TO
ACCESS A PRINTABLE COPY OF THIS NEWSLETTER CLICK HERE.

Vol.3 Issue 11 November 1st, 2006
Send comments and suggestions or get more information
at info@NataliePace.com
Quote of the Month:
Peace Zones,
Not Time Out
"Create a Peace Zone, where children sit and think about how
they can make the world a more peaceful place."
His Holiness, the Dalai Lama,
speaking at the 2006 California Governor and First Lady's Conference
on Women.
© CaliforniaWomen.org.
|
- Wow! Dow! Or NASDAQ Now?
A Contrast in Cash and Debt. By Natalie Pace. Including
a Nasdaq vs. Dow Stock Report Card.
- Fallout Boy, Panic! At the
Disco and Cobra Starship, Manager, Jonathan Daniel on The New Kings of
Media: Apple and MySpace.
- Third Quarter Review & Outlook. By Paul Woods, President & CEO of
Odyssey Advisors, LLC. Is it time to climb out of the
bunker and smell the flowers?
- Top 11 Signs the Company is
Airbrushing Their Earnings.
- Shoe-Gasm to You-Gasm.
From Shopping Addiction to the Path of Enlightened Prosperity.
By Natalie Pace.
- Peace Zones: His Holiness, the Dalai Lama, on the Role of Women
in
the Military, in Business and Raising Peacemakers at
Home.
- Health -- Breast Milk: Your
Investment in Healthier Children.
Pediatrician Doctor Jay Gordon Speaks Candidly About
Breastfeeding, Asthma and Antibiotics.
- Goldman Sachs Executive Retires
to Mommyhood: Colic Hell.
Excerpt from the book, More Than 85 Broads
by Janet Hanson, founder of 85 Broads,
a Global Women's Network.
- The Prosperity Game.
Play the Game of Millionaires to
Become One. An excerpt from the book Ask and
It Is Given: Learning to Manifest Your Desires,
by Jerry and Esther Hicks.
- Call It Your "Buy My Own Island" Plan.
By Natalie Pace. Including 6 Easy Tips for a Fiscally
Fit 401 (k).
- How to Use Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) as a
Strategic Investment Vehicle.
- Is it Too Late to Get in on
Gold? Will Prices Surpass
the Old High of $850? Learn from gold mining expert
Rob McEwen, CEO and Chairman of U.S. Gold.
- Dow 12,000! Do You Sell, Wait
or Buy? By Natalie Pace.
Includes our Hot News on Cool Stocks List.
- NataliePace.com Calendar:
Conferences (featuring
Carly Fiorina), film festivals (honoring Joaquin Phoenix,
Daryl Hannah, Matthew McConaughey) and online chats.
Stay plugged in!
|
|
|
Wow! Dow! Or NASDAQ Now?
by Natalie
Pace.
A
Contrast in Cash and Debt.
Including
a Nasdaq vs. Dow Stock
Report Card.
 |
| Natalie Pace, NataliePace.com CEO and founder |
Microsoft,
a NASDAQ listed company, is also one of the 30 components of the
Dow Jones Industrial Average, but it is very different from many
of the large-cap legacy corporations listed on the DJIA index.
Microsoft has almost double the cash of any other Dow company
-- at $31 billion - along with no debt, and no pension or Other
Post Employment Benefit obligations (OPEBs). Conversely, 21 of
the 30 Dow companies have pension and OPEBs that exceed $1 billion,
and many are carrying notably high long-term debt.
30
Companies of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
11
Highlighted companies have over $5 billion in Pension and OPEBs.
21 have
pension and OPEBs that exceed $1 billion.
|
Company
|
Symbol
|
Pension
and OPEBs
|
Debt/Equity
Ratio*
|
|
3M
Co.
|
3M
|
-$1.990
billion
|
.35
|
|
Alcoa
Inc.
|
AA
|
-$5.495
billion
|
.54
|
|
Altria
Group Inc.
|
MO
|
-$7.113
billion
|
($66
billion)
total
liabilities
|
|
American
Express Co.
|
AXP
|
0
|
4.91
|
|
American
International Group Inc.
|
AIG
|
-$1.469
billion
|
1.36
|
|
AT&T
Inc.
|
T
|
-$21.229
billion
|
.57
|
|
Boeing
Co.
|
BA
|
-$9.674
billion
|
.92
|
|
Caterpillar
Inc.
|
CAT
|
-$6.082
billion
|
3.04
|
|
Citigroup
Inc.
|
C
|
0
|
5.00
|
|
Coca-Cola
Co.
|
KO
|
-$1.172
billion
|
.24
|
|
E.I.
DuPont de Nemours & Co.
|
DD
|
-$7.232
billion
|
($23.7
billion)
total
liabilities
|
|
Exxon
Mobil Corp.
|
XOM
|
-$16.092
billion
|
.07
|
|
General
Electric Co.
|
GE
|
-$4.584
billion
|
3.68
|
|
General
Motors Corp.
|
GM
|
-$50
billion
|
3.85
|
|
Hewlett-Packard
Co.
|
HPQ
|
-$2.005
billion
|
.19
|
|
Home
Depot
|
HD
|
|
.25
|
|
Honeywell
|
HON
|
-$3.833
billion
|
.48
|
|
Intel
|
INTC
|
|
.06
|
|
International
Business Machines
|
IBM
|
-$8.863
billion
|
.64
|
|
Johnson
& Johnson
|
JNJ
|
-$3.746
billion
|
($20.2
billion) total liabilities |
|
JP
Morgan Chase
|
JPM
|
|
3.22
|
|
MacDonalds
|
MCD
|
|
($14.1
billion) total liabilities |
|
Merck
& Co.
|
MRK
|
|
($24.2
billion) total liabilities |
|
Microsoft
|
MSFT
|
|
0
|
|
Pfizer
|
PFE
|
-$5.283
billion
|
($43
billion) total liabilities |
|
Procter
& Gamble
|
PG
|
-$3.433
billion
|
.61
|
|
United
Technologies
|
UTX
|
-$3.827
billion
|
.44
|
|
Verizon
|
VZ
|
-$20.104
billion
|
.95
|
|
Wal-Mart
|
WMT
|
|
.72
|
|
Walt
Disney Co.
|
DIS
|
-$2.453
billion
|
.39
|
(source: Standard
and Poor's)
*Multiply
the debt/equity ratio by the market capitalization to view the
total debt. When the debt nears or exceeds the total market value
of the company, it means the company has been aggressive about
financing and has likely experienced huge losses.
General
Motors owes over $50 billion in pension and OPEBs, and almost
$74 billion in long-term debt. When combined, the debt, pension
and other post employment benefit obligations exceed the market
value of General Motors by six times. In their last earnings report,
GM included employee assets -- Voluntary Employees' Beneficiary
Association (VEBA) trust -- as part of their "$20.4 billion"
in readily available cash. While headlines speak of a turnaround
at General Motors, it is easy to see from the details that this
is a company with serious fiscal issues, and it that will require
diligent, long-term care to bring the corporation back to health.
So if cash-rich
Microsoft is included in both the NASDAQ Composite (which has
3,158 listings) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average indices,
why is the debt-laden DOW setting new highs, while the NASDAQ
is still down over 60% off the high set in March 2000?

Part of the
mystery is explained by Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
(GAAP), which, incidentally, are about to change. Prior to December
15, 2006, companies were not required to list their pension and
OPEBs on earnings reports, so most investors simply aren't aware
of the significant debt owed by some of the Blue Chip corporations
that are listed in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Howard Silverblatt,
the Senior Index Analyst at Standard and Poor's, postulates that
when companies begin including their pension and OPEBs on the
quarterly earnings reports this December, shareholders' equity
could reduce by 8-9%. When pension and OPEBs make
headlines, investors will surely be taken aback,
but there is no guarantee that reporters will read the fine print
of the earnings report to uncover the obligations. The latest
"preliminary" General Motor's earnings report of October
25th was proactive about including the pension and OPEBs in the
expenses line item, but there were no explosive headlines highlighting
the massive debt, and General Motors certainly didn't issue a
press release to draw attention to it.
Experienced
executives are adept at attracting investors (and headlines) through
dividends, corporate buybacks and even increased operating margins,
even while the fiscal fitness of their corporations is in serious
trouble. It is the corporate equivalent to airbrushing 20 years
and 40 pounds off an actor's face and beer belly. It's the same
person/company that once was smoking hot, with all of the warts,
wrinkles and aging touched up.
Prior to its
bankruptcy, U.S. Airways contributed only $47 million to its underfunded
pension and health plan, but spent $1.9 billion buying back stock.
Dupont (DD) has played up their stock buyback, repurchasing $100
million of a $5 billion share buyback program, while their pension
plan and OPEBs remain underfunded by $7 billion and their total
liabilities are $23.7 billion - totaling over half of the $42
billion market value of the company.
In similar
fashion, General Motors is hosting a conference call on November
1, 2006 and December 1, 2006 to discuss "sales." This
call will be hosted by a GM Executive Director, not CEO Rick Wagoner,
which means that the host can slough off serious questions about
the pervasive fiscal problems within the company. Would Wall Street
be so invested in the GM "turnaround," if more
people were aware that a quarter of every dollar General Motors
takes in for selling a car has been promised (but not funded)
to labor and retirees? This "sales call" comes less
than a month after General Motors cut off talks with Renault-Nissan
because Renault-Nissan wanted a "substantial equity stake
in GM at no premium," (source: General Motors press release
of October 6, 2006). This should give you an idea of the worth
of GM in the general marketplace.
Executive
exodus is another red flag of an ailing organization that rarely
makes headlines (until the company implodes). This was seen in
Delta Airlines prior to its bankruptcy, as well as Enron. Jerome
B. York, Kirk Kerkorian's representative, resigned from the GM
Board of Directors on October 6, 2006, two days after the GM/Renault-Nissan
talks were terminated. (Mr. York had been with the board only
eight months.) In August 2006, two of the top guys in GM's corporate
finance suite -- Paul W. Schmidt (controller) and the chief accounting
officer, Peter Bible - also "retired." Executive exodus
in the finance department is an exploding rocket, not merely
a red flag. (Some ailing corporations, like American Airlines,
manage to survive for a long time, despite the challenging environment
and executive exodus, so don't bank on a GM bankruptcy -- yet.)
Another Dow
component with $7 billion owed to retirees relies on dividends
and a pretty name to attract investors. Even though indoor smoking
is being banned in many states, Altria, the owner of Phillip Morris
(Marlboro) and Kraft Foods, smoked up more sales than computers
did last year, making Altria one of the brightest stars on Wall
Street. Both Dell and Microsoft each had roughly the annual sales
of Phillip Morris (traded as "Altria: NYSE: MO"),
ringing up just $57.4 billion and $45.35 billion in sales respectively,
while Altria raked in $100.50 billion in annual sales. Altria
(NYSE: MO) is one of the top holdings in 60% of the top 10 most
popular mutual funds on the Street, including 5 out of 6 American
Funds mutual funds and the Vanguard 500 Index.
Pension plans
and other post retirement benefit obligations are so pervasive
in the Dow because these "defined-benefit" obligations
are concentrated in legacy "Blue Chip" corporations
that were around pre-1980. In the 1980s, 401 (k)s started to become
popular, and the burden for retirement planning began shifting
from the corporation to the individual. In some corporations,
like General Motors, Ford Motor Company and Goodyear Tire, the
corporate obligations to retiree pension and health care EXCEED
the market capitalization (or the market value) of the company.
|
Company
|
$$
underfunded Pensions & OPEB
|
Market
Capitalization
|
|
General
Motors
|
-$50
billion
|
$18.5
billion
|
|
Ford
motor Company
|
-$43.588
billion
|
$15.24
billion
|
|
Goodyear
Tire
|
-$5.640
billion
|
$2.541
billion
|
Source: Standard
and Poor's and GM 3Q earnings report
Companies
that are losing market share, while experiencing a spike in expenses,
like the automakers, telecommunications and airlines industries,
are more vulnerable than companies which are enjoying increased
sales and profit margins, like Exxon Mobil, the largest corporation
in the world. With the spike in commodity prices, the automakers
are paying much more to put the car together, and with escalated
oil prices, they are also being hit with higher delivery costs
as well. Airlines are getting killed with the price of oil these
days. Southwest is one of the few airlines that is flying profitably,
and it is primarily due to oil hedges. Telecommunications is an
old, cumbersome industry with tight margins, cutthroat competition,
rapid innovation and heavy financial burdens that is trying to
win a war with cable (and VOIP) for broadband and long distance
customers.
The NASDAQ
Composite Index, where many listed companies have little or no
pension and OPEBs, is not your Y2K nightmare anymore. There are
real earnings in explosive new businesses on that index. Downloads
destroyed Tower Records and other retail music stores, but launched
a new iPod generation. Apple went from $8.3 billion in revenue
in 2004 to over $19 billion in fiscal year 2006. Google's sales
tripled from 2003 to 2004, going from $1 billion to $3 billion.
The company doubled revenue again in 2005, jumping to $6.1 billion,
and revenue at Google is on track to surpass $10 billion this
year.
"Looking
forward, 2007 is likely to be one of the most exciting new product
years in Apple's history," according to Steve Jobs. We agree,
but first Apple Computer has to file a late third quarter earnings
report, and restate results for prior years because of 15 cases
of backdating stock options. This could be startling for investors,
that is, if the story that gets any ink. The nation's most
reliable news sources have been light on Apple missing its 3rd
Quarter earnings report (which has to be filed before December
29 to avoid NASDAQ delisting), preferring to focus on the sweet
side of Apple -- the Halo effect.
As a result
of the popularity of the iPod, more than half of the computer
purchases at Apple's retail stores this past quarter were made
by consumers buying a Mac for the first time. Apple shipped 1,610,000
Macintosh(R) computers and 8,729,000 iPods during the last quarter,
representing 30 percent growth in Macs and 35 percent growth in
iPods over the year-ago quarter.
Another emerging
NASDAQ Blue Chip is eBay. eBay, with $5.58 billion in sales, comes
nowhere near the juggernaut sales of Wal-Mart ($331.48 billion
in sales), but the eBay growth trend is notable, while Wal-Mart
sales continues to slip. eBay is on track to earn $5.6 billion
in revenue this year, up from $3.2 billion two years ago. Wal-Mart's
fiscal year 2006 was off 11.2%, down to $313 billion, from $353
billion in 2005.
eBay is buying
back shares, a great way to attract and reward investors, but
the company is not doing this buyback in order to mask warts and
wrinkles in other areas. eBay is still young and beautiful. eBay
repurchased approximately 24 million shares of its common stock
at a total cost of $667 million during the third quarter, completing
one-third of its previously announced stock repurchase program.
Meg Whitman,
President and CEO of eBay Inc, has plans to "individually
and collectively deliver greater value to our community of users
and to our shareholders" through the eBay marketplace, Shopping.com,
PayPal and Skype, all companies that are owned by eBay. Skype
had 136 million registered users at the end of the third quarter
2006, up 20% from the 113 million users at the end of previous
quarter, while the total number of registered users on the entire
eBay platform is 212 million. That is a huge customer base, amounting
to more than half of the population of the United States! (Roughly
half of eBay's business comes from the United States. Its international
business grew 38 percent over last year.)
Most Americans
don't realize that Skype is actually growing faster than
MySpace, which has 124 million registered users (as of 10.28.06).
eBay boasts almost twice the number of registered users as MySpace!
Based on MySpace's traffic and popularity, News Corporation (MySpace's
parent company) just struck a deal with Google valued at more
than $900 million. With a customer base that is 212 million strong,
eBay's bright CEO Meg Whitman may yet have a few strategic alliances
of her own up her sleeve. According to CEO Eric Schmidt, ÒWe continue
to forge significant partnerships with companies such as eBay,
Fox Interactive Media, and Intuit that will be of great value
to all involved.Ó In the meantime, there is a new product coming
out in time for the holiday season - the Skype Wi-Fi phone (made
by Belkin and NetGear). Skype net revenues totaled $50 million
in the third quarter of 2006, representing a 13% increase from
the $44 million reported in the second quarter of this year. If
the new Wi-Fi phone is a popular purchase, look for a much higher
total in the 4th quarter.
