen, the former Chairman and CEO of Goldcorp, has sparked investor interest in his new company, U.S. Gold, partially by alluding to China and Russia as big buyers, saying, "Russia has said they would like to double their gold holdings... China might diversify some assets in gold."

The AMEX Gold Bug Index (amex: $HUI.X) is up 55% over the last twelve months, in an otherwise flat, but volatile market. Since January 2005, gold mining mid-caps, like Goldcorp, have enjoyed 80% gains, while the weighty big cap Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) has more than doubled its girth. Goldcorp (NYSE: GG) has rewarded investors 800% over the last five years. There is no doubt that gold is hot. The question is, are things just heating up and just how high can it go?

Mr. Wong doesn't think people should bank too much on China gobbling up gold in the open markets, given that so many traders speculated on copper prices spiking further, only to be stuck in the same trading range for years. "I don't think people should speculate too much on the Chinese appetite for gold," Mr. Wong notes. "Even if the Chinese bankers' goal is to diversify their reserve, they can hold more Euros, and other currencies of their close trading partners, like India, Japan, Korea, Europe and Thailand."

However, as Jim Jubak puts it, "When times get uncertain, the uncertain buy gold." There are plenty of frightening headlines warning of terrorism, Inflation, high oil prices, rising interest rates, a real estate "bubble," MRSA, bird flu, and more, but none of these threats come close to the real crises that were occurring when gold fever was at $850 an ounce. We can't forget that gold's peak in 1980 coincided with President Jimmy Carter's lame duck year in office, a time darkened with the Iranian Hostage Crisis, the Three Mile Island nuclear accident, an energy crisis, gas rationing in the U.S., sky-high inflation, double-digit interest rates and low consumer confidence. People were lining up to sell the gold in their teeth at $850 an ounce. Those were the worst of times.

China, the world's sleeping giant, is awake, but it is a lot more certain that he's got to build a home, work and eat, than that he's going to buy jewelry. Speculating on gold prices rising above Citigroup Investment Research's forecasts of average $470 per ounce for 2006 and $490 per ounce for 2007 could be risky. Buying in at five-year highs expecting a substantial return in a year or two would be high-stakes gambling.

Gold is an emotional play, and emotional plays are some of the hardest to capitalize on. Proceed with caution, and prepare to have to hang on through tough times in order to reap your rewards.

Other Articles of Interest:
1. Review the Gold Stock Report Card on NataliePace.com. The Gold Report Card lines up key financials of major gold companies, including price, price to earning ratio, insider trading, market capitalization, sales, income and breaking news.
2. Read an exclusive interview with the former Chairman and CEO of Goldcorp, Rob McEwen.
3. Take a survey and let us know which sector you are putting your money in on the home page of NataliePace.com. (Click on the survey and you will go to a page where you can vote in all three of NataliePace.com's current surveys.)


Sitting on a Gold Mine.

by Natalie Pace

Exclusive Q&A with Celebrated (Former) Goldcorp CEO, Rob McEwen.

Rob McEwen, Chairman and CEO, U.S. Gold
Photo Credit: Norm Bettis
Last February 2005, gold mining CEO Rob McEwen, the former Chairman and CEO of Goldcorp (nyse: GG), abandoned the eight billion dollar company to lead an off-the-boards Denver-based company. Has McEwen found a new gold mine or is he dragging investors through a quixotic dream?

2002 was a record year for veteran gold mining executive, Rob McEwen. He won Northern Miner's Man of the Year Award, Ernst & Young's Ontario Entrepreneur of the Year Award in the Energy Category; and the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada's Developer of the Year award. Under his leadership, Goldcorp was named one of Fast Company magazine's 50 Companies of Innovation, and was selected by Business Week magazine as one of the 50 most innovative companies on the web.

After 18 years leading Goldcorp, McEwen could have been enjoying the golden years of his career. As Goldcorp's Chairman and CEO, he'd survived a bitter 46-month labor strike, found new reserves in a tapped-out mine, invented the Goldcorp Principle (now an industry standard for identifying new reserves through open-sourcing), won industry awards, received media recognition, attracted investors and positioned the market capitalization of Goldcorp to rocket from $50 million to its current cap of $8.707 billion.

As Goldcorp's largest individual shareholder, McEwen doesn't need more money. And as the most celebrated mining executive in the world, McEwen's position as Chairman and CEO of Goldcorp was secure. So why did he leave that throne to start digging in the Nevada desert with a little known corporation that trades off the boards?

U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time. They are hoping to discover gold in the "Lower" level on their land. Sound too speculative for your blood? So far, it's paying off for McEwen, who bought 33% of the company for $4 million on July 29, 2005. U.S. Gold now has a market capitalization of $168 million, giving McEwen's 11.1 million shares a value of over $56 million.

But will it pay off for investors? Should you bet $5.05 per share that McEwen can get a listing for his new company, strike gold, and produce metal at a reasonable cost, all at a time when the gold mining industry is experiencing a critical labor and materials shortage?

Is McEwen crazy for thinking he can strike gold twice in one lifetime? We asked that and more in the following exclusive interview between U.S. Gold's Chairman and CEO, Rob McEwen and Natalie Pace, CEO, NataliePace.com.

Natalie -- When you announced that you were leaving Goldcorp, you said that Goldcorp had grown beyond your skill sets. That statement seemed so outlandish, given all of your achievements, that many journalists, including me, thought it was a public relations ploy to keep investors from jumping ship.

Robert McEwen -- I read about other companies where the founder/entrepreneur built it up to a certain point, and then sometimes the company just stalls. We had gotten to a point where we needed something to take it to the next step. I came to the conclusion that it wasn't a perfect match for me, that there were signs and room for change and improvement.

Surely the Board disagreed with you...

The board said, "Why? Everything is going so well. We're profitable and low cost." Well, yes, that was true, but with all the new regulatory issues, the job became more procedural, and not as spontaneous.

And now, Ian Telfer, the former CEO of Wheaton River, is Goldcorp's President and Chief Executive Officer, Doug Holtby is the Chairman of Board and you are simply the largest individual shareholder...

When we bought Wheaton River, we said their management would end up running Goldcorp. They said, "Really?" Wheaton River was producing the same amount of gold at a lower cost because they were already producing copper, which brought their cost down. We were able to generate three times the cash flow, three times the earnings per share, increase reserves by 100 percent, and do it all by issuing 70 percent of the company. They had no debt. The combined company had $600-700 million in cash or liquid assets. That put us in a very good position for the next step. In February 2005, we completed the purchase of Wheaton and Ian Telfer became president. I'll watch this because I'm the largest individual shareholder, but I was basically unemployed. Since then I've made major investments in four companies, and two, I've become CEO of.

[NataliePace.com note: Mr. McEwen is the CEO of U.S. Gold and Lexam Explorations.]

According to U.S. Gold spokesperson, Ian Ball, you have had ongoing discussions with AMEX, and plan to file an application "in the near future." What further actions do you need to take before qualifying for a listing on the big boards? (NataliePace.com note: currently U.S. Gold is being traded off the boards, under the symbol, USGL.)

We needed a shareholder's meeting, which was in November 2005. We had to increase the number of shares that could be issued and put the corporation in a position that could move forward. We hired Ann Carpenter, who had been in the industry for more than 20 years, a very capable individual. She came in as President and COO. There were changes to the board, where we added two new directors, Michele Ashby, who founded the Denver Gold Group (the largest gathering of gold institutional investors), and Dr. Leanne Baker, who spent a lot of time running Salomon Smith Barney's research department. Once we got the corporation and board ready, we get to go around Nevada talking about gold and U.S. Gold. We'll be drilling in the early spring.

It's important for potential investors to understand just how speculative an investment in U.S. Gold is at this point. When you talk about drilling, you are really talking about trying to discover, not mine, gold.

What intrigued me is that the property is sitting along a fissure, a crack in the Earth. The Carlin Trend is thought to hold 180 million ounces, with more than 60 million of it produced. Nevada is the back yard for the largest gold companies in the world--Newmont, Barrick, Placer Dome. This area has the second highest concentration in the world, behind South Africa, and is the third largest producer of gold, outside of Australia and South Africa. It has the geopolitical benefit of being in Nevada. Nevada is a mining friendly state, and U.S. Gold's property is located 8-10 miles away from a major discovery made in 2003. U.S. Gold owns 100 percent of this property, along the same trend as the discovery property.

Your neighbor, Nevada Pacific Gold reported a discovery of Lower Plate rock on its property, but U.S. Gold has never attempted to drill that deeply before, right?

The majority of the exploration has been done close to surface. The Cortez Trend goes to the Lower Plate, so the focus is to look at deeper drilling. I look at this area, this trend, and think of it like a sandwich. The top slice is Placer and Newmont; the bottom slice is Newmont, Placer and Barrick. In the middle is the meat of the sandwich, where a large number of exploration companies with weak treasuries have fragmented their ownership, and they don't have any market following. If you can go in and consolidate these interests and create a high profile with a junior company, it will be attractive to investors who believe that a discovery is possible in this district.

If anyone can strike gold, consolidate companies, get a big board listing and attract investors, you're certainly at the top of the list. After all, you're just repeating what you did so successfully at Goldcorp, where you made the new discovery of reserves at Red Lake Mine and invented the Goldcorp Principle.

This is what you get with big discoveries. When Placer Dome bought the Cortez Trend, their market capitalization grew by $4 billion, or an increase of 35-40 percent. If you have a junior company, it would get multiples of its price. That is what I'm looking at. In the best-case scenario, the Cortez Trend (where U.S. Gold has property) is another Carlin Trend, and you earn 20 times your money.

That's the best-case scenario. The real world is that digging for gold is a long way from producing it at a profit.

When you look at the Carlin Trend, which is 18 miles away, we are 15 years behind that in terms of development and exploration. Cortez Hills was discovered in 2003. The first discovery in 1991 was considered a one-off, but we now know that the deposits occur in clusters. So, the thinking is that you are going to have a similar type of trend here. There is ample evidence of this.

There have been numerous reports of a critical shortage of drilling personnel, materials and rigs in Nevada last year. Is that still the case?

All your raw materials for building a mine are back ordered. Rates for labor have shot up dramatically. When Goldcorp started sinking its new shaft, there was only one other project in Canada, right now there are 10. There is a shortage of people who do that work. There is a shortage of steel, cement and even rubber for tires of trucks. All of the sudden you have this huge ramp up in demand, and the system hasn't been able to accommodate it yet. The enrollment at mining schools had been going south. Now you have all these projects, and it's coinciding with all these people retiring. There's this real squeeze.

So, how do you staff up in that environment?

When I was searching for a new president, everyone told me there was a shortage of labor. There isn't a shortage of labor if you consider the other half of the industry. I participate in Women in Mining. There are all sorts of women who don't have a shot at the top. That led to the hiring of our president. People are ignoring, and not utilizing the full pot. If you look at the population mix, that should be a pretty good proxy for the executive suite.

Profit margins must be getting squeezed in this environment.

You want to bring a mine in that is producing gold at a low cost. A lot of people produce gold that is expensive. Gold was moving higher against the dollar, but now we're seeing strong gains in all of the major currencies. It's creating a much larger audience viewing the performance of gold. There are more people coming in, and less supply, which tends to push prices.

Is U.S. Gold currently producing?

No.

What is your anticipated cost per ounce?

We have to find it first.

Will you use the Goldcorp Principle to target exactly where the highest probability of the reserves is located?

We'll certainly be trying to incorporate open source in this model. It's a different time. When we did it back in 2000, the industry was in a recession. Today it is booming. There is a shortage of people, and we start drilling in spring.

What is the current debt load of U.S. Gold?

Zero. I went in at the end of July and bought a third of the company. I addressed the debt, changed management, and moved the company forward by adding new management and board members and focus. I had 17% interest in the property that adjoins U.S. Gold on three sides. That's about 35-40% of the trend.

You've coined a marketing phrase for U.S. Gold, "Right Time, Right Place, Right Trend!" which is similar to what you were saying for Goldcorp in 2002, when gold was under $400 an ounce and Goldcorp shares could be bought for $11.50. Gold closed at $557 on January 27th, with Goldcorp shares up to an all-time high of $25.77. Why do you think gold will continue going higher?

From a gold standpoint, if you go back to 2001, there was concern that the Central Banks would sell and that would depress the price. In the Washington Agreement, the banks limited the amount of gold they would sell in any one year. Russia has said they would like to double their gold holdings. If they did that in one year, that would be 20% of the world's annual production. South Africa wants to increase their gold. The Islamic nations are talking about a gold-backed currency. China might diversify some assets in gold.

$557 per ounce is high for this decade, but much lower than the peak price of $850, set in January 1980. Jim Jubak noted this month that when you adjust for inflation, the 1980 high is actually about $2,100 an ounce in today's dollars. "So instead of being 65% of the way to the historical high," he writes, "We're only about 25% of the way there."

