TO
ACCESS A PRINTABLE COPY OF THIS NEWSLETTER CLICK HERE.

Vol.7 Issue 6, June 1st, 2010
Send comments and suggestions or get more information
at info@NataliePace.com
QUOTE OF THE MONTH:
"My heart is heavy for the 11 that didn't make it from the Horizon…
I'm extremely proud of my crew and their performance."
Alwin Landry, captain of Damon Bankston, a supply ship owned
by Tidewater.
Captain Alwin Landry and his crew of 12 rescued 115 people when
the Deepwater Horizon oil rig exploded on April 20, 2010
|
|
|
Clean
Up.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
an Oil
Spill Stock Report Card.
 |
| The Tidewater
vessel Damon Bankston which transported 115 survivors from the
explosion on the BP/Transocean Deepwater Horizon oil rig. |
The BP Gulf
Oil Disaster will be with us for a long time to come. And with oil
still gushing into the Gulf, it’s hard to pinpoint an exact moment
when "kill" efforts finally work and sustained clean up
and recovery begins. (We’re all praying this happens yesterday.)
Volunteers are
bathing birds and oil-saturated wildlife in mild detergents and
are pumping Pepto Bismal into their stomachs to flush out swallowed
oil. (Go to TristateBird.org
to donate to the effort.) Local fishermen are being tasked with
skimming and containment of the oil before it hits the shore. Subsea
rovers are producing horrific images from a mile beneath the surface
of a problem we have yet to solve.
BP is leading
the disaster effort, in conjunction with US authorities and relief
efforts, however, there are still far too many questions left unanswered
and far too many holes left unplugged. Is BP directly responsible
for the disaster or could one of their many contractors be more
culpable? Names like Halliburton, Transocean and Dick Cheney have
been tossed around by the media (and President Obama), but definitive
information on who did what where with regard to contractors
– those that might have caused the problem or those that might be
helping with the cleanup is still fragmented, at best. (Some potentially
responsible parties have largely escaped attention: keep reading.)
According to
BP Chief Executive Tony Hayward, "The honest truth is that
this is a complex accident, caused by an unprecedented combination
of failures. A number of companies are involved, including BP, and
it is simply too early – and not up to us – to say who is at fault."
No doubt there will be an exhaustive analysis of the failures in
an attempt to prevent this from occurring again and to recover damages
for the plethora of claims that are already pouring in. According
to a BP press release of May 28, 2010, the cost of the response
to date amounts to about $930 million, or 1/20 of the $20 billion
in profits BP made last year. And this is only the beginning.
BP CEO Haywards’
comments are a sobering reminder that efforts to capitalize on the
cleanup by investing in so-called cleanup specialists or shorting
culpable culprits are not as easy as they sound. In fact the SEC
and FINRA have issued an Investor
Alert on scams in the Spill Cleanup Arena, which I’ve
reprinted in this ezine.
TransOcean (NYSE:
RIG) is a BP partner on the platform, and the company has filed
a Limitation of Liability Petition, in the hopes of consolidating
the claims of the employees and families impacted by injuries and
deaths related to the rig explosion. Nine of the 11 crew members
who lost their lives were TransOcean employees. This petition would
(reportedly) limit the company’s losses to $27 million. TransOcean
stock is already trading at a 5-year low, which will likely go lower.
MI-SWACO, which
employed two of the 11 men killed on the Deepwater Horizon rig,
is jointly owned by Smith International, Inc. (NYSE:SII) and Schlumberger
Limited (NYSE:SLB). Smith and Schlumberger have flown under the
radar of the media, and the stock of both companies has remained
relatively buoyant in the wake of the sinking and gushing disaster.
Why wasn’t there a MI-SWACO, Smith International or Schlumberger
CEO present at the Congressional hearings?
Halliburton
(NYSE: HAL) stock has also proven to be fairly resilient, despite
a flurry of excoriating headlines. This company is notorious for
surviving scandals relatively unscathed. In the Congressional hearings,
it appears that the Halliburton strategy is to claim BP made them
perform shoddy work with subpar materials.
Oceaneering (NYSE:
OII), a company that has been helpful in monitoring the progress beneath
the surface with their subsea Remote Operating Vehicles also provides
inspection services to BP (an area of obvious failure in this monumental
disaster). Oceaneering CEO T. Jay Collins has been quoted
as calling Oceaneering "one of the foremost global inspection
service providers to the oil and gas industry." An email to Oceaneering
asking for clarification on whether the firm provided inspection services
to BP in the Gulf was not answered as of press time.
Another company
with a fleet of vessels in the general vicinity that might be helping
with the cleanup, Gulfmark (NYSE: GLF), has a noteworthy complication.
The Chairman of Gulfmark is a former Lehman Bros. Managing Director
who jumped ship in September 2008, the month Lehman Brothers declared
bankruptcy (after being with the firm for 39 years).
And then you
have one hero of this entire, unprecedented disaster, who has seen
only small glimpses of the limelight. As the fates would have it,
a Tidewater (NYSE: TDW) vessel – the Damon B. Bankston – was tethered
just 40 feet away from the Deepwater Horizon when the explosion
occurred. Thanks to the rapid response of Capt. Alwin Landry and
his crew of 12, the loss of life on April 20, 2010 was limited to
11. 115 workers were rescued, cared for and shipped 110 miles to
dry land. Far from the standard operating procedures Capt. Landry
had encountered over his 14 years with Tidewater Marine -- as the
boat captain responsible for hauling mud, food, supplies, crew and
more from the Louisiana shore to the offshore oil wells -- he was
tasked that night with saving his own skin and others amidst explosions,
fireballs and a torrent of mud, while pulling survivors from the
deadly drink of the Gulf of Mexico.
Captain Landry
has yet to receive his Presidential Medal of Freedom from President
Obama (surely he will), but he is my Hero of the Month. And the
fact that Tidewater went through all of fiscal 2010 without one
lost-time accident, and rewarded their staff with a million dollar
bonus (despite a recession and revenue loss in their industry) gives
me some faith (not 100% faith, but some) that this company is doing
something very, very right from the executive suite to the vessel
deck.
At
BP, their goals were simply stated - no accidents, no harm to people,
and no damage to the environment. Unfortunately, today, that mission
leaves a bitter taste in our mouths and an oil spill the size of
Delaware in the Gulf of Mexico.
At Tidewater,
safety goals were more than just a catchy phrase. 115 people, whose
voices might have been forever silenced with Texas Tea, are singing
their praises, even if most of the world has yet to hear the encomium.
Tidewater. You
get my vote for Company of the Month. During the worst oil spill
the world has ever seen, your crew has shown what safety standards
and disaster preparedness acts like.
Tidewater
was added today to the Stocks to Watch List of my ongoing Hot News
on Cool Stocks list, in anticipation that the oil spill will continue
to drag on the markets and that the good news of these heroes will
continue to be buried in the ongoing horror of this disaster. (In
other words, it’s likely that the Tidewater share price will be
lower as the summer wears on, particularly if we have a devastating
hurricane season.) Transocean was added to the Cooling Off List.
To line up the numbers of these companies, alongside BP, Halliburton
and Gulfmark, click on the Oil
Spill Stock Report Card.
Should
you short BP stock?
So
what about BP stock? Should you short it? This disaster will cost
BP billions – a price that a company with $272 billion in sales
and $20 billion in profits can afford. It is unlikely that BP’s
customers (drivers everywhere) will stop needing their product,
so even with a disaster of this size, sales and profits will continue
virtually uninterrupted. Oil company share price is so closely linked
with oil prices that if this disaster interrupts supply (and causes
prices to escalate), it is likely that even BP will be carried
in the upswing.
By comparison,
Exxon Mobil’s share price ended up higher the year of the Valdez
disaster. The Exxon Valdez oil spill occurred on March 24, 1989,
when the Exxon share price was trading at $11.13/share. The spill
had very little impact on Exxon’s share price, which traded at $12.50/share
by the end of 1989 (and currently trades for $60.46/share).
Exxon Mobil
share price from January 1989 to January 1991

Source:
MoneyCentral.MSN.com
Full Disclosure:
Natalie Pace does not own stock or positions in any company mentioned
in this article.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/Natalie-Pace/416616285568,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report on
financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently owned
and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This article
is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus,
to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making.
The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended
to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult
an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or
selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors should NOT be all in on any asset class or
individual stocks. Your retirement plan should reflect a long, safe
strategy, which has been designed with the assistance of a financial
professional who is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax
needs and more. The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be
a very small part of your investment strategy, and the amount of money
you invest into individual companies should never be greater than
your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience. Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to
change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or
solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may
not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
Oil
Spill Stock Scams.
—Don’t
Get Cleaned Out by False Cleanup Claims. SEC.gov
and FINRA.org
Investor Alert.
The oil spill
in the Gulf of Mexico poses more than an environmental and economic
threat to the region. It also poses a financial threat to investors
in the form of scams promising financial gains from investments
in companies that claim to be involved in cleanup operations.
Millions of
dollars are being spent daily on short-term cleanup of the spill,
which began in April 2010 with a blowout at an oil-drilling platform
off the coast of Louisiana. The cost of long-term remediation remains
unknown given the uncertainty about the extent of damage to the
environment, the fishing industry and tourism.
The staff of
the Securities and Exchange Commission and FINRA are issuing this
alert to warn investors about potential scams that exploit the Gulf
oil spill and related cleanup efforts. While some of the companies
touting their role in the cleanup may be legitimate, others could
be bogus operations that are only looking to clean out unsuspecting
investors.
In a recent
action, on May 25, the SEC suspended trading in shares of ACT Clean
Technologies Inc., of Huntington Beach, Calif. The Commission took
this action because of questions about the accuracy and adequacy
of publicly disseminated information concerning, among other things:
(1) British Petroleum's purported expression of interest in using
a so-called oil fluidizer technology purportedly licensed to ACT's
wholly-owned subsidiary for use in cleanup operations in the Gulf
of Mexico; and (2) the purported results of field tests finding
that the oil fluidizers are effective for use in cleanup efforts
in the Gulf of Mexico.
Spotting
Potential Oil Spill Stock Scams
Some
companies may issue press releases, or send unsolicited faxes or
spam emails that might include:
- Claims to
have products or technologies that are effective in remediating
oil spills or restoring the eco-system
- Mention of
contracts or expected contracts with BP, formerly British Petroleum,
that will aid the cleanup effort
- Claims that
the company is providing technical assistance or expertise to
BP or to U.S. government agencies such as the Coast Guard or the
Environmental Protection Agency
- Predictions
of rapid, exponential sales growth
- Pressure
to invest immediately
How
to Avoid Getting Scammed
Here
are some tips to avoid potential scams:
- Investigate
before you invest. Never rely solely on information contained
in an unsolicited fax, email, text message or tweet—or in a blog
post or online thread. It's easy for companies or their promoters
to make glorified claims about product effectiveness, lucrative
contracts, or the company’s revenues, profits or future stock
price.
- Find out
who sent the message. Many companies and individuals that
tout stocks are paid to do so by the company being touted.
Examine the fine print for any statements indicating payments
in cash or in stock for issuing the report or message.
- Find out
where the stock trades. Most unsolicited fax and spam recommendations
involve stocks that do not meet the listing requirements of the
major stock exchanges. Instead, they usually are quoted
on the OTC Bulletin Board or in the Pink Sheets, which do not
impose minimum qualitative standards. Many of the securities
quoted on the OTC Bulletin Board or in the Pink Sheets trade infrequently,
which can make it difficult to sell your shares. When shares
on the OTC Bulletin Board or in the Pink Sheets do trade, they
may move up or down in price very rapidly.
- Read a
company’s SEC filings. Most public companies file quarterly
and annual reports with the SEC. Check the SEC’s EDGAR database
to find out if the company is filing reports to the SEC, and read
them. Be aware that registering securities and filing reports
with the SEC does not mean the company will be a good investment.
- Exercise
some skepticism. Scammers are very adept at making their pitches
appear real, including the use of slick videos and websites. Be
extremely wary of any pitch that suggests immediate pay-offs,
especially if the investment involves a start-up company or a
product or service that is still in development.
If you’re suspicious
about an offer or if you think the claims might be exaggerated or
misleading, please contact us:
SEC
Office of Investor Education and Advocacy
FINRA
Complaint Center
Additional
Resources
http://www.sec.gov/answers/hurricane.htm
http://www.sec.gov/litigation/suspensions/2010/34-62166.pdf
http://www.sec.gov/answers/pumpdump.htm
http://www.finra.org/Investors/ProtectYourself/AvoidInvestmentFraud/
http://www.sec.gov/investor/alerts/oil.htm
To receive the
latest Investor Alerts and other important investor information
sign up for Investor
News.
About
FINRA:
The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA),
is the largest independent regulator for all securities firms doing
business in the United States. All told, FINRA oversees nearly
4,800 brokerage firms, about 170,400 branch offices and approximately
643,000 registered securities representatives.
FINRA believes
investor protection begins with education. Using the Internet, the
media and public forums, we help investors build their financial
knowledge and provide them with essential tools to better understand
the markets and basic principles of saving and investing.
|
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Father’s
Day.
by Staff.
No
more cheap, last minute, striped ties!
Dear Dad,
Thi$ year, in$tead
of $ending you a la$t-minute bargain basement tie, I $plurged on
a pre-meditated, Iron Man II $hirt in$tead. Don’t worry.
The kid$ and I will $urvive $omehow. Though $ummer vacation may
have to be barbecue$ in the backyard (unle$$ Chri$tma$ come$ a little
early – hint hint)…
With Love,
Your very loving
(and broke)
Daughter
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dear Daughter,
You kNOw how
much I appreciate receiving a NOte from you on Father’s Day, and
to have that NOte accompanied by a t-shirt (that I would NOt be
caught dead in and don’t even think of burying me in it), well there
are NO words to express just how hoNOred I feel.
I’ve got a big
barbecue pit in the backyard and though your mom and I are NOtoriously
lazy about cooking NOw that you kids all have families of your own,
I would NOt hesitate to throw a few shrimps on the Barbie while
talking in an Aussie accent so that we can all pretend to be vacationing
in Australia.
With Love,
Your Very Loving
(and retired on a fixed income)
Dad
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
This year if
you want to honor Dad with a gift he really wants, check out the
survey
on the home page at NataliePace.com. Dad: Vote so we know what to
get!
Mom: Note that
massage and pampering usually $cores in the top $lot in the $urvey.
Don’t undere$timate the gift of your love, affection and foot rub$!
|
|
Central Bank Independence.
by Dr.
Gary S. Becker.
Governments
that control central banks have often used their power to increase
the money supply and create inflation. A growth of the money supply
increases the revenue collected by the government through an inflation-imposed
tax on the holders of money.
These and other
abuses of governmental power over central banks helped create the
intellectual support for independent central banks. During the past
several decades several central banks, such as the Mexico central
bank, have become more independent of their government.
I have little
doubt that central banks should have considerable independence.
Yet complete central bank independence from politicians does not
seem desirable, since banks also can abuse their powers. At times
they can be tone deaf to what is happening in the economy, and at
other times they are too much under control of the private banks
that they regulate.