There is one
drawback to these NASDAQ stars. Unfortunately, Apple Computer,
eBay and Microsoft are not bargains. Their price to earnings ratios,
at 36.20, 44.30 and 22.60 respectively, don't leave a lot of room
for bad news. Value investors won't be attracted to the Apple
and eBay growth story until the P/E becomes attractive. Mutual
fund investors could stick with the Dow components (without knowing
about all of the debt) for months to come.
This report
on the pension and OPEBs may leave you somewhat shocked and perhaps
in disbelief. Any search you might conduct for supporting reports
could turn up relatively lean. (Once this explodes onto the headlines,
however, it'll be too late to make your adjustments.) In December
1999, I was the least popular person at Christmas parties when
I made a similar assessment of the NASDAQ, and warned that the
economy was in for a serious correction. In May of 2005, few people
believed in the Google IPO or, in April of 2005, that MySpace
would be one of the most trafficked websites in the world. It
is common for the NataliePace.com ezine to be the first to sound
the alarms - both for great new companies, as well as for uncovering
serious, under-reported problems.
There is a
shift away from company-managed benefit plans to employee-controlled
retirement and health care. There is a strong trend away from
landlines to Wi-Fi, away from TV versus Internet to TV AND Internet,
away from owning your own CDs and DVDs to accessing unlimited
music and movies anywhere in the world anytime, away from low-cost
long distance to free long distance. As sales drain from the old
businesses into the new, savvy investors and employees will follow
the money (and yes, that could mean a migration of money from
the Dow into the NASDAQ). Don't be seduced by low P/Es, high dividends
and buyback programs by companies that are carrying serious debt
and pension obligations and are touting, "Turnarounds!"
when they are in fact lagging their industry, in a hostile, competitive
business environment, where other companies are reaping the returns
of new technological innovations, better choices and investments.
Don't be stuck investing in the horse and buggy, when everyone
is queuing up to buy an automobile.
We'll keep
reporting on Microsoft, eBay and Apple on the Hot News List, and
will notify our readers of news that might make these companies
more or less attractive to investors.
Socially
Conscious Investing Tips:
If you
want to promote a cure for cancer (instead of cancer), why not
put replace your Altria (NYSE: MO) holdings with Genentech (NYSE:
DNA)? If you support renewable energy instead of a reliance upon
oil, why not buy the Wilderhill Clean Energy Portfolio (AMEX:
PBW: a solar energy ETF) or Toyota (NYSE: TM), instead of General
Motors (NYSE: GM)? (One of the most serious fumbles of GM was
continuing to invest in gas-guzzling SUVs and big trucks, while
Toyota turned Green.)
If you really
want to change the world, put your money where your heart is.
In today's climate, that may also be best for your wallet.
Investing
Education:
How do
you know which companies you are invested in, when you own mutual
funds and/or Exchange Traded Funds in your retirement plan? Find
out what the Top 25 Holdings of your mutual funds and ETFs are.
(It's easy! Directions are listed below.)
The following
Large Cap Companies and funds are Listed on the Hot News List,
and might be a stabilizing presence for your long-term portfolio.
|
Company
|
Symbol
|
Pension
& OPEBs
|
|
Citigroup
Inc.
|
C
|
0
|
|
eBay
|
EBAY
|
0
|
|
EUROX
|
EUROX
|
0
|
|
Genentech
|
DNA
|
0
|
|
Google
|
GOOG
|
0
|
|
Microsoft
|
MSFT
|
0
|
|
News
Corp.
|
NWS
|
0
|
|
Time-Warner
|
TWX
|
0
|
|
TREMX
|
TREMX
|
0
|
|
Walt
Disney Co.
|
DIS
|
-$2.453
billion
|
|
Wilderhill
Clean Energy Portfolio
|
PBW
|
0
|
| WATCH
LIST: |
|
|
|
Apple
Computer
|
AAPL
|
0
|
There are
many Small Cap Companies that are Listed on the Hot News List,
with high growth potential for your trading portfolio. Below are
just a few.
|
Company
|
Symbol
|
Pension
& OPEBs
|
|
NetGear
|
NTGR
|
0
|
|
Sohu
|
SOHU
|
Not
Available (Chinese company)
|
|
Suntech
Power Holdings
|
STP
|
Not
Available (Chinese company)
|
How
to Find Out the Top Holdings of Your Mutual Fund:
- Go to NataliePace.com
- Scroll
down on the home page until you see the Company Research search
box.
- Enter in
the symbol or the name of your mutual fund. (Mutual funds have
5 characters in their symbol.)
- Click Research
Now.
- You will
find yourself on a MoneyCentral.msn.com Stock Quote page.
- Click Top
Holdings (found on the left-hand navigation bar)
How
to Select New Exchange Traded Funds and/or Mutual Funds:
- Go to NataliePace.com
- Scroll
down on the home page until you see the Company Research search
box.
- Enter in
the symbol EUROX or the name or symbol of your mutual fund.
(Mutual funds have 5 characters in their symbol.)
- Click Research
Now.
- You will
find yourself on a MoneyCentral.msn.com Stock Quote page.
- Click on
Top Holdings (found on the left-hand navigation bar)
- The Top
10 Holdings will appear on the Investment Profile Page
- Click on
ETFs (on the top navigation bar) to view other ETFs and their
holdings.
- Click on
Top Performers
- Select
Sectors (or another choice) in the Category Search Box
- Click on
any blue-highlighted Exchange Traded Funds or ETFs
- Click on
Sector/Industry (or another selection of your choice)
- Click on
an interesting ETF
- Once you
get to the quote page, click on Top Holdings (found on the left-hand
navigation bar)
- The Top
10 Holdings will appear on the Investment Profile Page
Other
Articles of Interest
"Faded
Blue Chips."
by Natalie Pace.
eBay's
Skype Outpaces News Corp's MySpace.
Gold
and IT Gold. Exclusive interviews with U.S. Gold's Chairman
and CEO Rob McEwen and NetGear's Chairman and CEO Patrick Lo.
Solar
Powers Whole Foods, But Not the Whole World.
Please
note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We
are a media and information center. This article is intended to
educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors
a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly
traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to
be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and/or
consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before
buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals
and strategies.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
|
 |
Cobra Starship band members: From
Left to Right. Alex Suarez (Bass), Gabe Saporta (Vocals),
Elisa Schwartz (Keytar), Ryland Blackinton (Guitar).
Not Pictured: Nate Novarro (Drums)
Photo Credit: Alan Ferguson |
Fallout Boy, Panic! At the Disco and Cobra Starship
Manager, Jonathan Daniel on The New Kings of Media: Apple and
MySpace
Article
by Jessica Mkitarian. Featuring a Q&A with Jonathan Daniel,
partner, Crush Management, and Natalie Pace, CEO, NataliePace.com
Myspace-Discovered
Singer Cassie is topping the Charts and just signed with NextSelection/Bad
Boy Entertainment, while I've Got 3,000 Songs and Season 1 of
Grey's Anatomy in My Pocket. Apple and MySpace are the
clear leaders in the new Music economy, but how long will they
reign, with Microsoft waiting in the wings? Find out in an exclusive
Q&A with Jonathan Daniel, Crush Management-partner. Crush
manages Fallout
Boy, Panic!
At the Disco and Cobra
Starship.
"I
don't have an iPod. I think a phone is a nice portable device
to have one's music on, and I think some other people may do that
in the future." Bill Gates, speaking to Donny Deutsch
on 5.29.06 on The Big Idea.
Years ago,
a friend of my parents told them songs were going to be on TV,
in the form of "music videos." They scoffed at the idea.
Who would watch music on TV? Apparently every teenager in the
country would. Today music videos are so second nature that MTV
had to create two new channels (MTV2 and MTVU) just to be able
to play music videos and regular shows. But music videos are old
news; now everything is online and in your pocket in the form
of an iPod.
Music is a
staple in every generation, but with the iPod, music has become
uniquely personal. Welcome to the iPod generation. I go to college
in urban Boston and have never walked to class without seeing
at least ten people with those little white iPod headphones in
their ears. Anyone without an iPod is a minority on campus.
The problem
with these magical, incredibly popular devices? Teens admit that
one out of about 200 people are actually paying for their music
downloads. Certainly a large percentage of teens, and probably
even adults, are still getting music for free. What does this
mean for the future of the newly monetized music industry and
Apple in particular? Read the interview with Jonathan Daniel,
Crush Management partner, and get the inside scoop on this constantly
evolving industry. (Crush developed and manages the breakout bands
Fallout Boy, Panic! At the Disco and Cobra Starship.)
Natalie
-- You envisioned the collapse of music retail before Napster
was born. Are you surprised that Apple was the first to monetize
a new model, centered around downloads and worldwide access to
an endless play list on a teeny tiny handheld portable device?
Jonathan --
Not really. Apple has always been the first choice in computers
for musicians so it makes sense that they'd develop a popular
consumer music device as well.
Are there
any other companies that you believe are poised to take market
share from Apple?
 |
Panic!
At the Disco
Ryan Ross, Brendon Urie, Jon Walker, Spencer Smith
Photo: Pamela Littky |
At this point,
no one's even close. That being said, technology changes so fast,
it's hard to predict what'll be next. It wasn't so long ago that
Palm Pilot was THE PDA and the Rio was THE mp3 player.
What about
Bill Gates's bet that music will shift to the phone, and the iPod
will become obsolete?
I'd like a
phone that actually has clear reception more than an all in one
device, but that's just me I guess. It seems possible, particularly
if it's a Blackberry or Sidekick style phone. I don't know if
that'd be any great advancement though. It seems kinda like when
they built the turntables on top of the TV sets in the sixties.
I just
wish the battery charge on my cell phone lasted longer. I don't
think my phone can handle another drain on the battery! What,
if any, services, products and/or distribution do you use from
the former big 5 record companies?
I think it's
the big 4 now after the Sony-BMG merger. We like to partner with
the big record companies once an artist has sold enough records
and created enough momentum that the big label is able to play
to its strengths. For the most part, they are very good at mass
marketing something that has momentum. They have a harder time
starting things from scratch. It's tough for them to go from zero
to 100,000 albums. We've had good experiences going from 250,000
to a million plus with them.
How does
your approach, and your success, redefine the business plan for
music? Who will be the players and nouveau riche of the next great
music generation? Will artists fare better in the current environment
than they have in the past?
It's funny,
our approach is almost so old it's new again. It's basically about
letting artists developÑtouring them, putting out more than one
album, making sure the music is as great as it can be, The only
difference to our strategy and one from fifty years ago is that
we get to use the Internet to market the bands very inexpensively.
I think there
may be more opportunity for a middle class artist community, though
since practically none exists now, that's not too big a stretch.
I think it's an interesting time to make truly original, great
music. The challenge for artists with technology lowering recording
costs and the web lowering marketing costs is that the barrier
to entry becomes extremely low. There are so many more artists
than ever before, that the music business has the potential to
become more of a niche business like books.
Any advice
for investors on the tricky aspects of banking on the music business
plan of Apple, Microsoft, WB Records or any of the other giant
companies?
Proceed with
caution. Music is still a business of "hits". Hit businesses
are sexier but far more risky than other businesses. We've gone
by the philosophy that music is alive and well. While record sales
may be on the decline, music is arguably more popular than ever.
We feel that if we can create popular, successful artists, the
money will come. So far that has worked very well for us. We have
three divisions: artist management, media (which runs bigchampagne.com
and friendsorenemies.com), and fashion (Clandestine Industries).
Each vertical is driven by the success of our artists.
Advise
for young artists seeking to get picked up by the amazing team
at Crush?
Be unique, write great songs, be willing to listen and be a music
lifer. If you agree with all that, get your songs to Pete from
Fall Out Boy and hope he likes them.
The Cross-promotion
between Fallout Boy, Panic! At the Disco and Cobra is unbelievable.
How have you created such a "family" between your bands,
and how does that work toward increased sales? (This community
reminds me of the CBGB days of the 80s -- Talking Heads, Blondie,
B-52s -- or the Woodstock collaborative of the 60sÉ)
Thank you
for noticing! It's something we're personally proud of. It is
very much the Crush family -our bands are so important to us as
people. They're very bright and their opinions are taken very
seriously. We never cross-promote or do a tour package that the
bands don't agree with. I think that's what makes the cross-promotions
work so well.
|
|
Third
Quarter Review & Outlook.
by Paul
Woods, President & CEO of Odyssey Advisors, LLC.
Is
it time to climb out of the bunker and smell the flowers?
 |
| Paul
Woods, President & CEO, Odyssey Advisors LLC. |
In the third
quarter of 2006, the Federal Reserve finally got the message and
one of the longest cycles of interest rate increases came to an
end. Yes, the Fed is still pretending they might raise rates again
if inflation doesn't go away. However, with an election approaching,
inflation behaving, and the housing market slumping, no one believes
them.
Another reason
the next move in interest rates will probably be down is that
oil prices finally dropped. There was an outbreak of sanity in
the Middle East that undoubtedly won't last, but the easing of
tensions helped to calm the oil market. In addition, there was
good news in the Gulf of Mexico. A huge new discovery coupled
with a hurricane season that was a non-event also helped to push
oil prices lower. Finally, people reacted to higher gasoline prices
by driving less. The result was that oil prices approached $60
per barrel at the end of the quarter, which should help take some
pressure off inflation.
In spite of
expectations of a slowdown, economic growth remains stubbornly
strong. The housing market may have cooled, but the Goldilocks
economy keeps chugging along as industrial production and real
GDP growth showed few signs of a slowdown in the third quarter.
Among investors, the betting seems to be that, with oil prices
declining, consumers will have more money to spend on discretionary
items. However, a look at industry and sector performance in the
third quarter shows that investors are also still concerned about
future prospects for the economy.
Real Estate
Investment Trusts (REITs) have had one of the most extraordinary
multi-year runs ever, and that streak continued in the third quarter
as even a slowing housing cycle hasn't had much impact. We've
given up trying to predict when REITs will roll over and are pretty
much watching in amazement at this point. In the quarter, large
companies finally got some attention as investors clearly preferred
big companies over small. Value outperformed growth, and stable
industries and those tied to consumer spending generally did better
than resource companies or anything else tied to the economy.
