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Time To Get Safe.

by Natalie Pace.

Includes my Hot News on Cool Stocks List.

June 18, 2012

General Stock Market Performance

 

Monday, 1.2.2008

Monday, 1.2.2009

Tuesday, 1.3.2012

Tuesday, 6.15.12

Gains 4-yr & 3-yr & 4-months

Dow (DJIA)

13,044.12

9,034.69

12,397.38

12,767.17

-2% & +41% & +3%

NASDAQ

2,609.63

1,632.21

2,648.72

2,872.80

+10% & +76% & +8%

S&P500

1,447.16

931.80

1,277.06

1,342.84

-7% & +44% & +5%

Wall Street Highs/Lows in the New Millennium:

Index

Low

High

Dow Jones Industrial Average

6,547 (3.9.09)

14,164 (10.9.07)

NASDAQ Composite Index

1,114 (10.9.02)

5,060.34 (3.10.00)

Hot News on Cool Stocks Important Data
NASDAQ Has Outperformed the Dow Jones Industrial Average and gold this year
Gold is down 15%, off of the high of $1,895/ounce, set on 9.5.11
13 out of 14 Company of the Month features from 2010 posted gains.
Up to 19X gains on U.S. Gold, our 2009 Company of the Year!
Gold tops stocks, real estate, bonds and T-Bills Over the Last 10 Years.

Compare those returns to the returns of stocks, real estate, bonds, Treasury bills and gold over the last 30 years.

Market Update:
Between January of 2008 (when I first warned to get safe from the Great Recession) and March of 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost more than half of its value.

Performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average
January 1, 2008 through March 30, 2009

Source: Money.MSN.com. For illustration purposes only.

Using one smart, easy trick, investors like Bill and Nilo Bolden saved their nest egg and earned gains, while those around them lost hundreds of thousands of dollars. (Click on their names to hear them talk about this in their own words.)

Performance of the Powershares Laddered Treasury Bond Fund
October 1, 2007 through October 1, 2009

Source: Money.MSN.com. For illustration purposes only.

Will this trick work again in 2012? Unfortunately no.

In 2008, getting safe was as easy as overweighting into bonds. However, since the Great Recession, we have seen beaucoup bonds in crisis -- in Europe (PIIGS) and also in corporations (AIG, Chrysler, General Motors, Bear Stearns, Lehman Bros.). Even Warren Buffet warns investors, writing in his most recent annual report, "Bonds should come with a warning label."

Time to Get Safe Now
Over the last five years, stocks have lost money (on average) in June, August, September, October and November. You can view a chart of the monthly performance of stocks over the past 5, 10 and 20 years in the "Dow Loses 2012 Gains" article from the June 2012 ezine, volume 9, issue 6. So, as we enter the seasonally weak season, it is more important now than ever to make sure that you are safe.

I have already written many articles offering great tips on how to get safe, and I encourage you to browse the archived ezines and link to any articles listed in the Investor Alerts and Educational Opportunities below to access and read them. I'm also going to pen another one for the July ezine.

One important factor for everyone to consider is that you cannot let the risk of short-term penalties keep you frozen in your current investments. If your 401K choices are too limited and you have hundreds of thousands (or more) vulnerable, check into every possibility to roll the dough over into an IRA at a brokerage that offers the universe of stocks and bonds on the marketplace (with literally thousands of options). If hard assets are the right answer, then check with your tax advisor on the best strategy to transform some of your liquid assets into income property. Don't let the idea of "dividend yield" keep you in a bond or stock that is at risk of loss of principal value. And absolutely adhere to the ARISA guideline of not having more than 10% of your assets invested in the company you work for. (Facebook employees really took this to heart when their shares became liquid in May.)

This might all sound overwhelming if you have never learned basic financial literacy, Modern Portfolio Theory, or discovered how one click can link you to all you need to know about the amount of debt a country or corporation is carrying. This is all taught in my 3-day Investor Educational Retreat. Many before you have feared that they couldn't learn or understand this information and have walked out empowered with the wisdom to transform their lives forever.

If your nest egg lost half or more of its value in 2009 (when the Dow dropped to 6537) and you have not made any changes, then you are still vulnerable. If you overweighted into bonds, you are even more vulnerable. The 8th larged U.S. bankruptcy in history, MF Global in 2011, resulted from bad investments in Euro bonds. And this group was led by the former co-chairman of Goldman Sachs, Jon Corzine.

In related news, here is the headline from June 8, 2012 (Friday), when Standard and Poor's released another after hours press release on debt in the U.S. "We are affirming our unsolicited 'AA+/A-1+' sovereign credit ratings on the U.S. The negative outlook reflects our opinion that U.S. sovereign credit risks, primarily political and fiscal, could build to the point of leading us to lower our 'AA+' long-term rating by 2014."

Don't let this seemingly distant deadline make you complacent about the U.S. debt being better off than Europe's ills. The bond markets have been led by investors, not policymakers and ratings agencies. If the U.S. bond investors (here and in China) consider the risk to be too great, interest rates will rise immediately, and as that starts to happen, a snowball of devastation starts rolling downhill. Higher interest rates mean that it is more difficult to service debt which means that the nation must declare austerity measures (increase taxes and slash spending). This reality has already resulted in major riots throughout Europe. England's value added tax is 20%. That is not something that will go over very well here in the U.S., where the Occupy Movements have made it very clear that they are angry, very well organized and are not going to take it anymore.

Consider this to be me yelling from the rooftops. It is as important now as it is been throughout the most challenging times in U.S. history to protect your money, to outwit financial predators and to know the ABCs of Money and Investing. You cannot afford to stick your head in the sand or have blind faith that someone else is going to do a great job of investing your money. Is your "guru" still in business? How well did your passive income strategies perform for you in 2008-2009? If you stomach sinks at the thought, then you've got to get a new plan now.

The easiest way for you to get safe now is to attend my July 6-8, 2012 Investor Educational Retreat. There you will afford yourself the time and the learning environment to examine everything you own, learn the ABCs of Investing in today's volatile world and design a money house that can withstand the financial storms the world is embroiled in. As Benjamin Franklin tells us, "An investment in knowledge always pays the best interest." Most people are spending more on soda, coconut water or beer than the cost of one of my retreats. So, make this your moment to drink in the wisdom that has led so many others to Easy Street.

I have two seats remaining available at my next Investor Eduational Retreat. Call 310-430-2397 now to join us.

Retreat Attendee Results & Testimonials
Bill and Nilo earned 40% gains between Nov. 2011 and January 15, 2012, after attending their first retreat. Melanee achieved her goal of "hanging out with billionaires." Eva moved into her dream home. Brenden transformed his life so much that he brought his daughter (twice). (Check out Melanee's picture with Bill Gates on the Living the Rich Life Retreat flyer on the home page at NataliePace.com.) Call 310-430-2397 NOW to learn how you can attend a boardroom retreat with just 12 others, learning these strategies hands-on from me.

This investment in wisdom will pay off in real estate, stocks, bonds, gold, hard assets, income and passive income. You will also learn how to live a Rich Life on a Thrive Budget (instead of a Struggling to Survive Life on a Buried Alive in Bills Budget).

Investor Alerts:
1. OPEC: The trade imbalance with OPEC is currently $11.5 billion per month, which is one of the top assassins of GDP growth. Be sure to read my article, "Oil is Killing U.S. Growth," from the November 2011 ezine, volume 8, issue 11.

2. Debt: Standard & Poor's lowered the U.S. debt rating from AAA to AA+  on August 5, 2011. The Budget Plan of August 2, 2011 fell short by almost $2 trillion.  A lowered debt rating means we will pay more interest (eventually) -- a lot more -- which makes it even more difficult to balance the budget and spark GDP growth. 

3. Real Estate: Almost 10 million properties were repossessed between 2008 and 2012 (9,896,211). RealtyTrac is predicting that foreclosure activity will be higher in 2012 than 2011 (in other words, over two million), but lower than 2010 (so, less than three). This means that there will no upside in real estate prices (except in certain cities) until 2013. However, it could be a good time to buy, while interest rates are low. If you are underwater on your mortgage or delinquent on your payments and are considering the "unthinkable," email Heather at NataliePace.com to get the links to some very important articles. Do not drain your nest egg to try and keep a home you cannot afford. That is sinking your lifeboat.

4. 911 Investor Alert: Bonds and Treasury Bills. Now that even Warren Buffett has admitted bonds should come with a warning label, you need to get smart on how to understand the risk in bonds and select high quality safe areas for your money. Natalie first warned about bonds in September 2010 -- well before the Greek bond crisis and the S&P downgrade of the U.S. credit. Get bond smart by reading these important bond articles from the May 2011 ezine (volume 8, issue 5), the September 2011 ezine (volume 8, issue 9) and the December 2011 ezine (volume 8, issue 12). In the meantime, low-risk, cash-positive hard assets are King (and no, I'm not suggesting to go all in on gold, see below). Bonds and bond funds are vulnerable to loss of principal value now. Interest rates will rise (eventually) if the U.S. debt problem is not fixed. It might take a few months or even a few years, but without reform, credit risk will increase, driving up interest rates, just as credit risk has done in PIIGS countries.

5. Gold: If you purchased gold at $850/ounce in 1980, you had to wait 26 years for the value to return. Most of the time, gold seesawed between $250-$350 an ounce over that period. Now, with prices near $1700/ounce, large holders of gold, including the United States, Brazil and more, could be tempted to sell high. For a brief history of gold and information on which countries are the biggest holders of gold, read, "Gold Investors Beware" from the April 2012 NataliePace.com ezine, volume 9, issue 4, and "The Gold Crash of 1980," from the September 2010 ezine, volume 7, issue 9.

So is There Anything Good Out There?
Yes, believe it or not, there are some excellent areas in the economy. My 2009 Company of the Year, McEwen Mining, posted up to 19X gains. Applied Materials, the 2010 Company of the Year, posted 25% gains within a few months of being named. 13 out of 14 Companies featured in my Company of the Month articles in 2010 were winners. Your nest egg has almost fully recovered from the Great Recession. If you have a great credit rating and can get a loan, there are areas of the country where you can buy cash positive, low risk income property. And even if you're in trouble, in doubt, losing a home or declaring bankruptcy, there are some very important things to do to squirrel away as many assets as possible. The best way to learn about these things is to read this ezine top to bottom, read You Vs. Wall Street and register to attend the next Get Rich and Enrich Retreat. Once you have the wisdom and education that you should have received in high school, all of this will be easy and can be set up on auto-pilot. Until then, you are vulnerable to more boom/bust markets.