An analogy is
often drawn between an independent judiciary and an independent
central bank. Just as an independent judiciary often prevents legislatures
and heads of governments from abusing their power to formulate and
interpret laws, so an independent central bank is supposed to prevent
governments from inflating the money supply, and in other ways creating
monetary mischief. Yet the analogy between central banks and the
judiciary is incomplete and not perfect. If the Supreme Court gives
an unpopular opinion, such as its recent decision on the unconstitutionality
of bans on spending by corporations during elections, that does
not directly reflect on the governing policies of the President
or Congress. Indeed, President Obama has openly criticized the opinion
and clearly expressed his opposition. On the other hand, when central
bank policies help create inflation or unemployment, the governing
party will be blamed because the electorate cannot distinguish the
effects of central bank behavior from the effects of presidential
and legislative decisions.
Milton Friedman
in "Should there be an Independent Monetary Authority"
(1962) and elsewhere argued against complete independence of the
Fed and other central banks because that would give too much power
to the top bank officials. He also opposed making a central bank
subservient to political leaders because that could lead these leaders
to misuse the bank’s powers in order to promote their short–term
political gain. His solution was a monetary rule, such as a fixed
growth rate in the money supply. Such a rule would make many important
central bank decisions completely automatic, and independent of
the desires of both central bank heads and government officials.
Taylor-type interest rate rules that have greatly influenced some
central banks are generalizations of Friedman’s rule on money supply
growth that are linked to inflation and the growth of GDP. Taylor-type
rules also can operate automatically, and could be largely independent
of both central bankers and politicians.
Yet even if
a central bank followed a rigid rule to determine its interest rate
and money supply policies, it would be necessary to periodically
evaluate how well the rule was working. And since central banks
are unlikely to continue to follow a fixed rule in the face of a
financial crisis, evaluations of its discretionary decisions are
also necessary. While the bank should provide its own evaluations,
these would tend to be biased toward justification of what it had
done.
This is why
I support substantial but not complete independence of central banks
from legislative and executive oversight. Such oversight can
force central banks heads to justify what they did in a public and
open arena. The need to provide regular reports on its behavior
to legislative committees would bring out mistakes made by the central
bank. It would also induce central bankers to take more careful
decisions since they would anticipate having to justify what they
did in a public forum.
The US approach
to the Fed makes a reasonable compromise between independence and
oversight. The President appoints, subject to Senate approval, all
seven members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve for
14-year terms. Neither the President nor the Senate can remove any
member prior to the expiration of their terms because of disagreements
with bank policies. The President chooses, subject also to Senate
approval, the Chairman of the Board, the most powerful position
on the Board, from among the sitting Governors. The chairman serves
for four years and can be reappointed. The chairman must report
twice a year to Congress on the Fed’s policies, and he is asked
to testify on other occasions before Congressional committees. He
also collaborates with the Treasury on various occasions, as during
the 2008-09 financial crisis.
Some critics
believe the Fed has too much independence from Congress and the
President. Following this line of criticism, Representative Ron
Paul of Texas in 2009 introduced a bill that would provide for greater
Congressional oversight of the Fed. Others believe that the Fed
and other central banks have too cozy a relation with governments,
and that political pressures excessively influence central bankers
to conform to short-term political wishes.
The best way
to help meet both objections is to make public all the Fed’s decisions
(and that of other central banks), with no more than a short lag.
Rather than being an asset, central bank secrecy is a handicap to
businessmen and consumers who make investment and other decisions
that are affected greatly by what the bank does. To maximize
public information, the central bank, whenever feasible, should
follow known interest rate and money supply rules that are clearly
related to the rate of inflation and the degree of slack in the
economy.
Under these
conditions, present laws on the length of the chairman’s term and
that of the other members of the Fed’s Governing Board, and the
laws requiring periodic reports of the chairman before Congress,
would be effective. A system that has the Fed following rules that
govern its policy decisions, combined with some discretionary authority
in crises, and also with some congressional oversight would provide
a reasonable mixture of central bank independence and control by
Congress.
About
Gary Becker:
Dr.
Gary Becker is a University Professor, Department
of Economics, and Sociology Professor, Graduate School of Business,
The University of Chicago. He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in
1992 for his groundbreaking work in "human capital." President George
W. Bush awarded him the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2007.
To keep track
of Dr. Becker's continuing research and commentary, visit his website
and blog.
.
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Safe
and Strong.
by Natalie
Pace.
You
could have earned 20% gains with a Recession-Proof Plan in 2009.
Learn how.
In
2009, you could have kept half safe and still earned 20% gains (20
cents on every dollar invested). This may sound hard to believe
because all you hear on the news is recession, unemployment and
oil spill. But the NASDAQ outperformed gold, 40% to 26%, high yield
bonds had a field day, with gains of 46% and Australia was a rock
star, performing at 71% returns in the Asia Pacific, excluding Japan,
fund category. Wow. Those are a lot of gains being flushed down
the drain of the daily headline drama that embroils most Americans.
Easy-as-a-Pie-Chart
Does It
Now,
you might be thinking, "Well who knew? And how can I get onboard
before all of this happens, when I was late to the real estate
game and got burned, and was late to the DOT COM game and got burned
there, too?" Uh. Well, this easy strategy that works in bull
and bear markets is not found in headlines and is not
found on the lips of most brokers. Chances are that one or both
are informing your investment strategy, so it was easy for you to
get burned. However, it is just as easy for you to get smart, and
I encourage you to do just that (and bring your friends and family
along, too).
For the average
investor, you need a plan that works in bull and bear markets. You
do NOT need to be obsessing day-to-day over the monster tennis match
that is going on between hedge funds right now. (And yes, that is
the source of the extreme volatility.) Better to get enough safe,
get the bailouts out of your portfolio, add hot industries and annually
rebalance so that you can capture profits. The good news about this
is that you are also taking ownership of the best companies in the
world, while refusing to have your money routed (without your knowledge
really) to the bailouts.
You can read
about these strategies in You
Vs. Wall Street. Or you can spend three days with
me in Santa Monica at one of my Get
Rich and Enrich Retreats where you will set up a blueprint
of investing that works for the rest of your life. There are only
three seats available at the July 23-25, 2010 retreat, so if you
want to be one of the lucky twelve, call 866-476-7442 now to reserve
your seat.
Stock
Market Returns Over the Last 30 Years

The truth is
that if you invest 10% of your take home, your nest egg will be
worth more than you earn in salary, in just seven years.
In 25 years, your nest egg can earn more every year in income than
you do, and you can quit your job if you wish! That is based on
a 10% annual return (which is what stocks did over the last 30 years).
If your returns are 20%, then your nest egg is worth more than your
salary in six years, and it earns more annually than you do in just
14 years. That’s the power of compounding. (FYI: Some retreat attendees,
like Rita Starnes, earned 39% gains last year!)
20%
Nest Egg Returns Add Up Fast!
|
Year
|
Starting
Amount (based on adding $10,000 annually)
|
20%
Gains
|
Total
|
|
1.
|
$10,000
|
$2,000
|
$12,000
|
|
2.
|
$22,000
|
$4,400
|
$26,400
|
|
3.
|
$36,400
|
$7,280
|
$43,680
|
|
4.
|
$53,680
|
$10,736
|
$64,416
|
|
5.
|
$74,416
|
$14,883.20
|
$89,299.20
|
|
6.
|
$99,299.20
|
$19,859.84
|
$119,159.04
|
|
7.
|
$129,159.04
|
$25,831.81
|
$154,990.82
|
|
8.
|
$164,990.82
|
$35,000
|
$197,989.02
|
|
9.
|
$207,989.02
|
$41,500
|
$249,586.82
|
|
10.
|
$259,586.82
|
$51,000
|
$311,504.19
|
|
11.
|
$321,504.19
|
$64,300
|
$385,805.03
|
|
12.
|
$395,805.03
|
$79,000
|
$474,966.03
|
|
13.
|
$484,966.03
|
$97,000
|
$581,959.24
|
|
14.
|
$591,959.24
|
$118,391.85
|
$710,351.09
|
|
15.
|
$720,351.09
|
$144,000
|
$864,421.31
|
|
16.
|
$874,421.31
|
$174,884.26
|
$1,049,305.57
|
Based
upon depositing $10,000 annually (10% of $100,000 take home salary)
©
2010 NataliePace.com
Notice that
if you are earning $100,000 annually, you could be worth more than
a million in just 16 years. And this is a safe plan that works in
bull and bear markets, which means that you can spend your time
earning a living and enjoying your family instead of obsessing about
your investments losing value and how you’re going to make ends
meet. (If you earn less than $100,000, your money compounds in the
same ratio, just with a lower principle.)
So, here’s
what a Recession-Proofed Nest Egg Looks like…
.jpg)
.jpg)
And here
are the returns for each of those slices of the pie in 2009.
|
Industry/Fund
|
Returns
for 2009
|
|
Australia/New
Zealand
|
71%
|
|
Gold
|
26%
|
|
Clean
Energy
|
22%
|
|
Technology
|
62%
|
|
Small
Cap Growth
|
35%
|
|
Small
Cap Value
|
31%
|
|
Mid Cap
Growth
|
39%
|
|
Mid Cap
Value
|
35%
|
|
Large
Cap Growth
|
36%
|
|
Large
Cap Value
|
24%
|
Annual
REBALANCING:
After
you set your nest egg up right, each year, you simply:
- Draw a pie
chart of what you should have, making sure you have enough safe.
- See if you
want to change your four Hot Industries (the four at the top).
- See if there
is anything you want to avoid. (This year, most of the value stocks
are heavy into financials. I’d underweight that.)
- Make what
you have look like what you should have (buying and selling to
do that)
To your fiscal
health!
If you’d
like to learn what industries I think are hot, join me on my 3-teleconference
series on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
The calls are scheduled for 3 consecutive Tuesday nights at 6:00
p.m. PT, starting on June 22, 2010. The call-in number is: (347)
215-7305.
Bring
your questions. Bring a friend. Bring a boyfriend. Bring 5 boyfriends.
Bring your mom!
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million dollars for Los Angeles
public schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/Natalie-Pace/416616285568,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be all in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your
retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has
been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who
is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more.
The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part
of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest
into individual companies should never be greater than your experience,
wisdom, knowledge and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
10 Golden Rules of
Investing.
by Natalie Pace.
- Tithe
to yourself first.
- Keep a
percent equal to your age SAFE.
- Diversify
your stock holdings.
- Diversify
your assets.
- Never
loan money to relatives or friends.
- Startups
are fun or charity – but not nest egg investments.
- Never
let relatives or friends manage or invest your money.
- Underweight
distressed industries and overweight hot industries.
- Rebalance
at least once a year.
- Trust
no one. Verify everything.
And
Here’s Why, How, When, Where, etc.
- Tithe
to yourself first. Your
401K, IRA, Health Savings Account and other "retirement"
plans are protected from the claims of people whom you owe money
to. (That’s how OJ Simpson kept from paying the Goldman Family
when they won their $33 million dollar settlement against him.)
So many people are concerned with paying down debt, when equal
concern should be given to covering your assets. The people you
owe money to are not going to take up a collection to keep you
housed and fed if you lose your job, so don’t short-change yourself.
You have an obligation to yourself, in addition to the obligation
you have to pay back money you borrowed (and all of the astronomical
fees and interest rates that accompany that).
- Keep
a percent equal to your age SAFE. Read
the article, "What’s
Safe?"
in the June 2010 ezine for more details. During troubled times
and recessions and/or if you’re a Nervous Nellie, overweight an
additional 10-20% safe.
- Diversify
your stock holdings. Read
You
Vs. Wall Street, particularly page 92, to see
how you can get rich and enrich the world, while employing easy-as-a-pie-chart
nest egg strategies that work in bull and bear markets. Select
just 10 diversified funds and you can easily see and capture your
gains each year. Be sure to trim out the Bailouts and add in the
Hot Industries to maximize your returns! Yes. You’ll learn how
to do this in You
Vs. Wall Street, but you can also come to a 3-day
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat to set your investing blueprint
up for life.
- Diversify
your assets. Be
an and person. Own your own home and stocks and
bonds and a little gold and then start thinking
about other low maintenance, low risk assets. The truth of returns
is that when real estate is in favor, stocks might perform more
moderately, and when stocks and real estate are out of favor,
gold scores. Over time, the returns are more steady and reliable,
meaning that when you employ a sound, diversified strategy, you
can rest easy through the storms and traumas of the moment, while
your nest egg grows.

- Never
loan money to relatives or friends. Read
the "Don’t Be Famous and Bankrupt" chapter from You
Vs. Wall Street
for details. You can give money to a relative or a friend.
You can spend your fun or education money on a relative
or friend’s startup business. (This can’t be an investment
because most startup businesses fail and your nest egg should
be tried and true, low risk/low maintenance holdings.) You don’t
want to be the bank of the family and you certainly aren’t evaluating
these "loans" based upon merit or the probability that
the loan will be repaid. Look at your spending in the harsh light
of reality. It might be charity (so give the money). It might
be fun or educational (so spend the money, if you wish). But it’s
not a loan or an investment that will pay you back, so don’t loan
the money with that kind of expectation attached (it will only
produce stomach acid and ill will).
- Startups
are fun or charity – but not nest egg investments. If
you are an actor/waiter or a singer/secretary or an author/executive,
you might wish to spend every last penny of your time and fun
and education money on your CDs, self-published books or actor
reels. However, at the same time, be sure that you are also putting
10% of your take home pay into a 401K, IRA, Health savings Account
or other Buy My Own Island Fund. Within seven years, you’ll have
more money in your account than you earn, and within 25 years,
your assets will earn more each year than you do. That means a
lot more dollars and sense (and time) to spend on those beloved
art projects!
- Never
let relatives or friends manage or invest your money. According
to a 2006 FINRA.org
study on investment fraud, 70 percent of victims made an investment
based primarily on advice from a relative or friend. Interview
your money managers as if your life depends upon it because your
lifestyle does.
- Underweight
distressed industries and overweight hot industries. Doing
this last year meant that you could have kept almost half of your
nest egg safe (earning 3% in Treasury Bills and FDIC insured saving
accounts) and still made a 20% return on investment! AIG, GM,
Bank of America and Citigroup were all part of the Dow Jones Industrial
Average, meaning 13% of the 30 components were bailed out. Not
surprisingly, the former leading blue chip index (now the bailout
index) earned less than half as much as NASDAQ in 2009, with gains
of 15%, compared to NASDAQ’s 40%. The Dow is still down 22% from
January of 2008, while NASDAQ is only off 14%. And one of the
top performing industry in 2009 was information technology, earning
over 60 cents on the dollar! Another hot pick (featured in the
NataliePace.com ezine) was Australia, which led the Pacific Asia
funds, excluding Japan, to score returns of 71 cents on the dollar!
- Rebalance
at least once a year. If
you rebalanced at the beginning of 2008, overweighting 20% safe
because of the recession, your maximum losses would have been
limited to just 15% if you were 50, even at the lowest point,
when most people lost half of their holdings. At the same time,
you would have captured gains of almost 60 cents on the dollar
in clean energy, which was the top performing asset class of 2007.
With that strategy, your nest egg would have been worth more in
2008, rather than less (like most people experienced). In 2009,
NASDAQ earned more than gold, at 40% compared to 26%, respectively.