For reference, here's the equity market segment scorecard for
the second quarter of 2006:
|
|
Symbol
|
6/30/06
|
9/29/06
|
% Change
|
|
REITs
|
VNQ
|
67.92
|
71.89
|
5.85%
|
|
Large
Cap. Value
|
IVE
|
68.85
|
71.81
|
4.30%
|
|
Large
Cap.
|
IVV
|
130.13
|
133.75
|
2.78%
|
|
Large
Cap. Growth
|
IVW
|
61.09
|
61.70
|
1.00%
|
|
MidCap
Value
|
IJJ
|
76.69
|
74.00
|
-3.51%
|
|
Small
Cap. Value
|
IJS
|
72.59
|
69.75
|
-3.91%
|
|
MidCap
|
IJH
|
79.23
|
75.44
|
-4.78%
|
|
Small
Cap.
|
IJR
|
65.00
|
61.29
|
-5.71%
|
|
MidCap
Growth
|
IJK
|
80.49
|
75.39
|
-6.34%
|
|
Small
Cap. Growth
|
IJT
|
128.70
|
119.50
|
-7.15%
|
|
Microcap
|
IWC
|
58.10
|
53.40
|
-8.09%
|
Source: Thomson
One Financial
In addition,
here's the stock market index and industry group scorecard for
the same period:
|
|
Symbol
|
6/30/06
|
9/29/06
|
% Change
|
|
Dow Industrials
|
INDU
|
11,150.22
|
11,679.07
|
4.74%
|
|
Nasdaq Composite
|
COMPQ
|
2,172.09
|
2,258.43
|
3.97%
|
|
S&P 500 Index
|
SPX
|
1,270.20
|
1,335.85
|
5.17%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Health Care
|
HCX
|
350.69
|
384.94
|
9.77%
|
|
Technology
|
SPHTI
|
310.54
|
336.28
|
8.29%
|
|
Financials
|
SPFN
|
434.14
|
465.83
|
7.30%
|
|
Utilities
|
SPUT
|
163.80
|
172.33
|
5.21%
|
|
Consumer Staples
|
SPCNS
|
248.12
|
260.75
|
5.09%
|
|
Consumer Services
|
SPCCS
|
263.42
|
275.86
|
4.72%
|
|
Biotech
|
BTK
|
663.91
|
669.64
|
0.86%
|
|
Services
|
SICSS
|
189.53
|
188.53
|
-0.53%
|
|
Basic Industries
|
SPIN
|
308.10
|
306.29
|
-0.59%
|
|
Capital Goods
|
IXI
|
338.61
|
333.93
|
-1.38%
|
|
Energy
|
SPENS
|
420.35
|
411.38
|
-2.13%
|
|
Transportation
|
TRAN
|
4,928.89
|
4,453.46
|
-9.65%
|
|
Clean Energy
|
ECO
|
201.25
|
176.32
|
-12.39%
|
Source: Thomson
One Financial
In the fixed
income market, yields finally dropped across the board and produced
a rally in bond prices. The inflation rate came down during the
quarter. The Fed finally decided that overshooting the mark on
short-term interest rates by nearly 1% was enough, and bond investors
also appeared to buy into the idea that the economy was likely
to slow. The result was a strong rally on longer maturity bonds
and a more modest rally in shorter bonds.
|
Current
Yield
|
6/30/06
|
9/29/06
|
%
Change
|
|
90
day Treasury Bills
|
5.01%
|
4.89%
|
-2.4%
|
|
5
Year Treasury Bonds
|
5.10%
|
4.59%
|
-10.0%
|
|
10
Year Treasury Bonds
|
5.15%
|
4.64%
|
-9.9%
|
Source: Bloomberg
LP
As you can
see, we currently have a yield curve that's a tribute to bureaucratic
meddling as the short end is clearly out of line with everything
else.

Source: Bloomberg
LP
We expect
the next move in interest rates by the Federal Reserve to be down,
but don't expect that until 2007. In the meantime, concern over
the strength of the economy and better inflation news should create
a favorable environment for bonds. Corporate and Government Agency
bonds remain our sectors of choice at present and we did lengthen
bond maturities during the quarter in anticipation of a Fed pause.
Now that municipal bonds are yielding more that 80% of Treasuries
for shorter maturities, they are also becoming more attractive.
As you know,
we've been cautious on the outlook for stocks for the last two
years. However, we now feel it's time to climb out of the bunker
and smell the flowers. At present, stocks are significantly undervalued
relative to current interest rates, earnings growth is likely
to continue, and lower bond yields should lead to higher equity
market valuations. The combination of rising earnings and rising
valuations should make investing in the equity market a more rewarding
experience in the next two years.
For investors,
seasonal and cyclical factors are also lining up. We're approaching
a seasonal period (November-January) that typically produces about
half the return in stocks over time. In addition, next year will
be the year before a Presidential election when double-digit returns
in stocks are the norm. By overshooting the mark on short-term
interest rates, the Federal Reserve has left itself plenty of
room to cut them. As it typically takes about a year for a drop
in interest rates to stimulate the economy, we expect the Federal
Reserve to find an excuse to begin cutting interest rates in the
first half of 2007 to produce the usual improving economy and
higher stock prices that are typical of election years.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however
Odyssey Advisors LLC does not warrant its completeness or accuracy.
Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this material
and are subject to change without notice. This material is not
intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale
of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
Paul Woods
is President and CEO of Odyssey Advisors LLC, an independent investment
advisory firm specializing in equity and fixed income management
for individuals, entrepreneurs, families, endowments, and non-profit
institutions. He can be contacted at pwoods@odysseyadvisors.com
Copyright
© 2006 by Odyssey Advisors LLC
|
|
Top
11 Signs the Company is Airbrushing Their Earnings.
by
Natalie Pace, CEO & Founder, NataliePace.com.
Experienced
executives are adept at attracting investors (and headlines)
through dividends, corporate buybacks and even increased operating
margins, even while the fiscal fitness of their corporations
is in serious trouble. It is the corporate equivalent to airbrushing
20 years and 40 pounds off an actor's face and beer belly. It's
the same person/company that once was smoking hot, with all
of the warts, wrinkles and aging touched up. Below are the Top
11 Signs the Company is Airbrushing Their Picture of Health.
1.
Offshore corporate headquarters. Company has operations
in the US, but holds one shareholder meeting per year in Bermuda
and claims the island as the basis of operations. Not only does
the IRS consider this aggressive accounting, it is intentionally
designed to be very unfriendly to shareholders wanting to go
to the annual meeting and hear about the company firsthand!
2. Rock
Star CEO: Bald CEO acts like a rock star with entourage,
body guards, arm candy, standing suites at the Four Seasons,
box seats, penthouse Manhattan digs and designer Feng Shui furnishings,
down to the $2,000 trash can. The survival of the rich, famous
and beautiful code spins on one important fact. If you're rich,
then you are picking up the tab for the famous or beautiful.
(In other the words, Sam Waksal was buying Mick Jaggar's dinner,
not vice versa.) While having celebrity spokespersons is an
advertising line item expense, when the CEO shows up more often
in the society pages than in the executive suite, the company's
bottom line is taking a mud bath on your dime. Rock star behavior
might be okay when you're writing songs and entertaining, but
it's never a good idea to get too loose with earnings.
3. Controller
vacations in the Hamptons with CEO more than Chairman
or Board Directors do.
4. SEC
investigations. Company is one of the 350+ companies
that had to restate earnings in 2003. This group makes up less
than 5% of the publicly traded companies. Avoid them, or at
minimum know and monitor them. Google it. With the right key
words, you should be able to turn up any skeletons.
5. Confusing,
complicated earnings reports. A dozen spin-off corporations
with names you've never heard of are operating complicated schemes
that you don't understand. (Enron was notorious for this.)
6. Executive
meeting in Sardinia coincides with CEO's wife's 40th
birthday party (and company gets to pick up most of the tab!).
7. Press
releases tout "increasing earnings," while revenue growth
is barely measurable and debt burdens are so crushing that creditors
are threatening to force the company into involuntary insolvency.
Always check the debt-to-equity ratio of the corporation. It
is an easy click on most "financials" section of stock
pages. Also check the pension and OPEB obligations which will
be listed on earnings reports, beginning on December 15, 2006.
8. Corporate
buybacks and increased dividends are trumpeted, while
debt and liabilities are swept under the carpet. If you see
multiple analyst calls hosted by division heads (particularly
sales) rather than the CEO and CFO, start sniffing around for
what the company is NOT telling you.
9. Consensus
insider selling. This is especially true in young, smaller
cap corporations, as happened with Intermix (then the parent
company of MySpace) in 2005. Oftentimes, when the insiders dump
their shares en masse, bad news is breathing down their neck.
(It is against the law to trade on information that hasn't been
made available to the general public, but tempting nonetheless.)
In the case of Intermix, insiders were unloading millions at
the time the company announced an investigation by Eliot Spitzer
into the company's use of Spyware and Adware.
10. Executive
Exodus. At Enron, the executive exodus began in 2000,
and by the time Jeffrey Skilling resigned in August of 2001,
almost all of his key team had taken the money and run. Kenneth
Rice, chairman of Enron Broadband, resigned in August 2001.
Lou Pai, chairman of Enron Energy Services, cashed out $270
million and left in 2000. Joe Sutton cashed out $42 million
and left in November of 2000. Clifford Baxter, Vice Chairman,
resigned in May 2001, three months before Jeffrey Skilling.
According to Skilling, Mr. Baxter was resigning to "spend
more time with his family," however, Sherron Watkins wrote,
in her August 2001 letter to Kenneth Lay, that Mr. Baxter complained
"mightily" to Skilling and "all who would listen" about the
shady accounting tactics that the company was using to hide
debt and inflate earnings. Additionally, Jeffrey Skilling had
been grooming himself for the CEO position at Enron for years,
but after just six months of his dream come true job, he announced
that he was throwing in the towel for "personal reasons." "Personal
reasons" and "to spend more time with family" are the executives'
equivalent of "irreconcilable differences." Most of the time,
there is a lot more scandal hiding behind those milk-toast mantras.
11. Muzak
plays in the corporate elevators, in stores and on hold. (Muzak
is a sign of corporate malaise, bad taste and may be, in fact,
killing employee brain cells.)
|
|
Shoe-Gasm to You-Gasm.
by Natalie
Pace
From
Shopping Addiction to the Path of Enlightened Prosperity.
Quotes,
exercises and information designed to help you breathe a new you
into existence, by incorporating the success secrets of those
women who are living the rich life, in the most enlightened sense
of the term.
Every profession
has its secrets, and any veteran who makes it into the elite ranks
has those secrets imbedded into her bag of tricks by the time
her peers acknowledge her. The world-boxing champion may naturally
have a mean jab, but along the way, he learned how to dance, how
to survive ten rounds of pummeling, and to protect his face and
body from deadly punches. The concert pianist may have skill and
technique, but before she can fill the Hollywood Bowl, she must
infuse soul into the notes and play off of and with the musicians
in the orchestra.
Business is
no different. There are tried and true secrets that you can learn
by trial and error, or you can learn from rising through the ranks,
or you can post on your bedroom mirror as the Bible of Business
and incorporate/implant into your brain day and night. Either
way, it is unlikely that you will be successful until you have
mastered the following success secrets of CEOs (Chief Everything
Officers).
What is just
as valuable, however, are the life enhancing/beauty tips - as
in a soul shining beauty - that these women embody. Be prepared
to be surprised with their candor. Be challenged. Becoming the
most beautiful You imaginable is not really more difficult than
the life you currently lead. (As a modern woman, whether you are
a stay-at home mom with a thousand different titles or a chief
executive officer with a thousand different responsibilities,
life is full, rich and challenging!) It is simply different. It
is, as Gandhi says, merely becoming "the change you wish
to see."
"A "wish"
is desire without energy. After a wish may come "intention"
- the plan to do a thing, to fulfill a wish or desire. But "will"
means: "I act until I get my wish." Paramahansa Yogananda,
from The
Law of Success
Shine!
Click
here to start slideshow.
Websites
and Articles of Interest:
Maria
Shriver
Throws a Great Party for over 11,000 Girl Friends (and one Supreme
Court Justice).
By Natalie Pace, founder and CEO, NataliePace.com.
Debbie
"the Liar" Allen
Explains the Ant Dance
Peace
on Earth:
Weaving a Tapestry of Understanding.
By Her Majesty Queen
Noor, of Jordan.
DreamWorks
Animation
Rewrites the Fairy Tale, Putting Three Women In Charge.
Q&A with Kris
Leslie, DreamWorks Animation CFO. By Natalie Pace.
Let
Your Life Speak. by Marilyn
Tam, Author of How to Use What You've Got to Get
What You Want.
Water:
the film. There Are 33 Million Untouchables
Living in India Today. One Noble Man Dared to Touch One. One Brave
Woman Tells the Story. By Maya Patel. Don't miss one of the best
movies of the year!
Inspiring
Quotes from 10 Powerful Leaders.
Oprah,
First Lady Maria Shriver and Queen Noor.
The Enlightened Road to Royalty. By Natalie Pace, CEO, NataliePace.com.
The
Million-Dollar Smile and 11 Other Qualities of the
Rich and Successful. by Natalie Pace, CEO and founder, NataliePace.com
& trade;
Websites:
Anne
Sweeney.
California First Lady Maria
Shriver.
Ann Fudge.
Debbie
Allen.
Her Majesty Queen
Noor of Jordan.
Kris
Leslie.
Barbara
Walters.
Carleton
S. Fiorina.
Marilyn
Tam.
Isabel
Allende.
Deepa
Mehta.
Natalie
Pace.
Jane
Fonda.
Sandra
Day O'Connor.
Mahatma
Gandhi.
Oprah.
|
|
Peace
Zones: His Holiness, the Dalai Lama, on the Role of Women
...in
the Military, in Business and Raising Peacemakers at Home.
 |
His
Holiness, the Dalai Lama, with California First Lady Maria
Shriver
At the 2006 California Governor and First Lady's Conference
On Women
© CaliforniaWomen.org
|
In her third
conference as First Lady of California, Maria Shriver outdid herself.
She again attracted royalty (this time, The Duchess of York, Sarah
Ferguson). She honored some of the most inspiring and successful
women in California with Minerva Awards for their roles as "architects
for change." Over 13,000 women attended keynotes and breakout
sessions on money, career and work/family balance, lead by over
60 inspiring women (and a few brave men), including His Holiness
the Dalai Lama, Martha Stewart, the Duchess of York Sarah Ferguson,
Tyra Banks, Tim Russert, Governor Schwarzenegger, Maureen Dowd,
Anna Quindlen, Suze Orman and Elle Macpherson. The only thing
missing was Kleenex during the award ceremony, when the Minerva
honorees shared their stories of triumph over adversity - three
women who provide shelter for abused women, one woman who invents
speedy wheelchairs for the active, vibrant disabled, the first
American woman in space - Sally Ride and a relentless warrior
for justice, Jane Alexander.
Ed's Note:
The Minerva Award honorees are listed by name below.
"All Minerva
Award recipients stand as towering examples of determination,
true leadership and selfless service," said Maria Shriver. "When
these women faced profound obstacles or personal crises in their
lives, they dared to envision a better world. By striving to make
a difference, these bold architects of change have given us all
a stronger, more hopeful California."
Usually, after
a day of intense education, Maria proves she is a true Kennedy;
she turns the convention center into a party! In 2004, Sheryl
Crow rocked the house, singing over an hour of hit songs. In 2005,
Mary J. Blige put the groove on. Who could possibly follow an
interview with His Holiness the Dali Lama? It was a mystery, and
no one, not even my friends who were planning the event, were
talking.
It turns out
that the only thing that can truly follow a spiritual leader as
engaging and delightful as His Holiness is -- silence. During
an hour interview between Maria and His Holiness, His Holiness,
the Dalai Lama proposed fresh, insightful and unique NEW pathways
for peace, alongside giggles and jokes. Then he asked the room
of over 16,000 attendees to become silent for three solid minutes
of inward reflection.
Would three
minutes of silence have the same pizzazz as a rock concert? In
fact, it elicited the same giddy, orgasmic smiles from the women
exiting the building, as dancing had the two years prior. His
Holiness is a rock star, stirring songs of the soul. And many
of the lucky women in attendance were still humming his tune over
the water cooler the next morning.
To hear His
Holiness for yourself, you can simply go to the Conference website.
Free downloadable pod casts are available at www.
CaliforniaWomen.org.
"I was
particularly moved by his belief that women are the caretakers
and educators of our future citizens and society," Maria
said about her first meeting with His Holiness, when she went
to Dharamsala, India to convince him to speak at her conference.
Socially
Conscious and Green Conference
This
conference is one of those events where everywhere you turn, everything
you desire has been handled, and done well. There was a Volunteer
Village with over 100 nonprofit organizations represented there.
Conference organizers even went to great lengths to limit the
conference's environmental impact and promote environmental responsibility.
In partnership with the California Integrated Waste Management
Board and Greenhome.com, the lunch served to the 11,000 general
attendees produced "zero waste," meaning that approximately
10 tons of solid waste from the event will be recycled and reused,
rather than being dumped in California's landfills.