Regional Banks Failed en Masse 2008-2011
There were 414 bank failures between 2008 and 2011. (Most were community banks, which were absorbed by other banks.) 24 banks have failed so far in 2012, as of June 7, 2012. Don't be seduced by the banks reporting record earnings! Most of them are fairy tales. (Nonproducing loans are carried off the books; TARP and other Federal Reserve swaps are about as easy to figure out as the origin of the life.) Almost 13 million homes will be lost between 2007 and 2012 and not all of them hitting the financial statements with as much force as they should...

Track Record of our Reporting
While the markets are still down significantly since their high in October of 2007, the Hot News and Cooling Off lists below have a winning track record before, during and after the Great Recession -- in bear and bull market years. 125 positions listed over the last four years -- 79% -- have delivered impressive gains, even while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is still trading lower than it was in 2007 (when it cracked through 14,000)! Only thirty-three of our listings went in the opposite direction of the reporting, which is quite impressive given the market gyrations of more than 7000 point swings since 2008.

Remember that the trading portfolio should be equal to your experience, and should not be part of your nest egg. (The nest egg is money you earn while you sleep, not while you day-trade.) If you're new, you should be using education or fun money, not your nest egg, to learn on. Take your trading profits early and often in these volatile, whip-sawing years. (Your nest egg is better off just rebalancing once or twice a year, not trying to market time.)

Almost Half of My Company of the Year selections more than doubled.  My 2003, 2004, 2007 and 2009 Companies of the Year posted up to 9000% gains (Taser), up to 690% gains (Opsware), up to 215% gains (Suntech Power Holdings), and up to 19X ROI for McEwen (now McEwen Mining), respectively. Applied Materials, 2010 Company of the Year, and MySpace, my 2006 Company of the Year, were both super performers within a few short months of their listings.   So six out of nine Company of the Year selections were the best Wall Street has to offer. That's the kind of record that made me a #1 stock picker.  (I launched my first publication on 11.15.02, and featured the first Company of the Year, Taser International, on 1.1.03.)

13 out of 14 companies featured in the Company of the Month articles in 2010 earned gains -- 93%! Some other big hits were Google at the IPO (over 7X gains), Rio Tinto (tripled in value) and shorts like Fannie Mae (in 2003), real estate (2005), General Motors (2005) and Las Vegas (2008).

The NataliePace.com ezine was the first to list the following 911 alerts:

  1. Muni bond and bond funds 911 Investor Alert in Sept. 2010 (a full year before the downgrade in August of 2011).
  2. 2008 Recession (Get Safe)
  3. Trim back on Faded Blue Chips in 2006
  4. Get out of Dodge (real estate) in 2005
  5. Google at the IPO! (May 2004)
  6. To get Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of your 401(k) in 2003

Market Movers:
The Federal Open Market Committee and Monetary Policy
The Fed funds rate continues to be "0 to 1/4 percent." The next FOMC meeting takes place on June 19-20, 2012.
GDP Growth Rates: 1st quarter 2012 GDP growth came in at 1.9%; the 4th quarter 2011 GDP growth was 3.0%. The FOMC projections for 2012 GDP growth are 2.2-2.7%. Could be a good year in the markets. Should continue to be volatile, however, with the political warzone going on in Washington and the bond crisis in Europe.
1st quarter 2012 (3rd estimates) will be released on June 28, 2012 at 8:30 a.m. ET.

GDP Growth in the U.S.

Year

GDP Growth

2012

2.2-2.7% (projected)

2011

1.7%

2010

3.0%

2009

-0.5%

2008

-3.3%

2007

2.2%

Source: Federal Reserve, revised 3.29.12

These release days tend to be very active on Wall Street.  For more information on GDP growth and other important economic statistics, go to the BEA.gov website and be sure to visit the NataliePace.com calendar section often.

EDUCATIONAL OPPORTUNITES AND INFORMATION:
1. FOMC Information: Interested in reading the minutes of the April 24-25, 2012 FOMC meeting for yourself? The official Federal Reserve document is available online. Go to FederalReserve.gov to read! According to the FOMC, "The economy has been expanding moderately. Labor market conditions have improved in recent months; the unemployment rate has declined but remains elevated. Household spending and business fixed investment have continued to advance."

The tentative FOMC meeting schedule for the 2012 calendar is June 19-20 (Tuesday-Wednesday), July 31 (Tuesday), September 12 (Wednesday), October 23-24 (Tuesday-Wednesday), December 11 (Tuesday), January 29-30, 2013 (Tuesday-Wednesday).

2. Calendar section: Conferences, Online Chats and more: Check out the Calendar section of NataliePace.com regularly. You will find great opportunities to attend the most exclusive business and Green Conferences, learn about upcoming TV and radio shows and other educational opportunities -- many are FREE! Get more information on how to best use our articles in the FAQs article, located under the Investor Edu link on the home page of NataliePace.com.

3. Survey Results: Each month we have 2-3 new surveys so that we can stay in touch with your needs and desires. Cast your vote on our survey page.

4. Follow Natalie Pace on: Facebook.com/NWPace , Twitter.com/NataliePace

5. Euro interest rates: ECB rates are at 1.00% (main refinancing), 1.75% (marginal lending) and 0.25% (deposit facility). The next meeting and interest rate announcement are scheduled for June 21, 2012 at 2:30 p.m. CET. (July 5, 2012 & July 19, 2012 after that.) (FYI: Credit Risk in Europe is fueling the riots and market volatility, not Central Bank policy.)

Hot Stocks List
Investors who "never pay retail," note that the BOLD highlighted stocks are trading at their 52-week lows or near the price featured in NataliePace.com's article. This may be a good buying opportunity. (If the stocks are not highlighted, then in our estimation, this is not a good time to buy. Reasons are explained in the news commentary.) The companies that are listed below which are not highlighted may not be in a good buying range, but they appear to be poised to continue performing well (if you have already purchased them). There are never any guarantees in life, and all stocks are risk-based investments. Consult your certified financial planner before making any changes to your investment strategy. And remember that these "Stocks on Steroids" are not intended to be part of your nest egg strategy at all -- not even for "pros." If you've never traded individual stocks before, this is your "fun" or "education" money. You should not stake your future on anything that you don't have mastery over.

Hot News List (highlighted).  Be sure that you are buying low.
FMC (FMC) on 6.6.12
Green Dot (GDOT) on 6.15.12
Jiayuan (DATE) on 6.15.12
McEwen Mining (MUX) on 6.15.12

DELETIONS (Take your profits early and often):
AOL on 4.15.12
S&P Emerging Middle East and Africa Fund (GAF) on 6.6.12
Oracle (ORCL) on 6.6.12
Shutterfly (SFLY) on 4.15.12
Sociedad Minera y Quimica de Chile (SQM) on 6.6.12
SOXX on 6.6.12
Westbak (WBK) on 6.6.12

HOT NEWS on COOL STOCKS LIST

Company

NP owns?

Symbol

Price when added to Hot News List

Price

6.15.12

52-week High

52-week Low

Gains/Loss

Accuray

No

ARAY

$7.20

$5.99

$9.37

$3.50

-17%

Read "Robo Doc" Vol. 9, issue 5.

Allscripts Healthcare Solutions

No

MDRX

$18.01

$15.27 (8.15.11)

$10.90

$23.13

$8.99

-39% &

-29%

Read "Health Care Reform" Vol. 7, issue 4.

1Q 2012 earnings on 4.26.12: Bookings of $194.6 million in the 1Q. Revenue of $364.7 million. GAAP net income of $5.8 million.

These 1Q 2012 numbers are way off, and the earnings guidance has been revised downward to $1.5 billion in revenue (no income ##s were offered). Additionally, there has been a major shakeup in the executive suite. The CFO, chairman of the board and four board directors are gone. These are all red flags, and I'll keep digging for more information for the next update. It's important to determine why the revenue is off and what forced such a split in the executive suite and boardroom. (A competitor told me that an acquisition turned out to be not very valuable.)

On June 1, 2012, Allscripts advised that they are putting forth five names at the Annual Meeting on June 15, 2012 to become new board directors. With these additions, eight out of nine directors will be independent. Many have financial backgrounds, which is good for oversight and capital raising, but not always so great for product integrity and sales.

Allscripts Healthcare Solutions, Inc., formerly Allscripts-Misys Healthcare Solutions, Inc. (Allscripts), is a provider of clinical software, services, information and connectivity solutions that are used by physicians and other healthcare providers to improve the quality of healthcare.

American Super-conductor

No

AMSC

$27.77

$3.42

(10.1.11)

$3.88

$38.88

$3.21

-86% &

+13%

Read "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3.

On 2.15.12 AMSC reported that it is still pursuing a lawsuit against Sinovel in China. According to AMSC, "AMSC is seeking to recover more than $1.2 billion for contracted shipments and damages from Sinovel in these cases, which stem from Sinovel's contractual breaches in March 2011 and AMSC's discovery of intellectual property theft by Sinovel employees in June 2011." The case is not going well. It has been dismissed by two courts in China so far. On April 10, 2012, AMSC appealed to China's Supreme People's Court.

4Q 2011 and FY results on 6.6.12: Revenues for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011 were $28.6 million. This compares with $59.8 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2010 and $18.1 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2011. The year-over-year decline is due primarily to a lack of revenue from AMSC's former customer, Sinovel Wind Group Co., Ltd. (Sinovel), while the quarter-over-quarter increase was driven by growth in the company's Wind and Grid reporting segments. AMSC reported a net loss for the fourth fiscal quarter of $21.2 million, or $0.42 per share. For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, AMSC reported a net loss of $185.1 million, or $3.67 per share, which included $155.3 million in aggregate one-time asset write-downs, impairments and accrued charges. AMSC reported a net loss of $26.3 million, or $0.52 per share, for the third quarter of fiscal year 2011.

The company's total backlog as of March 31, 2012 was approximately $291 million. This compares with approximately $300 million as of December 31, 2011. Approximately one-third of AMSC's backlog on March 31, 2012 was scheduled to be delivered in fiscal year 2012.

"I am proud of the resiliency and resolve that we demonstrated throughout fiscal year 2011," said AMSC President and Chief Executive Officer Daniel P. McGahn. "We restructured our business, diversified our revenue streams and significantly reduced our cost structure. Our fourth fiscal quarter proved to be a culmination of these efforts as we exceeded all of our financial objectives and maintained a healthy backlog. Now, with fiscal 2011 behind us and a bolstered balance sheet in place, we are focused on driving year-over-year growth, enhancing our gross margin and booking orders for shipment in late fiscal 2012 and early fiscal 2013."

