TO
ACCESS A PRINTABLE COPY OF THIS NEWSLETTER CLICK HERE.

Vol.7 Issue 10, October 1st, 2010
Send comments and suggestions or get more information
at info@NataliePace.com
QUOTE OF THE MONTH:
"Our rising debt level poses a national security threat... It
undermines our capacity to act in our own interest. It constrains
us where constraint is undesirable. And it sends a message of
weakness internationally."
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton,
Speaking at the Council on Foreign Relations, on September
8, 2010.
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Tony Curtis:Actor,
Artist, Sex Symbol, Father and Savior of Stallions.
by Natalie
Pace.
Rock
n Roll in Paradise Bernie!
 |
| Tony Curtis. |
Tony Curtis
was born Bernard Schwartz, but in Hollywood, Tony was the embodiment
of royalty. He hobnobbed in the highest social circles. He married
beautiful women (six to be exact, including Janet Leigh and his
most recent companion Jill Curtis, formerly VandenBerg). Tony is
the father of Jamie Lee Curtis (whose mom is Janet Leigh) and five
other children. On September 29, 2010, Tony Curtis died of cardiac
arrest at his Las Vegas home.
Tony Curtis
ruled from a facade throne in la-la land, then dazzled for decades
in Sin City and ended up presiding over the very real and noble
task of helping stallions pass to greener pastures at the Shiloh
Horse Sanctuary (a nonprofit organization that he co-founded with
wife, Jill Curtis). I ran into Tony Curtis in Rome on June 29, 2009,
where he sang the praises of a life well lived – even if he was,
at that time, viewing it from a "broken down chariot" – his wheelchair.
"Ciao Bella!" Tony bellowed in his mirthful Bronx accent from across
the hotel lobby, waving and winking up at me. The infectiousness
of his greeting and unapologetic flirtation proved that he was still
every bit the wild child superstar--trapped in an old man’s body.
My interview
with Tony Curtis was impromptu and short. Without the opportunity
to research his 140 films, I could only name two off the top of
my head (Spartacus and Some Like It Hot). However,
Tony didn’t care. "Don’t worry, honey," Tony assured me. "This is
the interview you really want. Everyone already knows my films any
way. This will be something more."
As Jill Curtis
reminds us, ""All Tony ever wanted to be was a movie star. He didn't
want to be the most dramatic actor." However, in 1959, Tony Curtis
was nominated for an Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role
for his portrayal of John ‘Joker’ Jackson in The Defiant Ones.
He may have passed himself off as just a movie star, but his legacy
in film, art and even poetry was a bright light in the sky for the
85 years he was alive.
Natalie:
What’s your favorite movie that you’ve starred in?
Tony Curtis: I really can’t say. The movies were built around
the culture and what was happening in the world at the time. Each
is important in its own way.
Do you think
movies are key to helping humanity understand their world and perhaps
even transform the times?
They are simply important to the individual who sees them. I
did love stories. Gangster stories. Guy meets girl. Guy gets the
girl.
How do the
Italians feel about your films? Are you popular here in Italy?
I was very popular in Rome for what I represent to the Roman
audience, which is freedom. The Romans loved the impudence, the
joy, the pleasure and the pain of life. Romans won’t be chastised
for these things.
What would
you tell Americans about the magic of Rome, of what it feels like
to stand in 2000 year-old ruins?
I feel that I represent part of them. The ruins that I see,
feel and sense here, now, in this moment of my time on Earth. The
statues are broken down and seeking renovation. We all are. We are
a product of the time we live in. I, like these ruins, have the
strength and joy of being simply who I am.
With no regrets?
No apologies or unfulfilled dreams?
If I failed in projecting anything, that is my fame. My fame
is what I’ve contributed with my failures and my successes.
I am like granite, broken, abused and refreshed by what has happened.
My broken heart. My chariot that doesn’t work. I am all of these
things.
You can learn
more about the legacy of this famous film star at his website, TonyCurtis.com.
Tony’s autographed memoir American
Prince, is available on his website, where you can also
view and purchase his original artwork.
Tony and Jill
Curtis operate a nonprofit organization devoted to the rescue and
care of abandoned horses that are destined for the slaughter house
(and Verona, Italy, no doubt), called Shiloh
Horse Rescue. To learn more, volunteer, visit, adopt and
donate, visit ShilohHorseRescue.com.
If you’re interested
in joining the dialog on Tony Curtis and sharing your favorite film
of his, check out my blog on HuffingtonPost.com/Natalie-Pace.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/NWPace,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
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The Priceline
Negotiator.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
a Travel Stock
Report Card.
Priceline,
thanks in large part to the rico suave of William Shatner, has become
the most recognized price slashing travel service online. Revenue
growth was up 27% in the 2nd quarter 2010 and Priceline
has a cushy profit margin of 21½%, compared to 13% profit margin
for Expedia and single digit profit margins for TravelZoo and Orbitz.
If you check
out the Travel
Stock Report Card (link), it’s easy to see that in terms
of revenue growth, profit margins, popularity, debt and brand recognition,
Priceline is a clear leader. Investors who bought in earlier this
year have doubled their money! But will it be a winning investment
going forward?
To answer that
question, we must look at travel trends and current price/earnings
ratio. Not surprisingly, Priceline’s share price is trading at a
52-week high, and the price to earnings ratio is a little frothy
for the industry (and for the Great Recession) at 23.67. By comparison,
Expedia’s price to earnings ratio is just 15.14.
With regard
to travel trends, the most recent September Beige Book (the reporting
of trends by the Federal Reserve Banks) notes that consumer spending
was slightly up over the summer, relative to seasonal norms, as
was travel and tourism. This is based upon data through the end
of August, while the second quarter earning reports of Expedia and
Priceline include data only through the end of June. Therefore,
one might expect the third quarter earnings to be as strong as the
second quarter for both online discount travel sites, particularly
Priceline, which has been racing to the end zone in revenue during
the Great Recession. Priceline revenue is up 43% over the last two
years, while Expedia revenue has remained relatively flat.
It’s not all
dancing in the streets, partying with Captain Kirk and watching
$#*! My Dad Says at Priceline headquarters, however. In the
2nd quarter earnings report, Priceline’s management was
cautious with regard to the future, writing, "Our recent performance
has been aided by several factors that will likely not be present
in future periods and, as a consequence, our year-over-year financial
comparisons will be progressively more difficult, particularly in
the second half of 2010." Indeed, the third quarter of 2009 was
the second hottest quarter on record for Priceline, with sales topping
$730 million. That is less than this quarter’s $767.4 million, so
it shouldn’t be difficult for Priceline to beat, if early summer
travel trends continued through September.
Another earnings
issue for Priceline is that 2010 has seen a large loss of advertising
revenue. The first half of 2010 was off 45% in the advertising income
from 2009, at $6 million, down from $11 million. This is primarily
as a result of the termination of a relationship with an advertising
partner in September 2009. Advertising revenue is quite a small
piece of the revenue puzzle for Priceline, but it is clearly headed
in the wrong direction nonetheless (an area of growth for the future?).
Candid quotes
are something to love in a CEO -- easily as appealing as memorable
ads, excellent bargains, strong profits, robust growth and an easy-to-use
website. So, Priceline is tops in my book. But with the market headwinds,
hurricane season, slowing GDP growth, higher airfare (which will
limit travel) and lofty share prices, I’d be taking profits now
and looking to buy in later at a lower price. Bear in mind that
if October gives candy to investors on Wall Street and if Priceline’s
third quarter earnings are great (the report should be issued in
the first week of November), Priceline’s share price could see another
jump before hitting headwinds. There are a lot of if’s in that sentence
– too many for my taste.
I put Priceline
on the Cooling Off List today. Love the company – at a better price.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/NWPace,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations.
ALWAYS do
your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional
before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term
goals and strategies. Investors should NOT be all
in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your retirement plan
should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with
the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with
your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion
of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
Higher
Education and Technological Advances as Countries Develop.
by Dr.
Gary Becker.
 |
| Dr. Gary
S. Becker Presidential Medal of Freedom recipient Nobel Prize
winning economist |
The essence
of traditional international trade theory is that poorer countries
produce goods and services with resources that they have in abundance,
mainly low skilled labor and sometimes natural resources. They export
these goods, and import goods from the richer countries that require
skilled labor, and considerable physical and financial capital.
This theory provides many insights, and must be followed if poor
countries are to start on the path of economic development. However,
it does not go nearly far enough in mapping out how countries can
continue rapid development, and go from being poor to becoming middle-income,
and eventually to becoming rich.
To continue
their economic progress, developing countries have to move up the
product ladder and start producing more sophisticated goods. To
do this, they need to import technologies from the rich counties,
and increase the training and education of their populations. Advanced
technologies are partly acquired through foreign direct investment
and from trade with rich countries. Along with the more sophisticated
goods and services imported, developing countries also acquire some
of the technologies developed in the economically advanced nations.
Importing advanced
technologies can carry developing countries to middle income status.
To eventually reach much higher income levels, these countries must
begin to innovate themselves as well. International trade and foreign
direct investment are also necessary for this further stage of economic
growth, but it is not sufficient. Continuing rapid development toward
becoming a rich country requires skilled entrepreneurs and workers
who can not only utilize and adapt technologies imported from developed
countries, but who can also create and develop their own technologies
and processes.
Several ingredients
are needed to accomplish this--of course, particularly important
are competitive markets and creative entrepreneurs--but in the limited
space for the present discussion I want to stress the role of education,
especially higher education. In early stages of economic development,
a country needs a literate and energetic population with a wide
education base of perhaps only a few years. But as countries continue
to grow, they need to upgrade their education levels beyond elementary
school toward high rates of secondary school completion among young
persons.
Economists and
other students of economic development have learned only in recent
years about the great significance also of higher education for
countries that want to progress beyond middle-income status. Higher
education has become important to the development process mainly
because of the growing value in the modern world of command over
information and knowledge. The spread of university education
and training toward a much larger fraction of young persons is crucial
to producing efficiently the kinds of products and services that
would help developing countries continue to drive forward.
For several
years, along with others, I have been studying the worldwide boom
in higher education in both developing and developed nations. These
studies document that the rates at which young men, and especially
young women, have been graduating from universities have accelerated
in almost every country during the past 30 years. China, for example,
has had a growth in enrollments at universities of both young men
and women since about 1990, and a sharp growth since the late 1990s.
A similar rapid expansion of higher education has also occurred
in many other still developing countries, such as South Korea. Developed
countries too have generally also greatly increased enrollments
at universities, although the U.S. has fallen behind in the fraction
of young men who go on from high school to receive a college education.
The signal given
to young persons that higher education pays off much more now than
in the past is the sizable growth during the past several decades
in the average earnings of individuals with a college education
compared to the earnings of those who do not go to college. Earnings
of persons with college education increased faster in recent decades
not only in developed countries, but also in many rapidly developing
countries, such as China and Brazil, that are supposedly specializing
in goods that use less human capital. Developing countries imperil
their continued economic advance if they fail to provide much greater
opportunities for their young men and women to achieve a university
education.
To conclude,
the main message of my comments is that in order for poorer countries
to continue to grow at fast rates, they must move beyond specialization
in goods produced with relatively unskilled labor. They need to
upgrade the goods they produce by utilizing more advanced technologies,
and more skilled workers and entrepreneurs. At first, most advanced
technologies are imported from other countries, but eventually developing
nations need to produce themselves many of the technologies required
to upgrade and expand their production. To accomplish this last
great stage of economic development, both public policy and private
households and businesses must begin to emphasize higher education,
and other ways to greatly improve the advanced human capital of
working men and women.
About
Gary Becker:
Dr.
Gary Becker is a University Professor, Department
of Economics, and Sociology Professor, Graduate School of Business,
The University of Chicago. He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in
1992 for his groundbreaking work in "human capital." President George
W. Bush awarded him the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2007.
To keep
track of Dr. Becker's continuing research and commentary, visit
his website
and blog.
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Bond
Beautification Project.
What
Should You Do with Your Bonds?
 |
| Ursula
Andress as Honeychile 'Honey' Ryder in Dr. No |
Dear Natalie…
Being on
the Canadian side of the border, interest rates have increased a
bit already and I’ve already been watching bonds rather closely.
I have a number of bonds for safety and I’ve always used bonds
as a "til death do us part" investment. In other words, my
plan is to run them all until maturity. All of the bonds I
have are laddered between 2011-2016 with annual returns between
3-5% (not stellar but solid).
I do have
more to invest and I’m hesitant to pick more bonds or go into later
maturity dates. I’m thinking shorter term bonds so I have
the cash to reinvest when things pay more? I noticed the article
mentioned money markets. I’ll do some research into that.
Signed,
Steady but
Not Stellar
Dear Steady
but Not Stellar,
Basically, now’s
the time to do a bond beautification project. Perhaps the most important
lesson of late is the Greek lesson. In early 2010, Greece and certain
other European Union countries with high levels of sovereign debt
had difficulty refinancing that debt and central bank intervention
was required, causing significant devaluation of the Euro relative
to other currencies. Since there are other nations and municipalities
with similar situations, it’s important to separate the bailouts
from the brides (to borrow your term til death do us part). Here
are a few tips to help you do that.
- Fiscal
Health: Look into the debt and revenue of the underlying
country, corporation, municipality or revenue stream that is securing
the bond. Don’t simply rely on rating agencies (although that’s
a good start) because those failed investors in 2007-2008. Make
your own assessment and separate the risky from the relatively
safe. You want reasonable debt and solid revenue in the safe category,
and massive debt with downtrending revenue in the pile that you
might be looking to liquidate now.
- Bailouts
vs. Brides: In the Bride category, separate the bonds
that are high yielding (above 8%) from the low-yield bonds. If
you have a low-yield bond that passed the fiscal health exam (#1
above) that is maturing in 2-3 years, you can throw that into
the bride pile. If you have a low-yield bond that is longer term
or has serious fiscal issues, consider liquidating now. Why? Because
if the underlying entity has to issue new debt in the future,
your low-yield bond will become illiquid. You may not be able
to sell that bond once interest rates start to rise, which means
that if you are in a position in the future when you have to liquidate
(health reasons, unemployment, a sudden loss in income or an increase
in expenses), you might not be able to, or if you are able to,
you’ll have to seriously mark down the price. There are better
investments out there than paper – like cash-positive hard assets.
- Tax-free
Muni’s: Do an extensive analysis of any Municipal Bonds
you are holding, particularly of the debt. Why? Having a tax-exempt
investment is not very helpful when you take a serious loss of
capital investment and/or if it becomes illiquid. According to
Marc Miles, a global strategist and the former senior economist
of the Heritage Foundation, the problems in Greece are similar
to the problems in California, Arizona, Illinois, Michigan, New
York, and New Jersey. Dr. Miles writes, "The problem was a large
debt/GDP ratio and the stubborn resistance of state workers to
allow their compensation (included unfunded pensions) to adjust
to the new realities." Include union/pension funding/benefits
and other post employment benefit obligations and debt in your
evaluations.
- Separate
the Googles from the GMs: Evaluate the Corporate Bonds
using a Stock Report Card. Take a serious look at the debt and
revenue growth. Read You
Vs. Wall Street for tips on how to grade individual
companies in a Stock Report Card, using my Four Questions. There
have been defaults, more than normal and on companies that were
formerly A-rated. So, do the extra legwork and brainwork to make
sure that you’re not going to be stuck with a dud.
- Water
Revenue versus Missing Revenue: Evaluate the Revenue Bonds
considering the source of the revenue. Will this particular revenue
stream be strong if the recession continues? People will still
pay their water bill in a recession, but there are other non-necessities
that have a higher revenue default rate. In that scenario, the
underlying issuer may need to raise more money in the future,
attracting investors by paying them a higher interest rate (which
devalues the bond you are holding).
Basically, if
you like the yield, if the underlying security is safe and steady
(if not stellar), if you are only holding it for a few more years
and if you are unlikely to need to sell it before it comes to term,
then your bond is cool. With all of the if’s in that sentence, however,
it is best to be sure that you eliminate as much doubt and risk
as possible – on your own. Don’t expect the person who sold you
the bond to be James Bond when it comes to assassinating his own
commission.
With any
bond, there are always eight key considerations.
- Quality.
- Liquidity.
- Capital Appreciation.
- Yield.
- Default Potential.
- Term.
- Interest
rate environment. (Rising rates = the value of existing bonds
go down. When interest rates go down, the value of existing bonds
increases.)
- Tax considerations
Fall in love
with these factors and chances are you’ll have a great marriage
with your bond – til death do you part.
FYI: If you’re
holding bond funds, you don’t have much control over any of these
things. So bond funds will be the most volatile and downtrending
at the onset of an increase in interest rates. The liquidity
of the fund will play AGAINST investors, if everyone is moved to
dump en masse. This is why I’ve issued many Investor Alerts on bonds,
bond funds and Treasury Bills over the past few months. (Read the
archives for more tips.)
Good luck!
Natalie
Other
Articles of Interest:
"The
Gold Crash of 1980." By Natalie Pace. A Brief History of Gold.
"Bonds,
Bond Funds and T-Bills: The Next Disaster." By Dr. Marc Miles
and Natalie Pace.
"Don't
Get Fooled Again," from Sept. 2010 ezine, vol. 7, issue 8.
"Latin
America Funds Doubled," from August 2010 ezine, vol. 7, issue
8.
"Hot
Funds of Summer," from July 2010 ezine, vol. 7, issue 7.
"Spring
Rally. How Long Will It Last?" By Natalie Pace., from April
2010 ezine, vol. 7, issue 4.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/NWPace,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations.
ALWAYS do
your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional
before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term
goals and strategies. Investors should NOT be all
in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your retirement plan
should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with
the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with
your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion
of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
CEOs Should Tell It
Like It Is.
by Ben
Horowitz, partner Andreessen Horowitz.
Unemployment
at a record high
People coming, people going, people born to die
Don’t ask me, because I don’t know why
But it’s like that, and that’s the way it is
–Run DMC
 |
| Ben
Horowitz, partner Andreessen Horowitz. |
My single biggest
personal improvement as CEO occurred on the day when I stopped being
too positive.