More than
once during this day of networking and inspiration I overhead,
"I wish she were running for office!" So, Maria,
if you haven't heard it before, we want Mrs. Schwarzenegger for
President! At minimum, we hope you remain the California First
Lady next year, if only because you know how to throw one great
party for girlfriends!
 |
His
Holiness, the Dalai Lama, with Elle Macpherson and the Duchess
of York Sarah Ferguson
At the 2006 California Governor and First Lady's Conference
On Women
© CaliforniaWomen.org
|
His
Holiness, the Dalai Lama onÉ
Peace Zones,
Not Time Out
"Create
a Peace Zone, where children sit and think about how they can
make the world a more peaceful place."
Forgiveness:
"Create
a distinction between the action and the person. Don't accept
the action. Have respect and compassion for the person. That creates
the possibility for friendship in the future. If circumstances
change, then that person can be a good friend."
On Women
in the Military:
"In
society, women are by nature more compassionate, more sensitive
and should be more successful, in politics, in business and in
the military. I feel if women, [who are] by nature more compassionate,
more sensitive, take responsibility in the military, obviously,
there [will be] more peace."
The
2006 Minerva Awards were presented to:
- Jane Alexander,
Co-founder of Citizens Against Homicide
- Sandra
Orozco Stapleton, Ramona Delgado and Jennie Hernandez Gin, who
founded Women Escaping A Violent Environment (WEAVE)
- Marilyn
Hamilton, Designer of the "Quickie" wheelchair and founder of
"Winners on Wheels" youth program
The
2006 Lifetime Achievement Minerva was given to:
- Dr. Sally
Ride, Astronaut, Scientist and Writer
The Minerva
Awards are sponsored by Target. In addition to sponsoring the
awards for the third year, Target is also the sponsor of the Minervas
of Tomorrow, a group of 500 young women, currently attending high
school, college or a university in Southern California, who have
been invited to attend the conference by area non-profit organizations.
|
|
Health -- Breast Milk:
Your Investment in Healthier Children.
Pediatrician
Doctor Jay Gordon Speaks Candidly About Breastfeeding, Asthma
and Antibiotics.
Dr. Gordon
saved my son's ears. When other pediatricians were on a collision
course toward ear surgery, and subjecting my four-year-old son
to multiple rounds of antibiotics, Dr. Gordon gave me three nutritional
tips that laid the groundwork for my son having the strongest
immune system of ALL of his friends. The ear infections disappeared,
and since then, over the past decade, Davis has only been to see
Dr. Gordon for routine check-ups, bumps and bruises and chicken
pox! Dr. Gordon always jokes that he does his job too well! Imagine
how you will enjoy and invest all of the money you save by having
a healthy (and happy) child!
-Natalie
Pace
Dr.
Jay Gordon is one of the most respected pediatricians
in the U.S. Dr. Gordon has long been a proponent of breastfeeding
and treatments that promote strong immune systems in your baby
and child, so that their doctor visits can be well child checkups,
instead of worrisome illnesses. The immune-building techniques
of Dr. Jay have saved the ears of children prone to chronic ear
infections, saved the lungs of children prone to asthma and saved
the smiles of two generations of happier children! (Dr. Gordon
was one of the first doctors to give out toys instead of candy
to his young patients!)
In July, NataliePace.com
subscribers were invited into the chat room for an exclusive chat
one on one with the Doc!
Question
- Dr. Gordon, what is the single most important thing every parent
should know when they leave the delivery room?
Dr. Gordon
-- Parents should know that they can leave directly from the delivery
room and don't have to submit to hospital routines and long stays.
Healthy babies don't need to be "stabilized" or bathed
right away. They don't need eye drops routinely. Even when there
are no problems, they are mandating the tests for blood sugar,
ignoring the fact that breastfeeding-babies utilize mom's milk
as a very different kind of fuel. We still use the lab values
for formula-fed babies as the standard. This leads to unnecessary
intervention. The blood sugar level for a breastfeeding baby can
be much lower than that expected for a formula feeding baby and
be quite safe and normal. No sugar water, formula or IVs are needed
for most of the babies who get these potentially harmful fluids.
Isn't formula
an important option for working mothers?
Flex schedules
and respect for mothers in the work force is a far more important
"option." Formula is not good for babies and creates
increased illnesses and hospitalizations.
What's
optimal for a career woman trying to balance the benefits of breast
milk to her baby? One year of breastfeeding? A few months? Let's
say I have a job where I must get back to work within 6 weeksÉ
A year of
breastfeeding prevents ear infections, pneumonia, decreases the
chance of maternal breast cancer and thyroid cancer, leads to
fewer missed work days, and increases job enjoyment, when the
breastfeeding is accommodated by the employer or the CEO's mindset.
Mothers who breastfeed for a shorter period of time (or not at
all) have sicker babies and less satisfying experiences. In spite
of the specious reasoning that this is a feminist issue, there
is no cause more important to people who support women's equality
than promoting and protecting the right to be a mother to the
fullest and healthiest extent.
I've heard
that a recent study indicates that the bonding, which accompanies
breastfeeding helps psychologically.
Yes, a stronger
bond can be formed because of breastfeeding -- a hormonal and
psychological bond. Certainly mothers who artificially feed can
be wonderful mothers. But there should be business and government
protection for moms who choose to nurse. We are the ONLY civilized
nation without this protection. Financial support for
fulltime mothering
exists in every other country. Western Europe has paid maternity
leave for all mothers, full pay in almost every single country
for 6-12 months.
I received
formula samples, but I was really clueless on how to begin breastfeeding.
I didn't really even know if it was working the first time I nursedÉ
Yes, it's
very easy to get formula samples and information, and nowhere
near as easy to facilitate breastfeeding information and assistance.
Can we
do something to get this important information out to new moms
in the hospital?
The AAP is
pretty reticent about emphasizing this because they are quite
dependent on money from the formula and pharmaceutical industry.
They fund our conferences.
What about
circumcision? I've heard of more and more people opting not to
circumcise these days, and I'm really not sure which way I'll
go when the time comes to make the decision.
Circumcision
can be an easy choice for most parents because the medical benefits
really don't make much sense. The latest report from Africa claiming
that circumcision will decrease the transmission of AIDS is not
very logical. The downside to the surgery in the Third World could
be huge. Condom use and education will prevent AIDS.
There's
not really a downside to the surgery here in North America, is
there?
In America
and most other countries, the surgery is painful and of no benefit
to the boy. The AA of Pediatrics has recommended against routine
circumcision.
You're
kidding! Things have changed since I gave birth to my son!
Can you talk about problems like ear infections and doctor-prescribed
year-round antibiotics?!
A poorly informed
doctor! Antibiotics lead to tubes and surgery! That's actually
fairly simple reading and knowledge for a doctor and should be
the same for a parent. It's not though.
Antibiotics
are not the best option for most sick kids. Formula-feeding dramatically
increases the chance of ear infections and all other infectious
illness in infancy and in toddlers too. The nutritional paradigm
of placing cow's milk formula and then whole cow's milk
at the top of a child's diet creates illness. We have known this
for years, but the economic issue and nutritional ignorance dominate
the discussion and practice.
Calcium requirements
have been grossly over-estimated for decades and decades to promote
the food industry's agenda. Think about it: We have virtually
ZERO calcium shortage in American's diets and yet we have a very
high rate of osteoporosis. And this relationship between high-dairy
diets and osteoporosis persists in the study of most countries'
diets. Salt in the diet leads to calcium excretion in great amounts.
NaCl in, CaCl out. A high protein diet also increases calcium
excretion as the body has to deal with the phosphate and sulfate
ions from protein. The truth does not get trumpeted well because
media is dependent on ad dollars from the food industry. Doctors
get bought off so cheaply it's almost unbelievable; pens, doughnuts,
notepads. Used to be airline tickets and cashÉ Damn!
Actually,
I could still fly to a conference anywhere if I asked a pharmaceutical
representative for an honorarium. I have personal knowledge of
this. Doctors are often smart and helpful and yes, we are also
"on the take."
What about
asthma?
Asthma is
increasing because we have bad air and a lot of toxins in everything
from our mattresses and pillow to our food. Anti-allergy measures
will mitigate the impact of this airway disease. But sometimes
medicine is needed to get through the worst days, months or years.
Most kids outgrow asthma.
What do
you recommend to parents who have children with asthma?
I use diet
and natural remedies whenever I can but I also rely on allergists
and medication to bail me out with tougher kids. The first things
to do are to minimize food allergens like dairy, eggs, peanuts,
wheat, and to control dust, to filter air and to move stuffed
toys out of the bedroom. Herbal remedies work, just not every
time. I've seen kids who seemed to get better almost overnight
when parents took the relatively simple steps above.
How do
you suggest treating MRSA?
MRSA [methicillin
resistant Staphylococcus aureus ] still responds to a couple
of antibiotics even though it keeps getting harder to treat. A
doctor needs to send her patient to an infectious diseases expert
right away if she is puzzled by this illness. For MRSA, I will
go right to the drugs! Nasal sprays and washes will prevent colonization
and infection. Topical fresh aloe vera treats infections too.
But MRSA is an urgent situation.
Any last
words for our readers?
Nobody will
ever know your child was well as you do. Don't accept treatment
without questions. And don't be dissuaded from getting treatment
when you think your child needs it.
Jay Gordon,
MD, FAAP, IBCLC - In the middle of his residency training, pediatrician
Jay Gordon took an unusual step. Deciding that he needed greater
knowledge about nutrition, vitamins, and alternative medicine
in order to practice medicine the way he wanted to, Dr. Gordon
took a Senior Fellowship in Pediatric Nutrition at Sloan-Kettering
Institute in New York City. After his residency at Children's
Hospital of Los Angeles, Dr. Gordon joined the teaching-attending
faculty at UCLA Medical Center and Cedars-Sinai Medical Center.
Intensely
interested in infant nutrition and breastfeeding, Dr. Gordon is
the first male physician to sit for and pass the International
Board of Lactation Certification Exam. He has served on the Professional
Advisory Board of La Leche League for twenty years. Dr. Gordon
treats patients at Santa Monica, California. In addition, he finds
time to participate in the training of medical students and residents,
lecture all over the world, write books, and contribute to AOL
with the Ask The Pediatrician weekly chat. He writes a monthly
column for "Fit Pregnancy" magazine and has recently contributed
to "New York Parent," "Parenting" magazine and has been quoted
in the L.A. Times, New York Times, London Times . . . and many
other times.
Busy as
he is, Dr. Gordon finds that his most challenging job is "being
a good husband and the best possible parent to my 16-year-old
daughter.
Books:
Good
Night! The Parents' Guide to the Family Bed
Listening
To Your Baby: A New Approach to Parenting Your Newborn.
Good
Food Today, Great Kids Tomorrow
Other
Articles of Interest:
"Mother's
Milk:
It Does a Baby Good." By Doctor Jay Gordon.
|
|
Goldman Sachs' Executive Retires to Mommyhood:
Colic Hell.
Excerpt
from the book, More
Than 85 Broads.
by
Janet Hanson, founder of 85
Broads, a Global Women's Network.
Continued
from last Volume 3, issue 11, from the chapter ÒA View From a
Broad.Ó
February
19, 1991
Dear
Diary,
It's
been raining for a few daysÑit is so gray and disgusting outside.
I am so bored. Jeff's job is going nowhere and Meredith is
bored with being inside. I wake up feeling tired and depressed.
Christopher has colic or something worse. He cries every night
for about three hours. Mer tries very hard to be goodÑmost
of the time she is an angel.
I
spend all my time thinking about Goldman Sachs and the fact
that I have no future there. I wrote to Bob Rubin but he never
wrote back.
April
20, 1991
Dear
Diary,
Christopher
is getting really cute but he cries a lot and has taken to
waking up at 4 a.m. Last night I thought I was going to go
crazy. He is so much more fussy than MeredithÑmaybe Mer was
fussy too but she slept for 8-11 hours a night. Just what
I needÑf'ing sleep deprivation. Jeff and I have had four days
of all out war. He isn't working with Peter any more, which
leaves us with zero income. He hasn't been paid since last
December so we've already had five months of paying bills
from our savings. We've notified the real estate company that
we have to move by September 1. I don't know whether they'll
give us back our security deposit or not.
I
tried vainly to get a part-time job at Goldman. I feel so
depressed. Things have been so utterly shitty for so long
I can't imagine things getting any better. I can't believe
how depressed I am.
July
9, 1991
Dear
Diary,
Meredith
and Christopher both have a stomach virus. Mer ran a temperature
of 102 degrees on Sunday. Then yesterday she seemed better
but then today after her nap she was lying on her changing
table complaining that her stomach hurt and her head hurt.
I took her into the living room to call the doctor and before
I knew it she had thrown up all over me. She seemed to feel
almost immediately better, but it suddenly occurred to me
that that might be why Christopher had been throwing up all
day. After he took his nap I took his temperature, which was
101 degrees so I gave him some Tylenol, which he proceeded
to throw up. Meanwhile, Jeff is in Boston for two days doing
some work for Fidelity.
I'm
having lunch tomorrow with a guy I used to cover at Paine
Webber who is now at Goldman Sachs. He's in the Asset Management
Group and wants to talk to me about a job. After Christopher
spent the morning crying and throwing up on me and Meredith
was pulling leaves off the plants and jumping on the couch,
I may seriously think about it.
July
18, 1991
Dear
Diary,
I
was interviewingÑsort ofÑfor a job in the GS Asset Mgmt. GroupÑ5
days a week and traveling 1-2 days a week. Forget it. I would
rather have no money. Jeff is talking to people about consulting
jobs; maybe something will come through.
We're
taking C. to the doctor to see if he still has an ear infection.
He is the unhappiest child I have ever seen. Meredith has
become very difficult. She is constantly testing, which is
so hard. Sometimes I just want to give up.
August
18, 1991
Dear
Diary,
I'm
sick of being depressed about everythingÑmy weight, my lifeÑ
maybe I need antidepressants.
I
had two interviews on Friday. They both went pretty well although
I guess there is some question about what I would actually
be doing. I've got a few questions myselfÑsuch as how much
I'm going to be paid, how much vacation I would get and other
small details. Corzine was thrilled to hear that I might be
coming back to GS. This whole adjustment is going to be brutal.
I know in my heart that I have no interest in working full-time.
I just hope it's worth going back.
Mer
saved Christopher. He was crawling up the basement steps and
M. called upstairs to let us know. We got to him about a second
and a half before he fell back down the stairs. Mer is starting
to have some fears. She is afraid of the stereo speakers and
thinks they're people. Christopher is back on Tylenol with
codeine for his teeth. His record is about an hour without
going nuts.
October
16. 1991
Dear
Diary,
So
far I've been back at GS for two days. It wasn't terrible
but it wasn't great either. I had today off. I think it will
work out as long as I never have to be there more than two
days in a row. Christopher is having ear surgery on Halloween.
Bob Rubin wrote me a nice note saying he was glad that I was
back. Meredith has been really tough. She is like TarzanÑ
swinging from couch to chair, running and leaping and yelling
and is generally wired. I am trying very hard not to be bummed
out.
October 3, 1992
Dear
Diary,
My
job is so frustrating. I just wish I had a million bucks in
the bank!
Then
we could find a nice big house and the kids could have acres
instead of a few feet to play on. Wouldn't that be great?
I want to have horses and a huge farm. I also wish my job
was a career and not a nightmare.
July
29, 1993
Dear
Diary,
I've
been on vacation all week although it sure hasn't felt like
one. I've been obsessing about my job, which I hate. I just
don't want to work there anymore, and I'm furious that we
are in such a huge financial bind that I have to. We're putting
the house on the market in a few weeks. Jeff had an article
published this month in the Harvard Business Review and has
gotten a request for a book outline from Oxford University
Press. All of these things are nice, but they don't pay the
bills this month or next month. What a dumb, stupid situation
to be in.
September
13, 1993
Dear
Diary,
Mer
got stung by a bee at the park today. She was extremely brave.
While she was trying to tell me what happened through her
little gasps and sobs she said "Mom, I want it to be
winter so it will snow on the bees and they will be covered
up." Later she said, "We need to put a hat and some
Ôglubs' on so the bees won't get us."
Mer
wanted to know what happened to the bee after it stung her.