For the quarter ending June 30, 2012, AMSC expects that its revenues will exceed $26 million. AMSC expects that its net loss for the first quarter of fiscal 2012 will be less than $10 million, or $0.19 per share, which includes a benefit of approximately $7 million for the settlement of adverse purchase commitments with certain vendors. AMSC expects that its non-GAAP net loss for the first fiscal quarter will be less than $13 million, or $0.25 per share. AMSC estimates that it will have approximately $85 million in cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities and restricted cash on June 30, 2012.

Applied Materials

2010 Company of the Year

No

AMAT

$13.10

$9.78

(10.1.11)

$10.99

$16.94

$9.70

-16% &

+12%

Read "Let There Be Light" and "LED Lighting," from the December 1, 2010 and August 1, 2010 ezines, Vol. 7, issue 12 and 8. 2010 Company of the Year!

2Q earnings announced on May 17, 2012. Applied generated orders of $2.77 billion and net sales of $2.54 billion. GAAP net income was $289 million. "Our strong performance in the quarter was driven by growing global demand for mobile products such as smartphones and tablets," said Mike Splinter, chairman and chief executive officer. "Applied's semiconductor products are enabling the next generation of more powerful and feature-rich devices.

"Applied delivered profitability at the high end of our expectations and increased operating cash flow to 24 percent of net sales," said George Davis, chief financial officer. "During the quarter, we announced a 13-percent dividend increase, established a new three-year $3 billion share repurchase program, and used $200 million to repurchase over 16 million shares of our common stock."

iShares Australia Index

No

EWA

$22.84

$19.36

(10.1.11)

$21.67

$28.36

$19.36

-5% &

+12%

Read "Are Commodity-Rich Countries Worth a Look?" from Vol. 8, issue 6 and "Hot Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7. This fund was a rock star on Wall Street in 2009-2010. Australia benefits from having lower debt and a closer proximity to China than the U.S. Also, is rich in natural resources (needed by China), lower in unemployment (at 5.1%) and avoided the bank bailouts that sank the U.S. and U.K.

Pimco Australia Bond Index

No

AUD

$98.90

$96.71

$99.97

$102.48

$94.80

+1% &

+3%

Read "The Sexiest (& Safest) Investment in the World," "Are Commodity-Rich Countries Worth a Look?" and "Hot Funds," from Vol. 8, issue 12, Vol. 8, issue 6 and Vol. 7, issue 7. Pimco is a premiere bond fund corporation, headed up by the legendary Bill Gross. Australia is one of the best investments in the world right now.

Bank of Montreal

No

BMO

$54.08

$53.98

$66.64

$53.36

Flat

Refer to the "Debt World" article in volume 8, issue 2 for details. Canada's banks were ranked #1 by the Milken Institute for global capital in 2009; Australia was #2. Canada has a higher debt to GDP ratio than the U.S., however, so don't dive in without testing the water first. Check out the article

Canadian Imperial Bank

RISK: Low

No

CM

$67.64

$70.04

$88.76

$67.05

+3%

Refer to the "Debt World" article in volume 8, issue 2 for details. Canada's banks were ranked #1 by the Milken Institute for global capital in 2009; Australia was #2. Canada has a higher debt to GDP ratio than the U.S., however, so don't dive in without testing the water first. Check out the article

iShares Chile Fund

No

ECH

$65.05

$51.16

(10.1.11)

$61.30

$80.38

$51.16

-6% &

+20%

Read "Hot Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7 and "Latin American Funds Doubled" article from the August 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8.

iShares MSCI China Small Cap Index Fund

No

ECNS

$48.38

$31.04

(10.1.11)

$34.44

$58.80

$31.04

-20% &

+11%

Read "Travel Rewards," from Vol. 8, issue 7.

Cree

Yes

CREE

$52.10

$22.00

(1.1.12)

$23.90

$83.38

$20.25

-54% &

+10%

Read "Let There Be Light" and "LED Lighting," from the December 1, and August 1, 2010 ezines, Vol. 7, issue 8. Love the company. Revenue growth is solid. Sales to Asia are strong. Future likes bright! And the price is finally right.

3Q earnings on April 17, 2012. Revenue of $284.8 million. This represents a 30% increase compared to revenue of $219.2 million reported for the third quarter of fiscal 2011 and a 6% decrease compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2012. GAAP net income was $9.5 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, a decrease of 50% year-over-year compared to GAAP net income of $18.9 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, for the third quarter of fiscal 2011.

"Overall company backlog is stronger than it was at this point last quarter, with Lighting, LEDs and Power and RF all tracking ahead of Q2, although order visibility is still limited. Our focus remains on driving adoption through innovation and we believe we are well positioned to continue leading the transition to LED lighting and drive growth in our business," Chuck Swoboda, Cree chairman and CEO said, in the earnings press release.

iShares Emerging Markets Index

No

EEM

$41.27

$34.29

(10.1.11)

$38.99

$50.30

$34.29

-6% &

+14%

Read "Hot Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7.

Eldorado Gold

No

EGO

$14.00

$11.60

(5.11.12)

$12.86

$22.12

$10.20

-8% &

+11%

Read "Investing in Gold" from Vol. 6, issue 9. A Canadian-based, global gold mining company. 2Q earnings will be released on May 3, 2012 after the markets close.

1Q earnings on May 3, 2012. Profit = $68 million. 24% increase in gold revenues over the same quarter in 2011, reflecting higher gold prices. Gold production of 155,535 ounces at an average cash operating cost of $452 per ounce.

Paul Wright, President and CEO of Eldorado Gold, said, "With the addition of two gold development projects in Greece and one gold development project in Romania, the acquisition of European Goldfields is a key milestone in the Company's plans to reach its annual production target in excess of 1.5 million ounces of gold by 2016."

FMC Corp.

No

FMC

$50.41

$50.31

$108.39

$31.91

Flat

Read "Life Begins with Li (Lithium)" from Vol. 6, issue 4 and "Should You Put the Brakes on Toyota?", from Vol. 7, issue 2.

Galaxy Resources

RISK: HIGH

(off the boards, thinly traded)

No

GALXF

$1.18

$0.58

(10.1.11)

$0.60

$1.80

$0.55

-49% &

+3%

Read "Should You Put the Brakes on Toyota?" from Vol. 7, issue 2. Lithium exploration, mining, etc. in Australia and China. Traded off the boards in the US, but is listed on the Australia Stock Exchange.

On March 8, 2012, Galaxy opened the largest battery grade lithium carbonate plant in the Asia Pacific. The $100 million plant has a capacity of 17,000 tonnes a year, according to the Galaxy press release.

Full year results were released on March 21, 2012. Loss was $130.5 million. Galaxy needed to raise $30 million in order to complete the ramp up of the Mt. Caitlin mine and Jiangsu factory. This milestone was achieved on April 12, 2012.

Galaxy has three strong aspects -- Australia-based company in an emerging market -- lithium -- with China as a partner. Galaxy Resources Limited (ASX: GXY) is an international S&P/ASX 300 Index Company which is soon to become one of the world's leading producers of lithium - the essential component for powering the world's fast expanding fleet of hybrid and electric cars.  By 2012, Galaxy's Mt Cattlin mine will be the world's second largest hard rock producer of lithium and through the development of its value adding lithium carbonate plant (17,000tpa), the Company will be the largest and lowest cost lithium producer in China.

Galaxy wholly-owns and operates the Mt. Cattlin mine, which is currently producing spodumene concentrate. Lithium compounds such as lithium carbonate are forecast to be in high future demand due to advances in long life batteries and sophisticated electronics including mobile phones and computers.

Galaxy Resources has positioned itself to meet this lithium future by not only mining the lithium, but also by downstream processing to supply lithium carbonate to the expanding Asian market (through the Jiangsu plant which just opened on March 8, 2012.

Goldman Sachs

No

GS

$108.34

$90.08

(10.1.11)

$95.66

$175.34

$84.27

-12% &

+6%

Annual & 4Q earnings were announced on 4.13.12. 2011 revenues were $28.81 billion with a net income of $4.4 billion for the year. The shareholder letter issued by CEO Lloyd Blankfein focused quite extensively on "Our Client-Driven Strategy," without addressing the Elephant in the Room, the letter,

"Why I am Leaving Goldman Sachs," by Greg Smith. Greg Smith resigned 3.13.12 as a Goldman Sachs executive director and head of the firm's United States equity derivatives business in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. This is the letter everyone has been talking about...

This past year was dominated by global macro-economic concerns which significantly affected our clients' risk tolerance and willingness to transact," said Lloyd C. Blankfein, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. "While our results declined as a consequence, I am pleased that the firm retained its industry-leading positions across our global client franchise while prudently managing risk, capital and expenses. As economies and markets improve, and we see encouraging signs of this, Goldman Sachs is very well positioned to perform for our clients and our shareholders."

Green Dot

Yes

GDOT

$41.25

$28.50

(2.1.11)

$20.22

$65.10

$19.93

-51% &

-30%

Read "IPO of the Year" from Vol. 7, issue 3.

Announced 1Q results on April 26, 2012. Green Dot reported an 18% year-over-year increase in non-GAAP total operating revenues1 to $145.5 million, a 21% year-over-year increase in non-GAAP net income1 to $21.2 million and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share1 of $0.48. GAAP results for the first quarter were $142.3 million in revenues, $17.1 million in net income, and $0.39 in diluted earnings per share.

"We're off to a great start in 2012, posting solid top- and bottom-line organic growth rates despite the planned discontinuation of the TurboTax program. We are excited about the opportunities that exist in our sales pipeline and believe we are well-positioned for continued success," said Steve Streit, Green Dot's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

Big announcement on 1.26.12: Green Dot Corporation GDOT, a provider of widely distributed, low-cost banking and payment solutions to a broad base of U.S. consumers, is working with AARP Foundation and MasterCard to launch the first prepaid card tailored to older Americans. The AARP Foundation Prepaid MasterCard from Green Dot (the "Card") is ideal for direct deposit of paychecks and federal benefit payments, especially given new Federal requirements that all Social Security recipients obtain payments electronically as of March 1, 2013.

WalMart is a partner and investor.

Jiayuan

No

DATE

$12.70

$5.97 (1.1.12)

$4.70

$16.12

$3.60

-63% &

-12%

Read "Is China a Cheap Date?" from Vol. 9, issue 3 & "The Chinese Facebook," from Vol. 8, issue 9. Jiayuan is the Chinese Match.com.

Jiayuan holds their annual meeting on June 15, 2012.