With the markets down 2-3% (as of May 31, 2010), you can see why
rebalancing and capturing those annual gains is critical to a
growing nest egg!
- Trust
no one. Verify everything. Your
bank: Bailed out. Some brokerages: Bankrupt. Others: bailed out.
The "experts" failed, with few exceptions. Stocks over
the last decade have lost money for buy and hold investors. Investors
who employed my easy-as-a-pie-chart nest egg strategies and annually
rebalancing (which are outlined in You
Vs. Wall Street)
are much richer today than they were 10 years ago. I don’t have
any initials behind my name, though I have been doing what I do
successfully through bull and bear markets for 12 years.
Those with the credentials busted out, which means that the more
"experience" a money manager has, the worse the performance
was, on average. The only experience that counts these days is
a PhD is in results. For help verifying the facts that matter,
read, "Brokers are Salesmen, Not Surgeons" in You
Vs. Wall Street
and check out Nilo Bolden’s video blog on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.

About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/Natalie-Pace/416616285568,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be all in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your
retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has
been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who
is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more.
The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part
of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest
into individual companies should never be greater than your experience,
wisdom, knowledge and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
What’s
Safe?
by
Natalie Pace.
The
Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped almost 7500 points in the
last three years. Mortgage fraud is on the rise. The Federal Trade
Commission, Federal Bureau of Investigation, state securities regulators
and other experts have estimated that investment fraud in the U.S.
ranges from $10-$40 billion a year. Clearly, getting your money
safe is your primary job these days.
You
cannot turn on the television without hearing a brokerage or an
insurance company (many of which really shouldn’t be in business
any more) telling you what to do with your money. As if they are
still qualified to do that! Fortunately, it’s your money and you
have a choice of who to trust and what to invest in. If you want
to keep a beautiful bottom line, you’re going to have to discern
between a good ad and a good strategy.
The
one thing that you need to be very careful of is having someone
convince you to take on extra risk for the possibility of earning
a few extra percentage points. The point of "safe" is
SAFE, not high yield! (You want to get the returns out of the percentage
of your portfolio that is "at risk.") The safe part of
your assets has the primary responsibility to not decline in value
– even in a recession. And the cool thing is that in 2009, even
if you kept almost half safe (really safe, just earning 3% in Treasury
Bills and FDIC insured money markets), you could have still racked
up 20% total gains with the solid, easy-as-a-pie-chart nest egg
strategy that is outlined in the pages of You
Vs. Wall Street.
Check
out what
Nilo Bolden says about keeping her assets safe, in the video
blog of May 29, 2010.
What’s
the Safest?
Did
you know that 140 banks failed in 2009 and 78 have failed so far
this year (as of June 1, 2010)? Did you know that the Reserve Primary
money market fund broke the buck in September of 2008, meaning that
money market investors could not access their money? Sure The Reserve
paid most of the money back, but the payments have been made in
six installments over the last two years and are only 98.6% paid.
So, what are the most protected areas for your money?
- FDIC insured
savings accounts and checking accounts.
- Government
Backed Treasuries in Stable Governments.
What
are Relatively Safe Places for your Money?
Let’s
face it. If you have more than a quarter of a million dollars in
paper assets, it’s time to start diversifying. Below are a few other
areas for your money that are relatively safe – provided you do
your homework, and make sure that all of your costs to carry are
covered and you still have some cushion and a decent return.
- Bonds
in stable companies with a high rating and not too much debt.
(Check all three criteria by constructing a Stock Report Card
on the company.) Ideally these companies would also be in an
industry that looks bright in the years to come. (You wouldn’t
want a bond in the typewriter industry when computers were invented.)
If you are buying new bonds, you need to understand the relationship
between rising interest rates and bond value before you make
your purchase, and should consider the benefits of buying a
short-term bond over a long-term.
- Revenue
bonds backed by the revenue of basic needs in stable cities.
Bond veteran Muriel Siebert suggested investors might check
out water revenue bonds because most people pay their water
bill, even in a recession! Having said that, I doubt that I’d
want to own the water bond in a city where all of the workers
were just laid off and everyone was looking to relocate to another
city for work.
- Your
own home. It’s important to realize that your own home is
illiquid (takes awhile to sell and there is no guarantee that
it will sell in the future) and has a cost to carry. Having
said that, the interest (in the U.S.) is tax deductible, and
since this typically amounts to most of your monthly payment,
you’re getting an outstanding tax write-off that you get to
live in! Make sure that you are buying something you can afford
to live in for the next five years, easily -- including
maintenance, insurance, upkeep, wear and tear, etc. (The magic
ratio is that all of your basic needs should amount to less
than 50% of your take home pay. Read chapter 8, "The Billionaire
Game", of You
Vs. Wall Street for more details.)
- Cash-positive,
recession-proof, hard assets. From income property,
to car washes to coin-operated washing machines, add up all
of the costs to carry, including insurance, taxes, maintenance,
upkeep (management fees if it’s rental property), wear and tear
and even potential loss due to theft or fire, etc. Then take
a look at the revenue. If the revenue is 25% higher than all
of your costs and this is an income stream that does well in
a recession, then odds are in your favor that you’ve found a
good, hard asset. I say 25% because you want a healthy cushion
during the recession, in case hard times continue and the value
of the asset drops.
- Gold
stock and/or coins. Gold wasn’t the top earner in 2009 (NASDAQ
was), but it is definitely in favor, ringing up 26% gains last
year. Gold is hot now, but it was the worst performer for the
last 30 years, scoring below Treasury Bills for a return of
only 2.33% between 1979 and 2009. You don’t want to be too overloaded
in gold that you’ll have trouble trimming back later, when other
assets become more desirable again.

Be
wary of…
- Yield
that is much higher than the rest of the market. Indymac
was paying 5% on their Certificates of Deposit the week that
the FDIC seized the bank. The Reserve Primary money market fund
was paying above the competition as well, before they "broke
the buck." You don’t want to have to file a form or wait
to have access to your own money.
- Municipal
Bonds. There are a substantial number of national, state
and local governments that are over-leveraged, without a sustainable
plan to get the budget under control. These bonds are not nearly
as safe as they have been traditionally.
- "Guaranteed"
annuities. Substantial taxes and charges may apply if you
withdraw your money early. Further, while the annuity is guaranteed
by the insurance company, there is no guarantee that the insurance
company is going to be around for the life of the policy. When
AIG imploded, there would have been a lot of bankrupt annuity
plans if the government didn’t step in with a bailout. There
is no insurance, like the FDIC, for investments. So, be sure
to check out the health of the insurance company before choosing
an annuity, and understand that ultimately, there is no guarantee
on any investment – even annuities.
- Your
Pension. Most municipalities and private corporations that
provide defined-benefit pension and health plans are not in
a position to pay the bill in full. We’ve seen corporation after
corporation, especially under the umbrella of Chapter 11, make
buy-out offers to their pension holders, many times for much
less than the former employee was counting on. And with Baby
Boomers retiring, this has the potential to get worse. Can you
cut a deal now with your pension provider to roll the assets
into a 401K and/or IRA? It’s worth checking into. Don’t assume
that the corporation or municipality can manage your assets
better than you can. Too many have already proven that’s not
the case.
- Bond
Funds. If the safe portion of your 401K, IRA, etc. are in
bond funds, be aware that once interest rates start to rise,
the value of your bond fund will go down. That means this is
not the safest area for your money going forward.
What
is not safe?
- Going
all in on anything. Don’t get spooked into putting
all your faith in any one asset. Blindly investing in commodities
(particularly gold) is no better than chasing real estate gains
in 2005 or DOT COM fever in 2000. Commodities have seen periods
of drought, just like any other asset class.
- Avoid
areas of high fraud risk. According to the Mortgage Asset
Research Institute, mortgage fraud is rampant in the U.S. The
10 worst offending states, are, in order: Florida, New York,
California, Arizona, Michigan, Maryland, New Jersey, Georgia,
Illinois, and Virginia. If you are in trouble with your mortgage,
contact Hope
Now. Do not give anyone money or access to your
deed before checking the fine print and the background of the
person making the promises to you. Hope
Now’s toll-free number is: 888.995.HOPE.
- New
Banks, insurance companies, money managers, etc. that were
founded less than four years ago. You might think that a new
bank, insurance company and/or money manager would have a competitive
edge in the world of bailouts, and they do. The problem is that
the visionary companies are mixed in with scam artists. Those
aggressive salesmen who were selling mortgages to anyone with
a pulse in 2006 are now trying to modify loans, sell stocks
and/or flip houses. Blind faith is never a good strategy – but
especially not now when everyone is scrambling to scoop up as
many sales as possible.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace, is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on FoxNews, CNBC, ABC TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/Natalie-Pace/416616285568,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please
note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We
report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be all in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your
retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has
been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who
is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more.
The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part
of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest
into individual companies should never be greater than your experience,
wisdom, knowledge and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
Find
Alignment Not Balance.
by Alvin
Tam.
My wife and
I own and operate a yoga-fitness studio called Barefoot
Sanctuary that operates out of the largest Whole Foods
Market in Las Vegas. We are very lucky to partner and create a community
studio space with them because we also have the opportunity to introduce
very unique courses into the schedule that we wouldn’t be able to
do at other studios. One of those classes is my Handstand Class.
You wouldn’t
think that spending an hour on your hands would be an enticing fitness
offering, but it’s become quite popular. I’ve had people from all
walks, none of them acrobats, come and learn the art of inversion
and staying on your hands.
Perhaps the
growing success of the class is due to the benefit of getting blood
to your head, or the feeling of increasing strength in your shoulders
and back but I think the real draw is because it teaches you the
actual meaning of finding balance in your life.
Finding balance
is a common goal for anyone who is too stressed, too overworked,
too tired, and too busy. There are many books and speakers who talk
about how to find balance in your life and offer a multitude of
tools to do so. Some work and some don’t, but the one commonality
of all these tools is that they are all metaphors. They are ideas
that you apply to your life by using analogies, symbols, and concepts.
When you learn
to do a handstand, however, you don’t deal in concepts or metaphors.
You either achieve a balanced state or you don’t. And when you don’t,
you fall over. The feedback loop is instantaneous.
When I begin
teaching handstands to someone who has never tried it before, I
explain that learning to do handstands is not about finding balance,
which kind of surprises most people. Learning to do handstands is
actually about creating proper alignment.
Think of your
body as being divided into three blocks. Imagine that the first
block runs from your fingers to your shoulders, the second from
your shoulders to your hips, and the last block from your hips to
your toes. When you’re inverted in a handstand, your job is to align
the blocks on top of each other.
Pretend you
are five again and you are playing with a set of Lego blocks. If
you put one block on top of the other but put it on the corner,
then set the third block on top, again skewed on the corner, your
structure might hold only if you secure it with rubber bands and
nails. In other words, you’re able to build a tower but it requires
additional energy and resources to make it stay.
Another note
about balance - you can balance anything, regardless of its shape.
Finding balance is really about finding the center of gravity of
an object and manuveuring it so that you place its center of gravity
directly over its contact point on the ground. If you’re not sure
what I’m talking about, try to recall images of acrobats at a circus
balancing spinning plates, chairs, or even other people. They are
able to balance the object even if it is shaped unusually. (I’ve
balanced an unfolded six-foot step ladder, a bicycle, chairs, and
people on my chin.)
The lesson is
that you can find balance in anything, but that doesn’t mean you
want to. What you want to do, especially in proper handstand technique,
is to align the body so that balance comes naturally and almost
without effort. Then you are using your structure and alignment
to maintain your position while using very little energy. You are
strong and efficient.
In other words,
learning to do a proper handstand is about aligning the three blocks
by making sure that your legs are directly over your hips, your
hips directly over your chest, your chest directly over your shoulders
and your shoulders directly over your hands. It sounds simplistic
and it is. It’s simple, but not easy.
It’s not easy
at first because aligning all these body parts requires subtle contractions
of muscles that you rarely use and stretching of other ligaments
that you hardly ever stretch. Most people come into the class with
enough strength to hold themselves upside down, but lack the subtle
strength and flexibility to position their body in a straight vertical
line.
When you finally
achieve proper alignment, then finding balance is not really an
issue. Since gravity works only in one direction, and if your body
blocks are directly on top of each other, then your handstand will
be balanced. It can’t and won’t go anywhere. For example, try to
balance three wooden blocks when they’re stacked exactly on top
of each other. There’s nothing to balance because the alignment
makes it balanced.
So, back to
the metaphor of life and the issue of finding balance. My suggestion
is to stop finding balance in your life and to begin creating alignment
instead. Just like the crazy circus acrobats, you can find balance
even if your life is a whirlwind with areas that are well over-extended
and others that are completely ignored. You can find balance in
an out-of-balance lifestyle - it’s just that you’re going to have
a work a lot harder to keep it there.
When you create
alignment in your life, you begin by identifying your values. Once
you know what your values are, you line up three things, just like
your body: your thoughts, your actions, and your words.
Having a set
of defined values is like gravity to the handstand - you have to
know how to position your body relative to the force of gravity.
Once you have identified your values, you now also know how to think,
act, and speak to align with those values.
Again, the process
is simple, but not easy. If you have a life that is chaotic and
out of control, then evaluate your ability to follow through with
what you say, do, or think. Maybe you don’t fulfill commitments,
which breaks your alignment, and forces you to be out of balance.
Maybe you smile outwardly at people and cuss inwardly at their incompetence.
Perhaps you
do act with integrity but your life is still out of balance. Then
consider if your values are yours truly, and if they are reflective
of who you are now. Contemplate whether or not you are still living
a life based on borrowed values from parents, social circles, or
religion.
For example,
one of my values is to help people. I remember writing this down
on a piece of paper in grade four when we were asked what we wanted
to do when we grew up. Since this is one of my core values, I make
sure that my thoughts, actions, and words reflect this mission,
which is why we have a yoga-fitness studio and I write on personal
growth.
So you might
not ever come to my handstand class or even try one on your own.
I do recommend that you meditate on your values and evaluate your
follow through. If you are aligned, then you end up being able to
take on more and more work without exhausting yourself or working
inefficiently. You experience abundant energy, daily passion for
your life - and a sense of balance.
Las Vegas Locals!
Join Natalie Pace at her Borders Town Square workshop on June 19th
at 2:00 p.m., and receive a chance to win a month at Alvin's Barefoot
Sanctuary studio! Other giveaways include: dinner for 2 at Canaletto,
tickets to Phantom, a seat at an upcoming NataliePace Get Rich and
Enrich Retreat, appetizer cards from California Pizza Kitchen (first
25) and a gift from Sephora (first 25). For directions and additional
information, go to the NataliePace.com calendar.
About
Alvin Tam
Alvin
Tam is the founder of Soul Acrobats®, an inspirational products
company and Acrofit™, an acrobatic fitness system. He has
over 15 years of experience as a circus artist, stuntman, dancer,
actor, and coach and has performed for Cirque du Soleil, Notre Dame
de Paris, and appeared on CSI. Alvin’s passion is to inspire you
to achieve your impossible.