I told her the bee went to "bee heaven." She wanted
to know if the bee was going to go up and sit on a cloud with
Jesus. Christopher did his best to make her feel better. He
wanted to fight the bee with his imaginary sword.
Not
long after, I left Goldman Sachs for the last time. I had "outgrown"
the firm and had never been able to resurrect my career. I had
many wonderful friends there but I just couldn't make a go of
it. Jeff and I decided we'd try our hand at consulting so we formed
Hanson Consulting Group. Jeff did consulting work for Lehman Brothers
and I worked for Citibank on a project in their Fixed Income Division.
One day, I got a call from our accountant, Phil Strassler, who
thought I should meet one of his clients in Greenwich, an interesting
guy by the name of Dort Cameron. Jeff and I had been thinking
about launching an asset management company called Learning Assets.
Our plan was to launch a money market mutual fund and give part
of the fees to educational causes. Dort liked the idea and being
one of the legendary "deal guys," he agreed to help
us get our fund off the ground.
It
turned out that linking fees to charity wasn't going to fly so
instead we named our new firm Milestone Capital Management. One
of the dictionary definitions for milestone is "turning point."
After six very tough years, it certainly was exactly that. As
a business partner, Dort was tough, brilliant, and one of the
most decent, generous, and honest people I'd ever met in all my
years in the business.
Milestone
grew steadily thanks to a strategic partnership we formed with
Bear Stearns to market our fund. They were great partners and
once again, it was thanks to a friend that we were lucky enough
to forge that relationship. Phylis Esposito had left Goldman and
ended up at Bear as a senior managing director. It was at her
request that we come in to see the management team at Bear Stearns.
Jeff and I gave a one-hour presentation and the strategic partnership
was essentially forged by the end of the meeting. For the next
few years, we had an amazing relationship with the folks at BearÑ
primarily through Mike Minikes, the firm's treasurer, who was
just as tough, as brilliant, and as fair as Dort had been.
On
November 17, 1997, I sent an invitation out to 30 of my closest
former female Goldman colleagues to join me for dinner at the
Water Club in New York City for the "first GS women's reunion."
None of the invited women knew that 85 Broads was about to be
unveiled. My sister, Mary, had designed the T-shirt, which showed
a woman standing on a ladder, nailing up an "s" on a
signpost that read "85 Broad." I had come up with the
name for the network one afternoon when I was out walking our
dogs. 85 Broads was now a reality, and Goldman's headquarter address,
85 Broad Street, would never again be thought of in quite the
same way.
Thirty
women came to the dinner, many of who tell their unique stories
in this book. A few weeks after we held our mini-reunion, I sent
a thank-you note to all the attendees. I included an article written
by Darla Moore, president of Rainwater Inc., which had just appeared
in the December issue of Worth magazine. She was responding
to criticism from women after being referred to as a "babe"
in an article in Fortune magazine titled "The Toughest
Babe in Business." In the Worth article she stated:
You
know what I think is one of the world's biggest wastes of
time for a woman? Networking with other females. Where is
that going to get you if men are the ones with all the power?
Every single one of my mentors has been male. At no time have
I ever encountered a woman who would have been a smart choice
to help pull me up the ladder, to give me the tools and the
power needed to make a difference.
I
laughingly suggested to the new members of 85 Broads that we send
a one-liner to Darla that said:
HEY
BABE! GOOD LUCK FINDING ANOTHER BABE TO HAVE LUNCH WITH!
To
be continued next monthÉ
In
her new book, More
than 85 Broads, trailblazing superstar Janet Hanson
introduces us to some of the most remarkable, courageous, and
successful members of 85
Broads, a global women's network she founded in 1999. Women--and
men--will want to discover "the power of the network" at every
stage of their careers and lives.
|
|
The Prosperity Game.
An excerpt
from the book Ask
and It Is Given:
Learning to Manifest Your Desires, by Jerry
and Esther Hicks.
Play
the Game of Millionaires to Become One.
In this process,
you will begin by establishing an imaginary checking account.
In other words, there will be no actual bank involved, but you
will make deposit entries and check withdrawals just as if it
were an actual account. You could use an old checkbook system
that is no longer in use, an accounting program in your computer,
or you could even manufacture a complete system by using a notebook
as your checkbook register and blank pieces of papers for your
deposit slips and checks. It is of value to make this process
feel as real to you as possible.
On the first
day, deposit $1,000. And spend it. In other words, make a $1,000
deposit entry into your checkbook register, then write out checks
to spend those dollars. You could spend your money all in one
place, using one check, or you could spend it for several different
things, using several different checks. The point of the game
is to have fun thinking about what you would like to purchase,
and to enjoy the process of actually writing out the checks.
Be descriptive
on the memo portion of the check. For example: For a beautiful
writing pen or Great running shoes or Membership
at Gordon's Health Spa. You can spend it all today, or save
some of it for another day. However, we encourage you to do your
best to spend it today, because tomorrow you will be making another
wonderful deposit.
On
the second day, deposit $2,000.
On the third
day, deposit $3,000.
On the fourth
day, deposit $4,000.
When you reach
day 50, deposit $50,000. When you reach day 300, deposit $300,000.
If you play this game every day for one year, you will have deposited
and spent more than $66 million.
You will be
benefiting by increasing your ability to imagine. In other words,
you will discover, as you play the game for a few weeks, that
it will begin to take real concentration to spend that much money.
And so, your ability to imagine will expand tremendously.
Most of our
physical friends really do not exercise their imagination very
much. Most people offer their vibrations almost exclusively in
response to what they are observing, but by playing this game,
you will find yourself reaching for new ideas, and in time, you
will feel the expansion of your own desire and expectation. In
doing so, you will benefit by shifting your point of attraction.
You see, the
Universe is responding to your vibrational offering, not to your
current state of being. So, if you are giving your attention only
to your current state of being, then your future evolves much
the same. But if you are giving focused attention to these wonderful
expanding ideas that this game evokes from you, the Universe now
responds to the vibrations of those thoughts.
The Universe
makes no distinction between the vibration you offer in response
to what you are living and the vibration that you offer in response
to what you are imagining, so this Prosperity Game Process
is a powerful tool for shifting your vibrational point of
attraction.
You can play
the game for a short time, or you can play it for an entire year
or more. Whatever you choose is appropriate. It may feel awkward
in the beginning, but the longer you play the game, the more expansive
your imagination will become. And as your imagination expands
and you focus on the spirit of fun and expansion, your point of
attraction will shift.
By writing
the checks, using your imagination, writing the memos, focusing
as you write, and feeling no resistance as you write the checks
because there is no fear of overspending, you will achieve what
is necessary in the achievement of anything: You will have made
a statement of desire while you are in the state of non-resistance,
or better said, in the state of allowing.
So, not only
will you have the benefit of an expanded imagination, but your
point of attraction will shift, and your life experience will
then shift as well. Not only will your financial situation improve,
but all manner of things that you have focused on with pleasure
will begin to flow into your experience.
You can start
the game or stop it, and you can play it in any way you like.
There are no rules; there is nothing that you should or should
not do. In other words, pick it up and play with it. Spend as
much as you want. But the important thing is: Do your best
to exercise your imagination.
If you were
a sculptor on your first day of sculpting, you would not take
your big clump of clay and throw it down on the table and say,
"Oh, it didn't turn out right." You would mold it. You
would get better at it. You would get more clay. You would get
different-colored clay. You would find a way to continue to evolve
in your creative endeavor. And yet, when it comes to the creation
that you mold with the clay of the Energy that creates worlds,
most of you make no conscious effort to direct your thought. In
other words, it is as if somebody else took the clay and threw
it down there, and now you spend your life just talking about
how it looks.
"Well,
that didn't turn out very good. My parents should have
done something different about that," or "The economy
should be doing something different than that," or "There
is injustice or unfairness," or "I don't like the way
somebody else dealt with that." We say, "Get your
hands in your own clay! Summon the Energy through the power of
your desire, and mold it through the power of your imagination."
A friend said
to us recently, "Abraham, I don't think you care if my lover
ever comes to me. I think you want me to get so good at imagining
him that I don't notice that he's not here." And we said,
"That is exactly right, because when you are imagining
that he is here, then, in your joy, in that moment, you vibrate
in a place where you summon and allow GOD ForceÑLife ForceÑto
flow through you. And there is nothing more wonderful than that."
And then we
said, "Oh, and by the way, when you get there, he cannot
not come. But as long as your desire for him to come is
more about your awareness that he has not come, not only
can he not come, but the misery that you are feeling in that moment
is because you are choosing a vibration that does not allow the
Energy that your desire is summoning."
Joyously playing
this Prosperity Game will not only improve your financial
state of being, but every aspect of your life will improve as
well. It will not only help you activate more vibrations around
things that you want, but it will assist you in focusing, more
of the time, in a way that allows the things that you want to
flow into your experience.
Playing this
game will cause you to offer a more expansive, expectant vibration.
And it is our promise to you that manifestations will begin to
arrive in response to your changed vibration.
The
Prosperity Game is taken from the book Ask
and It Is Given:
Learning to Manifest Your Desires, by Jerry and Esther
Hicks. Look for the authors' other book, The Amazing Power
of Deliberate Intent, which was released in
January 2006. Both books are published by Hay
House and available at all bookstores or online at:
www.hayhouse.com.
|
|
Call
It Your "Buy My Own Island" Plan.
by Natalie
Pace.
Including
6 Easy Tips for a Fiscally Fit 401 (k).
 |
| Credit:
www.mazell.com. Film and Video Production. Advertising Photography.
562-866-7662 |
Retirement
plan. Who picked a name that sounds about as inviting as a root
canal for your most important budget line item? How about my "Buy
My Own Island" plan? Wouldn't you get a little more excited
opening up one of those?
Did you know
that the stock markets, on average, have returned over
10% annually for the past 37 years, which is higher than real
estate (6.7%), bonds (8%) and even gold (7%)? Your "retirement"
plan is really your ticket to financial freedom - whether you
choose to do nothing, to build your dream home or even to launch
a new business.

If the thought
of managing your own 401 (k) makes you postal, relax and take
a deep breath! This is the beginning of having more fun with money.
You've always wanted to win the lottery, and this is your chance
to earn while you sleep. It's not as hard as you think, and you
are not going to lose it all, provided you follow a few basic
rules of thumb. Besides, most employers will match at least a
portion of the money you put into your 401 (k), which is like
an instant raise!
Freedom
Plan Starting Point:
- Tithe
to Yourself. Take 10% of your gross income and allocate
that to your new Freedom Plan, aka 401 (k), Roth IRA, etc..
Ask if your employer will match at least a portion of your contribution.
If you are self-employed, your tithe to your Freedom Plan
should be the FIRST check you write each month. (You can
set up your own Individual Retirement Account through any online
or brick-and-mortar brokerage.)
- Play
it Safe: Take a percentage that is equal to your age
and assign that to the Money Market account. Money Markets are
very low risk, and are no risk at all, if they are backed by
the FDIC. If you are ultra-nervous about investing, add 5-10%
to the money market. 20-year-olds keep 20% safe because they
still have another 45 years to get it right before retirement.
60-year-olds keep 60% or more safe because they are retiring
in 5-10 years and need to be sure that they've got enough in
their Freedom Fund to live the great life!
- Diversify:
Diversify the remaining money into different exchange-traded
funds. You can weight into higher-performing assets, like small
cap stocks, and assign less into lower-performing asset classes,
like gold or real estate, as you desire, but make sure that
you are not over-concentrated in any one sector. Pick at least
four different types of funds, so that you can watch how each
one performs.
- Bi-annual
Beauty Treatments: Plan on looking at your Freedom Plan
at least twice a year to make adjustments as needed. For instance,
in October 2002, with savings accounts and money markets returning
less than 2% and the stock markets at a 4-year low, it was a
good time to shift money into the stock market and out of the
money market fund. (Buy low; sell high works every time.) September,
which is historically the worst-performing month of the year,
and January, the strongest performing month, are good times
to review your freedom plan - January to see where you might
take some profits (or sell), and September for the Back to School
stock sales (for good buys)!
- Enron-proof
your Freedom Plan: invest no more than 10% of your Freedom
Plan in your own company stock. The biggest mistake employees
at Enron made wasn't working for Kenneth Lay and Jeffrey Skilling,
it was investing (and losing) 57.3% of their nest eggs in the
company!
- Choose
Exchange Traded Funds or Index Funds over Mutual Funds. Check
with your broker and/or brokerage, for a list of funds, or browse
the offerings at American
Stock Exchange (www.amex.com)
for the most comprehensive listing of ETFs. If your company's
choices are too limited, check into the possibility of rolling
over the company 401 (k) to an online discount brokerage (or
a full-service brokerage) where the choices tend to be more
flexible. There are qualifying events that enable you to rollover
without any penalty or fees at all.
You can do
this. You have what it takes. The more you learn, the more you'll
gain. It all starts with the first monthly deposit, and a new
attitude of calm, faith and confidence, instead of fear and loathing.
May your freedom plan yield as luscious a future for you and your
loved ones, as mine has for me.
Other
articles of interest:
From
Flipping Burgers to
Owning
Your Own Island.
By Natalie
Pace, NataliePace.com CEO and founder. How tithing 10% to Your
Nest Egg will make you a millionaire, even if you're only bringing
home $30,000.
Investing
is Not Surgery.
Brokers
are Not Surgeons.
Why wise, informed, personal, daily, healthy choices keep you
fiscally fit. By Natalie Pace, NataliePace.com CEO and founder.
Want
a Raise Now?
It
Could Be a Check Mark Away.
by Maya Patel.
Leave
Your Job, Not
Your 401(k) By
Maya Patel. Discount Brokerages Make Rollover IRAs Easy.
NASD
Investor Alert:
Putting Too Much Stock in Your Company
- A 401(k) Problem
What
the Mutual Fund Salesman
Forgot to Mention. by Paul Woods, President &
CEO of Odyssey Advisors, LLC.
|
|
How to Use Health Savings
Accounts (HSAs) as a Strategic Investment Vehicle.
Many people
don't know that Health Savings Accounts (HSAs), in addition
to serving as a deposit account for the payment of medical
expenses, can also function as a strategic investment vehicle
in addition to traditional 401(k) plans. For those people
who max out annual 401(k) contributions, either due to government
or company contribution limits, HSAs can actually serve as a supplementary
retirement savings tool.
According to Brad Arends of Alliance
Benefit Group, a third party administrator of these
accounts, any given workforce generally contains two distinct
groups of HSA users.
1. "Spenders"
are what Arends refers to as the traditional investors. They
comprise approximately 60 percent of the HSA user population.
These participants use the account to cover current out-of-pocket
medical expenses and take advantage of the lack of a "use-it-or-lose-it" provision
so that the money they put into the account rolls over each year.
These Spenders put high value on HSAs that include
an interest bearing account and have convenient distribution options
(e.g., debit card) and reasonable fees.
2. "Savers"
comprise the remaining 40 percent of HSA users. They use
their HSA as a strategic savings vehicle and expect an investment
menu similar to a 401(k) plan with high quality funds from
multiple fund families. According to 2005 research from Alliance
Benefit Group, Savers contribute 58 percent more money to their
HSAs than Spenders do in a given year.
Currently, most HSAs are offered by banks catering primarily to
the Spenders. The investment offerings are generally limited to
four or five proprietary mutual funds and usually require maintenance
of a minimum balance in the bank's deposit account (usually between
$1,000 and $2,000) to access the funds.
If you are a company that is interested in HSAs for your employees,
please call Charles
Schwab at 1-800-435-4000 and ask for a referral to Brad Arends
at Alliance
Benefit Group. Mr. Arends is available to discuss how companies
can successfully implement and manage HSAs; how HSAs differ from
traditional flexible spending accounts; and how HSAs are
evolving to provide more strategic investment tools for participants.