We're not at the peak yet. The Federal fund rates were near 15% in 1980. I would venture to say that interest rates will be going higher, and that we're four to five years away from our peak in gold.

Without a production line, you are a long time away from income.

If we were lucky enough to make a major discovery, that would address everything.

Did the former executives of U.S. Gold, William and David Reid cash out their equity stake in the corporation?

Bill and Dave were quite welcoming of an investment and a change of management. They served as consultants, and they quite willingly remained shareholders. They have about 1.5 million shares between them.

You admitted to Dorothy Kosich, a writer for MineWeb, that the odds of finding a good gold deposit are "very small." It makes sense for you, a man who cashed out almost a hundred million in 2003, to speculate on small odds, but do you really think the average investor should be so quixotic?

Like any investment, it should be undertaken with an eye to saying, "Can I afford to lose it?" If it is not discretionary funds, you really have to watch what you're doing, especially if you're going to invest in gold. Investing in a startup company in any industry means you're never sure it will pay off. Statistics tell you that only a few of them work. Explorations are similar. When I bought into the Red Lake Mine, where we had our big discovery at Goldcorp., that mine had been written off as having no potential. We found the richest gold mine in the world.

Goldcorp has rewarded investors 800% over the last five years.

If you are participating in a new discovery, it's like sitting on a rocket. I've always been a big believer in exploration. Are you investing in an area where there is a lot of gold or some? Is it an area where there is a lot of infrastructure? You can reduce the odds. For someone who has never ventured into speculative startups - like biotech - investing here is a bit of a stretch. I can say that the biggest returns will occur in the junior sector, rather than the seniors. If they [Newmont Mining, etc.] have a discovery, it will not have a meaningful impact on their share price. In the junior companies, it will.

While at Goldcorp, Goldcorp invested in Bioteq Environmental (a water cleanup corporation based out of Canada). Why?

Bioteq has been used to address past mining sites where there is a water quality concern. Also, there are a couple of companies when they set up a new mine, they include Bioteq's technology to make sure their water quality exceeds that required by the regulators.

What environmental roadblocks at U.S. Gold concern you?

If you're not going to mine responsibly, you don't have a chance of getting it started. It's not to say that U.S. Gold had a sterling record. They were always challenged economically. It hasn't been operating for 10 years or more. There is a little bit of cleanup to be done there.

Tell us more about your recent philanthropic efforts, specifically the McEwen Centre for Regenerative Medicine at the Toronto General Hospital.

It's a consuming passion. It was set up to lead the work in regeneratives - a leading edge research for most disciplines of medicine today. It's about causing your body at a cellular level to work to repair damaged parts of the body - organs, tissues, bones, etc. There are a large number of scientists studying that in Toronto. Regenerative medicine appealed to me because it has the promise and the potential of shortening hospital stays by reducing the time to cure a patient. Health care is only going higher. In this regenerative end, if we could encourage and foster the research, we could provide an answer to a growing need in society for heart and vascular systems, spinal damage, etc. For me, having grown up in the financial and mining industries, when I poked my nose into the hospital, here was a world I could not even imagine. Mother Nature has been kind to me, so I should give something back.

Well, in addition to the gift of health, Mother Nature has given you quite a talent for striking gold, which is why U.S. Gold might be an attractive investment for a very daring investor who has a little extra pocket change and a few years to speculate with.

Click to go to the Gold Report Card, where NataliePace.com lines up the numbers of major (and one junior) gold mining companies.

Full Disclosure: On 2.6.06, three business days after the publication of this article on NataliePace.com, Natalie Pace intends to add shares of U.S. Gold to her personal portfolio.

Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We are a media and information center. This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and/or consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security.

Other Articles of Interest:
1. Read "Gold Fever: China's Got It. Should You?"
2. Take a survey and let us know which sector you are putting your money in on the home page of NataliePace.com. (Click on the survey and you will go to a page where you can vote in all three of NataliePace.com's current surveys.)

 


Get Relationship Ready with Fitness and Life Coach, Gary Kobat.

by Fitness and Life Coach, Gary Kobat 

Whether You Desire to Attract Mr. Right or to Shape Up for Mr. Wonderful, Your Life Partner, These 128 Steps Get You Walking in the Right Direction.

Actor Will Ferrell and life & fitness coach Gary Kobat Finish the 10k in Brentwood, California at a Personal Best
Photo Credit: Julia Henderson
Has there ever been a time in your life that someone believed in you so much that your talents and spirit soared in their presence?  What did they see in you that you couldn't see in yourself? Did you grow when they shared their faith in you? Were you able to reach higher or step farther when you knew you had their encouragement behind you?

Having a coach in your life reduces the time spent drifting away from your goals and accelerates the process of turning your dreams into reality. A great coach keeps your vision in front of you at all times and keeps bringing you back to a plan of action. That coach helps you modify your plan when necessary, whether you need to be pushed or pulled, inspired or challenged, empowered or left alone. A quality coach knows just the right way to keep you energized and moving, clear and accountable, so you can achieve your best in many areas of your life. 

We get off track all the time. The key to being more successful is learning how to correct your course, quickly and efficiently. Want to play BIG?

Do you have outrageous, huge, and unreasonable goals? Get a coach.

If you did all the things you are capable of doing, you would literally astound yourself. History shows that most people aren’t really scared of failing, but rather scared of their own power; of their own capabilities.  

The following principles have been created to “energize” you when you feel challenged, stuck or just starting out. They work ..IF you choose to embrace them, stick to them, and work them ..IF you want results getting from here to there.

  1. Take 100% Responsibility for where you are, how you got “here” and how you are going to get “there”.
  2. Remember that the answers to your questions are INSIDE ... not outside yourself..
  3. Learn that it’s about the fundamentals and how you execute them: that short cuts never last.
  4. Give up all your excuses.
  5. Remember that everything you experience today is the result of choices you made yesterday, or in the past.
  6. Give up blaming and complaining.
  7. Remember that change is the one thing constant in life and if you keep on doing what you’ve always done , you’ll keep on getting what you always got.
  8. Be results driven. … know that results don’t lie.
  9. Pay attention: Be Awake, Aware, and Anticipate.
  10.  Get clear about what you want, create your vision.
  11.  Be clear about “why” you want what you want.
  12.  Stop settling for less.
  13.  Don’t live someone else’s plan for you.
  14.  Stop worrying about just making a living.
  15.  Don’t let anyone talk you out of your Vision.
  16.  Raise your standards.     
  17.  Share your vision with a few others for max impact.
  18.  Believe that it’s possible; that it’s about an attitude, a mind-set; and consider changing yours.
  19.  We all have choices and that the choice is up to you.
  20.  Don’t waste time believing you can’t.
  21.  Disregard what others think about you, besides it’s none of your business anyway.
  22. Set smart goals, then make them smarter.
  23. Set goals that stretch you.
  24. Set goals versus have good ideas.
  25. Reread your goals everyday, three times: morning, noon, and night.
  26. Create a vision board, a storyboard, with pictures.
  27. Carry your most important goal in your planner.
  28. Write yourself a letter and mail it to yourself.
  29. Write yourself a check and carry it with you.
  30. The secret of getting ahead is getting started.
  31.  The secret of getting started is breaking it down to manageable tasks, to the ridiculous.
  32.  Success leaves clues; seek them out.
  33. Get out of your comfort zone; you get comfortable when you are comfortable, we grow when not.  
  34. Change your thinking, change your results.
  35. Change your eating, change your results.
  36. Change your movement, change your results.
  37. Fuel your images with affirmations, see with your eyes closed.
  38. Start Now: take action Now. When would NOW be a good time to start?
  39. Act as if it’s done already. When is the best time to build a house? When it’s done: in your mind and crafted, drafted on  paper.
  40. Quit waiting.
  41. Fail forward fast.
  42. Lean into it:  create momentum.
  43. Have faith: be willing to start without seeing the whole path.
  44. Stay with it and know that the path will appear.
  45. Be willing to feel fear.
  46. Take quantum leaps, they can transform your life.
  47. Be willing to put it all on the line.
  48. Be willing to pay the price.
  49. Be willing to suffer; the benefits will last forever.
  50. Train and rest and train and rest and train and rest.
  51. Know that Olympians pay the price.
  52. Know that if you miss a day of practice, you know it.  If you miss two days, your coach knows it. If you miss three days, the audience knows it.
  53. Do “whatever” it takes.
  54. Put in the time; know that you’ve got to do the work.
  55. Be willing to go through that awkward stage in the beginning.
  56. Stay with it long enough to find out the price you have to pay.
  57. A.s.k. to g.e.t.
  58. Reject rejection.
  59. Swswsw. Owowow. (so what) (oh well)
  60. NEXT!
  61. Use feedback.
  62. Ask for feedback.
  63. Listen to feedback.
  64. Stay on course.
  65. Look for patterns.
  66. Commit to improve, constantly.
  67. Improve in small increments, with quantum leaps.
  68. Decide on what to improve on.
  69. You can’t skip steps.
  70. The more you measure the more you manage and the better it gets.
  71. It’s all about project management.
  72. Understand that it’s not going to be easy.
  73. Persevere.
  74. Stay with it: just one more telephone pole.
  75. Plan for five years.
  76. Never give up.
  77. Remember what sustained effort can do.
  78. Go the extra mile.
  79. Do more than other people expect.
  80. Surround yourself with accomplished people.
  81. Be selective.
  82. Avoid toxic people.
  83. Acknowledge your positive past.
  84. Display your success.
  85. Create an hour of power.
  86. Finish what you start, and finish strong.
  87. Make space for new.
  88. Face what isn’t working and move on.
  89. Embrace change.
  90. Grow or die.
  91. Talk to yourself like a winner.
  92. Know that “You are Capable”.
  93. Overcome your limiting beliefs.
  94. Break habits quick.
  95. Be willing to do whatever it takes.
  96. Remove energy drainers.
  97. Read, study, listen, observe.
  98. Be coachable.
  99. Be prepared: be camera ready, career ready, relationship ready…just plain ready.
  100. Commit to lifelong learning.
  101. Do what you love.
  102. Stay focused on your core genius and your dreams.
  103. Delegate smaller tasks.
  104. Redefine time.
  105. Build a support team.
  106. Say NO to the good so you can say YES to the Great.
  107. Eliminate.
  108. Stop majoring in minor things.
  109. Find a wing to help lift you up.
  110. Do your homework.
  111. Return the favors.
  112. Hire a coach.
  113. Accelerate your growth.
  114. Trust your intuition.
  115. Argue less and listen more.
  116. Tell the truth faster.
  117. Know that your words have power.
  118. Stop lying to yourself, to others.
  119. Hang in there until you get it right.
  120. Keep your agreements.
  121. Release to accelerate.
  122. You must decide to get focused.
  123. You have the birthright to abundance.
  124. Don’t tell us you can’t.
  125. Build assets rather than liabilities.
  126. Get out of your own way.
  127. Serve. Give back. Empower others.
  128. Work hard, be patient, inspire others, teach.

A passionate life and fitness coach, world-class athlete, author, and keynote speaker, Gary works one-on-one with select individuals, customized mastermind groups, and larger goal oriented teams for lasting personal and professional change. If interested in joining a group or for a private consultation, email him directly at: gary@e-coach.com or visit one of his spinning classes at Revolution Fitness in Santa Monica, California.


The Man Plan: Finding and Catching Your Guy.

by Julie Ferman, Cupid’s Coach

Julie Ferman, CupidsCoach.com
Photo Credit: Alex Reznick
So. You want a man in your life. 

No sweat. 

Really! Finding and catching your man is a simple, though not always easy process. Here’s how to BE and what to DO, to develop the plan to reveal and deliver to you…your prince.

Be Clear – Who IS this Guy?
It’s brainstorm time. Make your long list of the qualities you’re seeking in your mate.  Go wild, have some fun with it. Then isolate the top three critical criteria. Tough?  You bet, but so important.  Keep this short list handy, wrestle with it and then revise it over time.

Be a Man Magnet
Men are drawn to warmth, spunk, wit, a loving spirit and an air of “come hither femininity.” Men are visual creatures; they respond to color on the lips and cheeks, pretty skirts and shoes.  Men love hair; don’t chop it off. They tend to prefer a lean or hourglass shape; discipline yourself to exercise routinely and maintain a healthy diet. If you’re venturing online to meet Mr. Right, post professional quality, current face and body photos. Craft your essays carefully to reveal your softer, nurturing side. Exercise and play on your femininity in person. Use your girly nature to catch his eye and win his heart.