As a young CEO,
I felt the pressure—the pressure of employees depending on me, the
pressure of not really knowing what I was doing, the pressure of
being responsible for tens of millions of dollars of other people’s
money. As a consequence of this pressure, I took losses extremely
hard. If we failed to win a customer or slipped a date or shipped
a product that wasn’t quite right, it weighed heavily on me. I thought
that I would make the problem worse by transferring that burden
to my employees. Instead, I thought I should project a positive,
sunny demeanor and rally the unburdened troops to victory. I was
completely wrong.
I realized my
error during a conversation with my brother in-law, Cartheu. At
the time, Cartheu worked for AT&T as a telephone repairman (he
is one of those guys that climbs the poles). I had just met a senior
executive at AT&T who I’ll call Fred Johnson, and I was excited
to find out if Cartheu knew him. When I inquired, Cartheu said,
"Yeah, I know Fred. He comes by about once a quarter to blow a little
sunshine up my ass." At that moment, I knew then that I’d been screwing
up my company by being too positive.
In my mind,
I was keeping everyone in high spirits by accentuating the positive
and ignoring the negative. But my team saw that reality was more
nuanced than I was describing it. And not only did they see for
themselves that the world wasn’t as rosy as I was describing it,
they still had to listen to me blowing sunshine up their butts at
every company meeting.
How did I make
such a big mistake and why was it such a big mistake?
The
Positivity Delusion
As
the highest-ranking person in the company, I thought that I would
be best able to handle bad news. Interestingly, the opposite was
actually true: nobody took bad news harder than me. Engineers easily
brushed off things that kept me awake all night. After all, I was
the founding CEO. I was the one married to the company. If things
went horribly wrong, they could walk away, but I could not. As a
consequence, the employees handled losses much better than me.
Even more stupidly,
I thought that it was my job and my job only to worry about the
company’s problems. Had I been thinking more clearly, I would have
realized that it didn’t make sense for me to be the only one to
worry about, for example, the product not being quite right—because
I wasn’t writing the code that would fix it.
A much better
idea would be to give the problem to the people who could not only
fix it, but would be personally excited and motivated to do so.
Another example: if we lost a big prospect, the whole organization
needed to understand why so that we could together fix the things
that were broken in our products, marketing, and sales process.
If I insisted on keeping the burdens of setbacks to myself, there
was no way to jump start that process.
Why
it’s imperative to tell it like it is
There
are three key reasons why being transparent about your company’s
problems makes sense:
1. Trust
Without
trust, communication breaks. More specifically:
In any
human interaction, the required amount of communication is inversely
proportional to the level of trust.
Consider the
following. If I trust you completely, then I require no explanation
or communication of your actions whatsoever, because I know that
whatever you are doing is in my best interest. On the other hand,
if I don’t trust you at all, then no amount of talking, explaining
or reasoning will have any effect on me, because I do not trust
that you are telling me the truth.
In a company
context, this is a critical point. As a company grows, communication
becomes its biggest challenge. If the employees fundamentally trust
the CEO, then communication will be vastly more efficient than if
they don’t. Telling things as they are is a critical part of building
this trust. A CEO’s ability to build this trust over time is often
the difference between companies that execute well and companies
that are chaotic.
2. The more
brains working on the hard problems, the better
In
order to build a great technology company, you have to hire lots
of incredibly smart people. It’s a total waste to have lots of big
brains, but not let them work on your biggest problems. A brain,
no matter how big, cannot solve a problem that it doesn’t know about.
As the open
source community would explain it, "given enough eyeballs,
all bugs are shallow."
3. A good
culture is like the old
RIP routing protocol (bad news travels fast, good news travels
slow)
If you
investigate companies that have failed, you will find many employees
who knew about the fatal issues long before those issues killed
the company. If the employees knew about the deadly problems, why
didn’t they say something? Too often the answer is that the
company culture discouraged the spread of bad news, so the knowledge
lay dormant until it was too late to act.
A healthy company
culture encourages people to share bad news. A company that discusses
its problems freely and openly can quickly solve them. A company
that covers up its problems frustrates everyone involved. The resulting
action item for CEOs: build a culture that rewards—not punishes—people
for getting problems into the open where they can be solved.
As a corollary,
beware of management maxims that stop information from flowing freely
in your company. For example, consider the old management standard:
"Don’t bring me a problem without bringing me a solution." What
if the employee cannot solve an important problem? For example,
what if an engineer identifies a serious flaw in the way the product
is being marketed? Do you really want him to bury that information?
Management truisms like these may be good for employees to aspire
to in the abstract, but they can also be the enemy of free-flowing
information—some of which may be critical for the health of the
company.
Final
thought
If
you run a company, you will experience overwhelming psychological
pressure to be overly positive. Stand up to the pressure, face your
fear, and tell it like it is.
About Ben
Horowitz
Ben
Horowitz
is the cofounder and General Partner (along with Marc
Andreessen) of the venture capital firm Andreessen
Horowitz based in Menlo Park, California. Ben was CEO of LoudCloud
(a cloud service provider), which became Opsware, and then sold
to Hewlett-Packard for $1.6 billion.
Other
Articles of Interest
2004
Company of the Year: Opsware. by Natalie Pace. From January
1, 2004 ezine. Vol. 1, issue 44.
DOT
COM Survivors Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz. Exclusive Interviews
by Natalie Pace. From January 1, 2004 ezine. Vol. 1, issue 44.
.
|
|
Saving
for Retirement: IRA vs. 401(k).
by Rande
Spiegelman, CPA, CFP®, Vice President of Financial Planning,
Schwab Center for Financial
Research
 |
| Rande
Spiegelman. |
Updated September
15, 2010
Key points
- We break
down which retirement accounts make the most sense, and in what
combination.
- Your main
workhorses for retirement savings will likely be an IRA along
with a 401(k) or other qualified employer plan.
- If your 401(k)
offers a matching contribution, that's usually the best place
to start.
Retirement was
simpler when all you had to do was put in your time at work, retire
and collect your checks. Between the company pension and Social
Security, most retirees figured they had it made. And if they'd
managed to save a little extra, it was gravy.
These days, that's all changed. For most workers, traditional defined-benefit
pension plans have become a thing of the past. And few people seriously
expect Social Security to provide the majority of what they hope
to spend in retirement.
In short, our ability to save and invest on our own will likely
determine whether we realize the retirement of our dreams—or just
hope to get by somehow when we're no longer able to work for a living.
Getting started
Recognizing the need to save for retirement is the first step.
That's followed by prudent retirement planning, which includes figuring
out when you'd like to retire, how much you'd like to spend
in retirement, and how
much you need to save and invest now to get there.
After all that, you might think your next step would simply be to
start saving. But with all the different retirement accounts out
there—401(k), 403(b) or 457 plans at work, traditional IRAs, Roth
IRAs, regular brokerage accounts, deferred annuities—it can be hard
to know which are best for you, and in what combination.
Retirement workhorses: IRAs and 401(k)s
Your main workhorses for retirement savings will likely be an IRA
along with a 401(k), 403(b), 457 or other qualified employer plan,
depending on what your workplace offers.
If you have earned income but your employer doesn't offer a retirement
plan, you can always start by putting money in a traditional IRA
or Roth IRA. But if you also have access to a 401(k) or other employer
plan, should you fund your 401(k), your IRA or both?
The best choice is to fund your tax-advantaged options to the fullest
(as shown in the table) if you're eligible, then move on to other
ways to save for retirement if you're able (more below). But what
if you can't afford to save that much?
|
2010
Contributions limits
|
|
Account
|
Contribution
limit
|
Catch-up
contribution
|
|
401(k),
403(b) and 457
|
$16,500
|
$5,500
|
|
Traditional
IRA and Roth IRA
|
$5,000
|
$1,000
|
Got
a match?
If your 401(k) offers a matching contribution, that's usually the
best place to start. For example, let's say you make $50,000. Your
employer matches your 401(k) contributions dollar-for-dollar up
to 6% of your salary, which for you amounts to $3,000. In this case,
the first $3,000 of savings should go into your 401(k) plan. Why
give up free money?
If you're able to save more than your employer will match, should
you put the rest into your 401(k)? Or should you consider a traditional
IRA or Roth IRA?
IRA vs. Roth IRA
Money you put in a traditional IRA is generally tax-deductible
no matter how high your adjusted gross income (AGI) might be—unless
you're an active participant in a qualified employer plan such as
a 401(k), 403(b) or 457.
In that case, a traditional IRA contribution for 2010 is fully deductible
for single filers with an AGI of $56,000 or below (partially deductible
between $56,000–$66,000). For married filing jointly, the phase-out
range for deductibility is between $89,000–$109,000 ($167,000–$177,000 for
the nonparticipant spouse of an active participant in a qualified
employer plan, when filing jointly).
Contributions to a Roth IRA are never tax-deductible, but qualified
withdrawals are tax-free (unlike withdrawals from traditional IRAs,
which are taxed as ordinary income). For 2010, you can contribute
the maximum to a Roth IRA if your AGI is at or below
$105,000 for single filers and $166,000 for married filing jointly.
You can make a partial contribution if your AGI is between $105,000–$120,000
for singles and $167,000–$177,000 for married filing jointly.
If you're still able to save more after taking advantage of your
employer's 401(k) match limit, here's what you should do next:
- If you're
eligible to make a deductible contribution to a traditional IRA,
consider putting your next $5,000 there—especially if you expect
to be in the same or lower income tax bracket in retirement when
you take withdrawals. You're still getting a pretax deduction
as you do with your 401(k), but you'll likely have more investment
choices. If you can afford to save more after contributing $5,000
to a traditional IRA ($6,000 if you’re 50 or older in 2010), then
continue with your 401(k) up to the maximum allowed.
- If you're
not eligible to make a deductible contribution to a traditional
IRA but you're eligible for a Roth IRA, consider putting your
next $5,000 into a Roth ($6,000 if you’re 50 or older in 2010).
Your contribution won't be deductible, but qualified withdrawals
will be tax free down the road. If you're in a higher tax bracket
when you make your withdrawals, the Roth would be especially attractive.
Ending up in the same bracket would mean a wash for income tax
purposes—but a Roth IRA has other advantages.
A Roth IRA doesn't force you to take required minimum distributions
at age 70½, as you'd have to do with a qualified employer plan
or traditional IRA. That's an advantage in terms of letting your
Roth IRA continue to grow tax deferred in your later years. It
could also benefit your heirs, who'd be able take money out income
tax free after you're gone.
Again, if you're able to save more after you put $5,000 in a Roth,
continue with your 401(k) until you max it out.
- If you're
eligible for neither a deductible contribution to a traditional
IRA nor a Roth IRA contribution, then just continue with your
401(k) until you've contributed the maximum allowed.
The
Roth 401(k)
A "Roth 401(k)" account (403(b) plans are also eligible) works
much like a regular Roth—contributions come from after-tax dollars
and qualified withdrawals are income tax- free. But there is no
income limit to participate!
Eligible employees can contribute to either the traditional 401(k)
or the Roth 401(k), up to the 2010 contribution limit of $16,500
per individual, plus an additional $5,500 catch-up contribution
for those 50 or older. Also, the balance from a Roth 401(k) could
be rolled over directly into a regular Roth IRA when you leave the
employer. An employer match, if any, would automatically go into
the traditional 401(k) option, regardless of where the employee
contributions are directed.
Assuming your employer offers the option, the choice of a Roth 401(k)
could make sense if you think your tax bracket will be the same
or higher in retirement—not a bad guess given today’s relatively
low tax brackets and the potential to generate significant portfolio
income and retirement distributions from other deferred accounts.
If that’s the case, then maxing out on a Roth 401(k) and then contributing
to a Roth IRA, if eligible, might be the way to go.
On the other hand, if you’re in a lower bracket when you retire
(or, even worse for the Roth, if the current income tax is replaced
by a flat tax or consumption tax), then a traditional 401(k) would
have been a better bet. One way to hedge against the unknown is
to split your contributions between the traditional option and the
Roth option, assuming your employer makes both available.
Example using
2010 limits
Your
salary is $107,500. Your goal is to save 20%, or $21,500. Your employer
matches your 401(k) contributions, up to the first 6% of your salary
($6,450).
- First $6,450
to 401(k)
- Next $5,000
to a Roth IRA (not eligible for a deductible contribution to a
traditional IRA)
- Next $10,050
to 401(k)
In this case,
you're able to contribute the full $16,500 limit to your 401(k)
and the full $5,000 limit to a Roth IRA.
If the amount
you're able to contribute to an IRA and 401(k) each year is less
than the maximum allowed, you would follow the order above until
you reached your personal savings limit (assuming the employer match).
Keep in mind your 401(k) has a distinct advantage: Once you set
your savings
percentage, you're on "pay yourself first" autopilot. Since
you have a greater opportunity to spend money earmarked for your
IRA, you need to be more disciplined about saving it.
What if I've maxed out my 401(k) and IRA?
If you've maxed out your 401(k) and whatever IRA option makes
the most sense, and you're looking to save more, kudos are in order!
Here's where to go with those extra retirement dollars:
- Regular
brokerage account. Additional retirement savings can go right
into your brokerage account. Remember, even if you hold retirement
assets in both taxable and tax-advantaged accounts, you should
consider all your investments as one big portfolio reflecting
a single asset allocation. What's more, you may be able to add
value by placing more tax-efficient
investments in your taxable accounts and less tax-efficient
investments in your tax-advantaged accounts.
- Nondeductible
contribution to a traditional IRA. Even if you're covered
by an employer plan and you're above the AGI limit for a Roth
IRA or a deductible contribution to a traditional IRA, you can
still make a nondeductible contribution to a traditional IRA.
Whether you should or not is a tough call. Besides no up-front
deduction, any earnings will be taxed as ordinary income when
you withdraw them, so a nondeductible IRA contribution isn't an
overly compelling choice. The advantage rests solely on the benefit
of tax-deferred compounding. But you could effectively defer taxes
on stocks in your taxable accounts by trading infrequently or
buying an index fund. And if you're in a higher tax bracket and
you want to hold bonds in your taxable account, you could always
buy municipal bonds, which are tax-free.
- Deferred
variable annuities. This option has some similarities to a
nondeductible IRA contribution, with some notable differences:
- Most deferred
variable annuities have an optional death benefit, so your heirs
would at least be sure to get what you put in, even if your
investments lose value.
- There are
no required minimum distributions to deal with.
- You have
the option to annuitize your balance, which might come in handy
if you're looking for a regular monthly check at some point
during retirement.
The downside
here is that variable annuities typically include additional
costs and fees that can make them relatively expensive.
The
bottom line
If you haven't begun to save for retirement—or you're saving
less than you should—what are you waiting for? Now that you know
which retirement accounts make the most sense, start filling them
up!
Important Disclosures
Variable annuities and certain other annuities are sold by prospectus
only. Before purchasing an annuity, you should carefully read the
prospectus and consider all of the risks, charges and expenses associated
with the annuity and its investment options. You can request a prospectus
by calling 888-311-4889 or visiting www.schwab.com/annuities.
Because a variable annuity's value will fluctuate depending upon
the underlying investment, an investor’s units, when redeemed, may
be worth more or less than the original amount invested.
Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., a licensed insurance agency, offers
annuity products that are issued by non-affiliated insurance companies.
Not all annuity contracts are available in every state.
Fixed-income investments are subject to various risks, including
changes in interest rates, credit quality, market valuations, liquidity,
prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.
Municipal bonds are debt securities issued by state and local governments
and their agencies. The interest they pay is free from federal taxation
and sometimes state and local taxes.
Establishing a retirement plan involves a number of tax consequences
you should be aware of prior to making an investment decision. This
information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized
tax, legal or investment planning advice. Where specific advice
is necessary or appropriate, Schwab recommends consultation with
a qualified tax advisor, CPA, Financial Planner or Investment Manager.
The information presented does not consider your particular investment
objectives or financial situation and does not make personalized
recommendations. This information should not be construed as an
offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.
The investment strategies and the securities shown may not be suitable
for you. We believe the information provided is reliable, but Charles
Schwab & Co., Inc. ("Schwab") and its affiliates do not guarantee
its accuracy, timeliness, or completeness. Any opinions expressed
herein are subject to change without notice.
The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles
Schwab & Co., Inc.
|
|
Get
A Raise With One Easy Word. Ask.
by
Chellie Campbell,
author of Zero to Zillionaire and The Wealthy Spirit.
 |
| Chellie
Campbell. |
Do
you love to ask for money? Or does that phrase make you cringe a
little bit?
Did
you know that women have specific financial hurdles to success that
men don’t have?
- Men think
of negotiating as "winning a ballgame"
- Women think
of negotiating as "going to the dentist"
- When men
negotiate, they get paid approximately 30% more than women
- By failing
to negotiate their starting salary, a person will lose $500,000
by age 60
How
to Ask for a Raise and Get It
"I’m going to ask for a raise," I declared to my co-worker and
friend, Jennifer.
"Yeah?
Why do you think you deserve one?" she asked.
I
was incensed. What did she mean? Wasn’t she my friend?
"Well,
I’ve been here a year already," I huffed.
"So
what? Just warming the bench doesn’t mean you deserve more money,"
she replied.
Tuna
Chellie frowned and looked at her resentfully.
"Come
with me," she said, and motioned for me to sit down in her office.
Then she taught me what I needed to know.
"Asking
for a raise is just like making a sale," Jennifer said. She went
on to tell me that you have to list all your accomplishments and
what they mean to the company in terms of producing or saving money.
Just doing an acceptable job at what you were hired to do doesn’t
mean you deserve more money. Raises come to people who have done
an exceptional job, and have worked at a level beyond the scope
of their current job. She showed me how to compare how things were
at the company when I arrived, how I have improved them, and what
they are like now. She told me to research other companies and what
they were paying people in similar jobs. Armed with this new sales
technique, I went in to see the boss, closed the sale, and got a
raise.
That
was many years ago, but I never forgot Jennifer’s training, and
I know a lot of people never had a Jennifer in their life to share
with them this valuable lesson. It’s another sales lesson. Whether
you’re asking a boss for a raise or raising your rates to your clients,
you have to make the sale. Paint the picture of how much you have
done in the past and what you are going to do in the future to make
their lives better and more prosperous, so that they can see you
deserve more money.