On 4.26.12, Jiayuan added two very imp. Board directors. Mr. Xiaochuan Wang has been the chief executive officer of Sogou.com and the Chief technology officer at Sohu. Mr. Paul Keung has served as chief financial officer and senior vice president of business development at NYSE-listed Taomee Holdings Limited ("Taomee") since February 2011.

On 3.18.12, Jiayuan announced the addition of Co-CEO Linguang Wu. Mr. Yongqiang Qian, chairman of the board of directors of Jiayuan, commented, "Linguang's decade of experience developing and managing successful online and wireless businesses is the perfect complement to [CEO Rose Gong's] visionary industry leadership. I'm pleased to welcome him to the company, and I'm confident that this appointment lays the groundwork for our next stage of growth."  

4Q and FY earnings on March 5, 2012. Net revenues for full year 2011 were US$52.6 million, a year-over-year increase of 97.7%. Net income attributable to Jiayuan for full year 2011 was US$5.9 million, a year-over-year increase of 122.8%.

CEO Rose Gong said, "We are delighted to see that the number of activated smartphone apps accessing Jiayuan's services reached a new record of approximately two million by the end of the quarter."

The board approved a US$10 million share repurchase program on Dec. 22, 2011.

iShares S&P Latin America 40 Index

No

ILF

$43.92

$37.84

(10.1.11)

$41.00

$55.38

$37.84

-7% &

+8%

Read "Hot Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7 and "Latin American Funds Doubled" article from the August 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8.

McEwen Mining

(formerly U.S. Gold) 2009 Company of the Year

Yes

MUX

$5.57

$3.69

(12.15.11)

$2.92

$9.87

$0.50

-48% &

-22%

U.S. Gold changed its name to McEwen Mining.

Note: McEwen Mining is not producing gold at this time; is it a gold exploration company, based in Nevada and Mexico which has begun the process of filing for production permits, with a goal of producing gold by 2014.

Added back to the Hot List on June 8, 2011.

The problem with MUX is Argentina. MUX CEO Rob McEwen is being forthcoming about the difficulties associated with Argentina's denial of capital to MUX. So I encourage you to read these updates on the McEwen website. CEO McEwen has over $190 million of his own dough in the game, so he's in this to win. Headwinds abound right now, however.

McEwen Mining began trading on the New York Stock Exchange on Nov. 2, 2010, and has a goal of qualifying for the S&P 500 by 2015. McEwen Mining explores for gold and silver in the Americas and is advancing its El Gallo Project in Mexico and its Gold Bar Project in Nevada towards production. McEwen's shares are listed on the NYSE and the TSX. Added to the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and S&P/TSX Global Mining Index on 9.15.09. Added to the Chicago Board of Options Exchange on July 19, 2010. Began trading on the AMEX stock exchange on 12.11.06.

McEwen Mining (aka U.S. Gold then) was the 2009 Company of the Year. The article was featured in the October 2009 ezine, Vol. 6, issue 10.

MEMC Electronics

Yes

WFR

$11.99

$4.09

(1.1.12)

$2.01

$13.80

$1.44

-83% &

-50%

Read "One Hot, Overlooked Commodity: Sand," Vol. 8, issue 5 and "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3. Investor call on 2.15.12 at 5:30 ET.

S&P's downgraded MEMC's senior debt to a B+ rating on 5.24.12. "We are disappointed with the rating change by S&P," commented Brian Wuebbels, MEMC's Chief Financial Officer, "but we are comfortable that our cash and liquidity position is sufficient to meet our current cash needs. The credit downgrade by S&P today will not adversely affect our current access to our existing non-recourse construction revolver for SunEdison construction activities."

CFO left on 5.15.12 to become CEO of Praxair. MEMC promoted Brian Wuebbels to the Chief Financial Officer role. 

On Dec. 8, 2011, MEMC announced major restructuring, layoffs, cost savings and impairment changes. Should position the company to be leaner and meaner at the end of 2012, but the financials in the interim could look ugly.

1Q earnings results were released on May 9, 2012. GAAP revenue for the first quarter was $519.2 million, representing a decline of 29% from $735.9 million in the first quarter of 2011 and a decrease of 28% from $717.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2011.  The year-over-year decline was due to lower solar and semiconductor wafer volume and pricing, partially offset by sales of excess polysilicon inventory, higher solar project direct sales and solar energy revenue.  The sequential decrease was primarily driven by lower solar project sales, significantly lower solar wafer volume and pricing and weaker semiconductor wafer volume and pricing.  Solar wafer sales to external parties are expected to decline to minimal levels due to the company's strategic shift to primarily supplying wafers for internal consumption.

Net loss was $92 million.

MEMC ended the 2012 first quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $380.6 million, a decrease of $205.2 million from the prior quarter, driven primarily by vendor payments and higher solar energy systems held for development and sale.  Unrestricted cash and unused corporate revolver capacity was $636.9 million at the end of the 2012 first quarter.  The company continues to implement programs to manage its liquidity and capital resources and expects to maintain adequate liquidity during 2012.

PowerShares Lux Nanotech

No

PXN

$8.87

$5.54 (10.1.11)

$6.18

$10.85

$5.54

-31% &

+11%

Potential hot industry for your pie chart. Read the 2010 Company of the Year article from December 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 12. Watch my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC, or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.

PowerShares Wilderhill Clean Energy Portfolio ETF

No

PBW

$9.91

$5.02

(10.1.11)

$4.25

$11.42

$4.04

-57% &

-14%

Read "$100/Barrel Oil" from the March 1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 3.

Rio Tinto

No

RIO

$59.86

$42.87

(10.1.11)

$46.34

$76.67

$42.87

-23% &

+8%

Gold, copper and other commodities mining. Based out of Australia. Mines worldwide, but great way to capitalize on Australia's robust economy.

Annual 2011 results were released on February 9, 2012. Record underlying earnings of $15.5 billion, 11 per cent above 2010's results. Net earnings $5.8 billion, 59% lower than 2010.

$7 billion share buy-back programme on track for completion by end of the first quarter. To date $6.2 billion has been completed, representing 103 million Rio Tinto plc shares equivalent to five per cent of the Group's issued share capital.

Chairman Jan du Plessis said, "Whilst we have today reported excellent underlying earnings numbers, we also have to recognise that we have taken a significant impairment charge in relation to our aluminium business. As this charge largely relates to the acquisition of Alcan, Tom Albanese and Guy

Elliott have notified the Remuneration Committee that they did not wish to be considered for

an annual bonus and I think that is absolutely right.

"We anticipate that uncertainty in the financial markets, particularly around the euro, together with elevated price volatility will continue into 2012. This leads us to remain cautious about near term prospects. However, the medium to long term picture remains very positive for metals and minerals as strong demand growth from emerging markets continues.

Satcon

2011 Company of the Year

Yes

SATC

$3.77

$0.42

(4.1.12)

$0.25

$5.51

$0.39

-94% &

-41%

Read "2011 Company of the Year," from Vol. 8, issue 4 and "$100/Barrel Oil" from the March 1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 3.

Satcon provided a 1Q update on 4.11.12: Based on preliminary financial data and subject to the final closing of the company's books, Satcon expects first-quarter 2012 revenue will be between $22 million and $25 million, in line with its previously announced guidance of $22 million to $28 million. Bookings for the first quarter were approximately $45 million, an increase of approximately 130% from the fourth quarter of 2011 and 27% from the first quarter of 2011. In addition, the quarter was the company's most successful bookings period in four quarters, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.9:1.

4Q and Full-year results on March 1, 2012. Revenue for the fourth quarter of 2011 was $36.0 million, compared with revenue of $45.0 million in the third quarter of 2011. For the year ended 2011, sales reached $188.6 million, a 9% increase over 2010 sales, and total megawatts shipped equaled 800, a 16% increased over total megawatts shipped in 2010. North America continued to be the company's strongest performing region in Q4, representing 94% of total revenue and megawatts shipped. Net loss was $83.5 million.

"Despite significant pricing pressure and uncertainties around program subsidies in the solar market, 2011 was a growth year for Satcon," said Steve Rhoades, Satcon's President and Chief Executive Officer. "Shipments into North America nearly doubled as we continued to strengthen our relationships with some of the region's leading solar integrators and EPC's.

"Our North America and Asia experienced significant growth for us. The utility-scale ground-mounted European market flattened under government policy changes and uncertainty. This caused significant price pressure in what had been of highly profitable market for SatCon just a year before and continues to be challenging in the first half of 2012. The dynamics of these market changes have forced the industry including SatCon to adjust," CEO Rhoades confirmed in a call after the results were announced.

 

North America continued to be our strongest performing market in 2011 with shipments nearly doubling over 2010, representing 81% of megawatt shipped during the year. As European ground mount solar declined, we saw a number Europe based inverter manufacturers entered the US market. Despite this, SatCon continues to maintain its leadership position, shipping 645 megawatts into North America in the year.

 

US domestic market was expected to grow over 50% in 2011 and this is evident in our pipeline activity or in the past three months alone, we have added 2.5 gigawatts to our pipeline for medium voltage solutions for projects expected to begin construction in the next 12 months. We continue to invest in our leading solution portfolio for the North American solar market and we'll be introducing several new products and services over the coming months as we see a significant long-term opportunity to build on our leadership in North America.

The Asia solar market also represented sizable growth for SatCon in 2011 and we see a significant opportunity to expand our presence in these markets in 2012. The China market where SatCon was the second largest inverter supplier in 2010 is expected to triple in size from over 1.5 gigawatts in 2011 to over 5 gigawatts in 2015. To take advantage of this growth SatCon has entered into a strategic sales distribution and manufacturing partnership which we announced earlier this year. I'll go into more detail about that in a few minutes.

Favorable government policies have also created growth opportunities in other parts of Asia including Thailand, Taiwan and India. SatCon delivered 36 megawatts of its industry-leading 500 kilowatt PowerGate Plus inverters to India last year in a market that had an estimated size of 200 megawatts in 2011 and is expected to grow to 3.5 gigawatts by 2015. In addition, SatCon delivered 25 megawatts into Taiwan in the same year and this market is expected to grow considerably over the next few years.

 

Operating the solar market can be challenging is our expectation and certainly our pipeline supports this notion that the global utility and commercial solar market will grow rapidly in the next several years.

In addition to the operational aspects of our partnership, SatCon has entered into a non-exclusive sales and marketing agreement with CEC, Great Wall for the distribution of SatCon solar inverters for China. The partnership will position SatCon to capitalize on the estimated 14 gigawatts of utility-scale projects under development there. Of the 14 gigawatts of identified non-residential solar projects in development in China today, nearly two thirds are expected to be developed by China state-owned entities and our partnership with CC Great Wall greatly strengthens our competitive position for this China SOEs.