When considering any investment, investors should consider
carefully information contained in the prospectus, including investment
objectives, risks, charges and expenses. You can request a prospectus
by calling Schwab at 1-800-435-4000. Please read the prospectus
carefully before investing. Past performance is not a guarantee
of future results.
|
|
Is it Too Late to Get
in on Gold?
Will
Prices Surpass the Old High of $850? Learn from gold mining expert
Rob McEwen, CEO and Chairman of U.S. Gold.
On August
22nd, 2006, I hosted Rob McEwen, CEO and Chairman of
U.S. Gold, on the Forbes.com
Video Network (click to watch the video). During his
18 years at the helm of Goldcorp, Robert McEwen survived a bitter
46-month labor strike, found new reserves in a tapped out mine,
set industry standards and added billions to his company's bottom
line.
 |
Rob McEwen, Chairman and CEO,
U.S. Gold
Photo Credit: Norm Bettis |
Welcome
Rob. Since you're an expert in the field, let's talk about gold
as a hedge against inflation. Obviously the Feds are worried about
inflation and so are investors. So how do you use gold to balance
your portfolio in days like today?
It depends
on your risk orientation, but historically people put 5 to 10
percent of their portfolio into gold. It has been both for a deflationary
tool and for inflation.
So it's
just a good way to balance and diversifyÑthose are always good
things in a portfolio anyway. I would worry about getting in right
now. Since 2000, your former company Goldcorp has gone up about
1000 percent. Gold prices are high. Isn't it too late? Do you
wait? Do you hang on? Do you sell?
I think it's
still a good time. We had a major correction in May/June. That
established a bottom. There has been consolidation. The summer
is often a quiet period. August to late August is a good time
to get in, and historically the markets continue to climb through
to the year-end.
So you
think there still is a bit of upside? I mean isn't $600 too expensive
for gold?
Oh no, not
at all. If you think of the audiences from 2001 to 2004, we watched
the dollar drop against the price of gold, or gold climb in dollar
terms. So the audience was 300 million people. In the beginning
of 2005, we saw problems in the foreign currency market, when
France and the Netherlands rejected parts of the European Union
Constitution, and gold started going up against the major trading
currencies. So now your audience went from 300 million, basically
the population of America, to the world, which is 6 billion. So
there was a twenty-fold increase in the audience looking at gold.
So we are at the beginning of this move. I would say that we're
going to see prices well above the old high of $850, and we have
three to four years to go.
You can't
just think "Whoo Hoo! It's a boom in gold!" You also
have to ask, "Well who's going to mine it? Who's going to
manage the mines? How is the cost of production going go up?"
What do you say to that?
Well you are
going to have specific risks with each company. Geopolitical [concerns]
are probably the big ones right now. There has been nationalization
taking place in a number of countriesÉ
In which
countries?
Venezuela,
Bolivia. Tax rates have been raised in Mongolia, and some of the
former Soviet Union. So you may have an investment in a specific
country, but you have to be really wary of the political risk.
You have to be wary of the currency because if the currency happens
to be appreciating against the dollar, your costs are going up
to operate in that country.
Now we
do know you do have a new company. Where are you based out of
and what made that particular area attractive to you? I mean you
have one of the best reputations in the business, are you still
the single largest independent shareholder in Goldcorp?
Yep.
So you
don't need the money, you've got a reputation to protect and you've
gone and are prospecting down where now?
Nevada.
Nevada.
What made that attractive? What gold bug drew you down there?
There's been
a major discovery in 2003 that is right next door to the property
that I bought. Nevada is probably the most mining-friendly state.
If you treated it like a country, it would be the 3rd
largest gold producer in the world, and a lot of people don't
know that. So you have the infrastructure there, you have the
labor there, and you have a mindset to encourage it because well,
next to gambling, gold is the largest employer.
Rob McEwen
is the Chairman and CEO of U.S. Gold and one of the most respected
and successful CEOs in the gold business. He was formerly the
Chairman and CEO and of Goldcorp for 18 years.
|
|
Dow 12,000! Do You
Sell, Wait or Buy?
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
our Hot News on Cool Stocks List.
Featuring
28 great companies earning almost 50 cents on the dollar every
year, according to TipsTraders.com,
versus just seven that have gone slightly south.
 |
| Natalie Pace, NataliePace.com CEO and founder |
There are
a few important considerations that spell NASDAQ over DJIA, in
my view. First, with corporations hiring and spending money (after
six years of reining in their costs), computers and software are
on the top of the shopping list at major corporations. Corporations
need to invest in new technology to keep productivity high and
their products and profit margins competitive. In today's world
of video on demand and video-rich content, yesterday's computers
and software can't power you. Check the Price to Earnings ratio,
however, to make sure that you are not overpaying for your IT
company.
Corporations
have the money to invest in technology these days. According to
Tobias Levkovich, the Chief Analyst at Citigroup, cash levels
in Wall Street companies are high. In the first quarter of this
year, publicly traded companies, excluding the financials sector,
boasted 21% cash compared to market capitalization. During the
boom/bust period of 1999/2000, cash levels were just 11% of market
cap. (Cash levels were at 24% at the market low of Oct. 2002.)
Another big
(and largely overlooked) drain on the Dow is the defined pension
and health plan obligation. These debts are concentrated in legacy
corporations. In some corporations, like General Motors, Ford
Motor Company and Goodyear Tire, the obligations the corporation
has to its retirees for pension and health care EXCEED
the market capitalization (or the market value) of the company.
|
Company
|
$$
Underfunded Pensions & OPEB
|
Market
Capitalization
|
|
General
Motors
|
-$50
billion
|
$18.5
billion
|
|
Ford
motor Company
|
-$43.588
billion
|
$15.24
billion
|
|
Goodyear
Tire
|
-$5.640
billion
|
$2.541
billion
|
Source: Standard
and Poor's
Currently,
pension obligations are not listed on earnings reports, however,
the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) has changed that.
The FASB has issued a new accounting standard that requires publicly-traded
companies to recognize the amount owed to their pension and OPEB
obligations on their earnings reports effective December 15, 2006.
It is unclear
just what will occur on Wall Street when Blue Chips, like GM,
Ford, AT&T, Exxon Mobil, Boeing, IBM, Du Pont, Altria, Lockheed
Martin, Caterpillar, Goodyear Tire, Alcoa, Pfizer and Chevron,
all reveal that they owe between $5 and $69 billion a piece to
retirees. Standard & Poor's believes that "the FASB phase
1 implementation will be a wake-up call to investors when they
get their 2006 reports," and that shareholders will experience,
on average, equity reduction in the 8-9% range.
With the Dow
Jones Industrial Average trading near all-time highs, the beaten-down
NASDAQ, which hosts a large percentage of information technology
companies with no pension obligations (most have 401(k)s,
not defined benefit plans), may be a safer haven for investors
trying to pick up a few presents during the annual Santa rally.
For more information
and for a line item listing of the companies in the Dow Jones
Industrial Average and their debt and pension obligations, read
the articles, "Wow Dow" in this ezine, and "Faded
Blue Chips," in volume 3, issue 8.
EDUCATIONAL
OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
- Higher
Interest Rates? The Federal Open Market Committee
paused in September, August and October, after raising interest
rates 17 consecutive times in previous meetings. The federal
funds rate remains at 5-Å%. "Readings on core inflation
have been elevated, and the high level of resource utilization
has the potential to sustain inflation pressures. However,
inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time,"
according to the Federal Open Market Committee press release.
The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 12, 2006.
- Interested
in reading the minutes of the August meeting for yourself?
You can. They are available online. Click on FOMC
Press Release to read! The
tentative meeting schedule for the rest of 2006 is: December
12, 2006. The 2007 calendar is: January 30-31, 2007, March
20-21 (Tuesday-Wednesday), May 9 (Wednesday), June 27-28 (Wednesday-Thursday),
August 7 (Tuesday), September 18 (Tuesday), October 30-31
(Tuesday-Wednesday), December 11 (Tuesday), January 29-30,
2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday). The fact that the Federal Open Market
Committee has decided to increase the number of 2-day sessions
from two to four is an indicator that there is double the
concern over managing the economy in the coming months and
years.
- Chat
with Natalie Pace on November 15th, 2006, at 8:45
a.m. PST. Subscribers Only! Are you interested in diversifying
through international investing? In figuring out what to do
with the Dow at an all-time high! Want to capitalize on this
year's Santa Rally? Should you sell or buy? Ask one of the
most successful
stock pickers on Wall Street.
Bottom
Line: NataliePace.com is providing you with news and important information,
but you need to consult your financial planner to determine your
best strategy for using the information. That will depend upon
your age, your retirement plan, and your risk tolerance and portfolio
diversification. The stock portion of your portfolio is a higher
risk classification, where you ideally seek to gain higher returns.
As the NASD said in a recent investor alert, don't bet the farm
on the stock market. NataliePace.com is NOT a brokerage and doesn't operate
or act like one. We are an online media service with a mission
of providing the news and information you need to make better
choices in business, investing and personal prosperity. Always
consult a trusted financial professional before buying or selling
any security.
Full disclosure:
I have listed the companies that I own under the column "NP OWNS?"
Hot
Stocks
Investors
who "never pay retail," note that highlighted stocks are trading
at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in NataliePace.com's
article. This may be a good buying opportunity. The companies
that are listed below which are not highlighted may not be in
a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue
performing well. There are never any guarantees in life, and all
stocks are risk-based investments. Consult your certified financial
planner before making any changes to your investment strategy.
Highlighted
Companies (Hot List):
Citigroup
(C)
Genentech
(DNA)
MEMC
Electronics (WFR)
Sirius
Satellite Radio (SIRI)
Suntech
Holdings (STP), a Chinese-based company, ADR
U.S.
Gold (USGL), trading off the boards in the US and on the TSX.
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
American
Airlines
General
Motors
DELETIONS:
Bioteq
Environmental. (Microcaps are extremely vulnerable to changes
in the weather. With builders and real estate falling off, so
could demand for commodities, which could mean less money spent
on environmental clean-up.) 144% gains are good enough for
us.
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when featured
|
Price
10.27.06
|
Year
High
Year
Low
|
Gains
since original feature
|
|
Agilent
(Green)
|
No
|
A
|
$32.69
|
$34.88
|
$39.54
$26.96
|
+6.6%
|
|
See
vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for articles on renewable
energy.
|
|
Blockbuster
RISK:
VERY HIGH
|
No
|
BBI
|
$3.61
|
$3.81
|
$10.65
$ 3.19
|
+5.5%
|
|
See
vol. 3, issue 4, "Blockbuster Sale." Very high
risk. Distressed acquisition play in a heated up M&A
environment? Jules Haimovitz was added to its board on 5.26.06.
Haimovitz is currently vice chairman and managing partner
of TV production company Dick Clark Productions Inc. He
was formerly president of MGM Networks Inc., a unit of Metro
Goldwyn Mayer Inc., and served as president and chief operating
officer of TV programming syndicator King World Productions
Inc. Currently in a legal battle with NetFlix over the right
to rent movies through the mail, which NetFlix claims to
own the patent on. According to the AP, BBI is still considering
the sale of some assets, and will, in the meantime, invest
in a significant number of new GameStation stores during
2007.
|
|
Citigroup
|
No
|
C
|
$50.38
|
$50.36
|
$50.72
$43.83
|
Flat
|
|
Refer
to the M&A Mania article in volume 3, issue 6 for details
on Citigroup's appeal. Rising interest rates and the current
M&A mania are positive for Citigroup, but interest rate
hikes, combined with high oil prices, are tough on the markets.
The Feds terminated their enforcement action against Citigroup
on 6.26.06. The Federal Reserve Board has been pausing in
their interest rate hikes, and oil prices have backtracked
since their high of $70/bbl earlier in the summer. Things
are starting to look favorable for the red umbrella.
|
|
Disney
|
No
|
DIS
|
$25.08
|
$31.99
|
$31.59
$22.89
|
+26.5%
|
|
"This
season, half of the top 10 shows among young adults are
on ABC, including such great series as Lost, Desperate
Housewives, Grey's Anatomy and Extreme Makeover:
Home Edition. And Dancing with the Stars was
another great success for us, captivating audiences of all
ages," Bob Iger, the Disney Shareholder Meeting. Disney/Pixar/ABC,
distributed by Apple iTunes. HmmmÉ The most successful animation
film company meets the most successful family media company
meets the most successful new media device, the iPod. Sounds
like the happiest place on Earth to us. As the largest individual
stockholder, Steve Jobs may be the prime candidate for the
new Chairman of the Board. Laura Martin, CFA, of Soleil
Media Research Analysts, picks Disney and News Corp. as
the media large caps with the "highest option value."
Soleil also puts Google's value, based upon this same metrics,
at $362/share.
|
|
eBay
|
No
|
eBAY
|
$29.75
|
$32.07
|
$47.86
$22.83
|
+7.8%
|
|
See
the articles, "Wow Dow," in vol. 3, iss. 11 and,
"eBay's Skype Outpaces News Corp's MySpace," in
volume 3, issue 9. eBay has been beaten up and has HUGE
growth potential. Additionally, Skype's new products (Wi-Fi
VOIP phones in particular and associated hardware) are hitting
the shelves in time for Christmas and will likely start
adding a significant chunk to the eBay bottom line by the
first quarter of 2007. Analysts continue to batter eBay
prospects, but many fail to include the potential upside
of Skype. According to Google CEO Eric Schmidt, "We
continue to forge significant partnerships with companies
such as eBay, Fox Interactive Media, and Intuit that will
be of great value to all involved."
|
|
U.S.
Global Investors Eastern Europe
|
No
|
EUROX
|
$33.87
|
$46.58
|
$50.20
$23.02
|
+38%
|
|
Vanguard
seems to be in the right countries, and within those countries,
in the right growing sectors. See vol. 2, issue 8. Great
way to diversify, as well as to add growth. Eastern EU economy
rocks. Western EU economy stalls. Your international fund
should reflect the difference.
|
|
Genentech
|
No
|
DNA
|
$13.50
|
$84.46
|
$100.20
$75.58
|
+526%
|
|
The
FDA has requested additional from Genentech regarding the
use of Herceptin for treatment in early-stage breast cancer,
which puts the review off-calendar until DNA provides the
additional trial analysis and data. DNA is a Great Blue
Chip Hold for your long-term portfolio. Genentech specializes
in DNA-based cancer treatments that might ultimately eliminate
the need for chemotherapy! (Avastin chokes off the blood
supply to the tumor.) Biotechnology is a volatile sector,
but this popular #2 biotechnology company has a big pipeline
of drugs. Cancer drugs are a $20+ billion annual market,
and DNA has appx. $8-9 billion of the market cornered. Avastin
alone is expected to bring in $2 billion in annual sales
by 2007. Genentech reported a quarterly profit of $568 million,
or 53 cents a share, on Oct. 11, 2006, compared to $359
million, or 33 cents a share, for the same period last year.
DNA expects earnings per share to grow by 65 percent to
70 percent for the full year. The sales of non-Hodgkin's
lymphoma treatment Rituxan rose 12 percent to $509 million
for the quarter while sales for its colon cancer staple
Avastin shot up 34 percent to $435 million. P/E: 47.80.
|
|
Google
(Green)
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$85
|
$475.20
|
$491.96
$273.35
|
460%
|
|
Google
joined the S&P 500 on 3.31.06. Great Blue Chip Hold
for your long-term portfolio. Buy in at a better price.
Soleil Media Research Analysts put Google's value, based
upon forward-looking revenue metrics, at $362/share.
If you've quadrupled your money, profit taking and capital
gains are attractive these days. Announced 4Q earnings on
1.31.06. Missed expectations, and investors panicked
(as we'd warned they would). Google shares sank 12 percent
in after-hours trading to $379.00, losing roughly $15.3
billion from their $128 billion market capitalization. Google
dropped as low as $344.20 on 2.13.06. Very volatile, which
makes for profitable "trading around the core."