You
have to get comfortable with earning more money and being more abundant.
Practice saying your new salary or your new price so that you can
say it without hesitation. If you think it’s a big number, your
awe will show, and people will talk you out of it. Often people
who have rich clients are afraid to ask for a reasonable amount
of money for their products or services. A massage therapist might
feel awkward asking for $125 for a massage if he couldn’t afford
to get regular massages himself.
A
Little Exercise to Enlarge Your Income
Here’s
something to practice that could greatly increase your income. Let’s
say that your current price for your product or service is $100
and you’d like to start charging $150. For you to say, "I charge
$150" after you’ve been saying $100 for a long while is difficult.
It’s uncomfortable because you’re in the habit of saying $100. All
your fears about your worthiness and ability to receive abundance
clutch at your insides. You choke on the words, stutter, or make
your request weakly, wincing while you say, "I, uh, charge, er,
a hundred and um, ah, fifty dollars??"
The
client is going to call that obvious bluff immediately: "A hundred
and fifty dollars!?? That’s too much money!" That will never do.
You’ve
got to say your new price proudly and strongly. You have to practice
saying it, so that you can toss the figure away when you say
it, like you think its nothing. Here’s the trick that will help:
Take the new price (not the current price) you want to charge—$150—and
double that to $300. Sounds outrageous, doesn’t it? That’s the point.
Now practice saying that price: "I charge $300," "I charge
$300," over and over. At least twenty times a day for a week or
two. You will be amazed at how little $150 sounds to you after that.
You’ll speak it easily to your clients, because after $300, $150
sounds like a bargain. Your clients will take their cue from you
this time, too, and be more likely to have a more relaxed acceptance
of your price.
Many
of my clients have been amazed at how well this exercise has worked
for them. Not only that, but a lot of them reported their clients
mentioned being surprised their prices had been so low and were
waiting for them to start charging a higher rate.
The
Small Business Administration reports that one of the top reasons
small businesses go under is that they don’t charge enough money
for their products or services. My client, Adi, taught all-day Yoga
classes and charged $6. He got ten students, one of whom didn’t
even pay the $6. He knew his pricing was too low, but he just enjoyed
teaching the class and didn’t want money to stand in the way of
people attending. But he needed more money in his life, so he decided
to charge $235 for the next all-day session. He got three students.
In the first scenario, he made $54. In the second, he made $705.
The difference in his income was $651.
How
Much Money Do You Want?
I
give myself a raise every year or so. If I were working for someone
else I’d want a raise, and I want to be a better boss to myself
than someone else. A lot of entrepreneurs who don’t pay themselves
enough money would never work for such a chintzy boss in the corporate
world. In fifteen years of teaching classes, I have found that how
much I charge makes no difference in attendance at my workshops.
It makes a difference in who attends, not how many attend.
There are about 20 million people in the greater Los Angeles area,
and I don’t need all of them—I only need twelve. So I call until
I get twelve—you see? If I charged less, in order to make the same
income, I would have to enroll many more people. Then I would have
to book a hotel instead of doing it at my house, that would cost
more money so I’d need to enroll more people and then I’d need more
help and then I’d have to have employees and then I’d have to enroll
more people to pay the employees and then it’s a bigger business
than I want. And I’ve lost the life I want.
But
the sales process for my workshop business—the enrollment conversation—takes
the same amount of time, no matter what my price is. That’s why
bankers don’t bother with small loans—it takes them the same amount
of time to process a $10,000 loan as a $10 million loan and they
make a lot more money on the bigger loan. In the same way, I want
to make sure the pricing works for me, first. You need to start
with your vision, then work backwards to see what you need to charge
in order to create your living the way you want to live your life.
If people want the benefits of what you do, they will pay the price
for it, whatever it is. There will always be people who "can’t afford
you." You can’t bring your pricing down to the lowest common denominator
and only charge a dollar because there are poor people who need
you who only have a dollar. You can run a charity like that, but
you can’t run a business like that. Don’t choose a non-profit business
model unless you’re a bona-fide 501c3.
About
Chellie Campbell:
Chellie
Campbell is the creator of the Financial Stress Reduction®
Workshops, and author of The Wealthy Spirit and Zero to
Zillionaire. She has been prominently quoted as a financial
expert in the Los Angeles Times, Good Housekeeping, Lifetime, Essence,
Woman’s World and more than 50 popular books. If you are interested
in taking one of Chellie’s Financial Stress Reduction® Workshops,
be sure to visit Chellie.com.
|
|
 |
| Alvin Tam. |
The
Ultimate Realization.
by Alvin
Tam.
It’s been nearly
6 weeks since I began my subjective reality experiment. Subjective
reality is assuming that everything around you is a creation of
your consciousness. There is no exception, not the good nor the
bad. You create everything, everyone and every single interaction
you have. Objective reality is seeing the world as separate from
you: you are an independent being moving through a world of unrelated
events, people, circumstances. You are a lone ranger-scientist manipulating
a world of uncontrolled variables.
In my last blog
to you I mentioned that I was approaching two problems with the
subjective reality mindset: the vindictive neighbor and the invading
ants (reread
the article here). Here’s what happened:
The
Vindictive Neighbour
After
an angry neighbor tore down our yoga class signs that we posted
around our community, I decided to see her as an extension of my
consciousness rather than through an objective lens: a conniving,
separate-from-me, human being whose purpose was to make my life
miserable by thwarting my yoga advertising efforts. Instead I focused
on seeing what her actions represented in me, if she was indeed
a part of me. I began to see that her pettiness was my pettiness,
her vindictiveness was my vindictiveness, and her unruly self-righteousness
was my unruly self-righteousness. None of this was flattering, but
I decided to heal the situation, not by confronting her or by posting
more signs, but by sending thoughts of "I love you" to her, which
in a subjective world, is really me sending thoughts of love to
myself.
The result was
that I never saw her face again in the neighborhood until just last
week, despite the fact that I walk the dog twice a day and I know
that she gets out for her morning walk every day also. It was almost
as if her existence simply vanished from my consciousness. There’s
been no further conflict, and our yoga classes continue to fill
up.
The
Case of the Invading Ants
After
waking one morning to discover that ants had taken over our kitchen
counters and sinks, I decided to solve the invasion with a subjective
reality approach, instead of with a can of Raid. My wife Jaime and
I talked about how the ants represented our lack of accountability.
The ants came supposedly because we didn’t always do the dishes
right away, or put the food away on the counter, but they came also
because we didn’t always pay the bills on time, or that we procrastinated
with some of business efforts, like finding distributors for our
instructional DVDs. We then created a concrete plan to make sure
we were more accountable in all areas of our lives, like doing the
dishes more frequently, and starting an application for a potential
DVD distributor.
The result was
amazing. I didn’t see another ant in our kitchen for three weeks.
Previously, even if we had kept the counters and sink clean, there
would always be one or two ants roaming about. We didn’t see any
ants until one day we mistakenly left out the maple syrup. They
came back in droves for a day or two and then disappeared again.
The
Rebel in the Yoga Class
I’ve
had a few other epiphanies along the way. During the month of August
I was taking quite a few hot yoga classes, the type of yoga you
do in a heated room to increase your flexibility and sweat out toxins.
It’s a greatly beneficial form of yoga and exercise but the one
thing that I don’t like about it is the fact that the class is highly
regimented and that there’s really no deviation allowed from the
established routine or positions. Since I like to create movement
and am an independent thinker, showing up at class became increasingly
more difficult.
As I took more
classes, I found myself becoming increasingly irritable with the
rigid system. I would find myself resisting the teachers’ instructions
or would feel rebellious. Imagine that – a rebel at a yoga class!
How funny yet misplaced.
The part of
the class that I didn’t like was the rigidity, the formality, the
unbending systemized sequence of movements, speech, and breath.
It was becoming a tight, unforgiving experience, where I would be
lightly reprimanded for not straightening my knee enough, turning
my head to the wrong side, or – God forbid – yawning. It was beginning
to drive me bonkers.
That’s when
my subjective reality filter kicked in. If the yoga class was really
me, then what part of me did it represent?
It represented
the part of me that was unyielding, unforgiving, systematic, and
rigid. And though nobody likes to lay claim to undesirable attributes,
my subjective reality filter was telling me that I was all of these
characteristics and had probably subjected others to actions of
non-forgiveness or rigidity in the past.
These realization
lay the foundation for me to exercise flexibility, calmness, and
patience for my next epiphany, and the ultimate realization in subjective
reality: the birth of my son.
The
Ultimate Realization: the Birth of Our Son
Our
son, Satori Tiger Tam, arrived on August 31, weighing in 6 pounds,
5 ounces. There’s no joy like seeing his face illuminate with satisfaction
after a feeding, and there’s no anguish like hearing him cry at
night because he has gas in his tummy. The range of emotion is off
the charts. I am overwhelmed by the powerful instinct to love, protect
and serve, and humbled by the miracle of birth and life.
Through the
days of pre-contraction labor and childbirth, my world became suspended
in a bubble of doctors, baby, bottles, and diapers. Was it normal
for the baby to spit up? Did we need the vitamin K shot for blood
clotting? How do we breast feed? How often do we change his diaper?
It was a learning curve like no other.
When the dust
settled (somewhat) and we were back at home away from the blinking
hospital lights, nurses, and exams, I finally asked myself the question:
"What part of me does Satori represent?" I was astounded by the
answer.
He doesn’t represent
me. He is me. He is from both of his parents in every way – biologically,
genetically, psychologically, spiritually. He is me… and I am him.
Suddenly, I
had found an example where I could not deny its validity from either
a subjective reality or an objective reality viewpoint. Objectively,
he is me. He carries my DNA, adopts my behavioral patterns, and
even looks like me. Subjectively, he doesn’t just represent a part
of me anymore, he is me. When I see the frustration on his face
from hunger, I see my own frustration. When I see his content eyes
gaze up at me, I see my eyes peering forth with love. He is
a living, breathing mirror of me.
Objectively,
from my wife’s standpoint, he is even more of her than me. She birthed
him; he came from her physically. The lines between objective and
subjective reality become blurred. Through both reality filters
our son does not only represent a part of us, but is us.
So the final
realization is that since we are all born of our mothers, and that,
despite the fact that we are billions of human beings on the planet,
we can trace our roots back to a small group of early ancestors.
In that sense, we all come from the same common pool of genetic
and biological material. From an objective standpoint, we are each
other, and science and logic can prove it so.
From a subjective
reality filter, we say that everything is a representation of our
consciousness. But with my child in hand, I realize that representation
is still a term too distant. It’s important to ask what part of
me is this circumstance, person, or thing? My child is me, and I
am him. There is no separation or symbolism. The liaison is concrete,
factual, real.
I can begin
to deepen my understanding now of living life through a filter of
subjective reality by asking how everything around me is me, not
how everything represents a part of me. It’s a subtle but important
shift in mindset, a minor angle change of the paradigm, but so incredibly
more accurate, rewarding, and eye opening. There is greater power
and depth in living in a world of "is" rather than a world of "represents".
I don’t know
if I’ll always be able to stay in a world of subjective viewpoint
with Satori. In the middle of the night, when I’m changing his diaper
for the third time, I find myself slipping into a world of me separated
from him. How can you poo so many times in three hours? How can
you be so hungry, we just fed you!? The test of mind shift comes
not when there is joy, contentment, and relaxation in his face,
for those are easy qualities to claim as parts of me. It’s when
he’s fussy or frustrated that I need to ask myself how is he being
me, and remind myself that he, like everything around me, is a creation
of my consciousness.
Since the adventure
of raising a child has only just begun for us, I am sure that I’ll
be waffling back and forth between objective and subjective reality
with him for a long time, until perhaps it will become a fully integrated
behavior and I will stop living life in the objective world. It
will be important for me to never forget the obvious truth – that
he is me – and apply that simple maxim to trying times ahead, as
well as of course the beautiful, loving, and rewarding moments also.
He is me, I am him, you are me, and I am you. Simple. So challenging,
and yet so ever rewarding.
- Alvin.
Bio
Alvin Tam is the founder of Soul
Acrobats®, an inspirational products company and Acrofit™,
an acrobatic fitness system. He has over 15 years of experience
as a circus artist, stuntman, dancer, actor, and coach and has performed
for Cirque du Soleil, Notre Dame de Paris, and appeared on CSI.
Alvin’s passion is to inspire you to achieve your impossible.
Products
Visit: http://www.soulacrobats.com/products-page/
BOOK:
The Art of Impossible
DVD:
The Acrofit System Level 1, Expressive Yoga for the Soul
|
|

Treasury
Bills 101.
by Staff.
8
Important Questions and Answers on the World’s Safest Security.
1. What are
Treasury securities?
These
are bonds and notes issued by the federal government, which are
backed by the "full faith and credit" of the U.S. government. Because
of that, they are considered to be some of the safest and most liquid
investments in the world.
2. How do
I buy a Treasury bill?
The
Federal government has a website where you can buy and sell your
Treasury bills directly. The website is http://www.TreasuryDirect.gov.
You can get a lot of information on various Treasury securities
and any fees/penalties associated with purchasing and selling these
assets there as well.
3. How Much
Money Will I Make on a Treasury Bill?
Currently,
if you purchase a T-bill that matures in 3-12 months, there is no
interest being paid. However, this is considered to be a safe and
liquid place for your dough, where the principal should not go down.
The 10-year Treasury bill is yielding 2.625.
4. How Can
I Check on the Current Yield of Treasuries?
Bloomberg
has an excellent and up-to-date page for bond yields, and you can
easily check up on Hong Kong, Australia, UK, Germany and Japan’s
yields while you’re at it. Click on Bloomberg
to access this page.
5. What are
Treasury Bill Funds?
These
are products that you can purchase on the stock market. Each fund
provider, whether it is a Mutual Fund or an Exchange Traded Fund,
determines what kind of treasuries they purchase and of what maturity
dates, so it is important to read the description of the fund before
you purchase it. Most of the major fund providers have Treasury
funds, including iShares, Wells Fargo, American Century, Pimco and
more.
6. Can the
Value of a Treasury Bill Fund go down?
Yes.
A quick spot check on the Power Shares Laddered Treasury portfolio
(PLW) reveals fairly steady share price this year, however, there
is fluctuation. The 52-week high is $30.32 and the low is $26.30.
When interest rates rise, the value of the fund can go down dramatically.
7. Can the
Value of a Treasury Security Go Down?
In
a recent Wall Street Journal Article Professors Jeremy Siegel
and Jeremy Schwartz point out that if the 10-year note, which was
yielding 2.8% at the time, rose to only 3.15% the capital loss would
be 1.9%. if the yield rose to 4.0% like they were in the spring,
the loss would be closer to 6.0%. The 10-year is now yielding
even less (closer to 2.6%), so the current risk is even bigger.
8. How Do
You Know When/If the Value of a Treasury Security or Bond Will Go
Down?
There
is an inverse relationship between the value of a bond and interest
rates. When interest rates rise, the value of lower-yielding bonds
goes down. This makes sense because if someone can purchase a new
bond with a 6% yield, no one will want to purchase your bond with
a 3% yield (and you’ll want to trade up for that 6% yield, too!).
When interest rates fall, the value of bonds with the higher yield
increases. During the 2001-2002 Recession, bond values were the
best game in town (because interest rates were falling). Bond traders
reported gains of 25% and more for bonds with a good yield (returns
which are typically reserved for the high-risk junk bond category).
Learn more
About Treasury Securities on the FINRA
website:
Learning
to Invest, Part 17—Treasury Securities (PodCast)
Smart
Bond Investing: U.S. Treasury Securities
|
|
Bankrupt Bond Funds and Scams.
by Natalie
Pace.
 |
| Photo by:
Stacie Isabella Turk. (c) 2008. Ribbonhead.com. Stylist: Melody
White. Art Direction: Arlene Hylton-Campbell. |
Below are
three actions that the Securities and Exchange Commission took last
month against alleged securities wrongdoing. The stories and lessons
could help you from being a victim in the future!
1. Beware
of the Fine Print – even if You’re Dealing with a Marquise Brand
The
SEC's Division of Enforcement alleges that John P. Flannery and
James D. Hopkins marketed State Street's Limited Duration Bond
Fund as an "enhanced cash" investment strategy that was an alternative
to a money market fund for certain types of investors. By 2007,
however, the fund was almost entirely invested in subprime residential
mortgage-backed securities and derivatives. Yet despite this exposure
to subprime securities, the fund continued to be described as less
risky than a typical money market fund and the extent of its concentration
in subprime investments was not disclosed to investors.
http://sec.gov/news/press/2010/2010-177.htm
Now if you think
that State Street is just a fly by night operation set up to dupe
investors and run off to Switzerland, you’re wrong. State Street
is a leader in financial services that was founded as a bank in
1792 in Boston, Massachusetts. The company is publicly traded (NYSE:
STT), with a current market value of $19 billion. One of State Street’s
most popular funds, GLD, a gold fund, has assets valued at $64 billion,
making that fund the second most valuable ETF in the world. State
Street’s total assets under management as of March 31, 2010 exceeded
$204 billion.
When the State
Street portfolio managers discovered the assets were bankrupt, they
informed a few friends and clients, who drained the fund completely,
leaving investors that were not in the know holding illiquid, worthless
assets.
State Street
will have to repay investors $300 million (and another $350 million
in private lawsuits), but there is no mention of what that really
amounts to. (It is doubtful that this is 100% payback, and the investors
will have to pay a pretty penny of this settlement to their attorneys).
It’s difficult
and costly to sue to get your money back, when you’ve purchased
an unsecured, uninsured investment – even when the marketing materials
are misleading.
2. Everything
They Touch Turns to Gold. Promise.
The
SEC charges that Quri Resources, Inc. and its CEO Jaime Santiago
Gomez of Miami and Quito, Ecuador, issued misleading press releases
for several months in 2009 falsely claiming that it was about to
begin drilling on a mining project in Ecuador with a probable gold
reserve worth more than $1 billion. While investors bought in, insiders
were dumping as fast as they could.