Be a Keeper Collector
Hello101. Saying hello to that nice looking gent at the car wash is for some natural, and for others…a learned skill, which you are now going to develop. YOU are going to begin the practice of chatting up total strangers in line at the supermarket, the deli, and the dry cleaners – in fact, just about everywhere you go.  Practice first on sweet old ladies, moms with kids, and then…the men.  Hit the mute button on that cowardly little voice in your mind as it reliably offers discouraging, deflating, self-critical negativism. Rather, focus outward, on brightening the day of each person who crosses your path. Offer a sincere compliment, ask if the Lean Cuisine he’s purchasing is any tastier than the one in your freezer. Ask him if he likes his car, or heck, what time it is – the topic isn’t important, but the social magnetism you’re developing is.

The introduction. In the midst of this casual conversation, slip in “Oh, I’m Julie, by the way.  What’s your name?”  Offer your hand to shake or reach out with a warm touch to the shoulder, instantly transforming this ‘stranger’ into a new ‘contact’.  Weave into the chat a reference to your work or your social life, and run with him down any conversation avenue he offers. Mention the fun gatherings, which you and your single friends attend and host, inquire about where he lives or works, and ask the simple but powerful question, “Just curious, are you a single person or happily attached?”  Be fully present, open, and welcoming, remembering that your focused eye contact and warm smile is a gift to him and to everyone you touch throughout the day.

Take him home. Well, sort of… Try out these closers: “I’m so glad we met. You’re a keeper. Let’s stay in touch.  If you’d like to meet for coffee or a drink after work sometime, here’s how to find me. My friends and I are always planning fun social gatherings; shall I invite you? Share your email address or phone number with me and we’ll include you.” Have business or personal cards printed up and always easily accessible in your purse or pocket, and a pen too, to jot down his contact info if he doesn’t offer his card.

Hook your fishy. When you get home, within 24 hours of meeting, shoot off a warm, inviting email or place a quick, cheerful call, saying how nice it was to bump into him. Suggest chatting again over coffee. See if a dialogue begins.

These “chance encounters” are in my terms, critical opportunities for relationship. With each casual hello, you are becoming more sticky, more comfortable and proficient with the process of initiating and developing new contacts, connections, friends and prospective partners.  Collect your keepers, develop your ‘little black book’ and before you know it, you’ll have enough new friends to throw that party you’ve been talking about…!

Do the Picky Test
My biggest frustration is watching GREAT people overlook and dismiss other GREAT people for superficial reasons.  Take the “Am I being too picky?” test now. Consider closely the last 10 to 20 candidates who’ve crossed your path.  Study the men you’ve dated, selected through an online service, met through business or friends - candidates you deemed interesting and attractive.  Keep this list and continue adding to it into the future for objective statistical analysis

Note by each name if he was also interested in YOU. Was he attracted to you?  Did he pursue you?  If less than 25% on your hit list are also going for you, then I say you're being too picky, limiting yourself too much to expect success. 

What to do if you flunked the picky test? 
1) Re-evaluate and open up your standards.  Stretch on the issues of lesser importance (height, hair preferences, age, income, living location). If a new candidate meets your top three critical criteria, engage him and meet him, even if he doesn’t WOW you upon first glance.

2) Broaden your reach, play the numbers game, do some serious strategic marketing to better your chances in our highly competitive romantic culture.  Join dating services and singles clubs and be proactive while there, develop your flirting skills, meet lots and lots of men. 

Whereas men are typically visual and need to be physically attracted from the start, we women can develop attraction and fall in love over time. Keep the heart and the eyes open, and be willing to be surprised as to whom He just might turn out to be.

If the guy you’re considering has all of your Top Three Critical Criteria, I suggest (and so would your mama) err on the side of WhatTheHeckMeetTheGuy. A wise grandmother once advised me, “Julie, never turn down a date with anyone…you never know who his friends might be!”  That southern belle had men chasing her well into her seventies.

Do Your Action Plan
If your personal goal is be in a loving partnership within the next year of your life, then I want you on an average of two first dates each month with new prospective candidates – men who meet your top three critical criteria and who are also interested in you. What vehicles should you use to meet and hook these fishies? Singles events, business mixers, online dating sites, register privately with me, gather your friends and throw parties, flirt and schmooze everywhere you go, and actively reach out to the men who interest you.

Do whatever it takes to get on those two new dates each month. Not sure after the first date? See him again. Still not sure? See him one more time, as research shows -- the much sought after and heartwarming magic called human bonding doesn’t even begin until date number three. 

Be Your Best You
Get in shape and stay in shape, inside and out, keep learning and growing, reading and taking classes. Doing so keeps you fresh and alive. Constantly explore and develop the inner you, balance your inner work with a GetOutThere plan, including registering privately with me at www.CupidsCoach.com. Extend invitations, be available and accessible, focus outward, offer your willing smile, your engaging eyes, and use a warm, sweet greeting on your voice mail…you’ll be getting lots of calls…

Julie Ferman is Cupid’s Coach.  She founded her personal matchmaking service and online dating communities to dignify and simplify the love search process for desirable, selective, relationship-minded professionals.  A product of the dating service industry (her 13 year marriage was the result of a Man Plan of her own) and with over 1,000 marriages to her credit…she’s here to help you. Singles of all ages are invited to register with Julie privately, for free, at www.CupidsCoach.com or call 877-345-LOVE

 

Active Search Programs:  If you'd like to have Julie working actively for you as an active search client with Cupid's Coach, contact Susan Ninah, New Membership Director anytime directly here:  877-345-LOVE x83 or email her for more info:  Susan@CupidsCoach.com


What is Sexier Than Shoes? Seven Reasons Why Investing is More Fun Than Shopping.

by Natalie Pace.

3 Lusty Episodes of Sex in the City Available: 2.7.06 for just $10.38
1. Sex in the City.  Carrie Bradshaw fawns over shoes, but people who win the lottery screams like a wild banshee!  When you get smart about investing and start earning reliable returns, you’ll need those shoes to dance on the ceiling. 

2. Ever try sleeping in a shoe? The Little Old Lady Who Lived in the Shoe wouldn’t recommend it. Did you know that women are far more likely than men to live in poverty when they retire or if they end up as a single parent? Are you listed on the deed to your home?  Are you invested in real estate?  Do you know what you checked off on your 401 (k)?

3. Smart is Sexy. Girl’s Night Out Shoe Conversation: "Great shoes, where did you get them?"  Girl’s Night Out Investment Club conversation: "How much money did we make? What company should we invest in next? How about a girl’s getaway?"

4. Shoes wear out and get thrown away. Stocks may dip, but over the long term, provided the company is not an Enron, a great company and their share price increase in value. There are a lot of great companies run by ethical men and women, and many safeguards in place to protect the investor. Many publicly traded companies also pay dividends.

5. Boots are Made for Walking.  Ever try to launch a business with the profits you made from reselling shoes? Statistics show that most new businesses are launched with an entrepreneur’s own personal resources (not through SBA loans or venture capital). Put your money to work, reap some benefits and you’ll have the freedom to vacation, retire and/or start your own business!

6. Money is Very Sexy.   Demi Moore is hot and shoes sure show off her toned and tanned legs, but her package becomes hard to beat when you throw in the private jet, the homes across America and the freedom to never have to work again. So, if you want your own 27-year-old hottie, it may just be a stock pick away! (It’s not illegal to dream!)

7. Old shoes stink and I’ve yet to find an odor eater that really works (have you?). Stocks stink when the markets go down, and rally with such a delicious aroma when the bulls run. Is everyone enjoying January’s gains in the stock market?   Your best protection against market fluctuations is an asset allocation strategy that is carefully aligned with your age, your retirement needs and your risk tolerance.  If you are near retirement, your exposure to Wall Street should, as a general rule, be less than 35% of your retirement portfolio.  Find a great financial planner partner, and remember that, with brokers and lovers, it pays to pick a good one!


Helping Others:

by Kate Vozoff, with Valerie Sobel, founder of the Andre Sobel River of Life Foundation.

A Foundation that Supports Single Parents Through Their Worst Nightmare: The Terminal Illness of a Child. 

Valerie and Andre Sobel.
Valerie Sobel experienced the worse nightmare of every parent when she lost her teenage son Andre to an inoperable malignant brain tumor. Her life and that of her family has endured the kind of reversal that results only from this kind of nightmare. Her husband and mother lost their lives within the year following Andre’s death, and her daughter Simone has not quite forgiven for the emotional abandonment that siblings experience from their perspective.

The work of the Foundation bearing Andre’s name was shaped by this family’s saga, yet its mission reflects on a lack that was not part of their experience. Their family was privileged with emotional support and financial wherewithal, but Ms. Sobel posed the question: how can single parents possibly manage without those? She found the answer to be : NOT WELL.  

After helping over 3000 people since the year 2000 when the foundation was established, the Andre Sobel River of Life Foundation has become the expert in the emerging pediatric field of single caregivers. Statistics show that 78% of couples separate or divorce in the first year of a child being diagnosed with a life threatening illness. This problem once defined demonstrates that here is a new and invisible population. Because parents must continue to try and go to work to provide for their family, there are children dying alone. The single parent’s choices are to quit their jobs and plummet financially, or continue working and spend much-needed funds on in-home care by others.

She recalls a conversation with one woman in this dilemma when she asked how much money would allow her to stay at home with her child. The answer: $800 month. Just imagine the senselessness of forcing a mother to leave her dying child and go to work, so she can pay a stranger to do the thing she wants to do most," says Ms. Sobel.

The real objective therefore of the Andre Sobel River of Life Foundation is to provide emergency financial help, thereby to allow the parent to care for their critically ill child.

Our gift is that of more time for the parent and child to be together, and this should be the basic right for all.

The hallmark of the program is assistance within 24 hours. The social workers at 12 pediatric Hospitals apply for help on behalf of a family once they have ran out of other resources to turn to.

Valerie Sobel wishes that they   could save children’s lives, but by softening the crisis for their single parents, the help that they provide is invaluable for the overall sanity of the family. It is a practical mission that helps immediately and how a crisis in her opinion should be handled: without heartless red tape. Having experienced this journey with her Andre, she understands that there is little emotional room left for facing bureaucracy.

This deep-felt awareness helps explain why the Andre Sobel River of Life Foundation supports everything from food and shelter to ballet lessons for a patient's sibling, transportation for chemotherapy appointments, alternative therapies, even burial costs." We try to be sensitive to what government can never be expected to support," says Ms. Sobel.

"Our society is only as humane as our treatment of those so diminished by crisis that they cannot speak for themselves."

To help the Andre Sobel River of Life Foundation help single parents during their worst moments, visit the web site at www.andreriveroflife.org.


Bird Flu Stock Scam Could Be Hazardous to Your Financial Health.

A NASD Investor Alert

The threat of bird flu is fueling stock scams touting large gains from companies that claim to be poised to capitalize on helping the world avoid a global pandemic. NASD is issuing this Alert to warn investors that fax and email investment scams may come your way trumpeting the promise of large gains for companies with products and services aimed at fighting bird flu.

One fax claimed its company "has the solution for tracking and containing the Bird Flu virus in turn preventing it from spreading." Citing the enormous cost of fighting avian flu, the fax stated the stock was "positioned to gain 250% or more." The fax went on to urge investors not to miss out on a stock that was "clearly missed by Wall Street."

Spotting Potential Bird Flu Investment Scams
Unsolicited faxes and spam about investments that exploit Bird Flu fears may include:
  * Price targets or predications of swift and exponential growth.
  * The use of facts from respected news sources to bolster claims of a price run-up, for example that some percentage of the billions of dollars it will take to tackle a possible pandemic will contribute directly to a company's bottom line.
* Mention of associations with, or actions by, federal and international government agencies that bolster a company's product or service. One fax mentioned that the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology "had the authority to issue a mandatory directive" to require the use of technology similar to what the firm offered.
  * Mention of other "bird flu plays" that showed strong run-ups in price. On closer inspection these stocks often are not directly associated with bird flu response and may themselves be subject to attempts at price manipulation.
* Statements about how much easier it is for low-priced stocks to skyrocket in value in comparison to higher-priced stocks.
* Pressure to invest immediately

How to Avoid Getting Scammed
To avoid potential scams, make sure you get the information you need to make a wise investment choice.
* Investigate before you invest. Never rely solely on information you receive in an unsolicited fax or email. It's easy for companies or their promoters to make glorified claims about new products, lucrative contracts, or the company's revenue, profits, or future stock price.
* Find out who sent the message. Many companies and individuals that tout stock are corporate insiders or are paid to promote the stock. Look for statements (usually found in the fine print) that indicate cash payments or the receipt of stock for disseminating a report on the company.
* Find out where the stock trades. Most unsolicited fax and spam recommendations involve stocks that can't meet the listing requirements of The Nasdaq Stock Market, the New York Stock Exchange, or other US stock exchanges. Instead, these stocks are usually quoted on the OTC Bulletin Board (OTCBB) or in the Pink Sheets. There are important differences between the OTCBB and the Pink Sheets and The Nasdaq Stock Market or a stock exchange:

There are no minimum quantitative standards that must be met by a company to have its securities quoted on the OTCBB or in the Pink Sheets.