Products
VISIT: http://www.soulacrobats.com/products-page/
- Book: The
Art of Impossible
- DVD: The
Acrofit System Level 1, Expressive Yoga for the Soul
|
|
Dating
is Like the Stock Market.
by Jodi
Seidler.
The
True Cost of a Date.
In the world
of dating over the years, I have noticed many things, and have drawn
many conclusions… I have learned that when you decide to look
for love again, feeling the trepidations of the dating market, you
can begin by carefully placing your toe in the muddy dating waters.
You can test out the landscape by going out with someone ‘nice’,
something safe, like Microsoft or General Electric.
You’ll build
your dating confidence as you see how what you have chosen performs.
You can grow your portfolio wisdom, with experience of dating different
types, until you develop more confidence and a sense of who and
what fits your lifestyle. Too many people jump in and get hooked
on the rush of adrenalin they feel from the wrong type of person,
and they run out of steam to find the right one. Take some time
and get in touch with your dating investment profile, and see what
you can afford to invest emotionally, and be realistic about who
you are.
Someone’s stock
can rise and fall. Opening the car door for you – up 5 points, texting
friends during dinner – down 10. Stocks, like dates, can tank on
certain news. In dating, news of an old girlfriend in town, or being
seen out with someone else (holding hands) can make your date’s
stock tumble. If the news is more severe, there might be no chance
of recovery from where you bought in. Take a look at the fallen
stocks of Tiger Woods and Jesse James. They may never recover their
worth. It’s enough to make you want to quit the market – but don’t…
Earnings are
a big deal in the world of stocks and when the quarterly results
come out, euphoria or depression is a distinct possibility. The
analogy, in the dating world, are birthdays, anniversaries and major
holidays (Christmas, Hanukkah). Dating "stocks" can experience
wild swings up or down on these events. For example, if the guy
forgets his girl’s birthday, even by a day, his stock can zero out
to bottom feeder status. On the other hand, if on a particular anniversary,
the girlfriend is shocked to see a limo in front of her house about
to take her away for the weekend…his stock soars out of control.
(But then again, you know this guys!)
And in today’s
world, the very best way to begin to date may just be from a friend’s
referral. Our friends know us and have a sense of who is right and
wrong for us. They certainly have a landscape view of our history
and poor choices made.
Putting our
faith in friends just may be the best way to find love. Dating a
friend’s friend comes with a certain emotional safety that is worth
its weight in gold, especially in the beginning of your romantic
journey.
And we can all
see how high the price of gold has risen over the years.
Jodi Seidler
is the Creator of: Making
Lemonade - A Community for Single Parents and Hipster
Club - A Hip Community.
|
|
Schwab’s Perspective on a Difficult Week.
by Michelle
Gibley, Senior Market Analyst, Schwab Center for Financial Research.
May 21, 2010
Stocks
plunged roughly 5% on the week in the US on six major themes:
--
The transition from liquidity to solvency and growth concerns in
Europe
-- The
fate of the largest global growth driver, the Chinese economy
-- The
slowdown in the pace of economic growth in the US
-- Government
proposals on markets and banks that could slow growth and increase
the cost of capital
-- A shift
in sentiment toward a flight-to-liquidity and safety from one of
risk-seeking
-- Negative
technical factors as the S&P 500 falling through the 200-day
moving average
After the sigh
of relief last week from the $1 trillion Euro-TARP that gave Greece
and other troubled nations a less-costly method of accessing funds
versus the high interest rates that were being priced into capital
markets before the bailout, markets turned their attention to the
longer-term implications of the bailout and the realization that
the problems that precipitated the euro-area crisis remain.
Market talk
centered on the hit to euro-area economic growth that would likely
be experienced as governments need to make sharp cuts to spending
in order to cut deficits, and as money in stronger nations (namely
Germany) is put to more unproductive uses in order to support weaker
nations. Additionally, the euro fell to a four-year low versus the
dollar as investors believe it is increasingly vulnerable with the
ECB’s balance sheet deteriorating in quality by purchasing low-quality
debt, and amid the strains of a group of nations that have diverging
economic growth and lack of cohesion from 16 different political
systems, with some speculation of an eventual break-up in the euro.
News from the
euro-area was punctuated with a temporary ban by Germany on naked
short-selling—the selling of a security without ownership-of 10
banks and insurers, as well as euro-area government bonds and credit-default
swaps, and governmental verbal support for a tax on the financial
market sector. The increased pressure on financial institutions
was mirrored in the US, as the Senate passed financial regulatory
overhaul. Stocks fell as intra-bank lending continued to experience
some stresses at the margin and as markets considered the potential
for increased cost of capital that could be a consequence of the
actions.
Concerns about
the potential for a hard landing in China came as local stocks continued
to fall and on reports that the property market was experiencing
a sharp slowdown after stricter measures were introduced in mid-April.
However, most of these themes have been building over the past month,
and were not specifically new revelations this week. Schwab’s Chief
Investment Strategist Liz Ann Sonders and Director of Market and
Sector Analysis, Brad Sorensen, CFA discussed these issues in their
latest bi-weekly Schwab
Market Perspective: Volatility on the Rise.
The rollover
in the Conference Board’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators
(LEI), which unexpectedly fell 0.1% in April versus a forecast
of a 0.2% rise, should not have been particularly surprising, as
Liz Ann and Brad have been noting the potential for this to happen
as the economy matures to expansion from recovery, and the V-shape
recovery at some point is simply unsustainable. However, the rollover
in the LEI in combination with a rise in jobless claims,
and concerns about the sustainability of growth in both Europe and
China led to a shift in sentiment toward safety from risk-seeking.
While sentiment
is "touchy-feely," it does influence markets, as confidence
and conviction are needed when investing. With the shift, assets
that were the highest beta (high volatility relative to the overall
market) and most speculative saw the steepest declines. The potential
good news is that optimism has been quickly replaced with pessimism,
and as sentiment is a contrary indicator, the best market returns
typically come when pessimism is elevated. While the most oversold,
high beta areas of the market are likely to rebound the most on
a short-term bounce, Liz Ann and Brad have been noting a change
in leadership this year that favors large cap US markets. Additionally,
for tactical investors, Brad has the consumer discretionary and
materials sectors rated underperform, as discussed in Schwab
Sector Views: Sea Change?, while keeping an outperform
on health care and technology.
Liz Ann and
Brad note that investors’ mettle is tested the most when uncertainty
is high, but panic is not an investment strategy. The best long-term
strategy is to make sure you have a diversified portfolio that is
appropriate for your level of risk tolerance and time horizon.
See more from
Schwab’s experts at www.schwab.com/marketinsight.
Additionally,
you can listen back to Liz Ann’s May 25, 2010 webcast: Schwab
Town Hall Webcast,
Market Review: Recovery and the Reticent Investor,
where she provided an hour-long mid-year look at the economic recovery,
the likelihood of a market correction, and global investing, along
with Associate Editor for Barron’s, Michael Santoli. Go to:
www.schwab.com/townhall.
Important
Disclosures
This presentation
is for informational purposes only and is not an offer, solicitation
or recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or
sell any particular security or pursue a particular investment strategy.
The types of securities mentioned herein may not be suitable for
everyone. Each investor needs to review a security transaction for
his or her own particular situation. All expressions of opinion
are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market
conditions.
©2010
Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. All rights reserved. Member SIPC.
|
|
Fat Finger and the
May 6 Meltdown.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
my Hot News on Cool Stocks List.
10 Critical
Lessons.
June 1, 2010
General
Stock Market Performance
|
Monday,
1.2.2008
|
Monday,
1.2.2009
|
Monday
1.4.2010
|
Friday,
5.28.2010
|
Gains
2-yr, 1-yr & 5 mo.
|
|
Dow:
13,044.12
|
Dow:
9,034.69
|
Dow:
10,430.69
|
Dow:
10,136.63
|
-22%
& +12% & -3%
|
|
Nasdaq:
2,609.63
|
Nasdaq:
1,632.21
|
Nasdaq:
2,294.41
|
Nasdaq:
2,257.04
|
-14%
& +38% & -2%
|
|
S&P:
1,447.16
|
S&P:
931.80
|
S&P:
1,115.07
|
S&P:
1,089.41
|
-25%
& +17% & -2%
|
Wall
Street Highs/Lows in the New Millennium:
|
Index
|
Low
|
High
|
|
Dow
Jones Industrial Average
|
6,547
(3.9.09)
|
14,164
(10.9.07)
|
|
NASDAQ
Composite Index
|
1,114
(10.9.02)
|
5,060.34
(3.10.00)
|
Hot
News on Cool Stocks Important Data
658%
gains on U.S. Gold!
NASDAQ
Outscored the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 40% to 15%, in 2009
NASDAQ
Outscored Gold in 2009, 40% to 26%
81% of
the positions listed in 2008-2010 are in the money. Woo hoo!
Gold
Tops stocks, real estate, bonds and T-Bills Over the Last 10 Years…
(see below chart)
Real
Estate Lost -12.4%
in 2009.

Compare those
returns to the returns of stocks, real estate, bonds, Treasury bills
and gold over the last 30 years.

Market
Update:
 |
Photo:
Stacie Isabella Turk.
(c) Ribbonhead.com.
Stylist: Melody White.
Art Direction: Arlene Hylton-Campbell. |
Forget about
Fat Tuesday. In centuries to come, people will still be talking
about Fat Finger Thursday, the May 6th Meltdown that saw the Dow
drop more than a thousand points. While we still don’t know all
of the causes (yet), what we do know is that a lot of people ate
their stop losses unnecessarily. The markets dropped so far, so
fast that most people still aren’t sure what hit them or how much
that day cost them. What we do know is that the losses of May 6th
were recovered completely less than a week later, by May 12, 2010.
So, what lessons
can you learn from this horrific experience to ensure that you are
never vulnerable to those kinds of market gyrations going forward?
10 Critical
Lessons from the May 6th Meltdown
- Stop losses
are not a great strategy.
- Keep enough
safe.
- Avoid
the bailouts.
- Overweight
small and medium.
- Overweight
companies founded after 1980.
- West Coast
over East Coast.
- Innovation
over legacy.
- Stimulus
over Bailout.
- Dr. Seussian
Economics over Cronyism Economics.
- KISS
10 funds.
10 Critical
Lessons from the May 6th Meltdown
With Details,
details, details….
- Stop losses
are not a great strategy. On
May 5, 2010, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 10,868.
On May 6, 2010, the Dow closed at 10,520. However, mid-day on
May 6, the Dow dropped 1000 points, to 9869 – a loss of 9%. (If
the Dow had dropped another point, market trading would have been
halted.) If your stop loss kicked in, you lost your investment
over a temporary, 30-minute market mystery that still has experts
puzzled over the cause. What’s a better plan? A better plan. Read
Critical Lesson #2.
- Keep enough
safe. Always
keep a percentage equal to your age in your nest egg safe. Add
10-20% more during recessions and times of market turbulence.
Using this simple formula, your losses on the worst Dog Days of
the Dow (March 9, 2009), when others were down over 50% from the
high of 2007, would have been limited to just 15% if you were
50! In the first scenario, you have to work another 20 years before
retiring. In the second, your Buy My Own Island Fund is still
flourishing.
For more details
on setting up a recession-proofed nest egg, read You
Vs. Wall Street and my article, "Nest
Egg Rebalancing Plan" from the May 2010 ezine, Vol.
7, issue 5.
- Avoid
the bailouts. You
might think this is tricky, but it’s not. With foreclosures on
single-family residences and the newest problem area – commercial
real estate – at heights never before seen, the financials are
not recovering yet (no matter what their earnings reports say).
It’s all a slight of hand, bailout, monkey wrenching, duck tape
fix that might still fail. What other areas are a problem? Companies
founded before 1980, especially those with unions (like airlines,
auto manufacturers and municipalities).
- Overweight
companies founded after 1980. The
Information Technology Giants of today, like Google, Apple and
more, are not your Dot Com of Y2K. These companies are rip-roaring
with revenue, and have no debt and a war chest of cash – totaling
more than $26 billion each. Companies that were founded before
1980 thought they could manage retirement plans and health care
insurance. Turns out they did a lousy job. And many are carrying
the burden of billions in underfunded pensions and other post
employment retirement benefits. Combine that with slow growth
in a slow economy and you’ve got molasses oozing down a drain.
- Overweight
small and medium. You
can see in the chart of returns at the top of this article that
small caps scored 6.5% gains over the last decade, while the Blue
Chips (big caps) lost money over that same period. The most recognized
and widely held Blue Chip Index had 13% of its companies bailed
out (making it the Bailout Index, not the Blue Chip Index). Big
caps are stabilizing forces for your portfolio, but I’d rather
be anchored with Google, Apple and Australian banks than bailouts
and Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs is off 22% since the SEC fraud
charge hit the press.
- West Coast
over East Coast. There’s
a lot of noise about the deficits of the state of California,
but what is happening in the state is not what is happening in
the companies based in California, most of which are rich in revenue,
carrying no debt and have a war chest of capital for growth and
acquisition. When you think of investing, it pays to think of
the companies that are making things you actually want to use
– like Google, Apple, Microsoft, Netgear, eBay and more. When
you think of the cutting edge products and services of today and
tomorrow, chances are you’re looking at a Silicon Valley based
business.
- Innovation
over legacy. Re-read
points 3-6. Some companies are leading the R&D charge in making
cleaner, greener, more efficient products – from hybrids, to solar
energy, to phones, to Internet products. Some companies are using
their ties with government to stay alive, even while the products
are lagging their industry. I’m not saying that we don’t, as a
society, want to keep some companies operating, particularly airlines.
But you can do that as a taxpayer. As a shareholder, the goal
should be taking ownership of great companies and reaping the
gain of doing so. Society’s safety net is set up to help those
individuals and corporations that struggle.
- Stimulus
over Bailout. Yes,
the economy is bad. But the general rule is ‘follow the money.’
In this case, I’d follow the stimulus funding, i.e. support those
businesses that will lead us out of the recession, not the bailouts
(those businesses that almost destroyed our great nation). If
you’d like to see where the Recovery Money is being allocated,
the Obama Administration has a website showing you just that at
Recovery.gov.
- Dr. Seussian
Economics over Cronyism Economics. Just
turn off the TV and follow your nose. You’ll do a lot better.
When John Stewart told the joke that he’d have a million dollars
today by listening to a certain network’s advice -- if he’d started
with $100 million dollars, it wasn’t really much of a joke, considering
just how wrong the network called so many of the key stories of
the last two years.
Instead: Ask
yourself, "What are people really buying?" "What
do the Toyota owners really think of their cars?" Today’s
headlines can tank the share price in the short term, but over
the long haul, it is great products and services that make great
companies – not headlines, which tend to be biased and oftentimes,
dead wrong.
- Keep
It Simple Simon. 10 funds. You
don’t need dozens of individual stocks in your nest egg. (That’s
called babysitting.) You don’t need dozens of different funds
in your nest egg. (That’s called high commissions.) Just diversify
with 10 funds, keep enough safe and rebalance annually. Yes, it’s
like soup. The less you watch it, the more it cooks. For details
on this, read You
Vs. Wall Street. Better yet, take three days at
my Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat to learn the easy-as-a-pie
chart nest egg strategies that perform great in bull and bear
markets. Walk in without a clue (or with a cracked nest egg) and
walk out with a plan that works for the rest of your life.