Were there any
red flags? Yes! The biggest red flag is that this company was trading
off the boards. (OTCBB).
Companies that trade on NASDAQ and the New York Stock Exchange must
meet many requirements in order to list on the exchange. While that
doesn’t guarantee that the company is healthy or will make a good
investment, it does mean that they have filed earnings reports with
the SEC, have a board and have a stable share price over a period
of time. OTCBB companies don’t have to meet any of this criteria,
which means that you have to do 1000 times the research before plunking
down a nickel for the risky bet. Your favorite financial website
should list the exchange the company is traded on. The exchange
is also listed in the company press releases. (The Pink Sheets is
another "off the board" listing.)
Other Quri red
flags include: fake website, no way to contact the company, no corporate
headquarters (press releases were issued from Miami, FL and Quito,
Ecuador), an "exploration company" that is going to start mining,
but hasn’t ever done so before and doesn’t provide any data on how
many reserves the company owns and what grade the ore is. Additionally,
this company used socially conscious lingo to lure in greenies,
without providing any details on how the company mines and operates
in such a people-friendly and planet-friendly manner.
3. Telly
Tube: the Next YouTube
The
SEC separately charged Atlantis Technology Group and CEO Christopher
Dubeau of Weston, Fla., for disseminating press releases over an
eight-month period touting phony business relationships with television
networks to sell their video and telecommunication services that
did not even exist.
Atlantis is
another OTCBB company, which is the first red flag. While it might
take a sophisticated investor to see the holes in their press releases,
it only takes a good nose to smell a rat and below are just a few
of the telltale signs.
- About
Us: GoTV (one of Atlantis’ holdings) has an About Us page
that doesn’t list a single executive at the company.
- The
CEO of Atlantis has an extremely thin resume. Essentially,
the only thing he’s done is this company. He claims to have achieved
two successful spinoffs from Atlantis, without providing any details
of those successes.
- There are
only two members of the Atlantis’ Board of Directors.
The CEO and one other person. The second director’s sole business
achievements (listed) occurred in 1979.
Whether it is
a legacy company that is taking on more risk than they are telling
you about or a novice who is in over his head – with a story designed
to excite you – the devil is in the details. Always read the fine
print on what you’re investing in and always know exactly who is
running the show and where their real interests lie.
To learn more
about the SEC charges, go to SEC.gov.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/NWPace,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations.
ALWAYS do
your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional
before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term
goals and strategies. Investors should NOT be all
in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your retirement plan
should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with
the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with
your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion
of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
Investor Alert:
by
Natalie Pace.
If
You’re Trading on Headlines, You’re Late.
For
the past two months, I’ve been issuing a high alert that bonds,
bond funds and Treasury Bills are the next disaster waiting to happen.
I have also been warning that in the Apocalypse, an iPhone or a
gallon of gas will be easier to trade than a nugget of gold. Most
people don’t realize that gold hit $850/ounce for ONE DAY ONLY in
1980. Gold dropped $100/ounce the following day and ended the year
down 1/3. For the next two decades, gold was worth less than half
of its high. (That doesn’t mean I want you to sell your gold right
now; it means that gold is the next bubble and you shouldn’t be
all in.)
I want to put
this in context for you, in the hopes that you’ll understand the
urgency of this situation. When I issue a warning, I’m early, which,
fortunately, allows you the time to read the articles, consider
what is appropriate for you and take action to protect and grow
your assets, while keeping your bottom line beautiful. When the
problem hits national headlines, you’re late. So read up, prep up
and protect yourself.
Below are just
a few examples of my early alerts to investors and the way that
they profited.
- Christmas
1999. At Christmas parties in 1999, everyone was bragging
about how much money they had made on the AOL stock, up to 9000%,
some claimed! I said, "Sell then. Take your profits while you
can." I was told repeatedly by people who were watching too much
television that I was ignorant and didn’t understand the New Economy.
I responded that I had a pretty good understanding of the old
economy. Eight years of prosperity, a Rookie President, DOT COMs
that were cash negative for five years (when the venture capital
stops in three) all added up to a recession. I was four months
early on that prediction. Dot Com stocks rose through March of
2000 and then sank 75% over the next two years.
Performance
of NASDAQ January of 2000 through January of 2003

Source: MoneyCentral.MSN.com
(for illustration purposes only)
- Cash Beautiful
2000: With my crystal ball working so well in 1999, I sidestepped
the Dot Com Recession and was in the top-performing asset of 2000
– Certificates of Deposit. When I went on to purchase stock in
2001, I more than doubled my money in just a few short months.
At that point, those who had lost more than half of their nest
egg began begging me to teach them what I know.
- 911:
My Stocks More Than Doubled. Friends called me after 911,
frantic, telling me they wanted to sell. It was the first major
attack on U.S. soil since Pearl Harbor! Some even had their history
a little backwards and were convinced that the Pearl Harbor attack
had ushered in the Great Depression. I said, "Hold. After a dramatic
shock, the markets typically rebound within six months. If you’re
really brave, buy your favorite stock." Between 9.11 and December
31, 2001, NASDAQ gained 35%. The stocks I’d purchased in August
of 2001 more than doubled, and I captured those gains in December
2001.
Performance
of NASDAQ September of 2001 through February of 2002

Source: MoneyCentral.MSN.com
(for illustration purposes only)
- In October
of 2002, NASDAQ hit a low of 1113. Investors were distressed and
many sold low in order to be able to sleep at night. I issued
reports saying that data supported a rally in 2003 and that October
2002 might be the low. 2003 turned out to be a banner year, particularly
for NASDAQ, which earned 50%.
Performance
of NASDAQ October of 2002 through January of 2004
Source: MoneyCentral.MSN.com
(for illustration purposes only)
- In 2005,
I said, "Buy Google at the IPO," writing, "Google continues to
break the mold, and is committed to continuing that trend, with
an unprecedented IPO, which is likely to become one of the most
successful IPO's ever." Most pundits pooh-poohed the company.
They were still burn-victims of DOT COM and weary of touching
the iron again. Others didn’t’ understand it’s revenue potential
and particularly hated its "triumvirate" executive structure.
Below are links to two articles on Google, which illustrate my
rationale versus the popular rationale, which was to avoid the
IPO.
Google:
The People's IPO. By Natalie Pace, CEO, NataliePace.com
Agog
Over Google. By Paul Woods, President & CEO of Odyssey
Advisors, LLC.
- In March
of 2007, I issued my first major warning of bankruptcies in the
mortgage banks, warning investors to get out of New Century. In
May, the company filed for bankruptcy, followed by NovaStar and
then a bailout/takeover of Countrywide. Meanwhile, Countrywide
was one of April’s "most attractive stocks" according to one of
the leading business magazines in the world.
Subprime
Time. By Natalie Pace.
- In January
of 2008, I issued a serious alert to investors writing, "When
I tell you that the odds are exceedingly high that you are gambling
much if not most of your nest egg, you should take it as a call
to action." The Dow was still trading above 13,000. Over the next
year, the Dow dropped to a low of 6547, and is still down 25%
from its high. Many people waited until the low to take action
– locking in their losses. Some people, including a few that I
drew my pie chart on a napkin for, followed a blueprint as simple
as that and have earned gains (while losing nothing) during
the Great Recession. Check out the video blog at the Bill and
Nilo link directly below.
Bill
& Nilo Bolden
Performance
of Stock Market October of 2007 through April of 2009
Source: MoneyCentral.MSN.com
(for illustration purposes only)
Each of these
warnings was early enough to act. If you wait until the headlines
are screaming, it’s too late. You are running with the masses, trying
to catch a falling knife.
Regardless of
whether or not we are "officially" in a "recovery," the fundamental
challenges of the American demographics and legacy promises made
to the retiring Baby Boomers are not going away soon. What to do?
As Joe Moglia says, "No one cares about your money more than you
do." So, now that you’re a great income earner, it’s time to learn
how to be a great investor, instead of chasing headlines and being
a day late and a dollar short.
Now, you might
be a bit disconcerted thinking that you don’t have time to get a
PhD in economics or you don’t really want to read my updates once
a month. But, honestly, when you consider all of the time that is
spent worrying about money, watching the daily news for the latest
Wall Street disaster, losing more money and then complaining with
friends about the injustice of it all, doesn’t attending a 3-day
Get Rich and Enrich investing retreat and implementing the strategies
seem so much easier and rewarding?
The November
12-14, 2010 Get Rich and Enrich Retreat sold out in just two days.
So, if you’re interested in attending the February 5-7, 2011 Retreat,
call 866-476-7442 or email Heather@NataliePace.com
now.
The beauty is
that once you are set up properly, your adjustments can be quarterly
or semi-annual checkups – slight tweaks to a plan that is already
sound. Instead, however, too many Americans are trusting someone
else to manage their money without ever realizing that brokerages
hire salesmen to service you. And the sales professionals are frustrated
because even if they see something coming, they may not be able
to act. Most are restricted by the firm they work for and must follow
the company recommendations and sales contests. That’s a system
that is set up to be a day late and a dollar sorry.
Preparing
for a Rise in Interest Rates
While
interest rates are likely to remain low for at least a few more
months (5-17 months), when they rise, bonds and bond funds will
drop in value. Annuities and pensions (for other reasons) might
not be the safest areas for your money either. Read, "Don’t
Get Fooled Again," in the August 2010 ezine, volume
7, issue 8 and "Bonds,
Bond Funds and T-Bills": The Next Disaster in the September
2010 ezine for tips on how to stay safe as the economy moves into
the next phase of the recession cycle.
Banks
Are Still Failing
There
have been 127 bank failures so far in 2010 (as of October 2, 2010),
140 bank failures in 2009 and 25 in 2008. Don’t be seduced by the
banks reporting record earnings! Most of them are fairy tales.
The Rationale
Behind the AIG Bailout
According
to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, AIG had 76 million customer
worldwide and over 30 million in the US. On the website, the
bank writes, "Seizure of AIG subsidiaries would likely have put
a moratorium on claims and withdrawals, and could have impaired
those claims in the longer term. A run on AIG, in the form of a
massive cashing in of insurance policies and annuities, would have
strained the company’s ability to meet its obligations to millions
of policyholders." To read more of the reasons why AIG was bailed
out, click on the link below...
The
AIG Bailout
Remember
exactly how much notice you received that AIG was in trouble before
it was bailed out. (None.)
Don’t
wait for the headlines. You need a plan that works in any financial
storm.
About
Natalie Pace:
Natalie Pace is the author of You
Vs. Wall Street and host of the Pace and Prosperity
radio show on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
She is a repeat guest on Fox News, CNBC, ABC-TV and has contributed
to Forbes.com, Sohu.com and BestEverYou.com and Magazine. As a philanthropist,
she has helped to raise more than two million for Los Angeles public
schools and financial literacy. Follow her on http://www.facebook.com/pages/NWPace,
on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
and on YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.
For more information please visit, http://www.nataliepace.com.
Please note:
NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report
on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently
owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This
article is intended to educate and inform individual investors,
and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal
decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this
article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations.
ALWAYS do
your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional
before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term
goals and strategies. Investors should NOT be all
in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your retirement plan
should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with
the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with
your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion
of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment
strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies
should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge
and patience.
Information
has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com
does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute
our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject
to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein
may not be suitable for all investors.
|
|
Beware of Black October.
by Natalie
Pace.
Includes
my Hot News on Cool Stocks Report.
Beware of
Black October. By Natalie Pace. Includes my Hot News on Cool Stocks
Report.
October 4,
2010
General
Stock Market Performance
|
Monday,
1.2.2008
|
Monday,
1.2.2009
|
Monday
1.4.2010
|
Friday,
10.1.2010
|
Gains
2-yr,
1-yr & 8 mo.
|
|
Dow:
13,044.12
|
Dow:
9,034.69
|
Dow:
10,430.69
|
Dow:
10,829.68
|
-17%
& +20% & +4%
|
|
Nasdaq:
2,609.63
|
Nasdaq:
1,632.21
|
Nasdaq:
2,294.41
|
Nasdaq:
2,370.75
|
-9%
& +45% & +3%
|
|
S&P:
1,447.16
|
S&P:
931.80
|
S&P:
1,115.07
|
S&P:
1,146.24
|
-20%
& +23% & +3%
|
Wall
Street Highs/Lows in the New Millennium:
|
Index
|
Low
|
High
|
|
Dow
Jones Industrial Average
|
6,547
(3.9.09)
|
14,164
(10.9.07)
|
|
NASDAQ
Composite Index
|
1,114
(10.9.02)
|
5,060.34
(3.10.00)
|
Hot
News on Cool Stocks Important Data
10X
gains on U.S. Gold, our 2009 Company of the Year!
NASDAQ
Outscored the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 40% to 15%, in 2009
NASDAQ
Outscored Gold in 2009, 40% to 26%
81% of
the positions listed in 2008-2010 are in the money. Woo hoo!
Gold
returns top stocks, real estate, bonds and T-Bills Over the Last
10 Years… (see below chart)
Real
Estate Lost -12.4%
in 2009.

Compare those
returns to the returns of stocks, real estate, bonds, Treasury bills
and gold over the last 30 years.

Market
Update:
Banks
Are Still Failing
There
have been 127 bank failures so far in 2010 (as of October 2, 2010),
140 bank failures in 2009 and 25 in 2008. Don’t be seduced by the
banks reporting record earnings! Most of them are fairy tales.
Are We in
a Recovery?
The
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER.org) has declared that
the 2007 recession ended on June 2009, however, that doesn’t mean
that the economy is racing to recovery. In the statement issued
by NBER, the Committee reported, "The committee did not conclude
that economic conditions since that month have been favorable or
that the economy has returned to operating at normal capacity."
On September 21, 2010, the Federal Open Market Committee released
a press release advising, "Information received since the Federal
Open Market Committee met in August indicates that the pace of recovery
in output and employment has slowed in recent months."
Black October
On
Black Monday, October 19, 1987, The Dow Jones Industrial (DJIA)
dropped by 508 points to 1738.74 (22.61%). The Depression began
on Black Thursday, October 24, 1929 and accelerated on Black Tuesday,
October 29, 1929, when share prices on the New York Stock Exchange
collapsed. The worst performing months for the last decade (1999-2009)
are October, February, January and June, in that order. Think of
taking cover during hurricane season, and remember the former top-performing
month of the year (January) is ice cold these days. Read more about
seasonal trends in the article, "Spring
Rally! How Long Will It Last?" from the April 2010
ezine, volume 7, issue 4.
Why Black
October Could Be Black November
The
Bush-era tax cuts decision has been postponed for the lame-duck
Congressional session, after the November elections. Why could this
weigh heavily on Wall Street? Analysts are already telling their
clients to take their profits in 2010, in preparation of the worst-case
scenario. If the tax cuts lapse, particularly if the capital gains
and dividends taxes are raised, there could be a rush of profit-taking,
i.e. selling, which lowers the price and the value of the markets.
How Do You
Protect Yourself?
You
need a diversified plan that works in bull and bear markets. That
means you have to:
- Have enough
safe
- Know what
safe is (it changes)
- Ditch the
bailouts
- Add in the
hot industries (Australia funds gained 80% last year)
- Rebalance
at least once a year (semi-annually or quarterly are better)
- Diversify
your assets (with emphasis on hard assets)
Sound complicated?
It’s easy as a pie chart. You can learn more by reading You
Vs. Wall Street (which is available wherever books
are sold). You can ask questions in my Tuesday
Night Teleconferences on October 5, 2010 and October
12, 2010 at 6:00 p.m. PT on BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace.
You can learn these strategies directly from me in a 3-day investing
retreat. Become the architect of your dream life, with a
blueprint that will work for the rest of your life.
Get Educated
at the Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat
Call
866-476-7442 NOW to register to come to the next Get
Rich and Enrich Investing Retreat. You spend hundreds of
thousands of dollars learning how to earn money (at the university).
Spend a fraction of that learning how to invest your money
(and make returns while you sleep). The truth is that if you invest
10% and that earns 10% gains, you’ll have more than your annual
salary in your Buy My Own Island Plan in just seven years and by
year 25, your nest egg will earn a bigger annual salary than you
do.
So, turn off
the television and come dip your toes in the sand with us in the
sunny beach town of Santa Monica, California. You will be glad,
for the rest of your life, that you did. Get more info at the home
page at NataliePace.com.
The November
12-14, 2010 Get Rich and Enrich Retreat sold out in just two days.
So, if you’re interested in attending the February 5-7, 2011 Retreat,
call 866-476-7442 or email Heather@NataliePace.com
now.
Track
Record of our Reporting
While
the markets are still down significantly since their high in October
of 2007, the Hot News and Cooling Off lists below have a winning
track record – in bear and bull market years. 95 positions
listed below – 81% -- have delivered impressive gains over the past
two years, even while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is still
trading lower than it was in 2007 (when it cracked through 14,000)!
Only twenty-two of our listings went in the opposite direction
of the reporting, which is quite impressive given the market gyrations
of more than 7000 point swings since 2008. FYI: If 2010 tracks
the historical trend, the summer doldrums and particularly the Hurricane
Season could be hard on the markets.
Remember that
the trading portfolio should be equal to your experience, and should
not be part of your nest egg. (The nest egg is money you earn while
you sleep, not while you day-trade.) If you’re new, you should be
using education or fun money, not your nest egg, to learn on. Take
your trading profits early and often in these volatile, whip-sawing
years. (Your nest egg is better off just rebalancing once or twice
a year, not trying to market time.)
4 out
of 7 Company of the Year selections more than doubled. My
2003, 2004, 2006, 2007 and 2009 Companies of the Year posted up
to 9000% gains (Taser), up to 690% gains (Opsware), up to 215% gains
(Suntech Power Holdings), and up to 10X ROI for U.S. Gold, respectively.
MySpace, my 2006 Company of the Year, was a large part of News Corp’s
success with shareholders that year. So five out of seven
Company of the Year selections were superperformers. That’s the
kind of record that puts you on top on Wall Street. (I launched
my first publication on 11.15.02, and featured the first Company
of the Year, Taser International, on 1.1.03.)