Many of the securities quoted on the OTCBB or in the Pink Sheets are infrequently traded and can move up or down in price quickly. This may make it difficult to sell your security at a later date.

Read a company's SEC filings. Most public companies file reports with the SEC. Check the SEC's EDGAR database to find out whether the company files with the SEC. Read the reports and verify any information you have heard about the company. stop to the rise in short term rates and forecasts for: the fact that a company has registered its securities or has filed reports with the SEC doesn't mean that the company will be a good investment.

Be alert to changes in the company's name and trading symbol, reported through SEC Form 8-K. Stock promoters often change a company's name and trading symbol in an apparent attempt to align it more closely with a current event or issue, such as bird flu.

If you're suspicious about an offer or if you think the claims might be exaggerated or misleading, please contact us. Complaints about unsolicited faxes may also be directed to the Federal Communications Commission. You can file a complaint online at the FCC's website: www.fcc.gov.

Additional Resources
* NASD Investor Alert Beware of Stock Fraud in the Wake of Hurricane Katrina
* NASD Investor Alert Stock Spams and Scams

To receive the latest Investor Alerts and other important investor information sign up for Investor News.

 


2005 Review and Outlook for 2006.

by Paul Woods, President & CEO of Odyssey Advisors

Paul Woods
Even though Santa brought investors a lump of coal in the last half of December, the stock market still managed to produce a modest gain for the year.  The usual November rally (after the usual October drop); put most segments of the stock market in positive territory in 2006, although the Dow Industrials wouldn’t have done it without dividends.  As predicted, the return was unexciting and below average, but most stocks still beat bonds while ending the third year in a row in the black. 

During the year, inflation increased and interest rates rose while economic growth slowed a bit.  However, earnings for the S&P 500 Index came in well ahead of expectations as estimates were revised upward almost every month.  Although higher inflation and interest rates produced lower valuations in the stock market, higher than expected growth in earnings ultimately produced a positive return in stocks.

In 2005, small was risky and big was boring, but medium was just right.  Midcap companies were the best performing segment of the stock market and Midcap growth was as good as it got.  Growth came on in the second half of the year and appears to have outperformed value by a nose, although large capitalization growth stocks had their usual place at the back of the pack.  In the stock market, energy and biotech were the place to be while investors bet that discretionary consumer spending would be crimped by higher energy prices.  For reference, here’s the market index and industry group scorecard for 2005 that measures price change only and does not include dividends:

 

 Symbol

12/31/04

12/31/05

 % Change

 Dow Industrials

 .DJIA

  10,783.01

  10,717.50

-0.61%

 NASDAQ Composite

 COMP

    2,175.40

    2,205.30

1.37%

 S&P 500 Index

 SPX

    1,211.92

    1,248.29

3.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 Energy

 IXE

            364.35

            504.21

38.39%

 Biotech

 BTK

            544.25

            680.91

25.11%

 Utilities

 IXU

            282.87

            318.97

12.76%

 Transportation

 TRAN

        2,229.50

        2,438.10

9.36%

 REITs

 VNQ

              56.55

              59.56

5.32%

 Alternative Energy

 ECO

            166.20

            172.97

4.07%

 Financials

 IXM

            304.72

            316.06

3.72%

 Basic Industries

 IXB

            305.45

            312.05

2.16%

 Capital Goods

 IXI

            311.68

            315.17

1.12%

 Health Care

 DRG

            316.62

            319.99

1.06%

 Consumer Staples

 IXR

            231.04

            233.16

0.92%

 Technology

 IXT

            213.59

            211.16

-1.14%

 Commercial Services

 .SICSS

            191.57

            183.95

-3.98%

 Consumer Services

 IXY

            353.57

            327.54

-7.36%

Source: Thompson One

In addition, here’s the equity market segment scorecard for 2005 with the same caveat:

 

 Symbol

12/31/04

12/31/05

 % Change

Midcap Growth

IJK

67.20

75.62

12.53%

Midcap

IJH

66.16

73.80

11.55%

Midcap Value

IJJ

64.25

70.49

9.71%

Small Cap. Growth

IJT

107.10

116.07

8.38%

Small Cap.

IJR

54.24

57.80

6.57%

REITs

VNQ

56.55

59.56

5.32%

Micro cap

IWC

48.70

51.15

5.03%

Small Cap. Value

IJS

60.90

63.88

4.89%

Large Cap. Value

IVE

62.88

65.05

3.45%

Large Cap.

IVV

121.00

124.67

3.03%

Large Cap. Growth

IVW

57.75

59.28

2.65%

Source: Bloomberg LP & Thomson One Equity

In 2006, we look forward to the long overdue departure of Alan Greenspan at the Federal Reserve.  Between setting speed limits for the economy because he feared economic growth, meddling in the stock or real estate markets when he thinks prices are too high, and dragging out policy changes to keep himself in the news as long as possible, he won’t be missed.  His replacement, Ben Bernanke, looks more decisive and may be more inclined to let free markets correct their own excesses, which most investors will welcome.

In the fixed income market, the yield curve flattened further and is now looking fairly strange. 

Source: Bloomberg LP

This zigzag curve appears to have resulted from two things.  Concern over inflation is one, although it’s hard to make much sense of the official position.  From what I can tell, as long as we don’t eat or drive, inflation isn’t a problem.  However, the Fed is going to do something about it anyway by driving up rates.  The second has to do with real estate.  While this requires more reading between the lines, it’s clear that Greenspan has appointed himself the corrector of free market excesses.  Real estate investors now, like stock investors in the 1990s, appear in his crosshairs for the sin of making too much money.

Current Yield

12/31/04

12/31/05

% Change

90 day Treasury Bills

2.22%

4.08%

83.8%

5 Year Treasury Bonds

3.63%

4.35%

19.8%

10 Year Treasury Bonds

4.24%

4.39%

3.5%

Source: Bloomberg LP

As you can see, the pressure on interest rates in 2005 was on the short end as long rates rose only modestly.  For the near term, the Federal Reserve has implied more of the same so we expect short-term interest rates to rise further.  However, many economists are betting that new blood at the Fed will put a stop to the rise in short term rates and forecasts for long-term interest rates in 2006 have come down slightly.  We’re not as convinced that inflation has gone away and remain cautious.  Until there’s a bigger cushion between the inflation rate and bond yields, we prefer the safety of shorter maturities with higher credit quality and good liquidity. 

Although you’d never know it from watching the network news or reading a newspaper, our economy is doing pretty well.  Higher interest rates, rising oil prices, and natural disasters have had little impact, as economic growth slowed only a bit in 2005.  We expect the inverted yield curve to slow the economy a little more in 2006, but don’t see a recession on the horizon.  Earnings for the S&P 500 expected to be up over 7% in 2006, and we think that estimate is conservative.  As a result, even if valuations erode a bit as they did in 2005, we think there’s a good chance of another positive, but probably unexciting, return in stocks in 2006.

Because of concern with the world energy situation, we’ve decided to intensify and focus more of our independent research on alternative energy investments in 2006.  When it comes to energy, it isn’t a question of whether the world is going to change, but when.  If world oil production hasn’t already peaked, it probably will in a few more years as existing fields begin to show their age.  Meanwhile, worldwide demand is expected to keep increasing at around 2% per year, which will force higher prices and the use of alternatives.  We may be early here, but prefer that to being late.  Some alternative energy companies already have several multi-year orders, and there are a sufficient number of companies available to analyze for future profitability and growth.  Companies whose energy sources are sunshine, wind, and hydrogen are our primary targets. 

 

Paul Woods is the President & CEO of Odyssey Advisors, LLC, an independent investment advisory firm specializing in equities and fixed income. He can be contacted a www.odysseyadvisors.com or 310.568.4700.

 

Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however, Odyssey Advisors LLC does not warrant its completeness or accuracy.  Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice.  This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.  Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.


5 Very Sexy Valentines to Give Your Lover

Patio Shot of The Lobster, Located on the Santa Monica Pier
Once in a Lifetime, Coast-to-Coast $100K Love Splurge c/o Parker Meridien, NYC and the Parker Palm Springs.  The creative team at Le Parker Meridien have created the most extravagant Valentine’s Day ever.  It involves coast-to-coast private travel by jet, stays in Palm Springs and in a New York City penthouse suite, overlooking Central Park, dinner prepared by a private chef, spoiling your body and much, much more.  For the full picture, contact  Lindsey Antrim at  212.995.1974.   (For links to Parker Meridien and Parker PS, go to the NataliePace.com Shopping Mall.)

  1. Sculpture to Wear.  If you’re going to give jewelry, make it unique one-of-a-kind jewelry that is also art!  A link to Sculpture can be found in the NataliePace.com Shopping mall.

  2. Create your own Love Splurge in Sunny Santa Monica, California.  Start with a minimum of three nights at Loews Santa Monica Beach, NataliePace.com’s favorite oceanfront hotel.  Be sure to book dinner at Loews’ restaurant, Ocean and Vine, where the appetizers, like the Tuna and the blue cheese baklava are not to be missed.   Book a night at the Los Angeles Opera, which is now WORLD CLASS, under the direction of the ultimate tenor, Placido Domingo.   Visit the Nomadic Museum at the Santa Monica Pier, and then walk over to the Ivy at the Shore to continue your artistic experience with an Ivy Gimlet.  Spend a day blading or biking along the boardwalk that runs from Santa Monica Beach, through Venice, Marina del Rey and all the way down to San Pedro (if you desire).   Have lunch or dinner at the stunning Lobster, located on the Santa Monica Pier, where the most unbelievable views in the world are combined with outstanding cuisine.   And finally, for the most important moment of your love tryst, simply stand on the shore in the arms of you beloved and watch the sun set.  The price is free.  The experience is priceless.

  3. Believe it or not, a number of gents turned in notes saying they were interested in cooking or wine classes.  If you suspect that your guy would like his turn in the gourmet kitchen, try visiting StarChefs.com, which keeps a listing of culinary events happening nationwide.

  4. NataliePace.com’s Shopping Mall.  Links to some of your favorite sites, as well as links to OUR favorite, unique shopping experiences, products and services.  From Ferrari merchandise to art for guys and links to getaways, spas and jewelry for women, your ultimate gift is just a click away.
Do you have a great idea for a Valentine’s Gift or Get Away? Please share it with other NataliePace.com readers on our Bulletin Board. If you have been to Tuscany and know that unbelievable restaurant that is off the beaten path or know to avoid this scam or that street, please write up your recommendations and experiences. We’ll be collecting great summer holiday ideas for an upcoming edition. Your tips could make a great holiday for another NataliePace.com reader.

These Valentine gift ideas mentioned in this article are not paid for by our advertisers. They are simply fave places and experiences of our NataliePace.com writers and editors. 


Can Prince Charming Wait?

by Natalie Pace

Meet Women Who Earn More Than Men, and Learn Their Designer Bag of Tricks.

Warren Farrell, Ph.D. has a bold claim to make.  Mr. Farrell claims that, according to a survey conducted in 2001, “Men who never married, never had a child, worked full time and were college educated earn only 85% of what women with the same criteria earn.”

Graph courtesy of Warren Farrell, Ph.D. and his book, Why Men Earn More

Unmarried, childless men and women are a minority in the American culture, so this hardly means that there is not a gender pay gap, but what it does indicate is that the playing field is more level (or even slightly skewed) than we are lead to believe.  If the playing field is level, then, there are certain qualities of successful professionals that you can incorporate into your career game, which will up your odds of getting exactly what you want, on par or above any guy.  Indeed, Mr. Farrell’s book, Why Men Earn More lists 25 ways to increase your pay, and is certainly worth the fifteen-dollar price tag.

It is not surprising that the women who are out-earning men are those who are unmarried and without children.  Without the added responsibility of being Superwoman, a woman can devote a lot more time to advancing in her job.  Before we draw the conclusion, however, that earning equal pay means becoming a spinster, it is important to note that a majority of the most powerful businesswomen in the U.S. are proud mothers, including Anne Sweeney, Judith Regan, Gayle King, Barbara Walters and Carly Fiorina, and none of these women advocate loving your career at the expense of your family. 

Carly relied upon her family for support when her mother died, and more recently when she was fired as CEO and Chairman of Hewlett-Packard.  “You are fired publicly and the whole world has a field day with it,” Carly told the women at the California Governor and First Lady’s Conference for Women and Families last November.  “I got through it because of the unwavering support of my husband, who is here, and my family. There’s a lot more to life than corporate America.”

These businesswomen have some very important lessons to relate on achieving great success in your career, without sacrificing your families and husbands.  In the real world, you can have it all—equal opportunity, equal pay and a great husband to pick up the kids from school. 

