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The Top Performing Industries of 2012. by Natalie Pace. Includes a Medical Technology Stock Report Card. June 26, 2012 When you think of the top performing industries of 2012, it pays to think of one thing -- information technology. IT is at the core of all company performance today, regardless of industry. Year to Date Performance by Industry
Source Standard & Poor's All of the top performing industries listed above are led by the information technology-based companies in their industry. Consumer discretionary performance has been led by companies like Priceline. Performance
of Priceline
Source: Money.MSN.com. For illustration purposes only. Telecommunications Services is an industry fueled by the world's most valuable company -- Apple. Performance
of Apple
Source: Money.MSN.com. For illustration purposes only. Likewise, the Healthcare industry is being transformed by electronic medical records (EMR) companies like Cerner, which make medical records available to medical professionals with a click. Performance
of Cerner,
Source: Money.MSN.com. For illustration purposes only. As you can see from the attached Medical Technology Stock Report Card, the EMR industry is booming. While a lot of industries are struggling to keep sales in a weak consumer and business market, doctors and hospitals have government subsidies at hand to put medical records into e-docs, which are easier and faster to access and share. As a result, EMR companies are flush in new sales, with revenue growth of 50-122% over the past two years. However, Allscripts (symbol: MDRX) and Blackberry (symbol: RIMM) are both grave reminders that investors cannot just pick any company competing in the information technology leg of their industry. Allscripts has lost almost half of its value since the beginning of the year. Research in Motion, the parent company of Blackberry, was worth $32.55/share in August of 2011, but rang in at just $9.05/share today. Buying individual stocks is like barbecuing burgers. You gotta keep an eye on them -- particularly given the breakneck speed of technological innovation. One company will innovate and patent a cutting-edge breakthrough that will transform the industry overnight, leaving the competition in the dirt. Another might be the leader, but is weak in customer service, which results in client exodus and lawsuits. That has a lot to do with why it is difficult to identify a clear winner in the Medical Technology Stock Report Card. Cerner has healthy profit margins, at 14.06%, however, Girard Medical Center, a disgruntled former customer, recently aired its complaints of alleged price gouging and breach of contract by the EMR provider to Joel Schectman, a reporter for CIO Journal at WSJ.com. (The lawsuit has been ordered into arbitration by a Kansas judge.) Whether the allegations are true or false, if the story gains traction, the Cerner share price is at risk. Allscripts shows the greatest revenue growth over the last two years (mainly due to its merger with Eclipsys), and has an executive team that is very strong. Through the merger, Allscripts became partners with Microsoft on EMR. In June of 2011, Allscripts added four strong executives to the team, with experience from Apple, Microsoft, IBM and GE. Just a year later, however, Allscripts missed earnings, lowered their 2012 sales and income guidance, lost their CFO and board chairman and had four other board members walk out in protest, in what was clearly a very bad day for CEO Glen Tullman. What happened? Bookings and revenue were lower than the prior quarter, missing analyst expectations, prompting an investor sell-off and clearly the anticipation of all that caused a mutiny among the board members that drowned half of those in the room. Allscripts' version of "what happened" is stated in the press release of April 30, 2012, "The board engaged in extensive deliberations regarding the leadership of the company…" Those who supported the CEO (and perhaps the departure of the CFO), stayed on board; those who opposed (and supported the chairman who was the former CEO of Eclipsys) resigned. In the wake of this mess, two board directors have even purchased stock in Allscripts, as another vote of faith in the leadership of the company. Class action lawsuits are in process, even while Allscripts has regrouped and appears to be recovering. Allscripts has replaced all of the board directors who left. (The board is too heavy in private equity managers now…) So, the recent sell-off could mean Allscripts is in buying range -- that is if the vision of the CEO proves to be efficacious. However to avoid the volatility that all individual stocks are vulnerable to, you might wish to own PowerShares Dynamic Healthcare Sector Portfolio (symbol PTH) instead. PTH currently includes two EMR companies, McKesson and Cerner, in its holdings. I highlighted Allscripts on the Hot Stocks List today, and added Cerner, PowerShares Dynamic Healthcare Sector Portfolio and Athena Health to the Stocks to Watch list.
About Natalie Pace: Please note: NataliePace.com does not act or operate like a broker. We report on financial news, and are one of the most trusted independently owned and operated financial news corporations in North America. This article is intended to educate and inform individual investors, and, thus, to give investors a competitive edge in their personal decision-making. The publicly traded companies mentioned in this article are not intended to be buy or sell recommendations. ALWAYS do your research and consult an experienced, reputable financial professional before buying or selling any security, and consider your long-term goals and strategies. Investors should NOT be all in on any asset class or individual stocks. Your retirement plan should reflect a long, safe strategy, which has been designed with the assistance of a financial professional who is familiar with your goals, risk tolerance, tax needs and more. The "trading" portion of your portfolio should be a very small part of your investment strategy, and the amount of money you invest into individual companies should never be greater than your experience, wisdom, knowledge and patience. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable however NataliePace.com does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors. |
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