Some of my best
picks include: U.S. Gold (UXG) 10X return on investment, Google
(GOOG) +585%, Opsware (OPSW) +690%, Rio Tinto (RTP) +145%, Sohu
(SOHU) +150%, Suntech Power Holdings (STP) +107%, Taser (TASR) up
to 9000% gains. Some of the best picks in 2008 and 2009 were put
options – on the Cooling Off list -- which is why I added options
training to my 3-day Get Rich and Green Investing Retreat. Look
on the Cooling Off list for details on the incredible gains options
investors enjoyed (and the losses that average investors avoided
as a result of being alerted to the problem) on Wells Fargo, Fannie
Mae, Toll Brothers, KB Home, Novastar Financial and more.
The NataliePace.com
ezine was the first to list the following 911 alerts:
- 2008
Recession
(Get Safe)
- Trim back
on Faded
Blue Chips in 2006
- Get out of
Dodge (real
estate) in 2005
- Google
at the IPO! (May 2004)
- To get Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac out of your 401(k) in 2003
Market
Movers:
The Federal
Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The Fed funds
rate continues to be "0 to ¼ percent." The next FOMC meeting
takes place on November 2nd and 3rd, 2010.
Final Estimate
GDP growth rates for 1Q 2010 were 1.7% (down from advance
results of 2.4%), according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
1Q 2010 GDP growth was 3.7%.
Advance GDP
growth rates for 3Q 2010 will be released on October 29, 2010 at
8:30 a.m. ET. These release days tend to be very active on Wall
Street, and the second half of 2010 is expected to be much slower
growth than the first half. Ergo, this could be an ugly day. For
more BEA release dates, go to the BEA.gov
website and be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar section
often.
EDUCATIONAL
OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1. FOMC Information: Interested in reading the press
release of the September 21, 2010 FOMC meeting for yourself?
You can. The official Federal Reserve document is available online.
Click on FOMC,
or go to FederalReserve.gov to read! According to the Committee,
"The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal
funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that
economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization,
subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are
likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds
rate for an extended period. The Committee also will maintain its
existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities
holdings." In other words, the Feds are buying up U.S. Treasury
bills (which otherwise are losing favor on the world marketplace).
The tentative
FOMC meeting schedule for the 2010-2011 calendar is: November 2-3
(Tuesday-Wednesday), December 14 (Tuesday), January 25-26, 2011
(Tuesday-Wednesday), March 15, 2011 (Tuesday), April 26-27, 2011
(Tues.-Wed.), June 21-22, 2011 (Tues.-Wed.), August 9, 2011 (Tuesday),
September 20, 2011 (Tuesday), Nov. 1-2, 2011 (Tues.-Wed.), December
13, 2011 (Tuesday), January 24-25, 2012 (Tues.-Wed.).
2.
Calendar
Section: Conferences, Online Chats and more:
Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. You
will find great opportunities to attend the most exclusive business
and Green Conferences, learn about upcoming TV and radio shows and
other educational opportunities – many are FREE! Get more information
on how to best use our articles in the FAQs
article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page of
NataliePace.com.
Don’t miss
the Pace and Prosperity Show with Natalie Pace on BlogTalkRadio.com.
Check BlogTalkRadio.com/NataliePace
for upcoming shows and call-in and log-on instructions and to listen
back to any shows that you might have missed. These shows are pod
casts and are FREE!
BlogTalkRadio
offers a Q&A format, where you can call in with your most pressing
questions. Be sure to keep a list of your questions as they come
up, and join our ongoing dialog on peace and prosperity, getting
rich and enriching, green investing, the Thrive Budget and more
on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/NWPace.
3.
Survey
Results:
Each month we have three new surveys so that we can stay in touch
with your needs and desires. Cast your vote on our survey page!
4. Euro
interest rates: ECB
rates are at 1.00% (main refinancing), 1.75% (marginal lending)
and 0.25% (deposit facility). The next meeting and interest rate
announcement is scheduled for October 7, 2010 at 2:30 p.m. CET.
(October 21, 2010 after that.)
Hot
Stocks List
Investors
who "never pay retail," note that the BOLD highlighted stocks
are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in
NataliePace.com’s article. This may be a good buying opportunity.
(If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation, this
is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.)
The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may
not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue
performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are
never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments.
Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes
to your investment strategy. And remember that these "Stocks
on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy
at all – not even for "pros." If you’ve never traded individual
stocks before, this is your "fun" or "education"
money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don’t
have mastery over.
Hot
News List (highlighted). Be sure that you are buying low.
Federated
Prudent Bear Fund (BEARX)
Profit-Taking:
Hoku Corp.
(HOKU) +32%
LDK
Solar (LDK) +205%
Suntech Power Holdings (STP) +48%
U.S. Gold (UXG) 10X ROI
DELETIONS
(Take your profits early and often):
American
Superconductor (AMSC)
AOL
(AOL)
Blockbuster (BLOKA) 10.1.10
KLA Tencor (KLAC) 10.1.10
Suntech Power Holdings (STP) on 10.1.10
HOT NEWS
on COOL STOCKS LIST
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when featured
|
Price
10.1.10
|
Year
High
Year
Low
|
Gains
since original feature
|
|
Federated
Prudent Bear Fund
|
No
|
BEARX
|
$5.26
|
$5.08
|
$8.19
$5.05
|
-3%
|
|
The
Prudent Bear Fund operates in the opposite direction of the
market. When the markets rise, the fund share price decreases.
Then the stock market falls, the Bear Fund share price increases
in value.
|
|
ENER1
|
No
|
HEV
|
$4.33
|
$3.77
|
$7.90
$2.75
|
-13%
|
|
Read "Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ener1 develops and manufactures compact,
high performance lithium-ion batteries to power the next generation
of hybrid, plug-in hybrid and pure electric vehicles.
2Q 2010 earnings on August 5,
2010:
Net sales were $16.1 million
in the second quarter of 2010, an increase of 113% over net
sales of $7.5 million in the second quarter of 2009. Net
loss was $15.5 million in the second quarter of 2010 compared
to $13.0 million in the 2009 second quarter.
Announcements and Highlights:
· Ener1 will be supplying battery
packs to Hyundai Heavy Industries for EV bus systems
· June 17, Ener1 signed
a memorandum of understanding with the Federal Grid Company
of Russia to develop energy storage systems
·May 27, Ener1 agreed to joint-ventures
with Wanxiang, the largest auto parts supplier to the Chinese
car industry; deal expected to close end of September, 2010
· Automotive production battery
pack shipments to THINK began with second quarter sales totaling
$3.4 million; Ener1 currently shipping 100 packs a month
· Small cell commercial battery
business improved as sales increased $3.8 million over the
prior year's quarter
· Ener1 received $24.5 million
in grant proceeds from the US Department of Energy related
to US plant expansion efforts
Check out EnerDel’s
batteries at their YouTube channel.
|
|
Hoku
Scientific
Hawaii
RISK:
HIGH
|
Yes
|
HOKU
|
$8.03
$2.00
(3.2.09)
|
$2.63
|
$14.55
$1.90
|
-67%
&
+32%
|
|
Read "The
Sunny Side,"
Vol. 6, issue 3 and "Solar
Giants Tap a Small Hawaiian Company For Silicon,"
in the Oct. 2007 ezine, Vol. 4, issue 10.
1Q 2010 earnings on 8.5.10:
Revenue for the quarters ended
June 30, 2010 and 2009 was $930,000 and $74,000, respectively.
Revenues for both periods derived primarily from photovoltaic,
or PV, system installation and related service contracts.
As of June 30, 2010 deferred revenue of $854,000 was attributable
to PV system installations and related service contracts.
Net loss for the quarter ended June 30, 2010, computed in
accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles,
or GAAP, was $2.7 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared
to $905,000, or $0.04 per diluted share, for the same period
in fiscal 2010.
"Our higher loss can be
attributed to the cost of successfully completing our reactor
production demonstration in April," according to Scott Paul,
president and CEO, HOKU. "Having completed this critical step
in validating our systems, processes and training, we are
moving ahead with preparations for our planned production
ramp-up and expect to initiate commercial operations this
calendar year. To that end, J.H. Kelly has confirmed that
it will increase its onsite workforce in Pocatello from the
present level of more than 100 workers, up to approximately
300 individuals over the next couple of weeks."
Tianwei New Energy Holdings Co.,
Ltd. has become HOKU’s majority shareholder, and has enabled
HOKU to secure nearly $100 million in debt financing, which
allowed the company to reduce accounts payable and accrued
expenses substantially and resume activities at their polysilicon
facility. In early August, Tianwei offered to provide HOKU
with additional capital to reach the company’s initial polysilicon
production goals for calendar year 2010.
$48.3 million in financing
Hoku
received $28.3 million from China Construction Bank on June
1, 2010 and $20 million from China Construction Bank on May
1, 2010. Proceeds are to be used to complete the development
and construction of the polysilicon production plant under
construction by Hoku's subsidiary, Hoku Materials, Inc., in
Pocatello, Idaho.
|
|
Kulicke
and Soffa Ind.
|
No
|
KLIC
|
$6.72
|
$6.27
|
$9.58
$4.03
|
-7%
|
|
Read "LED
Lighting,"
from the August 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8.
|
|
LDK Solar
GREEN
|
Yes
|
LDK
|
$30.02
$4.94
(3.2.09)
|
$10.15
|
$12.15
$4.97
|
-66%
&
+205%
|
|
Read the articles, "Green"
in Vol. 6, issue 2 and "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
in Vol. 5, issue 4.
LDK is benefitting from lots
of press on China’s renewable energy policy.
Announced 2Q 2010 earnings on
8.10.10 at 5:00 p.m. ET (after markets close). Record quarterly
revenue of $565.3 million, an increase of 62.7% sequentially
and 147.6% year-over- year. Net income was $45.0 million,
or $0.36 per diluted ADS for the second quarter.
1Q on 5.10.10: revenue was $347.6
million; net income was $7.2 million. LDK Solar ended the
first quarter of fiscal 2010 with $347.4 million in cash and
cash equivalents and $96.3 million in short-term pledged bank
deposits.
"We were very pleased to exceed
expectations for the second quarter which reflected the continued
improvement in the operating environment for the solar industry
and consistent execution by our team," stated Xiaofeng Peng,
Chairman and CEO of LDK Solar. "Our business momentum
remained strong across key metrics. We achieved record
quarterly revenue, robust growth in wafer shipments, stable
ASPs and improved profitability.
|
|
MEMC
Electronics
|
No
|
WFR
|
$11.99
|
$11.96
|
$19.31
$9.19
|
Flat
|
|
Read "The
Sunny Side" Vol.
6, issue 3.
Acquisition of solar developer
SunEdison (announced on 10.22.09) should start putting meat
on MEMC’s bottom line in 2010. They now enter solar power
generation with an A-list company in that field. Recovering
after silicon re-pricing completely threw off their profit
margins. Better times going forward.
7.29.10 2Q results: Net sales
for the quarter were $448.3 million, up 2.4% from $437.7 million
in the 2010 first quarter and up 58.5% from $282.9 million
in the second quarter of 2009. Second quarter 2010 results
include $30.7 million from the SunEdison business that was
acquired in November 2009.
Gross profit in the quarter was
$76.9 million or 17.2% of net sales, an increase of 29.7%
from $59.3 million in the 2010 first quarter and 120.3% from
$34.9 million in the 2009 second quarter.
MEMC's net income for the 2010
second quarter was $13.8 million, or $0.06 per share, compared
to a net loss of $9.6 million, or $0.04 per share, in the
2010 first quarter and a net income of $1.4 million, or $0.01
per share, in the 2009 second quarter. Results in the 2010
second quarter include a non-cash benefit of $15.5 million,
or $0.07 per share, resulting from the closure of the 2006
and 2007 IRS audits, and a non-cash $6.8 million loss, or
$0.03 per share, associated with the valuation adjustment
of the Suntech warrants.
|
|
Sunpower
|
No
|
SPWRA
|
$24.83
$13.07
(7.1.10)
|
$14.06
|
$34.00
$10.11
|
-43%
&
+8%
|
|
Read "The
Sunny Side"
in Vol. 6, issue 3.
Sunpower panels are the most
efficient in the world and have helped countless Solar Decathlon
teams win the competition. This year’s #2 and #3 teams (Illinois
and California) both used Sunpower panels.
Announced 2Q 2010 earnings on
August 10, 2010 at 1:30 p.m. PT (after markets close). Revenue
increased to $384 million, from $299 million a year ago, an
increase of 28%. Net loss was $6.2 million, but margins increased
to 26% from 16.5% a year ago.
"SunPower had a strong second
quarter, as our Non-GAAP EPS of $0.15 exceeded our internal
plan, and we remain on track to meet our 2010 financial and
operating plans," said Tom Werner, SunPower's CEO. "Our
growing pipeline of 2011 Utility and Power Plants (UPP) business
bookings, as well as the continued momentum in our Residential
and Commercial (R&C) business, adds to our confidence
and visibility for 2011. Additionally, we are pleased
with the significant progress we're making on our cost reduction
roadmap and expect that our joint venture with AU Optronics
(AUO) to accelerate this process." (Announced a joint venture
with AUO to operate the 1.4-gigawatt (GW) Fab 3 facility in
Malaysia, which will begin solar cell production in the fourth
quarter of this year.)
Announced on March 11, 2010 that
the company was awarded two grants totaling approximately
$1.5 million from the California Solar Initiative Research,
Development, Deployment and Demonstration (CSI RD&D) Program.
March 29, 2010: SunPower Corp.
acquired SunRay Renewable Energy, a leading European solar
power plant developer with offices in Europe and the Middle
East.
|
|
U.S.
Gold
Colorado
USA
RISK:
VERY HIGH
Company
of the Year 2009
|
Yes
|
UXG
|
$5.05
$.50
(10.20.08)
$2.66
(10.09)
|
$4.98
|
$5.44
$2.02
|
Flat
&
10X &
+87%
|
|
Note:
U.S. Gold is not producing gold at this time; is it a gold
exploration company, based in Nevada. U.S. Gold is an exploration
company, not a mining company, meaning that if they strike
gold, the stock should spike and if they don’t, you could
lose your investment. Very risky.
As you can see, U.S. Gold has
been a super performer this year. And the news on Forbes.com,
TheStreet.com and Motley Fool is starting to heat up. Expect
more as Junior Gold Miners capture headlines on strong gains
in share price (largely due to the world’s current infatuation
with gold).
Began trading on the AMEX stock
exchange on 12.11.06. (Also trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange.)
Added to the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and S&P/TSX
Global Mining Index on 9.15.09. Added to the Chicago Board
of Options Exchange on July 19, 2010.
If you believe in this CEO and
company, you’ll want to make sure you have shares of U.S.
Gold going forward. Gold should be a great hedge against inflation,
which is predicted to become an issue once the economy starts
to rebound (2010 and forward). Right now, the Feds are still
a little concerned about deflation, but inflation could begin
on the 12-24 month horizon.
This is an exploration company,
not a mining company. They don’t produce gold at this time.
However, in a September 2010 interview on TheStreet
TV,
Rob McEwen said that becoming a gold producer is part of the
plan. They have silver reserves in Mexico and gold
reserves in Nevada. The most recent exploration updates are
in the press release section of the company website at USGold.com.
Listen to my feature
interview with CEO and Chairman Rob McEwen on BlogTalkRadio.com.
You can review my
original Q&A with Rob McEwen and interview on
U.S. Gold in Vol. 4, issue 2. (Feb. 2006).
|
|
Veeco
|
No
|
VECO
|
$43.30
$31.29
(8.15.10)
|
$34.23
|
$54.50
$17.88
|
-11%
&
+9%
|
|
Read "LED
Lighting,"
from the August 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8.
|
Recently
Deleted Companies 2008-2010:
Echelon +20%,
GE, +13% and +18%, Google, +15% and +31%, Johnson & Johnson
+10%, LDK Solar +18%, Microsoft +12%, Satcon +13%, Suntech +35%,
Trina Solar +22%, World Water & Solar +22%. Genentech (8.1.08)
+40%. Altair (deleted on 8.7.08) posted gains of +3% and +57%. Zoltek
(deleted on 8.18.08) lost 30% before being removed. LDK Solar was
deleted on 9.2.08 with 46% and 29% profits. U.S. Gold profit taking
on 11.6.08 amounted to 72% gains. Conergy gains of 51% were taken
on 11.7.08. American Superconductor posted 50% gains between 12.1.08
and 1.14.09. MEMC Electronics (WFR) had 21% gains between 12.1.08
and 12.15.08. STP had gains of 69% between 12.1.08 and 1.2.09. SQM
profits 20% on 1.14.09. WWAT was deleted on 2.1.09 with -62% losses.
On 2.15.09, AMSC had gains of 65%, MEMC Electronics 26%, Sociedad
de Quimica y Minera 48% and U.S. Gold 432%. Citigroup gains of 42%
on 3.15.09. Genentech was deleted on 3.15.09 with gains of 29%.
OSI Pharmaceuticals was deleted on 3.15.09 with 7% gains. Rio Tinto
was deleted on 3.27.09 with gains of 67%. On 3.27.09, the following
companies were in the money: ALTI (+48%), AMSC (+51%), eBay (+24%),
GE (+40%), HOKU (+38%), LDK (+46%), MEMC (+44%), PBW (+35%), SATC
(+42%), SQM (+76%), STP (+211%), TSL (+207%), U.S. Gold (+456%)
and WBK (+25%). Profit-taking 4.13.09: ALTI +209%,
AMSC +70%, HOKU +32%, LDK +64%, PBW +42%, SQM +42%, UXG+418%. Deleted
4.13.09: eBay, +45%, Eurox -11%, GE +47% & -56%, Google
+9%, Maxwell +25%, MEMC Electronics -33% & +49%, Microsoft +24%,
SATC +67%. STP +262% & -64%, TSL +216% & -67%, Westpac +42%
& -22%. Deleted 5.4.09: FMC Corp. with 19% gains.
PZD with losses of -39%. SPWRA with 19% gains. TREMX with 50% losses.