1. Take Risks
“There is a direct link in what we are able to achieve and the amount of risk we are able to take.  I take the job that scares me the most.  If we’re to afraid to leap, we can’t expect to fly.”  Anne Sweeney

If everyone is willing and capable to do your job, it’s going to pay less than if you are one of the few people on the planet who can perform the job.  That’s why Michelle Wie (golf professional, with an estimated $10 million in annual endorsements, according to Fox Sports) makes more than Jonathan Levy (local golf pro).   According to Warren Farrell, Ph.D., “People Who Get Higher Financial Rewards Choose Fields with Higher Financial and Emotional Risks (venture capitalist vs. supermarket cashier).”  Farrell also notes, “Many Fields with Higher Pay Require Working the Worst Shifts During the Worst Hours (private practice medical doctor vs. HMO medical doctor).”

2. “Choose a field in technology or the hard sciences, not the arts or social sciences (pharmacology vs. literature).” - Warren Farrell, Ph.D.
When Sandra Day O’Connor graduated 3rd in a class of 102 from Stanford Law School, she couldn’t get an interview.  In her words, “Here were all these notices asking Stanford law grads to apply for an interview.  I would call and I couldn’t get an interview scheduled.”  That’s simply not the case any more.  What is the case, however, is that a lawyer earns more than a teacher, a doctor earns more than a social worker, an investment banker earns more than a writer and genetic engineers earn more than preschool administrators. 

3. Work Hard and Don’t Whine.
“My slogan has always been: Just do your job and don’t whine.”  Barbara Walters.  The Godmother of network news. Owner/Producer of The View.

According to Warren Farrell, Ph.D., people who earn more work more hours, have more years of recent, uninterrupted experience with their current employer, work more weeks during the year, are absent less often from work, are more willing to relocate, take on different and bigger responsibilities than outlined by their job description and have higher career goals to begin with. 

4. Postpone the Prince?  Marry the Job?  It’s Your Choice. 
Money is Not Everything, and Not Everyone Needs to Have Kids.  The career tract does run at the same time as the biological clock, and you don’t want to wake up in your 40s, rushing to find a husband and have your kids.  Carefully consider the arc of your life and how you desire to live it.  Understand that you may reduce your earning power, at least temporarily, if you take time off to have kids, and that that life choice can still be the best one for you.

As Barbara Walters says:
“Not everybody has children.  If you don’t have children it doesn’t mean that you are not fulfilled.  If you stay home and you decide not to work, that’s okay.  And if you do work, and you are ambitious, don’t put yourself down because you have ambition or drive.  Nobody complains when a man does.”

“The best way to predict the future is to create it.  Think about how you’re going to create your future and our collective futures for stronger communication and, Lord knows, a much better world.” Ann Fudge, CEO, Young & Rubicam

5. "Above all, produce more.” Warren Farrell, Ph.D.
“They are people who focus on the limitations of the situation, and there are people who focus on the possibilities.  The people who focus on the possibilities always achieve more.  See what’s possible!!”  Carly Fiorina, former CEO and Chairman, Hewlett-Packard.

When people ask me about my “barriers to entry,” I say, ”Excellence.”  Just be better.  If you want to win the Gold medal in the Olympics, you simply have to run faster.  Ben Horowitz, the CEO of Opsware, says, “Good luck” to the competition.  He knows how hard it is to be the number one software provisioning company in the United States, which is relied upon by so many Fortune 1000 companies. Sure there is a lot of talent, creativity, intelligence and team work involved in success.  But at the end of the day, legends are those who worked harder and wanted it more. As Thomas Edison said, “Success is 10 percent inspiration and 90 percent perspiration.”

6. Happiness Counts
Men aren’t even allowed to be depressed, which is why so many engage in self-numbing, from sex, to gambling, to working…  Let’s make sure that head and heart can be reunited in the body politic.” Jane Fonda.   

There is no amount of money that can buy you out of a miserable life. You’re going to waste a lot of money on psychiatrists, booze and divorces if you neglect your happiness quotient. 

7. Add Value
“My commitment to my family, the people I work with and those who work for me, define me… Years from now, I’ll measure my success in part by what I have done to add value in their lives.” Anne Sweeney, co-chairman Disney Media Networks and President Disney ABC TV Group

Ms. Sweeney, in her keynote address to the women at the California Governor’s and first Lady’s Conference for Women, calls on everyone to “do something meaningful with our lives,” saying, “Everyone here has the power to change the world by making our own corner a better place.”  Patty DeDominic, the Chairman of SCORE.org and CEO of PDQ Careers, loves watching volunteers receive great job offers from their charitable work.  I received my executive training in the nonprofit field, where many organizations are grateful to offer motivated, intelligent, energized individuals the opportunity to take on more responsibility and push their growth curve.  

If you want to move up, be creative about it.  If you are in college and want a better shot at a great MBA program, start a society in your field of interest (like Jim Moglia, the Executive Managing Director at Harris Nesbitt did).  If you are in genetic engineering, start the GENOME Society, and have regular meetings where you invite professors to speak to your members.  If you are having trouble getting a promotion, look outside your career for the opportunity to prove yourself on a higher level.  Chair a fundraising event.  (Be prepared to get no sleep during that commitment!)  

“Our emphasis on glamour, celebrity and on being famous takes away from being fulfilled.  Have the courage to follow your bliss.  Find something that you love to do.  It doesn’t matter if it’s in front of the cameras.  Even if it seems ridiculous, go and do it.”  Barbara Walters

Add value to the lives of those around and to our world.  You will be surprised at the riches that you will receive by focusing on making sure that our Earth is a little more beautiful as a result of your footprint.  

There is no doubt that women have overcome obstacles to get to where we are today. Sandra Day O’Connor (Supreme Court Justice and mother) couldn’t get an interview when she graduated 3rd in her class from Stanford Law School.  Billie Jean King (6-time Wimbledon champion and one of the 100 most important people of the 20th Century according to Life magazine) couldn’t get an athletic scholarship to college because she is a woman. 

There is no doubt that much work is still to be done in other parts of the world, to ensure that women worldwide have economic and political freedom. “As women get empowered and educated and get access to contraception and education, they become leaders.  Every time the religious fundamentalists or the political fundamentalists gain control, women get put down,” according to Isabel Allende, author of The House of Spirits.

You are free.  You are equal.  Thank the women who came before, and then do them a favor by living the life of your dreams!  And consider a career where women are still under-represented: as a CEO, or a Senator or the President. 

“It’s important that citizens of this country see that in all areas of our government structure, women are represented there.  It took 191 years to put a woman on the Supreme Court.  I think that was a little long to wait.”  Sandra Day O’Connor .

NataliePace.com Chat:  How To Earn More Than Your Male Colleagues on Thursday, February 8th, at 8:45 a.m. PST, will be hosted by Patty DeDominic, CEO, PDQ Careers, President Emeritus, National Association of Women Business Owners (NAWBO) and Chairman of SCORE.org.   Go to the NataliePace.com Calendar for more information.  Subscribers only.


Sharing Wisdom.

Grace
Young Fashion Designer Gets Tips from the founder of Frankie B and the former President of Reebok Apparel.

In our monthly Sharing Wisdom feature, NataliePace.com subscribers get answers to questions about money, career, business, investing (and really what doesn’t have an element of money to it?).  The collective experience, success and wisdom of the NataliePace.com circle can help you to follow the golden brick road to your dream life.  

Last month, a young professional woman wrote: “I am a Product Designer with a Bachelor of Science in Industrial Design from the Art Center College of Art.  Since graduation, I've been designing footwear and accessories, and I want to launch my own line of branded products.  I've spoken to a couple business consultants, and am looking into speaking with manufacturers in Asia.

I have the know how when is comes to the target market and the type of products I want to develop, and I have dealt with the manufacturing process and research, etc...  Could please give me some advice as to how to get some investors or where to go from here for finances?”

1.  Start-up Capital and Sales
by Daniella Clarke, founder and President, Frankie B

“As far as capital to start a company finding a factor to work with you is key as they not only will provide you with advances on orders but they credit check your clients and guarantee their invoices.” 

In business, as in life, some prefer the high road and some prefer the low. Frankie B. owner and designer Daniella Clarke chose the latter with her low-rise, trendsetting jeans and built a fashion empire based on denim and the humble butt-crack. But, while backdoor cleavage may have been the beginning of Frankie B., it certainly won't be its end.


Marilyn Tam
Photo Credit: Clint Weisman
2.  Weebok: Market Research and Designing a Winning Brand.
by Marilyn Tam. Former President, Reebok Apparel and Retail Products Group

Please see the story of Weebok in this issue of the NataliePace.com ezine, which is excerpted from chapter seven of my book, How to Use What You’ve Got to Get What You Want.   I hope you find the story suitable for your needs.  Grace, your specific questions can best be answered by someone who has a better understanding of your business plan. The answer in Weebok is more general, but I think you can find out many good ideas in it. I suggest that you also go to your local SCORE office and find a mentor/counselor there to guide you in your development process. Good luck on this exciting endeavor.

Marilyn Tam’s book, How to Use What You’ve Got to Get What You Want, receives an average 4.5-star rating from Amazon.com customers. In her book, Ms. Tam talks about how to discover your own inner North Star, and how to use it to navigate your efforts to achieve maximum personal success. The hardcover is just $13.60 on Amazon.com.


Poignant Cuff
Artist:  Jan Mandel

3.  Networking with Your Peers. 
by Lisa Berman, Visionary Proprietor, Sculpture to Wear

“There’s a group called Fashion Group International, which is based out of New York, and has local chapters nationwide.   New members are welcome. This is a great way for you to meet industry professionals and to network…  They are in the business of fashion and they are very helpful…”

Lisa Berman is the visionary proprietor of Sculpture to Wear, wearable art.  Her shop is located 808 11th Street (at Montana Avenue) in Santa Monica, CA.  For one of a kind, exquisite jewelry for yourself or that special someone, call 310.260.1957 or email info@SculptureToWear.com

Fashion Group is a global, non-profit professional organization serving the fashion apparel, accessories, beauty and the home.

Got a Question for our Experts?
Email info@NataliePace.com with your burning money questions-- be they business, investing or personal -- and we will continue the dialog by having our very knowledgeable subscribers answer your most pressing needs.  Also, feel free to visit our Sharing Wisdom bulletin board at www.NataliePace.com and post your question there in a new topic.


Weebok:Ê How a Baby Idea Grew.

by Marilyn Tam, founder and Executive Director of the Us Foundation, former President of Reebok’s Apparel and Retail Products Group

 

Marilyn Tam
Photo Credit: Clint Weisman
One of the first hidden gems I uncovered when I joined Reebok was a small, neglected young children’s shoes division. This division had been struggling to get enough business volume to stay afloat. The management of the division were constantly under pressure to come up with enough orders to warrant production minimums. Factories didn’t want to deal with them because they ordered small quantities and were always trying to get lower prices. Customers wanted inexpensive shoes because children outgrew them so quickly. Other divisions regarded them as poor cousins who were always asking for help with meeting production minimums or for design support.

Sports stores didn’t like to carry the children’s shoes because it was a small- volume business. It was not understood nor liked by their young employees. It was not glamorous like basketball or tennis where there were celebrity athletes’ endorsements and the aura of “coolness.” Even the box sizes worked against children's shoes division, because the smaller boxes didn’t fit the storage shelves.

Everyone agreed that there was a real need for good shoes for growing feet. Yet the children’s’ division team members were discouraged by the constant uphill battle they faced within the company and the market place.

But that was before Nancy, Vice President of Apparel Production, turned her passion and commitment to the task of uncovering the potential of the children's division.     

Nancy was in her mid-thirties and just had her first child. She was the quintessential baby boomer mother. Quality children's products were important to her. She and her husband wanted these products for their child and were willing to pay handsomely for them. They were concerned that their child had the best advantages to develop and grow to fulfill his potential.

But as a new mother, she was quickly finding out that quality children’s shoes and clothes were either hugely expensive or too high fashion for her lifestyle. There was nothing well made, stylish and reasonably priced for the children of baby boomers. This void in the market inspired her to devote part of her maternity leave to drafting a business plan for the creation of a new division of Reebok: Weebok. 

Weebok was to be the brand for infants to five year olds. It would include shoes and apparel designed for the children of Reebok customers-- people who were interested in health and fitness and who lived an active lifestyle. They had above-average incomes and wanted to dress their children in the same casual, but quality manner that they dressed themselves. But they expected to pay moderate prices, not designer prices.

Nancy was working on her business plan when I joined the company and became her boss. We were a good match. I appreciated and believed in her mission. I liked the idea of providing baby boomers with a children’s brand that responded to their needs and lifestyles. It was a good extension of the Reebok brand and seemed to be in line with our mission.    