Now back
to the Causes of the May 6, 2010 Meltdown
According
to the testimony
SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro gave to Congress, the so-called
"Fat Finger" hasn't been found (yet) although they are not ruling
this out as the trigger of the main event. The trigger event is
still a mystery. The SEC, FINRA and other government agencies are
sifting through over a billion trades on that day. The terrorist
theory was mentioned in Chairman Schapiro's testimony, but she says
that to-date there are no indications that was the case either.
There is a lot of mention about "the most active and sophisticated
traders in today’s market structure [who] are not subject to any
obligations with respect to the nature of their trading" – code
for hedge funds. Lots of intense scrutiny will be on hedge fund
managers, and big-rollers who trade under the aegis of broker-dealers.
FYI: stop-losses appear to have had a role, as well... but to what
extent has yet to be determined, and stop losses are not the "inciting"
event.
You can click
on Chairman
Schapiro’s name to access the full testimony, or go
to SEC.gov.
The SEC is also
taking public commentary on the proposed
Large Trader Recording System. I encourage you to exercise
your right to weigh in on the financial reform that is proposed.
You can view a video explaining the need for the records and then
comment on the SEC site.
Track
Record of our Reporting
While
the markets are still down significantly since their high in October
of 2007, the Hot News and Cooling Off lists below have a winning
track record – in bear and bull market years. 88 positions
listed below – 81% -- have delivered impressive gains over the past
two years, even while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading
lower than it was ten years ago! Only twenty of our listings
went in the opposite direction of the reporting, which is quite
impressive given the market gyrations of more than 7000 point swings
since 2008. FYI: The trend of the Spring Rally is expected
to continue until the end of May, and then, if this year tracks
the historical trend, the summer doldrums and particularly the Hurricane
Season could be hard on the markets.
Remember that
the trading portfolio should be equal to your experience, and should
not be part of your nest egg. (The nest egg is money you earn while
you sleep, not while you day-trade.) If you’re new, you should be
using education or fun money, not your nest egg, to learn on. Take
your trading profits early and often in these volatile, whip-sawing
years. (Your nest egg is better off just rebalancing once or twice
a year, not trying to market time.)
5 out
of 7 Company of the Year selections more than doubled. My
2003, 2004 and 2007 Companies of the Year posted up to 9000% gains
(Taser), up to 690% gains (Opsware) and up to 215% gains (Suntech
Power Holdings), respectively, before we took them off of the list.
2009’s Company of the Year, U.S. Gold, has earned over 800%
gains from its low (when we highlighted the company as a buy) as
of April 15, 2010 and 55% gains since it was featured as Company
of the Year. MySpace, my 2006 Company of the Year, was a large part
of News Corp’s success with shareholders that year. So five
out of seven Company of the Year selections were superperformers.
That’s the kind of record that puts you on top on Wall Street. (I
launched my first publication on 11.15.02, and featured the first
Company of the Year, Taser International, on 1.1.03.)
Some of my best
picks include: U.S. Gold (UXG) +600%, Google (GOOG) +585%, Opsware
(OPSW) +690%, Rio Tinto (RTP) +145%, Sohu (SOHU) +150%, Suntech
Power Holdings (STP) +107%, Taser (TASR) up to 9000% gains. Some
of the best picks in 2008 and 2009 were put options – on the Cooling
Off list -- which is why I added options training to my 3-day Get
Rich and Green Investing Retreat. Look on the Cooling Off list for
details on the incredible gains options investors enjoyed (and the
losses that average investors avoided as a result of being alerted
to the problem) on Wells Fargo, Fannie Mae, Toll Brothers, KB Home,
Novastar Financial and more there.
This stock newsletter
was the first to list the following 911 alerts:
- 2008
Recession
(Get Safe)
- Trim back
on Faded
Blue Chips in 2006
- Get out
of Dodge (real
estate) in 2005
- Google
at the IPO! (May 2004)
- To get Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac out of your 401(k) in 2003
Market
Movers:
The
Federal Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The
Fed funds rate continues to be "0 to ¼ percent." In the
Federal Open Market Committee press release, the committee members
state, "Growth in household spending has picked up recently
but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth,
lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment
and software has risen significantly; however, investment in nonresidential
structures is declining and employers remain reluctant to add to
payrolls. Housing starts have edged up but remain at a depressed
level."
That is Fed-speak
for "We are doing everything to stimulate the economy, which
should work eventually, but the situation is still rough, folks."
Most of the Feds think that inflation is far enough away that Fed
Fund rates will remain exceptionally low for an "extended period."
There was one committee member who dissented to the language, and
it is noteworthy that at the last two meetings and in the last two
press releases, the Feds have included a detailed description of
his dissent. I find the language of the last clause to be particularly
troubling (highlighted in bold). "Thomas M. Hoenig…believed
that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low
levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period was no longer
warranted because it could lead to a build-up of future imbalances
and increase risks to longer run macroeconomic and financial stability,
while limiting the Committee’s flexibility to begin raising rates
modestly." An immodest raising of interest rates would
be hard to take…
The next FOMC
meeting takes place on June 22-23, 2010.
Second
Estimate GDP growth rates for 1Q 2010 were 3.0%, according
to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. What caused the pullback from
the 5.6% growth of the 4th quarter 2009? According to
the BEA, "The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily
reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures
(PCE), private inventory investment, exports, and nonresidential
fixed investment that were partly offset by decreases in state and
local government spending and in residential fixed investment. Imports,
which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased."
Final Estimate
GDP growth rates for 1Q 2010 will be released on June 25, 2010 at
8:30 a.m. ET. These release days tend to be very active on Wall
Street. For more BEA release dates, go to the BEA.gov
website and be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar section
often.
EDUCATIONAL
OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1.
FOMC Information: Interested in reading the minutes
of the April 28, 2010 FOMC meeting for yourself? You can.
The official Federal Reserve document is available online. Click
on FOMC,
or go to FederalReserve.gov to read!
The tentative
FOMC meeting schedule for the 2010-2011 calendar is: June 22-23
(Tuesday-Wednesday), August 10 (Tuesday), September 21 (Tuesday),
November 2-3 (Tuesday-Wednesday), December 14 (Tuesday), January
25-26, 2011 (Tuesday-Wednesday), March 15, 2011 (Tuesday), April
26-27, 2011 (Tues.-Wed.), June 21-22, 2011 (Tues.-Wed.), August
9, 2011 (Tuesday), September 20, 2011 (Tuesday), Nov. 1-2, 2011
(Tues.-Wed.), December 13, 2011 (Tuesday), January 24-25, 2012 (Tues.-Wed.).
2.
Calendar
Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more:
Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. Be
the first to know the dates of the mid-month Hot News on Cool Stocks
Update and the publication date of our next ezine. Join me on BlogTalkRadio.com.
Get more information on how to best use our articles in the FAQs
article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page of
NataliePace.com.
Don’t miss
the Pace and Prosperity Show with Natalie Pace on BlogTalkRadio.com.
In June and July we will have a series of Tuesday Night Teleconferences
on how to protect your investments and prosper in volatile markets.
Tuesday Nights at 6:00 p.m. PT. Check BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
for dates and call-in instructions.
Get call-in
and log-in instructions for the next show at: BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
This is a Q&A format, where you can call in or Facebook in your
questions. Be sure to write down your most pressing questions now,
and become a fan of Natalie Pace on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/pages/Natalie-Pace/416616285568,
so that we can interact on Facebook during the show.
3.
Survey
Results:
Each
month we have three new surveys so that we can stay in touch with
your needs and desires. Cast your vote on our survey page! This
month we want to know what Dad really wants for Father’s Day. Check
it out to get your gift-giving right. And Dads, please weigh in
so we know what to buy.
4. Euro
interest rates: ECB
rates are at 1.00% (main refinancing), 1.75% (marginal lending)
and 0.25% (deposit facility). The next meeting and interest rate
announcement is scheduled for May 20, 2010 at 2:30 p.m. CET. (June
10, 2010 after that.)
Hot
Stocks List
Investors
who "never pay retail," note that the BOLD highlighted stocks
are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in
NataliePace.com’s article. This may be a good buying opportunity.
(If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation, this
is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.)
The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may
not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue
performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are
never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments.
Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes
to your investment strategy. And remember that these "Stocks
on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy
at all – not even for "pros." If you’ve never traded individual
stocks before, this is your "fun" or "education"
money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don’t
have mastery over.
Hot
News List (highlighted). Be sure that you are buying low.
None
(We are heading into the summer doldrums. Plus June has been a negative
month on average for the last decade.)
Profit-Taking:
Hoku Corp.
(HOKU) +54%
LDK
Solar (LDK) +17%
U.S. Gold (UXG) +658%
DELETIONS
(Take your profits early and often):
Green
Dot (Moved to the Watch List on 5.15.10)
HOT NEWS
on COOL STOCKS LIST
| Company
|
NP
owns? |
Symbol
|
Price
when featured |
Price
6.1.10
|
Year
High
Year
Low
|
Gains
since original feature |
|
American
Superconductor
|
No
|
AMSC
|
$30.70
|
$30.88
|
$43.73
$8.22
|
Flat
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. AMSC
should benefit from President Obama’s commitment to build
a "a new smart grid to carry electricity from coast to
coast." In fact, we know that AMSC is specifically on
Obama’s mind, even though investors haven’t caught on yet.
4Q &
FY earnings May 13, 2010: Revenues for the fourth quarter
of fiscal 2009 were $87.6 million, a 43 percent increase over
$61.2 million in revenues for the fourth quarter of fiscal
2008. Gross margin for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2009 was
37.8 percent, which compares with 32.6 percent for the fourth
quarter of fiscal 2008. Net income of $4.9 million. Revenues
for full year fiscal 2009 were $316.0 million, an increase
of 73 percent from $182.8 million for full year fiscal 2008.
Gross margin for full year fiscal 2009 was 36.4 percent, which
compares with a 28.4 percent gross margin for full year fiscal
2008. Net income for full year fiscal 2009 was $16.2 million,
compared to a net loss of -$16.6 million in 2008.
Cash,
cash equivalents, marketable securities and restricted cash
at March 31, 2010 were $155.1 million. The company reported
backlog as of March 31, 2010 of approximately $588 million.
Reuters reported a new $445 million contract with China’s
Sinovel on May 17, 2010.
President
Obama mentioned American Superconductor by name in his weekly
address of Nov. 21, 2009. In the official transcript, it is
written: "If we can increase our exports to Asia Pacific
nations by just 5%, we can increase the number of American
jobs supported by these exports by hundreds of thousands.
This is already happening with businesses like American Superconductor
Corporation, an energy technology startup based in Massachusetts
that’s been providing wind power and smart grid systems to
countries like China, Korea, and India. By doing so,
it’s added more than 100 jobs over the last few years."
|
|
AOL
|
No
|
AOL
|
$23.00
|
$20.92
|
$27.00
$23.00
|
-9%
|
|
Read
"AOL"
from Vol. 6, issue 12.
1Q 2010
results showed a decline in advertising and subscription revenue,
which prompted voters to pull back on their support. However,
according to Chairman & CEO Time Armstrong, "AOL
continues to make progress against our long-term objective
of becoming an internet growth company. Our results highlight
the accomplishment of our first goal in AOL’s turnaround which
was to significantly reduce AOL’s cost structure."
To put
this in context (and understand why AOL remains on the Hot
News List), read the article written at the time of the IPO
last December.
|
|
Blockbuster
|
No
|
BBI
|
$0.34
|
$0.33
|
$1.56
$0.24
|
Flat
|
|
Read
"Blockbuster’s
Second Coming"
from Vol. 7, issue 5.
|
|
ENER1
|
No
|
HEV
|
$4.33
|
$3.75
|
$7.90
$2.75
|
-13%
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ener1 develops and manufactures compact,
high performance lithium-ion batteries to power the next generation
of hybrid, plug-in hybrid and pure electric vehicles.
1Q 2010
report on May 10, 2010:
Net sales
were $11 million in the first quarter of 2010 compared to
net sales of $8.2 million in the prior year first quarter.
Net loss was $15.3 million in the first quarter of 2010
compared to $7.3 million in the 2009 first quarter.
EnerDel
has been named as the exclusive battery supplier for the Volvo
C30 Pure Electric Vehicle, set for production in 2011 and
mass release in 2013. According to Chairman and CEO
Charles Gassenheimer, "We are truly excited about the
C30 program, believing it to be a leapfrog product to a second
generation electric vehicle design, currently undergoing the
most rigorous set of crash-testing and safety systems in the
industry."
Check
out EnerDel’s
batteries at their YouTube channel.
|
|
Galaxy
Resources
RISK:
HIGH
(off
the boards, thinly traded)
|
No
|
GALXF
|
$1.07
|
$0.85
|
$1.92
$1.00
|
-21%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota"
from Vol. 7, issue 2.
|
|
Hoku
Scientific
Hawaii
RISK:
HIGH
|
Yes
|
HOKU
|
$8.03
$2.00
(3.2.09)
|
$3.08
|
$14.55
$1.90
|
-62%
&
+54%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side,"
Vol. 6, issue 3 and "Solar
Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon,"
in the Oct. 2007 ezine, Vol. 4, issue 10.
On April
29, 2010, Hoku announced it had successfully produced polysilicon
at its manufacturing facility in Pocatello, Idaho. HOKU operated
the reactors continuously for approximately five days during
the final phases of the commissioning procedure. During these
live reactor runs, Hoku utilized trichlorosilane purchased
from third-party suppliers. This is the same product that
the Company plans to use during its initial commercial production
runs this year.
This
is an historic day for Hoku," said Scott Paul, president and
chief executive officer of Hoku Corporation. "We have completed
the first step in our planned production ramp-up and successfully
manufactured our first batches of polysilicon. Importantly,
this challenging, month-long commissioning process also allowed
us to flex our operations team, and validate our training,
systems and procedures. I am extremely proud of our team's
accomplishment."
Hoku’s
annual report is scheduled for June 2010
|
|
LDK Solar
GREEN
|
Yes
|
LDK
|
$30.02
$4.94
(3.2.09)
|
$5.76
|
$76.75
$3.75
|
-81%
&
+17%
|
|
Read
the articles,
"Green"
in Vol. 6, issue 2 and "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
in Vol. 5, issue 4.
LDK is
benefitting from a 4-star rating from Motley Fool CAPS and
lots of press from the same in February.
1Q on
5.10.10: revenue was $347.6 million; net income was $7.2 million.
LDK Solar ended the first quarter of fiscal 2010 with $347.4
million in cash and cash equivalents and $96.3 million in
short-term pledged bank deposits.
"Continued
momentum in the solar industry drove results for the first
quarter," stated Xiaofeng Peng, Chairman and CEO of LDK
Solar. "Our efforts to diversify our business within
the module market tracked well in the quarter. We brought
crystalline module manufacturing in house and signed several
module supply contracts during the first quarter. In our wafer
business, we continue to closely monitor demand levels to
meet our customers’ needs. In April we achieved annualized
wafer capacity of 2.0 GW, maintaining our industry leadership
as we continue to represent a significant share of global
wafer capacity.
|
|
MEMC
Electronics
|
No
|
WFR
|
$11.99
|
$10.86
|
$73.56
$11.32
|
-9%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
Acquisition
of solar developer SunEdison (announced on 10.22.09) should
start putting meat on MEMC’s bottom line in 2010. They now
enter solar power generation with an A-list company in that
field. Recovering after silicon re-pricing completely threw
off their profit margins. Better times going forward.