High price and high P/E of 62.70. Santa Rally & YouTube
Buzz factor could mean that price remains lofty at least
through the end of the year. Announced 3Q 2006 earnings
on Thursday, October 19, 2006 at 1:30 p.m. PT. Google reported
revenues of $2.69 billion for the quarter ended September
30, 2006, an increase of 70% compared to the third quarter
of 2005 and an increase of 10% compared to the second quarter
of 2006. According to Google CEO Eric Schmidt, "We
continue to forge significant partnerships with companies
such as eBay, Fox Interactive Media, and Intuit that will
be of great value to all involved."
|
|
Krispy
Kreme
RISK:
VERY HIGH
|
No
|
KKD
|
$10.22
|
$9.80
|
$12.11
$3.35
|
-4%
|
|
Have
you visited the Coffee Bean and Tea Leaf shops lately? Seen
Krispy Kreme doughnuts in the pastry case? A survey of just
a few shops revealed that the goods are selling great, and
reflects well on the new management team's commitment to
bringing in the dough to satisfy the sweet tooth of investors.
KKD is expanding into Asia - namely Macao, the Phillipines,
Hong Kong, Indonesia and Japan. In turnaround mode, and
trading at 5 year lows, though things have sweetened up
since KKD hired Kraft Foods veteran Daryl Brewster as president
and chief executive in March 2006. Taken off S&P Midcap
400 effective 10.27.05. The Company expects to report a
net loss for the first two quarters of fiscal 2007. Hired
the former general counsel from Winston-Salem-based Reynolds
American Inc. (NYSE: RAI), Charles A. "Chuck" Blixt, 55,
to serve as its top lawyer. Average weekly sales increased
8 percent in company-owned stores and 5 percent system wide,
according to Krispy Kreme's sales report on 9.12.06. Having
former tobacco company counsel and director on team should
help get rid of some of the lawsuits. Now, if consumers
are still sweet on the doughnut, they may actually have
a business on their hands. Received an Overweight rating,
with a $15 target rate, from Prudential Equity Group LLC
analyst Howard W. Penney on 10.27.2006. Look for KKD to
file late earnings reports by 10.31.06.
|
|
Las
Vegas Sands Corp.
Read
Vol. 2, Iss. 7
The
Venetian, Sands Macao
(1st
mover advantage in China's Vegas!!)
RISK:
MEDIUM
|
No
|
LVS
|
$37.43
|
$75.04
|
$78.90
$29.08
|
+111%
|
|
The
Venetian, The Palazzo (2Q '07), The Sands Macao, The Venetian
Macao (1Q '07). 97% occupancy rates at the Venetian. Las
Vegas Sands Corp. is also making deals with other Macao
hotels to manage their casinos and show rooms, including
the Four Seasons, Intercontinental Hotel, Holiday Inn, Far
East's Cosmopolitan and Dorsett, Shangri-La Hotel Macau
and the Traders Hotel Macau, all on the Cotai Strip in Macao,
"Asia's Las Vegas.™" Sands Macao is now
the largest casino in the world with 740 table games. "The
opening of The Venetian Macao next year will mark the presence
of the first true Las Vegas-style Integrated Resort in Macao
and will be followed by the opening of the rest of the Cotai
Strip(TM) -- which will provide visitors an experience not
replicated anywhere else in Asia," according to Bradley
Stone, EVP. 2Q results on 8.2.06: Net revenue for the second
quarter of 2006 increased 29.6% to $517.0 million compared
to $398.8 million in the prior year's quarter. Net income
was $109.3 million, over $86.4 million a year ago. Developing
Singapore's first Integrated Resort, The Marina Bay Sands
in Singapore, which will serve the important South Asian
marketplace, including India. Announces 3Q earnings on Nov.
1, after the closing bell.
|
|
MEMC
Electronics
|
No
|
WFR
|
$47.01
|
$35.86
|
$48.89
$17.15
|
-
24.3%
|
|
Read
"Sun Powers Whole Foods," article in vol. 3, iss.
10. This company was added on 10.25.06, the day before 3Q
2006 earnings. Is projecting fourth-quarter sales of $410
million to $415 million, while analysts were most recently
expecting $410.4 million in fourth-quarter revenue. Supplies
silicon ingots to solar panel manufacturers. Due to constrained
supply, MEMC has been able to increase prices. Has an alliance
with Suntech Power Holdings (STP), based out of China.
|
|
NetGear
|
No
|
NTGR
|
$12.42
|
$27.48
|
$25.73
$12.96
|
+121%
|
|
Watch
Natalie
Pace's Exclusive Forbes.com
Video Network Q&A with Patrick Lo (from August 2006).
Award Heaven! Patrick Lo, CEO, won the Ernst & Young's
Entrepreneur of the Year Award (on 6.16.06), NetGear is
on Business Week's Hot 100 list (for the 2nd
year), NetGear was awarded Best Buy's Bravo Award for Business
Excellence and POPULAR MECHANICS just gave NetGear's Skype
phone its Breakthrough Award. The NETGEAR Skype WiFi phone
is available for pre-order online for a price of $249.99.
Skype currently has 133 million registered users, and the
NetGear phone is one of the first Skype Wifi phones. An
October report from Jupiter Research predicted that 20.4
million U.S. households will subscribe to some form of Internet-based
broadband phone service by 2010. Judges from the IT Industry
and CRN readers rated NETGEAR Best in Service and Support
among crowded networking category that included companies
worldwide with both voice and data legacies in Dec. 2005.
3Q earnings on 10.26.06: Net revenue for the third quarter
ended October 1, 2006 was $151.6 million, a 36% increase
as compared to $111.3 million for the third quarter ended
October 2, 2005, and an increase of 16% as compared to $130.7
million in the second quarter of 2006. Net income, computed
in accordance with GAAP, for the third quarter of 2006 was
$8.0 million or $0.23 per diluted share. This net income
was a 7% decrease compared to net income of $8.6 million
for the third quarter of 2005. According to CEO Patrick
Lo, NetGear has 58 new products. CFO Jonathan Mather is
leaving on 10.31.06 to pursue other opportunities closer
to his home base in Southern California, according to the
company press release. A replacement is being searched for,
and a smooth transition is anticipated. Reports 3Q on Oct.
26, 2006 at 5:00 p.m. ET. Has $151 million cash on-hand
as of 10.26.06.
|
|
News
Corp.
Vol.
2, iss. 10
Owns
Fox, MySpace and DirecTv.
Dividends
RISK:
LOW
|
No
|
NWS
|
$15.88
|
$21.71
|
$22.04
$14.97
|
+37%
|
|
Read
my vol. 3, iss. 9 article, "eBay's
Skype
Outpaces News Corp's MySpace, with 113 million registered
users." As Rupert Murdoch noted
in the last News Corp. earnings call, "One out of four people
in America are interacting with [MySpace] content and services.
To have achieved this in just one year is remarkable." The
Google/Myspace deal gives News Corp. $900 million over the
next few years, and is just the tip of the iceberg, according
to COO Peter Chernin. MySpace is 2nd in page
views online, behind Yahoo! and 6th in ranking,
according to Comscore Media Metrix, which should start translating
into a major jump in ad revenue this year, especially since
MySpace's core demographic is the coveted 16-34 year olds.
MySpace is now a Top 10 Global Internet Brand with over
124 million registered users, making it the 2nd fastest
growing Internet site in the world. (Skype is #1!) Media
is in favor for 2006, according to Smith Barney and Soleil
Media research analysts. Mobizzo, Fox's mobile network,
which pioneered text voting on American Idol, launched
on 2.27.06, and will have micro-pay downloads of films and
TV (including Napoleon Dynamite, the Fox cult film),
games music and more. Rupert Murdoch has some talented,
innovative leaders under his aegis, and they are hitting
home profits. News Corp. has completed $2.5 billion of a
$3.0 billion buyback program initiated last June, and increased
the stock buyback program to $6.0 billion. "This $3.0
billion step up clearly reinforces our view that repurchases
of News Corporation shares are among the best uses of our
cash in today's environment," according to Rupert.
According to Google CEO Eric Schmidt, "We continue
to forge significant partnerships with companies such as
eBay, Fox Interactive Media, and Intuit that will be of
great value to all involved."
|
|
Opsware
See
issue 44. 1st featured Dec. 2002.
RISK:
MEDIUM
|
No
|
OPSW
|
$1.80
|
$9.22
|
$9.68
$3.90
|
+412%
|
|
Named
to Deloitte and Touche's prestigious Technology Fast 50
Program for Silicon Valley on 10.26.06. It was announced
on 2.13.06 that Cisco will distribute Opsware's products
worldwide and that the companies will collaborate on advanced
network management solutions built on Opsware's Network
Automation System, which sent a rocket through Opsware's
share price. The company raised its full year revenue expectation
to $102 million. "We reached the key milestone of non-GAAP
profitability," said Ben Horowitz, president and CEO of
Opsware Inc. "During Q2 we also shipped the Opsware System
6 suite, the most important release in our company's history."
CFO Sharlene Abrams resigned on 7.12.06. She will continue
through Oct. 31 to aid a smooth transition to new CFO David
F. Conte. Ms. Abrams is under SEC investigation for handling
of options at her prior company, Mercury Interactive. Opsware
automates the complete IT lifecycle and enables IT to automatically
discover, provision, patch, configure, secure, change, scale,
audit, recover, consolidate, migrate, and reallocate servers,
network devices and applications. Over 350 of the world's
largest companies, outsourcers and government agencies use
Opsware to deliver this new, automated model of IT.
|
|
OSI
Pharmaceuticals
Trading
near 52-week low.
2005
Company of the Year 2005. Read vol. 1, iss. 56.
RISK:
MEDIUM/HIGH
|
No
|
OSIP
|
$36.86
|
$39.25
|
$43.17
$22.04
|
+7%
|
|
Releases
3Q on Nov. 6th at 5:00 p.m. ET. Reported total
2Q revenues of $102.0 million for the three months ended
June 30, 2006, an increase of $67.3 million (or 194%) compared
to revenues of $34.6 million for the same period last year.
Net loss of $319.9 million (or $5.62 per share) included
a one-time estimated impairment charge of $319 million related
to the goodwill acquired in connection with the November,
2005 acquisition of Eyetech Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Morgan
Stanley's Steven Harr has raised the target price to $42
for OSIP. Harr anticipates about $1.3 million in 2006 royalties
for OSIP's Diabetes drug, with royalties expanding to about
$43.8 million by 2010 (source: AP). Genetic based "cancer
pill." 1st and only of its kind. FDA-Approved
Tarceva for lung cancer November 2004. Canadian regulators
approved Tarceva on 7.13.05. European approval granted on
9.21.04. Switzerland approved Tarceva in March 2005. FDA
approved Tarceva for use with pancreatic patients on 9.13.05.
Submitted new drug application to Japanese FDA on 4.17.06.
Partner of Genentech (DNA) and Roche. OSIP is now testing
Tarceva as an application for other cancers, including lung
cancer. Industry sales data has placed the cancer drug market's
value at more than $20 billion annually and it is growing
fast.
|
|
RELM
wireless
10.70
P/E
Micro
Cap
88.73
Million
RISK:
HIGH
|
No
|
RWC
|
$7.35
|
$7.51
|
$11.70
$1.90
|
+2%
|
|
2Q
sales increased 34.1% to approximately $8.6 million from
$6.4 million for the same quarter last year. Net income
was approximately $1.1 million, or $0.08 per diluted share,
compared to net income of approximately $0.5 million, or
$0.04 per diluted share a year ago. RELM dropped in early
May on heavy institutional investor selling (manic hedge
funds), but has added back gains of 20% in under 20 days
(price: $5.96 on 6.28.06). Added to the Russell Microcap
Index on 6.30.06. RELM Wireless Corporation RWC announced
on 5.18.06 that it has received orders from a federal government
agency valued at $2.3 million. Of this total, $1.5 million
was for digital P25-compliant radio products. The company
expects to ship these orders in the second quarter of 2006.
According to Feltl & Co. analyst Richard Ryan, RELM
has just 1% share of a domestic market worth $1.9 billion
(and the global market is eight times larger), so there
is plenty of room for growth. Coverage on MoneyCentral.msn.com
on 1.18.06 means it might come up on more investors' radars.
In addition to providing communications for national security
needs, RELM can actively address communications needs at
hazardous substance facilities such as oil refineries, mines
and chemical plants. The United States Postal Service Extended
its Exclusive Contract With RELM Wireless on 7.13.2006.
RELM announced on 9.27 that it has received orders from
multiple government agencies valued at $5.1 million.
|
|
Rio
Tinto (ADR)
Based
in England
DIVIDENDS!
See
issue 48
RISK:
LOW
|
No
|
RTP
|
$89.60
|
$218.62
|
$253.33
$114.90
|
+144%
|
|
Building
permits are down worldwide, and there are reports that China
is pulling back on it's rapid construction expansion. Additionally,
there are currency considerations in Australia, where Rio
Tinto does a great deal of its business. Rio Tinto has definitely
been the star of the metals sector since we first featured
the company, back in August of 2004, but there is no doubt
that a lot of the demand for copper and metals was tied
to the low interest rates in the US (fueling construction)
and the pro-expansion policies in China. With both of those
reversing, it seems like the high and the thrill may be
nearing their peaks. Since we've got the year-end Santa
rally going and since Rio Tinto does its earnings on a bi-annual
basis, it doesn't hurt to maximize gains, and wait for the
optimum moment to take profits. Look for this company to
be taken off this Hot List by the end of the year.
|
|
Sirius
$6.3
Bil Market Cap
RISK:
MEDIUM
|
No
|
SIRI
|
$6.00
|
$3.85
|
$7.98
$3.60
|
-36%
|
|
Announces
3Q on Nov. 8, 2006. 2Q Revenue tripled to $150 Million 2Q
2006 from a year ago, and Sirius ended the quarter with
4,678,207 subscribers, the 3rd quarter it has led XM with
new subscriber adds. Loss was -$237.8 million, or ($0.17)
per share, which is half the net loss of 1Q. Karmazin says
the Stiletto handheld (iPod-like SR device) is here, and
almost all of the record companies are happy with it. Sirius
is on track to finish the year strong with over 6.2 million
subscribers, yet the share price is 50% off of its 52-week
high. XM Satellite Radio ended 2005 with 5.9 million subscribers.
Originally XM projected 9 million by year's end, but the
company has cut its subscriber year-end forecast. XM radio
is installed in GM cars; GM is losing market share and having
biz cash flow issues. Could impact XM. Mercedes just agreed
to make SIRI standard on SL and CL models for 2007. Nielsen//NetRatings
report said the online traffic to Sirius' grew 188%, to
1.9 million in March 2006 from 666,000 unique visitors in
the year-ago period. That beats XMSR traffic, which turned
in 1.69 million in unique visitors in March.
|
|
Sohu
(Chinese Co. ADR)
918.7
Mil Market Cap
RISK:
HIGH
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$17.52
|
$23.50
|
$29.43
$14.25
|
+34%
|
|
Completed
a $15 million share buyback program on 8.2.06. Stock buyback
program up to $30 million announced on 7.25.06. Beat earnings
on 10.26.06. Total revenues hit a record high of US$35.4
million, up 29% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter,
exceeding company guidance. GAAP net income of US$6.6 million
or US$0.17 per fully diluted share. On 6.12.06, Sohu entered
into a multi-year advertising agreement with leading online
retailer, Joyo.com (owned by Amazon). 2006 revenues were
increased by Sohu's exclusive right to 2006 FIFA World Cup
online video content, according to Chairman and CEO Dr.
Charles Zhang. "China Internet is the most dynamic industry
within the world's fastest-growing major economy, in our
analysis," according to Michael Tieu, a Brean Murray Carret
& Co. analyst. Tieu noted that while China's online
advertising market is a rounding error of that of the United
States, its ad sales are forecast to grow 40% a year to
about $3 billion in 2010. See NataliePace.com ezines, vol.
3, issue 4 and volume 2, issue 9 for feature articles on
Sohu. Financial Times ranked Sohu in the Top 10 Chinese
Global Corporate Brands on 9.6.05 (6 days after our first
feature article). Sohu was selected as the official sponsor
of Internet Content Service (ICS) for the Beijing 2008 Olympic
Games, so this story is still nascent. See Dr.