WSDT with losses of -59%. Deleted 5.15.09: SQM with
gains of 38% and 62%. Deleted 5.31.09: EMKR with losses
of 13% and 88% and Melco with losses of 8%. Ener1 with gains of
11% and 17%. Deleted 7.20.09: Conergy with losses
of -52-98%. Deleted Smith and Nephew on 8.15.09 with gains of 17%
and losses of 28%. Deleted the New Zealand dollar currency ETF by
Wisdom Tree with 36% gains on 12.12.09. 12.18.09:
Deleted Ener1 with 22% gains and Satcon with 29% gains. Deleted
1.11.10: KCI with 88% gains! Deleted 8.1.10:
Galaxy Resources with 48% and 9% returns and Rio Tinto with 21%
gains. Deleted 9.13.10: American Superconductor (flat)
& AOL (flat). 10.1.10: Blockbuster busted out
in bankruptcy on 9.28.10. KLAC was deleted with 11% gains. Suntech
had gains of 48% (and flat).
Recently
Deleted from the Hot News list:
American
Superconductor on 9.13.10
AOL on 9.13.10
Blockbuster on 10.1.10
KLA Tencor on 10.1.10
Suntech Power Holdings on 10.1.10
|
American
Superconductor
|
No
|
AMSC
|
$30.70
|
$29.62
|
$43.73
$8.22
|
flat
|
|
Deleted
9.13.10.
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. AMSC should benefit from President Obama’s
commitment to build a "a new smart grid to carry electricity
from coast to coast." In fact, we know that AMSC is specifically
on Obama’s mind, even though investors haven’t caught on yet.
1Q
2010 on July 29, 2010: Revenues for the first quarter
of fiscal 2010 increased 33 percent to $97.2 million from
$73.0 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2009. Gross
margin for the first quarter of fiscal 2010 was 40.1 percent,
which compares with 30.9 percent for the first quarter of
fiscal 2009. AMSC generated net income of $9.2 million, or
$0.20 per diluted share, for the first quarter of fiscal 2010.
This compares with net income of $1.8 million, or $0.04 per
diluted share, for the first quarter of 2009.
Cash,
cash equivalents, marketable securities and restricted cash
at June 30, 2010 were $120.7 million. This compares with $155.1
million as of March 31, 2010. The decrease was due primarily
to some customer payments shifting from June to July 2010,
an increase in capital expenditures in line with the company’s
plan and changes in the dollar value of cash held in foreign
currencies.
President
Obama mentioned American Superconductor by name in his weekly
address of Nov. 21, 2009. In the official transcript, it is
written: "If we can increase our exports to Asia Pacific
nations by just 5%, we can increase the number of American
jobs supported by these exports by hundreds of thousands.
This is already happening with businesses like American Superconductor
Corporation, an energy technology startup based in Massachusetts
that’s been providing wind power and smart grid systems to
countries like China, Korea, and India. By doing so,
it’s added more than 100 jobs over the last few years."
|
|
AOL
|
No
|
AOL
|
$23.00
|
$23.11
|
$27.00
$19.61
|
Flat
|
|
Deleted
9.13.10.
Read
"AOL"
from Vol. 6, issue 12.
AOL announced
2Q results on Wed. Aug. 4, 2010. $581 million in revenue.
Goodwill impairment charge of $1.4 billion. Net loss was $1
billion.
Subscription
declines reflect a 25% decline in subscribers year-over-year,
while monthly average churn of 2.6% represents a meaningful
year-over-year improvement and the lowest level of churn in
at least a decade. AOL recorded a goodwill impairment charge
of $1,414.4 million in Q2 2010 arising from a GAAP-required
interim goodwill impairment test. The underlying drivers of
the impairment were a significant increase in net assets due
principally to cash provided by continuing operations and
a significant deferred tax asset associated with Bebo concurrent
with a significant decline in AOL’s stock price since April.
AOL is
in the top 10 trafficked sites in the U.S., next to Google,
Microsoft, Yahoo, Facebook, eBay, News Corp. and Interactive
Corp. The new CEO is a former key player in Google’s massive
growth. Can the company create money out of traffic?
|
|
Blockbuster
|
Yes
|
BBI
(BLOKA)
|
$0.34
|
$0.08
|
$1.56
$0.15
|
-76%
|
|
Read
"Blockbuster’s
Second Coming"
from Vol. 7, issue 5. Filed for bankruptcy on Sept. 23, 2010.
|
|
KLA Tencor
|
No
|
KLAC
|
$31.67
|
$35.01
|
$37.71
$26.69
|
+11%
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting,"
from the August 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8.
|
|
Suntech
Power Holdings
|
No
|
STP
|
$14.26
$9.51
(7.1.10)
|
$14.06
|
$49.60
$5.09
|
Flat
&
+48%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. The world's largest crystalline silicon photovoltaic
(PV) module manufacturer.
2Q 2010
earnings will be reported on August 18, 2010.
Net revenues
were $625.1 million representing 6.3% growth sequentially
and 94.8% year-over-year. Total PV shipments increased 11.9%
sequentially and 181.7% year-over-year. Net loss was $174.9
million.
According
to Dr. Zhengrong Shi, Chairman and CEO, "We delivered greater
shipments to valued customers across Germany and other European
markets including Italy, France, Benelux and the Czech Republic.
Our investments into our North American expansion continued
to bear fruit as we broadened market share and prepared for
US-based manufacturing that will commence in the fourth quarter.
We also secured supply agreements to several large, high profile
projects in emerging markets including Thailand, India and
Israel where our globally respected brand, reliable product
performance and deep sales channels have provided a solid
foundation to form new partnerships."
"Despite
successful sales expansion and strong execution during the
second quarter, our financial results bear the significant
impact of our Shanghai facility restructuring and Shunda Holdings
investment impairments. These were necessary adjustments to
make, and they have no impact on our core manufacturing operations.
Now that they are behind us, we are in a better position to
address the growth we are expecting in our core business,"
Dr. Shi continued.
"With
an outlook of ongoing growth in solar demand, we have decided
to accelerate the next phase of capacity expansion and now
target to achieve 1.8GW of cell and module capacity by the
end of 2010. This will enable us to increase our 2010 shipment
target from 1.3GW to 1.5GW to help support our growing global
portfolio of Suntech customers and drive market share expansion."
|
Stocks
to Watch
Some of these
are great companies that we’re thinking of adding to the Hot List
and some are stinkers we’re thinking of adding to the Cooling Off
List. Read carefully to identify which is which! Note that
right now most of our favorite companies are on the Watch List.
Getting the price right is as important as picking the right company.
Never pay retail!
Recent
Additions:
American
Superconductor (AMSC) added 9.13.10
AOL (AOL) added 9.13.10
General Motors (added 9.1.10)
KLA Tencor (KLAC) added 10.1.10
Skype (added 9.1.10)
Recent
Deletions:
Federated
Prudent Bear Fund (BEARX) (moved to Hot List on 9.13.10)
Ford
(F) (moved to Cooling Off list on 8.1.10)
Powershares Laddered Treasury (PLW) (moved to Cooling Off list on
9.1.10)
| Company
|
NP
owns? |
Symbol |
Price
when featured |
Price
10.1.10
|
Year
High
Year
Low
|
Gains
since original feature |
|
American
Superconductor
|
No
|
AMSC
|
$29.62
|
$31.46
|
$43.73
$8.22
|
+6%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. AMSC should benefit from President Obama’s
commitment to build a "a new smart grid to carry electricity
from coast to coast." In fact, we know that AMSC is specifically
on Obama’s mind, even though investors haven’t caught on yet.
1Q
2010 on July 29, 2010: Revenues for the first quarter
of fiscal 2010 increased 33 percent to $97.2 million from
$73.0 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2009. Gross
margin for the first quarter of fiscal 2010 was 40.1 percent,
which compares with 30.9 percent for the first quarter of
fiscal 2009. AMSC generated net income of $9.2 million, or
$0.20 per diluted share, for the first quarter of fiscal 2010.
This compares with net income of $1.8 million, or $0.04 per
diluted share, for the first quarter of 2009.
Cash,
cash equivalents, marketable securities and restricted cash
at June 30, 2010 were $120.7 million. This compares with $155.1
million as of March 31, 2010. The decrease was due primarily
to some customer payments shifting from June to July 2010,
an increase in capital expenditures in line with the company’s
plan and changes in the dollar value of cash held in foreign
currencies.
President
Obama mentioned American Superconductor by name in his weekly
address of Nov. 21, 2009. In the official transcript, it is
written: "If we can increase our exports to Asia Pacific
nations by just 5%, we can increase the number of American
jobs supported by these exports by hundreds of thousands.
This is already happening with businesses like American Superconductor
Corporation, an energy technology startup based in Massachusetts
that’s been providing wind power and smart grid systems to
countries like China, Korea, and India. By doing so,
it’s added more than 100 jobs over the last few years."
|
|
AOL
|
No
|
AOL
|
$23.11
|
$25.00
|
$27.00
$19.61
|
+8%
|
|
Read
"AOL"
from Vol. 6, issue 12.
AOL announced
2Q results on Wed. Aug. 4, 2010. $581 million in revenue.
Goodwill impairment charge of $1.4 billion. Net loss was $1
billion.
Subscription
declines reflect a 25% decline in subscribers year-over-year,
while monthly average churn of 2.6% represents a meaningful
year-over-year improvement and the lowest level of churn in
at least a decade. AOL recorded a goodwill impairment charge
of $1,414.4 million in Q2 2010 arising from a GAAP-required
interim goodwill impairment test. The underlying drivers of
the impairment were a significant increase in net assets due
principally to cash provided by continuing operations and
a significant deferred tax asset associated with Bebo concurrent
with a significant decline in AOL’s stock price since April.
AOL is
in the top 10 trafficked sites in the U.S., next to Google,
Microsoft, Yahoo, Facebook, eBay, News Corp. and Interactive
Corp. The new CEO is a former key player in Google’s massive
growth. Can the company create money out of traffic?
|
|
Applied
Materials
|
No
|
AMAT
|
$11.80
|
$11.71
|
$14.94
$11.48
|
flat
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting,"
from the August 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8.
|
|
Allscripts
Misys Healthcare Solutions
|
No
|
MDRX
|
$19.94
|
$18.10
|
$17.36
$9.70
|
-9%
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform"
Vol. 7, issue 4. In a press release dated July 27, 2010, Allscripts
announced that the company is merging with Eclipsys. As part
of the merger, the company is issuing 25 million new shares
in a secondary offering that is priced at $16.50/share. (Makes
us glad we didn’t put this on the Hot List at $20/share!)
Shareholders must approve on August 13, 2010. Framework Agreement
was dated June 9, 2010.
|
|
Altair
Nano-technology
|
No
|
ALTI
|
$1.16
|
$0.69
|
$2.94
$0.30
|
-41%
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
Vol. 6, issue 4.
2nd
Q earnings on August 5, 2010 at 11 a.m. ET.
For the
quarter ended June 30, 2010, Altairnano reported revenues
of $1.5 million, up from $(3,000) for the same period in 2009.
This increase is the result of higher contract and grant activity
with the Office of Naval Research and the Department of Defense
compared to 2009 which is expected to continue throughout
most of 2010. Sales returns of $183,000 impacted the 2009
results.
Was a
contender in the lithium ion battery marketplace a few years
back, lost market share, orders and prestige and is trying
to re-emerge.
NASDAQ
extended 180-days for ALTAIR’s share price to get above $1/share
before delisting on June 28, 2010. A resolution was recently
passed in the Company's May 2010 Annual and Special Shareholder
meeting which authorized the board of directors to execute
a reverse stock split in the range of 3:1 to 10:1, so company
should execute that and be in compliance soon.
Altairnano's
cash and cash equivalents decreased by $4.1 million, from
$12.3 million at March 31, 2010 to $8.2 million at June 30,
2010. ltairnano's second quarter cash burn rate of about $1.4
million per month represents an improvement compared to the
second half of 2009 and first quarter of 2010. "We are focusing
closely on our cash consumption and have taken a number of
steps such as implementation of a hiring freeze, slowing material
purchases, and deferring capital expenditures to reduce our
monthly burn rate, until anticipated orders close," according
to CEO Terry Copeland.
- Signed
a new long-term purchase and supply agreement with Proterra
Inc., and began manufacturing for the initial order to supply
battery modules through June 2011, valued at $4.6 million.
- Signed
Memorandum of Understanding to supply a 1 MW ALTI-ESS system
to the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute / University of Hawaii
to demonstrate wind farm integration with Hawaii Electric
Light Company. Project funded by the Office of Naval Research.
- Completed
the sale of our AlSher joint venture interest to Sherwin-Williams
and exited the performance materials market.
- Established
an At the Market financing vehicle through Thomas Weisel
Partners.
- Received
shareholder approval subject to the discretion of the Board
prior to October 28, 2010 to change the Company's corporate
jurisdiction from Canada to the state of Nevada.
|
|
iShares
Australia Index
|
No
|
EWA
|
$20.34
|
$23.99
|
$25.14
$15.40
|
+18%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds,"
from Vol. 7, issue 7.
|
|
Big Lots
|
No
|
BIG
|
$30.28
|
$33.44
|
$41.42
$19.49
|
+9%
|
|
Read
"Discount
Designer Stores,"
from Vol. 5, issue 6.
|
|
Canadian
Imperial Bank
RISK:
Medium
|
No
|
CM
|
$65.88
|
$73.03
|
$108.79
$30.64
|
+11%
|
|
Refer
to the "Banking
on Iraqi Dinars"
article in volume 5, issue 2 for details. Financial markets
are under duress. Avoid most banks for now. Canada’s banks
were ranked #1 by the Milken Institute for global capital
in 2009; Australia was #2.
|
|
Citigroup
RISK:
HIGH
|
No
|
C
|
$2.26
|
$4.09
|
$5.43
$2.55
|
+81%
|
|
One of
the troubled, bailed out banks…
7.16.10:
2Q2010 earnings. Citigroup Inc. today reported second quarter
2010 net income of $2.7 billion or $0.09 per diluted share,
on revenues of $22.1 billion, marking a second consecutive
profitable quarter. Citigroup earned $7.1 billion of net income
in the first six months of 2010.
Revenues
declined $3.4 billion and net income was down $1.7 billion
from the first quarter of 2010, largely as a result of lower
Securities and Banking and Special Asset Pool
revenues.
It’s
important to remember that we don’t really have a clue how
deep and wide the losses at these bailed out banks are. Most
of this is still hidden and the Feds are not releasing the
info, nor are the banks…
|
|
CREE
|
No
|
CREE
|
$70.83
|
$53.49
|
$83.38
$31.12
|
-24%
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting,"
from the August 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8. Love the company
– at a better price (near 52-week low).
|
|
eBay
|
No
|
EBAY
|
$16.80
|
$24.46
|
$32.10
$9.91
|
+46%
|
|
Etail
should perform better than retail in the recession, but eBay
is priced higher than I’d want to pay in a vulnerable "jobless"
recovery.
|
|
Eldorado
Gold
|
No
|
EGO
|
$10.56
|
$18.45
|
$18.62
$7.65
|
+80%
|
|
Read
"Investing
in Gold"
from Vol. 6, issue 9.
2Q 2010
results on 7.26.10:
Eldorado
reported net income of $60.5 million or $0.11 per share for
the period and the Company generated $92.3 million in cash
from operating activities before changes in non-cash working
capital.
EGO sold
172,826 ounces of gold at an average price of $1,195 per ounce
resulting in a 99% increase in sales over the second quarter
of 2009 when the company sold 86,453 ounces of gold at an
average price of $927 per ounce.
Eldorado
is a gold producing, exploration and development company actively
growing businesses in Brazil
China, Greece, and Turkey and surrounding regions. We are
one of the lowest cost pure gold producers.
|
|
iShares
Emerging Markets Index
|
No
|
EEM
|
$39.58
|
$45.43
|
$46.66
$30.30
|
+15%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds,"
from Vol. 7, issue 7.
|
|
iShares
JPMorgan Emerging Markets Index
|
No
|
EMB
|
$104.63
|
$111.00
|
$108.18
$92.42
|
+6%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds,"
from Vol. 7, issue 7.
|
|
First
Solar
|
No
|
FSLR
|
$144.76
|
$147.23
|
$163.32
$98.71
|
+2%
|
|
See "Solar
Springs Up Again,"
article in Vol. 5, iss 4.
First
Solar joined S&P500 on 10.02.09.
First
Solar uses cadmium telluride instead of silicon to transfer
sunlight into useable energy. This was a huge competitive
advantage when silicon was hard to get at a reasonable price.
That is shifting, however, for two reasons. Silicon manufacturing
is heating up and costs are lowering as a result, and cadmium
telluride isn’t as abundant or as efficient a power source
as silicon. Read the article for more details. They still
list CdTe as the semiconductor of choice on their website,
citing old data from 2004 that this is a good strategy. Be
forewarned!
|
|
FMC Corp.
|
No
|
FMC
|
$51.36
|
$67.83
|
$65.80
$46.25
|
+32%
|
|
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4 and "Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota?,"
from Vol. 7, issue 2.
2Q 2010
earnings announced on 7.28.10: FMC Corporation FMC
today reported net income of $65.7 million, or $0.90 per diluted
share, in the second quarter of 2010, versus net income of
$69.3 million, or $0.94 per diluted share, in the second quarter
of 2009. Net income in the current quarter included
restructuring and other income and charges of $28.2 million
after-tax. Second quarter revenue of $776.8 million was 11
percent higher than $700.3 million in the prior year. Revenue
in Specialty Chemicals was $214.6 million, up 11 percent versus
the year-ago quarter led by a robust demand recovery in lithium
primaries and higher volumes and selling prices in BioPolymer.