4.29.10
1Q results:
1Q highlights:
- Revenue
increases to $438 million
- Solar Energy (SunEdison) revenue of $60.7 million
- GAAP net loss of $9.6 million
|
|
Rio Tinto
|
No
|
RTP
|
$44.95
|
$45.46
|
$218.15
$30.00
|
+1%
|
|
Gold,
copper and other commodities mining. Based out of UK. Mines
worldwide, but focused greatly in Australia. Annual general
meeting is May 26, 2010 in Melbourne, Victoria. 4:1 stock
split took place on April 30, 2010.
|
|
Sunpower
|
No
|
SPWRA
|
$24.83
|
$12.69
|
$107.00
$18.50
|
-49%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
in Vol. 6, issue 3.
Sunpower
panels are the most efficient in the world and have helped
countless Solar Decathlon teams win the competition. This
year’s #2 and #3 teams (Illinois and California) both used
Sunpower panels.
Announced
on March 11, 2010 that the company was awarded two grants
totaling approximately $1.5 million from the California Solar
Initiative Research, Development, Deployment and Demonstration
(CSI RD&D) Program.
1Q earnings
on 511.10: Revenue for the 2010 first quarter was $347 million,
which compares to $212 million in the first quarter of 2009
and $548 million in the fourth quarter of 2009. The
company's Components and Systems segments accounted for 81%
and 19% of first-quarter 2010 revenue, respectively.
SunPower
has more than 550 large public and commercial solar power
systems installed or under contract, representing more than
450 megawatts of solar power generation.
March
29, 2010: SunPower Corp. acquired SunRay Renewable Energy,
a leading European solar power plant developer with offices
in Europe and the Middle East.
|
|
Suntech
Power Holdings
|
No
|
STP
|
$14.26
|
$9.70
|
$49.60
$5.09
|
-32%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. The
world's largest crystalline silicon photovoltaic (PV) module
manufacturer. 2009 Earnings call (webcast) on March 4, 2010.
1Q report
on May 10, 2010: Suntech expects total net revenues for the
first quarter of 2010 to be in the range of $580 million to
$590 million. Gross margin is expected to be in the range
of 19% to 20%, compared to previous guidance of 18% to 20%.
Final results will be announced on June 3, 2010 before the
markets open.
|
|
U.S.
Gold
Colorado
USA
RISK:
VERY HIGH
|
Yes
|
UXG
|
$5.05
$.50
(10.20.08)
$2.66
(10.09)
|
$3.29
|
$7.04
$.38
|
-22%
&
+658%
&
+24%
|
|
Note:
U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time; is it a gold
exploration company, based in Nevada. U.S. Gold is an exploration
company, not a mining company, meaning that if they strike
gold, the stock should spike and if they don’t, you could
lose your investment. Very risky.
According
to a statement released on March 1, 2010, U.S. Gold has a
great new discovery of silver in their Mexico mine. "Drilling
at El Gallo continues to return thick intersections of good
grade that start at or near surface. To date, 95% of the holes
drilled have encountered significant mineralization! We are
extremely pleased with these results. Going forward we will
continue with our large exploration program, publish an initial
resource estimate during the second quarter and look to complete
an preliminary economic analysis by year-end. Also, on March
15th and 16th US Gold will be taking a number of mining analysts
to El Gallo in order to highlight what we feel is one of the
best silver projects owned by an junior," stated Rob McEwen,
Chairman and CEO.
Added
to the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and S&P/TSX Global
Mining Index on 9.15.09.
If you
believe in this CEO and company, you’ll want to make sure
you have shares of U.S. Gold going forward. Gold should be
a great hedge against inflation, which is predicted to become
an issue once the economy starts to rebound (2010 and forward).
Right now, the Feds are still a little concerned about deflation,
but inflation could begin on the 12-24 month horizon.
This
is an exploration company, not a mining company. They don’t
produce gold at this time.
Began trading on the AMEX stock
exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.)
Listen to my feature
interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen on
BlogTalkRadio.com.
You can review my
original Q&A with Rob McEwen and interview on
U.S. Gold in Vol. 4, issue 2. (Feb. 2006).
|
Recently
Deleted Companies 2008-2010:
Echelon +20%,
GE, +13% and +18%, Google, +15% and +31%, Johnson & Johnson
+10%, LDK Solar +18%, Microsoft +12%, Satcon +13%, Suntech +35%,
Trina Solar +22%, World Water & Solar +22%. Genentech (8.1.08)
+40%. Altair (deleted on 8.7.08) posted gains of +3% and +57%. Zoltek
(deleted on 8.18.08) lost 30% before being removed. LDK Solar was
deleted on 9.2.08 with 46% and 29% profits. U.S. Gold profit taking
on 11.6.08 amounted to 72% gains. Conergy gains of 51% were taken
on 11.7.08. American Superconductor posted 50% gains between 12.1.08
and 1.14.09. MEMC Electronics (WFR) had 21% gains between 12.1.08
and 12.15.08. STP had gains of 69% between 12.1.08 and 1.2.09. SQM
profits 20% on 1.14.09. WWAT was deleted on 2.1.09 with -62% losses.
On 2.15.09, AMSC had gains of 65%, MEMC Electronics 26%, Sociedad
de Quimica y Minera 48% and U.S. Gold 432%. Citigroup gains of 42%
on 3.15.09. Genentech was deleted on 3.15.09 with gains of 29%.
OSI Pharmaceuticals was deleted on 3.15.09 with 7% gains. Rio Tinto
was deleted on 3.27.09 with gains of 67%. On 3.27.09, the following
companies were in the money: ALTI (+48%), AMSC (+51%), eBay (+24%),
GE (+40%), HOKU (+38%), LDK (+46%), MEMC (+44%), PBW (+35%), SATC
(+42%), SQM (+76%), STP (+211%), TSL (+207%), U.S. Gold (+456%)
and WBK (+25%). Profit-taking 4.13.09: ALTI +209%,
AMSC +70%, HOKU +32%, LDK +64%, PBW +42%, SQM +42%, UXG+418%. Deleted
4.13.09: eBay, +45%, Eurox -11%, GE +47% & -56%, Google
+9%, Maxwell +25%, MEMC Electronics -33% & +49%, Microsoft +24%,
SATC +67%. STP +262% & -64%, TSL +216% & -67%, Westpac +42%
& -22%. Deleted 5.4.09: FMC Corp. with 19% gains.
PZD with losses of -39%. SPWRA with 19% gains. TREMX with 50% losses.
WSDT with losses of -59%. Deleted 5.15.09: SQM with
gains of 38% and 62%. Deleted 5.31.09: EMKR with losses
of 13% and 88% and Melco with losses of 8%. Ener1 with gains of
11% and 17%. Deleted 7.20.09: Conergy with losses of -52-98%. Deleted
Smith and Nephew on 8.15.09 with gains of 17% and losses of 28%.
Deleted the New Zealand dollar currency ETF by Wisdom Tree with
36% gains on 12.12.09. 12.18.09: Deleted Ener1 with 22% gains and
Satcon with 29% gains. Deleted 1.11.10: KCI with 88% gains!
Recently
Deleted from the Hot News list:
None
Stocks
to Watch
Some
of these are great companies that we’re thinking of adding to the
Hot List and some are stinkers we’re thinking of adding to the Cooling
Off List.
Read carefully to identify which is which!
Note that
right now most of our favorite companies are on the Watch List.
Getting the price right is as important as picking the right company.
Never pay retail!
Recent
Additions:
Green
Dot (added 5.15.10)
Tidewater (added 6.1.10)
Recent
Deletions:
Netflix
(NFLX) (moved to Cooling Off List on 5.15.10)
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when featured
|
Price
6.1.10
|
Year
High
Year
Low
|
Gains
since original feature
|
|
Allscripts
Misys Healthcare Solutions
|
No
|
MDRX
|
$19.94
|
$18.64
|
$22.21
$9.70
|
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform"
Vol. 7, issue 4.
|
|
Altair
Nano-technology
|
No
|
ALTI
|
$1.16
|
$0.52
|
$2.94
$0.56
|
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
Vol. 6, issue 4.
1Q2010
earnings announced on May 6, 2010: For the quarter ended March
31, 2010, Altairnano reported revenues of $1.2 million, up
from $0.9 million for the same period in 2009. This increase
is the result of a higher level of contract and grant activity
with the Office of Naval Research and the Department of Defense
compared to 2009 which are expected to continue throughout
most of 2010. Operating expenses of $6.4 million for the first
quarter of 2010 were down $0.5 million from operating expenses
of $6.9 million for the first quarter of 2009. The net loss
was $6.1 million, or six cents per share, compared to a net
loss of $6.4 million, or seven cents per share, for the first
quarter of 2009.
Altairnano's
cash and cash equivalents decreased by $5.8 million, from
$18.1 million at December 31, 2009 to $12.3 million at March
31, 2010. Altairnano's cash burn rate is about $1.9 million
per month.
"We continue
to experience an increased level of customer requests for
quotes compared to the first half of 2009," said Dr. Terry
Copeland, Altairnano's president and CEO. "We are working
diligently with these prospective customers to translate this
increased sales quote activity into firm orders which will
in turn provide us with a larger revenue stream and referenceable
customer base."
Was a
contender in the lithium ion battery marketplace a few years
back, but lost market share, orders and prestige.
|
|
Big Lots
|
No
|
BIG
|
$30.28
|
$35.21
|
$41.42
$19.49
|
|
|
Read
"Discount
Designer Stores,"
from Vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Canadian
Imperial Bank
RISK:
Medium
|
No
|
CM
|
$65.88
|
$68.00
|
$108.79
$30.64
|
|
|
Refer
to the "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars"
article in volume 5, issue 2 for details. Financial markets
are under duress. Avoid most banks for now. Canada’s banks
were ranked #1 by the Milken Institute for global capital
in 2009; Australia was #2.
|
|
Citigroup
RISK:
HIGH
|
No
|
C
|
$2.26
|
$3.91
|
$5.43
$2.55
|
|
|
One of
the troubled, bailed out banks… May 7, 2010 earnings: Citigroup
reported net income of $4.4 billion. The total
allowance for loan losses for consumer loans increased to
$41.4 billion at the end of the quarter, or 7.8% of consumer
loans, up from 6.7% of consumer loans at the end of the fourth
quarter of 2009. Consumer non-accrual loans totaled $15.6 billion
at March 31, 2010, compared to $18.3 billion at
December 31, 2009 and $14.9 billion at March 31,
2009. Citigroup's total assets of $2.0 trillion increased
$146 billion from December 31, 2009, primarily from
the adoption of SFAS 166/167, as discussed above.
It’s
important to remember that we don’t really have a clue how
deep and wide the losses at these bailed out banks are. Most
of this is still hidden and the Feds are not releasing the
info, nor are the banks…
|
|
eBay
|
No
|
EBAY
|
$16.80
|
$21.18
|
$32.10
$9.91
|
|
|
Etail
should perform better than retail in the recession, but eBay
is priced higher than I’d want to pay in a vulnerable "jobless"
recovery.
|
|
Eldorado
Gold
|
No
|
EGO
|
$10.56
|
$17.31
|
$18.62
$7.65
|
|
|
Read
"Investing
in Gold"
from Vol. 6, issue 9. Annual report on March 18, 2010:
Net income
of $102.4 million, down from $164 million in 2008 (-38%).
Revenue $361 million for 2009, 25% increase over $288 million
in 2008.
"This
was a very successful quarter and year for Eldorado," stated
Paul Wright. "We had record quarterly production with strong
performance from both our Kisladag and Tanjianshan gold mines.
And with the successful completion of our acquisition of Sino
Gold and the continued development of our projects in Turkey,
China and Greece, we are solidifying our position as one of
the world's lowest cost gold producers. Our gold sales revenue
increased by 29 percent to $358.5 million as we benefited
from increased production and gold prices. Looking ahead,
we anticipate 2010 production of 550,000 to 600,000 ounces
of gold at a cash operating cost of between $385 and $400
per ounce."
|
|
First
Solar
|
No
|
FSLR
|
$144.76
|
$108.11
|
$207.51
$98.71
|
|
|
See "Solar
Springs Up Again" article
in Vol. 5, issue 4.
First
Solar joined S&P500 on 10.02.09.
First
Solar uses cadmium telluride instead of silicon to transfer
sunlight into useable energy. This was a huge competitive
advantage when silicon was hard to get at a reasonable price.
That is shifting, however, for two reasons. Silicon manufacturing
is heating up and costs are lowering as a result, and cadmium
telluride isn’t as abundant or as efficient a power source
as silicon. Read the article for more details.
|
|
FMC Corp.
|
No
|
FMC
|
$51.36
|
$59.59
|
$80.23
$28.53
|
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4 and "Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota,"
from Vol. 7, issue 2.
FMC is
the real winner of the stimulus package because they supply
lithium to the battery makers. On the other hand, that is
not all that this company manufactures, and sales were off
in 2009. Waiting for a better buy-in point.
|
|
Ford
Motor Company
|
No
|
F
|
$9.65
|
$11.58
|
$14.57
$4.71
|
|
|
Read
"How
Cap and Trade Saved Ford"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ford is making cars people want to drive,
but it owes over $100 billion dollars. Be careful with any
investment here. The same conditions that plagued Chrysler
and GM are present here – with one exception. Ford built cars
that won awards in 2010 (and attracted consumer interest).
|
|
Google
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$393.69
|
$484.22
|
$629.51
$384.69
|
|
|
See Vol.
6, issue 5 for "Hulu
Your Heroes."
Be careful not to buy in too high.
1Q 2010
on 4.15.10: Google reported revenues of $6.77 billion for
the quarter ended March 31, 2010, an increase of 23% compared
to the first quarter of 2009. GAAP net income was $1.96 billion,
compared to $1.42 billion in the first quarter of 2009.
Cash
– As of March 31, 2010, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term
marketable securities were $26.5 billion. No debt.
On a
worldwide basis, Google employed 20,621 full-time employees
as of March 31, 2010, up from 19,835 full-time employees as
of December 31, 2009.
|
|
Green
Dot
|
No
|
Not available
|
IPO
|
IPO
|
IPO
|
--
|
|
Read
"IPO
of the Year"
from Vol. 7, issue 3. Check with your broker to see if you
can be a part of this IPO. It is underwritten by J.P. Morgan,
Morgan Stanley, Piper Jaffray and UBS. If you cannot participate
in the IPO, then you can buy when Green Dot is traded on the
public marketplace. No word, yet, on when exactly that will
be. This is a "quiet" period for the company, when
insiders are not allowed to talk to press.