Other companies in the market were also realizing the need for this category of products. The Gap was opening Baby Gap Stores, Guess? was delivering Baby Guess?, Ralph Lauren was shipping Baby Polo, and many others were also responding to the perceived demand. In order to become the leader in the field, we would have to execute our plan better and more effectively than the other entrants in this budding market.    

Keeping our enthusiasm in check, we analyzed our strategy to ensure that we had a viable business instead of just a pipe dream. We brainstormed on the approach and execution plan. How would we distinguish ourselves from the others? What did we have that was unique? How were we better able to serve the customers? Was there a market for what we wanted to sell? Did we have all the resources to ensure success? Most importantly of all, was the project fully in line with our company mission?    

We planned every detail of the strategy like clockwork. We analyzed our existing children's shoes division. We incorporated the good and learned from the bad. Collaborating with the other divisions to leverage the company’s resources, we developed a line of coordinated footwear and apparel for infants to five year olds.        

We did field research, talked to mothers and performed market testing. We backed it up with lab testing. We scrutinized store layouts and examined store fixtures. We shopped the competition and reviewed their advertisements. We did everything possible to make sure we were fully prepared to enter the market with a strong and consistent message.

The market was ripe for some company to become the leader. And, with all the entrants, we wouldn't have time to adjust if our first line was bad. We had to take the lead and hold onto it from the start.

After we had completed our due diligence, we had to create the product. The task of developing, producing and pricing a line that would appeal to our target market was still before us. The apparel and shoes were coordinated with each other in function, style and color. The clothing and shoes harmonized beautifully with each other and looked so cute and adorable that even the ones of us in the company with no children were eager to get them into production.

We still had to sell the products to the stores where our target customers shopped and to advertise so that they would anticipate our products’ arrival. 

After many long months of hard work and grueling travel, the line was finally shipped to the stores. In-store promotions launched the line. Our team went to key stores to train the sales personnel on the feature and benefits of the products. The in-store displays and fixtures were tweaked to present the products in a consistent way. Cooperative marketing was done with the stores to create local excitement.

To our great relief and satisfaction, the customers came in to look and ... actually buy the products! And what's more, they loved Weebok! We were deluged with feedback about how delighted baby boomer parents were that someone had finally understood their needs. They told their friends about this great new line. Children’s and parenting magazines called to do features on Weebok. And soon we were getting calls from other retailers to request the Weebok line.

We were cautious enough to build slowly on the success. One of the biggest dangers at this stage is expanding too fast and believing your own publicity. In the initial euphoria of positive response, you may over-commit and end up having to retrench. Having to go backwards, reducing commitments and scaling back programs is demoralizing and disruptive to everyone involved. It also can very quickly earn you a bad reputation for being unreliable. And on top of that, over-commitment can suck up money faster than goods can be shipped out the warehouse door.

Being a new division with a limited budget, we had to allocate our financial and human resources vigilantly. So we built incrementally, stretching enough to have stock, marketing and advertising to grow the brand quickly, but not so recklessly that we would be overwhelmed if the line didn’t sell. It was a delicate balance. We scampered forward a little uncertainly, on wobbly feet, not unlike our Weebok wearers.   

Meanwhile, our competition was not sleeping. They were building stores, shipping products, marketing and advertising. We felt that there was a big enough market for more than one new children’s brand, but we wanted to be at the top. As the old saying states, durable success often comes from a lot of diligence and hard work. And we intended to be a long lasting brand, not the instantaneous flash in the pan that's the sure sign of a fad.

After two and a half years of diligent effort, Weebok had become a $60 million business and growing. The brand was recognized and requested by customers and our repeat business was increasing as well. Other divisions inside the company were more supportive and collaborated frequently on product development with Weebok. We were building a track record in the market and manufacturers were more open to working with us; it had become easier to meet the production minimums. Other related businesses were coming to ask for us to license the Weebok name to them -- a solid indication that our brand was achieving respect and positive response.   

With a passionate commitment to an idea and enthusiastic tenacity, Weebok had succeeded. The idea had always been compelling, but it had demanded clarity of mission and conscientious attention in execution to make Weebok a success.

Summary
1.    Clearly state your idea.
2.    Plan and review the strategy on how to implement the plan.
3.    Confirm your personal commitment to the objective.
4.    Solidify support for the project.
5.    Check for competitive advantages.
6.    Test market concept.
7.    Proceed only if there is a ground swell for the product.
8.    Keep innovating and be flexible.
9.    Enjoy the run.

Your future depends on many things, but mostly on you, - Frank Tyger

Marilyn Tam’s book, How to Use What You’ve Got to Get What You Want, receives an average 4.5-star rating from Amazon.com customers. In her book, Ms. Tam talks about how to discover your own inner North Star, and how to use it to navigate your efforts to achieve maximum personal success. The hardcover is just $13.60 on Amazon.com.


Valentines Enjoy 20 Winners on our Hot News on Cool Companies List.

by Natalie Pace, Top-ranked stock picker in the US, per TipsTraders.com. 

(Note: These are not buy/sell recommendations. Always consult a certified financial professional before buying or selling stock.)

Natalie Pace
Top-Ranked Stock Picker
Per TipsTraders.com
Companies (and countries) in the News:
China: China's economy expanded by 9.9 per cent in 2005, as exports continue to fuel the economy.  The National Bureau of Statistics Commissioner Li Deshui said gross domestic product (GDP) came to 13.65 trillion yuan (US$1.65 trillion). Li Deshui said that the country had stabilized inflation, commenting that China must "implement various measures in strengthening and improving macro-economic regulations, continuously push reform and opening programs and make efforts in building a harmonious society." (source: China Daily)

Disney/Pixar.  Disney has animation in their DNA, according to Steve Jobs, who is now the biggest individual shareholder of Disney (ahead of Eisner), with 7% of the company.  Pixar as the best record of animation hits ever, in addition to intimate access to Steve Jobs’ Apple empire.  (Jobs is the CEO of Pixar and Apple.)  Is it a merger capable of creating the happiest place on earth for shareholders?  Click for a review of the Media Report Card.  Media, as an industry, is in favor, especially those that are embracing (acquiring) new media, like iPods.  (Proving how fast new media is becoming important, Oscar-winning director Steven Soderbergh's new film, Bubble, which came outs on 1.26.06, became the first film to be released theatrically for just four days before it will become available on DVD and pay per view.)  Price tag of Pixar?  $7.4 billion.  Pixar shareholders receive 2.3 shares of Disney stock, for a value of $59.78 for each Pixar share. 

New Media’s Hot, and Old Media is trying to catch up by acquiring it.  Time Warner has AOL, but they are also still reeling from the corporate implosion that occurred after the merger of AOL and Time Warner and the collapse of NASDAQ.  Debt is high. Dick Parsons is being chased around the Board Room by notorious corporate raider Carl Icahn (at a time when M&A activity is heating up again, but companies are getting bought on the cheap).  Sony had a surprisingly better earnings report that got investors very excited, but their margins are still the worst in the industry, at under 2%, and competition to make cheap flat screen TVs isn’t getting any easier.  On the other hand, News Corp. (with its acquisition of MySpace) and Disney (with its acquisition of Pixar) have made outstanding moves recently and are on the Hot News List below.  What’s most interesting about the Pixar buy, in addition to all of the hit movies being under Disney’s marketing machine, is the access to new media offered by Steve Jobs, who is the CEO of both Pixar and Apple Computer.  Disney CEO Bob Iger rules. 

Enron:  Kenneth Lay and Jeffrey Skilling enter the courtroom next week.  Jury selection begins on Monday, and the judge is pushing to have the jurors seated by “day’s end.” Skilling faces 31 counts of fraud, conspiracy, insider trading and lying to auditors for allegedly lying about Enron's financial state before the company crashed. Lay faces seven counts of fraud and conspiracy for allegedly perpetuating the scheme after Skilling resigned in August 2001. Both have pleaded not guilty.

General Motors:  Billionaire Kirk Kerkorian repurchased 12 million shares to become the largest individual shareholder of GM, with a 9.9% stake. 

Retail Pull Back:  “The retailers typically report their results in February, and most likely will provide downward guidance at that juncture – although Wal-Mart has already provided some hints on recent earnings trends, as has Home Depot (which trimmed back growth expectations).” Tobias Levkovich, Portfolio Strategist Macro Commentary, 1.27.06

Stats, Facts, Quotes and Educational Information:

  1. M&A Mania.  Mergers and Acquisitions are exploding this year, for the fastest start to a year since 2000, when the $165 billion AOL-Time Warner merger was announced (Jan. 2000).   The value of 622 deals announced so far equal $49.9 billion, according to Thomson Financial.  2005 saw 1,013 deals with a total value of $37.4 billion.  2001 had 1,031 deals for a value of $31.2 billion.  2000 was a record year with 939 deals valued at $218.9 billion.

  2. 10% Returns Predicted in 2006.  Liz Ann Sonders, the chief investment strategist for Charles Schwab is predicting a 10% return for the S&P500 in 2006, as is Tobias M. Levkovich of Citigroup and Henry C. Dickson of Lehman Brothers.

  3. Technology in Favor, according to Smith Barney and the Federal Reserve Board. “Technology is our favorite sector for 2006 – as we expect stocks to benefit from a pickup in enterprise spending, and valuations to increase from current levels.  We would highlight two names in particular today:  QLogic & Cognizant Technology Solutions.” Dr. Albert D. Richards, CFA, Smith Barney, from Portfolio Strategist, 1.12.06. Every industry in the world relies on technology and now that capital spending is back, you can expect to see more outlays in this area.  “Rising business sales, a declining cost of capital, and ample financial resources in the corporate sector continued to foster a favorable environment for capital spending, a sentiment echoed in executive surveys, which generally pointed to widespread increases in planned capital outlays,” according to the Federal Reserve Board minutes, where the governors noted that “real outlays for equipment and software posted a solid gain in the third quarter.”

  4. Media in favor, according to Smith Barney.  “Attractive valuation; low earnings expectations; out of favor with buy-side, anticipate more positive news flow,” according to Portfolio Strategist, 1.12.06.

  5. Higher Interest Rates.  The Federal Open Market Committee decided today (1.31.06) to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4-1/2 percent, and believes that “further policy firming may be needed.”.

  6. Tobacco Companies and Mutual Funds:  Did you know that tobacco companies are popular holdings of mutual funds?  Altria, Philip Morris Tobacco Company’s new name (NYSE: MO), is 74.0% owned by institutional investors (aka funds).   If you don’t know what you checked off on your 401 (k), you might be manufacturing and marketing the cigarettes that you don’t want your neighbors and kids to smoke.  (If you don’t care, that’s one thing.  If you don’t know, it’s time to wake up.)

  7. Don’t Buy in January. 50% or more of the stock market gains are typically made in the 4th quarter of the year.  If you’re looking to buy, make sure you’re not buying at a 52-week high, unless it’s a company that you are sure still has a lot of upside growth.  If you’re looking to sell, odds are, at least historically, that January is a good time to take your short-term gains.   The Dow Jones Industrial average peaked at the beginning of January in 2005.  Click on Trick or Treat for a breakdown of historical market returns by month (which was part of October 2005’s Hot News column).   “Oil is rapidly approaching $70, a level at which consumers clearly backed away in September.  Thus, energy prices do currently constitute a real risk.” Tobias Levkovich, Portfolio Strategist Macro Commentary, 1.27.06.

  8. Real estate is not showing any substantial weakening inn prices, sales or construction, according to the Federal Reserve Board’s analysis of the numbers, but “reports from contacts in many parts of the country suggested somewhat less ebullient market conditions, and measures of confidence of homebuyers and builders had fallen back noticeably.”  The FOMC expressed concern that reduced confidence might dampen the demand for houses by investors and speculators. Demand is expected to soften in the coming quarters.

  9. Updates on Past Picks:  Goldcorp, Pixar and Sony have recently exploded, and we’ve included them this month, so that you evaluate whether you wish to add to your position, hold or take your profits!

  10. 20 BIG WINNERS, which keeps us at the top in Annualized Returns (according to TipsTraders.com).  This hot news article still has the proud honor of featuring twenty companies that have posted positive gains, versus four that have gone south. Of the four that have gone south, we were most concerned with Krispy Kreme, but there are signs that Stephen Cooper, turnaround King/CEO, is moving that company forward.  Turnarounds are difficult to stomach, even the turnaround of the most popular sweet on the planet. Lawsuits are many.  OSI Pharmaceuticals, Automated Data Processing and Martha Stewart Omniliving – in our view, these are all great companies with exceptional products and/or leadership. Sometimes it takes awhile for the rest of the investment world to realize that.  Still love Jet Blue as a consumer, but the sector is in trouble until they figure out how to make solar-powered planes.
  • Bottom Line: NataliePace.com is providing you with news and important information, but you need to consult your financial planner to determine your best strategy for using the information. That will depend upon your age, your retirement plan, and your risk tolerance and portfolio diversification. The stock portion of your portfolio is a higher risk classification, where you ideally seek to gain higher returns. As the NASD said in a recent investor alert, don’t bet the farm on the stock market. NataliePace.com is NOT a brokerage and doesn’t operate or act like one. We are an online media service with a mission of providing the news and information you need to make better choices in business, investing and personal prosperity.   Always consult a trusted financial professional before buying or selling any security. 