FMC is
the real winner of the stimulus package because they supply
lithium to the battery makers. On the other hand, that is
not all that this company manufactures, and sales were off
in 2009. Waiting for a better buy-in point.
|
|
Galaxy
Resources
RISK:
HIGH
(off
the boards, thinly traded)
|
No
|
GALXF
|
$1.17
|
$1.23
|
$1.92
$0.79
|
+5%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota?"
from Vol. 7, issue 2. Lithium exploration, mining, etc. in
Australia and China. Traded off the boards in the US, but
is listed on the Australia Stock Exchange. Milestones for
the extraction plant in Australia and the lithium processing
plant in China are on schedule. Looking good. You can read
an update on Milestones on the Galaxy
Resources
website. The markets could take the share price lower still,
but Galaxy has two strong components – Australia-based company
in an emerging market – lithium.
|
|
General
Motors
|
No
|
NA
|
IPO
|
IPO
|
NA
|
--
|
|
Read
"High
Debt,"
from the September 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 9.
|
|
Google
|
No
|
GOOG
|
$393.69
|
$525.62
|
$629.51
$433.63
|
+34%
|
|
See Vol.
6, issue 5 for "Hulu
Your Heroes."
Be careful not to buy in too high.
Announced
2Q results on July 15.
Google
reported revenues of $6.82 billion for the quarter ended June
30, 2010, an increase of 24% compared to the second quarter
of 2009. Google reports its revenues, consistent with GAAP,
on a gross basis without deducting traffic acquisition costs
(TAC). In the second quarter of 2010, TAC totaled $1.73 billion,
or 26% of advertising revenues. GAAP net income in the second
quarter of 2010 was $1.84 billion, compared to $1.48 billion
in the second quarter of 2009.
Cash
– As of June 30, 2010, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term
marketable securities were $30.1 billion compared to $26.5
billion at March 31, 2010.
The increase
in our cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities
balance included cash collateral of $2.9 billion that we received
in connection with our securities lending program, partially
offset by $1.1 billion of tax payments and $704 million of
shares repurchased related to the AdMob acquisition.
In addition,
our Board of Directors has authorized debt financings of up
to $3 billion through the issuance of commercial paper. In
conjunction with this program, we established a $3 billion
revolving credit facility. Net proceeds from the commercial
paper program will be used for general corporate purposes.
No amounts under either program were outstanding as of June
30, 2010.
Headcount
– On a worldwide basis, Google employed 21,805 full-time employees
as of June 30, 2010, up from 20,621 full-time employees as
of March 31, 2010.
|
|
Green
Dot
|
No
|
GDOT
|
$41.14
|
$48.85
|
$47.98
$41.13
|
+19%
|
|
Read
"IPO
of the Year"
from Vol. 7, issue 3.
Tough
to launch an IPO in late July, during the summer doldrums,
but Green Dot managed to pull it off. This is a high growth
industry, but Wal-Mart, notorious for squeezing their suppliers,
is their biggest customer. Also, as we head into hurricane
season, share price is vulnerable.
|
|
KLA
Tencor
|
No
|
KLAC
|
$35.01
|
$35.01
|
$37.71
$26.69
|
--
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting,"
from the August 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8.
|
|
iShares
S&P Latin America 40 Index Fund
|
No
|
ILF
|
$43.92
|
$51.05
|
$50.25
$30.74
|
+16%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds,"
from Vol. 7, issue 7.
|
|
Orocobre
|
No
|
OROCF
|
$1.70
|
$1.99
|
$2.72
$0.99
|
+17%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota?"
from Vol. 7, issue 2. This play is Australian lithium company
with a Toyota deal. Began trading on TSX (Toronto Stock Exchange)
in June of 2010.
|
|
iShares
MSCI All Peru Index Fund
|
No
|
EPU
|
$34.69
|
$43.27
|
$35.95
$27.19
|
+25%
|
|
Read
"Hot
Funds,"
from Vol. 7, issue 7.
|
|
PowerShares
Wilderhill Clean Energy ETF
|
No
|
PBW
|
$9.78
|
$9.84
|
$11.95
$4.00
|
Flat
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3.
|
|
Rio Tinto
|
No
|
RTP
|
$54.60
|
$59.83
|
$62.24
$36.35
|
+10%
|
|
Gold,
copper and other commodities mining. Based out of UK. Mines
worldwide, but focused greatly in Australia. Annual general
meeting is May 26, 2010 in Melbourne, Victoria. 4:1 stock
split took place on April 30, 2010.
|
|
Ross
Stores
|
No
|
ROST
|
$35.90
|
$55.02
|
$58.93
$34.74
|
+53%
|
|
Read
"Discount
Designer Stores,"
from Vol. 5, issue 6. Sales have been impressive, especially
given the "jobless recovery."
|
|
Skype
|
No
|
NA
|
IPO
|
IPO
|
NA
|
--
|
|
Read
"High
Debt Vs. High Risk,"
from the September 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 9.
|
|
Sociedad
Minera y Quimica de Chile
|
No
|
SQM
|
$36.36
|
$48.08
|
$43.93
$30.70
|
+32%
|
|
This
is a great company that manufactures silicon for the solar
and IT industry. Looking for a better buy-in, after we get
through the current down-trending volatility.
Read
the article, "Treasure
Hunting,"
in Vol. 5, issue 10 and the article "Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium,"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. SQM announced on Sept. 30, 2009 that
prices for lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide will be
reduced by approximately 20% from current levels for the renewal
of all its supply contracts. The purpose is to accelerate
demand recovery, create incentives for research of new lithium
uses, and contribute to the sustainable long-term development
of the lithium market.
2Q on
August 31, 2010. Revenues totaled US$865.3 million
for the first six months, representing an increase of 29.5%
over the US$668.4 million reported in the same period of 2009.
The Company also announced a year-over-year earnings increase
of 22.4% for the second quarter of 2010, reporting quarterly
net income of US$105.0 million (US$0.40 per ADR) compared
to the 2009 figure of US$85.8 million (US$0.33 per ADR).
April
14, 2010: Announced a 5.5% bond due in 2020 ($250 million
to be raised). Must be an institutional investor in the US
to qualify. For more info:
Patricio
Vargas, 56-2-4252485 / patricio.vargas@sqm.com
Mary
Laverty, 56-2-4252074 / mary.laverty@sqm.com
Businesses
include: Specialty Plant Nutrition, Iodine and Lithium.
|
|
Sohu
(Chinese Co. ADR)
Beijing,
China
Small
Cap
RISK:
MEDIUM
|
No
|
SOHU
|
$46.54
|
$57.73
|
$72.29
$41.02
|
+24%
|
|
See NataliePace.com
ezines, Vol.
3, issue 4
and Vol. 2, issue 9 for feature
articles on Sohu. Dr. Charles Zhang, the Chairman and
CEO of Sohu.com, is one of our CEOs
of the year in 2007.
Read the articles in Vol.
4, issue 1. You can watch a Q&A with Dr. Charles
Zhang in an exclusive interview I did on the Forbes.com Video
Network.
|
|
iShares
S&P North American Tech Semi-conductors
|
No
|
IGW
|
$45.93
|
$47.26
|
$54.00
$14.03
|
+3%
|
|
Read
"LED
Lighting,"
from Vol. 7, issue 8.
|
|
Tesla
|
No
|
TSLA
|
$17.00
|
$20.60
|
$30.42
$14.98
|
+20%
|
|
Read
"Tesla
Trades on NASDAQ"
from Vol. 7, issue 7.
Should
you buy now? Very volatile stock. Also, production is just
now starting on the new lower-priced sedan. It’s at a former
Toyota factory, which places a lot of ducks in a row, however,
ramping up for production is something that can be wrought
with delays and other unexpected kinks. Combine that with
summer doldrums and hurricane season and watching/waiting
is what we’re doing for now.
|
|
Tidewater
|
No
|
TDW
|
$41.81
|
$43.97
|
$57.08
$37.99
|
Flat
|
|
Read
"Clean
Up"
from Vol. 7, issue 6.
Tidewater
was the hero of the BP oil spill. Thanks to the rapid response
of Capt. Alwin Landry and his crew of 12, the loss of life
on April 20, 2010 was limited to 11. 115 workers were rescued,
cared for and shipped 110 miles to dry land. Tidewater’s share
price has taken a hit as a result of having losses from "seized
assets" and unpaid accounts receivable in Venezuela and
a fine/agreement involving a SEC investigation into U.S. Foreign
Corrupt Practices Act. Tidewater Inc. provides offshore supply
vessels and marine support services to the offshore energy
industry (including oil rigs and offshore oil drilling).
1Q 2011
earnings on 8.5.10: $263 million in revenue, with net earnings
of $40 million. Earnings were down with a large hit on a one-time
charge of losses related to seized assets and the nonpayment
of outstanding accounts receivable by Petroleos de Venezuela,
S.A. (PDVSA), the Venezuelan national oil company.
Put
this on the Hot List before 2Q earnings are announced in Nov?
|
|
Trina
Solar Ltd.
|
No
|
TSL
|
$35.12
|
$29.46
|
$31.18
$11.70
|
-16%
|
|
Read
"The
Sunny Side"
Vol. 6, issue 3. Please note that TSL had a 2 for 1 stock
split on 1.20.10. That is why the price looks dramatically
different. Investors will note that they should now have twice
as many shares…
2Q earnings
on 8.24.10 at 8 a.m. ET (before markets open). Net revenues
were $370.8 million, an increase of 10.1% sequentially and
147.2% year-over-year. Net income was $38.7 million, which
includes a net foreign currency exchange loss of $29.2 million,
compared to net income of $44.5 million in the first quarter
of 2010.
|
|
Westpac
|
No
|
WBK
|
$73.54
|
$112.07
|
$133.55
$68.75
|
+53%
|
|
Issued
it’s half-year results on May 8, 2010. Go to Westpac.com.au
to access.
Net
profit of $2,875 million, up 32% from a year ago.
|
Cooling
Off Stocks List(may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).
Note:
The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling
off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value.
Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent
news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump
losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while
keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always
consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments
to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are
expected to go DOWN in price.)
Highlighted
Companies (Cooling Off List):
Amazon
(AMZN) on 9.13.10
Baidu (BIDU) on 10.1.10
Netflix (NFLX) on 9.13.10
Priceline (PCLN) on 10.1.10
Taubman Centers (TCO) on 9.13.10
Transocean (RIG) on 10.1.10
VMWare (VMW) on 9.13.10
DELETIONS:
Fortress
Group (FIG) deleted on 9.1.10
Maxwell
Technologies (MXWL) deleted on 9.1.10
Medtronic (MDT) deleted on 9.1.10
MGM Mirage (MGM) deleted on 9.13.10
Microsoft (MSFT) deleted on 9.1.10
|
Company
|
NP
owns?
|
Symbol
|
Price
when added to Cooling Off List
|
Price
10.1.10
|
52-week
High
52-week
Low
|
Gains/Loss
|
|
Amazon
|
No
|
AMZN
|
$121.00
|
$153.71
|
$151.09
$75.41
|
+27%
|
|
Read
the article "The
High Cost of Cheap Tech Products,"
from Vol. 7, issue 7.
|
|
American
Express
|
Yes
|
AXP
|
$16.98
$41.56
(11.16.09)
|
$41.78
|
$49.19
$22.00
|
+246%
&
flat
|
|
2Q
2010 earnings announced on July 22, 2010. Net income
of $1 billion, up from $337 million a year ago. Revenue: 8.6
billion. Debt and liabilities of $130 billion (over 2X market
value)
Read
the article "American
Express,"
from Vol. 6, issue 2.
|
|
Apple
Computer
|
No
|
AAPL
|
$132.07
$268.75
(7.1.10)
|
$282.52
|
$279.01
$136.32
|
+214%
&
+5%
|
|
See archived
ezine Vol. 4, issue 2, for the feature article, "Apple
Chips."
Also read, "The High Cost of Cheap
Goods,"
in the July 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 7.
3Q 2010
earnings on 7.20.10 were amazing:
Record
revenue of $15.7 billion and net quarterly profit of $3.25
billion, or $3.51 per diluted share. These results compare
to revenue of $9.73 billion and net quarterly profit of $1.83
billion, or $2.01 per diluted share, in the year-ago quarter.
Gross margin was 39.1 percent compared to 40.9 percent in
the year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 52
percent of the quarter’s revenue.
Apple
sold 3.47 million Macs during the quarter, representing a
new quarterly record and a 33 percent unit increase over the
year-ago quarter. The Company sold 8.4 million iPhones in
the quarter, representing 61 percent unit growth over the
year-ago quarter. Apple sold 9.41 million iPods during the
quarter, representing an eight percent unit decline from the
year-ago quarter. The Company began selling iPads during the
quarter, with total sales of 3.27 million.
"It
was a phenomenal quarter that exceeded our expectations all
around, including the most successful product launch in Apple’s
history with iPhone 4," said Steve Jobs, Apple’s CEO.
"iPad is off to a terrific start, more people are buying
Macs than ever before, and we have amazing new products still
to come this year."
Cash:
$9.7 billion. No debt.
|
|
Baidu
|
No
|
BIDU
|
$18.32
$84.79
(8.1.10)
|
$98.80
|
$88.32
$31.65
|
539%
&
+17%
|
|
Leading
Chinese website for search (similar to Google). 135 P/E is
high for a revenue stream so tied to advertising (during a
global recession). (Advertising revenue models tend to suffer
greatly in recessions and Google’s P/E is only 23, by comparison,
right now.)
The
primary Risk Factor for Baidu is: We derive revenues primarily
from online marketing services, which accounted for 98.9%,
99.8% and 99.9% of our total revenues in 2006, 2007 and 2008,
respectively.
10
for one stock split on 5.12.10.
|
|
Berkshire
Hathaway
|
No
|
BRK.A
|
$97,000
$123,977
(2.12.10)
|
$123,914
|
$125,252
$84,600
|
+28%
&
flat
|
|
See archived
ezine Vol. 6, issue 8, for the feature article, "The
Oracle Turns 80."
Added
to the S&P500 on February 12, 2010. BRK.B did an unprecedented
thing. Buffett made the stock affordable, by splitting it
50:1. Anyone can now buy in the $45-$78 range. Many tout triumph,
but they may not be aware of the exposure that BRK has to
financial giants, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and American
Express, among other challenging industries (including insurance).
|
|
Capital
One Financial
|
No
|
COF
|
$22.29
$43.35
(7.11.09)
|
$39.30
|
$47.73
$29.98
|
+76%
&
-9%
|
|
Read the articles "IPO
of the Year,"
and "American
Express,"
from Vol. 7, issue 3 and Vol. 6, issue 2. COF has a lot of
liabilities that are highlighted in the Stock Report Card
of the IPO of the Year article from volume 7, issue 3. If
you read the SEC filings and realize how much COF has off
the books, how much money they’ve had to take from the Feds
and much liability they may have for mortgages that second
parties want them to be responsible for, you’ll know why COF
is on the Cooling Off List. Additionally, S&P rating is
BBB with negative outlook (as of the May 2010 earnings report).
2Q Earnings 8.9.10: net income
of $608 million, compared to a loss of $277 a year ago. Dividend
of twenty cents (annualized) compared to 86 cents a year ago.
Total liabilities amount to $172 billion (against assts of
$197 billion).
COF affiliates originated and sold an aggregate
of approximately $121.9 billion original principal balance
of mortgage loans between 2005 and 2008, of which they believe
they may have repayment exposure of $26 billion. There is
ongoing litigation with regard to this.
|
|
Ford
Motor Company
|
No
|
F
|
$12.91
|
$12.26
|
$14.57
$4.71
|
-5%
|
|
Read
"How
Cap and Trade Saved Ford"
from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ford is making cars people want to drive,
but it owes over $100 billion dollars. Be careful with any
investment here. The same conditions that plagued Chrysler
and GM are present here – with one exception. Ford built cars
that won awards in 2010 (and attracted consumer interest).
|
|
Intel
RISK:
LOW
|
No
|
INTC
|
$16.66
$20.25
(9.1.09)
|
$19.32
|
$25.29
$12.06
|
+16%
&
-4%
|
|
Intel
is a great blue chip. But we are still in a challenging year.
|
|
Netflix
|
No
|
NFLX
|
$103.98
$132.26
(8.15.10)
|
$154.66
|
$127.96
$36.25
|
+49%
&
+17%
|
|
Read
"Blockbuster’s
Second Coming"
from Vol. 7, issue 5.
|
|
Priceline
|
No
|
PCLN
|
$337.82
|
$337.82
|
$358.24
$154.12
|
--
|
|
Read
the article "The
Priceline Negotiator,"
from Vol. 7, issue 10.
|
|
Sears
Holding
|
Yes
|
SHLD
|
$52.93
$98.06
(1.11.10)
|
$69.72
|
$125.42
$59.21
|
+32%
&
-29%
|
|
Chairman
Eddie Lampert has been dumping shares en masse, to the tune
of over $376 million. Consensus insider selling…
Read
the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs"
(Vol. 5, issue 12) and the "Discount
Designer Stores"
article
(Vol. 5, issue 6). Sears is one of the largest, oldest retail
chains in the U.S, and formerly, was as American as baseball
and apple pie. These days, however, Sears is more of a hedge
fund, which might help to explain why you’ve been trying to
get that appliance repaired (under warranty) for months or
been waiting for a replacement for your coffee pot for so
long that you’ve taken up drinking tea. Almost all of the
board directors at Sears are in the investment business, not
the retail business. In fact, board director Emily Scott,
a TV station founder, is the only person on the board without
significant investment experience. No one on the Sears board
has any experience at all in retail.
Still
don’t have an official CEO. Bruce Johnson has been the interim
CEO and president since January of 2008, which is not just
"weird" it’s a BIG FAT RED FLAG! The former CFO
Miles Reidy decided late in 2008 that he needed to spend more
time with his family rather than to put is name on the 2008
annual report. Another big red flag. A few C-level executives
at Sears are also employed by Chairman Eddie Lampert for his
investment company.
2Q earnings
on 8.19.10: Net loss attributable to Holdings' shareholders
for the quarter of $39 million, or $0.35 loss per diluted
share, in 2010 and $94 million, or $0.79 loss per diluted
share, in 2009. Total revenues decreased $93 million to $10.5
billion for the quarter ended July 31, 2010, as compared to
total revenues of $10.6 billion for the quarter ended August
1, 2009. The decline in total revenue for the quarter
was primarily a result of a 2.2% decrease in domestic comparable
store sales and the effect of having fewer Kmart and Sears
Full-line stores in operation, partially offset by an increase
of $96 million due to changes in the Canadian foreign exchange
rate.