Ay this
point, given the volatility of the markets, I’d be tempted
to "wait and see" what the general marketplace does
before buying in. The Santa Rally has brought coal in the
stockings of investors for too many years this past decade
for me to have faith in this 2nd year of a Presidential
term (typically the worst performing year of the cycle).
|
|
Orocobre
|
No
|
OROCF
|
$1.70
|
$1.87
|
$2.72
$0.99
|
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota"
from Vol. 7, issue 2.
|
|
PowerShares
Wilderhill Clean Energy ETF
|
No
|
PBW
|
$9.78
|
$8.66
|
$11.95
$4.00
|
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
|
|
Ross
Stores
|
No
|
ROST
|
$35.90
|
$53.19
|
$58.93
$34.74
|
|
|
Read
"Discount
Designer Stores,"
from Vol. 5, issue 6. Sales have been impressive, especially
given the "jobless recovery."
|
|
Sociedad
Minera y Quimica de Chile
|
No
|
SQM
|
$36.36
|
$33.16
|
$43.93
$30.70
|
|
|
This
is a great company that manufactures silicon for the solar
and IT industry. Looking for a better buy-in, after we get
through the current down-trending volatility.
Read
the article, "Treasure
Hunting,"
in Vol. 5, issue 10 and the article "Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium,"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. SQM announced on Sept. 30, 2009 that
prices for lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide will be
reduced by approximately 20% from current levels for the renewal
of all its supply contracts. The purpose is to accelerate
demand recovery, create incentives for research of new lithium
uses, and contribute to the sustainable long-term development
of the lithium market.
1Q
earnings on May 25, 2010: earnings for the first quarter of
2010 of US$76.5 million, a decrease of 13.5% with respect
to the same period of 2009, when earnings totaled US$88.4
million. Revenues totaled US$388.5 million for the
first quarter, representing an increase of 21.0% over the
US$321.1 million reported in the same period of 2009.
SQM's
Chief Executive Officer, Patricio Contesse, stated, "After
undergoing unprecedented economic challenges during 2009,
which negatively impacted global markets, the first quarter
of 2010 showed strong signs of a transition to pre-crisis
levels. We observed positive signs of recovery in all of our
business lines with higher volumes in each business segment
in the first quarter of the year compared to first quarter
of 2009. Although prices in our fertilizer and lithium businesses
are lower than the same period last year, they are in line
with our expectations for 1Q10. Although there continues to
be economic uncertainty in global markets, improved economic
conditions and a more encouraging outlook in general have
had a positive impact on our businesses, and we expect this
positive trend to continue throughout the year."
|
|
Sohu
(Chinese Co. ADR)
Beijing,
China
Small
Cap
RISK:
MEDIUM
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$46.54
|
$43.83
|
$72.29
$41.02
|
|
|
See NataliePace.com
ezines, Vol.
3, issue 4
and Vol. 2, issue 9 for feature
articles on Sohu. Dr. Charles Zhang, the Chairman and
CEO of Sohu.com, is one of our CEOs
of the year in 2007.
Read the articles in Vol.
4, issue 1. You can watch a Q&A with Dr. Charles
Zhang in an exclusive interview I did on the Forbes.com Video
Network.
|
|
Tidewater
|
No
|
TDW
|
$41.81
|
$41.81
|
$57.08
$40.05
|
|
|
Read
"Clean
Up"
from Vol. 7, issue 6.
|
|
Trina
Solar Ltd.
|
No
|
TSL
|
$35.12
|
$16.72
|
$31.18
$8.32
|
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. Please
note that TSL had a 2 for 1 stock split on 1.20.10. That is
why the price looks dramatically different. Investors will
note that they should now have twice as many shares…
FY earnings
2.24.10:
Total
net revenues were $845.1 million, an increase of 1.6% from
2008. Gross profit was $237.2 million, an increase of 44.2%
from 2008. Gross margin was 28.1%, compared to 19.8% in 2008.
Net income for the full year was $97.6 million, an increase
of 59.0% from 2008.
Conference
call to discuss 1Q earnings has been scheduled for May 25,
2010 at 8:00 a.m. ET.
|
|
VMWare
|
No
|
VMW
|
$52.91
|
$66.18
|
$67.17
$25.27
|
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform"
Vol. 7, issue 4.
|
|
Westpac
|
No
|
WBK
|
$73.54
|
$94.73
|
$133.55
$68.75
|
|
|
Issued
it’s full-year results on Nov. 4, 2009. Go to Westpac.com.au
to access.
Net profit
of $3,446 million, down 11% from a year ago. Not bad. Australian
banks were the best in the world during recession, with Canadian
Banks scoring high as well.
|
Cooling
Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).
Note:
The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling
off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value.
Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent
news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump
losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while
keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always
consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments
to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are
expected to go DOWN in price.)
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
Baidu
(BIDU)
Netflix (NFLX)
Transocean (RIG)
DELETIONS:
None
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when added to Cooling Off List
|
Price
6.1.10
|
52-week
High
52-week
Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
American
Express
|
Yes
|
AXP
|
$16.98
$41.56
(11.16.09)
|
$39.83
|
$42.48
$9.71
|
+235%
&
-4%
|
|
Read
the article "American
Express,"
from Vol. 6, issue 2. 1Q 2010 Earnings on 4.20.10: Revenues
were down 11%. To $ 6,606. Net income was income of $885 million,
up 103 percent from $437 million a year ago. $21 billion cash
on hand. Debt is $44 billion and liabilities total $130 billion.
(Market value of AMEX is $56 billion.)
"Cardmember
spending was up 16 percent, rebounding strongly from the recessionary
lows of last year," said Kenneth I. Chenault, chairman
and chief executive officer. "Credit metrics also continued
the improvement that began in the second half of 2009."
|
|
Apple
Computer
|
No
|
AAPL
|
$132.07
$200.38
(2.12.10)
|
$262.00
|
$272.46
$119.38
|
+200%
&
+31%
|
|
See archived
ezine Vol. 4, issue 2, for the feature article, "Apple
Chips."
2Q 2010
earnings on 4.20.10 were amazing: posted revenue of $13.5
billion, down from $15.65 billion in the 1st quarter
(and $9.08 billion a year ago). Net quarterly profit of $3.07
billion (down from $3.38 billion in 1Q and almost double $1.62
billion of a year ago).
Apple
sold 2.94 million Macintosh® computers during the quarter,
representing a 33 percent unit increase over the year-ago
quarter. The Company sold 8.75 million iPhones in the quarter,
representing 131 percent unit growth over the year-ago quarter.
Apple sold 10.89 million iPods during the quarter, representing
a one percent unit decline from the year-ago quarter.
"We’re
thrilled to report our best non-holiday quarter ever, with
revenues up 49 percent and profits up 90 percent," said
Steve Jobs, Apple’s CEO. "We’ve launched our revolutionary
new iPad and users are loving it, and we have several more
extraordinary products in the pipeline for this year."
"Looking
ahead to the third fiscal quarter of 2010, we expect revenue
in the range of about $13.0 billion to $13.4 billion and we
expect diluted earnings per share in the range of about $2.28
to $2.39," said Peter Oppenheimer, Apple’s CFO. (FYI:
This will be the second Q in a row with lower earnings.
Insider
selling is in the range of $300 million. Consensus insider
selling from multiple directors and officers, including CFO
and COO. I Love Apple. At a better price in a more stable
marketplace, with a better succession plan to Jobs. Seems
like the insiders agree.
|
|
Applied
Materials
|
No
|
AMAT
|
$12.76
$13.51
(9.15.09)
|
$12.72
|
$14.61
$8.19
|
Flat
&
-4%
|
|
Leadership,
product line and recessionary actions were strong, but AMAT
transitioned to solar just when sales dropped off. Weathering
the storm is imperative in the meantime. Investors should
be aware of the high P/Es of this company, which is hard to
justify in a contracting environment. With almost $2 billion
in cash and marketable securities, AMAT is in a position to
regroup and recover in the future. With any luck and with
the worldwide emphasis on clean energy, this is a temporary
setback.
1Q 2010
earnings call on Wed., February 17, 2010. FY loss (released
on 11.11.09): For fiscal year ended Oct. 25, 2009, the company
reported net sales of $5.01 billion and a GAAP net loss of
$305 million or $0.23 per share.
|
|
Baidu
|
No
|
BIDU
|
$18.32
$48.80
(2.12.10)
|
$74.15
|
$82.29
$23.23
|
+404%
&
+52%
|
|
Leading
Chinese website for search (similar to Google). 115 P/E is
high for a revenue stream so tied to advertising (during a
global recession). (Advertising revenue models tend to suffer
greatly in recessions and Google’s P/E is only 23, by comparison,
right now.)
The
primary Risk Factor for Baidu is: We derive revenues primarily
from online marketing services, which accounted for 98.9%,
99.8% and 99.9% of our total revenues in 2006, 2007 and 2008,
respectively.
10
for one stock split on 5.12.10.
|
|
Berkshire
Hathaway
|
No
|
BRK.A
|
$97,000
$114,000
(2.12.10)
|
$106,257
|
$125,252
$84,600
|
+10%
&
-7%
|
|
See archived
ezine Vol. 6, issue 8, for the feature article, "The
Oracle Turns 80."
Added
to the S&P500 on February 12, 2010. BRK.B did an unprecedented
thing. Buffett made the stock affordable, by splitting it
50:1. Anyone can now buy in the $45-$78 range. Many tout triumph,
but they may not be aware of the exposure that BRK has to
financial giants, Wells Fargo and American Express, among
other challenging industries (including insurance). BRK is
also a big owner of Goldman Sachs, which was just charged
with fraud.
|
|
Capital
One Financial
|
No
|
COF
|
$22.29
$42.04
(1.11.09)
|
$40.92
|
$47.73
$16.57
|
+84%
&
-3%
|
|
Read
the articles "IPO
of the Year,"
and "American
Express,"
from Vol. 7, issue 3 and Vol. 6, issue 2. COF has a lot of
liabilities that are highlighted in the Stock Report Card
of the IPO of the Year article from volume 7, issue 3. If
you read the SEC filings and realize how much COF has off
the books, how much money they’ve had to take from the Feds
and much liability they may have for mortgages that second
parties want them to be responsible for, you’ll know why COF
is on the Cooling Off List. Additionally, S&P rating is
BBB with negative outlook.
|
|
Fortress
Investment Group
|
No
|
FIG
|
$3.57
$5.37
(8.13.09)
|
$3.96
|
$8.30
$1.02
|
+11%
&
-26%
|
|
1Q 2010
results on May 6, 2010:
For the
quarter ended March 31, 2010, FIG’s GAAP net loss was $261
million compared to a loss of $287 million for first quarter
2009. Excluding principals agreement compensation, first quarter
GAAP net loss was $27 million, as compared to a net loss of
$52 million for first quarter 2009. (In other words, the principals
at FIG are getting paid handsomely to lose their client’s
and shareholder’s money for years now…)
Daniel
H. Mudd, currently member of the Fortress board of directors,
became the firm's new CEO effective August 11, 2009. George
W. Wellde has been elected to Fortress' Board of Directors.
Read
the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs"
(Vol. 5, issue 12) and "Money
Grows on Wisdom Trees,"
from Vol. 4, issue 3.
On 9.22.09:
dividend was canceled by Board.
|
|
Intel
RISK:
LOW
|
No
|
INTC
|
$16.66
$20.25
(9.1.09)
|
$21.31
|
$25.29
$12.06
|
+29%
&
+5%
|
|
Intel
is a great blue chip. But we are in a challenging year.
|
|
Maxwell
Labs
|
No
|
MXWL
|
$18.05
|
$11.92
|
$21.81
$4.50
|
-34%
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4.
1Q earnings
on 4.30.10: Revenue of $26.6 million for its first quarter
ended March 31, 2010, up 19 percent over the $22.5 million
recorded in the same period in 2009. Operating loss for the
first quarter 2010 was $1.6 million, compared with an operating
loss of $1.8 million in the same period last year.
Cash
and restricted cash totaled $38.1 million as of March 31,
2010, compared with $37.6 million as of December 31, 2009.
Q110 gross margin was 38 percent, compared with 31 percent
in Q109 and 34 percent in Q409. Operating expenses totaled
approximately $11.8 million, or 44 percent of revenue in Q110,
compared with $8.8 million, or 39 percent of revenue in Q109.
$47
million in debt, with $5 million due in the near future, and
$30 million owed on accounts payable and employee compensation.
(Uh oh!) (No mention of this in the 4.30.10 press release.
Check the SEC earnings report for more details.)
|
|
Medtronic
|
No
|
MDT
|
$33.35
$42.44
(2.12.10)
|
$38.66
|
$46.10
$24.06
|
+16%
&
-9%
|
|
Medtronic’s
Infuse Bone Graft product has been at the center of the debate
of some controversial deaths, and has investigated by a Congressional
Panel, the Justice Department, the SEC and other national,
state and local governance officials for issues related to
the use of this product and others. Read the earnings report
for a complete list of the complaints and current status.
The company reports that on August 21, 2009, the Department
of Justice decided not to intervene at this time but may intervene
at any time for good cause based upon a Court Order entered
on August 28, 2009.
|
|
MGM Mirage
|
No
|
MGM
|
$26.79
|
$12.27
|
$100.50
$5.10
|
-54%
|
|
Get more
information in Vol.
5, issue 10
in the "(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
article.
1Q on
5.6.10:
Net revenue,
excluding reimbursed costs, decreased 4% to $1.4 billion,
compared to a 6% year-over-year decrease in the fourth quarter
of 2009. First quarter diluted loss per share of $0.22 compared
to earnings of $0.38 per share in the prior year first quarter.
Debt
is a big issue with MGM. Check the SEC filing.
|
|
Microsoft
|
No
|
MSFT
|
$29.64
|
$26.21
|
$30.53
$14.87
|
-12%
|
|
Read
the "AOL"
article from Vol. 6, issue 12 to review the Stock Report Card
on Microsoft from December 2009.
Great
blue chip (certainly better than Citigroup, Bank of America,
AIG and GM were), if you buy at the right price. Good profit
margins. Low debt. Loads of cash. Revenue seems to be coming
back. But, headwinds of the marketplace will likely continue
now, with continued oil spill trauma and hurricane season
upon us.
|
|
Netflix
|
No
|
NFLX
|
$103.98
|
$109.10
|
$119.50
$36.25
|
+5%
|
|
Read
"Blockbuster’s
Second Coming"
from Vol. 7, issue 5.
|
|
Sears
Holding
|
Yes
|
SHLD
|
$52.93
$98.06
(1.11.10)
|
$83.78
|
$124.96
$49.80
|
+58%
&
-15%
|
|
Sears
is up on Jim Cramer’s "appliance" picks from his
January 8, 2010 show, not real earnings or outlook… (Remember:
Jim also recommended Bear Stearns before it went bust, too.)
Chairman Eddie Lampert has been dumping shares en masse,
to the tune of over $376 million. Consensus insider selling…
Read
the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs"
(Vol. 5, issue 12) and "Discount
Designer Stores,"
article
(Vol. 5, issue 6). Sears is one of the largest, oldest retail
chains in the U.S, and formerly, was as American as baseball
and apple pie. These days, however, Sears is more of a hedge
fund, which might help to explain why you’ve been trying to
get that appliance repaired (under warranty) for months or
been waiting for a replacement for your coffee pot for so
long that you’ve taken up drinking tea. Almost all of the
board directors at Sears are in the investment business, not
the retail business. In fact, board director Emily Scott,
a TV station founder, is the only person on the board without
significant investment experience. No one on the Sears board
has any experience at all in retail.