    Full disclosure: I have listed the companies that I own under the column "NP OWNS?"

    Hot Stocks
    Investors who "never pay retail," note that highlighted stocks are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in NataliePace.com’s article. It may be a good buying opportunity. The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may not be in a good buying range, but they (outside of KKD, which might be a real dud) are poised to continue performing well. There are never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments.  Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes to your investment strategy.

    Company

    NP owns?

    Symbol

    Price when featured

    Price

    1.27.06

    Year High

    Year Low

    Gains since original feature

    Automatic Data Processing

    NO

    ADP

    $46.84

    $44.77

    47.43

    40.37

    -4%

    See the article in the vol. 2 iss. 11 ezine, entitled, “Harvesting Profits…” Morgan Stanley analyst David Togut lists ADP as “overweight.”  2Q results were just under forecasts, at $2.15 billion in sales (expectations were $2.17 sales).  17.5 percent gain in quarterly net profit.  The company's earnings rose to $259.7 million, or 45 cents per share, from $250.1 million, or 42 cents per share, a year earlier.  On 1.24.06, ADP added an automated accounts payable management solution, which streamlines AP, while at the same time simplifying Sarbanes-Oxley compliance.

    Bioteq Environmental Technologies

     

    VERY HIGH RISK

    Penny Stock in a great sector.

    NO

    TSX: BQE

    (Note this is only traded on the Toronto Exchange)

    $.80

    $1.18

    $1.18

    $.66

    +47.5%

    Water treatment and metals recovery for acid-contaminated water in mining ind. BioteQ's customers include Jiangxi Copper (China), Breakwater Resources, Falconbridge, and Phelps Dodge. This company is only trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange’s TSX. Go to Bioteq.CA for more info.   If your stomach is lined with steel, this could be a fun, rewarding, high-risk bet. 

    U.S. Global Investors Eastern Europe

     

    No

    EUROX

    $33.87

    $46.80

    $46.80

    $23.02

    +38%

    Vanguard seems to be in the right countries, and, within those countries, in the right, growing sectors. See vol. 2, issue 8.  Great way to diversify, as well as to add growth.  Eastern EU economy rocks.  Western EU economy stalls. 

    Disney

     

    Yes

    DIS

    $25.08

    --

    29.99

    22.89

    --

    Just purchased Pixar, and along with it got Steve Jobs as the largest individual shareholder (with 7% of the company’s stock).  Hmmm… The most successful animation film company meets the most successful family media company meets the most successful new media device, the iPod.  Hmmm.  Sounds like the happiest place on Earth to us.  Produces Lost and Desperate Housewives and you don’t have to be either to know they are huge hits for the company. CEO Tom Staggs said Disney had sold 1.5 million downloads via iTunes to date, and that syndication for the two shows should net $1 billion in operating profit.

    Gevity Human Resources

    No

    GVHR

    $26.48

    $27.15

    $29.00

    $15.45

    +2.5%

    See the article in the vol. 2 iss. 11 ezine, entitled, “Harvesting Profits…” Roy C. King became President and COO on 12.20.05, responsible for sales, marketing and biz development.  4Q earnings and conference call Tuesday, February 28, 2006 at 10:30 a.m. EST.

    Goldcorp

     

    No

    GG

    $11.25

    $25.77

    $25.97

    $12.04

    129%

    We were spooked in 2005, when 17-year CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen left the company (to become CEO & Chairman of U.S. Gold, listed below).  However, McEwen remains the biggest shareholder and the transition to the new management seems to be working out quite well.  Share prices are high, but gold is in favor on most analysts’ lists this year.  If you’re looking to buy, watch like an eagle for a dip in price because most gold mining companies are trading at five-year highs.  If you’re looking to sell, why not take a vacation and fuhgetabout it for a while?  With all of the analysts calling for gold fever, it’s hard to imagine what would spook investors to start dumping the metal.  Vancouver-based operation, with Canadian mines and the lowest production cost of gold, at $49 ounce. 2005 production is expected to reach 1.1 million ounces. As of Dec. 31, 2004 (2005 have not been released), Goldcorp had 12.49 million ounces of reserves.

    ImClone

    (makers of Erbitux)

     

    See volume 2, issue 6 for a feature article

     

    Trading near 52 week low.

    No

    IMCL

    $34.48

    $36.05

    87.24

    29.51

    +4.5%

    Hired investment bank Lazard LLC to shop the company to suitors and appointed board member Joseph L. Fischer as interim CEO.  Fischer was Former Senior Vice President, Dial Corporation and Former Group President, Corporate Controller, Johnson & Johnson.  Reported 4Q Erbitux sales totaled $121.2 million, compared with an analyst consensus of $114 million, and a profit of $13.1 million, or 15 cents per share, compared to a loss a year ago. earnings were . Filed for FDA approval to use Erbitux on head and neck cancer on 8.30.05, and received “priority” review status on 10.31 from FDA.  Review expected 2.28.05.  Results from study are impressive.  New panitumumab drug from Amgen is predicted to gain market share of colorectal cancer in about three to four years, though it is not expected to gain approval and product launch before 3Q 2006. Swissmedic, the Swiss agency for therapeutic products, approved Erbitux for head and neck cancer on 12.22.05. Merrill Lynch analyst Eric Ende thinks IMCL is a TOP SELL for 2006.  We disagree. Research analyst Steven Harr, Morgan Stanley, calls IMCL “overweight.”

    Krispy Kreme

     

    RISK: VERY HIGH

     

    In turnaround mode.  Trading at 5 year lows.  

     

    Taken off S&P Midcap 400 effective 10.27.05.

    NO

    KKD

    $10.22

    $5.33

    32.70

    4.40

    -47.8%

    KKD got an extension on its 12.15 deadline to file financials with the SEC, but faces NYSE delisting after April 30, 2006, if they don’t get the reports in on time.  “While a number of challenges remain, I am pleased to report that we continue to make progress with the Company's turnaround," said Steve Cooper, CEO.  Don’t forget that Michael Sutton, the former chief accountant for the SEC, is on KKD’s board.  KKD has begun completing its restructuring initiatives, with optimistic words of recovery from President and COO, Steve Panagos. "We believe that the New England region has significant growth potential and we look forward to continuing to serve this important market."  Turnarounds like this are very hard on the stomach.  This high-risk investment is only for the seasoned investor with nerves of steel.

    Las Vegas Sands Corp.

     

    Read Vol. 2, Iss. 7

     

    The Venetian, Sands Macao

    (1st mover advantage in China’s Vegas!!)`

     

     

    No

    LVS

    $37.43

    $48.54

    53.98

    33.10

    +29%

    The Venetian, The Palazzo (2Q ’07), The Sands Macao, The Venetian Macao (1Q ’07).  97% occupancy rates at the Venetian. Go to LasVegasSands.com, click on Investor Information, and then Investor Day, to see a Web Cast on fast growing and vast the Macao market is.  Las Vegas Sands Corp. is also making deals with other Macao hotels to manage their casinos and show rooms, including Intercontinental Hotel, Holiday Inn, Far East's Cosmopolitan and Dorsett, Shangri-La Hotel Macau and the Traders Hotel Macau, all on the Cotai Strip in Macao. Huge Consensus Insider selling, including CEO, on 9.13.05 at $35.64, totaling $366 million, for trust diversification purposes.  Amounts to less than 7% of CEO trust holdings of LVS.  3Q earnings up to $91 million, compared with a year-earlier loss of $85.9 million.  Bidding on new Singapore casino/resort with Singapore's leading developer and hotel group, City Developments Limited. Morgan Stanley analyst Celeste Mellet Brown recommended the stock for growth investors, with a target point of $59, Assuming a bull market, while a bear market warrants a $47 price target.  Announces 4Q and Full Year on Valentine’s Day.  Expect a love note.

    Martha Stewart Omniliving*

     

    RISK:  MEDIUM

     

    Management says ad revenue is back, and merchandising is heating up.

    NO

    MSO

    $25.91

    $18.51

    $37.45

    $8.25

    -28.5%

    The public fired Martha’s Apprentice show, and Martha’s daytime show isn’t becoming the next Oprah. Still MSO is projecting to break-even on operating revenue in 4Q.  Deal with KB Home to build/market MSO homes.   Martha’s 24/7 Channel on Sirius SR launched on 11.21.  Ad revenue in mags is picking up big time.  Revenue should improve.  Although, flops usually spook investors, for a time, Martha has enough “cooking” to make everyone forget the phrase, “You’re just not working out.”  CFO announced on 12.16.05 that he is leaving the corp.

    NetGear

     

    RISK: MEDIUM

     

    Trading in mid-range.  Growth company.  Volatile share price.

     

    Price 12.28.05:

    $19.44

     

    No

    NTGR

    $12.42

    $17.42

     

    $22.67

    $8.85

    +40%

    We were itching to RE-ADD NTGR TO THE HOT LIST ON 1.16.06, when NTGR announced a deal with Skype (owned by eBay) to offer Wi-Fi Internet phones. However, as we reported on 1.15.06, Institutional investors unloaded 10% of shares, or 3,304,900 shares, on 1.10.06, and we expected the price to dump on this large sale.  Sure enough it dropped from $20.76 to $17.42.  "Customers can now call anyone on Skype, anywhere in the world for free without using a PC anytime they are connected to Wi-Fi," said Patrick Lo, Netgear's chairman and chief executive.  An October report from Jupiter Research predicted that 20.4 million U.S. households would subscribe to some form of Internet-based broadband phone service by 2010. More information on Netgear's Skype Wi-Fi phone, including pricing and availability, is planned for the first quarter of 2006.  BusinessWeek named NTGR as one of its 100 Hot Growth Companies.  Judges from the IT Industry and CRN Readers Rated NETGEAR Best in Service and Support Among Crowded Networking Category that Included Companies Worldwide with Both Voice and Data Legacies in Dec. 2005. Third quarter 2005 net revenue increased to $111.3 million, 10% year- over-year growth. 4Q earnings on 2.16.06 at 5:00 p.m. EST.

    News Corp.

    Vol. 2, iss. 10

     

    Dividends

    No

    NWS.A

    $15.88

    $15.79

    18.88

    13.94

    --

    Featured article, “News Corp. Enters New Media,” from vol. 2, iss. 10.  Bought Myspace, Scout Media and IGN Entertainment, all IT companies, for far less than competitors are paying for their holdings. With sales of $24.4 billion and a MC of $51.52 billion (compared to Google’s $5.25 B in sales and $127 billion MC), we think investors will start taking notice of this undervalued juggernaut, especially once MySpace revenues start hitting the books.  Myspace has surpassed Google in page views and user time online, which should start translating into a major jump in ad revenue this year, especially since MySpace’s core demographic is the coveted 16-34 year olds.   Media is in favor for 2006, according to Smith Barney analysts. “More than any other media company, News Corp. is actually integrated and does leverage its content and distribution assets to grow. Top management moves all across the company, translating best practices but also facilitating cross-division initiatives. There have been missteps, like buying Gemstar (nasdaq: GMST - news  - people), but a lot of the acquisitions he’s made have panned out, and he’s certainly grown the company better than his media peers.” Mandana Hormozi, Mutual Series analyst, 1.13.06.  Reports 2Q earnings in Feb. ‘06.

    Opsware

    See issue 44.  1st featured Dec. 2002.

    RISK:  MEDIUM

    No

    OPSW

    $1.80

    $7.05

    $7.55

    $3.90

    +293%

    CONSENSUS INSIDER BUYING (usually a very good sign).  3Q results beat Wall Street revenue expectations. Signed 56 new license deals during the quarter and four new deals worth more than $1 million, lifting sales to $15.3 million from $10.2 million last year. 3Q loss was $2.8 million, or 3 cents per share, from $6.3 million, or 8 cents per share, a year ago.  Quarterly report in Feb. ’06.  Annual earnings in April ’06.

    OSI Pharmaceuticals

    RISK:  MEDIUM/HIGH

     

    Trading near 52-week low.

     

    NataliePace.com’s 2005 Company of the Year 2005.  Read vol. 1, iss. 56.