Cash
= $1.2 billion at July 31, 2010 (approximately $500 million
domestic and $700 million at Sears Canada), $1.3 billion at
August 1, 2009 and $1.7 billion at January 30, 2010. Significant
uses of our cash during the first half of 2010 include $560
million for the purchase of additional interest in Sears Canada,
$273 million for share repurchases, repayments of long-term
debt of $228 million, capital expenditures of $168 million,
and contributions to our pension and post-retirement benefit
plans of $122 million. These uses of cash were funded in part
by an increase in short-term borrowings of $893 million.
Total
debt (consisting of short-term borrowings, long-term debt
and capital lease obligations) was $3.2 billion at July 31,
2010. $16 billion in total liabilities. (Sears market value
is $6.86 billion). The SEC filing includes this risk disclaimer.
"We are subject to various other legal and governmental
proceedings, many involving litigation incidental to our businesses.
Some matters contain class action allegations, environmental
and asbestos exposure allegations and other consumer-based
claims, each of which may seek compensatory, punitive or treble
damage claims (potentially in large amounts), as well as other
types of relief."
In the
"hedge fund" side biz of Sears,
please note that: Our Board of Directors has delegated authority
to direct investment of our surplus cash to Edward S. Lampert,
subject to various limitations that have been or may be from
time to time adopted by the Board of Directors and/or the
Finance Committee of the Board of Directors. Hmm. Didn’t know
that a company with this much debt had surplus cash…
|
|
Taubman
Centers REIT
|
No
|
TCO
|
$24.74
$41.10
(6.15.10)
|
$44.41
|
$45.00
$21.85
|
+80%
&
+8%
|
|
Read
the article, "Global
Recession,"
from Vol. 6, issue 6 in June
2009.
2Q
on 7.28.10:
Revenue
of $154 million, with $56 million coming from "expense
recovery." Net income was $18.4 million with $7.4 million
"attributed to shareholders."
"We're
pleased with the results for the quarter, which we believe
bodes well for the full year," said Robert S. Taubman, chairman,
president and chief executive officer of Taubman Centers.
"Our net operating income excluding lease cancellation
revenue was nearly even with last year and our bankruptcies
remained very low for the quarter. Although we remain
cautious, we are seeing signs of the economic recovery."
Consensus
insider selling.
|
|
Time
Warner
|
No
|
TWX
|
$24.44
$31.78
(9.11.10)
|
$30.61
|
$50.70
$17.81
|
+25%
&
-4%
|
|
Read
the article, "Hulu
Your Heroes,"
from Vol. 6, issue 5 in May
2009.
Reports
2Q earnings on 8.4.10.
Revenues
grew 8% from the same period in 2009 to $6.4 billion. As of
June 30, 2010, Net Debt increased to $12.3 billion from $11.5
billion at the end of 2009, due mainly to share repurchases
and dividends, as well as investment and acquisition spending,
offset by the generation of Free Cash Flow. Net Income was
$562 million compared to Net Income in the second quarter
of 2009 of $524 million.
Conan
O’Brien will host a late-night talk show on TBS beginning
Nov. 8, 2010. Could this take TBS to a whole new level?
|
|
Toyota
Motor Company
|
No
|
TM
|
$77.05
(2.12.10)
|
$71.80
|
$91.97
$51.79
|
-7%
|
|
Read
"Should
You Put the Brakes on Toyota?"
from Vol. 7, issue 2 and "One
Very Hot IPO" from Vol. 7, issue 9.
|
|
Transocean
|
No
|
RIG
|
$56.77
|
$64.35
|
$94.88
$41.88
|
+13%
|
|
For
more information, read the article, "Clean
Up,"
from June 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 6.
|
|
PowerShares
Treasury Bill Index Fund
|
No
|
PLW
|
$30.02
|
$29.77
|
$30.02
$26.30
|
Flat
|
|
Read
"Don’t
Get Fooled Again,"
from Vol. 7, issue 8. When interest rates rise, bonds and
bond funds fall in value. Time to find another "safe"
place for your assets.
|
|
VMWare
|
No
|
VMW
|
$70.58
$79.25
(8.1.10)
|
$85.51
|
$79.94
$25.27
|
+21%
&
+8%
|
|
Read
"Health
Care Reform"
Vol. 7, issue 4. P/E of 114.86.
|
|
Wells
Fargo
|
No
|
WFC
|
$20.05
$29.21
(10.15.09)
|
$25.56
|
$44.69
$7.80
|
+28%
&
-12%
|
|
2Q 2010
earnings call on July 21, 2010. WFC reported Net income of
$3.06 billion, up 20 percent, or $515 million, from prior
quarter. Net income was $3.06 billion for second quarter 2010
compared with $2.55 billion in first quarter 2010 and $3.17
billion in second quarter 2009. Total funding sources (i.e.
liabilities) amount to at least $1 trillion.
"Having
long supported a legal and regulatory environment that promotes
consumer protections, financial reporting transparency and
clarity, as well as prudent risk management, we support the
general principles inherent in the financial reform bill,
as they are consistent with how Wells Fargo operates. As this
new chapter in financial services begins, we will remain true
to our time-tested business model by deepening customer relationships,
cross selling our array of financial products, increasing
the number of accounts and providing superior customer service."
Wells Fargo Chairman and CEO John Stumpf.
I can’t
tell you how many people I know who haven’t paid their mortgage
in six months (or longer) but are still in their homes. Bank
earnings statements right now are the biggest fairy tales
ever told. Additionally, WFC credit card holders report getting
charged 29.9% interest rates, while overdraft class action
lawsuits against WFC continue to mount their defense.
See
"Wells
Fargo’s Incredible Exploding Earnings"
in Vol, 5, issue 9, and "Wells
Fargo’s Great Depression,"
in Vol. 4, issue 12. Annual report will be issued at the end
of Feb. 2010.
Wells
Fargo Chairman takes early retirement:
Dick
Kovacevich stepped down as chairman and a director at the
end of 2009.
|
|
Wynn
Resorts
|
No
|
WYNN
|
$95.42
|
$87.09
|
$176.14
$18.06
|
-9%
|
|
Check
out the article,
"(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
in
Vol. 5, issue 10.
Watch
Steve Wynn discuss Washington, Macau, Vegas, his new Beach
Club at Wynn Encore (Las Vegas) and the future of America
on CNBC,
from a May 28, 2010 interview.
2Q earnings
on 7.29.10: Net revenues for the second quarter of 2010 were
$1.0 billion, compared to $723.3 million in the second quarter
of 2009, driven by a 74.1% increase in net revenues at Wynn
Macau. Net income was $52.4 million, compared to net income
of $25.5 million a year ago. Wynn Resorts also announced today
that its Board of Directors has approved a cash dividend for
the quarter of $0.25 per common share. This dividend will
be payable on August 26, 2010 to stockholders of record on
August 12, 2010.
Our total
cash balances at June 30, 2010 were $1.9 billion. Total debt
outstanding at the end of the quarter was $3.2 billion, including
approximately $2.5 billion of Wynn Las Vegas debt and $681
million of Wynn Macau debt.
|
|
Yahoo
|
No
|
YHOO
|
$15.00
|
$14.27
|
$19.12
$13.52
|
-5%
|
|
Read
the "AOL"
article from Vol. 6, issue 12 to review the Stock Report Card
on Yahoo from December 2009.
|
Deleted in
2008/2009/2010:
Fannie Mae was
deleted on 2.11.08 after losing -50% and -56% of its share price
value, and then again on 7.1.08, after losing another -40%. (Both
puts more than doubled.) Novastar Financial (NFI) was deleted on
6.2.08 with -95% share price implosion. Sears Holding Corp. was
deleted on 7.1.08 with 64% gains on the put option. Wells Fargo
was deleted on 7.1.08 with 83% gains on the put. Apple was deleted
on 8.1.08 with 35% gains on the put. The Google put, deleted on
8.1.08, was another great performer, with over 50% gains. First
Solar had gains of over 32-34%. Mentor was deleted on 9.30.08 with
75% gains on the put option (-17% on the share price); Medicis was
deleted with gains of over 37% on the share price (down direction).
Boston Properties, Las Vegas Sands and Macerich were deleted on
10.9.08 with gains of 16-30%, 66% and 28-42% respectively. Wells
Fargo was deleted on 11.6.08 with 35-50% gains on the put and again
on 12.1.08 for 50-70% gains. American Express posted 35% gains in
just 30 days, between 2.1.09 and 3.2.09. First Solar was deleted
on 8.13.09 with 33% gains. KB Home with 74% gains and Toll Brothers
with 51% gains on 10.01.09. Deleted AMAT on 8.1.10 with gains of
12.5% & 7% (put gains would be double or more). 8.30.10: Deleted
FIG (-10% & -40%), MXWL (-37%), MDT (-4% & -24%), MSFT (-20%)
-- all for gains. Deleted MGM 9.13.10 for 61% gains.
|
Fortress
Investment Group
|
No
|
FIG
|
$3.57
$5.37
(8.13.09)
|
$3.23
|
$8.30
$1.02
|
-10%
&
-40%
|
|
Deleted
on 8.30.10.
2Q results
on Aug. 5: GAAP net loss, excluding principals agreement compensation,
of $14 million. GAAP net loss of $251 million (including principals’
paychecks).
:
"We
delivered solid results in a quarter marked by extremely challenging
market dynamics, with strong momentum in capital raising,
stable management fees and continued recognition of incentive
income," stated Daniel H. Mudd, Chief Executive Officer.
"Equally important, we continued to grow and diversify
our business, while capitalizing on historically attractive
opportunities to deploy capital on our partners’ behalf. We’ve
been opportunistic in a market that continues to align with
the core strengths of Fortress."
Daniel
H. Mudd, currently member of the Fortress board of directors,
became the firm's new CEO effective August 11, 2009. George
W. Wellde has been elected to Fortress' Board of Directors.
Read
the articles, "Cherry
Picking the Cherry Bombs"
(Vol. 5, issue 12) and "Money
Grows on Wisdom Trees,"
from Vol. 4, issue 3.
On 9.22.09:
dividend was canceled by Board.
|
|
Maxwell
Labs
|
No
|
MXWL
|
$18.05
|
$11.39
|
$21.81
$4.50
|
-37%
|
|
Deleted
on 8.30.10.
Read
"Life
Begins with (Li) Lithium"
from Vol. 6, issue 4.
2Q earnings
on 7.30.10: revenue of $29.6 million for its second quarter
ended June 30, 2010, up 19 percent over the $24.8 million
recorded in the same period in 2009. BOOSTCAP® ultracapacitor
revenue increased by 48 percent, to $15.9 million in Q210,
compared with $10.7 million for the same period last year.
Sales of high voltage capacitor and microelectronics
products totaled $13.7 million in Q210, down 2 percent from
the $14.0 million recorded in Q209. operating loss for the
second quarter 2010 was $3.3 million, compared with an operating
loss of $0.9 million in the same period last year. GAAP net
loss for Q210 was $2.6 million or $0.10 per share, compared
with a net loss of $5.3 million, or $0.22 per share, in Q209.
Has made
settlement offers to the SEC ($6.35 million) and DOJ (also
for $6.35 million), but the offers haven’t been accepted officially
(or paid) yet.
Cash
and restricted cash totaled $28 million as of June 30, 2010,
compared with $37.6 million as of December 31, 2009.
$44
million in debt, with $8 million due in short-term borrowings,
and $36 million owed on accounts payable and employee compensation.
(Uh oh!) (No mention of this in the earnings press release.
Check the SEC earnings report for more details.)
|
|
Medtronic
|
No
|
MDT
|
$33.35
$42.44
(2.12.10)
|
$32.06
|
$46.10
$24.06
|
-4% &
-24%
|
|
Deleted
on 8.30.10.
Medtronic’s
Infuse Bone Graft product has been at the center of the debate
of some controversial deaths, and has investigated by a Congressional
Panel, the Justice Department, the SEC and other national,
state and local governance officials for issues related to
the use of this product and others. Read the earnings report
for a complete list of the complaints and current status.
The company reports that on August 21, 2009, the Department
of Justice decided not to intervene at this time but may intervene
at any time for good cause based upon a Court Order entered
on August 28, 2009.
|
|
MGM Mirage
|
No
|
MGM
|
$26.79
|
$10.34
|
$16.66
$5.10
|
-61%
|
|
Deleted
September 13, 2010.
Get
more information in Vol. 5, issue
10 in the "(No)
Viva Las Vegas"
article.
MGM is
being deleted because the IPO on the Hong Kong stock exchange
will fill its coffers with cash. The company is still fundamentally
flawed and debt-laden, suffering from losses in hotel revenue,
casino and table winnings and real estate values, while at
the same time being over-leveraged and having to borrow from
Peng to pay Paul. Nonetheless, the public will not be privy
to these facts by and large. I still encourage investors to
avoid this stock, but if you have any put positions, better
to take profits now than wait for the world to catch up to
your facts and knowledge. Could take awhile.
2Q on
8.3.10: Net revenue improved sequentially to $1.54 billion
from $1.46 billion in the first quarter of 2010; Operating
loss for the second quarter of 2010 was $1.0 billion (which
included the $1.12 billion impairment of the Company’s investment
in CityCenter and the Company’s $29 million share of the CityCenter
residential impairment charge) compared to operating income
of $131 million in the 2009 quarter.
Debt
is a big issue with MGM. Check the SEC filing. At June 30,
2010, the Company had approximately $13.3 billion of indebtedness
(with a carrying value of $13.0 billion), including $3.2 billion
of borrowings outstanding under its senior credit facility.
The Company has approximately $1.5 billion in available
borrowing capacity under its revolver and approximately $570
million of invested cash available for future liquidity needs.
Another $3 billion is owed in back taxes and other obligations.
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Microsoft
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No
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MSFT
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$29.64
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$23.71
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$31.58
$22.73
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-20%
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Deleted
on 8.30.10.
Read
the "AOL"
article from Vol. 6, issue 12 to review the Stock Report Card
on Microsoft from December 2009.
Great
blue chip (certainly better than Citigroup, Bank of America,
AIG and GM were), if you buy at the right price. Good profit
margins. Low debt. Loads of cash. Revenue seems to be coming
back. But, headwinds of the marketplace will likely continue
now, with hurricane season upon us.
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IMPORTANT
DISCLAIMER (PLEASE READ):
Please note:
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NataliePace.com
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Easy
as a Pie Chart FREE Teleconference
Tuesday,
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Money
While You Sleep FREE Teleconference
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The great thing about investing is that it's money while you sleep,
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Solar
Power International 2010, LA, CA
Tuesday,
October 12th, 2010
Learn about the latest information concerning markets, technology,
finance, policy and jobs in the solar industry in this 3-day conference.
CA
State of the State Conference, Beverly Hills
Tuesday,
October 19th, 2010
Join state government officials, CEOs, investment bankers and other
major mover-shakers in CA as they activate and invent ideas to revitalize
California's debt-laden economy.
Day
Without a Drink (of petroleum) #4
Thursday,
October 21st, 2010
Can you go a day without any gas, plastic or other petroleum products?
Up the octane with prayer, fasting, meditation etc. from sundown
on the 20th to sundown on the 21st. Blog on Facebook at Facebook.com/NWPace.
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat, Santa Monica, CA
October 22-24, 2010
You spend hundreds of thousands learning how to earn money. Why
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board room setting, learning investing directly from Natalie Pace,
sets you up for life. THE NOVEMBER RETREAT SOLD OUT IN JUST TWO
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it sells out, too).
Ways
Women Lead Conference in Sofia, Bulgaria
Sunday,
October 24th, 2010
This Ways Women Lead conference is committed to helping empower
women and girls to achieve life-long learning, conscious leadership
development, and to strengthen the global women's movement. Women,
men and youth from around the world are invited to attend.
The
Women's Conference, Long Beach, CA
Sunday,
October 24th, 2010
California First Lady Maria Shriver hosts a 3-day celebration for
transformation, where women are encouraged to be architects of change.
Speakers include Oprah, Laila Ali, Mary J. Blige, Deepak Chopra,
Diane Sawyer, Caroline Kennedy, Laura and Lisa Ling
FOMC
Meeting
November
2-3, 2010
The Federal Open Market Committee meets to determine Federal Reserve
policy in the U.S. Two-day meeting November 2-3, 2010.
NC
Gov's Conference for Women. Raleigh, NC
Tuesday,
November 9th, 2010
Gov. Beverly Eaves Perdue, NC's first woman governor, will speak,
as will Jean Chatzky and Sapphire, the author of Push (the book
upon which the film Precious was made).
Veterans
Day
Thursday, November 11th, 2010
Green
Business Conference, SF, CA
Thursday,
November 11th, 2010
Whether you are an established green business visionary or just
starting your journey to sustainability, you'll find the Green Business
Conference an exceptional opportunity to partner with business leaders
who share your values, your challenges, and your enthusiasm.
Get
Rich and Enrich Retreat, Santa Monica, CA
November
12-14, 2010
You spend hundreds of thousands learning how to earn money. Why
not spend a fraction of that learning how to invest? 3 days in a
board room setting, learning investing directly from Natalie Pace,
sets you up for life. THIS RETREAT SOLD OUT IN JUST TWO DAYS. Call
866-476-7442 to register for the next retreat.
Clean
Tech Open, Bay Area, CA
Wednesday,
November 17th, 2010
View the hundreds of technology exhibits, vote for your favorite
Ideas Competition finalist, watch the Business Competition finalist
demos, hear the nationally-recognized speakers, and BE THERE for
the National Winner announcement.
Greenbuild
Conference, Chicago, IL
Wednesday,
November 17th, 2010
Together, we will define what the future looks like in cities and
towns around the world.
Special
Economic Report
Wednesday,
December 1st, 2010
The national due date of the special report from the Commission
on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform.
FOMC
Meeting
Tuesday,
December 14th, 2010
The Federal Open Market Committee meets to determine Federal Reserve
policy in the U.S.
Winter
Solstice
Tuesday,
December 21st, 2010
Celebrate the winter season, when the Earth is tipped farthest away
from the Sun. Ski! Sled! Snowboard! Snow angels!

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