Still
don’t have an official CEO. Bruce Johnson has been the interim
CEO and president since January of 2008, which is not just
"weird" it’s a BIG FAT RED FLAG! The former CFO
Miles Reidy decided late in 2008 that he needed to spend more
time with his family rather than to put is name on the 2008
annual report. Another big red flag.
1Q earnings
on 5.20.10: Net income $16 million. Total revenues for the
quarter of $10 billion in 2010 were flat with the first quarter
in 2009. Cash balances were $1.8 billion at May 1, 2010.
Debt:
$3.2 billion (as of 5.1.10). S&P gives a rating of BB-
to Sears.
During
the 13-week period ended May 1, 2010, Sears repurchased common
shares at a total cost of $1 million under their share repurchase
program. They have authorization to repurchase up to $581
million of common shares.
|
|
Taubman
Centers REIT
|
No
|
TCO
|
$24.74
$34.55
(2.12.10)
|
$39.57
|
$45.00
$21.85
|
+65%
&
+18%
|
|
Read
the article, "Global
Recession,"
from Vol. 6, issue 6 in June
2009.
1Q on
4.22.10:
Net income
allocable to common shareholders per diluted common share
(EPS) for the quarter ended March 31, 2010 was $0.11 versus
$0.22 per diluted common share for the quarter ended March
31, 2009.
"These
results are in line with our expectations for the quarter
and our guidance range for the year," said Robert S. Taubman,
chairman, president and chief executive officer of Taubman
Centers. Rents were lower and lease cancellation income was
higher than the comparable period last year. In addition,
pre-development expense was up in large part due to nonrecurring
consultant fees in 2010 and recoveries in the prior year.
Consensus
insider selling.
|
|
Time
Warner
|
No
|
TWX
|
$24.44
|
$30.15
|
$50.70
$17.81
|
+23%
|
|
Read
the article, "Hulu
Your Heroes,"
from Vol.,
issue 5
in May 2009.
1Q results
on May 5, 2010:
In the
quarter, Revenues grew 5% from the first quarter of 2009 to
$6.3 billion, reflecting increases at the Networks and Filmed
Entertainment segments. Adjusted Operating Income rose 37%
to $1.4 billion, the highest quarterly Adjusted Operating
Income in the Company's history, due to strong results at
all of the Company’s segments. Operating Income increased
43% to $1.5 billion.
For the
first three months of 2010, Cash Provided by Operations from
Continuing Operations reached $1.4 billion, and Free Cash
Flow totaled $1.3 billion. As of March 31, 2010, Net Debt
wasunchanged from $11.5 billion at the end of 2009, due mainly
to share repurchases, investment and acquisition spending,
as well as dividends, offset by the generation of Free Cash
Flow.
Turner
signed Conan O’Brien to host a late-night talk show on TBS.
|
|
Toyota
Motor Company
|
No
|
TM
|
$77.05
(2.12.10)
|
$71.55
|
$91.97
$51.79
|
-7%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota"
from Vol. 7, issue 2. Sales fallout from the January 2010
floor mat and accelerator recall, which halted sales and affected
4.8 million (or more) vehicles; should show up on the interim
earnings report on or about June 24, 2010. Look at price/viability
going forward after that date. (If Toyota wasn’t such a strong
leader in the auto manufacturing world, this company would
be on the Cooling Off List until June.)
|
|
Transocean
|
No
|
RIG
|
$56.77
|
$56.77
|
$94.88
$50.04
|
--
|
|
For
more information, read the article, "Clean
Up,"
from June 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 6.
|
|
Wells
Fargo
|
No
|
WFC
|
$20.05
$29.21
(10.15.09)
|
$28.23
|
$44.69
$7.80
|
+41%
&
-3%
|
|
See
"Wells
Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings"
in Vol, 5, issue 9, and "Wells
Fargo’s Great Depression,"
in Vol. 4, issue 12. Annual report will be issued at the end
of Feb. 2010.
1Q on
4.21.10: Wells reports the following:
Revenue
of $21.4 billion, up 2 percent from first quarter 2009
Net
charge-offs declined $83 million to $5.3 billion.
Reduced
high-risk/non-strategic consumer loans by $4.3 billion in
the quarter, $23.2 billion cumulatively since Wachovia acquisition
Supplied
more than $128 billion in credit during the quarter, including
mortgage originations and consumer and commercial loans and
lines of credit
Loan
modification efforts continued to help homeowners remain in
their homes
523,336
active and completed trial modifications between January 2009
and March 31, 2010:
Should
you believe this, however, when most of the non-performing
loans and other problems are off the books, and the Federal
Open Market Committee Chairman Ben Bernanke is not releasing
information on which banks are receiving which kind of support
from the FOMC? Here’s a link to the Testimony that Chairman
Bernanke gave on February 24, 2010 to Congress. The most interesting
reading is at the bottom, in the section entitled, "Federal
Reserve Transparency," where he states, "An appropriate
delay would also allow firms adequate time to inform investors
through annual reports and other public documents of their
use of Federal Reserve facilities." This indicates that
the public has not been properly informed at this time, but
might be in the future, after an appropriate delay, which
indicates that the earnings reports you are reading by this
bank and others have a good deal that is not transparent in
them.
Dick
Kovacevich stepped down as chairman and a director at the
end of 2009.
|
|
Wynn
Resorts
|
No
|
WYNN
|
$95.42
|
$81.53
|
$176.14
$18.06
|
-15%
|
|
Check
out the article,
"(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
in
Vol. 5, issue 10.
Watch
Steve Wynn discuss Washington, Macau, Vegas, his new Beach
Club at Wynn Encore (Las Vegas) and the future of America
on CNBC.
"When
you ask me about predictability and uncertainty in China compared
to Washington, I’d take China. Washington is unpredictable
these days… The people who buy our bonds in other countries
don’t know what’s next. The uncertainty of the business climate
in America is frightening to everybody and it’s delaying our
recovery. We’re on our way to Greece in the hands of a confused
and foolish government."
"People
want to grow old ungracefully and at any price cling to immaturity.
"There
were supposed to be 10,000 rooms across the street and they
all went bust. They quit. The strip side of the Encore property
was quiet and unanimated… We’re a group with uncompromising
dedication to the pursuit of excellence."
"We
lose money in Las Vegas because of lower room rates. Not enough
to bother me because we have such a good capital structure.
But Las Vegas is not a profitable city at the moment, and
unlikely to become a profitable city right away."
1Q earnings
on 4.29.10: Net revenues for the first quarter of 2010 were
$908.9 million, compared to $740.0 million in the first quarter
of 2009. Net revenues for the first quarter of 2010 were $908.9
million, compared to $740.0 million in the first quarter of
2009. Wynn Resorts also announced today that its Board of
Directors has approved a cash dividend for the quarter of
$0.25 per common share. This dividend will be payable on May
26, 2010 to stockholders of record on May 12, 2010.
As of
December 31, 2009, Wynn’s total debt outstanding was $3.6
billion, including approximately $2.5 billion of Wynn Las
Vegas debt and $1.1 billion of Wynn Macau debt.
|
|
Yahoo
|
No
|
YHOO
|
$15.00
|
$15.02
|
$18.02
$9.42
|
flat
|
|
Read
the "AOL"
article from Vol. 6, issue 12 to review the Stock Report Card
on Yahoo from December 2009.
|
Deleted in
2008/2009/2010:
Fannie
Mae was deleted on 2.11.08 after losing -50% and -56% of its share
price value, and then again on 7.1.08, after losing another -40%.
(Both puts more than doubled.) Novastar Financial (NFI) was deleted
on 6.2.08 with -95% share price implosion. Sears Holding Corp. was
deleted on 7.1.08 with 64% gains on the put option. Wells Fargo was
deleted on 7.1.08 with 83% gains on the put. Apple was deleted on
8.1.08 with 35% gains on the put. The Google put, deleted on 8.1.08,
was another great performer, with over 50% gains. First Solar had
gains of over 32-34%. Mentor was deleted on 9.30.08 with 75% gains
on the put option (-17% on the share price); Medicis was deleted with
gains of over 37% on the share price (down direction). Boston Properties,
Las Vegas Sands and Macerich were deleted on 10.9.08 with gains of
16-30%, 66% and 28-42% respectively. Wells Fargo was deleted on 11.6.08
with 35-50% gains on the put and again on 12.1.08 for 50-70% gains.
American Express posted 35% gains in just 30 days, between 2.1.09
and 3.2.09. First Solar was deleted on 8.13.09 with 33% gains. KB
Home with 74% gains and Toll Brothers with 51% gains on 10.01.09.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER (PLEASE READ):
Please
note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We
report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS
do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial
professional before buying or selling any security, and consider
your long-term goals and strategies.
Investors
should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling
Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should
reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the
assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your
goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading"
portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed
to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness
or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of
this publication and are subject to change without notice. This
material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase
or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments
or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.
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NataliePace.com
Calendar:
Oil
Spills. Market Nose Dives. Hurricane Predictions. Help! Get the
Solutions You Need.
This month,
due to all of the crises and disasters, we’ve taken action to make
solutions and answers readily available to you. There are two series
of FREE, interactive Tuesday Night teleconferences discussing easy
strategies to get safe and prosper in volatile markets. Learn what
is really happening with the oil spill (and which companies are
responsible for the disaster and the cleanup) and secure your assets
before hurricane season. See below for details.
Easy
as a Pie Chart FREE Teleconference
Tuesday, June
1st, 2010
6:00PM through 6:30PM PT
Fat finger May 6th meltdown.
The worst oil spill in history. What is happening? Amidst all of
the chaos and headline horrors, there is a strategy for your survival
that is easier than you think. Buy and hold and blindly checking
off the box doesn't work in today's wild stock marketplace and hasn’t
worked for the last decade. (We’ve had the DOT COM bust, the real
estate bust, the bailouts and the Great Recession in the last ten
years.) However, Modern Portfolio Theory, avoiding Bailouts, adding
Hot Industries and annual rebalancing does. Learn these easy-as-a-pie-chart
investing strategies that work great in bull and bear markets. Call-in
Number: (347) 215-7305. Log onto: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/nataliepace.
Directors
Forum, Boston, MA
Wednesday, June
2nd, 2010
8:00AM
through 2:00PM
4th
Annual Directors Forum brings together board directors for a day-long
edu and networking session. Keynote is: Vijay "VG" Govindarajan,
Dartmouth College Professor and Chief Innovation Consultant at GE.
Money
While You Sleep FREE Teleconference
Tuesday,
June 8th, 2010
6:00PM through 6:30PM PT
You could have kept
half of your nest egg safe and still earned 20% gains in 2009 (and
there were just as many horror stories and market meltdowns in that
year as there are today). Learn how! FREE. Call-in
Number: (347) 215-7305. Log onto: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/nataliepace.
Natalie
Pace at Borders,
Las Vegas, NV
Saturday,
June 19th, 2010
2:00PM through 3:30PM PT
Natalie Pace will lead a fun, interactive, visioning game that asks
(and answers) the question, "How would you live if you had all the
money in the world." Come play with us and WIN! We have give aways
from California Pizza Kitchen and Sephora for the first 25 people
to show up. Additionally, enter a chance to win dinner for two to
Canaletto, tickets to Phantom, a month at Barefoot Sanctuary and
a seat at an upcoming Natalie Pace Get Rich and Enrich Retreat.
Tell your friends and bring a friend!
Father's
Day!
Sunday, June
20th, 2010
Wonder
what Dad really wants? Check out our survey
on the home page.
Summer
Solstice
Monday, June
21st, 2010
Celebrate
the dog days of summer, when the Earth is tipped closest to the
Sun.
Getting
Started Budgeting and Investing. FREE Teleconference
Tuesday,
June 22nd, 2010
6:00PM
through 6:30PM PT
Wonder how to protect your nest egg in today's crazy marketplace?
Learn the ABC-123 basics in this half hour call. Learn how in this
FREE teleconference. Ask questions and get answers! Call-in
Number: (347) 215-7305. Log onto: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/nataliepace.
FOMC
Meeting
Tuesday,
June 22-23, 2010
9:00AM
through 11:50PM
The
Federal Open Market Committee meets to determine Federal Reserve
policy in the U.S. Two-day meeting June 22-23, 2010.
Women
in Biz National Conf. and Biz Fair. Baltimore, MD
Tuesday, June
22nd, 2010
5:00PM
through 5:00PM
Sheila
Johnson, billionaire and first African American woman to build a
luxury hotel, will keynote this conference. Sheila also owns the
Washington Wizards, so hit her up for NBA tix! Bestselling author
Suzy Welch will keynote the following day.
Easy
as a Pie Chart FREE Teleconference
Tuesday, June
29th, 2010
6:00PM through 6:30PM PT
Fat finger May 6th meltdown.
The worst oil spill in history. What is happening? Amidst all of
the chaos and headline horrors, there is a strategy for your survival
that is easier than you think. Buy and hold and blindly checking
off the box doesn't work in today's wild stock marketplace and hasn’t
worked for the last decade. (We’ve had the DOT COM bust, the real
estate bust, the bailouts and the Great Recession in the last ten
years.) However, Modern Portfolio Theory, avoiding Bailouts, adding
Hot Industries and annual rebalancing does. Learn these easy-as-a-pie-chart
investing strategies that work great in bull and bear markets. Call-in
Number: (347) 215-7305. Log onto: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/nataliepace.
Money
While You Sleep FREE Teleconference
Tuesday, July
6th, 2010
6:00PM through 6:30PM PT
You could have kept
half of your nest egg completely safe and still earned 20% gains
in 2009 (and there were just as many horrific headlines last year
as there are today). Learn how in this FREE teleconference. Bring
your friends. Call-in Number: (347)
215-7305. Log onto: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/nataliepace.
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat, Santa Monica,
CA
July 23-25,
2010
You spend hundreds of thousands learning how to earn money. Why
not spend a fraction of that learning how to invest? 3 days in a
boardroom setting, learning investing directly from Natalie Pace,
sets you up for life. There are only three seats remaining in this
intimate, boardroom retreat. Call 866-476-7442 to register NOW!
I
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VISION: To build
a global community of investors through a worldwide website, seminars,
radio, television and print partners.
GOAL: To provide high-quality, first-run, ethical financial news,
information and education, presented in an entertaining format,
across all media (television, radio, print and online).
MISSION: To provide the news, information and education investors
need to make better choices and to make investing as much fun
as shopping.
PHILOSOPHY: Member Mosaic. Piecing together a more complete picture
of the publicly traded company, one tile at a time, by valuing
firsthand consumer experience, conducting evaluations of the executive
team and lining up the numbers of the publicly-traded company
with its competitors in a Stock Report Card.
For more information on NataliePace.com contact us at
www.NataliePace.com,
P.O. Box 1350, Santa Monica, CA 90406-1350
or 1-866.476.7442
(toll-free telephone number).
NOTICE: NataliePace.com is NOT a stock brokerage service,
and does not operate or act as one.
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