    YES

     

    OSIP

    $63.59

    $28.00

    98.70

    22.57

    -56%

    4Q and Year End earnings will be announced on March 7 at 5:00 p.m. EST.  3Q net loss of $20.0 million and $77.1 million for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2005, respectively, compared with a net loss of $123.2 million and $220.2 million a year ago.  FDA approved Tarceva for use with pancreatic patients on 9.13.05, Genetic based “cancer pill.”  1st and only of its kind.  FDA-Approved for lung cancer last November. Canadian regulators approved Tarceva on 7.13.05. European approval granted on 9.21.  Switzerland approved Tarceva in March 2005. Partner of Genentech (DNA) and Roche. Net U.S. sales for Tarceva increased 15 percent over the third quarter to $83.9 million for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2005. Total U.S. net sales of Tarceva for 2005, its launch year, were $274.9 million. U.S. net sales of Tarceva as recorded by Genentech, Inc., OSI's U.S. collaborator for Tarceva. Ended 2005 with in excess of $150 million in cash and investments on its balance sheet.  4Q earnings expected at the end of Jan. ’06.

    RELM wireless

     

    10.70 P/E

    Micro Cap

    96.38 Million

    (high risk)

    NO

    RWC

    $7.35

    $9.27

    9.33

    1.90

    +27%

    $9.9 billion in new orders in 10.05 for 4th Q 2005 delivery.  Could make sales double over same time last year.  Two-way land mobile radios (LMRs), for govt and public safety.  New $1.1 million order from another U.S. govt agency was announced on 1.12.06. According to Feltl & Co. analyst Richard Ryan, RELM has just 1% share of a domestic market worth $1.9 billion (and the global market is eight times larger), so there is plenty of room for growth.  Coverage on MoneyCentral.msn.com on 1.18.06 means it might come up on more investors’ radars.

    Rio Tinto (ADR)

    Based in England

     

    DIVIDENDS!

     

     

    See issue 48

    RISK:  LOW

    NO

    RTP

     

     

    $89.60

    $212.11

    212.11

    84.53

    +138%

    Metals demand is huge; supply is limited; stock price is high.  RTP bought back 8.7% of stock as of 5.05, to the tune of US$780 million, and plans to buyback up to $1.5 billion in 2005 and 2006.   Analysts say pressure on price should continue on high demand in China and Asia, as well as the high cost of mining.  Due to the commodities crunch, gear, personnel and materials are in high demand and at a premium cost, which means that cash-rich companies like Rio Tinto are not going to bankrupt themselves to mine. Jim Jubak reported on 12.20.05 that RTP has put plant production plans on hold due to high construction costs in Australia (where many of its plants and mines are located).  RTP increased its dividend by 20 per cent. Finds, processes and mines minerals: copper, iron, coke (from coal), aluminum, titanium dioxide and diamonds.  Rio Tinto has been added to Jim Jubak’s 50 Best Stocks in the World List (eff. 9.05).  Great press usually means more buyers.  Hang on, and enjoy the dividends, but don’t get sucked into buying high Even Citigroup has taken RTP down to Hold from Buy. As long as Jubak keeps RTP rich in headlines, expect investors to keep buying high.  Earnings reports on 2.2.06.

    Sirius

    YES

    SIRI

    $6.02

    $5.87

    8.48

    3.72

    flat

    On Sunday, Feb. 5, Sirius will air the Super Bowl with 11 different calls in seven languages. Sirius announced on 12.27.05 that it topped 3 million subscribers and was on track to finish the year strong.  XM Satellite Radio has more than 5 million subscribers. Howard Stern began airing Jan. 6, 2006, Martha Stewart and Rolling Stones are available 24/7, and this has us betting on SIRI over competition XMSR.  Was last year’s Santa Rally present, with gains of over 100% in the last quarter of 2004. SIRI beat expectations, but posted a net loss of $134 million in the third quarter on 10.27.05 due to higher programming and marketing costs. Revenue rose, as subscribers were more than 5 million, more than double from a year ago.  XM radio is installed in GM cars; GM is losing market share and having biz cash flow issues.  Could impact XM.  Mercedes just agreed to make SIRI standard on SL and CL models for 2007.  Caris & Co. analyst Susan Kalla says Sirius "may be able to bring down subscriber acquisition costs to $100 per sub, leading to a breakeven in 2006." Kalla said Sirius could reach about 16 million subscribers by 2010, and predicts a 2007 cash break-even point for XMSR, with 18 million subscribers by 2010. The company issued and registered 34 million shares, worth more than $200 million, to Stern and his agent the week of Jan. 13, 2006.

    Sohu

    No

    SOHU

    $17.52

    $20.18

    23.74

    14.25

    +15%

    Announces 4Q and full year earnings after markets close on Monday, February 6, 2006.  Expected to be at the high end of expectations. September’s feature company, in the “You Can Do Better Than Baidu” article.  Financial Times ranked Sohu in Top 10 Chinese Global Corporate Brands on 9.6.05.  (6 days after our article.)  SOHU selected as the official sponsor of Internet Content Service (ICS) for the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games.  Insider buying, including CFO.  According to comScore media Metrix, SOHU averages more minutes per visitor (at 26.3) than Baidu (at 19.2) or Alibaba (at 2.9).  Sohu is just behind Alibaba in terms of page views at 13 million and 15 million respectively, compared to 6 million for Baidu.  Alibaba stomped both sites in terms of unique visitors in November 2005, with 2.332 billion, compared to 198 million (Sohu) and 128 million (Baidu).  4th Q results on/about 2.8.06. 

    T. Rowe Price Em Eur & Mediterranean

    See Vol. 2, iss. 8

    No

    TREMX

    $20.72

    $29.15

    $27.29

    $12.00

    +40%

    See vol. 2, issue 8.  Great way to diversify, as well as to add growth.  Eastern EU rocks.  Western EU stalls.  Go global with the emerging countries.  Avoid the countries in the EU that are stalling in economic growth. 

    U.S. Gold

     

    VERY HIGH RISK

    No.  Yes by 2.6.06.

    USGL

    $5.05

    --

    $5.05

    $.35

    --

    See the feature interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen in NataliePace.com ezine, vol. 3, iss. 2. This is a gold exploration company that is being traded off the big boards.  If the choice is between this and the craps table, you might have better odds here (and just as much fun if McEwen strikes gold.) Note: U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time.  They are digging to find a new reserve.

    Verisign,

     

    Vol. 2, iss. 9

     

    Ring tones, domain names, plus, including Jamster…

    No

    VRSN

    $21.91

    $22.55

    $36.09

    $17.02

    +3%

    Fourth-quarter net income rose to $271.4 million, or $1.06 cents per share, from $114.8 million, or 43 cents per share, a year ago (1.26.05 release), boosted by sale of online payment system in the amount of $252 million.  Expects 1Q call to miss expectations due to price cuts to win customers and problems in the mobile content area.  Repurchased 9 million shares for value of $215 million in the 3rd Q. Revenue shortfall in the mobile content area is expected to improve, according to CEO.  Michelle Guthrie, CEO of STAR Group, Ltd. (a division of News Corp.) was named to the Board on 12.19.05.  According to Stratton Sclavos, CEO and Chairman, “"Michelle's track record in building successful content and distribution relationships in both Europe and Asia will be an invaluable asset in VeriSign's long range strategy to build and operate the world's premier digital content utility."  VRSN is looking to expand into mobile and broadband with Michelle’s guidance.  Annual analyst day on 5.25.06 at corporate offices.

    Yahoo

     

    Vol. 2, iss. 10

    No

    YHOO

    $33.84

    $35.09

    42.13

    30.30

    +4%

    See featured article, “News Corp. Enters New Media,” from vol. 2, iss. 10.  Yahoo is the #1 web site, with more traffic, page views and time online than MSN or Google. Yahoo nearly doubled its fourth-quarter profit to $683 million and revenues were up to $1.501 billion, a 39 percent increase compared to $1.078 billion for the same period of 2004, but missed Wall Street expectations by a penny (thus the investor pullback). Don’t be fooled.  Yahoo is still a bargain compared to Google.   So why is Google’s market capitalization over twice the size of Yahoo’s?  Do investors really think Google is twice as valuable and has twice as much future potential as Yahoo?  How long can that last? 

    Stocks in Profit-Taking Range.  Note: We may still like these companies (as we do Genentech and Google) for the long term as companies (which means if you have them in your 401K or long term portfolio, you might want to keep them there), but, for the trading portion of your portfolio, in a market of modest gains but high volatility, profits are made in shorter windows.

    We may look to add some of these great companies to our hot news list again, if the price point should become attractive (as we did NetGear this month).

    Company

    NP owns?

    Symbol

    Price when featured

    Price 1.27.06

    Year High

    Year Low

    Gains/Loss

    Genentech

    No

    DNA

    $13.50

    $87.46

    $100.20

    $43.90

    547%

    Great Blue Chip Hold for your long-term portfolio.  Biotechnology is a volatile sector.  January tends to be the highest month for gains on Wall Street. 

    Google

    No

    GOOG

    $85

    $433.49

    $475.11

    $172.57

    400%

    Great Blue Chip Hold for your long-term portfolio.  Buy in at a better price.  If you’re drinking the Kool-Aid and want an IT play that is trading at a better value, look at Yahoo and/or some of the other IT companies listed above.  If you’ve quadrupled your money, profit taking and capital gains are attractive these days.  Announced 4Q earnings on 1.31.06. Missed expectations, and investors panicked (as we’d warned they would). Google shares sank 12 percent in after-hours trading to $379.00, losing roughly $15.3 billion from their $126 billion market capitalization. 

    Intermix

    (MySpace.com)

    volume 2, issue 4

    No

    MIX

    $7.49

    $12.00

    11.74

    .51

    +60%

    News Corp. bought Intermix for $12/common share on 9.30.05.  Investors received cash for their shares.  If you want to invest in the growth of Myspace, you need to buy NWS.A.  See listing above for more info.

    LifeCell

     

    Vol. 1, iss. 55

     

    Price 12.28.05:

    $19.21

    No

    LIFC

    $10.25

    $22.11

     

    $25.00

    $7.18

     

    +115%

    The FDA issued a warning on “unscreened human tissue” on 10.26.05.    Recall of products, taking a charge of $1.4 million in 3Q to reflect the recall. NY DA investigation of a company supplier of LifeCell (not LifeCell).   LifeCell’s product is in high demand and sales are growing.  However, a hit like this investigation could be devastating. 3Q 2005 earnings were strong, with revenue of $24.5 million compared to $15.6 million for the third quarter of 2004.  Company has been quiet of late, not a great sign when there is this kind of intensity going on.  Analysts are still bullish on LIFC, some with a $25 target price, based on strong continued sales.  $13 million in insider sales by CEO, CFO and controller in last 12 months, most recent sales occurred in Jan. ’06. Fourth quarter and full year 2005 earnings results will be released in early March.

    Sony

    No

    SNE

    $33.85

    $50.30

    51.16

    31.80

    +49%

    Sony’s good news that they would turn a small profit this year, instead of posting a loss, gave investors more hope for a turnaround than is warranted.  We originally bought into the Sony turnaround in Dec. 2003, only to watch the company falter with its PlayStation and handheld music products.  Recent earnings gains, largely on flat screen TVs, are in a very price competitive space.  If you didn’t sell when PSX bit the dust, this is a great chance to get out with some gains on your side.  Sony reported a 17.5 percent gain in quarterly net profit on 1.26.06. 

    Sunoco

     

    Price 12.28.05:

    $79.42

     

    No

    SUN

    $34.50

    $91.45

     

    $91.45

    $32.35

    +165%

     

    Recent court decision assesses after-tax damages of about $40 million through Dec. 31, 2004, which Sunoco will record as a charge in the third quarter.  Shut down its LaPorte and Bayport, TX polypropylene facilities and evacuated all its non-essential personnel in TX on 9.22, due to Hurricane Rita. 4Q net income fell $5.7 million due to unusual events, including the impact of Hurricane Rita and a relocation, the company added. Full Year net income totaled $63.2 million, or $2.40 per unit, compared with $57 million, or $2.27 per unit, in 2004. Revenue totaled $4.5 billion up 30 percent from $3.46 billion.  Annual meeting 5.4.06. "We project U.S. refining margins will remain strong in 2006, albeit down from 2005 highs," wrote Standard & Poor's Equity Research analyst Tina Vital in a research note Wednesday.

    Watch List:
    Advanced Micro Devices, under $20

    Evergreen Solar (ESLR) under $8.00, Energy Conversion Devices (ENER), under $36, Sun Power (SPWR) at $25 are on our watch list.  Great future.  Looking for better prices.  Interest in solar power could drive share price up, but don’t lose site of the challenges of this sector, as outlined very well by Paul Woods in his article, “Solar Energy Heats Up,” in archived NataliePace.com ezine vol. 3, iss. 1. 

    Please note:  NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker.  We are a media and information center.  This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making.  The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations.  ALWAYS do your research and/or consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security. 

    IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:  Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com LLC does not warrant its completeness or accuracy.  Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice.  This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.  Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.


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