While 2011 was a difficult year for SatCon and for the entire solar industry I'm extremely excited about our prospects going forward. We are tacking the fastest growing markets in new ways, partnering with new and powerful companies, introducing new products for both alike commercial and utility-scale markets, completely resetting our expense structure and continuing the successful work done to-date to reduce both our working capital and the debt we carry on our balance sheet. We will reach our goals of profitability and cash generation by the second half of 2012."

Satcon's share price is too low. The company has been advised by NASDAQ to get it above $1.00 per share for 10 consecutive trading days by June 18, 2012. If they do, all is well. If they don't, but everything else is in order, Satcon may receive another 180 days grace period. If the share price is still out of compliance by June 18, 2012 and there are other listing issues, then NASDAQ could notify Satcon that the company is subject to delisting.

2.7.12: Satcon announced a partnership with Great Wall Computer Company Limited (GWPC 0.00%, news), a majority-owned subsidiary of China Electronics Corporation (CEC -0.62%, news). The partnership will position Satcon to capitalize on the estimated 14GW of utility scale projects under development, fueled by the country's Feed-In Tariff program. Of the 14GW of identified non-residential solar projects in development in China today, the majority are expected to be developed by China State Owned Entities.

Satcon announced major restructuring on 1.4.12. As part of the organizational restructuring, the company will reduce its workforce by 140 employees worldwide, or approximately 35%. This reduction, combined with the closure of the Canadian facility, will result in charges of approximately $2.8 million to $3.0 million. The majority of the charges are expected to occur in the fourth quarter of 2011, with the remainder taking place in the first quarter of 2012. The company expects ongoing savings of approximately $15 million to $17 million annually once all actions are implemented by the second quarter of 2012. An additional charge of $20-$26 million is expected for inventory overstocking issues.

Sohu

No

SOHU

$81.67

$47.42

(10.1.11)

$43.62

$109.37

$41.18

-47% &
-8%

Read "Is China a Cheap Date?" from Vol. 9, issue 3 and "The Chinese Facebook," from Vol. 8, issue 9. Sohu is a Chinese mega portal, with gaming, news, search and TV.

1Q results on April 30 2012. Total Revenues were US$227 Million, Up 30% Year-over-Year and down 8% quarter-over-quarter. GAAP net income was $20 million.

Sunpower

No

SPWR

$24.83

$7.14

(10.1.10)

$4.85

$23.36

$4.51

-81% &

-30%

Read "The Sunny Side" in Vol. 6, issue 3. You know I love solar, but this industry is in major distress mode. Just waiting for Spring Rally to end before taking off this list.

1Q earnings announced on May 3, 2012. Revenue $494.1 million. GAAP net loss = $74.5 million.

March 27, 2012: Sunpower announced they have begun production of their world-record efficiency solar cell, which delivers sunlight to electricity conversion efficiency of up to 24 percent. Sunpower panels are the most efficient in the world and have powered most of the Solar Decathlon winning teams. Maryland, the 2011 Solar Decathlon winner, used Sanyo solar panels, but needed six more panels to compete in the energy contests than #2 ranked Purdue (which used Sunpower).

Sunpower has a new CFO as of 3.21.12. Charles (Chuck) D. Boynton has been named SunPower's new executive vice president and chief financial officer (CFO). Boynton joined SunPower in June of 2010, serving as the company's vice president of corporate finance and corporate development, with global responsibility for finance, planning and analysis and leading strategic investments, joint ventures, and mergers and acquisitions.

SunPower Corp. SPWR announced on 1.18.12 that the company has broken ground on a 13.78-megawatt (DC) solar photovoltaic (PV) power system at Naval Air Weapons Station China Lake (NAWS China Lake) in California. The plant is expected to create 140 jobs during construction, and generate the equivalent of more than 30 percent of NAWS China Lake's annual energy load, helping to reduce costs by an estimated $13 million over the next 20 years.

Suntech Power Holdings (solar)

No

STP

$14.26

$1.77

(10.1.11)

$1.84

$15.55

$1.50

-87% &

+2%

Read "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3. The world's largest crystalline silicon photovoltaic (PV) module manufacturer. You know I love solar, but this industry is in major distress mode. Just waiting for Spring Rally to end before taking off this list.

1Q results announced on May 23, 2012. Total net revenues were $409.5 million, a decrease of 34.9% from $629.0 million in the fourth quarter of 2011 and a decrease of 53.3% from $877.0 million in the first quarter of 2011. Net loss was $133.0 million. Cash and restricted cash totaled $663.8 million as of March 31, 2012.

"Cost reduction continues to be the top priority for our business and we have outlined a clear roadmap for the remainder of the year." according to chairman and CEO Dr. Shengrong Shi.

4.12.12: Suntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd. STP, the world's largest producer of solar panels, recently supplied 3.4 megawatts (MW -1.02%, news) of solar panels for a solar installation at Edwards Air Force Base in Southern California. The solar installation at Edwards Air Force Base was designed, financed, and installed by Borrego Solar. 12,000 panels were provided. STP is a Chinese company, however, since the panels were made in AZ (USA), the company is in compliance with the Buy American Act.

Trina Solar LTD.

No

TSL

$27.92

$5.58

(10.1.11)

$6.59

$31.89

$5.01

-76% &

+18%

Read "The Sunny Side" Vol. 6, issue 3. You know I love solar, but this industry is in major distress mode. Just waiting for Spring Rally to end before taking off this list.

1Q earnings were announced on May 23, 2012. Net revenues were $349.9 million, a decrease of 19.7% sequentially. Net loss was $29.8 million, compared to net loss of $65.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2011.

TSL lost a board director to the government (a good sign). On Jan. 9, 2012 the company announced "Mr. Junfeng Li, who was appointed an independent director in November 2007, will focus on his recent appointment by the National Development and Reform Commission as Director of the National Research Center for Climate Strategies."

According to Jifan Gao, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Trina Solar, "Though we see further signs of industry consolidation, we are addressing the challenges of the current market environment by accelerating the delivery of innovative, technology-driven products and providing differentiated service offerings. We were pleased to announce our successful execution and early April delivery of 500 MW of our high-efficiency Honey technology-based module capacity, which currently offers module power of up to 265 watts for rooftop applications. Additionally, our first quarter benefited from shipments to the United States in connection with qualified projects under the U.S.'s 1603 Federal Grant Program."

Veeco

Yes

VECO

$42.74

$21.46

(10.1.11)

$33.28

$56.05

$20.35

-23% &

+55%

Read "LED Lighting," from Vol. 7, issue 8 and 2010 Company of the Year from Vol. 7, issue 12. VECO was added on 7.6.11, with a special alert sent to subscribers at that time.

1Q results announced on April 30, 2012. $139.9 million in revenue, down from $254.7 million a year ago. Net income was $19 million, compared to $61.3 million a year ago.

Veeco generated about $42 million in cash flow from operations, ending the quarter with $524 million in cash and short term investments.

"As anticipated, we experienced a weak bookings environment in Q1, with total orders of approximately $113 million," continued Mr. Peeler. "LED & Solar orders totaled $85 million, with $70 million in MOCVD and $15 million in MBE. MOCVD orders increased 19% sequentially, with system orders from customers in Korea, China, Taiwan, Japan and North America. MBE orders increased 71% sequentially on production orders from wireless customers. Data Storage bookings declined 62% sequentially to $29 million as customer consolidation activity temporarily stalled capacity investments." Veeco's book-to-bill ratio was 0.81 to 1 and quarter-end backlog was $305 million.

Second Quarter 2012 Guidance & Outlook
Veeco's second quarter 2012 revenue is currently forecasted to be between $120 million and $145 million. Earnings per share are currently forecasted to be between $0.20 to $0.40 on a GAAP basis, and $0.29 to $0.48 on a non-GAAP basis. Please refer to the attached financial table for more details.

Watch my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC, or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.

John R. Peeler, Veeco's Chief Executive Officer, has become the chairman of the board effective May 7, 2012.

Youku

Yes

YOKU

$25.06

$15.88

$24.37

$69.95

$15.88

-3% &

+53%

Read "Is China a Cheap Date?" from Vol. 9, issue 3 and "The Chinese Facebook," from Vol. 8, issue 9. Youku is the Chinese Hulu and YouTube. Internet and mobile TV is more popular than old school television in China, which has more than 513 Internet users (as of January 2012).

Youku and Toudu announced on March 12, 2012 that the two companies would merge. Once the deal is completed, the combined entity will be named Youku Tudou Inc, and headed by Youku chairman and CEO Victor Koo. Tudou's CEO Gary Wang will join the new entity's board of directors. Youk

4Q and FY earnings were released on March 14, 2012. Revenues were $49.1 million, 103% higher than a year ago. Net loss was $7.9 million, 32% higher than last year. Net loss for the year was $27.3 million, a 16% decrease from 2010. Cash on hand was $587 million as of 12.31.11.

Youku incorporated in the Cayman Islands on September 20, 2005.

Deleted Companies 2010-2011:
Deleted 1.11.10: KCI with 88% gains! Deleted 8.1.10: Galaxy Resources with 48% and 9% returns and Rio Tinto with 21% gains. Deleted 9.13.10: American Superconductor (flat) & AOL (flat). 10.1.10: Blockbuster busted out in bankruptcy on 9.28.10. KLAC was deleted with 11% gains. 10.15.10: ENER1 was deleted with flat performance. 11.11.10: ENER1 was deleted with 37% gains. VECO was deleted with 2% & 41% gains. 12.1.10: KLIC was deleted with 12% gains. 1.14.11: Advanced Materials was deleted with 30% gains. 2.2.11: BEARX with losses of 14%. 2.14.11: McEwen with 14.5X gains. 6.13.11: EPU with flat performance. 9.7.11: Deleted Eldorado Gold with 38% & 52% gains. 11.14.11: HEV with heavy losses, VMW and KLAC for gains of 32-33% & Tesla for 40% gains. 12.12.11: Google with 16-27% gains. 1.3.12: Hoku with losses of 70-95%, LDK Solar with mixed results. 1.15.12: FMC with gains of 36% and MSFT with 15-19% gains. 2.1.12: Netflix with up to 84% gains. 4.15.12: AOL with gains of 22-124% & Shutterfly with 7-30% gains. 6.6.12: GAF for 11% gains, Oracle for 5% gains, SQM for 13%, SOXX for 13%, Westbak for 12%.