Charles Zhang in an exclusive
interview on the Forbes.com Video Network. Could be some
bumps in the road between now and Beijing Olympics 2008,
which should ultimately be worth it, with China still growing
at over 9% in real GDP per year.
|
|
SunTech
Holdings Co. Ltd (Green & Chinese Co. ADR)
|
No
|
STP
|
$25.83
|
$26.60
|
$45.95
$19.00
|
+3%
|
|
See
vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for articles on solar
energy. Suntech is inspiring a slew of Chinese solar company
IPOs, with LDK Solar, Yingli Solar, Trin Solar and Linyang
solar planning to launch a US IPO in the near future, according
to Reuters (10.02.06). On Aug. 15, Suntech Power Holdings
Co., Ltd. announced that it expects its total net revenues,
including MSK, in the third quarter 2006 to be in the range
of $162 to $169 million. According to Reuters Estimates,
analysts on average are expecting the Company to report
revenues of $151.61 million in the same period.
|
|
T.
Rowe Price Em Eur & Mediterranean
See
vol. 2, iss. 8
|
No
|
TREMX
|
$20.72
|
$30.79
|
$30.15
$12.00
|
+48.6%
|
|
See
vol. 3, issue 4 and vol. 2, issue 8 for articles on why
Eastern EU rocks, while Western EU stalls. Great way to
diversify, as well as to add growth. Go global with the
emerging countries. Avoid the countries in the EU that are
stalling in economic growth.
|
|
Time-Warner
(owns
AOL)
|
No
|
TWX
|
$16.76
|
$19.91
|
$19.36
$15.70
|
+19%
|
|
See
vol. 3, issue 9, "eBay's Skype Outpaces News Corp.'s
MySpace" for a report card that features Time-Warner.
Great way to diversify, as well as to add growth, which
is trading at a value. AOL and Time-Warner have finally
figured out how to work together, and Chairman & CEO
Richard D. Parsons, successfully fought off Carl Icahn.
After a series of blunders, could it be TWX's time to shine?
Reports 3Q results on 11.1.06 at 8:30 a.m. ET before the
market opens.
|
|
U.S.
Gold
RISK:
VERY HIGH
|
Yes
|
USGL
|
$5.05
|
$4.30
|
$10.30
$.35
|
-15%
|
|
See
the feature interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen in
NataliePace.com ezine, vol. 3, iss. 2, and click to hear
Natalie
Pace's Q&A with Rob McEWen
on the Forbes.com Video Network. This is a gold exploration
company that is being traded off the big boards. If the
choice is between this and the craps table, you might have
better odds here (and more fun if McEwen strikes gold.)
Note: U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time. They
are digging to find a new reserve. U.S. Gold closed the
private placement of 16,700,000 subscription receipts at
a price of US $4.50 for aggregate gross proceeds of US $75.15
million on Feb. 22, 2006. 33.3 million shares outstanding,
with a market capitalization of US $239.7 million. U.S.
Gold Receives Escrowed Funds $35,665,596 net of commissions.
A company spokesperson reported in August that U.S. Gold
is close to listing on the TSX (Toronto's small board) and
the NYSE's ARCA Stock Exchange. Listings typically have
a positive effect on share price. Began trading on the Toronto
Stock Exchange (TSX) under the symbol UXG, on 8.29.06. U.S.
Gold & Lexam Explorations Inc.
(TSX VENTURE: LEX) are pleased to announce that Rob McEwen,
Chairman and CEO, has been awarded the "Most Innovative
CEO" award by Canadian Business magazine in its fifth annual
"All-Star Execs roundup".
|
|
Wilderhill
Clean Energy Portfolio (Green ETF)
|
No
|
PBW
|
$16.82
|
$17.72
|
$24.08
$14.97
|
+5.3%
|
|
See
vol. 3, issue 10, and vol. 2, iss. 12 for articles on solar
energy. This is a well-managed "smart" ETF, which
updates its holdings regularly, but falls and rises on the
good or bad news of alternative energy companies which it
may not even hold in the portfolio. Fell earlier this year
on bad news at Evergreen Solar, with regard to silicon supply,
even though Evergreen Solar was not a major holding.
|
Sony (NYSE:
SNE) and Sunoco (NYSE: SUN) both had great runs for the list!
LifeCell (NASDAQ: LIFC) posted over 180% gains before being added
to the Watch list. Bioteq Environmental (TSE: BQE) had 144% gains.
Stocks
to Watch
Great
Companies. The companies that are listed are worthy of watching
and might be worth buying in on opportunity (i.e. at a better
price), if you believe the news on future potential. There are
never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments.
Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes
to your investment strategy.
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when featured
|
Price
10.13.06
|
Year
High
Year
Low
|
Losses
since original feature
|
|
Apple
Computer
|
No
|
AAPL
|
$64.63
|
$80.41
|
$86.40
$45.26
|
+24%
|
|
Apple
missed the SEC deadline for filing its 2Q earnings. By requesting
a NASDAQ hearing (to avoid delisting), Apple buys itself
2-3 months to get everything in order. This stems from an
SEC investigation into handling of past stock option compensation
awards. Apple has said that they may have to restate earnings
dating back to Sept. 2002. Google CEO Eric Schmidt just
joined the Apple board or directors. Very positive for the
long term. Former CFO Fred Anderson resigned from the Apple
Board on 10.4.06. The internal investigation revealed that
Steve Jobs did NOT directly benefit from any back-dated
options, but that he "was aware that favorable grant
dates had been selected" according to a company press
release. The markets are heading into their top-performing
season, the iPod is still all the rage. But if investors
catch wind of the accounting irregularities and/or if there
is more fall-out from the SEC with regard to the role that
Jobs played, the stock could be negatively affectedÉ Keep
an eye out for buying ops. Popularity of the iPod and ability
of Jobs to pull in muscle to help with the Feds keep Apple
off of the Cooling Off list now, especially since none of
the dough went into Jobs wallet. The scandal keeps Apple
off the Hot List for now as well.
|
|
Goldcorp
|
No
|
GG
|
$22.73
|
$25.01
|
$41.66
$17.49
|
+10%
|
|
Gold
dropped to $573/$580 range on 9.15.06 causing losses for
most gold mining stocks. Any troubles in the already tight
metals market, or investor panic over inflation and terrorism
could send gold prices even higher than they currently are
(which has been happening all year). This has traditionally
been one of the great gold companies, but there is an executive
battle brewing between the largest individual shareholder,
Rob McEwen, and the current management team. McEwen accuses
Goldcorp's directors and management of "tyranny,"
saying that he opposed the Glamis merger and threatening
to sue Goldcorp's management and board. According to the
AP, Ian Telfer, Goldcorp's current CEO, dismisses McEwen's
claims that shareholders are against the deal, saying that
he polled 100 of GG's top shareholders and McEwen was the
only one opposed to the deal. Telfer expects the acquisition
of Glamis Gold to close in 5 weeks. Two things raise concern
at this company. 1) No one wins in a war. 2) Rapid growth
requires very adept management. Is Ian Telfer up to the
task? How adept is he if he has his largest individual shareholder
is poised to file papers in court tomorrow (according to
a McEwen spokesperson)? We'll keep you posted, but in the
meantime, if you've already doubled your money, that's a
great profit. Doesn't hurt to look into selling and taking
your profits, before things get crazier.
|
|
Intuit
|
No
|
INTU
|
$34.48
|
|
$35.98
$22.93
|
--
|
|
According
to Google CEO Eric Schmidt, "We continue to forge significant
partnerships with companies such as eBay, Fox Interactive
Media, and Intuit that will be of great value to all involved."
We'll look into this more for our November mid-month update.
|
|
LifeCell
Vol.
1, iss. 55
|
No
|
LIFC
|
$31.06
|
$23.44
|
$32.60
$15.11
|
--
|
|
The
FDA issued a warning on "unscreened human tissue"
on 10.26.05. LifeCell reported a recall of products, and
took a charge of $1.4 million in 3Q 05 to reflect the recall.
LifeCell's product is in high demand and sales are growing,
however the story on some of the unscreened and untested
tissue it received from Biomedical Tissue Services is not
over. Lawsuits have been filed by some plaintiffs who unknowingly
received products from Biomedical Tissue services and the
impact of those lawsuits is still largely unknown. According
to the Associated Press, the FDA shut down BMT for not screening
the tissue for communicable diseases, among other violations.
$15.5 million in insider sales by CEO, CFO and controller
in last 12 months, most recent sales occurred in March '06.
2Q: Product revenues for the second quarter were $35.7 million,
up 60%, compared to $22.3 million reported for the same
period in 2005. AlloDerm(R) Regenerative Tissue Matrix,
increased 73% to $30.3 million from $17.6 million a year
ago. LifeCelll has a great product in high demand, but the
potential fallout of the unscreened human tissue could be
more than most $787 million companies can take. Operating
income for the third quarter of 2006 increased 144% to $8.7
million compared to operating income of $3.6 million in
the third quarter of 2005. Requested additional information
from LifeCell on 10.30.06.
|
|
Microsoft
|
No
|
MSFT
|
$28.34
|
--
|
$28.79
$21.45
|
--
|
|
World's
largest software company. $31 billion in cash. Launching
a new handheld music device - Zune - No. 14, 2006.
|
Cooling
Off Stocks (that may be in Profit-Taking Range).
Note: We may look to add some of these companies to our Hot News
list again, if the price point should become attractive and if
the outlook for the company improves. The companies listed in
bold have recently been added to this cooling off list and/or
may be currently poised for a continued decline in value. Investors
who have them in their portfolio should read the recent news and
consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump losses,
short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while keeping
the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always
consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments
to your portfolio. (The stocks on this chart are expected to go
down in price.)
HIGHLIGHTED
COMPANIES:
General
Motors
DELETIONS:
IMClone,
Verisign and Yahoo.
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when added to Cooling Off List
|
Price
10.13.06
|
52-week
High
52-week
Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
American
Airlines
|
No
|
AMR
|
$24.05
|
$27.92
|
$29.32
$10.00
|
+16%
|
|
Don't
buy into the hype. Read the article, "$72 Oil Will
Sink Airlines," in vol. 3, issue 7. Delta Airlines
owes $18.695 billion in total liabilities. Of that, $8.873
billion is owed to its pension plan and retirees, $5.768
billion in debt, $2.772 billion for aircraft leases, and
$1.282 billion in accounts payable. Continental owes over
$10 billion in current liabilities, long-term debt and pension
funding. American Airlines' financial obligations surpass
$26.6 billion, including $5.1 billion owed to pension plans
(which is close to AMR's market capitalization. Will American
or Continental get profitable without restructuring under
Chapter 11? The companies have stayed afloat while most
competitors have fallen. American Airlines has such a strong
brand, and so few investors are aware of the depth of their
debt, that AMR tends to run up on any good news in the sector.
It's not a slam-dunk short or put. 2Q earnings were upbeat
in July for a lot of airlines, which beat analyst earnings
expectations. 2Q net profit, issued on 7.19, was $291 million
for the second quarter of 2006. "We are pleased to have
earned a quarterly profit -- just our second in the last
22 quarters without the benefit of special items," said
AMR Chairman and CEO Gerard Arpey. "Our performance indicates
very clearly that we are on the right track, but also demonstrates
-- just as clearly -- that we have more work to do to return
our company to financial health."
|
|
General
Motors
|
Yes
|
GM
|
$32.35
|
$33.93
|
$37.34
$18.33
|
+5%
|
|
See
the article Faded Blue Chips in vol. 3, issue 8. According
to Standard and Poor's Report on Pension Plans (6.06), GM
owes -$69.258 billion in pensions and other post employment
benefits (OPEB). General Motors' market capitalization is
$18.1 billion, and last year the company lost over $10.95
billion. GM announced $15.2 billion reduction in its pension
and health care obligations on August 8, 2006, which resulted
in a small rally for the stock today. Problem is, GM was
almost $70 billion underfunded for its pension and health
care obligations, which means it still owes over $46 billion,
or 2 1/2 times the value of the company.
|
|
KB
Home
|
No
|
KBH
|
$59.00
|
$45.51
|
$81.99
$37.89
|
-23%
|
|
Read
the article, "Rupert Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top
Real Estate CEOs. Find Out Where They Are Investing,"
from volume 2, issue 5. In May 2005, we called REITs a burnout
sector, and the fallout should continue, with high home
prices, rising interest rates, people backing out of contracts
and rising inventory. Beazer and KB Home have cut their
earning's forecasts twice since July 2006.
|
|
Toll
Brothers
|
No
|
TOL
|
$37.82
|
$29.65
|
$46.39
$22.22
|
-22%
|
|
Read
the article, "Rupert Murdoch, Nobel Laureates and Top
Real Estate CEOs. Find Out Where They Are Investing,"
from volume 2, issue 5. In May 2005, we called REITs a burnout
sector, and the fallout should continue, with high home
prices, rising interest rates, people backing out of contracts
and rising inventory. Beazer and KB Home have cut their
earning's forecasts twice since July 2006.
|
The following
companies were taken off of the Cooling Off list effective 10.16.06.
Verisign (+15%). IMClone (-11%). Yahoo (-28%). (The cooling off
list anticipates that a company will lose share price value.)
Please
note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We
are a media and information center. This article is intended to
educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors
a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly
traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to
be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and/or
consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before
buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals
and strategies.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
NataliePace.com Calendar.
Below
are just a few highlights of conferences, chats, film festivals
and other opportunities this month!
 |
| Carleton
Fiorina Former Chairman and CEO, Hewlett-Packard
|
|
1.
Monday, November 6th, 2006
NYC Women's Conference: Featuring Carly Fiorina!
The Women's
Leadership Exchange is hosting a day-long conference
with inspiring leaders and motivated women. Your chance to
network, get informed and inspired and learn from some great
business leaders (including the founding CFO of iVillage,
Beth Polish)! Keynote: Carly Fiorina, former Chairman and
CEO, Hewlett-Packard. |
 |
| The
2004 Artivist Awards Reception in at the Egyptian theater. |
|
2.
Thursday, November 9th, 2006
the Artivist
Film Festival & Awards
Where: at the Egyptian Theatre in Hollywood, California,
from Nov. 9-12, 2006.
The Artivist Film Festival & Awards seeks to address the
importance of art & activism in our global community.
They will be honoring celebrity activists Joaquin Phoenix,
Daryl Hannah, and Matthew McConaughey, and screening 65 International
Films. |
 |
| Natalie
Pace,NataliePace.com CEO and founder. |
|
3.
Wednesday, November 15th, 2006
8:45AM through 9:30AM PT
Ask
Natalie Online Chat: The Dow is at an all-time high!
The Santa Rally appears to be in full swing! Should you sell
or buy? Ask one of the most successful stock pickers on Wall
Street. (Subscribers Only.) |
Check the
Calendar section of NataliePace.com frequently for a listing of
Important Events like these, including Chats, Galas, Conferences
and more.
|
VISION: To build
a global community of investors through a worldwide website,
seminars, radio, television and print partners. GOAL:
To provide high-quality, first-run, ethical financial news,
information and education, presented in an entertaining format,
across all media (television, radio, print and online).
MISSION: To provide the news, information and education investors
need to make better choices and to make investing as much fun
as shopping.
PHILOSOPHY: Member Mosaic. Piecing together a more complete
picture of the publicly traded company, one tile at a time,
by valuing firsthand consumer experience, conducting evaluations
of the executive team and lining up the numbers of the publicly-traded
company with its competitors in a Stock Report Card.
For more information on NataliePace.com contact us at
www.NataliePace.com,
P.O. Box 1350, Santa Monica, CA 90406-1350
or 1-866.476.7442
(toll-free telephone number).
NOTICE: NataliePace.com is NOT a stock brokerage service,
and does not operate or act as one.
|
|
|