Deleted Companies 2008-2009:
60 winners and 9 losers.

Recently Deleted from the Hot News list:
AOL (on 4.15.12)
S&P Middle East & Africa Fund (GAF) on 6.6.12
Oracle (ORCL) on 6.6.12
Shutterly (on 4.15.12)
Sociedad chimica y minera (SQM) on 6.6.12
SOXX on 6.6.12
Westbak on 6.6.12

Company

NP owns?

Symbol

Price when added to List

Price

4.13.12

52-week High

52-week Low

Gains/Loss

S&P Emerging Middle East and Africa Fund

No

GAF

$60.06

$66.54

$79.97

$57.00

+11%

Read "Travel Rewards," from Vol. 8, issue 7.

AOL

No

AOL

$21.22

$11.53

(10.1.11)

$25.79

$29.45

$10.06

+22% &

+124%

Read "AOL" from Vol. 6, issue 12 and "Is GroupOn the Next Google?" from Vol. 8, issue 7.

4Q2011 earnings on February 1, 2012: revenue was $576.8 million, down 3% from a year ago. Net income was $22.8 million, versus income of $66.2 million a year ago..

AOL owns Huffington Post, Moviefone, Mapquest, among other popular destinations. Launched Editions on Aug. 2 for iPad -- the magazine that customizes reading experiences for each user.

Per ComScore Net Ratings (2.12 data), AOL is the 5th most trafficked "web parent companies" in the United States, right behind Facebook, Microsoft, Yahoo and Google. Sales for AOL is $2.20 billion annually, but there is plenty of room for this company to come closer to Yahoo's $5 billion in annual revenue and take a bite out of Google's $40 billion.

So, why take AOL off the Hot Stocks List now? Adhering to the winning strategy of "take your profits early and often." In today's volatile marketplace, today's gains are tomorrow's losses. With the rollercoaster ride that Wall Street has been taking for the last decade, there may be opportunity to purchase AOL low again before it reaches its potential (no guarantees, however).

Oracle

No

ORCL

$25.87

$27.53

$36.50

$21.24

+5%

Read "Big Bites Out of Apple and Google" from the February 1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 2. 3Q earnings were announced on 3.20.12. Total revenues were up 3% to $9 billion. GAAP net income was up 18% to $2.5 billion.

Shutterfly

No

SFLY

$27.56

$22.70

(1.15.12)

$29.48

$66.70

$21.34

+7% &

+30%

Read "Diamonds or Scrapbooking," from the November 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 11.

Why take your profits on Shutterfly? First of all, I'm adhering to the winning strategy of "take your profits early and often." In today's volatile marketplace, today's gains are tomorrow's losses. The second reason is that, although Shutterfly has made huge fans and may even purchase Eastman Kodak's customers, the Facebook acquisition of Instagram puts Shutterfly's future into question. There is no doubt that Facebook has a corner on the marketplace of photo sharing... When they monetize that, every other game in town is in trouble...

Announced results on 2.1.12. Net revenues for the year totaled $473.3 million, a 54% year-over-year increase. GAAP net income was $14.0 million, compared to $17.1 million in 2010.

P/E is higher than we like, but Shutterfly is an acquisition play, and thus could still add a little more color to your stock sheet.

CFO left on Feb. 24, 2012 to "pursue a personal passion with an early stage medical technology company." He stayed on through yearend results, which lends credibility to this story of the events.

On March 6, 2012, SFLY expanded its photo book offering to cater to the "yearbook" school crowd. According to Gretchen Sloan, Shutterfly's corporate communications executive, "We believe it's a compelling solution for the more than 100,000 elementary schools in the U.S."

Sociedad Minera y Quimica de Chile

No

SQM

$46.39

$52.66

$67.75

$46.00

+13%

This is a great company that manufactures lithium for the electric car & IT industry and potash for agriculture. Businesses include: Specialty Plant Nutrition, Iodine and Lithium.

Read the article, "Treasure Hunting," in Vol. 5, issue 10 and the article "Life Begins with Li (Lithium)," from Vol. 6, issue 4.

SQM began paying a dividend in 2010. The annual dividend was US$0.72592 per share, with US$0.30798 per share to be paid on May 11, 2011.

iShares S&P North American Tech Semi-conductors

No

SOXX

$44.22

$50.45

$64.19

$44.17

+14%

Read "LED Lighting," from Vol. 7, issue 8 and 2010 Company of the Year from Vol. 7, issue 12.

Watch my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC, or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.

Westpac

No

WBK

$92.34

$102.63

$138.58

$92.34

+12%

Issued it's annual results on November 15, 2011. Go to Westpac.com.au to access. Australian banks fared far better than the rest of the world banks. So did Canadian banks. P/E is good, but the debt is quite high, at 4.34 X equity (on 5.15.11).

Net profit of $6.9 billion, up 7% year over year

Westpac's Chief Executive Officer, Gail Kelly, said: "Today, Westpac is one of the world's leading banks on almost any measure. We have emerged very safely from the last four years of economic uncertainty with a set of capabilities that distinguish us from our peers and as a much stronger company for the longer term."

Stocks to Watch
Some of these are great companies that we're thinking of adding to the Hot List and some are stinkers we're thinking of adding to the Cooling Off List.  Read carefully to identify which is which!  Note that right now many of our favorite companies are on the Watch List. Getting the price right is as important as picking the right company. Never pay retail!

Recent Additions:
S&P Middle East & Africa Fund (GAF) on 6.6.12
Oracle (ORCL) on 6.6.12
Sociedad Chimica y Minera (SQM) on 6.6.12
SOXX on 6.6.12
Westback (WBK) on 6.6.12

Recent Deletions:
Amazon (AMZN) on 6.6.12 (moved to Cooling Off List)
AOL (AOL) on 6.6.12 (moved to Cooling Off List)

Company

NP owns?

Symbol

Price when added to List

Price

6.15.12

52-week High

52-week Low

Gains/Loss

S&P Emerging Middle East and Africa Fund

No

GAF

$66.54

$65.44

$79.97

$57.00

--

Read "Travel Rewards," from Vol. 8, issue 7.

Apple

No

AAPL

$351.99

$574.13

$644.00

$310.50

 

2Q earnings announced on April 24, 2012 at 2:00 p.m. PT.

On March 19, 2012, Apple announced that, subject to declaration by the Board of Directors, the Company plans to initiate a quarterly dividend of $2.65 per share sometime in the fourth quarter of its fiscal 2012, which begins on July 1, 2012.

Additionally, the Company's Board of Directors has authorized a $10 billion share repurchase program commencing in the Company's fiscal 2013, which begins on September 30, 2012. The repurchase program is expected to be executed over three years, with the primary objective of neutralizing the impact of dilution from future employee equity grants and employee stock purchase programs.

On March 24, 2012, the Fair Labor Association announced the results of their audit of the Apple/Foxconn factories in China. In their press release, FLA stated, "FLA found excessive overtime and problems with overtime compensation; several health and safety risks; and crucial communication gaps that have led to a widespread sense of unsafe working conditions among workers." According to ABC News anchor Bob Weir, Apple responded to the report, saying, "We appreciate the work that the FLA has done at FoxConn and we fully support their recommendations." FoxConn released a statement the same day saying they vowed to reduce worker's hours without reducing wages. So, overall, the news coverage of the report was pretty positive. Despite the fact that there were 9 suicides in 2010 at FoxConn and the company still has "suicide nets" to prevent more.

Baidu

No

BIDU

$124.96

$119.38

$165.96

$94.33

 

Read, "Is China a Cheap Date?" from Vol. 9, issue 3.

Hot company. Buy at a god price.

Berkshire Hathaway

No

BRK.B

$85.30

$82.57

$87.65

$65.35

 

Warren Buffett's company has more exposure to the bank bailouts (Wells Fargo and American Express to name just two) than most investors realize. And, contrary to what he used to say, the company engages in active trading and hedging. Plus, he's 82 and doesn't have a clear, young successor in place. (Last one, David Sokol, had to resign on March 30, 2011.)

iShares JP Morgan Emerging Markets Index

No

EMB

$104.63

$113.53

$115.00

$103.57

 

Read "Hot Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7.

Facebook

No

FB

$38.00

$30.00

$45.00

$25.75

 

Read "Facebook," from Vol. 9, issue 2 and "Mark Zuckerberg" from Vol. 9, issue 7.

First Solar

No

FSLR

$144.76

$13.95

$175.45

$11.43

 

See "Solar Springs Up Again," article in Vol. 5, iss 4. On August 16, 2012, CFO Jens Meyerhoff left to "self-reflect" on his next steps. (red flag) First Solar was removed from the NASDAQ 100 Index, and replaced by Texas Instruments, on April 14, 2012.

First Solar uses cadmium telluride instead of silicon to transfer sunlight into useable energy. Cadmium telluride isn't as abundant or as efficient a power source as silicon, and now that silicon is affordable, First Solar has a crisis at the core of its business model. The entire solar industry has been under attack for the last year, however, the silicon manufacturers have a business model that should work going forward, whereas First Solar may have to retool to become competitive. I first warned of this in April of 2008. Click the blue-linked article to read.

Ford Motor Co.

No

F

$14.55

$10.35

$18.97

$9.05

 

Read "How Cap and Trade Saved Ford" from Vol. 6, issue 4. Ford is making cars people want to drive, but be careful with any investment here. The same conditions that plagued Chrysler and GM are present here -- lots of debt, pensions and Other Post Employment Benefit Obligations. Ford built cars that won awards in 2010 (and attracted consumer interest). And for that they get a big bravo.

Ford's credit rating is below investment grade, at BB+ (as of 10.21.11, by S&P), with a Stable Outlook. If pensions and other post employment benefits are considered, the debt and liabilities load increases. As of the Annual Report, which was released on 2.21.12, the pensions were underfunded by $24.8 billion and debt was $99.5 billion.

General Electric

No

GE

$19.05

$20.00

$21.17

$14.02

--

Read "Apple Joins $500 Billion Club," from the March 1, 2012 ezine, Vol. 9, issue 3. GE is carrying more than 3X debt to equity. The legacy problems that dogged the airlines and auto manufacturers (and sent them into Chapter 11 restructuring) are present at GE, too.

General Motors

No

GM

$33.11

$21.74

$33.75

$19.00

--

Read "One Very Hot IPO," from the September 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 9. Chevy Volt won Motor Trend's 2011 Car of the Year, but can GM regain market share from worldwide market leader, Toyota? GM may have shed a lot of debt in the bankruptcy filing, however, the company's profit margins remain very slim at 4%.

Google

No

GOOG

$627.42

$564.51

$670.25

$473.02

 

See Vol. 8, issue 2 article, "Big Bites Out of Apple and Google," and Vol. 6, issue 5 for "Hulu Your Heroes." Excellent company and great anchor for your large caps in the nest egg. Just be sure to add at a reasonably good price (not the 52-week high).

GroupOn

No

GRPN

$18.95

$10.06

$31.14

$8.80

 

Read "Is GroupOn a Deal?" and "Is GroupOn the Next Google?," from the Dec. 1, 2011 and July 1, 2011 ezines, Vol. 8, issue 12 and 7. Questions about management, governance, accounting and negative cash flow have us concerned about the viability of GroupOn as an investment. Read the articles for additional information.

Intuitive Surgical

No

ISRG

$584.52

$531.66

$584.52

$320

--

Read "Robo Doc" Vol. 9, issue 5.

KLA Tencor

No

KLAC

$49.00

$48.31

$55.15

$26.69

 

Read "LED Lighting," from the August 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8.

Watch my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC, or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM. Check out this Fox Biz interview with CEO of KLA on 9.27.11.

Kulicke & Soffa

No

KLIC

$8.71

$9.24

$13.69

$6.71

 

Read "Let There Be Light" and "LED Lighting," from the December 1, 2010 and August 1, 2010 ezines, Vol. 7, issue 12 and 8.

iShares MSCI Indonesia Index

No

EIDO

$30.72

$27.27

$32.92

$22.80

 

Read "Travel Rewards," from Vol. 8, issue 7.

Microsoft

No

MSFT

$28.25

$30.02

$32.95

$22.73

 

Watch my appearance on CNBC, outlining the reasons Skype is a very hot acquisition for Microsoft, and read my article, "One Very Hot IPO" from the September 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue. 9. Microsoft purchased Skype on May 10, 2011 for $8.5 billion in cash.

Netflix

No

NFLX

$124.00

$65.79

$304.79

$60.70

 

Read my article, "Blockbuster's Second Coming" from the May 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue. 5.

Orocobre

No

OROCF

$2.35

$1.19

$4.03

$0.97

 

Read "Should You Put the Brakes on Toyota?" from Vol. 7, issue 2. This is an Australian lithium company with a deal with Toyota to supply lithium for lithium ion batteries. Began trading on TSX (Toronto Stock Exchange) in June of 2010 and trades on the Australian Stock Exchange as well.

On March 7, 2011, Orocobre announced that the Argentinian government is slowing down the permit process for the proposed lithium potash project in NW Argentina. On March 4, 2011, the local government declared lithium to be a strategic mineral resource and introduced a secondary approvals process. According to the decree, additional approval will be required for both the Olaroz lithium-potash project for which the Company has already received approval of its development and production EIS, and the Cauchari lithium-potash project, for which an exploration EIS has been submitted. This new process does not affect the Company's program at Salinas Grandes, which is predominantly located in Salta Province. However, as of Oct. 31, 2011, Orocobre is still "actively engaged" in the secondary approvals, without measurable progress.

The company is based in Brisbane, Queensland, which had extensive flooding last year. Lithium production isn't projected to begin until 2012 and with the new developments in Argentina, this could be further delayed.

Orocobre Limited is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange (ASX:ORE, TSX:ORL) and is the leading lithium-potash developer in the lithium and potassium rich Puna region of Argentina. For further information, please visit www.orocobre.com.

Oracle

No

ORCL

$27.53

$27.70

$36.50

$21.24

FLAT

Read "Big Bites Out of Apple and Google" from the February 1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 2. 3Q earnings were announced on 3.20.12. Total revenues were up 3% to $9 billion. GAAP net income was up 18% to $2.5 billion.

iShares MSCI All Peru Index Fund

No

EPU

$40.73

$41.87

$51.35

$29.79

 

Read "Hot Funds," from Vol. 7, issue 7 and "Latin American Funds Doubled" article from the August 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 8. Left-winger Ollanta Humala, a career military man who has moderated his anti-capitalist views since narrowly losing the 2006 election, won the Presidential election.

President Humala notes that Peru has had economic growth of 7-8% for 8 years. He calls the Peruvian economy "solid." While Humala promises that the poor will receive more of the country's profits, he also says that his central bank will be run by an independent and that he wants to work closely with the United States. Check out this video interview with Humala by Reuters.

Priceline

No

PCLN

$508.15

$659.41

$774.96

$411.26

 

Read the article "The Priceline Negotiator," from Vol. 7, issue 10. Great company. Don't want people buying in high, hoping to sell higher. And if you made a healthy gain, considering capturing profits.

4Q & FY results were announced on February 27, 2012. For full-year 2011, the Group had revenues of $4.36 billion, a 41.2% increase over 2010. The Group had GAAP net income applicable to common shareholders for full-year 2011 of $1.06 billion, or $20.63 per diluted share, which compares to $527.5 million or $10.35 per diluted share in 2010.

Ross Stores

No

ROST

$35.90

$66.61

$66.74

$30.08

 

Read "Discount Designer Stores," from Vol. 5, issue 6. Sales have been growing steadily in this discount marketplace, especially given the "jobless recovery." Profit margins are slim, however, 7%.

Shutterfly

No

SFLY

$30.51

$26.77

$66.70

$21.34

 

Read "Diamonds or Scrapbooking," from the November 1, 2010 ezine, Vol. 7, issue 11.

Shutterfly has made huge fans of its customers and may even purchase Eastman Kodak's customers, however the Facebook acquisition of Instagram puts Shutterfly's future into question. There is no doubt that Facebook has a corner on the marketplace of photo sharing... When they monetize that, every other game in town is in trouble...

Announced results on 2.1.12. Net revenues for the year totaled $473.3 million, a 54% year-over-year increase. GAAP net income was $14.0 million, compared to $17.1 million in 2010.

CFO left on Feb. 24, 2012 to "pursue a personal passion with an early stage medical technology company." He stayed on through yearend results, which lends credibility to this story of the events.

On March 6, 2012, SFLY expanded its photo book offering to cater to the "yearbook" school crowd. According to Gretchen Sloan, Shutterfly's corporate communications executive, "We believe it's a compelling solution for the more than 100,000 elementary schools in the U.S."

iShares S&P North American Tech Semi-conductors

No

SOXX

$50.45

$50.98

$64.19

$44.17

--

Read "LED Lighting," from Vol. 7, issue 8 and 2010 Company of the Year from Vol. 7, issue 12.

Watch my 2.3.11 report on the LED marketplace on CNBC, or by visiting my YouTube channel at YouTube.com/NataliePaceDOTCOM.

Sociedad Minera y Quimica de Chile

No

SQM

$52.55

$53.09

$67.75

$46.00

--

This is a great company that manufactures lithium for the electric car & IT industry and potash for agriculture. Businesses include: Specialty Plant Nutrition, Iodine and Lithium.

Read the article, "Treasure Hunting", in Vol. 5, issue 10 and the article "Life Begins with Li (Lithium)," from Vol. 6, issue 4.

SQM began paying a dividend in 2010. The annual dividend was US$0.72592 per share, with US$0.30798 per share to be paid on May 11, 2011.

Tesla

No

TSLA

$32.60

$29.91

$39.95

$21.50

 

Read "Tesla. The Best Car on the Road," "Will Congress Kill the Electric Car (Again)?" and "Tesla Trades on NASDAQ" from Vol. 8, issue 11, Vol. 8, issue 10 and Vol. 7, issue 7.

Jan. 17, 2012: Tesla lost two key executives just a few months before the Model S debt. Peter Rawlinson, Tesla's vice president and chief engineer, and Nick Sampson, director of vehicle and chassis engineering, departed the automaker. In an e-mail to Automotive News, Tesla spokesperson Ricardo Reyes wrote that Rawlinson completed conceptual and design engineering work on the Model S and "decided to step away to tend to personal matters in the United Kingdom." He also wrote: "Nick Sampson is no longer with Tesla. He had fully transitioned from any Model S activities by the time of his departure." This has a bad smell to it... However, there is no denying that the Tesla cars are impressive. Here's a Tesla video to see a preview of Model X (Tesla's SUV) and Model S (sedan).

Should you buy now? Very volatile stock. The new sedan is scheduled to start delivery in July of 2012. (Model X reservations are going on now, with full production slated for 2014.) Production is at a former Toyota factory, which places a lot of ducks in a row, however, ramping up for production is something that can be wrought with delays and other unexpected kinks. Tesla has a very strong board and management team and a great car in the Roadster. Advance reviews of the S sedan are gushing.

There has been some recent press on the danger of having the car's batteries rendered useless -- into bricks -- so, if you're a customer, be sure to understand the risks of having a first generation all electric car.

4Q and FY results were announced on Feb. 15, 2012. Revenues increased to $204 million for the year, up from $117 million last year. Net loss was $254 million. Cash = over $300 million. Long term debt: $268 million.

Toyota and Tesla announced on August 5, 2011 that they will build electric RAV4s beginning in 2012. The production line will be in Woodstock, Ontario, and the electric powertrains will be shipped by Tesla from California.

Very exciting car company. But very early stage, and may be in need of raising more and more dough to stay on production track before the RAV4 and Model S hit stores. (At the current cash burn rate, Tesla is out of money by February 2013.) Be careful.

Tiffany's

No

TIF

$63.94

$53.59

$84.49

$54.58

 

Read "Are Diamonds a Girl's Best Friend?" Vol. 9, issue 2.

Toyota Motor Company

No

TM

$71.84

$76.50

$93.74

$60.37

 

Read "Should You Put the Brakes on Toyota?" from Vol. 7, issue 2 and "One Very Hot IPO" from Vol. 7, issue 9.

Toyota revised annual earnings on 12.9.11. Car sales are expected to be down to 7.4 million. And the net loss should be in the $80 billion yen range. There is much speculation that Toyota will lose its title as #1 carmaker this year, and may slip to #3, behind VW and GM, respectively. Toyota was hit very hard by the Japanese Earthquake, floods in Thailand and other disasters. Bear in mind that the official full-year report will not be issued until May 11(ish) 2012, however, the sales data (and new rankings) should be released in early January 2012.

Toyota and Tesla announced on August 5, 2011 that they will build electric RAV4s beginning in 2012. The production line will be in Woodstock, Ontario, and the electric powertrains will be shipped by Tesla from California.

The auto industry is vulnerable, and investors should be aware of the price and that 22 P/E is high for auto manufacturers.

Earnings are down and profit margins are flat...

VMWare

No

VMW

$77.90

$91.02

$115.19

$74.69

 

Read "Health Care Reform" Vol. 7, issue 4.

1Q 2012 results from April 18, 2012. Revenues for the first quarter were $1.06 billion, an increase of 25.1% from the first quarter of 2011. Net income for the first quarter was $191 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, compared to $126 million, or $0.29 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2011. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments were $5.22 billion and unearned revenue was $2.81 billion as of March 31, 2012.

"The quarter's solid performance across our portfolio underscores the value that VMware is providing customers as they work to transform their IT organizations," said Paul Maritz, chief executive officer, VMware, in the earnings statement.

"VMware is well positioned for growth as the leader in virtualization and cloud infrastructure," said Mark Peek, chief financial officer, VMware. "Second quarter 2012 revenues are expected to be in the range of $1.10 and $1.12 billion. Annual 2012 revenues are expected to be in the range of $4.525 and $4.625 billion, an increase of 20% to 23% from 2011, and annual license revenues are expected to grow between 12% and 16%."

Executive changes were announced on April 11, 2012. Most were promotions of people who had helped grow the company from single digit million revenue to single digit billion revenue.

Wells Fargo

No

WFC

$32.25

$32.45

$34.05

$22.58

 

RealtyTrac is predicting that foreclosures in 2012 will exceed those in 2011. However, the Feds keep giving the banks money and allowing banks to carry their losses off the books. Which means that earnings reports are fairy tales. Don't believe them. Banks are more troubled than you know. And, as we've already discovered, they are too big to fail.

See "Wells Fargo's Incredible Exploding Earnings" in Vol. 5, issue 9, and "Wells Fargo's Great Depression," in Vol. 4, issue 12.

Westpac

No

WBK

$102.63

$103.23

$138.58

$92.34

--

Issued it's annual results on November 15, 2011. Go to Westpac.com.au to access. Australian banks fared far better than the rest of the world banks. So did Canadian banks. P/E is good, but the debt is quite high, at 4.34 X equity (on 5.15.11).

Net profit of $6.9 billion, up 7% year over year.

Westpac's Chief Executive Officer, Gail Kelly, said: "Today, Westpac is one of the world's leading banks on almost any measure. We have emerged very safely from the last four years of economic uncertainty with a set of capabilities that distinguish us from our peers and as a much stronger company for the longer term."

Wynn Resorts

No

WYNN

$147.98

$99.53

$172.58

$101.02

 

Check out the article, "(No) Viva Las Vegas" in Vol. 5, issue 10.

Steve Wynn is a great marketer and capital raiser and the Wynn Hotel is gorgeous. However, Vegas is one of the worst places for real estate in the U.S. and the city has taken a huge hit as a convention center as well. Be very careful here. The Hangover sparked a Vegas renaissance in 2010. The Wynn pool scene is hot. Buying a vulnerable company with a high price to earnings ratio is not.

Increased cash flow has improved Wynn's debt rating, but it is still below investment grade.

On March 5, 2012, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services assigned its 'BBB-' issue-level rating to Las Vegas-based casino operator Wynn Resorts Ltd.'s proposed $900 million first mortgage notes due 2022. In addition, S&P assigned the notes a recovery rating of '2', indicating their expectation for substantial (70% to 90%) recovery for noteholders in the event of a payment default. Wynne is borrowing from Peter to pay Paul with this issuance. There was a due date of 2013 for repay that will be canceled with this issuance and only $100 million will be due on 2015, according to the S&P press release.

Zynga

No

ZNGA

$9.45

$5.56

$14.55

$7.45

 

Read "Zynga" Vol. 9, issue 1.

Cooling Off Stocks List (may be Poised for a Decline in Share Price).
Note: The companies listed in bold have recently been added to this cooling off list and/or may be currently poised for a decline in value. Investors who have them in their portfolio should read the recent news and consider whether it is time to sell and take profits, dump losses, short the position and/or simply weather the storms, while keeping the company in their long-term portfolio. At any rate, always consult your certified financial partner before making adjustments to your portfolio. (Again, note that the stocks on this chart are expected to go DOWN in price.)

ALERT: We are in an election year. The markets have been volatile, and GDP growth is expected to pick up in the coming quarters. So, now may not be the best time to initiate a short position. The stocks on the list below are here simply to keep you from buying them high, and to warn you to take your profits, if you've got them.

Highlighted Companies (Cooling Off List):
Amazon (AMZN)

DELETIONS:
None

Company

NP owns?

Symbol

Price when added to Cooling Off List

Price

6.15.12

52-week High

52-week Low

Gains/Loss

Amazon

No

AMZN

$217.64

$218.35

$246.71

$166.97

Flat

Hot company. Buy at a good price. P/E ratio is very high, at 180 on June 6, 2012.

AOL

No

AOL

$27.40

$25.99

$29.45

$10.06

-5%

Read "AOL" from Vol. 6, issue 12 and "Is GroupOn the Next Google?" from Vol. 8, issue 7.

AOL owns Huffington Post, Moviefone, Mapquest, among other popular destinations. Launched Editions on Aug. 2 for iPad -- the magazine that customizes reading experiences for each user.

Per ComScore Net Ratings (2.12 data), AOL is the 5th most trafficked "web parent companies" in the United States, right behind Facebook, Microsoft, Yahoo and Google. Sales for AOL is $2.20 billion annually, but there is plenty of room for this company to come closer to Yahoo's $5 billion in annual revenue and take a bite out of Google's $40 billion.

High P/E as we head into the seasonally weak summer season. Just looking for a better buy-in point.

LinkedIn

No

LNKD

$110.36

$102.01

$122.70

$45.00

-8%

Read my article, "Should You Link In?" from the June 1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue. 6. 1Q 2012 results announced on May 3, 2012.

News Corp.

No

NWSA

$16.42

$20.63

(5.11.12)

$20.07

$20.63

$13.38

+22% &

-3%

Read my article, "Murdoch's Humble Pie," from the August 1, 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue. 8. The News Corp. scandal in the UK is still far more active than American investors realize.

James Mudoch resigned from BSkyB as chairman on 4.4.12 (although he still remains on the board). Investors have called for James resignation from the News Corp. board. To date, the Murdoch family have used their weighted voting rights to keep James on the boards of News Corp and BSkyB.

In the statement released by Rupert Murdoch and Chase Carey, it appears that James has a future at News Corp., although his role there might be more tenuous than anyone is officially letting on, judging by the ambiguous language used even by his father...

"We are grateful for James Murdoch's successful leadership of BSkyB. He has played a major role in propelling the company into the market-leading position it enjoys today – and in the process has been instrumental in creating substantial value for News Corporation shareholders. We look forward to BSkyB's continued growth under the leadership of Nicholas Ferguson and Jeremy Darroch and to James' continued substantial contributions at News Corporation."

There has been widespread speculation that James Murdoch resigned in anticipation of a critical report from the British Parliament's House of Commons select committee, which is expected to be released any day now. There is very little coverage of this in the U.S., though the report will undoubtedly affect News Corp., so search on the BBC website for the most complete coverage.

Rochester Municipals Bond Fund

No

RMUNX

$14.86

$16.02

(10.1.11)

$16.78

$16.91

$14.49

+13% &

+5%

Read "Bond Beautification Project" from Vol. 7, issue 10 and "Bonds, Bond Funds and T-Bills: The Next Disaster," from Vol. 7, issue 9.

Sears Holding Company

No

SHLD

$30.80

$80.48

(3.12.12)

$51.08

$87.69

$28.89

+35% &

-37%

Read my article, "Discount Designer Stores," from the June 1, 2008 ezine, Vol. 5, issue. 6. Sears is more of a hedge fund than a retail store.

Taubman Centers

No

TCO

$24.74

$61.32

(7.15.11)

$73.10

$80.69

$21.85

+192% &

+19%

Read the article, "Global Recession," from Vol. 6, issue 6 in June 2009.

Mall owners are hit with the quadruple whammy of sluggish retail sales, high turnover, lower occupancy and declining real estate value.

Time Warner

No

TWX

$24.44

$36.42

$38.62

$27.62

+50%

Read the article, "Hulu Your Heroes," from Vol. 6, issue 5 in May 2009.

PowerShares Treasury Bill Index Fund

No

PLW

$30.02

$32.78

(10.1.11)

$33.40

$33.01

$27.09

+11% &

flat

Read "Don't Get Fooled Again," from Vol. 7, issue 8. When interest rates rise, bonds and bond funds fall in value. Time to find another "safe" place for your assets. Read "The High Price of Questionable Credit" from the September 2011 ezine, Vol. 8, issue 9.

Zale Corp.

No

ZLC

$2.92

$3.37

(4.1.12)

$2.40

$6.90

$2.06

-17% &

-29%

Read "Are Diamonds a Girl's Best Friend?" Vol. 9, issue 2.

Deleted in 2010-2011:
Deleted AMAT on 8.1.10 with gains of 12.5% & 7% (put gains would be double or more). 8.30.10: Deleted FIG (-10% & -40%), MXWL (-37%), MDT (-4% & -24%), MSFT (-20%) -- all for gains. Deleted MGM 9.13.10 for 61% gains. Deleted Tesla on 1.14.11 with 20% & 24% gains. 3.1.11: Deleted Shutterfly with12% gain (cooling off gain) and Sears with mixed results (up & down). 3.11.11: Deleted PIMCO Muni Bond fund with flat performance. Deleted Amazon, American Express, Capital One, Ford, Kulicke & Soffa, Netflix, Taubman, VMWare with mixed results. Deleted Apple, Baidu, Berkshire Hathaway, Intel, Transocean & Wells Fargo with losses. 4.28.11: ABAT with 51% gains. 6.13.11: LinkedIn was deleted with 25% gains, Orocobre with 18% gains, Shutterfly with 20% gains, Priceline with mixed performance and eBay was deleted with flat performance. 6.23.11: Yahoo was deleted with 12% gains. 8.15.11: LinkedIn with 10-11% gains, Netflix with 6-18% gains, Priceline with 6% gains, Tesla with 7% gains. Wynn Resorts was deleted with mixed results. 8.31.11: Toyota was deleted with gains of 14%.

Deleted 2008-2009:
19 gainers and no losers.

Recently Deleted:
None

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER (PLEASE READ):
Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently owned and operated financial news corporations in the U.S. This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies.

Investors should NOT be using the Hot News on Cool Stocks list or the Cooling Off list to trade their nest eggs. Your retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience.

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors.

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